Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.5° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 16,555 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 14th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Tue 14th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for us.

The next couple of days are a write-off – Saturday, 11 July, is a total mess. Strong cross-onshore winds, messy conditions, and a combined wave energy of 1034 tells you all you need to know about the lack of push. Don’t bother.

We’ve got a pretty decent run of swell starting Sunday, 12 July. Sunday morning sees a big 20ft SW groundswell hammer in, with a 12-second period. The wind is howling offshore at 28 mph though, which makes it super clean but a real mission to paddle into. The combined energy is whopping, at 9923 – this is powerful, serious stuff. Afternoon cleans up to a cross-off, swell still 18ft from the WSW and 13 seconds. This is expert territory only; over 8ft, it's for the brave and skilled.

The real standout window kicks off on Monday, 13 July. The swell holds at 18ft to 20ft from the SW, period stretching out to a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, 15098 in the morning. This long period stuff will wrap beautifully into Blacknose Point, a point break that handles that direction like a dream. The wind is cross-off both sessions, so the face will be clean. Tuesday, 14 July, might just be the pick of the whole run. Morning offshore wind at 19 mph from the WSW, still a solid 16ft SW swell with a 15-second period, combined energy at 11597 – and the morning gets a score that says it's an exceptional window for experienced surfers. Water temp is 60°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner steamer.

Watch out for the crowds though – this spot gets ‘often’ busy, and when it’s this good, you’ll have company.

Wednesday, 15 July, drops to a more manageable 12ft to 10ft SW swell, still with a 14-second period, and the wind goes light. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers, but the energy has backed off to around 4562. Thursday and Friday stay in the 8ft to 10ft range with clean conditions, but the consistency and power start to fade.

By the weekend of 18-19 July, it gets messy again with onshore breezes and lumpy cross-chop. Then there’s another pulse around Monday, 20 July – Monday afternoon looks seriously good. 15ft WSW swell, 14 seconds, offshore wind at 12 mph, combined energy of 9586. That afternoon gets a high rating and is described as exceptional for experts. That’s another standout day.

After that, from 21 July onward, the swell hangs around 10ft to 12ft but the wind starts to go cross or cross-on more often. Still some clean windows, like Wednesday afternoon, 22 July, and glassy conditions on Friday, 24 July – with a glassy surface and a 10ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, it’ll be picture-perfect for the experienced crew.

The very end of the run, 25-26 July, goes downhill again with onshore winds and choppy conditions, so don’t plan around that.

In short: the best on offer is Tuesday, 14 July for the biggest, cleanest power at Blacknose Point, and Monday, 20 July afternoon for another excellent session. Sunday, 12 July is for experts only, and the clean, glassy Friday 24 July is a sleeper hit for those who want beauty over brute force.

Stay safe out there, and don't get caught inside on that long-period stuff.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
6
5
5
6
6
6
7
8
6
5
5
4
4
3
4
2
4
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
14
2.5
W
9
6
WSW
12
6
WSW
12
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
14
5.5
SW
16
6
SW
16
6
SW
15
5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
874
1051
10846
9923
9883
11296
15098
16299
14448
11597
9075
6260
4562
3688
2747
2598
2498
2146
4414
3491
2233
Wind (km/h)
40
N
40
WNW
50
W
45
W
40
W
40
WNW
40
WNW
40
W
35
W
30
WSW
30
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
10
W
15
NW
15
NNW
10
WNW
15
NNW
10
NNW
10
N
20
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
Low Tide
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
cloud
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
7
7
3
1
4
1
2
3
Temp °C
14
10
12
13
13
13
14
13
13
14
14
13
14
14
15
14
15
13
13
14
13
Feels °C
6
1
3
3
4
4
6
5
5
7
7
9
11
12
12
12
13
10
10
12
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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