Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up.

We've got one main spot firing over the next couple of weeks, and it's all about Blacknose Point. This is a point break that's fairly consistent and pretty exposed to the swell, so when it's on, it really delivers. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

Right now, we're kicking off with a bit of a slow start. Tuesday the 1st is a write-off – a strong cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions with a 8ft SW swell but the energy is weak (2421). Not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 2nd is more like it. The swell bumps up to 12ft from the SW, period a solid 16 seconds, and the wind is cross-off. That's a good sign – the wave energy is moderate to strong (5186) and it's clean. This is one for intermediate to experienced surfers; it's a bit much for beginners.

Thursday the 3rd is the first real standout. The swell pushes to 17ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and we get fresh offshore wind in the morning. That's clean, powerful, and the energy is strong (8566). By afternoon, it's still 17ft and the energy goes up to 10436 – very strong. This is advanced territory. If you've got the skill, Thursday morning is the pick of the early week.

Friday the 4th is still pumping with a 15ft SW swell and a long 15-second period, but the wind turns cross-shore and brings some chop, so it's not as clean. Still plenty of wave energy (9278) but the quality drops a bit.

Now, Saturday the 5th is a beast. The swell hits 22ft from the WSW, but the wind is a near gale at 31 mph in the morning – that's just poor conditions, not surfable. The afternoon cleans up with a strong offshore wind (28 mph), but at 22ft and 14-second period, this is only for absolute experts. The wave energy is massive (18170). Hard to paddle into, but if you're on it, it's a handful.

Sunday the 6th sees the swell drop to 15ft, but the wind is cross-shore again, and by afternoon it's choppy and onshore. Not great. Monday the 7th is small – 6ft to 7ft WSW swell – and the wind is offshore in the afternoon, so you'll get some clean but small waves. Energy is low (1130-1807).

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 8th – the swell jumps to 17ft in the morning, then 23ft in the afternoon, with a long 17-18 second period from the SW. The wind is offshore and clean, but it's reported as too big for this break. The wave energy is off the charts (23573 in the morning, 56340 in the afternoon). Only the most seasoned experts should even think about it, and even then, be careful.

Wednesday the 9th is a true standout. The swell is 17ft in the morning, dropping to 15ft in the afternoon, with a 16-17 second period from the SW. The wind is gentle offshore all day – glassy and clean. The wave energy is still strong (13113 in the morning, 10109 in the afternoon). This is exceptional for expert surfers. The point break setup will handle the long period well, giving you lined-up, powerful waves with clean faces. This is the best on offer for the whole window if you've got the chops.

Thursday the 10th keeps it going – 15ft to 17ft SW swell, 15-second period, with light offshore or cross-off winds. Afternoon is particularly good with gentle offshore and clean conditions (11136 energy). Another day for experienced surfers.

The second week sees a gradual drop. Friday the 11th still has 13ft to 15ft swell with long periods, but the wind is cross-shore in the morning, so a bit of chop. Saturday the 12th drops to 10ft to 12ft, still clean but less energy. Sunday the 13th is interesting – the swell is 12ft from the WSW with a glassy morning, light southerly wind, and the energy is moderate (3752). This could be a fun, clean session for experienced surfers, and the crowds are likely here, so get in early.

From Monday the 14th onward, the swell fades to 6ft to 8ft with offshore winds. The energy drops to around 1000-2800. It's clean but small – better for longboards or smaller craft. The second week is much more mellow.

Overall, the standout is Wednesday the 9th at Blacknose Point – big, clean, powerful, and for experts only. Thursday the 3rd and Thursday the 10th are also excellent. The gaps at the start and between the big swells are just a day or two, so there's plenty to go around if you're keen.

Rusty.

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