The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real about what’s on offer at The Wedge (breakwater). The next 16 days are a mixed bag, and honestly, we’re in for a bit of a waiting game. The waves are small, often messy, and the clean, punchy stuff we dream of is going to be a rare treat. The water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal, about 69°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least the wait will be comfortable.

We kick off on Friday, July 17, and it’s flat and pretty hopeless. A tiny 1 ft SW swell with a super long period of 19 seconds is just not enough to make anything of it, especially with a 9 mph onshore wind. The combined energy is weak (210), and the call is poor surf conditions. This is the story for the first several days, with Saturday and Sunday offering tiny, crumbly swells, slight cross-onshore winds, and energy readings that are still in the moderate range (328 to 738). Saturday morning shows a bit more energy (328), but it's still small and the wind is on it. Sunday morning (July 19) looks a tiny bit better with a 2 ft SW swell and 17-second period, but the wind is on the nose. The surf is just not there.

Things start to tick up a little from Monday, July 20, but it’s still marginal. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the S on Monday morning with a 13-second period, and the energy climbs to 780. The wind is light cross-on, which is a glimmer of hope, but it’s still a “marginal surf forecast” call. Tuesday, July 21, has a similar 4 ft SSW swell and 12-second period, with light cross-shore winds, but the energy is still moderate (797) and the quality isn’t there. This pattern of small, choppy, and cross-shore wind continues right through the rest of the week and into the next.

Now, there is a standout, and it’s a bit of a sneaky one. Saturday, July 25, is our best bet. The morning offers a 3 ft SSW swell with a very long 21-second period, and the wind is light and onshore. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1122, which is a real sign of life. The afternoon sees the swell bumps to 4 ft, still from the SSW, with a 14-second period, and the wind swings to a light cross-shore. The energy is still strong (1026). It’s not going to be huge, but that long-period groundswell from the SSW has potential, especially for a breakwater like The Wedge. The light winds will keep it clean. It’s the most promising day in the whole window.

The following week, from July 27 to August 1, sees a lot of the same – small, marginal swells with cross-shore winds. Monday, July 27, has a 3 ft to 4 ft SSW swell with a 19-second period and light winds, but the energy is still moderate to strong (966-1182). The consistency is just not there for a proper session. We see a slow decline in energy and swell size as we head into the end of the month and into August, with the last few days of the forecast showing tiny 2 ft to 3 ft swells and the energy dropping back into the weak range (244-288). The wind stays cross-shore, but the surf just runs out of puff.

In short, if you’re a beginner, the swell is rarely above 5 ft, so it’s safe for you to paddle around, but the quality won’t be great. For experts, the consistent small size and often poor wind will be frustrating. The only real window for a decent wave is the 25th of July. Don’t get your hopes up for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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