Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.7° C
1.7° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 14,749 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Best Surf 1PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 14th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s talk Blacknose Point. Point break, mostly for the experienced crew, and it picks up a good SSW swell. Takes a bit of patience to get the right day.

Water’s a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, about 60°F. Nice little bonus.

First decent window is Wednesday morning, July 8th. Swell hits 10ft from the SW, with a very long 18-second period. Combined energy is 5756. Wind’s from the NNE at 6 mph, cross-on, so a bit roughed up. But Wednesday afternoon cleans up—wind drops to 3 mph from the east, glassy. Same 10ft swell, 17-second period. That’s the standout for the near term. Clean, powerful, glassy.

Thursday the 9th backs off to 7ft, then 6ft, SW, 15-second period, but wind goes cross-on from the north and northeast. Not terrible, just average.

Friday the 10th stays meh. 7ft to 7ft, cross-chop from the north at 12 mph.

Saturday the 11th morning is a mess—28 mph cross-wind. Afternoon jumps to 13ft WSW, but short-period (10 seconds) and 28 mph cross-off wind. Clean but howling—more for kites.

Sunday the 12th pumps 16ft SW, massive energy (8752), but west winds at 25-28 mph. Big and clean, but experts only.

Monday the 13th is the next real standout. Morning 15ft, afternoon 16ft SW, 15-second period, energy 9872. Afternoon wind goes offshore from the west at 19 mph. Fresh offshore and clean. That’s the one.

Tuesday the 14th keeps 16ft, periods 15-16 seconds. Offshore in the arvo, but strong wind at 25 mph makes it hard to paddle into—big, clean, but challenging.

Wednesday the 15th still has 15ft in the morning, period 14 seconds, energy 16034. Wind south at 19 mph, cross-off. Big.

After that, it eases. Thursday the 16th drops to 7ft, then 6ft, glassy in the afternoon. Friday the 17th brings a pulse back: 10ft, then 12ft SW, with the afternoon going glassy. That’s a solid sleeper.

From Saturday the 18th, it tapers to 8ft, 6ft, then smaller. The 23rd sees a final spike to 15ft SSW, shorter period (11 seconds), with a south cross-off.

Best bets: Wednesday 8th afternoon for glassy 10ft, and Monday 13th afternoon for offshore 16ft. Friday 17th afternoon is a clean sleeper at 12ft. Rest of the time, wind or size is the story.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat afternoon, moderate winds from the W by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
3
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
7
0
3
3
4
7
7
6
7
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.4
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
4
WSW
10
6
SW
13
5
WSW
13
5
WSW
12
5
WSW
13
4.5
SW
14
5
SW
15
5
SW
15
5
SW
16
5
SW
15
6
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5756
5043
2839
1647
1421
3001
2168
1941
1212
965
3147
13228
8752
7597
7085
7923
9872
10243
12030
12286
13142
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
5
E
10
NNE
10
N
10
NE
15
N
20
N
20
N
30
NNW
45
NNW
45
WNW
40
W
45
W
40
W
40
WNW
40
W
30
W
30
WNW
40
WNW
40
WSW
40
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
Low Tide
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
 mm
13
4
4
1
2
1
5
Temp °C
10
12
11
12
13
11
14
15
12
10
11
12
14
14
13
14
14
13
14
12
11
Feels °C
8
10
9
9
10
8
9
11
6
1
1
2
5
5
5
6
7
7
6
2
2
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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