Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking like a solid run for Blacknose Point, with some absolute bangers in the mix, but you've got to pick your moments. We’re looking at a run of solid, long-period SW groundswell, and the key is catching those windows when the offshore wind is on.

First up, the opening weekend is a goer. Friday the 28th morning is kicking things off with a clean 10ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is pumping at (5160), and we’ve got gentle offshore wind from the WSW. This is excellent, but this size and power is for the experienced crew only. That long period groundswell will wrap beautifully around the point, but it can make things a bit straight at beach breaks, so the point here is the spot.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are a touch smaller, dropping to a still chunky 8ft to 8ft from the SW, with periods settling at a long 13 seconds. The wind stays light offshore from the WSW, keeping the surface glassy. It’s a step down in intensity but still excellent, clean, and powerful surf for those who know what they’re doing.

Monday the 31st is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning has a cross-shore wind that will put a few ripples on it, but the afternoon cleans right up. You’ve got 10ft SW swell with a 17-second period again, and the energy is massive at (5853). That afternoon window with near-calm winds is the one to aim for.

Now, things get a bit tricky from Tuesday the 1st through Thursday the 3rd of September. The swell stays solid—between 7ft and 12ft—but the wind turns onshore or strong cross-off, making conditions lumpy or just messy. The Tuesday morning especially is a write-off with a 30 km/h cross-shore. I’d give those days a miss unless you’re desperate for a beating.

The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Friday the 4th of September. The swell is predicted to pump up to a massive 20ft from the WSW. The combined energy readings are off the charts at (25294) for the morning. This is a big, heavy, expert-only day. The wind is a cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but this is not a day to be casual. Even the afternoon, though dropping slightly, is still a monstrous 20ft. This is one for the big-wave crew and no one else.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th of September continue the theme of big surf, with 13ft to 16ft SW swells and strong offshore winds. It’s clean, but the paddle-out will be a mission and the power is immense. The Sunday morning gets a bit wild with near-gale force winds, so that session is a hard pass.

We get a bit of a breather from Monday the 7th through Wednesday the 9th, with the swell dropping to a more manageable 6ft to 10ft. The winds are moderate and mostly cross-off, so it’s rideable but not as pristine as the opening days.

The end of the run, Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th of September, looks promising. Thursday has clean, gentle offshore winds with a 7ft to 8ft SW swell and a long 16-second period. The energy is strong at (5017) in the afternoon. Then Friday the 11th looks like another huge day, with a 16ft to 18ft WSW swell and a very long 19-second period. The energy readings are astronomical at (21784) for the afternoon, with clean offshore wind. Again, this is a big, dangerous, expert-only swell. The morning of the 12th gets trashed by a strong cross-shore, so the run finishes on a bit of a down note.

To sum it up: the best bets for the experienced surfer are the opening weekend (28th-30th Aug), the Monday afternoon (31st Aug), and the clean windows around the huge swells on the 4th and 11th of September. This is not a beginner's forecast.

Rusty.

Read more