
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 12,564 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point.
This is a solid point break that’s fairly consistent and fairly exposed, picking up a good SSW swell. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, but a bit of a treat.
The first real action starts Wednesday morning the 22nd. We’ve got a 5 ft SW swell rolling in with a 12-second period, and the wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 881. The waves are clean, but it’s a bit marginal. By Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings more offshore from the W at 19 mph, and the swell jumps to 8 ft, with the energy climbing to 1903. Cleaner, bigger, but this is getting into the territory where it’s getting a bit much for beginners.
The real standouts come Thursday the 23rd through to Friday the 24th. Thursday morning sees 13 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph, and energy rocketing up to 6441. The waves are clean and powerful. This is big, expert-level stuff – over 8 ft, so only for the experienced crew. Friday morning the 24th is the absolute pick: a 16 ft SSW swell, 15-second period, offshore wind from the W at 19 mph, and the combined energy is a massive 10540. That’s strong wave energy, and the direction is bang on the optimum SSW. This is a proper groundswell, and the point break will handle that long period beautifully. The wind is clean, the size is huge – this is a day for top-tier surfers only.
Saturday the 25th drops a bit, with 12 ft SW swell and offshore winds, still clean. Sunday the 26th settles to around 8 ft with cross-off winds – still clean, but the energy is dropping. The run continues into Monday the 27th with 10 ft to 13 ft SW/WSW swell and clean cross-off winds, though the energy is variable.
Tuesday the 28th morning is a bit tricky with light cross-shore wind, but by Tuesday afternoon, the wind goes light offshore from the W at 3 mph, the swell is 10 ft from SSW with a 15-second period, and the energy is 4175. That’s an excellent call for experienced surfers – clean, glassy conditions.
Then things turn ugly. From Wednesday the 29th through to the end of the first week, the wind goes cross-onshore or onshore, and the waves get choppy and poor. There’s a gap of poor conditions until Sunday the 2nd of August, where the wind is cross-shore and the swell is around 8 ft but with a cross-chop – not great.
Monday the 3rd of August afternoon looks promising again: a 10 ft SW swell with a 19-second period, cross-off wind from the NW at 12 mph, and energy at 7779. Clean, but it’s a long way out.
The biggest swell of the entire forecast hits Tuesday the 4th of August morning: a massive 21 ft SW swell with a 12-second period, offshore wind, and energy at 23494. That is very strong energy, but the file says it’s predicted to be too big for the break – so that’s a pass for safety. The afternoon sees 16 ft SW swell with a near gale offshore wind at 31 mph – way too hard to paddle into.
The pattern fades out after that, with smaller swells and less favourable winds through to Thursday the 6th of August. There’s a few clean sessions with 6 ft to 5 ft SW swell and 14 to 18-second periods, but the energy is moderate.
If you’re a confident surfer, the absolute standouts are Friday morning the 24th and Tuesday afternoon the 28th. Friday morning is the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful, with the optimum direction. Tuesday afternoon offers glassy, clean conditions for experienced surfers. For the rest of us, the early part of the run from Wednesday the 22nd afternoon to Thursday the 23rd is still solid, just be aware of the size.
This is a point break, so crowds are often around – expect company on the good days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat morning, light winds from the NW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
593 | 2243 | 5217 | 6441 | 7167 | 12034 | 10622 | 10393 | 6494 | 4798 | 3517 | 2248 | 1437 | 1250 | 1403 | 1652 | 2322 | 2672 | 3720 | 6148 | 4759 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:16PM0.92m | 6:10AM0.83m | 2:59PM0.90m | 1:53PM0.91m | 12:21PM0.97m | 12:23PM1.04m | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:37PM0.32m | 9:59AM0.78m | 11:11PM0.33m | 11:50PM0.35m | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | |||||||||||||
7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | |
— | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 12 | S 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
593 | 2243 | 5217 | — | — | — | 10622 | 8449 | — | — | 3517 | 134 | 1437 | 1250 | 1403 | 1652 | 2322 | 2672 | 3720 | 6148 | 4759 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 15 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | 53 | 143 | 100 | 76 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 67 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SW 12 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | SW 11 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
255 | 1903 | — | 6441 | 7167 | 12034 | — | 10393 | 6494 | 4798 | — | 2248 | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 182 | 182 | 182 | 235 | 235 | 234 | 702 | 234 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 7 | 182 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










