Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s heading our way at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a run of solid, punchy south-west groundswells lined up that are gonna have the Point looking very clean and workable, especially for you advanced crew.

The water temp is sitting at 57.9°F, which is pretty darn average for this time of year, no big anomaly to worry about – just your standard chilly winter/spring mix. The good news is the water temp anomaly is only 1.4°F, so nothing freaky going on.

We kick off on Wednesday the 26th of August with a clean 7.5 ft south-west swell, a period of 13 seconds, and a gentle cross-off wind. The combined energy is a strong 2324 – plenty of push. This is solid, powerful surf, so steer clear if you’re a beginner; this is advanced territory. The afternoon sees that wind go straight offshore from the WSW, keeping the lineup glassy and clean. Right from the start, it’s looking good.

Thursday the 27th drops off a bit in the morning – 4.6 ft with a longer 14-second period and cross-off NW wind. It’s clean but a little weaker. The afternoon picks up again with 5.6 ft and a solid offshore wind from the west, giving it a good shape, with 1598 combined energy.

Now, Friday the 28th is one of the real standouts of this run. You’re waking up to 9.8 ft of groundswell, period at 17 seconds, and light SSW winds. The combined energy is a massive 5160. This is big, long-period energy that Blacknose Point just loves to groom into proper walls. It’s only for experts at this size – expect some long lulls between sets, but when they come, hold on tight. The afternoon holds the same size and direction, still clean and lined up. This is the pick of the first week.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep that momentum. Both days see 6.9 ft to 8.2 ft of south-west swell with light offshore breezes. The combined energy stays strong, and the Point will be running clean and consistent. *The crowds here can be a thing sometimes, so keep an eye out.*

Monday the 31st of August looks a touch tricky in the morning with a cross-on wind, but the afternoon flips it with a glassy offshore from the west and 9.8 ft of 15-second period swell. That afternoon session is a solid one in my book – very promising.

Tuesday the 1st of September takes a hit from strong north-west winds at 31 mph. The swell is still there, but the wind will mess with the surface. Not a write-off but far from ideal. Wednesday the 2nd brings some rain and an onshore wind in the morning, so skip that. The afternoon flips to a cross-shore, but it’s messy.

Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th stay blown out by strong westerlies, though the swell is still big – 11.5 ft on Friday with 4807 energy. It’ll be clean-ish but tough to surf in that wind.

Then we get to Saturday the 5th of September – and this is the biggest, wildest day of the window. 13.1 ft of south-west groundswell, 16 seconds, and a howling 25 mph offshore wind. The combined energy is 8608 – that’s enormous. This is *only* for absolute experts. It’ll be a grind just to get out, and paddling in will be a mission. Not a day for the faint-hearted.

Sunday the 6th of September is where we see the biggest forecast numbers. 18.0 ft at 14 seconds and a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy hits 20809. The file actually says the swell may be too big for this break, and I’d agree – it’s likely just a washing machine even for the best. The afternoon drops to 16.4 ft with 8237 energy, still massive and only for the elite.

The run continues into the second week: Monday the 7th has 14.8 ft dropping to 13.1 ft by afternoon with a clean offshore flow. Still expert territory. Tuesday the 8th is very interesting – the swell drops to 6.9 ft but the period stretches to 18 seconds. That’s ultra-long period groundswell, and the combined energy is still a hefty 5233. That kind of period will make the waves super clean and lined up at the Point, with long waits between sets. Excellent for experts.

After that, the conditions get messier again with moderate onshore and cross-shore winds through Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th, even though the swell stays huge on the 10th – 23.0 ft with 15813 energy. That’s purely a spectator event.

So, for the best of the best: lock in Friday the 28th of August for the big, clean groundswell and light winds, and Monday the 31st of August afternoon for a glass

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