Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Issued: 3 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
14.1° C

Normal for this time of year

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 7,045 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 3rd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 3rd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 3rd Jul)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, let's break it down. First bit: there's a big pulse of long-period groundswell coming in Friday, July 3rd. Raffs Beach is seeing solid 12ft from the WSW, but the wind isn't doing it any favors – morning brings a fresh 35 km/h cross-off, but the swell is just too big for the beach to handle well. Afternoon stays bumpy with a cross breeze. Saturday the 4th is still big, but the wind turns cross-onshore and the whole thing gets messy. Honestly, with that kind of size and messy wind, it’s more something to watch than surf.

Then Monday, July 6th is where it gets interesting. Swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the SW, still a solid 14-second period, and – here's the good news – we get light north offshore wind in the morning. Clean faces, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Water temp is 57°F, about average for this time of year. This is the standout window for the first week. Afternoon stays surfable at 5ft with a light cross-off breeze. Tuesday the 7th is smaller but still clean and fun with cross-off wind, though the wave energy has dropped way off.

Now we hit a bit of a lull from Wednesday the 8th through Sunday the 12th of July. Swell sticks around but the wind turns onshore from the SSW in the middle of the week, making it choppy and poor. That said, by Friday, July 10th, the wind goes back offshore from the NNW on the morning, with 5ft of 15-second SW groundswell, and clean conditions. That's another excellent window for the experienced crowd. Saturday the 11th keeps that offshore flow, a little stronger, with 5ft swell – still very surfable and clean.

Then Sunday afternoon, July 12th, gets interesting again: 6ft, 13-second SW, and a moderate north-northeasterly offshore – that's excellent for experienced surfers. But Monday the 13th, it turns again – onshore SSW wind ramps to 30 km/h with 8ft of swell and it’s messy. The next few days through Thursday the 16th stay poor to marginal with onshore wind and big, lumpy conditions. Friday, July 17th offers a break: light NNW cross-off wind and 8ft SSE swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds. Still, it’s clean for the experienced crew. The energy behind that is strong.

After that, the outlook winds down. Saturday, July 18th, has offshore wind again, but the swell has dropped to a mellow 3ft with long period – clean and glassy, so a great day for the longboard.

One thing: those long-period swells (14 to 19 seconds) are proper groundswell, and at a beach set-up like Raffs, they can break a bit too straight. Best to paddle out on the dropping tide and hunt for the right peaks.

Water temps are just normal for July here – nothing unusual.

Keep your eyes on Monday the 6th and Friday the 10th of July – those are your best shots for clean, quality waves.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
!
0
0
0
2
3
4
3
3
3
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
3
SSW
15
3
SSW
17
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6221
6003
5711
3701
1942
3271
4941
3834
2066
1079
721
444
322
728
566
1420
2327
1675
1154
1092
1185
Wind (km/h)
35
WNW
25
WSW
20
WNW
15
WSW
20
SW
20
SSE
25
SE
20
ESE
20
ENE
10
N
10
ENE
5
NNW
15
NW
10
WNW
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
S
5
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-off
High Tide
2:25PM1.53m
1:50AM1.24m
2:59PM1.52m
2:37AM1.26m
3:31PM1.51m
3:23AM1.29m
4:01PM1.49m
4:09AM1.31m
4:31PM1.47m
4:58AM1.33m
5:01PM1.45m
5:51AM1.34m
5:34PM1.44m
Low Tide
8:35PM0.66m
8:13AM0.27m
9:10PM0.60m
8:53AM0.30m
9:44PM0.54m
9:33AM0.36m
10:17PM0.49m
10:11AM0.44m
10:52PM0.43m
10:52AM0.53m
11:30PM0.38m
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
2
Temp °C
13
13
11
12
12
12
11
11
9
11
12
11
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
10
Feels °C
7
7
7
6
7
6
5
6
6
9
9
9
9
9
9
6
7
6
7
6
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
0.5
S
14
3
SSW
15
3
SSW
17
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.5
SW
18
2
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
Energy kJ
3009
2031
100
3271
4941
3834
2066
1079
721
444
277
728
566
1420
2327
1675
1154
1092
1185
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
16
0.9
S
16
0.5
S
16
0.4
S
15
0.6
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SW
19
0.8
SW
16
0.2
S
16
0.5
SW
21
1
SW
14
0.4
S
17
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.6
SW
19
0.2
S
16
Energy kJ
501
427
125
73
19
6
58
322
21
224
407
95
80
43
290
21
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
14
0.2
ESE
4
0.2
SSW
22
0.4
S
19
0.3
S
15
0.3
SSW
17
Energy kJ
34
2
47
109
38
56
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
SW
16
4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
1
SE
4
1.2
ESE
5
0.6
WSW
6
Energy kJ
6221
6003
5711
3701
1942
38
87
25
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
6
5
4
4
5
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
4
4
3
3
3
4
Distance (km)
358
16
16
16
33
60
60
171
13
0
0
0
0
0
16
16
16
16
16
33
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay
Rating
(10 max)
4
6
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
4
4
3
3
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
5
5
4
5
9
7
4
4
9
8
6
8
5
4
6
5
4
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
5
6
5
9
7
5
8
9
8
6
8
9
6
9
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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