Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 11,439 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Sat 12th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 15th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 15th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, this is Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming in, so let’s get straight into it.

The first surf worth paddling out for hits Blacknose Point from Friday, September 11. The water temp’s sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Friday morning sees a good 12 feet of SSW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, pushing through with a combined energy of 7342, which is moderate to strong. The wind is a light cross-onshore at 6 mph, so it’ll be a bit crinkly but still rideable for experienced surfers. The tidal conditions are a bit questionable though, so don’t expect perfection. Friday afternoon, same size and direction, stronger 16-second period, but the onshore breeze picks up to 9 mph, making it choppier – not the peak of the run.

Saturday, September 12 morning starts clean, 10 feet of SW swell, still long period at 15 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the north. Then Saturday afternoon is the real standout: glassy conditions, 0 mph wind, with 8 feet of SW groundswell, and a combined energy of 3351. This is excellent for experienced surfers, clean, and the crowd factor here is “often,” so expect a few locals in the water. This is the pick of the first weekend.

Sunday, September 13 turns rough: a cold front sweeps through with 19 mph cross-shore winds, dropping the swell to 7 feet and then 6 feet with rain. Not worth it. Monday, September 14 is cleaner but tiny, only 4-4 feet, and the energy plummets below 1000. A bit of a slump.

Tuesday, September 15 is where the real juice starts. Tuesday morning brings a jump to 16 feet of SW swell with fresh offshore SW wind at 19 mph. The combined energy is 8789, moderate-strong, and the wave state is clean. However, at 16 feet this is only for experts – beginners, stay out. The same goes for Tuesday afternoon, 15 feet, clean but still powerful.

Wednesday, September 16 afternoon is another standout: 13 feet of SSW swell at 15 seconds, combined energy of 8677, and a gentle side-offshore breeze from the south keeping it clean. This is exceptional surf for expert surfers. The period is long, which means the wave shape will be better, and the energy is strong.

A bit of a drop Thursday, September 17 and Friday, September 18 – still 8 to 10 feet, but onshore winds and lumpy chop bring the quality down.

Then, circling back to the big stuff, Sunday, September 20 delivers the absolute bomb: 18 feet in the morning, ramping to 20 feet of WSW swell by the afternoon, with a combined energy of 13024 – that’s strong. Gentle offshore winds from the WSW at 9 mph, clean as a whistle, and the score rates it a 9/10. That afternoon session on Sunday, September 20 is the absolute best on offer – huge, clean, and only for the bravest. Monday, September 21 morning hits 20 feet of SW with an 18-second period, combined energy an eye-watering 20296, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit lumpy. Still, that’s world-class size.

Tuesday, September 22 settles down a bit: 12 feet of SW with light offshore winds, clean and excellent for experienced surfers. The rest of the week into the 25th and 26th sees a slow decline, with moderate onshore winds and occasional rain, but still solid 12 to 15 feet of SW groundswell hanging around until the end of the forecast.

Overall, if you’re an expert, you’re looking at Sunday, September 20 afternoon as the real standout: 20 feet of WSW swell, light offshore wind, clean and pumping. For the high-intermediate crew, Saturday, September 12 afternoon offers glassy 8 feet of surf with no wind – a rare treat.

Stay safe and watch the tides out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SW by Wed night).

Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
3
4
3
4
1
1
2
2
2
0
2
5
5
5
6
6
7
4
4
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
2.4
WSW
7
4.5
SW
14
5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
4
SSW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SSW
14
3
SSW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4936
6609
5958
4024
3351
2457
2002
1581
965
562
424
540
8023
9044
8168
7042
6761
5359
2931
2991
5281
Wind (km/h)
10
E
15
SE
10
NE
10
N
5
NE
15
NNE
30
N
20
N
15
NNW
25
W
25
WNW
30
WSW
40
SW
35
SSW
25
S
15
SSE
15
S
10
SW
5
SW
10
S
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
Low Tide
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
18
19
17
21
20
15
14
15
12
10
11
10
11
9
9
10
10
10
Feels °C
9
8
8
16
18
11
17
16
13
9
10
5
1
2
2
6
5
6
8
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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