Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next few weeks on the west coast.

Right off the bat, the outlook is a tough one. We’ve got some serious long-period SSW groundswell on the way, but it’s being let down by the wind. The first real pulse arrives on Thursday the 30th, with a 4ft swell from the SSW, but the cross-shore wind is already messing with it. The water temp is sitting at 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus for the hood.

Honestly, the next week is a bit of a write-off for clean, quality rides. From Thursday the 30th all the way through to Sunday the 2nd, we have a building swell that peaks at 6ft on Saturday afternoon, but that east wind is relentless and onshore. The combined swell energy gets up to a very strong (1516), meaning there’s plenty of power in the water, but it’s going to be lumpy and messy at Tamarin Bay. This is a reef break, so the long period swells (15-16 seconds) could offer some punchy, lined-up waves, but with the cross-chop, you’ll be fighting it. It’s pretty much a no-go for a smooth session.

Monday the 3rd shows a drop in size to 3ft and the wind finally swings to a cross-offshore, which is a big deal. The swell period is a very long 18 seconds, so those sets will be fat and powerful, but the combined energy is still moderate (1083). The ride gets cleaner, but the wave size is marginal for this spot, and it’s an inconsistent break that requires patience and a very specific tide. This is only for dedicated, advanced surfers.

From Tuesday the 4th through the end of the first week, it’s a real slump. We get days of tiny, weak waves dropping to 2ft with very weak wave energy (176), and the wind stays cross or cross-off, meaning it’s clean but flat. The period stays long, but there’s just no push. This is a long gap of poor conditions that lasts right through to Sunday the 9th.

Into the second week, Monday the 10th of August offers a glimmer of hope. The swell bumps back up to 5ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the wind is a clean, gentle cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy climbs back up to strong (1127). This is the best on offer across the whole outlook for Tamarin Bay. The waves will have some good shape and power, but keep in mind this is rarely a bank that fires, and with inconsistent waves, you need to pick your moment. The crowds are often a factor here too.

After that peak, it quickly fades again. Tuesday the 11th kicks up again to 5ft in the afternoon with a 17-second period, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze. From Wednesday the 12th onwards, we’re back to tiny, weak swells (1ft to 3ft) and very weak wave energy (129-365). The wind stays cross-off, so the water looks clean, but there’s just nothing to ride for the rest of the run. It’s a blank finish.

If you only get one shot this period, make it Monday the 10th of August. Otherwise, the kite surfers might be having more fun on the lumpy days than we are.

Rusty.

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