Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a big 16-day window ahead, and let me tell you, this is a serious run of solid, powerful swell for Blacknose Point. It’s not going to be for everyone though – this is expert territory for most of it, with wave heights well over 8 feet for many days. The opening sessions are promising but come with caveats, and the back half of the outlook has some absolute standouts that will have the experienced crew frothing. Just be aware, this break can get crowded, so you’ll want to be on your game and early.

Right from the get-go on Wednesday the 2nd, we’ve got a hefty 3.5m SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period. Combined swell energy is strong at 5348, so there’s plenty of power, but it’s a bit of a messy one. The wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 20 km/h, keeping things clean, but the forecast notes marginal conditions and questionable tide. It’s a 4 out of 10 for the morning. The afternoon stays similar, with the swell holding and a NW cross-off at 25 km/h, but the score dips to a 3. That first day is more about watching and waiting, maybe a sneaky session for the diehards if the tide lines up.

Thursday the 3rd is where things start to get real. The swell jumps to 5.0m in the morning, still from the SW with a 14-second period. Combined energy is very strong at 8853. The wind is a full offshore from the west at 35 km/h. It’s clean and powerful, but this is big, expert-only surf. The score is a 6 out of 10, with the marginal tide note again. Then Thursday afternoon, it goes nuclear: 5.5m of WSW swell, 14-second period, and a 30 km/h offshore westerly. The combined energy hits 23295 – that’s very strong, and the file says it’s wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The score is an 11 out of 10, which tells you all you need to know about the quality, but only the most experienced will be touching it.

Friday the 4th is still pumping with a 4.5m SW swell, 16-second period, and very strong energy at 10269. The morning has a cross-shore NNW wind at 25 km/h, making for a moderate cross-chop. It’s still a 6 out of 10, but the conditions are less perfect. The afternoon stays similar, just a bit weaker on the wind, but the score drops to a 5. Saturday the 5th is a write-off for paddling. The swell is 5.5m, but the wind is howling from the WNW at 45 km/h, making for poor conditions in the morning. The afternoon has a 45 km/h offshore, which is clean but incredibly hard to paddle into – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 6th offers a bit of a breather. The swell drops to 3.5m in the morning with a 14-second period and a cross-off NW breeze at 15 km/h. It’s clean, but the score is a 4. However, Sunday afternoon is a gem for the experienced: 3.0m of SW swell with a 13-second period, combined energy at 2806, and the wind goes glassy – a light 5 km/h southerly. The file says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” and the score is a 4. This is a window of clean, manageable power. Monday the 7th

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