Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 22,091 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a big, long period SW groundswell on the way, but it's going to be a wild ride. The first call is a total beast of a day, and then it settles down into some cleaner, more manageable windows. The standout is undeniably those first few days, but you’ll need to be on your A-game.

Wednesday, July 29th kicks off with a monster. Blacknose Point is looking at a solid 21 ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 35171 – that’s a lot of water moving. It’s a clean, cross-off wind from the SW, but honestly, this is no joke. This is way over 8 ft, so it’s experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The tide is favorable, but that's a lot of ocean. The afternoon eases a bit, dropping to 15 ft with lighter offshore WSW wind and a combined energy of 8575. The water temp is about average for the time of year so no surprises there.

Thursday, July 30th is another good one for the experienced crew. The swell drops to 8 ft in the morning from the SW, period still a solid 13 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the WSW. Combined energy is 2602. The afternoon holds at 8 ft with the same clean light wind. Great, powerful, surfable waves for someone who knows what they're doing.

Friday, July 31st is the real sweet spot for the first week. The swell is down to 7 ft from the SW, period still 12 seconds, but the wind is glassy, absolutely glassy. The morning has a light NNW air, and the afternoon is also glassy. Combined energy is a healthy 1279 to 1500. This is the cleanest, most user-friendly day of the run for experienced surfers. The sets will be a bit more spaced out with that longer period, making it easier to get out the back.

Saturday, August 1st gets messy. The swell is still in the 7 to 8 ft range with a super long period of 16 to 17 seconds, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW, making it choppy. Not great for the paddle.

Sunday, August 2nd stays funky. The swell is 10 ft in the morning, dropping to 8 ft in the afternoon, but the wind is howling from the WNW at 19-25 mph as a cross-offshore. It’ll be clean, but the wind strength is a real issue.

Monday, August 3rd gets a bit of reprieve. The swell is back up to 18 ft in the morning from the WSW, but with a strong offshore wind from the SW at 22 mph. Combined energy is 8431. It’s a clean, powerful, and dangerous setup for experts only.

After that, the outlook from Tuesday, August 5th through the end of the first week and into the second week becomes more marginal. You’ll see plenty of swell in the 6 to 8 ft range, but the winds are often cross-offshore or cross-shore, and the quality drops off. The best of the second week looks to be Thursday, August 6th with a 6 ft swell from the SW, a 15 second period, and a light offshore wind. Combined energy is 1270 – a clean, small day for a quiet paddle.

Saturday, August 10th and the days after that get messy again with building swell and strong cross-shore winds. There’s a big pulse of 12 ft to 13 ft swell on Monday, August 12th and Tuesday, August 13th but the wind is a terrible cross-shore, making it a complete write-off for surfing. The energy numbers are high (6051 and 9917), but the conditions are poor. This setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re an expert, get on Thursday, July 30th and then Friday, July 31st is the absolute gem. For the second week, Thursday, August 6th is your best bet for a clean, quieter session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue night, calm by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri night, strong winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
7
!
7
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
2
2
2
3
1
3
6
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6.5
SW
13
6.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.9
SW
12
1.7
SW
12
2.3
SW
16
2.2
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
5.5
WSW
12
4
WSW
13
3
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
14720
19816
8575
3408
2180
1645
1363
1112
1077
846
2742
2696
4637
4539
2881
1914
8431
5351
3163
Wind (km/h)
45
SW
30
SW
15
WSW
20
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
SW
5
NNW
5
NW
10
N
20
NNW
20
N
25
N
30
WNW
40
WNW
35
SW
35
SW
35
SW
30
SSW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:50PM0.50m
1:19PM1.13m
00:28AM0.55m
1:40PM1.13m
00:57AM0.60m
1:59PM1.11m
1:25AM0.66m
2:18PM1.07m
1:56AM0.72m
2:35PM1.01m
2:28AM0.78m
2:49PM0.94m
3:04AM0.83m
Low Tide
5:21AM0.32m
8:55PM0.47m
6:04AM0.28m
8:48PM0.46m
6:41AM0.25m
8:48PM0.44m
7:16AM0.24m
8:52PM0.42m
7:50AM0.26m
8:59PM0.39m
8:23AM0.32m
9:09PM0.36m
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
 mm
6
1
4
4
2
1
Temp °C
11
11
11
11
12
11
11
11
12
12
13
14
10
11
11
11
10
10
10
Feels °C
1
3
6
6
8
8
9
10
10
10
8
9
4
3
2
4
1
2
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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