Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's on the cards for our little stretch of coast.

We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off from Tuesday the 11th, but you'll have to be patient through the early part of the week because the conditions are a bit of a mixed bag. The real standout is going to be Wednesday the 12th through to Friday the 14th – that's where the magic is.

Tuesday the 11th is a write-off, to be honest. The swell is a messy 8 ft from the SW with a short period and a cross-shore wind that’s got a chop on it. The wave energy is still pretty meaty at (2775), but it's not clean enough to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about normal for the time of year.

Now, Wednesday the 12th is where we start cooking. The morning sees a solid 12 ft SW groundswell (16-second period) with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. The energy jumps right up to (9093). That’s proper. But the real highlight is the afternoon: a thumping 15 ft swell from the WSW, with a 17-second period and a fresh offshore wind. The wave energy hits a massive (19954). This is big, powerful, and clean. Only for the experienced crew, though – this is expert territory.

Thursday the 13th keeps the energy high. The morning is another standout with a 15 ft SW swell (16-second period) and a clean offshore wind. The combined energy is a hefty (10064). Conditions are described as exceptional for experts. The afternoon backs off a touch to a 13 ft SW swell but the wind goes a little cross-off, so the morning window is your best bet.

Friday the 14th is still pumping. Morning sees a 13 ft SW groundswell (16-second period) with a moderate offshore breeze. Wave energy at (8581). It’s still big, but the wind stays offshore into the afternoon with a gentle breeze, making for clean, long-period lines. This is a point break, so that long-period SW groundswell is going to wrap in beautifully and produce some proper walls.

Saturday the 15th the swell drops a bit to 12 ft, but it’s still very rideable. The wind is a cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy is dropping off through the day. Sunday the 16th sees a big drop in size and onshore winds creep in, so it’s a no-go.

After that, we’ve got a bit of a lull. From Monday the 17th right through to Friday the 21st, the swell drops below 7 ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. There’s a tiny window on the afternoon of Thursday the 20th where the wind goes glassy and the swell is a tiny 4 ft, but it’s not going to be doing much.

The surf picks up again on Friday the 21st with a 7 ft SW groundswell and a cross-off wind, which is clean. But the real news is way out at the end of the forecast. On Wednesday the 26th of August, we’ve got another big pulse coming in – a 16 ft swell from the WSW with a moderate offshore wind. It’s a shorter period swell (11 seconds) and the wave energy is (5686), so it’s powerful but a bit lumpy. This is another one for the big-wave chargers, but it’s a long way off, so treat it as promising but not locked in yet.

The Standout: No question about it, the afternoon of Wednesday the 12th and the morning of Thursday the 13th are your best bets. Big, clean, offshore, and the combined energy is through the roof. This is the kind of swell that makes a point break sing. If you’re an expert, you don’t want to miss it. Crowds are likely at Blacknose Point as word gets out, but that’s the price of admission for perfection.

Rusty.

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