Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.8°C
1.4° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,269 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 14th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 17th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 15th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

We've got a solid run of surf on the way, but you've got to pick your moments. The water temp is sitting at 59° which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, nothing crazy but nice for a session.

The real standout action kicks off on Wednesday, September 16th. The afternoon is looking prime with a 15ft swell out of the SSW and a 15-second period – that's pure, long-period groundswell bringing some serious energy (11,391). Couple that with a clean cross-off breeze, and you've got some beautifully shaped, powerful lines peeling down the point. This is the best on offer, hands down.

Up until then, Monday the 14th is a bit of a non-starter with small 4ft swell and average conditions. Tuesday the 15th is for experts only – you're looking at a pumping 15ft SW swell, but the wind is a fresh 25 mph offshore in the morning, which will hold it together. It's big, powerful, and for the experienced crew.

Thursday the 17th is another highlight. Morning has a 10ft SW swell with a gentle 9 mph offshore wind – clean, glassy conditions with a nice grind to the waves. The combined energy is strong (3,463). You'll find some excellent, makeable walls. It's a touch big for beginners, but a decent intermediate could get amongst it.

From the 18th and into the weekend, the swell drops back a bit. You get clean 6ft to 8ft surf, but the period stays long. Watch out for Saturday the 19th – the wind goes cross-shore, so that moderate chop will make it a bit lumpy.

The following Monday, September 21st, has another excellent pulse for experienced surfers. The afternoon sees an 12ft SW groundswell with 14-second period and a gentle offshore – that's going to be special, with plenty of energy (4,014) and clean, walling faces.

Looking deeper into the window, the week of the 23rd to the 25th is mixed. Keep an eye on Friday, September 25th. The forecast is showing a return of solid 13ft SW swell, with a very long 16-second period. The afternoon is looking exceptional for experts, with a moderate offshore breeze cleaning up those big lines. That's the second major standout and a real possible gem, but it's over a week away so keep your fingers crossed.

Beyond that, from the 26th onward, the swell hangs around at 8ft to 15ft, but the wind picks up from the SSE and S, blowing cross-off and making it harder to find that perfect, clean face. Still some waves around for the keen, but nothing to write home about.

All in all, the 16th and the 25th of September are your dates to circle. The 21st is a solid backup for the advanced crew. There are a few gaps with average conditions, but the good stuff is worth waiting for.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SSW by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning).

Mon
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
4
4
6
8
7
4
5
3
3
2
2
2
4
0
0
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
13
2.2
WSW
12
4.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.5
WSW
13
2.5
WSW
13
1.8
WSW
12
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
3
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
424
1388
6455
7629
7664
8139
7838
5767
3463
2694
2734
1799
3269
2717
2197
2402
933
933
1162
2817
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
30
SW
35
SW
35
SW
25
S
20
S
20
SSW
10
SSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
NW
25
NW
25
WNW
25
NW
20
NNW
15
WNW
25
N
40
WNW
35
WNW
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
1:46PM0.82m
4:16AM0.89m
1:31PM0.80m
5:02AM0.81m
Low Tide
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
9:16AM0.64m
8:50PM0.17m
9:27AM0.70m
9:03PM0.21m
9:03AM0.75m
9:05PM0.27m
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
6:25
6:27
 mm
1
Temp °C
15
12
11
11
11
11
10
9
10
10
9
18
19
15
23
23
20
15
15
14
Feels °C
10
7
2
3
3
6
5
5
7
6
6
12
13
9
18
18
16
7
8
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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