Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Issued: 9 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
14.1° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 4,986 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 4th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Sat 4th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, grab a coffee, let's have a look at what's coming our way for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest, but there are a few windows that will be worth paddling out for.

The forecast starts off with a beast of a SW groundswell hitting this Saturday morning (July 4th), showing a solid 10 ft at 13 seconds from the SW. The wave energy is massive at 4846 (moderate to strong), but the wind is a cross-shore and there's just too much water moving for this beginner-friendly spot. It's a no-go for Saturday and Sunday as the swell stays above 8 ft with onshore and cross-onshore winds. You'd be mad to paddle out.

The first real standout comes on Monday morning, July 6th. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 5 ft from the SW, with a nice long 14-second period. The wind is light offshore from the north, so the surf is clean. This is the pick of the first week; it's a solid groundswell with plenty of energy (1142) and the offshore wind will have the waves holding up. It's still a bit sizeable, so more suited to experienced surfers, but it's the best we've got for a few days.

Tuesday July 7th is another one to circle. The morning is looking glassy, with the wind dropping to nearly nothing (5 km/h from the NW) and a clean 3 ft SW swell at 17 seconds. The energy is still moderate (808) and the conditions are described as very good. That's a small but long-period wave that will be a joy on the right bank.

After that, the forecast gets a bit ordinary for the middle of the week. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 6 ft but the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, making things choppy. Nothing to get excited about until Friday July 10th, when a light offshore returns. That morning sees a 4 ft SW swell at 15 seconds with clean conditions. It's not huge, but the wave quality will be good.

We hit another big gap after that. The wind gets fresh and strong from the north, dropping the swell right down. The surf looks small and blown out through the weekend of the 11th and 12th.

Hold onto your board, because Monday July 13th brings a solid spike of energy. The swell jumps to 13 ft from the SW at 14 seconds, with an enormous 6308 in wave energy. The wind is cross-offshore though, so the conditions are clean. But here's the thing – that's way too big for Raffs Beach. This is only for experts, and even then, it's a handful. The same goes for Tuesday July 14th, with a 13 ft swell and even more energy (10386). This is kite-surfing territory for most.

The swell finally backs down by Thursday July 16th. That morning serves up a 4 ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and clean conditions. Wave energy is still moderate at 1797. It's described as excellent for experienced surfers. That's your second standout for the fortnight.

The very end of the forecast, Saturday July 18th, starts small with a glassy 3 ft, but the afternoon looks better: 4 ft swell at 17 seconds, light variable wind, and excellent conditions again. Sunday morning July 19th also offers a light offshore breeze with a 4 ft SW swell. Good clean fun to finish off.

Alright, water temps are about average for this time of year, nothing to worry about. Crowds at Raffs can be a bit of a thing sometimes, so don't expect to have it to yourself.

So, in short: Monday July 6th morning is the first real winner. Thursday July 16th morning is the other standout – best of the second week. Get in the water on those days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
0
!
0
0
3
4
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SSW
15
3
SSW
17
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
17
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5711
2692
2103
3719
4941
3834
2066
1079
721
444
482
1004
842
1299
2192
1571
942
836
875
695
573
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
W
25
SW
20
S
25
SE
20
SE
20
ENE
10
N
10
E
5
WNW
5
NW
10
S
10
SSE
15
SE
10
SSE
15
ESE
15
E
10
ESE
15
E
10
NNE
5
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
off
cross-off
High Tide
1:50AM1.24m
2:59PM1.52m
2:37AM1.26m
3:31PM1.51m
3:23AM1.29m
4:01PM1.49m
4:09AM1.31m
4:31PM1.47m
4:58AM1.33m
5:01PM1.45m
5:51AM1.34m
5:34PM1.44m
6:49AM1.35m
6:14PM1.42m
Low Tide
8:13AM0.27m
9:10PM0.60m
8:53AM0.30m
9:44PM0.54m
9:33AM0.36m
10:17PM0.49m
10:11AM0.44m
10:52PM0.43m
10:52AM0.53m
11:30PM0.38m
11:35AM0.63m
00:13AM0.33m
12:23PM0.74m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
Temp °C
11
12
12
12
11
10
9
11
12
11
11
12
12
12
12
12
10
12
11
10
12
Feels °C
7
7
6
7
5
4
3
9
9
10
10
10
11
9
9
9
6
9
7
7
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
0.5
S
14
3
SSW
15
3
SSW
17
2.5
SSW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
Energy kJ
3009
2154
100
3719
4941
3834
2066
1079
721
444
326
1004
842
1299
2192
1571
942
836
875
695
573
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
S
16
0.9
S
16
0.5
S
16
0.4
S
15
0.7
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.3
SW
19
0.9
SW
17
0.2
S
17
0.2
S
16
1.1
SW
14
0.4
S
18
0.4
S
16
0.3
S
16
0.3
S
15
0.1
S
7
0.3
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
11
Energy kJ
605
427
125
73
26
6
57
482
23
21
459
97
81
43
41
1
3
12
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
14
0.2
ESE
4
0.5
S
19
0.2
ESE
12
0.1
S
17
Energy kJ
37
2
178
14
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
0.9
ESE
4
1.2
ESE
5
0.5
ESE
4
0.6
ESE
4
0.6
ESE
4
Energy kJ
5711
2692
2103
31
81
11
12
13
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
2
1
5
3
4
4
3
3
3
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
Distance (km)
16
16
499
498
60
171
13
0
3
0
0
33
13
13
60
3
13
13
3
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
4
3
3
4
2
2
4
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
5
5
5
9
5
4
4
8
7
4
5
5
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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