Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.5° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 21,445 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 13th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Tue 14th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that holds a bit of a grudge against the wind, but when it all lines up, it’s a proper gem. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, and there’s definitely some fire on the horizon.

At the start, the water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice you don’t need the thickest suit.

The first swell worth paddling out for hits on Friday the 10th. It’s a 7ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, but the wind is a cross-on from the north at 12 mph. The wave energy is moderate (1671), but that wind will chop it up. It’s marginal, but it’s a start.

Saturday the 11th is a write-off in the morning with 25 mph cross-on wind and messy surf. The afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind, but the swell is a short-period 8ft from the west. Not great.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 12th delivers a massive 20ft WSW swell with a 12-second period and strong offshore wind from the west at 28 mph. The combined energy is massive (9677). This is a serious, expert-only wave. That offshore wind will make it look like a postcard, but paddling in will be a battle. It’s a standout for the brave.

Monday the 13th keeps the party going with 18ft to 20ft SW groundswell, 15-second periods, and cross-off wind. The energy is monstrous (14741 to 17345). The waves will be clean and powerful, but this is still deep water.

The absolute best on offer is Tuesday the 14th. 16ft to 15ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, combined with moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is still pumping (12407 to 9561), but the wind is lighter, making for a much cleaner, more manageable session for experienced surfers. This is the day to circle on the calendar. Expect crowds here, as it’s often busy.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see the swell dropping from 12ft to 8ft, with clean conditions and light winds. Thursday afternoon looks particularly nice with a light breeze and glassy conditions.

The 17th is a Friday treat. A 10ft, 16-second SW groundswell, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a magic window. The energy is still solid (4828), and the conditions will be perfect. A real standout for the experienced surfer.

Then we hit a dry patch. From Saturday the 18th through to Monday the 20th morning, it’s all poor conditions with strong winds and lumpy, messy surf. The swell drops off, and the wind is a mess. Not worth looking at.

Monday the 20th afternoon shows a bit of life again with a 10ft WNW swell and clean cross-off wind, but it’s short period and not a standout.

The pattern picks up again on Wednesday the 22nd with a massive 20ft to 23ft WSW swell, but the wind is cross and cross-on, making it lumpy. The energy is huge (9832 to 17076), but the quality is poor. Not for paddle surfing; this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing.

The long-range standout is Thursday the 23rd. An 18ft, 16-second SW groundswell with moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is cranked (15857), and the conditions are clean. This is another exceptional day for experts, but being a week and a half out, it’s promising but less certain.

Friday the 24th holds good size at 18ft to 13ft, with clean conditions, but the energy drops off. After that, it fades back to smaller, clean but unremarkable surf through the weekend.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, near gales from the WSW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
2
6
5
6
6
6
7
9
8
4
4
3
4
2
4
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
2.5
W
9
5
WSW
11
6
WSW
12
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
WSW
14
5.5
WSW
15
6
SW
15
6
SW
16
5
SW
16
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1669
1307
874
1010
6410
9677
9263
10567
14741
17345
18723
12407
9561
6127
4369
3390
2903
3056
2846
3778
4490
Wind (km/h)
20
N
30
N
40
N
40
WNW
50
WSW
45
W
45
W
45
WNW
40
WNW
40
W
40
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
WNW
20
NW
20
W
15
WNW
20
N
10
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
Low Tide
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
9
9
2
2
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
14
11
14
10
12
13
13
13
14
13
13
13
13
12
14
14
13
14
15
13
13
Feels °C
10
6
6
1
2
4
4
5
6
5
4
8
8
8
11
10
10
11
13
9
10
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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