Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Alright, we’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but it’s a bit of a tale of two halves. The first week is all about solid, groundswell-driven waves for the experienced crew, with a real standout window towards the end of July. Then it backs off a touch, but still offers some fun, clean waves for the slightly smaller swells.

Wednesday 15th July kicks things off with a strong 12 ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a massive 4600 (moderate to strong energy) behind it. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 60°F. The morning is a bit scrappy with cross-off winds, but by the afternoon it cleans right up with offshore winds. This is for the experienced surfer only, though.

Thursday 16th and Friday 17th July keep the goodness going. The swell holds at 12 ft to 10 ft, but the period stretches out to 15 and 16 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell. The wave energy is still pumping (5929 and 4421). The winds stay light and cross-offshore, so the lines at Blacknose Point will be clean and pushy. The long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up and have longer lulls, which is a blessing for the paddle out.

Saturday 18th July is a real treat. The swell drops to 8 ft from the WSW, but the morning is glassy and the afternoon is dead flat calm. The wave energy is a more manageable 1380. This is a much more user-friendly size, but still solid enough for a good paddle. A real standout for a relaxed, clean session.

Sunday 19th through Tuesday 21st July is a bit of a lull. The swell drops to 4 ft - 6 ft and the winds are messy, with moderate cross-chops. The energy drops to the 900-1100 range. Not worth getting wet for, really. Wait it out.

Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd July sees a bit of a shift. Wednesday is a write-off with fresh, lumpy cross-shore winds. But Thursday 23rd July is a major return to form. A new 12 ft to 13 ft SW groundswell arrives with strong offshore winds. The energy is massive again at 5965 and 6652. This is the top of the heap for the first week.

Now, the absolute standout of the entire outlook is Friday 24th and Saturday 25th July. This is heavy hitters only. Friday morning sees a 13 ft SW groundswell, with moderate offshore winds and exceptional wave energy (7579). Friday afternoon it builds to a 16 ft SW groundswell with a massive 10139 energy reading. Saturday morning matches it with a 15 ft SSW groundswell at 9645. This is big, powerful, expert-level surf. The direction is a perfect SSW, which is the optimum for Blacknose Point. If you’re an experienced surfer, these are the days to circle in red.

Sunday 26th July is still big and clean, but dropping. 10 ft SSW groundswell and clean. The energy is still strong (5332 and 3006). A good day for the strong paddler.

From Monday 27th July through to Thursday 30th July, the swell drops back to a more moderate 5 ft to 8 ft range. The winds are predominantly offshore or light cross-offshore, keeping things clean. The wave energy settles into the 1000-3000 range. It’s not the barnstorming stuff of the 24th and 25th, but it’s consistent, clean, and far more manageable for a standard surfer than the 16 ft monsters. The last day, Thursday 30th, the period drops to 10 seconds and the direction swings more west, so it’s a bit less defined.

So, the biggest call is clear: Friday 24th and Saturday 25th July are the absolute pick of the bunch for the experts. The size, the power, the direction, and the offshore winds are all lining up. Don’t miss it.

Rusty.

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