
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 18,839 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 21s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that likes a good SSW swell, and it’s fairly consistent. It’s an advanced spot, and crowds are often a thing here, but for good reason.
The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 59°.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things kick off on Monday the 3rd of August. The afternoon sees a 8ft SW swell at 14 seconds, but a fresh 19 mph offshore wind is blowing. The combined energy is strong at 3194, but the conditions are a bit marginal. It’s a scruffy start.
Tuesday the 4th is similar – a bigger 12ft SW swell in the morning, but the wind is howling at 19 mph and the tide or something is just off. The energy is still strong at 3126, but it’s not quite dialed in.
Now, Wednesday the 5th is where we start to see some real magic. The morning brings a 6ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and a gentle 9 mph offshore wind from the W. The energy is a solid 1961, and the description says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is even better – 6ft with a 13-second period, a moderate 12 mph offshore, and the same excellent conditions. This is the first real standout of the window. Clean, lined up, and that point will be reeling.
Thursday the 6th is a bit mixed. The morning is clean but a cross-off wind, while the afternoon is a treat – a 4ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, a moderate offshore wind, and the conditions are excellent again. That long period will make the waves fat and juicy, perfect for the point.
Friday the 7th holds solid at 8ft SW with a 15-second period, but the wind is a light cross-off. It’s clean, but not as glassy. The energy is big at 3079. A good day, but not the best.
Then we hit a wall. Saturday the 8th is a write-off. Strong 22 mph onshore winds from the north make it a lumpy, messy day. Sunday the 9th brings a massive 16ft WSW swell, but it’s a short period 10 seconds, and the wind is a strong 28 mph offshore. It’s clean, but it’s a monster. The energy is huge at 5243, but this is only for experts who can handle a beating.
The absolute standout of the entire 16-day window is Monday the 10th of August. The morning shows a 18ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, a light 6 mph cross-off wind, and the combined energy is a colossal 15726. The forecast calls it exceptional for expert surfers. This is a once-in-a-blue-moon swell at Blacknose. The afternoon is even bigger at 20ft, but the wind goes cross, making it a bit more challenging. Still, the morning session on the 10th is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but the potential is off the charts.
Tuesday the 11th is still massive, with 16ft to 20ft swells, but the wind is fresh and cross-shore, so it’s lumpy. Wednesday the 12th is the biggest of the whole run – a 23ft SW swell with an 18-second period and a near-gale 31 mph offshore wind. The energy is 27604. It’s simply too big for this break, even for experts. That’s a “don’t even think about it” day.
The end of the week and into the second week sees a slow drop in size. The 13th, 14th, and 15th are all in the 15ft to 18ft range, with fresh offshore winds, but the energy is still high. It’s big, powerful, and clean, but only for the very experienced.
Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are a nice, more manageable size, with 7ft to 10ft SW swells at 15-16 seconds, and moderate offshore winds. The energy is still healthy. The whole run from the 5th to the 18th shows consistent, good quality surf, but the 10th of August is the true standout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, near gales from the N by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2096 | 2171 | 2915 | 1998 | 1103 | 1426 | 1102 | 560 | 1356 | 793 | 1568 | 2593 | 2326 | 2913 | 3039 | 2601 | 1881 | 5243 | 5797 | 7468 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | 2:52PM0.82m | 4:32AM0.85m | 2:29PM0.81m | 5:43AM0.83m | 1:39PM0.84m | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | 9:26AM0.52m | 9:33PM0.29m | 9:47AM0.65m | 9:47PM0.25m | 9:32AM0.78m | 10:05PM0.24m | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | |||||||||
— | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 22 | SW 18 |
2096 | 1069 | 211 | 335 | 1103 | 1426 | 1102 | 504 | 1356 | 793 | 1568 | 2593 | 2326 | 2913 | 3039 | 2601 | 1881 | — | 171 | 3193 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | S 8 | SW 19 | SW 6 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SE 6 | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — |
— | 316 | — | — | 416 | 535 | 470 | 560 | 33 | 293 | 88 | 455 | 758 | 21 | — | — | 374 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SW 19 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 67 | 13 | 21 | 513 | 31 | 38 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | — | — | W 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | SE 6 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
1098 | 2171 | 2915 | 1998 | — | — | 9 | 2 | 7 | 294 | — | — | — | 34 | 18 | 127 | 142 | 5243 | 5797 | 7468 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 204 | 182 | 204 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 125 | 206 | 393 | 712 | 712 | 691 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











