Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.2° C
1.2° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 13,766 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 22nd Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 24th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Blacknose Point has got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks.

First things first, the water temperature is sittin' at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but it's nice to feel that little bit of extra warmth when you're out there.

Now, the surf. We've got a bit of a slow start. Monday the 20th is pretty flat and messy, not really worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 21st sees a jump in size, but it's still a bit of a jumbled mess with a cross-shore wind. The swell's got some decent energy behind it though – we're talkin' moderate wave energy (1950 on Tuesday morning, 2058 in the arvo).

Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 22nd. The wind swings offshore from the W and SW, cleanin' things right up. The swell is solid, a 7ft to 10ft with a period that goes from short (8 seconds) to that long-period groundswell (12 seconds). That's a lovely combo at the point, givin' you power and shape. Definitely a standout for the here and now.

But hold onto your board, because the real highlight is lookin' like Thursday the 23rd. That's a big day. We're talkin' a 16ft SW groundswell with a 14-15 second period, and the wind is offshore. The wave energy is absolutely pumping – that's strong to very strong, with a reading of 16904 in the morning. This is for experienced surfers only, it's going to be big and powerful. If you've got the skills, that Thursday morning session is the one you want to circle. The Friday the 24th continues the big swell, but the wind gets a bit gnarly, so it's not as clean.

Lookin' further out, the wave energy drops a bit over the weekend and into the following week, but the quality remains pretty good. The standout from the second week is lookin' like Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th of July. Another big pulse of long-period SSW groundswell is on the cards, with wave energy readings of 16775 and 18577. The wind is a clean cross-off, so the wave faces will be tidy. That's a long way out, but the signs are there for something special.

One thing to note – Blacknose Point does get crowded "often", so for those standout days, get there early or be prepared to share.

Alright, that's the long and short of it. A bit of a slow start, but then a couple of absolute crackers, especially for the crew who can handle the big stuff.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the WSW by Sat night).

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
4
6
8
7
6
6
5
6
4
4
3
3
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
2.2
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
13
1.7
SW
12
2.2
WSW
8
3
SW
12
4.5
SW
15
5
SW
14
5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
5
SW
16
5
SW
14
5
SW
13
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
12
2.4
SW
11
3
WSW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
611
757
2082
1944
1548
836
526
2430
7914
9530
10341
9176
12712
10266
8467
5633
4167
2665
1807
1370
1569
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
25
NW
25
W
25
SW
25
WSW
30
SW
35
WSW
30
WSW
40
W
40
W
35
WSW
30
W
30
W
25
WSW
15
WNW
20
W
15
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
3:16PM0.92m
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
1:53PM0.91m
12:21PM0.97m
12:23PM1.04m
Low Tide
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
11:50PM0.35m
00:46AM0.38m
2:40AM0.39m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
3
2
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
4
Temp °C
12
13
12
14
14
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
7
9
8
10
10
8
5
5
4
3
2
3
3
5
6
8
7
8
10
9
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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