Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming our way at Blacknose Point. This is a solid point break that needs a decent SW swell to really get going, and boy, are we getting one. The water temp is sitting at 58.6°F, which is about 1.8°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the mild side.

The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag. Thursday the 6th of August starts off with a 4.9ft SW swell, but a cross-shore NNW wind at 12 mph is messing things up. The afternoon cleans right up though, with a light offshore WSW breeze at 6 mph, dropping the swell slightly to 4.3ft but making it glassy. That’s a nice little window to get a few clean ones. The energy is moderate at 1150, but it feels good.

Friday the 7th sees the swell jump to 8.2ft from the SW, with a 15-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy is strong at 3624. But the wind is a cross-shore from the N in the morning, and then a cross-on in the afternoon. It’s not great, but it’s surfable if you’re keen. The water is still that same warm anomaly.

Things get a bit ugly from Saturday the 8th through to Sunday the 9th, with rain and strong onshore winds. The swell is hanging around 5.9ft to 7.5ft, but it’s choppy and lumpy. Not worth paddling out for. We’re looking at a gap of a couple of days of poor conditions.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 10th of August is a true standout. The swell bumps up to 14.8ft from the WSW with a 17-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WNW at 16 mph. The energy is massive at 10710. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For a point break like this, that long period and direction will wrap in beautifully. It’s going to be a heavy day, so this is for experienced surfers only. The morning is the pick of the day.

Tuesday the 11th is a write-off again with a strong cross-shore wind, and Wednesday the 12th is just plain wild. The swell hits 16.4ft and then 21.3ft with a near gale offshore wind. The energy is off the charts at 14701 and 13251. That’s way too much for a normal paddle session, and with the wind as strong as it is, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then comes the big one. Thursday the 13th of August. The forecast is showing a massive 27.9ft swell from the WSW with an 18-second period. The energy is a staggering 76486. The wind is a fresh offshore from the SW at 19 mph. The file says it might be too big for the break, but for the absolute experts, that afternoon window with a 19.7ft swell and clean offshore wind is exceptional. This is the best on offer in the whole forecast. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the one that gets the blood pumping.

The rest of the month settles down. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th offer solid 11.5ft to 14.8ft SW swells, with clean offshore winds on Friday, making for excellent, powerful surf. By Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, the swell drops to 6.6ft to 8.2ft, and the winds are light. Monday afternoon is glassy, with a 5.2ft swell and light winds – a perfect, cruisy session for the experienced crew.

The final week from the 18th to the 21st sees a mix of cross-on winds and some clean offshore windows. The swell is steady between 6.6ft and 9.8ft. The standout in this later period is Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st, with gentle offshore winds and a 7.9ft SW swell with a 16-second period. It’s clean, consistent, and the energy is moderate. It’s a good way to wind down the month.

So, to wrap it up: the absolute best of the lot is the afternoon of Thursday the 13th of August, that’s the one to circle on the calendar. Monday the 10th is a close second. The rest of the time, keep an eye on the wind, and you’ll find some gems.

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