Surfers Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and here’s the outlook for Surfers Point (reef). We’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks, with the real magic happening in the second half. Let’s break it down.

First off, the water temp is sitting around 64°F, which feels pretty much average for this time of year, so no shock to the system there.

Right now, we’re dealing with a bit of a messy start. Saturday the 12th is a write-off – a solid 10ft swell on the way, but that 15 mph west wind has it blown out and ugly. The combined wave energy is pumping at 3597, but there’s no point even looking at it for a paddle. You won’t want to be out there.

Sunday the 13th is more of the same, with that 10ft to 12ft WSW swell, but the wind is still howling cross-onshore, making it choppy and unpleasant. The energy jumps up to 5603 in the afternoon, but it’s just a messy, powerful beast. Not for us.

We finally see a shift Monday morning, the 14th. The wind swings to a 9 mph offshore from the SE, and while the 13ft SW swell is still a big lump of water, it cleans up decently with that cross-off wind. The energy is huge at 5902, so this is strictly for the experienced crew. It’s still a bit on the edge of being too much, but it’s our first real windows.

Now, Tuesday the 15th is where it gets interesting. Monday night’s wind cleaned things up perfectly, and we wake up to glassy conditions with the ENE breeze at just 3 mph and a 10ft SW groundswell at 14 seconds. This is *excellent*. It’s a proper groundswell – long period, packing a serious punch with 4009 in energy. This kind of swell loves a reef setup, so it’s going to be lining up beautifully for the experienced lads. The afternoon holds clean too with a light 6 mph SE breeze. This is one of the real standouts of the window. Get on it.

The middle of the week tails off a bit. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th see the swell drop back to 5ft to 7ft, but the winds get messy again – cross-shore and cross-onshore, with the chop coming back. Not really worth driving for.

Friday the 18th is a full washout. A 10ft swell is back, but it’s accompanied by 15 mph cross winds and then 31 mph gales from the SW in the afternoon. With energy at 7610 and a near-gale, this is kite-surf territory, not paddle-surf.

The next *true standout* looks to be Sunday the 20th. We’re talking a massive 15ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and a staggering 9225 energy reading in the morning. The wind is a glassy, light 3 mph from the west. That is ridiculous. It is absolutely huge, though – this is big-wave territory, expert only. It will be heaving down the reef, but you need to know what you're doing. The afternoon stays solid at 15ft with a 9 mph cross-shore, a touch of chop, but still pumping.

Monday the 21st keeps the goods going with a 13ft SW swell at 16 seconds and clean 12 mph NNE offshore winds. Massive, clean, and powerful. This is the other piece of the puzzle for the big-wave chargers.

After that, the wind starts to get messy again through the 22nd and 23rd, with cross-onshore winds making the 12ft to 13ft swells a bit lumpy. Still plenty of energy, but the quality drops.

Then we get one more absolute monster on Thursday the 24th. The finder file says the swell is predicted to be too big for the break. We’re looking at an 18ft WSW groundswell with an *18-second* period and an insane 18995 energy reading. That is a world-class, life-threatening ocean. If you have to ask if you should go, you shouldn’t. That’s for a tiny handful of absolute legends only. The afternoon sees the swell drop slightly to 17ft but with clean 15 mph SSE cross-off winds – still enormous.

The last few days from the 25th to the 27th see the swell slowly wind down from 12ft to 5ft. The wind is mostly favorable and clean, offering some nice, smaller windows for the average punter to get a few clean ones as the ocean settles.

So, the pick of the weeks? Without a doubt, Tuesday September 15 for the clean, perfect 10ft conditions for the experienced surfer. For the absolute big-wave spectacle, Sunday September 20 and Monday September 21 are the days to circle. But remember, that’s all for experts only.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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