
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 14,792 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ straight at the charts for Blacknose Point. This is a point break, an advanced wave, and it’s fairly consistent, but it draws a crowd often. The water temp is sittin’ at 15°, just a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, which is nice.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, with the first few days lookin' pretty average. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a write-off. The wind is howlin' onshore, lumpy, and just ugly. The swell is there, but it’s not worth paddlin’ out for. The wave energy is moderate, but chop is killin’ it.
Then things change. Monday the 10th kicks in with a big, powerful, long-period SW groundswell. This is a serious step up. The combined energy on Monday morning is massive, like a freight train. The problem is the wind. The morning shifts cross-off with a strong breeze, which cleans it up, but the swell is 12 ft. That’s big, and it’s for experts only. The afternoon stays offshore, but the swell drops to 8 ft. Still a solid, heavy wave.
The real standout, the one you’d wait for, is Wednesday the 12th in the afternoon. We’re lookin’ at a 16 ft SW groundswell, comin’ in at a very long period of 17 seconds, with a fresh offshore wind. The combined energy is absolutely insane. This is a full-on, big-wave session. The problem is, the file itself says it’s too big for the break. This is for the brave, the tow-in guys, or those who know the reef’s channels perfectly. For the average punter, you’re just watchin’ from the cliffs.
Thursday the 13th is still big, with a 16 ft morning swell and offshore wind, and the energy is still huge. It drops a little through the day, but it’s still a beast.
The next great window is Friday the 14th. The morning has a 15 ft SW groundswell, a 16 second period, and a light offshore breeze. The wave energy is still very strong, and the conditions are described as exceptional for experts. This is cleaner, a bit more manageable than the peak of Wednesday, but still a serious wave. The afternoon holds the same quality.
Saturday the 15th is a treat. The swell drops to 12-10 ft, the wind goes light and cross-off from the SSW, and it’s clean. The energy is still strong, but it’s a much more user-friendly size for a strong intermediate to advanced surfer. The morning and afternoon are both excellent.
After that, from the 16th through the 20th, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The swell is still present, but the wind gets messy again, with onshore or cross-shore slop. The wave energy is moderate, but it’s not the clean, lined-up power of the previous week. You’ll find waves, but you’ll be workin’ for them.
The 21st of August has a pulse of 12 ft swell, but the wind is onshore. It’s a gamble. The last few days of the period, the 22nd and 23rd, look pretty poor again with choppy, cross-shore winds.
So, to wrap it up: this is a big-wave spot for big-wave people. The absolute best of the lot is the afternoon of Wednesday the 12th, if you’re a true charger. The cleanest, most surfable big wave day is Friday the 14th. For a slightly more forgiving but still powerful session, the morning of Saturday the 15th is your best bet. Don’t mess with the first few days or the very end of the run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun night, strong winds from the SW by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2506 | 2038 | 1836 | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 6918 | 3701 | 5262 | 2886 | 2325 | 3460 | 6049 | 13543 | 14792 | 11032 | 8915 | 8010 | 9985 | 7859 | 5757 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | |||||||||||
7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | |
mm | — | — | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
2506 | 2038 | 1836 | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 6786 | 3701 | 5262 | 2886 | 2325 | 3460 | 6049 | 8289 | 14792 | 11032 | 8915 | 8010 | 9985 | 7859 | 5757 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 49 | 155 | 479 | 1387 | — | — | — | 204 | 817 | — | 1081 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | SW 18 | WSW 8 | — | — | NNW 4 | W 10 | W 8 | SW 17 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | 33 | 48 | 38 | 34 | — | 6918 | 1259 | — | — | 26 | 1333 | 643 | 13543 | 11393 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 67 | 67 | 107 | 67 | 67 | 74 | 125 | 465 | 53 | 196 | 196 | 0 | 204 | 687 | 182 | 204 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











