Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s brewing for Tamarin Bay. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but it’s a story of two halves. The first week is a bit of a write-off for anything decent, but the second week holds some real promise, especially for the more experienced crew.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 25°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it.

The first few days are pretty grim. Sunday through to the following Thursday (12th to 16th July) are all a bit of a mess. We’ve got solid swell coming in on Sunday at 8 ft from the SSW, but with a 12 mph cross-on wind, it’s choppy and ugly. The energy is high, but it’s not doing us any favours with the conditions. Monday and Tuesday drop a little in size, but the wind stays cross or cross-on, making it bumpy and uninviting. By Wednesday and Thursday, the swell drops right off, and the wind stays onshore. It’s a blank run for about five days where you’d be wasting your time.

Then we get a flicker of hope. Friday the 17th morning, the wind goes glassy with a tiny 2 ft S swell, but it’s a very long period (17 seconds) and the energy is low. It’s clean, but you’ll be scratching for waves. The afternoon picks up a bit to 4 ft from the S with a light offshore wind, and the energy jumps. That’s a nice clean window, but the swell is still a bit weak for a standout.

Saturday the 18th stays clean with glassy mornings and offshore afternoons, but the swell hangs around 4 ft to 3 ft – fun for a log, but nothing to get too excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 20th is the real standout. The morning brings a solid 7 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and the energy is massive. The wind is offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, making for clean, lined-up waves. This is excellent for experienced surfers – at 7 ft, it’s pushing into the “too big for beginners” zone, and with that long period, it’s going to be powerful and walling up. Tamarin Bay is a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The afternoon holds size at 8 ft, but the wind picks up to 19 mph, still offshore, but getting a bit feisty. Monday morning is the clear winner.

After that, the swell stays rideable through the rest of the week, hovering around 5 ft to 6 ft, but the wind gets stronger, staying cross-offshore from the SE. It’s clean, but a bit blown out. The energy stays moderate to strong. It’s surfable, but not the kind of day you’d call in sick for.

Into the final weekend (26th, 27th July), we see another pulse. Sunday the 26th afternoon has 6 ft from the SSW with good energy, and Monday the 27th morning is looking at 6 ft (18-second period, strong energy) and the afternoon jumps to 8 ft with even more energy. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but not perfect. That Monday afternoon on the 27th is a solid secondary option, but it’s two weeks out, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

For the best on offer, I’m calling Monday the 20th of July, morning session. That’s the one. The water is a touch warmer than average, the swell is solid, the period is long, and the wind is offshore. It’s an advanced-only kind of day, but if you’ve got the skills, it’ll be worth the wait. And remember, Tamarin Bay is an inconsistent spot, so when it turns on, you have to be on it. Crowds are often an issue here, so get there early.

That’s the story from here. Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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