
Surf Forecasts:
Buffalo Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 3,314 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Buffalo Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Buffalo Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Buffalo Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Buffalo Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Buffalo Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
The pattern opens with a bit of a slow start, but don't walk away just yet. We've got some solid energy building through the week, and a few sessions that are going to be absolute crackers. The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is about average for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest rubber.
Sunday, July 5th, is a gentle start. Early morning sees a clean 5ft ESE swell with a long period of 12 seconds – that's a proper groundswell – combined energy is a solid moderate 756. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, so the lines will be holding up well. It's inconsistent here at Buffalo Bay (beach and point), but when a set comes through, it'll be worth the wait. Sunday afternoon turns glassy, with a smooth 4ft, making it a lovely, cruisy session. The swell direction is ESE, which is right on the money for this spot's optimum SE direction.
Monday the 6th is a write-off with onshore winds and messy conditions. Tuesday the 7th though, that's where we start cooking. A 6ft SW groundswell (12 second period) rolls in, and the morning has clean offshore winds from the W. Combined energy is strong at 1076. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with the same size – unreal, smooth lines. This is a standout.
Wednesday the 8th steps it up again. A 7ft to 7ft SW groundswell, with a 13-second period, produces strong energy (1788-2353). Morning offshore winds keep things clean and lined up. For the experienced crew, this is prime.
Thursday the 9th is the big daddy of the run. We’ve got a 10ft SSW groundswell, period hitting 14 seconds, and the combined energy is very strong at 3279. The wind is glassy – dead calm in the morning. This is massive, powerful swell. Over 8ft, this is strictly for experts only. The water will be moving, and those sets will be heavy. If you’re good enough, this is the best on offer.
Friday the 10th sees that same 10ft swell hang around, but the wind swings onshore from the E, scrapping the surface. Saturday the 11th is a bit of a mix, but the afternoon turns clean again with a dropping 6ft SSW swell and cross-off winds – a nice, much more manageable return to form.
Sunday the 12th is another cracker. A new, shorter-period 7ft SE swell (8 seconds) with a strong 1023 energy, but clean offshore WSW winds. This is punchy, fun, and clean. It's a little shorter period, so it might be a bit more dumpy at the beach break sections, but the point will handle it well.
The second week is quieter and less certain, but there are still windows. Monday the 13th is blown out by strong 22 mph offshore winds – big wind for paddle surfing, might be more of a kite day. Tuesday the 14th calms right down with a clean 5ft SE swell – a nice, smaller, glassy morning session. The 16th of July is interesting: a 10ft SSW groundswell with 14-second period and very strong energy (5010) but early cross-shore winds. The afternoon sees the wind go offshore and clean, making it another big, expert-only prospect two weeks out.
Overall, the standouts are clearly Tuesday the 7th for that perfect combo of solid size, clean offshore wind, and strong energy, and Thursday the 9th for the serious, big-wave, glassy session that’s as good as it gets for the experienced crew. Don't sleep on Sunday the 12th either for a clean, punchy day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
518 | 441 | 335 | 865 | 650 | 792 | 986 | 954 | 1460 | 1468 | 1521 | 2529 | 3268 | 2934 | 3207 | 3045 | 2767 | 1523 | 1180 | 819 | 653 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | on | on | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:01PM1.57m | 7:10AM1.40m | 7:43PM1.53m | 7:59AM1.31m | 8:36PM1.48m | 9:05AM1.23m | 9:46PM1.44m | 10:33AM1.20m | 11:10PM1.43m | 12:05PM1.25m | 00:31AM1.50m | 1:19PM1.36m | 1:38AM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:39PM0.27m | 1:14AM0.41m | 1:18PM0.34m | 2:03AM0.46m | 2:05PM0.42m | 3:05AM0.50m | 3:08PM0.50m | 4:23AM0.51m | 4:29PM0.55m | 5:49AM0.47m | 6:00PM0.52m | 7:05AM0.37m | 7:18PM0.42m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
518 | 441 | 335 | 865 | 650 | 792 | 986 | 954 | 1460 | 1468 | 1521 | 2529 | 3268 | 2934 | 3207 | 3045 | 2767 | 1523 | 1180 | 819 | 653 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | — | — | SE 6 | W 12 | ESE 7 |
168 | 99 | 122 | 207 | 180 | 123 | 90 | 57 | 38 | 283 | 594 | 532 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | — | — | 130 | 3 | 145 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 10 | — | E 10 | SSW 20 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 |
238 | 147 | 184 | 1 | 1 | 123 | — | 2 | 127 | 37 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 5 | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 196 | 216 | 331 | 227 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Buffalo Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Buffalo Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Buffalo Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Buffalo Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Buffalo Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Buffalo Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Buffalo Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in Knysna which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Plettenberg Bay which is 36 km (22 miles) away, George, Mossel Bay and Oudtshoorn.










