Point Lonsdale Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve had a look at the surf coming up for Point Lonsdale. This is a beach and reef set-up that’s exposed to the SW, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, so it usually doesn’t stay flat for long. The good news is there’s some decent swell on the cards, but we’ve got to work through a fair bit of wind and chop to get to the real gems.

Right now, the water’s at 55.8°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no nasty surprises there.

The first real standout is this Saturday (1st August). The morning kicks off with a clean 3.9ft SW swell (12-second period) and a gentle offshore breeze from the NNE. The combined swell energy is a solid 821 (moderate energy), and it’s going to be smooth and glassy. The afternoon holds up even better, with the swell bumping up to 4.3ft, a very long-period 17-second groundswell from the SW, and a moderate offshore wind. The energy jumps to 1463 (moderate–strong energy). This is prime surf for experienced surfers, but there’s a catch—crowds are often an issue here, so get in early for a chance at a peak. The long period means the waves will be well-shaped, good for the reef sections, but keep an eye on the tide.

Sunday (2nd August) is still on the cards, but it’s a step down. The morning has a 5.6ft SW swell (16-second period) with a fresh offshore wind from the north. The energy is 1537 (strong). That’s a bit too much punch for beginners, and the fresh breeze will keep things a little wild. The afternoon is similar, 5.2ft, still offshore, but the conditions are marginal, so it’s a maybe.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Monday (3rd August) through to Thursday (6th August), it’s pretty much a write-off. Cross-shore and onshore winds, rain, and lumpy, choppy surf. The swell drops to 3.3ft or less, and the energy fades. Thursday morning has just 2.6ft and a 381 (weak energy). Not worth paddling out.

But look, Friday (7th August) pulls us back. The morning is clear, with a light offshore breeze from the NW, and a 4.3ft SW swell (16-second period). The combined energy is 1081 (moderate–strong). The afternoon is even better: 4.6ft, 15-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE and energy of 1477. This is another excellent session for experienced surfers, clean and lined up. The long period will make the waves powerful, so it’s worth the paddle.

Saturday (8th August) is a bit of a tease. The swell is 4.3ft, with a fresh offshore wind, but the energy is down to 837 (moderate), and it’s marginal. The wind is strong from the north, and while it’s offshore, it’s hard work. By Sunday (9th August), the wind is howling at 25–28 mph from the NNE, and the swell is gutless at 3.3ft. The energy is only 361 (weak). That’s strong offshore and clean, but you’ll be paddling your heart out for nothing.

The next week gets messy again. Monday (10th August) through to Thursday (13th August) is mostly onshore, cross-onshore, or rain, with a mix of lumpy, choppy, and poor conditions. The swell does pick up big time on Tuesday (11th August) afternoon, with a 9.8ft WSW swell (14-second period) and a huge energy of 6060 (very strong). That’s a monster for experts only, but the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s going to be messy and dangerous. The waves will be powerful but sloppy. For a beach and reef spot, that’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

Wednesday (12th August) morning has 7.2ft SW swell (14 seconds) and 3206 energy (strong), but it’s cross-shore wind, so it’s lumpy. The afternoon ramps up to 8.2ft with a 17-second period and 4428 energy (very strong), but the wind swings to a fresh cross-onshore, making it poor. That’s all for the brave, and not really a recommendation.

The last few days of the outlook, Friday (14th August) to Saturday (15th August), are a bust. Onshore winds, rain, and dropping swell. Sunday (16th August) morning brings a little hope: 3.9ft SW swell (16-second period), light offshore wind from the east, and 705 energy (moderate). The conditions are clean, and it’s a very good session for the day. The afternoon, though, gets cross-onshore again, so call it a half-day.

So, what’s the

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