Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 21,091 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu over the next couple of weeks or so.
First off, we're starting with a bit of a wait. There’s no real surf worth paddling out for until Wednesday the 29th of July. That’s a few days of staring at flat or messy water, so don’t rush.
The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Blacknose Point on Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning session is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a solid 18 ft SW groundswell, rolling in with a very long 16 second period. That’s proper energy (14741 on the combined energy scale), and the wind is swinging offshore from the SW, cleaning it right up. This is an advanced wave; that size is no joke. It’s a point break, so those long-period swells will line up beautifully. Expect some proper, take-your-breath-away waves.
After that, the swell drops a bit but stays clean. Thursday the 30th of July is still a good call with clean 8 ft SW swell and gentle offshore winds. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We do see a bit of a lull creeping in from the 5th of August, turning more onshore and choppy, with cross-on winds and lumpy conditions. That run of poor quality lasts a few days until we get a flicker of hope. The very end of the outlook, on Tuesday the 11th of August, shows a return of clean, offshore winds from the WSW with a 8 ft SW swell. Not the size of that first mega-swell, but clean conditions make it a worthwhile session for those in the know.
So, to keep it simple: your window is Wednesday the 29th of July for the big stuff, and then again around Tuesday the 11th of August for a cleaner, smaller session. The rest of the time, it's either messy, too windy, or just not worth the wet suit.
Stay frothy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1325 | 1534 | 1810 | 2715 | 3227 | 15731 | 14741 | 8233 | 3567 | 2305 | 1671 | 1269 | 1094 | 960 | 976 | 2445 | 3641 | 5119 | 2825 | 3691 | 3093 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | |||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 14 |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1325 | 1534 | 1810 | 2715 | 3227 | — | 14741 | 8233 | 3567 | 2305 | 1671 | 1269 | 1094 | 960 | 976 | 2445 | 3641 | 5119 | 2825 | 3691 | 3093 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 22 | SW 13 | — | W 8 | — | WSW 18 |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 900 | 377 | 240 | 106 | 53 | 388 | 559 | 227 | 777 | — | 157 | — | 503 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 117 | 35 | 11 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | N 3 | WNW 9 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 3 | 513 | 2137 | 3092 | 15731 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 24 | 17 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 73 | 206 | 7 | 558 | 702 | 509 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 107 | 206 | 7 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blacknose Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
Nearest