
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 14,957 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 5.0m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 1.4m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple weeks at Blacknose Point.
Water temp is about normal for the season, no drama there.
The first few days are total duds. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are a mess of cross-shore wind and chop. Don't bother. Sunday the 12th starts a big swell, with waves hitting 18ft from the WSW, a long 12-13 second period. The wind goes offshore Sunday morning, cleaning it up, but that is colossal. The wave energy is massive (9437 in the morning, 10187 in the afternoon). Only for total experts. The point break setup here likes this long-period SW groundswell, so it should have good shape, but it's a beast.
Monday the 13th is the biggest. Monday morning, 18ft from the WSW at 15 seconds. This is a monster groundswell, energy reading 25293. The wind is clean cross-off. The forecast says it's "too big for this break," and it is. Only for the elite.
Tuesday the 14th is your best bet for experienced surfers. Still a solid 18ft from the SW with that long 15-second interval, but the wind is pure offshore from the SW in the morning, moderate. Energy is 12798, with "exceptional conditions for expert surfers." Tuesday afternoon is also a cracker with a perfect offshore breeze from the WSW, but still huge.
Wednesday the 15th drops to 12ft from the SW, and by afternoon you get a gentle offshore from the W. Clean, long period (14s), energy 4341. This is a top day for experienced crew.
Thursday the 16th is smaller, around 7ft from the SW, but the afternoon goes glassy with a 5 km/h offshore from the WSW. Lovely and clean.
Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are poor - cross-shore winds and lumpy.
From Sunday the 19th into the next week, it's a mix. Monday the 20th jumps back to 13ft from the WSW with strong offshore winds, but it's hard to paddle into. Tuesday the 21st is a standout: 15ft from the WSW, gentle cross-off breeze in the morning, then glassy offshore from the W in the afternoon. Clean and big.
The real standout remains Tuesday, July 14th. Pure offshore SW wind, 18ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. Clean, heavy, and at the point, it's a freight train. For the brave only.
Another great one, but smaller, is Tuesday afternoon, July 21st. 12ft SW swell, glassy offshore wind. Excellent for experienced surfers.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the W by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 9 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1446 | 874 | 1567 | 10698 | 9437 | 10107 | 11188 | 14423 | 11565 | 14957 | 12798 | 13662 | 7091 | 4932 | 4254 | 2424 | 1665 | 1422 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | |||||||||||||
— | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | |
— | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | SW 23 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1446 | 874 | 704 | — | — | 80 | 7894 | 10686 | — | — | 12798 | 13662 | 7091 | 4932 | 4254 | 2424 | 1665 | 1422 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 5 | W 6 | W 8 | NE 6 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
— | — | 4 | 3 | 153 | 1 | — | — | — | 1186 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | 247 | 87 | 647 | 363 | 224 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 22 | SW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 190 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 5 | W 9 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 2 | 17 | 74 | 1567 | 10698 | 9437 | 10107 | 11188 | 14423 | 11565 | 14957 | — | 10510 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 206 | 393 | 712 | 712 | 1006 | 204 | 558 | 952 | 205 | 0 | 221 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











