Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 8,551 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Blacknose Point, and I gotta say, we’ve got some serious action coming our way. This is a sweet, exposed point break that knows how to handle a solid SW groundswell, and the next two weeks have a real mix of small windows and absolute monsters.
The first few days are a bit of a slow burn, but the real juice starts building. Tuesday the 25th is a write-off, honestly. We’ve got a 8ft SW swell running, but that cross-shore wind is just messing it up. It’s marginal, and you’d be fighting the chop. Not worth paddling out for.
Wednesday the 26th is where it starts to get interesting. The wind swings offshore – SW and WSW at a gentle 9 mph – and we’ve got a clean 8ft to 8ft SW swell. The energy is solid, and the wave shape will be proper. This is the kind of day experienced surfers will love. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We have a bit of a lull on Thursday the 27th morning, with the swell dropping to 5ft, but the afternoon picks back up to 5ft with a clean cross-off breeze. It’s a nice little session, but not a standout.
Friday the 28th is the true standout of the first week. We’re looking at a 10ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period – that’s proper long-period energy, which is perfect for a point break. The wind is a light offshore. The sets will be clean, powerful, and well-spaced. This is serious, expert-level surf. Just be aware that with this much power, it’s not for the fainthearted. The crowds are often here, especially on a Friday.
The weekend (29th and 30th) sees the swell dropping back to the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind stays light. The cross-onshore and cross-shore breezes will leave some ripples, but it’s still surfable. Sunday afternoon actually sees a jump back to 10ft (SSW), so keep an eye on that.
Now, for the second week, we’re looking at a massive long-range pulse. Monday the 31st of August is an absolute beast. The morning shows an 12ft SW groundswell (17s period) with a cross-shore breeze, but the afternoon is the real gem: 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, clean offshore wind from the west. This is another expert-only day, and it’s a huge one.
The first few days of September are a mixed bag. Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd have some clean offshore windows, but the energy is dropping. The 2nd is a total write-off with strong cross-onshore winds making it a messy 10ft swell. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.
Then we get to the end of the run, and it gets absolutely mental. Saturday the 5th of September has a massive 15ft SW swell, but the wind is howling onshore at 25 mph. The afternoon is cleaner, but that’s a huge, powerful wave. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th see the swell peak at a colossal 20ft (15-17s period) with clean cross-off winds. The energy readings are off the charts. This is not a surf for anyone but the most experienced, and even then, it’s borderline too big.
The last few days of the 8th and 9th start to drop back down, but the wind stays strong, so it’s messy.
Overall, the best on offer is Friday the 28th of August for a solid, powerful, clean day, and Monday the 31st of August afternoon for the biggest, cleanest set of the run. Both are for experts only. The middle of the second week is a high-surf event that needs serious respect.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1583 | 2207 | 1952 | 2895 | 1945 | 1697 | 1107 | 752 | 784 | 1753 | 5018 | 3880 | 2869 | 2090 | 1408 | 1037 | 1327 | 3440 | 8551 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | ||||||||
— | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 |
1583 | 2207 | 1952 | 2895 | 1945 | 1697 | 1107 | 752 | 784 | 1753 | 5018 | 3880 | 2869 | 2090 | 1408 | 1037 | 1327 | 3440 | 8551 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SE 10 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | SW 24 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — |
113 | 448 | 508 | 431 | 422 | 40 | 4 | 170 | 478 | 1567 | — | 7 | — | 23 | 52 | 222 | 306 | 2485 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SSE 8 | SSW 10 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 111 | 257 | 22 | 55 | 102 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 69 | 388 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 22 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 92 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











