Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The next couple of weeks here at Tamarin Bay are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a serious pulse of southwest swell on the way, but it’s going to take a minute for the wind to play nice. You’re going to have to be patient, but there are some absolutely world-class windows for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Kicking off on Friday, August 28th, the water is sitting at a comfortable 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – feels good. The swell is already a solid 13 ft from the SSW with a very long 16-second period, packing some serious grunt (combined energy of 8851). The morning is your best bet with light offshore SSE winds (16 mph) making for clean conditions. The catch? Tamarin Bay itself is a reef break for advanced surfers only, and it’s inconsistent. This big swell will be pumping, but that 13 ft is expert territory – don’t even think about it unless you’ve got the skills and the crew. The afternoon winds crank up to a strong 25 mph, still offshore, but it’ll be a battle to get out.

Saturday the 29th sees the swell hold at 13 ft in the morning, dropping to 12 ft by the afternoon. Period stays long. But the wind swings to a cross-offshore breeze, and it’s strong (22–25 mph). The surf will be clean but incredibly hard to handle with that much juice blowing on it. This is not a day for fun waves; this is a day for watching from the beach.

Sunday the 30th is a washout. The swell drops to 10 ft, the period shortens to 14 seconds, and the cross-off wind is still hammering at 22 mph. The energy is dropping off quickly (3067 down to 2275). The power is still there, but the quality is just not on.

From Monday the 31st right through to Thursday, September 3rd, we hit a real flat spell. The swell drops to almost nothing, with combined energies falling below 100. The wind goes cross-shore and kicks up chop. There is absolutely no surf worth paddling out for during this stretch.

We then go through another quiet period from Friday the 4th through Saturday afternoon on the 5th, with tiny swell. But hold onto your board.

The good news comes in the second week. Sunday, September 7th, is our standout. The wind swings light and cross-offshore (only 3-6 mph), creating absolutely glassy conditions. The swell builds to a very clean 7 ft to 8 ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. The combined energy jumps to 2623. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers. The long period from the SSW is a dream for this reef break, giving proper, lined-up waves. This is the session to circle on your calendar. Monday the 8th keeps the quality high with similar sized swell and light winds.

From Tuesday the 9th, the swell begins to fade, but we get another interesting pulse on Saturday, September 12th. The morning shows a quick, punchy 12 ft from the south, but with a short 10-second period and fresh cross-off winds (19 mph). The energy is strong (2457), but it will be a bit unruly. With that much power and strong wind over a reef, this setup actually looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The real takeaway here is clear: if you’re an advanced surfer, the days of September 7th and 8th are the absolute pinnacle of this outlook. Clean, powerful, long-period groundswell with light wind. The rest of the first week is a write-off or only for the brave. There’s a lot of waiting in between those magic sessions.

Rusty.

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