Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The first few days are looking clean, but the second week gets wild and dangerous. Hold onto your board.

We kick off Tuesday afternoon, July 28th, with a decent 8ft SW swell rolling in at Vredenberg Point. The wind is a cross-off from the SE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The wave energy is pumping hard (2374), which is a lot of power. The water temp is 59°, which is just about normal for this time of year, so a bit of a spring suit is fine.

Now, Wednesday morning, July 29th, is where it gets really good. We’ve got a 6ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 6 mph. The energy is still strong (1119), and the conditions are set to be excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout morning – clean, lined-up waves off the point, and the crowd is only *sometimes* there. Worth getting up early for.

Thursday morning, July 30th, is another beauty. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the SW, but the wind goes glassy from the East at 3 mph. The waves will be clean and smooth, with moderate energy (784). This is a classic, fun point-break day.

We hit a bit of a lull in quality from Thursday afternoon through the weekend. The swell stays around 4ft to 4ft, and the winds get messy with cross-onshore and cross-shore chops. The Saturday morning of August 1st has a glimmer of hope with a 4ft WSW swell and offshore ENE wind at 3 mph, but the energy is lower (672). It’s surfable, but not the highlight.

Hold on, because the first true standout of the longer range is Monday morning, August 3rd. The swell drops to 4ft, BUT the period stretches to a very long 16 seconds from the WSW. The energy jumps back up (1121). That’s a groundswell with serious pushing power, and it’s perfect for a point like Vredenberg. The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the S, so it’ll be a little chopped but still very good. This is a sleeper day – a long-period SW groundswell on a point is a recipe for classic, long walls.

After that, things get tricky. From Tuesday, August 4th, through the first half of the next week, the swell climbs fast. It’s not the quality that’s the problem – it’s the size. By Wednesday afternoon, August 5th, it’s hitting 12ft, and the wind is a nasty cross-on from the WNW. That’s a no-go. The next few days see massive surf: 10ft to 25ft from the SW and WSW. The energy numbers are off the charts – 3992, 4748, and even 27,107 on August 10th. This is not for paddle surfing. The wind is either onshore or strong cross-off, making it a washing machine. For a beach or beach-and-reef setup, this is kite-surfing territory, not a point-break session. The waves will be closing out and dangerous.

The very end of the run, on August 12th, settles back down to a 5ft SW swell, but the wind is howling from the South at 12-16 mph, so it’s a choppy, poor finish.

So, the bottom line: the best surf is this coming Wednesday morning, July 29th, and the long-range standout is Monday morning, August 3rd, with that long-period groundswell. The second week is a write-off for surfing unless you’re a professional in a jet ski. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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