
Surf Forecasts:
Raffs Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SW swell with 2,391 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s run through the surf outlook for Raffs Beach.
There’s a decent stretch of waves coming, but the first few days are pretty average. The real sweet spot is Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th of July, then a quiet lull, and a big, heavy swell rolls in later in the period. Sunday the 19th is also a nice small-wave day.
Water temp is 56°F, right around average for this time of year.
Wednesday the 15th kicks off with a 2.3m (8ft) SW swell, 14-second period, energy at 2035—strong, but the conditions are marginal. Not worth your time. Thursday the 16th is the same story: 2.4m (8ft) SW, 14 seconds, strong energy, but the wind and cloud are messy.
Friday the 17th of July is the first standout. The swell settles to 2.0m (7ft) from the SW, with a very long 16-second period. The energy is still strong at 2011. Clear skies, light winds, and the report calls it “excellent for experienced surfers.” At 7ft, it’s a solid wave. Because it’s a beach break with a 16-second period, the sets will be far apart and the wave might wall up a bit, but the paddle out is easy. This is for the experienced crew.
Saturday the 18th is a beauty. The swell drops to 1.5m (5ft) from the SW, 14-second period, energy 840 (moderate). Morning is clean, but the afternoon is glassy—NE wind at 5 km/h (3 mph), zero chop. The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” With a 1.3m (4ft) 13-second swell, this is the best day for beginners and intermediates. Clean, smooth waves.
Sunday the 19th is still fun, with a 1.0m (3ft) SW swell, 12-second period, clean conditions. Good for a longboard. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st have tiny, clean waves—0.6m to 0.8m (2ft to 3ft), long period, but weak energy (180 to 342). Surfable but small.
Then it goes quiet. Wednesday the 22nd is marginal, Thursday the 23rd brings a jump to 1.8m (6ft) but with cross-shore wind and chop. Friday the 24th is a big warning: 3.5m (12ft) SW swell, 15-second period, energy at 8629—the report says the swell is too big for this break. This is only for experts, and even then, it’s risky. Saturday the 25th is similar: 3.0m (10ft), 16-second period, 4728 energy, with moderate cross-off wind. Too big.
From Sunday the 26th, the swell drops but the wind turns onshore and conditions get messy. Not worth it until Wednesday the 29th of July, when we get a clean 1.3m (4ft) SW swell, 13-second period, with light cross-off winds and a glassy afternoon. That’s a nice finish.
In short: Friday the 17th for the advanced crew, Saturday the 18th for everyone else. The rest is either small, too big, or messy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1803 | 1947 | 2391 | 2238 | 1760 | 1919 | 1919 | 1273 | 865 | 560 | 369 | 268 | 99 | 152 | 371 | 178 | 251 | 180 | 253 | 424 | 336 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:37PM1.33m | 1:23PM1.54m | 00:50AM1.36m | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:24PM0.78m | 6:26AM0.18m | 7:25PM0.67m | 7:26AM0.17m | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | |
5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | 5:24 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
1803 | 1947 | 2391 | 2238 | 1760 | 1919 | 1919 | 1273 | 865 | 560 | 369 | 268 | 99 | 73 | 371 | 178 | 251 | 180 | 253 | 424 | 336 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | S 14 | S 17 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SSW 11 | WSW 12 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | E 10 | NE 4 | — | E 10 | E 10 |
69 | 134 | 142 | 115 | 70 | 93 | 50 | 18 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 68 | 58 | 20 | 55 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 16 | SSW 10 | S 15 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61 | 59 | 152 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 2 | N 3 | N 3 | WNW 3 | NNW 2 | N 2 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











