
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 18,226 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell headed our way at Blacknose Point, but it’s not all gonna be clean. Let’s break it down day by day.
The opening act kicks off Tuesday the 8th. Morning has clean 7ft SW swell with a solid 17-second period, and only a light cross-offshore breeze. Winds are light out of the WNW at 6 mph. It’s a bit of a notch above average for experienced surfers, and the water’s sitting at 58°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The afternoon bumps up to 10ft with a bit more west in the wind, but still offshore at 12 mph, so it stays clean. The energy is moderate (4458).
Wednesday the 9th sees the swell really kick in. Morning pushes 16ft at 19 seconds, and even though the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore, the size and period make it a serious proposition. The combined energy jumps right up to 18226, which is strong. The afternoon is similar, 18ft at 17 seconds, with strong energy (17014). This is big, powerful water—not for the faint-hearted.
Now, Thursday the 10th is the standout of this whole stretch. Morning delivers 15ft of SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a light 9 mph cross-offshore breeze. The energy is pumping at 17108, and it’s looking *exceptional* for experts. The afternoon drops slightly to 13ft, but the conditions hold. This is the day to be out there if you know what you’re doing.
Friday the 11th settles down in size but the wind swings onshore. Morning is 10ft but with a light cross-on breeze from the east, creating some ripples. The afternoon is 12ft with a cross-shore wind, so it’s a bit more textured. Still ridable, but not the cleanest.
Saturday the 12th is a mixed bag. Morning has 10ft but with a cross-shore wind. The afternoon is better: 8ft with a light cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions, though the energy drops.
Sunday the 13th is a write-off. The swell drops to 7ft, but a fresh cross-shore wind from the north chops it up. Not worth the paddle.
We then hit a lull. Monday the 14th has waves but they’re small, 4ft, and the energy is weak. The wind is strong offshore in the afternoon, but the size just isn’t there. This quiet spell runs through to Tuesday the 15th morning, but that’s when it turns back on.
Tuesday the 15th afternoon sees things pick up again, with 12ft of SW swell at 13 seconds and moderate energy (3563). The wind is cross-offshore and clean.
Wednesday the 16th morning is a gem. 10ft of SW swell, 13 seconds, and it’s *glassy* with just a slight air from the NNE at 3 mph. That’s as good as it gets for clean conditions. The afternoon gets a bit of cross-shore wind, but the morning is pure.
Looking further out, the second week has some promise. Saturday the 20th looks good—12ft with offshore winds all day and moderate-to-strong energy (4832 in the morning, 6283 in the afternoon). That’s a solid day.
And then there’s a pulse for the 21st, with 13ft on the cards, but the wind turns onshore. It’s got size but it’ll be bumpy.
Overall, the standout is Thursday the 10th. Big, clean, and powerful. The Wednesday the 16th morning is also a top pick for its glassy conditions on a decent-sized swell. Crowds are often there, so be prepared to share the point, but for those who can handle it, these are the days.
This is a point break, and with these longer-period swells (16-19 seconds), it’s going to hold up well and give you some proper lines. The energy levels we’re seeing on the big days are strong, so there’s plenty of push behind it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2339 | 4456 | 6995 | 18226 | 17014 | 16845 | 10923 | 8155 | 4803 | 4139 | 5916 | 5884 | 3713 | 3093 | 2911 | 1785 | 1297 | 1048 | 562 | 424 | 545 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | ||||||||
6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 24 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
1279 | 4456 | 322 | 18226 | 17014 | 16845 | 10923 | 8155 | 4803 | 4139 | 5916 | 5884 | 3713 | 3093 | 2911 | 1785 | 1297 | 1048 | 562 | 424 | 166 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SW 19 | SW 18 |
2339 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6185 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 37 | 17 | 54 | 192 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | S 10 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 8 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 4 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 5 | WSW 8 |
— | 10 | 6995 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 33 | 86 | 82 | 113 | 545 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 221 | 841 | 1712 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 75 | 75 | 7 | 7 | 182 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










