Surf Forecasts:
Shipstern Bluff surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,459 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shipstern Bluff this week:
The surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shipstern Bluff in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s run through this one in feet and miles.
We’ve got a long forecast window, but the start is quiet. The first real chance comes Monday the 14th.
Monday morning at Shipstern Bluff, we’re looking at a clean 3ft of southwest swell, 13-second period. Wind is cross-off from the northwest at 9 mph. The water will be tidy. Swell energy is moderate (242), but that’s small for this spot. It’s a start, not a standout.
Monday afternoon and Tuesday are rough. Winds pick up, and Tuesday morning the 15th has 8ft of southwest swell but with a lumpy cross-shore wind. Tuesday afternoon is worse: 12ft, near gale cross-onshore, blown to pieces. Wednesday the 16th stays messy with strong cross-onshore wind and 13ft of swell. Not the place to be.
Thursday the 17th morning is questionable. 10ft of southwest swell, period 14 seconds, with a cross wind at 19 mph. Lumpy. Energy is strong (6340), but conditions aren’t friendly.
Now, the real standout is Tuesday the 22nd. That’s the day. Tuesday morning: 10ft of SSW groundswell, 16-second period. Light cross-off wind from the northwest at 9 mph. Clean. Swell energy is strong (4957). This is classic Shipstern. Experts only at this size. Tuesday afternoon is even better: glassy conditions, 6ft of SSW groundswell at 15 seconds. Light air from the south-southwest. As clean as it gets. That’s the pick.
Wednesday the 23rd keeps it going. Gentle offshore winds, 6ft in the morning, 5ft in the afternoon. Clean and lined up.
After that, Thursday the 24th gets a bit wind-affected, but Saturday the 26th afternoon is a sleeper: moderate offshore breeze, 3ft of SSW groundswell at 16 seconds. Small, but very clean.
Then Sunday the 27th morning – big one. 13ft of southwest groundswell with a 19-second period. Combined energy is extreme (10447). Wind is cross-off but strong at 25 mph. It’s clean, but that size and period at a reef like Shipstern is for absolute experts only.
Late in the forecast, Monday the 28th afternoon and Tuesday the 29th offer a break. Tuesday morning the 29th is glassy, 5ft of short-period south swell (9 seconds), but clean.
Water temp is 55°, about 1° warmer than usual – nothing wild, pretty normal for the season. Shipstern is a reef break, fairly consistent, exposed to southwest swell, which is exactly what it wants. Crowds are rare.
Best of the best: Tuesday the 22nd, morning and afternoon. Glassy or light offshore, quality groundswell. For the brave, Sunday the 27th morning is a massive swell event, but only for the very skilled.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, near gales from the SW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 180 | 136 | 614 | 1570 | 4385 | 6957 | 6206 | 5673 | 3887 | 4011 | 7544 | 3669 | 2969 | 2647 | 1690 | 1972 | 2784 | 3745 | 2098 | 1370 | 4767 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 10:17PM0.68m | 9:21AM0.93m | 11:47PM0.64m | 9:53AM0.95m | 1:23AM0.64m | 10:30AM0.97m | 11:13AM0.98m | 3:26AM0.64m | 12:00PM0.99m | 3:37AM0.65m | 12:50PM1.01m | 3:57AM0.65m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:01PM0.37m | 2:42AM0.57m | 5:01PM0.33m | 2:53AM0.61m | 5:54PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.63m | 6:43PM0.28m | 7:28PM0.26m | 4:19AM0.64m | 8:11PM0.25m | 5:37AM0.64m | 8:52PM0.23m | |||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 9 | 6 | 0 | -4 | -4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 12 | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | E 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 180 | 136 | 614 | 1570 | 3 | 7 | 24 | — | — | 2939 | 2987 | 3669 | 2969 | 2647 | 1690 | 1972 | 4 | 3745 | 2098 | 1370 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | E 13 | NE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | E 14 | SE 14 | ENE 13 | E 13 | NE 6 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 6 | — | — | — | — | SE 13 | — |
| kJ | 30 | 32 | 31 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 3 | — | WNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | SW 15 | — | N 3 | WNW 3 | SW 13 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 57 | 229 | 4385 | 6957 | 6206 | 5673 | 3887 | 4011 | 7544 | 4 | — | 7 | 24 | 5 | 2784 | — | 7 | 5 | 4767 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 47 | 47 | 41 | 1299 | 101 | 250 | 30 | 30 | 41 | 41 | 101 | 26 | 561 | 598 | 41 | 35 | 0 | 26 | 608 | 571 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shipstern Bluff Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shipstern Bluff provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shipstern Bluff can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shipstern Bluff surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shipstern Bluff) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Shipstern Bluff is 11 km (7 miles) from Port Arthur. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Arthur. Port Arthur has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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