Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got one spot on the radar for this 16-day run, and it’s a solid point break that’s gonna see some serious action.

The overall pattern is dominated by a big, long-period SW groundswell that’s going to hammer Blacknose Point. This is an advanced wave, so don’t even think about paddling out if you’re not comfortable in the heavy stuff. We’re looking at a period of solid, powerful surf, but the wind is going to be a major player, especially in the early days.

The action kicks off on Thursday, September 3rd. The morning is a write-off with a 16ft SW swell and a strong 35 mph offshore wind from the W. It’s clean, but the numbers are telling us the swell is just too big. Thursday afternoon is a different story. The swell jumps to 20ft from the SW. The wind is still a fresh 19 mph offshore. It’s clean, but the size is absolutely pumping. This is only for the most experienced and ballsy surfers out there.

Friday, September 4th, is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops to 15ft from the SW, but the wind swings around to a moderate cross-shore from the NNW. The surface is gonna be lumpy and messy. Not the best day for it.

Saturday, September 5th, is a real story of two halves. Morning is a write-off due to 28 mph cross-offshore winds and rain. It’s a no-go. The afternoon, however, is pure chaos. 20ft from the WSW, 25 mph offshore winds. It’s clean, clean, clean, but paddling out will be a battle. This is for the thrill-seekers only.

Now, Sunday, September 6th, is a standout. The morning is glassy. Zero wind. The swell sits at a still-heavy 12ft from the SW. For the experienced crew, this is the moment. The wave energy is moderate, but that glassy surface makes it perfect. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze.

Monday, September 7th, the swell drops dramatically to 6ft – 7ft. The wind is strong and cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but the energy is weak. Not worth the paddle.

Tuesday, September 8th, sees a nice bounce back. The swell is back up to 7ft – 10ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 17 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is a moderate offshore, keeping it clean. This is going to be a proper, powerful point break wave. The best of the early week.

Wednesday, September 9th, the swell holds at 12ft. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the afternoon is where it gets exciting. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph, and the swell is right on the optimum direction from the SSW. The data says "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers," and I’m telling you, this is a top-tier session. Get on it.

Thursday, September 10th, is the absolute standout of the whole 16-day window. The morning is almost perfect. A 15ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, and a 3 mph offshore wind from the WSW. It’s clean, powerful, and has that long-period push. This is the one. The afternoon is a bit of a letdown with a light cross-shore wind, but that morning session is the highlight.

After that, the forecast gets a bit grim. Friday, September 11th, through Sunday, September 13th, is a real mess. The wind is onshore and strong, creating chop. The swell is still there (8ft – 10ft), but the quality is poor. The data says "poor surf conditions" and scores are zero. It’s a write-off. The wind is from the NNE and N, so it’s not even good for the wave.

Monday, September 14th, things start to improve. The wind goes offshore again, and the swell is back up to 12ft from the SW. It’s a solid, clean wave again. Tuesday, September 15th, through to the end of the forecast on Friday, September 18th, we see a consistent run of 12ft to 15ft SW swells with moderate to fresh offshore winds. It’s a reliable, expert-level run of waves, but it won’t have the magic of the Thursday morning session.

Bottom line: The best on offer is the Thursday, September 10th morning session. Glassy, offshore, long-period groundswell. It’s a dream. The Wednesday, September 9th afternoon is a close second. The rest of the period is either too big or too windy, but there’s solid surf for the brave after the 14th.

Rusty.

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