
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,040 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let's get into it.
Alright folks, the next sixteen days have some serious potential, but it's not all smooth sailing. We're looking at a stretch that starts with some decent groundswell and then just builds into some really big, powerful stuff, especially in the second week. The standout direction is SW, and that's exactly what Blacknose Point is primed for.
Let’s kick off with Saturday the 12th. We've got a solid 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period. The water is sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The wind is coming from the NNE at 6 mph, putting it as a light cross-onshore. It's not perfect, but for a point break that handles some angle, it's a solid start to the run. The combined swell energy is strong at 3162.
Sunday the 13th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is a write-off with a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore making a mess of the 7ft swell. But the afternoon cleans right up. The wind swings to a light NNW cross-off at 6 mph, and we’ve still got that deep 6ft SW groundswell (15s period). This is where you want to be – clean lines on the point. It’s only for experienced surfers though, the current and power are real.
Monday the 14th is a no-go. Strong 16 mph cross-offshore winds and dropping swell make it poor. Skip it.
Now, Tuesday the 15th is where we hit a gear change. The swell jumps to a solid 13ft SW with a 14-second period, and combined energy is pumping at 6018. The morning has a fresh 22 mph SW offshore wind – that’s clean, but that size on a point is heavy. The afternoon stays big with the same 13ft, but the wind goes cross-off. This is big-wave territory; advanced crew only.
Wednesday the 16th is the big one. The swell peaks at 15ft SW from the SSW direction, with a 15-second period. The combined energy is massive at 8040. The wind is a moderate 12 mph S cross-off, keeping the face clean. This is a serious, heavy groundswell that'll be breaking with authority. For experienced surfers only.
Thursday the 17th is a payoff day after the big swell. The surf drops to a still-chunky 10ft SSW groundswell, but the wind goes nearly glassy – just a 3 mph S cross-off. Combined energy is 3290. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and I can see why. Clean, powerful lines.
Friday the 18th is a step down in size to 7ft SW, but the period stays long at 14 seconds. Wind is a moderate cross-off. It’s surfable and clean, but not a standout.
Over the weekend of the 19th and 20th, we get some messy cross-shore winds on the 19th, and then a fresh WSW offshore on the 20th with 8ft swell. That’s okay, but a bit of a washy period.
The real standout of the whole run is Tuesday the 22nd of September. The swell hits a massive 15ft SW with a 16-second period. The combined swell energy is staggering at 10595. The wind is a light 6 mph NE offshore – glassy conditions for a wave this size. This is a true big-wave day for the experts. Massive, clean, and powerful. It's a one-off highlight.
The following days, the 23rd through the 27th, remain solid with 10ft to 13ft SW swells, but the winds get more side-shore or onshore. The 25th looks like a nice little cleanup with a 6ft, 20-second period groundswell and glassy conditions, offering some cleaner, more manageable waves.
Overall, the pick of the bunch for a proper session is Thursday the 17th and the glassy dawn on the 25th. For the big dogs, Tuesday the 22nd is the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the S by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3162 | 2326 | 1856 | 1581 | 965 | 570 | 424 | 1338 | 6018 | 6691 | 7243 | 8040 | 7645 | 5688 | 3290 | 2209 | 1944 | 1537 | 1536 | 2544 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | 1:46PM0.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | 9:16AM0.64m | 8:50PM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | |
6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
3162 | 2326 | 1856 | 1581 | 965 | 570 | 424 | 235 | — | — | 7243 | 8040 | 7645 | 5688 | 3290 | 2209 | 1944 | 1537 | 1169 | 2544 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WNW 5 | SW 21 | S 10 | SW 18 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | — |
— | — | — | 16 | 18 | 30 | 114 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 196 | 954 | 1536 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 18 | 60 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 7 | W 4 | W 6 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — |
— | 3 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 108 | 1338 | 6018 | 6691 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 67 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 53 | 53 | 182 | 221 | 501 | 426 | 509 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










