Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into the surf outlook for our region. We’ve only got one spot lighting up the forecast, Blacknose Point, and it’s looking like a solid stretch of ground-driven swell is on the way. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might get away with a little less rubber.

We start off with a bit of a warm-up, but there’s a real gap before the magic happens. The first surf we can talk about kicks off Sunday afternoon, the 30th of August. The swell is already a hefty 10ft from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds, giving us a combined wave energy of 2752 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind is a clean offshore from the SW, so the face will be smooth. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but with that size, it’s for the crew who know what they're doing. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

Monday the 31st still has good size, 10ft dropping to 8ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes light cross and cross-on, introducing some ripple. The energy jumps up (4295 to 4613), but the surface won’t be as clean as Sunday. Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off for quality surfing with strong, lumpy cross-winds at 22 mph and rain. The swell stays around 7ft, but it’s messy. Wednesday the 2nd cleans up a bit with cross-off winds, but the wind is still fresh at 16-19 mph, making for a bumpy ride on waves that are 10ft to 12ft.

Now, here’s where it gets real. Thursday the 3rd of September is the first standout. The swell jacks up to 16ft from the SW, with a moderate 13-second period, but the energy is off the charts (8130 in the morning, peaking at 10694 in the afternoon). Morning winds are fresh offshore from the WSW, cleaning it right up. This is serious groundswell, big and powerful. This is expert-only territory. Do not take a shortboard out here if you’re not ready for a beating.

Friday the 4th sees the swell stay huge at 13-15ft, but the wind goes cross and strong, up to 25 mph in the afternoon, turning it into a washing machine. The afternoon is a total loss. Saturday the 5th has 16-18ft swell with near gale-force offshore winds (31 mph!). It’s clean in theory, but paddling out will be a mission, and holding on will be a battle. Kite surfers might be the only ones having fun here.

After that big pulse, Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th settle down to a still-chunky 12ft to 8ft with cleaner conditions and lighter winds. The quality returns for the experienced crew.

But the real jackpot is the second week. From Tuesday the 8th of September all the way through to Sunday the 13th, it’s an absolute run of epic conditions. Tuesday the 8th has a 15ft SW groundswell with a long 17-second period, pushing the wave energy up to 10861. The wind is gentle offshore from the WSW, and the forecast is calling for exceptional surf. Wednesday the 9th is just as good with a 15ft, 18-second groundswell and light offshore winds. This is what we live for. Thursday the 10th of September is the absolute standout of the entire forecast. You get a 16ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is *glassy* in the morning. That is as good as it gets. The energy is sitting at 12812. The weekend of the 12th and 13th keeps the dream alive with clean conditions and solid 13-16ft swell.

The run ends on Monday the 14th of September with a fresh, lumpy cross-wind messing up an 18ft swell. The window is closing.

So, to wrap it up: don’t waste your time on the first few days unless you’re hungry for a Sunday session on the 30th. The true standouts are Thursday the 3rd of September for a big, powerful, clean day, and the absolute gold medal goes to Thursday the 10th of September for that glassy, 16ft, long-period perfection at Blacknose Point. Mark your calendars.

Rusty.

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