Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s shaping up for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

There’s a bit of a slow start, with Sunday the 9th looking pretty average to be honest. The wind’s howling from the NE at 22 mph, cross-on, and the swell is all over the place. It’s a genuine 6 ft SW groundswell, but with that period a bit over 13 seconds, it’s got some energy in the water, just not the kind you want to paddle out into for a good time. That water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s at least not freezing.

Monday the 10th is where things start to get interesting. The wind swings around to a solid SW, blowing offshore at 22 mph, and the swell jumps up to 10 ft on the morning, then 13 ft in the afternoon, all from the SW. That’s a big, powerful, long-period groundswell (18 seconds in the morning, 17 in the afternoon). The energy is massive. This is proper, heavy, advanced-level surf. The offshore wind will keep it clean, but at 13 ft, this is only for experts. Blacknose Point is a point break, so it should handle the size and the long period, offering some serious, lined-up waves.

Tuesday the 11th drops off a bit. The wind goes cross-shore, and the swell backs down to 8 ft from the SW and WSW. The period drops to 14 seconds, and the energy is way down. It’s still surfable, but the wind is lumpy, so it’s not the standout.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are back on. Solid 13 ft to 15 ft SW swell, period around 15-17 seconds, with clean conditions thanks to cross-offshore and offshore winds. The energy is pumping. This is powerful, clean, and consistent. Still only for the crew with the experience to handle it.

Now, the absolute standout for this entire forecast period is Friday the 14th. We’ve got a clean 13 ft SW groundswell, period 17 seconds, and the wind is light offshore from the SW at 12 mph. The energy is over 10000. The forecast says exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers. This is as good as it gets. The point will be handling that power perfectly, offering long, open faces. The light offshore wind will keep it glassy. This is the day to be out there.

Saturday the 15th starts clean with a 12 ft SW swell and light cross-offshore wind, but the wind turns cross-shore in the afternoon and it gets a bit messy. Still a good day, but that Friday is the one.

After that, from Sunday the 16th through to the end of the forecast, we’ve got a pretty long run of marginal conditions. The swell drops back to the 5 ft to 7 ft range, but the wind is mostly onshore, cross-on, or just lumpy. The quality just isn’t there for a clean, enjoyable session. There’s a brief window on Friday the 21st with clean cross-offshore wind and a 8 ft swell, but it’s not the size or power of that earlier week. Saturday the 22nd has a 31 mph SSW wind, which is a near gale, so that’s a write-off.

So, the call is clear. The best on offer is Friday the 14th. That’s your day. Get on it.

Rusty.

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