Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.1° C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 12,403 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul)13ft (4.0m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Tue 28th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the surf ahead for Blacknose Point. This is no ordinary little stretch of coast; it's a proper point break that's fairly exposed to the swell and its optimum direction is from the SSW. The water temp is sittin' at 59.2°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first action kicks off on Wednesday the 22nd of July. We're lookin' at a solid 8.2ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period, packin' a strong 1903 energy. The wind is a fresh 19 mph offshore from the W, so it's gonna be clean. For an advanced surfer, this is a goer, but at 8.2ft it's gettin' into expert territory. Crowds are often an issue here, so keep that in mind.

Now, Thursday the 23rd of July is where things get serious. The swell jumps to 13.1ft SW early, with a 14-second period and a massive 6899 energy. The wind is a fresh 19 mph offshore from the SW, keepin' it clean. Thursday afternoon pushes it even further to 14.8ft SW with a 14-second period and 7394 energy, but the wind shifts to a fresh 22 mph WSW offshore. This is big, powerful stuff – only for the well-experienced.

Friday the 24th of July is the standout of this whole run. The morning delivers a 16.4ft SSW groundswell, a 15-second period, and a massive 10622 energy. The wind is a fresh 19 mph offshore from the W. That's a huge, long-period swell hittin' a point break, which is a recipe for some serious, grinding walls. The afternoon stays big at 14.8ft SW, but the wind goes cross-offshore, makin' it a bit less perfect.

Saturday the 25th of July is still pumpin' with a 13.1ft SW swell and 4526 energy, but the morning has rain showers with a WSW offshore wind. The afternoon drops to 11.5ft SW with a 12-second period and 3611 energy, still with an offshore.

Sunday the 26th of July sees the swell drop to 9.8ft SW with an 11-second period, and the wind goes cross-offshore, which means a bit of a bump on the face. The energy is down to around 1980. The conditions stay similar through Monday and Tuesday the 28th, but Tuesday afternoon is a real highlight. The swell is 13.1ft SSW with a 16-second period and 7014 energy, and the wind is a moderate 12 mph offshore from the SW. That's a very long period groundswell with offshore winds, which for a point means incredibly clean, powerful lines.

Then we hit a wall. From Wednesday the 29th of July, the wind turns cross-onshore from the ESE, and the conditions turn poor. The swell stays around 11.5ft, but the chop will be nasty. This poor run looks set to continue for several days, with the wind stayin' onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell slowly droppin'. There's a brief glimmer on Saturday the 1st of August with a 7.5ft SW swell and a 16-second period, but the wind is cross-offshore, so it's not perfect. Sunday the 2nd of August looks okay with a 8.2ft SW swell, a 17-second period, and a gentle offshore, offerin' some clean, long-period waves.

The final week of the forecast is a bit of a write-off, with the wind swingin' around to the south and east, bringin' cross-shore and onshore conditions, makin' for lumpy, choppy surf. The swell sticks around but the quality is gone.

So, for the best on offer, Friday the 24th of July morning is the absolute standout with that 16.4ft SSW groundswell, a 15-second period, and offshore winds. Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon is also a top pick with that 13.1ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, and offshore wind. These are the ones to pencil in.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wed
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
8
5
5
8
7
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
5
6
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
12
4
SW
14
4
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
5
SW
16
5
SSW
15
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
13
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
3
SW
11
3
SW
11
3
WSW
11
3.5
WSW
11
3.5
WSW
12
3.5
SW
14
4
SSW
15
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1903
6802
6899
7394
12034
10622
8224
6276
4526
3459
2181
1829
1833
2372
2603
3646
5165
7647
7014
4631
Wind (km/h)
30
W
30
WSW
30
SW
35
WSW
30
SW
30
W
35
W
30
WSW
30
WSW
30
W
25
W
25
W
25
W
25
WNW
25
NW
20
WNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
SW
10
S
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
1:53PM0.91m
12:21PM0.97m
12:23PM1.04m
12:40PM1.09m
12:59PM1.12m
11:50PM0.50m
Low Tide
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
11:50PM0.35m
00:46AM0.38m
2:40AM0.39m
4:24AM0.36m
9:17PM0.48m
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
2
3
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
3
Temp °C
12
11
11
11
11
12
12
14
14
13
13
14
14
12
13
14
12
15
13
12
Feels °C
5
3
3
3
3
4
4
9
8
7
9
9
9
7
9
10
8
11
9
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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