Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Vredenberg Point over the next couple of weeks.

The outlook kicks off with a bit of a slow start. We’ve got some solid swell on the way from the get-go, but the winds and conditions need to play ball for it to be worth paddling out. The first standout window is a short-lived one: Friday afternoon the 14th of August. The water is notably cold, sitting at about 55°F, which is running well below the long-term average for this time of year—so you’ll want a good hooded wetsuit. The swell is a nice, long-period groundswell from the WSW pushing 6ft, with a period of 15 seconds, giving it heaps of energy (combined swell energy of 1444). The wind will be light and cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. This is a point break, so that long-period energy should wrap in nicely and offer some proper shaped waves. Conditions are excellent for experienced surfers here, but with a heads-up—crowds are possible, so you might have some company.

Saturday morning the 15th holds similar promise: another clean session with a 6ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and light cross-off winds. The energy is still pumping (1217). It’s a bit smaller but still a good option for the early birds.

Now, from Saturday afternoon through the following week, the wind turns onshore and the surf quality drops off. The swell hangs around from 6ft to 8ft, but the south and south-southwest winds bring chop and messy conditions. There are a few windows on Sunday the 16th morning with light cross-shore wind and a 7ft WSW swell at 14 seconds (energy 1553), but it’s marked as marginal—so it’s a gamble. The 17th of August Monday morning sees a solid 10ft swell with a 13-second period and light cross-on wind, but the wave comment warns it might be too big for this break, and the energy is a thumping 2586. That’s expert territory only, if you’re brave enough to try.

After that, we hit a real rough patch. From the 18th right through to the 28th, the wind is mostly onshore, cross-on, or just plain strong, making for poor to marginal conditions. The swell sticks around between 5ft and 10ft, but the combo of lumpy cross-chop and choppy faces kills the vibe. There is a glimmer on Friday morning the 28th of August: a 6ft WSW swell at 12 seconds, with light cross-off winds cleaning it up (energy 1340). That’s another clean session for the experienced folks, but it’s a single window in a long run of poor.

The standout of the whole run, if you can wait, is the 29th of August Saturday morning. We’ve got a massive 15ft WSW swell, 14-second period, with a combined energy of 7811. That’s a serious pulse of energy. The wind is very light from the SSE, so it’s clean, but this is pure big-wave territory—way beyond intermediate or beginner. Only expert surfers on proper guns should even consider it. The wave comment notes the tide and wind are favorable, but the size is too big for the break, so it’s really one for the big-wave chargers who know the spot.

Bottom line: the best bets are Friday afternoon the 14th, Saturday morning the 15th, and maybe the 28th morning for clean, manageable swell. The 29th is for the heavy crew. Between the 18th and the 27th, it’s mostly a write-off for quality surf—looks more like a stretch for kite surfing with those onshore winds and solid swell hitting a beach-and-reef setup.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change, but this is how it’s shaping up now.

Rusty.

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