Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 11,632 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cookin’ for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a slow start, but don’t let that fool ya. This place is a classic point break that loves a solid SSW to SW groundswell, and boy, does it have a run of serious energy lined up. The water’s sitting at 58°F – that’s pretty normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.
Thursday the 27th is a bit of a write-off. The morning is tiny and messy with a cross-shore breeze, and the afternoon picks up a bit but it’s still just marginal. Not worth paddling out for.
Friday the 28th is where it really starts to fire. That morning you’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell pumping in with a long 17-second period – that’s proper energy. The wind is light and cross-off, so the lineup should be clean. This is big, powerful stuff though, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon stays clean with similar size.
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the good run going. Saturday morning shows 8ft of SW swell with offshore wind – glassy, clean, and that’s a more manageable size. Sunday holds similar size with clean offshore winds all day.
Monday the 31st is an absolute standout. This is the best of the early run. Light offshore wind, almost glassy, with a 10ft SW groundswell and a 17-second period pumping in. The energy is massive. This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully, giving you long, powerful walls. Again, this is expert territory, but it’s going to be epic.
Then we hit a wall. Tuesday the 1st of September gets smashed by 25 mph winds, turning the ocean into a mess. Wednesday and Thursday stay windy and the conditions are rough, even though the swell is big. The setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers through that midweek chop.
The second week turns into a proper big-wave affair, but it’s far from clean. From Friday the 4th of September right through to Monday the 8th, we’re looking at swell heights from 16ft to a massive 26ft, with energy readings going through the roof. The wind is mostly cross-off or fresh offshore, but these are giant, raw conditions. The 26ft on the 8th is huge – the file says it’s too big for this break, and I’d agree. For the absolute elite charger only, and even then, it’s a survival mission.
By Wednesday the 10th, the swell finally drops back to a more manageable 7ft to 7ft, but the wind turns onshore, so it’s not looking great. The last few days of the outlook are choppy and poor.
So, the standout days are Friday the 28th of August for the first pulse of big, clean groundswell, and Monday the 31st of August which looks like the pick of the whole forecast – clean, glassy, and powerful. Just remember, this is all expert-level stuff. If you’re not solid, sit this one out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
653 | 946 | 1752 | 5160 | 3880 | 3204 | 2201 | 1668 | 1703 | 1946 | 2483 | 3867 | 3234 | 3307 | 4004 | 2725 | 1776 | 3810 | 4635 | 5450 | 6691 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | ||||||||
7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
653 | 946 | 1752 | 5160 | 3880 | 3204 | 2201 | 1668 | 1703 | 1946 | 2483 | 3867 | 3234 | 3307 | 4004 | 2725 | 1776 | 3810 | 4635 | 3953 | 4650 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | SW 23 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — |
170 | 478 | 1567 | — | 8 | — | 21 | 52 | 224 | 309 | 589 | 166 | 969 | 1365 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 2 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 10 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
32 | 75 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | W 7 | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 102 | 411 | — | — | 5450 | 6691 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 733 | 623 | 0 | 7 | 182 | 196 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











