
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,002 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s shaping up. We’ve got Blacknose Point on the radar, and it’s a point break that handles a fair bit of exposure. The water temp is sitting at 58.5°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing freaky there.
The first real action kicks off on Friday, July 31st. It’s a solid afternoon session with a clean 6.2 ft SW swell, period of 12 seconds, and a light offshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph. The combined energy is pumping at 1450 – that’s proper moderate wave energy, and the conditions are looking excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout, no doubt.
Saturday, August 1st starts to get a bit gnarly. The swell bumps up to 7.9 ft SW in the morning, with a much longer period of 17 seconds, but the wind swings around to a cross-shore from the north at 9 mph. That creates a bit of chop, and the tide issues make it a marginal call. By the afternoon, it’s 9.8 ft SW, still a long 17 seconds, but the wind picks up to 12 mph from the north, making it lumpy. The energy is massive – 4609 – but it’s messy.
Sunday, August 2nd is a write-off for quality surfing. The swell is 9.8 ft SW in the morning, period 16 seconds, but the wind is howling at 19 mph from the north, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The afternoon drops to 7.2 ft SW, but it’s still cross-shore and rough. Honestly, this is more kite-surfing weather than clean paddle surfing.
Monday, August 3rd brings a change. The wind goes offshore from the west at 19 mph in the morning, with a 7.2 ft SW swell and 14-second period. It’s clean, but that’s a strong breeze, so paddling will be a workout. The afternoon turns wild – 11.5 ft WSW swell, 14 seconds, and a strong offshore at 25 mph. Clean but hard to paddle into. For experts only.
Now, Tuesday, August 4th is a real gem. Morning session has a 9.8 ft SW swell, period 12 seconds, with a moderate offshore from the SW at 16 mph. The energy is sky-high at 4809, and it’s clean. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 7.5 ft SW, still offshore and clean. This is the best of the first week – big, powerful, and clean. The crowd situation at Blacknose Point is “often”, so expect some company.
Wednesday, August 5th eases off. Morning sees a 5.6 ft SW swell, 14-second period, with a light cross-offshore from the NW at 9 mph. Clean and fun. The afternoon is a similar story – 5.2 ft SW, 13 seconds, light offshore from the WSW. Nice, mellow wave.
After that, the quality drops. Thursday, August 6th has a 4.6 ft SW swell, but the period is a long 16 seconds, and the wind is light cross-shore. It’s marginal. Friday, August 7th is a no-go – strong cross-onshore winds and choppy. Saturday, August 8th and Sunday, August 9th are both poor, with strong cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. There’s a gap of several days with no real surf on offer.
But then, hold on to your board. Monday, August 10th is a monster. The morning has an 18.0 ft WSW swell, 13 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze. The energy is insane – 12396 – but it’s big. The afternoon is even bigger: 19.7 ft WSW swell, 15 seconds, and a strong offshore at 28 mph. The energy hits 22060. This is for absolute experts only, and it’s so big it might be too much for the break. Still, it’s a standout for the dedicated.
Tuesday, August 11th is still huge – 16.4 ft WSW in the morning, 14.8 ft in the afternoon, both with strong offshore winds. The energy is well over 9000. This is a stretch of serious, heavy swell.
Wednesday, August 12th settles a bit. The swell drops to 11.5 ft WSW in the morning, 13 seconds, with a moderate offshore. Clean and powerful. The afternoon is 9.8 ft WSW, still offshore. This is excellent for experienced surfers.
Thursday, August 13th gets messy again with cross-shore winds and lumpy 7.5 ft swell. Friday, August 14th picks up again – 14.8 ft WSW swell, 12 seconds, but the winds are mixed. The afternoon is a standout: 14.8 ft WSW, offshore from the SW at 12 mph, and the energy is 6855. Exceptional for experts.
The real cherry on top is Saturday, August 15th. The afternoon session has an 18
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, calm by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1042 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4637 | 3772 | 2204 | 2061 | 1999 | 4163 | 3535 | 2471 | 1413 | 866 | 1196 | 852 | 603 | 967 | 1690 | 2066 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:25AM0.66m | 2:18PM1.07m | 1:56AM0.72m | 2:35PM1.01m | 2:28AM0.78m | 2:49PM0.94m | 3:04AM0.83m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:44AM0.86m | 2:52PM0.82m | 4:32AM0.85m | 2:29PM0.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:48PM0.44m | 7:16AM0.24m | 8:52PM0.42m | 7:50AM0.26m | 8:59PM0.39m | 8:23AM0.32m | 9:09PM0.36m | 8:56AM0.41m | 9:20PM0.32m | 9:26AM0.52m | 9:33PM0.29m | 9:47AM0.65m | 9:47PM0.25m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 |
1042 | 874 | 3269 | 4609 | 4637 | 3772 | 2204 | 2061 | 1999 | — | 316 | 1971 | 1413 | 866 | 1196 | 852 | 504 | 967 | 1690 | 2066 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SE 7 | — | — | WSW 16 | W 10 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 |
388 | 621 | 2 | — | — | 612 | 490 | 283 | 175 | — | 582 | 367 | 248 | 420 | 535 | 635 | 603 | 33 | 22 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | — | — | S 9 | SSW 9 | SW 19 | — | — |
20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 118 | — | — | 40 | 45 | 183 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | WSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 |
— | — | — | — | 8 | 16 | 21 | 816 | 577 | 4163 | 3535 | 2471 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 107 | 195 | 7 | 204 | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











