Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.7° C
1.7° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 17,373 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 2.4m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of groundswell coming in, and the water is sitting at 60°F – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber straight away.

The week kicks off properly on Thursday, July 9th. It’s not the cleanest start – a light cross-on breeze from the N at 6 mph, with a 7 ft SW swell at a long 15 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (1665), but the wind is putting a few ripples on the face. It’s okay for a paddle, but not the best of the run.

Friday morning, July 10th, gets a bit messier. The swell bumps up to 7 ft SW, but that N wind picks up to 12 mph, cross-shore, and it’s choppy. The energy is still moderate (2154), but the quality drops. Not a day to get excited about.

Saturday July 11th is a write-off for paddle surfing. The morning is strong cross-shore with 25 mph NNW winds and a weak 5 ft swell. The afternoon brings a shift: the wind goes offshore from the W at 25 mph, but the swell jumps to 12 ft at a short 10 seconds. That’s a lot of wind and a short, lumpy period. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday July 12th is a true standout. The swell is pumping – 23 ft from the WSW at 13 seconds on Sunday morning, and the energy is massive (17390). The wind is strong offshore from the WSW at 28 mph, making it clean but very hard to paddle into. This is expert territory only. The afternoon drops to 20 ft SW with a fresh offshore, still clean and powerful. If you’re an experienced charger, this is *the* day.

Monday July 13th is huge again: 18 ft WSW at 15 seconds, with a very strong offshore breeze. The energy is enormous (23220), and it’s clean, but the swell is too big for this break. Even for experts, it’s pushing the limit. The afternoon turns messy.

Tuesday July 14th is another standout. The morning brings 16 ft SW at a very long 16 seconds, with a moderate offshore from the SW. The energy is still very strong (14007), but the wind is clean and the period is long. This is exceptional for expert surfers – a point break like Blacknose Point will love this long-period groundswell. The afternoon stays clean and solid at 16 ft. This is the pick of the second half of the week.

Wednesday July 15th through the weekend sees the swell slowly drop back. The wind stays light or cross for most of it, with clean conditions on Monday July 20th afternoon (12 ft SW, 16 seconds, light offshore) and a glassy morning on Tuesday July 21st (10 ft SW, 13 seconds). Both are good for experienced surfers, but not the size of the previous week.

The long-range window shows another pulse around Friday July 24th: 18 ft WSW at 15 seconds, fresh offshore, and strong energy (11889). That’s promising for the end of the run, but it’s a way off, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sun morning, light winds from the SSE by Tue night).

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
7
7
6
6
4
4
8
8
6
6
4
5
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
2.4
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
2.5
W
10
6
WSW
12
6.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
13
5
WSW
14
4
WSW
13
5
WSW
14
5.5
SW
15
5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1647
1421
2839
2298
1669
1325
874
1319
10829
14074
11045
9806
5579
8909
13277
12399
10565
8880
5838
4178
2216
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
ENE
15
N
15
N
20
N
30
N
40
N
40
WNW
45
W
45
W
40
W
35
WNW
35
WNW
45
WNW
35
WSW
25
SW
25
SSW
15
S
10
SSE
5
S
5
NE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
Low Tide
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
 mm
4
5
3
3
1
2
1
1
3
Temp °C
11
13
11
12
14
11
12
11
12
13
13
13
14
14
12
10
12
11
10
10
10
Feels °C
9
10
8
8
10
5
4
1
2
4
5
6
6
6
3
4
5
5
7
8
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Blacknose Point:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Blacknose Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

Nearest locationNearest