Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.8° C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with 5,182 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 21s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Tue 4th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Best Surf 4PM (Tue 4th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 9th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with a look at the upcoming swell window at our local gem, Blacknose Point. We've got a bit of a slow start, but hold onto your leggies, because this forecast builds into something proper special.

Right now, Sunday the 2nd is a write-off. We've got some decent size, around 7ft from the SW, but that nasty cross-shore wind is just chopping it all up. It's a frustrating one to watch, that's for sure. You're better off waiting.

Monday the 3rd sees the wind finally clean up, swinging offshore out of the West. We get a fresh, clean face on the swell which is still a solid 7ft to 8ft from the SW. The water temp is sitting around 59°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The wave energy is already pumping, with a combined swell energy reading of 2711 (moderate to strong).

Tuesday the 4th is where things start to get tasty. Morning offshore winds from the SW holding a solid 10ft swell. The afternoon cleans up even more with a moderate offshore breeze and a still-strong 8ft swell from the SW. The period drops to 11 seconds, which tightens the waves up a bit, making for some great, punchy lines on this point.

Wednesday the 5th is a gem. We've got a gentle offshore wind and a clean 6ft SW swell with a lovely 14-second period. This is the kind of day where you feel like you own the ocean. The wave energy is still respectable at 1620 (moderate). It's a very good, surfable size for most experienced paddlers.

Now, we hit a bit of a lull on Thursday the 6th. The morning brings a cross-shore wind on a 5ft swell – it's a bit average. But hold up, the afternoon session sees the wind swing offshore again with a 6ft SW swell and a super-long 16-second period. That long period means the sets will be packing a punch and lining up beautifully. It's a classic point break scenario here at Blacknose, so it handles that long period energy like a dream.

Friday the 7th is a mixed bag. The morning has a 10ft SW groundswell but it's cross-shore. The afternoon is cleaner with lighter winds and a 8ft swell, but the wind is still cross. It'll be worth a paddle if you're desperate, but not the day to plan around.

Saturday the 8th is a definite skip. Strong, messy onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Not surfable. The models are showing some grim numbers for that one.

But hold on, because Sunday the 9th brings a stormy but promising setup. We get big 12ft swell from the WSW with fresh offshore winds. The energy is massive – a combined swell energy reading of 6676 (strong). It's a big, powerful, and clean day for experienced surfers only.

Now, for the absolute standout. The forecast for Monday the 10th of August into the following week is just insane. Monday the 10th delivers a massive 20ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is an eye-watering 17138 (very strong). This is big, heavy, scary surf. It's not for the faint of heart or beginners – this is strictly for experts who know the reef.

Tuesday the 11th is another day of huge swell, 16ft with an 18-second period and a combined energy of 15378. This is a week of pure, raw power that will have the whole line-up going off, but you have to know what you're doing.

The real highlight, the one you circle on your calendar, is Friday the 14th of August. Glassy conditions. A 21ft groundswell from the SSW with a 13-second period. The combined swell energy is huge at 15041. It's glassy, it's big, and it's from the optimum direction. This is as good as it gets. It's a true standout for expert-level surfers only.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th continue to pump with 13ft to 15ft swells and very clean conditions, perfect for those who can handle a solid, powerful ocean.

So, the long and short of it: the first week is a build-up with some good, clean days around Wednesday the 5th and the afternoons of Thursday the 6th. But the second week, from Monday the 10th onwards, is an absolute freight train of swell. The absolute best on offer, the one to wait for, is that glassy, massive Friday the 14th. Keep an eye on that one, but it's a long way out, so don't bet the farm on it just yet.

This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon night, light winds from the WSW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the N by Sat morning).

Sun
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
3
2
3
4
4
4
4
3
2
4
3
3
3
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
4
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
11
2.2
SW
11
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.4
SW
18
3
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2233
2061
1999
2289
4055
2515
1718
1069
1307
1102
553
1317
1611
1243
3585
2119
3096
2384
2237
2309
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
25
NW
30
W
35
W
35
SW
30
SW
25
SW
15
WSW
15
W
15
WSW
15
NW
20
NNW
15
WSW
5
N
15
NNW
10
N
25
N
35
N
45
N
35
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
2:28AM0.78m
2:49PM0.94m
3:04AM0.83m
2:56PM0.88m
3:44AM0.86m
2:52PM0.82m
4:32AM0.85m
2:29PM0.81m
5:43AM0.83m
1:39PM0.84m
12:45PM0.93m
Low Tide
8:59PM0.39m
8:23AM0.32m
9:09PM0.36m
8:56AM0.41m
9:20PM0.32m
9:26AM0.52m
9:33PM0.29m
9:47AM0.65m
9:47PM0.25m
9:32AM0.78m
10:05PM0.24m
10:25PM0.24m
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
 mm
7
2
1
2
2
4
Temp °C
15
10
11
11
11
12
12
12
11
11
12
10
12
11
15
16
12
12
9
11
Feels °C
8
4
3
3
4
6
6
8
7
7
9
5
9
10
11
13
7
3
0
4
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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