Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what Blacknose Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The good news is there’s almost always some swell on the cards here, but the wind and conditions are going to be the real story. The water’s sitting at a noticeable 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the rubber might feel a little more comfortable on those early sessions.

We start off with a fairly solid but tricky window. Tuesday the 15th sees a strong 13ft to 15ft SW swell with a 13 to 14 second period, carrying a huge amount of energy (6337 to 7500). The problem is the wind is a fresh 22 mph from the SW. It’s offshore in the morning, which keeps the surface clean, but that’s a lot of power and wind for a point break. This is serious, advanced-level stuff; beginners would be in way over their heads with this size and power.

Wednesday the 16th is where things start to look cleaner. The morning has a solid 15ft SW swell (7932 energy) with a 15 second period, and the wind drops to a moderate 12 mph from the S, blowing cross-offshore. By Wednesday afternoon, it cleans up even more with swell easing slightly to 13ft from the SSW, but the period stays at a long 15 seconds (11086 energy). The wind is a light cross-off, and that’s the pick of the first few days. The waves will have real grunt, long lines peeling down the point, and clean faces.

Thursday the 17th eases back to a more manageable 10ft – 8ft SW/SSW groundswell (3463-4116 energy), with a 14 second period. The wind is a gentle offshore from the WSW, making for some gorgeous, glassy, clean conditions. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is still punchy, so it’s not a learner day, but the quality will be there.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Friday the 18th through to Monday the 21st has dropping swell heights around 5ft to 8ft, but the wind is mostly cross-off and a bit stronger. The energy drops off significantly, and the overall scores are lower. It’s not blown out, but it’s not the main event.

Now, the real standout is shaping up for the final weekend. Saturday the 26th of September is looking proper. We’ve got a massive 13ft to 16ft SW swell rolling in, with a very long 18-19 second period. The combined energy is absolutely pumping, hitting 11156 in the morning and an enormous 18913 by the afternoon. The wind is a fresh 19 mph from the SSW, which is cross-off, keeping the waves clean and lined up. This is big, powerful, long-period groundswell – perfect for a point like Blacknose. It will draw up some serious, freight-train style walls. This is expert territory only; if you’re not confident in big, powerful surf, give this one a miss from the beach. For the crew that are on it, it could be a session to remember.

Sunday the 27th keeps the swell solid at 12ft to 10ft (6148-3990 energy) with a 15-16 second period and cleaner, lighter cross-off winds. It’s still a heavy wave, but a bit more manageable than Saturday.

The outlook for Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th holds some decent 12ft - 10ft SW swell with a long period, but the wind swings around more to the cross or light cross-on. It'll be surfable, and the energy is still hefty (4480-5937), but not as pristine as the weekend action.

So, to sum it up for you: The best bets are Wednesday afternoon the 16th for a cleaner, solid session, and then the absolute standout is Saturday the 26th. That Saturday has the biggest swell, the longest period, and the right wind for the point. Mark it in the calendar, but be ready for a serious paddle and some serious waves.

Rusty.

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