
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 20,905 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 25ft (7.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s get into it.
Alright, look, we’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks at Blacknose Point. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, but it’s not a spot for beginners. The water is running at 59° right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.
The first solid call comes in on Friday, August 7th. The morning is a bit of a write-off with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind swings to the east at just 3 mph, leaving it glassy. You’ve got a solid 8 ft SW groundswell, with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (3293). It’s going to be clean, but with that size and a long period, be aware it can get a bit straight at the ends. Crowds are often a thing here, so expect company.
The real standout, though, is further out. Monday, August 10th, the afternoon is looking absolutely stacked. We’re talking a huge 15 ft SW groundswell, with a 16-second period, and the wind is blowing offshore from the west at 16 mph. The combined energy is massive (15210). This is a serious, expert-only wave. The swell is big, but the offshore wind will keep it clean. Conditions are favorable for the experienced crew.
Another big hitter is Thursday, August 13th, the afternoon. It’s an 18 ft WSW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is decent offshore. The energy reading is off the charts (26753). The guidance says it might be too big for this break, but for the experts, it’s a wild, heavy wave. Again, that long period will make it more of a reef or point wave, so be prepared for the power.
Then, Friday, August 14th, the afternoon is a gem. A 16 ft SW groundswell, 18-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze from the southwest at 9 mph. The energy is immense (15006). This is exceptional for the experienced surfer.
Saturday, August 15th, the afternoon is another cracker. A 13 ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong (10950). This is a great option for the more advanced among you.
After that, things settle down. There’s a decent 8 ft SW swell on Sunday, August 16th, in the morning with glassy conditions, which is good for experienced surfers. Then it gets a bit choppy and less reliable for a few days through the middle of the week. We’re looking at onshore winds and smaller, less appealing surf.
The period from August 20th to 22nd looks rough, with straight onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell is there, but the wind is a mess. That’s more of a kitesurfing setup than a paddle session.
So, to wrap it up: the best windows are the afternoons of August 10th, 13th, 14th, and 15th. Those are the big, powerful, and clean swells for the experts. The glassy afternoon on August 7th is a good warm-up. Don't get your hopes up for the last week of the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon night, near gales from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2668 | 2525 | 1704 | 1099 | 1004 | 5288 | 7234 | 11581 | 6068 | 3150 | 1693 | 1484 | 6797 | 7775 | 18913 | 13137 | 15211 | 6967 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:39PM0.84m | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:05PM0.24m | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | ||||||||||||
7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | — | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 19 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
3103 | 2424 | 3210 | 2668 | 2525 | 1704 | 1099 | 1004 | 5288 | — | 3629 | 6068 | 3150 | 1693 | 1484 | 6797 | 2782 | — | 13137 | 11542 | 6967 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 13 | SW 19 | — | — | S 8 | — | WNW 8 | SW 12 | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — |
455 | 831 | 12 | — | — | — | 155 | 546 | 2310 | — | — | 138 | — | 235 | 392 | 1191 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
35 | 38 | — | — | — | — | 37 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 3 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | SW 11 | SW 16 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 10 | W 10 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | — | WSW 16 | — |
— | — | — | 5 | 2 | 74 | 37 | 11 | — | 7234 | 11581 | — | 20 | 20 | 1481 | 1209 | 7775 | 18913 | — | 15211 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 195 | 67 | 67 | 73 | 465 | 541 | 7 | 198 | 206 | 623 | 204 | 205 | 687 | 182 | 182 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











