Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Blacknose Point has cooking for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a proper run of heavy, powerful swell coming through, but it’s going to be paired with some strong wind and serious size. If you’re an experienced surfer, there’s some proper heavy water on the table.

We kick off Thursday the 23rd with a big pulse of SW swell – 15ft at 14 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell with a ton of energy behind it (15393). The wind is a fresh 19 mph offshore but it’s clean, so the wave faces will be nice. Still, 15ft is serious size; this is expert-only territory. That swell hangs in through Friday the 24th, still 16ft on the Friday morning, with a clean offshore wind. The energy remains very high (10540). Saturday the 25th sees the swell start to ease a bit, but it’s still 13ft on the morning with a fresh offshore. By Saturday afternoon, the breeze drops to a moderate 16 mph offshore, and it’s clean, though the swell is still 12ft. That’s the first standout of the period: the Saturday afternoon session. The wave energy is dropping (3669) but that combination of cleaner conditions and still a solid, powerful SW groundswell is the call. It’s a point break, so those long-period swells will line up nicely here, but be aware, crowds are often here.

Sunday the 26th sees the swell dropping below 10ft, and winds go cross-offshore. Monday the 27th is similar, but the Monday afternoon might be the next best window with a gentle 9 mph offshore and a clean 8ft SW swell. It’s smaller but more manageable. Then Tuesday the 28th, a new pulse of SW groundswell at 15 seconds bumps it back up to 12ft with some strong offshore wind, so expect another session for the experienced crew.

Now, Wednesday the 29th of July is a major event, but it comes with a caveat. The morning has a 20ft SW swell at 14 seconds (24842 energy) – that is massive. But the wind is a 12 mph SSE cross-shore, and the report says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer – that’s a washed-out, choppy mess on a beach-and-reef setup. After that, the swell drops off into the first week of August, with the size settling into the 7ft to 10ft range. The second week has a couple of promising days. Sunday the 2nd of August is the real standout for the later period. Gentle breeze, clean conditions, and a 10ft WSW swell at 14 seconds on the Sunday afternoon, with a light 3 mph offshore wind. Wave energy (4965) is still solid, and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your best long-range call.

Overall, the first week has the biggest, heaviest swell but it’s for experts only, with the best chance of clean waves on Saturday afternoon the 25th. The second week, that Sunday the 2nd of August looks like the one to block out. Remember, that later date is a bit further out, so treat it as promising but less certain.

Stay safe if you’re paddling out in the big stuff.

- Rusty

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