Surfers Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening at Surfers Point (reef) over the next couple of weeks.

It’s gonna be a wild ride, but you’ll need to be on your game. The outlook starts off with a bang, but the lineup is going to be a challenge for anyone but the most experienced. We're looking at a solid, long-period SW groundswell building through the first week, but the wind is a real problem. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th have onshore winds and rain, with the swell already pumping at 13ft to 15ft from the WSW, but with a fresh to strong breeze ruining it. The combined wave energy is massive (9180), but the conditions are just poor. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

Saturday the 8th is where it gets seriously heavy. We’re talking a massive 23ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period on the morning and a 17-second period in the afternoon. The combined energy is through the roof (22023 in the morning, hitting 28379 in the afternoon). This is expert territory only. The wind is a strong cross-onshore, so it’s going to be messy and lumpy. This is not a day for beginners – in fact, it’s too big for most.

Sunday the 9th is still big, with a 18ft SW swell (15246 combined energy), but the wind is directly onshore from the WSW. It’s a raw, powerful day, but clean it ain’t.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th keep the size up – 20ft to 23ft SW swells with strong cross-onshore winds. The energy is still huge (19105 on Monday afternoon). The setup is just too big and messy for a good paddle. If you’re into kite surfing, this might be your window, but as a paddle surfer, it’s a pass.

We finally get a bit of a break on Wednesday the 12th. The swell drops to 13ft – 15ft, and the wind goes light and onshore from the WNW. It’s still a marginal call, but the energy is down to 7276. The tide might be the main factor here.

The standout window, if you can call it that, is Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th. On Thursday the 13th morning, we have a 16ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period (18552 combined energy), and light onshore wind from the W. This is a proper groundswell. The long period means it’ll hold up well at this reef, but it will be a big, powerful wave. The conditions are described as “wind and tide favorable,” but the size is still too big for most. By Friday the 14th, the swell drops to 12ft, the wind swings to a light N to NNW cross-shore, and the energy drops to 6791. This is the best chance for the most experienced surfers to get a manageable, clean-ish wave with some real grunt.

After the 14th, the swell fades. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th see the swell drop to 8ft – 10ft, with moderate cross-shore winds. The energy is low (2098 – 2971). It’s marginal at best.

Then, on Monday the 17th of August, the pattern repeats. The swell jumps back up to 18ft – 20ft from the WSW, with a fresh onshore breeze and massive energy (16680 – 17448). Another big, messy week for the experts.

The rest of the period into the 21st is a slow fade, with 8ft to 12ft swell and onshore winds. Not much to get excited about.

So, the best of the lot? Friday the 14th is your best bet. It’s the only day where the swell is big enough to be fun, but the wind is light and cross-shore, making it clean. Even then, it’s for advanced surfers only. The massive swell days are for tow-in or watching.

Rusty.

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