Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,644 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down. Blacknose Point is waking up, but the first few days are just the warm-up. Thursday morning is small and a little bumpy, but Thursday afternoon cleans up real nice with a solid 4ft from the WSW and that cross-off wind keeps it tidy. Not the main show, but it’s a good sign.
The real standout hits Friday morning, the 28th of August. We’re talking a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period—that’s proper energy (combined energy of 5160). The wind is light offshore from the WSW, so it’s glassy clean. This is for advanced surfers only—it’s too big for beginners. The water temp is around 58°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises.
Friday afternoon holds the same size, still light wind, and the swell drops a bit in period but stays in the good range. Saturday and Sunday keep the love going with 7ft to 10ft SW swell, clean offshore winds, and manageable energy. Consistent sets, light wind, clear skies—this is a dream run for anyone with the skills.
There’s a hiccup on Tuesday the 1st of September when the wind cranks up to 22 to 28 mph from the NNW and NW, making things messy. That day is a write-off. But hold on—Wednesday the 2nd through Thursday the 3rd sees a massive pulse of swell, 12ft to 15ft, with moderate cross-off winds. The energy is huge (hit 15910 on Thursday afternoon), but the wind is fresh, so it’s more for the hard chargers.
Then we get into the second week, and it’s a wild ride. Saturday the 5th is blown out with strong winds, but Sunday the 6th brings a 18ft to 20ft WSW swell with light wind—this is huge, and the combined energy hits 15173 on Sunday afternoon. But the true standout of the whole forecast? Monday morning, the 7th of September. It’s glassy, dead calm, with a 18ft WSW swell and a 14-second period. The combined energy is a massive 24637. This is a once-in-a-while kind of session, but it’s only for experts—this is big, powerful, and the sets will be long. The rest of that week continues with big, clean swell, but the wind turns stronger, making it harder to get into.
Honestly, if you’re an experienced surfer, the early run from Friday the 28th through Sunday the 30th is the most user-friendly window. The Monday the 7th window is the epic, but it’s a beast. Beginners should stay well clear of the whole second week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 854 | 1752 | 5160 | 3880 | 3204 | 2201 | 1568 | 1730 | 1977 | 2340 | 3183 | 3326 | 2439 | 3736 | 2624 | 1825 | 5644 | 3517 | 3048 | 3122 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 854 | 1752 | 5160 | 3880 | 3204 | 2201 | 1568 | 1730 | 1977 | 2340 | 3183 | 3326 | 2439 | 3736 | 2624 | 1825 | 4102 | 3517 | 3048 | 3122 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | SW 23 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 478 | 1567 | — | 8 | — | 21 | 52 | 222 | 309 | 595 | 163 | 969 | 2162 | — | — | 10 | 2 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 75 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 285 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | WNW 8 | WSW 14 | — | WNW 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 92 | 204 | 5644 | — | 283 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 709 | 623 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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