Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Tamarin Bay.

Right now, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days we’re looking at small, messy junk. The winds are cross-shore and the swell is tiny, with hardly any energy in the water. Not worth paddling out for. From Thursday 9th July through to Saturday 11th July, the conditions are poor – the wave comment across multiple sessions is "poor surf conditions", and the combined energy of all swells is weak (85 to 111 on Thursday).

We do get a bit of a pulse building over the weekend. Saturday 11th July sees the swell start to push up to 5ft on the morning, but it’s still cross-shore wind and the forecast says "marginal" – not the cleanest. The energy climbs to strong levels (1031), but the wind is messy. By Sunday 12th July, the swell size jumps to 8ft, but it’s still cross-shore and there are rain showers. The energy is very strong (2646), but the wind is cross, so it’s going to be a battle.

The real standout comes on Monday 13th July. The morning is the pick of the entire 16-day window. The swell is a solid 6ft from the SW, with a long 14-second period, and the wind switches to a clean cross-offshore from the SE. That’s a game-changer. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 77°F, and the combined energy is strong (1491). For experienced surfers, this is the session to circle. The break is a reef, and with that long period, the waves will have proper shape, though being a reef, it’s strictly for the advanced crew. Keep in mind this spot is inconsistent, so when it lines up, you go.

After that, the wind stays tricky for most of the second week. The rest of the month looks like a steady diet of cross-shore or cross-offshore winds, but the swell drops off and the energy stays moderate to weak. The winds get stronger from the 19th July onwards, gusting up to 25 mph, which makes the clean conditions at Tamarin Bay more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfing. The swell is small, mostly under 3ft, and the energy is weak.

There is a flicker of hope right at the end on Thursday 23rd July afternoon, with a 3ft swell but a very long 19-second period, and the energy jumps to a strong 755. But the wind is still a fresh cross-offshore breeze, and the forecast still says "poor surf conditions". It’s a long-range, promising, but uncertain call.

Overall, the best bet is Monday 13th July morning. If you can’t make that, there’s not much else that’s worth getting excited about.

Rusty.

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