Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s get into it. The only game in town for the next 16 days is Blacknose Point. This is a point break that needs a decent swell to get working, and we’re looking at a run that starts off with a bit of a whimper before building into something truly special.

The water temperature is sitting about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises when you get in.

We start Monday the 20th of July, and it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got southwest swell around 4ft to 4ft, but the wind is cross-shore and the wave energy is only moderate (982 to 1116). It’s a bit of a choppy mess, honestly. Not worth paddling out for.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell bump up a bit, with southwest swell hitting 8ft in the morning and 7ft in the afternoon. The wind swings to a cross-offshore in the afternoon, and the wave energy climbs to a strong 2125. The afternoon session cleans up nicely, and it starts to look a bit more interesting. The period is 13 seconds, so there’s some decent groundswell to work with.

Now, Wednesday the 22nd is where it starts to get real. The wind goes offshore in the morning with a fresh breeze from the west-southwest. The swell is 8ft with a 12-second period, and the wave energy is strong at 1846. It’s clean. By the afternoon, it’s a 10ft south-west swell, moderate offshore wind, and the energy jumps to 2612. It’s getting good, but still a bit rough around the edges.

Thursday the 23rd of July is the big one. The morning brings a 15ft southwest swell with a 14-second period – that’s a proper groundswell – and fresh offshore wind. The wave energy is a massive 7374. The afternoon is even bigger: 16ft, 15-second period, strong offshore wind, and the energy is 17463. This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s a standout for the whole forecast, but with that size and power, it’s for the experienced crew only. The point will be handling this better than a beach break, but it’s still a serious paddle.

Friday the 24th of July is absolutely pumping. The morning session has a 16ft swell from the southwest, a 15-second period, and strong cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is 21035 – that’s very strong. The forecast even says it might be too big for this break, so pick your spots. It’s a monster. The afternoon drops a bit but is still a solid 16ft with strong offshore wind.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are still solid, with 12ft to 13ft swells and offshore winds keeping things clean. The wave energy is still very strong, but it’s a bit more manageable. The Sunday morning with a light offshore breeze and 7ft swell looks like a great session for the experienced surfer.

After that, the surf drops off. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. We’re back to moderate wave energy. It’s not great.

The second week of the forecast turns interesting again. Thursday the 30th of July brings a fresh offshore wind and a 13ft swell from the south-southwest, with a huge wave energy of 9708. That’s a very strong, clean swell. By Friday the 31st, the wind drops to a light breeze, the swell is 10ft, and it’s clean. This is a promising, but less certain, long-range call.

The final few days of the forecast, into the 1st and 2nd of August, show some smaller, cleaner swells – around 5ft to 7ft – with glassy or light offshore conditions. The 2nd of August afternoon is looking glassy with a 6ft south-southwest swell and a 15-second period. That’s a beautiful, long-period groundswell with a wave energy of 1591. The point will handle that period perfectly.

The standout for the whole period is the afternoon of Thursday the 23rd of July. That 16ft, 15-second, clean swell with very strong wave energy is the one to wait for. The morning of Friday the 24th of July is a close second, but it’s almost too big. For the second week, the afternoon of the 2nd of August with the glassy conditions and long-period groundswell is the pick of the bunch.

Rusty.

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