Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,101 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here again. Let’s talk about this run of swell in feet and miles per hour.
The big picture: a powerful, long-period SSW groundswell is set to roll in, and this point break is perfectly lined up to handle it. The first standout is Saturday, 22 August. The morning kicks off with a clean 13ft SW groundswell (15 sec period) and a moderate offshore breeze from the WSW at 12 mph. The combined energy is pumping at 7380 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. This is not for the faint of heart; it’s expert territory only. The afternoon gets even better, pushing 15ft SW swell with a 14 sec period and an energy reading of 8215, still with that clean offshore wind. This is the best of the first week, no question. Crowds are often a factor here, so expect a few other chargers out there.
Sunday morning, the 23rd, sees the swell dropping to 10ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, making it a bit messy. Sunday afternoon cleans up nicely with an 8ft SW swell and a gentle offshore wind – a solid session for experienced surfers.
By the middle of the week, Monday and Tuesday (24th and 25th) are a write-off with cross-shore and onshore winds ruining the groom. The energy is still moderate (1500-2500 range), but the quality is marginal.
We get a clean window again on Wednesday, 26th August. The swell is smaller, around 7ft, but the light cross-off winds and clean conditions make it a great option for experienced surfers. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
The next real standout is Saturday, 30 August. This is a monster. After a week of smaller, mixed conditions, the swell jacks back up to 15ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a massive 12230. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfectly groomed, but for a big, long-period groundswell hitting a point, the shape will be incredible. This is another one strictly for the experts, and it’s a week out, so keep an eye on it.
Monday, 31 August, looks like a dream. A 10ft SW groundswell with glassy, dead-calm conditions. That’s as clean as it gets. The energy is still strong at 4645. This is a top-tier session for experienced surfers.
The run continues into Tuesday, 1 September, with an 12ft swell and a solid offshore wind, keeping things clean and powerful.
The second week starts to fade. Thursday, 5 September, offers a nice glassy afternoon on a smaller 8ft swell – a good, fun end to the run.
Overall, the best on offer is the Saturday, 22 August afternoon session for raw power, and the Monday, 31 August morning for absolute perfection. The long period swells will be fast and lined up on the point, but keep your wits about you.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6991 | 7293 | 7847 | 5796 | 3355 | 2235 | 2840 | 2004 | 1521 | 1723 | 2345 | 1982 | 2185 | 1514 | 1299 | 786 | 1238 | 1522 | 6707 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | |||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 |
| kJ | — | 7293 | 7847 | 5796 | 3355 | 2235 | 2840 | 2004 | 1521 | 1723 | 2345 | 1982 | 2185 | 1514 | 1299 | 786 | 1238 | 1452 | 6707 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SE 5 | SW 16 | SW 22 | SW 20 | S 10 |
| kJ | — | 87 | 368 | 634 | 1336 | 1390 | — | 15 | 60 | 83 | 448 | 574 | 486 | 51 | 16 | 206 | 235 | 1522 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 17 | SE 5 | E 5 | S 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 152 | 107 | 4 | 2 | 67 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | E 3 | SE 4 | SE 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6991 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 91 | 137 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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