The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer over the next couple of weeks at The Wedge.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this isn’t looking like a classic run. We’ve got some waves on the way, but the conditions are fiddly, and the ratings are telling me it’s going to be a fight for a decent session. The best bet looks like it’s going to be the early part of the week, but even then, you’ll need to pick your window carefully.

The main action kicks off Sunday, 26 July. We’re looking at a solid SSW groundswell with a very long period of 19 seconds pumping in, giving us about 3 ft of swell. The combined energy is right there in the moderate range (725), and that long period means proper, powerful lines. But here’s the rub: the wind is a light offshore from the SSW in the morning, which is a beauty. The water temp is sitting right about where you’d expect for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The problem is the “marginal surf forecast” tag – likely a tide issue messing with the shape. Still, with that clean morning glass, it’s the pick of the bunch. If you’re an advanced surfer, get in early Sunday morning. That afternoon the breeze swings cross-shore and takes the shine off.

Monday, 27 July, is similar. A touch more size at 4 ft from the SW, still a long 18-second period, and clean offshore winds in the morning from the S at 6 mph. The energy is up to a solid 781. Again, that “marginal” label – it just feels like the tide isn’t helping us. The afternoon gets a cross-on wind, so the morning is the only real window. Tuesday, 28 July, the swell bumps up a bit more to 4 ft, but still with that offshore wind and good energy (878). It’s frustrating because the ingredients are there, but the quality just isn’t clicking.

Wednesday and Thursday see the swell holding around the 3 ft to 5 ft mark, but the wind gets more onshore/cross-on, and the period starts to drop. The energy stays moderate (up to 892), but the surface gets a bit of texture. By Friday, 31 July, we hit the biggest swell of the run at 5 ft from the S, with moderate to strong energy (1027). However, the period has dropped to 13-14 seconds, and the wind is cross/cross-on. At this size, 5 ft is getting solid for The Wedge, and with the wind messing with the face, it’s a bit of a messy prospect. Not the clean, throw-in wedge we’d hope for.

Then, from Sunday, 2 August, onwards, it all falls off a cliff. The swell drops to 2 ft or less, the energy plummets into the double digits and low hundreds, and the system labels it all as “poor surf conditions.” There’s a full week, from 2 August right through to 10 August, where there’s just nothing doing. The wave heights hover around 1 ft to 2 ft, with weak energy. That’s a long, flat gap.

So, my honest take? The standout moment is Sunday morning, 26 July, and to a lesser extent Monday morning, 27 July. You get that very long-period groundswell from the SSW, with clean, light offshore wind. The Wedge needs that magic alignment of tide and swell, and while it’s flagged as marginal, if you read the water right, those early windows are your only real shot. After that, it’s a long wait for the next pulse.

Take it easy out there,
Rusty

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