Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here to talk about what's going on at Vredenberg Point over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a rough way to start. There’s some solid swell hitting right now, but the wind is screaming from the south and southeast, tearing straight across the face. It’s making a nasty, lumpy cross-chop with a combined energy of (3561). It’s plain ugly out there for the first few days. The water is sitting at 55°, which is about 5° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious bite.

We’re looking at a tough stretch through the weekend and into the start of next week. The wind stays on that cross-shore angle, and while the swell drops a bit, it’s still messy. Thursday the 19th and Friday the 20th of September are total write-offs for decent waves. The pattern finally starts to shift on Monday the 21st. That morning, the wind goes completely glassy – zero, dead calm – and we’ve got a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the west-southwest with a 12-second period. The combined energy is lower at (547), but it’ll be clean and lined up. That Monday morning window is one of the few real highlights in this whole run. The glassy conditions are a major positive, and it’s the only time the stars really align for a tidy session.

Tuesday the 22nd morning has another glassy spell with a 4ft swell, but it’s smaller and the energy is dropping off (445). It’s surfable, but not a standout.

Then we get a real wildcard. On Wednesday the 23rd afternoon, the wind goes glassy again, and a new 8ft lump pushes in from the south-southwest. The combined energy jumps back up to (1297). That’s getting into the big stuff, and for an intermediate spot like Vredenberg Point, that’s pushing the limits. It’s clean, but it’s going to be a handful. Definitely one for experienced surfers only.

Now, looking further out, there’s some massive swell forecast for the 24th, 25th and 26th of September. We’re talking a solid 12ft swell from the southwest with a long 14-second period, and the energy readings are huge (over 4500 in the combined column). The wind forecast has it coming from the north and northeast, which is offshore for this point, so it’ll be clean. But honestly, that kind of size is just too big for Vredenberg. The wave comment even says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. It will be a sight to see from the car park, but paddle out at your own risk – that’s expert territory, if it’s even rideable here. That size and period will make it wall up and jack hard.

We drop back down after that, but the wind swings onshore again, so we’re back to messy, choppy conditions through the end of September.

The last little flicker of hope comes on the very first day of October – Thursday morning. We get a 5ft swell from the southwest with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the north-northeast. The combined energy is low at (423), but it’ll be clean and should offer some fun, smaller waves to end the window on a positive note.

Overall, it's a frustrating forecast for Vredenberg Point. The standout moment is the glassy conditions on Monday the 21st of September morning, with a nice, clean 4ft swell. That's the one to circle. The big north-northeast offshore window on the 24th and 25th will look epic, but it's likely too much for this spot.

Rusty.

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