
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 14,143 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blacknose Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The early part of the week kicks off with some serious size and power, but the wind and conditions are a bit of a mixed bag. The real standout window looks to be the middle of the first week, with some proper groundswell and offshore winds lining up.
Monday 10th is a bit of a write-off for a clean session. There’s a big 10ft SW swell running with a very long 18 second period, and the wave energy is huge (4804), but a fresh cross-off wind from the SSW at 22 mph is going to put a chop on it. It’s a morning for watching, not paddling.
Tuesday 11th drops off in quality. The swell hangs around at 8ft but the period drops to 14 seconds, and we’ve got a moderate cross-shore breeze creating lumpy conditions. Not one to get excited about.
Now, Wednesday 12th through to Friday 14th is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell building. Wednesday morning sees 13ft at 16 seconds with a moderate offshore wind from the west. It’s clean and powerful. The wave energy is strong (9901). Thursday pushes up to 15ft with the same offshore flow, and the energy climbs even higher (10362). Friday is the absolute pick of this run – a solid 16ft SW swell with a 17 second period, light offshore winds from the WSW, and wave energy readings through the roof (13510). This is expert territory, make no mistake. The waves will be big, powerful, and clean. The water temperature is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
Saturday 15th backs off a bit to 12ft, but we still have a light cross-off breeze and clean conditions. A good day for experienced surfers who want a slightly more manageable wave.
Sunday 16th sees the swell dropping to 10ft, with a light cross-off wind in the afternoon cleaning things up. Still fun for the experienced crew.
From Monday 17th right through to Saturday 22nd, things get grim. The swell drops right off, and we’re stuck with onshore and cross-onshore winds from the north and east. Choppy, lumpy, and mostly unsurfable. There’s a nasty spell from the 19th to the 21st where conditions are just poor. The 22nd actually sees a jump back up to 12ft, but it’s blowing 22 mph from the north, cross-onshore and lumpy. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddler’s wave.
Finally, Sunday 23rd and Monday 24th show some promise returning. Sunday morning has a 13ft SW swell with a moderate offshore wind from the WSW. It’s clean again, and the wave energy is back up (7903). The wind is light rain, but the surf will be good for experts.
Tuesday 25th wraps things up with a 8ft SW swell and a gentle offshore breeze. Clean and clean, a nice way to finish the outlook.
The real standout is Friday 14th of August. That’s the day for the crew who can handle serious size. Big 16ft SW groundswell, a long 17 second period, and light offshore wind. It’s going to be a proper session at Blacknose Point, but only for the experts. Crowds are often a factor here, so be prepared for company.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4804 | 4112 | 4598 | 2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 7359 | 9276 | 9299 | 10362 | 8115 | 7580 | 13510 | 9782 | 6371 | 5641 | 5050 | 4135 | 3171 | 2498 | 1285 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | |||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
4804 | 4112 | 4598 | 2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 753 | — | 9299 | 10362 | 8115 | 7580 | 13510 | 9782 | 6371 | 5641 | 5050 | 4135 | 3171 | 2498 | 1285 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | S 12 | S 11 |
— | — | — | 200 | 817 | — | 1789 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 84 | — | 280 | 274 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
215 | 420 | — | — | 349 | 740 | 7359 | 9276 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 204 | 422 | 7 | 73 | 7 | 558 | 558 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











