Surfers Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and it’s time to get real about the surf ahead. We’ve got a solid 16-day window to look at, and there’s a bit of everything on the table. The main thing is that we’re starting out with a whole lot of energy in the water, but the wind is going to be the enemy for a good chunk of the first week. We’ll have to be patient and pick our moments.

We’re looking at a period that kicks off with some serious, powerful west-southwest swell, but it’s mostly going to be blown out and messy. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is 5° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a bit of a treat.

The first real chance to get wet looks like Tuesday the 11th. Surfers Point (Ventura) is set to pick up a solid 16ft of southwest swell with a long 16-second period. The energy readings are off the charts, nearly 16500, so there’s a ton of power out there. But, and this is a big but, the forecast says it’s just too big for the break. The wind will be blowing cross-on at 16 mph, making it a battle. This is one for the experts only, and even then, it’s on the edge.

The following days, Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, see the swell back off a bit to around 13ft, but we still have that cross-on wind messing things up. Thursday afternoon sees the wind drop to a light 6 mph, and the swell period stretches out to a very long 17 seconds. It’s starting to clean up, but the ride quality is still questionable.

Now, keep your eyes on Friday the 14th. This is where things start to get interesting. The swell drops to a more manageable 12ft, still from the southwest with a long 15-second period. But the wind swings around to a cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, light at 6 mph in the morning. The water goes clean. This is looking like the standout for the first week. It’s still a pumping 12ft, so it’s for experienced surfers, but the conditions will be far better than anything we’ve seen. Expect some proper, lined-up southwest groundswell.

The weekend after that, the 15th and 16th, the swell drops but the wind goes onshore and cross-shore, making things messy again. Not worth the paddle.

Then we have another pulse of big swell arriving Monday the 17th. We’re back up to 18ft of west-southwest swell with a 16-second period and a huge energy reading of over 16000. The wind is light in the morning, but the forecast again calls it too big for the break. The afternoon only gets worse as the wind picks up.

The middle of the following week gets blown out with strong onshore winds. A mix of rain showers and heavy wind will keep the conditions poor.

We finally get another window of opportunity that looks really promising on Saturday the 22nd. The swell is still a solid 15ft from the southwest with a long 16-second period, and the wind is forecast to be a cross-offshore breeze from the southeast at 16 mph. The energy is still up there, over 10000, and the water is expected to be clean. This looks like another good day for the experienced crew.

The final highlight of this outlook is Sunday the 23rd. The swell eases to 12ft, but we get a beautiful, light cross-offshore wind from the northeast at 6 mph. The water is clean, and the conditions are called exceptional for expert surfers. This, along with Friday the 14th, looks like the pick of the bunch.

The last couple of days on the 24th just fade out with smaller, weaker swell and less favorable winds.

Alright, so to sum it all up: the first week is a story of big, unruly swell, but Friday the 14th is your best bet for some quality waves. The second week has a poor start, but Saturday the 22nd and especially Sunday the 23rd look like they could be absolutely firing. Remember, long-range forecasts are always a bit of a gamble, but the potential is definitely there. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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