Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7°C
1.2° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 15,153 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 5.0m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)20ft (6.0m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)20ft (6.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 9th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got one spot on the radar for this 16-day run, and it’s a solid point break that’s gonna see some serious action.

The overall pattern is dominated by a big, long-period SW groundswell that’s going to hammer Blacknose Point. This is an advanced wave, so don’t even think about paddling out if you’re not comfortable in the heavy stuff. We’re looking at a period of solid, powerful surf, but the wind is going to be a major player, especially in the early days.

The action kicks off on Thursday, September 3rd. The morning is a write-off with a 16ft SW swell and a strong 35 mph offshore wind from the W. It’s clean, but the numbers are telling us the swell is just too big. Thursday afternoon is a different story. The swell jumps to 20ft from the SW. The wind is still a fresh 19 mph offshore. It’s clean, but the size is absolutely pumping. This is only for the most experienced and ballsy surfers out there.

Friday, September 4th, is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops to 15ft from the SW, but the wind swings around to a moderate cross-shore from the NNW. The surface is gonna be lumpy and messy. Not the best day for it.

Saturday, September 5th, is a real story of two halves. Morning is a write-off due to 28 mph cross-offshore winds and rain. It’s a no-go. The afternoon, however, is pure chaos. 20ft from the WSW, 25 mph offshore winds. It’s clean, clean, clean, but paddling out will be a battle. This is for the thrill-seekers only.

Now, Sunday, September 6th, is a standout. The morning is glassy. Zero wind. The swell sits at a still-heavy 12ft from the SW. For the experienced crew, this is the moment. The wave energy is moderate, but that glassy surface makes it perfect. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze.

Monday, September 7th, the swell drops dramatically to 6ft – 7ft. The wind is strong and cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but the energy is weak. Not worth the paddle.

Tuesday, September 8th, sees a nice bounce back. The swell is back up to 7ft – 10ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 17 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is a moderate offshore, keeping it clean. This is going to be a proper, powerful point break wave. The best of the early week.

Wednesday, September 9th, the swell holds at 12ft. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the afternoon is where it gets exciting. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph, and the swell is right on the optimum direction from the SSW. The data says "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers," and I’m telling you, this is a top-tier session. Get on it.

Thursday, September 10th, is the absolute standout of the whole 16-day window. The morning is almost perfect. A 15ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, and a 3 mph offshore wind from the WSW. It’s clean, powerful, and has that long-period push. This is the one. The afternoon is a bit of a letdown with a light cross-shore wind, but that morning session is the highlight.

After that, the forecast gets a bit grim. Friday, September 11th, through Sunday, September 13th, is a real mess. The wind is onshore and strong, creating chop. The swell is still there (8ft – 10ft), but the quality is poor. The data says "poor surf conditions" and scores are zero. It’s a write-off. The wind is from the NNE and N, so it’s not even good for the wave.

Monday, September 14th, things start to improve. The wind goes offshore again, and the swell is back up to 12ft from the SW. It’s a solid, clean wave again. Tuesday, September 15th, through to the end of the forecast on Friday, September 18th, we see a consistent run of 12ft to 15ft SW swells with moderate to fresh offshore winds. It’s a reliable, expert-level run of waves, but it won’t have the magic of the Thursday morning session.

Bottom line: The best on offer is the Thursday, September 10th morning session. Glassy, offshore, long-period groundswell. It’s a dream. The Wednesday, September 9th afternoon is a close second. The rest of the period is either too big or too windy, but there’s solid surf for the brave after the 14th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the W by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the S by Mon morning).

Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
5
!
8
6
5
0
3
6
9
5
4
3
1
3
4
4
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SW
14
5
SW
14
6
SW
14
5.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
6
WSW
12
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
12
2.3
SW
12
1.9
SW
13
2
SW
13
2.3
SW
12
2.1
SW
17
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6488
9152
13795
13293
10212
9245
7036
4763
9761
7923
4486
2756
1524
1129
1326
1476
2683
4178
3650
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
35
W
30
W
15
WNW
20
NNW
20
N
35
NNW
45
WNW
40
W
25
SW
0
NNW
15
W
20
WNW
40
S
25
S
10
SW
20
W
25
WSW
25
S
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
4:03AM0.92m
1:29PM0.79m
4:53AM0.85m
12:36PM0.91m
12:32PM0.96m
12:38PM0.98m
1:03AM0.43m
Low Tide
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
9:26AM0.68m
8:56PM0.13m
8:56AM0.77m
9:13PM0.15m
9:28PM0.20m
9:34PM0.28m
9:08PM0.38m
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:15
 mm
3
2
5
2
3
1
Temp °C
14
13
13
12
14
15
14
13
13
12
13
14
12
11
11
10
12
12
12
Feels °C
6
5
5
7
9
11
9
4
5
5
10
11
7
2
5
6
6
7
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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