Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us.

The next 16 days are a proper tale of two halves. The start is a bit of a write-off, but if you can wait, we’ve got a serious pulse of energy rolling in for the second week. The first few days are a no-go, with messy conditions and onshore winds, so don't bother paddling out until at least the 12th.

Let’s be real, Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are a wash. Friday has a 8ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, but the cross-shore wind is just going to chop it up. It’s a marginal call at best. Saturday looks even worse with strong winds and a lumpy, messy ocean. Save your energy.

The real action starts to kick off on Sunday the 12th. We’ve got a massive spike in energy. The swell jumps to 20ft from the WSW with a 12-second period. The combined energy is a massive 10054, which is not to be taken lightly. This is a serious, powerful swell. The wind is offshore, which is a huge plus, but only for the most experienced. This is an expert-only zone. The waves are going to be clean, but the sheer size and power will make it a battle to get out. The point break at Blacknose Point will be handling this deep water energy well, but it’s not for the faint of heart. Monday the 13th keeps the big energy going with 16ft to 18ft SW swells, still with a very long period and clean conditions. The energy is high, but it’s still a big, powerful ocean.

The standout for the entire period, and the one you should pencil in, is Tuesday the 14th. The swell is still a healthy 16ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period (10699 energy), but the wind is moderate offshore from the WSW all day. This is the sweet spot. The waves will be big, powerful, and clean. The water temperature is 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a full winter steamer, but a good 3/2 will be fine. This is the day the experienced crew will be out, and it’s going to be firing. The crowds are likely to be heavy, so get in early.

Wednesday the 15th is still a solid option. The swell drops to 12ft from the SW, but the afternoon brings a gentle offshore wind that cleans it up perfectly. The energy is still moderate (5215), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. A very good session, but the Tuesday is the peak.

The rest of the week sees the swell slowly dropping. Thursday the 16th has a 8ft SW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s a beautiful, clean wave, but the energy is much lower.

The second week, from the 17th onwards, is a bit of a mixed bag. The big swell is gone, and the conditions get a bit lumpy again with cross-shore winds. There’s a small window on the 20th and 21st with some clean, smaller waves, but nothing to get too excited about. The forecast confidence is lower for these dates, so keep an eye on it.

The final call: if you’re an expert surfer, Sunday the 12th through Tuesday the 14th is your window. Tuesday the 14th is the absolute standout: big, clean, powerful groundswell at Blacknose Point. It’s going to be a good one.

Rusty.

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