Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.4° C
1.4° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,656 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 16th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Alright, we’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but it’s a bit of a tale of two halves. The first week is all about solid, groundswell-driven waves for the experienced crew, with a real standout window towards the end of July. Then it backs off a touch, but still offers some fun, clean waves for the slightly smaller swells.

Wednesday 15th July kicks things off with a strong 12 ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a massive 4600 (moderate to strong energy) behind it. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 60°F. The morning is a bit scrappy with cross-off winds, but by the afternoon it cleans right up with offshore winds. This is for the experienced surfer only, though.

Thursday 16th and Friday 17th July keep the goodness going. The swell holds at 12 ft to 10 ft, but the period stretches out to 15 and 16 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell. The wave energy is still pumping (5929 and 4421). The winds stay light and cross-offshore, so the lines at Blacknose Point will be clean and pushy. The long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up and have longer lulls, which is a blessing for the paddle out.

Saturday 18th July is a real treat. The swell drops to 8 ft from the WSW, but the morning is glassy and the afternoon is dead flat calm. The wave energy is a more manageable 1380. This is a much more user-friendly size, but still solid enough for a good paddle. A real standout for a relaxed, clean session.

Sunday 19th through Tuesday 21st July is a bit of a lull. The swell drops to 4 ft - 6 ft and the winds are messy, with moderate cross-chops. The energy drops to the 900-1100 range. Not worth getting wet for, really. Wait it out.

Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd July sees a bit of a shift. Wednesday is a write-off with fresh, lumpy cross-shore winds. But Thursday 23rd July is a major return to form. A new 12 ft to 13 ft SW groundswell arrives with strong offshore winds. The energy is massive again at 5965 and 6652. This is the top of the heap for the first week.

Now, the absolute standout of the entire outlook is Friday 24th and Saturday 25th July. This is heavy hitters only. Friday morning sees a 13 ft SW groundswell, with moderate offshore winds and exceptional wave energy (7579). Friday afternoon it builds to a 16 ft SW groundswell with a massive 10139 energy reading. Saturday morning matches it with a 15 ft SSW groundswell at 9645. This is big, powerful, expert-level surf. The direction is a perfect SSW, which is the optimum for Blacknose Point. If you’re an experienced surfer, these are the days to circle in red.

Sunday 26th July is still big and clean, but dropping. 10 ft SSW groundswell and clean. The energy is still strong (5332 and 3006). A good day for the strong paddler.

From Monday 27th July through to Thursday 30th July, the swell drops back to a more moderate 5 ft to 8 ft range. The winds are predominantly offshore or light cross-offshore, keeping things clean. The wave energy settles into the 1000-3000 range. It’s not the barnstorming stuff of the 24th and 25th, but it’s consistent, clean, and far more manageable for a standard surfer than the 16 ft monsters. The last day, Thursday 30th, the period drops to 10 seconds and the direction swings more west, so it’s a bit less defined.

So, the biggest call is clear: Friday 24th and Saturday 25th July are the absolute pick of the bunch for the experts. The size, the power, the direction, and the offshore winds are all lining up. Don’t miss it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
3
4
4
3
3
4
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.2
WSW
14
2
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.9
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
12
1.9
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4007
5070
5190
5047
3822
4467
3817
2667
1805
1380
943
566
452
511
783
757
639
556
1303
1547
1027
Wind (km/h)
20
W
10
W
10
WSW
5
W
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
WNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
5
WNW
15
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
Low Tide
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
14
15
14
12
13
12
13
15
13
13
14
13
13
15
13
15
16
13
14
Feels °C
9
11
13
13
12
9
10
10
10
13
11
9
11
9
8
10
8
11
12
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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