Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.8° C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 20,905 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 20s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 9th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 20s
Best Surf 1PM (Mon 10th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 17s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 12th Aug)25ft (7.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s get into it.

Alright, look, we’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks at Blacknose Point. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, but it’s not a spot for beginners. The water is running at 59° right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.

The first solid call comes in on Friday, August 7th. The morning is a bit of a write-off with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind swings to the east at just 3 mph, leaving it glassy. You’ve got a solid 8 ft SW groundswell, with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (3293). It’s going to be clean, but with that size and a long period, be aware it can get a bit straight at the ends. Crowds are often a thing here, so expect company.

The real standout, though, is further out. Monday, August 10th, the afternoon is looking absolutely stacked. We’re talking a huge 15 ft SW groundswell, with a 16-second period, and the wind is blowing offshore from the west at 16 mph. The combined energy is massive (15210). This is a serious, expert-only wave. The swell is big, but the offshore wind will keep it clean. Conditions are favorable for the experienced crew.

Another big hitter is Thursday, August 13th, the afternoon. It’s an 18 ft WSW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is decent offshore. The energy reading is off the charts (26753). The guidance says it might be too big for this break, but for the experts, it’s a wild, heavy wave. Again, that long period will make it more of a reef or point wave, so be prepared for the power.

Then, Friday, August 14th, the afternoon is a gem. A 16 ft SW groundswell, 18-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the southwest at 9 mph. The energy is immense (15006). This is exceptional for the experienced surfer.

Saturday, August 15th, the afternoon is another cracker. A 13 ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong (10950). This is a great option for the more advanced among you.

After that, things settle down. There’s a decent 8 ft SW swell on Sunday, August 16th, in the morning with glassy conditions, which is good for experienced surfers. Then it gets a bit choppy and less reliable for a few days through the middle of the week. We’re looking at onshore winds and smaller, less appealing surf.

The period from August 20th to 22nd looks rough, with straight onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell is there, but the wind is a mess. That’s more of a kitesurfing setup than a paddle session.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are the afternoons of August 10th, 13th, 14th, and 15th. Those are the big, powerful, and clean swells for the experts. The glassy afternoon on August 7th is a good warm-up. Don't get your hopes up for the last week of the forecast.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon night, near gales from the WSW by Wed afternoon).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
8
4
1
1
2
4
5
7
8
!
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.4
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
2.5
SW
19
5.5
SW
11
4.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
1.6
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
5.5
WSW
11
7
SW
14
5.5
SW
15
5.5
WSW
16
4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3103
2424
3210
2668
2525
1704
1099
1004
5288
7234
11581
6068
3150
1693
1484
6797
7775
18913
13137
15211
6967
Wind (km/h)
15
N
5
E
20
N
25
N
35
N
40
N
30
NE
25
N
35
SSW
35
SW
25
W
25
NW
35
NNW
30
N
35
NW
40
WNW
55
WSW
40
SW
25
W
30
WNW
30
W
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:39PM0.84m
12:45PM0.93m
12:37PM1.02m
12:51PM1.08m
1:09PM1.10m
11:18PM0.43m
1:24PM1.09m
00:02AM0.54m
1:36PM1.06m
00:36AM0.66m
Low Tide
10:05PM0.24m
10:25PM0.24m
10:50PM0.28m
11:39PM0.34m
10:26PM0.43m
5:05AM0.30m
9:03PM0.50m
6:01AM0.26m
8:22PM0.51m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
2
6
8
2
2
1
13
3
3
2
Temp °C
13
14
12
13
12
13
12
13
12
12
12
11
14
14
13
11
9
11
12
13
13
Feels °C
11
12
8
7
5
5
7
9
12
4
5
7
7
8
5
2
-3
3
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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