
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 15,752 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve only got one spot on the menu for this stretch: Blacknose Point. It’s a point break, fairly consistent, and it needs a good south-southwest swell to really light up. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 60.3°, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home for the most part.
We kick off Tuesday the 7th with a bit of a slow start. Swell is around 5.9ft from the SW, period a solid 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, loads of energy (1790). The problem? Wind is light, but it’s onshore or cross-on, so the surface isn’t perfect. It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about. Wednesday the 8th sees the size jump to 9.8ft with a very long 18-second period. That’s a whole heap of energy (5756), but still the wind is cross-on, and the report says marginal. It’s big, but for a point break like this, long-period groundswell can wrap in nicely. A big day for strong paddlers, but the quality ain’t pristine.
Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th we drop back to 5.9-7.5ft range, winds staying cross or cross-on. Moderate energy levels (1742-2329). It’s surfable but not the standout.
Now, heads up. Saturday the 11th morning is blown out with a fresh cross-breeze—forget it. But by the afternoon, a shift: wind goes offshore, WSW at 19 mph. Swell jumps to 9.8ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds. That’s a short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and less organised, but clean faces offshore. It’s an option if you’re desperate.
The real meat starts Sunday the 12th. Sunday morning sees 14.8ft from the WSW, 12-second period, cross-off wind—clean, but that’s already big. Sunday afternoon? 18.0ft, 13-second period, strong offshore wind at 25 mph. That’s massive, clean, and heaving. Energy is through the roof (11183). This is a standout, but only for experts. Beginners stay well away.
Monday the 13th is your absolute peak. 18.0ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy of 15752. Offshore winds all day—moderate in the morning, moderate in the afternoon. This is exceptional surf for confident, experienced surfers. The point should be firing, with long, powerful lines. Crowds are often an issue here, and on a day like this, expect a lineup full of chargers. The swell direction (SW) lines up nicely with the optimum (SSW). This is the one to point your board at.
From Tuesday the 14th onward, size slowly drops but stays solid: 13.1ft on Tuesday, 9.8ft Wednesday and Thursday, with clean offshore winds holding. The energy stays high (7881 down to 2661). Good quality for experienced surfers continues. By Friday the 17th, wind turns cross-shore and the quality drops off.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th look poor to marginal—windy, cross or cross-off, lumpy. Size stays around 5.2-9.8ft, but the energy is way down. Not worth the paddle.
Then into the second week, Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 22nd, we see another pulse: 11.5-14.8ft SW groundswell returning, with fresh offshore winds. Energy climbs back up from 4932 to 8950. Potential for some serious, clean, powerful surf again, but by this far out, treat it as promising but not locked in. The point could be cooking again if it holds.
Best on offer: No question, Monday the 13th. That’s the day. Get on it if you’ve got the skills.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 8 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1707 | 1654 | 2268 | 5756 | 5043 | 2839 | 1669 | 1402 | 3039 | 2329 | 2055 | 1580 | 1115 | 1376 | 3757 | 5647 | 11161 | 13730 | 15752 | 14180 | 12488 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:50PM0.88m | 5:03AM0.76m | 3:36PM0.82m | 7:15AM0.79m | 2:20PM0.81m | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:39PM0.45m | 10:02AM0.64m | 10:58PM0.42m | 10:24AM0.78m | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | |||||||||||||
7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | |
— | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | S 26 | SW 24 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
1707 | 1654 | 2268 | 5756 | 5043 | 2839 | 1669 | 1402 | 3039 | 2329 | 2055 | 1580 | 1115 | 915 | 3757 | 13 | 22 | — | 15752 | 14180 | 12488 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 22 | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
83 | 52 | 419 | — | — | — | 73 | 901 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | — | — | — |
— | — | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 251 | 1376 | — | 5647 | 11161 | 13730 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 229 | 204 | 7 | 204 | 204 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










