Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it. Our window starts Wednesday afternoon the 15th of July over at Tamarin Bay, but don’t get excited yet. That first session is a write-off with rain showers and a messy 20 km/h cross-on wind from the NE, pushing around a 5ft S swell. It’s a poor start with only 582 (moderate) energy.

The whole initial stretch looks a bit grim. Thursday morning and afternoon stay bleak with light onshore northerlies and knee-high dribble. Friday is still marginal, though you can start to see the pulse building. The cross-shore wind on Friday afternoon with a 4ft S swell at 16 seconds is a tease but not really worth paddling out for the effort.

Then we hit a turning point. Saturday morning the 18th of July is our first actual bright spot. We’ve got clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE and a 4ft S groundswell at 14 seconds. The combined energy is 546 (moderate), and it’s breaking clean. Not a standout of the whole period, but a good sign we’re heading in the right direction.

Saturday afternoon gets even better: offshore wind from the S, clean faces, and a tidy 3ft S swell. Things hold through Sunday afternoon with glassy-to-offshore conditions, though the swell drops to 2ft.

Now, Monday the 20th of July is where we really get cooking. That morning sees glassy conditions, a building 5ft SSW groundswell at 15 seconds, and very strong energy of 1044 (strong). The wind is dead calm from the SE. This is legit. The afternoon is bigger: 6ft, cleaner offshore breeze, and 1295 (strong) energy. This is a serious standout, and Tamarin Bay is a reef break, so that long-period SSW swell (15 seconds) will wrap in beautifully. Keep in mind, with 5-6ft, it’s getting a bit chunky for beginners, but for advanced surfers, this is the sweet spot. The water temp is 77°F, which is about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The quality keeps rolling into Tuesday the 21st of July: clean, cross-offshore winds, and a solid 5-6ft SSW swell with strong energy. That holds through Wednesday morning.

But the real standout of the entire outlook is Tuesday the 28th of July. This is still a couple weeks out, so keep a loose eye on the forecasts, but the bones are incredible. That morning, we have glassy conditions, a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and a massive 4615 (very strong) energy. That afternoon gets even more intense: 10ft SSW swell at 19 seconds, glassy, with a monstrous 5989 (very strong) energy. This is for experts only. At 10ft on a reef, it’s a serious, powerful wave. It’s also a bit of a crowd magnet here – that “often” tag on the crowds means you’ll want to be sharp.

Wednesday morning the 29th of July is still a great option: 8ft, glassy, 2716 (very strong) energy, though again, this is expert territory.

Despite being an inconsistent spot, Tamarin Bay only rarely delivers this kind of long-range, quality groundswell with glassy wind. The longer gaps between sets on those 16-19 second periods will make paddling out a bit easier, and the reef will handle the long period beautifully.

The last few days of July and into the 30th drop back down into the 5-5ft range with clean but more ordinary conditions.

So, bottom line: the first few days are a wash. Saturday the 18th is your first decent wave. Monday the 20th of July is a proper standout. And Tuesday the 28th of July is the one to circle on your calendar if you’re an experienced surfer looking for a powerful, clean, glassy session at a world-class reef.

Rusty.

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