Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, let's be real for a second. The surf window kicks off with a bit of a dud. Tuesday the 1st is a write-off – lumpy, choppy, and just plain messy. We're looking at a solid stretch of swell heading our way, but it's gonna take a couple of days to clean up. The real story starts to build Wednesday the 2nd and hits its straps on Thursday the 3rd, but patience is a virtue.

The standout of the whole 16-day run is hands down Thursday the 3rd through to Saturday the 5th, especially for the big-wave hunters. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, around 58°F.

Let's talk about Blacknose Point first. It's a point break, fairly exposed, and it takes the best from a SSW direction. The crowds are often a factor here, so keep that in mind.

Thursday the 3rd is when things get serious. The morning sees a 18 ft SW swell with a 13-second period, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW. The combined energy is massive at 9816 (moderate to strong). It's a raw, powerful day. The afternoon holds at 16 ft (SW, 14s) with a fresh offshore. This is all expert territory. The energy is right up there (9216).

Friday the 4th eases a touch but stays big. 15 ft SW swell (15s) in the morning, but the wind swings cross-shore, putting a bit of chop on it. The energy is still huge (10458). The afternoon is similar, 13 ft (SW, 15s) with 7887 energy.

Saturday the 5th is the biggest day of the bunch. The morning is a mess with a near-gale wind, but the afternoon is the real deal. A 21 ft SW swell (14s) with a strong offshore breeze. The energy is off the charts at 16902. This is only for the absolute elite. The waves will be heavy, powerful, and hard to paddle into.

After that big weekend, the swell backs off but stays solid. Sunday the 6th afternoon is a gem of a session. The wind goes glassy, with a 12 ft SW swell (14s, 4465 energy). It's clean, calm, and perfect for experienced surfers.

Monday the 7th is a dramatic drop-off. The swell fades to 5 ft, but the mornings are glassy. It's a good day for a smaller board, but nothing to write home about.

Then we get another pulse. Tuesday the 8th is huge again – 16 ft to 18 ft SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy readings are off the charts (20194 and 28793). The wind is clean, but the swell is just too big for this break. It's a warning.

Wednesday the 9th is the sweet spot. 15 ft SW swell (16s) with a moderate offshore breeze. The energy is still huge (10362 and 8850), and the conditions are exceptional for experts. This is the second true standout.

From Thursday the 10th onward, the window is a mixed bag. The swell stays in the 10 ft to 15 ft range, but the wind gets inconsistent. The 11th of September afternoon looks clean with a 13 ft SW swell (17s, 9340 energy), which is excellent. But by the 12th, the wind is back to being bumpy and the waves are getting a bit messy.

The second week is all about watching the charts. The 14th and 15th have some promising glassy mornings and light winds with 7 ft to 10 ft SW groundswells, but the energy is dropping. The 16th looks like it fades out with cross-off winds and a 8 ft swell.

So, the plan is clear. If you're an expert, lock in Thursday the 3rd and Wednesday the 9th – those are the best of the best. For everyone else, the Sunday the 6th afternoon glass-off is the one. The rest of the window is a roll of the dice.

Rusty.

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