Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,949 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about this run. This is Rusty, and we’ve got some serious surf coming up at Blacknose Point. This is a point break, advanced only, and it’s fairly consistent, so the waves will keep coming.
Water temp is about 58°F – that’s a degree or so warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a little nicer than normal.
We start on Sunday the 23rd of August. The morning is a bit rough – cross-shore wind and some chop on a 10ft SW swell, with a combined energy of 4854 (moderate). The afternoon cleans up – light offshore wind, 8ft SW swell, energy drops to 3625. Clean, but still big. Only for the experienced.
Monday the 24th is a dud – both sessions are messy with cross-shore wind and light rain. Swell is around 7ft to 7ft, but not worth it.
Tuesday the 25th gets better. Morning is clean with a light offshore wind, 8ft SW swell, energy at 2524. The afternoon has a fresh 30 km/h offshore wind – clean but strong, making it harder to paddle into. Still a good day for the right surfer.
Wednesday the 26th is a beauty. Both morning and afternoon are clean with gentle to moderate offshore winds. Swell is 8ft to 8ft from the SW, energy around 2186 to 1875. Solid, clean, lined up. This is a standout for experienced surfers.
Thursday the 27th is weaker – swell drops to 5ft to 7ft, cross-off wind, moderate breeze. Clean but less exciting.
Friday the 28th of August – big day. Morning and afternoon both pump out 10ft SW swell with a very long period of 17 seconds in the morning, dropping to 16 seconds in the afternoon. Combined energy is massive – 5840 in the morning, 4022 in the afternoon. Offshore winds, moderate breeze, clean. This is a serious groundswell. At a point break, it’ll hold up beautifully. The long period means longer waits between sets, but the waves will be powerful and well-shaped. This is a real standout.
Saturday the 29th is still solid but the wind picks up – fresh offshore at 30 km/h, 8ft to 8ft SW swell. Clean but a handful.
Sunday the 30th of August – the biggest day. Morning has a 16ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, combined energy screaming at 13949 (very strong). Afternoon is 15ft with a 16-second period, energy at 11418. The wind is gentle offshore, so conditions are clean for a monster swell. This is a dream for expert surfers only – 16ft is way over the 8ft mark, so beginners and intermediates should stay away. This is the true standout of the entire outlook.
Monday the 31st is a letdown – swell is still 12ft to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore and fresh, making it lumpy.
Tuesday the 1st of September brings it back – moderate offshore wind, 13ft to 12ft SW swell, energy around 5733 to 4845. Clean and powerful, but only for experts.
Wednesday the 2nd of September is messy – cross-off winds, 8ft swell, moderate to fresh wind. Clean but not great.
Thursday the 3rd of September – another big one. 15ft to 16ft SW swell with a 15-second period, combined energy over 9000. Cross-off and fresh wind, so clean but strong. Massive swell.
Friday the 4th of September keeps the size at 13ft SW with a 16-second period, energy between 8294 and 6979. The afternoon is particularly good – gentle offshore, clean. Another standout for the experienced.
Saturday the 5th of September drops a bit – 10ft in the morning with fresh cross-off wind, then 8ft in the afternoon with offshore wind. The afternoon is cleaner and more manageable.
Sunday the 6th of September is worse – cross-onshore wind, 12ft swell, choppy. Not great.
Monday the 7th of September finishes with a 10ft to 12ft SW swell, cross-off to strong offshore wind. The wind gets very strong in the afternoon (40 km/h offshore), so it’s clean but brutally hard to paddle into. Only for the hardcore.
The standout days are Sunday the 30th of August, with that massive 16ft SSW groundswell and gentle offshore wind, and Friday the 28th of August, with the 10ft SW long-period swell and clean offshore conditions. Mark your calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3518 | 2235 | 2840 | 1891 | 1430 | 1475 | 2076 | 1952 | 2747 | 2063 | 1806 | 1189 | 1064 | 1329 | 3685 | 5808 | 4005 | 2999 | 2474 | 1982 | 2587 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | ||||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
3518 | 2235 | 2840 | 1891 | 1430 | 1475 | 2076 | 1952 | 2747 | 2063 | 1806 | 1189 | 1064 | 1242 | 3685 | 5808 | 4005 | 2999 | 2474 | 1982 | 2587 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SSW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | WSW 13 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | SW 24 | SSW 21 |
1336 | 1390 | 658 | 15 | 60 | 113 | 448 | 508 | 270 | 12 | 69 | 22 | 55 | 41 | 1606 | 32 | 17 | — | — | 22 | 175 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | SSW 10 | SW 22 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 111 | — | 210 | 237 | 57 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | 331 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 3 | — | — | — | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | 19 | 130 | — | — | — | — | 1329 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 235 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











