Surfers Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's talk waves. The ocean is going to be doing a lot of talking over the next couple of weeks, but it's not always going to be saying what we want to hear. We've got a big, powerful start, then a messy middle, and a final push of size that's hard to tame.

Surfers Point is our only spot, a reef break that's wide open to a west-southwest swell. Right off the bat, on Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th, it's on. We're looking at a serious west-southwest swell, with waves a massive 23ft to 25ft on Saturday, and still a hefty 15ft to 16ft on Sunday. The energy is off the charts, with combined readings in the 21,895 to 26,930 range on Saturday. But here's the problem – it's way too big for this place. It's a close-out carnival, and the wind is howling from the southwest, blowing it all to pieces. This is for experts only, and even then, it's a battle. The water is 68°, which is notably warmer than average for this time of year, a solid 4° above the norm, which is pretty unusual.

Once that initial blast fades, we hit a lull. From Monday the 10th through Saturday the 16th, the size drops, but the quality doesn't improve much. The waves go from around 20ft down to a more manageable 10ft to 12ft, and the energy settles to a moderate level (3,689 to 11,340). But the wind stays onshore or cross-shore for most of it, keeping things lumpy. There's a potential window on Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th where the wind goes light and offshore from the west, with waves around 13ft to 15ft and a long 15 to 17-second period. It could get clean, but the forecast is only calling it marginal, with tricky tides. It's a gamble.

Then, the ocean wakes up again. From Sunday the 17th through the end of the run, it gets big and messy. The 17th and 18th see waves back up to 18ft, with strong cross-onshore winds and rain. The energy is strong, over 15,000 again, but it's blown out. There's a brief moment on Wednesday the 19th where the wind eases to a gentle cross-shore breeze and the swell is still a solid 18ft to 20ft with a long 16-17 second period. That's a huge amount of water moving, and it's going to be heavy and grinding. This is serious, expert-only territory, and you'll likely have company.

The last few days, from the 20th to the 23rd, the swell pulses again, but the wind stays up, with strong breezes and showers, keeping conditions poor. The only glimmer is on the final day, Sunday the 23rd, when the wind goes offshore again with a 21ft west-southwest swell. Again, it's just too big for this break.

So, what's the pick? The cleanest, most makeable window looks like the morning of the 13th. The swell is 13ft from the southwest with a long 15-second period, and the wind is a light offshore breeze from the west. That's your best chance for a clean, powerful reef wave all run. It's a long-period groundswell, so it should have proper shape and push. Just remember, it's a week out, so treat it as promising, not a guarantee. The rest of the time, you're either dodging the wind or wrestling the size. If the wind gets really strong from the northwest, this spot will look a lot more fun for kites than surfboards.

Keep your eyes peeled, and be ready to pounce when the wind drops.

Rusty

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