Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,637 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break down what Blacknose Point is looking like over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a quiet start with nothing really going on, so the first few days are a write-off. It starts to pick up a bit on Sunday afternoon, but it’s not worth getting wet for. The first proper sniff of decent surf comes on Monday, but it’s still not the main event.
The clear winner is from Wednesday, August 12th, through to the following weekend. The swell really kicks in, with combined wave energy readings hitting the 8000s – that’s a whole lot of power. We’re talking solid 10ft to 13ft SW groundswell, with a long period of 15-18 seconds. For a point break like Blacknose Point, that long-period groundswell is perfect, giving you proper, well-shaped waves. The wind goes offshore and stays light to moderate, so the faces will be clean. This is big, powerful stuff, so advanced surfers only. Anything over 8ft is for the experienced crew, and this is well above that.
The first week is definitely the best. But keep an eye on the forecast for August 23rd and 24th. There’s another pulse of clean, 10ft SW swell with light winds showing. That’s over two weeks out, so it’s a long-range call, but it’s got potential for another quality session.
Water temp is about 59°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
So, for the advanced surfers, get on Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th of August. That’s your ticket. It’s a point break, so expect longer breaks between sets, but the paddle out should be easier. It can get a bit busy there, so be ready for that.
After that, the surf quality takes a hit with onshore winds and smaller swell making everything lumpy and choppy. There’s a decent little window on August 21st with clean 7ft to 7ft SW swell, but it’s not the heavy stuff from the first window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 4804 | 4112 | 4791 | 2594 | 1528 | 3543 | 7595 | 8197 | 9637 | 6554 | 6324 | 6769 | 6554 | 6080 | 5050 | 4455 | 3725 | 3025 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | ||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — |
mm | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 4804 | 4112 | 4791 | 2594 | 1528 | 3543 | 7595 | 8197 | 9637 | 6554 | 6324 | 6769 | 6554 | 6080 | 5050 | 4455 | 3725 | 3025 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | SSE 6 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | W 10 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 |
| kJ | 155 | 546 | 1058 | — | — | 25 | 200 | 817 | 585 | 474 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 124 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | E 6 | — | — | — | — | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 23 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 14 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NE 4 | — | SW 6 | SW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | W 10 | — | WNW 9 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 36 | 26 | — | 224 | 658 | — | — | 143 | 843 | — | 140 | 7588 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 67 | 0 | 125 | 509 | 7 | 73 | 195 | 558 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 182 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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