Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Tamarin Bay is cooking up over the next couple weeks. There’s a real mixed bag coming, but a few moments that’ll get the heart thumping if you’re experienced. The standout is right at the start, but after that, strong winds and big but tricky swell make things a bit rough.

We start on Monday morning, September 7th. This is the pick of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 7ft SSW groundswell with a long, 15-second period rolling in. The energy’s solid at 1712, and with a light SSE cross-offshore breeze, Tamarin Bay is going to be smooth and lined up. That’s a proper session for the advanced crew, with the water running a bit warmer than usual for this time of year. Monday afternoon holds up, too, with the swell bumping to 8ft from the same direction and a clean offshore wind. Energy jumps to 2354. This is the best on offer, no question. Just remember, this break is inconsistent, so when it’s on, you’ve got to be on it.

Tuesday morning the 8th sees the swell dip slightly to 7ft, but the wind turns onshore from the SE at a fresh 22 mph, making things lumpy. The afternoon gets bigger at 10ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, but with that same strong cross-off wind, it’s more about power than polish. Only for the experts – it’s big, raw, and the energy’s cranked to 7257.

Wednesday the 9th is where it gets heavy. Morning has a solid 13ft SSW swell at 18 seconds – that’s serious, very long-period groundswell. Energy is pumping at 10310. But the fresh cross-off wind will make it unruly. This is a beast only for the most experienced. The afternoon drops to 12ft, but with the same wind, it’s still full-on.

From Thursday the 10th onward, the swell drops but the wind stays fresh from the ESE, mostly cross-off. Thursday morning has a clean 8ft SSW swell at 15 seconds, but energy’s still moderate at 3015. After that, we hit a real lull. Friday the 11th is flat and poor. The whole following week, from the 12th to the 20th, is a mix of marginal conditions with winds rarely letting up. A bit of life on Saturday the 12th afternoon with a 5ft SSW swell at 14 seconds and gentle cross-off breeze, scoring a 3, but nothing screaming “go now.” The energy sits around 987 – all very average.

We wait until Monday, September 21st. That morning shows an 12ft S swell at 14 seconds with a moderate cross-shore wind – energy is 5180 – but the cross-chop makes it messy for paddling. The afternoon cleans up with cross-off wind, dropping to 10ft. That’s promising, but it’s over a week away, so watch the forecasts. Tuesday the 22nd has a 8ft S swell, but energy’s back to moderate.

Water temp at Tamarin Bay is sitting a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner suit.

Overall, if you can get out on Monday the 7th, that’s your best shot. After that, you’re waiting until around the 21st for another pulse, but that one’s still uncertain this far out. This spot is inconsistent, so you don’t see these windows often. It’s a reef, so the long-period groundswell will hold its shape. For the weaker days, a kite would be a better shout than a paddle board.

Stay keen, stay patient.
Rusty.

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