Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 20 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.6° C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,324 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, hard look at what Blacknose Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a point break, which means we’re looking at those nice, long lines when the conditions line up, but we gotta be picky about the wind and tide.

The water's sitting at about 58°F, which is a touch warmer than we'd normally see for this time of year.

The first real shout of surf comes in on Thursday the 20th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the west with a modest 13-second period, and the combined wave energy is up there at 2722. The wind is a cross-off from the NW at 9 mph, which keeps things clean, but the note says the conditions are marginal. It’s not a total write-off, but you’d be hunting for a peak.

Friday the 21st sees a real bump in size. We're looking at a solid 10ft swell from the WSW with a lovely long period of 14 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 8206, which has some serious grunt. The catch is the wind is a solid 16 mph from the WNW. That’s still cross-off, but that breeze is going to make it a bit of a wrestling match for a point break. This is big, powerful stuff, definitely for experienced surfers only.

Now, Saturday the 22nd. This is where my eyes light up. We’ve got an 12ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period. The combined swell energy is a massive 5637. But the key here is the wind. It’s offshore, from the WSW at 16 mph in the morning, and from the west at 12 mph in the afternoon. This is the real deal. The notes are calling it ‘excellent’ for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the window. Expect a fast, powerful, hollow point break on offer. These waves have serious momentum; with that period and size, it’s going to be a proper test of your paddle fitness and drop. The crowds will likely be out for this one, as it’s often busy here.

Sunday the 23rd keeps things very solid with a 10ft SW swell, but the wind swings back to a cross-off from the NW at 12 mph. It’s still clean but not as perfect as Saturday.

Monday the 24th is interesting. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-off wind, but hang in there for the afternoon. The wind goes offshore from the WSW at 12 mph, and we get another 10ft pulse from the WSW (energy at 5437). Another top session for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are both looking like clean, solid days. Tuesday morning kicks off with a light 6 mph offshore from the west, with a 10ft SW swell (3327 energy). Wednesday stays in that sweet spot with an even lighter 6 mph offshore breeze from the WSW and a 7ft swell. The sets will have plenty of push, but the light wind will make them glassy and manageable. These are the days for the decent surfer who wants power without the full-on Saturday chaos.

Thursday the 27th sees a drop in the swell to 6ft and the wind goes cross-shore. It’s not the best. Friday the 28th is a write-off as the wind goes onshore and cross-onshore with a 10ft swell, turning it into a messy, choppy mess. That looks more like a kitesurfing setup than a paddle session.

The beginning of September is a bit of a blank run. From the 2nd to the 4th, the swell drops right out and the wind is all over the shop. There's a glimmer of hope on Friday the 4th afternoon, with a clean offshore wind and an interesting 5ft swell from the SW with a very long 19-second period. The energy jumps up to 2036. That late-period groundswell could make for some clean, lined-up waves here at the point, but it’s a promise a long way out. Let’s just call it a promising whisper for now.

So, if you're an experienced surfer, get your schedule clear for Saturday the 22nd of August. That’s the one you don’t miss. Monday the 24th afternoon and Tuesday the 25th morning are your other top-tier picks. The rest is a mix of fun but tricky conditions or flat spells.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
5
3
4
5
5
5
4
3
3
3
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
W
13
1.8
W
11
1.6
SW
16
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
3
WSW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1468
714
1314
4296
3242
5788
5550
4757
5020
3257
1969
2562
1902
3032
2147
2483
1954
2570
1558
1391
1065
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
25
W
25
WSW
20
W
10
WNW
20
NW
20
W
20
NW
25
NW
20
WSW
10
SW
10
W
25
WSW
15
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross
High Tide
2:30PM0.89m
5:02AM0.85m
2:15PM0.87m
6:41AM0.80m
1:31PM0.87m
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
Low Tide
9:41PM0.22m
9:32AM0.73m
10:01PM0.25m
8:11AM0.79m
10:16PM0.30m
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
 mm
5
1
1
1
Temp °C
14
12
12
13
13
12
13
13
13
14
14
12
14
13
11
12
12
11
11
12
11
Feels °C
9
7
7
8
7
7
8
8
10
10
9
8
9
9
8
8
6
6
8
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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