Bawa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range outlook for Bawa. Let’s cut straight to it.

The next couple of days are pretty messy. We’ve got some decent sized swell pulsing in – 2.2m from the SW with a 17-second period on Sunday (13th September), but that cross-on SSE wind at 9 mph is ruining the party, making everything choppy and chunky. The water is sitting at 86°, which is almost a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you’ll be warm while you get frustrated.

Monday (14th) drops a little in size but stays cross-shore and messy. Honestly, the whole first part of the week is a write-off for good quality waves, with onshore winds and storm risks popping up. Wednesday and Thursday stay in that marginal, cross-shore zone. The combined swell energy through this period is strong, bouncing around 1256 to 2892, but without clean wind, it’s just a washing machine.

The standout window – and I mean the real jewel in this forecast – is Tuesday (15th September). We get an absolute reset: a clean 1.9m to 1.8m (that’s 6ft to 6ft) SSW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy. Both morning and afternoon sessions look mint. This isn’t beginner territory – that 1.9m stuff on a reef and point setup is for the experienced crew, and with crowds only “sometimes,” you might get a few good ones to yourself. The swell direction (SSW) lines up well with Bawa’s optimum SW. If you can get out mid-week, this is the day.

After that, things get quiet for a stretch. The wind comes back onshore from the 16th right through to the 20th September, so the 17th – 20th is basically a write-off. Morning windows on the 21st and 22nd go glassy again, but the swell drops to only 1.6m (5ft) and then a tiny 0.9m (3ft), so the energy is fading (down to 587 by Tuesday 22nd). Still, a 3ft glassy morning at Bawa is a fun log day.

The forecast then builds again into the final week. The morning of Saturday 26th and Sunday 27th look very promising: clean glass or light cross-offshore winds, with a solid 1.7m (6ft) SSW swell and 15-second periods. The combined energy climbs back over 1400, so there’s proper push behind it. The real blockbuster, though, is Monday 28th September. We’re seeing a solid 1.9m to 2.1m (6ft to 7ft) SSW groundswell with a long 18-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and the highest energy of the whole outlook at 3043 to 3358. That’s a powerful, clean, proper groundswell. That 2.1m on a reef/point means it’s expert-only territory, and those long-period swells are best handled there – the wave shape will be top-tier.

So, to sum it up: Thursday through Sunday this week is skunked. Tuesday (15th) is your early win. Then a quiet spell, and the big finish is Monday 28th September – mark that date. It’s a long way off, so the confidence is less certain, but if it holds, it’s the best day on offer.

Stay safe, keep your wits about you on the bigger days, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty

Read more