Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck into this one. Tamarin Bay is the only spot on the radar for this whole 16-day stretch, and it’s a tricky one. It’s a reef break that needs a solid SW groundswell and clean conditions to really fire. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands, so let’s break it down day by day.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Monday the 10th is looking poor, with a fresh cross-shore breeze and lumpy chop. There’s swell there, around 3ft to 4ft, but it’s messy and not worth your time. Tuesday the 11th hangs around the 4ft mark with a bit more period, but it’s still marginal – questionable tide and only a moderate breeze. Not good.

We start to see a glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 12th. The wind drops right out, with a light breeze and even a slight air in the afternoon. The swell is still a modest 4ft, but it’s clean. The energy is moderate. It’s surfable, but you’re not going to be screaming about it.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are poor again, with the swell dropping and winds going onshore and choppy. Friday afternoon sees a bit more size, 5ft, but it’s coming from the SSW and the wind is messing it up.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. The weekend of the 15th and 16th is the standout. Saturday the 15th starts to build. The morning is still marginal, but the afternoon is where it’s at. We’re looking at 5ft of S swell with a long 19-second period. The energy jumps right up to a strong level. The wind swings cross-offshore, making it clean. This is the first real highlight.

Sunday the 16th is another cracker. The swell builds to 7ft in the morning and 7ft in the afternoon, with a good 16-second period. The energy is strong. The wind stays cross-offshore, so it should be clean. This is prime Tamarin Bay. It’s a reef break, so this long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. At this size, it’s not for beginners – this is one for the experienced crew. The water temp is 77°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s comfortable out there.

Monday the 17th still has some decent size, with 6ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon, but the window starts to close. The morning is cross-shore and a bit lumpy, and while the afternoon cleans up, the energy is dropping. It’s still worth a look if you missed the weekend.

After that, the taps get turned off. The week of the 18th through the 23rd is pretty poor. Swell drops right down, winds go cross-shore, and it’s just not worth paddling out. There’s a tiny window on Friday the 21st afternoon – the wind goes offshore and glassy, but there’s only 2ft of swell. The period is long (17-18s), so it might be small but clean. It’s very, very marginal.

The last few days, the 24th and 25th, see a bit of a pulse of S/SW swell around 4ft to 5ft, but the winds are up again, with fresh breezes and even some rain showers. It’s clean at times, but it’s not the same quality as that weekend. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain.

So, if you’re looking for the best surf, your window is the afternoon of Saturday the 15th through to Monday the 17th. That’s the standout period. The energy is strong, the swell size is solid, and the winds are favorable. Get on it if you can.

That’s the wrap from me. Stay stoked.

Rusty

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