Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s ahead for Vredenberg Point. This is a classic SW-facing point break that’s fairly consistent and picks up the good stuff. The water is running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 58°F with a negative anomaly of 2°F, so you’ll feel that extra chill.

There’s a bit of a slow start, with nothing really worth paddling out for on the first couple of days, but don’t stress—it’s a short lull.

The first real spark comes Saturday afternoon, 4 July. We’ve got a clean, cross-off breeze from the north at 6 mph and a small but well-organised SW groundswell running 2 ft at 16 seconds. That’s a very long period, so the energy is there (combined energy of 482), and it’ll wrap nicely around the point. The waves will be small and glassy, perfect for a longboard or a fun mid-length. It’s not a standout, but a nice way to wet the line.

Sunday morning, 5 July is a real treat. Glassy conditions with a light WNW breeze, clean as a whistle. The swell bumps up to 3 ft from the SW, still with a 14-second period (combined energy 470). This is one of the best windows in the early run—dead calm, clean lines, and the point will be peeling. The crowd situation is “sometimes,” so you might have a few mates out, but nothing hectic.

Monday morning, 6 July is where things get serious. The swell jumps to 7 ft from the WSW with an 11-second period (combined energy 1295). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers—plenty of push, clean lines thanks to a light ESE cross-off breeze. The direction is a touch west of the optimum SW, but it’ll still wrap into the point. This is the standout of the first week. The waves are powerful, well-shaped, and the wind is your friend. Later that afternoon, the wind swings south and goes cross-on, making it choppy, so get on it early.

Tuesday morning, 7 July keeps the quality high. A solid 6 ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period (combined energy 1419), and a clean SE cross-off breeze. Another ripper session for the experienced crew. The afternoon turns to junk with a strong south wind, so morning is the go.

Wednesday, 8 July and Thursday, 9 July are a write-off. The swell holds around 7 ft, but the wind is howling from the SSE and S at 16-19 mph, creating a messy cross-chop. The energy is huge (over 2000), but it’s not for paddle surfing—this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing.

Friday morning, 10 July brings a big reset. The wind drops to a light easterly cross-off, and the swell is 7 ft from the SSW, still with a 12-second period (combined energy 1470). Clean, powerful, and lined up. This is another top-tier slot for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets a bit lumpy as the wind turns cross-shore, but it’s still rideable.

Saturday morning, 11 July is a beauty. A NNW cross-off breeze at 6 mph, 6 ft SSW swell with a 13-second period (combined energy 1162). Clean, long-period lines—this is a standout for the second half of the first week. The point will be working its magic.

Sunday, 12 July sees the swell drop back to 3 ft, but with glassy conditions in the morning and a light cross-off in the afternoon. Nice for a cruise, but not a highlight.

Then there’s a gap from Monday, 13 July through to Wednesday, 15 July, where the swell is tiny (1 ft to 3 ft) and the wind is messy. Not much to write home about.

Thursday, 16 July brings a pulse of 5 ft to 6 ft WSW swell, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-on, so it’s average at best.

Friday, 17 July is a monster. The swell is predicted to be 12 ft from the WSW with a 13-second period (combined energy 4232). That’s way too big for this break—experts only, and even then, it’s on the edge of what the point can handle. The wind is light, but the sheer size will make it heavy and dangerous.

Saturday, 18 July drops back to 8 ft, but the wind is from the north, making it cross-off and clean. That’s a solid session for the experienced, with the energy still high at 1168.

Sunday, 19 July finishes the run with a 4 ft WSW swell and a clean NNE breeze. A nice, user-friendly end to the outlook.

Best of the forecast: Monday morning, 6 July, and Saturday morning, 11 July. Both offer clean, powerful, long-period swell with light offshore or cross-off winds. Get on it early.

Rusty.

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