Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 20,254 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks at Blacknose Point.
This is a solid run of swell, no doubt about it. We’ve got a point break that loves a good SSW direction, and it’s going to see plenty of action. The water’s sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing to complain about there.
The first real window kicks off Monday afternoon, August 31st. We’re looking at a 8ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross from the SSE at just 3 mph. It’s clean, but the energy is absolutely pumping with a reading of 4745, so it’s got some serious grunt. The reports say it’s marginal, but for a point, that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The crowds can be a problem here though, so be prepared to share.
Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off. That 22 mph cross-shore from the NNW is going to make a mess of things, and the swell drops off a touch. Not worth paddling out.
Now, Wednesday 2nd September is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is massive at 4903. The afternoon picks up to a 12ft swell with the same clean wind. This is a good, solid day for experienced surfers.
Thursday 3rd September is the standout. The morning is a beast: 18ft of SW swell, 13-second period, and a strong offshore wind from the west at 25 mph. The energy is 9753. The afternoon is even better: 18ft, 14-second period, and a fresh offshore at 22 mph, with energy hitting 11770. This is big, powerful, and clean. But I’ve got to be straight with you – at 18ft, this is for experts only. If you’re a beginner, stay on the beach. The wind is strong, so paddling out will be a battle, but the payoff is huge.
The 5th of September, Saturday, could be the biggest of the run. The afternoon shows a 21ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and a fresh offshore wind from the west at 22 mph. The energy is a massive 21220. The file says it might be too big for this break, so it could be a washing machine, but if it holds, it’s a once-in-a-while session for the absolute top-end crew. The morning is a 20ft swell with a near gale offshore at 31 mph, which is nearly impossible to paddle into.
After the 5th, things get a bit messy with cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions through the 6th and 7th of September. The 7th afternoon does clean up with a light offshore, but the swell drops to 6ft, not much to get excited about.
Then, hold onto your board, because Tuesday 8th September is another absolute cracker. The morning brings a 15ft SW swell with an incredible 18-second period, and a moderate offshore from the WSW at 12 mph. The energy is 12350. The afternoon is an 18ft with the same 18-second period and a moderate offshore at 16 mph, energy hitting 17625. This is labelled as exceptional for expert surfers, and I can’t argue with that. That long period will make it super clean and powerful, but it might be a bit straight for the beachies – perfect for a point like this.
The 9th of September is still very good, with 13ft and 12ft swells and light offshore or cross-off winds. The energy is still up around 7500-7800. Clean and manageable for experienced surfers.
The 10th of September has a 13ft swell with a 19-second period, the longest period of the whole run. The wind is a light cross, so it’s clean, but that long period might make it a bit tricky. The energy is 10160.
From the 11th of September onwards, the swell starts to drop back, but there’s still rideable 8ft to 12ft surf with mostly light winds. The 12th afternoon has a nice 8ft with a moderate offshore, which is a good fun option. The 13th and 14th of September are still offering 8ft to 10ft SW swells, but the wind is mostly cross, so it won’t be as clean as the top days.
The 15th of September is a bit of a sloppy end with onshore and cross-onshore winds. Not one for the highlight reel.
The best on offer: Thursday 3rd September afternoon and Tuesday 8th September afternoon. Both are massive, clean, and powerful. Thursday 3rd is the one for raw power, Tuesday 8th is the one for quality and length. Both are strictly for the experts. If you’re looking for a slightly less intense but still excellent day, Wednesday 9th September morning is your best bet.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Fri night, light winds from the NW by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2927 | 3905 | 2418 | 1521 | 2313 | 4896 | 4823 | 6852 | 9753 | 11770 | 13450 | 9400 | 7362 | 4763 | 12900 | 19729 | 17366 | 8673 | 4899 | 1932 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | W 20 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
2927 | 3905 | 2418 | 1521 | 2313 | 4896 | 4823 | 6221 | — | — | 13450 | 9400 | 7362 | 4763 | — | 1491 | 17366 | 8673 | 4899 | 1932 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | S 12 | S 12 | SW 17 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 |
1818 | — | 3 | 11 | 671 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 148 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | NNW 4 | W 9 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 40 | 268 | — | — | — | 6852 | 9753 | 11770 | — | — | 10 | 1667 | 12900 | 19729 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 7 | 231 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 204 | 758 | 221 | 7 | 107 | 196 | 769 | 747 | 747 | 0 | 107 | 107 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











