Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.8° C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 28,843 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 4th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 10th Aug)25ft (7.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 10th Aug)25ft (7.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down. The next 16 days are packing a lot of punch here at Blacknose Point – a classic point break that’s going to need your full attention, especially if you’re experienced. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The action starts Monday morning, August 3rd. It’s cloudy with a fresh offshore breeze, keeping things clean. Swell is a solid 7 ft from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds. That longer period means the waves will have some real grunt, but the point setup should handle it. The energy is strong (2986), but the tide conditions are a bit tricky, so don’t expect a perfect session. The afternoon jumps up to 12 ft from the WSW, still offshore, but the wind is fresher. That’s a big wave for the point, and the energy is very strong (5631). This is getting into expert territory.

Tuesday stays big, with an 12 ft SW swell in the morning and a fresh offshore wind, but the period drops to 12 seconds. The afternoon sees the wind shift cross-off and the swell backs down to 10 ft. Still, the energy is moderate to strong (2084). It’s not the pick of the week.

Now, Wednesday morning, August 5th, is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to 6 ft from the SW, but it’s got a 14-second period, and the wind is a light offshore breeze. The conditions are clean and the wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still strong (1973). This is a solid morning. The afternoon keeps the good vibes with a 6 ft SW swell and a gentle offshore wind.

Thursday is a mixed bag. The morning has a 5 ft swell from the SW with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and the conditions are marginal. The energy drops to moderate (1109). The afternoon cleans up nicely though, with a 5 ft SW swell, cross-off wind, and a clean surface. The energy is back up to strong (1642).

Friday, August 7th, brings a punchy 8 ft SW swell with a 16-second period in the morning, but the cross-shore wind puts a bit of a chop on it. The energy is very strong (3570). The afternoon is a bit messy with a cross-on wind.

Saturday, August 8th, is a write-off. Strong winds, lumpy conditions, and poor surf. Don’t bother.

Sunday, August 9th, improves a bit. The afternoon brings a 13 ft WSW swell with a short 10-second period, but the wind is offshore and fresh. The energy is very strong (4506). It’s a bit of a beast, and the short period means it’ll be a bit choppy, but it’s clean.

Now, the standout. Monday, August 10th. The morning offers a 15 ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, a moderate cross-off wind, and clean conditions. The wave energy is enormous (10687). This is a serious, powerful swell, best for experts. The point will handle it, but it’s going to be a heavy session. The afternoon stays big at 13 ft but the wind is still cross-off.

The next few days remain big and clean, with 12 ft to 15 ft swells, mostly from the SW, with cross-off winds. The period stays long, between 14 and 16 seconds, making for powerful, well-shaped waves. The energy is consistently in the very strong range (4532 to 11474). This is a solid run.

By Friday, August 14th, things ease a little with a 10 ft WSW swell and a 12-second period, plus a gentle cross-off breeze. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (3807).

Then we get to the real monster. Saturday, August 15th. The forecast has a 20 ft WSW swell with a 19-second period. That’s a massive, long-period groundswell. The wind is cross-off and the conditions are clean, but the system is saying the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The energy is off the charts (26650). This is strictly for the most experienced, and even then, it’s a question of whether you want to paddle out into that kind of power. The point might just be a washing machine.

Sunday, the 16th, the swell is still huge at 18 ft, but the wind is cross-on and choppy. Poor conditions.

The final few days settle a bit. Monday, August 17th, has a 13 ft SW swell with onshore wind in the morning, but the afternoon turns glassy with an 12 ft SW swell and light winds. The energy is strong (4839). Tuesday, the 18th, has a 10 ft WSW swell with a 12-second period and a moderate cross-off breeze. Clean.

If you’re looking for the best, Wednesday morning, August 5th, and Monday, August 10th, are your top picks. The 5th for a cleaner, more manageable size, and the 10th for the raw power. The 15th is a beast you’ll want to watch from the shore unless you’re a true charger.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
2
3
4
4
4
1
1
4
4
3
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
8
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
3.5
SW
12
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
11
2.3
SW
10
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1
SW
17
1.4
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.5
WNW
11
3.5
WSW
13
6.5
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1728
2006
3512
2966
2125
1082
1426
1021
560
979
1082
1610
3237
2491
2945
2538
1985
1273
1324
3999
11061
Wind (km/h)
35
W
30
W
30
WSW
30
SW
25
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
20
W
15
NNW
25
NW
25
WSW
10
WSW
15
NW
10
W
20
NNE
30
N
35
N
45
N
35
N
50
WSW
30
WSW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
off
off
High Tide
2:49PM0.94m
3:04AM0.83m
2:56PM0.88m
3:44AM0.86m
2:52PM0.82m
4:32AM0.85m
2:29PM0.81m
5:43AM0.83m
1:39PM0.84m
12:45PM0.93m
12:37PM1.02m
Low Tide
9:09PM0.36m
8:56AM0.41m
9:20PM0.32m
9:26AM0.52m
9:33PM0.29m
9:47AM0.65m
9:47PM0.25m
9:32AM0.78m
10:05PM0.24m
10:25PM0.24m
10:50PM0.28m
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
 mm
2
3
1
1
1
2
3
1
4
1
Temp °C
11
11
11
12
12
11
11
12
11
13
13
13
13
14
12
14
12
11
11
10
12
Feels °C
3
4
4
6
6
6
7
8
7
8
9
10
9
11
9
7
5
2
4
0
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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