Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, I've had a proper look at what's coming our way over the next couple of weeks. The main feature is a solid, long-period south-west groundswell that’s going to push in from Wednesday and keep things interesting for a few days. The water is sitting at 55°F, which is a solid 5°F colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a lot colder than normal, so you’ll want a good quality 4/3 and some boots if you’re heading out.

We’re looking at Vredenberg Point for the action. This is an exposed point break, fairly consistent with the west-south-west swell, and the optimum direction is from the south-west.

It kicks off Wednesday morning, August 12th. The swell is running at 5ft from the WSW with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, showing as 1999 – moderate to strong. The wind is a gentle offshore from the east, so the waves are going to be clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. This long period will wrap nicely into the point, giving you some well-shaped walls, but the sets will be spaced out so you can pick your waves without too much hassle.

Thursday morning the 13th sees a bit of a surge in size, with the swell hitting 8ft, but the wind swings around to a strong cross-off from the north-north-east at 25 mph. That’s going to be pretty gnarly to paddle into, and the energy is massive at 3192. It’s one for the experts only, and honestly, it might be too messy to be any real fun.

Friday morning the 14th is the real standout for me. The swell drops back a touch to 6ft from the WSW with a 15-second period, and the wind is a gentle cross-off from the north. The energy is still strong at 1508, and the conditions are clean. This is your best window for a proper session before the crowds get in, though keep in mind this spot can get *sometimes* busy.

The wind does some weird stuff from Saturday onwards. Saturday and Sunday are mostly cross or onshore, making it a bit fat and bumpy. The swell stays around the 6ft to 7ft mark, but the quality drops off fast.

From Monday the 17th, the swell is actually getting bigger again, hitting 8ft, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s getting choppy. It’s going to be a messy, powerful grind. Not recommended.

We then get a bit of a flat spell from around the 20th to the 22nd. The swell drops to 4ft and 4ft with onshore winds, so you’ll be staring at a blank ocean for a few days.

However, we get a bit of a late bonus. On Saturday morning, August 22nd, the swell picks up to 5ft from the SW with a 13-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the south-east. The energy is 756 – moderate. Expect very good surf conditions, a nice clean window.

Then again on Sunday morning, August 23rd, we have a glassy offshore from the east, a 4ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and an energy reading of 930. That’s another promising session, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it. It could shape up nicely.

After that, Monday and Tuesday the 24th/25th look a bit poorer, with fresh cross-off winds and a dropping swell. There’s a final flicker on the 27th with a 7ft WSW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a messy one.

So, to wrap it up: Wednesday morning is a goer for the experienced crew with that long, clean groundswell. But if you want the best of the bunch, get in the water on Friday morning, August 14th – solid 6ft waves, clean, and with that point working its magic. The 22nd and 23rd are promising for second week sessions, but we’ll have to see how those forecasts hold up.

Rusty.

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