Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a short window of real quality, and it’s all happening at one spot: Tamarin Bay. This is a reef break for advanced surfers only, and it doesn’t fire all that often, so when it lines up, you need to be on it.

The standout is Sunday the 13th of September. We’ve got a solid 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 to 18 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell carrying a lot of energy (combined energy of 2042). The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE, keeping the surface clean. The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. This is the session to aim for; it’s excellent but only for experienced surfers.

That good energy carries into Monday morning the 14th, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze, and the tide or something starts making it a bit more marginal. Still clean, but not the same magic as Sunday.

Then things get tricky. From Tuesday the 15th through to the end of the third week of September, the wind really kicks in – strong breezes from the SE and E, and it stays cross or cross-off. The swell hangs around in the 3ft to 10ft range at times, and even sees a big spike to 10ft on Wednesday the 16th (combined energy of 4927), but with fresh cross-off winds and that much power, it’s really only going to be for the very experienced, and even then, the conditions are marginal. That Wednesday setup might look more appealing to kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Things drop right off from around Friday the 19th onwards. Swell sizes dip under 3ft, the period drops, and the energy is weak (values under 300). The wind stays cross or light, but there’s just no push. There’s a long gap of quiet, poor surf through the rest of the month.

There is a glimmer towards the end of the run. Monday the 21st of September shows a glassy morning with a 2ft SSW groundswell and a long 16-second period. It’s small, but with glassy conditions and a combined energy of 448, it’ll be clean. The Tuesday the 22nd morning also looks clean with a light cross-off breeze and a similar small swell. However, these are very small waves, and the energy is weak. They’re a nice way to get wet if you’re desperate, but nothing compared to that Sunday the 13th.

So, the call is simple: if you’re advanced, clear your schedule for Sunday the 13th of September at Tamarin Bay. That’s the one. Everything else is a wait-and-see.

- Rusty

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