Shipstern Bluff Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.20° S 147.72° E

Issued: 9 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shipstern Bluff sea temperature is
13.4° C

1.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Shipstern Bluff surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shipstern Bluff surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 19s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 19s period, SSW swell with 3,341 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shipstern Bluff this week:

The surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shipstern Bluff in the next 16 days are 2.2m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 19s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shipstern Bluff over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G'day, Rusty here. We've got a wild ride ahead at Shipstern Bluff. This isn't a beginner's wave; it's a heavy, exposed reef that only comes alive for the experienced crew. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises there.

The week kicks off on Monday, July 6th, with a solid 7ft SSW groundswell. The morning has a light offshore breeze, making for excellent, clean conditions. The combined swell energy is pumping at (1728), so you'll feel the power. This continues into the afternoon with a glassy 6ft SSW swell (1206 energy). It's excellent for experienced surfers.

Tuesday morning, July 7th, holds a 6ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period and a cross-offshore breeze, keeping it clean (1643 energy). But by Tuesday afternoon, the wind swings cross-onshore, and the wave quality drops out with a 7ft swell (3496 energy). Avoid it then.

The standout is Wednesday, July 8th. The morning brings a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and light offshore wind, delivering clean, powerful lines with massive (3224) energy. The afternoon remains clean with a 7ft SSW swell (2998 energy). This is the best on offer for the week – a true big-wave session for experts only, as it's over 7ft.

Thursday, July 9th, the swell drops to 4ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon, both with long periods and clean conditions (807 and 824 energy). Friday, July 10th, continues the trend with 5ft and 4ft SSW swells, clean with offshore winds (945 and 843 energy). Both days are very good.

The weekend sees the swell fade. Saturday, July 11th, has a clean 3ft SW swell, but a fresh 30 km/h offshore wind makes it a bit wild (378 energy). Sunday, July 12th, is a write-off with small, messy, cross-onshore conditions.

The following week looks patchy. Monday, July 13th, is blown out by strong winds. Tuesday, July 14th, is marginal but clean with a 3ft SW swell (953 energy). Wednesday, July 15th, is a no-go with a near-gale blowing. Thursday, July 16th, sees a return to clean but marginal 5ft SSW swell (1465 energy). Friday, July 17th, brings clean 4ft SW swell in the morning (877 energy) and a surprising 4ft ESE swell in the afternoon (1242 energy) with light offshore wind.

Saturday, July 18th, is a potential second standout: a clean 5ft SSW groundswell with a 17-second period and moderate offshore wind (1732 energy). It's excellent for experienced surfers. After that, the run fades into smaller, wind-affected, or messy conditions through to Tuesday, July 21st, where the models are showing a massive 16ft S groundswell (20052 energy), but the wind and size make it un-surfable at this spot.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sun
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
0
2
5
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
15
2.1
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
16
2
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
16
2.2
SSW
18
2.2
SSW
17
1.6
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
15
1.6
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
0.9
SW
14
1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.8
SW
12
0.6
SW
11
0.3
SSW
23
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3371
1728
1206
862
1608
1956
1429
3173
2998
1305
791
576
1438
945
843
350
368
363
175
103
107
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
NNW
0
SW
15
NW
15
NW
25
SW
10
SSE
10
N
5
ENE
10
NNW
15
NNW
5
NE
15
NNW
15
N
15
N
25
N
30
N
30
N
30
NNE
20
SW
20
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:25PM0.83m
11:05PM0.88m
12:54PM0.92m
00:23AM0.81m
1:29PM1.01m
1:49AM0.74m
2:08PM1.10m
3:19AM0.70m
2:51PM1.19m
4:47AM0.68m
3:38PM1.25m
6:13AM0.67m
4:29PM1.30m
Low Tide
5:24AM0.20m
5:34PM0.59m
6:00AM0.24m
6:56PM0.49m
6:39AM0.30m
8:10PM0.36m
7:21AM0.38m
9:18PM0.23m
8:04AM0.46m
10:22PM0.10m
8:48AM0.53m
11:25PM0.01m
9:32AM0.58m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:45
4:46
4:46
4:47
4:49
4:49
4:50
 mm
2
1
5
6
Temp °C
8
7
8
10
10
11
10
9
10
10
11
11
10
11
13
10
13
14
13
10
9
Feels °C
6
4
6
4
6
6
6
7
8
7
8
8
7
6
9
4
6
7
6
6
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSW
15
2.1
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
16
2.2
SSW
18
2.2
SSW
17
1.6
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
15
1.6
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
0.9
SW
14
1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.8
SW
12
0.6
SW
11
0.4
SSW
11
Energy kJ
3371
1728
1206
862
1608
1517
1429
3173
2998
1305
791
576
1438
945
843
350
368
363
175
103
47
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
10
0.1
E
13
0.1
E
10
0.8
SSW
19
0.3
ESE
11
0.3
ESE
11
0.4
SSW
22
0.8
SSE
6
0.5
E
10
0.6
S
7
0.5
E
10
0.5
S
20
0.4
ESE
7
0.4
E
11
0.4
ENE
11
0.5
SSW
17
0.3
NE
5
0.2
E
12
0.1
E
10
0.2
SSW
18
0.4
SW
16
Energy kJ
8
3
2
476
22
23
166
51
51
37
51
196
18
35
37
172
4
11
2
30
65
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
10
0.4
ESE
11
0.5
E
11
0.3
E
14
0.5
E
9
0.4
SSE
7
0.5
ESE
10
0.2
E
9
0.4
NE
6
0.2
ESE
10
0.1
E
9
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.3
SSW
23
Energy kJ
2
38
59
33
40
16
52
7
8
10
2
5
5
107
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WSW
4
2
SSW
16
0.4
ENE
7
0.5
N
4
0.3
NNW
3
0.3
NNW
3
0.4
NE
6
0.8
NE
6
1.1
NE
5
1.5
NE
6
Energy kJ
13
1956
21
7
1
2
11
56
62
133
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
Distance (km)
0
0
0
0
0
26
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
29
36
36
47
26
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
8
7
5
5
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
4
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
6
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
6
7
8
8
6
9
6
4
9
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shipstern Bluff Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shipstern Bluff provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shipstern Bluff can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shipstern Bluff surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shipstern Bluff) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shipstern Bluff may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Shipstern Bluff is 11 km (7 miles) from Port Arthur. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Arthur. Port Arthur has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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