Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 21,287 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 6th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 9th Sep)20ft (6.0m) 18s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)20ft (6.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blacknose Point.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming our way, but you gotta pick your moments. The first call is for the morning of Sunday the 6th. It’s not the biggest day of the stretch, but the conditions are dialed. We’re looking at a 12ft SW groundswell with a nice long 14-second period, and a gentle offshore wind keeping it clean. The combined wave energy is pumping hard at 7034, so there’s plenty of grunt. This is expert territory at that size, but the setup is about as good as it gets for a point break. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises.

The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Thursday the 10th. That morning, we’ve got an 18ft SSW groundswell packing a 17-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the SW. The combined energy is a massive 15636, and the forecast is calling it exceptional for experts. That’s the kind of day where the point will be running like a freight train, long lines, deep bowls. It’s big, over 8ft, so this is not one for the faint of heart or the learner crew. The afternoon stays just as good with a 15ft swell and clean offshore wind.

The run from the 6th to the 12th has a few windows. The 8th Tuesday afternoon is a beauty with a 10ft SW swell and offshore wind, period at 16 seconds and energy at 4230. The 12th Saturday afternoon goes glassy with an 8ft SW swell, but the wind is dead calm – that’s a rare treat for clean conditions, though the period is a long 15 seconds, so expect some lulls between sets.

Later in the week, the 15th Tuesday afternoon looks promising with a 10ft SW swell and a solid 16-second period, offshore wind, and energy of 4109. By the 16th Wednesday, we’ve got consistent 10ft SW swell with gentle offshore winds all day, energy just over 3300. That’s excellent, reliable surf.

Now, a heads up. After the 17th, the wind starts to howl. That Thursday and Friday see strong breezes, and the swell gets messy. The 19th Saturday afternoon gets a spike of 12ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period, but with 25 mph winds, it’s going to be a battle. This one is more for the kite crew than paddle surfers given the wind and size.

The big one to watch, but it’s a long way out, is the 21st Monday morning. The finder is showing a monster 20ft SW swell with a 22-second period – that’s an absolute beast, energy at 32140. The wind is offshore, moderate, but the file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Only the most experienced and crazy chargers would even look at it. That’s one for the legends, but I’d be cautious.

So, bottom line: your best bet is Thursday the 10th for the true standout. Tuesday the 8th afternoon and the 16th Wednesday are solid second picks. The long-range stuff on the 21st is promising but a wild card.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat night, calm by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue night, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the ESE by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
6
4
4
3
2
3
4
5
4
7
7
!
9
9
5
5
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SW
12
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
12
1.6
SW
13
2.4
SW
8
2.4
SW
12
2
SW
17
3
SW
16
4
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
5.5
SSW
18
6
SSW
18
5.5
SSW
17
4.5
SSW
16
4
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4258
4550
3145
1599
803
771
1767
2339
4230
6995
8828
17960
20062
15636
10687
6395
4363
4970
5991
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
15
W
20
WSW
20
WSW
25
S
20
SSE
5
SE
15
W
20
WSW
35
SSW
25
SSW
25
SW
20
SW
15
SW
20
SW
10
SW
15
SSW
10
SSE
15
NE
Wind State
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
High Tide
12:36PM0.91m
12:32PM0.96m
12:38PM0.98m
1:03AM0.43m
12:46PM0.97m
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
Low Tide
9:28PM0.20m
9:34PM0.28m
9:08PM0.38m
4:40AM0.39m
8:09PM0.45m
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
 mm
1
Temp °C
12
13
13
12
12
10
9
11
11
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
10
10
9
Feels °C
5
9
10
8
7
6
7
6
6
2
4
4
5
8
7
7
7
8
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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