
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 8,013 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu.
Alright, so the first bit of the run is a bit of a slow cooker. We’ve got a solid, workable swell that builds through the opening days, but the wind is a bit of a headache at first. The real standout will be a late run of big, powerful swells that are going to be a proper test of nerve.
The first call is on Friday, 31 July, at Blacknose Point (point). We’re looking at a 7 ft SW swell rolling in with a 12-second period. The energy is already pumping hard at 1298 (moderate to strong). The big news is a light, cross-off breeze out of the NW in the morning, shifting to a clean offshore from the WSW by the afternoon. This is a classic point break setup, and with that combination, it’s going to be clean and lined up. The water is about average for the time of year. Expect a few other heads in the water, as it can get busy here.
The weekend (1st and 2nd of August) gets a bit messy. The swell jumps up to 10 ft with a very long 17-second period, pushing the combined energy into the thousands (3273 to 4657), but the wind goes cross-shore and then fresh. That long period, groundswell energy will be lining up nicely at the point, but the onshore push will foul it up. This one is for the experienced crew only, as the size is well over 8 ft.
Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th is a bit of a mixed bag with a big, messy spike on Monday afternoon (16 ft, 13-second period, 7470 energy) under strong rain showers and a cross-off wind. There’s some decent, clean surf on the 4th and 6th, but nothing that screams “drop everything.”
The real standout is the run from Tuesday, 11 August, through Friday, 14 August. This is a proper, sustained swell event. On the 11th, we’re looking at a massive 18 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a staggering 12652 (very strong). The wind is a moderate cross-off, keeping it clean. This is expert-only territory. It’s pushing the limits of what’s manageable.
Then, on Thursday, 13 August, the conditions lock in. A 13 ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period and a gentle offshore breeze out of the SW. The energy is 10374 (very strong). The forecast calls it exceptional for experts, and I’d be looking at that day as a serious standout. The Friday the 14th is very similar, though the wind is slightly less ideal, but still clean. The whole point will be a freight train.
After that, the swell tapers off through the 15th, but it’s still a solid 8 ft under clean conditions.
So, if you’re looking for the best window, the 13th of August is the one to circle. It’s a long way out, so the forecast might shift, but right now, it looks like a proper session for the experienced crew. The 11th has the raw power, but the 13th has the perfect wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun night, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, light winds from the WSW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 8 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1385 | 1131 | 1042 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4637 | 3772 | 3080 | 1785 | 1344 | 7470 | 3466 | 2111 | 1365 | 783 | 949 | 901 | 844 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | 2:52PM0.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | 9:26AM0.52m | 9:33PM0.29m | |||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
1385 | 1131 | 1042 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4637 | 3772 | 3080 | 1785 | 1187 | — | 316 | 211 | 1365 | 783 | 776 | 814 | 844 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 | ESE 7 | — | — | WSW 16 | — | WSW 18 | SW 16 | — | SW 18 | — | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 12 |
120 | 51 | 388 | 621 | 4 | — | — | 848 | — | 404 | 515 | — | 510 | — | 269 | 508 | 949 | 901 | 479 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 14 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 9 |
21 | 116 | 20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 183 | — | — | — | 115 | 195 | 122 | 69 | 55 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | W 10 | WSW 8 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 37 | 10 | 716 | 1344 | 7470 | 3466 | 2111 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 107 | 75 | 7 | 196 | 182 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











