Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a big, long period SW groundswell on the way, but it's going to be a wild ride. The first call is a total beast of a day, and then it settles down into some cleaner, more manageable windows. The standout is undeniably those first few days, but you’ll need to be on your A-game.

Wednesday, July 29th kicks off with a monster. Blacknose Point is looking at a solid 21 ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 35171 – that’s a lot of water moving. It’s a clean, cross-off wind from the SW, but honestly, this is no joke. This is way over 8 ft, so it’s experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The tide is favorable, but that's a lot of ocean. The afternoon eases a bit, dropping to 15 ft with lighter offshore WSW wind and a combined energy of 8575. The water temp is about average for the time of year so no surprises there.

Thursday, July 30th is another good one for the experienced crew. The swell drops to 8 ft in the morning from the SW, period still a solid 13 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the WSW. Combined energy is 2602. The afternoon holds at 8 ft with the same clean light wind. Great, powerful, surfable waves for someone who knows what they're doing.

Friday, July 31st is the real sweet spot for the first week. The swell is down to 7 ft from the SW, period still 12 seconds, but the wind is glassy, absolutely glassy. The morning has a light NNW air, and the afternoon is also glassy. Combined energy is a healthy 1279 to 1500. This is the cleanest, most user-friendly day of the run for experienced surfers. The sets will be a bit more spaced out with that longer period, making it easier to get out the back.

Saturday, August 1st gets messy. The swell is still in the 7 to 8 ft range with a super long period of 16 to 17 seconds, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW, making it choppy. Not great for the paddle.

Sunday, August 2nd stays funky. The swell is 10 ft in the morning, dropping to 8 ft in the afternoon, but the wind is howling from the WNW at 19-25 mph as a cross-offshore. It’ll be clean, but the wind strength is a real issue.

Monday, August 3rd gets a bit of reprieve. The swell is back up to 18 ft in the morning from the WSW, but with a strong offshore wind from the SW at 22 mph. Combined energy is 8431. It’s a clean, powerful, and dangerous setup for experts only.

After that, the outlook from Tuesday, August 5th through the end of the first week and into the second week becomes more marginal. You’ll see plenty of swell in the 6 to 8 ft range, but the winds are often cross-offshore or cross-shore, and the quality drops off. The best of the second week looks to be Thursday, August 6th with a 6 ft swell from the SW, a 15 second period, and a light offshore wind. Combined energy is 1270 – a clean, small day for a quiet paddle.

Saturday, August 10th and the days after that get messy again with building swell and strong cross-shore winds. There’s a big pulse of 12 ft to 13 ft swell on Monday, August 12th and Tuesday, August 13th but the wind is a terrible cross-shore, making it a complete write-off for surfing. The energy numbers are high (6051 and 9917), but the conditions are poor. This setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re an expert, get on Thursday, July 30th and then Friday, July 31st is the absolute gem. For the second week, Thursday, August 6th is your best bet for a clean, quieter session.

Rusty.

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