The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a 16-day window that’s a bit of a slow burn. The standout spot is The Wedge, a breakwater wave that’s advanced only. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal, about 69°, so that’s a nice little bonus when you’re paddling out.

The pattern starts off pretty quiet. The first real chance to get wet comes on Sunday the 19th of July. The Wedge is seeing a 3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the WSW at 6 mph. The conditions are poor, and the wave comment says it’s a dud. The combined energy is moderate at 646. No real surf on offer here, just a long wait between sets and a bit of bump on the face.

Monday the 20th is marginal at best. The morning has a 4ft SSW swell, 11-second period, with light cross-on wind. The afternoon is similar with a 2ft SW swell and a 16-second period. Clean looking but the energy is weak and the quality is questionable. The Wedge is a tricky break even when it’s good, and these days are not it.

The Tuesday the 21st through to Wednesday the 29th period is a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions. The swell stays small, mostly 2ft to 4ft, and the wind is often cross-on or onshore. There’s a moment on Thursday the 23rd morning where the swell is 4ft from the S at 13 seconds, with a light cross-on breeze, but the energy is 606 – still not enough to get the Wedge firing. The combined energy pops up to 681 on the afternoon of the 23rd, but it’s a cross-shore wind, so it’s lumpy. The 24th of July has a ridiculously long 24-second period swell, but it’s only 2ft – that’s all period and no push. The quality is poor.

The Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th have a bit more period (21 and 19 seconds) but the swell height is still under 3ft. The wind is light and onshore or cross-on, so the surface is messy. The Wedge is known for being a bit fickle, and this stretch is proving it.

Monday the 27th the morning has a 4ft SW swell, 18-second period, with light onshore wind. The energy is 845, which is decent, but the afternoon turns into a write-off with a moderate SSE breeze at 12 mph. The 28th and 29th are similar – marginal on the charts, but the wind is wrong.

Then we get a little flash of hope. Friday the 31st of July morning shows a 5ft S swell, 13 seconds, with light cross-on wind. The combined energy is 773. It’s still marginal, but the height is starting to nudge up. The afternoon holds 4ft at 15 seconds with 789 energy. Still not clean, but it’s a step up.

Saturday the 1st of August is the best call in the whole window. The morning has a 5ft S swell, 14 seconds, with light onshore wind (S 6 mph). The combined energy is 947 – that’s getting into the strong range. The afternoon holds 5ft from the SSW at 13 seconds, still 811 energy. The wind is cross-on but light. This is the only day the swell breaks the 5ft mark, which means it’s getting a bit too much for beginners, but for an advanced spot like The Wedge, it could be interesting. The trick is the period is shorter than the groundswells we’ve been seeing, so it’ll be a bit more crumbly, but the size is there. It’s the best of a tough run.

After that, Sunday the 2nd of August drops back to 3ft, and Monday the 3rd of August is a flat 1ft with a 13-second period and 115 energy. That’s the tail end of the forecast, and it’s a dud.

So, overall, this is a long 16-day stretch with a lot of marginal days. The Wedge is the only game in town, and it rarely gets a clean, solid swell. The standout is clearly Saturday the 1st of August, where the swell hits 5ft and the energy is strong. It’s not perfect – the wind is cross-on, and the crowds are often an issue here – but it’s the only day that offers any real hope for a wave. Keep your expectations low, and you might get a fun one.

Rusty.

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