
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 23,272 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 2.5m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a classic point break setup, and it’s a fairly consistent one that draws in a solid SW swell. The overall energy over the next couple of weeks is a mixed bag – we’ve got some serious power coming, but the wind is going to be our biggest enemy for a stretch.
The first few days, from Friday the 7th through to Sunday the 9th, are a write-off for anything decent. The swell is there, around 8ft to 5ft from the SW, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s choppy as hell. The combined energy is just getting bullied by the breeze. Leave it alone.
Then things get interesting. Monday the 10th is a standout for the big-wave hunters. The wind flips to a strong offshore from the SW, and we see a massive 18ft swell from the WSW. The combined energy is a massive 15100 (moderate energy) – that’s a serious wall of water. This is a point break, so it will handle that size, but with a 14-second period, it’s powerful. This is for the advanced crew only; that’s well over 8ft. It’s clean, but paddling into it will be a battle.
Tuesday the 11th drops back off the boil with a cross-shore wind and messy conditions. Not worth it.
The real highlight, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Friday the 14th. The morning is absolutely prime. We’re looking at a 15ft SW swell, with a 17-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, and it’s packing a combined energy of 10681 (moderate). The wind is a clean offshore from the WSW. This is a premier setup for a point break. The long period will make it a bit walled at a beach break, but here it’ll line up beautifully. The conditions are exceptional for expert surfers. This is the best day on offer. The afternoon holds up well too, with a 15ft swell and 16-second period, still offshore.
We get a bit of a lull through the weekend of the 16th and 17th, with smaller, more manageable swells in the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind is messy. Not a write-off, but not the gem.
Tuesday the 18th offers another nice little window for experienced surfers. The morning has a clean 6ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The afternoon is even cleaner, with a 4ft swell and a very long 17-second period, and a light offshore wind. It’s smaller, but the quality is high for the intermediate and above.
The final week from the 19th onwards sees a few more pulses of bigger swell, but the wind is fickle, often cross or strong. The overall pattern is that the big, clean, offshore days are the real standouts, and the smaller stuff is just a bit of a fight with the wind. For a point break, that long-period groundswell is a gift, but it’s not for the faint of heart.
Stay safe, and I’ll see you in the lineup.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 9°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | W 13 | WSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2289 | 3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2506 | 2326 | 1836 | 1200 | 991 | 5159 | 10520 | 6012 | 5641 | 2554 | 1324 | 1487 | 10331 | 10178 | 19874 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 5:43AM0.83m | 1:39PM0.84m | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:32AM0.78m | 10:05PM0.24m | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | |||||||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 21 | — | — |
2289 | 3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2506 | 2326 | 1836 | 1200 | 991 | 2494 | 4580 | 3294 | 5641 | 2554 | 1324 | 690 | 815 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 6 | — | WNW 7 | — | SW 18 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | W 9 | SW 18 | — | — | — |
47 | 455 | 831 | 12 | — | 118 | — | 155 | 538 | 1977 | — | — | — | — | 299 | 621 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 6 | — | — | — |
12 | 35 | 38 | — | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | W 13 | WSW 14 | SW 12 | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | W 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 16 |
— | — | — | — | 22 | 26 | 63 | 22 | 28 | 5159 | 10520 | 6012 | — | 27 | 16 | 1487 | 10331 | 10178 | 19874 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 67 | 22 | 0 | 465 | 541 | 7 | 558 | 558 | 623 | 702 | 687 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











