Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 13,691 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 4th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 4th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what we've got cookin' for the Blacknose Point area. It's all about the one and only Blacknose Point, and she's got a wild ride lined up for us.

The next 16 days are a proper smorgasbord of swell, but you gotta pick your moments. For the next couple of weeks, we're looking at a run of serious, powerful groundswell, almost all from the SW, which is just about perfect for this spot. The energy levels are massive – we're seeing moderate combined wave energy (5160) peaking into very strong energy (23614) towards the end of the run, so there's plenty of juice in the water. The water temp is sitting at a normal 58°F for this time of year.

Right off the bat, this Friday the 28th of August, it's game on. We've got a solid 10ft SW swell with a luscious 17-second period – that’s a long, clean groundswell. With the wind swinging from a light offshore to a cross-offshore, the wave faces are gonna be clean. This is big, powerful surf, so this is for experienced surfers only. Over 8ft, we're in expert territory here. The next morning, Saturday the 29th, is also a true standout. A 8ft SW swell with 14-second period and clean, offshore winds makes for an excellent session. It's still a bit hefty, but the quality will be top-notch.

We get a bit of a dip in quality on Monday the 31st with cross-shore winds, and Tuesday the 1st of September gets blown out by a fresh breeze. But by Wednesday the 2nd, we're back in business. Another 10ft SW swell, 15-second period, and clean cross-offshore winds. Gorgeous.

Now, if you’re in the mood for a real challenge, the second week is where things get proper heavy. Thursday the 3rd brings an 12ft-13ft SW to WSW swell, but it's gonna be bumpy with strong winds. Friday the 4th is when it starts to get truly big, with an 18ft swell. The forecast even says it might be too big for the break at that point. By Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th, we're looking at 16ft to a monstrous 23ft SW swell. The combined energy is in the 5-digit range (11140 to 17024). The wind is going to be a factor, and this is strictly for absolute experts or possibly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The light returns at the end. Monday the 7th has a 20ft SW swell with a strong offshore wind, but it's going to be hard work. We finally get a real breather and a proper standout on Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th of September. A perfect 10ft SW swell dropping to 8ft, with clean offshore and cross-offshore winds. These will be fantastic, powerful, clean waves. Also, keep an eye on Thursday the 10th of September – a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is up again (4982), promising long, racy lines. After that, the quality drops with onshore winds on the 11th, before a final pulse of big 16ft+ swell on the 12th. This break is fairly consistent, and crowds are often, so get out there early when the windows open.

Best bets for the whole run: The morning of Saturday the 29th of August for the perfect mix of size and glassy conditions, and the stretch from Tuesday the 8th to Thursday the 10th of September for the clean, powerful, long-period groundswell.

Stay safe, watch the sets, and I'll see you in the water.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
1
2
4
5
4
3
3
2
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
4
WSW
14
5
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5160
3880
3204
2201
1668
1703
2140
2452
2923
3143
2594
3953
2796
1889
3280
4101
3949
3540
4843
6322
7482
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
15
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
10
SW
15
SW
5
W
5
NNW
10
SSE
20
N
30
NNW
30
NW
5
W
15
W
20
W
20
WNW
30
NW
40
NW
35
W
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
Low Tide
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
1
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
12
10
11
11
10
12
11
10
14
14
14
19
14
13
13
13
12
15
15
12
Feels °C
10
10
8
8
8
8
10
8
9
13
12
11
13
9
9
9
8
7
8
7
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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