Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's talk surf. The window kicks off Thursday, July 9th, but don't get your hopes up just yet. We've got a serious pulse of SW swell headed our way, but it's packing a punch that's just too much muscle for this break to handle at the start.

First up, we're looking at Vredenberg Point. This spot is a point break, fairly consistent, and it really loves swell coming from the SW. Right now, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Thursday the 9th is a write-off for paddle surfing. We're looking at a solid 10-foot SW swell, with a long 14-second period and a combined energy of 3313 (moderate to strong). The problem is, it's too big and the wind is a cross-shore breeze from the SSE at 15 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. Thursday afternoon is even worse with a 19 mph southerly. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a day to be on a shortboard.

Friday the 10th is similar. Still a 10-foot SW swell, but the wind eases to a gentle cross-shore in the morning. The energy is high at 2831, but the size is still overwhelming. By Friday afternoon, the swell drops to 8 feet, but the winds shift and the conditions get marginal.

Now, here's where we get a real standout. Saturday morning, the 11th of July. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7 feet from the SSW, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is a solid 1539 (moderate). But the real magic is the wind. We've got an easterly breeze at 3 mph, putting it right in the glassy zone. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It's still a bit heavy for beginners, but for those who know what they're doing, clean, lined-up waves are on the menu. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Sunday morning, the 12th, is another good shout. The swell is down to 5 feet from the SSW, with an 11-second period and energy at 819 (moderate). Glassy conditions again with a light easterly. This is very good surf, more accessible for a wider range of abilities.

The surf drops off through Monday and Tuesday the 13th and 14th, with small weak waves and cross-on breezes. Not much doing.

Wednesday the 15th sees a new pulse of long-period groundswell. The morning has a 3-foot swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period and energy of 504 (moderate). The period is so long that this point break should handle it well, but the wave height is small and the wind is cross-on, so it's marginal.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th bring a bigger swell again, around 8 feet from the SW, but the wind is strong and messy for the most part, making it a tough prospect. Friday afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-off breeze, but the waves are still hefty.

We get a bit of a break Saturday the 18th with smaller 4-foot swell and clean winds in the morning.

Another notable window pops up on Sunday, the 19th of July. The morning shows a 4-foot swell from the WSW, with a solid 12-second period and energy of 666 (moderate). The wind is glassy from the SE. Expect very good surf conditions, clean and inviting.

After that, we go into a stretch from Monday the 20th through to the end of the forecast period where the swell gets big, messy, or onshore. The 21st sees a 12-foot onshore mess, and the 22nd and 23rd are just too big again, with swells of 12 feet and 16 feet and very strong energy readings (up to 14510). Thursday the 23rd has a massive 16-foot SW swell with an 18-second period and energy at 13721. It's a beautiful setup for experts on a deep reef somewhere else, but here at Vredenberg Point, it's simply too much.

So, the bottom line: Your best bet is the Saturday morning of the 11th. Glassy conditions and a solid 7-foot SSW groundswell make for a classic session. Sunday the 12th is a close second, and Sunday the 19th morning is another glassy gem if you're patient.

Rusty.

Read more