Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, we’ve got a solid run of swell on the way for the region, kicking off this Wednesday, the 12th of August. It’s not a small event either – we’re looking at a long-period groundswell from the SW that’s going to hang around for a good stretch. The main event looks to be Thursday morning, the 13th, but let’s walk through it day by day.

Wednesday, 12th August starts with a solid 12 ft SW swell at 16 seconds, but the wind is a fresh 30 km/h offshore from the WSW. That’s going to keep things clean, but the combined energy is already pumping at 9369 (moderate to strong). The afternoon sees the swell bump up to 13 ft with the same wind, so it’s on the rise. Water temp is sitting at 58°F , which is about a degree and a half warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus.

Thursday, 13th August is the standout. The morning brings a 15 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a brisk 25 km/h offshore wind from the W. The combined energy hits 10362 (strong). This is proper, powerful groundswell – it’s going to be big and clean. This is for experts only; at over 8 ft, it’s a heavy day. The only spot on offer is Blacknose Point, a point break that’s fairly consistent. Expect crowds to be a thing here, as it’s often busy. The afternoon holds up well, but the wind swings a touch cross-off, dropping the quality a notch.

Friday, 14th August is still excellent. The morning has a 13 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a lighter 20 km/h offshore wind. The energy is a bit lower at 8064, but it’s still very solid. The afternoon gets even better with a gentle 15 km/h offshore wind, making for glassy conditions on a 13 ft swell. This is a long-period groundswell, so it’s going to wrap nicely into the point.

Saturday, 15th August sees the swell start to ease slightly to 12 ft, but the period holds at 15 seconds. The wind goes light and variable, with a cross-off S breeze in the morning. It’s clean, but the energy is dropping (5050). The afternoon gets a bit of a cross-shore breeze, making it less ideal.

From Sunday, 16th August the swell drops and the wind goes onshore and cross-shore, making for a messy run. We’ve got a gap of poor to marginal conditions from Sunday through to about Thursday, 20th August. The energy drops off a cliff, and we’re looking at small, choppy surf.

Thursday, 20th August afternoon shows a small pulse of 6 ft swell from the WSW with a cleaner cross-off breeze, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Friday, 21st August afternoon is a real surprise. The swell jumps back up to 13 ft from the WSW, but with a much shorter period of 11 seconds and a light offshore breeze. The energy is moderate at 4270. It’s clean, but that shorter period means it’s a bit less organised than the earlier groundswell.

Saturday, 22nd August is messy again with a cross-shore wind and a moderate 10 ft swell.

Sunday, 23rd August sees a new, long-period SW groundswell (19 seconds!) rolling in at 4 ft in the morning. That’s a very long period, which will be great for the point, but the size is small. Winds are offshore at 20 km/h, so it’s clean. The afternoon sees 5 ft with an 18-second period, also clean. The energy is low (2334 and 2066), so it’s more about the quality of the wave than the power.

Monday, 24th August and Tuesday, 25th August are a write-off. Tuesday brings a near gale (50 km/h) offshore wind, which is paddling misery and just too gnarly to enjoy safely.

Wednesday, 26th August brings another pulse of solid 13 ft SW swell, but with a shorter 13-second period. The morning has a 30 km/h offshore wind, making it challenging but clean. The afternoon is cleaner with a 20 km/h offshore, and the energy is strong (5307). This is another good one for the experts.

Thursday, 27th August is the last day in the window with a solid 13 ft SSW swell, but the wind is cross-shore from the NNW. The energy is very high (8271), but the wind will put a bit of a chop on it.

The best of the best is hands down Thursday morning, 13th August. That’s the one to circle. It’s big, it’s clean, it’s powerful. The Wednesday morning, 26th August is also a solid option for experts later in the window.

Rusty out.

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