Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 10 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,530 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 11th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 15th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 16th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, listen up, we’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards at Blacknose Point, but it’s not for everyone. This is an advanced point break that’s fairly consistent, and when it lines up, it’s a proper session. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest wetsuit.

The real standout here is Thursday the 10th. We’re looking at a 13ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds, pumping in with serious energy (7826). The wind is a clean cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph, keeping the face smooth. This is exceptional, expert-only stuff – way over 8ft, so don’t even think about it if you’re not solid. The long period means it’ll be powerful and a bit shifty, perfect for the point but it’ll be walled up at the beach.

Friday the 11th drops back a touch to 12ft from the same SSW direction, but the wind swings ESE to a light cross-on. It’s still got that long 15-second period and strong energy (7342), but the morning is the cleaner window with a light breeze. By the afternoon, the chop will build.

Saturday the 12th sees the swell drop to 10ft from the SW, but the afternoon window is pure gold. The wind goes glassy with a slight air, and the 8ft SW swell (period 15 seconds) will be clean and lined up. That’s an excellent session for experienced surfers.

Sunday the 13th is a write-off. Strong 19 mph northerly cross-winds and rain showers trash the 7ft SW swell. The energy is still moderate (1886) but it’ll be lumpy and messy.

Monday the 14th is for the kites, not the paddlers. We’ve got fresh 22 mph westerly winds blowing cross-off, but the swell is a weak 7ft with a short, jumbled 9-second period and low energy (1014). This setup looks far better for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Tuesday the 15th sees a jump back up to 13-15ft SW swell. It’s a long period of 14 seconds, and the wind is a strong cross-off at 12 mph. The energy is back up (6549 to 7351), but it’s big and windy. Best left to the experts.

Now, Wednesday the 16th – this is the other top pick. The swell holds at 13ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period, and the wind drops to a light 6 mph cross-off in the morning, going fully offshore from the SW in the afternoon. The energy is massive (8282 in the morning). Another exceptional, expert-only day. The water is still clean.

Thursday the 17th has a solid 10ft SW swell dropping to 8ft, but the wind is glassy or light cross-off. This will be a beautiful, clean day for experienced surfers.

Friday the 18th gets blown out again. Strong 19 mph NNW cross-winds and later NW winds make the 12ft SW swell messy and lumpy.

Saturday the 19th is all about the morning. A clean 8ft SW swell (period 11 seconds) with a gentle offshore from the WSW at 9 mph. The afternoon turns to onshore crap from the east.

There’s a gap from Sunday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd where the swell drops off to 2ft-6ft. Not much to get excited about, though Monday the 21st has a glassy morning with a 6ft SSW swell that could be a sneaky fun session for a log or a mid-length.

Wednesday the 23rd to Friday the 25th sees the swell building back up from 5ft to 12ft from the SW. The wind is fresh and cross-off or offshore, so it’ll be clean but windy. The energy climbs steadily (1946 to 7340). This run through to the 25th is promising but less certain – keep an eye on it. Friday the 25th morning has an 12ft SW swell (period 15 seconds) with a fresh offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph, and high energy (6965). That’s a solid option for the brave.

So, bottom line: the best on offer is Thursday the 10th and Wednesday the 16th. If you’re an expert and can handle the size and power, get out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Thu
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
5
3
4
4
4
0
1
2
1
1
1
4
4
5
5
7
6
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
2
W
9
3
SW
12
4
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
4
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7826
5024
4936
6609
6251
4024
3351
2457
1856
1366
799
562
600
2894
6288
7351
6319
8282
6965
4621
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
5
ESE
10
ESE
15
SE
10
ENE
10
N
5
S
20
N
30
N
30
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
35
W
25
SW
20
SW
20
SSW
10
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
10
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
Low Tide
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
10
10
12
12
11
18
19
17
20
16
13
15
15
12
12
11
10
10
10
9
Feels °C
7
8
9
8
7
17
18
15
16
12
9
9
8
6
7
6
6
8
7
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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