Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie. It’s a bit of a mixed bag coming up here at Blacknose Point, but for those who know the lineup and can handle some size, there are some serious windows of opportunity. The water’s sitting at about 57°, which is just a touch warmer than what you’d normally expect for this time of year – nothing wild, but your booties might feel a little less necessary.

Right now, starting Saturday the 12th, it’s looking pretty average. We’ve got a solid 10 ft SW groundswell rolling in, but the wind is a cross-on from the north, and the surface is choppy. The wave energy is moderate to strong (4024), but the conditions are messy. Not worth paddling out. This carries into Sunday the 13th with a similar story – some size dropping off, but 19 mph cross-shore wind is going to chop it up badly.

Monday the 14th is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to 4 ft from the SW, period a solid 13 seconds, and we finally see some clean faces with offshore west winds at 16 mph. This is when you want to be out there. It’s smaller, but the quality is there for the experienced crew. The combined energy is moderate (748), and it’ll be well-shaped. The morning session is the call.

Tuesday the 15th throws a big curveball. Swell jumps back up to 13 ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, but it’s a bigger, more powerful groundswell. The wind is fresh offshore, so it will be clean, but the energy is strong (6221). This is expert territory now – over 8 ft and powerful. Only the chargers need apply. Wednesday the 16th is even bigger, with 15 ft SW swell and energy cranking past 11000. It’s clean, but it’s a lion’s den. For the seasoned surfer only, and even then, expect it to be a battle.

Thursday the 17th is another standout morning. 10 ft from the SSW, still a nice 14-second period, light cross-off breeze, clean faces, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is moderate (3430), but the window of quality is real. This is likely the best session of the first week – just be aware this spot draws a crowd often, so you might have some company.

We drop off into the weekend of the 19th and 20th with smaller swells around 4-6 ft, but the wind gets messy again, cross and cross-shore, so it’s not great. Sunday afternoon the 20th offers a little hope with 4 ft SW and gentle offshore wind – clean, but small.

Looking further out, Monday the 21st afternoon sees another spike, 13 ft SW at 12 seconds with clean cross-off wind – excellent for experts again. Then Tuesday the 22nd is the big one in the long range: 18 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, an absolute monster. Energy is extreme (15044). Wind is onshore though, so the shape could be blown out. This is for tow-in crew only, and it’s still a week and a half out, so temper expectations.

Toward the end of the run, Saturday the 26th shapes up promisingly: 8 ft SW, 16-second period, light cross-off wind, clean. That’s beautiful, user-friendly size for a quality point break, and the energy is moderate (3171). That could be the best call for the second week.

Sunday the 27th fades with a big 13 ft SW, 17-second period but hammered by strong onshore winds – stay out of the water that day.

Overall, the real standouts are Monday morning the 14th for a smaller, cleaner session and Thursday morning the 17th for a solid, well-shaped groundswell. For the second week, keep an eye on Saturday the 26th – it’s promising but less certain.

Rusty.

Read more