Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

We are looking at a 16-day window for Tamarin Bay, and it starts off small but promising. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 76°, so it’s pleasant out there.

The first real call is Thursday afternoon, August 20. It’s not big – just 2 ft of SW swell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds, which means groundswell energy. The wind is a cross-offshore from the SE at 9 mph, and conditions are clean. Combined energy is only 330 (weak to moderate), but the quality is there for a keen surfer at an advanced, inconsistent reef break. It’s not a standout, but it’s a nice opener.

Friday, August 21 is a write-off. The swell bumps up to 3 ft in the morning and 4 ft in the afternoon, but the wind swings cross-shore and picks up, creating cross-chop. Combined energy hits 418 and 491 respectively, but the surf quality is poor.

Now, Saturday, August 22 is the first real highlight. Saturday morning has 5 ft of SW swell at 14 seconds, with light E winds at 6 mph, cross-offish. Clean. But the standout is Saturday afternoon: glassy conditions with a 5 ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, combined energy of 857 (moderate). The wind is a glass-like 3 mph from the SSE. This is clean, lined-up reef surf. For an advanced spot like Tamarin Bay, this is the best on offer in the near-term.

Sunday, August 23 morning is a bit of a letdown. The swell jumps to 8 ft, but it’s cross-shore wind and the guidance flags marginal conditions. The period is 15 seconds (very long), and combined energy is 2178 (strong). It’s a lot of water moving, but the wind is messy. However, Sunday afternoon is a different story: glassy again, 7 ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, combined energy 1997 (strong). Excellent for experienced surfers. This is your second standout.

Monday, August 24 holds similar size at 8 ft, but the wind stays cross and the conditions are marginal – not worth jumping for.

From Tuesday, August 25 onward, the swell begins to dip, but Tuesday afternoon sees a glassy 6 ft SSW swell at 13 seconds, combined energy 980 (moderate). That is a clean session for those who want to avoid the bigger stuff.

Wednesday, August 26 has clean waves in the morning at 4 ft and a moderate offshore wind in the afternoon at 4 ft with 12 mph from the SSE. Good surf conditions, but nothing that will blow your mind.

Now, get ready for a big ramp-up. From Thursday, August 27 through to Saturday morning, August 29, the swell goes from 7 ft to a massive 15 ft, with very long periods up to 17 seconds. Combined energy goes through the roof – reaching 11139 (very strong) on Friday afternoon. These are expert-only waves. The wind is cross-off and clean, but the size is serious. It’s too big for beginners and only for advanced surfers. The reef will be working at full capacity. This is the biggest swell of the window.

After that peak, the swell slowly fades from 12 ft on Saturday down to 6 ft by Sunday, August 30 afternoon, and then to 4 ft by Monday. The wind stays cross-offish, but the quality flags show marginal conditions.

From Tuesday, September 1 to the end of the forecast on September 4, the swell drops to 2 ft to 4 ft, with fresh winds and poor surf conditions. Combined energy is low (149 to 729). Not worth paddling out.

So here is the bottom line: the best sessions are Saturday afternoon, August 22 and Sunday afternoon, August 23. Clean, glassy, moderate to strong groundswell, and excellent quality for an advanced reef. The big swells of late August are for experts only. After that, things go flat and windy. This is a solid run for a reef spot that rarely gets consistent, so make the most of the good days.

Rusty.

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