Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

The first few days are a mixed bag with some decent groundswell, but the wind is a real player. We’ve got a nice window of clean conditions early that quickly gets blown out, then a big spike in swell that’s only for the brave, before settling into a more consistent and cleaner run in the second week.

Friday, 10 July kicks things off with a beauty. Morning has a clean 5 ft SSW swell, a light 10 km/h north wind and a long 15-second period. The combined wave energy is moderate (844), and the water temperature is 56°, which is about average for this time of year. It’s a solid, fun-sized wave for beginners. The afternoon goes glassy with a 4 ft SSW swell, light NE breeze, and a 14-second period. That’s your best bet for the first few days—clean, consistent, and user-friendly.

Saturday, 11 July gets a lot more challenging. The swell drops to 3 ft, but the wind cranks up to 30-35 km/h from the NNE. It’s offshore, but it’s a fresh breeze, and the wave energy is weak (336). It’s going to be a tough, choppy day, not worth paddling out for.

Sunday, 12 July sees the swell jump, but it’s messy. The morning has a 7 ft SW swell with a strong 40 km/h NW cross-offshore wind. The energy is pushing into the strong range (1439), but the wind is howling. Afternoon gets worse with a 8 ft WSW swell, 35 km/h west wind, and a lumpy cross-chop. This is more of a kite-skiing setup than a surf session.

Monday, 13 July through Tuesday, 14 July is the big swell event. The swell hits 10 ft to 12 ft with a very long 15-16 second period. The energy is massive (over 5000). This is too big for beginners, and honestly, it’s only for experts. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but this is a heavy, powerful groundswell that will be breaking straight at a beach break. Not ideal.

Wednesday, 15 July the swell backs down to 8 ft, but the energy is still strong (2124). The wind is moderate, but it’s a cross-offshore breeze. It’s still a bit big and unruly for a beginner-friendly spot.

Thursday, 16 July marks a real turnaround. The morning has a 6 ft SW swell, light cross-offshore wind, and a 14-second period. The afternoon is the standout: glassy conditions with a 6 ft SW swell, a 5 km/h glassy SSW wind, and a 14-second period. The energy is moderate (1261), and it’s clean, lined-up, and inviting. This is the best day of the forecast for experienced surfers who want a proper long-period groundswell without the chaos.

Friday, 17 July keeps the good run going. The morning has a 6 ft SW swell, 16-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind. The afternoon is clean with a 6 ft SW swell and a light NE breeze. Consistent, clean, and user-friendly.

Saturday, 18 July the swell drops to 4 ft, but the wind is offshore and gentle. It’s a smaller, cleaner day, perfect for a longboard or a beginner session.

From Sunday, 19 July onwards, the surf fades significantly. The swell drops below 3 ft and the wind turns fresh or strong. There’s a long gap of poor, small waves from the 19th through to the 25th, with only a slight uptick on the 24th with a 5 ft, 15-second period swell, but the cross-offshore wind is still moderate. It’s a lean period for the area.

The standout moment is definitely Thursday afternoon, 16 July – glassy, clean, good-sized groundswell, and no crowds mentioned. Get it while it’s good.

Rusty.

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