Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 17,133 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a point break and it’s about to get real interesting, but you’ve got to pick your moments. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.
The forecast kicks off strong on Sunday, August 30th. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell running, with a period of 13 seconds, pushing in at 8ft. The wind is light offshore from the WSW, so it’s gonna be clean. The combined wave energy is strong (2580). This is excellent surf, but at this size, it’s really for the experienced crew. It stays clean through Sunday afternoon with the swell bumping up to 10ft, and the wind staying offshore. Good stuff.
Monday morning, August 31st, is a standout. The swell holds at 10ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 14 seconds, and the wind goes almost glassy, light from the NW. The energy is very strong (4295). This is clean, powerful, and sets will be long and lined up – perfect for a point break. This is the best on offer in the near term.
Monday afternoon sees the wind shift cross-on, so the quality drops off a bit. By Tuesday, September 1st, the wind is howling from the NNW at 22 mph, creating lumpy cross-chop and poor conditions. The swell drops, and the energy is weak (2421). Skip it.
We’ve got a big gap coming up with no real recommendations. Wednesday through to the following Monday, the swell is huge, pushing 13ft to 28ft with periods up to 16 seconds. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore, so the faces will be clean, but the size is just too big for this break. The energy readings are massive (up to 39614), and the reports say it’s too big for this spot. That’s big-wave territory, experts only, and even then, it might be more of a show than a go. This stretch is more suited to tow-in or maybe kite surfing than a standard paddle session.
The next genuine highlight doesn’t come until Friday, September 11th. The swell has dropped back to a manageable 12ft from the SW, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The wind is light from the NW. This is a groundswell of the highest quality, and the energy is strong (6787). For a point break, this long-period swell is a dream. The reports call it exceptional for experts. This is a promising long-range standout, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.
After that, the swell backs off into the 7ft to 10ft range through to Monday, September 14th, with clean conditions but nothing that screams “drop everything.” Decent fun, but the real magic is on the 11th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed night, light winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1819 | 2274 | 2752 | 2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2418 | 1521 | 3139 | 5607 | 6339 | 7223 | 5932 | 7647 | 13096 | 9775 | 6872 | 7628 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  |  |  | | |  | |  | |  | | |
 | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 19 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1819 | 2274 | 2752 | 2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2418 | 1521 | 444 | 5607 | 6339 | 6587 | — | 7647 | 13096 | 9775 | 6872 | 3241 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 222 | 306 | — | 120 | 969 | 1818 | — | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 | WSW 14 | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | N 4 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 230 | 3139 | — | — | 7223 | 5932 | — | — | — | 12 | 7628 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 623 | 542 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 204 | 204 | 221 | 7 | 86 | 107 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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