Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
14.0°C
1.1° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,212 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 17th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Sun 20th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 16th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

We’re stuck in a rough patch right at the start. Tuesday and Wednesday have solid 8ft to 11ft SW swell but the wind is howling onshore or cross-on, turning everything into a choppy mess. Wave energy is huge – 2158 to 3732 – but it’s not surfable. Thursday edges into marginal territory with 7ft to 6ft SW swell, but still cross-on or onshore, energy dropping to 1796. Not worth rushing out.

Friday 18th September is the first real window. Swell drops to 6ft from the SW, period around 13 seconds, and the wind swings cross-offshore from the NW and WNW, cleaning it up nicely. The water temp is about average for the season. Energy is moderate at 1902, but for a beginner-friendly spot like Raffs, this is when you want to be out. Saturday 19th is similar – 5ft SW, clean cross-off winds, but energy is down to 943 to 787, so the waves will be weaker and slower. Still a decent session.

Sunday 20th September morning has fresh offshore from the N, but the swell is only 4ft with low energy at 447. The afternoon, though, is a big one – a 13ft WSW swell rolls in with 5347 of energy, but the wind is cross-shore from the W at 30 km/h. The wave comment says it’s too big for this break, so unless you’re an expert, it’s more of a show than a surf.

Monday 21st is back to messy – 8ft to 10ft SW swell, onshore wind, energy up to 3825. Not good. Then Tuesday 22nd September morning is the standout: 8ft SW swell with a solid 15-second period, clean cross-off winds from the NE, and energy at 3148. The wave comment calls it excellent for experienced surfers – the swell direction matches the optimum SSW, and the long period will make it fat and powerful. Crowds are only “sometimes”, so you might score some empty waves. This is your pick.

Wednesday 23rd sees the swell dropping to 5ft with offshore and cross-off winds, decent energy at 881, and very good surf conditions. Thursday 24th is smaller at 3ft to 4ft, but glassy or light offshore – perfect for a longboard or a beginner session.

Friday 25th September morning is glassy with 5ft SW swell and 14-second period – super clean, energy at 804. The afternoon jumps to 5ft with a 17-second period, clean cross-off, and the wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. Energy is up to 1579. That long period groundswell will be better for point or reef setups, but at Raffs it might be a bit straight – still, the conditions are prime.

Saturday 26th September morning is another standout: 8ft SW swell, 16-second period, clean cross-off, and energy at 4146. The afternoon gets even bigger – 10ft SW with a 19-second period and offshore NNW wind at 25 km/h, energy at 6316. The wave comment says it’s too big for this break, so only for the brave. Expect long waits between sets but plenty of power.

After that, it goes downhill – Sunday 27th brings rain and cross-on wind, Monday 28th and Tuesday 29th are all onshore and poor, and Wednesday 30th is marginal with light cross-shore wind and 6ft SW swell at 1319 energy. Not much to get excited about.

The two true standouts are Tuesday 22nd September morning and Friday 25th September afternoon – both offer clean, powerful SW swell with offshore or cross-off wind, decent period, and manageable crowds. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
3
3
4
2
2
2
1
!
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
18
2.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1
SW
12
1.1
SW
14
4
WSW
12
2.3
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
109
2126
3732
4541
3419
3320
2684
1704
1255
1338
1086
821
1255
905
732
297
447
3664
1513
Wind (km/h)
15
W
25
WSW
35
SW
30
SSW
25
S
25
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
15
S
15
NW
20
NW
25
WNW
15
NNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
N
35
N
30
W
20
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-on
High Tide
2:32AM1.54m
2:30PM1.47m
3:14AM1.55m
3:03PM1.47m
3:52AM1.53m
3:33PM1.44m
4:29AM1.48m
4:02PM1.39m
5:05AM1.42m
4:30PM1.33m
5:41AM1.34m
4:59PM1.26m
Low Tide
8:36AM0.38m
8:49PM0.15m
9:13AM0.43m
9:24PM0.14m
9:47AM0.50m
9:58PM0.16m
10:20AM0.56m
10:30PM0.20m
10:52AM0.62m
11:02PM0.25m
11:26AM0.67m
11:37PM0.30m
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:22
6:20
6:18
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:15
6:15
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
19
19
16
22
23
19
24
22
15
Feels °C
12
5
2
3
4
5
6
8
6
8
14
14
13
16
19
16
16
16
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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