Tamarin Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Tamarin Bay’s got coming over the next sixteen days.

We’ve got a classic reef pattern here: a slow start, a good solid pulse in the middle, and then it trails off. Monday and Tuesday are junk. The wind is up, the water’s messy, and it’s not worth paddling out for. Just skip ‘em.

Wednesday the 12th is when it turns. The wind drops to a light breeze and the ocean cleans right up. You’re looking at a 4ft southwest swell with an average period. It’s not huge but it’s rideable. That clean spell holds through Thursday morning with a 3ft swell and a gentle breeze. The energy is moderate (286). Then Thursday afternoon gets rained out with some ugly cross-onshore wind.

Friday the 14th is a washout again—cross-shore wind, lumpy, no thanks. The energy jumps (610) but the conditions aren’t there.

Now, here’s the good part. Saturday the 15th is the day. The morning is a bit rough, but the afternoon is where it all comes together. We’re talking 8ft of clean, cross-off swell from the SSW with a period of 19 seconds. The combined energy is massive (5004). That’s a long-period groundswell, and on this reef, it’s going to be firing. At that size, it’s expert territory—well over 8ft—so don’t bring the foamie. The 10ft swell on Sunday morning (August 16th) is even bigger and just as clean. With that 19-second period, you get long lulls, easy paddles, but the sets are heavy and straight. Perfect for a reef break. For a spot that’s inconsistent, a run like this is a rare gift.

The real standout is Saturday afternoon (August 15th) and Sunday morning (August 16th) at Tamarin Bay. The swell angle (SSW) lines up well with what this break likes (SW). The energy is huge, the wind is clean, and it’s the best quality of the whole forecast. That long period is a caveat—it won’t peel like a beach break—but on a reef, it’s going to be epic.

After that, it fades. Monday the 17th is smaller and choppy, and from Tuesday through the next week, the energy drops into the double digits. By the 20th, there’s barely anything (64 energy). There’s a small tease on Friday the 21st with a clean 3ft swell and light wind, but it’s tiny. A bump returns on the 24th with 6ft to 8ft from the south, but it’s borderline and the wind is solid.

So, your window is this Saturday and Sunday. That’s where the magic is. Expect solid waves, clean conditions, and a crowd. Tamarin Bay is often busy, and when it’s this good, you’ll have company.

The water is about 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Nice.

I’ll be out there Sunday morning with my gun. Don’t miss it.

- Rusty

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