Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 10 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,417 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 11th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here with the lowdown.

We’ve got a solid stretch of swell coming into Blacknose Point, a point break that handles a good south-southwest to southwest direction. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

The first real action kicks off Friday morning, September 11th. We’re looking at a 12-foot swell from the SSW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is strong. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit lumpy, but there’s serious power. That long period makes it a point break wave, which is perfect. Friday afternoon stays similar with a 16-second period, but the wind picks up and makes it choppier.

Saturday, September 12th, is the standout. The morning is still a bit cross-on, but the afternoon turns glassy. The swell drops to 8 feet from the SW, still with a 15-second period, and the energy is very strong. The wind goes totally glassy. This is the session to aim for – clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. It’s a big wave, but for experienced surfers on a point, it’s prime.

Sunday, September 13th, gets messy with strong cross-shore winds and a dropping swell. The next real highlight is Tuesday, September 15th. The swell builds back up to 15 feet from the SW, with a 14-second period. The energy is huge. The wind is clean cross-offshore. This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s expert territory only. Wednesday, September 16th, holds similar size and energy, but the wind shifts to a light cross-shore, so it’s a little less perfect.

Thursday, September 17th, morning brings another gem: 8 feet from the SW, 14-second period, and glassy. The energy is still strong. It’s a clean, powerful wave that’s still big for most, but a much better window for the strong intermediate.

After that, the swell drops off and the winds get stronger through the end of the week. We get a bit of a lull, but then things look promising again starting Sunday, September 20th, with a smaller, clean 6 to 5 foot SW swell, and then Monday, September 21st, picks up to 8 feet from the SW, 14-second period, with clean offshore winds in the afternoon. That’s a very good, clean, powerful day for the experienced surfer.

The week of the 22nd and 23rd sees another pulse of 10 to 12 foot swell, but with stronger winds. Later in the month, around the 25th and 26th, there’s a long-period 19-second swell coming in, but with onshore winds, so it’s a bit of a tease.

Overall, the best bets are Saturday afternoon the 12th for the glassy conditions, and Tuesday the 15th for the raw, clean power. If you’re not an expert, aim for the glassy morning of the 17th or the cleaner days around the 20th and 21st.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Wed afternoon).

Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
3
3
4
4
1
1
2
2
1
1
3
5
6
6
6
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
2.1
W
7
3
SW
12
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5024
4936
6609
6251
4024
3351
2457
1856
1493
965
451
474
2875
8136
8359
8096
8702
7043
4654
Wind (km/h)
5
E
10
ESE
15
SE
10
NE
10
N
5
SE
20
N
25
N
20
NNW
20
NW
30
WNW
35
W
30
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
15
S
15
SSE
10
SSE
5
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
off
High Tide
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
Low Tide
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
 mm
4
Temp °C
10
12
12
12
18
19
17
18
16
13
15
15
12
11
11
11
10
10
9
Feels °C
7
9
8
9
17
18
14
14
13
10
9
8
5
4
5
6
6
7
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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