Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Right now Vredenberg Point is the only game in town, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got some serious size potential late in the run, but the wind and timing will be the deciding factors. There’s a bit of a gap before we get any really clean conditions, so bear with me.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Tuesday the 25th has a solid 7 ft SW swell rolling in, but with a 15–18 mph southerly throwing a cross-chop over it, it’s messy and marginal. The water’s a bit colder than normal at 56°, sitting about 4° below average for this time of year. Wednesday the 26th is where things start looking interesting. The swell drops to 6 ft from the WSW, period 13 seconds, but the real story is the glassy 3 mph offshore ENE wind on Wednesday morning. That’s clean, that’s what you want. The combined energy is still hefty at 1302, and it’s a standout for the early part of the forecast. The afternoon sees a 4 ft cross-on breeze, so make the most of that morning session.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th are ordinary – small, choppy, cross-onshore winds. Not worth paddling out for. Saturday the 29th has a 5–6 ft swell but again, messy winds. Skip it.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are rough. The wind picks up to 25 mph from the south on Sunday afternoon, with a cross-onshore mess, and the swell sits around 6–7 ft. This is more kite-surf territory than paddle surfing, honestly.

Tuesday the 1st of September is a real gem if you can get on it. Early morning glassy conditions, barely a breath of wind, and a clean 3 ft SW swell with a 14-second period giving it real push. Combined energy is 652, moderate but well-shaped. The afternoon gets blown out with a 8 ft swell and strong cross-onshore, but that morning window is the best on offer in the first week.

Now, from Wednesday the 2nd of September through Friday the 4th, the swell goes big. 10 ft on Wednesday morning, 16 ft on Thursday and Friday, all from the SW/SSW. The winds are favorable – light offshore or cross-off – but the size is too big for this break. Combined energy hits 8825 on Thursday morning, which is extreme. This is only for absolute experts, and even then, you’d want a bigger, more open setup. Saturday the 5th drops back to 4–5 ft but the wind is cross and lumpy.

Sunday the 6th of September is another standout. Glassy calm early, a 5 ft WSW swell with a 15-second period, very clean. Combined energy is 1095, moderate to strong. That’s a morning to mark on the calendar, but keep in mind the long period – it’ll break a bit straight at the point, but at Vredenberg it should offer nice lines.

After that, from Monday the 7th through to the end of the forecast, we’re back to small, marginal conditions with variable wind. Nothing to get excited about.

So, if I had to pick the absolute best, it’s Wednesday morning the 26th of August for clean 6 ft WSW swell, and Tuesday morning the 1st of September for glassy 3 ft SW. Sunday the 6th of September is a solid third option. The rest is either blown out or too big for this spot.

Stay safe, check the tides, and don’t trust the long-range forecasts too hard. Catch you next time.

Rusty

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