Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s going to be a slow burn for a bit, but there’s a monster waiting at the end of this forecast. A lot of small stuff and wind to wade through before we get there.

The action starts on Friday the 14th. Blacknose Point is seeing a solid 13ft of southwest groundswell. That’s a heavy one, with a strong energy reading. The water temp is 58°, which is pretty standard for this time of year. With a cross-off breeze, it should have some shape, but this is definitely for the big wave chargers only.

Saturday the 15th is still chunky, around 11ft from the southwest. The morning window is the best, with a light cross-off breeze keeping things clean. The afternoon gets a bit bumpy with a cross-shore wind, so get on it early.

Sunday the 16th is where it starts to drop off and the wind turns onshore. You’ve got 8ft of leftover swell, but the onshore breeze will make it lumpy. Not great for paddling. This looks more like a wind sport day.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are a washout. The swell is down, the wind is messy, and there’s just no energy to get excited about. Wednesday the 19th is also a no-go with a fresh cross-shore breeze and rain.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Thursday the 20th. The swell is small, maybe 3-4ft, but it’s from the southwest with a long 17-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. It’s super weak, but for a longboard, it might be glassy enough for a fun session.

Then things start to pick up again. Friday the 21st sees a proper offshore wind and the swell jumps back up to around 7ft. The energy is building. Saturday the 22nd is bigger, hitting 11ft in the afternoon, but the wind gets a bit stronger. It’s still clean, just powerful.

Sunday the 23rd is a big one. You have 10-13ft of southwest swell. The morning is excellent with a light cross-off wind. The afternoon jumps to 13ft with a shorter period, which will make it heavier and more walled-up. This is for experienced surfers, no doubt.

But the real standout is Monday the 24th. This is the day. The swell builds to a solid 16ft from the south-southwest. The energy readings are off the charts. The morning has a gentle cross-shore, but the afternoon is glassy. 16ft of groundswell with a 17-second period and no wind. This is a once-in-a-while kind of day. It’s going to be big, it’s going to be clean, and it’s going to be intense. This is the one to wait for.

After that, the swell drops away quickly. Tuesday the 25th is still around 8ft, but the wind turns cross-shore. Wednesday the 26th is a mess with a strong breeze. We might get a clean window on Thursday the 27th with a fresh offshore wind and 10ft of west-southwest swell, but it’ll be wind-affected.

The run ends with Friday the 28th, which is a clean 7ft of west-southwest swell with light offshore winds. It’s a good, clean wave for the experienced crew, but it’s not the size of Monday. By Saturday the 29th, it’s all fading and the onshores are back.

So mark your calendar for Monday the 24th. That’s the real deal, the top of the forecast. Sunday the 23rd and Friday the 28th are your other decent looks. Everything else is just filling time.

Rusty.

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