Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, hard look at what Vredenberg Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the start of this forecast is a real heartbreaker. There’s some swell showing up early, but the wind is just relentless. We’re looking at a solid block of days where the onshore and cross-shore winds are going to ruin what would otherwise be some great waves.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Friday, August 28th in the morning. The water is sitting at 56°, which feels about 4° colder than it should be for late August – bring a thicker suit. The wind is a light SSE cross-off, and we’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the south with a solid 11-second period. The combined swell energy is moderate (708), and it’s gonna be clean. That Friday morning window is the best you’re going to see for a while.

But that window slams shut fast. The wind kicks up to 15 mph in the afternoon, and we get a week of messy, choppy conditions. The swell gets big – we’re talking 10ft on Sunday the 30th, and even up to a massive 15ft on Wednesday the 2nd of September – but with the wind howling from the south at 25-31 mph, this is going to be a washing machine. The combined energy hits 10549 on that Wednesday, which is immense, but it’s just raw power with no finesse. If you’re a paddle surfer, you want no part of this. Honestly, that setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than surfing a point break.

The wind finally eases up a bit on Friday, September 4th in the morning. We get clean conditions with a 7ft swell from the SW (period 12 secs), but the wind is still a strong 31 mph cross-off. By the afternoon, the swell is 10ft, which is going to be heavy for most. The file notes the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so that's a massive caveat.

After that, things really drop off. There’s a long gap with tiny surf and nothing worth paddling out for. Then, on Monday, September 7th in the morning, we get a little treat. It’s glassy – dead flat calm – with a 3ft groundswell from the WSW. The period is 13 seconds, so it’s got some real push for a small wave, but that’s the kind of morning where it's just you and the seabirds. The combined energy is weak (363), so it’s going to be a fun small-wave day for a log or a mid-length.

The long-range forecast shows another slight uptick around Saturday, September 12th with some 6ft to 7ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is up in the 15-18 mph range, keeping it lumpy. It’s there if you’re desperate, but it’s not going to be classic Vredenberg.

So, to sum it up: the standout is the Friday, August 28th morning for the clean, fun-size waves before the wind comes up. The other possibility is the glassy Monday, September 7th morning for a quiet, small-wave session. Everything else in the 16-day window is plagued by wind or is simply too small to bother with.

Rusty.

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