Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.4° C
1.4° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,656 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 16th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid run of swell coming in for Blacknose Point, but it's a point break that handles a lot of size, so keep that in mind. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a huge deal, but a nice little bonus.

The action starts on Wednesday, 15th July, with an 12ft SW swell. The wind is a cross-off from the W at 12 mph, so it's gonna be a bit bumpy. The combined energy is strong (4007). It's a bit of a warm-up session, not the cleanest.

Thursday, 16th July, is where it starts to get good. The morning brings offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, with that same 12ft SW swell. The period is a long 15 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The energy is very strong (5807). This is a quality session for the experienced crew. The afternoon cleans up even more with a light 3 mph W wind, making it glassy. Same solid swell.

Friday, 17th July, stays strong. The swell drops slightly to 10ft SW, but the period is a very long 16 seconds. The morning has a cross-shore wind, so it's not perfect, but the afternoon is looking better with a cross-off breeze from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is still very strong (3819).

The swell starts to ease over the weekend, but the quality is still there. Saturday, 18th July, has a 7ft WSW swell in the morning, dropping to 7ft in the afternoon. The afternoon is clean with a light wind. Sunday, 19th July, gets smaller and the wind turns cross-shore, making it less appealing.

We hit a bit of a lull Monday and Tuesday, 20th and 21st July, with messy cross-shore winds and smaller, weaker swell. Not worth paddling out for.

Things pick up again Wednesday, 22nd July, with a clean 6ft WSW swell and a cross-off breeze. A solid, fun size.

Now, here's the real standout. Saturday, 25th July. This is the one. The morning is looking absolutely firing. A 15ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is offshore from the WSW at 9 mph. The combined energy is massive (9643). This is expert territory only – 15ft is big, powerful, and the period is so long it will be a freight train on the point. This is a rare, big-swell day for those who can handle it. The afternoon is still pumping with a 13ft SSW swell and offshore wind.

The swell sticks around into the next week, with Monday, 27th July, showing another 15ft SSW swell in the morning, with energy over 10000 (10072). Another day for the experts only. It stays solid through Tuesday, 28th July, before fading out.

The very end of the run, around 30th July, gets small and the period gets very long (21 seconds) but the swell is tiny (3ft), so it's a non-event.

The best of the best is the Saturday, 25th July, morning session. Get on it. Keep your wits about you, it's a big one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
3
4
4
3
3
4
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.2
WSW
14
2
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.9
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
12
1.9
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4007
5070
5190
5047
3822
4467
3817
2667
1805
1380
943
566
452
511
783
757
639
556
1303
1547
1027
Wind (km/h)
20
W
10
W
10
WSW
5
W
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
WNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
5
WNW
15
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
Low Tide
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
14
15
14
12
13
12
13
15
13
13
14
13
13
15
13
15
16
13
14
Feels °C
9
11
13
13
12
9
10
10
10
13
11
9
11
9
8
10
8
11
12
10
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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