Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Tamarin Bay. Honestly, the next few days are a bit of a write-off for a proper wave, but there’s a wicked pulse of swell coming that’s worth waiting for.

Right now, the water’s sitting at a pretty warm 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a little tropical treat. But the surf is a no-go. Monday’s got a messy 7ft SSW swell (1667 combined energy), but it’s all cross-on and cross winds, making it a real chop-fest. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse, with the wind howling from the east at 12 mph, smashing up the 5ft to 5ft swell. Not a single good wave in the lineup.

We’ve got a quiet spell from Monday through to Thursday, with literally nothing worth paddling out for. The swell drops to ankle-snappers. But then things get interesting.

Friday, the 17th of July, is where the magic starts to whisper. The wind goes glassy in the morning with a 2ft S swell, but the period is a massive 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. By Friday afternoon, it’s even better: glassy as a mirror, with a 4ft S swell (758 combined energy) and a 16-second period. For a reef break that’s inconsistent, this is a rare moment of sheer beauty. The water will be clean, the sets will be long and lined up. This is the standout of the first week.

Looking ahead, Saturday the 18th offers a bit of cross-off wind on the afternoon, with a clean 3ft S swell, but it’s not as powerful. The real bomb is coming on Monday the 20th of July. We’re looking at an 8ft to 10ft SSW swell, with a combined energy of over 3200—that’s serious grunt. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SE, meaning the reef at Tamarin Bay will be firing. This is expert territory, though; anything over 8ft is only for the experienced crew. The 15-16 second period makes it a long-period groundswell, which is ideal for this reef setup, but it will be heavy and powerful. The crowds are listed as “often” here, so expect a few chargers out.

The following week has a bit of a drop-off, but Thursday the 23rd of July afternoon has a nice 4ft SSW swell with a 13-second period and clean cross-off wind, worth a look. Then, Friday the 24th of July is another absolute gem. The morning is glassy, with a 6ft SSW swell (2429 combined energy) and a 17-second period. That’s another day of perfection for the reef. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off breeze.

After that, the swell fades and the wind picks up, turning the spot into a howling mess by the end of the month. The 27th and 28th have strong winds (19-31 mph) that will make it un-surfable, even if there’s a bit of swell. It’s a kite-surfing scene by then, not for paddle surfing.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a dud, but Friday the 17th and Monday the 20th are the absolute standouts. Friday is the glassy, long-period dream, and Monday is the big, powerful, expert-only session. The 24th of July is also a top-tier backup. Don’t sleep on those dates.

Rusty.

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