Surfers Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Right off the bat, we’ve got some serious juice hitting the coast, but it’s not all clean sailing. The opening salvos are all about a solid, long-period SW groundswell wrapping in, but the wind is going to be the story for much of the run.

We kick off on Tuesday the 15th with a bang. There’s a solid 10ft SW swell humming with 14-second periods, and the energy readings are strong at 4009. Tuesday morning is the pick of the early days – a light 3 mph ENE glass-off wind. It’s going to be clean and lined up at Surfers Point (Ventura). This is serious, expert-level surf. It’s a little on the big side, but the conditions are right. The water temps are about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Wednesday the 16th pulls back a bit, with 7ft and then 5ft SW swell, and the wind is a bit more cross, so it’s not as clean. The energy drops into the moderate range (1865 and then 1250). Thursday the 17th is a write-off – the wind kicks up to a fresh 15-19 mph cross-shore, making a lumpy mess of the 5ft swell. Friday the 18th is a tease – the swell comes back up a touch with a 17-second period, but that northeasterly is blowing 25 mph in the morning. It’s cleaning up but blowing hard. It stays messy.

Then the ocean loses its mind. Saturday the 19th gets blown out and onshore with 11ft of wobbly swell. A letdown after such a nice start. Sunday the 20th though, that’s another window. It drops to 7ft but the wind goes dead calm and glassy in the morning. Another excellent surf for experienced folks, clean lines on the reef, and the energy is moderate at 1531. This is a real highlight in the midst of a wild week. Monday the 21st is back to strong, lumpy cross-onshore junk.

Now, here’s where the long-range stuff starts to get interesting, but we gotta be patient. It’s all messy through the 22nd and 23rd with a big, unruly 15ft swell on the 23rd – that’s a lot of water moving, but it’s just a choppy mess for paddle surfing. You’d be joking to think about it. The energy readings are massive, over 6600. If you’re into kiting, that Wednesday the 23rd might be your day, because it’s all wind and lumpy waves.

Then things finally realign. Friday the 25th is the big one on the calendar. We’re looking at a monster 20ft SW swell with an 18-second period – that’s a huge, long-period groundswell. The energy readings are off the charts at 23219 – that’s very strong. The wind is a cross-off, and the forecast commentary says the wind and tide are favorable, but it’s just too big for this break. It’s a true expert-only situation, and even then, it’s pushing it. The sheer size will make it a spectacle, but you’d need to be a seasoned charger. That’s Saturday the 26th, which still has 11ft of that energy, but the wind is cross and it’s just a bit rough.

The very end of the window, around Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th, looks like things are starting to mellow back to a solid 10ft with a decent 16-second period. Light winds and some sun could make those days alright, though the wind is a touch cross-onshore. It has promise, but it’s a long way out.

So, for the best of the bunch, I’d be circling Sunday the 20th morning – that glassy 7ft swell is going to be the cleanest, most user-friendly surf of the first week. For the pure adrenaline and raw power, you have to set aside Friday the 25th – it’s a monster, but it’s a big, dangerous beast.

Stay safe out there, and don’t get greedy on the 25th.

Rusty

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