
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 17,582 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s ahead for Blacknose Point.
We’re looking at a solid run of pulses, but it’s not all clean. The standout window is definitely the second week, especially around the 12th and 14th. Early on, we’ve got some half-decent windows but the wind is a bit of a fiddle.
Starting off Thursday the 6th, the morning is a write-off with a cross-shore wind and a messy 4ft SW swell. But the afternoon saves it – a clean 4ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a gentle offshore blowing. That’s surfable and neat, but not huge. Friday morning the 7th sees the swell jump to 8ft from the SW, but the cross-shore wind is making it lumpy. The afternoon gets a bit sloppy with a cross-onshore breeze.
Saturday the 8th is a total bust – fresh onshore winds and a lumpy mess. Sunday the 9th is mostly poor, but the afternoon has a moderate offshore wind cleaning up a 5ft SW swell. It’s okay, but not a standout.
Now, Monday the 10th is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a massive 16ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is a whopping 26205, which is extreme. But the file says it’s too big for this break. That’s a warning for experienced surfers only. The wind is clean, cross-offshore, but the size will be a beast. The afternoon drops to 13ft, which is still huge.
The real magic starts to show on Wednesday the 12th. A 15ft SW swell with a 17-second period, and fresh offshore wind. That’s a powerful, clean groundswell. The combined energy is 11384. It’s big, but the offshore wind will make it a fantastic, heavy wave for expert surfers. The afternoon stays similar.
Thursday the 13th keeps the 15ft SW swell going, with clean cross-offshore winds. High energy, but clean.
The best of the whole run, without a doubt, is Friday the 14th. The afternoon session is exceptional for experts. A 15ft SW swell with a 17-second period, a moderate offshore wind, and the combined energy is 11747. The file straight-up calls it “exceptional.” That’s the one to circle. The morning is also a 16ft SW swell, but it’s a bit more cross-off, so the afternoon is the pick.
Saturday the 15th is still good, with a 12ft SW swell and clean winds, especially in the morning. Sunday the 16th has a glassy 10ft SW swell in the morning, which is a beautiful, clean option for experienced surfers.
After that, it drops off. Monday the 17th through the 19th is a mess of onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell is still there, but the wind is killing it. We get a brief clean-up on the 20th and 21st, with 10ft to 15ft SW swells, but the wind is variable and the period drops.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing weird.
Bottom line: The 14th is the one. The afternoon of the 14th is the standout. Be ready for a big, powerful wave. It’s not for beginners; the swell is over 8ft for most of the second week, so it’s firmly in the expert zone. Enjoy it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the WNW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 20 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
553 | 886 | 897 | 2289 | 3103 | 2295 | 3392 | 2354 | 2360 | 1977 | 1127 | 1004 | 14464 | 14652 | 7889 | 4376 | 3144 | 1607 | 3828 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | off | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 4:32AM0.85m | 2:29PM0.81m | 5:43AM0.83m | 1:39PM0.84m | 12:45PM0.93m | 12:37PM1.02m | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:47AM0.65m | 9:47PM0.25m | 9:32AM0.78m | 10:05PM0.24m | 10:25PM0.24m | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | |||||||||||
— | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
504 | 886 | 897 | 2289 | 3103 | 2295 | 3392 | 2354 | 2360 | 1977 | 1127 | 659 | 4865 | 14652 | 7889 | 4376 | 3144 | 1607 | 3341 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | S 8 | SW 19 | WSW 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 6 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | SW 20 |
553 | 31 | 299 | 60 | 455 | 831 | 10 | — | — | — | 157 | 1004 | — | — | — | — | — | 708 | 3828 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | W 10 | S 8 | SSW 7 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | SW 16 |
63 | 16 | 46 | 20 | 43 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | 447 | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 125 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 4 | W 6 | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 |
— | 10 | 109 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 43 | 60 | 40 | 16 | 14464 | 11553 | — | 8 | 24 | 8 | 21 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 67 | 125 | 67 | 75 | 130 | 235 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 7 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











