Raffs Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.28° S 144.51° E

Raffs Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raffs Beach sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.3° 

Raffs Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raffs Beach surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with 3,651 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raffs Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raffs Beach in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 23rd Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 23rd Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raffs Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Raffs Beach over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off this Friday, the 17th of July, and it’s a cracker for the experienced crew. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Friday morning, the swell is a clean 7 ft from the SW, with a super long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light offshore from the NNW, 6 mph, keeping things clean. The combined energy is 2158, which is strong, and it’s got that deep, powerful feel. This is an exposed beach, so with that long period you’ll want to look for a peak that isn’t just closing out. The afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions with a 3 mph WNW breeze, and the swell only drops a touch to 7 ft. This is the standout window of the whole forecast. It’s too big for beginners, but for the experienced surfer, Friday is the day.

Saturday the 18th holds at a more manageable 5 ft in the morning, still from the SW with a 14-second period, and clean with a cross-off breeze. The afternoon glass-off at 4 ft could be a real treat for the intermediate crowd.

Sunday the 19th drops right down to 3 ft, and while it’s clean, it’s just not got the punch. The combined energy is down to 349, which is weak. Monday and Tuesday are similar, small and clean – fun for a log, but nothing to get too excited about. The combined energy stays in the weak to moderate range.

Then things get a bit angry. Wednesday the 23rd sees a jump in size to 8 ft, but the wind goes cross-shore and then cross-on, making it a choppy mess. Thursday the 24th is similar – 8 ft but with a messy cross-shore wind. The energy is huge (2523 to 2950), but the quality is poor. This stretch is more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers, truth be told.

Friday the 25th is still big, but the wind is a clean cross-off at 16 mph, which keeps it rideable for the experts. The energy is 2241. Saturday the 26th drops to a more comfortable 6 ft, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit bumpy.

Now, hold on to your board – Monday the 27th of July is a beast. The forecast shows 10 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and a clean cross-off wind. The combined energy is 4795! But here’s the thing – it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Same for the 30th of July, with another 10 ft and clean offshore wind, but again, likely colossal for the spot. These are days for looking, not for paddling out unless you’re a true charger.

The very end of July and into August 1st is a write-off. The wind is onshore from the SE, bringing rain and lumpy, blown-out conditions. The swell is huge, 15 ft on the 1st of August, but it’s a total mess.

So, to wrap it up: Friday the 17th of July is your standout. The glassy afternoon session is the best of the best. Saturday morning is a solid second option. The second week has some clean, powerful swell, but it’s either too big for the break or the wind spoils it. There’s a big gap from the 22nd to the 23rd where the quality drops off, and then it’s a run of marginal or too-big days until the 29th, which looks clean and solid for experienced surfers again.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
1
3
3
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.8
SW
11
0.5
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1
SW
12
1
SW
12
1.8
SW
13
3
SW
11
2.5
SW
13
1.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2061
1943
1196
828
560
369
272
180
152
371
176
251
313
569
431
287
268
1092
2399
2221
1185
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
5
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
5
N
5
NW
10
NNW
5
NNW
10
NNW
15
N
10
NW
10
NW
10
NW
10
NNE
15
N
10
NNW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
W
25
WSW
20
W
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
2:10PM1.57m
1:56AM1.40m
2:53PM1.59m
2:54AM1.43m
3:33PM1.59m
3:48AM1.45m
4:10PM1.57m
4:39AM1.44m
4:46PM1.54m
5:28AM1.41m
5:19PM1.50m
6:16AM1.37m
5:51PM1.45m
Low Tide
8:17PM0.55m
8:19AM0.20m
9:03PM0.45m
9:08AM0.26m
9:47PM0.38m
9:53AM0.34m
10:29PM0.33m
10:35AM0.45m
11:10PM0.31m
11:15AM0.57m
11:50PM0.31m
11:55AM0.68m
00:29AM0.33m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:24
 mm
2
Temp °C
12
13
11
12
14
12
13
14
13
15
15
13
14
15
13
15
16
13
11
11
10
Feels °C
10
12
9
10
13
10
10
13
10
12
12
10
11
12
10
12
12
9
7
4
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raffs Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raffs Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raffs Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raffs Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raffs Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raffs Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raffs Beach is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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