Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 14,936 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a solid run of solid-to-big SW groundswell lining up for Blacknose Point. The kicker is the wind. The first couple days are messy, but hold tight – the real action kicks off midweek and rolls right through to the weekend.
Monday the 10th is a write-off. We’ve got 10ft of SW groundswell, sure, but that mad SSW wind at 22 mph is just ripping cross-off, making it a messy, low-scoring day. Wave energy is strong (4804), but the conditions won’t do it justice.
Tuesday the 11th is worse. The swell drops a touch to 8ft, but the wind swings NNW and goes cross or even cross-shore with a chop. The energy is still moderate-to-strong (2895 and 2481), but the quality is rubbish. Skip it.
Now, Wednesday the 12th is where we start to see some real promise. The swell jumps back up to 13ft from the SW, period still a long 16-17 seconds, and we get a solid offshore W wind at 16-19 mph. The combined energy is very strong (9801). That’s clean, lined-up, powerful waves. This is a day for experienced surfers only – 13ft is big. Moderately crowded is likely.
Thursday the 13th gets even bigger. Morning sees 15ft from the SW, W offshore wind at 19 mph, and very strong energy (10362). Thursday afternoon stays clean with 15ft and lighter W wind. This is expert territory.
Friday the 14th is the standout. Morning brings 16ft of SW swell, 16-second periods, with moderate offshore W wind at 16 mph. The energy is pumping at 12305. This is the peak – big, powerful, grinding lines off the point. It’s going to be world-class, but only for the experienced crew. Expect crowds.
Saturday the 15th is still excellent. The swell drops to 12ft, and while the morning has a light cross-off SSW breeze at 9 mph, the quality is still high. Energy remains strong (5162). It’s more manageable for strong intermediates. Saturday arvo gets a bit lumpy.
Sunday the 16th sees the swell back to 10ft, but SSE winds start to mess it up with cross-shore chop. The magic is fading.
After that, from Monday the 17th through the rest of the second week, the window shuts. Wind goes onshore or cross-onshore, swell drops and gets short period. There’s a brief, glassy moment on Tuesday the 18th with 5ft and 17-second period (2178 energy), but it’s small and clean – a mellow session for the patient. From the 19th onward, it’s mostly poor or marginal conditions with onshore winds and lumpy surf. The big window is definitely the middle of the first week.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5233 | 4804 | 4112 | 4598 | 2724 | 1528 | 3177 | 7520 | 9276 | 7854 | 10362 | 8899 | 11861 | 12305 | 9012 | 6027 | 5162 | 4915 | 3913 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:51PM1.08m | 1:09PM1.10m | 11:18PM0.43m | 1:24PM1.09m | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:50PM0.28m | 11:39PM0.34m | 10:26PM0.43m | 5:05AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.50m | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 5233 | 4804 | 4112 | 4598 | 2724 | 1528 | 3177 | 753 | — | 7854 | 10362 | 8899 | 11861 | 12305 | 9012 | 6027 | 5162 | 4915 | 3913 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | — | — | — | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 |
| kJ | 2494 | — | — | — | 171 | 817 | — | 1528 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 132 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 5 | SW 7 | — | — | NNW 3 | W 9 | SW 16 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 143 | 569 | — | — | 9 | 705 | 7520 | 9276 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 182 | 422 | 0 | 196 | 7 | 558 | 221 | 182 | 53 | 182 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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