Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blacknose Point. This is a point break, and it’s fairly consistent, so we’ve got a real run of surf to look at over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest suit.

The first proper swell window kicks off on Thursday, September 3rd. We’re looking at a solid 16ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, which is a long-period groundswell. The combined energy is massive, sitting at 9001 (strong), so there’s a lot of power in the water. The wind is a fresh 35 km/h offshore from the WSW, which will keep the faces clean, but that size is big. For experts only. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 30 km/h offshore from the W.

Friday the 4th sees the swell drop a touch to 15ft, still a long 16-second period from the SW, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW at 20 km/h, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. The energy is still strong (10083 and 9109), but the wind isn’t ideal.

Now, Saturday the 5th is a write-off. The wind is up to 45 km/h from the WNW with risk of thunderstorms, and the swell is a messy 10ft. The energy is weakening (5593). The afternoon is a strong 40 km/h offshore, but the swell period drops to 11 seconds and the energy drops further (5274). It’s clean but hard to paddle into.

Sunday the 6th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to 12ft in the morning, but the wind goes glassy offshore from the WSW at only 5 km/h. The period is a lovely 13 seconds, and the energy is 3916 (moderate). The afternoon is even better with a 10ft SW swell, 12-second period, light 10 km/h offshore wind, and clear skies. This is a standout for experienced surfers.

Monday the 7th is smaller, with 5ft in the morning, but the wind is clean cross-off from the SW at 15 km/h. The energy is 1378 (moderate). The afternoon picks up to 8ft, but the period drops to 9 seconds, making it weaker.

Tuesday the 8th is another gem. The morning is 7ft of SW groundswell with a massive 17-second period, no wind (5 km/h glassy), and energy at 3763 (moderate). The afternoon is 10ft with a 16-second period, a moderate 20 km/h offshore, and energy at 4247. This is a solid day for the experienced crew.

The absolute standout, and I mean the one to circle on your calendar, is Thursday, September 10th. The morning is a dream: 16ft of SSW groundswell with a 17-second period, and the wind is dead glassy from the SE at 5 km/h. The energy is through the roof at 13284 (strong). This is exceptional surf for expert surfers. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 13ft with a 16-second period, but the wind goes light cross-shore, so it’s still good.

The following week is a mixed bag. September 11th and 12th are blown out with onshore and cross-onshore winds. September 13th is a gale. September 14th has a 10ft SW swell with a 30 km/h offshore, but it’s a bit wind-affected. The afternoon of the 14th is cleaner with 8ft and a 25 km/h offshore.

September 15th is lumpy, but September 16th is a nice little run: 8ft in the morning with a 15 km/h cross-off, and 8ft in the afternoon with a gentle 15 km/h offshore. The energy is moderate (2671 and 1996). The last few days, September 17th and 18th, are messy with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, so the run fizzles out.

So, overall, the best bet is Thursday, September 10th for the morning glass-off. Sunday the 6th and Tuesday the 8th are also very good. For the rest, it’s a pick-and-choose game for the experienced crew.

Rusty out.

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