Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 13,421 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 5.0m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a big 16-day window ahead, and let me tell you, this is a serious run of solid, powerful swell for Blacknose Point. It’s not going to be for everyone though – this is expert territory for most of it, with wave heights well over 8 feet for many days. The opening sessions are promising but come with caveats, and the back half of the outlook has some absolute standouts that will have the experienced crew frothing. Just be aware, this break can get crowded, so you’ll want to be on your game and early.

Right from the get-go on Wednesday the 2nd, we’ve got a hefty 3.5m SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period. Combined swell energy is strong at 5348, so there’s plenty of power, but it’s a bit of a messy one. The wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 20 km/h, keeping things clean, but the forecast notes marginal conditions and questionable tide. It’s a 4 out of 10 for the morning. The afternoon stays similar, with the swell holding and a NW cross-off at 25 km/h, but the score dips to a 3. That first day is more about watching and waiting, maybe a sneaky session for the diehards if the tide lines up.

Thursday the 3rd is where things start to get real. The swell jumps to 5.0m in the morning, still from the SW with a 14-second period. Combined energy is very strong at 8853. The wind is a full offshore from the west at 35 km/h. It’s clean and powerful, but this is big, expert-only surf. The score is a 6 out of 10, with the marginal tide note again. Then Thursday afternoon, it goes nuclear: 5.5m of WSW swell, 14-second period, and a 30 km/h offshore westerly. The combined energy hits 23295 – that’s very strong, and the file says it’s wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The score is an 11 out of 10, which tells you all you need to know about the quality, but only the most experienced will be touching it.

Friday the 4th is still pumping with a 4.5m SW swell, 16-second period, and very strong energy at 10269. The morning has a cross-shore NNW wind at 25 km/h, making for a moderate cross-chop. It’s still a 6 out of 10, but the conditions are less perfect. The afternoon stays similar, just a bit weaker on the wind, but the score drops to a 5. Saturday the 5th is a write-off for paddling. The swell is 5.5m, but the wind is howling from the WNW at 45 km/h, making for poor conditions in the morning. The afternoon has a 45 km/h offshore, which is clean but incredibly hard to paddle into – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 6th offers a bit of a breather. The swell drops to 3.5m in the morning with a 14-second period and a cross-off NW breeze at 15 km/h. It’s clean, but the score is a 4. However, Sunday afternoon is a gem for the experienced: 3.0m of SW swell with a 13-second period, combined energy at 2806, and the wind goes glassy – a light 5 km/h southerly. The file says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” and the score is a 4. This is a window of clean, manageable power. Monday the 7th

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Wed night, light winds from the NW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
6
6
!
8
6
5
4
0
6
6
4
4
3
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
WSW
14
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
5
WSW
14
5
SW
14
5.5
WSW
14
5.5
SW
15
4.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
5.5
WSW
11
5.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
1.5
SW
13
1.3
SW
12
1.5
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2250
5341
5305
9701
8853
13421
12761
10269
9014
7206
7318
9960
7726
4458
2574
1284
723
479
1631
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
20
WNW
25
NW
35
NW
35
W
30
W
20
WNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
35
NW
45
WNW
45
W
15
WSW
15
NW
5
S
10
E
10
ENE
20
ESE
10
E
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
4:03AM0.92m
1:29PM0.79m
4:53AM0.85m
12:36PM0.91m
12:32PM0.96m
Low Tide
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
9:26AM0.68m
8:56PM0.13m
8:56AM0.77m
9:13PM0.15m
9:28PM0.20m
9:34PM0.28m
rain showers
cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
6:15
6:15
 mm
1
2
4
4
1
Temp °C
12
13
13
13
12
13
12
14
16
15
12
13
12
14
14
12
15
14
13
Feels °C
8
7
7
7
4
5
6
9
12
9
2
4
7
12
12
10
13
10
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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