Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.8° C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 17,582 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 6th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 10th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 18s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 10th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s ahead for Blacknose Point.

We’re looking at a solid run of pulses, but it’s not all clean. The standout window is definitely the second week, especially around the 12th and 14th. Early on, we’ve got some half-decent windows but the wind is a bit of a fiddle.

Starting off Thursday the 6th, the morning is a write-off with a cross-shore wind and a messy 4ft SW swell. But the afternoon saves it – a clean 4ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a gentle offshore blowing. That’s surfable and neat, but not huge. Friday morning the 7th sees the swell jump to 8ft from the SW, but the cross-shore wind is making it lumpy. The afternoon gets a bit sloppy with a cross-onshore breeze.

Saturday the 8th is a total bust – fresh onshore winds and a lumpy mess. Sunday the 9th is mostly poor, but the afternoon has a moderate offshore wind cleaning up a 5ft SW swell. It’s okay, but not a standout.

Now, Monday the 10th is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a massive 16ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 26205, which is extreme. But the file says it’s too big for this break. That’s a warning for experienced surfers only. The wind is clean, cross-offshore, but the size will be a beast. The afternoon drops to 13ft, which is still huge.

The real magic starts to show on Wednesday the 12th. A 15ft SW swell with a 17-second period, and fresh offshore wind. That’s a powerful, clean groundswell. The combined energy is 11384. It’s big, but the offshore wind will make it a fantastic, heavy wave for expert surfers. The afternoon stays similar.

Thursday the 13th keeps the 15ft SW swell going, with clean cross-offshore winds. High energy, but clean.

The best of the whole run, without a doubt, is Friday the 14th. The afternoon session is exceptional for experts. A 15ft SW swell with a 17-second period, a moderate offshore wind, and the combined energy is 11747. The file straight-up calls it “exceptional.” That’s the one to circle. The morning is also a 16ft SW swell, but it’s a bit more cross-off, so the afternoon is the pick.

Saturday the 15th is still good, with a 12ft SW swell and clean winds, especially in the morning. Sunday the 16th has a glassy 10ft SW swell in the morning, which is a beautiful, clean option for experienced surfers.

After that, it drops off. Monday the 17th through the 19th is a mess of onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell is still there, but the wind is killing it. We get a brief clean-up on the 20th and 21st, with 10ft to 15ft SW swells, but the wind is variable and the period drops.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing weird.

Bottom line: The 14th is the one. The afternoon of the 14th is the standout. Be ready for a big, powerful wave. It’s not for beginners; the swell is over 8ft for most of the second week, so it’s firmly in the expert zone. Enjoy it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the WNW by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
4
4
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
8
!
5
2
1
2
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.5
SW
17
2.2
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
4.5
SW
20
5
WSW
18
4
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.2
SW
20
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
553
886
897
2289
3103
2295
3392
2354
2360
1977
1127
1004
14464
14652
7889
4376
3144
1607
3828
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
20
NNW
15
WSW
5
W
10
NNW
5
NNE
25
N
30
N
35
N
35
N
25
NNW
25
WSW
35
WSW
30
WNW
15
WNW
30
NNW
30
NNW
25
NW
20
W
Wind State
cross
cross
off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
High Tide
4:32AM0.85m
2:29PM0.81m
5:43AM0.83m
1:39PM0.84m
12:45PM0.93m
12:37PM1.02m
12:51PM1.08m
1:09PM1.10m
11:18PM0.43m
Low Tide
9:47AM0.65m
9:47PM0.25m
9:32AM0.78m
10:05PM0.24m
10:25PM0.24m
10:50PM0.28m
11:39PM0.34m
10:26PM0.43m
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
 mm
1
2
5
6
10
2
1
3
1
2
Temp °C
11
11
12
12
14
15
12
14
13
11
12
11
12
12
12
12
16
14
12
Feels °C
9
6
9
10
12
13
7
7
6
3
7
4
5
6
9
6
10
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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