Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 12,938 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 29th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 5th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 5th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Blacknose Point.

The water’s sitting about 58°F, which is normal for this time of year, so nothing to write home about.

First decent surf shows up Saturday afternoon, 29 August. Swell is 7ft from the SW, with a 13-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. Wave energy is solid (1720), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers.

Sunday, 30 August is a cracker. Morning has 8ft SW at 13 seconds, with a light offshore at 6 mph – clean. Afternoon bumps to 10ft, still offshore at 9 mph. Energy is climbing (2752). This is top-notch for advanced crew.

Monday, 31 August morning is the standout for me. We’ve got 10ft SW swell, 14 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NW at 3 mph. Energy is pumping (4295). This is the pick of the first wave – clean, solid, and long period groundswell. Just note, the afternoon turns cross-onshore, so morning is the go.

Tuesday, 1 September morning is a write-off with strong cross-shore wind. The afternoon is cleaner but smaller.

Wednesday, 2 September gets big. Morning has 12ft SW at 16 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze at 16 mph. Energy is huge (6095). Afternoon is 13ft, still clean but serious. Expert only.

Thursday, 3 September morning is the absolute standout. Swell is 15ft from the WSW, 14 seconds, with a fresh offshore wind at 19 mph. Energy is massive (15470). Exceptional for experts. The afternoon remains excellent with 13ft. This is the day to circle.

The rest of the first week remains solid but too big. By Monday, 7 September, swell is 21ft to 26ft – way too big for this break. Tuesday, 8 September has 28ft and 17-second periods. Better for kitesurfing.

Second week sees a drop in size. Wednesday, 9 September is a good option – 18ft SSW at 15 seconds in the morning, clean cross-offshore. Energy still strong (13484). Thursday, 10 September has a long period 24-second swell at 4ft, but cross-shore wind makes it messy.

Friday, 11 September and Saturday, 12 September have onshore and cross-onshore winds, so quality drops. Swell is still 13ft to 15ft but choppy.

So, the standout is Thursday, 3 September morning for the big, clean, offshore groundswell – dream for experts. Monday, 31 August morning is another top pick for a slightly smaller but perfect session. The rest is either too big, too windy, or too messy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sat
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
2
0
1
4
3
4
3
8
6
5
3
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
13
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.3
SW
15
1.9
SW
14
3
WSW
14
3.5
SW
16
4
SW
16
4
SW
14
4.5
WSW
14
4
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1668
1819
2274
2752
2923
3326
2795
3905
2418
1521
3095
6095
7768
7276
8718
6706
7739
5729
4119
2509
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
15
SW
5
W
5
NW
10
ESE
20
NNW
35
NNW
40
WNW
25
W
25
WNW
30
WNW
35
NW
30
WSW
25
W
20
WNW
20
N
25
N
45
N
Wind State
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
4:03AM0.92m
1:29PM0.79m
Low Tide
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
9:26AM0.68m
8:56PM0.13m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
 mm
6
1
3
1
1
22
Temp °C
11
10
12
11
10
13
14
14
20
15
13
14
14
14
13
12
12
17
17
13
Feels °C
8
8
9
8
9
12
12
10
13
7
9
8
8
7
7
6
7
13
12
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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