
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 21s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 19s period, SSW swell with 24,814 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blacknose Point. This is a point break, and it’s fairly consistent, so we’ve got a real run of surf to look at over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest suit.
The first proper swell window kicks off on Thursday, September 3rd. We’re looking at a solid 16ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, which is a long-period groundswell. The combined energy is massive, sitting at 9001 (strong), so there’s a lot of power in the water. The wind is a fresh 35 km/h offshore from the WSW, which will keep the faces clean, but that size is big. For experts only. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 30 km/h offshore from the W.
Friday the 4th sees the swell drop a touch to 15ft, still a long 16-second period from the SW, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW at 20 km/h, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. The energy is still strong (10083 and 9109), but the wind isn’t ideal.
Now, Saturday the 5th is a write-off. The wind is up to 45 km/h from the WNW with risk of thunderstorms, and the swell is a messy 10ft. The energy is weakening (5593). The afternoon is a strong 40 km/h offshore, but the swell period drops to 11 seconds and the energy drops further (5274). It’s clean but hard to paddle into.
Sunday the 6th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to 12ft in the morning, but the wind goes glassy offshore from the WSW at only 5 km/h. The period is a lovely 13 seconds, and the energy is 3916 (moderate). The afternoon is even better with a 10ft SW swell, 12-second period, light 10 km/h offshore wind, and clear skies. This is a standout for experienced surfers.
Monday the 7th is smaller, with 5ft in the morning, but the wind is clean cross-off from the SW at 15 km/h. The energy is 1378 (moderate). The afternoon picks up to 8ft, but the period drops to 9 seconds, making it weaker.
Tuesday the 8th is another gem. The morning is 7ft of SW groundswell with a massive 17-second period, no wind (5 km/h glassy), and energy at 3763 (moderate). The afternoon is 10ft with a 16-second period, a moderate 20 km/h offshore, and energy at 4247. This is a solid day for the experienced crew.
The absolute standout, and I mean the one to circle on your calendar, is Thursday, September 10th. The morning is a dream: 16ft of SSW groundswell with a 17-second period, and the wind is dead glassy from the SE at 5 km/h. The energy is through the roof at 13284 (strong). This is exceptional surf for expert surfers. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 13ft with a 16-second period, but the wind goes light cross-shore, so it’s still good.
The following week is a mixed bag. September 11th and 12th are blown out with onshore and cross-onshore winds. September 13th is a gale. September 14th has a 10ft SW swell with a 30 km/h offshore, but it’s a bit wind-affected. The afternoon of the 14th is cleaner with 8ft and a 25 km/h offshore.
September 15th is lumpy, but September 16th is a nice little run: 8ft in the morning with a 15 km/h cross-off, and 8ft in the afternoon with a gentle 15 km/h offshore. The energy is moderate (2671 and 1996). The last few days, September 17th and 18th, are messy with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, so the run fizzles out.
So, overall, the best bet is Thursday, September 10th for the morning glass-off. Sunday the 6th and Tuesday the 8th are also very good. For the rest, it’s a pick-and-choose game for the experienced crew.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the SW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
9001 | 9983 | 12440 | 10083 | 9109 | 6552 | 3971 | 5274 | 4239 | 3563 | 2580 | 1655 | 594 | 890 | 1935 | 2523 | 4178 | 3697 | 8455 | 21991 | 21621 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | |||||||||||
6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 |
— | 9983 | 12440 | 10083 | 9109 | 6552 | 3971 | — | 4239 | 3563 | 2580 | 1655 | 594 | 890 | 1935 | 2523 | 4178 | 3697 | 8455 | 21991 | 21621 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 11 | WSW 18 | — | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 13 | S 7 | SW 26 | SSW 24 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 515 | 126 | — | 21 | 118 | 431 | 1475 | 1129 | 69 | 27 | 1841 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 15 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 227 | — | 21 | 163 | 344 | 75 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | W 9 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | W 12 | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9001 | — | — | — | — | 18 | 1622 | 5274 | — | — | — | 702 | 503 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 221 | 221 | 7 | 7 | 182 | 195 | 709 | 691 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 691 | 841 | 1549 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










