Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.2° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SW swell with 2,391 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 13s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 16th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s run through the surf outlook for Raffs Beach.

There’s a decent stretch of waves coming, but the first few days are pretty average. The real sweet spot is Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th of July, then a quiet lull, and a big, heavy swell rolls in later in the period. Sunday the 19th is also a nice small-wave day.

Water temp is 56°F, right around average for this time of year.

Wednesday the 15th kicks off with a 2.3m (8ft) SW swell, 14-second period, energy at 2035—strong, but the conditions are marginal. Not worth your time. Thursday the 16th is the same story: 2.4m (8ft) SW, 14 seconds, strong energy, but the wind and cloud are messy.

Friday the 17th of July is the first standout. The swell settles to 2.0m (7ft) from the SW, with a very long 16-second period. The energy is still strong at 2011. Clear skies, light winds, and the report calls it “excellent for experienced surfers.” At 7ft, it’s a solid wave. Because it’s a beach break with a 16-second period, the sets will be far apart and the wave might wall up a bit, but the paddle out is easy. This is for the experienced crew.

Saturday the 18th is a beauty. The swell drops to 1.5m (5ft) from the SW, 14-second period, energy 840 (moderate). Morning is clean, but the afternoon is glassy—NE wind at 5 km/h (3 mph), zero chop. The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” With a 1.3m (4ft) 13-second swell, this is the best day for beginners and intermediates. Clean, smooth waves.

Sunday the 19th is still fun, with a 1.0m (3ft) SW swell, 12-second period, clean conditions. Good for a longboard. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st have tiny, clean waves—0.6m to 0.8m (2ft to 3ft), long period, but weak energy (180 to 342). Surfable but small.

Then it goes quiet. Wednesday the 22nd is marginal, Thursday the 23rd brings a jump to 1.8m (6ft) but with cross-shore wind and chop. Friday the 24th is a big warning: 3.5m (12ft) SW swell, 15-second period, energy at 8629—the report says the swell is too big for this break. This is only for experts, and even then, it’s risky. Saturday the 25th is similar: 3.0m (10ft), 16-second period, 4728 energy, with moderate cross-off wind. Too big.

From Sunday the 26th, the swell drops but the wind turns onshore and conditions get messy. Not worth it until Wednesday the 29th of July, when we get a clean 1.3m (4ft) SW swell, 13-second period, with light cross-off winds and a glassy afternoon. That’s a nice finish.

In short: Friday the 17th for the advanced crew, Saturday the 18th for everyone else. The rest is either small, too big, or messy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
13
2.3
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1803
1947
2391
2238
1760
1919
1919
1273
865
560
369
268
99
152
371
178
251
180
253
424
336
Wind (km/h)
15
W
10
W
10
WSW
5
S
5
N
10
NNW
5
NNW
10
NW
10
NW
5
N
10
NW
10
N
5
N
10
NNW
15
N
15
NNW
15
N
15
N
10
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
4:10PM1.57m
4:39AM1.44m
4:46PM1.54m
5:28AM1.41m
Low Tide
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
9:53AM0.34m
10:29PM0.33m
10:35AM0.45m
11:10PM0.31m
11:15AM0.57m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
 mm
Temp °C
13
14
13
13
13
12
13
12
11
13
12
12
14
13
14
15
13
16
17
14
14
Feels °C
10
12
11
11
12
10
12
10
8
11
10
10
12
11
9
12
10
13
14
11
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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