Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Imperial version

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what’s coming our way at Vredenberg Point over the next two weeks.

We've got a solid run of south-west groundswell on the charts, with wave energy reading moderate to very strong (values over 1000, peaking past 4000). But the wind is calling the shots, and it’s not always working in our favor. The water is running *much colder than normal* for September, a full 4°F cooler, so you’ll want a thick suit.

Saturday the 12th is a total no-go. Fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions on a 6ft SW swell. Just not worth it.

Sunday the 13th morning is the first real chance. A cleaner 7ft SW swell (14-second period – proper groundswell) with a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The wave energy is solid (1804). This is for experienced surfers – it’s got size and juice. The afternoon turns messy with rain and a cross-on wind.

Monday the 14th morning is tricky. A clean 4ft SW swell, but a 19 mph cross-offshore wind makes the paddle tough and the energy is only moderate (745). The afternoon turns into a total mess: a 8ft NW swell with a horrible 7-second period and cross-shore chop.

Tuesday the 15th is small and choppy – not worth the drive.

Wednesday the 16th morning brings an 8ft SW swell (very strong energy at 3171) with a cross-on wind. That’s big, but the wind is spoiling it. Experts only, and even then, it’s a battle.

From Thursday the 17th through Friday the 18th, we get hammered by strong winds – 25-28 mph – and lumpy, messy conditions on a steady 5ft to 7ft SW swell. Honestly, this looks more like kite-surfing weather than paddling weather.

Then the payoff. Sunday the 20th morning is the absolute standout. A beautiful 6ft SW groundswell (13-second period) with a light 6 mph offshore breeze from the NE. That’s clean, glassy, and lined up. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, and on a morning like that, it’s going to be popular. Get in early.

Monday the 21st afternoon also has a window. A clean 4ft SW swell with a light 12 mph offshore wind from the East. Smaller, but clean.

The final week of September is mostly average. A lot of cross-on or onshore winds and chop. The morning of Saturday the 26th is an odd one: a very long-period 20-second swell at just 3ft (moderate energy at 1378). That’s a long-period groundswell – it’ll peel cleanly at this point break, but the sets will be few and far between, and the wind is cross-shore. For the patient, it could offer some glassy head-high waves. The afternoon gets ruined by fresh winds.

So, bottom line: Sunday the 13th morning for the experienced crew, and Sunday the 20th morning for just about everyone who wants clean, classic waves. The 20th is the one to circle on the calendar. The rest is mostly a wind-blown battle.

Rusty.

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