Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for Vredenberg Point.

We've got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 57°F which is a touch colder than usual for this time of year, so a decent 4/3 wetsuit might be the call.

The first few days are small but clean. Monday the 13th morning is looking like a real treat with a glassy 3ft SW groundswell, period around 10 seconds. The energy is weak (307) but with zero wind, it'll be a fun session on the small stuff. The afternoon turns a bit onshore, so make the most of the morning.

Tuesday the 14th is much the same story – a glassy start with a 3ft W swell, again weak energy (268). Nice morning, but the onshore breeze kicks in later.

Now, Wednesday the 15th is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a 4ft WSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds pushing moderate energy (1043). That’s proper groundswell. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it'll be a bit bumpy, but that long period stuff loves a point break like Vredenberg. The 7ft SW swell later in the day on the 15th is packing strong energy (2592), but the cross-shore wind picks up and the quality drops. Those long-period swells can wall up and close out on a beach setup, but at a point, they should offer some nice lines.

The 16th and 17th are a write-off for quality with cross-shore winds and messy surf. Energy stays moderate to strong but the conditions are just not there.

Then, a real gem on Saturday the 18th morning. Glassy conditions again, with a 4ft S swell and a period of 12 seconds, carrying moderate energy (685). The "very good surf conditions" tag is spot on. This is the standout for the first week. The afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, so get it early.

The 19th and 20th are a bit of a mess with stronger winds and dropping swell quality. Energy is moderate but the wind is ruining the surface.

Here’s the big one. On Tuesday the 21st, we’re looking at a massive 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, pushing very strong energy (4795). That’s a serious, powerful swell. However, the data says it's predicted to be too big for this break. That kind of size at a point break with a 16-second period can be a beast. For most surfers, this is a "watch from the rocks" day. The swell stays huge through the 23rd, with 15ft and 13ft waves on the 23rd, glassy wind, but the data again says it's too big. This is expert-only territory, if it's even rideable without getting slammed.

The 24th shows a massive drop back to 5ft with a clean cross-shore, so it’s a reset. The 25th and 26th have another pulse of powerful SW groundswell, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the sizes are back up to 10ft, which is again too big for this spot. The 27th and 28th are a write-off with messy, blown-out conditions.

So, the best on offer is the glassy morning of Saturday the 18th. It's not big, but it'll be clean, empty, and fun. The mid-week of the 21st-23rd is for experts only, if anyone. Otherwise, it’s a lot of waiting around.

Rusty.

Read more