
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 17,564 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards for Blacknose Point, and it’s going to be a ripper of a week for the crew that can handle some serious power.
The big picture is a long-period groundswell from the SSW that’s going to march in for days. The water’s sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest wetsuit, but don’t get too comfortable. The energy is massive, with readings well into the four-digit range, and that 19-second period is the kind of juice that makes a point break like this one absolutely light up.
We kick things off on Wednesday, September 9. The swell is already pumping at 16 ft from the SSW, with a crazy 19-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the S at 19 mph, which will keep it clean enough. The combined energy is a massive 18834, so this is a serious, powerful ocean. It’s a bit of a beast, but it's clean. For the experts.
Now, here’s the standout. Thursday, September 10, is where it’s at. The morning session is absolute gold. The swell is still a thumping 15 ft from the SSW, period of 16 seconds, but the wind drops to a gentle cross-off from the SSW at just 9 mph. The conditions are described as exceptional for experts. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The water is clean, the power is there, and the wave quality is going to be world-class. Crowds are often an issue here, but for a wave this good, you’ll put up with the company.
The run continues through Friday, September 11, with a 12 ft SSW swell and a 14-second period. The morning is a stand-out for the glassy crew, with the wind going dead to nothing (ESE, 3 mph) and the surface like a mirror. That’s a rare treat for a wave this size. The afternoon sees a light cross-on, so get your early session in.
The following week keeps the swell alive, but the quality drops off a bit. We get a few days of smaller, cleaner waves from Saturday, September 12, through to Monday, September 14, but the energy fades. The real magic returns on Tuesday, September 15, with a 13 ft SW swell and clean winds. It’s a solid, reliable day.
Looking further ahead, the swell picks up again for the second week. The action on Monday, September 21, is huge. The morning is a 15 ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period and a gentle cross-off. The afternoon is even better, with a glassy offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is 12064 and the conditions are rated exceptional for experts. This is a long-range promise, but it looks like a serious, heavy session.
The last few days of the forecast show a solid, consistent run of SW swell, with the 23rd and 24th of September offering more clean, offshore winds, though the wind gets a bit strong on the 23rd (25 mph), making it difficult to get out. The 24th afternoon looks special with a 12 ft SW swell, 17-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze.
The bottom line: Blacknose Point is on fire. If you’re an expert, the 10th of September is the one you don’t miss. The 21st is a long-range tease worth keeping an eye on. For everyone else, the smaller days around the 12th and 13th offer a chance to get among it, but the power is the main event here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Wed morning, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the W by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
18834 | 16485 | 16312 | 10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4568 | 6308 | 5884 | 4079 | 3511 | 2758 | 1761 | 1349 | 951 | 553 | 366 | 2487 | 6052 | 5327 | 4228 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
18834 | 16485 | 16312 | 10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4568 | 6308 | 5884 | 4079 | 3511 | 2758 | 1761 | 1349 | 951 | 553 | 352 | 192 | 6052 | 5327 | 4228 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 6185 | — | — | 839 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 18 | 60 | 114 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | WNW 6 | W 8 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 11 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 47 | 117 | 70 | 366 | 2487 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 702 | 687 | 214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 107 | 7 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 221 | 214 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










