The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a 16-day window, and I gotta be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch. The Wedge is our only show in town, and it’s gonna be a long wait for anything worth paddling out for.

The first week is a write-off. From Monday the 10th right through to Friday the 14th, we’re looking at nothing but small, weak swell with a constant cross-onshore or cross wind. The wave energy is low to moderate (between 178 and 332), and the conditions are just poor. It’s all small wind ripples and chop. You’d be better off doing something else.

Even when the swell direction swings a bit and the period gets long on the 14th, the wind is still a problem. The Wedge is a breakwater, so it needs clean conditions, and it’s just not getting them. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Now, mark your calendar. Saturday the 15th afternoon finally shows a glimmer of hope. We get a clean, light cross-offshore breeze with a 3ft SSW swell. The period is a healthy 16 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 574 – that’s moderate energy, so there’s some push. The guidance says this spot loves a good SSW swell, and this is the closest we get. It’s the only "good surf conditions" window in the whole run. The Wedge is fairly consistent, but it’s an advanced spot, so don’t expect a beginner wave. It’s the standout, but it’s a single session.

The second week is a frustrating repeat. From Sunday the 16th all the way through to the 25th of August, the swell stays tiny (1ft to 3ft) and the wind either stays cross or goes cross-on again. The energy is all over the place, from weak 199 up to moderate 391, but the conditions are almost always "poor" or "marginal". There’s a couple of clean windows on the 21st afternoon and a few mornings with light offshore, but with swell that small, it’s barely a ripple. The long period (over 18 seconds) on the 22nd and 23rd is a tease – that kind of groundswell needs a better bank and cleaner conditions to do anything at a breakwater setup.

So, the bottom line: Saturday the 15th afternoon is your one true shot. Small, clean, and the best of a bad lot. For the rest of the 16 days, you’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. The surf is small, the wind is messy, and The Wedge just isn’t cooperating. Keep the board in the car for that Saturday, but don’t hold your breath for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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