Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a classic point break setup, and it’s a fairly consistent one that draws in a solid SW swell. The overall energy over the next couple of weeks is a mixed bag – we’ve got some serious power coming, but the wind is going to be our biggest enemy for a stretch.

The first few days, from Friday the 7th through to Sunday the 9th, are a write-off for anything decent. The swell is there, around 8ft to 5ft from the SW, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s choppy as hell. The combined energy is just getting bullied by the breeze. Leave it alone.

Then things get interesting. Monday the 10th is a standout for the big-wave hunters. The wind flips to a strong offshore from the SW, and we see a massive 18ft swell from the WSW. The combined energy is a massive 15100 (moderate energy) – that’s a serious wall of water. This is a point break, so it will handle that size, but with a 14-second period, it’s powerful. This is for the advanced crew only; that’s well over 8ft. It’s clean, but paddling into it will be a battle.

Tuesday the 11th drops back off the boil with a cross-shore wind and messy conditions. Not worth it.

The real highlight, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Friday the 14th. The morning is absolutely prime. We’re looking at a 15ft SW swell, with a 17-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, and it’s packing a combined energy of 10681 (moderate). The wind is a clean offshore from the WSW. This is a premier setup for a point break. The long period will make it a bit walled at a beach break, but here it’ll line up beautifully. The conditions are exceptional for expert surfers. This is the best day on offer. The afternoon holds up well too, with a 15ft swell and 16-second period, still offshore.

We get a bit of a lull through the weekend of the 16th and 17th, with smaller, more manageable swells in the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind is messy. Not a write-off, but not the gem.

Tuesday the 18th offers another nice little window for experienced surfers. The morning has a clean 6ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore. The afternoon is even cleaner, with a 4ft swell and a very long 17-second period, and a light offshore wind. It’s smaller, but the quality is high for the intermediate and above.

The final week from the 19th onwards sees a few more pulses of bigger swell, but the wind is fickle, often cross or strong. The overall pattern is that the big, clean, offshore days are the real standouts, and the smaller stuff is just a bit of a fight with the wind. For a point break, that long-period groundswell is a gift, but it’s not for the faint of heart.

Stay safe, and I’ll see you in the lineup.
Rusty.

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