Surf Forecasts:
Shipstern Bluff surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,146 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shipstern Bluff this week:
The surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shipstern Bluff in the next 16 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s brewing at Shipstern Bluff (Tasmania). This is a serious, advanced reef, wide open to the south-west. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is just a tick above the norm for this time of year – nothing drastic. The next few days are a mixed bag, but there are some absolute crackers if you’re patient.
Wednesday afternoon, the 5th of August, is a dud – a weak 4ft cross-on swell from the ESE, only 8 seconds, combined energy of 395. Messy and poor. Thursday the 6th is much the same, with cross winds and marginal surf. Friday the 7th is where it all changes. The morning brings a clean 4ft SSW swell, 16 seconds, light cross-off wind, and combined energy of 906. The real beauty is Friday afternoon – glassy, a 3ft SSW swell with a massive 19-second period, and combined energy of 1028. That’s excellent, clean surf for the experienced crew. The long period gives those waves serious punch.
Saturday the 8th holds clean with offshore winds and a 4ft SW swell, 15 to 16 seconds, energy 783 to 700. Very good. Sunday the 9th drops to a tiny 2ft, clean but small.
Then Monday the 10th brings a gale – strong onshore SW winds at 28 mph, a 5ft SSW swell, but combined energy is 1425 to 1275. It’s messy and lumpy, not surfable. Tuesday the 11th cleans up with offshore winds and a 3ft SW swell, 14 seconds, energy 346 to 360 – good but small.
Wednesday the 12th turns wild – strong cross winds, 7ft to 10ft SSW swell, 17 to 18 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 2796 then 4579. The wind ruins it. Thursday the 13th is absolute mayhem – 18ft to 16ft SSW swell, 17 to 18 seconds, combined energy of 17,014 to 17,029. The wind is favourable, but the size is only for the gnarliest chargers. Over 8ft, it’s expert-only. For most, it’s more of a kite-surfing spectacle.
Friday the 14th is still huge but cleaner – 11ft to 10ft SSW, 17 seconds, cross-off winds, energy 6058 to 4740. Marginal but big. Saturday the 15th is onshore and messy. Sunday the 16th is a welcome relief – 6ft SSW swell, 15 seconds, light cross-off wind, energy 1462. Clean and excellent. Monday the 17th offers a 7ft SE swell, 10 seconds, offshore winds, energy 1400. Clean but big for beginners.
Tuesday the 18th is the standout of the second week – morning brings 4ft SSW, 19 seconds, offshore, energy 2441. The afternoon is even better: 6ft SSW, 18 seconds, gentle offshore, energy 3327. Clean, powerful, and perfect. After that, Wednesday the 19th has some clean options but the swell shifts east, and Thursday the 20th fades out with messy onshore winds.
Best on offer is Friday the 7th afternoon – glassy, long-period groundswell, and clean. Tuesday the 18th is a close second, with offshore winds and solid SSW swell. Crowds are rare here, so you’ll have it mostly to yourself.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed night, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sun night, light winds from the W by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 376 | 375 | 289 | 644 | 808 | 687 | 954 | 853 | 523 | 346 | 144 | 172 | 1134 | 1458 | 1294 | 1273 | 752 | 606 | 853 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | on | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 00:51AM0.72m | 12:45PM1.07m | 2:19AM0.69m | 1:32PM1.15m | 3:43AM0.68m | 2:23PM1.21m | 5:00AM0.67m | 3:16PM1.25m | 6:09AM0.67m | 4:10PM1.27m | 7:10AM0.66m | 5:05PM1.26m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:02AM0.45m | 8:04PM0.22m | 6:46AM0.51m | 9:09PM0.12m | 7:33AM0.55m | 10:11PM0.04m | 8:21AM0.58m | 11:11PM-0.00m | 9:12AM0.60m | 00:08AM-0.02m | 10:07AM0.61m | 1:03AM0.01m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 283 | 375 | 289 | 644 | 808 | 687 | 954 | 853 | 523 | 346 | 144 | 108 | 1134 | 1458 | 1294 | 1273 | 752 | 606 | 853 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SW 14 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 |
| kJ | 162 | 166 | 124 | 140 | 64 | 285 | 96 | 50 | 44 | 15 | 121 | 172 | 117 | 212 | 175 | 109 | 387 | 313 | 286 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SW 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 7 | SE 15 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 12 | E 12 | — | — | NE 10 | SE 15 | SW 24 |
| kJ | 35 | 49 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 8 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 96 | 9 | 143 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 4 | SW 4 | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 8 | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | — | — | NNW 2 |
| kJ | 376 | 55 | 80 | 21 | 9 | 8 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 40 | 113 | 244 | 60 | 191 | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 608 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Shipstern Bluff Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shipstern Bluff provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shipstern Bluff can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shipstern Bluff surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shipstern Bluff) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Shipstern Bluff is 11 km (7 miles) from Port Arthur. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Arthur. Port Arthur has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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