Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, take a seat and let me talk you through what's on the table for the coming weeks here at this spot. We're looking at a bit of a mixed bag, so let's break it down.

The run starts quiet, but it’s not looking great for a while. We’ve got some serious size on the way, but the wind is going to be a right mess for most of it. The first real chance of getting wet without getting smashed around won't come until the tail end of the first week.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are a write-off. The wind is howling out of the south and the water is a lumpy, choppy mess. We’re talking about a fresh cross-onshore breeze on Saturday afternoon with 5.6 ft of WSW swell, and it only gets worse. Sunday sees the swell kick up to a solid 9.8 ft, but that Southerly wind is just too strong to make it any good.

Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September aren't much better. The swell is there, but the wind is cross-onshore and the quality is just gone. You’re looking at 5.9 ft Monday morning dropping to a still-shoddy 5.6 ft in the arvo, all with that lumpy texture. Tuesday morning has that 8.2 ft SW swell, but it's cross-onshore and fairly choppy—a real frustrating combo.

Now, here’s where we get a glimmer. Wednesday the 2nd of September morning is a standout. We've got a proper, solid 11.5 ft SW swell with a nice 13-second period from the optimum direction for Vredenberg Point. The combined energy is a massive 3890, so there's plenty of power. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, and while the forecast says it's clean-ish, the main thing is that the wind and tide are agreeable. It's going to be big, cleaner than the rest, and have some punch.

However, Thursday the 3rd has a window. We get a 6.2 ft WSW swell with a clean, cross-off wind from the ESE. It’s a moderate breeze, so it'll be clean. The combined wave energy is 1900, a solid moderate push. It won't be the biggest day, but the quality will be the best we've seen so far. That Thursday morning is your second real chance. Thursday afternoon is a wash with a near-gale force SSW.

Friday the 4th of September has another massive 11.5 ft swell, and the wind is cross-off from the ESE, which would usually be a dream. But the forecast flags that it's just too big for the break, so unless you're a seasoned expert, sit it out. The combined energy is 2215 for the morning, so it's got plenty of grunt.

After that, the swell backs off into the second week. Saturday the 5th has a much smaller 5.2 ft S swell with a clean, cross-off NNE breeze. It’s a gentle breeze, so it’ll be glassy. The combined energy is a weaker 637, so it's a bit of a drop-off in power but the conditions will be clean.

The following week from Sunday the 6th to Wednesday the 9th is small. We're looking at waves around 2 ft to 3 ft. The wind will be light and clean at times, like on Monday the 7th with an ESE offshore and on the 9th with a glassy E/NE. There's not enough push for a proper session, but it's a good sign the ocean is starting to behave.

Then we get another pulse. Thursday the 10th of September sees a 3.9 ft WSW swell, but it’s a long-period 18-second groundswell. That’s a recipe for clean, well-shaped lines at a point like this, but the cross-onshore wind (12 mph) will mess up the surface. The combined wave energy is 1290. The potential is there, but it’ll need a clean window.

Friday the 11th is another no-go with a strong cross-wind and a 9.8 ft swell, just messy.

But look, we’ve got one final blast. Saturday the 12th of September morning is a *huge* one. We’re talking a 11.5 ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a combined energy of 4757. The wind is predicted to be absolutely glassy—a dead calm ENE. That is a phenomenal combination. The only catch is that the forecast says it's too big for the break, so it’s strictly for the experts. The afternoon is still big but with a cross-onshore breeze.

Finally, on Sunday the 13th of September, we get the best all-rounder. It’s an excellent session for experienced surfers with a 7.5 ft SW swell, a 12-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the ENE. The combined energy is a solid 1682. The conditions are clean, the swell is a manageable size, and the direction is perfect.

The Best Bet for the Crowd: For the largest group, I’d point you to Thursday the 3rd of September morning. It’s the cleanest, most manageable size

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