Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The first real swell pulse hits Tuesday the 1st. We’ve got a solid, long-period SW groundswell pushing in – around 5.6ft at 15 seconds, with combined energy of 1386 (moderate) – and a fresh N wind keeping things clean and offshore. That’s a good start to the day at Raffs Beach. The water temp is sitting at 56.1°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing freaky there. The Tuesday morning session looks clean but the afternoon drops off, with a shift to cross-offshore and less energy, so get it early.

Wednesday the 2nd sees the swell building. Morning is around 6.2ft, then up to 6.9ft in the afternoon, both from the SW with a period of 15 to 16 seconds, giving moderate to strong wave energy (1985 to 1992). Moderate cross-offshore WNW winds keep things clean. Not a standout just yet but solid.

Now, Thursday the 3rd is where it gets serious, but not in a good way for the average surfer. Swell jumps to 9.8ft in the morning and 14.8ft in the afternoon, with combined energy shooting up to 10310 (very strong). That's a lot of water moving. The wind is cross-shore from the W, 15-19 mph, creating lumpy conditions. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the size and chop make it more of a spectacle than a session. The setup at Raffs Beach might actually be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at this point.

Friday the 4th remains big – 9.8ft in the morning with offshore NNW winds at 12 mph, giving clean conditions, but still too big for most. Afternoon drops to 8.2ft with a 16-second period and moderate energy (3561), still clean with cross-offshore winds. The size is more manageable, but it’s still on the edge.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. Strong WNW winds, 28 mph in the morning and 25 mph in the afternoon, with 11.5ft to 13.1ft of messy, cross-shore swell. Energy is massive – 3853 to 5182 – but it’s a total washout. The afternoon has a "poor surf conditions" label and a score of 0. Don’t bother.

Sunday the 6th offers a real bright spot. The morning has 8.2ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds, with combined energy of 2597, and light NW winds at 6 mph. Conditions are clean and the swell is solid but not insane. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar, 6.9ft with a light NE breeze. This is the best of the first week – a true standout for those who can handle the size.

Monday the 7th sees the swell drop to 3.6ft in the morning with a light offshore NNE breeze – clean but small. Combined energy drops to 463. Afternoon is even smaller at 3.0ft. Not much to get excited about.

Tuesday the 8th is another mess. Strong SSW winds, 22-25 mph, with 9.8ft to 13.1ft of cross-onshore, lumpy junk. The afternoon has a 13.1ft swell with an 18-second period and energy of 9217, but the wind ruins it. Avoid.

Wednesday the 9th is back to big but cleaner. 9.8ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, energy of 5916, and light W winds. It’s still too big for beginners, but the conditions are favorable for experts. Afternoon sees onshore S winds, so the morning is the window.

Thursday the 10th is a bit more manageable at 7.9ft to 8.2ft, but onshore winds in the afternoon make it messy. The morning has cross-offshore WNW winds, so that’s the pick.

Friday the 11th is similar to the 9th – 9.8ft in the morning with a 17-second period, light NNW winds, clean, but big. The afternoon drops to 8.2ft, still with a long period and clean winds.

Saturday the 12th has a fresh offshore N wind at 19 mph with 6.9ft SW swell in the morning, then a bigger 9.8ft pulse from the WSW in the afternoon with energy of 6048. Offshore winds keep it clean, but it’s big.

Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th is a poor stretch. Onshore SSW to S winds, dropping swell, and lumpy conditions. Nothing worth paddling out for.

Tuesday the 15th is a surprise. The morning has 5.9ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds, with combined energy of 2019, and light S winds. The afternoon is even better – glassy conditions with a 6.2ft, 17-second swell and 2352 energy. This is the second standout of the whole 16-day run. For experienced surfers, the afternoon session on Tuesday the 15th could be magic – clean, long-period groundswell, light winds. This is one to mark on the calendar.

Wednesday the 16th ends the run

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