Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, let's get into it.

Alright folks, the next sixteen days have some serious potential, but it's not all smooth sailing. We're looking at a stretch that starts with some decent groundswell and then just builds into some really big, powerful stuff, especially in the second week. The standout direction is SW, and that's exactly what Blacknose Point is primed for.

Let’s kick off with Saturday the 12th. We've got a solid 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period. The water is sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The wind is coming from the NNE at 6 mph, putting it as a light cross-onshore. It's not perfect, but for a point break that handles some angle, it's a solid start to the run. The combined swell energy is strong at 3162.

Sunday the 13th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is a write-off with a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore making a mess of the 7ft swell. But the afternoon cleans right up. The wind swings to a light NNW cross-off at 6 mph, and we’ve still got that deep 6ft SW groundswell (15s period). This is where you want to be – clean lines on the point. It’s only for experienced surfers though, the current and power are real.

Monday the 14th is a no-go. Strong 16 mph cross-offshore winds and dropping swell make it poor. Skip it.

Now, Tuesday the 15th is where we hit a gear change. The swell jumps to a solid 13ft SW with a 14-second period, and combined energy is pumping at 6018. The morning has a fresh 22 mph SW offshore wind – that’s clean, but that size on a point is heavy. The afternoon stays big with the same 13ft, but the wind goes cross-off. This is big-wave territory; advanced crew only.

Wednesday the 16th is the big one. The swell peaks at 15ft SW from the SSW direction, with a 15-second period. The combined energy is massive at 8040. The wind is a moderate 12 mph S cross-off, keeping the face clean. This is a serious, heavy groundswell that'll be breaking with authority. For experienced surfers only.

Thursday the 17th is a payoff day after the big swell. The surf drops to a still-chunky 10ft SSW groundswell, but the wind goes nearly glassy – just a 3 mph S cross-off. Combined energy is 3290. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and I can see why. Clean, powerful lines.

Friday the 18th is a step down in size to 7ft SW, but the period stays long at 14 seconds. Wind is a moderate cross-off. It’s surfable and clean, but not a standout.

Over the weekend of the 19th and 20th, we get some messy cross-shore winds on the 19th, and then a fresh WSW offshore on the 20th with 8ft swell. That’s okay, but a bit of a washy period.

The real standout of the whole run is Tuesday the 22nd of September. The swell hits a massive 15ft SW with a 16-second period. The combined swell energy is staggering at 10595. The wind is a light 6 mph NE offshore – glassy conditions for a wave this size. This is a true big-wave day for the experts. Massive, clean, and powerful. It's a one-off highlight.

The following days, the 23rd through the 27th, remain solid with 10ft to 13ft SW swells, but the winds get more side-shore or onshore. The 25th looks like a nice little cleanup with a 6ft, 20-second period groundswell and glassy conditions, offering some cleaner, more manageable waves.

Overall, the pick of the bunch for a proper session is Thursday the 17th and the glassy dawn on the 25th. For the big dogs, Tuesday the 22nd is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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