Surf Forecasts:
Raffs Beach surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 4,295 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here.
We’ve got a solid stretch of surf on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Raffs Beach. It’s not going to be perfect the whole way through, but there are definitely some windows where you’ll want to be in the water. The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.
The run kicks off this Sunday morning, the 16th. We’re looking at a clean 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and a light ENE cross-off breeze. The energy is strong, with a combined reading of 1069. It’s a classic morning for a surf, glassy and clean, but the size and power might be a touch much for total beginners—this one’s for the experienced crew.
Monday the 17th sees a slight drop to 5ft SW, still clean with a light offshore in the morning. Good fun, but not as punchy as Sunday. The afternoon turns a bit more cross-on and choppy, so make the most of the morning session.
Tuesday the 18th is interesting. The morning is clean but a bit smaller at 4ft. The real standout is the afternoon: an offshore NNE breeze around 12 mph, clean conditions, and while the swell drops to 3ft, the quality is there. It’ll be a fun, cruisy wave, even if it’s not big.
Wednesday the 19th onwards, we see the swell fade away to 2-2ft. There’s fresh offshore wind, but the size is just too small to get excited about. The wave energy drops off a cliff, dipping to under 200. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. Thursday (20th) is more of the same—small and weak, nothing worth chasing.
Now, hold onto your board. Friday the 21st is where things start to get interesting. The morning is still clean with a building 4ft SW swell, but the afternoon is where it’s at. We see a jump to 8ft WSW with a 14-second period, and the energy reading blows up to 3583. That’s a strong, powerful pulse of swell, and the wind stays cross-off. This is a big day—expert territory. Fair warning, that size is well into the “for experienced surfers only” zone.
Saturday the 22nd is still big, around 8ft, but the wind swings onshore and it gets messy. It’s a bit of a washout for clean surfing. Sunday the 23rd is a better bet: the swell holds at 8ft SW, with a cross-off breeze and clean conditions. Another serious swell, but again, it’s a powerful, expert-only sort of wave.
After that, the run fades. Monday the 24th drops to 5ft but the wind turns messy and onshore, killing the quality. Tuesday and Wednesday (25th and 26th) are poor. Strong winds, rain, and lumpy, onshore slop. The swell gets up to 10ft on Wednesday afternoon, but the wind is howling onshore, making it completely unsurfable—that’s more of a kite day, to be honest.
By Thursday the 27th, the wind drops right out, leaving a clean 4-5ft SW swell. It’s a late-day option, but it looks good.
Now, for the standout period you’ve all been waiting for. Friday the 28th is clean and small, a bit of a reset. Then, Saturday the 29th of August is the pick of the whole window. We have a cracking 5ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period—that’s very long period, plenty of energy (1257 combined), light offshore winds, and clean conditions. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still a fair way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. Sunday the 30th keeps it going with a clean 4ft, and Monday the 31st rounds it out with a clean 5-5ft and offshore winds. A fine note to end on.
So, two true standouts: Sunday morning the 16th for the first pulse, and Saturday the 29th for the cleaner, longer-period groundswell. Get out there when you can, and stay safe.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1033 | 930 | 704 | 694 | 1123 | 949 | 598 | 313 | 400 | 214 | 191 | 140 | 186 | 309 | 180 | 704 | 2426 | 4295 | 2869 | 2090 | 2601 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:28PM1.52m | 2:47AM1.48m | 3:05PM1.53m | 3:35AM1.50m | 3:39PM1.53m | 4:18AM1.48m | 4:10PM1.50m | 5:00AM1.44m | 4:40PM1.46m | 5:41AM1.39m | 5:09PM1.40m | 6:23AM1.32m | 5:39PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:41PM0.30m | 8:55AM0.30m | 9:21PM0.24m | 9:35AM0.38m | 9:59PM0.21m | 10:12AM0.47m | 10:36PM0.22m | 10:48AM0.56m | 11:11PM0.24m | 11:22AM0.65m | 11:46PM0.28m | 11:57AM0.73m | 00:23AM0.32m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 10 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
1033 | 930 | 704 | 694 | 1123 | 949 | 598 | 313 | 400 | 214 | 191 | 140 | 186 | 309 | 180 | 704 | 255 | 1569 | 2869 | 2090 | 2601 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 5 | SW 17 | SE 4 | E 7 | SE 7 | NE 4 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 17 |
36 | — | 7 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 22 | 188 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 112 | 133 | 25 | 303 | 447 | 596 | 46 | — | 164 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | SE 5 | S 16 | — | — | SW 19 | E 7 | E 7 | SW 18 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 122 | 7 | 5 | — | — | 54 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 590 | 455 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | — | — | — |
— | — | 16 | 12 | 5 | 51 | — | 3 | 5 | 38 | 54 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2426 | 4295 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 51 | 51 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











