
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 14,283 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.
We’ve got a wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks. The ocean’s about to wake up in a serious way. We’re looking at a bit of a lull first, then some proper swell windows with a couple of real standouts.
First up, the good stuff kicks off on Thursday morning, the 10th. Blacknose Point (Chile) is going to be absolutely thumping. We’re talking a solid 14.8ft of SSW pulse with a long 16-second period. The energy is strong, reading 16711 in the water. Winds are light and cross-off, so it’s going to be clean. This is expert territory – way overhead and powerful. This is one of the best windows we’ll see, an absolute standout. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there. The swell eases off a touch in the afternoon but it’s still solid at 13.1ft and clean, though the wind picks up a little.
Friday the 11th drops a notch to 11.5ft, but the wind swings cross-on, putting a bit of chop on it. It’s still surfable for the experienced crew, but the magic from Thursday is gone. That trend continues through Saturday and Sunday as the swell backs off and winds get messy, especially Sunday morning with a strong cross-shore blowing 19 mph. It turns into a bit of a write-off.
Monday the 14th, the swell bottoms out – small and not worth your time. Tuesday the 15th sees the size jump back up to 14.8ft but with a moderate cross-off wind. It’s clean, but the energy is a bit less organized than the first pulse. It’s okay, but nothing special.
Now, here’s where things get interesting again. There’s a gap of a few small days, and then we get another shot. On Wednesday the 23rd, about a week and a half out, we’ve got the big one. The forecast shows a massive 16.4ft SSW groundswell with a 17-second period. The energy is enormous at 13697. Winds are moderate offshore, keeping it clean. This is as good as it gets, another true standout, but it's a long-range call so don't book the time off work just yet. The afternoon holds at 14.8ft with light cross-off winds too. It's going to be pumping.
After that big day, things start to fade and get messier. The wind turns onshore and the swell starts to drop. By Friday the 25th, it’s blown out.
So, the plan is simple. Circle Thursday the 10th and Wednesday the 23rd on the calendar. The 10th is more of a sure thing, the 23rd has more size and promise but is a longer-range bet. The rest of the time, you’re picking through the leftovers the wind hasn’t ruined yet.
That’s the look. Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
16312 | 10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6172 | 3971 | 3351 | 2424 | 2002 | 1474 | 791 | 570 | 386 | 3718 | 7108 | 6380 | 5474 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | |||||||
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
16312 | 10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6172 | 3971 | 3351 | 2424 | 2002 | 1474 | 791 | 570 | 386 | 150 | 7108 | 6380 | 5474 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 16 | — | — | SSW 17 | — | — | — | SSW 17 | — | — | WNW 5 | S 11 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
— | 6185 | — | — | 2378 | — | — | — | 59 | — | — | 17 | 62 | 60 | 114 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 7 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 12 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 49 | 62 | 90 | 293 | 3718 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 214 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 221 | 221 | 501 | 552 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










