Agate and Pearl Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for the local line-up over the next 16 days. Well, to be honest, the next several days are gonna be pretty quiet. There’s a bit of swell around, but the wind's just not playing ball at all, coming cross-onshore most of the time, and the wave quality is looking pretty marginal at best. The water temps are way above normal for this time of year - we're looking at about 22°C, which is a noticeable 3° warmer than usual, so a shorty or even a rashie should be fine.

Starting off this Friday, July 24th, we’ve got a small 0.6m, 0.5m swell from the SW but with that cross-on breeze it's just a messy little lump. The combined swell energy is 740, so moderate, but it's not doing anything for me. That carries through Saturday and Sunday, with similar size and wind issues. It’s just a bit of a slog of cross-on chop.

Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 30th, the swell picks up a touch, with heights around 1.0m to 1.2m, but still that persistent light cross-on wind. The swell period is dropping from 18 seconds down to 15 seconds though, meaning it's losing its groundswell punch. The combined energy nudges up to the 700s and 800s, but the quality is just not there for a paddle. It’s looking more like a session for the kite crew than a clean wave for a log or a thruster.

Now, things start to get interesting as we head into the end of July and the start of August. Friday the 31st of July, we finally see the window open a crack. We get an offshore wind in the morning with a 1.8m swell from the S at a period of 14 seconds. That’s a solid increase, and combined energy jumps right up to 1813. The wind's light and offshore, so it should be a bit of a change from the choppy mess. This is the first time I'd get a little stoked.

But the real standout is Saturday morning, August 1st. The forecast is calling for glassy conditions with some clouds overhead, and a solid 1.6m, S swell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is a solid 927. That's the cleanest surf we’re going to see in this whole window. The wind is glass – that's a five-knot glassy morning. If you can get out there, this will be the pick of the fortnight.

After that little peak, things fizzle out pretty fast. Sunday August 2nd sees the swell drop back under 1.2m, and the cross-on wind returns. Then from Monday August 3rd all the way through to the end of the run on August 8th, it’s a total flat spell. Swells are tiny - 0.5m, 0.4m, 0.3m - and the combined energy dribbles down to low double digits (44 to 157). The wind stays cross-shore or onshore, and the surf quality is just poor across the board. That's almost a full week of nothing to write home about, which is a pretty normal dry spell for this spot.

So, short story: a lot of average, cross-onshore days ahead. You’re waiting for that glassy morning on Saturday, August 1st. That’s your one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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