Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
12.7° C
0.3° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 8,677 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 6th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Rafs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow burner. The first couple of days, Thursday 6th and into Friday 7th, the surf is small and pretty marginal. Thursday morning sees a weak 3ft SW swell, period a short 12 seconds, with a northwest cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a low 382, so there’s barely any push. The swell picks up a touch Friday, hitting 5ft from the SW with a strong 16-second period, giving it some real groundswell grunt. The wind is light and cross-off on Friday, making for clean conditions. The combined energy jumps to 1009, which is solid moderate energy. This is a decent window for experienced surfers, as the long period means it’ll be a bit more powerful, but the sets will be more spaced out. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Saturday 8th morning is where we start to see a real standout. The swell holds at 4ft from the SW, still with that lovely 16-second period, but the wind swings offshore from the north at 15 mph. The energy is a strong 948. This is clean, offshore, and has proper shape. It’s the best bet of the first week. The afternoon gets a bit windier at 18 mph, still offshore, but it’s fresher and a little more work.

Sunday 9th is a write-off. The swell drops back to 3ft, the wind is howling offshore at 22 mph, and it’s raining. The combined energy is a weak 394. Not a day to bother.

Now, Monday 10th is a different beast. The morning swell pumps up to 13ft from the SW, but the period is a short, wind-affected 9 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 2791, but that size is too big for this break. This is expert-only if you’re brave, but honestly, with that short period and size, it’s more of a washing machine. The afternoon drops to 6ft with a much better 17-second period, but the energy is still huge at 2672. The wind is a cross-off, so it’s clean, but the size and power will still be a handful.

Tuesday 11th to Wednesday 12th sees a solid 5ft to 8ft SW swell, with the energy staying strong (1116-3479). The wind is a mix of offshore and cross-shore, so conditions are mixed. Wednesday’s 8ft swell with an 18-second period and cross-shore wind will be a bit lumpy. Not the pick.

Thursday 13th through to Saturday 15th is the real highlight for the whole period. Thursday 13th morning has a 8ft SW swell, a 16-second period, and a gentle cross-off wind from the west. The combined energy is a very strong 3325. This is powerful, clean, and has quality written all over it. The swell direction (SW) matches the optimum for the break. For experienced surfers, this is the best on offer. Friday 14th morning is even bigger at 10ft, but that’s over the 8ft mark, so it’s now expert territory. The wind is cross-off, and the energy is a staggering 6034. Saturday 15th morning drops to a more manageable 8ft, with a 16-second period, light cross-off wind, and energy of 2794. This is another excellent, clean day.

After that, the surf settles through the second week. Sunday 16th to Tuesday 18th sees a steady 6ft to 4ft SW swell, with periods dropping to 13-14 seconds. The wind is a bit of a mix, with some cross-on days, so it’s not as clean. The energy drops to moderate levels (632-1481). Wednesday 19th has a 5ft, 16-second swell with a fresh offshore from the north at 22 mph. That’s a clean, workable wave, but the wind is strong. The combined energy is 1034. Thursday 20th and Friday 21st round things out with a 5ft to 8ft swell, good periods, and a cross-off breeze, keeping it clean and fun.

Crowds at Raffs Beach are listed as “sometimes,” so you can expect a few others out, especially on the standout days.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Friday 7th morning for a clean, solid 5ft groundswell, and the absolute standout is Thursday 13th morning through Saturday 15th morning – a run of clean, powerful, 8ft to 8ft SW groundswells with light offshore winds. That’s the one to circle on the calendar if you’re an experienced surfer.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the NNW by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
3
4
4
4
3
2
3
0
1
1
!
3
4
3
1
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.5
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.9
SW
21
4
SW
9
1.7
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
480
214
411
326
952
856
1336
897
763
606
363
253
714
2791
1722
1664
1077
878
755
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
NW
15
WNW
15
WNW
5
WNW
10
NNE
15
N
25
N
30
NNE
25
N
35
N
25
N
25
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
15
NNW
25
NNW
25
NNW
10
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:42AM1.41m
4:27PM1.45m
5:30AM1.40m
5:00PM1.44m
6:24AM1.38m
5:40PM1.41m
7:25AM1.33m
6:30PM1.37m
8:34AM1.30m
7:35PM1.31m
9:51AM1.29m
8:53PM1.26m
Low Tide
10:21PM0.27m
10:32AM0.54m
10:59PM0.23m
11:12AM0.63m
11:43PM0.21m
11:58AM0.72m
00:33AM0.21m
12:52PM0.80m
1:32AM0.22m
1:59PM0.85m
2:40AM0.25m
3:23PM0.85m
3:56AM0.26m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
2
3
2
3
Temp °C
12
13
15
11
14
15
13
16
15
14
11
11
10
13
13
13
16
16
12
Feels °C
8
8
11
7
11
12
10
9
9
8
3
6
5
7
8
8
9
10
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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