Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.4° C
1.4° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,656 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 15th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 16th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on Blacknose Point.

Water temp is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming. The real standout is a big pulse of southwest groundswell hitting later in the month. The days from Wednesday the 23rd through Friday the 25th of July are the ones to circle. That’s for the experts only. The swell is kicking up to 12ft to 15ft, with a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The wave energy is through the roof, with readings of 5152 to 10054, which is strong to very strong. This kind of long-period swell will be lining up perfectly at Blacknose Point, a point break that loves a SSW to SW direction. The winds are offshore or glassy for much of that window, especially Friday morning with light winds and clean conditions. This is the best on offer, no question.

Before that, we’ve got a nice run starting Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th of July. Wednesday morning sees 12ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze from the W. The energy is around 4600. It’s clean but solid, so it’s for the more experienced crew. Thursday morning is even better – the same size and direction, but with a 15-second period and barely a breath of wind, making for glassy, clean conditions. That’s a top session.

Things drop off a bit from Saturday the 18th. The swell drops to 8ft and then down to 4ft, with periods shortening. The winds turn more cross-shore, and the quality fades. There’s a bit of a gap in the excellent stuff from Saturday afternoon through to the following Thursday, with only marginal or poor conditions. The swell is small, and the wind isn’t helping.

Now, that week-two window from the 23rd into the 24th of July is the main event. Friday the 24th morning is the pick of the whole forecast: 15ft southwest swell, 16-second period, very light offshore, and an energy reading of 10054. That’s exceptional, but it’s big – strictly for experts. The crowd situation at Blacknose Point is often busy, so expect company.

The end of the forecast period, from the 29th of July, shows a drop in size and a shift to shorter period swell, with moderate offshore winds. It’s surfable, but nothing like the big stuff earlier.

So, to wrap it up: the first half of the run is solid, but the real gold is from the 23rd to the 25th of July. That’s where you want to be if you’ve got the skill.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
5
3
5
5
3
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2
WSW
13
1.6
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1.3
W
13
1.1
SW
16
1.8
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
13
2.1
WSW
12
1.9
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4600
4007
5070
5190
5293
3614
4412
4013
2801
1894
1380
848
493
452
546
611
1358
1929
1622
1342
1062
Wind (km/h)
20
W
20
W
15
WSW
5
W
10
W
10
NNW
15
NW
10
WNW
10
NNW
10
NNW
5
N
15
N
20
N
15
N
20
N
25
NNW
20
N
20
NNW
20
NNW
10
NNW
25
NNW
Wind State
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:55PM1.18m
11:16PM0.58m
2:13PM1.14m
00:34AM0.66m
2:28PM1.09m
1:26AM0.73m
2:41PM1.04m
2:14AM0.80m
2:54PM1.00m
3:02AM0.83m
3:05PM0.97m
3:52AM0.85m
3:14PM0.94m
Low Tide
10:13PM0.58m
6:16AM0.23m
9:15PM0.59m
7:00AM0.24m
9:01PM0.56m
7:39AM0.28m
9:04PM0.50m
8:15AM0.35m
9:18PM0.43m
8:49AM0.44m
9:40PM0.38m
9:20AM0.55m
10:07PM0.34m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
14
13
11
13
11
12
14
13
13
14
13
14
15
14
16
17
13
Feels °C
9
9
11
11
12
11
7
10
8
10
13
10
9
11
8
9
11
10
12
14
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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