Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Issued: 3 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.9° C

1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,468 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 4th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 4th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a wild 16-day window ahead at Blacknose Point, a point break that’s fairly exposed to the swell. The water’s sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s not as chilly as it could be.

The overall pattern kicks off with a huge pulse of energy on Friday the 3rd of July. That afternoon, we’re looking at a massive 20ft swell from the WSW, with a long 15-second period. The combined energy here is massive (28832) – that’s some serious power. But here’s the thing: the wind is howling offshore at 19 mph, which sounds clean, but this swell is just too big for this break. It’s advanced territory only, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. I’d sit this one out unless you’re a local charger looking for a mission.

Moving into the 4th, the swell drops to a much more manageable 12ft from the SW, period 13 seconds. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph, which keeps things tidy, but the tide conditions are questionable. Both the morning and afternoon sessions are rated marginal. Not the best, but if you’re desperate, you might find a few.

Sunday the 5th is a write-off for paddling. The swell is 15ft from the SSW, period 17 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell. But the wind is a messy cross-onshore at 12 mph, churning up the surface. The afternoon gets worse with 13ft and a 0 score. Honestly, this setup is better suited to kite surfers than paddle surfers – strong onshore wind and big swells at a point break is just messy.

Monday the 6th sees the swell drop to 8ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore, and it’s choppy. Not worth paddling out.

Now, Tuesday the 7th is the first real standout. The morning is glassy – dead calm with light winds from the ENE at 3 mph. The swell is 6ft from the SW, period 16 seconds (another long-period groundswell). This is perfect for experienced surfers. The combined energy is moderate (1792), and with glassy conditions, Blacknose Point will be offering up some clean, lined-up waves. The long period means it might break a bit straight at the point, but it’s still a dream session if you can get it. Crowds are often at this break, so don’t expect solitude.

The following week has a few moments. Wednesday the 8th has 10ft from the SW, period 18 seconds (very long period), but the wind is light cross-onshore – a bit bumpy. Thursday the 9th is similar, with 7ft and cross-onshore wind. Nothing to write home about.

Friday the 10th has 7ft from the SW, but the wind picks up to 9 mph cross-onshore, making it choppy. Saturday the 11th is completely blown out with 16 mph winds – a total write-off with a 0 score. Sunday the 12th sees a fresh cross-shore breeze at 19 mph and 8ft swell – still messy, but the afternoon brings a fresh offshore wind from the SW at 22 mph and 12ft swell. That’s cleaner, but it’s still windy.

Monday the 13th is a bit of a wake-up call. We’ve got 20ft from the SW again, period 13 seconds, with a moderate offshore breeze at 16 mph. The combined energy is strong (13027), and the wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean. But again, 20ft is huge – experts only, and it’s a big, heavy day. The rating is an 8, so there’s quality, but you’ve got to really know your spot.

The rest of the second week drops off. Tuesday the 14th has 12ft but with a strong breeze at 25 mph – too windy for clean surf. Wednesday and Thursday the 15th and 16th see the swell drop to 10ft and 7ft, respectively, with cross-offshore winds, but the energy is weak to moderate (1654-3341), and the scores are low.

Finally, we get a nice finish. Friday the 17th afternoon: 8ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze at 6 mph. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers – clean and lined up. Then Saturday the 18th is the best of the lot. Morning: glassy offshore winds from the WSW at 3 mph, 8ft swell, period 14 seconds. Afternoon: glassy again with 8ft and a light cross-offshore breeze. Both sessions are rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to target – clean, consistent waves at a point break, with a bit of crowd.

Overall, the best offers are Tuesday 7th morning and Saturday 18th morning/afternoon. The rest is either too big, too windy, or too marginal.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
!
9
3
3
7
6
0
2
2
3
2
4
3
3
4
4
2
3
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
WSW
15
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
16389
7609
3903
3912
10908
12026
8655
5431
2392
1699
1110
1707
1589
1857
6226
5185
3211
2027
1889
1808
1776
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
NE
15
NNE
10
N
5
N
5
ENE
10
ESE
5
NNE
5
NNE
10
ESE
15
E
10
ENE
10
ESE
10
NNE
15
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:37AM0.64m
3:03PM1.11m
2:18AM0.68m
3:24PM1.04m
3:03AM0.71m
3:42PM0.96m
3:55AM0.74m
3:50PM0.88m
5:03AM0.76m
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
Low Tide
9:44PM0.53m
7:36AM0.28m
9:55PM0.52m
8:13AM0.33m
10:08PM0.50m
8:50AM0.40m
10:23PM0.48m
9:27AM0.51m
10:39PM0.45m
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:27
 mm
Temp °C
12
13
11
11
11
12
11
10
12
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
13
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
5
8
6
6
6
7
6
7
8
10
9
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
6
WSW
15
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2
SW
15
Energy kJ
16389
7609
3903
3912
10908
12026
8655
5431
2392
1699
1110
1707
1589
1857
6226
5185
3211
2027
1889
1808
1776
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
ESE
6
0.4
ESE
6
0.5
SW
18
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
9
1.3
SSW
20
0.7
SSE
6
0.3
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
8
0.5
SSE
8
Energy kJ
30
12
159
85
63
1281
32
18
39
35
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
6
0.4
SSE
8
0.1
SE
11
0.5
SSE
8
Energy kJ
6
23
5
35
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5.5
SW
15
4
SW
13
0.6
ENE
4
Energy kJ
12443
6130
10
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
9
5
3
8
9
8
3
4
3
3
4
2
4
5
3
3
2
2
4
4
Distance (km)
501
0
221
501
214
123
214
22
7
7
7
0
22
7
7
22
22
22
22
7
7
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
9
6
4
4
4
4
2
5
8
3
5
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
4
9
5
4
8
9
9
6
4
4
9
7
4
6
9
9
6
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
8
5
4
5
5
9
6
7
6
9
7
5
6
9
9
9
6
5
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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