
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 19,864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab your wettie, let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Blacknose Point. This is a solid point break setup, fairly exposed and it likes a good SSW swell. Water temp is sitting at 58.1°F right now, which is about 1.8°F warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, but a touch on the balmy side.
We’ve got a slow start. Monday the 7th sees some shoulder-high swell pushing in at 5.2ft to 6.9ft from the WSW and SW, but the wind is a cross-off and the notes say it’s a bit marginal. It’s not a total write-off, but you’d be working for it. The combined energy is moderate at 1434.
Things get properly interesting on Tuesday the 8th. The morning kicks off with 6.6ft of SW swell, but the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong at 3654. The wind is a clean cross-off. This is a standout for the experienced crew. By the afternoon, the swell pushes to 9.8ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the wind goes full offshore from the W at 15 mph. That’s clean, powerful, and a top option for advanced surfers. The combined energy is very strong at 4458.
Wednesday the 9th goes next level. We’re looking at a massive 18.0ft of SSW swell, with a period of 19 seconds in the morning. The combined energy is a monster 19864. That is serious, heavy water. The wind is a cross-off at 19 mph, so it’s clean, but this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon holds the same size and energy. This is a big, powerful groundswell – best handled on the point.
Thursday the 10th is still pumping with 16.4ft of SSW swell in the morning, dropping to 13.1ft in the afternoon. The period remains a long 16 seconds. The combined energy is still very strong (11329 in the morning). The wind is a light cross-off, so it’s clean. This is another day for the experienced lot.
Friday the 11th looks like a real treat. The swell drops to a more manageable 9.8ft from the SSW, but the wind goes glassy in the morning – a light SSE breeze at 3 mph. The period is still a solid 14 seconds. The combined energy is moderate to strong at 3949. This is clean, glassy, and a great window for the advanced surfer. The afternoon sees 11.5ft of swell and a light cross-shore breeze.
Saturday the 12th is a beauty for the morning glass-off. The swell is 9.8ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and the wind is glassy from the SSE at 3 mph. The combined energy is 3609. The afternoon glass-off returns with 8.2ft swell - very clean. This is a strong contender for the best of the run.
Sunday the 13th is a wipeout. Strong northerly winds at 19 mph, lumpy cross-chop, and the swell is dropping. The scores are low. Give it a miss.
Monday the 14th is a write-off too. Strong offshore winds from the WSW, but the swell is short-period (8 seconds) and messy. Not worth a paddle.
Tuesday the 15th is a huge return to form. The morning brings 13.1ft of SW swell with a 12-second period, light winds, and clean conditions. The combined energy is 4912. The afternoon gets even better: 14.8ft of SW swell, period jumps to 14 seconds, light winds, and the combined energy is a very strong 8330. This is a top-tier day for expert surfers.
Wednesday the 16th is another standout. The morning has 14.8ft of SSW swell, a 16-second period, and a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a massive 10250. The afternoon still holds 13.1ft but gets a bit cross-onshore, so the morning is the window.
Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th are a mixed bag of lower swell (6.6ft to 7.9ft) with clean conditions, good for the experienced surfer but not the big swells of the week.
Now, for the real highlight. The best on offer is Saturday the 19th. The morning starts with 14.8ft of WSW swell, a 16-second period, and glassy offshore winds from the SW at 3 mph. The combined energy is exceptional at 10034. The afternoon is even better: 14.8ft of WSW swell, a 17-second period, light cross-off winds, and the combined energy hits 11046. This is a world-class window for the experts. The point will be firing, clean, and powerful.
Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
835 | 628 | 1629 | 2375 | 4456 | 7832 | 19864 | 19240 | 17705 | 11329 | 8494 | 5046 | 3949 | 5187 | 5424 | 3609 | 2779 | 2038 | 1764 | 1281 | 894 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | |||||||||
6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 20 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 24 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
835 | 628 | 1629 | 1279 | 4456 | 322 | 19864 | 19240 | 17705 | 11329 | 8494 | 5046 | 3949 | 5187 | 5424 | 3609 | 2779 | 2038 | 1764 | 1281 | 894 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | NE 4 | — |
118 | 386 | 1475 | 2375 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | 1 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
162 | 338 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | — | — | — | WSW 4 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NW 6 | W 9 |
319 | — | — | — | 20 | 7832 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 18 | 38 | 685 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 501 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 691 | 814 | 1323 | 501 | 422 | 304 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 53 | 107 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










