Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.6°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 7,536 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 28th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

The opening stretch is a bit quiet, but hold on, because from this Saturday afternoon, Blacknose Point is going to fire up proper. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about as expected for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The standout session is Saturday afternoon, the 30th of August. We’re looking at a solid 15 ft SW swell, period hanging around 17 seconds, and a light offshore breeze from the SW keeping the face clean. That’s proper groundswell – long lines, plenty of power, and the point will sort it out nicely. The energy is huge at 11631. This one’s for the experienced crew only; the size and power will be well over the head of anyone just starting out.

The other one to circle is Saturday morning, the 30th of August, with a 12 ft SSW swell and a 19-second period. Again, a glassy clean morning with offshore WSW wind at just 3 mph. The energy is also massive at 8373. These two sessions on the 30th are the clear highlights of the whole outlook.

Before that, Saturday afternoon the 22nd of August is also a good shout for experts: 15 ft SW swell, 14-second period, but with a moderate offshore breeze at 12 mph. Still nice and clean, but the wind is a bit stronger. The energy is 8089, so there’s plenty of punch.

Sunday the 23rd through to Friday the 29th sees the swell drop down, but there are still some clean windows. Sunday afternoon the 23rd is clean with a 8 ft SW swell and light offshore wind. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are a bit messier with cross-shore breezes. Wednesday the 26th looks good again – clean, light offshore wind, with a 8 ft SW swell. Thursday the 27th morning is small at 6 ft, but the afternoon jumps up in period to 21 seconds – that’s a very long period swell. That energy reading is 2850, which is still moderate, but the period will make it line up nicely on the point.

Friday the 28th delivers a 10 ft SW swell, 16-17 second period, and clean conditions with a gentle cross-offshore breeze. Energy is strong at 5808. That’s a solid session for experienced surfers.

After the 30th, the swell stays chunky. Monday the 31st of August has a 12 ft SW swell but with a cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph. Tuesday the 1st of September has a fresh offshore breeze and a 12 ft SW swell in the afternoon. Wednesday the 2nd of September has a stand-out window: a 12 ft WSW swell with a light breeze, and later in the afternoon, it goes glassy – dead calm, 0 mph ENE wind, with a 10 ft SW swell. That’s as good as it gets for conditions, but the swell direction is a touch west, so not quite the optimum SSW for the spot.

Thursday the 3rd of September gets lumpy with a fresh cross-shore breeze, and the swell pushes to 13 ft. That’s big and messy – more of a kite-surfing setup if anything. Friday the 4th of September cleans up again with a 13 ft SW swell and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The energy is still very strong at 6942. Saturday the 5th of September has 10 ft SW swell with a gentle offshore breeze – clean and good for experienced surfers. Sunday the 6th fades a bit with a cross-offshore breeze and dropping swell.

Bear in mind, this is all a point break setup, so the long period swells (especially those over 15 seconds) will wrap in beautifully but can also make paddling out a bit of a mission between sets. Crowds are often going to be a factor here, so pick your session wisely. The 30th of August is the one to lock in.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
2
2
3
5
5
5
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
1.9
SW
12
1.7
SW
13
1.4
SW
21
3.5
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7721
5796
3518
2235
2840
1891
1430
1475
1972
1791
2458
1723
1569
980
1021
1697
7536
5808
4005
2517
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
10
WNW
15
NNW
10
W
10
NW
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
E
15
SE
25
S
15
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
15
NNW
20
NW
20
W
20
NW
15
S
15
S
10
SW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
Low Tide
10:16PM0.30m
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
11
3
1
Temp °C
12
11
13
14
14
15
14
13
12
12
11
12
12
11
14
15
13
12
12
11
Feels °C
7
8
9
11
11
12
11
12
10
8
7
10
9
9
9
11
9
10
9
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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