Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next few weeks at Vredenberg Point. We've got a classic run of South West groundswells on the cards, but the wind is gonna be the big talking point for a while. A lot of the time, we're looking at cross and cross-off breezes that are just gonna mess up the face of that beautiful point. There's a big window of marginal to poor conditions from now right through until the end of the third week of September, but hang tight, because the last few days of the month look absolutely firing if you're an experienced surfer.

Let's start with what's happening now. For Sunday the 13th, we've got a solid 7.5ft SW swell with a long 14-second period rolling in. The wave energy is strong at 2061. But the wind is a NNW cross-off at 12 mph, which is just okay. It’s rideable, but not the gem we're after. The water is a chilly 55.8°, which is a whopping 4.3° colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want the 5/4 and booties for sure.

Moving into Monday the 14th, the swell drops back to 4.3ft, still from the SW with a 12-second period. The energy is moderate at 630. The wind picks up to a fresh N at 19 mph, cross-off, so the wave faces will be clean, but it's gonna be a bit of a battle to get out. It’s a session for the dedicated, not a standout.

Tuesday the 15th sees a weird mix. The morning is a poor 4.3ft from the NW with a short, weak 7-second period. That’s a dud. The afternoon improves as a SW groundswell builds to 4.3ft with a very long 16-second period, kicking the energy up to a moderate 1047. But the wind goes back to a fresh NNW cross at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. Not the clean conditions that long-period swell needs to really shine.

Wednesday the 16th is a write-off. Strong S/SSE winds at 28 mph and lumpy cross-chop make the 7.2ft and 4.9ft swells a complete mess. Thursday the 17th is much the same story, with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds ruining the 5.6ft SW groundswell.

Friday the 18th is the first glimmer of hope. The morning brings a 4.9ft SW swell with an 11-second period and a gentle SSE cross-off breeze at 9 mph. The wave energy is moderate at 1063. It's clean, but only a 3 out of 10 for quality—still, it's the best we've seen in a while. The crowd factor is a "sometimes" here, so you might have some company for these clean-ish waves.

Saturday the 19th morning is similar: 4.6ft SW at 12 seconds, almost glassy with a slight SSE air at 3 mph. Light cross-shore ripples, but it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 1145. A good morning session if you can get it.

Then we hit a dry spell again. From Sunday the 20th through to Thursday the 24th of September, it’s a mix of onshore winds, fresh breezes, and lumpy conditions. The swells are there, 4.9ft to 6.6ft from the SW and WSW, but the wind just won't play ball. This is a gap of about 5 days with nothing to really recommend.

Now, for the standout. Mark your calendars for Friday the 25th of September. The morning is something special. An 8.2ft W swell with an 11-second period rolls in, and it's glassy. Zero wind. The combined energy is a very strong 1657. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The only problem is it might be a touch big for beginners, but if you know what you're doing on a point break, this is your window. The afternoon gets bigger, up to 11.5ft, but the wind swings onshore and the lump comes back, so the morning is the pick.

Saturday the 26th of September morning is also pumping for the experienced crew. A 9.8ft WSW swell with an 11-second period and light SSE air at 3 mph. Again, near-glassy conditions and a strong energy reading of 2198. The afternoon holds the same size and a light NW breeze, but it's still big and powerful. These two days are the only real standouts in the whole run, and they are for experts only.

After that, we’re back to messy onshores and dropping swell through the 27th and 28th. Monday the 28th afternoon actually sees a massive 13.1ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and a massive energy reading of 5779, but the fresh S onshore at 19 mph makes it a washing machine. Not for paddling.

So, bottom line: there are a lot of days with swell but poor wind. The best bet is the morning of Friday the 25th of September. Get out there for that glassy, 8.2ft W swell at Vredenberg Point. Saturday the 26th morning is a close second with 9.8ft WSW, but only if you're an experienced surfer. The rest of the time, keep an eye on the forecast for

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