Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 11,762 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
Sunday the 9th is a total washout – onshore wind and junk surf, so don’t bother. The real show starts Monday the 10th. A big SW groundswell hits, running 10 to 13 feet with a period of 17 to 18 seconds – that’s some serious, long-period groundswell energy. The combined energy is massive (10,230 to 14,288), which is strong to very strong. The wind goes offshore on Monday afternoon, clean but strong, and at 13 feet this is strictly for experts. Beginners, stay far away.
The standout window is really Thursday the 14th. Friday morning the 14th is the pick of the whole outlook. We’ve got a solid 15-foot SW swell at 16 seconds, with light offshore wind from the SW, giving us clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is pumping at 10,055, and the conditions are described as exceptional for expert surfers. This is a true highlight, but that size is only for the experienced crew. The afternoon stays clean with a light breeze.
The middle of the week from Tuesday the 11th onward is a bit of a mixed bag. Tuesday the 11th has cross-shore wind that chops things up, so not great. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th see the swell holding big (13 to 15 feet) with clean but strong offshore winds, so again, big-wave territory for the brave.
After the 14th, the swell drops, but the wind stays messy from the east and northeast, with lots of cross-onshore conditions. The surf quality drops off, and by the 19th and 20th it’s pretty poor again. There’s a brief window on the 20th with a moderate offshore wind and a 4 to 5-foot SW swell, which could be a fun little session for the average surfer, but nothing special.
Looking further out, the 24th brings a gentler offshore breeze and a 7-foot SW swell. It’s a promising session for experienced surfers, but it’s a long way off, so don’t bank on it just yet.
The water temperature’s about average for this time of year, so no drama there.
The best bet: If you’re an expert, you’re going to want to be out there on Friday morning, the 14th of August. That’s the big, clean, offshore session with the 15-foot SW groundswell. For the rest of us, keep an eye on the 20th for a smaller, cleaner option, but the 14th is the true standout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun night, strong winds from the SW by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu night, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1836 | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 5555 | 8845 | 5318 | 2724 | 1423 | 2796 | 7559 | 11747 | 11762 | 7823 | 8263 | 8220 | 10055 | 8530 | 6335 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | |||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1836 | 1099 | 991 | 5233 | 4675 | 5434 | — | 2724 | 1423 | 2796 | 969 | — | 11762 | 7823 | 8263 | 8220 | 10055 | 8530 | 6335 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | ESE 7 | — | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 155 | 479 | 1058 | — | 9 | — | 171 | 817 | 625 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 6 | — | N 7 | — | — | — | SE 6 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 22 | — | 23 | — | — | — | 6 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | — | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 28 | 44 | 31 | — | 5555 | 8845 | 5318 | 4 | 10 | 959 | 7559 | 11747 | 9181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 67 | 161 | 67 | 74 | 195 | 221 | 0 | 196 | 195 | 53 | 204 | 691 | 221 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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