Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for Tamarin Bay over the next couple of weeks.

First things first, the early part of this outlook is a bit of a wait. The first few days are a write-off, with the wind howling and the surf quality being pretty poor. We’re looking at a big slug of SSW groundswell arriving on Wednesday the 16th, pushing 10ft, but with a 19 mph cross-off wind. That’s not a friendly wave for anyone. The swell energy is absolutely thumping at (5079), but the wind is just shredding it. Conditions are marginal at best. This pattern of big, wind-affected swell and small, messy leftovers hangs around for the rest of the week and through the weekend. There’s a long run of days here with no real recommendations, so it’s a case of being patient.

Now, the light at the end of the tunnel. After that dry spell, things start to turn a corner on Monday the 21st. We get a drop in wind to a gentle 9 mph breeze and the surf settles into a cleaner 4ft. The swell energy is moderate (604) and it’s looking like a small, clean morning session. That’s your first real chance.

But the real standouts, the ones you’ve been waiting for, are at the tail end of the forecast. Look at Monday the 28th of September. The wind drops to nothing – literally 3 mph, glassy conditions. We’ve got a solid 6ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a period of 15 seconds. That’s proper, long-period groundswell energy (1310), and the wind is glass. That’s the kind of day you call in sick for. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a spring suit will be fine.

Then, Tuesday the 29th is the absolute pick of the bunch. Again, glassy conditions, a 5ft SSW swell, but the afternoon session is flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. It’s a touch under 5ft with a 14-second period, and that clean, glassy wind is just a dream. The swell direction is a perfect match for the optimum SW direction. This is the one to circle on the calendar, but remember, Tamarin Bay is an inconsistent reef break, it’s an advanced wave, and it gets *often* busy. You’ll want to be early. That big 6ft swell on the 28th and the 5ft on the 29th are right in the sweet spot – big enough for a proper session but not stupidly huge.

That run of incredible glassy conditions holds into Wednesday the 30th of September and Thursday the 1st of October, with clean, offshore wind and solid 6ft and 5ft SSW swells. The energy stays strong and the conditions are excellent. The latter part of the second week is the real payoff – it’s promising, but given it's over a week out, keep an eye on the details as it gets closer. For now, I’d be planning my life around that last week of September.

Rusty, signing off.

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