Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,948 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 29th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 31st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 4th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let's have a look at this. We've got Blacknose Point on the radar for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, so first up, this spot is a point break, which is a good start. It's a spot for the experienced crew for sure. For most of this run, the water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing too wild there.

Things kick off this Saturday, the 29th of August, with a solid SW groundswell, a period of 14 seconds. We're looking at 8 ft waves and the outlook is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". The combined wave energy is sitting at 2222 (moderate). What makes this a real standout is the clean, glassy conditions – a light offshore breeze all morning. The wind is set to stay offshore, keeping those lines clean through the afternoon. This is the pick of the early days, no question. Clean, punchy, and for those in the know.

Sunday, the 30th, is much the same story. Another day of 8 ft SW swell at 13 seconds with light, offshore winds. The energy is up a touch to 2479. It's another top-notch day for the experienced surfer.

Monday the 31st is where it gets interesting. The morning has 10 ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and a tiny offshore breeze. The energy jumps to 4068 (strong). The morning will be absolutely firing. The afternoon, the wind swings onshore, so the morning is definitely the session to get.

Tuesday, the 1st of September, sees the wind turning nasty, a fresh breeze creating lumpy chop. The swell is still there, but the conditions are a write-off. The combined energy is 2764 but the score is flat. A day to stay on the beach. Wednesday and Thursday, the 2nd and 3rd, the wind returns to a cross-offshore, but it's fresh to strong. The swell gets bigger, hitting 15 ft on Thursday afternoon with a massive energy reading of 13194 (very strong). That's a lot of water moving, but with that strong breeze, it's going to be a wild, powerful mess. It's only for the absolute experts, and even then, maybe more for a tow-in crew or kiters.

Friday the 4th of September has a similar vibe. Swell is 15 ft with strong cross-offshore wind. Energy is still huge at 9818. It's powerful and big, but not clean.

We then go through a bit of a rough patch. Saturday and Sunday, the 5th and 6th, the wind gets gnarly with lumpy cross-chop, so the quality drops. After that, conditions improve a bit, but the magic of that first weekend is gone.

Now, look ahead to the second week. The standout is clearly Thursday, the 10th of September. The morning brings a clean 8 ft SW swell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy reads 4300 (strong). The wind is a moderate cross-offshore, so it will be a little textured, but not blown out. The energy and period will make for some exceptionally long, racy lines at this point break. It’s a promising one, but we're talking a week and a half out, so it’s one to keep an eye on.

Then Saturday the 12th of September looks like a good shout to finish the run. The morning has 10 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the afternoon is the real winner with a gentle offshore breeze and the same big swell. Energy is 4642 (strong). That afternoon session should be clean, powerful, and relatively fun for the experienced crew.

So, the overall picture: get pumped for this Saturday and Sunday. That's your best, most reliable window. Monday morning is a bonus. After that, it’s either too big and wild, or the wind spoils the party. The week of the 10th to the 12th looks promising again, but treat it as a promising lead. No real beginner waves in this whole run – it’s all for the crew who can handle some grunt.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon night, strong winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
3
1
1
3
3
3
3
3
6
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
14
2.5
WSW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
4.5
WSW
14
4
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3204
2201
1668
1819
2173
2490
2762
3099
2630
4123
2761
1863
2987
3760
4062
4395
5165
7634
5629
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SW
5
W
5
NW
5
SE
20
NNW
30
NNW
40
WNW
20
WNW
20
W
25
W
25
WNW
30
NW
40
WNW
35
W
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
Low Tide
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
2
2
3
Temp °C
10
11
11
10
12
11
10
14
14
14
20
17
13
13
13
13
15
14
12
Feels °C
8
8
7
8
10
8
9
13
12
11
14
9
8
7
7
7
7
5
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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