
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 12,220 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 8s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
It’s going to be a bit of a slow burn at Blacknose Point, but there’s a proper window of grunty, clean swell coming in that will make it worth the wait. The swell energy is ramping up to some serious numbers, and when the wind plays ball, this spot will be firing.
The early part of the week is a write-off. Tuesday 21st and Wednesday 22nd are only offering up marginal surf with a messy cross-shore chop, even though the swell is around 8 feet to 8 feet. The wind is just too messy for it to be any good. Not worth paddling out for.
The real standout is Thursday 23rd July. The morning session is the best on offer. We’ve got a solid 15-foot swell from the SW, with a long period of 14 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind from the SW. That’s a proper groundswell at a point break, and the combined energy is a massive 15,370 (strong to very strong). It’s going to be big, powerful, and clean. This is advanced territory – over 8 feet is for experts only, so keep that in mind. The afternoon is still good but the wind picks up a bit, and the energy drops to 6,827.
Friday 24th July is another big one, with a 16-foot swell from the SSW and a 16-second period in the morning. The wind is cross-offshore from the W, keeping it clean. The energy is huge at 12,220. Again, this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon sees a drop in size and period, but it’s still clean.
Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th July are still solid with 13-foot to 8-foot swells, offshore winds, and clean conditions. The energy is still strong, but it’s a step down from the peak on Thursday and Friday. Excellent for experienced surfers on Sunday, with a gentle offshore breeze.
After that, the week starting Monday 27th July still has some decent 13-foot swell with clean cross-offshore winds, but the energy is tapering off. The real drama comes back in on Tuesday 28th July with another 16-foot, 16-second groundswell from the SW (energy 11,470), but the wind turns cross-shore from the NNW, messing up the face. The swell is there, but the wind is a downgrade.
Wednesday 29th July is a no-go. A 16-foot, 17-second swell (energy 14,473) is going to be a complete mess with a strong cross-shore wind and a 25 mph wind. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The afternoon improves to a clean cross-offshore, but the damage is done.
The forecast gets more uncertain into the second week. Thursday 30th July offers a clean 13-foot SSW swell with offshore winds, but the energy is dropping. Then it gets poor from Friday 31st July through to Monday 3rd August, with onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and the swell dropping to nothing. A blank run of a few days is on the cards. The best bet in that dead period is Tuesday 4th and Wednesday 5th August, which show a 8-foot to 10-foot SW groundswell with a very long period (18-19 seconds) and clean cross-offshore winds. That’s promising, but it’s a long way out, so treat it as a hopeful possibility rather than a certainty.
So, to sum it up: Thursday 23rd July morning is the absolute standout – big, clean, and powerful. Friday 24th July morning is a close second. After that, the window tightens up. Keep your eyes on the long-range for Tuesday 4th August.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2082 | 1944 | 1503 | 1248 | 1637 | 2024 | 5429 | 8568 | 6827 | 10551 | 12220 | 8530 | 6214 | 5063 | 4135 | 2710 | 1599 | 1675 | 2570 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 3:52AM0.85m | 3:14PM0.94m | 4:50AM0.84m | 3:16PM0.92m | 6:10AM0.83m | 2:59PM0.90m | 1:53PM0.91m | 12:21PM0.97m | 12:23PM1.04m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:20AM0.55m | 10:07PM0.34m | 9:46AM0.67m | 10:37PM0.32m | 9:59AM0.78m | 11:11PM0.33m | 11:50PM0.35m | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | ||||||||||
— | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 |
2082 | 1944 | 1503 | 1248 | 542 | — | 5429 | 8568 | — | — | 12220 | 8530 | — | — | 4135 | 2710 | 1599 | 1333 | 1862 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | SW 13 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | SW 16 | S 10 | SSE 10 |
17 | 7 | 503 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | 41 | 50 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 11 | SW 16 | — |
— | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 41 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | W 8 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WSW 11 | WSW 11 |
6 | 6 | 5 | 323 | 1637 | 2024 | — | 6802 | 6827 | 10551 | — | — | 6214 | 5063 | — | — | — | 1675 | 2570 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 73 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 221 | 182 | 221 | 793 | 501 | 182 | 205 | 221 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










