Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,721 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, looking at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that handles a solid south-west swell, and it’s mostly an advanced wave. The water’s running about 58.1°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

We’ve got a serious run of surf headed our way. The combined swell energy is strong to very strong throughout, starting at 7380 (moderate wave energy) and climbing from there. Saturday morning, the 22nd, kicks off with a 13.1ft SW swell at 15 seconds, a long-period groundswell that’ll have plenty of push. The wind’s WSW at 12 mph, offshore, so the face will be clean. This is top-shelf for experts. Saturday afternoon stays clean, with the swell bumping up to 14.8ft, same direction, period 14 seconds, and the energy jumps to 8089. The afternoon is the standout of the first weekend – bigger, clean, and all yours if you’ve got the skills.

Sunday the 23rd drops a bit to 9.8ft in the morning, but the wind swings NNW at 9 mph, cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. The afternoon cleans up, with a light W breeze at 6 mph, offshore, and the swell settles to 8.2ft. That’s a solid afternoon session for experienced surfers.

Monday the 24th is smaller, 6.9ft, and the wind is cross-shore again in the morning, so it’s not much to write home about. The afternoon has light rain and a light NW breeze, cross-off, so it’s clean but not firing.

Tuesday the 25th has a bit more size, 8.2ft, but the wind is onshore from the ESE in the morning – messy. The afternoon gets a cross-off breeze from the south, but the energy is still moderate.

Wednesday the 26th is a nice little window. Light south winds, cross-off, clean conditions, and the swell is 7.5ft in the morning, 6.9ft in the afternoon. Both sessions are clean, good for experienced surfers, but not the biggest.

Thursday the 27th morning is cross-shore and weaker, but the afternoon is a real treat. The swell drops to 4.6ft, but the period goes to 21 seconds – very long groundswell. That’s a point break dream period. The wind is light offshore from the west, glassy. The energy is still solid at 2962. This is a sneaky good session for the connoisseur.

Friday the 28th morning gets a fresh 11.5ft swell at 17 seconds, but the wind is cross-off from the WNW at 16 mph, so it’s clean but windy. The afternoon is better: 9.8ft, 16 seconds, offshore from the SW at 9 mph, gentle offshore and clean. That’s a strong candidate for the best of the first week.

Saturday the 29th has two excellent sessions, both 9.8ft, 14-15 seconds, with moderate offshore winds. The energy is strong at 5186 and 4645. The whole weekend is consistent.

Sunday the 30th keeps the 9.8ft swell going, with offshore winds from the west, 12 mph. Clean all day.

Monday the 31st gets a bit messier, with cross-off winds and a 9.8ft swell, but the energy is still high at 5608. The afternoon is 8.2ft at 18 seconds, but the wind is 19 mph – that’s a fresh breeze, so it’ll be a bit of a wrestle.

Tuesday, September 1st, is a ripper: 11.5ft, 16 seconds in the morning, 14 seconds in the afternoon, with gentle offshore winds. Clean, solid, and the energy is 5205 and 4375. This is a genuine standout.

Wednesday the 2nd drops off a bit, with cross-shore wind and a 9.8ft, 12-second swell – short period, so the shape will be weaker.

Thursday the 3rd has a fresh offshore wind at 19 mph in the morning, 8.2ft, but clean. The afternoon is 9.8ft, 14 seconds, with moderate offshore. Good but not top-tier.

Friday the 4th is another strong day: 11.5ft, 13-14 seconds, with moderate offshore winds. Energy is 4023 and 4876. Solid.

Now, Saturday the 5th is where it gets big. Morning is 16.4ft from the WSW at 16 seconds, but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. The afternoon is 18.0ft from the SW, 16 seconds, with light cross-off winds and clean – exceptional for experts only. That’s a monster.

Sunday the 6th is even bigger, 21.3ft in the morning, 18.0ft in the afternoon, but the wind is cross-on from the north, so it’s choppy and again, too big for the break. This is strictly for the brave, and even then, it’s a gamble.

The best on offer: Tuesday, September 1st, is the standout.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
5
4
4
4
2
4
2
2
3
3
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
5
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SW
15
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.4
SW
14
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SW
13
1.4
SW
21
3
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7293
7721
5796
3518
2235
2840
1762
1521
1607
2207
1892
2318
1834
1468
826
1014
1681
5225
5970
4356
2919
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
20
WSW
10
NW
15
NNW
10
W
10
NW
15
NNW
5
NW
10
ENE
10
ESE
20
S
20
S
10
S
10
S
10
N
15
NNW
10
W
15
NNW
25
WNW
15
SW
15
WSW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
1:31PM0.87m
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
Low Tide
10:16PM0.30m
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
2
8
1
Temp °C
13
12
11
13
14
13
15
15
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
13
14
12
15
13
10
Feels °C
8
7
8
10
11
10
12
14
11
10
8
9
10
10
10
10
11
10
11
10
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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