Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Right, let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Vredenberg Point. It’s a point break that’s fairly consistent, and when conditions line up, it can be a gem. But we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead, with some solid swell but a lot of wind to work through.

Water temp is sitting at 56°—that’s about 4° colder than normal for this time of year at Vredenberg Point, so you’ll definitely want a good thick wetsuit.

The outlook opens on Tuesday 18th August with some waist-to-chest high swell around 8 ft from the WSW, period at 12 seconds (a nice groundswell). Problem is, the wind is a cross-shore from the SSE at 16 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. Combined swell energy is 1667 (moderate), but it’s messy. Not much to get excited about. Tuesday afternoon drops to 7 ft but the wind cranks up to 19 mph, making it even lumpier. A definite pass.

Wednesday 19th August is a write-off—swell pushes up to 10 ft from the SW, but fresh cross-onshore winds at 19 mph make for poor, blown-out conditions. Same story Wednesday afternoon with 8 ft and the same nasty wind. Don’t bother.

We see a tease on Thursday 20th August. Morning brings a solid 10 ft from the SW, 13-second period, and combined energy at 2959 (strong). The file says wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is too big for this break. That’s a 10 ft set on a point—it’ll be a washing machine. Only for the experts and even then, risky. Afternoon is 10 ft again with fresh cross-shore wind at 19 mph. Not ideal.

Friday 21st August drops back to 7 ft from the SW, period 11 seconds, but cross-onshore winds at 12–16 mph keep it choppy and marginal. Saturday 22nd August is small and weak—4 ft on the morning with 10-second period and combined energy of 474 (weak). Not worth paddling out.

Now, Sunday 23rd August morning has a standout potential. 10 ft from the SW, 12-second period, combined energy at 2466 (strong). The wind is gentle cross-shore from the SSE at 9 mph, so only a slight cross-chop. The file says wind and tide are favorable, but again the swell is too big for this break. At 10 ft, a point break will be stacking up big—only for experienced surfers who know the lineup. It could be a fun, heavy session for the crew who can handle it, but not for the faint-hearted. Afternoon turns messy again with fresh cross-onshore, so the window is tight.

Monday 24th August sees a drop to 5 ft from the WSW, 12-second period, but fresh cross-shore wind at 19 mph keeps it lumpy. Another marginal day. Tuesday 25th August morning has 7 ft from the SW with a 14-second period (long period groundswell), combined energy 1911 (moderate), but cross-shore winds at 16 mph leave a chop. The long period will make for some powerful, lined-up waves on the point, but the breeze will mess with the face.

The real highlight of the entire forecast lands on Monday 31st August morning. You’ve got 8 ft from the SW, 13-second period, combined energy at 2126 (strong). But the wind is a light cross-offshore from the N at 6 mph. That means clean, glassy conditions on the point. The file calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers”—and it’s right. This is the pick of the bunch. The swell size (8 ft) is big, but on a point break, it’ll be powerful and offer some memorable waves. It’s a Monday, so crowds shouldn’t be too bad, though the spot can get busy sometimes. This is your session. Mark it in the diary.

Looking further ahead, Tuesday 1st September morning holds 8 ft from the SW, 14-second period, combined energy 3039 (strong), with moderate cross-shore wind from the NNW at 16 mph. Not as clean but still punchy. The afternoon pushes to 10 ft—again too big for most, but the wind turns cross-shore. Wednesday 2nd September morning has 7 ft from the WSW, 12-second period, combined energy 2267 (strong), with a light cross-offshore wind from the N at 12 mph and clean conditions. Another decent window for experienced surfers. Afternoon stays at 8 ft from the WSW with gentle cross-shore wind, so reasonably clean.

So the long story short: the first week is mostly a battle with wind and oversized swell for this point. The one true standout is Monday 31st August morning—clean, solid, and excellent. A couple of sessions around 1st and 2nd September are also worth a look if you’re an experienced surfer. Don’t bother before Sunday 23rd unless you enjoy getting thumped.

Rusty.

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