Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Vredenberg Point are looking pretty average. We've got a lot of junky, wind-blown conditions on the cards, but there are a couple of windows where it could all come together. Let's get into it.

We start off with a bit of a dodgy period. The first few days are messy. The water is running at 56°F, which is a couple of degrees colder than what's normal for this time of year. You'll feel that on your face during a duck dive.

Sunday and Monday are a write-off for the most part. There's plenty of swell, but the wind is all over the place, blowing cross and cross-on, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. It's just not worth paddling out. The energy is there, with big numbers in the 1700s to 2300s, but the quality is just not there.

The swell is building towards Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday afternoon we're looking at a solid 10ft of SW swell with a period of 13 seconds and the energy numbers are pumping up around 2662. The wind is cross, but the bigger problem is that this wave is just going to be too big and unruly for Vredenberg. This is one for the experts only, and even then, it might be a battle. Wednesday morning holds that 10ft size, with an even longer 14-second period and the strongest energy yet at 3743, but again, it's just too much for this spot to handle cleanly.

Then things get nasty. Thursday is a full-on blown-out mess. We're looking at a huge 16ft SW swell, with a 31 mph onshore wind in the morning and a 34 mph cross-on in the arvo. The energy readings are off the charts – 5547 and then 8157 – but this is just pure chaos. I'd be checking the kite spots, not the point, because for surfing, it's a total no-go.

The swell drops back a bit for Friday, but it's still all over the place. Around 8ft on the morning, but the wind is still howling from the SSE at 22-28 mph. It's another day to sit on the beach.

Saturday morning sees the swell drop to 4ft, and there's a glimmer of hope with a cross-off breeze and “clean” conditions in the notes. But it's still a marginal call. The energy has dropped right back to 460, so it's not going to have much push.

Now, here's the standout. Sunday the 6th of September. The morning is an absolute diamond. The wind dies to nothing, becoming totally glassy, and the swell pulses back up to 5ft from the southwest with a very long 15-second period. The energy is back up there at 1166. This is a beautiful, clean, lined-up point break. The long period will make it grind perfectly down the point, though it might be a little too lined-up for some. This is the best mix of size and conditions we have.

After that, it fades out. Monday the 7th has a tiny 3ft glassy morning, but it's small. From the 8th through the 9th, it's tiny – down to 1ft to 2ft – with low energy numbers. It’s a real flat spell for a couple of days.

Thursday the 10th brings a little pulse of short-period S swell around 6ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit crumbly, and with light cross-shore winds, it's still pretty ordinary.

We finish off the run with a week of mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds, with any swell being short-period and lumpy. There's a small ray of hope on the morning of Saturday the 13th, early in the second week, with a 6ft S swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but the conditions look like they will deteriorate quickly on Sunday.

So, if you're keen, look hard at the Sunday the 6th session. That’s your big one. A week later, maybe keep an eye on the 13th as a possible, but less certain, runner-up.

Stay wet. - Rusty

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