Buffalo Bay Wildside Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Buffalo Bay Wildside.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the long-range forecast is building towards something that could be very special. The first few days are a bit of a tease, with some decent swell but the wind and conditions aren't quite locking in. The water is sitting at 61°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The first real chance of a wave comes Saturday morning, the 5th of September. We’re looking at a 5ft SSW swell with a period of 11 seconds, and a cross-off wind from the ESE at 12 mph. The combined energy is moderate (670). It’s clean, but it’s marginal. The same goes for the afternoon; the swell drops a little and the wind picks up. Not the best, but you could get a few.

Sunday the 6th sees a big jump in size. The morning brings a 8ft SSW swell, with a very long 19-second period, and the combined energy is strong (5113). The wind is cross-off at 16 mph. The afternoon gets even bigger at 10ft, with a 17-second period and massive energy (5772). The problem is, the forecast says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a question mark. The wind is fresh, but the swell is just too much.

Monday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning has a 7ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and combined energy of 2826. The wind is light at 3 mph from the ENE, making it nearly glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar, with a 6ft swell and a light breeze. This is a standout session for the more confident crew.

Tuesday the 8th is a mixed bag. The morning has a 5ft E swell with a short 9-second period, and cross-shore wind. The afternoon is better, with a 3ft SW swell, 12-second period, and a light cross-off wind. The combined energy is moderate (600). It’s a clean, small wave option.

Wednesday the 9th is a write-off. Small onshore swell and poor conditions.

Thursday the 10th is another highlight. The morning is glassy with a 7ft SW swell, 16-second period, and strong energy (1953). The wind is virtually non-existent. That’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 8ft, but the wind switches to a light cross-shore, creating some ripples.

Friday the 11th is messy with onshore wind and rain.

Saturday the 12th is another big day. The morning has a 10ft ESE swell, a short 9-second period, and a fresh cross-off wind. The energy is strong (2261). Again, too big for this break. The afternoon is the same story.

The following week is a mixed bag of onshore winds and marginal conditions, with a few clean windows. Monday the 14th afternoon looks promising with a 7ft SW swell, 13-second period, and a light cross-off wind. Tuesday the 15th morning is too big (10ft), but the afternoon is glassy with a 8ft SW swell and 12-second period. That’s excellent for the experienced.

The real standout, the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Saturday the 19th of September. The morning is forecast to be glassy, with a 13ft S swell, 12-second period, and combined energy of 4901. The afternoon is a 13ft SSE swell, still with clean conditions. The caveat is that it’s predicted to be too big for this break. This is for experts only, and only if you know the place. The swell direction is from the south, which isn’t the optimum SE direction for this spot, but the size and glassy conditions are undeniable.

So, the best bet for the general surfer is Monday the 7th of September for the clean, 7ft SSW swell, or Thursday the 10th of September for the glassy, 7ft SSW swell. The big action on the 19th is for the brave and the skilled.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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