Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.4° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 21,229 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 6.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s talk about Blacknose Point. This point break is fairly dependable and likes a south-southwest swell. It’s an advanced wave, and you can expect company – crowds are often here.

Water temp is 60° right now, a touch warmer than usual for July, so you might be fine with a spring suit.

The surf lights up on July 11th, but it’s a rough start. Saturday afternoon has a 10ft W swell with a short 9-second period and a strong cross-off wind. Not great. Wait for better.

Sunday 12th is where it gets real. Sunday morning brings a 20ft WSW swell, 12-second period, with a screaming 28 mph offshore wind. The wave energy is massive – 10241 – so there’s serious juice. It’s strong offshore and clean, but tough to paddle into. Sunday afternoon holds similar: 18ft, 13 seconds, still howling offshore. Energy at 9636. This is big, powerful stuff.

Monday 13th keeps the power with a 20ft SW swell, period stretching to 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell – and a cross-off wind. Energy is off the charts at 17133. It’s clean, and at a point break that long period should line up sweet.

The big standout is Tuesday 14th. Tuesday morning has a 16ft SW swell, still with that excellent 15-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the west-southwest at 16 mph. Clean water, moderate offshore, and energy at 11934. This is rated exceptional for experts. Tuesday afternoon is 15ft, still offshore and clean, energy at 8810. If you’ve got one slot, Tuesday morning is it.

Wednesday 15th backs off. Swell eases to 12ft Wednesday morning, then 10ft in the afternoon, periods still long at 14 seconds. Wind is cross-off and lighter, but quality drops. Thursday 16th is smaller at 8ft, with cross-shore winds and some chop. Thursday afternoon improves with a light cross-off breeze and clean conditions, but it’s a step down.

Friday 17th sees an 11ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, but winds are cross-shore with a slight chop. Afternoon is 10ft with a 3 mph wind – nearly glassy – but the light cross-shore leaves small ripples.

Then a flat spell. Saturday 18th drops to 6ft and 5ft, messy cross-shore winds. Sunday 19th is worse: 4ft and 6ft, with strong cross-shore or strong cross-off wind. Not worth it.

But it comes back Monday 20th. Monday morning has a 10ft WSW swell, 16-second period, with a moderate offshore wind. Energy is 3908 and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Monday afternoon improves to 11ft with a gentle offshore and 4596 energy. Good return.

Tuesday 21st stays fun. Morning has an 8ft SW swell, 12 seconds, light cross-off and 2803 energy. Afternoon is 6ft but with a 16-second period – very long. Clean.

Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd sit in the 8ft to 10ft range, mostly cross-off winds with moderate to fresh breezes. Rideable but not perfect.

Friday 24th is another highlight. Friday morning has a 10ft SW swell, long 16-second period, gentle cross-off wind. Energy is 5002 and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon holds the same swell, still clean. That’s the second-week winner.

Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th fade a bit. Swell hangs around 7ft to 10ft, with Sunday afternoon bringing a 10ft W swell and a light offshore wind, clean conditions, and 3193 energy. A solid finish.

So the absolute best is Tuesday 14th morning – that’s the one. For the second week, Friday 24th morning is your call. The gap between the 19th and 20th is just a day, so it doesn’t go flat for long around here.

Stay safe.
– Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sun morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sat
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
4
0
5
6
6
6
!
9
7
5
4
3
4
4
4
5
4
4
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5.5
WSW
12
5.5
WSW
12
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
14
6
SW
16
6.5
SW
15
7
SW
15
5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7651
9059
9721
10989
16191
18601
21229
11439
8775
6044
4141
3320
2318
2717
2862
5401
4569
3181
2032
1200
1094
Wind (km/h)
45
W
45
W
45
W
40
WNW
40
WNW
45
W
35
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
15
W
20
W
20
W
15
WNW
15
NW
15
W
10
NNW
10
NNW
5
N
15
N
25
N
20
N
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
Low Tide
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
 mm
5
2
4
2
2
Temp °C
12
13
13
13
14
13
13
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
15
13
12
13
12
13
14
Feels °C
2
4
4
5
5
4
5
7
7
10
10
11
12
11
13
11
10
12
9
8
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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