Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 8,548 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 31st Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 3rd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for Blacknose Point.

We've got a mixed bag coming our way over the 16 days. It kicks off with some real promise on Friday, July 31st, but then we hit a long, frustrating stretch of lumpy, cross-shore conditions for the best part of a week. The real standout action is slated for much later in the window, around mid-August, with some serious groundswell and proper offshore winds.

The run starts strong. Friday morning, July 31st, you’ll find clean 7 ft SW groundswell at Blacknose Point. The wind is a light, cross-off NW breeze, so it’ll be glassy and make for some really nice, long lines. The water is sitting at 59°F, which is about average for the time of year, so no shocks there. The wave energy is solid, pushing around 1298 units. Friday afternoon cleans up even more with that 6 ft SW swell going off the land, making for excellent waves for those with some experience.

Now, brace yourselves. From Saturday, August 1st, through until about Wednesday, August 5th, the wind swings around onshore or cross-shore, and the wave faces get pretty lumpy. We’re still seeing some decent sized swell in the 8 ft to 10 ft range, but a lot of it is a longer-period SW groundswell with periods up to 17 seconds. This kind of energy is normally great, but with the cross-breeze causing chop, it’s just going to be messy, especially at a point break like this. Saturday morning’s 8 ft at 17 seconds and strong 3271 units of energy will just be a frustrating bumpy ride. Even Sunday’s 10 ft is a write-off thanks to a fresh northerly. For a solid few days there, it’s more of a frustrating session than a good one.

Wednesday, August 5th, we start to see the quality return. A cleaner 5 ft SW groundswell with manageable 14-second periods and light, cross-off winds will produce some excellent, clean waves. It’s a smaller day, but much more pleasant. The following days are a bit of a gamble with varying wind quality, but the energy holds.

The true standout, and a word of warning, arrives about two weeks out. We’re looking at the period from around August 10th to 15th. There are some truly massive swells forecast, but you have to be an expert to handle it. For instance, the August 10th morning shows a powerful 18 ft WSW groundswell with an incredible 32157 units of energy. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it’ll be lumpy and dangerous. That kind of size is for the very best. As we move into the 13th and 14th of August, the winds go hard offshore from the WSW, with swells between 12 ft and 15 ft. The period climbs to 18 seconds on the 14th, which is very long and will create incredibly powerful, clean lines. This is where the point break will really shine, but with 25 mph offshore winds, paddling out will be a huge battle. This is the payoff after the quiet spell, but make no mistake, this is serious, expert-only stuff. If you’re not in that league, give it a wide berth.

To sum it up, our main show is the Friday the 31st of July. After that, we wait for that heavy, expert-only groundswell and offshore wind window in the middle of the second week.

Stay safe and choose your sessions wisely.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
2
3
3
2
1
3
2
4
4
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.7
SW
12
2.4
SW
17
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
3.5
WSW
9
4.5
WSW
13
3.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
12
2.3
SW
12
1.8
SW
11
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.8
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1131
960
874
3269
4609
4637
3589
3080
2032
1667
6751
3769
1870
1351
778
1048
905
755
1402
1306
2065
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
10
WSW
10
NNW
15
N
15
NNW
20
N
30
N
25
N
20
NW
30
WNW
25
SSW
20
WSW
20
S
20
SSW
10
SW
10
NW
15
W
10
NW
15
NNW
10
NNW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:59PM1.11m
1:25AM0.66m
2:18PM1.07m
1:56AM0.72m
2:35PM1.01m
2:28AM0.78m
2:49PM0.94m
3:04AM0.83m
2:56PM0.88m
3:44AM0.86m
2:52PM0.82m
4:32AM0.85m
2:29PM0.81m
Low Tide
8:48PM0.44m
7:16AM0.24m
8:52PM0.42m
7:50AM0.26m
8:59PM0.39m
8:23AM0.32m
9:09PM0.36m
8:56AM0.41m
9:20PM0.32m
9:26AM0.52m
9:33PM0.29m
9:47AM0.65m
9:47PM0.25m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
 mm
9
3
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
13
14
11
14
15
12
11
11
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
10
12
12
Feels °C
9
9
9
8
9
6
7
8
5
5
5
7
8
8
8
10
9
8
6
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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