
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,417 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here with the lowdown.
We’ve got a solid stretch of swell coming into Blacknose Point, a point break that handles a good south-southwest to southwest direction. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year.
The first real action kicks off Friday morning, September 11th. We’re looking at a 12-foot swell from the SSW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is strong. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit lumpy, but there’s serious power. That long period makes it a point break wave, which is perfect. Friday afternoon stays similar with a 16-second period, but the wind picks up and makes it choppier.
Saturday, September 12th, is the standout. The morning is still a bit cross-on, but the afternoon turns glassy. The swell drops to 8 feet from the SW, still with a 15-second period, and the energy is very strong. The wind goes totally glassy. This is the session to aim for – clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. It’s a big wave, but for experienced surfers on a point, it’s prime.
Sunday, September 13th, gets messy with strong cross-shore winds and a dropping swell. The next real highlight is Tuesday, September 15th. The swell builds back up to 15 feet from the SW, with a 14-second period. The energy is huge. The wind is clean cross-offshore. This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s expert territory only. Wednesday, September 16th, holds similar size and energy, but the wind shifts to a light cross-shore, so it’s a little less perfect.
Thursday, September 17th, morning brings another gem: 8 feet from the SW, 14-second period, and glassy. The energy is still strong. It’s a clean, powerful wave that’s still big for most, but a much better window for the strong intermediate.
After that, the swell drops off and the winds get stronger through the end of the week. We get a bit of a lull, but then things look promising again starting Sunday, September 20th, with a smaller, clean 6 to 5 foot SW swell, and then Monday, September 21st, picks up to 8 feet from the SW, 14-second period, with clean offshore winds in the afternoon. That’s a very good, clean, powerful day for the experienced surfer.
The week of the 22nd and 23rd sees another pulse of 10 to 12 foot swell, but with stronger winds. Later in the month, around the 25th and 26th, there’s a long-period 19-second swell coming in, but with onshore winds, so it’s a bit of a tease.
Overall, the best bets are Saturday afternoon the 12th for the glassy conditions, and Tuesday the 15th for the raw, clean power. If you’re not an expert, aim for the glassy morning of the 17th or the cleaner days around the 20th and 21st.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 7 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6251 | 4024 | 3351 | 2457 | 1856 | 1493 | 965 | 451 | 474 | 2875 | 8136 | 8359 | 8096 | 8702 | 7043 | 4654 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off |
High Tide | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | ||||||
Low Tide | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6251 | 4024 | 3351 | 2457 | 1856 | 1493 | 965 | 451 | 330 | 152 | 8136 | 8359 | 8096 | 8702 | 7043 | 4654 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | SW 21 | S 10 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 2406 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | 18 | 17 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 7 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 13 | 45 | 219 | 474 | 2875 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 22 | 198 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 67 | 74 | 7 | 7 | 182 | 182 | 221 | 221 | 549 | 214 | 214 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










