
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 11,775 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Blacknose Point.
We’ve got a serious stretch of swell on the way, but it’s not going to be a simple, clean ride the whole time. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 59° off the anomaly, which is a nice little bonus.
The first real action kicks off Friday morning, July 24th. We’re looking at a solid 16ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period. That’s a lot of energy – 11140 (combined energy) – and it’s pushing in from the direction Blacknose is made for. The wind is offshore out of the west at 19 mph, which will keep things clean. This is for experienced surfers only; that size is no joke. The wind picks up a bit in the afternoon but stays cross-off, and the swell drops slightly to 15ft from the SW. The real standout here is that Friday morning session. It’s the biggest, cleanest start to the run.
Saturday morning, July 25th, is still pumping with 13ft SW swell at 13 seconds, and the wind is offshore again. A solid, powerful wave. The afternoon sees a drop to 12ft, and it’s still offshore. By Sunday, July 26th, the swell comes down to a more manageable 8ft with a 11-second period, but the wind is still offshore. It’s a good window for experienced surfers who want a slightly less intense session.
Then things get messy. Monday and Tuesday, July 27th and 28th, see the wind swing around to the NNW and then W, creating cross-shore and strong offshore conditions. The Tuesday morning gets a 13ft WSW swell, but that 25 mph wind makes it a battle. The strong offshore wind on Tuesday afternoon with 16ft swell will be clean but hard to paddle into – a real grunt session.
The next true standout is Wednesday, July 29th. The wind shifts to the SSW at 12 mph, giving us a clean cross-off, and a 15ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period rolls in. That’s 8177 (combined energy) of proper, lined-up groundswell at a point break. This is where the long period really shines. It’s a serious option for experienced surfers.
The rest of the week into early August is a mixed bag of smaller, cleaner swells in the 7ft to 8ft range, with mostly light winds. The real monster to keep an eye on is Monday, August 3rd in the afternoon. We’ve got a 12ft SW swell with a 18-second period (8631 combined energy), and gentle offshore wind. That is exceptional, expert-level surf. It’s a week and a half away, so it’s a promising but less certain call, but if it lines up, it’s the best on offer.
Another big one pops up on Thursday, August 6th. A 15ft SSW groundswell with a 17-second period and 10874 (combined energy) is on the charts. The wind is cross-off from the NW at 12 mph. Another massive, long-period groundswell that will be a dream for experienced surfers at this point.
After that, the energy fades. The last few days into August 8th drop to 5ft to 5ft SW swell with a messy cross-shore wind, making for poor surf. A solid run overall, but you need to be on your game for the size.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue morning, light winds from the W by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11140 | 8224 | 5899 | 5037 | 3184 | 2143 | 1428 | 1246 | 1317 | 1256 | 878 | 1537 | 4768 | 6167 | 11750 | 8177 | 5602 | 2830 | 1857 | 1450 | 1448 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:53PM0.91m | 12:21PM0.97m | 12:23PM1.04m | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:50PM0.35m | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | ||||||||||||
7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
11140 | 8224 | — | 4152 | 3184 | 2143 | 1428 | 1246 | 1317 | 1256 | 878 | 1319 | 834 | 432 | 11750 | 8177 | 5602 | 2830 | 1857 | 1450 | 1448 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SW 14 | NE 5 | W 19 | — | — | — | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 |
— | — | — | — | 12 | 132 | 106 | 74 | 31 | 16 | 418 | 1 | 30 | — | — | — | 305 | 246 | 203 | 132 | 53 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 9 | — | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 26 | SSW 24 | SSW 22 |
— | — | — | — | 12 | — | 42 | 68 | 44 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 55 | 183 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 5899 | 5037 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 14 | 1537 | 4768 | 6167 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 204 | 182 | 221 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 75 | 206 | 748 | 558 | 221 | 182 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










