Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.5° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 12,063 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Tue 14th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, let’s get into it. The only show in town for the next couple of weeks is Blacknose Point, and it’s got a serious run of swell coming through. This is a point break, so it’s going to favour those long, drawn-out lines, especially with the long-period groundswell we’ve got rolling in. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a slightly thinner suit.

The real standout window kicks off today, Tuesday the 14th of July. We’re looking at a solid 16 ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is howling offshore from the W. The combined wave energy is massive, sitting at 12063, so this is a powerful, heavy ocean. This is expert territory only – 16 ft is no joke. The afternoon cleans up a bit with the same size and a WSW offshore breeze. It’s going to be a raw, challenging day, but for the experienced crew, the Blacknose Point lineup is going to be absolutely pumping.

Wednesday the 15th sees the swell ease back a touch to 12 ft from the SW, but it’s still a 14-second groundswell, and the wind stays offshore from the W. The energy is still strong at 4600. This is still a big day, but it’s a notch more manageable for strong intermediate surfers. The conditions are clean and excellent for experienced surfers.

Thursday the 16th is a beauty. The swell holds at 12 ft SW, but the wind drops right off to a light W breeze, giving us clean conditions. The energy is still solid at 4717. This is a prime day for the point – big, powerful, and clean. The morning is glassy offshore, and the afternoon is clean with a slight cross-off. This is one of the best on offer.

Friday the 17th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning has an 12 ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore from the NNW, which will put a bit of a bump on the face. The energy is still hefty at 5836. The afternoon is much better – the wind swings NW and becomes a light cross-off, cleaning it up for a 10 ft SW swell. That arvo session is the pick.

The swell starts to fade through the weekend. Saturday the 18th drops to 8 ft, and then Sunday the 19th to 4 ft, with the wind turning messy and cross-shore. The energy drops off significantly. There’s a bit of a lull for a few days from Sunday right through to Wednesday the 22nd, with small, weak, and messy surf.

Things perk up again on Thursday the 24th of July. A moderate 8 ft SW swell with a 14-second period arrives, and the wind goes offshore from the W, giving us clean conditions. The energy is back up to 2415. This is another excellent window for experienced surfers.

The run continues into Friday the 25th with 8 ft SW swell and offshore winds, though the wind is a bit stronger. The energy is moderate at 1750. After that, it fades out again, with small, poor conditions through to the end of the month.

However, there is a late, intriguing call for Tuesday the 28th of July. The morning is forecast to be completely glassy, with a 7 ft SSW swell and a 13-second period. That’s a clean, fun size for the point, and the energy is moderate at 1531. It’s a long way out, so worth keeping an eye on, but it could be a real gem for the end of the run.

For the best, it’s a toss-up between the raw power of Tuesday the 14th and the clean, big conditions of Thursday the 16th. If you want the biggest, meanest waves, go Tuesday. For the best combination of size and cleanliness, Thursday is your day.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
4
5
5
5
3
4
5
3
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5
SW
15
5
SW
15
4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.6
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
0.8
SW
18
1.1
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.8
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
12063
10200
6752
4600
3949
4334
4654
4621
3424
5829
4930
2985
1942
1452
775
477
383
581
692
1340
2245
Wind (km/h)
35
W
30
WSW
20
W
20
W
20
W
15
WSW
10
W
10
W
10
NNW
15
NNW
10
NW
10
NNW
10
N
5
NE
15
NNW
20
N
15
N
20
N
25
N
25
N
25
NNW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
Low Tide
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
12
13
14
13
13
13
12
11
13
12
13
15
13
13
14
12
14
15
12
Feels °C
7
8
8
9
11
10
11
11
10
7
10
9
11
14
10
9
10
7
8
10
6
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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