
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 21,626 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, crew, let’s break down the forecast for Blacknose Point. This is a solid point break that’s fairly consistent and loves a good SSW swell, and we’ve got a bunch of that coming.
Tuesday, July 28th starts us off with a 10-foot SSW groundswell, but the wind is howling from the west at 28 mph, making it offshore but a real battle to get out. The energy is huge at 6171, so it’s powerful, but that wind is a beast. The water’s at 58.5°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Wednesday, July 29th is when it gets real. Morning brings a massive 18-foot SW swell with a 16-second period and a 15355 energy reading. The wind is a cross-offshore 19 mph, keeping it clean. This is expert-only territory. The afternoon cleans up, dropping to 15 feet, but with a 12 mph offshore wind from the southwest. Periods are 14 seconds, so that’s a long-period groundswell that will wrap perfectly around the point. This is the best session of the run – clean, powerful, and proper.
Thursday, July 30th we’re still in the zone. Both sessions have 8.2-foot and 7.5-foot SW swell, with a gentle offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. Perfectly clean. The energy is still solid (2795 and 2007), and the 13-second period keeps the waves shapely. A solid day for experienced surfers.
Friday, July 31st is a nice drop. The swell settles to 6.6 feet in the morning and 5.9 feet in the afternoon, both from the SW. The wind is light and from the west, keeping it cross-off and clean. The energy is lower (1300-1401), but the waves will be fun and well-formed.
Saturday, August 1st gets a bit messy. The swell bumps back up to 7.5 feet and 9.8 feet with a very long 18-second period, but the wind switches to a cross-shore from the north. It’s a moderate breeze, and the energy is high (2895 and 5122), but the cross-chop will make it less than ideal.
Sunday, August 2nd is a similar story. 9.8-foot and 7.9-foot SW swell, but the wind is cross-offshore from the northwest and south. Still clean, but the energy is moderate and the conditions are just okay.
Monday, August 3rd throws a big one back in. A 16.4-foot SW swell hits the morning, with a 13-second period and a cross-offshore south wind. The energy is 8486, so it’s a big, powerful day. The afternoon drops to 13.1 feet, still with a cross-offshore wind. This is one for the experts only.
Tuesday, August 4th through Wednesday, August 5th the swell drops to 7.9 feet-5.6 feet, but the wind is cross-shore or onshore, making it a bit messy. Not the best.
Thursday, August 6th is a quiet, clean day. The afternoon has a 4.9-foot SW swell with a 15-second period and a glassy cross-offshore wind from the south-southwest. The energy is 1652. This is a great small-wave point session.
Friday, August 7th is another glassy gem. The afternoon has a 6.9-foot SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is dead glassy from the southeast. The energy is 3121. That’s a magic window.
Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th get ugly. The wind swings onshore from the north-northeast, and the swell gets big again (up to 14.8 feet and 19.7 feet). The energy is huge (up to 26021), but the wind is strong cross-onshore, making it a total mess. This is more for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Monday, August 10th is a monster. A 19.7-foot SW swell with a 20-second period hits, with a combined energy of 26021. That’s a massive groundswell. But the wind is a strong cross-onshore from the north-northeast at 28 mph. The file says it’s too big for this break, even for the experts. That’s a no-go.
Tuesday, August 11th and Wednesday, August 12th the swell drops and the wind improves. The afternoon of the 12th looks promising with a 13.1-foot SSW swell, a 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind from the southwest. The energy is 4182, and it’s clean. That’s a potential late-week gem.
The two standouts are the Wednesday, July 29th afternoon session (15-foot SW, 14s, offshore 12 mph) and the Friday, August 7th afternoon session (6.9-foot SW, 16s, glassy). The early big swell is for experts only, and
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the S by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3348 | 14941 | 15355 | 8457 | 3567 | 2305 | 1751 | 1363 | 1112 | 976 | 992 | 2895 | 5122 | 5147 | 4066 | 2844 | 2144 | 8486 | 4663 | 2672 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | |||||||
— | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | -1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 |
3348 | — | 15355 | 8457 | 3567 | 2305 | 1751 | 1363 | 1112 | 976 | 992 | 2895 | 5122 | 5147 | 4066 | 2844 | 2144 | — | 4663 | 2672 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | W 10 | WSW 18 | — | — | SW 17 |
— | — | — | — | 898 | 490 | 256 | 132 | 72 | 388 | 553 | — | — | — | — | 753 | 283 | — | — | 241 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 116 | 37 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 161 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | W 10 | SW 13 | — | — |
2823 | 14941 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 26 | 31 | 1850 | 8486 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 709 | 702 | 501 | 0 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 7 | 107 | 7 | 107 | 309 | 422 | 501 | 382 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










