Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,160 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up.
We’re starting off with some proper groundswell energy at Blacknose Point. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – no wild anomalies there. Wednesday afternoon kicks things off with a clean 8ft SW swell, period a solid 13 seconds, and a light offshore wind from the WSW. That’s some nice, lined-up surf for experienced surfers. The combined energy is strong at 1994.
Thursday morning drops right off – that 5ft is a bit weak and the wind is cross-shore, so not worth worrying about. Thursday afternoon picks back up though. Friday morning is the first real standout: a big 10ft SW groundswell packing a 17-second period, light cross-off wind, and the combined energy is a massive 5160. That’s serious stuff for experts only. The point should handle the long period nicely, keeping it from closing out too straight. Saturday and Sunday keep the quality high with 8ft to 8ft SW swells and clean offshore breezes. The energy stays solid in the 1600–2300 range. That Saturday morning in particular is glassy off – a real treat.
Monday the 31st is a mixed bag with a big 8ft SW groundswell but some cross-shore wind in the morning. The afternoon cleans up nicely with offshore wind and a combined energy of 3922. Tuesday and Wednesday (the 1st and 2nd of September) get blown out a bit by strong NW winds – still some size but the wind is a problem.
Now, look ahead to Thursday the 4th of September. That’s a potential highlight for the second week. We’re looking at a 15ft SW swell, with a long 16-second period, fresh offshore wind from the W, and a huge combined energy of 9681. That’s expert territory, but clean and powerful.
Saturday the 5th late in the day sees a 18ft WS swell, but the period drops right back to 10 seconds – short period, less organized. The energy is still high at 11141, so it’ll be chunky but maybe a bit ragged.
The biggest event of the whole forecast is on Sunday the 6th of September. An 26ft SW swell with a 14-second period and near gale-force offshore wind – 37 mph from the WSW. Combined energy is an insane 27079. Look, the wind direction is good but the size and wind strength make this nearly impossible to paddle into. Only the most experienced hellmen should even look at it, and even then it’s borderline for kite surfing rather than paddling.
The real gem in week two is Tuesday the 8th of September. A 16ft SW groundswell, 15-second period, light NW cross-off wind. Combined energy is a massive 11085 but the wind is light and the conditions are clean. That’s exceptional for experts and the best bet in the second half of the run.
There’s a gap of a few days between the 6th and the 8th where the conditions are just too wild or blown out to recommend. After that, the swell eases back into the 10ft range with cleaner winds mid-month.
All in all, Friday the 28th of August is your first standout – big, clean, and powerful. The second standout is Thursday the 4th of September, if you can wait. Don’t sleep on Tuesday the 8th either.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1697 | 1107 | 742 | 946 | 2029 | 5160 | 3880 | 3051 | 2090 | 1591 | 1395 | 1762 | 2377 | 2967 | 3093 | 2630 | 3784 | 2624 | 2083 | 4123 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | |||||||
 |  | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1697 | 1107 | 742 | 946 | 2029 | 5160 | 3880 | 3051 | 2090 | 1591 | 1395 | 1762 | 2377 | 2967 | 3093 | 2630 | 3784 | 2624 | 2083 | 4123 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 24 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | SW 24 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | — | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 40 | 22 | 170 | 478 | 1567 | — | 17 | — | 22 | 52 | 222 | 306 | — | — | 738 | 1292 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSE 8 | SSW 10 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 257 | 412 | 32 | 75 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | W 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 175 | 628 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 748 | 204 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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