Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.0° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 10,984 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 9th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 12th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright my friends, Rusty here checking in on Raffs Beach.

We got a decent stretch of surf ahead, but you gotta pick your days. The water’s sittin’ right around 56°F, which is dead on average for July, so no surprises in the temp department.

The standouts are Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th of July. Thursday morning is clean with 5ft of SW groundswell, a long 15-second period, and a light offshore wind out of the N. That’s a recipe for smooth, peeling waves with long waits between sets – easy paddling out. The overall energy is moderate (948). Friday morning is a twin – same 5ft SW swell, same 15-second period, and offshore breeze from the NNW. Both mornings will be glassy and clean. This is a beginner-friendly spot, so expect a fun vibe, but sometimes it gets a little crowded, so get in early.

Forget Saturday the 11th. 35 km/h winds even if they are offshore, and the swell drops to just 3ft. Total washout.

Now, Sunday the 12th is a whole different story. We’ve got a chunky 8ft SW swell rolling in, with a combined energy of 2042 – that’s a strong, powerful pulse. The cross-off wind from the WNW will keep the face clean, but 8ft is expert territory. For a beginner spot, that’s a big, intimidating wave. Only the skilled and confident should even look at it.

Monday the 13th gets even bigger. By afternoon, we’re looking at 10ft of SW groundswell with a 15-second period and a massive 3929 energy reading. The problem? It’s predicted to be too big for this break, and a fresh 30 km/h W wind will make it lumpy and cross-shore. Experts only, and even then, it’s a gamble.

Tuesday the 14th is the biggest – 12ft SW groundswell, 16-second period, and 5918 energy. That’s a serious amount of water moving. Offshore NW wind will keep it looking clean, but this is a hardcore, expert-only day. Too big and powerful for anyone else.

Then the window slams shut from Wednesday the 15th, through Thursday the 16th, with onshore winds and lumpy, choppy conditions. Not worth the drive.

We get a small, clean window on Friday the 17th of July in the afternoon. A nice 4ft SW swell, a fantastic 16-second period, and light cross-off wind from the ENE. Energy is moderate (1466). It’s clean and excellent for experienced surfers, but that long period will want a point or reef to really shine.

The second week is quieter. Sunday the 19th of July has a beautiful morning: 4ft SW swell, offshore NNW wind. Then in the afternoon, a smaller 3ft swell rolls in with a *very* long 19-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell and with light winds it’ll be clean. It’s small, but classy – best for experienced surfers who know the banks.

From the 20th onward, the swell stays small (under 4ft) and while the winds are mostly offshore, the energy is low and tides get questionable. The 21st and 22nd offer some clean, moderate-onshore conditions, but nothing to get too excited about.

So, top tips: Get out Thursday or Friday morning this week for the best combination of fun size and clean conditions. The big swells Sunday through Tuesday are for experts only. The long-range look for Sunday the 19th has potential, but it’s a wait-and-see.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
!
!
!
!
4
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
2.2
WSW
12
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
3
SW
15
5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2327
1330
930
677
1215
844
676
507
293
284
1267
2042
1671
2270
1730
3612
10984
5720
4414
3152
2265
Wind (km/h)
5
ESE
5
N
10
N
10
ENE
5
NNW
10
NNW
10
NE
15
N
35
N
35
NW
35
W
30
WNW
30
WNW
25
NW
35
NW
30
W
20
WNW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
45
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
5:01PM1.45m
5:51AM1.34m
5:34PM1.44m
6:49AM1.35m
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
Low Tide
11:30PM0.38m
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
12:23PM0.74m
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
clear
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part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
 mm
5
2
4
5
2
Temp °C
9
10
10
12
11
12
14
12
14
12
10
12
13
13
14
14
11
13
12
10
11
Feels °C
7
9
8
10
8
9
11
8
6
5
2
4
6
7
7
8
6
8
6
6
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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