Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,632 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards, but this is no beginner’s playground. The water temp is sitting at 14.4°C (about 58°F), which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit but don’t go stingin’ yourself either.
The action kicks off on Sunday morning, the 30th of August. Early doors we’ve got some clouds, a light offshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph, and a clean 8.2 ft SW swell with a solid 13-second period. The energy is pumping at 2580 (moderate to strong). It’s already a bit meaty, so this is for the experienced crew only. By the afternoon, it builds to a 9.8 ft SW swell with clean offshore wind from the SW at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps to 2752. Conditions are clean and mean.
Monday the 31st sees the swell hold at 9.8 ft SW in the morning, period stretching to 14 seconds, and energy roaring up to 4295. But the wind swings N at only 3 mph, making it a light cross-shore. That means a few bumps on the face, and the wave comment says marginal. Still rideable for the savvy surfer, but not the pick of the run so far.
Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off. A strong cross-shore from the NNW at 22 mph with rain and lumpy chop will have you sitting in the car park. Swell drops to 7.2 ft in the morning and 5.9 ft in the arvo. Not worth paddling out.
Wednesday the 2nd is a redemption day. Morning sees a 9.8 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period – very long period, so it’ll be lining up nicely at this point break. Clean conditions with a WNW cross-off breeze at 16 mph. Energy is big at 4664. Afternoon gets bigger: 11.5 ft SW, 14 seconds, energy at 5607. Still clean with a 19 mph cross-off. This is serious wave energy and will be a proper session for anyone with the skills.
Thursday the 3rd of September is where we start talking about the standouts. Morning kicks off with a 14.8 ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, and a fresh offshore from the W at 19 mph. Clean, powerful, and the energy is 6814. But the arvo is the real gem: 16.4 ft SW, 14-second period, moderate offshore wind from the W at 16 mph – glassy and clean. The combined energy is 9020. This is expert territory, but for those in the know, it’s the best of the first week. Crowds are ‘often’ an issue here, so get out early.
Friday the 4th holds size but loses the wind. Expect 14.8 ft to 13.1 ft SW groundswell but lumpy cross-shore chop from the NNW/N at 16-22 mph. The wave comment is marginal. The energy is still huge (7870/5970), but the bumpy surface will spoil the party.
Saturday the 5th is a wildcard. Morning has rain showers and a strong WSW offshore at 25 mph. The swell is 14.8 ft WSW with a short 10-second period – that’s a tough paddle and the comment says “hard to paddle into.” Afternoon cleans up with a SW offshore at 19 mph, 14.8 ft at 11 seconds. Still big, still for experts only.
Now, from Sunday the 6th of September through Monday the 7th, things drop but remain messy. Swell backs down to 11.5 ft to 6.6 ft, but wind is cross-shore or cross-on and the energy drops. Not great.
The Big Standout – Tuesday the 8th of September. Holy moly. Morning has a 21.3 ft WSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. Energy is a staggering 26529 (very strong). Wind is from the S at 19 mph cross-off, clean. The wave comment says it’s *too big for this break*. This is a solid 23.0 ft in the afternoon with 49084 energy. Only for absolute experts with death wishes. If you paddle out on a 21 ft+ day at a point, you know what you’re doing. This is the biggest energy of the entire run.
Wednesday the 9th of September morning is still oversized at 19.7 ft SSW, energy 26414, but clean. By the afternoon, it drops to a more approachable 13.1 ft SW with a 14-second period and a clean offshore wind from the WSW at 12 mph. Energy is 9880. The wave comment says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers” – this is another true standout. Clean, powerful, lined up.
The rest of the run from Thursday the 10th through to Monday the 14th of September sees swell
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, strong winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2274 | 2752 | 2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2255 | 1402 | 2582 | 4657 | 5607 | 6852 | 6814 | 9020 | 10417 | 7870 | 5970 | 4669 | 4687 | 5030 | 4991 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
2274 | 2752 | 2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2255 | 1402 | 510 | 4657 | 5607 | 6852 | — | 9020 | 10417 | 7870 | 5970 | 4669 | 2197 | 322 | 4991 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 |
306 | — | 120 | 969 | 1818 | — | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 216 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 19 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 251 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | WNW 7 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 392 | 2582 | — | — | — | 6814 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 4687 | 5030 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 709 | 196 | 182 | 7 | 7 | 204 | 204 | 182 | 7 | 107 | 143 | 623 | 691 | 793 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











