Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 14,283 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 17s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

We’ve got a wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks. The ocean’s about to wake up in a serious way. We’re looking at a bit of a lull first, then some proper swell windows with a couple of real standouts.

First up, the good stuff kicks off on Thursday morning, the 10th. Blacknose Point (Chile) is going to be absolutely thumping. We’re talking a solid 14.8ft of SSW pulse with a long 16-second period. The energy is strong, reading 16711 in the water. Winds are light and cross-off, so it’s going to be clean. This is expert territory – way overhead and powerful. This is one of the best windows we’ll see, an absolute standout. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there. The swell eases off a touch in the afternoon but it’s still solid at 13.1ft and clean, though the wind picks up a little.

Friday the 11th drops a notch to 11.5ft, but the wind swings cross-on, putting a bit of chop on it. It’s still surfable for the experienced crew, but the magic from Thursday is gone. That trend continues through Saturday and Sunday as the swell backs off and winds get messy, especially Sunday morning with a strong cross-shore blowing 19 mph. It turns into a bit of a write-off.

Monday the 14th, the swell bottoms out – small and not worth your time. Tuesday the 15th sees the size jump back up to 14.8ft but with a moderate cross-off wind. It’s clean, but the energy is a bit less organized than the first pulse. It’s okay, but nothing special.

Now, here’s where things get interesting again. There’s a gap of a few small days, and then we get another shot. On Wednesday the 23rd, about a week and a half out, we’ve got the big one. The forecast shows a massive 16.4ft SSW groundswell with a 17-second period. The energy is enormous at 13697. Winds are moderate offshore, keeping it clean. This is as good as it gets, another true standout, but it's a long-range call so don't book the time off work just yet. The afternoon holds at 14.8ft with light cross-off winds too. It's going to be pumping.

After that big day, things start to fade and get messier. The wind turns onshore and the swell starts to drop. By Friday the 25th, it’s blown out.

So, the plan is simple. Circle Thursday the 10th and Wednesday the 23rd on the calendar. The 10th is more of a sure thing, the 23rd has more size and promise but is a longer-range bet. The rest of the time, you’re picking through the leftovers the wind hasn’t ruined yet.

That’s the look. Stay stoked.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
9
9
6
4
5
3
3
3
3
2
1
3
2
0
1
3
5
4
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5.5
SSW
17
4.5
SSW
16
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
4
SW
12
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
16312
10526
7826
5024
4936
6609
6172
3971
3351
2424
2002
1474
791
570
386
3718
7108
6380
5474
Wind (km/h)
15
S
10
SSW
15
SSW
5
ESE
5
ESE
15
SE
15
ENE
10
NE
5
SSE
15
N
30
N
15
N
20
NW
30
WNW
40
W
30
SW
25
SSW
20
SSW
10
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
Low Tide
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
 mm
Temp °C
10
10
11
10
12
12
12
17
17
16
22
23
20
16
14
11
11
11
10
Feels °C
6
7
8
8
9
8
9
16
16
14
18
21
16
9
7
3
5
6
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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