
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 23,687 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watchin’ this stretch of coast like a hawk. Let’s break down what’s comin’ our way for Blacknose Point (point break, expert-level wave, fairly consistent, with an optimum swell from the SSW). The water temp is sittin’ at 14.7°, which is about average for this time of year—nothin’ weird goin’ on there.
The forecast kicks off on Tuesday the 28th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. Tuesday mornin’s got a 7.9ft SSW swell with a super long 16-second period—classic groundswell—and cross-off winds from the WNW at 19 mph. It’s clean, but there’s a lot of energy in the water (4738) and the report flags it as marginal. Tuesday afternoon gets stronger: 9.8ft SSW at 15 seconds, with a 25 mph offshore wind from the W. That’s a strong offshore (6228 energy), but the comment warns it’ll be hard to paddle into. Not the best kick-off, but you know, sometimes you’ve just gotta sit and wait.
Then Wednesday the 29th rolls in, and this is where it gets wild. The mornin’ shows a massive 21.3ft SW swell, 16-second period, with a 22 mph cross-off from the SW. The combined energy is a staggerin’ 35382—that’s seriously powerful. The report says the wind and tide are favourable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. Unless you’re a top-tier expert with a death wish and a gun, give it a miss. Wednesday afternoon drops to 14.8ft SW at 14 seconds, offshore wind from the SW at 16 mph—clean, still huge (8517 energy), and marked as exceptional for experts. That’s the stand-out if you’ve got the stones.
Thursday the 30th eases off: mornin’ has a 8.2ft SW swell at 13 seconds, offshore WSW wind at 12 mph, clean, with moderate energy (2805). Excellent for experienced surfers. Afternoon holds 7.5ft SW at 13 seconds, same wind direction and strength—still clean, still fun. Friday the 31st lightens up further: 6.6ft SW at 12 seconds in the mornin’, light NW cross-off at 6 mph (1263 energy). The afternoon is 6.2ft SW at 12 seconds, offshore from the W at 6 mph (1506 energy), and both windows are clean and rated as good to excellent. That’s a solid little run for the intermediate crew.
Saturday the 1st of August brings a change: 8.2ft SW at 17 seconds in the mornin’, cross-shore from the N at 12 mph—moderate (3626 energy) but with a cross-chop. Afternoon is 11.5ft SW at 18 seconds, cross-shore from the NNW, same wind strength (6610 energy), still a bit messy. Sunday the 2nd: mornin’ has 11.5ft WSW at 16 seconds, offshore SW at 16 mph (5501 energy), clean—good for the experts. Afternoon is 11.5ft SW at 15 seconds, cross-off from the SSW at 16 mph (5129 energy), also clean. Monday the 3rd: 13.1ft SW at 14 seconds in the mornin’, cross-shore SSE at 9 mph (5524 energy), slight cross-chop. Afternoon is 11.5ft SW at 13 seconds, similar wind (3676 energy). Not the cleanest, but there’s size.
Now here’s the little gem you don’t want to miss: Tuesday the 4th of August. Mornin’ has 7.5ft SW at 12 seconds with ENE winds at just 3 mph—glassy, literally glassy (2344 energy). That’s a rare treat, and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy, so the window is tight. That mornin’ session is the best of the later period if you can get out.
Wednesday the 5th sees smaller surf: 4.6ft SSW at 18 seconds in the mornin’, light N cross-shore (2030 energy), but with small ripples. Afternoon is 5.6ft SSW at 17 seconds (2229 energy), light cross-onshore. Thursday the
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2715 | 3348 | 16645 | 19669 | 8517 | 3677 | 2305 | 1751 | 1357 | 1094 | 1083 | 944 | 3621 | 6610 | 5252 | 5492 | 4797 | 7357 | 5524 | 3676 | 2273 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | ||||||||
7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 4 | 4 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 |
2715 | 3348 | — | 19669 | 8517 | 3677 | 2305 | 1751 | 1357 | 1094 | 1083 | 944 | 3621 | 6610 | 5252 | 5492 | 4797 | 7357 | 5524 | 3676 | 2273 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | SSW 18 |
— | — | — | — | — | 1107 | 500 | 293 | 129 | 53 | 388 | 621 | 5 | — | — | — | 332 | — | — | — | 207 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 116 | 35 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | W 10 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
2023 | 2880 | 16645 | 15713 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 284 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 709 | 496 | 501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 182 | 195 | 235 | 501 | 235 | 160 | 304 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










