Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.6°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 5,940 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Sun 23rd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 25th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 30th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk surf.

We’ve got a solid run of swell headed our way, starting this Sunday the 23rd of August and stretching right through to early September. The first few days have some size but the wind is a bit of a mixed bag, so you’ll need to pick your sessions. The real standout window starts to build from the 30th, with some absolute crackers on offer.

Kicking off Sunday morning the 23rd at Blacknose Point, we’ve got a solid 10ft SW swell with a long 14-second period, but the cross-shore wind from the NNW at 9 mph is going to put a bit of a chop on the surface. The combined swell energy is pumping at 4854 (strong), so there's plenty of power, but it’s not the cleanest. The water temp is 58°, which is about a degree warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus.

Sunday afternoon improves noticeably. The wind swings W at 6 mph and goes cross-offshore, cleaning things right up. Swell drops a touch to 8ft but it’s still got that SW direction and a 13-second period. This is excellent for experienced surfers, and the crowds are often here, so expect some company.

Monday the 24th is a write-off with onshore N winds and messy conditions. Swell is still 7ft to 7ft but the quality is poor.

Tuesday the 25th bounces back. Morning session looks great with light S winds at 6 mph and clean 8ft SW swell. That’s a good one to aim for. The afternoon, however, sees the wind pick up from the SSW at 16 mph, so it gets a bit rough.

Wednesday the 26th is a gem. Offshore winds from the WSW at 9 mph both morning and afternoon, with consistent 8ft SW swell and a 13-second period. Clean lines all day, and the combined energy is still healthy around 1872-1994 (moderate to strong). This is a top pick for the first week.

Thursday and Friday the 27th and 28th see the swell pulse again. Friday afternoon the 28th is a standout: a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, offshore wind from the WSW at 12 mph, and combined energy of 4005 (strong). That’s proper groundswell – it'll wrap nicely around the point.

The best of the whole run comes Saturday the 30th of August and Sunday the 31st. Saturday morning: 12ft SSW swell, 16-second period, light WSW offshore wind at 6 mph – absolutely glassy. Combined energy hits 5940 (very strong). This is expert territory at that size, but if you’re good enough, it’s world-class. The point will handle the long period beautifully. Sunday the 31st is similar: 10ft SW swell, 15-second period, light offshore winds again. Both days score top marks.

Moving into September, Monday the 7th sees a massive 15ft WSW swell with a 13-second period, but the wind is howling from the W at 28-31 mph. Even though it’s offshore, that’s near gale-force. The combined energy is 7669 (very strong), but it’ll be a battle to get out and hold your line. This is only for the hardiest, most experienced crew.

Overall, the clear standout is Sunday the 30th of August through to Monday the 31st of August. For a single session, Saturday the 30th morning is the one – clean, solid, long-period SW groundswell at a point break that loves that direction.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
2
2
3
4
2
4
4
4
4
2
3
4
4
5
4
3
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.3
SSW
14
2
SW
13
2.1
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3518
2235
2840
1891
1326
1475
2103
2187
2598
1749
1697
1088
672
1346
2791
5372
4005
2933
2056
1452
1594
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
10
W
15
NNW
20
N
15
N
10
NE
10
S
25
SSW
20
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
NW
20
NW
20
W
15
NW
15
NW
20
WSW
15
WSW
20
W
25
W
15
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
Low Tide
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
10
Temp °C
13
15
14
14
15
12
13
13
12
12
13
12
14
15
12
14
14
11
12
12
13
Feels °C
9
12
11
11
12
10
10
8
7
8
10
9
9
11
9
10
11
9
7
7
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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