Cobblestones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s break down this stretch—there’s some proper swell on the cards, but you gotta pick your moments. The start is a bit meh, then we get a clean window, then it turns to mush, and then there’s a cracker of a day hiding in there.

First up, Monday the 14th is ordinary. You’ve got 3.5m of SW swell, but the tide’s iffy and the wind’s cross-off from the ESE at 15 km/h—clean enough, but it just doesn’t gel. Tuesday the 15th is better: 3.0m SW, but the morning picks up an offshore E breeze at only 10 km/h, and the surface is glassy. That’s the pick of the early days—solid, clean, and 14 seconds of period. Not epic, but fun.

Wednesday the 16th eases to 2.0m, dropping to 1.6m by the arvo, but the wind’s cross-off and light—workable for a grovel. Thursday the 17th is the dull one: just 1.6m with a cross-shore chop, not worth it.

Friday the 18th—this is where it heats up, but not in a good way. The swell jumps back to 3.0m, and the morning’s clean with a 15-second period and a fresh NNE cross-off at 30 km/h. But the afternoon turns to heavy rain and a strong cross-on from the SSW at 40 km/h. Total mess. Saturday the 19th is straight-up ugly—4.0m of SW but onshore winds and poor conditions. Don’t even look at it. Sunday the 20th is still big—4.0m—but the cross-shore wind from the NW at 20 km/h keeps it lumpy, even with a 16-second period in the arvo. Raw power, but messy.

Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are blown out with onshore winds—3.0m and 3.5m, but it’s chop city. Skip it.

Now, the standout. Thursday the 24th. This is the day. The swell is 3.5m from the SW with a 15-second period, and the morning wind is offshore from the NE at 20 km/h—moderate but clean. The wave comment says “exceptional” for experts, and I’m with it. This is proper groundswell, lined up and powerful. At this size, it’s strictly advanced—if you’re not charging, stay out. For those who are, it’s the best session of the whole two weeks. The afternoon loses it a bit—the wind swings cross-on from the S at 20 km/h—so hit it early.

There’s another potential standout further out, but it’s a gamble. On Saturday the 26th, we’ve got a massive 4.5m SW swell with a 19-second period—that’s very long period, serious energy. The morning wind is cross-off from the ESE at 20 km/h, so it’s clean, but that long period might make it break a bit too straight at this reef. Still, at that size, it’s going to be thumping. But it’s over a week away, so take it with a grain of salt. The energy levels are huge—14,648 units—so there’s no shortage of push.

Sunday the 27th drops to 3.0m but gets a 16-second period and gentle offshore winds in the arvo—clean and lined up, but not as heavy.

Water temps are about average for the season—nothing crazy, so a 3/2 works.

Crowds at Cobblestones are sometimes a factor, but on Thursday the 24th, the size will keep the crowd thin. This break is consistent, so you can rely on it.

Just remember: when the swell pushes past 2.5m, like on Friday the 18th, Saturday the 19th, and again on the 26th, that’s expert-only territory. Don’t get in over your head.

Bottom line—the first week has one clean morning on Tuesday, but the real prize is Thursday the 24th. Big, clean, offshore, and powerful. That’s your session. The end of the month has potential, but it’s too far out to bank on. Check the tides, be patient, and if you can get out Thursday morning, don’t miss it.

Rusty out.

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