Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 09 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 17,564 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's get into it.

First off, the water's sitting at 58°F, which is about par for the course this time of year. Nothing wild there. We've got a solid run of groundswell starting to show, and it's coming from the southwest, which is exactly what Blacknose Point wants to see. The energy is there, but the wind is going to be the main player in the first couple of days.

The immediate window, starting Wednesday morning, has a solid 16ft of SW swell with a 19-second period. That's a serious amount of water moving, and the energy reading is high at 18834. It's a bit raw with a 30 km/h south wind making things cross-off, but it's still clean. This drops to 18ft in the afternoon with the wind backing off slightly to 25 km/h. It's going to be big, powerful, and only for the experienced. This is not a day for the faint-hearted.

Then we hit the sweet spot. Thursday morning is the standout. The swell eases slightly to 15ft, but the period holds at 16 seconds. The wind drops right out to a gentle 15 km/h breeze from the SSW, keeping it clean and lined up. This is the pick of the first run. The energy's still strong at 16711, and the conditions are about as good as it gets for a wave this size. If you're a competent surfer, this is your morning. The afternoon backs off a touch in energy but remains clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Friday sees a drop in size to 12ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore from the ESE and starts to mess with the surface. It's not terrible, but it's a step down in quality. Saturday is smaller again, around 10ft, with more cross-onshore wind. By Sunday, the swell fades to 7ft and a moderate cross-shore wind makes it a bit lumpy. Nothing worth getting excited about here. The start of the next week is flat and grovelly. Monday is poor, with weak energy and not much to offer.

The second pulse arrives on Tuesday, September 15th. The swell jumps back up to 13ft with a 13-second period. It's a shorter period than the first pulse, so it'll have a bit less push, but there's still plenty of power. The morning has a clean cross-off breeze, which makes it a solid option. The following day, Wednesday the 16th, is excellent too. The swell is still 13ft, but the period stretches back out to 16 seconds. With a slight air and clean conditions, this is another good day for the crew who want it hollow and fast.

We get a couple of days of onshore slop on the 19th and 20th, with the wind howling and rain showing up. The 21st is blown out completely. Not worth a look. Then, on Tuesday the 22nd and into Wednesday the 23rd, the ocean starts to wake up again. Wednesday the 23rd is a big one. The forecast shows 16ft of SW swell with a 19-second period. The energy is back up to 16151. The morning has a bit of cross-shore wind, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-off breeze at 15 km/h. This is another top-tier session for the experts. It's far out, but this one has the makings of something special.

The final day in the window is Thursday the 24th, with an 12ft SW swell. A moderate offshore wind will keep it clean in the morning, but a strong 40 km/h WSW wind in the afternoon will make it hard work. It's a finisher, but not the best.

So, to keep it simple: Thursday the 10th is your first standout, and Wednesday the 23rd looks like another cracker for the experienced boys. There's a lot of water moving through this window, so pick your times when the wind drops and you'll find the goods at Blacknose Point.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed morning, calm by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the W by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
7
7
8
9
6
4
4
3
3
4
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
3
5
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5
SSW
19
5.5
SSW
17
5.5
SSW
17
4.5
SSW
16
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
3
SW
11
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18834
16485
16312
10526
7826
5024
4869
6609
6172
4134
3307
2650
1832
1399
849
562
398
2164
5650
4760
4178
Wind (km/h)
30
S
25
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
5
SSE
5
ESE
15
SE
10
E
10
N
5
SSE
15
N
25
NNW
30
WNW
15
NW
25
WNW
35
W
20
SW
15
SSW
10
SSE
5
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
High Tide
12:46PM0.97m
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
Low Tide
8:09PM0.45m
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:16
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
 mm
Temp °C
11
11
10
11
11
10
12
12
12
17
17
16
24
20
15
16
15
11
11
10
10
Feels °C
3
5
6
8
8
8
9
8
9
16
15
14
19
14
13
10
9
6
6
7
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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