Cobblestones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming our way for Cobblestones. We've got a solid run of swell on the cards, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story for a good stretch. The water is sitting at 67° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that's a nice little bonus.

We kick things off on Sunday the 16th of August with a bit of a tease. The swell is a solid 10 feet from the WSW, carrying a massive 3946 units of energy, but it's a cross-off shore breeze and the call is marginal. It's not the cleanest start, but it's a sign of things to come. Then Monday and Tuesday get messy with strong onshore winds and heavy rain, pushing the swell up to 18 feet with over 10,000 units of energy but blowing it all out. That's a write-off for paddle surfing – that kind of power and wind is more suited to kites than a surfboard.

We start to see a glimmer of hope on Thursday the 20th. The swell drops to a still hefty 13 feet from the WSW with a long 16-second period and 7954 units of energy. The wind is onshore, but light, and the commentary says it's marginal. The real action starts to build for the weekend. Friday the 21st sees the swell drop to 12 feet from the SW (14s), and the wind is light, but the call is still marginal.

Now, here's the standout. Saturday morning, the 22nd of August. The conditions set up perfectly for Cobblestones. We've got a 12-foot swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period, packing 5334 units of energy. But the real magic is the wind – it's glassy, dead calm. For a reef break like this, that's a dream. The commentary calls it exceptional for expert surfers, and that's exactly what it is. An 12-foot groundswell with that period and no wind will be a sight to see. Expect some serious power and long, waiting sets. This is the one to circle.

After that, the wind starts to play up again on Sunday the 23rd with a cross-shore, but the swell holds in the 13 to 15-foot range. Things clean up again for the start of the following week. Monday the 24th of August offers up a solid 8 to 10-foot swell from the WSW with a 12-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. The commentary says excellent for experienced surfers, which is a solid call.

We then get a bit of a lull into the second week. Tuesday the 25th sees a 6 to 8-foot swell from the WSW with a long 17-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off. It's marginal, but the conditions are clean. The energy drops a bit but is still there. The consistency gets a bit patchy from Wednesday the 26th to Saturday the 30th, with the wind picking up again and making things lumpy and choppy, despite the swell hanging around the 7 to 12-foot range.

The final note on the horizon is Monday the 31st of August. The models are showing a massive 18-foot groundswell from the WSW with a 17-second period, and a colossal 17,033 units of energy. The commentary says the wind is favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. We're talking about a serious, serious amount of water moving. That's an experts-only, maybe even a "don't even think about it" day, unless you're towing in. Something to watch, but for now, it's a promise of power that's likely out of reach for a standard paddle session.

So, to sum it up: The first week is a story of waiting for the wind to play nice, with that Saturday morning the 22nd being the absolute gold. The second week is more inconsistent and wind-affected, but the energy is still there. Keep an eye on that final day of the month, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty, signing off.

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