Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a serious run of solid, long-period groundswell hitting Blacknose Point (point break). The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The pattern starts off with a bit of a rough patch, but there’s a standout window that’s going to be worth the wait.

The first real action kicks off Friday morning, the 4th of September. We’re looking at a big 15ft swell from the SW, with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is strong (10536). That’s a lot of water moving, but the wind is a moderate cross-off from the NW, so it’s clean. This is advanced territory at that size, and with the crowds often around here, it’ll be a busy lineup. The period is long enough that this point break should handle it well, offering some nice shaped waves.

The weekend gets ugly. Saturday has a risk of thunderstorms and a strong breeze that’s going to mess things up. The swell is still there but the wind is a problem. Skip it. By Sunday morning, the 6th of September, the wind switches to a gentle offshore from the W. The swell drops to a still hefty 12ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The energy is still strong (6512). This is the first true standout: clean, offshore, and a solid groundswell. It’s excellent for experienced surfers, but at this size, it’s too big for beginners.

Tuesday afternoon, the 8th of September, is another moment to circle. The wind goes moderate offshore from the WSW, and we’ve got a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The energy is moderate (4230). That’s a clean, well-shaped wave for a point break, and the long period will give you nice, long walls. Not the biggest of the run, but the conditions are dialled.

Then things get a bit wild. Wednesday the 9th sees a massive 20ft SSW swell with a 19-second period on the afternoon. The combined energy is huge (25570). The wind is a fresh breeze, still cross-off, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. Only for the absolute experts, and even then, it’s a question of whether you can get in. Thursday the 10th stays big but with a cross-shore chop, making it less appealing.

We hit a real dead zone from about Friday the 11th through to Monday the 14th. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, the swell drops, and the conditions are generally poor. You’ll be looking at about four days of not much worth paddling out for.

The next true standout is Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning shows a 13ft WSW swell with a 17-second period, moderate offshore wind from the SW, and exceptional conditions for experts. The energy is strong (10279). That’s a proper, powerful groundswell with clean conditions. This is the best of the second week.

The final days get crazy again. Thursday the 17th is forecast to have a 30ft SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy is astronomical (54293). That’s way, way too big for this break, even for the most experienced. The same goes for Friday the 18th. By Saturday the 19th, it’s dropping back to a more manageable 12ft with a light breeze, which could be a nice end to the run.

The Standout: Without a doubt, Sunday morning the 6th of September is your best bet. Clean offshore wind, a solid 12ft SW groundswell, and a point break that loves that direction. Close second is Wednesday the 16th for the sheer power and clean conditions, but that one is for the experts only.

Rusty.

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