Agate and Pearl Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next fortnight at Agate and Pearl Street is a tough watch for anyone wanting a proper paddle. This reef setup is exposed to the swell, but for the next ten days, we’re dealing with a whole lot of marginal conditions and poor surf. The water temp is sitting around 67°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The opening Saturday, the 11th, is a write-off. We’ve got a tiny 3 ft SSW swell, but it’s coming from the south with a 9 mph cross-on breeze, and the wave comment says it all: poor surf. The energy is weak (351) and it’s choppy. Sunday the 12th looks a bit better with a light offshore from the WSW, but the swell is still only 3 ft and the conditions are marked as marginal. You might get a couple of clean ones, but don’t expect much.

Monday the 13th through to Saturday the 18th is a real slog. The swell stays small, mostly 1 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore. The energy values are all in the low to mid hundreds (200-300 range), which is weak. The Wednesday morning of the 15th has a 1 ft swell with a very long period of 17 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and marginal. Honestly, this stretch is more about checking the tide than surfing.

Now, we do get a bit of a pulse around Sunday the 19th. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the south, with a 12-second period, and the energy hits 603 – moderate. The wind is offshore from the SW, which is a plus. But the conditions are still marginal, and the swell is heading straight into the beach, so that long period might make it a bit straight and tricky. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen in a week.

The following week, from the 20th to the 24th, is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell holds around 2 ft to 3 ft, but the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy stays moderate (300-500 range). The Tuesday the 21st has a 3 ft swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-onshore, making it choppy and poor. Not worth a paddle.

The real standout, if you’re patient, comes at the very end. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th. The afternoon of the 25th brings a 3 ft swell from the SW with a 20-second period and energy of 693 – strong. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’ll be clean. Then Sunday the 26th has a 3 ft SW swell, 18-second period, and energy of 706. The wind is a light 3-6 mph cross-onshore, and the conditions are marginal but promising. These are the only two days that look like they could offer a fun session, especially for the long-period groundswell on a reef. But it’s two weeks out, so treat it as a promising possibility, not a certainty.

Overall, for the next 10 days, you’re better off doing something else. The swell is small, the wind is mostly wrong, and the surf quality is poor. There’s a gap of nearly a week with no real recommendations. The last two days of the window are the only ones with enough energy and clean enough conditions to get excited about. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more