
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 22,898 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 3.5m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for your region. Let’s get straight into it.
We’ve got a big window of surf coming up, but it’s a real mixed bag. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, but the middle of the week after that is where the magic’s at. The main break in the spotlight is Blacknose Point, a solid point break that’s fairly consistent and handles a decent amount of swell.
The water temperature is sitting around 58°F, which is about 2°F warmer than you’d expect for this time of year. It’s a nice little bonus, but don’t get too comfortable—it’s not a major shift.
Alright, let’s run through it. The first real action kicks off on Saturday the 5th, but it’s a rough start. We’ve got a 10-foot SW swell (combined energy of 5169), but that wind is howling from the WNW at 28 mph, making it a messy cross-off. It’s big and powerful, but the conditions are poor. The afternoon only gets worse with a 15-foot swell, so honestly, I’d give this one a miss unless you’re desperate for a beating.
Sunday the 6th is a different story. The wind swings around to the west, dropping to 9 mph, and turns offshore. That’s the good stuff. You’ve got a 12-foot WSW swell (4446 energy) in the morning, and it’s clean. The afternoon drops to 10 feet, but still offshore at 12 mph. This is the first real standout. The waves are going to be long, lined up, and powerful. This is for experienced surfers only—that 12-foot is pushing it for beginners.
After that, Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are a bit of a letdown. The swell drops off, and the wind is more cross-off. Tuesday morning and afternoon are clean, but the period is short (8 seconds) on Monday, so the waves will be a bit weak and crumbly. Not worth the paddle out, really.
But then we hit Wednesday the 9th. This is the big one. The morning swell is 15 feet (15,538 energy), and by the afternoon, it’s a monster 20-foot SSW swell (20,420 energy). That is enormous. The period is 18 seconds, so it’s a very long-period groundswell. This is only for absolute experts. The wind is a fresh cross-off, so it’s clean, but at 20 feet, it’s a beast. The problem is, the forecast says it’s too big for this break. The waves will be ugly and hard to ride. Still, if you’re a pro, you might find a ride.
Thursday the 10th is still huge, with an 18-foot swell in the morning and 16 feet in the afternoon. The afternoon is the real gem here—wind goes offshore at 9 mph, and it’s described as exceptional conditions for experts. The combined energy is 11,329, so it’s a powerful wave. This is another standout. The waves are going to be fat, fast, and hollow. Crowds are often here, but on a Thursday, you might get a bit more space.
From Friday the 11th onwards, the swell drops off significantly. The wind goes light or cross-shore, and the quality fades. Saturday the 12th afternoon has a moment of calm—glassy conditions with an 8-foot SW swell (2798 energy). That’s a nice, clean, friendly wave for a more relaxed session. But it’s short-lived.
The rest of the second week is a washout. The swell stays between 5 feet and 10 feet, but the wind is either cross-off, cross, or cross-on. The energy is moderate to weak. There’s a brief spike on Tuesday the 15th with an 18-foot swell, but the wind is cross-off and it’s not clean enough to get excited about. Wednesday the 16th afternoon is worth a mention—7-foot SW swell, 17-second period, gentle offshore wind. That’s a nice, clean, fun wave for experienced surfers.
Overall, the standout is Sunday the 6th and Thursday the 10th. The long-range stuff on the 10th is promising but less certain. If you’re a beginner, stay away from anything over 5 feet. If you’re an expert, you’ve got two solid days of big, powerful, clean waves. The rest is a gamble.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the SSE by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SSW 8 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3971 | 3764 | 4441 | 4258 | 2919 | 1522 | 835 | 581 | 1860 | 2339 | 4435 | 7763 | 9663 | 20420 | 22527 | 16649 | 11329 | 6952 | 4908 | 4908 | 5488 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:59PM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | |||||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | |
mm | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | WNW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SSW 8 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 26 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 |
3971 | — | 972 | 4258 | 2919 | 1522 | 835 | 581 | 1860 | 1374 | 4435 | 66 | 5875 | 20420 | 22527 | 16649 | 11329 | 6952 | 4908 | 4908 | 5488 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 8 | S 7 | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 100 | 49 | 21 | 118 | 386 | 1475 | 2339 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 7 | W 16 | W 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 88 | 267 | 155 | 162 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | — | — | WSW 5 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1198 | 3764 | 4441 | — | — | 39 | 234 | — | — | — | — | 7763 | 9663 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 709 | 702 | 509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 561 | 841 | 886 | 205 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










