Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,051 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent, and it’s got a real knack for handling the bigger SW swells, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story over the next couple of weeks.
The water temp is sitting right on 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
We kick off Wednesday the 19th with a bit of a mixed bag. There’s a 4ft SW swell running, but it’s a clean wind state in the afternoon after a lumpy morning. The energy is moderate (668), so it’s a session to get wet but not a standout.
Thursday the 20th sees a pulse of energy come through. The morning has a 7ft W swell, but the wind is messy. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 5ft WSW swell and a cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (1531), but it’s still a bit raw.
Now, the first real standout is Friday the 21st afternoon. We’re looking at a solid 8ft WSW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is offshore. That’s a clean, powerful wave. The energy is very strong (3831). This is for experienced surfers only, as it’s a big, powerful groundswell that will be lining up nicely on the point. Crowds are often a thing here, so get there early.
Saturday the 22nd is the absolute peak of this run. Both morning and afternoon are pumping with 12ft SW swell, a 15-16 second period, and moderate offshore winds. The energy is massive (6138 in the morning). This is a serious, expert-level swell. The wave will be long, fast, and demanding. It doesn’t get much better than this on a point for the big-wave crew.
We get a bit of a let-up on Sunday the 23rd, with a 10ft SW swell and cross-shore winds in the morning, but the afternoon cleans up again with a light cross-off. Still a good wave for the experienced.
The surf stays solid through the week, but the next big standout is on Wednesday the 26th morning. The swell has dropped to a 7ft S swell, but the wind is glassy. Absolutely dead calm. This is a rare moment of perfect conditions. The energy is still strong (2221), and with that glassy surface, the point will be offering up some of the cleanest, most lined-up waves of the whole period. For the experienced surfer, this is a magic window.
The first week of September sees a real change. The wind swings onshore and the swell quality drops off. It’s not unsurfable, but it’s a long way from the epic conditions we had. The energy is weak to moderate (967), and the period is short, so it’s mostly a messy, choppy affair. There’s a bit of a pulse on the 3rd of September, but it’s a short-period W windswell with onshore wind, so not really worth getting excited about.
So, to sum it up: the best of the best is the Saturday the 22nd for the big, powerful, offshore groundswell, and the Wednesday the 26th for that glassy, clean, almost perfect session. The rest of the window has plenty of surf, but it’s those two days that are the real standouts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 9 | W 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
512 | 551 | 888 | 969 | 649 | 3024 | 3385 | 2847 | 5676 | 6051 | 4890 | 4692 | 3246 | 2000 | 2383 | 1762 | 1543 | 1828 | 2185 | 2861 | 2124 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | |||||||||||
7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 11 | W 11 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
512 | 551 | 471 | 969 | 564 | 1225 | 3385 | 984 | 5676 | 6051 | 4890 | 4692 | 3246 | 2000 | 2383 | 1762 | 1543 | 1828 | 2185 | 2861 | 2124 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 19 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 |
3 | 3 | 231 | 536 | 649 | — | 97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 634 | 915 | 1225 | 1034 | 69 | 134 | 197 | 643 | — | 258 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | NE 5 | E 7 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 318 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1460 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | WNW 7 | W 9 | W 10 | — | WSW 16 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — |
31 | 114 | 888 | 755 | — | 3024 | — | 2847 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 23 | 61 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 75 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 304 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











