Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, the first few days are a write-off for paddling. There's a massive slug of swell hitting from Friday the 3rd to Sunday the 5th of July – we're talking 10 ft to 12 ft of straight-up WSW and SW swell, with combined wave energy readings of 6719 and 5363 – that's powerful, heavy water. And the wind is all over the shop, mostly cross or cross-onshore. Trust me, that's not a beginner's game; that's full-on, expert-only territory, and even then it's messy.

We've got a gap there where the conditions are just too big and junky. Things finally start to ease down on Monday the 6th of July. The morning sees the swell drop to a still-chunky 5 ft from the SW, but here's the beauty – the wind swings light and offshore from the north. That's the major positive for this spot, as the break is exposed to a SSW optimum. The combined energy is still a punchy 1144, but the clean conditions make it a genuine standout for the experienced crew. The afternoon drops to 5 ft with a light cross-shore, but the morning is the pick of the day.

Tuesday the 7th of July is looking lovely. We've got a glassy morning with a small 3 ft SW groundswell (16-second period), and then Tuesday afternoon the wind goes absolutely glassy, with a 4 ft SW swell. That's clean, fun, and forgiving – perfect for the beginners this break is known for, though the long period may make it a bit straight at a beach setup.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a mixed bag. Wednesday the 8th gets onshore and choppy, so not great. From Thursday the 9th through to Sunday the 12th of July, we see a sweet run of small, clean, or offshore conditions with swell around 4 ft to 5 ft from the SW. This is the solid, consistent run of small but clean waves, and the morning sessions look the goods. Crowds are listed as "sometimes", so you might see a few other locals out, but it won't be a zoo.

Monday the 13th of July sees a jump back up to 6 ft with a strong 16-second period, and a moderate offshore north wind. The afternoon cleans up with a 5 ft SW swell and a solid offshore breeze. That's another one for the experienced surfers – it’s clean but has some push.

Then we hit another wall. Tuesday the 14th of July brings 13 ft to 15 ft of SSW swell, with combined energy readings through the roof at 7147. That is just too much for Raffs. Wednesday the 15th through Friday the 17th of July is a real stinker – strong onshore winds and lumpy, choppy seas. The combined energy is still up there, but it’s a mess.

By Saturday the 18th of July, the swell fades right back to a tiny 2 ft, but it's still cross-onshore and poor. So, the true standouts in this outlook are Monday morning the 6th of July for the experienced crew, and the run from Tuesday the 7th through to Sunday the 12th for those smaller, clean, and glassy windows. Long range? The last week is looking rough, but it's early days.

Rusty.

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