The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming up for The Wedge. It’s a bit of a slow burn, so don’t expect much in the way of fireworks for a while. The water is sitting at 69°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re getting in.

We’re starting off quiet. The first few days, Thursday through to Saturday, are basically a write-off. The swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is blowing straight onshore. The wave energy is weak to moderate (128 to 331), and the conditions are just poor. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out. You’ll just be bobbing around.

Sunday the 19th sees a little lift. We’ve got a 4ft to 4ft swell from the south, with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, which is good for shape, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bit choppy and messy. The combined energy is moderate to strong (909 to 1141), but it’s still only marginal. Not a standout.

Monday the 20th morning is the first real sign of life. The swell drops to 4ft from the south, but the wind swings onshore, and the period is 12 seconds. The energy is moderate (688). It’s still only a marginal call, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. Still, nothing to write home about.

The real highlight, and the only one I’d get excited about, is Friday the 24th. The morning sees a 5ft south swell with a 13-second period and clean onshore wind. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1262. That’s the biggest swell of the period, and while it’s not huge, the wind is straight onshore, which keeps it clean. It’s still a marginal call, but for an advanced spot like The Wedge, 5ft with clean conditions is the best you’ll get. The afternoon drops off, so get it in the morning.

After that, Saturday the 25th has a long-period groundswell (21 seconds) at 3ft, and the combined energy is strong (1111), but the wind is cross-onshore. That long period means the waves will be fat and likely breaking straight at a beach break, so it’s not ideal for The Wedge. Sunday the 26th through Tuesday the 28th have consistent 3ft to 4ft south-west swells with cross to cross-onshore winds. The energy stays moderate to strong (735 to 915), but it’s all marginal. Not a proper standout.

From Wednesday the 29th to the end of the month, the swell drops back to 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. The energy is weak to moderate (358 to 693). The conditions are poor to marginal. The last day, Friday the 31st, has a small 2ft to 3ft south-southwest swell with light cross-onshore winds, but it’s strictly for the optimists.

Bottom line: the best morning of the whole 16-day window is Friday the 24th. Get that 5ft south swell with the clean onshore wind. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time the energy and size line up. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just plain messy.

Rusty.

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