Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,236 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. The first solid surf to talk about isn't until Friday the 21st of August, so there's a bit of a flat spell right now. Don't stress, it won't last long.
Alright, let's talk about the main event. The standout for the whole forecast is Blacknose Point. This is a point break, so it handles swell well. Friday the 22nd of August... that's the one. We've got a solid 15ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period, and the wind is WSW offshore at 16 mph. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is normal for this time of year. The combined energy is massive at 7644 (moderate to strong). This is big, powerful, and clean. Only for the experts though – anything over 8ft is serious business. This is heavy, long-period groundswell, so it'll be lining up beautifully on the point, but it's a proper mission. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.
Saturday the 22nd afternoon holds at 13ft SW, still with offshore wind, and Sunday the 23rd morning drops to 10ft SW but with a cross-shore wind, so not as clean. By Sunday afternoon, the wind backs off to light offshore, and the swell is 8ft SW – that's a much more manageable size for experienced surfers.
Moving into the next week, the 26th of August looks nice. Wednesday morning has 8ft SW with offshore wind, and the water is clean. That's a solid, fun day for experienced surfers. The 28th of August sees the swell jump back to 10ft, but the wind is from the NW, which is cross-offshore, so it'll be clean but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That's some serious energy (5372), but it could be a bit tricky at a beach break. On the point, it should be a ripper, but again, big and powerful.
The far end of the forecast, Saturday the 5th of September, has another big pulse. 13ft SW at 17 seconds, offshore wind, and the energy is through the roof at 8633. That's another day for the experts only. The forecast is a bit less certain that far out, but it's a promising one.
All in all, the best bet is the 22nd of August for the big, clean groundswell, but keep an eye on the 26th for a slightly more forgiving session. There's plenty of swell on the way, so don't sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4296 | 3040 | 7105 | 7557 | 7327 | 5493 | 3355 | 2235 | 2840 | 1762 | 1326 | 1387 | 2076 | 1919 | 4651 | 2111 | 1975 | 1095 | 1057 | 1273 | 3501 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross | cross | on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | |||||||||||
7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
— | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 18 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 |
3813 | 891 | — | 7557 | 7327 | 5493 | 3355 | 2235 | 2840 | 1762 | 1326 | 1387 | 2076 | 1919 | 1704 | 2111 | 1975 | 1095 | 1057 | 1273 | 3501 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SW 21 | WSW 13 |
97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 634 | 1336 | 1255 | 512 | 15 | 60 | 113 | 746 | 661 | — | 422 | 224 | 157 | 69 | 1092 | 1245 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 10 | SW 24 | SSW 11 | S 8 | SSW 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | 178 | 22 | 130 | 49 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | NNE 4 | W 4 | WSW 7 | SW 14 | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | — | — |
4296 | 3040 | 7105 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 9 | 367 | 4651 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 182 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 161 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











