Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks at Raffs Beach. The long-range models are showing some serious swell on the horizon, but we've got a bit of a wait on our hands.

Right now, the surf is a no-go. Monday's a write-off with a strong onshore wind and messy, weak conditions. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a pathetic 444, and it's just not worth paddling out. We're looking at a few days of poor surf before things start to change.

Tuesday sees a bit of life, but it's a marginal call. A 3.6 ft SW swell (18-second period) with a cross-shore wind will have some energy behind it (1264), but it's not clean. The water is about 56.3°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Wednesday and Thursday get big, but the wind is a problem. The swell jumps to 9.8 ft and 11.5 ft from the SW, with a decent period, but that cross-onshore wind is going to make it a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy is huge (over 6707 on Wednesday), but the quality is poor. Thursday morning the swell is 9.8 ft but the wind is onshore and it's just too big and messy for this spot.

Now, Friday the 11th is a bit of a tease. The swell is still around 6.6 ft from the SW, but the wind is light onshore. It's still marginal, and the wave comment is not great.

I'm calling it now: the best on offer is the weekend of the 12th and 13th. Saturday morning is a standout. The swell is 6.9 ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, and the wind is light from the NNW, giving us a clean, cross-off groom. The energy is a solid 1990, and the conditions are labelled as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a real window. Saturday afternoon and Sunday keep the good vibes going with offshores and clean surf, though the swell drops a bit to 5.9 ft and 4.3 ft. Sunday's 4.3 ft swell with a 15-second period and offshore wind will be very clean.

After that, the surf drops off again. Monday the 14th has a small 3.3 ft swell with a fresh offshore, but it's weak. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th see the swell come back up to 6.9 ft and 7.2 ft, but the wind is onshore, so it's not great.

Then, looking way out, Thursday the 17th is another promising day. The swell is 7.2 ft from the SW (16-second period) with a moderate offshore wind from the N. It's labelled as excellent for experienced surfers, and the energy is 2523. This could be a solid session.

The end of the run is a bit of a mixed bag. Friday the 18th is a write-off with strong winds, and while Saturday the 19th has a big 11.5 ft SW swell, it's too big for this spot. Sunday the 20th is a bit smaller but still on the bigger side.

A final note for the long-range: Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are forecast to have 9.8 ft swell from the SW with clean winds and glassy conditions, but the forecast says it's "too big for this break." That's a shame, because it would be a ripper otherwise. The energy is over 4000, so it's pumping, but it's not for the faint-hearted.

Stay patient, the weekend of the 12th and 13th is your best bet.

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