Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Vredenberg Point region. It's a bit of a mixed bag ahead, so let's get into it.

The first thing I'm seeing is a lot of energy in the water, but the winds are going to be the main character for most of the coming days. We've got a window of clean, solid surf kicking off this Sunday the 6th, and that’s looking like the pick of the entire forecast, to be honest. After that, it gets messy, then there's another window later on that’s worth keeping an eye on.

Kicking off on the 4th, the early call is for clean conditions with a cross-off breeze, but the swell is a solid 10 ft from the south with a period of 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is strong at 2073. That’s just too much juice for this break, and things will be shutting out. The afternoon only gets worse with the wind turning more cross-shore and creating a mess. Not the day for it.

The 5th backs right off to around 6 ft, but the wind is already blowing cross-shore and it’s not going to be pretty. It’s a pass.

Morning of the 6th – circle this one. We’ve got a clean 6 ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, coming in glassy with the energy reading a solid 2397. This is what we’re after. The long period means a lot of water moving, and at a point break like Vredenberg, it should set up nicely for some proper walls. There’s a chance of a few crowds as it’s fairly consistent, but it’s going to be worth it. The morning is the time, the afternoon turns on a cross-on wind and chops it up.

The 7th is a smaller, cleaner version with the swell dropping to 6 ft but the period still a solid 14 seconds. Another good morning with a cross-off breeze, but the wind swings onshore in the afternoon, so get out early. It's still a decent option.

From the 8th through the 10th, the wind is mostly cross-on or worse, and the swell gets smaller and or messier. There’s a bit of size showing on the 10th with 7 ft, but with a fresh cross-onshore breeze, it’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we get a proper ugly stretch. The 11th has strong cross-shore winds up to 31 mph, and the 12th sees the swell blow out to a huge 13 ft with the energy just going off the charts at 11111. The winds are strong and cross-shore, so that’s a full-on washing machine. This looks more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

Things settle down a bit on the 13th and 14th, but the surf is smaller and the winds are still not ideal. The 14th morning actually shows some clean conditions and a small 3.5 ft SW swell, but it's a far cry from the weekend.

The next real standout looks to be on the 16th. It’s not as clean as the 6th, but we’re looking at a 7 ft S swell with a 10-second period in the morning, and the wind is a cross-off. It’s promising, a bit of a longer-range call so less certain, but it could produce some fun ones.

Finally, on the 18th, we’ve got another big pulse of swell. A 13 ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and the energy is very strong at 6611. The morning is glassy, but just like the 4th, this is a warning. That is way too big for this break and it's going to be dangerous and closing out. This one is strictly for the experts, and even then, it’s pushing it. The water temp is also running much colder than normal, about 55°, so make sure you’ve got the thick rubber on.

So, the plan is simple. If you want waves, get out on the 6th. That’s the standout. The 7th is a backup. The second week looks less reliable, but keep the 16th in the back of your mind.

Catch you in the water.

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