Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.1° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,407 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Tue 21st Jul)4ft (1.2m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 23rd Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Raffs Beach.

The outlook kicks off with a bit of a tease. We’ve got a solid-looking window starting Tuesday the 21st of July, with chest-high 4ft swell from the SSW, a 14-second period pushing a solid 617 energy into the beach. The wind is a light offshore from the NNW, keeping things clean. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and the water temp is sitting at 56°, which is bang on average for the time of year—nothing weird there. This is the best you’ll see for the first few days, so if you’re free Tuesday morning, that’s your window.

Wednesday the 22nd drops off a little, with the swell backing down to 3ft and a moderate cross-off breeze making it rideable but nothing special. By Thursday the 23rd, things get wild. The swell jumps up to 12ft, but that’s way too big for this break—it’s a beginner spot, and that’s expert territory. The energy numbers are massive (8282 on Thursday morning), but it’s just too much. Friday the 24th is the same story: 12ft swell, 15-second period, crazy energy at 11192, but again, the size makes it a no-go for paddle surfing here. This setup is more interesting for the kite crew than us.

The weekend is a write-off for quality. Saturday the 25th is lumpy and messy, with rain showers and a cross-onshore wind. Sunday the 26th cleans up a bit by the afternoon, with a 5ft swell, 11-second period, and a gentle cross-off breeze. It’s a good session, but not a standout. The energy is moderate at 525.

Looking into the second week, Monday the 27th offers a clean waist-high 4ft swell with light offshore winds, but it’s inconsistent. Tuesday the 28th has a 6ft swell with a fresh breeze from the NNE—clean but marginal. The standout in this stretch is Tuesday afternoon, July 28th, with a 10ft swell from the SW and a moderate offshore wind from the north, but again, 10ft is too big for this beginner-friendly beach. Not for us.

From Wednesday the 29th onward, it’s a mess. Big swell continues but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, with strong gusts up to 25 mph. The energy stays high, but the conditions are poor. By early August, the swell drops, but the wind stays onshore, making it a frustrating stretch. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations from around July 30th through to the end of the forecast.

The 1st of August Saturday morning has a clean 6ft swell with a gentle cross-off, but it’s only marginal. After that, it’s a straight run of poor surf until the last record on August 5th, where a ridiculously long 21-second period swell from the SSE hits at just 2ft, but with onshore wind. That’s a waste of energy.

Bottom line: grab Tuesday morning, July 21st. That’s your best bet. Everything else is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sun night).

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
1
0
2
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
0
3
2
3
2
2
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
4
SW
12
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
11
1.7
SW
11
1.5
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
1.1
SW
10
1.3
SW
11
1.8
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
617
509
346
240
369
1092
5387
3095
7197
6188
5116
4378
3385
2710
1695
701
515
287
235
361
1018
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
NW
15
N
20
NW
20
W
20
W
20
W
30
W
25
WSW
25
WNW
35
WNW
30
WNW
30
W
20
WSW
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
N
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
4:46PM1.54m
5:28AM1.41m
5:19PM1.50m
6:16AM1.37m
5:51PM1.45m
7:05AM1.33m
6:24PM1.39m
7:57AM1.29m
7:00PM1.33m
8:53AM1.27m
7:44PM1.27m
9:54AM1.27m
8:36PM1.20m
Low Tide
10:35AM0.45m
11:10PM0.31m
11:15AM0.57m
11:50PM0.31m
11:55AM0.68m
00:29AM0.33m
12:35PM0.77m
1:11AM0.35m
1:20PM0.85m
1:55AM0.37m
2:13PM0.90m
2:43AM0.38m
3:19PM0.92m
3:37AM0.38m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:28
 mm
1
2
1
Temp °C
13
15
12
13
11
9
10
10
10
12
12
12
14
13
11
14
14
13
16
16
13
Feels °C
10
12
8
7
7
5
2
2
3
5
4
7
9
8
7
10
12
11
11
11
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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