Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7°C
1.3° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,564 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 13th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 17th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 16th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up at Blacknose Point. This is a point break, fairly consistent, and it needs a solid SW swell to really get going. The water temperature is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

We start off with a bit of a slow start. Sunday the 13th has some swell but the wind is messy and the conditions are marginal. Not worth getting too excited about yet. Monday the 14th is pretty much a write-off with poor surf and onshore wind.

Things really start to fire up from Tuesday the 15th. We get a big pulse of SW swell, building to 13ft with 22 mph offshore wind on Tuesday morning. That’s big and clean, but at that size, it’s for experts only. The energy is strong (5753). Tuesday afternoon holds at 15ft and the wind goes cross-off, still solid but a bit more manageable.

Wednesday the 16th stays big with 15ft SW swell and a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is huge (8564). Winds are cross-off, so the waves will be powerful and clean. This is a standout period for experienced surfers.

Thursday the 17th is a real highlight. We get a 10ft SW swell with 9 mph offshore wind in the morning, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still significant (3413 in the morning). This is the best call of the first week for someone who can handle solid waves.

Friday the 18th sees a drop in quality. The swell is still there, 7ft with a very long 17-second period, but the wind picks up to 16 mph cross-off. It’s still clean, but the quality drops. Saturday the 19th is similar, with moderate cross-shore wind making things a bit lumpy.

The second week starts with a blast. Monday the 21st afternoon is a major standout. We get a 15ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light offshore wind, and exceptional conditions for experts. The combined energy is massive (10278). This is the best day of the whole forecast.

Tuesday the 22nd is still big but the wind picks up, making it less perfect. Wednesday the 23rd sees a drop in quality with onshore wind. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th are messy with strong wind and rain. Saturday the 26th afternoon has a 6ft SW swell with a very long 22-second period and moderate energy (4994), but the wind is cross-off.

The forecast ends with a bang. Sunday the 27th is excellent. We get an 12ft SW swell with an 18-second period, moderate offshore wind, and exceptional conditions for experts. The energy is very high (8093). Monday the 28th holds 10ft swell but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s not as clean.

Overall, the absolute best days are Thursday the 17th and Monday the 21st afternoon. Both offer big, powerful, clean swells with good wind. The 21st is the standout of the whole 16 days. Crowds are often at Blacknose Point, so get in early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Fri night).

Sun
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
1
0
3
3
4
7
5
5
7
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
3
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
2.5
WSW
7
4
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SSW
15
4
SSW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.1
SSW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.5
W
13
3.5
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1581
965
570
424
632
5753
7629
7943
8564
7838
6034
3413
2496
2209
2517
4189
2903
1684
2154
2929
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
30
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
30
S
25
S
20
S
10
SSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
NW
25
NW
30
WNW
30
NW
25
NNW
20
NW
35
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
1:46PM0.82m
4:16AM0.89m
1:31PM0.80m
Low Tide
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
9:16AM0.64m
8:50PM0.17m
9:27AM0.70m
9:03PM0.21m
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
6:25
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
19
14
15
15
13
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
9
18
19
16
23
24
21
Feels °C
17
12
10
10
8
2
2
3
4
6
6
6
6
6
12
12
9
18
19
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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