Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s coming up for Blacknose Point.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but the start is a bit rough with some strong winds making things messy. The water temp is sitting at 58.6°, which is about 1.6° warmer than usual for this time of year, so nothing too wild, just a touch warmer than average.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are a write-off for good waves. We’ve got a 7.2ft to 11.5ft SW swell on the cards, but that fresh offshore wind is too strong, and the forecast is calling it marginal. The energy is high, but it’s not worth paddling out in those conditions. Wednesday the 5th is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to 5.9ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and a gentle offshore wind from the W. The energy is still strong, and the conditions are clean. This is a good one for experienced surfers – the point should handle that long-period groundswell well, but it might be a bit straight for the beachies. The crowd factor is “often” here, so expect company.

Thursday the 6th is a mixed bag. Morning is a bit off with a cross-offshore wind, but the afternoon clean up with a 5.6ft WSW swell at 16 seconds looks better. The energy is strong. Friday the 7th is the real standout early on. A 8.2ft SW swell, 15-second period, and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is pumping, and the conditions are clean. This is the best of the first week.

Saturday the 8th is a mess. Strong cross-onshore winds from the N at 22 mph will turn the 7.9ft SW swell into a lumpy, poor surf day. Avoid it. Sunday the 9th brings a big jump in size, with a 13ft to 16ft W/WSW swell, but the wind is strong and offshore on Sunday afternoon, making it hard to paddle into. The energy is huge, but it’s a beast for experts only.

Now, the real standout is Monday the 10th. This is the one to circle. A massive 19.7ft SW swell, with a 16-second period, and clean conditions with moderate cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is off the charts. This is a once-in-a-while size for this point. It’s a lot of water moving, so you need to be on your game. The point should handle it, but it’s going to be big and powerful.

The rest of the week into the second week stays solid, with 11.5ft to 14.8ft SW swells and mostly clean conditions. The energy stays high. Tuesday the 11th has a bit of cross-chop, but by Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, it’s back to clean with moderate offshore winds. The standout in the second week is Sunday the 16th with a 13ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and light winds, but the absolute best might be Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th. Monday the 17th has a 11.5ft SW swell at 16 seconds, light winds, and exceptional conditions for experts. Tuesday the 18th is even cleaner, with light winds and a 11.5ft SW swell. The energy is big, and the conditions are pristine.

If you’re a beginner, the waves over 8ft are going to be too much, and after the 9th, it’s pretty much all in the expert zone. The point is a better bet for the long-period swells, as the beach breaks might get too straight.

That’s the picture. Stay safe out there.

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