Surf Forecasts:
Shipstern Bluff surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 20,720 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shipstern Bluff this week:
The surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shipstern Bluff in the next 16 days are 6.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s get into it.
We’ve got a solid window of activity coming up for Shipstern Bluff, but we’ve got to wade through a bit of a wait first. The near-term is a bit of a mixed bag.
The first real sniff of something decent is Saturday, September 5th, and it’s a big one. The morning session is where it’s at. A solid 8 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16 second period is pumping in. The combined energy is a massive 2,856 – that’s serious grunt. The wind is a light 9 mph from the NE, blowing cross-offshore, keeping the face clean. The catch? This is a world-class reef for experts only. At 8 ft, it’s pushing into the big territory, so it’s a full-on adrenaline session. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report. The afternoon sees the swell drop to 7 ft and the wind shift to a light cross-shore, but the quality drops off due to tide concerns.
The standout, the one you’d burn a sickie for, is Saturday, September 12th. The morning session is a true gem. The swell is still a hefty 16 ft from the SSW with a 16 second period, and the energy is off the charts at 12,868. The wind is a light 6 mph from the NW, blowing cross-offshore. That’s glassy, clean conditions on a massive, powerful reef wave. This is an expert-only, high-stakes session. The crowd factor is rare, so you’ll have it nearly to yourself. It’s hard to beat that.
Before that, Sunday, September 13th morning has a much more manageable 6 ft SW swell with clean offshore winds from the NNW at 6 mph. The energy is a moderate 2,009 – a nice, approachable size for the experienced surfer looking for a solid session without the life-or-death commitment.
The rest of the run is a mix of waiting and cleaning up. Early in the run, the wind gets nasty on Monday the 7th and Wednesday the 9th, with near gale-force winds making it a write-off. The mid-week of the 10th and 11th sees a massive swell (16 ft to 20 ft) but with lumpy cross-shore winds, making it challenging even for the best. The very end of the forecast, around the 18th and 19th, offers some smaller, cleaner leftovers in the 4 ft to 5 ft range, but nothing that will blow your mind.
So, bottom line: the hands-down best is Saturday, September 12th morning. The Sunday, September 5th morning is a close second for a raw, powerful session. Everything else is a story of waiting for the wind to play nice or the monster swell to organize.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the SW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon night, near gales from the WSW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 8 | SSW 9 | SW 11 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4171 | 2856 | 1880 | 711 | 722 | 308 | 205 | 1384 | 1230 | 1457 | 972 | 2621 | 5819 | 6953 | 17606 | 18588 | 20720 | 15310 | 7044 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:55AM0.70m | 1:04PM1.15m | 4:01AM0.70m | 2:00PM1.18m | 4:57AM0.70m | 2:57PM1.18m | 5:44AM0.70m | 3:53PM1.16m | 6:25AM0.71m | 4:50PM1.11m | 7:00AM0.73m | 5:46PM1.03m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:21AM0.62m | 8:57PM0.06m | 7:16AM0.63m | 9:54PM0.04m | 8:14AM0.62m | 10:48PM0.05m | 9:16AM0.61m | 11:37PM0.09m | 10:20AM0.58m | 00:22AM0.15m | 11:27AM0.55m | 1:02AM0.23m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | — | 5 | 20 | 9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | -4 | -1 | -1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 21 | S 20 | SW 10 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | — | SSW 19 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 4171 | 2856 | 1880 | 711 | 722 | 308 | 205 | 45 | 204 | 433 | 972 | 2621 | — | 5200 | — | 17401 | 11561 | 7621 | 5965 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 7 | NE 8 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 8 | E 8 | S 8 | SW 11 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 19 | 9 | 67 | 47 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 124 | 216 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SSW 19 | S 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 43 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 657 | 60 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | SSE 6 | — | — | W 3 | SW 8 | SSW 9 | SW 11 | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | — | 9 | 12 | 175 | — | — | 4 | 1384 | 1230 | 1457 | — | — | 5819 | 6953 | 17606 | 18588 | 20720 | 15310 | 7044 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 26 | 250 | 35 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 30 | 886 | 1588 | 36 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shipstern Bluff Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shipstern Bluff provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shipstern Bluff can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shipstern Bluff surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shipstern Bluff) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Shipstern Bluff is 11 km (7 miles) from Port Arthur. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Arthur. Port Arthur has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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