
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,269 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We've got a solid run of surf on the way, but you've got to pick your moments. The water temp is sitting at 59° which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, nothing crazy but nice for a session.
The real standout action kicks off on Wednesday, September 16th. The afternoon is looking prime with a 15ft swell out of the SSW and a 15-second period – that's pure, long-period groundswell bringing some serious energy (11,391). Couple that with a clean cross-off breeze, and you've got some beautifully shaped, powerful lines peeling down the point. This is the best on offer, hands down.
Up until then, Monday the 14th is a bit of a non-starter with small 4ft swell and average conditions. Tuesday the 15th is for experts only – you're looking at a pumping 15ft SW swell, but the wind is a fresh 25 mph offshore in the morning, which will hold it together. It's big, powerful, and for the experienced crew.
Thursday the 17th is another highlight. Morning has a 10ft SW swell with a gentle 9 mph offshore wind – clean, glassy conditions with a nice grind to the waves. The combined energy is strong (3,463). You'll find some excellent, makeable walls. It's a touch big for beginners, but a decent intermediate could get amongst it.
From the 18th and into the weekend, the swell drops back a bit. You get clean 6ft to 8ft surf, but the period stays long. Watch out for Saturday the 19th – the wind goes cross-shore, so that moderate chop will make it a bit lumpy.
The following Monday, September 21st, has another excellent pulse for experienced surfers. The afternoon sees an 12ft SW groundswell with 14-second period and a gentle offshore – that's going to be special, with plenty of energy (4,014) and clean, walling faces.
Looking deeper into the window, the week of the 23rd to the 25th is mixed. Keep an eye on Friday, September 25th. The forecast is showing a return of solid 13ft SW swell, with a very long 16-second period. The afternoon is looking exceptional for experts, with a moderate offshore breeze cleaning up those big lines. That's the second major standout and a real possible gem, but it's over a week away so keep your fingers crossed.
Beyond that, from the 26th onward, the swell hangs around at 8ft to 15ft, but the wind picks up from the SSE and S, blowing cross-off and making it harder to find that perfect, clean face. Still some waves around for the keen, but nothing to write home about.
All in all, the 16th and the 25th of September are your dates to circle. The 21st is a solid backup for the advanced crew. There are a few gaps with average conditions, but the good stuff is worth waiting for.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SSW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
424 | 1388 | 6455 | 7629 | 7664 | 8139 | 7838 | 5767 | 3463 | 2694 | 2734 | 1799 | 3269 | 2717 | 2197 | 2402 | 933 | 933 | 1162 | 2817 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | 1:46PM0.82m | 4:16AM0.89m | 1:31PM0.80m | 5:02AM0.81m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | 9:16AM0.64m | 8:50PM0.17m | 9:27AM0.70m | 9:03PM0.21m | 9:03AM0.75m | 9:05PM0.27m | |||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:27 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — |
424 | 238 | — | — | 7664 | 8139 | 7838 | 5767 | 3463 | 2694 | 2734 | 1407 | 3269 | 2717 | 2197 | 1765 | 933 | 933 | 1162 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | WSW 14 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | — | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 7 | W 8 | — |
114 | 71 | — | — | — | — | 3553 | 2951 | — | 1700 | 134 | 1799 | — | — | 38 | 15 | 154 | 88 | 217 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 13 | N 3 | N 4 | — | WSW 13 |
51 | 1388 | 6455 | 7629 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | — | 8 | 13 | 2402 | 5 | 24 | — | 2817 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 182 | 501 | 561 | 426 | 412 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 709 | 221 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










