Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got one break on the radar for this 16-day window, and it’s a big one. We’re talking about Blacknose Point, a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the SW swell. This is advanced territory, so don’t bring the learner boards.

The week kicks off with a serious pulse of energy. Monday the 13th is pumping, but it’s wild. We’re looking at a massive 20ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy is through the roof at 15,880. The wind is a strong cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but with that size and period, this is strictly for the crew who live for the big stuff. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real standout is Tuesday the 14th. The swell drops to 16ft, still a monster, but the wind swings offshore from the WSW, and it’s fresh. The energy is still massive at 11,072. By Tuesday afternoon, it cleans up even more with a moderate offshore breeze and 15ft SW swell. The comment says "exceptional surf for expert surfers," and that’s the truth. The wave quality is top-tier, and with that long period, the point will be holding lines like a dream. Crowds are often a factor here, so expect company.

Wednesday the 15th tapers off a bit, but we’re still looking at 12ft SW swell in the morning with offshore wind. The energy is moderate at 4,675. It’s excellent for experienced surfers, but the conditions are a notch down from Tuesday. The wind swings cross-off in the afternoon with 10ft waves.

Thursday the 16th is a sleeper. The swell is 12ft again, but the wind is a light cross-off, making for clean, easy paddling conditions. The energy is moderate at 5,007. It’s a good day for the experienced crew to get some without the madness of the earlier days.

From Friday the 17th through the weekend, the swell drops and the wind goes cross-shore. The energy drops too, into the 1,000s and under 1,000 by Sunday the 19th. The wave quality goes marginal, and by Sunday the 19th, it’s poor with a fresh cross-shore chop. Not worth the paddle.

There’s a gap of a few days with no real standouts, but then a new pulse shows up. Monday the 20th sees a smaller 4ft SW swell, but with a very long 16-second period and a light cross-off wind, it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 1,618. Then Tuesday the 21st has 8ft WSW swell with offshore wind, but the directions are shifting, and the energy is lower.

The next true highlight is the following week. Saturday the 25th of July. The swell is 8ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the W in the afternoon. The energy is strong at 4,259. The comment says "excellent surf for experienced surfers," and with that offshore wind and long period, Blacknose Point will be cooking. The only caveat is that long period groundswell can make beach breaks straight, but on a point, it’s pure magic.

After that, the swell stays sizeable into the 27th and 28th, but the wind gets messy with fresh cross-off breezes and shorter period. The energy is still moderate, but the quality drops.

The absolute best on offer is Tuesday the 14th. That’s the session you want to circle. The combination of massive, long-period SW swell and clean offshore wind is as good as it gets for an expert-level point break. The Saturday the 25th is a close second, promising but a little less certain this far out.

Stay safe out there, and respect the power.

Rusty

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