Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,407 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s. Another secondary swell of 1.7m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s get into what the ocean’s got cookin’ at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a slow start, so don’t be in a rush. Tuesday and Wednesday are flat-out messy – onshore and cross-shore winds are gonna have it all chopped up and lumpy. Not worth paddling out. Just gotta let it settle.
Things start to turn on Thursday the 20th. We get a clean 7ft swell in the morning, building to 8ft by the afternoon. Wind goes cross-offshore which cleans it all up. The energy’s starting to build, too, hitting 1866 in the morning and climbing to 2108 by the afternoon. Still not perfect, but it’s surfable.
Friday the 21st stays around 8ft with a solid 14-second period. It’s clean, but that cross-off breeze will keep you honest. The energy’s up – 3296 in the morning, 3566 in the afternoon. It’s promising, but the weekend is where the magic happens.
Now, Saturday the 22nd is the real standout of the first week. The swell pumps up to a solid 12ft with a long 16-second period from the SW. The wind is properly offshore in the morning, and the energy is going off at 5985. This is big, powerful, excellent surf for the experienced crew only. If you know your way around, this is your time. The afternoon backs off a touch, still clean at 12ft with a cross-off wind, and energy at 5812.
Sunday the 23rd is still meaty, dropping a bit to 10ft with a shorter 14-second period. But the wind goes more cross-shore, bringing some chop. Not as clean. Then we get a bit of a lull early in the week, with 8-8ft surf and average conditions.
The next big one is over a week away. On Thursday the 27th, the swell builds back up to 12ft with a 12-second period from the WSW. The afternoon looks like the pick with a cross-off breeze and energy at 4840. Then Friday the 28th morning – that’s the one to have a serious look at. We get that same 12ft SW swell, but with light offshore winds and a period stretching to a long 14 seconds. The energy is massive at 4896. This is going to be clean, powerful, and an absolute treat for the experts. It’s a long way out, so don’t quote me on it, but it’s shaping up to be the best of the lot.
After that, it starts to fade and get a bit messy again. The final weekend and into September sees the swell drop back down to 4-7ft. There are some clean windows there, and on September 1st and 2nd we get proper offshore winds with clean 4-5ft surf, but nothing with the power of those bigger swells.
Water temp is running about 58°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year. Not bad if you’re in a thin wetsuit.
So the plan is simple. The 22nd and the 28th morning are your standouts – big, clean and powerful. Not for the beginners. The rest is just about picking your moments.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 9 | W 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1033 | 803 | 686 | 505 | 479 | 736 | 1084 | 1786 | 1297 | 3108 | 2582 | 5926 | 5898 | 5588 | 4757 | 3005 | 1969 | 2717 | 2323 | 2385 | 2692 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:23PM0.92m | 3:34AM0.93m | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:56PM0.22m | 9:08AM0.55m | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | ||||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 13 |
1033 | 803 | 686 | 505 | 479 | 416 | 1084 | 322 | 1297 | 3108 | 2582 | 5926 | 5898 | 5588 | 4757 | 3005 | 1969 | 2717 | 2323 | 134 | 2692 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 13 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | — | SW 18 |
600 | 316 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 536 | — | — | 188 | 984 | — | 87 | 224 | 552 | 905 | 1225 | 962 | 71 | — | 252 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 9 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
31 | 15 | 2 | — | — | 159 | 246 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | N 4 | WNW 8 | W 9 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | WSW 13 | — |
13 | 8 | 22 | 36 | 176 | 736 | — | 1786 | 769 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 2385 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 67 | 67 | 67 | 377 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 196 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











