Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,343 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 24th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 13s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 28th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, Blacknose Point is the only spot on the radar. It’s a point break that loves a SW swell, and the water is sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The fun starts Sunday afternoon, the 23rd. We’ve got a clean 8ft SW swell, with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is strong at 3625. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but at 8ft, it’s getting big. The period is 13 seconds, a solid groundswell giving you power.

Monday the 24th is a bit scrappy with cross-shore winds, so sit it out. Tuesday the 25th is back on with a clean 8ft SW swell in the morning and a light breeze. The energy is pumping at 2551.

Wednesday the 26th is a gem. Glassy offshore winds in the morning on a clean 8ft SW swell. Energy is still strong at 2306. The afternoon keeps that offshore flow, clean and smooth. This is a top pick.

We get a smaller 5ft swell on Thursday the 27th, but the afternoon cleans up nicely. Friday the 28th brings a big 10ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period in the morning. The energy is massive at 5178. The wind is light and cross-shore, so a little bumpy, but the afternoon is a standout: 8ft SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy offshore winds at 3 mph. That’s a winner for the advanced crew.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are both crackers. Offshore winds hold steady. Sunday the 30th is the absolute best of the lot: a 10ft SW swell, 16-second period, light offshore winds, and a combined energy of 5292. It’s clean, powerful, and all for the experienced. This spot gets crowded often, so get there early.

The start of September, from the 1st to the 3rd, sees the swell holding at 8ft to 10ft, but the winds get messier with moderate cross-shore breezes. Still surfable, but not as clean.

The second week gets wild. From the 4th, winds pick up to 25 mph to 30 mph. By the 5th, a near gale is blowing offshore at 31 mph. The swell hits 15ft with a 15-second period, and the energy is insane at 8296. This is big-wave stuff, only for experts, and paddling in will be a nightmare. The 6th and 7th are stormy and poor. The last days show a 37 mph near gale and a dying swell, so forget it.

The standout run is from the 28th of August through the 30th. That’s where the best quality, most powerful, and cleanest waves are. If you’ve got one day, Sunday the 30th is it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
2
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
1
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
2
SW
19
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2235
2840
1891
1326
1583
2103
2187
2598
1749
1697
1088
957
854
2673
5160
3619
2551
1918
1452
1619
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
N
15
NNW
20
N
10
ENE
10
S
20
SSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
SW
10
NW
15
NNW
10
W
10
NNW
10
NNW
5
SW
10
NNW
15
WNW
15
W
5
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
Low Tide
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
9
1
Temp °C
15
14
14
14
11
13
13
12
12
12
12
14
15
12
16
15
14
16
16
13
Feels °C
12
11
11
10
10
11
9
7
8
9
11
11
12
10
14
13
12
13
12
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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