Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.5° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 20,168 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s break this down.

We’ve got a big stretch of surf coming at Blacknose Point to start off. It’s a point break that handles south-west swell well, and it likes the wind coming from the SSW. It’s fairly exposed, and it’s a consistent spot for those who know it.

The water is sitting at 60°F right now, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice little gift.

First week kicks off with a massive pulse. Monday the 13th is huge – we’re talking 20 ft of south-west groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds. The energy reading is off the charts (15,880 to 18,810). The wind is a strong 25 mph from the WNW, making it a cross-off breeze. That helps keep the wave face clean, but with that much water moving, you’re looking at a spot only for experts. Too big for your average surfer.

Now, Tuesday the 14th – that’s the one. You get a solid 16 ft of south-west swell (period 15 seconds) but the wind shifts to a fresh 20 mph offshore from the west-south-west. That’s a perfect, clean offshore wind for a point break. The wave energy peaks at 21,103 in the afternoon. The internal signal is a perfect 11 out of 10. If you can only surf one day this entire outlook, that’s it. The morning is an 8 out of 10, but the afternoon is the absolute peak.

Wednesday the 15th drops to a still-chunky 12 ft south-west swell with a period of 14 seconds. Wind is lighter, a moderate 12 mph offshore from the west in the morning, keeping the surface smooth. It’s a solid day for experienced surfers. Thursday the 16th is a bit more manageable at 10 ft (period 15 seconds), with a light 6 mph offshore breeze in the afternoon. It’ll be glassy and clean – a good day for strong intermediates.

Friday the 17th has the swell backing down to 8-10 ft, but the wind goes cross-shore from the north-northwest. It’s rideable, but it’s not the pristine conditions we saw on Tuesday.

Then we hit a flat stretch. From Saturday the 18th through Wednesday the 23rd, the swell drops to a pathetic 4 ft to 7 ft, and the wind is either cross-shore or onshore from the north. Energy levels are in the hundreds. It’s dead in the water.

Second week, there’s hope on Thursday the 24th of July. A new pulse arrives: 10 ft south-west groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-off from the north-west, which keeps it clean. The energy jumps back to 5,810. That’s a solid day for the point, but the long period might make it a bit straight. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th get messy with strong winds, but Sunday’s got a 15 ft south-west swell with a fresh offshore from the WSW. That’s big and clean for the experts again.

Best of the bunch? It’s hands-down Tuesday the 14th. That perfect offshore breeze with a massive, long-period south-west swell at Blacknose Point is a once-in-a-forecast kind of session. Second pick is Thursday the 24th for the returning energy, but it’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed. The spot to go is Blacknose Point.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon morning, light winds from the NW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
6
6
8
8
!
5
5
3
4
5
5
3
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
SW
16
6.5
SW
15
6
SW
15
5
SW
15
5
SW
15
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
1.9
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1.1
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
15880
18810
15468
11393
12068
7029
4873
3844
3673
4168
4079
3874
4605
3357
2350
1648
1198
745
589
494
725
Wind (km/h)
40
WNW
45
W
30
W
30
W
30
WSW
20
W
20
W
15
WNW
15
W
15
NW
10
W
10
N
15
NNW
5
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
N
20
N
20
NNW
20
N
25
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
Low Tide
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
 mm
2
Temp °C
14
13
13
14
14
12
12
13
13
13
13
11
12
13
12
13
15
13
14
16
13
Feels °C
5
4
7
7
9
9
8
10
10
11
11
9
9
11
8
9
12
9
10
12
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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