Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Issued: 3 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.7° C

1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 20,023 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, grab your board and listen close. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at what Blacknose Point has in store for us. It’s a sweet right-hand point, fairly consistent, and picks up swell from the SSW like a charm. Water temp is sittin’ at about 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year – not a bad thing, trust me.

Right off the bat, we’ve got some surf comin’ through on Monday the 6th, but it’s a bit of a tease. Swell’s around 7 ft from the SSW, period a solid 14 seconds, but that light cross-on breeze from the east has it lookin’ messy. The energy’s gettin’ there, but conditions just aren’t dialed in yet.

Tuesday morning the 7th gets a bit better, with a clean 6 ft SW swell and a 16-second period, with a light onshore wind. It’s still not prime, but the bones are good.

Now, here’s where it gets real. Wednesday the 8th sees a jump – we're talkin’ 10 ft SW swell with a long, dreamy 18-second period. The energy jumps up. The morning has a touch of cross-on wind, but Wednesday afternoon? Glassy, with a slight onshore breeze. For experienced surfers, this is where you want to be. The swell direction is perfect for the point.

The size and quality hold over Thursday and Friday the 9th and 10th, with swells around 7 ft from the SW, but the wind gets a bit lumpy with a moderate breeze. It’s still surfable, but not the stand-out.

Then, Saturday the 11th brings a shift. Fresh breeze out of the NW, but the swell drops to 6 ft. It gets cleaner but smaller. The energy is weak.

Sunday the 12th – hold onto your board. We’re lookin’ at a wild, powerful system. The swell jumps to a beastly 18 ft on Sunday afternoon from the WSW, with a 12-second period, but the wind is a near-gale, and the conditions are marked as poor. This isn’t paddle-surfing territory. For the brave, it might be a kite or tow-only show. The energy’s strong.

But the real gem is comin’ on Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th. Monday brings a massive, groundswell from the SW at 21 ft with a 16-second period, and the wind goes fresh offshore from the WSW. The energy is massive. This is exceptional for experts only, and the point should handle that deep-water energy beautifully. The crowds here are often around, so expect company.

Tuesday the 14th stays clean with moderate offshore wind, and the swell eases to a still-hefty 13 ft from the SW with another 16-second period. The energy’s still strong.

The first week is a building storm of quality, with the 13th and 14th being the absolute stand-outs for those who can handle it.

Into the second week, things settle down but remain good. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see clean conditions with a 10 ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and light winds. Thursday afternoon even goes glassy – that is a treat. The energy remains moderate. This is a more accessible, fun size for a lot of surfers.

Friday the 17th gets lumpy and smaller, with a moderate cross-shore breeze. The energy drops off.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th gets messy again with strong winds and a lumpy cross-chop. The swell’s there (10 ft from the WSW), but the wind just ruins it for paddle-in fun.

Monday the 20th sees a drop in size and a fresh cross-off wind, but the energy is still moderate. It’s on the edge of being okay.

Finally, Tuesday the 21st finishes the run with a clean 7 ft SW swell and a gentle breeze. The energy is moderate. A nice, mellow end to a wild two-week window.

The best of the whole run is hands down Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th for the big-swell crew, with Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 16th being excellent, more moderate options. Keep your eyes on the long-range – it’s a promising one, but a week and a half out, things can always change.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning).

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
0
3
2
1
0
6
7
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
SW
14
3
WSW
9
3.5
WSW
10
3.5
WSW
11
5.5
WSW
12
6.5
SW
15
6.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1674
1093
1707
1654
2268
5756
4834
2687
1647
1402
2736
2150
2021
1690
1099
1189
2372
3307
8166
18427
18659
Wind (km/h)
10
E
10
NNE
10
NE
10
ESE
10
NE
15
NE
5
NE
10
N
10
N
10
NNE
15
N
20
N
20
N
30
NNW
35
NW
30
WSW
25
WNW
40
NW
50
W
50
WSW
35
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
3:55AM0.74m
3:50PM0.88m
5:03AM0.76m
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
Low Tide
10:23PM0.48m
9:27AM0.51m
10:39PM0.45m
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
 mm
2
2
1
2
5
2
Temp °C
12
12
11
11
11
11
13
11
12
13
11
13
14
11
12
12
10
14
12
10
12
Feels °C
9
10
8
8
9
8
11
8
10
10
8
8
9
5
5
4
3
4
2
-1
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
19
Energy kJ
1674
1093
1707
1654
2268
5756
4834
2687
1647
1402
2736
2150
2021
1690
1099
892
86
251
546
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ESE
7
0.6
SW
18
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
8
0.7
SSW
22
0.8
SW
20
1
W
7
0.1
S
26
0.3
SW
24
Energy kJ
17
272
83
52
419
455
108
13
87
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ESE
6
0.6
SSE
8
Energy kJ
12
45
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SE
8
0.6
NNW
3
0.4
NNW
3
0.8
N
4
1.6
NW
7
3
WSW
9
3.5
WSW
10
3.5
WSW
11
5.5
WSW
12
6.5
SW
15
6.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
55
8
3
17
281
1189
2372
3307
8166
18427
18659
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
3
5
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
1
1
1
9
Distance (km)
22
7
22
22
22
7
7
7
7
7
7
67
73
75
206
204
7
558
758
865
235
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
2
5
7
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
5
4
4
5
5
4
4
3
4
5
4
2
9
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
8
7
5
6
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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