Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Issued: 3 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.8° C

Normal for this time of year

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 10,584 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 7th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Sun 12th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 13th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Raffs Beach has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, mate, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up at Raffs Beach, but there are some real gems in there if you’re patient. The early part of the week is a bit sketchy, with the surf looking a little average and bumpy, but things clean up nicely as we go.

For Monday the 6th, the afternoon is a write-off with a messy 5ft SW swell and a light cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (735). Not worth paddling out for.

But then, Tuesday morning the 7th is where it starts to get interesting. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm, and we’ve got a clean 3ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The energy is still moderate (816), but that long period will make for some beautifully shaped, lined-up waves. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so that’s a great window for learning or just enjoying some silky smooth runners.

Later Tuesday afternoon the wind shifts and it gets a bit lumpy again, so the morning is the real standout.

Wednesday the 8th morning is a belter for the experienced crew. Clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze and a solid 5ft SW swell (18-second period). The combined energy jumps up to strong (2,023), so there’s real push behind those waves. This is the best surf of the first week. By the afternoon, it gets a little bumpy and the swell is climbing to 6ft, so it’s still fun but not as clean.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th both have clean conditions with offshore or cross-offshore winds. Swells hold around 4ft to 5ft from the SW, with good periods (14-15 seconds). Not huge, but really clean and consistent. Good solid days.

Then the weekend – Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th – is a write-off. The wind screams onshore and fresh, up to 25 mph, with messy, poor surf. The swell hangs around 3ft to 5ft but it’s all chop and wind. Don’t bother.

Now, Monday the 13th sees a massive pulse of swell. We’re talking 15ft to 16ft from the SW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is enormous (17,347). But here’s the thing: that is way, *way* too big for Raffs Beach. This spot can’t handle that size, and the models say so. Unless you’re a kamikaze charger, give it a miss. It’s more of a spectacle than a surf session.

The next standout comes on Wednesday the 15th. The swell drops back to a manageable 7ft, and the afternoon is glassy with offshore winds. That’s a solid, clean, powerful session for experienced surfers. Combined energy is still strong (1,403). That’s your second-best window.

Thursday the 16th keeps the quality up with 7ft SW swell and clean cross-offshore winds. Really good, consistent waves for those who know what they’re doing.

The final week gets a bit gusty again. The mornings are okay, with offshore winds but getting stronger, making paddling tougher. By Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th, the wind is howling from the north at 28-31 mph, which will make the surface clean but incredibly hard to paddle into. The swell is modest (4ft to 5ft), so it’s not worth the fight.

The Best on Offer: Without a doubt, Wednesday morning the 8th is the pick of the entire forecast. Clean, strong SW groundswell, good period, and manageable size for experienced surfers. Tuesday morning the 7th is a close second for those wanting smaller, glassy perfection.

The water temp is sitting around 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so don’t forget a decent winter suit.

So yeah, pick your windows. This spot rewards patience.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
3
4
3
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.4
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.6
SW
11
1.5
SW
10
1.6
SW
11
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
721
444
487
897
809
1313
2167
1330
753
668
1133
879
704
529
384
352
593
469
589
7717
9818
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
5
WNW
0
NNW
5
SE
5
NE
10
ENE
10
ESE
5
NNW
10
NNW
10
NE
5
NW
10
N
10
NNE
15
N
30
N
30
NW
25
WNW
30
NW
40
NW
30
W
25
W
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
4:01PM1.49m
4:09AM1.31m
4:31PM1.47m
4:58AM1.33m
5:01PM1.45m
5:51AM1.34m
5:34PM1.44m
6:49AM1.35m
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
Low Tide
10:17PM0.49m
10:11AM0.44m
10:52PM0.43m
10:52AM0.53m
11:30PM0.38m
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
12:23PM0.74m
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
 mm
3
1
3
Temp °C
11
11
10
11
12
10
11
11
10
11
11
12
14
11
14
11
8
13
13
10
11
Feels °C
8
10
8
9
10
8
9
10
8
9
9
9
11
7
7
4
3
5
5
3
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.4
SW
17
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.6
SW
11
1.5
SW
10
1.6
SW
11
4
SW
14
4
SW
15
Energy kJ
721
444
326
897
809
1313
2167
1330
753
668
1133
879
704
529
384
352
593
469
589
5810
7529
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SE
5
0.3
SE
5
0.9
SW
17
0.2
S
16
0.3
SW
23
1.1
SW
14
0.4
S
18
0.5
S
16
0.1
SE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.4
SSW
18
0.3
S
16
0.2
SSE
15
0.1
S
16
0.1
NE
6
0.5
SW
17
Energy kJ
14
3
487
21
85
459
96
131
5
4
107
43
21
5
1
148
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
19
0.3
SE
4
0.1
SE
12
0.6
S
19
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
WSW
20
0.3
ESE
5
Energy kJ
58
3
6
251
13
38
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
4
0.4
N
3
0.8
N
4
0.9
NNW
4
0.6
WNW
4
0.8
NW
4
1.1
NW
4
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
Energy kJ
7
2
18
28
8
16
47
7717
9818
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
9
Distance (km)
9
0
0
9
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
51
55
10
309
513
634
16
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
9
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
4
2
4
2
9
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
8
7
5
6
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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