Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point.

Alright, the next couple of weeks are looking like a proper mixed bag. We’ve got a solid run of swell, but the conditions are going to make you work for it, especially in the first week. The water’s sitting at your typical seasonal temp for now, so no surprises there.

We kick off on Wednesday the 8th with a big, long-period groundswell pushing in at 10ft from the SW, with a period of 18 seconds – that’s proper energy (5756). Problem is, it’s a bit messy with a light cross-onshore breeze, so it won’t be clean. Thursday the 9th drops a touch to 7ft SW, still long-period at 15 seconds, but again that cross-onshore wind keeps it from being a standout. Friday the 10th sees the wind pick up into a moderate cross-shore with a 8ft SW swell, and that’s where I’d say it starts looking more like a kite session than a paddle day – that cross-chop will be rough.

The weekend takes a turn for the heavy. Saturday the 11th sees the wind swing offshore but it cranks up to 25 mph in the arvo with a 13ft WSW swell – that’s strong, and getting out will be a mission. Sunday the 12th is more of the same: 15ft SW swells with strong cross-offshore winds. The energy is massive (6119), but it’s only for experts and even then, it’s gonna be a battle.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 13th is your first real standout. We’ve got a 16ft SW swell with a 16-second pulse and very strong energy (10632). The wind is a fresh cross-offshore and clean. That’s big, powerful, and lined up for the point. This is the one for experienced surfers who want a challenge. Tuesday the 14th holds similar size at 13ft, still clean with offshore breezes – another excellent day if you’re hungry.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see the swell ease back to 12ft and then 10ft, but the wind gets better. Thursday morning the 16th is a gem: glassy conditions with a 10ft SW groundswell at 14 seconds – that’s clean, smooth, and the energy is still solid (3341). It says “excellent for experienced surfers,” and I reckon that Thursday afternoon with a light offshore and the same swell is a real highlight too.

After that, we get a slow fade. Friday the 17th holds 12ft at 16 seconds but with a light cross-shore, so not as clean. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th drop in size and get chopped up by stronger cross-winds – the quality falls right off. By Monday the 20th, it’s small and lumpy, with barely any energy left (964). Tuesday the 21st offers a brief reprieve with a glassy 7ft W swell, and Wednesday the 22nd has a clean 8ft W swell, rounding out the period with some decent waves.

So, the true standout is Monday the 13th – that 16ft SW groundswell with clean offshore wind is the big one for experts. For the rest of us, Thursday the 16th with the glassy morning is the one to circle.

Rusty.

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