Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.3° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 7,044 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, it's Rusty here, and we've got a real mixed bag coming up for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks. The long-range models are starting to firm up some decent pulses, but we’ve gotta wade through a bit of chop and a couple of big, gnarly days first. The water temp is sitting around 13°, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year – no surprises there.

We kick things off on Friday the 21st, but honestly, it’s nothing to get excited about. There’s a weak 1.1m SW swell, period around 15 seconds, but the wave energy is moderate at best (673). The wind’s blowing cross-off from the WNW at 20 km/h, which keeps it clean, but it’s just too small and weak to be worth a paddle. The forecast calls it marginal, and I’m with that.

Now, Saturday the 22nd is a serious beast. We get a massive pulse of swell – 4.0m from the WSW, with a combined energy reading of over 10,000. That’s a big, powerful groundswell. Problem is, the models are saying this is simply too big for Raffs Beach. Even with favourable wind early on, it’s going to be a washing machine. For the experienced crew, it’s a maybe, but this is more of a "watch from the carpark" kinda day for most.

By Sunday the 23rd, the swell drops back to a much more manageable 2.1m in the morning, easing to 1.7m in the afternoon. The period holds at a solid 13 seconds, so there’s proper energy in the water (2138 in the morning). Light, almost glassy cross-off winds from the NW and WNW make for clean conditions. This is a standout. For the surfer who can handle a bit of size, Sunday is the best on offer in the first week. The energy is moderate to strong, and the conditions are excellent. Raffs Beach is fairly consistent, so you can expect a few peaks.

Monday the 24th is another beauty, especially for the intermediate and up. Swell drops to 1.5m, but it’s clean with offshore breezes from the NNW at 15 km/h in the morning. The period holds at a great 14 seconds, giving the waves some push and shape. It won’t be as powerful as Sunday, but the quality will be very good. This is a close second for the week.

Tuesday the 25th is a tricky one. The swell bumps back up to 1.8m, and while the morning has rain and onshore wind, the afternoon goes glassy with a light S breeze. The period is a nice 13 seconds, and the energy is back up (1347). If you can score the afternoon window, it could be really fun and uncrowded, but you’ve gotta play the tide right.

After that, Wednesday the 26th is a write-off – strong SW winds and rain make for choppy, poor quality surf. Thursday the 27th is small and weak again, not worth a look.

Moving into the second week, the standout looks like Saturday the 5th of September. We see a long-range, very long period groundswell (17 seconds) coming in from the SW, at a solid 1.1m. Energy is strong (1343), and we’ve got fresh offshore winds from the NNW, so it will be clean. Even though it’s a longer period swell which can make beach breaks a bit straight, Raffs Beach can handle it. This is promising, but remember it’s a few weeks out, so keep an eye on it. The fresh offshore breeze is a big tick.

Just before that, Tuesday the 1st of September also looks promising for the experienced surfer. We get a 1.8m SW swell, period of 15 seconds, and it’s glassy in the morning. A very solid option if you want clean, powerful waves, but again, it’s for those who know what they’re doing.

Crowds at Raffs Beach can be a thing sometimes, but during these windows, especially mid-week, you should be able to find space.

So, to wrap it up: for the immediate future, Sunday the 23rd is your best bet. For the second week, pencil in Saturday the 5th of September, but keep an eye on the long-range forecasts. There’s a few poor days in between, but that’s just the nature of the coast.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
!
!
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.9
WSW
16
4
WSW
15
4
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.8
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
0.9
SSW
11
1
SW
14
1.1
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
523
476
1855
7044
6227
2390
1482
969
1456
874
744
851
1137
1069
990
1033
732
535
167
395
844
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
20
NW
25
WNW
20
W
20
SW
15
WNW
10
NW
5
WNW
10
NNW
15
NNW
10
NNW
10
NNE
10
S
5
S
15
W
25
SW
20
S
20
ESE
20
E
10
E
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
on
glassy
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
5:09PM1.40m
6:23AM1.32m
5:39PM1.33m
7:08AM1.26m
6:12PM1.26m
7:59AM1.21m
6:56PM1.18m
8:59AM1.18m
7:55PM1.11m
10:06AM1.18m
9:09PM1.07m
11:09AM1.20m
10:26PM1.08m
Low Tide
11:22AM0.65m
11:46PM0.28m
11:57AM0.73m
00:23AM0.32m
12:37PM0.79m
1:04AM0.36m
1:27PM0.83m
1:53AM0.39m
2:32PM0.84m
2:52AM0.41m
3:52PM0.82m
3:59AM0.41m
5:11PM0.75m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:00
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
 mm
1
3
12
1
2
Temp °C
14
13
12
15
15
11
13
16
12
17
18
15
11
11
12
13
13
11
13
14
13
Feels °C
10
8
7
10
10
8
11
14
9
14
16
12
9
10
10
8
9
7
10
12
10
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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