Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.6° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 11,327 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 9th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 18s
Most Powerful 4PM (Wed 9th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let's have a proper look at the upcoming conditions for our patch.

Straight off the bat, we've got a week and a half of decent groundswell lining up, mostly from the south-west. It's not all clean sailing though; the first few days are going to be a write-off for clean waves, with strong onshore winds and some seriously oversized swell for the spot. We're going to have to be patient for the good stuff.

Tuesday the 8th kicks off with some iffy conditions. The morning has a 4 ft SW groundswell but it's crossed-up with a light westerly, and the water's sitting at a pretty average 56°F, nothing unusual for early September. The afternoon gets bumpy as the wind swings onshore and the swell jumps. We'll be sitting this one out.

Wednesday the 9th is a total no-go. The swell pumps up to 10 ft and then 15 ft in the arvo, but it's blowing a solid 30 km/h from the SSW, right on the nose. The wave energy is absolutely thumping at 6944 in the morning, and a massive 19469 by the arvo, but it's a full-on washing machine for paddle surfing – honestly, it's kite-surfing territory if anything.

Thursday the 10th is still messy and way too big for the beach break at over 8 ft, so that's only for the hardcore crew if anyone's mad enough.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Friday the 11th of September is our first real standout. The morning session is absolute gold. We've got a clean 7 ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and the wind drops to an absolute glass-off from the WSW. The wave energy is solid at 1580, and with those light winds, Raffs Beach should be a picture. This swell is a long-period groundswell, and while it might section off a bit on the bank, when it lines up, the take-off will be a dream for experienced surfers.

Saturday the 12th keeps the quality high. Morning sees a light offshore from the NNE, wrapping that 7 ft SW groundswell (15-second period) into nice clean lines. The afternoon holds up with a cross-off breeze, and the sets stay around 6 ft. Both sessions are clean, and the energy is perfect.

Sunday the 13th is still very good, with a moderate offshore all day. The swell drops a touch to 4 ft-5 ft, but it's clean and the energy's still got plenty of push (962 in the morning). The crowd situation here can be 'sometimes' busy, but on a clean, offshore day like this, it'll be worth jostling for a few.

The first week of September finishes strong, but the start of the second week drops off. Monday the 14th is a flop with small, weak swell. Tuesday the 15th is a return to junk with onshore wind and a short, junky 6 ft swell.

But hold tight, because Wednesday the 16th of September is another absolute ripper. The morning is glassy again, a dead-calm 5 km/h from the south, with a solid 6 ft SW groundswell (13-second period). It's got a combined energy of 1752, and it's going to be a clean, powerful morning. This is the other true standout on the calendar.

The rest of the second week is a mixed bag of clean offshore sessions and some lumpy afternoons. Thursday the 17th, Friday the 18th, and even Saturday the 19th offer nice clean morning surfs with good offshores and swell around the 5 ft to 6 ft mark. The Saturday afternoon session on the 19th even has gentle offshore wind, keeping the lines tidy. The crowd might pop up, but it's worth it.

Sunday the 20th gets messy in the arvo, and Monday the 21st is tricky.

The very end of the outlook, from Tuesday the 22nd to Wednesday the 23rd of September, brings some more clean offshores with 5 ft to 6 ft SW groundswell, plenty of energy, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. It's a long-range look, so don't book your flights yet, but it's promising.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is a tie between the glassy morning of Friday the 11th of September and the glassy morning of Wednesday the 16th of September. Both have clean 7-ish ft groundswell, perfect winds, and that feeling you can't buy. Everything else is good, but those two sessions are the ones to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
0
!
!
!
0
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
3
SW
16
4.5
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
1.6
SW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
786
1938
2475
4885
11327
7611
4881
3619
2238
1580
1825
2687
1857
1547
1392
942
696
459
299
208
248
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
SSW
15
W
30
SSW
30
SSW
20
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
10
WSW
5
WSW
10
SSE
5
NNW
10
NNE
10
NE
10
N
20
N
20
NNW
25
N
25
WNW
15
WNW
20
WSW
Wind State
cross
on
cross
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
7:28PM1.23m
9:24AM1.22m
8:58PM1.19m
10:41AM1.24m
10:31PM1.22m
11:44AM1.29m
11:52PM1.31m
12:34PM1.35m
00:55AM1.41m
1:17PM1.41m
1:47AM1.49m
1:55PM1.45m
2:32AM1.54m
Low Tide
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
3:11PM0.74m
3:47AM0.36m
4:42PM0.65m
5:10AM0.36m
5:52PM0.51m
6:17AM0.34m
6:46PM0.38m
7:11AM0.33m
7:31PM0.27m
7:56AM0.35m
8:12PM0.19m
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:08
6:09
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
12
17
19
17
22
22
20
19
19
13
Feels °C
11
10
7
3
4
5
6
6
9
10
10
10
15
17
15
18
19
15
13
16
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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