Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 12,611 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 20ft (6.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here with the full 16-day outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a classic point break that’s going to be pumping, but it’s a two-week rollercoaster.
The big picture is a solid, pulsing run of SW and SSW groundswells, starting with a massive, powerful pulse that’s going to be pushing the limits for a few days. The water is about 57.9°F, which is just a hair above the long-term average for this time of year, so you’ll want a 3/2 and a hood.
We start on Tuesday, September 1st, but it’s a bit sloppy. You’ve got a 7.5ft SW swell, but a 35 km/h cross-shore wind from the NNW is making it lumpy and cross-chop, with a combined energy of 2421. The afternoon cleans up a bit with the wind dropping to 30 km/h and turning cross-off, with the swell at 6.2ft. It’s rideable, but not the best.
Wednesday, 2nd September, the juice turns on. The swell jumps to 11.5ft from the SW, with a 15-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW. The energy is pumping at 5120 in the morning and 5036 in the afternoon. This is a solid, powerful wave, and at 11.5ft, you need to be comfortable. The wind is moderate, so the waves will be clean and lined up.
Thursday, 3rd September, is where it gets serious. The forecast shows a 16.4ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW at 35 km/h. This is a big, meaty groundswell. The combined energy is enormous (9087 morning, 9582 afternoon). This is a real test of nerve. The wave is going to be big and powerful, and the offshore wind will make it look like a picture. The 16.4ft mark is well over 8.2ft, so this is strictly for experts only. The period is 13 seconds, which is a solid groundswell, and at a point break, it’s going to produce some incredibly long, grinding walls.
Friday, 4th September, the swell is still huge, dropping slightly to 14.8ft, but the wind swings to a moderate cross-shore from the NNW. The energy is still massive (10269 morning, 8489 afternoon). The cross-shore wind will add some chop and make the take-off a bit more challenging.
Saturday, 5th September, is a day for the absolute madmen. You’ve got a 19.7ft swell from the WSW, with a 13-second period. The morning is a write-off with a 50 km/h near-gale cross-off. The afternoon, however, is a different story. The wind shifts to a fresh offshore from the WSW, and the energy is off the charts at 12401. This is a massive, dangerous swell. The wave height is over 8.2ft, so it’s expert-only, and the 13-second period means it’s going to be a heavy, fast freight train. The offshore wind will make it look perfect, but the paddle out is a survival mission.
Sunday, 6th September, the swell eases back to 11.5ft. The morning has a gentle cross-shore wind, but the afternoon is the real gem. The wind drops to a 5 km/h offshore from the South, with a combined energy of 3665. The water will be glassy clean. This is a very good, clean session for the experienced crew.
Monday, 7th September, is a standout for the average surfer. The swell drops to a much more manageable 5.2ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The wind is a 5 km/h glassy offshore from the ENE. This is a small, clean, and perfectly formed wave. The energy is a modest 978, but the quality is there. This is a day for a longboard or a fish, and the conditions will be pristine.
Best on offer: There are two sessions that stand out above the rest. The first is the Thursday afternoon, September 3rd, where the 16.4ft SW swell meets a fresh offshore wind. It’s big, powerful, and clean. The second is the Monday morning, September 7th. The 5.2ft swell is small, but the glassy conditions and the long period (13s) will make for perfect, clean lines. It’s the best small-wave day of the forecast.
The second week sees the swell fluctuating, but the quality remains good. The 8th and 9th of September are notable for a massive, dangerous 26.2ft swell on the Wednesday morning. The energy
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue night, strong winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat morning, light winds from the NE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2418 | 1521 | 2095 | 5113 | 5036 | 9210 | 9087 | 9582 | 10226 | 10269 | 8489 | 6554 | 10801 | 12401 | 8400 | 5453 | 3222 | 1600 | 878 | 834 | 1070 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | ||||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 19 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
2418 | 1521 | 2095 | 5113 | 5036 | 6662 | — | 9582 | 10226 | 10269 | 8489 | 6554 | — | — | 8400 | 5453 | 3222 | 1600 | 878 | 834 | 1011 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | SW 17 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | WSW 16 | — | S 8 | ESE 6 | SW 19 |
3 | 11 | 671 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 154 | 443 | — | 33 | 63 | 1070 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SE 5 |
— | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 45 | 192 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | E 3 | ESE 4 | ESE 6 | WNW 4 |
35 | 227 | — | — | — | 9210 | 9087 | — | — | — | 15 | 28 | 10801 | 12401 | — | — | — | 4 | 22 | 94 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 196 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 748 | 221 | 7 | 196 | 7 | 249 | 702 | 747 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











