Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 11,122 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 4th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking for Blacknose Point.

We’ve got a big, powerful run of Southern Ocean groundswell lining up. The water temp is sitting at 57.9°F, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year. The energy readings throughout the window are massive, so strap in.

It kicks off Friday morning, August 28th, with a solid 10ft SW swell, period a long 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and with a light offshore wind from the WSW, it’s going to be clean. Wind stays good through Friday afternoon, too. The combined energy is already pumping at 5160 (moderate to strong energy). This is expert territory right off the bat – that size and length of period at a point break like this will have lines wrapping in nicely, but it’s powerful.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th ease back just a touch, with the swell sitting around 7ft to 8ft from the SW, periods around 13 seconds. The wind is offshore and light to gentle all weekend. Saturday morning has glassy conditions forecast. This is still excellent, clean surf, and a bit more manageable than the opening day. The energy stays strong in the 2000s range.

Monday the 31st of August has a bit of a mixed bag. The morning gets a little bumpy with a cross-shore wind, but Monday afternoon is a standout: the wind goes glassy, S at just 3 mph, and the swell is 8ft of SW groundswell with a period of 14 seconds. The energy spikes to 4652, and the wave comment calls it excellent. That afternoon session is a true highlight.

Tuesday September 1st gets wrecked by a strong 19 mph cross-shore wind. The swell is still there, but it'll be lumpy. Skip it.

Wednesday September 2nd is a return to form. The morning has a 10ft SW swell, period 15 seconds, and a gentle 9 mph offshore from the W. Combined energy is 4234, and it's clean. The afternoon bumps up to 11ft with a cross-off wind, still clean, but getting into that big, expert-only zone.

Now, for the real standout: Friday the 4th of September. The morning delivers 18ft of SW swell, period 14 seconds, with a fresh offshore wind from the W at 22 mph. The combined energy is a staggering 11122 (strong energy). That’s a big, powerful point break running clean. The afternoon holds the same size and an even bigger energy reading of 13930. This is epic, heavy, expert-level surfing. If you’ve got the skills, this is the day.

Saturday the 5th gets messy again with strong cross-shore winds, and Sunday the 6th has a big 18ft swell from the SSW but with a cross-off wind. Still big and clean, but not as perfect as the Friday.

The following week sees the swell start to drop. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th have onshore winds and are a write-off. There’s a glimmer on Thursday the 10th of September, with a 6ft SW swell, period 15 seconds, and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Combined energy is 1509, so it’s mellow but clean.

Then, another absolute bomb arrives on Friday the 11th of September. The afternoon brings 15ft of SW swell with a very long 17-second period, a moderate offshore wind from the W, and a combined energy reading of 11422. The wave comment calls it exceptional for experts. This is groundswell perfection at a point break.

Saturday the 12th holds 13ft with 16 to 17-second periods and clean cross-off winds. Still a very heavy, consistent swell running through the weekend.

So, the two true standouts are Monday the 31st of August afternoon for the glassy perfection, and Friday the 4th of September for the sheer power and size. The Friday the 11th is also a monster in the making.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue afternoon).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
2
1
2
2
5
4
3
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
4
WSW
14
4.5
WSW
13
5
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5160
3880
3204
2201
1668
1730
2008
2377
2923
3419
2834
3953
2796
1801
3859
4234
4563
3902
5665
7550
8967
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SW
5
W
10
NNW
5
S
20
N
30
NNW
30
WNW
25
NW
15
W
20
W
20
NW
30
NW
35
NW
40
W
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
Low Tide
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
3
1
2
Temp °C
12
12
10
11
12
11
12
12
11
15
15
14
20
20
15
13
13
12
14
15
13
Feels °C
10
10
8
8
9
9
9
9
10
14
13
12
13
14
11
8
8
7
7
8
4
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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