Turtles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the upcoming swell window.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead at Turtles, a heavy reef setup for advanced crew only. The water’s sitting at a pretty standard 73°, just a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing too weird.

The pattern starts off with some decent energy, but the first few days are a bit messy. Monday the 10th kicks off with a 8ft SW groundswell, period a fat 15 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at (3045). The morning has a clean cross-off breeze, so it’ll look alright, but the afternoon turns to cross-on and chop. Not the best.

Tuesday the 11th sees the swell drop a little to 6ft in the morning, but the wind is howling from the SE at 28 mph – that’s a strong breeze, though it’s cross-off so it keeps the face clean. The period drops to 9 seconds, so it’s a bit weak and wind-affected. Afternoon pushes up to 10ft with a 16-second period (4209), but still the same strong cross-off wind. Hard work.

Wednesday the 12th is where it starts to get interesting. Morning has a clean 8ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds (3097) with offshore wind from the ESE at 25 mph. That’s strong offshore, so the waves will be clean but tough to paddle into. Afternoon eases to 8ft and the wind drops to a fresh 19 mph offshore – much more manageable. Still, it’s a reef and it’s big, so only for the experienced.

Thursday the 13th hangs in there with 6ft to 6ft SW groundswell, clean conditions, and offshore or cross-off breezes. Good, but not epic.

Now, Friday the 14th morning is a real standout. You’ve got a 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period (2565) and offshore wind from the ESE at 16 mph. That’s a moderate offshore, clean, and that long period means the waves will have real shape and power. This is the pick of the first week – excellent conditions for experienced surfers.

Saturday the 15th morning is another good one: 6ft SW groundswell, 15-second period (1361), gentle offshore from the east. Clean, fun, but smaller.

Sunday the 16th morning brings a glassy, calm session with 5ft SW groundswell (630). The wind is dead calm. Perfect conditions for a smooth session, but the swell is small. The afternoon turns to crap with cross-on wind.

Into the second week, things get bigger again but wind becomes a problem. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th see 6ft to 10ft WSW groundswell, but it’s cross-on or onshore wind. The energy is massive (up to 4604), but the quality is poor for paddling. Honestly, with that much swell and strong onshore wind at a reef, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The true standout of the whole forecast is Wednesday the 19th morning. Glassy conditions, 8ft WSW groundswell with a 16-second period (3426), and a slight air from the south. That is an exceptional window for advanced surfers – clean, powerful, and lined up.

After that, the swell stays big (10ft) but the wind turns cross-on and fresh from the SW through Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st. The last few days from the 22nd to the 25th see the swell pulse again, with the morning of the 25th offering another potential highlight: 10ft SW groundswell (3548) with a gentle cross-off breeze from the SSE. Clean, big, and for experts only.

So, overall: Friday the 14th morning and Wednesday the 19th morning are your two best shots at Turtles. The rest is either too windy, too big with bad wind, or just average.

Rusty.

Read more