The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Wedge.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag – we’ve got some solid, long-period groundswell pulsing in, but the wind and conditions aren’t always playing ball. The water’s sitting at 67°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a bad thing if you’re in a shorty.

The opening stretch from Thursday afternoon through to early next week is all about that SSW swell, but it’s mostly cross-shore breezes and cross-chop that are messing it up. Thursday afternoon has a 2ft SSW swell with a very long 18 second period and moderate wave energy (462), but those 12 mph west winds have it looking poor. Not worth paddling out.

Friday morning and afternoon are similar – 3ft at 16 seconds, still cross-shore, and the energy is moderate (316-359). The surf is marginal at best. Saturday and Sunday are no better: light winds but the swell stays small (2-2ft) and the conditions are either cross or cross-on. The energy picks up a touch on Sunday morning (372), but it’s not clean.

Now, Monday the 6th of July through Tuesday the 7th is where things get interesting. Monday morning has 3ft from the SSW, 16 seconds, and the wave energy jumps to 486 – that’s moderate but climbing. Winds are light cross-onshore, so it’s still a bit messy. But Tuesday morning the 7th of July is the standout. We’ve got 3ft SSW swell, 18 second period, and clean light SSW onshore wind. The energy hits 652 – that’s getting strong. The tide might be questionable, but this is the most promising window. Tuesday afternoon holds 3ft with 18 second period and 682 energy, with a gentle cross-shore – worth a look for experienced surfers.

The Wedge is a breakwater setup, fairly exposed to that SSW direction, and it’s fairly consistent. Crowds are often a factor here, so expect company. The 3ft at that long period (18 seconds) means the waves will have real punch and shape, but at this size it’s not too big for most competent surfers. Just be aware that long-period groundswell can make it a bit tricky and straight at beach breaks, but The Wedge handles it well.

From Wednesday the 8th onwards, the swell drops and backs off. We see 3-3ft through to Friday the 10th, but the energy is still moderate (458-557). Winds are mostly onshore or cross-on, and the scores stay low. By Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th, the swell is down to 3ft at 15 seconds and the energy is dropping (307-275). Not good.

There’s a gap of a few days there where conditions look poor, until Monday the 13th of July when we’ve got 2ft at 13 seconds and just 195 energy – weak and not worth the paddle. Tuesday the 14th is similar. Then on Wednesday the 15th of July, we see a real drop: 1ft from the SSW at 13 seconds, but the afternoon turns glassy with zero wind. That’s very clean, but the swell is tiny (160 energy). Maybe a longboard session for the diehards.

The final few days, Thursday the 16th through Friday the 17th, are small (1ft) with light winds, but nothing exciting. The energy is low (133-225). The period on Friday morning jumps to 19 seconds, but with only 1ft, it’s not going to produce much.

Honestly, if you’re looking for the best day, aim for Tuesday the 7th of July – that’s your closest thing to a solid, clean window. Tuesday morning, maybe early before the wind shifts. The rest of the run is mostly marginal or poor.

Rusty

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