Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Blacknose Point. We’ve got a solid run of South to West swell coming down the line, but it’s going to start off a bit rough before we hit the real magic.

It’s a long outlook stretching out to the 24th of July, but there’s hardly a gap in the action here. This point is fairly consistent, so we’re in for a good stretch.

The story begins on Thursday, July 9th, with a 7ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. That’s a decent, long-period swell, but the morning is a bit frustrating with a cross-on breeze messing with the surface. The combined energy is already pumping at 1665 (moderate), but don’t expect perfect lines. Thursday afternoon cleans up slightly with light ENE winds.

Friday the 10th is a write-off for quality. We’re looking at 7ft to 7ft SW swell, but a moderate breeze from the north is kicking up a cross-chop all day. The energy is still decent (2172-1804), but the surface is junk.

Saturday the 11th goes from bad to wild. The morning is a complete mess with 25 mph crosswinds and a 5ft swell. The afternoon brings a huge spike – 12ft from the WSW, but with 25 mph cross-off winds. The energy jumps to 3353 (strong), but conditions are raw and marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets serious. Sunday the 12th is not for the faint-hearted. We’ve got a massive 20ft WSW groundswell hitting with a period of 13 seconds. The combined energy is monstrous at 13317 (very strong). The wind is strong offshore from the west at 28 mph, so the face will be clean, but paddling out will be a battle. This is expert territory only. Monday the 13th continues the theme with 16ft to 18ft swell and strong offshore winds – clean, but again, hard work.

The big standout of the first week is shaping up for Tuesday, July 15th. The swell drops to a more manageable 13ft from the SW (period 15 seconds), and the wind goes light cross-off from the south. The models are calling it excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still high at 5973 (strong), but the conditions will be clean and lined up.

Looking deeper into the forecast, the absolute jewel in the crown is Thursday, July 23rd. That afternoon, we are looking at a 16ft SW groundswell, 16-second period – very long period groundswell. The wind goes glassy out of the southwest. The combined energy is massive at 12462 (very strong). This is an exceptional forecast for expert surfers. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, which is always a bonus.

Before that, we have another notable session on the morning of Saturday, July 19th. It’s a smaller day with a 10ft SW swell, but 9 mph winds from the south make for a clean, cross-off setup. Crowds are listed as "often" at Blacknose Point, so expect some company on the peak.

The very end of the outlook, the 24th, sees the swell holding at 13ft but the wind swings onshore from the southeast, spoiling the party.

So, the whole period is active, but the one to circle on your calendar is Thursday the 23rd of July. That afternoon is where it all comes together – big, clean, and perfect. The early part of the run, from the 12th to the 14th, is for the big-wave chargers only.

Stay salty,
Rusty.

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