Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards, but this is no beginner’s playground. The water temp is sitting at 14.4°C (about 58°F), which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit but don’t go stingin’ yourself either.

The action kicks off on Sunday morning, the 30th of August. Early doors we’ve got some clouds, a light offshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph, and a clean 8.2 ft SW swell with a solid 13-second period. The energy is pumping at 2580 (moderate to strong). It’s already a bit meaty, so this is for the experienced crew only. By the afternoon, it builds to a 9.8 ft SW swell with clean offshore wind from the SW at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps to 2752. Conditions are clean and mean.

Monday the 31st sees the swell hold at 9.8 ft SW in the morning, period stretching to 14 seconds, and energy roaring up to 4295. But the wind swings N at only 3 mph, making it a light cross-shore. That means a few bumps on the face, and the wave comment says marginal. Still rideable for the savvy surfer, but not the pick of the run so far.

Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off. A strong cross-shore from the NNW at 22 mph with rain and lumpy chop will have you sitting in the car park. Swell drops to 7.2 ft in the morning and 5.9 ft in the arvo. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 2nd is a redemption day. Morning sees a 9.8 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period – very long period, so it’ll be lining up nicely at this point break. Clean conditions with a WNW cross-off breeze at 16 mph. Energy is big at 4664. Afternoon gets bigger: 11.5 ft SW, 14 seconds, energy at 5607. Still clean with a 19 mph cross-off. This is serious wave energy and will be a proper session for anyone with the skills.

Thursday the 3rd of September is where we start talking about the standouts. Morning kicks off with a 14.8 ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, and a fresh offshore from the W at 19 mph. Clean, powerful, and the energy is 6814. But the arvo is the real gem: 16.4 ft SW, 14-second period, moderate offshore wind from the W at 16 mph – glassy and clean. The combined energy is 9020. This is expert territory, but for those in the know, it’s the best of the first week. Crowds are ‘often’ an issue here, so get out early.

Friday the 4th holds size but loses the wind. Expect 14.8 ft to 13.1 ft SW groundswell but lumpy cross-shore chop from the NNW/N at 16-22 mph. The wave comment is marginal. The energy is still huge (7870/5970), but the bumpy surface will spoil the party.

Saturday the 5th is a wildcard. Morning has rain showers and a strong WSW offshore at 25 mph. The swell is 14.8 ft WSW with a short 10-second period – that’s a tough paddle and the comment says “hard to paddle into.” Afternoon cleans up with a SW offshore at 19 mph, 14.8 ft at 11 seconds. Still big, still for experts only.

Now, from Sunday the 6th of September through Monday the 7th, things drop but remain messy. Swell backs down to 11.5 ft to 6.6 ft, but wind is cross-shore or cross-on and the energy drops. Not great.

The Big Standout – Tuesday the 8th of September. Holy moly. Morning has a 21.3 ft WSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. Energy is a staggering 26529 (very strong). Wind is from the S at 19 mph cross-off, clean. The wave comment says it’s *too big for this break*. This is a solid 23.0 ft in the afternoon with 49084 energy. Only for absolute experts with death wishes. If you paddle out on a 21 ft+ day at a point, you know what you’re doing. This is the biggest energy of the entire run.

Wednesday the 9th of September morning is still oversized at 19.7 ft SSW, energy 26414, but clean. By the afternoon, it drops to a more approachable 13.1 ft SW with a 14-second period and a clean offshore wind from the WSW at 12 mph. Energy is 9880. The wave comment says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers” – this is another true standout. Clean, powerful, lined up.

The rest of the run from Thursday the 10th through to Monday the 14th of September sees swell

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