Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Blacknose Point.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag here. The week starts off with a solid pulse of swell, but the wind is a real problem. The real standout, the one that’s got me buzzing, is the Wednesday morning session on July 29th. We’re looking at a solid 18ft of SW groundswell, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a lot of energy hammering in (13,997 units of combined energy). The wind is clean, cross-off from the SW, so it’s going to be groomed. This is advanced territory for sure, and crowds are likely at a point break like this, but for the experienced crew, that’s your window. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises there.

Now, let’s rewind to the start. Monday the 27th is a write-off – building swell but nasty cross-shore winds ragging it up. Tuesday the 28th is a no-go too, with strong winds making a mess of the 13ft swell. So, we’re waiting until Wednesday the 29th.

Thursday the 30th is a solid second option. The swell drops to 8ft in the morning, but the wind turns offshore from the WSW, giving us clean, lined-up waves. It’s a moderate 8ft, so not for beginners, but for intermediates and up, it’s a good call. The afternoon holds with 8ft and offshore winds.

Friday the 31st is a treat. The morning is glassy – barely a breath of wind from the NNW at 5 km/h. The swell is a clean 7ft from the SW, with a 12-second period. That’s a really good, clean, manageable wave. The afternoon stays clean with offshore winds. This is a great day for a good intermediate surfer.

After that, the weekend goes a bit sideways. The wind swings back onshore and cross-shore on Saturday and Sunday, making the 8ft to 10ft swells messy. It’s not completely blown out, but it’s lumpy. Not prime.

Then we’ve got a bit of a gap in quality. Monday August 3rd offers a chance with 12ft and offshore wind in the morning, but it’s powerful and the wind is moderate. It’s a big, moving ocean. The next solid window shows up on Friday August 7th. The afternoon goes glassy again, with a 6ft, 15-second groundswell. That’s a clean, fun sized wave, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

The last few days of the run look poor. Strong winds from the north on the 8th and 9th ruin the surf, and while the 10th and 11th have some cleaner wind, the swell is just okay, not the standout.

So, bottom line: Wednesday July 29th is your big, powerful day for experts. For cleaner, more manageable surf, target Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st. August 7th is another promising but distant window.

Rusty.

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