Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.3° C
1.3° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,040 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 23rd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here.

Alright, let's have a look at what's on the cards for Blacknose Point. We've got a solid run of swell coming through, but it's a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The action kicks off on Saturday the 18th. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore breeze, but the swell is already a solid 7ft from the SW with a 14-second period, giving us a heap of energy (1762). It's not the best. The real story is Saturday afternoon – the wind drops to glassy, and the swell is still a cracking 7ft from the SW. The energy is still strong (1499), and the conditions are absolutely perfect for experienced surfers. That's a standout window right there.

Sunday the 19th is a write-off with a strong cross-shore breeze and a smaller, weaker swell. Monday the 20th is similar in the morning, but the afternoon improves with a clean cross-off wind and a 6ft swell from the WSW. The energy is moderate (1162), so it's a decent option but not a standout.

Tuesday the 21st has a bigger 8ft SW swell in the morning, but it's chopped up by the wind. The afternoon is the better call – clean again with a 7ft swell from the WSW. Wednesday the 22nd is good in the afternoon – a 8ft SW swell with a solid offshore wind, making it clean and punchy. The energy is strong (1968). That's another good session.

Now, Thursday the 23rd is the first true standout. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off. The energy is massive (4904). This is big, powerful surf – expert territory. It's clean all day, both morning and afternoon. The crowds are often here, so expect company.

Friday the 24th is for the brave. We're looking at a 13ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the energy is huge (12871 in the morning). The wind is clean, but this is a serious, powerful groundswell. At that size, it's only for experts. The 13ft mark is too big for most.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are messy. The swell drops slightly but the wind is up, with Sunday getting completely blown out by a strong cross-shore.

Looking into the second week, Monday the 29th and Tuesday the 30th keep the energy high. Tuesday the 30th has a 13ft SW swell with a 15-second period, a very long period groundswell. The energy is still off the charts (7234). The wind is clean, but it's a beast. Thursday the 30th is another major standout – a 18ft SSW swell, but the wind is clean. The energy is massive (7371). The afternoon on the 30th is called exceptional for experts, with a 16ft SSW swell and gentle breeze. These are huge, powerful waves.

The run ends with some solid surf on Friday the 31st – a 15ft SW swell in the morning, and a 12ft SW swell in the afternoon with a light offshore wind. Both are clean with good energy.

From Saturday the 1st of August, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops. The swell is still there, but it's choppy and messy.

So, the best on offer? The glassy Saturday afternoon on the 18th is a perfect start. But the absolute standout is the big, clean swell on Thursday the 23rd and Thursday the 30th. For the experienced crew, those are the sessions. The late July period is where the magic is.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
1
1
2
1
1
3
1
2
4
2
2
4
5
5
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.6
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.8
WSW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.2
WSW
13
2.1
WSW
12
1.9
WSW
12
2.5
SW
12
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2509
1762
1457
799
517
452
511
692
1145
1283
2036
1648
1217
976
1968
5754
4904
4022
6296
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
10
NNW
5
SW
15
N
20
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
25
W
25
WSW
20
W
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
3:16PM0.92m
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
Low Tide
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
 mm
1
4
Temp °C
11
13
14
13
13
14
12
13
14
13
14
15
13
13
13
13
11
10
11
Feels °C
8
10
12
10
9
10
8
9
11
10
10
11
9
8
8
9
7
6
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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