Vredenberg Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here, taking a long look at the forecast for Vredenberg Point.

The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, to be honest. There’s plenty of swell on the charts, but the wind is going to be the deciding factor on whether we get any decent waves or just a whole lot of chop. We’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands for the windows to align.

Right off the bat, Friday morning the 4th is a no-go. There’s a solid 10ft south swell with a strong 25 mph southeast breeze, and it’s just too big and messy for this spot. The swell energy is strong (1805), but it's a washout. Saturday looks a little smaller, but the wind is still all over it. The real hope is for Sunday the 6th. The wind drops out to nothing, leaving it glassy, and we’ve got a proper long-period groundswell from the southwest at 6ft with an 18-second period. This is a very long period swell, which can be a bit much for a beach break and make waves close out, but for a point break like Vredenberg, it could be something special. The energy is strong (2397), and it’s the first real standout on the board. Monday the 7th keeps the swell, with a clean but smaller 6ft, but the wind is a bit more on it.

We go through a flat spell mid-week, with small, junky swell and cross-shore winds. It’s a gap of a few days with nothing to get excited about. Then things start to build again. The swell comes back up for the 10th and 11th, but it’s accompanied by strong cross and cross-onshore winds, making it poor. The energy is there, but the quality is gone. It looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day, to be honest.

Hold on to your boards, because the next real standout looks like the morning of Saturday the 12th. We’re looking at a solid 8ft southwest groundswell with a 16-second period and a light, glassy wind. The combined swell energy is strong, (3745). This is a bigger, powerful swell, so this is for experienced surfers only. It’s going to be big and lined up, but that one’s for the crew who know what they’re doing.

The week after that gets messy again, with a lot of strong winds and building, unsurfable swell. Then, check this out: the forecast for the 17th shows a massive jump in energy, (9261) but it’s all crossed up and onshore. That’s a no.

The final standout is on the morning of Friday the 18th. The swell is still a meaty 10ft, but the wind looks like it finally goes offshore from the east-southeast. The comment even says wind and tide are favorable. The water is still cold, but that SW groundswell with a 15-second period (6044 energy) should be breaking clean down the point. This is a long way out though, so treat it as promising but don’t book your flights yet. It could be a classic, but we'll have to see.

The water temp is 55°F, which is 5°F colder than average for this time of year. It’s gonna be a cold one, so bring the thickest rubber you’ve got.

Overall, there are two real windows to watch out for: Sunday the 6th is for the smaller, cleaner long-period swell, and the morning of Saturday the 12th and Friday the 18th are for the bigger, more powerful stuff. Everything else is either flat, blown out, or too big and messy.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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