
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 10,064 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off tomorrow, Tuesday the 14th of July, and it’s gonna be a proper handful right from the get-go. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll notice it.
The first few days are the real standout here. Tuesday morning, we’re looking at a big 16ft SW groundswell, with a long 15-second period, and the wind is howling offshore from the W at 22 mph. The combined energy is absolutely cranking (12063), so this is serious, powerful water. This is expert-only territory – way over 8ft. It’s going to be a beast of a wave, but with that offshore wind, it’ll be a clean, grinding beast. The afternoon holds the same size and clean conditions with a WSW breeze.
Wednesday the 15th drops a little to 12ft, still a solid SW groundswell at 14 seconds, and the wind stays offshore in the morning, keeping things clean. The energy is still very strong (4600). Thursday the 16th keeps the 12ft SW swell going, and the wind swings lighter, with a light breeze from the WNW. It’s still clean, and the sets will have that long, drawn-out feel. All of this is still big, powerful stuff for experienced surfers only.
The pick of the entire run, honestly, is Saturday the 18th. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft, still from the SW, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (1671), but that glassy surface will make the point look like a mirror. It’s the best chance for a truly clean, rippable session that isn’t trying to kill you.
Now, a heads up: Blacknose Point can get crowded, so expect to see plenty of others out there, especially on the cleaner days. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so the waves will keep coming.
After the weekend, the swell backs off considerably. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th see a drop to 4ft to 6ft, but the wind turns messy with a cross-shore chop. It’s not great. Tuesday the 21st brings a bump back up to 7ft, but the wind is fresh and cross-shore, making it lumpy.
We then get a bit of a lull in quality, with a few days of smaller, cross-off wind waves. The energy drops right down. Then, around Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th, we see another big pulse of SW groundswell, hitting 12ft to 13ft with a 14 to 15-second period. The energy is back up into the thousands (5570 to 6461), but the wind is a fresh cross-off. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s for experts only, but it’s clean. This is a long-range promise, so keep an eye on it – it’s a bit less certain than the first week.
The run fades out into the final days of July with smaller, onshore windswell. Not much to write home about.
So, bottom line: The first week is the main event. Tuesday through Thursday is the big, powerful, clean stuff for the chargers. Saturday the 18th is the one for the rest of you who want a clean, glassy wave without the full-on adrenaline. The second week has another big pulse coming, but it’s a long way off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue morning, light winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
12063 | 10064 | 6847 | 4600 | 4007 | 4823 | 5120 | 5047 | 3614 | 5406 | 4605 | 2840 | 1858 | 1541 | 727 | 485 | 387 | 504 | 1169 | 1204 | 440 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | 2:54PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.83m | 3:05PM0.97m | 3:52AM0.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | 8:15AM0.35m | 9:18PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.44m | 9:40PM0.38m | |||||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | W 11 |
— | 10064 | 6847 | 4600 | 4007 | 4823 | 5120 | 5047 | 3614 | 5406 | 4605 | 2840 | 1858 | 1541 | 727 | 485 | 387 | 466 | 1169 | 1204 | 401 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | SSW 18 | — | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | 46 | 874 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 46 | 323 | 273 | 202 | 504 | 34 | 17 | 440 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | NE 5 |
— | — | — | — | — | 22 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 84 | 81 | 186 | 314 | 114 | 34 | 17 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | — | NE 4 | N 4 | N 3 | NNW 4 |
12063 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 6 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 205 | 691 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 53 | 7 | 67 | 67 | 73 | 73 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










