Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 16,902 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Alright, let's be real for a second. The surf window kicks off with a bit of a dud. Tuesday the 1st is a write-off – lumpy, choppy, and just plain messy. We're looking at a solid stretch of swell heading our way, but it's gonna take a couple of days to clean up. The real story starts to build Wednesday the 2nd and hits its straps on Thursday the 3rd, but patience is a virtue.
The standout of the whole 16-day run is hands down Thursday the 3rd through to Saturday the 5th, especially for the big-wave hunters. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, around 58°F.
Let's talk about Blacknose Point first. It's a point break, fairly exposed, and it takes the best from a SSW direction. The crowds are often a factor here, so keep that in mind.
Thursday the 3rd is when things get serious. The morning sees a 18 ft SW swell with a 13-second period, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW. The combined energy is massive at 9816 (moderate to strong). It's a raw, powerful day. The afternoon holds at 16 ft (SW, 14s) with a fresh offshore. This is all expert territory. The energy is right up there (9216).
Friday the 4th eases a touch but stays big. 15 ft SW swell (15s) in the morning, but the wind swings cross-shore, putting a bit of chop on it. The energy is still huge (10458). The afternoon is similar, 13 ft (SW, 15s) with 7887 energy.
Saturday the 5th is the biggest day of the bunch. The morning is a mess with a near-gale wind, but the afternoon is the real deal. A 21 ft SW swell (14s) with a strong offshore breeze. The energy is off the charts at 16902. This is only for the absolute elite. The waves will be heavy, powerful, and hard to paddle into.
After that big weekend, the swell backs off but stays solid. Sunday the 6th afternoon is a gem of a session. The wind goes glassy, with a 12 ft SW swell (14s, 4465 energy). It's clean, calm, and perfect for experienced surfers.
Monday the 7th is a dramatic drop-off. The swell fades to 5 ft, but the mornings are glassy. It's a good day for a smaller board, but nothing to write home about.
Then we get another pulse. Tuesday the 8th is huge again – 16 ft to 18 ft SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy readings are off the charts (20194 and 28793). The wind is clean, but the swell is just too big for this break. It's a warning.
Wednesday the 9th is the sweet spot. 15 ft SW swell (16s) with a moderate offshore breeze. The energy is still huge (10362 and 8850), and the conditions are exceptional for experts. This is the second true standout.
From Thursday the 10th onward, the window is a mixed bag. The swell stays in the 10 ft to 15 ft range, but the wind gets inconsistent. The 11th of September afternoon looks clean with a 13 ft SW swell (17s, 9340 energy), which is excellent. But by the 12th, the wind is back to being bumpy and the waves are getting a bit messy.
The second week is all about watching the charts. The 14th and 15th have some promising glassy mornings and light winds with 7 ft to 10 ft SW groundswells, but the energy is dropping. The 16th looks like it fades out with cross-off winds and a 8 ft swell.
So, the plan is clear. If you're an expert, lock in Thursday the 3rd and Wednesday the 9th – those are the best of the best. For everyone else, the Sunday the 6th afternoon glass-off is the one. The rest of the window is a roll of the dice.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue night, strong winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2418 | 1521 | 2151 | 5341 | 5233 | 9339 | 9816 | 9216 | 10088 | 10458 | 7887 | 6425 | 11736 | 16902 | 11669 | 6847 | 4124 | 1975 | 816 | 905 | 2571 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | ||||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | 7 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 |
2418 | 1521 | 671 | 5341 | 5233 | 6488 | — | — | 10088 | 10458 | 7887 | 6425 | — | — | 11669 | 6847 | 4124 | 1975 | 816 | 905 | 731 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | S 8 | SE 5 | SSE 8 |
3 | 11 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 522 | 341 | — | 68 | 28 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 21 | S 8 | ESE 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 47 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | WNW 6 | WSW 14 | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | ENE 3 | ESE 4 | — | SW 14 |
35 | 244 | 2151 | — | — | 9339 | 9816 | 9216 | — | — | — | — | 11736 | 16902 | — | — | — | 3 | 20 | — | 2571 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 709 | 196 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 748 | 221 | 7 | 86 | 107 | 709 | 748 | 1021 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











