Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 11,312 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, we've got a proper stretch of solid swell coming through, but you've got to pick your moments. The week starts a bit average, but things really fire up from Wednesday the 12th. This is a classic point break setup, and it's fairly exposed to the SW, which is exactly what we want.
From Wednesday the 12th onwards, we're looking at some serious groundswell. The combined swell energy is pumping, hitting a massive 19954 on Wednesday afternoon, strong to very strong. That's a 15 ft swell from the WSW with a 17-second period – very long-period groundswell. This kind of energy will wrap beautifully into the point, giving you long, well-shaped walls. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 19 mph, so it'll be clean and lined up. This is expert territory though; that size and power is not for the faint-hearted. Thursday the 13th is another standout with a 15 ft SW swell and offshore winds, with energy at 9491. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
Friday the 14th keeps the run going with another 15 ft SW swell in the morning and a 13 ft one in the afternoon, both with offshore breezes and exceptional conditions for experienced surfers. Saturday the 15th still has a solid 12 ft SW swell, lighter winds and clean faces.
After that, things start to taper off. We get a few days of smaller, wind-affected surf from Sunday the 16th through to Wednesday the 20th, with onshore and cross-onshore winds making it a bit bumpy and messy. There's a real gap in quality from around the 17th, with a run of marginal days. The swell drops off to under 3 ft by Thursday the 20th, and it's pretty poor.
There's a glimmer of hope in the long range. Around Monday the 24th, we see a new pulse of SW swell, 8 ft, with offshore winds from the Southwest at 19 mph. The combined energy is 2453 – solid. It looks promising for experienced surfers, but it's a week and a half away, so treat it as a good prospect rather than a lock.
Considering everything, Wednesday the 12th afternoon and Thursday the 13th are the absolute standouts. The sheer size, power, and clean offshore conditions at a point break like this is the best on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4193 | 2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 6827 | 11312 | 9567 | 9491 | 7331 | 9227 | 9012 | 7568 | 6027 | 5324 | 4402 | 3517 | 2630 | 2509 | 1902 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 8 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 20 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 4193 | 2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 753 | 11312 | 9567 | 9491 | 7331 | 9227 | 9012 | 7568 | 6027 | 5324 | 4402 | 3517 | 2630 | 2509 | 1902 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | 200 | 817 | — | 1789 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | 239 | 48 | 36 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 6 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | — | W 9 | SW 16 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | SE 5 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | 4 | — | 575 | 6827 | 8642 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 47 | 67 | 77 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 73 | 7 | 7 | 230 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 91 | 22 | 125 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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