
Surf Forecasts:
Raffs Beach surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 4,213 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Raffs Beach. This is a beginner-friendly spot, and it’s pretty exposed, so it catches plenty of energy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The week kicks off proper with some solid action. Friday morning, July 17, we’ve got a nice 7 ft south-west groundswell, with a very long period of 16 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the north-northwest, making for clean, lined-up waves. There’s a heap of energy in the water (2158), and it’s glassy conditions by the afternoon. This is quality stuff, but at this size and with that long period, the waves will be powerful and a bit fat off the beach – it’s one for the experienced crew. The best of the bunch is that Friday afternoon, July 17, with glassy conditions and 7 ft south-west swell.
Saturday, July 18, hangs in there. The morning has 5 ft south-west swell with a cross-offshore breeze, so it’s still clean. By the afternoon, it goes glassy with 4 ft sets. That’s a solid, fun day for the intermediate who wants a bit of a paddle.
Into Sunday, July 19, the swell backs off to 3 ft, still clean in the morning, and glassy in the afternoon. It’s a bit smaller, but still rideable for the beginners. This pattern of clean, small waves continues through Monday, July 20, and Tuesday, July 21, with the swell hovering around 3 ft to 4 ft. The winds are either offshore or light cross-off, so the surface is clean. It’s not pumping, but it’s a nice run of small, clean days.
Wednesday, July 22, is a write-off in the afternoon – the wind picks up and kills the quality. Then Thursday, July 23, is a mess. We’ve got a 8 ft to 10 ft windswell with a short period of 7-8 seconds, but the wind is howling onshore or cross-shore at 19-25 mph. It’s lumpy, messy, and not worth a look. The energy is moderate to strong (947-1452), but it’s all wind chop – more of a windsurfing or kite day than a paddle day.
Friday, July 24, is still a bit of a wash. The swell is 7 ft to 8 ft, but the wind is cross-shore, leaving a chop on the surface. There’s a lot of energy (1841-2337), but it’s not clean.
The following week gets wild. The weekend of July 25-26 sees a massive jump in swell. The guidance says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, with heights of 12 ft on Saturday morning and 8 ft in the afternoon. The energy is extreme (6511-4192). This is only for experts, and even then, the wind is cross-onshore or onshore, making it a messy, dangerous beast. The same story repeats on Monday, July 27, with 12 ft to 10 ft sets and strong onshore winds. Not a surfer’s friend.
The end of the month starts to settle. July 28-29 has 6 ft to 8 ft swell, but the wind is onshore, so the surface is lumpy. The energy is still strong (1414-3361), but the quality is poor.
The real standout, and the one to circle on the calendar, is Friday, July 31. The morning brings a clean 8 ft south-west swell with a long period of 15 seconds, and a light offshore breeze. The energy is high (2645), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That is the pick of the entire 16-day window. The following day, August 1, the swell drops to 5 ft, with a light cross-shore wind, so it’s a smaller, less exciting finish.
So, to sum it up: the first few days are clean and fun for all levels, but the standout is definitely Friday, July 31 morning. The middle of the second week is blown out or too big, so don’t bother. Keep your eyes on that last Friday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1760 | 2061 | 1943 | 1196 | 828 | 560 | 369 | 272 | 99 | 152 | 371 | 176 | 251 | 313 | 517 | 424 | 244 | 236 | 411 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 00:50AM1.36m | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:26AM0.17m | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | |||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
1760 | 2061 | 1943 | 1196 | 828 | 560 | 369 | 272 | 99 | 75 | 371 | 176 | 251 | 313 | 517 | 424 | 244 | 236 | 411 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 11 | WSW 12 | SSW 10 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | — |
70 | 97 | 87 | — | — | — | — | 16 | 79 | 58 | 20 | 67 | 80 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 16 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 61 | 59 | 152 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 2 | — | N 2 | N 4 | NW 3 | W 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










