Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Issued: 3 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.8° C

1.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 17,868 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 3rd Jul)20ft (6.0m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 3rd Jul)20ft (6.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 3rd Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

IMPERIAL VERSION

Alright, listen up crew. Rusty here with the long-range look at Blacknose Point. We’ve got a proper, solid run of surf on the cards, but it’s not for the faint of heart. The water’s sitting at a balmy 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a spring suit for the core session if the sun’s out.

The opening act kicks off on Friday morning, the 3rd of July. It’s gonna be a beast of a day. We’re talking a massive 20ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period. The combined wave energy is a staggering 17868 (very strong), meaning there’s a hell of a lot of power in the water. The wind is howling out of the SW at 25 mph though, keeping it strong offshore and clean, but it’s going to be a mission to paddle into. The sets are going to be shifty and powerful. Friday afternoon cleans up nicely. The wind drops to a fresh 19 mph out of the WSW, still offshore, and the swell holds at 20ft. The energy jumps to 28832, which is insane. This is only for the absolute top-tier experts. If you’re not solid as a rock, sit this one on the cliff.

Saturday the 4th sees the swell ease to a more manageable 12ft from the SW with a 13-second period. It’s clean with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. This is a much more doable day for experienced surfers, still packing a punch with moderate energy (3844).

Now, here’s the standout for the typical goofy-footer or backhand specialist. Sunday the 5th is the pick of the first week. The morning session sees a 15ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. This is a proper point-swell direction (SSW is optimum for this spot), and the energy is pumping at 12169. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore out of the ESE at 12 mph, so it’ll be a little choppy, but the raw power and shape of that long-period groundswell will make up for it. This is the one to bend your knees for.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are cleaner but smaller, with 8ft and 6ft SW swells respectively. Tuesday is glassy clean with a gentle offshore flow, making for some beautiful, if smaller, point waves.

The second week has a few more interesting windows. Wednesday the 8th bumps back up to an 12ft SW swell from an 18-second period, but it’s cross-shore. We then get a magic window on Friday the 10th. The afternoon goes glassy with a 7ft SW swell. That’s a gorgeous, clean, playful size for Blacknose.

The next real standout is Sunday the 12th of July. The afternoon sees a 15ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind goes light and cross-offshore. The energy is strong at 7915. This will be a world-class session for the expert crew. Then, Tuesday the 14th delivers another solid pulse: a 13ft to 16ft SW swell with a very long 17 to 18-second period, combined with clean offshore winds. That’s a proper, heavy, barrel-seeking day for the dedicated locals.

The run then tails off into the middle of the month with smaller but still fun 8ft to 6ft swells. Friday the 17th afternoon offers one last clean window with a 6ft SSW swell and light cross-offshore wind for a few late laps.

Overall, there’s almost no gap in the action. This place is firing for two straight weeks. It’s a consistent, exposed point that will be working hard. Just be aware, with that kind of consistent swell and optimum direction, the crowds are likely to be a factor at Blacknose Point. Get out there early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
7
!
5
3
4
7
6
0
2
2
2
2
4
4
2
4
4
3
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
SW
16
6
WSW
15
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
2
SW
15
3.5
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
17868
16389
5922
3844
3912
10481
12169
8809
5431
2570
1674
936
1571
1452
1692
6548
5466
3745
2119
2027
3001
Wind (km/h)
40
SW
30
WSW
20
WSW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
SSE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ENE
15
NNE
15
N
15
N
15
NW
15
WSW
20
SSE
15
SE
15
SSE
10
SE
10
SSE
10
SE
5
E
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
on
High Tide
2:39PM1.16m
1:37AM0.64m
3:03PM1.11m
2:18AM0.68m
3:24PM1.04m
3:03AM0.71m
3:42PM0.96m
3:55AM0.74m
3:50PM0.88m
5:03AM0.76m
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
Low Tide
9:44PM0.53m
7:36AM0.28m
9:55PM0.52m
8:13AM0.33m
10:08PM0.50m
8:50AM0.40m
10:23PM0.48m
9:27AM0.51m
10:39PM0.45m
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
11
11
11
12
11
10
12
13
12
12
12
12
11
11
10
11
11
11
Feels °C
3
4
7
6
6
6
7
6
7
7
9
8
8
9
9
7
7
6
8
8
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
WSW
15
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
2
SW
15
3.5
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
16389
5922
3844
3912
10481
12169
8809
5431
2570
1674
936
1571
1452
1692
6548
5466
3745
2119
2027
3001
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSW
14
0.5
E
6
0.6
SW
18
0.7
S
10
0.5
S
10
1.3
SSW
20
0.6
S
8
1
SW
18
Energy kJ
572
19
258
94
46
1374
41
628
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
18
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SSW
9
0.5
SW
20
Energy kJ
258
23
26
192
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
SW
16
5.5
SW
15
0.6
E
6
0.4
ENE
6
0.7
NW
4
0.6
NW
5
0.7
NW
4
0.6
WNW
3
0.6
W
4
Energy kJ
17868
12443
27
11
18
18
17
8
12
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
5
5
4
8
9
8
3
4
3
3
4
4
5
4
7
3
4
2
4
Distance (km)
509
235
0
221
221
214
160
214
22
7
7
7
0
0
123
22
92
22
67
22
7
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
5
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
5
5
8
9
9
7
4
4
9
8
6
8
9
7
6
5
5
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
5
6
5
9
7
5
8
9
8
6
8
9
6
9
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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