Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.3° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, WSW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 13,602 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 10th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Sun 12th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for us over the next few weeks.

We've got a mixed bag ahead at Raffs Beach. The water temp is sitting at 56°, pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first real window to get in the water isn't until this Friday afternoon, July 10th. It's not big, with a 4ft swell from the southwest, but the wind is glassy from the northeast. That's going to make for some clean, inviting waves. The combined energy is moderate, right on the edge. Perfect for beginners, and the consistency is fairly consistent, so you'll get your share.

Come Saturday morning, July 11th, the swell drops to 3ft but the wind cranks up from the NNE at 19 mph. It's offshore, so the faces will be clean, but it's a fresh breeze. Paddling back out will be a bit of a workout. That afternoon, the wind gets even stronger up to 25 mph, making it tough to paddle into anything, so Saturday is mostly a write-off.

Sunday morning the 12th, things get serious. A 7ft SW swell rolls in, combined energy moderate, but the wind is a strong cross-offshore at 25 mph. It's too big for beginners at over 5ft. By Sunday afternoon, it jumps to 10ft from the WSW with 19 mph cross-shore wind, making for lumpy conditions. This is getting into expert territory.

Next Monday and Tuesday, July 13th and 14th, the ocean goes off. We're looking at 10ft to 15ft swells from the southwest, with combined energy readings strong to very strong. The periods hit 15 and 16 seconds, which is a very long-period groundswell—those waves will have serious power and shape, but at these sizes, it's strictly for experienced surfers on the right equipment, and even then, it's a beast.

The standout window in the first week, if you're an experienced surfer, is actually Thursday, July 16th and Friday, July 17th. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 6-7ft from the SW, with periods around 14-16 seconds. The wind on Thursday is light cross-offshore, and by Friday afternoon it goes glassy. Combined energy is plenty of push. Clean, glassy, and punchy. That's the pick of the week. The 7ft on Friday is a touch over the 5ft mark, so it's not for learners.

We then hit a quiet spell from Saturday the 18th through Tuesday the 22nd of July. Swell drops to 2ft to 5ft. The wind is often offshore, so it'll look good, but the energy is weak, with combined energy readings under 1000. There are periods where it's clean, but the power just isn't there. It's a gap of five days with no real standout sessions.

Then from Wednesday the 22nd afternoon, it starts building again. By Thursday the 23rd, we're back into big swell territory with an 12ft SW groundswell (16-second period), making it too big for this break. That energy is very strong.

The best bet in the second week? I'd put my money on Friday afternoon, July 24th. The swell is a solid 8ft from the southwest, with a 14-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the west at 9 mph. The combined energy is a healthy one. Conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That's a clean, powerful session for those who can handle it.

For the beginner crew, the earlier glassy Friday the 10th is your best shot. For the more advanced surfers, focus on July 16th and 17th, and that Friday the 24th. Keep an eye on things; those long-period swells can make the beach break a bit straight, but with the right wind, it should be alright.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Thu morning).

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
0
0
1
!
2
!
!
!
!
!
5
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.8
SW
14
1
SW
13
2.2
SW
12
3
WSW
12
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
5.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4
WSW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
667
507
336
224
316
1278
2253
2354
3900
4929
13360
9634
6451
2902
2024
1401
1262
1220
1288
827
1719
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
15
N
30
NNE
40
NNE
35
NW
40
WNW
30
W
35
WNW
35
NW
35
NW
30
W
20
W
15
W
15
WNW
25
NW
15
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
5
W
15
NNW
15
NW
Wind State
glassy
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:14PM1.42m
7:52AM1.35m
7:01PM1.39m
9:01AM1.36m
7:59PM1.36m
10:15AM1.39m
9:07PM1.33m
11:27AM1.43m
10:21PM1.31m
12:30PM1.49m
11:37PM1.33m
1:23PM1.54m
00:50AM1.36m
Low Tide
1:03AM0.30m
1:20PM0.83m
1:59AM0.27m
2:27PM0.89m
3:02AM0.25m
3:45PM0.91m
4:10AM0.23m
5:09PM0.87m
5:20AM0.20m
6:24PM0.78m
6:26AM0.18m
7:25PM0.67m
7:26AM0.17m
cloud
clear
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
7
5
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
13
12
14
13
10
11
12
12
14
14
11
13
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
13
12
Feels °C
11
9
7
5
2
5
5
4
7
7
4
8
8
8
8
11
11
11
13
11
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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