Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 12,881 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at what we’ve got coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. It’s a real mixed bag, but there are some moments that’ll have you frothing.
First up, we’ve got a solid run of swell on the way. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a little more comfortable than usual.
The standout is Blacknose Point. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent and it’s geared for advanced surfers, and it gets a lot of juice from the southwest. The real magic starts to build on Wednesday the 23rd of July. Thursday morning the 24th is the absolute peak, with a massive 15ft swell from the southwest, and the combined energy is pumping at a massive 8233. That’s serious power. The wind is a cross-off, keeping it clean, but that size is for experts only. It’s a groundswell with a 14-second period, so it’s got proper shape and energy, but it’s raw.
Before that, we have a nice window. Friday afternoon the 17th is a beauty – 10ft of southwest swell with a 16-second period, and the water is a touch warmer than normal. It’s clean with a cross-off breeze, and the combined energy is a solid 3834. That’s a great session for the experienced crew.
The 23rd of July also has a serious pulse. Wednesday morning is a 12ft swell from the southwest, with a gentle offshore wind and a combined energy of 5020. That’s another day for the hardcore. The afternoon gets a bit messier with a stronger cross-off, but still big.
Things stay big right through the end of the month. The 28th of July has a 12ft swell from the southwest with a 16-second period, but the winds are fresh and gusty, making it a bit of a battle. The energy is still huge at 6515, but it’s not as clean as the earlier days.
The first week of August is a write-off. The 1st of August has a 8ft swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and poor. Not worth a paddle.
So, the best of the best is clearly Thursday the 24th of July for the biggest, most powerful swell, but the cleanest session for the highly skilled is Wednesday morning the 23rd. The Friday afternoon the 17th is a solid warm-up.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3827 | 2509 | 1762 | 1479 | 799 | 517 | 452 | 511 | 611 | 1145 | 1127 | 2067 | 1756 | 1499 | 533 | 2071 | 5118 | 5020 | 5520 | 9447 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | 2:54PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.83m | 3:05PM0.97m | 3:52AM0.85m | 3:14PM0.94m | 4:50AM0.84m | 3:16PM0.92m | 6:10AM0.83m | 2:59PM0.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | 8:15AM0.35m | 9:18PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.44m | 9:40PM0.38m | 9:20AM0.55m | 10:07PM0.34m | 9:46AM0.67m | 10:37PM0.32m | 9:59AM0.78m | 11:11PM0.33m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 3827 | 2509 | 1762 | 1479 | 799 | 517 | 452 | 496 | 403 | 1145 | 1127 | 2067 | 1756 | 1499 | 533 | — | 5118 | 5020 | 5520 | 9447 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 10 | — | S 16 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | — | 21 | 186 | 247 | 198 | 511 | 611 | 17 | 17 | 7 | — | 75 | — | — | — | — | 2336 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 21 | 43 | 136 | 260 | 106 | 50 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | WNW 6 | W 7 | SW 13 | — | — | W 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | — | — | 3 | — | 148 | 239 | 2071 | — | — | 74 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 411 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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