Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Blacknose Point. This is a point break, fairly exposed to the swell and fairly consistent, so it’s got plenty of potential. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year.

We start off Tuesday 15th with a solid 13ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, but that wind is a fresh 22 mph from the SW. It’s offshore first thing, so it’ll be clean, but the energy is pumping at 5922 – strong. It’s more for the experienced crew, as it’s over 8ft. By afternoon the wind goes cross-off, still fresh, and the swell bumps to 15ft SW, period 14 seconds, energy 7255. It’s powerful but rough around the edges – not the standout.

Wednesday 16th is where things start to shape up. Morning sees 15ft SW swell, period 15 seconds – proper groundswell – with a moderate cross-off breeze. Energy is 7932. This is long period, so expect clean lines at the point, but it’s heavy. By afternoon, it’s 13ft from the SSW, period 15 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze and energy 11086. That’s a standout window: clean, solid, and the direction matches the optimum SSW. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Thursday 17th morning drops to 10ft SW, period 14 seconds, with a gentle offshore WSW wind. Energy 3463. Conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The wind is offshore and light, making for a clean face. Afternoon is 8ft SSW, period 14 seconds, still gentle offshore, energy 4527. Another good window for those who can handle it.

Friday 18th sees the swell ease a bit: morning 6ft SSW, period 17 seconds – very long period – with a moderate cross-off. Energy 3330. The long period means it’ll wrap nicely into the point, but the beachies might be too straight. Afternoon gets 8ft SW, period 16 seconds, but the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph cross-off, so it’s less appealing.

Saturday 19th is smaller: 7ft WSW, period 13 seconds, moderate cross-off, energy 1751. Not bad but nothing special. Sunday 20th sees a jump back to 13ft W swell, period 10 seconds – short period – with a fresh cross-off, energy 3219. It’s messy. By afternoon, 15ft WSW, period 12 seconds, strong breeze 28 mph cross-off, energy 5123. That’s big and lumpy, better for kites than paddles.

Monday 21st has 13ft SW, period 12 seconds, gentle cross-off morning, energy 4887. Afternoon sees 15ft SSW, period 15 seconds, gentle cross-shore, energy 8704. Clean but cross-shore chop might creep in.

Tuesday 22nd morning is a write-off: onshore NE wind 16 mph, 8ft SSW, period 18 seconds – very long period – but onshore ruins it, score zero. Afternoon is 13ft SSW, period 16 seconds, gentle cross-onshore, choppy.

From Wednesday 23rd through Friday 25th, the swell drops and the wind is mixed. Nothing exciting – mostly marginal, with some cross-onshore days.

Now, the real standout is Saturday 26th September. Morning: glassy conditions, zero wind, 15ft SW swell, period 19 seconds – very long period – and energy 15757. That’s exceptional surf for expert surfers. The point will hold these long period lines beautifully. Afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off, 15ft SW, period 18 seconds, energy 13734. This is the pick of the whole forecast. If you’re advanced, don’t miss it.

Sunday 27th gets a bit wind-affected with fresh SSE cross-shore and light rain, but still 13ft SW, period 17 seconds, energy 9548. Monday 28th and Tuesday 29th settle into cleaner, smaller conditions: 8ft SW, moderate offshore, excellent for experienced surfers. Wednesday 30th ends with 8ft SW, period 15 seconds, clean.

Overall, the first week has some solid windows, but the 26th is the one to circle. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but if it holds, it’ll be magic.

Rusty.

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