Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good hard look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got one spot on the radar worth talking about, and that’s Vredenberg Point.

First thing you need to know – the water is sitting at 56°, which is a whopping 5° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a big deal. You’ll be feeling that bite, so don’t be shy with the thick rubber.

Alright, the pattern. This week gets off to a frustrating start. Saturday the 12th is a write-off – we’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell (very long 16-second period) pumping in, and the combined energy is absolutely thumping at 4589, but the wind is a messy SSE cross-shore at 19 mph. It’s going to be lumpy and chopped. A real shame because there's plenty of power there. The good news is that cleaner conditions are just around the corner.

Sunday the 13th morning is your first real standout. We’ve got a 7ft SW groundswell (14 seconds) with a light N cross-off breeze at 9 mph. That is going to set up some beautifully clean lines. This is excellent for experienced surfers – it’s punchy, but the wind will make it smooth. The wave energy is still hefty at 1941. This is the best of the first week, no question.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th see the swell drop off a cliff, with energy falling away to around 500-900, and the wind stays messy. Not worth paddling out for.

We get a big spike in size on Wednesday the 16th – 10ft from the SW – but the wind is a brutal S cross-shore at 25 mph. That’s just a washing machine out there. Leave it for the kiters, seriously. That setup looks far more interesting for a kite than a paddle board.

The rest of that week and into the next is a whole lot of marginal looking wind and chop. We’ve got a gap of several poor days before things get interesting again.

The next real highlight is Saturday the 19th morning. This is a special window. 8ft of SW groundswell (14 seconds) with glassy conditions – that’s a 3 mph SE wind, barely a breath. The combined energy is a powerful 1996, and it’s just you and the ocean. Again, 8ft is getting into expert-only territory for a point break, but the lines will be long, clean, and perfect. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that we see another drop in size and a return to cross-onshore winds for Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st. Not worth it.

Then we get a proper, promising long-range standout on Wednesday the 23rd morning. We’ve got a 5ft SW groundswell with a light NE offshore breeze at 6 mph. Clean as a whistle. The energy is solid at 1086. This is a more manageable size than the 19th, so it opens things up for strong intermediate surfers too. A great, clean option.

Thursday the 24th morning is another glassy gem. 8ft of SW swell (14 seconds) and a 3 mph S wind – again, perfectly clean. Energy is high at 2563. This is expert territory for sure, but the quality is undeniable.

We end the run on Friday the 25th afternoon with a massive 10ft SSW groundswell (16 seconds) and a gentle NW wind. The energy is a staggering 4180. However, and this is a big one, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. It’ll be a sight to behold, but not a day to paddle out unless you’re a local charger who knows the swell limits. For most of us, it’s a spectator day.

So, to boil it down: your best bets are Sunday the 13th morning for the first punch of clean swell, and then keep your eyes peeled for the glassy standouts on Saturday the 19th morning and Thursday the 24th morning.

Keep your wetsuit zipped and your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty

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