
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 11,312 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's on the cards for our little stretch of coast.
We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off from Tuesday the 11th, but you'll have to be patient through the early part of the week because the conditions are a bit of a mixed bag. The real standout is going to be Wednesday the 12th through to Friday the 14th – that's where the magic is.
Tuesday the 11th is a write-off, to be honest. The swell is a messy 8 ft from the SW with a short period and a cross-shore wind that’s got a chop on it. The wave energy is still pretty meaty at (2775), but it's not clean enough to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about normal for the time of year.
Now, Wednesday the 12th is where we start cooking. The morning sees a solid 12 ft SW groundswell (16-second period) with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. The energy jumps right up to (9093). That’s proper. But the real highlight is the afternoon: a thumping 15 ft swell from the WSW, with a 17-second period and a fresh offshore wind. The wave energy hits a massive (19954). This is big, powerful, and clean. Only for the experienced crew, though – this is expert territory.
Thursday the 13th keeps the energy high. The morning is another standout with a 15 ft SW swell (16-second period) and a clean offshore wind. The combined energy is a hefty (10064). Conditions are described as exceptional for experts. The afternoon backs off a touch to a 13 ft SW swell but the wind goes a little cross-off, so the morning window is your best bet.
Friday the 14th is still pumping. Morning sees a 13 ft SW groundswell (16-second period) with a moderate offshore breeze. Wave energy at (8581). It’s still big, but the wind stays offshore into the afternoon with a gentle breeze, making for clean, long-period lines. This is a point break, so that long-period SW groundswell is going to wrap in beautifully and produce some proper walls.
Saturday the 15th the swell drops a bit to 12 ft, but it’s still very rideable. The wind is a cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy is dropping off through the day. Sunday the 16th sees a big drop in size and onshore winds creep in, so it’s a no-go.
After that, we’ve got a bit of a lull. From Monday the 17th right through to Friday the 21st, the swell drops below 7 ft, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. There’s a tiny window on the afternoon of Thursday the 20th where the wind goes glassy and the swell is a tiny 4 ft, but it’s not going to be doing much.
The surf picks up again on Friday the 21st with a 7 ft SW groundswell and a cross-off wind, which is clean. But the real news is way out at the end of the forecast. On Wednesday the 26th of August, we’ve got another big pulse coming in – a 16 ft swell from the WSW with a moderate offshore wind. It’s a shorter period swell (11 seconds) and the wave energy is (5686), so it’s powerful but a bit lumpy. This is another one for the big-wave chargers, but it’s a long way off, so treat it as promising but not locked in yet.
The Standout: No question about it, the afternoon of Wednesday the 12th and the morning of Thursday the 13th are your best bets. Big, clean, offshore, and the combined energy is through the roof. This is the kind of swell that makes a point break sing. If you’re an expert, you don’t want to miss it. Crowds are likely at Blacknose Point as word gets out, but that’s the price of admission for perfection.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 6551 | 11312 | 10192 | 10064 | 7801 | 10180 | 8581 | 7277 | 6106 | 5324 | 4640 | 3619 | 2724 | 2724 | 1919 | 1527 | 1179 | 2199 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | 2:14PM0.94m | 2:57AM0.94m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | 8:17AM0.37m | 8:35PM0.26m | ||||||||
7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 20 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
2570 | 2121 | 3499 | 753 | 11312 | 10192 | 10064 | 7801 | 10180 | 8581 | 7277 | 6106 | 5324 | 4640 | 3619 | 2724 | 2724 | 1919 | 1527 | 1179 | 2199 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | SSW 12 | S 8 | S 11 | SW 13 | SSW 10 |
200 | 817 | — | 1789 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 118 | — | 48 | 86 | 85 | 594 | 33 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | S 10 | S 10 |
5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 78 | 50 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WNW 8 | W 9 | SW 16 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | — | ESE 4 |
4 | 346 | 699 | 6551 | 8642 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 7 | 204 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











