Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya.

First off, the water temp at Raffs Beach is sittin' at a pretty standard 57°, about what you'd expect for this time of year. No crazy anomalies here.

We've got a long window ahead, but it ain't all gonna be great. The first real action kicks off Wednesday the 8th, with a solid SW groundswell. Wednesday morning is lookin' clean with that 5ft swell and a very long 18-second period under light cross-offshore winds, and the wave energy is pumping at 2084. That's proper juice. This is for the experienced crew though—that long period swell will be lining up nicely, but the power is real. Wednesday afternoon is a bit trickier; the swell picks up to 7ft but the wind shifts, making it a bit more onshore and less appealing.

Thursday the 9th is actually a ripper morning. Clean, glassy conditions with a 5ft SW swell and light offshore wind from the north. The period drops to 15 seconds but it's still got plenty of shape. Friday the 10th follows the same recipe: clean, offshore, small but fun 5ft waves in the morning, gettin' a little smaller in the arvo.

The weekend turns ugly. Saturday the 11th sees howling 35 km/h winds and the swell drops to a puny 3ft. Not worth paddling out. Sunday the 12th is a write-off for anyone who isn't an absolute charger. The swell explodes to a massive 12ft with energy readings over 7000, but it's too big for this break and the wind is howling cross-offshore. Monday the 13th is still messy and oversized, and throughout the middle of the week (14th to 16th), we see 10ft+ swells with strong, onshore winds. It's a complete mess—more of a windsurfing or kiting show than a surf session.

But, after that rough stretch, we get a real standout. Friday the 17th of July morning is the best you're gonna see in this entire forecast. Clean, glassy conditions, a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, and the energy is a strong 2501. The wind is dead calm. This is for the experienced folks again, but if you're comfortable in that size, it's gonna be unreal. Saturday the 18th is also a good shout with clean 5ft swell and light cross-off winds.

After that, the final few days drop off into smaller, wind-affected junk through the 19th to 23rd. The swell gets blown out by fresh to strong breezes, and the periods get short, which means weak, jumbled waves. That long stretch from the 12th to the 16th is mostly a gap with no real recommendations—pure chaos.

So, bottom line: your best window is Wednesday the 8th morning for that long-period power, or Friday the 17th morning for glassy, clean conditions. Everything else is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Rusty.

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