Shipstern Bluff Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it—this is a solid run of heavy, raw, and serious swell for the big kids. The only break on the radar for the next 16 days is a Tasmanian heavyweight that doesn’t mess around. If you’re not absolutely dialed in, this stretch is gonna chew you up. Let’s get into it.

We kick off Friday, July 24th, with some serious energy. The water’s sitting at 55.6°, which is about 1.8° warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing crazy, but it’s a touch mild for the middle of winter. Morning sees a big 16.4 ft SW swell (15-second period) with a massive 17215 combined energy reading. That’s a proper beast. But the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, so it’s lumpy and messy. That afternoon, the swell drops to 8.2 ft from the SSW, still 15 seconds, but the wind swings WNW at 25 mph—strong cross-off, so it cleans up but it’s still a handful. Honestly, the morning is too big for most, and the afternoon is marginal.

Saturday, July 25th, is a write-off for the morning: 9.8 ft SSW swell, 25 mph cross-on wind, total choppy mess. The afternoon, though, is worth a mention. Swell drops to 5.2 ft SW at 12 seconds, wind swings light WNW at 6 mph, and it’s clean. That’s a solid window for experienced surfers only—this is still a reef, and it’s not a place for learners.

Sunday, July 26th, has a clean morning with 4.6 ft SW swell (11 seconds) and 12 mph cross-off wind, but it’s low energy (496 combined energy) and pretty marginal. The afternoon offers 5.9 ft SW at 10 seconds, but it’s cross-shore and bumpy.

Monday, July 27th, the morning stays small and clean (4.6 ft, 11 seconds, 487 energy), but the afternoon ticks up to 5.9 ft SW at a long 14 seconds, with a gentle NNW breeze. That’s a clean, solid window for the experienced crew.

Tuesday, July 28th, the morning is clean with 4.9 ft SSW at 14 seconds, but a fresh 19 mph cross-off wind makes it a bit of a battle. The afternoon is clean but the wind ramps up to 28 mph—that’s a no-go.

Wednesday, July 29th, forget it. Onshore winds and lumpy surf all day.

Thursday, July 30th, the morning is cross-shore and average, but the afternoon cleans up with 6.6 ft SSW at 11 seconds and a moderate cross-off wind. It’s marginal but rideable.

Friday, July 31st, the morning is clean with 5.6 ft SSW at 13 seconds and a gentle breeze—decent. The afternoon is the standout of the first week: 4.3 ft SSW at 12 seconds, clean, light wind, and a very good surf call. It’s small, but for this break, that’s a clean, manageable size.

Now, into the second week, the real magic starts to line up. Saturday, August 1st, is a top pick. Morning has 4.9 ft SSW at a very long 16 seconds, with a 12 mph offshore wind—clean, moderate offshore. The afternoon is even better: 5.6 ft SSW at 16 seconds, light N wind at 6 mph, glassy offshore. That’s a Saturday session to remember.

Sunday, August 2nd, the morning is offshore with 5.9 ft SSW at 17 seconds, but a fresh 19 mph breeze makes it punchy. The afternoon is cleaner with 5.2 ft at 17 seconds and a moderate offshore breeze—excellent conditions.

Monday, August 3rd, morning is a gem: 4.3 ft SSW at a massive 19-second period, light WNW breeze, clean. That’s groundswell gold, but that long period and small size mean it’ll be long lines and long lulls. The afternoon goes onshore, so get in early.

Tuesday, August 4th, the afternoon is a standout: 7.9 ft SSW at 16 seconds, gentle offshore, clean. That’s a big, clean, powerful session for experts.

Wednesday, August 5th, morning is marginal, afternoon is a cross-shore mess.

Thursday, August 6th, morning is a monster: 13.1 ft SSW at 17 seconds, 9026 combined energy. That’s insane power. The wind is moderate cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s too big for anyone but the absolute elite. The afternoon is 9.8 ft at 16 seconds, still huge.

Friday, August 7th, is messy with cross-shore and onshore winds.

Saturday, August 8th, the afternoon is a solid finish: 4.9 ft SSW at 15 seconds, moderate offshore, clean. A good way to wrap it up.

The standout windows are the Saturday afternoon, August 1st, and the Monday morning, August 3rd, for the best combo of clean conditions and that long-period groundswell. The Thursday morning

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