Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up.

We’re kicking off a bit quiet, but there’s a solid run of good surf coming through the weekend, and then one proper standout session early the following week that’s got my pulse up.

The first one worth getting in the water for is Saturday the 12th of September. Clean 1.7m (6ft) SSW groundswell with a long 15-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore, so Tamarin Bay should be looking real tidy. The combined swell energy is 1364 (moderate to strong), and this reef break loves a SSW direction. It’s advanced and inconsistent, so you’ll be patient between sets, but it’s quality. It does get crowded, so expect some company.

Sunday the 13th tops it. Morning brings 1.6m (5ft) SSW swell, but the period has stretched to an incredible 18 seconds – proper deep-water groundswell with stacks of energy (2042). Light cross-offshore wind keeps it clean. Those waves will have serious shape and grunt, though that long period means it’ll be walling up hard on beach breaks – on this reef it should link up beautifully. Afternoon bumps to 1.8m (6ft) with a 16-second period and 2072 energy, still excellent for experienced surfers.

Monday the 14th fades. Swell hangs around 1.8m (6ft) SSW, but the conditions get marginal – energy is 1265, and while the wind is okay, the quality just isn’t there.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off. Fresh 35 km/h (22 mph) southeast wind messes up the 1.2m to 1.5m (4ft to 5ft) swell.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th see bigger numbers (2.3m to 3.0m / 8ft to 10ft), but the wind is fresh and cross, creating a nasty cross-chop. The energy is huge (4223), but it’s rough and hardly inviting.

Then a dry spell from Thursday arvo through Saturday the 20th. Swell drops to 0.6m–1.1m (2ft–4ft), onshore or cross-on winds. Not worth paddling out.

The standout window is Sunday the 21st through Tuesday the 22nd of September.

Sunday the 21st starts glassy with a 1.4m (5ft) SW swell at 16 seconds and 1194 energy. The water is like glass. By afternoon the wind goes light offshore, swell holds at 1.4m (5ft), but the energy jumps to 1608. Excellent, clean conditions for experienced surfers.

But Monday/Tuesday… wow. Tuesday the 22nd of September has a massive 3.0m (10ft) SSW groundswell with a 19-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 6965 – very strong. And the wind? Glassy. Dead calm, slight air. That’s a rare combination. This is strictly for experts – 3.0m (10ft) is heavy, and the long period makes it even more powerful. Beginners, stay well clear. The southwest direction is a perfect match for this reef, and crowds will be inevitable. Tuesday afternoon is still excellent at 3.0m (10ft) with an 18-second period, cross-offshore breeze, and 6227 energy – still a killer session.

Wednesday the 23rd stays solid at 2.5m (8ft) with 2961 energy but gets a light cross breeze. Thursday the 24th is glassy again with 1.9m (6ft) SSW for the morning. Then it winds down into smaller surf through the 25th and 26th.

Bottom line: don’t bother with the early days until Saturday. The real gold is Sunday through Tuesday. That Tuesday morning glass-off with 3.0m (10ft) and a 19-second period is the one to circle. It’s a way off, so keep your fingers crossed, but if it holds, it’ll be a day to remember.

Rusty.

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