
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 19,596 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at this run.
We're looking at a solid run of surf for Blacknose Point, a point break that's fairly consistent and handles a good SW to SSW swell. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing crazy. The first action kicks off on Sunday, the 6th of September.
Sunday morning is the real standout. We've got a strong 12 ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the west. The combined energy is a whopping 7034, so there's plenty of power. The sets will be clean and lined up, perfect for the advanced crew. It's a bit of a beast, so not one for the beginners. Sunday afternoon stays good with a 10 ft SW swell and a moderate offshore, still clean but a touch less energy.
Monday the 7th drops a bit. The swell comes in at 7 ft SW, but the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the south, keeping things clean. It's a good option for experienced surfers, but not the top pick.
Tuesday the 8th has a real point of interest. The morning is clean with a 7 ft SW groundswell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That'll make for some long, drawn-out lines, but it might break a bit too straight for a beach break. At a point like Blacknose, it should be a treat. The afternoon gets a kicker: a 10 ft SW swell, period of 16 seconds, and a solid offshore wind from the west. The energy is a strong 4456. This is a very good session for the experienced.
Now, the 9th of September is where things get serious. Wednesday morning is looking at a massive 16 ft SW swell with a 19-second period. The combined energy is an enormous 27964. That's a lot of water moving. The wind is a cross-offshore, but honestly, this is too big for most. The guidance says it's too big for the break, so only the most expert and crazy are going out. Wednesday afternoon is still huge at 18 ft, but the wind is a cross-off. It's a spectacle, but not a safe paddle.
Thursday the 10th is still big, with 16 ft and 15 ft SW swells. The morning is messy, but Thursday afternoon offers a chance: 15 ft SW swell, 16-second period, and an offshore wind from the southwest. The energy is still a very strong 9658. This is a serious, expert-only session with clean, powerful waves.
Friday the 11th settles down to a much more manageable 10 ft SSW swell. The morning has clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze. It's a good day for the experienced crew to get back out after the big stuff.
From Saturday the 12th, the swell drops and the wind gets messy. The morning is a write-off, but Saturday afternoon gives a glimmer: a 8 ft SW swell with glassy conditions. The wind is dead calm. That's a rare treat, and the waves will be silky smooth. A good session for the intermediate and up.
The rest of the second week is a mixed bag. There's a massive gap in quality. Sunday the 13th is small and choppy. Monday the 14th has a 10 ft and 13 ft swell, but with a 28 mph wind. That's a setup for a kite session, not a paddle. The period is short, too, at 8 seconds.
Tuesday the 15th of September roars back. A 16 ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period and a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 11122. This is another big, clean day for the experts. It's a long-range standout, so keep an eye on it.
By Wednesday the 16th, we're back to a solid 12 ft SW swell with offshore winds. It's a consistent, clean option. Thursday the 17th is a write-off with strong onshore winds. The run fades out from there, with small, clean surf on Friday the 18th and 19th, but nothing to write home about. The 20th and 21st see a pickup in swell again, but the wind is either fresh or onshore, making it messy.
The best of the best is the Sunday the 6th morning session, and the Tuesday the 15th looks like a promising, powerful second-week option.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed morning, light winds from the SSE by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4550 | 3145 | 1711 | 1545 | 1583 | 1655 | 2339 | 4456 | 7832 | 18610 | 19240 | 18475 | 12731 | 9658 | 5789 | 4025 | 4061 | 5252 | 3034 | 2263 | 1139 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | ||||||||||
6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
4550 | 3145 | 1711 | 1545 | 1583 | 1655 | 1279 | 4456 | 147 | 18610 | 19240 | 18475 | 12731 | 9658 | 5789 | 4025 | 4061 | 5252 | 3034 | 2263 | 1139 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 |
2484 | 267 | 21 | 118 | 338 | 1475 | 2339 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 432 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 |
— | — | 155 | 162 | 610 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 |
— | — | — | 204 | — | — | — | — | 7832 | 9354 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 422 | 422 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 561 | 841 | 1690 | 0 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










