Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. We’ve got a big 16-day window ahead, but don’t get too excited for the first week – the early days are all about size and wind not lining up. The standout is definitely the final few days, where everything comes together for some serious, expert-level waves.

The opening call is Tamarin Bay, a reef slab that’s inconsistent and for advanced crew only. The water’s sitting at about 76°F, which is a touch warmer than the usual for this time of year.

We start Wednesday the 9th with a solid 13ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is massive at 10785, but there’s a strong ESE breeze at 25 mph. It’s cross-off, so the face is clean, but that wind is howling. The swell is well over 8ft – this is strictly big-wave territory for experts only.

Thursday the 10th sees the swell dropping from 8ft to 6ft through the day with the same cross-off wind. Energy drops from 3180 to 1193, but conditions remain clean. It’s still big enough to be tricky.

Friday the 11th the swell fades to 3ft to 2ft, losing steam. The period hangs in there, but it’s a poor quality window.

Saturday the 12th offers a better chance in the afternoon – 5ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind eases to a light SE breeze at 6 mph, turning cross-off. That’s clean and surfable, energy at 985. Not a standout, but a solid session for those who can handle the inconsistency.

Sunday the 13th morning is the first real highlight. We get 5ft of SSW swell with a long 18-second period, light SE wind at 6 mph giving clean cross-off conditions, and energy of 2042. It’s not huge, but that period and the clean face will offer some proper shaped waves. Still, this spot rarely breaks, so you need patience.

Monday and Tuesday (14th & 15th) are a step back – wind picks up again with fresh breezes, and the quality drops off.

Then Wednesday the 16th we get a return of big swell – 10ft SSW at a 16-second period, energy of 4587. But again, that ESE wind at 19 mph is strong, keeping it clean but punishing. Only for the brave.

The real standout kicks off on Thursday the 17th afternoon – 6ft SSW swell, 13-second period, with a gentle ESE breeze at 9 mph and clean conditions. Energy at 1089.

Friday the 18th is where it gets magical. Morning has 3ft SW swell but a 20-second period, dead calm wind (0 mph), glassy conditions, and energy of 1249. The afternoon is similar with 3ft at 19 seconds and glassy. That’s about as clean as it gets for a reef break – a rare treat.

Saturday the 19th morning stays glassy with a light WNW breeze, 4ft SW swell at 16 seconds, and energy of 661. Good but not the best.

Now, the absolute best on offer is the final block. Wednesday the 23rd afternoon and Thursday the 24th morning. On the 23rd afternoon we get 7ft SSW swell, 18-second period, with a light S offshore wind at 6 mph, energy at 3268. That’s excellent, clean, and powerful.

Then Thursday the 24th morning hits with 10ft SSW swell, 14-second period, light ESE cross-off wind, energy of 4287. That’s a pumping, clean, big-wave setup. It’s over 8ft, so experts only, but the wind is light and the direction is perfect. That is the best session in the whole outlook – just be ready for the size and the inconsistency.

Rusty.

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