Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.2° C
1.2° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,631 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 22nd Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 24th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 24th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next 16 days at Blacknose Point. This spot is a fairly consistent point break that loves a good SSW swell. The first few days are a bit flat and messy, but we've got a couple of big groundswells rolling in that will get the blood pumping. The water is about 59°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st are a waste. The swell is small, between 3 and 8 feet, with cross-shore winds and weak energy. Stay home.

Wednesday 22nd the wind turns offshore from the WSW at 19 mph, and the swell picks up to 5 feet in the morning, hitting 10 feet by afternoon. The period is short at 11-12 seconds, so it's not the cleanest, but it's rideable. The energy is moderate (831-2048). This is a beginner-to-intermediate day.

Thursday 23rd is a standout. We're looking at a 16-foot SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph. The energy is massive at 16621. This is expert territory – too big for beginners. The morning is the best, with the afternoon dropping to 15 feet. This is a big day, so be ready.

Friday 24th is another one for the books. The swell is 16 feet, pushing to 18 feet in the afternoon, with a 15-16 second period. The wind is strong offshore from the W at 25 mph, and the energy is off the charts at 21621. The report says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break by the afternoon, but for the experienced surfer, it's an epic session. The wind will be strong, making paddling hard, but the waves will be incredible.

Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th keep the swell at 13 feet to 10 feet, with offshore winds, but the energy is dropping. Still good for bigger-wave surfers.

Monday 27th the swell drops to 7 feet, and the wind goes cross-off. It's clean but much smaller. The energy is down to 1222. A decent session for the average surfer.

Tuesday 28th is the second standout. The swell is 10 to 12 feet from the SSW with a 15-second period, and the wind is light from the S at 6 mph on the afternoon. The energy is strong at 4533. It's clean, and the report says excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are often a thing here, so get out early or late.

Wednesday 29th looks good with 12 feet of SSW swell and a 15-second period, but the wind is cross-shore in the morning. The afternoon goes clean with a light breeze. Good, but not as good as Tuesday.

Thursday 30th the swell drops to 8 feet, and the wind is light or cross-on. The energy is moderate (2752). A smaller, cleaner day.

Friday 31st is a write-off – cross-on wind and choppy. 0 score.

Saturday 1st August and Sunday 2nd are huge. 20 to 23 feet of swell with a 16-17 second period, but the wind is cross-on from the N. The energy is insane (32816), but the waves will be lumpy and dangerous. The report says the swell is too big for this break. Tow-in only.

Monday 3rd sees a drop to 13-15 feet, with clean conditions and light offshore winds. Good for big-wave surfers.

Tuesday 4th ends with a messy cross-on wind and 12 feet of swell. Not worth it.

If you're not a pro, the best window is Thursday 23rd for the big, clean groundswell. For something more manageable, Tuesday 28th afternoon is a gem. The long period swells (15-17 seconds) will break straight on the beach, but at a point break like Blacknose, it'll line up nicely.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the W by Sat night).

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
3
5
8
5
6
6
!
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
2.2
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.6
SW
12
3
SW
11
3.5
SW
13
5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
5
SW
16
5.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
13
4
SW
12
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.1
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
611
757
2082
2084
1622
760
655
2048
4626
9473
7048
8559
12631
12071
7923
5175
4500
3476
2367
2018
1087
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
25
NW
30
WSW
30
SW
20
WSW
30
SW
30
WSW
30
WSW
35
W
40
W
35
W
30
W
35
WSW
20
WSW
20
W
25
WSW
15
W
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
3:16PM0.92m
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
1:53PM0.91m
12:21PM0.97m
12:23PM1.04m
Low Tide
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
11:50PM0.35m
00:46AM0.38m
2:40AM0.39m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
4
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
14
15
12
13
11
10
10
11
11
12
13
13
13
13
12
13
14
14
Feels °C
7
9
8
10
11
7
6
4
3
2
3
3
4
6
7
7
6
5
8
9
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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