Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.5° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 15,831 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Blacknose Point. It’s a point break that’s fairly consistent and mostly for the advanced crew, and it’s a solid spot when the stars align.

The water’s sitting at 60° which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner wettie.

We’ve got a monster of a swell rolling in, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The first real standout is Monday afternoon, July 13th. There’s a massive 20ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period and a whopping 18226 combined energy. The wind is a strong cross-off from the west, so while it’s clean, it’s going to be a beast. This is big, powerful, and only for the experts – and even then, you’ll want to be on your A-game. The long period means the waves will be lined up and powerful, but that big, clean face is a sight to behold.

Tuesday, July 14th, is your best bet for the best all-round conditions. Tuesday morning sees a 16ft SW swell, still a very long 15-second period, with 11723 energy. The wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW, making for clean, well-shaped waves. It’s still big, but that offshore wind will make it a lot more manageable for the experienced. You’ll be getting long, grinding walls. Crowds are possible here, as it’s a spot that gets busy, but on a day like this, it’s worth fighting for a spot.

The swell drops off a bit from Wednesday, July 15th, into the weekend, with Thursday, July 16th, offering a great window. Thursday morning has a 12ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon with a slight offshore in the morning. That’s about as clean as it gets – 5070 energy and perfect conditions for the experienced surfer.

After that, we get a real drop-off. From Saturday, July 18th, right through to Wednesday, July 22nd, it’s small and messy. The swell drops to 4-6ft, the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the quality is poor. There’s a gap of about 4-5 days where you’re better off doing something else.

Then, things get interesting again. Looking ahead, Thursday, July 24th, is a promising long-range call. The swell jumps back up to a solid 10ft from the SW, with a very long 17-second period, and 5150 energy. The wind is a light cross-off, keeping it clean. This one is for the experts again, but it’s a real standout in the second week. It’s a bit further out, so not as certain, but it looks like another session of solid, lined-up point surf.

The final few days of the month show a bit of a drop again, with the swell hanging around 6-7ft and the wind starting to get lumpy. So, to sum it up: the absolute best is Tuesday morning, July 14th, for the perfect combination of size and offshore wind, with Thursday, July 16th, as a close second for the glassy conditions. The long-range one on July 24th is one to keep an eye on.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Mon
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
8
8
7
5
5
3
5
5
5
3
5
5
3
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
SW
15
5
SW
15
5
SW
15
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.2
WSW
12
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
2.3
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
15831
12063
10365
6997
4550
3844
4274
4719
4621
3424
6015
4663
2985
1886
1430
689
459
418
589
783
2207
Wind (km/h)
30
W
35
W
30
WSW
20
W
20
WSW
20
W
15
WSW
5
W
10
W
10
NNW
15
NW
5
WNW
10
N
15
N
10
NNE
15
N
20
NNW
15
N
25
N
30
N
20
NNW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
Low Tide
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
 mm
2
Temp °C
13
14
14
12
13
14
13
13
13
13
11
12
12
13
14
13
13
14
12
14
16
Feels °C
7
7
8
8
9
11
10
11
11
11
8
10
9
11
12
10
9
10
7
9
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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