Cobblestones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Cobblestones is the only spot in the mix for the next 16 days, and it’s a reef break that’s no place for the faint-hearted. The swell is gonna be pumping, but the wind is going to be a real bastard for the first week, so we’ve gotta be patient. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no worries there.

Right now, we’re looking at a big, ugly start. From Wednesday the 2nd into the weekend, we’ve got a solid 12ft to 16ft SW swell hammering in, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and strong. Wednesday morning is a total write-off with 16 mph SW winds and poor conditions. The combined swell energy is huge, hitting 4447 (moderate-to-strong), but it’s just messy. That pattern sticks through Saturday the 5th, with Friday afternoon’s 16ft WSW swell (energy of 11262 – very strong) being the only glimmer, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth paddling out for.

Sunday the 6th afternoon is a tease. We’ve got a 16ft SW swell, a 17-second period, and clear skies, but the wind is cross-onshore from the S at 12 mph. The wave comment says it’s too big for this break, and with an energy reading of 15047 (very strong), it’s a beast. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s pushing it.

Monday the 7th is a bit better. The morning has a 13ft SW swell with a 16-second period and light WSW winds, but it’s onshore. The energy is still strong at 8031. It’s marginal, but a 7/10 score internally suggests it’s the best of a dodgy bunch so far.

Now, here’s the standout. Tuesday the 8th morning is the one. The swell is 16ft from the SW, with a 19-second period – that’s very long-period groundswell. The wind is light from the ENE at 6 mph and offshore. The energy is off the charts at 16423 (very strong). The wave comment says it’s too big for this break, but for an expert on a reef, that’s a proper session. The conditions are clean, and the offshore wind is a major positive. This is a true standout, but only for the skilled crew. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect a few locals out.

After that, we get a real dry spell. The 9th through the 11th are all marginal or poor, with strong cross-offshore winds and dropping swell. The 10th Thursday morning has a glassy 7ft WSW swell (energy 2903 – moderate), which is a great window for experienced surfers, but the swell is smaller and the period is long, so it might be a bit walled at the reef.

The 13th Sunday morning is another highlight. A 12ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light ESE cross-offshore winds, and clean conditions. The energy is 5339 (moderate-to-strong), and the wave comment says it’s exceptional for expert surfers. This is a promising one, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

The 17th Thursday morning is the final standout. A 13ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, glassy conditions with no wind, and an energy of 8407 (strong). The wave comment says exceptional for experts. If the wind stays glassy, this could be the best of the whole run, but it’s 16 days out, so it’s a long-range hope.

Overall, Cobblestones is a spot for advanced surfers only. The first week is a write-off with windy, messy conditions. The best bets are Tuesday the 8th morning for a big, clean groundswell, and the 13th and 17th for more manageable but still expert-level swells. There’s a gap of a few days after the 8th where it’s not worth it, so pick your windows.

Rusty.

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