Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point.

This is a solid point break that’s fairly consistent and fairly exposed, picking up a good SSW swell. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, but a bit of a treat.

The first real action starts Wednesday morning the 22nd. We’ve got a 5 ft SW swell rolling in with a 12-second period, and the wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 881. The waves are clean, but it’s a bit marginal. By Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings more offshore from the W at 19 mph, and the swell jumps to 8 ft, with the energy climbing to 1903. Cleaner, bigger, but this is getting into the territory where it’s getting a bit much for beginners.

The real standouts come Thursday the 23rd through to Friday the 24th. Thursday morning sees 13 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph, and energy rocketing up to 6441. The waves are clean and powerful. This is big, expert-level stuff – over 8 ft, so only for the experienced crew. Friday morning the 24th is the absolute pick: a 16 ft SSW swell, 15-second period, offshore wind from the W at 19 mph, and the combined energy is a massive 10540. That’s strong wave energy, and the direction is bang on the optimum SSW. This is a proper groundswell, and the point break will handle that long period beautifully. The wind is clean, the size is huge – this is a day for top-tier surfers only.

Saturday the 25th drops a bit, with 12 ft SW swell and offshore winds, still clean. Sunday the 26th settles to around 8 ft with cross-off winds – still clean, but the energy is dropping. The run continues into Monday the 27th with 10 ft to 13 ft SW/WSW swell and clean cross-off winds, though the energy is variable.

Tuesday the 28th morning is a bit tricky with light cross-shore wind, but by Tuesday afternoon, the wind goes light offshore from the W at 3 mph, the swell is 10 ft from SSW with a 15-second period, and the energy is 4175. That’s an excellent call for experienced surfers – clean, glassy conditions.

Then things turn ugly. From Wednesday the 29th through to the end of the first week, the wind goes cross-onshore or onshore, and the waves get choppy and poor. There’s a gap of poor conditions until Sunday the 2nd of August, where the wind is cross-shore and the swell is around 8 ft but with a cross-chop – not great.

Monday the 3rd of August afternoon looks promising again: a 10 ft SW swell with a 19-second period, cross-off wind from the NW at 12 mph, and energy at 7779. Clean, but it’s a long way out.

The biggest swell of the entire forecast hits Tuesday the 4th of August morning: a massive 21 ft SW swell with a 12-second period, offshore wind, and energy at 23494. That is very strong energy, but the file says it’s predicted to be too big for the break – so that’s a pass for safety. The afternoon sees 16 ft SW swell with a near gale offshore wind at 31 mph – way too hard to paddle into.

The pattern fades out after that, with smaller swells and less favourable winds through to Thursday the 6th of August. There’s a few clean sessions with 6 ft to 5 ft SW swell and 14 to 18-second periods, but the energy is moderate.

If you’re a confident surfer, the absolute standouts are Friday morning the 24th and Tuesday afternoon the 28th. Friday morning is the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful, with the optimum direction. Tuesday afternoon offers glassy, clean conditions for experienced surfers. For the rest of us, the early part of the run from Wednesday the 22nd afternoon to Thursday the 23rd is still solid, just be aware of the size.

This is a point break, so crowds are often around – expect company on the good days.

Rusty.

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