Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid run of surf on the way at Blacknose Point, kicking off right now. This is a classic point break, and it’s set to pump for a good stretch.

Right from Wednesday afternoon, we’re looking at a 12ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period – that’s proper energy (5305). The wind is cross-off from the NW at 16 mph, keeping things clean. This isn't for the faint of heart; it's advanced territory from the get-go. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice little bonus.

Thursday is the first standout. The swell jumps to 16ft, still from the SW with a 14-second period. The wind goes fresh offshore from the W – 22 mph in the morning, easing to 19 mph in the afternoon. That’s a dynamic combo: huge swell and howling offshore wind. The wave energy is monstrous, around 9000 to 10000. This is expert-only stuff. The sets will be powerful and a bit tricky to paddle into, but the reward will be some of the best waves of the year.

Friday sees the swell dip slightly to 13-15ft but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. This is a groundswell that loves a point break like Blacknose. It’ll be lined up and hollow. The wind is a light cross-shore from the N, so it won't be perfect, but for that size and period, it's still going to be firing.

Saturday is a bit of a washout with a strong westerly storm front pushing through. We get 18ft of wind-affected swell but it’s paired with 28 mph winds. That’s more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle one. Things clean up again by Sunday, with the swell dropping back to 10-12ft and light winds from the NW and WNW. The energy is still moderate (around 4500 to 3000), but the conditions will be clean and fun for the experienced crew.

The swell settles into the 7-7ft range Monday and Tuesday (Sept 7-8), but don’t sleep on Tuesday. Tuesday morning we have a 7ft SW swell with a 17-second period and glassy offshore wind from the W at just 3 mph. The sets will be fat, smooth, and long – a dream for a point break. The afternoon stays clean with a gentle offshore breeze.

Now, late in the second week, we have a true standout on the horizon. Wednesday the 9th into Thursday the 10th. On Wednesday afternoon, a massive 16ft SSW groundswell rolls in with a 19-second period. The wave energy is off the charts at 18257. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the S, keeping it clean. Then Thursday morning the swell is 18ft from the SSW, still a 17-second period (17097 energy), with only a whisper of wind from the E. This is a potential bomb. The caveat is that these are long-range forecasts, so treat them as promising but not locked in. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that, the swell fades and the wind turns against us from Friday the 11th through the weekend, with strong cross-onshore winds creating choppy, poor conditions. It comes back to life on Monday the 14th with a 15ft, 16-second SW swell and gentle cross-shore wind. Then, absolute magic on Monday afternoon: a 13ft SW swell, 16-second period, and glassy conditions. That’s as clean as it gets. The run continues into Tuesday and Wednesday, but the wind picks up again.

So, the best of the best: Thursday, September 3rd for the massive offshore blast, and the long-range window of Wednesday-Thursday, September 9-10 for the ludicrous groundswell. If you can only pick one session from the second week, make it Monday afternoon, September 14th for the glassy, perfect conditions.

Rusty.

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