Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it.

First off, the water's sitting at 58°F, which is about par for the course this time of year. Nothing wild there. We've got a solid run of groundswell starting to show, and it's coming from the southwest, which is exactly what Blacknose Point wants to see. The energy is there, but the wind is going to be the main player in the first couple of days.

The immediate window, starting Wednesday morning, has a solid 16ft of SW swell with a 19-second period. That's a serious amount of water moving, and the energy reading is high at 18834. It's a bit raw with a 30 km/h south wind making things cross-off, but it's still clean. This drops to 18ft in the afternoon with the wind backing off slightly to 25 km/h. It's going to be big, powerful, and only for the experienced. This is not a day for the faint-hearted.

Then we hit the sweet spot. Thursday morning is the standout. The swell eases slightly to 15ft, but the period holds at 16 seconds. The wind drops right out to a gentle 15 km/h breeze from the SSW, keeping it clean and lined up. This is the pick of the first run. The energy's still strong at 16711, and the conditions are about as good as it gets for a wave this size. If you're a competent surfer, this is your morning. The afternoon backs off a touch in energy but remains clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Friday sees a drop in size to 12ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore from the ESE and starts to mess with the surface. It's not terrible, but it's a step down in quality. Saturday is smaller again, around 10ft, with more cross-onshore wind. By Sunday, the swell fades to 7ft and a moderate cross-shore wind makes it a bit lumpy. Nothing worth getting excited about here. The start of the next week is flat and grovelly. Monday is poor, with weak energy and not much to offer.

The second pulse arrives on Tuesday, September 15th. The swell jumps back up to 13ft with a 13-second period. It's a shorter period than the first pulse, so it'll have a bit less push, but there's still plenty of power. The morning has a clean cross-off breeze, which makes it a solid option. The following day, Wednesday the 16th, is excellent too. The swell is still 13ft, but the period stretches back out to 16 seconds. With a slight air and clean conditions, this is another good day for the crew who want it hollow and fast.

We get a couple of days of onshore slop on the 19th and 20th, with the wind howling and rain showing up. The 21st is blown out completely. Not worth a look. Then, on Tuesday the 22nd and into Wednesday the 23rd, the ocean starts to wake up again. Wednesday the 23rd is a big one. The forecast shows 16ft of SW swell with a 19-second period. The energy is back up to 16151. The morning has a bit of cross-shore wind, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-off breeze at 15 km/h. This is another top-tier session for the experts. It's far out, but this one has the makings of something special.

The final day in the window is Thursday the 24th, with an 12ft SW swell. A moderate offshore wind will keep it clean in the morning, but a strong 40 km/h WSW wind in the afternoon will make it hard work. It's a finisher, but not the best.

So, to keep it simple: Thursday the 10th is your first standout, and Wednesday the 23rd looks like another cracker for the experienced boys. There's a lot of water moving through this window, so pick your times when the wind drops and you'll find the goods at Blacknose Point.

Rusty.

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