Chameau Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s lined up for Chameau over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands, so don’t be in a rush to paddle out just yet.

First things first, Chameau is a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the swell, and it's favouring a SW direction for the best shape. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The first few days of the forecast are a bit of a write-off for a good session. Tuesday the 7th has some solid swell, but the wind is howling out of the SE at 25 mph, making it messy and hard work. The combined swell energy is moderate on Tuesday morning (1981) and strong in the afternoon (2618), but with those winds, it’s more of a battle than a pleasure. Wednesday the 8th is a bit better with offshore winds, but the rain and still-fresh breeze keep the quality down. Honestly, from Tuesday through Thursday, you’re looking at marginal conditions despite the swell being there. Thursday afternoon the 9th sees the wind drop and swing offshore, with a clean 5 ft SE swell at 10 seconds – it’s a start, but not the main event.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 11th afternoon is where things start to click. We’ve got a clean 6 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the east. The combined energy is solid at 1174 (moderate), and it’s setting up for some proper lines on the reef. That’s your first standout window for experienced surfers – the long period means the sets will have proper push, and that offshore wind will keep the faces clean.

Sunday the 12th morning is even better if you can handle a bit more size. A 7 ft SW swell with the same 15-second period, light east winds at just 6 mph – that’s glassy, clean, and punchy. The energy jumps to 1835 (strong). This is the pick of the first week for anyone who knows what they’re doing. After that, Monday the 13th holds in nicely with clean 7 ft surf, but the crowds might be around as it's a consistent spot that sometimes draws a crew.

The middle of the week from Tuesday the 14th to Friday the 17th sees the swell dip and the wind pick back up. There’s surf on offer, mostly in the 3 ft to 5 ft range, but with fresh breezes and shorter periods, it’s not going to be lighting anyone’s world on fire. You’ll get clean waves at times, but nothing to write home about. Saturday the 18th is a real low point – small, weak, and the wind is up again. A gap of a few days with no real recommendations.

But hold onto your board, because Sunday the 19th looks like a proper beast. We’ve got a massive 10 ft to 12 ft S swell rolling in, with a very long 17 to 19-second period. The combined energy is enormous (6233 to 6414 – that’s strong, approaching very strong). Now, this is expert territory only – over 8 ft is for the brave and the skilled. The wind is a strong offshore from the SE at 22 mph, so the faces will be clean, but paddling out will be a mission. This is a big, raw, powerful groundswell. For a reef like Chameau, that long period and southerly direction could line up some absolute bombs, but it’s going to be a serious session. This is the standout of the entire forecast, but it’s more than a week away (19th of July), so keep an eye on it – the models might shift.

Monday the 20th still has size (7 ft to 8 ft) but the wind is even stronger at 25 mph, making it a real struggle to get into position. After that, it fades out into smaller, cleaner but weaker surf for the 21st and 22nd. The long-range potential on the 19th is the one to dream on. For now, stick with the weekend of the 11th and 12th for the best bet in the near term.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

Read more