Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,003 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Blacknose Point.
We're staring down a classic case of patience being a virtue. The forecast starts quiet, with the first couple of days being a write-off thanks to a fresh, lumpy cross-shore on the 19th that's just no good for a paddle. You'd be fighting a losing battle. Then, from the 20th through the 21st, we get some size—swells building from 6.9ft to 9.8ft, with clean conditions—but the models are calling it marginal, with questionable tide. It's there, but it's not singing. There's a gap in truly excellent conditions before we get to the highlight.
Now, the real deal. Saturday, the 22nd of August, is the standout. We've got a solid 11.5ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. The combined wave energy is pumping hard at 5837 (strong energy), and the wind is blowing moderate offshore all day. This is glassy, powerful, expert-level surf at this point break. The water temp feels about average for this time of year here at Blacknose Point. This is serious juice—over 8.2ft, so it's for experienced surfers only—and with it being a point break, that long period will wrap in beautifully. Crowds are often here, so expect company for these kinds of waves.
Saturday the 29th of August kicks up again with a 8.2ft SW swell and a very long 16-second period, but the wind swings cross-onshore and it gets choppy. That's a no-go.
Looking further out, the beginning of September shows promise. Tuesday the 1st of September afternoon looks excellent, with clean 6.9ft SW swell and light cross-offshore winds, making for some clean lines for the experienced crew. The combined energy is moderate at 1849. Then on Wednesday the 2nd of September, we get a glassy, clean 5.6ft SW swell with slight airs—that'll be a treat for intermediate surfers looking for a fun, clean session without the hassle of big crowds or heavy wind.
So to sum it up: if you're an expert, you live for the 22nd. If you want a cleaner, smaller session, target the 1st and 2nd of September. The rest is either waiting on the wind or dealing with less-than-ideal conditions.
Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 9 | W 13 | W 13 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 757 | 648 | 479 | 699 | 1491 | 2052 | 1869 | 3227 | 2606 | 6003 | 5750 | 4430 | 4493 | 3341 | 2000 | 2704 | 2378 | 2561 | 2031 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:34AM0.93m | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:08AM0.55m | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | |||||||||
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 13 | W 11 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 757 | 648 | 479 | 471 | 1491 | 743 | 1869 | 3227 | 995 | 6003 | 5750 | 4430 | 4493 | 3341 | 2000 | 2704 | 2378 | 2561 | 2031 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 13 | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 15 | 3 | 3 | 231 | 487 | 577 | — | 188 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 738 | 1124 | 1350 | 859 | 44 | 136 | 199 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | E 7 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 318 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 8 | W 9 | — | W 13 | W 7 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 21 | 29 | 153 | 699 | — | 2052 | 308 | — | 2606 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 67 | 75 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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