
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 17,641 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this run we’ve got coming up.
It’s a bit of a slow start, but the waiting game is going to pay off. There’s nothing worth paddling for right this minute, but the surf kicks in from the afternoon of Sunday, July 26th, and then it’s on and off all the way through to the second week of August. There’s a couple of dry spells, especially around the 2nd and 7th, but the good stuff in between is real.
The standout for the whole run is Blacknose Point. This is a proper point break, and it’s pretty exposed to the swell. For a spot like this, you want the wind to play nice, and for the most part, it does. The water temp is sitting right around 58.6°F which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing to complain about.
Sunday, July 26th afternoon – This is your entry point. The swell is just under 6.9 ft coming from the SW, with a solid 11 second period. The wind is offshore from the W at 9.3 mph, and it’s glassy clean. The wave energy is pumping at 1202, and it’s going to feel like a gentle push. This is a solid paddle for the experienced crew, but it’s a fun, clean window.
Monday, July 27th – Forget it. The wind swings around to a cross-shore from the NNW at 15.5 mph, and it’s choppy. The swell is a bit bigger, 7.5 ft, but the quality is gone. Not worth a wet suit.
Tuesday, July 28th – The swell drops a little, but the wind is a tricky cross-off from the NW. The period jumps to 16 seconds on the morning, and the energy is huge at 7138. That’s a lot of push. The swell is 7.9 ft, which is getting into the big stuff, and the wind is 21.7 mph. It’s clean, but it’s a heavy paddle. The afternoon drops to 8.2 ft, still big, and the wind is still strong. This is for the experienced crew only.
Wednesday, July 29th morning – This is the monster. 16.4 ft of SW swell, 15 second period, and the energy is screaming at 11180. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 18.6 mph. This is not for the faint of heart. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s straight-up expert territory. The afternoon drops to 11.5 ft with offshore wind from the SW at 15.5 mph. Still big, but cleaner.
Thursday, July 30th – Back to the good stuff. 8.2 ft of SW swell, 13 second period, and the wind is offshore from the WSW at 9.3 mph. The energy is 2434. It’s clean, it’s punchy, and it’s the best balance of size and quality we’ve seen. The afternoon is similar, 7.5 ft, same wind, just a bit smaller. This is the pick of the first week.
Friday, July 31st – The swell drops to 6.2 ft, but the wind is light offshore from the WSW at 6.2 mph. The period is 12 seconds. It’s clean, glassy, and perfect for a longboard or a fun shortboard. The energy is 1167, a nice, gentle
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1034 | 918 | 1325 | 1486 | 1682 | 2715 | 3030 | 11002 | 11180 | 5306 | 3066 | 2147 | 1645 | 1341 | 1025 | 1007 | 948 | 655 | 1829 | 3353 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | |||||||||
— | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
1034 | 918 | 1325 | 1486 | 1682 | 2715 | 3030 | 2101 | 11180 | 5306 | 3066 | 2147 | 1645 | 1341 | 1025 | 1007 | 948 | 563 | 1829 | 3353 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 9 | — | SSW 16 | WSW 16 | — | — | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 21 | — |
100 | 48 | — | 6 | — | 1956 | 137 | — | — | 734 | 481 | 287 | 199 | 92 | 26 | 388 | 553 | 655 | 351 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — |
68 | 76 | — | — | — | 361 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 116 | 19 | 5 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | WNW 10 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 |
— | — | 15 | 3 | 741 | 2106 | 2748 | 11002 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 73 | 73 | 206 | 565 | 709 | 182 | 501 | 501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 74 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










