The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next two weeks are a bit of a grind for The Wedge. The swell is just too small and the wind isn’t playing ball for much of it. The water temp is sitting at 66°F which is pretty much average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

We kick off Friday the 10th with a clean 3ft SSW swell, but it’s got a 15-second period and the wind is onshore. The combined energy is weak (372), and honestly, the surf is poor. This continues through the weekend and into the start of the week. Saturday and Sunday are the same story – small, onshore, not worth a paddle. The combined energy stays weak, dipping to 275 on Saturday afternoon.

Monday the 13th is the first day things get a sniff of a chance. The swell holds at 3ft from the SSW, still a 13-second period, and the wind goes cross-shore in the afternoon. The combined energy is still weak (336), but the conditions are “marginal” – surfable but you’d have to want it. Tuesday the 14th drops back to 2ft and the wind stays cross, with combined energy down to 177 in the morning. Not good.

From Wednesday the 15th through to the 20th, we’re stuck in a rut. The swell drops to 1ft, then bounces between 1ft and 3ft, but the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy rarely gets above 300, and most days are “poor.” The Wednesday the 15th morning has a 1ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore and the energy is a paltry 194. That’s a long wait for nothing.

The first real standout doesn’t show up until Monday the 21st of July. The morning session has a 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, combined energy climbing to 426 (moderate), and the wind is light cross-onshore – described as “marginal” but cleaner. The afternoon holds the same energy with a cross-shore wind. It’s not firing, but it’s the best we’ve seen in over a week.

Then, on Thursday the 23rd, we get a genuine blip of hope. The morning has a 2ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and – get this – light cross-offshore wind from the WNW. The conditions are clean. The combined energy is still weak (186), but the wind is right. The afternoon turns into a moderate breeze at 12 mph, which chops it up, but that morning window is your best bet for a clean, rideable wave in the whole outlook.

The real juice arrives on Saturday the 25th, but it’s a long way off. The morning shows a 5ft SSE swell, 14-second period, with a cross-shore wind. The combined energy jumps to 1015 – that’s strong wave energy. The swell is over 5ft, so it’s pushing into solid territory, and the period is short enough to keep it punchy at the wedge. The crowd factor is “often” so expect a crew. This is the pick of the fortnight, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The afternoon holds similar energy (820) with a stronger cross-shore wind.

So, to wrap it up: the first two weeks are mostly a write-off with small, wind-affected surf. The best window is the morning of Thursday the 23rd for a clean, if small, session. The real standout is the morning of Saturday the 25th – that 5ft SSE swell with strong energy is the one to circle on the calendar. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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