Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,101 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, mate, Rusty here again. We’ve got one spot that’s got our full attention for the next couple of weeks: Blacknose Point. It’s a point break, so you’re looking at those long, wrapping lines, and it’s fairly consistent, so we’ve got plenty to talk about.
The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is just about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We start off a bit average. Friday the 21st is on the cards with a solid 10ft swell from the WSW, and a massive combined energy of 8206, but it’s a bit of a grumpy session. The wind is a cross-off at 16 mph, so it’s not flat, but it’s not the cleanest either. We’ll wait.
Now, Saturday the 22nd is where it gets proper. We’ve got a 13ft swell from the SW, and the energy is sitting at a thumping 7248. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 16 mph in the morning, dropping to 12 mph in the arvo. This is top-tier stuff, but let’s be real – 13ft is big. This is for experienced surfers only. The crowd factor is “often” here, so expect a few locals out.
Sunday the 23rd sees the swell drop to 10ft from the SW, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW, so it gets a bit lumpy. Not the best.
Monday the 24th is dropping off further, with 8ft to 7ft, and the wind is light and cross-shore. Just fair.
Now, pay attention to Tuesday the 25th morning. The swell is 8ft from the SW, and we get glassy conditions. A 3 mph breeze from the NW, the ocean is like a mirror. The energy is 3386, so there’s plenty of grunt. This is the standout session for the week – clean, powerful, and all yours if you’re quick.
After that, the wind picks up from the SSW and stays cross-off through Wednesday the 26th, with swell dropping to 8ft. Still rideable, but not as good.
Thursday the 27th is a write-off with onshore wind and very little swell.
Friday the 28th brings a big 10ft swell from the SW with a long 17-second period, but the wind is a strong cross-on from the north at 19 mph. It’s going to be messy and lumpy. That’s a pass.
We get a bit of a clean-up on Monday the 1st of September. Tuesday the 1st is looking promising, with a 10ft swell from the SW and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Very light wind, clean faces. This is another standout for the experts. The energy is 3778, so it’s got plenty of push.
The last real highlight is Wednesday the 3rd of September, but the period has dropped to 8 seconds, so it’s short and crumbly. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the waves won’t have that same grunt.
Overall, the two absolute standouts are Saturday the 22nd of August and the morning of Tuesday the 25th of August. Both have excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The rest of the period is either average or too windy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the NW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4296 | 3242 | 7301 | 7161 | 7079 | 5493 | 3355 | 2356 | 2840 | 2004 | 1607 | 2002 | 2532 | 2703 | 3009 | 1915 | 1697 | 1065 | 361 | 1235 | 5642 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | |||||||||||
7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
— | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 18 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 |
3813 | 891 | — | 7161 | 7079 | 5493 | 3355 | 2356 | 2840 | 2004 | 1607 | 2002 | 2532 | 2703 | 3009 | 1915 | 1697 | 1065 | 361 | 1050 | 5642 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 11 | SW 20 | — |
97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 552 | 1336 | 1271 | 512 | 15 | 60 | 157 | 854 | 669 | — | 51 | 386 | 127 | 222 | 1235 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | SW 24 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 157 | — | 23 | 350 | 224 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4296 | 3242 | 7301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 182 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 53 | 182 | 304 | 221 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











