Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the outlook for Vredenberg Point. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it ain’t gonna be a simple pick-and-choose. The first proper surf kicks off on Friday the 24th of July, but we’re dealing with some serious size and a few windows of clean conditions.

The overall pattern is a classic winter pulse: a lot of SW groundswell, some of it very long-period, and a lot of days where the wind is going to mess with the surface. The water temperature is 58°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so definitely don’t be shy with the wetsuit.

For the first few days, it’s all about picking the right moment. Friday the 24th has a massive 10ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 3881 (moderate to strong), but it’s flagged as too big for this break. Saturday morning the 25th, the swell drops to 6ft but the wind is cross-offshore from the SE at 15 km/h, making it clean. That’s your first real window, but it’s a marginal call.

The standout for the first week is Sunday morning the 26th of July. The swell is 8ft from the SW, 12-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE at only 10 km/h. The conditions are clean, and the forecast says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one. The combined energy is 1654 (moderate), so there’s plenty of grunt. This is a point break, so that SW groundswell will wrap in nicely. Expect a crowd, as it’s a spot that’s “sometimes” busy.

Monday the 27th is a write-off with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy chop. Tuesday the 28th morning has a clean 8ft swell with long 15-second period, but it’s considered marginal. The sea temperature is still that same a-bit-colder-than-normal.

The real magic window opens up from Thursday the 30th of July through Saturday the 1st of August. Thursday morning is glassy – absolute glass – with a 5ft SW swell. The combined energy is 593 (weak to moderate), but with that light air and glassy surface, it’s going to be pure. Friday the 31st afternoon is also glassy with a 5ft, 13-second swell. Saturday the 1st of August morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze. These are the sessions for the everyday surfer, not just the experts.

After that, we get a bit of a mixed bag. Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon is glassy again with a 5ft, 13-second swell. That’s a solid option. Then from Monday the 3rd of August, the swell starts building again, but the wind goes onshore and choppy. Wednesday the 5th of August morning has a 8ft swell with a 14-second period, but it’s cross-shore. By Thursday the 6th of August, the swell is a massive 13ft with a 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-shore. It’s just a washing machine. That setup is more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfing.

The final weekend, Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th of August, still has a huge 13ft and 12ft SW swell, but the wind is more favorable. Friday has a cross-shore, and Saturday morning has a clean offshore from the NE at 5 km/h. The problem is the size. 12ft is only for experts, and the combined energy is over 5000 (strong to very strong). It’s a beast, but you’d better be on your game.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Sunday morning the 26th of July for the experienced crew, and the glassy sessions from Thursday the 30th of July through Saturday the 1st of August for cleaner, more manageable waves. Keep an eye on Saturday the 8th of August for a big, clean, expert-only session.

Rusty.

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