Jones Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at what’s on offer for Jones Beach over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch.

All the forecasts for Jones Beach are calling it "poor surf conditions" right through the 16-day window. The first few days are flat out tiny. Wednesday the 15th brings a knee-high 0.3 ft wave from the SE with a cross-offshore breeze, so it'll be clean, but there’s just no power behind it – the combined energy is a weak 17. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about normal for the time of year.

We roll into Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th with nothing much to get excited about. The swell sticks around 1 to 2 ft. Friday morning does go glassy though – zero wind – so if you’ve got a foamie and just want to sit out there, it’ll be pretty as a postcard.

The first real hint of life shows up on Sunday the 19th. The morning has a 3 ft swell from the S, and a crisp cross-offshore wind from the WNW will keep it clean. The combined energy finally cracks triple digits at 109, so there’s a bit of push behind it. But the swell period is only 7 seconds – that’s weak, choppy energy. It’ll be small and a bit crumbly.

Monday the 20th is interesting but frustrating. The swell bumps up to 3 ft from the S again, period stretches to 10 seconds, and the energy hits 188 (moderate). That’s the best-looking groundswell of the whole run. But the wind is onshore from the S by the afternoon, and it’s a beach break setup at Jones Beach, so it’s going to be a bumpy, choppy mess. For a kite surfer, that onshore wind and moderate energy might look fun, but for a paddle surfer it’s a pass.

After that, it’s a long, bleak run. From Monday the 20th through to the end of the month on the 30th, the swell never really gets above 4 ft and the winds are mostly onshore, cross-on, or just messy. There are a couple of clean windows with cross-offshore winds on the 22nd, 26th, and 27th, but the swell is tiny (2 to 2 ft) and the period stays short. The combined energy for those days is mostly under 100 – weak stuff.

There’s a little spike on Sunday the 26th afternoon – 4 ft from the SSE with a clean cross-offshore breeze – but the period is a dreadful 6 seconds. That’s just windswell bump.

The honest truth? There’s no standout day. Nothing worth paddling out for with any real hope. For an exposed beach like Jones Beach, a blank run like this is more normal than not when the wind and swell don’t line up. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, you’re better off checking back in a week.

Rusty.

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