
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 11,140 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The forecast window is kicking off with a solid, big swell event for Blacknose Point, and it’s a serious one for the experienced crew. We’ve got a run of surf that starts on Friday the 24th of July, and it’s gonna be a wild ride for a few days before things taper off.
The standout right out of the gate is Friday morning, July 24th, at Blacknose Point. The ocean is absolutely pumping. We’re looking at a massive 16.4 ft swell, lining up perfectly from the SSW – that’s the optimum direction for this spot. The energy is through the roof, with a combined energy reading of (11140). That’s a lot of power moving through. The wind is a clean offshore from the west at 18.6 mph, which is going to hold those big lines up. The water temp is sitting at 59.2°F, which is a touch warmer than what we usually get this time of year, so a little extra comfort in the water. This is a big, powerful point break wave – it’s advanced territory, no doubt. If you’re not ready for that size, stay on the sand. The quality is high, but it’s a serious paddle and a serious commitment.
The swell holds through the weekend, but the winds get a bit less perfect. Saturday morning, July 25th, we’ve got 11.5 ft of SW swell, still with a clean offshore wind (WSW at 15.5 mph). The energy is still big (4152), but that morning window is the one to target. The afternoon gets cross-off, which is still rideable, but the morning is cleaner.
By Sunday morning, July 26th, the swell drops to 8.2 ft from the SW. It’s smaller, but it’s still a good wave. The offshore wind is back (W at 15.5 mph), and the period is a nice 11 seconds. This is probably the best window for the less-experienced bigger-wave surfers, as the size is more manageable. The energy is moderate (1820).
Monday, July 27th, is a write-off. The wind swings to the NNW and goes cross-shore at 15.5 mph. The ocean gets a cross-chop, and the quality drops out. Save your energy.
Tuesday, July 28th, is a big, windy day. The swell jumps back up to 13.1 ft from the west, but the wind is a fresh NW at 21.7 mph. It’s early in the day, but it’s going to be a messy, blustery session. The energy is very strong (10098), but it’s not clean. The afternoon gets a brutal 24.9 mph offshore wind, which is strong offshore and clean but hard to paddle into – you’ll be fighting to get out back.
Now, here’s the real gem for the expert crew. Wednesday morning, July 29th, is the best of the run. The swell is 14.8 ft from the SW, with a nice long 14-second period. The wind is a light, gentle SW cross-off at 9.3 mph. The energy is still huge (7478), but the conditions are described as exceptional for experts. This is a serious, clean, powerful point break. If you have the skills, this is the session.
After that, things settle down quickly. Thursday, July 30th, has 7.9 ft of SW swell with gentle offshore winds (W at 12.4 mph). It’s clean, it’s fun, but it’s a big step down from the Wednesday bomb.
The rest of the run into the first week of August is a mixed bag. Friday, July 31st, has 8.2 ft of SW swell, but the wind is cross-off, so it’s cleaner but not perfect. Saturday, August 1st, has a massive 11.5 ft swell from the SSW with a very long 20-second period in the afternoon. This is a long-period groundswell, which means it’ll be lined up and powerful, but at a point break like Blacknose, it’ll hold up well. The energy is staggering (14428). The catch is the wind is cross-off, so it’s not glassy, but it’s still a standout for the second week.
Sunday, August 2nd, sees the swell still at 13.1 ft to 14.8 ft from the SSW, but the wind goes light from the SSE and SE, turning cross and cross-on. It’s a big, clean ocean, but it’s not the perfect offshore we see in the first week. The energy is still very strong (10413 and 9742).
From Monday, August 3rd, onwards, the quality drops. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell starts to fade. By Wednesday, August 5th, the swell is down to 3.3 ft, and the
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue morning, light winds from the WSW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | W 12 | W 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11140 | 8224 | 5899 | 4152 | 3735 | 2208 | 1605 | 1385 | 1635 | 1483 | 1435 | 1545 | 4992 | 3352 | 9143 | 7478 | 5261 | 2787 | 1771 | 1805 | 2534 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:53PM0.91m | 12:21PM0.97m | 12:23PM1.04m | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:50PM0.35m | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | ||||||||||||
7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 12 | S 12 | S 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | W 12 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
11140 | 8224 | — | — | 3184 | 132 | 106 | 1385 | 1635 | 1483 | 1435 | 1545 | 3254 | 3302 | 9143 | 7478 | 5261 | 2787 | 1771 | 1805 | 2534 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | S 10 | SSE 10 | — | SW 14 | — | SSW 14 | — | — | — | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
— | — | — | — | 12 | 54 | 42 | 75 | 31 | — | 424 | — | 1852 | — | — | — | 58 | 379 | 194 | 131 | 74 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSE 9 | — | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 26 | SSW 24 | SW 22 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 67 | 42 | 29 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 55 | 119 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 5899 | 4152 | 3735 | 2208 | 1605 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 567 | 4992 | 3352 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 205 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 196 | 411 | 702 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










