Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,249 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break down the next few weeks at Blacknose Point. It’s a story of waiting for the right moment.
The first few days are a frustrating one. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell hitting Sunday morning the 2nd with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore N at 30 km/h, making it a lumpy mess. The combined energy is a massive 4662 (moderate to strong), but it’s just not clean. It stays messy through Monday the 3rd.
Tuesday the 4th is where we start to see a real shift. The wind goes offshore from the SW, and with a 10ft swell from the same direction (12-second period), the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a proper window. The combined energy is still high at 2907 (moderate). Wednesday the 5th is even better with a light W wind, glassy conditions, and a clean 6ft SW swell. This is your call for the early part of the week.
Now, for the real standout. Saturday the 15th of August. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a 13ft WSW groundswell with a 15-second period, the wind is a light offshore from the NW, and the forecast is calling it “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers”. The combined energy is a massive 12232 (very strong). This is a serious groundswell, and with that long period, Blacknose Point, being a point break, will handle it beautifully. The only thing to be aware of is that at 13ft, this is strictly for the experienced crew. Saturday afternoon drops a bit to 15ft but the wind stays clean.
The following week has some fun looking windows, like Thursday the 13th with a clean 8ft SW swell, and Friday the 14th with a 13ft SW swell and clean conditions. It’s a promising run, but the 15th is the king.
Look, the first week is mostly about the Tuesday-to-Thursday window for the best balance of size and clean conditions. But that 15th of August... that’s the one you want to be on the water for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4444 | 3772 | 2233 | 2061 | 1999 | 3949 | 3213 | 2307 | 1781 | 972 | 1307 | 933 | 563 | 1082 | 753 | 2702 | 3353 | 4249 | 2736 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | 2:52PM0.82m | 4:32AM0.85m | 2:29PM0.81m | 5:43AM0.83m | 1:39PM0.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | 9:26AM0.52m | 9:33PM0.29m | 9:47AM0.65m | 9:47PM0.25m | 9:32AM0.78m | 10:05PM0.24m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 11 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4444 | 3772 | 2233 | 2061 | 1999 | — | 316 | 362 | 1781 | 972 | 1307 | 933 | 563 | 1082 | 753 | 2702 | 3353 | 4249 | 2736 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 16 | WNW 10 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | — | WSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSE 7 | W 10 | W 8 | SW 20 | SSE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | 848 | 370 | 283 | 175 | — | — | 238 | 115 | 416 | 535 | 470 | 547 | 16 | 122 | 46 | 634 | 6 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | S 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SW 20 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 108 | 47 | 22 | 455 | 19 | 12 | 6 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | N 5 | NNW 4 | WNW 10 | W 9 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 42 | 28 | 725 | 836 | 3949 | 3213 | 2307 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 86 | 107 | 107 | 7 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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