
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,269 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what we’ve got on the table. We’re looking at Blacknose Point, a point break that’s fairly consistent and picks up swell mainly from a SSW direction. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.
We kick off Monday the 14th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a nothing burger. Waves around 4ft from the SW with 13-second period, but the wind is cross-off and the energy is weak (661). The comment says marginal, and I’d agree. Not worth getting wet for. Tuesday the 15th is where the pulse starts to build. Swell jumps to 15ft from the SW, period still 13 seconds, but the wind is fresh offshore in the morning, which will clean it up nicely. The energy is strong (6,552). Be aware though, at 15ft this is only for experts. Wednesday the 16th keeps that 15ft SW swell, but the period stretches to 15 seconds – proper groundswell. The afternoon sees the direction shift to SSW, matching the optimum, and the energy goes through the roof (11,081). This is a standout. With moderate cross-off wind, it’ll be big, powerful, and clean. A point break like Blacknose will handle that long-period energy well, threading lined-up waves. This is the best on offer for the first week.
Thursday the 17th still has solid 10ft SW swell (energy 3,463) with gentle offshore wind, making for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. By Friday the 18th, it drops back to 6ft, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. The energy is still moderate (2,954) but that long period can make it a bit tricky at a point break – it might wall up and race. Still clean, but not the standout.
The weekend (21st and 22nd September) offers another absolute gem. Monday the 21st, we see 13ft SW swell with glassy wind in the morning – that is pure magic. The energy is huge (6,889). This is the other standout. Glassy conditions on a solid groundswell at a point break? That’s the ticket. Tuesday the 22nd holds 12ft SSW swell (optimum direction) with light cross-off wind. Still excellent for experienced punters.
From the 23rd onwards, the swell settles down to the 5ft to 8ft range. The 26th of September (Saturday) is worth a mention: 8ft SW swell building to 10ft in the afternoon, with gentle to moderate offshore wind and a very long 17-second period. Energy jumps from 5,601 to 8,515. That’s expert territory again, but clean and powerful.
There’s a gap of poor conditions on the 28th with cross-onshore wind and choppy surf. The last day of the forecast, Tuesday the 29th, shows 7ft SW swell with 17-second period and onshore wind, but the energy is moderate (4,391). Not ideal, but could be a sneaky one if the wind plays ball.
Overall, the standout sessions are Wednesday the 16th afternoon and Monday the 21st morning. Big, powerful, clean, and built for a point break. If you’re an expert, these are the days.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the SSW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
424 | 1388 | 6455 | 7629 | 7664 | 8139 | 7838 | 5767 | 3463 | 2694 | 2734 | 1799 | 3269 | 2717 | 2197 | 2402 | 933 | 933 | 1162 | 2817 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | 1:46PM0.82m | 4:16AM0.89m | 1:31PM0.80m | 5:02AM0.81m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | 9:16AM0.64m | 8:50PM0.17m | 9:27AM0.70m | 9:03PM0.21m | 9:03AM0.75m | 9:05PM0.27m | |||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:27 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — |
424 | 238 | — | — | 7664 | 8139 | 7838 | 5767 | 3463 | 2694 | 2734 | 1407 | 3269 | 2717 | 2197 | 1765 | 933 | 933 | 1162 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | WSW 14 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | — | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 7 | W 8 | — |
114 | 71 | — | — | — | — | 3553 | 2951 | — | 1700 | 134 | 1799 | — | — | 38 | 15 | 154 | 88 | 217 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 13 | N 3 | N 4 | — | WSW 13 |
51 | 1388 | 6455 | 7629 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | — | 8 | 13 | 2402 | 5 | 24 | — | 2817 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 182 | 501 | 561 | 426 | 412 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 709 | 221 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










