
Surf Forecasts:
Raffs Beach surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,928 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me have a look at what’s on the table for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a real beast of a swell rolling in on Tuesday the 14th. That morning, a solid 15ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period is going to be pumping in, and the combined wave energy is a massive 13334 – that’s serious power. But here’s the catch: that’s too much size for this spot. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and at that size, it’s washing through. The wind is a cross-off from the WNW, so it’s clean, but honestly, only the most experienced crew should even paddle out, and even then, it’s pushing it. The afternoon cleans up a bit to 12ft, but the wind swings cross-on and it gets lumpy. Not the day for a fun session.
Wednesday the 15th drops down to a more manageable 8ft, still with a nice long period, but the wind is a bit messy – cross-off in the morning, then a cross-shore in the afternoon. The wave energy is still high, in the 1800-2000 range, but the conditions are just marginal. You’ll get some waves, but it’s not going to be memorable.
Now, Thursday the 16th is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got 7ft of SW groundswell, and the wind goes glassy – and I mean glassy, both morning and afternoon. The period holds at 14-15 seconds, wave energy is over 2000, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout morning and afternoon. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no shock there. The swell is a bit big for beginners, but anyone with a bit of experience is going to have a ball. Clean, lined-up waves.
Friday the 17th keeps the quality up. The morning is clean with a cross-off NW wind, and 6ft SW swell at a very long 16-second period. Wave energy is still high at 2245. The afternoon sees it bump to 7ft with a 17-second period and a light cross-shore. It’s a bit more wind-affected in the afternoon, but the morning is a solid pick.
By Saturday the 18th, the swell starts to fade. 5ft in the morning with a clean offshore N wind, dropping to 4ft in the afternoon. Wave energy is down to 877. It’s still good fun, clean conditions, but the power is dropping out. Sunday the 19th is even smaller, with 3ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon. Light winds, clean, but you’re hunting for the smaller waves.
Then we hit a real lull from about Monday the 20th through to Thursday the 23rd. Swell sizes are tiny, mostly under 3ft, wave energy is below 350. It’s clean, but flat. There’s a gap of around four days here where the surf is just not worth the effort unless you’re on a longboard and just want to bob around.
Friday the 24th sees a bit of a pulse. The swell jumps back to 5ft, with a strong offshore N wind at 19 mph. That fresh offshore breeze will keep it clean, but the wave comment says marginal due to tide. Wave energy is around 900. It’s a possibility, but not a standout.
Saturday the 25th is a write-off. Same size, but the wind goes cross and then cross-on, and it’s choppy. Poor conditions.
Sunday the 26th is back to small, clean surf, 3ft, and then Monday the 27th is small again with fresh offshore wind. Not much to get excited about.
Then, on Tuesday the 28th, we get another little spike. 4ft SW swell, clean cross-off wind, wave energy at 678. The morning looks very good, but the afternoon sees a light onshore wind and the conditions drop off. Could be a fun morning session if you’re keen.
The very end of the forecast, Wednesday the 29th, is a mess with strong onshore winds and poor conditions.
So, to sum it up: the absolute best bet in this 16-day window is Thursday the 16th at Raffs Beach. You’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell, a very long 15-second period, and glassy conditions all day. The wave energy is strong (2132), and it’s clean, powerful, and well-shaped. Just be aware the size is a bit much for a true beginner. If you can handle it, that’s your day.
The second standout is Friday morning the 17th. 6ft, 16-second period, clean cross-off wind. It’s a touch smaller but still has plenty of punch.
After that, it’s a waiting game for the next pulse around the 24th, but with the fresh wind, it’s not as clean as the Thursday/Friday window.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
8705 | 5366 | 3094 | 2035 | 1803 | 1656 | 1929 | 2010 | 1616 | 1764 | 2580 | 1697 | 877 | 577 | 405 | 281 | 94 | 150 | 306 | 223 | 309 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:27AM1.43m | 10:21PM1.31m | 12:30PM1.49m | 11:37PM1.33m | 1:23PM1.54m | 00:50AM1.36m | 2:10PM1.57m | 1:56AM1.40m | 2:53PM1.59m | 2:54AM1.43m | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:09PM0.87m | 5:20AM0.20m | 6:24PM0.78m | 6:26AM0.18m | 7:25PM0.67m | 7:26AM0.17m | 8:17PM0.55m | 8:19AM0.20m | 9:03PM0.45m | 9:08AM0.26m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
4629 | — | 3094 | 2035 | 1803 | 1656 | 1929 | 2010 | 1616 | 1764 | 2580 | 1697 | 877 | 577 | 405 | 281 | 82 | 150 | 306 | 223 | 309 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 16 | S 16 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | S 18 | SSW 15 | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SE 14 |
— | — | — | — | 70 | 92 | 129 | 122 | 40 | 400 | 156 | 46 | — | — | 5 | 62 | 94 | 85 | 20 | 10 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | SW 19 | SSW 11 | S 16 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 59 | 47 | 20 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 3 | N 3 |
8705 | 5366 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 16 | 499 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










