Consessions/Big Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for this stretch of coast. It’s going to be a tale of two halves, with a long, quiet spell first, then some serious energy building for the end of the month and into early August.

We’re looking at Consessions/Big Rights – a heavy, advanced reef break that’s exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right now, the surf is a no-go. We’ve got a messy, short-period 5ft swell from the ENE, but it’s being whipped up by a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is moderate at 456, but the conditions are just poor. There’s nothing to get excited about here for the start.

In fact, the outlook is pretty barren for the next week and a half. From Sunday the 19th right through to the morning of Tuesday the 28th, the surf is either too small, too short-period, or blown out by those persistent fresh cross-offshore winds. The swell heights bob around between 2ft and 5ft, but the quality is never there. You’ll see a few pulses of long-period groundswell, like a 16-second SSW swell on the Monday afternoon, but at just 3ft, it’s not enough to break the pattern. The energy is moderate to strong in places (hitting 965 on the 23rd), but it’s all for nothing with the wind. This is a real dry spell.

Then, finally, a shift. The standout window arrives around Tuesday, the 28th of July. The morning kicks off with a solid 8ft ENE swell, paired with a gentle 9 mph breeze. The wave energy is cranking at 2097 – that’s strong. The period is a nice 13 seconds, so it’s proper groundswell. This is the real deal for advanced surfers. The afternoon holds the same size and a 13-second period, though the wind picks up a notch to a moderate 12 mph. Still, this is the best we’ve seen by a long shot.

The next day, Wednesday the 29th of July, is a top contender. The morning brings a 6ft ENE swell with a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore breeze, and the energy is still strong at 941. But the afternoon is where it gets special. The swell drops just a touch to 5ft, but the wind swings to the north and drops to a light 6 mph, going offshore. With a 11-second period, the waves will be clean, lined up, and holding that reef shape. The forecast says “very good surf conditions,” and I’d be paddling out for that session.

Wednesday the 29th of July afternoon is the absolute standout. Clean, offshore wind, solid 5ft groundswell from the ENE, and a reef that loves that direction. It’s an advanced wave, so don’t be a kook if you’re not ready for it, but for the right crew, that’s a session to remember.

The end of the month and start of August keeps churning out 6ft to 7ft ENE swells, but the wind is back to those fresh cross-offshore breezes, so the quality drops off. The energy is still strong, like 1146 on the afternoon of the 31st, but it’s not as clean as that Wednesday peak.

Summing it up: stare at the ocean for a week and a half, then get ready for a firing window on the 28th and 29th. The 29th afternoon is the one to circle on the calendar. Stay patient.

- Rusty

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