Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu.

Alright, so the first bit of the run is a bit of a slow cooker. We’ve got a solid, workable swell that builds through the opening days, but the wind is a bit of a headache at first. The real standout will be a late run of big, powerful swells that are going to be a proper test of nerve.

The first call is on Friday, 31 July, at Blacknose Point (point). We’re looking at a 7 ft SW swell rolling in with a 12-second period. The energy is already pumping hard at 1298 (moderate to strong). The big news is a light, cross-off breeze out of the NW in the morning, shifting to a clean offshore from the WSW by the afternoon. This is a classic point break setup, and with that combination, it’s going to be clean and lined up. The water is about average for the time of year. Expect a few other heads in the water, as it can get busy here.

The weekend (1st and 2nd of August) gets a bit messy. The swell jumps up to 10 ft with a very long 17-second period, pushing the combined energy into the thousands (3273 to 4657), but the wind goes cross-shore and then fresh. That long period, groundswell energy will be lining up nicely at the point, but the onshore push will foul it up. This one is for the experienced crew only, as the size is well over 8 ft.

Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th is a bit of a mixed bag with a big, messy spike on Monday afternoon (16 ft, 13-second period, 7470 energy) under strong rain showers and a cross-off wind. There’s some decent, clean surf on the 4th and 6th, but nothing that screams “drop everything.”

The real standout is the run from Tuesday, 11 August, through Friday, 14 August. This is a proper, sustained swell event. On the 11th, we’re looking at a massive 18 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a staggering 12652 (very strong). The wind is a moderate cross-off, keeping it clean. This is expert-only territory. It’s pushing the limits of what’s manageable.

Then, on Thursday, 13 August, the conditions lock in. A 13 ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period and a gentle offshore breeze out of the SW. The energy is 10374 (very strong). The forecast calls it exceptional for experts, and I’d be looking at that day as a serious standout. The Friday the 14th is very similar, though the wind is slightly less ideal, but still clean. The whole point will be a freight train.

After that, the swell tapers off through the 15th, but it’s still a solid 8 ft under clean conditions.

So, if you’re looking for the best window, the 13th of August is the one to circle. It’s a long way out, so the forecast might shift, but right now, it looks like a proper session for the experienced crew. The 11th has the raw power, but the 13th has the perfect wind.

Rusty.

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