
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 19,864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 2.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking.
We've got one main player on the table for the next couple of weeks: Blacknose Point. This is an advanced point break that's fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, but it gets crowded often, so don't expect to have it to yourself.
The pattern kicks off proper on Tuesday the 8th of September. We're looking at a solid SW groundswell with a very long period of 17 seconds, pushing in at about 6 ft. The combined energy is pumping at a strong 3470. Winds are a cross-offshore from the WNW, setting up some clean conditions. This is serious, powerful surf – you’ll feel the energy in the water (3470). It’s a true standout for the experienced surfer. The session gets even better into Tuesday afternoon when the wind swings fully offshore from the W and the swell bumps up to 10 ft even with a 16-second period. The energy jumps to a very strong 4458. That’s the window to be out there if you’ve got the chops.
Wednesday the 9th sees the swell absolutely detonate, hitting 18 ft from the SSW with a 19-second period. The combined energy is an extreme 19864. This is massive, serious groundswell. Because it's a point break, it should handle that size and direction better than a beach break, but this is strictly for experts only – beginners and intermediates need to stay on the beach. Winds are cross-off, so it'll be clean, but at this size, it's heavy.
Thursday the 10th is still pumping with a 15 ft SSW swell and a 16-second period in the morning, dropping to 13 ft in the afternoon. Wind stays light and cross-off, keeping things clean. Energy is still monster-level at 17108 in the morning. Another day for the experienced crew only.
Friday morning the 11th is a gem. The swell drops to a still-chunky 10 ft from the SSW, but the wind goes glassy from the SE. That’s a rare treat. The energy (3949) is still very strong, but the clean, glassy surface makes it all the more appealing. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on, so the morning is the clear winner here.
The weekend sees the swell ease off but stay fun. Saturday the 12th has 10 ft in the morning and 8 ft in the afternoon from the SW. Sunday the 13th drops to 6 ft then 5 ft. Winds are a bit mixed, but the afternoons look cleanest with a cross-off flow.
We hit a lull early in the second week. Monday the 14th and into Tuesday the 15th sees the swell bottom out around 4 ft to 4 ft with weaker energy levels. It’s not really worth the paddle.
But then, bang – from Tuesday the 15th afternoon onwards, we get another solid pulse. 10 ft to 12 ft SW swell with clean conditions holds through Wednesday the 16th. The energy levels are very strong again (3497 to 4684). This is a promising run that’s less certain being a week out, but it looks good on the charts.
After that, there are some messy days with strong winds and lumpy conditions around the 18th – that Friday afternoon looks particularly poor for surfing, more like a kite session with that 13 ft, short-period, cross-on mess.
The final standouts in the extended range are the mornings of Saturday the 19th and Tuesday the 22nd. Saturday the 19th sees another big 16 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and cross-off wind, carrying extreme energy (11042). That's a huge, clean day for experts only again. And Tuesday the 22nd has a 10 ft SW swell with decent period and offshore wind in the afternoon, cleaning it right up.
To sum it up: Blacknose Point is the only show in town, and it's a good one. The first week is firing with multiple expert-level swells and clean wind – Tuesday the 8th is the standout for that glassy, offshore afternoon session. The week after has another pulse, but keep an eye on it as we get closer.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1655 | 2191 | 4456 | 7523 | 19864 | 18106 | 17594 | 10923 | 8494 | 5046 | 3949 | 5601 | 5703 | 3713 | 2779 | 2178 | 1685 | 1297 | 924 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | ||||||||
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 19 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 24 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1655 | 1279 | 4456 | 322 | 19864 | 18106 | 17594 | 10923 | 8494 | 5046 | 3949 | 5601 | 5703 | 3713 | 2779 | 2178 | 1685 | 1297 | 924 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 17 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | W 9 |
1475 | 2191 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6185 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 71 | 263 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 5 | S 11 |
75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 4 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 7 | N 3 |
— | — | 15 | 7523 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 85 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 561 | 841 | 1584 | 561 | 214 | 304 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 75 | 7 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










