Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf prospects for Tamarin Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right from the start, the first several days are a total bust. We’ve got a long-period swell from the SW, but the wind is a constant cross-shore, sometimes a cross-offshore, but it’s fresh and keeps the waves from breaking cleanly. The swell is tiny – only about 2 to 2 feet – with very weak energy. There’s just no real surf to get excited about. This stretch is a write-off, so don’t bother paddling out.

The first real sign of life shows up on Saturday, July 11th. The swell builds to 5 feet in the morning and 6 feet in the afternoon from the SSW. The energy jumps to a solid 1031, so there’s some proper power. But again, the wind is cross-shore, making the conditions just “marginal.” It’s doable, but not the clean, glassy stuff we want. This continues into Sunday the 12th, where the swell pumps up to 8 feet with massive energy readings over 2600. That’s a serious, expert-only wave on a reef setup, but the cross-shore breeze messes with the surface.

Monday, July 13th is where the stars align for a short while. The wind finally shifts to a cross-offshore direction from the ESE, around 9 to 12 mph. The swell is still a solid 6 to 6 feet from the SW, with strong energy (1512). This is the best window of the whole forecast. The long-period groundswell (14 seconds) will have punch, and the offshore wind will groom the faces into clean lines. It’s still a big wave, so you need your wits about you. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

After that, the swell drops and the cross-shore wind returns, leaving a huge dry spell from the 14th all the way through the 19th. Nothing to recommend.

We get one more chance later in the run. On Monday, July 20th, the morning shows a clean 6-foot SW swell with that same nice cross-offshore breeze from the ESE. The energy is back up to 1212. That’s a standout for the second week. The afternoon of Tuesday the 21st also looks interesting, with a 6-foot SSW groundswell carrying a very long 19-second period. The energy is huge at 2890, but that kind of period can make a reef break race – super fast and a bit straight. The biggest pulse of the whole forecast arrives on Wednesday the 22nd, with a massive 10-foot S swell and an insane 5398 energy reading, but that’s only for experts and the cross-shore wind spoils the surface.

To sum it up: the only windows worth paddling for are sunrise Monday the 13th, and maybe a look at the 20th. The rest is either blown out or too big and messy.

This is Rusty, signing off and waiting for the wind to play nice.

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