Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 11,439 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks at Blacknose Point.
We’ve got a proper run of solid groundswell heading our way, but the early part of the week is a bit rough with the wind. The real standout is gonna be Tuesday the 22nd – we’ll get to that.
The water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 58°, so that's a nice little bonus.
Friday the 11th sees a 12ft SSW puff coming in, but with a light cross-onshore breeze it's going to be a bit bumpy. That’s not the day to get excited about. Saturday the 12th afternoon, though, that’s a beauty. The swell drops a touch to 8ft from the SW, and we get glassy conditions. Clean lines, real nice for the experienced crew.
Sunday is a write-off – strong winds out of the north are going to chop it right up. Monday the 14th starts clean early with a moderate offshore wind from W, but the swell is down to 4ft. Still, a clean 4ft wave can be a fun little session if you’re not fussy.
Now, Tuesday the 15th is a beast. A 15ft to 16ft SW swell rolls in, but with strong offshore winds, it is going to be clean as a whistle and absolutely heaving. That one is strictly for experts – over 8ft is big territory. The combined energy is massive, hitting 8023, so you’ll feel the power. Paddling out will be tough even with the offshore wind.
Wednesday the 16th afternoon is another cracker: 13ft SSW at 14 seconds, clean, with a gentle breeze. That’s exceptional, expert-level stuff. The energy is still huge at 6761.
Everything settles down a bit Thursday the 17th – a clean 10ft SSW swell, excellent for experienced surfers.
There’s a bit of a lull around Friday the 18th through Sunday the 20th, with some messy winds and smaller surf, but nothing to write home about.
Now, the real crown jewel. Tuesday the 22nd is absolutely firing. 15ft SW swell, 16-second period, *glassy* conditions in the morning, and the combined energy is screaming 9834. That is exceptional. Then the afternoon holds a 15ft SW swell with 15-second period, still clean, with a light breeze. Best on offer, no question.
Wednesday the 23rd stays strong, with 13ft SW, clean and offshore. Then we get a solid 15ft SSW pulse on Saturday the 26th afternoon – that’s a 14-second swell with a combined energy of 15944. That’s about as good as it gets for the big-wave crew. Clean, powerful, and consistent.
### The Gist:
Best window: Tuesday 22nd through to Saturday 26th. The top pick is Tuesday the 22nd with that glassy 15ft SW. Saturday the 26th afternoon runs it close.
Stay safe out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4936 | 6609 | 5958 | 4024 | 3351 | 2457 | 2002 | 1581 | 965 | 562 | 424 | 540 | 8023 | 9044 | 8168 | 7042 | 6761 | 5359 | 2931 | 2991 | 5281 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 4936 | 6609 | 5958 | 4024 | 3351 | 2457 | 2002 | 1581 | 965 | 562 | 424 | 238 | — | — | 8168 | 7042 | 6761 | 5359 | 2931 | 2991 | 5281 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | SW 21 | S 10 | SW 18 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | — | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 2406 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 18 | 30 | 114 | 206 | — | — | — | 3339 | — | 3369 | — | — | 1880 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 67 | 18 | 60 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | W 3 | W 5 | WSW 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 540 | 8023 | 9044 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 214 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 67 | 74 | 7 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 561 | 561 | 426 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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