Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 20 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.6° C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,316 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a proper, solid window of surf on the horizon, but it's a bit of a slow build and a tale of two weekends. The prize is a massive session on Saturday the 22nd, but you'll have to be patient and pick your moments.

The main event is Blacknose Point. This spot is a fairly consistent, advanced-level point break that's fairly exposed to the SW swell. The water is sitting at 58°, which is a full degree and a half warmer than average for this time of year – a nice little bonus.

We kick off on Thursday the 20th. It's a bit of a slow start with a 7ft WSW swell (combined energy of 2745). The wind is a cross-off from the NNW, so it's clean but the conditions are just marginal. It's surfable, but don't expect much.

Friday the 21st sees the swell jump up to a solid 10ft from the WSW, with a 14-second period. The energy is impressive (8206 in the morning). But the wind is howling from the WNW at 15-19 mph. It's still cross-off, so the face will be clean, but that wind is strong. It's big, powerful, and for advanced surfs only.

Now, here's the standout. Saturday the 22nd is the call. The morning is looking exceptional. We've got a 15ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a massive 14367, and the wind is offshore from the WSW, blowing moderately at 16 mph. This is the kind of setup that turns a point break like Blacknose into a masterpiece. The water will be clean, the waves will be big and powerful, and it's a long-period groundswell that will wrap perfectly into the point. This is expert territory only – 15ft is no joke. The crowd factor is "often", so you'll want to be in the water early.

The swell drops back to a still-impressive 10ft on Sunday the 23rd with a 13-second period, but the wind switches to a cross-off from the NW. It's still clean, but the juice is gone from the previous day. The energy drops to 4593. It's still a good wave, but it's a comedown from the peak.

The following week, from Monday the 24th through to Wednesday the 26th, the swell hangs around the 7ft to 8ft range with decent periods. The wind is mostly cross-off or light, so you'll find clean, fun waves. The highlight in this stretch is Wednesday afternoon the 26th: a 7ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind goes to a light offshore from the WSW. The energy is low (1681), but it's glassy. It'll be a clean, lined-up point break that’s perfect for a longboard.

Things get messy from Thursday the 27th onwards. The wind turns onshore and cross-onshore, and the quality drops fast. The end of the month and start of September is a washout through to the 3rd with poor conditions and strong winds. There's a glimmer of hope on the 4th of September with a 13ft SW swell and a 15-second period, with offshore winds forecast, but we're talking about a date that's two weeks out. It's a promising long-range possibility, but don't pin your weekend on it yet.

So, bottom line: the absolute best on offer is the morning of Saturday the 22nd. It's a proper, world-class session. The rest of the week has some good, clean options, but that Saturday is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
5
3
3
9
5
5
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
W
13
1.7
W
11
1.7
SW
16
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
16
4.5
WSW
15
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
13
3
SW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1491
639
1438
4296
3242
6172
8316
5713
5278
3257
2356
2824
2024
1697
2063
2782
4501
3293
2000
1475
1791
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
25
WSW
20
WSW
15
W
15
NW
20
W
15
NW
20
NW
25
W
15
W
20
SSW
20
SSW
10
SSW
10
NNW
10
WSW
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-on
High Tide
2:30PM0.89m
5:02AM0.85m
2:15PM0.87m
6:41AM0.80m
1:31PM0.87m
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
Low Tide
9:41PM0.22m
9:32AM0.73m
10:01PM0.25m
8:11AM0.79m
10:16PM0.30m
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
5
1
5
Temp °C
13
11
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
14
12
16
15
12
12
12
11
11
11
10
Feels °C
8
5
6
7
7
7
9
9
9
9
9
9
12
10
8
7
7
7
8
8
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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