Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. The main event is undeniably Blacknose Point, a point break that’s going to see some serious size and energy, though it’s a mixed bag of conditions. We’ve got a few days of fairly quiet, average surf to start, then a big ramp-up.

First up, the water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but a nice little bonus. The early part of the week, from Sunday the 19th to Monday the 20th, is pretty underwhelming. We’re looking at small, weak swell, around 4 ft to 4 ft, coming from the WSW. The energy is moderate, but the wind is cross or cross-off, so it’s not clean enough to get excited about. It’s just marginal, really. The best of that early period is Monday afternoon, with a clean 4 ft from the SW and a 15-second period, which is a nice long groundswell. That’s about as good as it gets for the first few days.

Then things get real. Tuesday the 21st, the swell jumps up to 7 ft to 8 ft, WSW, with a 13-second period. The energy is strong. Tuesday afternoon has a cross-off breeze, so it’s clean. That’s a solid, powerful wave for experienced surfers, but anyone else should be careful – over 8 ft and it’s experts only.

The standout period, and the one you really want to aim for, is Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 25th. The swell direction locks into the SSW, which is the optimum for this spot. We’re talking serious size: 10 ft on Wednesday afternoon, ramping up to 16 ft and 18 ft by Thursday and Friday. The energy is through the roof. The wind is offshore, strong, and clean. This is big, powerful, fast-breaking point surf. It’s a dream for advanced and expert surfers, but it’s dangerous for anyone else. Crowds are often a problem here, and with conditions this good, it’ll be busy. Don’t expect any peace. The long period (13-14 seconds) means long, clean lines, but at a point break, that’s a beautiful thing.

Saturday the 25th is still solid, with 13 ft to 15 ft from the SW and a strong offshore breeze. The energy is still massive. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and that’s spot on. After that, the swell starts to drop, but it stays clean through the end of the month. Sunday the 26th has 8 ft to 10 ft, and Monday the 27th has 6 ft to 6 ft, all with clean cross-off winds. The energy is still moderate to strong. It’s not the highlight, but it’s still a good wave.

The second week from the 28th of July onwards is a bit more mixed. The swell is still present, with 6 ft to 8 ft from the SW and S, with periods of 11 to 14 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is moderate to strong. A couple of days, like the 31st of July and 1st of August, are poor, with lumpy, onshore winds, so skip those. The real hidden gem here is Sunday the 2nd of August. The afternoon has 6 ft from the SW with a 16-second period, a moderate offshore breeze, and the conditions are noted as excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is solid. That’s a classic, clean, long-period groundswell, perfect for a point break. The 3rd of August has more size (7 ft to 8 ft) but with a cross-shore wind making it lumpy, so not as good.

Overall, the absolute best on offer is the run from Thursday the 23rd to Saturday the 25th of July. That’s the big, clean, powerful swell. For a more accessible but still excellent wave, the afternoon of Sunday the 2nd of August is a real standout. It’s a shiny, clean, long-period groundswell without the terrifying size.

Rusty.

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