Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table at Vredenberg Point over the next couple of weeks. It’s a point break that likes a good SW swell, and we’ve got plenty of that coming, but man, it’s a mixed bag.

The main story for this run is that we get some serious size early on, but the wind is a constant problem. For the first week, especially from Wednesday the 19th through to about Saturday the 22nd, the swell is pumping hard—like seriously solid 7ft to 10ft SW groundswell with periods hitting 12 to 13 seconds. That’s proper, powerful stuff, with combined wave energy readings well into the thousands (2185 to 2783). The issue is almost always the wind. It’s hammering from the S or SSE, and that ruins the shape. The early morning on Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th might look okay on paper, but that 10ft swell is way too big for most people here, and while the wind is cross-shore, it’s lumpy. This is a point break, so that big, long-period swell might actually line up okay, but the chop is gonna make it a battle.

Honestly, the only real standout in that first week is a very brief window on Saturday the 22nd afternoon. The wind swings light offshore from the W, and the swell drops to a much more manageable 4ft from the SSW with a 12-second period. The combined energy is only 549, so it’s not a beast, but it’s clean. That’s your best bet for a fun, easy session if you’re not looking to get pounded. The morning of that Saturday also looks okay with light cross-shore wind, but the afternoon glass-off has the edge.

After that, it gets messy again. Sunday the 23rd through Tuesday the 25th has more solid SW swell (6ft to 8ft) but the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy and poor. The water temp is currently 56°F, which is 4° colder than average for this time of year. That’s a notable chill, so you’ll want a good 5/3 wetsuit; it’s properly cold.

Looking into the second week, there are a couple of promising mornings if you can wait. Thursday the 27th morning looks magic: a light offshore breeze from the ENE with a clean 4ft WSW swell (691 energy). That’s the kind of small, clean, lined-up point surf that’s just a joy. Crowds can be an issue at Vredenberg, so if it’s clean and small, get there early.

The real heavy hitter, though, is a long way off. On Monday the 31st of August morning, the forecast is showing a potential bomb. We’re talking a 8ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is massive at 3486. But the best part? The wind is forecast to be glassy—dead calm, just a slight air. That is an absolute dream scenario for a point break. This is going to be long, powerful, grinding lines. It’s only for experienced surfers at that size, but if that forecast holds, it will be the best day of the entire outlook. After that, Tuesday the 1st of September morning also looks good with a clean 6ft WSW swell from a light cross-offshore breeze (1698 energy). Another excellent, cleaner option.

The Bottom Line: The first week is mostly about dealing with too much wind and too much swell. The Saturday 22nd afternoon is your best early call for a clean, small wave. For the real highlight, you want to be looking at Monday the 31st of August morning for what could be an epic, glassy, heavy point session. The Thursday the 27th morning is also a solid, clean smaller day. Wind is the villain here, but when it plays nice, this point can be truly special.

- Rusty

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