Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 16,060 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what Blacknose Point has cookin' for the next couple of weeks.
It's gonna start off slow before we get into some real meaty action. The first green light is this Sunday, 26 July. For you advanced guys, this point break is lookin' clean. We got a 8ft swell comin' out of the SW with an 11-second period. A gentle offshore from the west is gonna keep the face smooth. The energy is solid (1447), and it's prime for getting some long, drawn-out rides. Water temp is about average for the time of year.
Sunday afternoon stays clean, just a little smaller. Monday the 27th gets ruined by a strong cross-shore, so don't waste your time.
The big one, the session you wait for, is Wednesday the 29th of July. That swell is cranked up to a massive 20ft, folks. The wind is a clean cross-off, but this is serious, heavy, big-wave territory. There's insane energy in the water (28142). This is strictly for the pros and the locals who know the reef. The period is a long 16 seconds, which will wrap perfectly around this point, but if you're not ready for it, stay on the beach.
Thursday morning the 30th is a huge relief—the swell drops back to a much more manageable 8ft from the SW, with another clean, gentle offshore breeze. This is a fantastic window for anyone comfortable in overhead surf.
As we hit the start of August, conditions get messy. Saturday the 1st is choppy and Sunday the 2nd is blown out with onshore winds. But don't worry, Tuesday the 4th of August is another epic warning. We got another massive 20ft pulse from the WSW with fresh offshore winds. This is a monster. The energy readings are terrifying (13793 on Tuesday afternoon). This is not a day to be a hero unless you got the experience.
Clear things up on Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August. We're lookin' at 8-10ft of SW swell with light offshores or clean cross-offshore breezes. These are the pay-off days for the advanced crew. A proper, powerful point break without the life-threatening size.
The second week of August gets fickle. From the 7th through the 9th, it’s lumpy and cross-shore, not worth the paddle. Monday the 10th of August has another massive energy spike (13204) with a 13ft swell and a super long 20-second period, but the wind is a messy cross-shore again. It'll be powerful but bumpy and difficult to read.
So, circle your calendar for Wednesday the 29th of July if you're a big-wave gun, or Thursday the 30th and Wednesday/Thursday the 5th & 6th of August for excellent, clean head-high-plus waves. Expect company on the good days—this spot can get busy.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sun morning, strong winds from the WNW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | W 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2111 | 1270 | 1034 | 918 | 1152 | 1568 | 1426 | 1977 | 2963 | 8473 | 15847 | 7449 | 3112 | 2180 | 1645 | 1298 | 1040 | 836 | 926 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross |
High Tide | 12:23PM1.04m | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | |||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 98 | 1270 | 1034 | 918 | 1152 | 1568 | 1426 | 1977 | 2963 | 186 | 15847 | 7449 | 3112 | 2180 | 1645 | 1298 | 1040 | 836 | 860 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 9 | NE 5 | — | WSW 16 | WSW 19 | — | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 127 | 135 | 100 | 48 | — | 6 | 1 | — | 51 | 2067 | — | 656 | 533 | 318 | 190 | 68 | 37 | 552 | 926 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | W 14 | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 |
| kJ | — | 42 | 68 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | 405 | — | — | — | — | 23 | 53 | 224 | 11 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 4 | N 4 | W 10 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2111 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10 | 1282 | 1802 | 2521 | 8473 | 12295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 73 | 198 | 558 | 565 | 182 | 501 | 1351 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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