Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.3° C
1.3° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 11,983 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Mon 20th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 25th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 24th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. The main event is undeniably Blacknose Point, a point break that’s going to see some serious size and energy, though it’s a mixed bag of conditions. We’ve got a few days of fairly quiet, average surf to start, then a big ramp-up.

First up, the water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but a nice little bonus. The early part of the week, from Sunday the 19th to Monday the 20th, is pretty underwhelming. We’re looking at small, weak swell, around 4 ft to 4 ft, coming from the WSW. The energy is moderate, but the wind is cross or cross-off, so it’s not clean enough to get excited about. It’s just marginal, really. The best of that early period is Monday afternoon, with a clean 4 ft from the SW and a 15-second period, which is a nice long groundswell. That’s about as good as it gets for the first few days.

Then things get real. Tuesday the 21st, the swell jumps up to 7 ft to 8 ft, WSW, with a 13-second period. The energy is strong. Tuesday afternoon has a cross-off breeze, so it’s clean. That’s a solid, powerful wave for experienced surfers, but anyone else should be careful – over 8 ft and it’s experts only.

The standout period, and the one you really want to aim for, is Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 25th. The swell direction locks into the SSW, which is the optimum for this spot. We’re talking serious size: 10 ft on Wednesday afternoon, ramping up to 16 ft and 18 ft by Thursday and Friday. The energy is through the roof. The wind is offshore, strong, and clean. This is big, powerful, fast-breaking point surf. It’s a dream for advanced and expert surfers, but it’s dangerous for anyone else. Crowds are often a problem here, and with conditions this good, it’ll be busy. Don’t expect any peace. The long period (13-14 seconds) means long, clean lines, but at a point break, that’s a beautiful thing.

Saturday the 25th is still solid, with 13 ft to 15 ft from the SW and a strong offshore breeze. The energy is still massive. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and that’s spot on. After that, the swell starts to drop, but it stays clean through the end of the month. Sunday the 26th has 8 ft to 10 ft, and Monday the 27th has 6 ft to 6 ft, all with clean cross-off winds. The energy is still moderate to strong. It’s not the highlight, but it’s still a good wave.

The second week from the 28th of July onwards is a bit more mixed. The swell is still present, with 6 ft to 8 ft from the SW and S, with periods of 11 to 14 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is moderate to strong. A couple of days, like the 31st of July and 1st of August, are poor, with lumpy, onshore winds, so skip those. The real hidden gem here is Sunday the 2nd of August. The afternoon has 6 ft from the SW with a 16-second period, a moderate offshore breeze, and the conditions are noted as excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is solid. That’s a classic, clean, long-period groundswell, perfect for a point break. The 3rd of August has more size (7 ft to 8 ft) but with a cross-shore wind making it lumpy, so not as good.

Overall, the absolute best on offer is the run from Thursday the 23rd to Saturday the 25th of July. That’s the big, clean, powerful swell. For a more accessible but still excellent wave, the afternoon of Sunday the 2nd of August is a real standout. It’s a shiny, clean, long-period groundswell without the terrifying size.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds.

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
1
2
3
3
4
4
6
5
7
4
5
5
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
13
2
WSW
12
1.4
SW
12
3
SW
12
4
SW
13
5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
5
SW
14
5.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
13
4
SW
12
4
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
525
452
511
611
757
2111
1944
1648
1117
546
2798
5948
7828
7715
8673
9566
11983
8163
6695
4742
3962
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
25
W
35
WSW
40
WSW
40
WSW
40
WSW
35
W
40
W
40
W
40
W
30
SW
25
SW
20
W
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
3:16PM0.92m
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
1:53PM0.91m
12:21PM0.97m
Low Tide
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
11:50PM0.35m
00:46AM0.38m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
 mm
9
5
1
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
1
Temp °C
13
14
12
13
14
13
14
14
12
12
11
11
10
11
12
13
13
13
12
12
12
Feels °C
9
10
8
9
10
9
10
10
7
4
3
2
1
3
3
6
6
6
5
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Blacknose Point:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blacknose Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

Nearest locationNearest