Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off tomorrow, Tuesday the 14th of July, and it’s gonna be a proper handful right from the get-go. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll notice it.

The first few days are the real standout here. Tuesday morning, we’re looking at a big 16ft SW groundswell, with a long 15-second period, and the wind is howling offshore from the W at 22 mph. The combined energy is absolutely cranking (12063), so this is serious, powerful water. This is expert-only territory – way over 8ft. It’s going to be a beast of a wave, but with that offshore wind, it’ll be a clean, grinding beast. The afternoon holds the same size and clean conditions with a WSW breeze.

Wednesday the 15th drops a little to 12ft, still a solid SW groundswell at 14 seconds, and the wind stays offshore in the morning, keeping things clean. The energy is still very strong (4600). Thursday the 16th keeps the 12ft SW swell going, and the wind swings lighter, with a light breeze from the WNW. It’s still clean, and the sets will have that long, drawn-out feel. All of this is still big, powerful stuff for experienced surfers only.

The pick of the entire run, honestly, is Saturday the 18th. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft, still from the SW, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (1671), but that glassy surface will make the point look like a mirror. It’s the best chance for a truly clean, rippable session that isn’t trying to kill you.

Now, a heads up: Blacknose Point can get crowded, so expect to see plenty of others out there, especially on the cleaner days. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so the waves will keep coming.

After the weekend, the swell backs off considerably. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th see a drop to 4ft to 6ft, but the wind turns messy with a cross-shore chop. It’s not great. Tuesday the 21st brings a bump back up to 7ft, but the wind is fresh and cross-shore, making it lumpy.

We then get a bit of a lull in quality, with a few days of smaller, cross-off wind waves. The energy drops right down. Then, around Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th, we see another big pulse of SW groundswell, hitting 12ft to 13ft with a 14 to 15-second period. The energy is back up into the thousands (5570 to 6461), but the wind is a fresh cross-off. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s for experts only, but it’s clean. This is a long-range promise, so keep an eye on it – it’s a bit less certain than the first week.

The run fades out into the final days of July with smaller, onshore windswell. Not much to write home about.

So, bottom line: The first week is the main event. Tuesday through Thursday is the big, powerful, clean stuff for the chargers. Saturday the 18th is the one for the rest of you who want a clean, glassy wave without the full-on adrenaline. The second week has another big pulse coming, but it’s a long way off.

Rusty.

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