Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.7° C
1.7° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 21,600 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming down the pipe for this spot. We’ve got a stretch of surf ahead, but it’s a mixed bag, so listen up.

We’re starting off with a bit of a wait, if you can call it that. The first proper surf hits us on Wednesday, the 8th of July, and right out of the gate, it’s a big one. Blacknose Point is pumping a solid 10 ft of SW swell. The kicker? Wednesday afternoon turns glassy with a light easterly breeze. That’s the kind of session you dream about. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a little bit of extra comfort. The combined energy is strong at 5043, so there’s plenty of punch. This is a standout moment, but be warned: this wave is for advanced surfers only. It’s a point break, and it’s fairly consistent, but the crowds are a regular thing here, so expect company.

Thursday the 9th drops off a notch. We’ve got 6 ft to 7 ft of SW swell, but the wind swings cross-on. It’s still rideable, but the magic of Wednesday is gone. Friday the 10th gets a little bigger, 7 ft, but the cross-shore wind picks up and it gets choppy. Saturday the 11th is a write-off for paddling – 25 mph cross-shore winds and rain. The surf is poor.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting and a bit raw. From Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th, the swell is massive – we’re talking 16 ft to 20 ft of SW and WSW groundswell. The period is long, 13 to 16 seconds, meaning these are serious, powerful lines. The combined energy hits 15838 on Monday afternoon. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is howling – 28 mph to 31 mph from the west, often offshore. That makes for clean, scary fast faces. This is expert-only territory. If you aren’t fit and fearless, stay on the beach. The sheer size makes it a spectacle, but not a beginner’s game.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th bring a welcome drop in size. We’re looking at 7 ft to 6 ft of clean SW swell. The wind is light to gentle and cross-off. The combined energy is still decent at 3810 on Friday. It’s a solid, quality wave for experienced surfers again. This is a nice little pocket of good, manageable surf after the big stuff.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th gets messy again. Cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions take the shine off. Sunday the 19th afternoon drops to 5 ft and the wind is horrible – poor surf. Monday the 20th is flat and messy, with near gale-force winds. Nothing to see there.

Tuesday the 21st sees the wind swing offshore again, bringing clean 8 ft to 10 ft WSW swell, but the freshness of the wind makes it a tough paddle. Then, a big note for the future: on Wednesday the 22nd of July, we’ve got a 16 ft WSW swell predicted, with gentle offshore winds. The combined energy is absolutely massive at 24483. The guidance says it might be too big for this break, but if you’re an expert, this could be the session of the month. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but the potential is huge. The 23rd of Thursday drops to 13 ft but with cross-shore winds, so it’s less perfect.

So, to sum it up: the two true standouts are Wednesday afternoon the 8th – glassy 10 ft SW for the experienced crew, and the big, raw offshore swells from the 12th to the 15th for the hardcore experts. The long-range standout on the 22nd is a serious promise, but we'll see how it shapes up.

Stay salty, and respect the ocean.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, moderate winds from the WNW by Mon night).

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
2
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
2
6
3
5
5
6
7
8
4
3
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.4
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
3.5
WSW
10
6
WSW
12
5
WSW
13
5.5
WSW
13
5.5
SW
13
5.5
SW
15
6
SW
16
5
SW
15
4.5
SW
15
5
WSW
10
7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5756
5043
2839
1647
1421
2839
2168
1801
1212
886
2517
11002
7913
10364
10200
14338
15838
12251
9231
5620
19416
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
5
E
10
NNE
10
N
10
NE
15
N
20
N
20
NNW
30
NNW
40
NNW
35
NW
45
WSW
45
WNW
45
W
40
WNW
45
W
40
WSW
25
WNW
45
WNW
50
W
45
SW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
Low Tide
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:25
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
 mm
7
4
3
2
1
3
1
1
2
4
Temp °C
10
12
11
12
13
12
14
15
12
11
11
12
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
11
Feels °C
8
10
9
9
10
9
10
11
6
3
1
2
4
4
5
4
4
6
4
1
0
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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