Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.6° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,682 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 12th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 12th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 15th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, get the wetsuit ready – this run has it all, from clean juice to flat spells and a proper pulse near the end. It all starts Saturday the 12th at Raffs Beach with a solid SW groundswell – 7ft at 15 seconds, light NNE breeze, and the water's clean. That's a strong one (2241 energy), big enough to get the heart going but still okay for those who've put some time in. The afternoon eases to 6ft, still clean with a cross-off breeze.

Sunday the 13th backs off to 5ft with a moderate offshore N wind – clean but smaller, more cruisy than exciting. Monday the 14th drops under 3ft with light winds – small but rideable in the morning, a bit lumpy later with the SW cross-on.

Then it turns ugly. Tuesday the 15th jumps to 8ft in the morning and 12ft in the afternoon, but fresh cross-onshore wind tears it apart – lumpy and messy, not surfable. That energy is huge (2532, then 4180), but you can't do anything with it. Wednesday the 16th stays big at 8ft with onshore S wind – poor quality again. Honestly, this stretch looks better for kitesurfing than paddling.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th calm down to around 5-7ft, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, so it's average. Saturday the 19th has offshore N wind but only 4ft – small and clean, nothing special. Sunday the 20th is a total write-off – fresh cross-shore wind, rain, and a weird 8-second period – stay on land.

Now here's the gold: Monday the 21st brings 7ft at 18 seconds from the SW, light offshore N breeze, and glassy conditions. That's a genuine groundswell – long period, tons of energy (3576), and clean. This is the best day of the stretch. The afternoon swells to 10ft with a light cross-off ENE – pushing big for most, expert territory only at that size.

Tuesday the 22nd holds steady – 8ft with light offshore and clean – another solid day for experienced surfers. After that, things ease off. Wednesday the 23rd through Friday the 25th offer fun but smaller waves, mostly 5-7ft with a mix of offshore and cross-off winds. The 25th morning looks sweet – 7ft, light NE, clean.

The last weekend, the 26th and 27th, fades badly – under 5ft with light winds, not worth the drive. Your top pick is Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd – big, clean, powerful SW groundswell with light wind. If you've got the chops, that's the window. Raffs Beach breaks fairly consistently but can have its quiet spells, and with a long-period swell like that, it might section a bit straight – but the power will be there. Crowds can gather when it's firing, so get out early. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing to worry about.

Keep it salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
2.4
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3058
2102
1589
1154
813
753
520
295
205
98
2035
4067
4042
2785
3051
2577
1537
1133
1042
Wind (km/h)
5
N
10
NNE
15
NE
10
NNE
25
N
25
NNE
25
NNE
15
NW
15
SW
20
W
30
WSW
35
SW
30
S
30
S
20
S
10
SSW
10
SSW
10
SSE
10
NW
Wind State
glassy
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
High Tide
11:52PM1.31m
12:34PM1.35m
00:55AM1.41m
1:17PM1.41m
1:47AM1.49m
1:55PM1.45m
2:32AM1.54m
2:30PM1.47m
3:14AM1.55m
3:03PM1.47m
3:52AM1.53m
3:33PM1.44m
Low Tide
6:17AM0.34m
6:46PM0.38m
7:11AM0.33m
7:31PM0.27m
7:56AM0.35m
8:12PM0.19m
8:36AM0.38m
8:49PM0.15m
9:13AM0.43m
9:24PM0.14m
9:47AM0.50m
9:58PM0.16m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:26
6:24
6:22
6:22
6:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:08
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
11
18
20
17
22
21
19
17
16
15
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
Feels °C
9
16
17
15
16
16
14
13
13
11
2
2
4
3
5
6
8
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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