Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, and honestly, the start is a bit of a slow burner. The first real action doesn’t kick off until Sunday the 19th, and even then it’s pretty marginal. The real story is the pulse of energy that starts to build later in the week, with a couple of standout sessions that are worth planning around.

The main break we’re looking at is Vredenberg Point, a point break that’s fairly consistent. The water is sitting at 57.2°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. That’s about 2.3° cooler than the long-term average, so you’ll want a slightly thicker suit.

Sunday the 19th afternoon is a wash – a light breeze and some clouds, but the wave comment tells us it’s marginal. Not worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope is Monday morning, July 20th. The wind goes glassy, swinging out of the NE at a mere 3 mph. That’s a major positive. The swell is a clean 5.9 ft from the SW, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (686). The break is exposed to the SW, which is the optimum direction, so the lines should be peeling nicely. This is a good, honest fun session. Not a stand-out, but a great way to start the week.

Things get a bit messy Monday afternoon and Tuesday, with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds kicking up. The swell builds, especially on Tuesday: a 5.9 ft, 14-second groundswell pushing a huge 1406 energy in the morning, but the wind is cross. The afternoon sees a big 7.9 ft, 14-second swell with 2217 energy, but the onshore wind chops it up. This is when the size starts to get into the “too big for beginners” territory (over 5 ft). For the experienced, it’s just a messy wall of whitewater.

Wednesday and Thursday are a holding pattern – solid SW swell, in the 5.6 ft to 7.2 ft range, but with light cross-onshore winds. The energy is moderate to strong (over 1000), but the quality is just not there. It’s a good time to stay home and sharpen your fins.

Now, for the true standouts.

The first one is Friday morning, July 24th. This is the big one. We’re looking at a massive 11.5 ft swell from the SW, with a 14-second period. The combined energy hits 4493 – that’s very strong wave energy. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, and the comments say “wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” For a point break, 11.5 ft is massive. This is expert-only territory. The period is long, over 11 seconds, so it’s proper groundswell. At a point, that long period will wrap in beautifully, but the sheer size means it’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. If you have the skill, this is the session the forecast is warning you about. Crowds are possible here, and on a day like this, expect the lineup to be full of locals.

Sunday morning, July 26th, is another gem. The swell drops to a more manageable 6.9 ft from the SW, but the wind is a glassy, cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. The comments call it “excellent surf for experienced surfers.” The energy is moderate (1073), and the break is exposed to the SW. This is a cleaner, more composed version of the big Friday swell. A fantastic session for anyone who can handle the 6.9 ft size.

The second week looks more inconsistent overall. There’s a run of poor conditions from the 27th to the 30th with strong winds, but we get a nice little window at the end.

Friday morning, July 31st, offers a clean 5.2 ft swell from the SW with a 13-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and moderate energy (980). The comments say “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a solid, clean session for intermediate surfers.

Saturday morning, August 1st, is a gorgeous glassy morning. The swell is smaller at 3.6 ft from the SW, with a 12-second period and low energy (517). The wind is glassy from the E at 3 mph. This is perfect for a longboard or a funboard. The crowd profile is “sometimes,” so you might have the place to yourself.

The final standout of the whole run is Sunday morning, August 2nd. A 7.2 ft, 15-second groundswell from the SW, with a glassy cross-offshore wind. The energy is strong (2171). The comments say “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is a long period, deep-water swell, and at a point break, it

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