Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up, grab your wettie and let's get into it. We've got a bit of a mixed bag on the charts for the next couple of weeks. It's gonna be a game of patience, so let's not waste time.

The start of this run is a total dud. From Monday the 3rd through Thursday the 6th, it’s junky. We’ve got cross-shore breezes chopping up a weak, short-period swell. The energy is low to moderate, and the waves will be messy. Monday morning is the only time it looks semi-clean, but with a weak 4ft of 14-second swell, it’s not worth the paddle. Water temps are normal at 55°, nothing strange there. Just a flat, frustrating start.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope arrives on Friday the 7th. The wind swings light and cross-off, and the swell gets more organised. We’re looking at 5ft of clean, long-period groundswell from the southwest with a period of 16 seconds. The energy jumps to a solid reading. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and surfable. This looks like the first proper window. The swell direction from the SW is hitting the spot right on the nose. This is a good one for a proper surf.

Saturday the 8th also holds some promise. The morning is looking good with a moderate offshore wind (N at 16 mph) grooming the same 5ft SW groundswell. It’ll be a touch windier, but still clean and punchy. The afternoon can get a bit more mixed, but the morning session should be a fun one.

Then things take a wild turn. After a brief, windy drop-off on Sunday the 9th (avoid – it’s just messy), we get a huge pulse of swell starting Monday the 10th. This is where it gets serious. The swell height jumps to 13ft and then 16ft by the afternoon, with a massive jump in energy. This is a big, powerful groundswell. However, this is way too much for this break. The data is pretty clear: the swell is too big. Unless you’re an absolute charger on a proper big-wave board, stay well clear. This is well over the 8ft mark, making it experts-only territory, and even then, it’s probably not a good idea. We’re talking dangerous, unsurfable conditions. This big event takes up Monday, Tuesday the 11th, and Wednesday the 12th, though the swell does start to back down a bit on Wednesday.

Just as that big one is fading, another pulse shows up. Thursday the 13th sees another spike to 18ft, again with huge energy. Again, this is just too big for this spot. Same story – big, powerful swell that won’t be user-friendly. The good news is it starts to ease off by the weekend.

By Saturday the 15th, it’s looking more manageable. The swell has dropped to 7ft, the wind is light and cross-off in the morning, and it’s clean. This is looking like another good window, though the swell has come down a bit. This is promising, but remember it's a week and a half away, so treat it as a possibility, not a certainty.

The run continues into Sunday the 16th, but the winds are turning more onshore, so the quality will drop. It looks like the best of the second week is definitely that Saturday morning.

So, to sum it up: the standouts in the whole period are Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th, with a promising but less certain window on Saturday the 15th. The big swells in between are just far too big for this spot and dangerous. It’s a case of getting in the water when you can, and watching the bomba from the beach when you can’t. The first few days are a bust, so don’t bother. From about the 7th, we have something to talk about.

Rusty, out.

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