Cobblestones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The long-range charts have been showing a lot of juice for Cobblestones, but it’s a classic case of too much of a good thing for a while. This reef is going to be absolutely slabbin’ for the first stretch, but it’s going to be way over everyone’s head, even the locals. We’re talking a serious pulse of southwest groundswell that’s just going to be too big and unruly.

The opening days are a write-off for paddling. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are seeing massive, powerful swell in the 23ft range early, with strong onshore winds. It’s going to be a foaming, blown-out mess. You’d be mad to even think about it. The energy is insane, but it’s just raw, un-rideable power. The onshore flow is going to be howling.

We get a bit of a breather Monday the 10th, but it’s still big and ugly with the wind remaining on it. Tuesday the 11th brings another massive pulse, with the energy meter peaking at a massive 47374. Again, the comments say it’s too big for the break. You’d need a jet ski and a death wish. The water is also running a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, which is notable, but you won’t feel it while you’re getting drilled.

The middle of the week, from Wednesday the 12th through Thursday the 13th, the swell backs down a touch but it’s still in that heavy zone, and the winds stay messy. Thursday afternoon shows a bit of promise as the wind drops light, but it’s still a solid 15ft of southwest swell, and the period jumps to 17 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, which at a reef like this could be a thing of beauty, but it’s still too much juice for most. The tide is also a question mark.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The standout window is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. This is the one to circle. The swell eases to a still-chunky 11-13ft, and more importantly, the wind goes light offshore from the north. This is the combo we dream about. Friday morning looks the cleanest, with a cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions. The swell direction is still SSW, which is right in the sweet spot for this reef. It’s going to be a serious, heavy, expert-only wave, but for those guys, it will be perfection. Saturday morning looks smaller, but Saturday afternoon sees another pulse of west swell and clean conditions, which could be just as good.

Sunday the 16th, things taper off a bit with some lumpy conditions, but Monday the 17th is another promising one. The swell jumps back up to 16ft with a 17-second period and a light offshore wind. That’s another day for the big-wave crew only. The potential is there for some absolutely epic, grinding barrels.

After that, the wheels come off again. The wind howls from the west on Tuesday the 18th, and we’re back to blown-out conditions. The rest of that week into the weekend is a mix of onshore winds and dropping swell, with the size fading fast. By the 22nd and 23rd, we’re down to 7-10ft of sloppy, wind-affected surf. It’s a disappointing end to what started with so much promise.

So, to keep it simple: if you’re an expert, you live for the 14th, 15th, and 17th of August. Those are the standouts. The rest is either too big, too messy, or both. For everyone else, the next couple of weeks are a write-off.

Rusty.

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