Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,468 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a solid run of surf on the way at Blacknose Point, but you're going to have to be patient and pick your moments through the first week. The real gold is waiting for us in the second week.
Overall, the pattern is starting off messy. A solid pulse of long-period SSW groundswell (17 seconds) hits on Sunday the 5th, pushing 15ft, but it's blown out by a cross-onshore wind. That's a write-off. The combined energy is massive at 12313, but it's ugly. Monday the 6th drops back to a more manageable 8ft, but the wind stays a problem. There are a couple of windows on Thursday the 9th afternoon and Friday the 17th afternoon where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is smaller. Still, those will be the cleanest, most user-friendly moments in the first half.
But the standout period, and I mean the true standout, is from Monday the 13th through Wednesday the 15th. This is where it all comes together. We've got a powerful, long-period SW swell rolling in, and the wind turns clean offshore from the WSW. On Monday afternoon the 13th, we're looking at a beautiful 12ft SW swell (15 seconds) with a gentle offshore breeze. The combined energy is a strong 5233. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It pushes to 13ft on Wednesday morning the 15th with 16-second periods and a moderate offshore wind, hitting a combined wave energy of 7602. It's big, powerful, and perfect. That's for experts only, but if you can handle it, it will be absolutely firing.
Crowds at Blacknose Point? They're often around, so with conditions this good, expect company. The water temp is about 60°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. This is a point break that loves a solid SW groundswell, and it's fairly consistent when it gets the right angle. The key is waiting for that offshore wind.
Here's the run-down: from now, Saturday the 4th, you've got an 12ft SW swell but a bumpy cross-offshore wind. Not great. Then the weekend is a write-off. Things look better from Thursday the 9th for the smaller, glassy windows. After a few rough days, the real magic starts on the 13th. A solid gap of poor conditions between the 10th and 12th, but it's worth the wait.
Stay stoked, choose your sessions wisely, and get ready for that mid-week gold.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3912 | 11344 | 12313 | 8655 | 5431 | 2570 | 1674 | 1110 | 1852 | 1654 | 1959 | 5691 | 4665 | 3020 | 1647 | 1526 | 3433 | 2688 | 2094 | 1383 | 991 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:18AM0.68m | 3:24PM1.04m | 3:03AM0.71m | 3:42PM0.96m | 3:55AM0.74m | 3:50PM0.88m | 5:03AM0.76m | 3:36PM0.82m | 7:15AM0.79m | 2:20PM0.81m | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:55PM0.52m | 8:13AM0.33m | 10:08PM0.50m | 8:50AM0.40m | 10:23PM0.48m | 9:27AM0.51m | 10:39PM0.45m | 10:02AM0.64m | 10:58PM0.42m | 10:24AM0.78m | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | |||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 |
 | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | 5:28 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 3912 | 11344 | 12313 | 8655 | 5431 | 2570 | 1674 | 1110 | 1852 | 1654 | 1959 | 5691 | 4665 | 3020 | 1647 | 1526 | 3433 | 2688 | 2094 | 1383 | 991 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | E 6 | SW 18 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 22 | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | 21 | 272 | 83 | 54 | 589 | — | — | — | — | 214 | — | — | — | 1 | 47 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | — | — | SSE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 221 | 214 | 214 | 381 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 91 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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