Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
12.8° C
0.2° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 8,708 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 7th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 12th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for Raffs Beach. Let’s break it down.

We’ve got a solid run of surf on the way, but it’s a mixed bag of conditions. The first decent action kicks off on Friday, August 7th, with a clean, 4.6ft SW swell rolling in at 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, bringing real energy (1018). The morning is the pick with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. That’s a smooth, glassy setup for a beginner-friendly spot. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises.

That afternoon, the wind swings to a cross-on, and the quality drops off. Then Saturday the 8th brings a 4.3ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is stiff from the NNE. The morning is clean and offshore, but the wind is gusty, so it’s punchy. The afternoon is a write-off with a 18.6 mph cross-off. By Sunday the 9th, the wind is howling over 24.9 mph. The swell drops to 3.3ft, and the wave energy is weak (394). It’s all strong offshore wind – clean-looking but impossible to paddle into. A total waste of a day.

Monday the 10th sees the swell jump to 5.9ft, but it’s a messy, lumpy cross-shore wind with rain. The combined energy is moderate (1967), but the quality is poor. Tuesday the 11th is a bit better: a fresh offshore wind from the NNW, with a 5.6ft SW swell. That’s a solid size, but it’s still a bit blown out in the afternoon. Recommending the morning session.

Wednesday the 12th is a tough call. A 5.2ft SW swell (16 seconds) with a cross-offshore breeze in the morning is clean, but the afternoon turns ugly with rain and 21.7 mph cross-shore winds. The swell jumps to 6.9ft, and the energy is strong (2510), but it’s messy.

Now, the standout – and I mean a real standout – is Thursday, August 13th. The swell is pumping: 11.5ft to 14.8ft SW, with a 16-second period. The combined energy is massive (5359 to 12980). That is a lot of power. But here’s the catch: the wind is manageable, but the surf is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a beginner-friendly spot, and these waves are for experts only. The swell direction is SSW, which is right in the optimum window, but the size is the issue. If you’re not an expert, stay on the beach.

After that, the swell stays up through the 14th and 15th, but it’s all cross-shore and onshore wind, with light rain. The energy is still strong, but the conditions are poor. The 16th of August (Sunday) is a morning glass-off. The wind is dead calm, and the swell is 5.2ft SW. That’s a rare, clean, glassy morning. The energy is moderate (1050), and it’s a great beginner session if you can handle the size.

The rest of the run into the second week is patchy. The 17th and 18th have glassy mornings with 4.3ft to 3.0ft SW swells. The 19th has a clean, offshore morning, but the afternoon gets messy. The 20th sees a fresh offshore wind and a 4.6ft SW swell, which is a decent session. The 21st is a write-off with onshore winds and rain. The final day on the 22nd of August has a glassy morning with a 3.6ft SW swell, which is a nice, clean way to end the run.

Overall, the best bet is the Thursday, August 13th swell, but only for experts. For the average surfer, the Sunday, August 16th morning glass-off is the pick of the bunch. The gaps are short – only a day or two of poor conditions between good sessions.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NW on Mon night, strong winds from the W by Wed morning).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
3
4
3
1
2
0
0
3
1
1
4
3
2
0
2
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
1.3
SW
20
1.6
SW
19
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.6
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
3.5
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
326
952
784
1199
897
773
529
363
253
1351
1884
1860
1306
1171
716
374
1330
1994
3450
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
WNW
10
WSW
10
N
20
N
30
NNE
30
NNE
40
NNE
45
NNE
30
N
30
WSW
30
WSW
20
NW
30
NNW
35
NNW
40
N
30
WNW
35
WSW
20
W
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
5:30AM1.40m
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
11:07AM1.32m
10:20PM1.25m
Low Tide
10:59PM0.23m
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
4:55PM0.78m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
 mm
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
Temp °C
11
12
14
14
15
13
13
11
12
11
14
11
11
13
12
12
10
10
10
Feels °C
8
9
11
11
9
6
7
2
3
3
8
5
5
6
4
3
3
1
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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