Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that likes a good SSW swell, and it’s fairly consistent. It’s an advanced spot, and crowds are often a thing here, but for good reason.

The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 59°.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things kick off on Monday the 3rd of August. The afternoon sees a 8ft SW swell at 14 seconds, but a fresh 19 mph offshore wind is blowing. The combined energy is strong at 3194, but the conditions are a bit marginal. It’s a scruffy start.

Tuesday the 4th is similar – a bigger 12ft SW swell in the morning, but the wind is howling at 19 mph and the tide or something is just off. The energy is still strong at 3126, but it’s not quite dialed in.

Now, Wednesday the 5th is where we start to see some real magic. The morning brings a 6ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and a gentle 9 mph offshore wind from the W. The energy is a solid 1961, and the description says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is even better – 6ft with a 13-second period, a moderate 12 mph offshore, and the same excellent conditions. This is the first real standout of the window. Clean, lined up, and that point will be reeling.

Thursday the 6th is a bit mixed. The morning is clean but a cross-off wind, while the afternoon is a treat – a 4ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, a moderate offshore wind, and the conditions are excellent again. That long period will make the waves fat and juicy, perfect for the point.

Friday the 7th holds solid at 8ft SW with a 15-second period, but the wind is a light cross-off. It’s clean, but not as glassy. The energy is big at 3079. A good day, but not the best.

Then we hit a wall. Saturday the 8th is a write-off. Strong 22 mph onshore winds from the north make it a lumpy, messy day. Sunday the 9th brings a massive 16ft WSW swell, but it’s a short period 10 seconds, and the wind is a strong 28 mph offshore. It’s clean, but it’s a monster. The energy is huge at 5243, but this is only for experts who can handle a beating.

The absolute standout of the entire 16-day window is Monday the 10th of August. The morning shows a 18ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, a light 6 mph cross-off wind, and the combined energy is a colossal 15726. The forecast calls it exceptional for expert surfers. This is a once-in-a-blue-moon swell at Blacknose. The afternoon is even bigger at 20ft, but the wind goes cross, making it a bit more challenging. Still, the morning session on the 10th is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but the potential is off the charts.

Tuesday the 11th is still massive, with 16ft to 20ft swells, but the wind is fresh and cross-shore, so it’s lumpy. Wednesday the 12th is the biggest of the whole run – a 23ft SW swell with an 18-second period and a near-gale 31 mph offshore wind. The energy is 27604. It’s simply too big for this break, even for experts. That’s a “don’t even think about it” day.

The end of the week and into the second week sees a slow drop in size. The 13th, 14th, and 15th are all in the 15ft to 18ft range, with fresh offshore winds, but the energy is still high. It’s big, powerful, and clean, but only for the very experienced.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are a nice, more manageable size, with 7ft to 10ft SW swells at 15-16 seconds, and moderate offshore winds. The energy is still healthy. The whole run from the 5th to the 18th shows consistent, good quality surf, but the 10th of August is the true standout.

Rusty.

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