Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 13 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,680 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 14th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 16th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

The first real surf we see is on Sunday the 13th, but it’s a total dud – not worth getting wet. There’s a blank gap at the start with no good options, so save your energy.

Monday the 14th has small, clean waves but nothing to write home about. The action really starts on Tuesday the 15th at Blacknose Point (point break, fairly exposed to SW). Morning brings a 13 ft SW swell with a 13-second period and fresh offshore SW winds. That’s clean and powerful, but it’s already pushing into expert territory with combined swell energy at 5266. The afternoon bumps up to 15 ft SW, still clean.

Wednesday the 16th holds 15 ft SW groundswell all day with a 15-second period and clean cross-off winds. Energy is very strong (8680 in the morning, 7838 in the afternoon). Experts only.

Thursday the 17th is the real standout. Morning has 10 ft SW swell with light offshore SW winds – glassy conditions. Water temp is about 58°, a touch warmer than normal. Combined energy is still strong at 3364. This is the pick of the week for advanced surfers.

Friday the 18th offers 7 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period in the morning, clean and lined up. The afternoon jumps to 10 ft SW, but the wind picks up.

Into the second week, Sunday the 20th has a 13 ft WSW swell with strong offshore SW winds (25 mph). It’s clean but hard to paddle into – only for the brave. Energy is strong at 2893.

Monday the 21st afternoon is another standout: 15 ft SW swell, 15-second period, light offshore WSW winds, and exceptional energy at 9287. Crowds are likely here.

Tuesday the 22nd is massive. Morning sees 20 ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period and energy at 22388. The swell may be too big for this break, so only the most experienced should consider it. Afternoon drops to 16 ft, still strong.

From Wednesday the 23rd, onshore winds and lumpy conditions kill the quality. A small window on Saturday the 26th afternoon offers clean cross-off winds with 15 ft SSW swell, and Sunday the 27th morning has 8 ft SW swell with light cross-off winds – excellent for experienced surfers.

The best bets are Thursday the 17th for clean, solid surf, and Monday the 21st afternoon for big, clean power.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Fri night).

Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
3
1
0
2
4
4
4
6
5
5
4
4
2
2
2
2
3
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
2.4
WSW
7
4
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2
SSW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.4
WSW
13
1.9
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2002
1581
965
570
424
610
5105
7152
7779
8680
7838
5688
3364
2496
2209
2404
3792
2606
2036
1862
1016
Wind (km/h)
30
N
20
NNW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
30
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
30
S
25
S
20
S
15
SSW
10
SW
15
WSW
15
NNW
25
NW
30
WNW
30
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
30
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
1:46PM0.82m
4:16AM0.89m
1:31PM0.80m
Low Tide
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
9:16AM0.64m
8:50PM0.17m
9:27AM0.70m
9:03PM0.21m
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
6:25
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
21
18
14
15
15
12
11
11
11
11
11
9
10
10
9
18
19
16
23
23
20
Feels °C
17
15
12
10
10
7
2
3
3
5
5
5
7
6
6
12
12
9
17
18
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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