The Wedge Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the next couple of weeks at The Wedge (breakwater). Honestly, right off the bat, I gotta say it’s a bit of a tough stretch. The Wedge is an advanced spot, and it’s fairly consistent at picking up swell, but the conditions are just not playing ball for a while.

The forecast starts on Tuesday, August 11th, but don’t get your hopes up. We’re looking at a tiny 2 ft SSW swell with a super long 18-second period, which sounds dreamy, but it’s getting wrecked by a 12 mph cross-shore wind. The water is a warm 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re staring at the chop. The combined energy is weak at 280, and the wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. This theme just keeps going.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are more of the same: small SW swell around 2 ft to 2 ft, with light cross-onshore winds. The energy picks up a bit on Thursday afternoon to 362, but it’s still a messy, choppy mess. Friday the 14th morning has a tiny 2 ft SSW swell, but the period jumps to 19 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 403. Still, the wind is cross-on, and the comment says marginal at best.

The whole first week, right through to Monday the 17th, is a real grind. The swell stays small, under 3 ft, and the winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore with a bit of chop. There’s a glimmer on Saturday the 15th afternoon with a 3 ft SSW swell and 563 moderate energy, but the wind is still cross-on, keeping it poor. There’s a long gap here with no real standout, just a bunch of marginal days with scores of 0 or 1.

The second week doesn’t start any better. From Tuesday the 18th to Sunday the 23rd, we’re looking at tiny waves, 1 ft to 3 ft, with light cross-shore or cross-on winds. The energy is weak, staying under 300. It’s a real blank run for proper surf.

Now, here’s the only thing that gets my blood pumping a little. On the 26th of August, a Wednesday morning, we see a shift. The swell comes from the SSE at 3 ft, with a solid 18-second period and the combined energy jumps to 936 – that’s strong energy. The wind is a light cross-shore, which is a major positive. The afternoon even bumps up to 4 ft (still SSE, 16-second period) and the energy rockets to 1381. That’s the kind of number that makes you sit up. The wave comment is still “marginal,” but the score is a 2, which is the best on offer in the whole 16-day window. This is the standout. For an expert spot like The Wedge, that SSE groundswell with glassy conditions could be absolute mayhem. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

So, to sum it up: the first two weeks are mostly a write-off for The Wedge unless you’re desperate for a paddle. The only real window to circle is that Wednesday the 26th. If that SSE swell holds and the wind stays light, it could be the best day of the whole outlook.

Rusty.

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