Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blacknose Point.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming our way, but you gotta pick your moments. The first call is for the morning of Sunday the 6th. It’s not the biggest day of the stretch, but the conditions are dialed. We’re looking at a 12ft SW groundswell with a nice long 14-second period, and a gentle offshore wind keeping it clean. The combined wave energy is pumping hard at 7034, so there’s plenty of grunt. This is expert territory at that size, but the setup is about as good as it gets for a point break. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises.

The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Thursday the 10th. That morning, we’ve got an 18ft SSW groundswell packing a 17-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the SW. The combined energy is a massive 15636, and the forecast is calling it exceptional for experts. That’s the kind of day where the point will be running like a freight train, long lines, deep bowls. It’s big, over 8ft, so this is not one for the faint of heart or the learner crew. The afternoon stays just as good with a 15ft swell and clean offshore wind.

The run from the 6th to the 12th has a few windows. The 8th Tuesday afternoon is a beauty with a 10ft SW swell and offshore wind, period at 16 seconds and energy at 4230. The 12th Saturday afternoon goes glassy with an 8ft SW swell, but the wind is dead calm – that’s a rare treat for clean conditions, though the period is a long 15 seconds, so expect some lulls between sets.

Later in the week, the 15th Tuesday afternoon looks promising with a 10ft SW swell and a solid 16-second period, offshore wind, and energy of 4109. By the 16th Wednesday, we’ve got consistent 10ft SW swell with gentle offshore winds all day, energy just over 3300. That’s excellent, reliable surf.

Now, a heads up. After the 17th, the wind starts to howl. That Thursday and Friday see strong breezes, and the swell gets messy. The 19th Saturday afternoon gets a spike of 12ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period, but with 25 mph winds, it’s going to be a battle. This one is more for the kite crew than paddle surfers given the wind and size.

The big one to watch, but it’s a long way out, is the 21st Monday morning. The finder is showing a monster 20ft SW swell with a 22-second period – that’s an absolute beast, energy at 32140. The wind is offshore, moderate, but the file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Only the most experienced and crazy chargers would even look at it. That’s one for the legends, but I’d be cautious.

So, bottom line: your best bet is Thursday the 10th for the true standout. Tuesday the 8th afternoon and the 16th Wednesday are solid second picks. The long-range stuff on the 21st is promising but a wild card.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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