Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming our way, but it’s a mixed bag of conditions, so you’ll need to pick your moments. Let’s break it down.

The first few days are a bit of a struggle. Tuesday morning (August 4th) kicks off with a 12-ft SW swell, but that cross-off wind from the SW at 19 mph is making it tricky. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is pumping at 3415, but it’s a marginal call. Not the best start.

Wednesday morning (August 5th) sees the swell drop to 6 ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 14 seconds – that’s some proper groundswell energy. The cross-off wind is lighter at 6 mph, and the wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still strong at 1961. Wednesday afternoon stays similar with 6-ft SW swell and a 13-second period. This is the first real window for a session if you’re comfortable with a bit of size and a clean lineup.

Thursday morning (August 6th) gets messy with a 5-ft SW swell and a 16 mph NW cross-off wind. It’s a no-go for me. But Thursday afternoon? That’s a beauty. The swell drops to 4 ft, but it’s coming from the SW with a 16-second period and the wind swings to a light offshore from the SW at 9 mph. The energy is 1514, and it’s described as “gentle offshore and clean.” That’s a standout for a small-wave session.

Friday (August 7th) through Sunday (August 9th) is a write-off. The swell is up around 8 ft, but the wind is all over the place – cross-shore and cross-onshore, getting stronger and turning it into a chop fest. The energy is high, but the quality is poor. Don’t bother.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday morning (August 10th) – this is the one to circle. A massive 16-ft swell from the WSW, with a fresh offshore wind from the WSW at 22 mph. The energy is a massive 9108. The wave comment says “marginal” but it’s clean. This is big, powerful, and lined up. If you’re an expert, get out there. Monday afternoon keeps the 16-ft swell, but the period stretches to 16 seconds and the energy hits 11797. The wind is a lighter cross-off from the W at 16 mph. This is the best on offer for the whole period – raw, solid, and clean.

Tuesday (August 11th) is a monster. Morning sees a 21-ft WSW swell with a 13-second period and energy at 15101. The cross-off wind from the NW is 22 mph. It’s still clean, but this is for experts only. Tuesday afternoon gets dangerous – 23-ft swell with a near gale from the WSW at 37 mph. The energy is 17868, but it’s “poor surf conditions.” That’s a survival mission, not a surf session.

Wednesday (August 12th) and Thursday (August 13th) keep the swell over 20 ft from the WSW and SW, with strong offshore winds and clean conditions. The energy is through the roof – 17000+ – but the size is daunting. Only the most experienced should even look at it.

The second week settles down. From Friday (August 14th) through Sunday (August 16th), the swell drops to 15 ft and then 10 ft, with periods staying long at 15-16 seconds. The winds are light and cross-off, keeping it clean. The energy is still high but manageable. Sunday afternoon (August 16th) is a highlight with a 10-ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and almost glassy conditions – 3 mph WNW cross-off wind. The energy is 3348 and it’s “excellent for experienced surfers.” That’s a solid session.

Monday (August 17th) through Wednesday (August 19th) sees the swell drop to 8 ft and then climb back to 12 ft, but the wind is cross-shore, creating a bit of chop. Not the best, but still rideable if you’re keen.

The real standout is Monday, August 10th – 16-ft WSW swell, fresh offshore wind, and clean. That’s the one to plan for. The long-period groundswells throughout the run are best handled at Blacknose Point, as a point break it will handle the energy better than a beach. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Rusty.

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