
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 8,655 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
First thing you need to know: the water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you might not need the thickest wetsuit.
Okay, so we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Wednesday morning, July 8th. Before that, it’s just a bunch of choppy, cross-onshore junk with very marginal conditions. That Wednesday morning kicks off with a clean 10ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds, with moderate wave energy (5691). The wind is offshore and light, so it should be clean, but the swell’s already over 8ft – this is really only for the experienced crew.
Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th drop back a bit, with 6ft to 8ft of SW swell, but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be great. Saturday the 11th is basically a write-off – strong winds, messy, and a total zero.
Then we hit a quiet patch. Sunday the 12th is tiny and wet, and Monday the 13th brings back a big 12ft to 10ft SW groundswell (14-16 seconds) but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s only a 5 out of 10 at best.
Now here’s the standout: Tuesday morning, July 14th. You get a clean 7ft WSW swell with light offshore wind – that’s your ticket. The wave energy is solid (2655), and for an advanced spot like this, it’s the best quality in the first week. Clean, powerful, and that offshore wind will keep the faces perfect. Crowds are often here, so expect some company.
The following Saturday, July 18th, is another big alert. The afternoon session sees a 13ft WSW swell with light cross-off wind and clean conditions. That’s expert territory again, but the energy is strong (5851) and it’s going to be a beast.
But the real epic moment – if it holds – is Sunday morning, July 19th. Glassy conditions, 13ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds, and the wave energy is pumping (6834). That’s about as perfect as it gets for a big wave session at a point. Wind is dead calm – glassy – and it’s going to be an absolute dream. That’s the one to circle on the calendar, even if it’s more than a week away.
After that, Monday the 20th brings a massive 16ft to 20ft SW/WSW swell with extreme energy (12649 to 32155), but it’s going to be way too big for this break. Only for the true kamikaze crew.
Overall, the first week is slow and messy, but the second week has some absolute gems, with Tuesday the 14th and Sunday the 19th being the clear standouts. Keep an eye on that glassy Sunday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
12313 | 8655 | 5431 | 2570 | 1674 | 1110 | 1707 | 1654 | 1994 | 5691 | 4472 | 2687 | 1647 | 1402 | 2804 | 2453 | 2021 | 1752 | 1304 | 1164 | 718 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:24PM1.04m | 3:03AM0.71m | 3:42PM0.96m | 3:55AM0.74m | 3:50PM0.88m | 5:03AM0.76m | 3:36PM0.82m | 7:15AM0.79m | 2:20PM0.81m | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:08PM0.50m | 8:50AM0.40m | 10:23PM0.48m | 9:27AM0.51m | 10:39PM0.45m | 10:02AM0.64m | 10:58PM0.42m | 10:24AM0.78m | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | ||||||||||
7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | |
— | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
12313 | 8655 | 5431 | 2570 | 1674 | 1110 | 1707 | 1654 | 1994 | 5691 | 4472 | 2687 | 1647 | 1402 | 2804 | 2453 | 2021 | 1752 | 1304 | 1164 | 718 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | SW 18 | S 9 | S 8 | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 |
— | — | — | 33 | 25 | 272 | 83 | 52 | 1002 | — | — | — | — | 546 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 57 | 38 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | — | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 419 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | N 3 | NNE 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 8 | 8 | 28 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 214 | 123 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 67 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










