Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've got the full run-down on what's happening at Vredenberg Point over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, we've got a bit of a mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is a good couple of degrees colder than usual for this time of year, so you'll want a thicker wetsuit. The energy’s been building, with the combined swell energy hitting 814 (moderate), but to be honest, the first few days are a write-off. Friday afternoon (28 August) is a no-go with cross-on winds and poor surf conditions.

The outlook improves a touch on Saturday morning (29 August) with a 5ft WSW swell and a cross-off wind that’ll clean things up. It’s only a marginal call, tide-dependent, but the energy is moderate (930). The real standout, though, is Sunday morning (30 August). We’re looking at a solid 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 2539 (strong). The winds are cross-shore, bringing some lumpy chop, but the swell is just too big for this break – it’s a steering factor for the experts only. If you’re not in that league, give it a miss.

Heading into the next week, the pattern stays big and messy. The swell hangs around 6ft to 8ft through Monday and Tuesday (31 August to 1 September), but strong cross-onshore winds keep the surf poor. By Wednesday morning (2 September), we’re looking at a massive 13ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the energy absolutely explodes at 7477 (very strong). That’s a monster groundswell, but it’s coupled with strong cross-onshore winds and messy conditions. Not for the faint-hearted.

There’s a shift on Thursday 3 September and Friday 4 September mornings. The swell drops to 12ft from the S, with a shorter 9-second period, and the wind goes cross-off, so it’s clean. But the swell is still too big for Vredenberg Point, with strong energy (2541 and 2756). Kite surfers might be stoked, but for paddle surfers, it’s too much.

After that, the swell fades fast. Saturday 5 September drops to 3ft, and the following week is a real flat spell. From Sunday 6 September through to Thursday 10 September, we’re stuck with marginal 3ft to 4ft swells, inconsistent energy values in the low hundreds, and a mix of light winds. It’s a long quiet stretch with no real rideable waves.

Now, the one that’s got me excited is Friday 11 September, about two weeks out. The forecast is for a 5ft WSW swell with a very long 17-second period and glassy conditions. The combined energy is sitting at 1624 (strong), and the report says it’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. That’s a gorgeous groundswell, and with the wind off the land, it’s going to be clean. It’s a long-range call, so treat it as promising but not locked in, but if it comes together, that’s the session to circle. The crowd profile at Vredenberg Point is sometimes busy, so keep that in mind.

Saturday 12 September holds some size (7ft to 8ft, 14-second period) but cross-on winds spoil the party.

Overall, the best bet is the glassy, long-period swell on Friday 11 September. Sunday 30 August is an expert-only day if you’re after a big bowl. The rest of the window is pretty average.

Rusty.

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