Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.3° C
1.3° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 9,083 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Mon 20th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 23rd Jul)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 24th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

Overall, the next couple of weeks are building towards some serious size at Blacknose Point, but you gotta pick your windows. The start is pretty average.

Sunday the 19th is a write-off – cross-shore wind and a marginal 4ft WSW swell. Not worth paddling out on. Monday the 20th morning still messy with moderate cross-shore, but Monday afternoon cleans up nicely. You’ll get a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, gentle cross-off wind, and clean conditions. It’s small and not a standout, but it’s the first clean session.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell start to push. Morning is 8ft from the WSW (13 secs) but cross-shore wind chops it. Afternoon is better: 6ft from the WSW, clean with a cross-off breeze. Wednesday the 22nd is when it gets real. Morning has a solid 8ft WSW groundswell (12 secs) with fresh offshore wind from the WSW – clean, but that size is already expert territory. By Wednesday afternoon it’s 10ft from the SW, still clean and offshore, but big. Thursday the 23rd is the real stand out. Thursday afternoon sees a massive 15ft SW swell (14 secs) with moderate offshore wind. The wave energy is pumping hard at 8700 – that is some serious grunt. This is for experts only. Friday the 24th stays huge, 16ft from the SW (14 secs) in the afternoon, but the wind shifts cross-off from the west and it gets a bit lumpy. Still massive.

Saturday the 25th is the best for those who aren’t charging death slabs. Morning delivers an 12ft SW swell (13 secs) with light offshore wind. Clean, powerful, and manageable for experienced surfers. The wave energy is still strong at 3587. Afternoon drops to a clean 10ft. That’s your pick of the first week.

Sunday the 26th through Tuesday the 28th is all big and messy or big and clean but huge. Sunday is 8-8ft but cross-shore wind kills it. Monday the 27th is a disaster – 20ft swell with a fresh cross-shore and lumpy cross-chop. That’s not surf, that’s survival. Tuesday the 28th morning cleans up again with a 15ft SW swell (15 secs) and cross-off wind, but it’s big.

Into the second week, things trend down in size but get cleaner. Wednesday the 29th is windy and messy in the afternoon – a near gale blows in. Thursday the 30th sees a clean 13ft from the SSW (15 secs) in the morning, but it’s still big. Friday the 31st is smaller and cleaner, around 8-8ft from the south.

Then we get a real gem. On August 1st (Saturday), the swell drops right back, but the quality goes up – 3-4ft from the SSW with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s groundswell, and at Blacknose Point, a point break, that means long, walled-up lines. Clean and mellow. But the true crowd-pleaser is Sunday August 2nd. Morning has a 4ft SSW swell with a 20-second period (absolutely pumping energy for the size) and light offshore wind. 1628 energy for a 4ft wave – that’s got pulse. Afternoon is 6ft from the SSW, 18 seconds, clean. This is the sweet spot for experienced surfers. Monday August 3rd morning wraps it up with 7ft from the west, 12 seconds, and glassy conditions – no wind at all. Perfect.

So, the standout: Thursday 23rd July afternoon for the charge (15ft, 14 seconds, offshore, 8700 energy) for experts only. The other standout is Sunday 2nd August – smaller, but clean, long-period groundswell, and light wind. That’s the one for a fun, quality session.

Crowds at Blacknose Point are likely, especially on the good days. It’s a point break, so it handles the longer period swells well. No water temp data provided, so I can’t comment on that.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 10°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
1
3
3
4
3
7
4
4
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
2.1
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
13
1.8
WSW
12
2.1
WSW
12
2.5
WSW
12
3
SW
12
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
15
4.5
SW
13
5
SW
14
4
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
799
525
452
511
611
757
1860
1944
933
1200
1657
2453
4350
6566
7048
7529
6693
9083
6682
Wind (km/h)
15
N
15
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
30
NW
30
WSW
30
WSW
35
WSW
30
SW
25
SW
25
W
35
W
30
W
25
W
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
4:50AM0.84m
3:16PM0.92m
6:10AM0.83m
2:59PM0.90m
1:53PM0.91m
Low Tide
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
9:46AM0.67m
10:37PM0.32m
9:59AM0.78m
11:11PM0.33m
11:50PM0.35m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
 mm
9
1
2
3
1
3
Temp °C
13
13
14
12
13
14
13
14
14
13
13
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
14
Feels °C
10
9
10
8
9
11
10
10
10
8
6
4
2
3
4
4
5
7
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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