Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,897 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.
We’re starting off with a bit of a wait. The first proper session kicks off on Thursday afternoon, July 30th, so there’s a couple of days of nothing much before we get going. But once it starts, it’s a real mixed bag of solid swell and tricky winds.
Thursday afternoon, July 30th gets things rolling at Blacknose Point. We’ve got a clean 7.5ft SW swell with a solid 13-second period. The wind is offshore from the W at 12 mph, keeping things lined up. The water is sitting at 58.5°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is pumping at a strong 1885, but this is big stuff for experienced surfers only. It’s an advanced spot, and it breaks fairly consistently, though you can expect company – crowds are often here.
Friday, July 31st is a solid day. The morning is a little cleaner with a cross-off NW breeze at 6 mph and a 6.6ft SW swell (12-second period). The afternoon turns it up a notch: 5.9ft, clean offshore W wind at 6 mph, and an excellent, clean surface. The energy is still strong at 1377. This is the window to make the most of it.
Saturday, August 1st and Sunday, August 2nd are a step down. The swell jumps up to 7.9ft to 9.8ft, with a very long period of 17 seconds on Saturday. That’s a groundswell, and at a point break like Blacknose, that’s actually a good thing – it’ll wrap in nicely. But the wind turns cross-shore from the N at 9 mph on Saturday, then cranks up to a fresh 19 mph on Sunday, making for lumpy, cross-chop conditions. The energy is huge (4609 to 4822), but the quality is compromised. Not great for paddling out.
Monday, August 3rd is a standout. The afternoon sees a 14.8ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind goes offshore from the SW at 16 mph. The energy is massive at 6973, and it’s described as clean. This is big, powerful, and only for the experts. The morning is a little windier but still has a 13.1ft swell.
Tuesday, August 4th continues the run with a 9.8ft SW swell in the morning, dropping to 7.5ft by the afternoon, both with offshore winds and clean conditions. The energy is still very strong (2754 and 1621). Solid.
Wednesday, August 5th is a bit of a breather. The swell drops to 3.6ft to 4.3ft, but the period is very long at 18-19 seconds. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is moderate (1778-1811). A good day for a longer board.
Thursday, August 6th sees a return of sizeable swell (7.5ft to 9.8ft), but the morning is a write-off with a fresh N wind at 22 mph making it lumpy. The afternoon improves with a cross-off breeze and clean conditions on a 9.8ft WSW swell.
Friday, August 7th is a big one but tricky. The swell is 11.5ft to 9.8ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s not clean. Still, the energy is massive (4637-4441). For the brave.
Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th are a poor run. The wind is onshore and fresh, making for messy, choppy conditions. The swell is there, but it’s not worth it.
Monday, August 10th is absolutely massive. The swell hits 18.0ft to 19.7ft, with a combined energy of 16224. The wind is cross-shore or cross-onshore, and it’s lumpy. This is on the edge of kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.
Tuesday, August 11th is the real standout of the whole outlook. The morning delivers a 16.4ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is offshore from the WSW at 16 mph. The combined energy is a massive 10084, and it’s described as exceptional for expert surfers. This is a big, clean, powerful groundswell at a point break – if you’re experienced and have the gear, this is the session to aim for. The afternoon stays big but the wind picks up.
Wednesday, August 12th and Thursday, August 13th settle down a bit. Swell drops to 11.5ft, then 5.2ft, with clean conditions and light winds. The energy is still strong (3410 to 6346). Good for the experienced crew.
Friday, August 14th rounds it out with a 11.5ft to 9.8ft SW swell, a very long period of 17 seconds, and cross-off winds. The energy is massive (
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sun night, light winds from the WSW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1645 | 1385 | 1131 | 960 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4840 | 3589 | 2933 | 1888 | 6135 | 6973 | 3847 | 2229 | 1242 | 777 | 940 | 1112 | 1878 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 00:57AM0.60m | 1:59PM1.11m | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | 2:52PM0.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:48PM0.46m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | 9:26AM0.52m | 9:33PM0.29m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 1645 | 1385 | 1131 | 960 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4840 | 3589 | 2933 | 1888 | 264 | — | 249 | 2229 | 1242 | 777 | 767 | 659 | 1878 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 7 | — | — | WSW 16 | — | WSW 18 | SW 20 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 9 |
| kJ | 240 | 120 | 51 | 388 | 621 | 4 | — | — | 1230 | — | 218 | 134 | — | 510 | 211 | 269 | 508 | 940 | 1112 | 24 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 23 | SW 21 | S 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 21 | SW 14 | SSW 7 | S 7 | — |
| kJ | — | 21 | 116 | 29 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 314 | 110 | 198 | 71 | 40 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NE 4 | N 4 | W 10 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 3 | 10 | 724 | 6135 | 6973 | 3847 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 107 | 107 | 7 | 196 | 204 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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