Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,822 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down the surf for Blacknose Point.
Right off the bat, things look grim for the first couple of days. Wednesday the 19th is a complete write-off with onshore winds and messy, poor conditions, so don't even bother. We've got a bit of a gap until Thursday the 20th when things start to show a little life, but it's still nothing to get excited about with lumpy cross-chop.
Friday the 21st brings a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period, but the wind is up and cross-offshore, so it's going to be a bit of a battle. The combined swell energy is massive, so there's plenty of power, but the quality isn't there for a standout session. This is more for the experienced crew.
Now, Saturday the 22nd of August is where it's at. This is the clear standout of the whole outlook. We've got a strong 12ft SW swell rolling in with a very long 15-second period. The combined wave energy is thumping. The wind is a clean offshore breeze from the west. For Blacknose Point, that's a dream scenario. This is a point break, and a long-period SW groundswell with offshore wind is going to set up perfectly. Expect clean, well-shaped lines for the advanced surfer. The water temp is 58°, which is about average for this time of year. Crowds are often here, so get there early.
Sunday the 23rd is still good, with a 10ft SW swell easing off and lighter offshore winds in the afternoon. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers again, but not quite as powerful as Saturday. The rest of the week holds some decent windows, but nothing that touches Saturday's quality.
Looking further out, Friday the 28th of August is a real eye-popper on paper. The data shows a massive 15ft SW groundswell with an incredible 17-second period and insane energy. It's an exceptional swell for experts. The wind is offshore in the morning, but it's strong. The afternoon has a 28 mph offshore wind which, while clean, will make paddling out and holding your position extremely difficult. This is serious, heavy-duty surf for the best of the best only.
The following week into September has a few nice days with clean conditions and manageable 7-8ft swells, like Sunday the 30th of August with glassy conditions on a 8ft SSW swell. But the energy drops off and the consistency isn't there. It's worth keeping an eye on, but for now, lock in Saturday the 22nd of August as the day.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | W 13 | W 11 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 512 | 479 | 812 | 1609 | 639 | 1438 | 3714 | 2847 | 5750 | 5228 | 4430 | 4302 | 3050 | 2000 | 928 | 1680 | 1697 | 2046 | 3606 | 3307 | 2620 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | |||||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 13 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 512 | 479 | 478 | 1609 | 572 | 1438 | 3714 | 984 | 5750 | 5228 | 4430 | 4302 | 3050 | 2000 | 913 | 1680 | 1697 | 197 | 3606 | 3307 | 2620 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 231 | 487 | 318 | — | 97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 552 | 905 | 1225 | 928 | 63 | 134 | — | 310 | 636 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | W 10 | W 11 | W 10 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 13 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 33 | 104 | 812 | 843 | 639 | 673 | — | 2847 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 24 | 5 | 2046 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 75 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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