Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming down the line at Tamarin Bay.

The next 16 days kick off with a solid pulse of SSW groundswell that’s already pushing in. The water is sitting at a balmy 77°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year (anomaly of 3°F), so it's a nice surprise. That initial swell is packing serious energy, but this spot is pretty fickle—it’s an inconsistent reef break that only turns on for experienced crew. Don’t go expecting a wave every set.

Monday morning (August 24) we’ve got a 8ft SSW swell with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 2619, meaning there’s some serious grunt in the water. The wind is light and cross from the ENE at 6 mph, but the morning report says marginal conditions. The real magic happens Monday afternoon when the wind drops to glassy (NE 3 mph). That 8ft SSW swell cleans right up, producing excellent waves for advanced surfers. This is a standout window—big, long-period groundswell, zero wind, and a reef setup that will handle the power. Because it’s a longer period, expect big gaps between sets, making it easier to get out but also meaning you gotta wait for the good ones.

Tuesday (August 25) drops slightly to 6ft, period still a solid 13 seconds. Morning is lumpy with a cross-wind, but Tuesday afternoon turns clean with a light cross-offshore breeze (E, 3 mph). The energy is moderate (950), and while not as epic as Monday, it’s still very good surf.

Wednesday (August 26) fades to 4ft SW with 12 second period. The wind stays cross, and the quality drops off. By afternoon the swell gets even smaller at 3ft but with a very long period of 19 seconds—that’s a super drawn-out groundswell. The energy is weak (989) and the report says marginal. Not worth rushing out for.

Thursday (August 27) is the absolute top of the forecast. Thursday morning brings an 8ft SSW swell with an 18-second period and energy roaring at 4576. Light cross-offshore wind (ESE, 6 mph). That’s a serious amount of water moving, and it’s clean. Thursday afternoon jumps to 10ft SSW with a 17-second period, energy hitting 5428—this is huge. Wind stays light and cross-offshore. This is expert territory only. If you’re not comfortable with a solid 10ft reef break, sit this one out. For those who are, it’s a dream.

Friday (August 28) gets a bit wild. 13ft SSW swell, 16-second period, energy over 8000. That’s strong to very strong energy. The wind is moderate from the SE (12 mph) in the morning, turning offshore from the SSE at 16 mph in the afternoon. The report flags marginal tide conditions, but that offshore wind in the arvo could make it interesting. Still, 13ft is a big, heavy wave—only for the brave.

Saturday (August 29) has the swell easing to 12ft, but the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the SE. That’s a fresh to strong breeze, making conditions rough. The energy is still very high, but it’s not going to be a pleasant paddle. Sunday (August 30) stays at 10ft with the same strong wind. The surf will be wild, messy, and honestly, more suited for kites than paddles at this size with that onshore chop.

Then from Monday, August 31 through Saturday, September 7, the surf seriously drops off. We’re talking combined energy often below 1000, and many days with energy below 100 or even zero. The swell is tiny, the wind is strong and cross-offshore, and the reports say poor surf conditions almost every session. This is a proper flat spell—a week with basically nothing rideable at Tamarin Bay. The only faint glimmers are on Sunday, September 7 when a new 6ft SSW swell (14 second period) rolls in with light offshore wind (SE 3 mph) in the morning. That’s showing 1888 energy and clean conditions, excellent for experienced surfers. Monday, September 8 also has a 7ft SSW swell (16 seconds, 2172 energy) with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, but the reports mention rain showers and the quality is marginal by then.

The Bottom Line: The first week has two absolute standouts—Monday afternoon (August 24) for glassy, pristine 8ft conditions, and Thursday (August 27) for the biggest, cleanest swell of the run (8ft – 10ft). After that, expect a long, flat gap with nearly nothing until the second week, where a promising but less certain new SW pulse arrives around September 7. Keep an eye on that one, but for now, get it while you can.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

Read more