Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what Tamarin Bay has got cooking for us. It’s a bit of a slow burner this one, but there’s some serious firepower on the horizon if you’re patient.

The opening stretch is a real struggle. We’re looking at nothing but "poor surf conditions" or "marginal" calls right through the first week. The swell is there, but it’s just not coming together. From Thursday the 6th right through to the 13th, it’s a write-off. The wind is mostly a cross-off or cross-shore, which is fine for texture, but the wave quality just isn’t there. The water is sitting at 77°F with a touch warmer than normal anomaly, so it’s a bit toastier than average for this time of year, but that’s about the only good news.

We finally get a glimmer on Wednesday the 12th afternoon. The wind drops to a gentle breeze, coming cross-off, and the combined energy is a moderate 521 (moderate wave energy). The swell is 4ft from the SW with a period of 14 seconds. Still a bit on the fence, but it’s the first "expect good surf conditions" flag we’ve seen. It’s a start.

The real action, and I mean the standout, kicks off on Saturday the 15th of August. Saturday morning, the swell jumps to 4ft from the SW, but the period is a juicy 19 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and the combined energy is a massive 2568 (strong to very strong wave energy). The wind is a clean cross-off. This is the one you want to be in the water for. It’s a reef break, so that long period is going to wrap in beautifully, setting up proper, powerful lines. It’s an advanced wave, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll have to be patient and pick your moment, but the quality will be there. Saturday afternoon gets even bigger, with 6ft from the S and a period of 18 seconds, with energy at 4127. That’s the biggest combo of the run.

Sunday the 16th is a monster, but it’s edging towards the "experts only" zone. The morning shows 10ft from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds and energy at 4618. That’s a serious amount of water moving. The wind is a clean cross-off, but at 10ft, this is for the big-wave crew only. The afternoon drops to 8ft, still a heavy paddle.

The second week sees the swell drop off, but it’s still punchy. Monday the 17th holds 6ft from the S, and then things start to fade. By the 18th, the wind gets fresh and lumpy, and the energy drops to 1048. The 19th is flat, with glassy conditions but only 1ft. The final flash comes on the 20th and 21st of August, with a strong offshore wind from the S and SSE. The swell picks back up to 7ft on the 20th afternoon, but that wind is 28 mph—that’s strong offshore and clean but you’ll be fighting like hell to get out the back. It’s a short window of hard work for some serious, hollow waves.

If you can only paddle out once, make it the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. That’s the pick of the bunch. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the days with the fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy chop, like the 18th.

Stay stoked, catch the long period sets, and don't be late.

Rusty

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