Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,062 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Blacknose Point. It’s a point break that’s fairly consistent and takes a good SSW swell. This run kicks in on Saturday the 12th, but early days are a bit of a write-off with lumpy cross-shore winds making a mess of things. Water temp is about average for this time of year.
The first standout to get excited about is Tuesday the 15th. We’ve got a solid 4.5m swell from the SW, 14-second period, and a fresh offshore wind blowing clean – that’s proper Blacknose power. Combined energy is strong (6849). This is big, advanced-level stuff, not for beginners. It stays solid through Wednesday the 16th, with a 4.0m SSW swell and even stronger energy (10102), and winds clean up further. Absolutely pumping for experienced surfers, but if you’re not confident in overhead-plus waves, stay on the sand.
Then things ease off a bit. Thursday the 17th morning looks magic – glassy conditions, 3.0m SSW swell with that long period. A real treat for the crew who know the take-off spots. Crowds are likely here, as it’s a known spot for when it’s clean.
There’s a gap of a few quieter days into the end of the week, but then Sunday the 21st brings another big pulse – 5.0m SW swell, 17-second period, energy through the roof (13597). That’s huge, and only for experts. Winds are light cross-onshore, so you might get a little texture, but the power will be undeniable.
The second week kicks off promising, with solid 4.0m swell and clean conditions on Tuesday the 23rd and Wednesday the 24th, but these are long-range calls – promising but less certain. Still, if the pattern holds, the 24th morning with 3.0m SSW swell, 18-second period, and gentle offshore wind (6203) could be an absolute gem for experienced surfers.
Overall, Blacknose Point will have some serious muscle these next two weeks. The real standouts are Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th – big, clean, powerful point surf. Get it while it’s good.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4024 | 3162 | 2326 | 1856 | 1581 | 1048 | 628 | 431 | 1158 | 6221 | 7984 | 7721 | 7717 | 7440 | 5710 | 3430 | 2359 | 1775 | 1121 | 1230 | 2246 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | 1:46PM0.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | 9:16AM0.64m | 8:50PM0.17m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 4024 | 3162 | 2326 | 1856 | 1581 | 1048 | 628 | 431 | 238 | — | — | 7721 | 7717 | 7440 | 5710 | 3430 | 2359 | 1775 | 1121 | 1230 | 2246 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 12 | — | — | — | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 21 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 7 | 18 | 60 | 114 | 44 | — | — | — | 3385 | 3504 | — | — | 1211 | 45 | 743 | 771 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 12 | SW 21 | SW 20 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 69 | 18 | 60 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | N 3 | NW 6 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 83 | 1158 | 6221 | 7984 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 182 | 561 | 561 | 426 | 426 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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