Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,656 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's have a look at what Blacknose Point has in store.
There’s a solid SW pulse comin’ through for the next couple weeks. This is a point break, so it loves that direction. Water temp’s about average for the time of year, nothin' weird.
The first really good window is Thursday morning, July 16th. There’s a strong 12ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period—serious power (5929). The wind is off from the WSW at 6 mph, so the faces are clean. This is strictly for the advanced crew. That afternoon stays good with a light cross-off breeze, keepin’ it tidy.
Friday the 17th is another one for the experienced. You’ve got that 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period (4476) in the morning, but the wind is cross, so it’s a bit lumpy. The afternoon cleans right up with a lighter cross-off, bringin’ back top conditions.
Now, Saturday the 18th is the best bet for the average surfer. The swell drops to a nice 7ft from the WSW, 13-second period (1380). The wind goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s right, glassy. Smooth, clean lines. That’s your session if you want a proper point-break ride.
Then we hit a quiet patch from Sunday through the middle of the next week. The energy drops and a stubborn NNW wind messes things up. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st have some size but are blown out with a cross-chop. Leave it.
Lookin’ further out, Sunday, July 26th is a long-range standout. We’re talkin’ a big 13ft WSW swell with a 13-second period, and an offshore wind from the west at 6 mph. The combined energy is massive at 8287. That’s exceptional, heavy-duty stuff for experts only. It’s a way off, but the potential is there.
The rest of July gets a bit messy with strong N winds or fresh onshores, though Wednesday the 29th afternoon cleans up a touch with a 7ft SW swell and light cross-off wind. Not a highlight, but a salvageable session.
The real winners: that 7ft glassy Saturday the 18th for the masses, and that massive, clean 13ft Sunday the 26th for the hotshots. Don’t sleep on ‘em.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5070 | 5190 | 5047 | 3771 | 4467 | 4013 | 2667 | 1831 | 1380 | 943 | 598 | 477 | 511 | 701 | 1087 | 1003 | 1722 | 1659 | 1135 | 850 | 403 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | 2:54PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.83m | 3:05PM0.97m | 3:52AM0.85m | 3:14PM0.94m | 4:50AM0.84m | 3:16PM0.92m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | 8:15AM0.35m | 9:18PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.44m | 9:40PM0.38m | 9:20AM0.55m | 10:07PM0.34m | 9:46AM0.67m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 5070 | 5190 | 5047 | 3771 | 4467 | 4013 | 2667 | 1831 | 1380 | 943 | 598 | 477 | 379 | 701 | 1087 | 1003 | 1722 | 1659 | 1135 | 850 | 403 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 18 | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | W 12 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | — | SW 14 | SW 12 | W 11 |
| kJ | 73 | 700 | — | — | 9 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 130 | 202 | 194 | 511 | 393 | 30 | 16 | 16 | — | 499 | 546 | 233 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 136 | 260 | 102 | 50 | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 2 | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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