Agate and Pearl Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range outlook for Agate and Pearl Street is a real test of patience. We’re looking at a stretch where the surf’s just not doing us any favors, but there’s a tiny window of hope if you’re prepared to wait and are happy with average conditions.

The water’s running 74° and that’s a solid 7° above the norm for this time of year, which is a big deal. It’s much warmer than usual, so you won’t need the thickest rubber.

The first real chance to even think about paddling out is on Sunday morning, the 6th of September. We’ve got a 5ft south swell rolling in with a 14-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW at 9 mph, which should keep the surface clean. The combined energy is at a solid 1033, so there’s some push there. This is about as good as it gets for the whole run. It’s an intermediate-level reef break, and it’s fairly consistent, so it’s on. The swell direction from the S is working well. This is your standout, your one shot at something decent. It’ll be a bit much for beginners at 5ft, but for the rest of us, it’s worth the look.

After that Sunday morning window, things fall apart quickly. The Sunday afternoon session gets messy with a cross-onshore wind, and Monday the 7th is pretty much blown out. By Tuesday the 8th, the swell drops, the wind gets up, and it’s just poor.

The rest of that first week and into the second week is a write-off. The swell drops to under 3ft, and we get a run of onshore and cross-onshore winds. The period gets long, 16 to 19 seconds, but with that small size and average winds, it’s not going to do much. There’s a lot of low energy, with the combined figures mostly in the 100s and 200s, which tells you how weak it is.

One thing to note: there’s a jump in the energy and period on the morning of Friday the 18th of September. We see a 19-second period with energy at 364, but the swell height is only 2ft and the wind is cross-onshore. It’s a tease, nothing more.

Then, on Saturday morning, the 19th of September, we get one last interesting blip. The swell jumps to 5ft, but it’s from the W with a short, 7-second period. That’s not a groundswell, that’s windswell, and the wind is onshore from the WSW. It’s going to be a messy, short-period mess. The energy reading is 574, which is moderate, but with the onshore wind, this spot won’t hold up. It looks more like a kite-surfing kind of day than a clean paddle-surfing one.

So, there you have it. One decent window on the 6th, and a whole lot of nothing else. It’s a tough outlook, but that’s how it goes sometimes. The spot is fairly consistent, so this poor run isn’t the norm, and things can change. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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