
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,872 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on offer at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We've got a real mixed bag coming our way, starting off with some absolute monsters that are strictly for the experienced crew, then settling into a more manageable run with clean windows for those who know what they're doing. The water temp is sitting at a pretty average 59° for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
Wednesday morning kicks things off huge. We're looking at a solid 21ft swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is absolutely pumping at 33,905, so you know there's power. But honestly, for a point break like this, that's just too much. The wind is a cross-off from the SW at 19 mph, so the setup is clean, but this is a day for the experts only, and even then, it's a serious call. The real standout for Wednesday is the afternoon. The swell drops to a still-chunky 15ft from the SW, but the wind swings offshore at 9 mph, turning conditions glassy. That's exceptional surf for the skilled surfer, with moderate combined energy (8,282) and super clean lines.
Thursday holds good waves for the experienced. The morning offers an 8ft SW swell with a 13-second period, light offshore winds from the WSW at 9 mph, and clean conditions – a fantastic all-round setup. The afternoon is a touch smaller at 8ft, but the wind drops to a light 6 mph offshore, staying clean.
Friday is where things get interesting for a broader range. The morning is a bit crossed up with a light northerly, but the afternoon is pure gold. We get a 6ft SW swell, 12-second period, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the SSW. That's an excellent call for experienced surfers, with clean, smooth waves.
Saturday and Sunday see a shift. A long-period (17-second) SW groundswell rolls in at 8ft to 10ft, but the wind turns cross-shore from the north. These long period swells are best for points like Blacknose, which is a positive, but the cross-shore chop will mess with the shape. It's marginal, but if you can handle the bump, the energy is there.
The start of the next week, Monday and Tuesday, is a write-off. Strong cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. Skip it.
Wednesday the 5th of August offers a last little whisper. A 5ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period and a light cross-off wind from the WNW makes for a clean, if small, afternoon session.
After that, from Thursday the 6th through to the 10th, it's mostly blown out or too big with messy onshore winds. A couple of those days see big 16ft+ swells but with terrible wind, making it more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.
Then, looking towards the second week, things get wild again. On the 11th of August, we have another massive pulse: a 26ft to 28ft WSW swell with a 19 to 21-second period. The wind is fresh offshore, so it'll be clean, but the combined energy is off the charts at 51,521 and then 88,718. Again, a point break can handle this, but it's strictly big-wave territory for experts only. The 12th of August still has 16ft to 20ft SW swell with good offshore wind, but it's still very large.
The best, most accessible standout in the whole outlook? That's Thursday afternoon, the 4th of August. The swell is a very manageable 7ft from the SW, 11-second period, and it's glassy. The combined energy is moderate at 1,677, the conditions are pristine, and Blacknose Point will be handling it beautifully. That's the session to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sun night, light winds from the SW by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
8282 | 3567 | 2180 | 1645 | 1385 | 1112 | 1059 | 874 | 3231 | 4473 | 4694 | 3222 | 2704 | 1728 | 1344 | 5246 | 3575 | 1776 | 1068 | 1238 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | |||||||
— | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 |
8282 | 3567 | 2180 | 1645 | 1385 | 1112 | 1059 | 874 | 3231 | 4473 | 4694 | 3222 | 2704 | 1728 | 1344 | — | 3575 | 1776 | 1068 | 1238 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | W 10 | WSW 16 | — | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 |
— | 694 | 422 | 240 | 99 | 51 | 388 | 621 | — | — | — | 848 | — | 840 | 339 | — | 209 | 264 | 248 | 899 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | S 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | — |
— | — | — | — | 21 | 116 | 29 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 214 | — | — | — | — | 218 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | — | W 7 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 9 | — | 408 | 5246 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 76 | 107 | 7 | 204 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










