Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming in, so let’s get straight into it.

The first surf worth paddling out for hits Blacknose Point from Friday, September 11. The water temp’s sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Friday morning sees a good 12 feet of SSW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, pushing through with a combined energy of 7342, which is moderate to strong. The wind is a light cross-onshore at 6 mph, so it’ll be a bit crinkly but still rideable for experienced surfers. The tidal conditions are a bit questionable though, so don’t expect perfection. Friday afternoon, same size and direction, stronger 16-second period, but the onshore breeze picks up to 9 mph, making it choppier – not the peak of the run.

Saturday, September 12 morning starts clean, 10 feet of SW swell, still long period at 15 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the north. Then Saturday afternoon is the real standout: glassy conditions, 0 mph wind, with 8 feet of SW groundswell, and a combined energy of 3351. This is excellent for experienced surfers, clean, and the crowd factor here is “often,” so expect a few locals in the water. This is the pick of the first weekend.

Sunday, September 13 turns rough: a cold front sweeps through with 19 mph cross-shore winds, dropping the swell to 7 feet and then 6 feet with rain. Not worth it. Monday, September 14 is cleaner but tiny, only 4-4 feet, and the energy plummets below 1000. A bit of a slump.

Tuesday, September 15 is where the real juice starts. Tuesday morning brings a jump to 16 feet of SW swell with fresh offshore SW wind at 19 mph. The combined energy is 8789, moderate-strong, and the wave state is clean. However, at 16 feet this is only for experts – beginners, stay out. The same goes for Tuesday afternoon, 15 feet, clean but still powerful.

Wednesday, September 16 afternoon is another standout: 13 feet of SSW swell at 15 seconds, combined energy of 8677, and a gentle side-offshore breeze from the south keeping it clean. This is exceptional surf for expert surfers. The period is long, which means the wave shape will be better, and the energy is strong.

A bit of a drop Thursday, September 17 and Friday, September 18 – still 8 to 10 feet, but onshore winds and lumpy chop bring the quality down.

Then, circling back to the big stuff, Sunday, September 20 delivers the absolute bomb: 18 feet in the morning, ramping to 20 feet of WSW swell by the afternoon, with a combined energy of 13024 – that’s strong. Gentle offshore winds from the WSW at 9 mph, clean as a whistle, and the score rates it a 9/10. That afternoon session on Sunday, September 20 is the absolute best on offer – huge, clean, and only for the bravest. Monday, September 21 morning hits 20 feet of SW with an 18-second period, combined energy an eye-watering 20296, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit lumpy. Still, that’s world-class size.

Tuesday, September 22 settles down a bit: 12 feet of SW with light offshore winds, clean and excellent for experienced surfers. The rest of the week into the 25th and 26th sees a slow decline, with moderate onshore winds and occasional rain, but still solid 12 to 15 feet of SW groundswell hanging around until the end of the forecast.

Overall, if you’re an expert, you’re looking at Sunday, September 20 afternoon as the real standout: 20 feet of WSW swell, light offshore wind, clean and pumping. For the high-intermediate crew, Saturday, September 12 afternoon offers glassy 8 feet of surf with no wind – a rare treat.

Stay safe and watch the tides out there.

Rusty.

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