
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 21,780 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s get into it.
Alright, we’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Blacknose Point, and it’s a proper point break so it handles the bigger swells real well. Water temp’s sitting at 58.1°F, which is about 1.8°F warmer than average for this time of year – nothing crazy, but it’s a touch on the mild side.
The first of the action kicks off this Saturday morning, the 5th of September. There’s a big 9.8ft SW groundswell running with a 15-second period, so it’s got some serious energy (5169 – that’s moderate to strong). The wind’s a cross-off from the WNW at 28 mph though, so it’ll be blown out a bit – the surf’s there but the quality’s a bit marginal. By Saturday afternoon the swell jumps to 14.8ft from the WSW, but the period drops to 10 seconds and the wind is still strong cross-off. It’s big and messy – honestly, this one’s for the experienced crew only.
Sunday the 6th is a step up. Morning sees 11.5ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and a lighter W cross-off at 9 mph. The energy’s still strong (4529), and the wind’s manageable. The afternoon is the real standout though: 9.8ft WSW, 13-second period, and the wind swings offshore from the W at 12 mph. That’s clean, lined-up waves for experienced surfers. This is the best session on offer for the first week.
Monday the 7th drops to 7.5ft SW, 13-second period, with a S cross-off. It’s clean but not as punchy. Tuesday the 8th morning has a 6.2ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period – that’s a real long-period groundswell, and at a point break like this, it’ll set up beautifully. Light W cross-off at 6 mph, it’s clean and glassy. The afternoon kicks back up to 9.8ft SW at 16 seconds, with offshore WSW wind at 16 mph. That’s another excellent window for experienced surfers.
Now, the big one. Wednesday the 9th – the swell pumps to 14.8ft SW in the morning, 16-second period, strong energy (14819), and a SSW cross-off at 19 mph. It’s big, raw, and powerful. By afternoon it’s 18.0ft SSW with an 18-second period – that’s very long period, and the energy is massive (19831). This is solid, deep-water groundswell. The wind is a cross-off, so it’s not perfect, but for expert surfers, this is a serious session.
Thursday the 10th is the true standout. Morning: 18.0ft SSW, 17-second period, offshore SW wind at 12 mph. The energy is huge (17160), and the conditions are exceptional for expert surfers. The afternoon is a touch smaller at 16.4ft SSW, 16-second period, but still clean with a light SW cross-off. This is the best of the whole forecast – big, clean, and powerful. If you’re an expert, this is your day.
Friday the 11th morning drops to 11.5ft SSW, 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy from the SSW at 3 mph. That’s absolutely perfect conditions – clean, smooth, and the point break will handle the long-period swell beautifully. Afternoon is a bit cross-shore, still 11.5ft but not as clean.
From Saturday the 12th through to the 14th, things get messy. Swell holds around 7.9ft to 9.8ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality drops off. The 14th afternoon sees a drop to 5.2ft WSW with a 12-second period, but the wind goes offshore from the WSW at 16 mph, and the energy is low (869). It’s small but clean – a good little session for a longboard.
The second week gets interesting again. Tuesday the 15th – 9.8ft WSW, 9-second period, strong offshore SW wind at 22 mph. It’s short-period swell, a bit choppy, but the wind is fresh. The 16th holds 11.5ft SW with 13-16 seconds, and the wind is cross-off – solid but not a standout.
Thursday the 17th – morning has 14.8ft SW, 17-second period, huge energy (10365), but the wind is onshore from the ENE. That’s a lot of swell with junk wind – keep an eye on it, but it’s a long-range call. The afternoon is cross-on, so it’s not ideal.
Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th – the swell drops to
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the ESE by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3971 | 3773 | 4401 | 4258 | 2919 | 1522 | 1645 | 1475 | 1655 | 2191 | 4456 | 6791 | 10637 | 19831 | 21389 | 17160 | 11720 | 7540 | 5375 | 5301 | 6148 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | on |
High Tide | 12:59PM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | |||||||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | |
mm | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | WNW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
3971 | — | 798 | 4258 | 2919 | 1522 | 1645 | 1475 | 1655 | 1279 | 4456 | 6791 | 4182 | 19831 | 21389 | 17160 | 11720 | 7540 | 5375 | 5301 | 6148 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 19 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | SSW 26 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | — | — | — |
— | — | 61 | 153 | 64 | 9 | 118 | 338 | 1475 | 2191 | — | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 8 | W 17 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 118 | 277 | 21 | 162 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | — | — | WSW 5 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1198 | 3773 | 4401 | — | — | 37 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | 10637 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 709 | 702 | 411 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 422 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 841 | 1549 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










