Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 8,551 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Tue 25th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 13s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 31st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Blacknose Point, and I gotta say, we’ve got some serious action coming our way. This is a sweet, exposed point break that knows how to handle a solid SW groundswell, and the next two weeks have a real mix of small windows and absolute monsters.

The first few days are a bit of a slow burn, but the real juice starts building. Tuesday the 25th is a write-off, honestly. We’ve got a 8ft SW swell running, but that cross-shore wind is just messing it up. It’s marginal, and you’d be fighting the chop. Not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday the 26th is where it starts to get interesting. The wind swings offshore – SW and WSW at a gentle 9 mph – and we’ve got a clean 8ft to 8ft SW swell. The energy is solid, and the wave shape will be proper. This is the kind of day experienced surfers will love. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We have a bit of a lull on Thursday the 27th morning, with the swell dropping to 5ft, but the afternoon picks back up to 5ft with a clean cross-off breeze. It’s a nice little session, but not a standout.

Friday the 28th is the true standout of the first week. We’re looking at a 10ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period – that’s proper long-period energy, which is perfect for a point break. The wind is a light offshore. The sets will be clean, powerful, and well-spaced. This is serious, expert-level surf. Just be aware that with this much power, it’s not for the fainthearted. The crowds are often here, especially on a Friday.

The weekend (29th and 30th) sees the swell dropping back to the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind stays light. The cross-onshore and cross-shore breezes will leave some ripples, but it’s still surfable. Sunday afternoon actually sees a jump back to 10ft (SSW), so keep an eye on that.

Now, for the second week, we’re looking at a massive long-range pulse. Monday the 31st of August is an absolute beast. The morning shows an 12ft SW groundswell (17s period) with a cross-shore breeze, but the afternoon is the real gem: 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, clean offshore wind from the west. This is another expert-only day, and it’s a huge one.

The first few days of September are a mixed bag. Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd have some clean offshore windows, but the energy is dropping. The 2nd is a total write-off with strong cross-onshore winds making it a messy 10ft swell. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.

Then we get to the end of the run, and it gets absolutely mental. Saturday the 5th of September has a massive 15ft SW swell, but the wind is howling onshore at 25 mph. The afternoon is cleaner, but that’s a huge, powerful wave. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th see the swell peak at a colossal 20ft (15-17s period) with clean cross-off winds. The energy readings are off the charts. This is not a surf for anyone but the most experienced, and even then, it’s borderline too big.

The last few days of the 8th and 9th start to drop back down, but the wind stays strong, so it’s messy.

Overall, the best on offer is Friday the 28th of August for a solid, powerful, clean day, and Monday the 31st of August afternoon for the biggest, cleanest set of the run. Both are for experts only. The middle of the second week is a high-surf event that needs serious respect.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
4
4
2
1
4
3
5
3
3
3
3
2
3
4
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.4
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
2.3
WSW
13
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
3
SSW
15
4
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1583
2207
1952
2895
1945
1697
1107
752
784
1753
5018
3880
2869
2090
1408
1037
1327
3440
8551
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
15
SE
25
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
W
20
NW
15
S
10
SSE
5
E
10
NE
10
SE
10
NE
10
NE
10
SE
10
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
Low Tide
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
mod rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
 mm
8
3
Temp °C
14
12
13
11
12
12
11
14
15
13
12
11
10
12
11
10
13
13
12
Feels °C
11
10
9
6
9
8
9
11
12
9
10
9
7
9
8
7
10
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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