Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 18,319 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 5.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, breakin’ it down for Blacknose Point. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a big start to the outlook. Wednesday the 8th of July, Blacknose Point is firing. We’re talking a solid 10ft swell from the SW, pumping in with a 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell, lots of energy behind it (5043). The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 60°, which is a nice bonus. What makes this one a standout is the glassy conditions, just a whisper of ESE wind at 3 mph. It’s going to be clean, lined up, and perfect for experienced surfers. Crowds are often a thing here, so get in early.
Thursday the 9th, the swell drops a bit to 7ft but still from the SW with a 15-second period. The wind shifts around though, making for cross and onshore conditions, so it’s not as clean. Things get messy through Friday the 10th with stronger cross-winds ramping up. Saturday the 11th sees the wind howling at 25 mph from the NNW, killing any quality, but there’s a quick window Saturday afternoon with a 12ft SW swell and a cross-off breeze, though the period drops to 10 seconds.
Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th bring some serious size. Sunday has 16ft swell from the WSW, and Monday pushes it to 18ft from the SW with periods around 15 seconds. Combined energy hits massive numbers, like 25281 on Monday morning. This is big, powerful stuff. But with that size and a strong 25 mph cross-off wind, it’s only for the experts. The waves are going to be charging, and paddling out will be a mission. It’s a huge swell, but the wind keeps it relatively clean. Not for the faint-hearted.
Tuesday the 14th stays big at 16ft to 15ft and cleaner again with moderate cross-off winds. After that, the swell slowly eases through the middle of the month. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th get blown out by strong cross-shore winds, making it messy. There’s a brief moment of glass again on Saturday the 18th, with 6ft from the SW and zero wind – glassy and clean, a nice little breather after all that power.
The following week from the 19th into the 20th and 21st sees smaller swells, around 6ft to 8ft, but the wind keeps it mostly cross or cross-onshore, so it’s not the best quality. Then on Wednesday the 22nd of July, we get another pulse: a 13ft WSW swell, moderate cross-off wind, and decent energy (12817). A solid late option for the experienced crew. The outlook wraps up on the 23rd with cleaner but smaller 8ft to 7ft conditions.
So, to sum it up: the absolute standout is Wednesday the 8th of July – glassy, groundswell, perfect for experts. The other big call is Monday the 13th of July for the big wave chargers, but only if you’ve got the skills and the nerve.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat afternoon, moderate winds from the WNW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5043 | 2839 | 1647 | 1421 | 3001 | 2168 | 1941 | 1196 | 886 | 2160 | 11239 | 7880 | 7179 | 10312 | 12965 | 12020 | 18319 | 13241 | 9882 | 6550 | 4110 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 7:15AM0.79m | 2:20PM0.81m | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:58PM0.42m | 10:24AM0.78m | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | |||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 |
 | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | 5:30 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 4 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | — | — | SSW 23 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 5043 | 2839 | 1647 | 1421 | 3001 | 2168 | 1941 | 1196 | 886 | 957 | — | — | 52 | 7497 | 12316 | — | 18319 | 13241 | 9882 | 6550 | 4110 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 21 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 18 | 835 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | NW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 48 | 502 | 2160 | 11239 | 7880 | 7179 | 10312 | 12965 | 12020 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 558 | 182 | 509 | 204 | 204 | 204 | 997 | 1006 | 230 | 7 | 196 | 143 | 382 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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