Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Blacknose Point, but this one is a heavyweight. If you’re not an experienced surfer, you’ll want to pick your windows carefully, because this stretch is going to pump serious size.

The first real action kicks off on Tuesday the 1st of September. It’s a bit of a warm-up with a 6ft SW swell, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off from the NW. The water is sitting at 58°, which is about a degree warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus. That swell energy is already pumping at 1765 (moderate), so it’s not a total loss, but it’s a bit marginal.

Now, the real standout is Thursday the 3rd of September. We’ve got a massive 16ft to 18ft SW swell rolling in, with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. That’s a lot of water. The wind on Thursday morning is a clean 22 mph offshore from the WSW, and by the afternoon it’s a 19 mph offshore from the W. The swell energy is insane – we’re talking 8802 in the morning and a whopping 22292 in the afternoon (strong to very strong). This is a day for the big guns only. The wave comment even says it’s predicted to be too big for this break for the afternoon, so if you’re not an expert, stay on the beach. This is the best the period has to offer, but it’s not for the faint of heart.

Friday the 4th sees the swell ease slightly to 15ft, still with a long 16-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW and N, so it’s not as clean. Still a lot of energy (10732), but the chop will be a factor.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. Winds are howling out of the W at 31 mph in the morning – near gale force. The 20ft swell is there, but it’s a mess. The afternoon is better with a 25 mph offshore, but with that much power (10179), it’s a battle to get out.

Things settle down by Sunday the 6th, with an 12ft SW swell and a light breeze, but it’s cross-shore, so the quality drops. Monday the 7th is small and onshore – not worth it.

The next really interesting window is Tuesday the 8th of September. The swell drops to 7ft, but the period stretches to 17 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the W, and the wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The energy is 3203 (moderate). This is a classic point-break day – long, lined-up waves, but it will be straight and fast at the beach.

Wednesday the 9th is another monster. 21ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a 28 mph cross-off wind from the S. The energy is 22634 (very strong). Again, the comment says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. This is the second big standout, but only for the dedicated chargers.

After that, from Thursday the 10th through to the end of the period, it’s a mix of large, lumpy surf and cleaner, more manageable 8ft to 13ft SW swells. The standout for the second week is Sunday the 13th of September. The morning is a bit onshore, but the afternoon turns glassy. An 8ft SW swell with a 14-second period and glassy conditions – “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” is the word. The energy is 2952 (moderate). That’s a clean, fun session for the crew that knows what they’re doing.

The very end of the run, on Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th, sees the swell drop to 3ft to 7ft, but with a very long 22-second period on the 15th. That’s a super long-period groundswell. The wind is offshore from the W, making for clean, glassy lines. Not huge, but beautiful.

Overall, if you’re a seasoned local, Thursday the 3rd and Wednesday the 9th are the big, heavy standouts. For the rest of us, the glassy afternoon on Sunday the 13th is the pick of the more manageable days.

Rusty out.

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