Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,749 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. We've got a big, powerful, and long-lived swell train heading our way, so get ready for a wild ride. The standout window is around Thursday the 27th, but the entire first week to ten days is about serious size.
It all kicks off on Thursday morning, the 13th of August, at Blacknose Point. This is not for the faint-hearted. We're looking at a solid 15ft SW groundswell, with a period of 16 seconds, packing a massive amount of energy (10232). It's blowing a moderate offshore from the west, so the waves will be clean and lined up perfectly. That is a true expert-only session; the power is immense.
The energy stays high right through the weekend and into the next week, with swell holding around 13ft to 12ft on the Friday and Saturday, but the winds start to shuffle around. Friday morning (14th) is your next best bet, with another 13ft SW groundswell and clean offshore winds from the WSW. By Sunday the 16th, the size drops a bit to 8ft, but the wind goes onshore, chopping it up.
There's a bit of a lull mid-week around the 18th and 19th, with swell fading to around 3ft and poor conditions, so don't bother paddling out then.
But hold onto your board, because things fire back up in a big way. The real standout, the session you've been waiting for, is Thursday morning, the 27th of August. The forecast model is screaming *exceptional*. We've got a massive 16ft SW groundswell, a period of 15 seconds, and incredible energy (12286). And the wind? Glassy light offshore from the south. This is as good as it gets for an expert wave. It will be a heavy, deep-water point break experience. The crowds here can be heavy, and for a session like this, expect the lot to be out.
Before that, Wednesday the 26th morning also has a brute of a swell, a huge 21ft SW with a 13-second period and fresh offshore wind, which is also a solid option for the bold. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual – a nice touch for the time of year.
Later in the second week, there are some smaller but still rideable swells, but nothing that stands up to those first two major pulses. Make the call on the 13th and the 27th if you've got the skill and the nerve.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10232 | 9129 | 10402 | 8327 | 7612 | 6728 | 5280 | 4862 | 3420 | 2594 | 2371 | 2020 | 1210 | 2829 | 1736 | 1004 | 813 | 788 | 479 | 543 | 676 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | 2:14PM0.94m | 2:57AM0.94m | 2:23PM0.92m | 3:34AM0.93m | 2:30PM0.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | 8:17AM0.37m | 8:35PM0.26m | 8:44AM0.46m | 8:56PM0.22m | 9:08AM0.55m | 9:19PM0.21m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 10232 | 9129 | 10402 | 8327 | 7612 | 6728 | 5280 | 4862 | 3420 | 2594 | 2371 | 2020 | 1210 | 2829 | 1736 | 1004 | 813 | 788 | 479 | 543 | 676 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SE 5 | SW 13 | S 11 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 13 | ESE 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 214 | 432 | 231 | — | — | 21 | 809 | 83 | 700 | 600 | 364 | 8 | 4 | 65 | 262 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 11 | SW 22 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 9 | ESE 6 | E 5 | WSW 20 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 183 | 166 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 149 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | ESE 6 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 21 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 263 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 125 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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