Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, checking in from the beach. Alright, we’ve got a sixteen-day window ahead, but it’s a bit of a slow start. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Sunday morning, the 12th of July, so we’ve got a couple of days of nothing much before things kick off.

We’re looking at Raffs Beach for the whole run. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and it’s exposed to the south-west.

The water’s sitting at 55.8°F, which is about average for this time of year—nothing unusual there.

Sunday the 12th, the swell starts building. Morning sees a 7.2ft swell from the SW with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (1486). It’s clean but a bit cross-off with a strong breeze – not ideal but rideable. The afternoon turns a bit damp with light rain, the swell edges up to 8.2ft from the WSW, period 12 seconds, and energy jumps to 2241. Still clean but a bit more grunt.

Now, Monday the 13th is where it gets proper. Morning has a 9.8ft SW swell with a long 15-second period, and the energy is strong (4301). The wind is a fresh cross-off, so it’s clean. But honestly, at 9.8ft, this is too big for beginners and pushing into expert territory. The afternoon is similar, 9.8ft SW, 16-second period, energy 4877 – still clean but big. Tuesday the 14th, the swell peaks big time: 14.8ft SW in the morning with a 15-second period, and the energy is absolutely pumping (13532). That’s a beast. But the wind is cross-shore and choppy, so it’s not looking good for paddle surfing – more of a kite-surfing session if you ask me. The afternoon drops to 11.5ft but the wind swings cross-on, making it choppy and messy.

Wednesday the 15th, we drop back to a more manageable 7.5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, energy 2076. The wind is a gentle cross-off, clean. This is a good size for experienced surfers, and the water is glassy. The best of the first week is shaping up to be Thursday the 16th. Morning offers a 5.2ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy 1069, with a gentle cross-off breeze and clean conditions. The afternoon is a standout: 5.6ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy 1219, and the wind goes glassy. That’s dead calm, clean as a whistle. This is the pick of the first week for experienced surfers wanting a clean, solid wave.

Friday the 17th continues with a 7.5ft SW swell, 16-second period, energy 2767, and a light offshore wind in the morning. Clean, powerful, but again, that’s a big wave for beginners. The afternoon is similar, 6.9ft, with a slight cross-off and clean.

The second week, we start to see it taper. Saturday the 18th morning has a 4.3ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy 661, with a light offshore – clean and fun for the intermediates. The afternoon is a bit smaller, 3.6ft, 13-second period, energy 429, with a gentle offshore. Sunday the 19th, the swell drops to 2.6ft with a very long 19-second period, energy 578, but the wind is a fresh offshore, so it’s clean but small. The long period will make it a bit tricky for a beach break like this – better suited to a point or reef. By Monday the 20th, there’s a 4.3ft SW swell, 16-second period, energy 808, with a light cross-off – clean, but nothing special.

The real standout for the entire run, though, is Tuesday the 21st of July in the afternoon. You get a 6.2ft swell from the WSW, 13-second period, energy 1712, and the wind is glassy. That’s perfect. Clean, fun-sized, and not too big. It’s the best of the second week by a long shot. Wednesday the 22nd, the swell drops to 4.6ft and the period shortens to 10 seconds – weaker energy (430), but still clean with a light cross-off.

Thursday the 23rd, we get a big spike again: 9.8ft SW swell, 16-second period, energy 4402, with a moderate offshore. That’s solid, but it’s too big for the average punter. Friday the 24th holds around 7.9ft, 16-second period, energy 2920, with a fresh offshore. Big, clean, but for experts only. The last weekend, Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th, the swell fades to 5.6ft and then 4.3ft, with periods dropping to 14 and 13 seconds. The wind stays cross-off and clean, but the energy is low (1197 and

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