
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 19,712 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us.
The next 16 days are a proper tale of two halves. The start is a bit of a write-off, but if you can wait, we’ve got a serious pulse of energy rolling in for the second week. The first few days are a no-go, with messy conditions and onshore winds, so don't bother paddling out until at least the 12th.
Let’s be real, Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are a wash. Friday has a 8ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, but the cross-shore wind is just going to chop it up. It’s a marginal call at best. Saturday looks even worse with strong winds and a lumpy, messy ocean. Save your energy.
The real action starts to kick off on Sunday the 12th. We’ve got a massive spike in energy. The swell jumps to 20ft from the WSW with a 12-second period. The combined energy is a massive 10054, which is not to be taken lightly. This is a serious, powerful swell. The wind is offshore, which is a huge plus, but only for the most experienced. This is an expert-only zone. The waves are going to be clean, but the sheer size and power will make it a battle to get out. The point break at Blacknose Point will be handling this deep water energy well, but it’s not for the faint of heart. Monday the 13th keeps the big energy going with 16ft to 18ft SW swells, still with a very long period and clean conditions. The energy is high, but it’s still a big, powerful ocean.
The standout for the entire period, and the one you should pencil in, is Tuesday the 14th. The swell is still a healthy 16ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period (10699 energy), but the wind is moderate offshore from the WSW all day. This is the sweet spot. The waves will be big, powerful, and clean. The water temperature is 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a full winter steamer, but a good 3/2 will be fine. This is the day the experienced crew will be out, and it’s going to be firing. The crowds are likely to be heavy, so get in early.
Wednesday the 15th is still a solid option. The swell drops to 12ft from the SW, but the afternoon brings a gentle offshore wind that cleans it up perfectly. The energy is still moderate (5215), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. A very good session, but the Tuesday is the peak.
The rest of the week sees the swell slowly dropping. Thursday the 16th has a 8ft SW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s a beautiful, clean wave, but the energy is much lower.
The second week, from the 17th onwards, is a bit of a mixed bag. The big swell is gone, and the conditions get a bit lumpy again with cross-shore winds. There’s a small window on the 20th and 21st with some clean, smaller waves, but nothing to get too excited about. The forecast confidence is lower for these dates, so keep an eye on it.
The final call: if you’re an expert surfer, Sunday the 12th through Tuesday the 14th is your window. Tuesday the 14th is the absolute standout: big, clean, powerful groundswell at Blacknose Point. It’s going to be a good one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri morning, strong winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 1146 | 7999 | 10054 | 10050 | 8627 | 12509 | 13145 | 19712 | 10699 | 8892 | 6186 | 4864 | 4094 | 2822 | 2024 | 2110 | 2408 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | |||||||||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | |
— | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | SSW 23 | SW 18 | SW 15 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 821 | — | — | 50 | 621 | 12509 | — | 19712 | 10699 | 8892 | 6186 | 4864 | 4094 | 2822 | 2024 | 2110 | 2408 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 6 | W 8 | NE 6 | — | — | — | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 13 |
— | — | 3 | 115 | 1 | — | — | — | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 351 | 1103 | 400 | 284 | 196 | 1086 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 19 | S 11 |
— | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 115 | 432 | 84 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 4 | 30 | 73 | 1146 | 7999 | 10054 | 10050 | 8627 | — | 13145 | 14300 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 73 | 67 | 206 | 393 | 465 | 775 | 204 | 758 | 558 | 558 | 221 | 221 | 182 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










