Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 19,246 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 6th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 10th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 9th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Let's break it down for Blacknose Point, a proper point break that's gonna pump over the next couple weeks. Water temp's sittin' around 58.1°, a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's a bit more pleasant than normal.

There's a bit of a wait, but it's gonna be worth it. The first real session kicks off Sunday, September 6th in the afternoon. Cloudy skies, but we got a clean 10 ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period. The combined swell energy is a solid 3412, and with a gentle offshore breeze from the WSW at 9 mph, conditions are glassy and lined up for experienced surfers. This is a standout window for those who can handle it.

Monday the 7th sees the swell drop to 5 ft from the WSW in the morning, but the wind swings S at 16 mph, makin' it a cross-off breeze. Still clean, but energy's down to 1354. The afternoon picks up a bit to 7 ft from the SW at a shorter 9 seconds, so it's a bit lumpy but rideable.

Tuesday the 8th is where things start to build. Morning brings a clean 6.2 ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period – proper juice. Winds are light W at 6 mph, cross-off, and energy's 3470. The afternoon is the real standout for the early week: 10 ft SW swell at 16 seconds, combined energy of 4662, and moderate offshore wind from the W at 16 mph. That's big, clean, and powerful – expert territory.

Wednesday the 9th gets serious. We're talkin' 16.4 ft to 18 ft SSW swells with periods around 18-19 seconds. Energy is massive – over 19,000 in the morning. The wind is cross-off from the SSW at 16-19 mph, so it's clean, but this is for absolute experts only. That kind of size at a point will be a sight to behold, but only the brave will be out.

Thursday the 10th keeps the heavy stuff goin' – 16.4 ft in the morning, easing to 14.8 ft in the afternoon. The afternoon session has moderate offshore wind from the SW at 12 mph, makin' it clean. Energy is still huge at 8956. Another day for the big-wave crew.

Friday the 11th offers a slight reprieve with 10 ft in the morning from the SSW, light S wind at 6 mph, and energy at 4025. Clean. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-on SE breeze, but the swell is 11.5 ft with a long 15-second period – still plenty of power.

Saturday the 12th is a bit of a mixed bag. Swell drops to 10 ft in the morning with cross-shore winds, and energy at 3365. The afternoon is smaller at 7.5 ft but with lighter wind. It's not the cleanest, but there'll be waves.

From Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th, the swell drops off and winds get stronger. Sunday has 5.2-5.9 ft SW groundswell, but cross-shore and cross-off winds make it less appealing. Monday the 14th has a brief morning of 4.3 ft with a fresh offshore, but energy is only 716. The afternoon bumps back to 10 ft but with a short 8-second period and 22 mph offshore wind – clean but short and dumpy.

Tuesday the 15th is another good day. Morning has 10 ft SW at 12 seconds, light offshore wind at 6 mph, and energy at 2615. The afternoon is the pick: 11.5 ft SW swell at a long 15 seconds, moderate offshore at 12 mph, and energy of 6139. Clean, powerful, and lined up – a proper session.

Wednesday the 16th continues the run with 10 ft SW all day, periods around 13 seconds, and gentle to moderate offshore wind. Energy builds from 3550 to 6564 by the afternoon. Another solid day for experienced surfers.

Thursday the 17th gets huge again – 16.4 ft in the morning with a 17-second period, but cross-shore winds from the NNW at 19 mph make it lumpy and dangerous. The afternoon is a write-off with 25 mph cross-shore winds and light rain. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Friday the 18th cleans up with 14.8 ft SSW in the morning, moderate offshore at 16 mph, and energy of 8864. The afternoon drops to 11.5 ft with cross-off wind – still clean but less energy.

Saturday the 19th is a windy one. Morning has 13.1 ft SW with a near gale offshore at 31 mph – hard to paddle into even if it's clean. After

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
4
7
7
9
8
7
5
5
4
3
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
12
1.5
WSW
13
2.1
SW
9
2.3
SW
12
1.9
SW
17
3
SW
16
4
SW
16
5
SSW
19
5.5
SSW
18
5.5
SSW
17
5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
3
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3145
1711
749
628
1629
2191
4662
7293
19032
18315
17913
11471
8956
5525
4025
4608
5252
3365
2263
1443
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
20
SW
25
S
15
S
5
ESE
10
W
25
W
35
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
20
WSW
15
SW
20
SW
10
SW
10
S
10
SE
15
NE
15
N
5
N
20
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
12:32PM0.96m
12:38PM0.98m
1:03AM0.43m
12:46PM0.97m
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
Low Tide
9:28PM0.20m
9:34PM0.28m
9:08PM0.38m
4:40AM0.39m
8:09PM0.45m
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
6:20
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
11
10
9
11
11
11
11
11
10
11
11
10
11
11
10
17
18
14
Feels °C
9
10
5
6
6
7
5
2
3
5
5
8
7
7
9
8
7
14
15
9
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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