Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown for Blacknose Point. It’s a point break that picks up a lot of swell, and when it’s on, it’s a proper wave. But we’ve got a bit of a dry spell to get through first.

The first couple of days are a total washout. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th have SW swell running from 8ft to 8ft, but it’s getting torn apart by cross and cross-off winds blowing 12 to 25 mph, turning the surface into a washing machine. The water temp is 59°, which is normal for this time of year. The combined energy is in the moderate to strong range (1325 to 5746), but it’s ugly out there. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 29th gets interesting, but only for the brave. The morning brings a massive 20ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period and a combined energy of 31083. It’s too big, even with a clean cross-off wind. By the afternoon, it drops to a still-monstrous 13ft from the SW, with a clean offshore breeze at 19 mph. That’s the first real opportunity, but you need to be an expert. The sheer power is intimidating.

Thursday the 30th is the first proper clean session. Swell is a solid 8ft from the SW, period is a nice 13 seconds, and the wind turns light offshore from the WSW at 9 mph. Combined energy is still strong at 2577, but the conditions are glassy and lined up. This is the pick of the first week for any competent surfer. The southerly direction is a touch off the ideal, but the offshore wind will make it work.

Friday the 31st is the quiet gem. Swell drops to 6ft, but the wind goes completely glassy in the morning (3 mph from the NW) and light offshore in the afternoon. Combined energy is moderate (1192-1324), but the quality will be high. This is your best bet for a clean, fun, and less crowded session.

Heading into the first week of August, the pattern stays similar. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd have strong SW groundswell (16-17 second periods) with 10ft to 12ft swell, but cross-shore north winds will mess up the surface. Combined energy is very strong (4023-8949), making it a choppy mess. This stretch looks better for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th clean up with offshore winds, but the swell sits between 7ft and 12ft. Good for the advanced crew, but not a standout.

The absolute highlight of the whole forecast, and the one to mark on your calendar, is Tuesday the 11th of August. The models are showing a massive pulse of 20ft to 25ft SW groundswell. The morning has a 20ft swell with a 13-second period and a clean moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The combined energy is an exceptional 12773. The afternoon goes ballistic: 25ft with a 16-second period, a fresh offshore wind, and a combined energy reading of 28689. This is an expert-only, potentially historic session. It’s a long way out, so it’s a promising but uncertain call, but if it hits, all bets are off. The swell direction is right on the money for a perfect setup.

So, don’t paddle out until Wednesday the 29th (for experts). The best quality windows for cleaner waves are Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st. And for the heavy hitters, keep your eyes peeled for Tuesday the 11th of August.

Rusty.

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