
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 22,727 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We've got a solid run of surf on the way at Blacknose Point, kicking off right now. This is a classic point break, and it’s set to pump for a good stretch.
Right from Wednesday afternoon, we’re looking at a 12ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period – that’s proper energy (5305). The wind is cross-off from the NW at 16 mph, keeping things clean. This isn't for the faint of heart; it's advanced territory from the get-go. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice little bonus.
Thursday is the first standout. The swell jumps to 16ft, still from the SW with a 14-second period. The wind goes fresh offshore from the W – 22 mph in the morning, easing to 19 mph in the afternoon. That’s a dynamic combo: huge swell and howling offshore wind. The wave energy is monstrous, around 9000 to 10000. This is expert-only stuff. The sets will be powerful and a bit tricky to paddle into, but the reward will be some of the best waves of the year.
Friday sees the swell dip slightly to 13-15ft but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. This is a groundswell that loves a point break like Blacknose. It’ll be lined up and hollow. The wind is a light cross-shore from the N, so it won't be perfect, but for that size and period, it's still going to be firing.
Saturday is a bit of a washout with a strong westerly storm front pushing through. We get 18ft of wind-affected swell but it’s paired with 28 mph winds. That’s more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle one. Things clean up again by Sunday, with the swell dropping back to 10-12ft and light winds from the NW and WNW. The energy is still moderate (around 4500 to 3000), but the conditions will be clean and fun for the experienced crew.
The swell settles into the 7-7ft range Monday and Tuesday (Sept 7-8), but don’t sleep on Tuesday. Tuesday morning we have a 7ft SW swell with a 17-second period and glassy offshore wind from the W at just 3 mph. The sets will be fat, smooth, and long – a dream for a point break. The afternoon stays clean with a gentle offshore breeze.
Now, late in the second week, we have a true standout on the horizon. Wednesday the 9th into Thursday the 10th. On Wednesday afternoon, a massive 16ft SSW groundswell rolls in with a 19-second period. The wave energy is off the charts at 18257. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the S, keeping it clean. Then Thursday morning the swell is 18ft from the SSW, still a 17-second period (17097 energy), with only a whisper of wind from the E. This is a potential bomb. The caveat is that these are long-range forecasts, so treat them as promising but not locked in. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
After that, the swell fades and the wind turns against us from Friday the 11th through the weekend, with strong cross-onshore winds creating choppy, poor conditions. It comes back to life on Monday the 14th with a 15ft, 16-second SW swell and gentle cross-shore wind. Then, absolute magic on Monday afternoon: a 13ft SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy conditions. That’s as clean as it gets. The run continues into Tuesday and Wednesday, but the wind picks up again.
So, the best of the best: Thursday, September 3rd for the massive offshore blast, and the long-range window of Wednesday-Thursday, September 9-10 for the ludicrous groundswell. If you can only pick one session from the second week, make it Monday afternoon, September 14th for the glassy, perfect conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
5305 | 6756 | 9288 | 9983 | 12930 | 10083 | 8821 | 6780 | 5573 | 7607 | 7236 | 4298 | 2640 | 1682 | 1112 | 1521 | 1614 | 2846 | 4127 | 3650 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | ||||||||||
— | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
5305 | 6756 | — | 9983 | 12930 | 10083 | 8821 | 6780 | — | — | 7236 | 4298 | 2640 | 1682 | 1112 | 1521 | 1476 | 2846 | 4127 | 3650 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | W 18 | WSW 16 | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 13 | — | SW 27 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4748 | 230 | 437 | 21 | 118 | 344 | 1614 | 1210 | — | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 22 | — | SW 15 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 163 | — | 75 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — | S 4 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 9288 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 5573 | 7607 | — | — | — | — | 25 | 158 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 196 | 221 | 221 | 7 | 196 | 143 | 377 | 709 | 691 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










