Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming our way for Blacknose Point, a classic point break that loves a good SW groundswell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there. Let's break it down.

We kick off on Thursday, August 27th, with a bit of a slow start. You’re looking at a 5ft WSW swell with a 14-second period – that’s a decent groundswell, but the cross-shore breeze has things a little messy. The combined energy is moderate (944), and it’s nothing to get too excited about. Thursday afternoon cleans up a bit with a 6ft swell and glassy conditions, but it’s still a "have a look" kind of day.

Now, Friday, August 28th, is where it starts to get serious. Friday morning, we’ve got a solid 10ft SW swell, period jumping to 17 seconds (very long period), and light offshore wind from the SW. That’s the makings of some powerful, clean lines, but the swell size is pushing into expert-only territory. The energy is strong (5160). Friday afternoon stays clean with 10ft and a 16-second period, but that offshore wind is gone. This is a standout period for experienced surfers.

Saturday, August 29th, and Sunday, August 30th, are both looking excellent. Swell settles a touch to 8-8ft from the SW, periods are a solid 12-14 seconds, and we’ve got consistent offshore winds (SW and WSW). The energy is moderate to strong (1643-2340). It’s clean, powerful, and this is the sweet spot for advanced surfers. The sandbanks will be doing their thing.

Monday, August 31st, is the next big standout. The swell jumps back up to 10-12ft with a 17-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s the most pristine, powerful window of the whole run for experts. The energy is very strong (6397). After that, Tuesday, September 1st gets blown out by a nasty 22 mph cross-shore, so that’s a write-off.

We then have a gap in quality from Wednesday, September 2nd through Thursday, September 3rd. The winds are howling (19-22 mph) making for a lumpy, messy ocean, despite the swell still being around 8-10ft. It’s a few days to sit out.

On Friday, September 4th, the swell explodes. We’re talking 18ft from the SW with a 15-second period. The energy is extreme (11289-12912). This is for expert chargers only, and even then the stiff cross-off wind means it’s going to be a battle. Kite surfers might be having more fun here than paddle surfers.

The next true standout is Saturday, September 5th. We’ve got a 15-13ft SW groundswell, but the real story is the light offshore wind from the WSW and SSW. The energy is still massive (7442-10298). This is exceptional for expert surfers, with clean, heaving walls. It’s the best offering before the swell gets too crazy.

Sunday, September 6th, is predicted to be too big. The swell hits 23-25ft with energy over 23000. This is not a day for paddle surfing at Blacknose Point. Even with offshore winds, it’s unsafe for anyone but the elite.

From Monday, September 7th through Wednesday, September 9th, we have exceptional surf for experts. The swell settles to 15-20ft, with 16-second periods and mostly offshore winds. The energy is very strong (10199-18817). This is a solid week of serious waves, but you need to know what you’re doing.

Thursday, September 10th, looks glassy again with 13ft swell, but Friday, September 11th has a cross-onshore wind spoiling the party. The swell sticks around, but the conditions fade.

Overall, the absolute best day for expert surfers looks like Monday, August 31st (glass-off) and Saturday, September 5th (offshore, big, but manageable). For the rest of us, Saturday, August 29th through Sunday August 30th is your clean, powerful window. Get it while you can.

Rusty.

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