Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next 16 days at Vredenberg Point. We’ve got a proper run of south-west groundswell on the way, but it’s a classic case of "right place, right time". The water is sitting at 55.6°F which is a good 4.3°F colder than normal for this time of year, so that winter wetsuit is staying on for a while yet.

The first solid action kicks off on Monday the 31st of August, but to be honest, it’s a bit of a mess. We’ve got a 5.9ft south-west swell with a 12-second period on Monday morning, but that 25 km/h south cross-wind is chopping it all up. The combined energy is a moderate 1024, but the conditions are just marginal. Monday afternoon gets worse with a 6.9ft swell and stronger cross-onshore winds. Not worth paddling out for.

Tuesday the 1st of September sees the swell jump to 8.2ft with a long 13-second period on the morning, and the combined energy is through the roof at 2187. But again, that 20 km/h cross-wind is making it lumpy. The afternoon is even bigger at 9.8ft, but the cross-onshore wind is a nightmare. It’s a no-go.

Now, Wednesday the 2nd of September is interesting. The morning is pumping with a 9.8ft south-west swell, a 14-second period, and a massive combined energy of 3348. The wind is cross-onshore but the forecast says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a solid 9.8ft, and with that long period, she’s going to be jacking up hard and closing out. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a gamble. The afternoon is a write-off.

Thursday the 3rd of September morning has a 7.5ft south-west swell with a 13-second period and a clean 30 km/h cross-offshore wind. The energy is a strong 1976. The wind is cleaning it up nicely, but it’s still a bit of a beast. The afternoon is a full-on 13.1ft monster with a 55 km/h near gale. That’s not surfing, that’s survival.

Friday the 4th of September is the first real standout. The morning brings a 9.8ft south swell, 10-second period, but the wind is a clean 35 km/h cross-offshore, and the energy is a strong 1989. It’s big, but the wind is holding it open. The forecast says it’s window and tide favorable, but the swell is too big for this break. That 9.8ft with a shorter period will be a thumping wall, but it’s for the big boys only. The afternoon is the same size but with a cross-shore wind that’s made it lumpy.

Saturday the 5th of September is a drop in size to 6.9ft, but the wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’s not clean. The 9-second period is a bit short, too. The swell is coming from the south, which isn’t the optimum direction for this point. It’s a pass.

Sunday the 6th of September is a real gem. The morning has a 5.2ft south-west swell with a 16-second period and a clean 25 km/h cross-offshore wind. The energy is a strong 2095. This is a beautiful, long-period groundswell that’s going to wrap nicely into the point. The wind is clean, and it’s the right direction. The afternoon drops to 4.3ft but stays clean with a 15-second period. This is the best of the week. Not too big, clean, and that long period will give you those long, drawn-out rides.

After that, it starts to fade. Monday the 7th of September morning has a tiny 3.9ft swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is a gentle offshore from the ENE. The energy is a low 727. It’s clean, but small. The afternoon is a mix of cross-shore wind.

The second week is a real fade. From Tuesday the 8th of September through to the 10th, we’re looking at tiny 1.6ft to 3.3ft south-west swells, mostly clean but with very low energy (141 to 243). Not worth getting wet for.

Then, on Friday the 11th of September, we get a late surprise. The morning is glass

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