Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the surf on offer at Vredenberg Point for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a solid run of surf ahead, but it's not all clean. The pattern starts with a big, powerful SW groundswell pushing through, but the winds are messy, so we've gotta pick our windows carefully. The water's been running cold – about 54° – which is a solid 7° below normal for this time of year, so you'll want the thickest rubber you've got. It's not just a little chilly; it's properly unusual.

The first real standout comes Monday morning, 7 September. The glassy conditions are a rare treat. There's a 6ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 14-second period, packing moderate-strong energy (1430). For a point break like this, that long-period SW swell is a dream – it'll wrap in and line up beautifully. With zero wind and a clean surface, this is the session to point the car at. No crowds mentioned, so you might have it quiet, too. This is the best on offer for the first week.

Monday afternoon sees the wind swing cross-onshore, making things a bit lumpy. Tuesday morning, 8 September, is worth a look: a smaller 4ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and clean conditions thanks to a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (639). It's not huge, but it'll be fun and clean.

Things get messy from Tuesday afternoon right through the end of the week. A strong S wind kicks in, chopping up the 3ft to 3ft swell. The energy drops right off (340-405). Thursday and Friday see a big spike in swell size – 7ft to 8ft – but with strong cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions, it's all wind and whitewash. Not worth paddling out; if anything, with those winds and the size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday morning, 12 September, offers a slight reprieve with a light cross-onshore breeze and a 6ft SW swell, but the energy is moderate (1373). The wind is just enough to ripple the surface, so it's okay but not great.

The second week looks more promising, but we're getting into the longer-range forecast, so treat it as promising but less certain. Tuesday, 15 September, sees a big 10ft WSW groundswell with a 13-second period and a moderate cross-shore wind. The energy is strong (2845), but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. It's an expert-only day if you're keen, and that's a big if.

Thursday, 17 September, is similar: another 10ft S groundswell with a short, choppy 9-second period and strong energy (2450). The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but again, the size is too big for Vredenberg Point. Experts only, and even then, it's a handful.

The real gem in the second week looks like Friday, 19 September. Saturday morning and afternoon, 19 September, both look excellent. Saturday morning delivers a 5ft SW groundswell with a lovely 15-second period, clean conditions, and moderate energy (1384). Saturday afternoon is even better: 6ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is moderate-strong (1860). For a point break, this is about as good as it gets – long-period SW swell, offshore wind, clean lines. This could be the standout of the entire outlook.

Sunday, 20 September, sees a 10ft short-period SSW swell (8 seconds) with onshore wind – that's too big and too messy. Monday, 21 September, winds down with smaller 5-6ft SW swell and light cross-onshore breezes. It's surfable but not special.

So, to sum it up: Monday morning, 7 September, is the clear standout for the first week. For the second week, keep an eye on Saturday, 19 September – that Saturday afternoon session with offshore winds and a long-period groundswell could be the one.

Rusty.

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