
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 14,988 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. We’ve got Blacknose Point on the radar, a proper point break that’s fairly consistent and works best when the swell comes out of the south-southwest. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a bit more comfortable than usual.
The first real action kicks off Thursday afternoon (6th August). It’s a bit cloudy, with a gentle offshore breeze from the southwest, and the swell is a clean 4ft from the southwest, with a period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy is very strong (1344). The waves will be lined up nicely for the point, but at this size, it’s more for the experienced crew. It’s not a standout yet, but it’s a good start.
Friday morning (7th August) is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell has jumped to 8ft, still from the southwest, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the north. It’s a bit messy, with small ripples on the face. Not the best. But hold on – Friday afternoon is where it gets interesting. The wind swings to a glassy north-northeast, leaving the ocean like a mirror. The swell is 8ft from the southwest with a 15-second period, and the energy is strong (3295). This is a serious window for experienced surfers. The waves will be big, clean, and powerful. If you’ve got the skills, this is the best session of the first week.
Saturday (8th August) is a write-off. The wind picks up from the north, blowing hard and cross-onshore, turning the place into a lumpy mess. Sunday (9th August) is similar – light rain and choppy conditions. Steer clear.
Monday morning (10th August) is a big one. The swell hits 10ft from the southwest with a 17-second period, and the wind is a fresh offshore from the west-southwest. The energy is enormous (8156). This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s a standout for the hardcore crew only. The afternoon pushes it to 13ft, still clean, but the wind is a bit more side-offshore. That’s expert territory only.
Tuesday (11th August) is a downgrade – the wind turns cross-shore and lumpy, so despite the size, it’s not worth it.
Wednesday (12th August) sees another big pulse. Morning is 12ft, clean with a cross-offshore wind, but the afternoon is a beast: 13ft from the southwest with a 16-second period, and the wind is a near-gale offshore from the west-southwest. The energy is through the roof (12498). That’s pure power, but paddling into it will be a battle. Only for the absolute best.
Thursday (13th August) and Friday (14th August) are both excellent. Thursday morning has 12ft, gentle offshore, clean. Friday afternoon is the real standout of the second week: 13ft, 16-second period, moderate offshore wind, and the energy is massive (7370). The waves will be big, clean, and lined up perfectly for the point. This is a gem for experts.
After that, the swell drops a bit, but Sunday afternoon (16th August) is worth a mention – 8ft from the southwest, 16-second period, clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. Good for experienced surfers.
Monday (17th August) is glassy in the morning, 6ft, but it’s smaller. A nice, mellow end to the run.
The rest of the forecast into the third week looks smaller, wind-affected, and not worth chasing. There’s a gap of a few days with no real recommendation.
Best on offer: Friday afternoon (7th August) for the glassy, 8ft swell, and the afternoon of 14th August for the big, clean, powerful 13ft groundswell. Both are for experts only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed morning). Mainly near gales. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
897 | 2289 | 3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2516 | 2360 | 1977 | 1127 | 3074 | 12389 | 5561 | 9195 | 5774 | 3099 | 1668 | 1944 | 6633 | 9091 | 8777 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 5:43AM0.83m | 1:39PM0.84m | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:47PM0.25m | 9:32AM0.78m | 10:05PM0.24m | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | |||||||||||
— | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | NNW 4 | WSW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 17 |
897 | 2289 | 3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2516 | 2360 | 1977 | 1127 | 15 | 5407 | 5561 | 9195 | 5774 | 3099 | 1668 | 1482 | 6633 | 1712 | 8777 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | WSW 6 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 6 | W 5 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | W 9 | SW 18 | — | SW 20 | — |
299 | 47 | 455 | 831 | 12 | 2 | — | — | 255 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 320 | 1944 | — | 1695 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 | W 11 | — | — | — |
30 | 12 | 26 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 442 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | WSW 16 | SW 19 | WSW 10 | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | N 5 | SSW 7 | SW 16 | — |
118 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 44 | 51 | 52 | 3074 | 12389 | 2595 | — | — | 13 | 6 | 71 | 380 | 9091 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 67 | 7 | 204 | 541 | 541 | 7 | 107 | 130 | 7 | 204 | 558 | 426 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











