Magna Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The long-range looks wild. We’ve got a very slow start, but if this holds, the back half of the window has some serious potential. The first few days are just a tease, really. You’ll be watching the swell charts more than surfing.

Wednesday morning is technically surfable, but it’s not going to get you out of bed. We’re looking at a weak 2 ft SW swell at Magna Tubes. The wind is offshore, which is nice, giving us some clean lines, but the energy is just not there. Sure, the water is about average for this time of year, so it’s not a shock to the system, but it’s pretty marginal. The combined energy is only 462, which is weak. You’d be fighting for scraps.

Thursday afternoon brings a bit more push, with the swell bumping up to 6 ft from the SSW. The period is 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell, and the energy is climbing into the moderate range at 1914. It’s still a bit messy with the tide, but there’s potential for a few. A slight step in the right direction, but I’d still call it a skunk session if you’ve got other things to do.

Friday gets bigger, hitting 7 ft, but the wind swings onshore in the morning and fully onshore by the afternoon. That’s a no-go. The conditions will be junk, and the score reflects it. Saturday is more of the same with onshore winds and poor conditions. Time to do some yard work.

Then we get to Sunday the 13th. This is where it starts to get interesting. The swell is up to 8 ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period. The morning winds are light and cross-offshore, setting up Magna Tubes to be absolutely firing. The energy is strong, hitting 2874, and for experienced surfers, this is going to be the first proper standout. It’s a big, powerful reef break, so you need your wits about you, but if you’re confident, this is the first real taste of what’s to come.

Monday the 14th is another one for the logbook. The swell holds at 8 ft, but the direction swings to the ESE. The period drops a bit to 9-10 seconds, which is a shorter period windswell, but the morning is glassy. An 8 ft wave with zero wind? That’s a rare treat. Light offshore in the afternoon keeps it clean. The energy is still high at around 1500. This is a proper window, just be aware the shorter period means it could be a bit more walled up. Still, a glassy day at a reef is a good day.

We get a bit of a lull on Tuesday the 15th. The swell drops to 5 ft in the morning with glassy conditions, but the energy is weak in comparison. It’s surfable, clean, but nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s where it gets serious. The following week starts to show some serious muscle. Wednesday the 16th kicks off with a strong SW swell at 7 ft and a 16-second period, but the wind is howling from the SW at 28 mph. That’s a lot of chop for a reef. The energy is massive at 4684, but it’s going to be wild out there. This is more for the tow-in crew or the adrenaline junkies, not a fun paddle.

The real standouts are on Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st. Sunday morning sees the swell jump to a solid 13 ft from the SW. The winds are cross-offshore and strong, but it’s going to be a big, powerful, grinding day. The energy is at a massive 6282. This is not for the faint of heart. Monday the 21st is the beast of the window. The swell peaks at a colossal 16 ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. The energy is a monstrous 11499. The wind is moderate and offshore, which is about the only saving grace. This is a one-in-a-blue-moon, experts-only, paddle-out-and-hold-on type of day. If you can handle it, this is the one. Huge, clean, and powerful.

After that, Tuesday the 22nd is a complete write-off with strong onshore winds. But by Wednesday the 23rd, it settles back down into the 5-5 ft range with clean, offshore winds. A nice spot to decompress after the madness of the weekend.

So, the long and short of it: The first week is mostly a wait. The real gems are the glassy Monday the 14th and the epic, huge Monday the 21st. The 21st is the standout, but it’s not for everyone. Remember, this is far out, so treat the big Monday with some caution, but it’s got the potential to be the day of the year.

Rusty out.

Read more