Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell headed our way at Blacknose Point, but it’s not all gonna be clean. Let’s break it down day by day.

The opening act kicks off Tuesday the 8th. Morning has clean 7ft SW swell with a solid 17-second period, and only a light cross-offshore breeze. Winds are light out of the WNW at 6 mph. It’s a bit of a notch above average for experienced surfers, and the water’s sitting at 58°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The afternoon bumps up to 10ft with a bit more west in the wind, but still offshore at 12 mph, so it stays clean. The energy is moderate (4458).

Wednesday the 9th sees the swell really kick in. Morning pushes 16ft at 19 seconds, and even though the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore, the size and period make it a serious proposition. The combined energy jumps right up to 18226, which is strong. The afternoon is similar, 18ft at 17 seconds, with strong energy (17014). This is big, powerful water—not for the faint-hearted.

Now, Thursday the 10th is the standout of this whole stretch. Morning delivers 15ft of SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a light 9 mph cross-offshore breeze. The energy is pumping at 17108, and it’s looking *exceptional* for experts. The afternoon drops slightly to 13ft, but the conditions hold. This is the day to be out there if you know what you’re doing.

Friday the 11th settles down in size but the wind swings onshore. Morning is 10ft but with a light cross-on breeze from the east, creating some ripples. The afternoon is 12ft with a cross-shore wind, so it’s a bit more textured. Still ridable, but not the cleanest.

Saturday the 12th is a mixed bag. Morning has 10ft but with a cross-shore wind. The afternoon is better: 8ft with a light cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions, though the energy drops.

Sunday the 13th is a write-off. The swell drops to 7ft, but a fresh cross-shore wind from the north chops it up. Not worth the paddle.

We then hit a lull. Monday the 14th has waves but they’re small, 4ft, and the energy is weak. The wind is strong offshore in the afternoon, but the size just isn’t there. This quiet spell runs through to Tuesday the 15th morning, but that’s when it turns back on.

Tuesday the 15th afternoon sees things pick up again, with 12ft of SW swell at 13 seconds and moderate energy (3563). The wind is cross-offshore and clean.

Wednesday the 16th morning is a gem. 10ft of SW swell, 13 seconds, and it’s *glassy* with just a slight air from the NNE at 3 mph. That’s as good as it gets for clean conditions. The afternoon gets a bit of cross-shore wind, but the morning is pure.

Looking further out, the second week has some promise. Saturday the 20th looks good—12ft with offshore winds all day and moderate-to-strong energy (4832 in the morning, 6283 in the afternoon). That’s a solid day.

And then there’s a pulse for the 21st, with 13ft on the cards, but the wind turns onshore. It’s got size but it’ll be bumpy.

Overall, the standout is Thursday the 10th. Big, clean, and powerful. The Wednesday the 16th morning is also a top pick for its glassy conditions on a decent-sized swell. Crowds are often there, so be prepared to share the point, but for those who can handle it, these are the days.

This is a point break, and with these longer-period swells (16-19 seconds), it’s going to hold up well and give you some proper lines. The energy levels we’re seeing on the big days are strong, so there’s plenty of push behind it.

Rusty.

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