Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve run the numbers for Vredenberg Point. We’ve got a mixed bag stretching out over the next sixteen days, so let’s wade through it.

The opening of the period is a write-off, honestly. We’re looking at Monday afternoon, August 24th, with a cross-shore wind screaming at 22 mph, and the water temperature is sitting at 56°, which is a solid 4° colder than it should be for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (880), but with that wind, it’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.

We get a bit of life on Wednesday morning, August 26th. This is the standout of the early run. The wind is light and offshore from the ENE, coming in at just 3 mph. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the WSW, with a period of 13 seconds – that’s quality groundswell right there. The combined energy is kicking in at 1217 (moderate to strong). The reef/point setup here is exactly what you want for that long period; it’ll shape up nicely. The water is still a bit colder than average, but the conditions will be clean. This is for the experienced crew, though, as 6 ft with that power packs a punch.

After that, it gets a bit ordinary. Thursday and Friday are a write-off with cross-onshore winds. Saturday morning, August 29th, is worth a mention because the wind turns cross-offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, cleaning things up, but the swell is a smaller 4 ft. The energy is still moderate (760). It’s a softer option.

Then the real trouble starts. Sunday, August 30th, the wind goes onshore and the swell jumps to 8 ft. The energy is very strong (2174), but the wind is going to ruin it. Monday, August 31st, is more of the same – strong cross-onshore wind and a lumpy 7 ft. This is a no-go.

The real danger zone rolls in from September 2nd. Wednesday morning, the swell is a massive 12 ft from the SW with a 13-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 3975 (very strong). The wind is cross-offshore, which is normally good, but this is too big for Vredenberg Point. The file says it’s too big, and I agree. This is a day for the very best or for watching from the cliffs. Thursday and Friday are even worse, with 13 ft+ swells and howling winds. The waves will be a washing machine.

The light at the end of the tunnel comes on Saturday, September 5th. The wind finally drops to a light cross-offshore from the ESE at just 6 mph. The swell comes down to a much more manageable 7 ft from the SSW. The combined energy is still strong (1190), but the conditions are clean. This is a serious session for the experienced surfers, offering excellent waves. The wind stays offshore on Sunday the 6th as well, with a 8 ft SSW swell – another quality day for the experienced crew.

After that, the second week gets a bit raw again. Big winds from the NNE blow through, but the swell drops off. There’s a window on Tuesday, September 8th, with a 5 ft SW swell, but the wind is a strong 28 mph, which is just too messy to call a good session.

So, the best on offer is Wednesday morning, August 26th, for the cleanest, most powerful waves for the intermediate to expert surfers. The other standout is Saturday, September 5th, which is a promising, cleaner option for the experienced crew, but it’s further out so the confidence is a bit lower. The rest of the time, be patient.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

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