Amanzimtoti Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the Toti stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—the outlook is pretty grim. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions for most of the period. There’s no surf to speak of right from the start, with the first real chance of anything decent looking like it might be a long way off. The combined swell energy is moderate at best, pushing into the hundreds on the Thursday, but it's all blown out.

Thursday morning the 20th has some swell, but with a raw 19 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s gonna be a bumpy, lumpy mess. Not your day. That afternoon settles a bit wind-wise, but the damage is done—still poor.

We get a little hint of something on Friday the 21st morning. A long period groundswell from the SSW (13 seconds) is pushing through 5ft, but it’s cross-shore and the score is low. The combo of that long period and the cross wind makes the lineup messy. The energy reading is high but without the right wind, it doesn’t matter.

The weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 22nd morning is clean but tiny at 3ft, and by the afternoon a strong 25 mph cross-onshore is making it nasty. Sunday the 23rd has a solid 10ft SSW pulse but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s looking heavy and choppy. That size is only for experts, and still not clean. Later that day it goes onshore but drops in size.

The start of next week, Monday the 24th, is the only time I’d give a nod to. Morning wind is light and cross-shore, with a 5ft S groundswell at 12 seconds. Combined energy is moderate. It’s still a marginal call, but if you’re keen, this is likely your best shot for a surfable window. The crowds at Amanzimtoti (South Africa) can show up sometimes, so don't expect to have it to yourself. The water temp is about average for late winter.

The rest of the week goes downhill fast. Tuesday the 25th sees moderate cross-onshore winds and messy surf, even though the energy is high from a very long period 18-second SSW swell. That long period is better for a point or reef, but Toti’s a beach and reef mix, so it could be breaking a bit fat and tricky.

From Wednesday the 26th through to the end of the 16 days, it’s a mess of fresh cross-shore winds, lumpy conditions, and no real standouts. There are sizes around 3ft to 5ft, but the wind is almost always wrong. The energy is moderate to strong but it’s not translating to ridable waves.

Honestly, for this stretch, the setup with that much wind and swell on a beach-and-reef setup would probably be far more interesting to the kite surfing crowd than us paddle surfers.

To sum it up: the first week is mostly a bust. Monday the 24th morning is your only realistic look-in. After that, we’re staring down a barrel of poor conditions through to the first week of September. The area just isn't offering much for the foreseeable future. If you’re not desperate, give it a miss.

Rusty.

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