Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the next 16 days for Tamarin Bay. It’s a reef set-up that needs a very specific SW swell and clean conditions to really fire, and it’s inconsistent, so we’re not looking at a non-stop party. The water is sitting at 76°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the booties can stay at home.

The first few days are a write-off. From Tuesday the 1st through to Friday the 4th, the swell is tiny – barely a ripple – and the wind is howling from the east at 16 mph, putting a nasty cross-chop on the surface. The combined energy is weak (12 to 149), so don’t even bother paddling out. It’s a complete blank start.

Things start to look up on Saturday the 5th. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the SW with a clean 14-second period, and the wind swings light from the SE. The energy jumps to 1031 (moderate), and it’s looking very clean. This is the first real window, and it’s a good one. Sunday the 6th keeps that clean vibe going, with a glassy afternoon and 4ft SW swell. Very nice.

Now, Monday the 7th is the standout in the first week. The swell builds to 7ft from the SSW with a sweet 16-second period, and we get a clean offshore wind from the SSE at 16 mph. The wave energy is strong at 2338. This is proper, quality reef surf. That said, over 8ft it’s getting too big for beginners, and this is an advanced break, so it’s for the experienced crew only. Crowds are often an issue here, so expect company.

The middle of the week gets a bit wild. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th see a serious pulse of swell hitting 13ft, but the wind is howling cross-off at 19 mph, and the guidance flags it as marginal. The energy is massive (9261 on Wednesday morning), but the conditions are messy. This is more of a kite-surfing spectacle than a clean paddle session.

The following weekend, Saturday the 12th, looks promising again. The swell drops back to 5ft from the SSW, the wind is light, and the energy is moderate (916). It cleans up nicely. Then Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are the real second-week gems. We’ve got 8ft to 8ft SSW/S swell with a long 16-17 second period and a clean offshore wind. The energy is strong (3360 to 3867). This is classic, powerful reef surf. The Monday afternoon even goes glassy with a 6ft S swell. This is the best of the second week, but remember, it’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed.

After that, it fades fast. Tuesday the 15th turns onshore and messy, and by Wednesday the 16th, we’re back to tiny, weak swell and cross-shore winds. The energy drops to 34.

So, the two true standouts are Monday the 7th and Monday the 14th. If you’re an advanced surfer, those are the days to circle. The water is a touch warmer than normal, and when it’s on, Tamarin Bay is a thing of beauty.

Rusty.

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