Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s heading our way.

Alright, the next sixteen days are a bit of a mixed bag here at Raffs Beach. We’ve got a serious pulse of swell rolling in, but it’s going to be too much for a while. The first proper surf isn’t on offer until Monday the 13th of July, and it’s a big one. That’s a solid 10 ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 15 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 4511 (strong wave energy). The wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off from the NW, so it’ll be clean, but honestly, this is too big for this spot. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and 10 ft is pushing it – not for the faint-hearted. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Monday afternoon stays big and clean, and Tuesday keeps it going with a 10 ft to 13 ft SW swell. The energy on Tuesday afternoon hits 11887, which is very strong, but again, it’s just too much for any sensible paddling. This is a beach setup, and with that much power and a long period, it’s going to be a washing machine. This looks more like a kite surfer’s dream than a paddle surfer’s.

By Wednesday the 15th of July, we finally see a drop. The morning is still a bit tricky with a 8 ft SW swell and a 14-second period, but the wind is a moderate 20 km/h cross-off, keeping it clean. The score is marginal, though. The real highlight is Wednesday afternoon. The swell drops to 7 ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and the wind eases to a gentle 15 km/h cross-off. The combined energy is 1788 (moderate wave energy). It’s clean and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is your best window early on – offshore winds, solid but manageable size for a more confident crew.

Thursday the 16th drops further, but the wind gets messy with a cross-shore and then a cross-onshore, making it marginal. Friday the 17th is a real standout. The morning is glassy with a light 10 km/h offshore from the N, and a 7 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period (energy 2152 – moderate). That’s clean, powerful, and excellent for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon stays clean with a light offshore breeze.

Saturday the 18th of July is another good one. The morning has a 5 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, a light offshore wind from the NNW, and combined energy of 816 (moderate). The conditions are “very good” and the crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might get a few out, but it’s worth it. Sunday the 19th has a drop-off to small stuff, but still clean.

Then we have a bit of a lull until Tuesday the 21st of July. That Tuesday morning is a beauty – glassy conditions, a 6 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and energy of 1169 (moderate). The wind is dead calm, glassy, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a quiet, clean session.

The next true standout is Saturday the 25th of July. The morning has a 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, a gentle 15 km/h cross-off, and energy of 1375 (moderate). Excellent conditions. The afternoon is also excellent, with very light winds and a clean 5 ft swell. And then Sunday the 26th of July morning is glassy with a 5 ft SW swell and a 14-second period – energy 754 (moderate) – very good conditions.

So, overall, the best of the best? Friday the 17th of July morning is the pick of the early run – clean, offshore, and a solid 7 ft groundswell. And then Tuesday the 21st of July morning is a hidden gem with glassy conditions and a punchy 6 ft. For the second week, Saturday the 25th of July looks promising, but it’s further out, so keep an eye on it.

Stay safe, and don’t get caught inside on that Monday big stuff.

Rusty.

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