Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's happening at Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

It's going to be a wild ride with plenty of swell energy, but the wind and the size are going to be the deciding factors. The water temp is around 56°, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

We start this Thursday, the 10th, and honestly, it's a no-go. There's a massive 10ft SSW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the energy is off the charts (5151). But that south-southwest wind is blowing straight onshore, making it a choppy mess. Plus, that size is just too much for this break. We're sitting this one out.

Friday the 11th isn't much better. The swell drops to about 7ft, but the wind is still on it, and the conditions look marginal. Nothing to get stoked about.

Now, Saturday the 12th is your first real window. The swell is still a solid 7ft from the SW with a 15-second period, but the wind swings around to a light cross-offshore breeze. The morning is looking clean, and the word is it's excellent for experienced surfers. This is a good call for anyone with some time in the water, but that 7ft is going to be a handful for beginners.

Sunday the 13th cleans up even more with offshore winds, but the swell backs off to around 4-5ft. It's going to be clean and rideable, but nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a real lull. Monday the 14th is tiny, with waves under 3ft. Don't bother. Things get rowdy again Tuesday the 15th, with a big 11ft SW swell, but the onshore wind ruins it completely. It's a messy, blown-out 11ft. Not for surfing.

The pattern stays average through the middle of the month, with a mix of cross-off and onshore winds. Swells range from 6ft to 7ft. It's not all bad, but nothing is screaming "drop everything and go."

Looking further out, Friday the 25th is the standout of the whole forecast. We've got a 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, and the combined energy is pumping (5476). The wind is forecast to be light and offshore in the morning, which would make for some absolutely epic, clean lines. The word is it's excellent for experienced surfers, and I'd agree. That kind of period on a beach break can make things a little tricky and straight, but with offshore wind, it could be a session to remember. Keep an eye on this one.

To be fair, for the more moderate days around the 19th, with offshore winds and 5-6ft swell, the break should be offering some fun, clean waves for the average surfer.

So, to wrap it up: the next two weeks are full of size and energy, but you have to pick your moments. Saturday the 12th is your early pick for the experienced crew, but the real one to circle on the calendar is Friday the 25th. That one has the potential to be something special.

Rusty.

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