Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into this one. We’ve only got one spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and it’s a solid one.

The outlook kicks off with a bit of a wait, but from Sunday the 26th of July, we’ve got a window of quality surf at Blacknose Point. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent and favours a SSW swell direction, which is exactly what we’re seeing. The water temp is sitting at 59°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but a nice little bonus.

Sunday morning kicks things off with a 8ft SW groundswell, period sitting at 11 seconds, and a clean, gentle offshore breeze from the west. The combined energy is pumping at 1447 (moderate), and the conditions are set for experienced surfers to have a real good time. That afternoon holds up too, with 7ft SW swell, still offshore, and clean lines. This is the standout of the whole run – the wind is light and offshore, the swell is solid, and it’s breaking clean over the point. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

Monday the 27th sees a cross-shore wind kick up, making things a bit messy. The swell is still there at 8ft, but the wind from the NNW at 15 mph is not doing any favours. Tuesday gets a bit better with a cross-offshore breeze, but the wind is strong – 19 to 25 mph – and the swell jumps to 8ft with a 15-second period. The energy is huge (5132), but it’s a raw, powerful day that’s only for the well-prepared.

Then things get real. Wednesday the 29th morning shows a massive 20ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is off the charts at 28553. The wind is cross-offshore, but the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break – this is expert-only, and even then, it’s a big call. Wednesday afternoon drops to 15ft with a lighter offshore wind, and the energy is still massive (7897). This is described as exceptional for experts, so if you’ve got the skills and the nerve, that afternoon session could be one for the books.

Thursday the 30th settles back to a much more manageable 8ft SW swell, with a light offshore in the morning and clean conditions all day. This is another excellent window for experienced surfers, and the energy is back to a moderate 2449. Friday the 31st is a mixed bag – morning has a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon swings back to a light offshore with 6ft SW swell and a 12-second period, clean and fun.

The first week of August starts with a bit of wind trouble. Saturday the 1st has a cross-shore in the morning, but the afternoon cleans up with a cross-offshore breeze and 8ft SW swell. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are blown out by strong cross-onshore winds – not worth paddling out. Tuesday the 4th brings a return of cleaner conditions, with a 16ft WSW swell in the morning (cross-offshore) and a 13ft SW swell in the afternoon with a solid offshore breeze. The energy is strong (6752 and 4469), and this is for experienced surfers only.

The real gem in the second week is Wednesday the 5th of August. Morning has a 7ft SSW swell with a 18-second period – very long period groundswell – and a light offshore wind. The energy is strong at 4409. That afternoon is similar, with 8ft SSW swell and a gentle offshore. This is a standout for the second week: clean, lined-up, and with that long period, the point break will be handling it beautifully. Get on it.

The rest of the run turns inconsistent. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th have bigger swell (10ft to 12ft) but cross-shore or cross-offshore winds, making it less ideal. Saturday the 8th is messy with lumpy cross-shore winds. Sunday the 9th has a small 4ft SW swell but a 20-second period, and the afternoon turns clean with a moderate offshore – could be a sneaky session for the patient. The final days, Monday the 10th and beyond, are windy and mixed, with a 7ft SW swell and a very long 23-second period in the afternoon, but the wind is strong.

Best on offer: Sunday morning the 26th of July for that clean, offshore, 8ft SW groundswell. And for the second week, Wednesday the 5th of August – light winds, long-period SSW swell, and the point will be glassy. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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