Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, givin’ it to you in feet and degrees.

It’s a wild ride ahead, with a massive pulse of swell hitting early, but the conditions are going to be super tricky. The standout session is a very specific window early on, but after that, we’ll be chasing clean windows in a long stretch of mixed conditions.

The first real action hits Friday morning, August 7th, at Vredenberg Point. It’s a point break, so it handles a big swell well. We’ve got a strong, long-period groundswell from the SW at 10ft, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving. The combined energy is massive at 3908, and the water is 57°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. The wind is a light, cross-offshore breeze from the SE. That’s clean. The problem is, this swell is huge. At 10ft, this is expert territory only. It’s going to be a powerful, bowling wave, but if you’re not dialed in, you’ll get smashed. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook, but it’s only for the brave.

That afternoon, Friday the 7th, the wind swings to the SSW and gets stronger, making it messy. The swell jumps to 12ft, which is just too much. It’s a washout.

Saturday the 8th has a morning window with a lighter cross-on breeze, but the swell is still 8ft. It’s marginal. The afternoon sees the wind turn onshore from the W, and the swell is back up to 10ft – another one for experts only, but the wind is poor.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off. Strong winds from the S and SSE at 25 mph are going to tear the ocean up.

Monday the 10th is still windy, with a fresh breeze from the SE. The swell drops to 8ft in the morning, but it’s cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is a lot more manageable at 1309. It’s still a solid wave, but the wind is a bit much for it to be perfect. The afternoon gets smaller and lumpy.

Tuesday morning, August 11th, is a solid second option. The swell is 7ft from the SSW, with a 13-second period, and we get a clean offshore wind from the ENE. It’s a light breeze, so the waves will be clean and lined up. The energy is 1508, so there’s plenty of push. This is still a solid wave, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be a good session for experienced surfers. The crowds are a possibility here, so get there early.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th offer a change. The swell shifts to the WSW, and the period gets very long. Wednesday morning is 5ft with a 19-second period, and Wednesday afternoon is 6ft with an 18-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean. This is a very long-period groundswell. At a point break, that’s a dream. It’ll be a deep, powerful, and consistent wave. A bit of a caveat though – with that long period, the sets will be spaced out, but the paddling out will be easier. Thursday is similar, but the wind is stronger, up to 22 mph, so it’s a bit more of a battle.

From Friday the 14th right through to the end of the forecast on Saturday the 22nd, it’s a long stretch of marginal surf. The swell stays in the 6ft to 8ft range, mostly from the WSW, but the wind is a constant issue. It’s either cross, cross-on, or too strong. There are a few clean windows, like Tuesday the 18th morning with a 6ft WSW swell and a light cross-off breeze, but the energy is low at 996. The 22nd has a tiny 3ft clean swell, but it’s a long way out.

Overall, the first week has one big, powerful, expert-only session on Friday the 7th, and a good, clean session on Tuesday the 11th. The rest is a long slog of waiting for the wind to play ball.

Rusty

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