Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day outlook for Blacknose Point, and it’s a slow starter for sure. The first week is mostly a bust, but if you hang in there, the second weekend pumps with some serious size and cleanliness. There’s a noticeable quiet patch through the middle of the week, but don’t give up.

Right from Sunday the 16th, it’s a messy scene. There’s a 8ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-on from the SE at 9 mph, making it choppy and ugly. The water’s 58°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – a small bonus. The combined energy is a huge 2557, but the conditions don’t do it justice.

From Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th, it’s a real lull. Swell drops to 4ft and even 3ft, with wind swinging from the NE, NNE, and a strong N at 22 mph. It’s cross-on, choppy, and lumpy – not worth your time. Energy drops as low as 553, so it’s weak. Wednesday afternoon sees a clean-up with a cross-off wind from the NW, but the swell is still tiny at 4ft. Hardly worth it.

Thursday the 20th picks up with a 8ft swell from the W, and the wind turns cross-off from the W in the afternoon, cleaning it up. The morning is a little cross-shore, but the energy is up to 3970. It’s still marginal, but there’s hope.

Friday the 21st is where the fire starts. Swell jumps to 10ft from the SW, with clean conditions from a cross-off WNW breeze at 12-15 mph. The energy is a booming 5777. This is for the advanced crew only.

The absolute standout is Saturday the 22nd. This is the day. A 12ft to 13ft SW groundswell (15-second period) with light offshore winds from the SW at 6-9 mph. Combined energy hits a massive 6945 – that’s exceptional power. The waves will be clean, lined up, and heavy. The finder says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers.” Over 8ft, this isn’t for beginners. The long period means long, perfect walls at this point break, and expect a crowd – it’s often busy here.

Sunday the 23rd keeps the size at 12ft to 13ft, but the wind goes NW and cross-off, still clean. Energy is 8797 – massive – but the wind is a bit stronger, so the quality dips slightly.

Monday the 24th through Wednesday the 26th sees the swell back off to between 8ft and 5ft. The wind stays offshore from the SW, but gets strong – up to 25 mph on Wednesday morning – making it clean but a real struggle to get out. Energy drops to 865-915, so it’s not the same power. Thursday the 27th bounces back with a 5ft to 5ft SW swell (16-second period) and light S winds, clean and excellent for experienced surfers.

The final weekend, August 28th and 29th, brings another pulse: 10ft to 12ft from the W and WSW with light winds. But the direction is off the optimum for Blacknose (which loves SSW), and the period is shorter at 10-13 seconds. Energy is 3700-4265, so there’s size, but it won’t be as well-shaped. The last few days into the 31st drop to 5ft to 6ft with clean cross-off winds – fun but not special.

Bottom line: avoid the first week. Saturday the 22nd is the one to aim for – big, clean, and powerful, experts only. The 27th is a nice secondary. A crowd is likely, so get in early.

Rusty.

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