Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 24,245 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 6.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got one spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks: Blacknose Point. It’s a point break that can handle a good swell, but this outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We’re coming off a big, messy start with a lot of wind and rain, so don’t bother paddling out on Sunday the 12th or Monday the 13th. The swell is huge, over 18 feet, and the wind is howling at 25 mph from the west. It’s just poor conditions, a real washing machine out there. The combined energy is massive (9485 on Sunday morning, climbing to 18579 by Monday afternoon), but it’s all for nothing with that wind.
The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Tuesday, July 14th. The morning is looking absolutely prime. We’ve got a solid 16 ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, and the wind is forecast to be offshore from the WSW at just 12 mph. That’s clean, glassy, lined-up waves. The combined energy is still strong (11091), but the conditions are what make it exceptional. This is serious, expert-level surf. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 60°, so you won’t need the thickest rubber.
The quality drops off a bit after that. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th still have clean 10 ft to 12 ft SW swell, but the wind turns cross-off or cross-shore, so it won’t be as perfect. Still fun for experienced surfers, but not the magic of Tuesday morning.
We hit a bit of a lull from Friday the 17th through the weekend of the 19th. The swell drops right down to 3 ft, and the wind is messy. Not worth the paddle.
Then, late in the second week, things start to look promising again. Around Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, we see a 10 ft SW swell returning with cleaner offshore winds. The energy is moderate (4089-6572), and the conditions are clean. It’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on the forecast, but it’s a good sign the swell window is staying open.
The last few days of the forecast, from the 22nd onwards, get windy again. The swell is still there, but strong cross-onshore winds ruin the surface. The point will be blown out and choppy.
For the best of the best, it’s Tuesday morning, July 14th at Blacknose Point. Big, clean, powerful groundswell with offshore winds. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sun morning, light winds from the W by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9485 | 9874 | 10989 | 16653 | 18579 | 16368 | 11091 | 8629 | 5809 | 4262 | 3398 | 2928 | 3280 | 3275 | 4766 | 4853 | 3344 | 2171 | 1367 | 1030 | 757 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | |||||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — |
 | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 22 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | — | 50 | 455 | 16653 | — | — | 11091 | 8629 | 5809 | 4262 | 3398 | 2928 | 3280 | 3275 | 4766 | 4853 | 3344 | 2171 | 1367 | 1030 | 757 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 18 | — | S 10 | S 10 | — | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 192 | 46 | 155 | 1354 | — | 8 | 2 | — | 153 | 86 | 83 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 20 | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 22 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 190 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 165 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | N 3 |
| kJ | 9485 | 9874 | 10989 | — | 18579 | 16368 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 714 | 921 | 204 | 558 | 719 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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