Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.8° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 7,054 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, this is Rusty with the lowdown on Raffs Beach. Let's talk about what's coming down the pike.

Water temp is sitting right around 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The next couple of weeks are a real rollercoaster, so let's get into it.

There's a lot of big, long-period groundswell coming from the SW, but it's going to take a few days to get the conditions right.

Wednesday, September 2nd is a bit of a dud. The morning has a clean 6ft swell but the wind is cross-off, and it's just not coming together. The afternoon gets worse with a messy, onshore chop on 7ft. Not worth suiting up.

Thursday, September 3rd is a beast. The swell jumps to 10ft with a 14-second period. The wave energy is huge (7141), but it's way too big for a beginner spot. Even with good wind, this is expert-only territory. Friday, September 4th is the same story – 10ft to 13ft, still massive, still clean, but getting dangerous. The wave energy peaks at 9675 on Thursday afternoon.

Saturday, September 5th is a total washout. Forget it. Strong winds, rain, and a messy, blown-out ocean. The energy is there (2136) but the quality is zero.

Sunday, September 6th is a nice change. The swell drops to 7ft, the wind goes light, and the afternoon turns glassy. The wave energy is still moderate (1544), but the conditions are clean. This is a good session for experienced surfers.

Monday, September 7th is small and clean but weak. 4ft and a 13-second period. The wave energy is low (427). It's a fun little morning, but nothing to get excited about. The afternoon is onshore and poor.

Tuesday, September 8th is the absolute standout. The morning is magic. We've got offshore wind from the NNW, glassy conditions, and a 4ft groundswell with a very long 18-second period. The wave energy is solid (1290), and that long period means the waves will be powerful and clean. The wind is perfect, the swell is from the right direction… this is the morning to be in the water. The afternoon gets onshore, but the morning is gold.

The middle of the second week gets messy again. Wednesday, September 9th is a no-go with onshore wind and building swell. Thursday, September 10th is another big-swell day with 12ft and glassy conditions, but it's just too oversized for a beach break. The wave energy is 6604. It's a big, powerful ocean.

Friday, September 11th offers a reprieve. The morning has offshore winds and a clean 6ft swell. The wave energy is 1516. It's a solid session for experienced surfers, but the wind is a bit fresh. The afternoon is smaller but still clean.

The rest of the second week is a mix. Saturday, September 12th is clean but a bit disorganized. Sunday, September 13th is dead calm and glassy, but the swell is tiny at 4ft. The wave energy is only 765. It's a nice paddle, but not a wave factory.

The real highlight of the second week is Tuesday, September 15th morning. It's clean, 5ft, with a decent 14-second period, and light offshore wind. The wave energy is 1074. For a Tuesday morning, it's going to be a quiet, clean, fun session.

After that, the forecast gets wild again. Thursday, September 17th sees another huge swell pulse, 12ft to 15ft, with wave energy hitting 21405. It's massive, but with onshore wind, it's a total washout for paddling. If you're a kiter, this might be your day, but for a regular surfer, it's a pass.

The Verdict: The best window is Tuesday, September 8th morning. Get it while it's glassy. The second best is Tuesday, September 15th morning for a quiet, clean session. There's a lot of heavy swell in between, so pick your windows carefully.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun night).

Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
!
!
!
!
!
3
1
0
3
4
4
3
2
0
2
4
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
WSW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
13
2
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.4
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1832
1932
2082
4047
6221
4351
4218
3772
2794
1985
3045
2305
1528
1014
613
405
310
377
891
1663
1297
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
25
W
25
NW
25
W
25
WNW
20
NW
20
NNW
15
NW
30
N
40
WNW
40
W
20
W
10
WNW
5
SSW
5
SW
10
W
15
SSW
5
SSE
5
NNW
15
SSW
30
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-on
off
on
cross-on
High Tide
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
Low Tide
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
12
2
1
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
13
11
15
16
15
14
13
13
14
14
13
14
13
12
16
13
11
Feels °C
9
8
8
7
7
6
10
12
9
6
5
9
12
12
10
11
10
10
14
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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