Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,564 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up at Blacknose Point. This is a point break, fairly consistent, and it needs a solid SW swell to really get going. The water temperature is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
We start off with a bit of a slow start. Sunday the 13th has some swell but the wind is messy and the conditions are marginal. Not worth getting too excited about yet. Monday the 14th is pretty much a write-off with poor surf and onshore wind.
Things really start to fire up from Tuesday the 15th. We get a big pulse of SW swell, building to 13ft with 22 mph offshore wind on Tuesday morning. That’s big and clean, but at that size, it’s for experts only. The energy is strong (5753). Tuesday afternoon holds at 15ft and the wind goes cross-off, still solid but a bit more manageable.
Wednesday the 16th stays big with 15ft SW swell and a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is huge (8564). Winds are cross-off, so the waves will be powerful and clean. This is a standout period for experienced surfers.
Thursday the 17th is a real highlight. We get a 10ft SW swell with 9 mph offshore wind in the morning, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still significant (3413 in the morning). This is the best call of the first week for someone who can handle solid waves.
Friday the 18th sees a drop in quality. The swell is still there, 7ft with a very long 17-second period, but the wind picks up to 16 mph cross-off. It’s still clean, but the quality drops. Saturday the 19th is similar, with moderate cross-shore wind making things a bit lumpy.
The second week starts with a blast. Monday the 21st afternoon is a major standout. We get a 15ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light offshore wind, and exceptional conditions for experts. The combined energy is massive (10278). This is the best day of the whole forecast.
Tuesday the 22nd is still big but the wind picks up, making it less perfect. Wednesday the 23rd sees a drop in quality with onshore wind. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th are messy with strong wind and rain. Saturday the 26th afternoon has a 6ft SW swell with a very long 22-second period and moderate energy (4994), but the wind is cross-off.
The forecast ends with a bang. Sunday the 27th is excellent. We get an 12ft SW swell with an 18-second period, moderate offshore wind, and exceptional conditions for experts. The energy is very high (8093). Monday the 28th holds 10ft swell but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s not as clean.
Overall, the absolute best days are Thursday the 17th and Monday the 21st afternoon. Both offer big, powerful, clean swells with good wind. The 21st is the standout of the whole 16 days. Crowds are often at Blacknose Point, so get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 13 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1581 | 965 | 570 | 424 | 632 | 5753 | 7629 | 7943 | 8564 | 7838 | 6034 | 3413 | 2496 | 2209 | 2517 | 4189 | 2903 | 1684 | 2154 | 2929 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | 1:47PM0.84m | 3:42AM0.96m | 1:46PM0.82m | 4:16AM0.89m | 1:31PM0.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | 8:57AM0.57m | 8:33PM0.14m | 9:16AM0.64m | 8:50PM0.17m | 9:27AM0.70m | 9:03PM0.21m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:25 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 17 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | NE 5 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 1581 | 965 | 570 | 424 | 238 | — | — | 7943 | 8564 | 7838 | 6034 | 3413 | 2496 | 2209 | 1569 | 4189 | 2903 | 1684 | 1 | 114 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SW 21 | SSW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | — | SSW 21 | SSW 17 | — | — | WSW 20 | NNE 6 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 44 | 18 | 31 | 114 | 419 | — | — | — | — | — | 3121 | — | — | 562 | 2517 | — | — | 38 | 3 | 26 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | W 14 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 18 | 60 | 4 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | WSW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | WNW 6 | — | N 4 | W 13 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 11 | 15 | 30 | 85 | 632 | 5753 | 7629 | 5948 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 165 | — | 27 | 2154 | 2929 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 182 | 182 | 501 | 561 | 426 | 552 | 422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 195 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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