
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 15,831 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blacknose Point. It’s a point break that’s fairly consistent and mostly for the advanced crew, and it’s a solid spot when the stars align.
The water’s sitting at 60° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner wettie.
We’ve got a monster of a swell rolling in, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The first real standout is Monday afternoon, July 13th. There’s a massive 20ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period and a whopping 18226 combined energy. The wind is a strong cross-off from the west, so while it’s clean, it’s going to be a beast. This is big, powerful, and only for the experts – and even then, you’ll want to be on your A-game. The long period means the waves will be lined up and powerful, but that big, clean face is a sight to behold.
Tuesday, July 14th, is your best bet for the best all-round conditions. Tuesday morning sees a 16ft SW swell, still a very long 15-second period, with 11723 energy. The wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW, making for clean, well-shaped waves. It’s still big, but that offshore wind will make it a lot more manageable for the experienced. You’ll be getting long, grinding walls. Crowds are possible here, as it’s a spot that gets busy, but on a day like this, it’s worth fighting for a spot.
The swell drops off a bit from Wednesday, July 15th, into the weekend, with Thursday, July 16th, offering a great window. Thursday morning has a 12ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon with a slight offshore in the morning. That’s about as clean as it gets – 5070 energy and perfect conditions for the experienced surfer.
After that, we get a real drop-off. From Saturday, July 18th, right through to Wednesday, July 22nd, it’s small and messy. The swell drops to 4-6ft, the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the quality is poor. There’s a gap of about 4-5 days where you’re better off doing something else.
Then, things get interesting again. Looking ahead, Thursday, July 24th, is a promising long-range call. The swell jumps back up to a solid 10ft from the SW, with a very long 17-second period, and 5150 energy. The wind is a light cross-off, keeping it clean. This one is for the experts again, but it’s a real standout in the second week. It’s a bit further out, so not as certain, but it looks like another session of solid, lined-up point surf.
The final few days of the month show a bit of a drop again, with the swell hanging around 6-7ft and the wind starting to get lumpy. So, to sum it up: the absolute best is Tuesday morning, July 14th, for the perfect combination of size and offshore wind, with Thursday, July 16th, as a close second for the glassy conditions. The long-range one on July 24th is one to keep an eye on.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
15831 | 12063 | 10365 | 6997 | 4550 | 3844 | 4274 | 4719 | 4621 | 3424 | 6015 | 4663 | 2985 | 1886 | 1430 | 689 | 459 | 418 | 589 | 783 | 2207 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | 2:54PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.83m | 3:05PM0.97m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | 8:15AM0.35m | 9:18PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.44m | |||||||||
— | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
15831 | — | — | 6997 | 4550 | 3844 | 4274 | 4719 | 4621 | 3424 | 6015 | 4663 | 2985 | 1886 | 1430 | 689 | 459 | 418 | 424 | 783 | 2207 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 10 | S 11 | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | W 12 | S 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 71 | 33 | 37 | — | 17 | 7 | 6 | 151 | 131 | 318 | 242 | 173 | 589 | 383 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 11 | SSW 10 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 134 | 81 | 188 | 318 | 88 | 35 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | — |
— | 12063 | 10365 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 9 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1006 | 204 | 205 | 221 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 7 | 67 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











