Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,208 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break down what’s on the cards for Blacknose Point. There’s a solid run of swell ahead, but you’ll need to pick your moments. The first few days are small, then it gets big, and the real prize is waiting at the far end.
Thursday the 20th starts with a 5ft SW swell, 13-second period, and combined energy of 1615—nothing special. Cross-off NW wind at 16 mph keeps it clean, but it’s marginal. Water temp is 58°, pretty normal for the time of year.
Friday the 21st jumps to 10ft from the WSW, 14-second period, with energy at 8206 in the morning and 4133 in the afternoon. Cross-off wind at 16–19 mph. This is big—over 8ft—so only for experts.
Saturday the 22nd is a standout: 13ft SW swell, 14–15 seconds, offshore wind from the west at 16 mph. Energy readings of 6512 and 6296. Clean, lined-up, and powerful. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but expect crowds.
Sunday the 23rd holds 10ft in the morning, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon, with lighter cross-off winds. Still clean, energy easing to 4656 and 3663.
Monday the 24th drops to 8ft SW swell, with cross-off and cross-shore winds. Energy around 2000. Not the best.
Tuesday the 25th sees another pulse: 10–12ft SW swell, but the wind swings south at 13–19 mph, cross-off but fresh. Energy is solid at 4062 and 5658. The afternoon period hits 16 seconds—real groundswell suits this point.
Wednesday the 26th: 10ft dropping to 8ft, gentle cross-off winds. By afternoon, light breeze and 13-second period make for clean, easier paddling.
Thursday the 27th: morning has 6ft, afternoon 5ft, but that afternoon period is a very long 20 seconds. Energy is 3918. West cross-off wind. This will produce long, walling waves.
Friday the 28th: back to 8ft with 17 seconds, then 8ft in the afternoon with offshore SW wind. Energy 3805 and 2841. Clean and powerful.
From Saturday the 29th through Monday the 31st, it goes quiet: swell drops to 5–8ft, periods shorten, and by Sunday the 30th onshore winds and 10-second periods make for messy conditions. A lull.
Then Tuesday the 1st of September offers a glassy highlight: 5ft SW swell, 16-second period, glassy conditions in the afternoon. Energy 2930. That’s a beauty for clean, lined-up waves.
Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd of September get raw: 12–13ft WSW/SW swell, but cross-shore winds chop things up. Energy high (3775–5730), but marginal.
And finally, Friday the 4th of September is the crown jewel: 15ft SW swell, 16-second period, offshore WSW wind at 16 mph, and an energy reading of 9419. Exceptional for experts. The morning session is world-class. The afternoon still holds 13ft with cross-off wind—still excellent.
Best bets: Saturday the 22nd and Friday the 4th of September. The 4th is the one to circle—big, clean, and pumping. There’s a quiet stretch from the 29th to the 31st, but otherwise plenty for those who can handle the size.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the NW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3500 | 4296 | 3242 | 7301 | 7258 | 6744 | 5278 | 3355 | 2392 | 2680 | 1875 | 1521 | 1723 | 2392 | 5355 | 5353 | 3020 | 2154 | 913 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | 4:52AM0.39m | 8:10PM0.40m | ||||||||||
— | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
1210 | 3813 | 891 | — | 7258 | 6744 | 5278 | 3355 | 2392 | 2680 | 1875 | 1521 | 1723 | 2392 | 5355 | — | 3020 | 2154 | 913 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 17 | SW 16 |
— | 97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 552 | 1336 | 1144 | 644 | 15 | 60 | 157 | 1065 | — | — | — | 342 | 258 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | NNW 4 | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | — |
3500 | 4296 | 3242 | 7301 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 4 | — | — | 5353 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 196 | 53 | 182 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 7 | 281 | 422 | 221 | 496 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











