Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.8° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,554 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way for Raffs Beach, but this one is going to be a wild ride and not for the faint of heart. The first half of the period is packed with serious, powerful groundswell that is going to be way too big for beginners.

The action starts on Wednesday, 2nd September. We’re looking at a clean 6 ft swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period, making for some real energy. The wave energy is a massive 1928 (moderate), but the wind is a cross-off shore, so it’ll be clean. This is already too big for learners, and the afternoon gets bigger and lumpier with a cross-shore wind. This is just the warm-up.

Thursday, 3rd September, is where things get serious. We’ve got a 10 ft swell from the SW on Thursday morning, and the wave energy has jumped to 3169 (strong). The wind is cross, so it’s not perfect, but it’s rideable. The afternoon is a monster: 15 ft from the SW with a wave energy of 11282 (very strong). This is expert-only territory. The swell is too big for this break, so unless you’re a seasoned charger, give it a miss.

Friday, 4th September, is the standout of the first week. The swell is still a solid 10 ft from the SW, long period of 16 seconds, and the wave energy is a strong 4318. But here’s the magic: the wind is a cross-off shore from the NNW, keeping the faces clean. This is going to be a proper, powerful, clean groundswell. This is the one to circle if you’ve got the skills. The water temp is 57°, which is about 1° warmer than average, so pretty normal for this time of year.

The weekend gets messy. Saturday, 5th September, is a write-off. The wind is howling at 28 mph in the morning, and the afternoon is a total mess of cross-shore chop. Sunday, 6th September, has a clean morning with a 7 ft swell and a gentle breeze, but the wave energy is dropping. The experienced surfers will have a fun session, but it’s not the highlight.

Monday, 7th September, is a dud with onshore winds and little swell. Tuesday, 8th September, is marginal, with a long 18-second period groundswell but cross-off winds. The paddle out will be easier with the long gaps between sets, but the quality is only so-so.

Now, here’s a big gap. From Wednesday, 9th September, through to Monday, 14th September, we get a run of poor conditions. The wind is either fresh onshore or cross-on, and the swell is either too big for the break or just messy. Wednesday, 9th September, is a total loss with fresh cross-onshore winds and a 10 ft swell. Thursday, 10th September, has a 12 ft swell from the SW with a very long 18-second period, but the wind is onshore – it’s too big and blown out. The rest of that week is a write-off.

The next real chance comes on Friday, 11th September. This is your second standout. We’ve got a 6 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is offshore from the N. The wave energy is 1413 (moderate). This is clean, offshore, and glassy. The swell is a bit smaller, but the conditions will be perfect. It’s a much better size for a wider range of surfers, but still a bit much for pure beginners.

Saturday, 12th September, has a fresh offshore breeze with a 6 ft swell, but it’s a bit on the windier side. It’s still a fun option. Sunday, 13th September, is marginal with a clean morning but winds that turn onshore in the afternoon.

Then we hit another gap. The week of Monday, 14th September, through to Wednesday, 16th September, is a total bust. The swell drops to under 3 ft, and the wind is onshore or cross. Not worth paddling out.

The final chance of the forecast is Thursday, 17th September. We’ve got a 8 ft swell from the SW with a 16-second period, and the wind is cross. The wave energy is 3000 (strong). It’s marginal, but it’s a late pulse of energy. Could be a sneaky session if the wind plays ball.

So, to wrap it up: Friday, 4th September is the clear standout for the big-swell crew. Clean, powerful, and long-period. For those who want a bit more manageable size with perfect conditions, Friday, 11th September is your pick. The rest of the run is either too big, too windy, or too small.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Mon night).

Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
!
!
!
!
!
4
1
0
!
4
2
3
0
0
4
3
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
3
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
3.5
SW
12
3.5
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.2
SW
18
1.8
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1832
1932
2082
3094
7554
4606
4218
4026
3001
1857
3233
3566
1729
1155
666
418
659
634
891
1795
1532
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
25
W
25
NW
25
W
25
W
20
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
30
NNW
45
WNW
40
W
20
W
15
WNW
20
W
15
NW
25
SSW
15
S
10
NW
15
WNW
15
SW
25
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:51PM1.42m
3:39AM1.49m
3:22PM1.44m
4:22AM1.49m
3:55PM1.44m
5:09AM1.45m
4:33PM1.42m
6:00AM1.38m
5:17PM1.37m
6:59AM1.31m
6:13PM1.30m
8:07AM1.24m
7:28PM1.23m
Low Tide
9:13PM0.18m
9:36AM0.48m
9:50PM0.13m
10:13AM0.54m
10:31PM0.12m
10:53AM0.62m
11:16PM0.13m
11:38AM0.68m
00:08AM0.18m
12:33PM0.74m
1:09AM0.25m
1:44PM0.76m
2:23AM0.32m
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
1
8
1
1
Temp °C
15
13
14
14
14
11
15
17
15
12
13
13
13
14
13
12
11
10
15
15
11
Feels °C
10
7
8
7
8
6
10
12
10
2
4
9
9
9
9
6
7
8
10
11
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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