Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Vredenberg Point. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and I gotta be straight with you – for a point break that loves a good SW groundswell, the wind is going to be the main character for a lot of this run.

The water is sitting at 55°F right now, which is a whopping 4°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious chill, so don’t even think about leaving the steamer at home.

We kick off on Monday the 17th of August with some afternoon waves. The swell is a solid 8ft from the WSW with a 13-second period, so there’s real energy in the water (2318). But the wind is a cross-on from the WNW at 6 mph, making it a bit lumpy. It’s a marginal call, and the water is freezing. Not the best start.

Tuesday the 18th is a write-off. The swell is hanging around 8ft, but the wind is howling from the SSE and S, 15-18 mph, turning the ocean into a cross-chop mess. Forget it.

Wednesday the 19th is equally grim. 8ft of SW swell, but with a fresh cross-onshore wind at 18 mph, it’s just lumpy and poor. 0 out of 10 from me.

Now, Thursday the 20th is a real tease. The swell bumps up to a solid 10ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The energy is massive (3168). The wind is moderate cross-shore, but the comment says it’s simply too big for this break. Unless you’re a total expert and love a washing machine, this is a day to watch from the rocks. The same goes for Friday the 28th of August, where we see another 10ft, 15-second monster (3456), but again, the wind is onshore and it’s just too much juice for the point.

We get a tiny window of hope on Saturday the 22nd. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the SSW with a light 6 mph cross-shore wind. The energy is in the moderate range (866). It’s marginal, but it’s the cleanest thing we’ve seen. Still, not a standout.

The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Wednesday the 26th of August. This is the best of the whole outlook. The swell is 6ft from the SW at a nice 12-second period, producing moderate energy (1211). But the wind is the key – it’s light off-shore from the E at 3 mph. The report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” and it’s clean. That’s the morning and the afternoon. The point will be groomed, the lines will be clean, and the swell direction is bang on the optimum. This is the session to aim for.

Thursday the 27th of August is also a good follow-up. The swell drops slightly to 5ft-5ft from the WSW, but the wind is still light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The afternoon session with a 6 mph NNE breeze looks excellent for experienced surfers (1248).

After that, we get into another messy spell. The end of August and start of September is dominated by big, strong swells (10ft to 12ft) and strong onshore winds, making it a no-go for most of us. The 30th of August sees a massive 12ft, 15-second swell (5582) but it’s just too big and cross-shore. There’s a glimmer on the 1st of September with a 6ft swell and a NW wind, but it’s still marginal.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is mostly a battle with the wind. The standout is Wednesday the 26th of August. That’s your day at Vredenberg Point. Mark it. The water is cold, the crowds are possible, but the conditions will be worth it. The rest of the time, you’re either fighting the wind or drowning in too much swell. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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