Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 19,025 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into the surf outlook for our region. We’ve only got one spot lighting up the forecast, Blacknose Point, and it’s looking like a solid stretch of ground-driven swell is on the way. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might get away with a little less rubber.
We start off with a bit of a warm-up, but there’s a real gap before the magic happens. The first surf we can talk about kicks off Sunday afternoon, the 30th of August. The swell is already a hefty 10ft from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds, giving us a combined wave energy of 2752 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind is a clean offshore from the SW, so the face will be smooth. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but with that size, it’s for the crew who know what they're doing. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.
Monday the 31st still has good size, 10ft dropping to 8ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes light cross and cross-on, introducing some ripple. The energy jumps up (4295 to 4613), but the surface won’t be as clean as Sunday. Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off for quality surfing with strong, lumpy cross-winds at 22 mph and rain. The swell stays around 7ft, but it’s messy. Wednesday the 2nd cleans up a bit with cross-off winds, but the wind is still fresh at 16-19 mph, making for a bumpy ride on waves that are 10ft to 12ft.
Now, here’s where it gets real. Thursday the 3rd of September is the first standout. The swell jacks up to 16ft from the SW, with a moderate 13-second period, but the energy is off the charts (8130 in the morning, peaking at 10694 in the afternoon). Morning winds are fresh offshore from the WSW, cleaning it right up. This is serious groundswell, big and powerful. This is expert-only territory. Do not take a shortboard out here if you’re not ready for a beating.
Friday the 4th sees the swell stay huge at 13-15ft, but the wind goes cross and strong, up to 25 mph in the afternoon, turning it into a washing machine. The afternoon is a total loss. Saturday the 5th has 16-18ft swell with near gale-force offshore winds (31 mph!). It’s clean in theory, but paddling out will be a mission, and holding on will be a battle. Kite surfers might be the only ones having fun here.
After that big pulse, Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th settle down to a still-chunky 12ft to 8ft with cleaner conditions and lighter winds. The quality returns for the experienced crew.
But the real jackpot is the second week. From Tuesday the 8th of September all the way through to Sunday the 13th, it’s an absolute run of epic conditions. Tuesday the 8th has a 15ft SW groundswell with a long 17-second period, pushing the wave energy up to 10861. The wind is gentle offshore from the WSW, and the forecast is calling for exceptional surf. Wednesday the 9th is just as good with a 15ft, 18-second groundswell and light offshore winds. This is what we live for. Thursday the 10th of September is the absolute standout of the entire forecast. You get a 16ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is *glassy* in the morning. That is as good as it gets. The energy is sitting at 12812. The weekend of the 12th and 13th keeps the dream alive with clean conditions and solid 13-16ft swell.
The run ends on Monday the 14th of September with a fresh, lumpy cross-wind messing up an 18ft swell. The window is closing.
So, to wrap it up: don’t waste your time on the first few days unless you’re hungry for a Sunday session on the 30th. The true standouts are Thursday the 3rd of September for a big, powerful, clean day, and the absolute gold medal goes to Thursday the 10th of September for that glassy, 16ft, long-period perfection at Blacknose Point. Mark your calendars.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NW on Thu night, near gales from the WNW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2255 | 1521 | 2313 | 3517 | 3233 | 8615 | 7925 | 10401 | 10845 | 10298 | 8899 | 7275 | 14158 | 19025 | 9621 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | |||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 |
2923 | 3326 | 2795 | 3905 | 2255 | 1521 | 2313 | 3517 | 3233 | 6476 | — | 10401 | 10845 | 10298 | 8899 | 7275 | — | — | 9621 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 12 | S 12 | SW 17 | S 10 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
120 | 969 | 1818 | — | 3 | 3 | 573 | 8 | 1358 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | — |
— | — | — | — | 54 | 326 | — | — | — | 8615 | 7925 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 14158 | 19025 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 53 | 7 | 709 | 411 | 0 | 53 | 7 | 204 | 221 | 221 | 7 | 107 | 107 | 712 | 1023 | 1173 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











