Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Issued: 9 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.9° C

1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,468 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 4th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 4th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with the outlook for Blacknose Point. We've got a mixed bag on the way, but there are a few moments that'll get the blood pumpin'.

Right now, the surf is up, but it's a bit of a messy situation. Saturday the 4th sees a solid 12ft SW groundswell, with a combined wave energy of 3903. It's powerful, but that cross-offshore breeze is making it tricky. The water temp is sittin' about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real trouble starts Sunday the 5th. That swell jacks up to 16ft from the SSW, pumping out a massive 12507 combined energy, but the wind is a dirty cross-onshore. By the afternoon, it gets even worse with a 16 mph breeze chopping it all up. The period is a very long 17 seconds, which should make the lines at this point break excellent, but the wind's gonna kill it. It'll be more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session.

Now, Tuesday the 7th is where things get interesting. The swell drops a bit to about 7ft from the SW, but the wind goes glassy. Absolutely zero wind. The water will be like a mirror. The combined energy is a solid 1973 and the period is a long 16 seconds. This is for the experienced crew only – anything over 5ft and this spot gets serious. For a few hours there, it's gonna be perfect.

The rest of the first week stays marginal with onshore winds most days, but keep an eye on Wednesday the 8th afternoon. The swell holds at 10ft from the SW, and it's glassy again. Good shape, long period, but it's a big boy wave.

Then there's a proper lull. From Thursday the 9th right through to the following Sunday the 12th, the conditions are poor. The wind stays messy, the swell drops, and the quality is just not there.

But hold onto your board, because the second week has a standout. Monday the 13th of July is the big one. The forecast is callin' for a huge 25ft SW swell (combined energy of 21996). The wind is a fresh offshore, which will groom those faces like glass. This is strictly for experts only, no question. It's a long-range call so things can change, but if it comes together, it will be the biggest, cleanest swell of the period.

Tuesday the 14th is another excellent day for the big-wave crew, with 13ft SW swell and a moderate offshore wind, keepin' it clean. The rest of that week settles down with solid 10ft swell and light winds, offering some decent, clean but heavy waves for the experienced.

Overall, the best moments are the glassy windows on the 7th and the 8th, but the real prize is that massive offshore groundswell on the 13th. If you're a charger, that's your day. Crowds are often an issue here, so get there early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
5
3
3
7
6
0
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
5
5
3
2
3
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
5
SSW
16
5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.9
SW
16
2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6130
3903
3912
11344
12507
8655
5431
2673
1674
1093
1875
1761
1959
6296
5310
3252
2055
1624
2147
1760
1536
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
20
SW
20
SSW
15
SSE
20
ESE
25
ESE
15
ENE
10
NNE
10
N
5
N
5
NNE
5
SE
5
NE
5
N
5
SE
5
E
10
NE
10
ESE
10
NE
15
N
15
N
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:37AM0.64m
3:03PM1.11m
2:18AM0.68m
3:24PM1.04m
3:03AM0.71m
3:42PM0.96m
3:55AM0.74m
3:50PM0.88m
5:03AM0.76m
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
Low Tide
7:36AM0.28m
9:55PM0.52m
8:13AM0.33m
10:08PM0.50m
8:50AM0.40m
10:23PM0.48m
9:27AM0.51m
10:39PM0.45m
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:27
 mm
Temp °C
12
11
11
11
12
11
10
12
13
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
11
12
Feels °C
7
6
6
6
7
6
7
8
10
9
10
11
10
10
11
11
8
9
9
7
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
5
SSW
16
5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.9
SW
16
2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
14
Energy kJ
6130
3903
3912
11344
12507
8655
5431
2673
1674
1093
1875
1761
1959
6296
5310
3252
2055
1624
2147
1760
1536
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
6
0.4
ESE
6
0.6
SW
18
0.7
S
10
0.6
S
9
0.9
SW
21
1.7
WSW
14
0.2
SSE
10
1.1
SW
18
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SE
9
0.4
SSE
8
Energy kJ
20
13
260
98
56
646
1111
9
694
52
37
26
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
6
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
11
Energy kJ
6
23
45
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
Energy kJ
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
3
4
9
9
3
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
5
4
2
2
2
4
3
Distance (km)
0
221
501
412
160
381
22
7
7
7
0
0
0
7
0
7
22
22
22
7
7
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
5
7
4
4
4
4
4
5
7
7
5
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
5
4
9
9
7
4
4
8
7
4
5
9
9
5
4
4
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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