Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,160 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s heading our way at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a run of solid, punchy south-west groundswells lined up that are gonna have the Point looking very clean and workable, especially for you advanced crew.
The water temp is sitting at 57.9°F, which is pretty darn average for this time of year, no big anomaly to worry about – just your standard chilly winter/spring mix. The good news is the water temp anomaly is only 1.4°F, so nothing freaky going on.
We kick off on Wednesday the 26th of August with a clean 7.5 ft south-west swell, a period of 13 seconds, and a gentle cross-off wind. The combined energy is a strong 2324 – plenty of push. This is solid, powerful surf, so steer clear if you’re a beginner; this is advanced territory. The afternoon sees that wind go straight offshore from the WSW, keeping the lineup glassy and clean. Right from the start, it’s looking good.
Thursday the 27th drops off a bit in the morning – 4.6 ft with a longer 14-second period and cross-off NW wind. It’s clean but a little weaker. The afternoon picks up again with 5.6 ft and a solid offshore wind from the west, giving it a good shape, with 1598 combined energy.
Now, Friday the 28th is one of the real standouts of this run. You’re waking up to 9.8 ft of groundswell, period at 17 seconds, and light SSW winds. The combined energy is a massive 5160. This is big, long-period energy that Blacknose Point just loves to groom into proper walls. It’s only for experts at this size – expect some long lulls between sets, but when they come, hold on tight. The afternoon holds the same size and direction, still clean and lined up. This is the pick of the first week.
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep that momentum. Both days see 6.9 ft to 8.2 ft of south-west swell with light offshore breezes. The combined energy stays strong, and the Point will be running clean and consistent. *The crowds here can be a thing sometimes, so keep an eye out.*
Monday the 31st of August looks a touch tricky in the morning with a cross-on wind, but the afternoon flips it with a glassy offshore from the west and 9.8 ft of 15-second period swell. That afternoon session is a solid one in my book – very promising.
Tuesday the 1st of September takes a hit from strong north-west winds at 31 mph. The swell is still there, but the wind will mess with the surface. Not a write-off but far from ideal. Wednesday the 2nd brings some rain and an onshore wind in the morning, so skip that. The afternoon flips to a cross-shore, but it’s messy.
Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th stay blown out by strong westerlies, though the swell is still big – 11.5 ft on Friday with 4807 energy. It’ll be clean-ish but tough to surf in that wind.
Then we get to Saturday the 5th of September – and this is the biggest, wildest day of the window. 13.1 ft of south-west groundswell, 16 seconds, and a howling 25 mph offshore wind. The combined energy is 8608 – that’s enormous. This is *only* for absolute experts. It’ll be a grind just to get out, and paddling in will be a mission. Not a day for the faint-hearted.
Sunday the 6th of September is where we see the biggest forecast numbers. 18.0 ft at 14 seconds and a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy hits 20809. The file actually says the swell may be too big for this break, and I’d agree – it’s likely just a washing machine even for the best. The afternoon drops to 16.4 ft with 8237 energy, still massive and only for the elite.
The run continues into the second week: Monday the 7th has 14.8 ft dropping to 13.1 ft by afternoon with a clean offshore flow. Still expert territory. Tuesday the 8th is very interesting – the swell drops to 6.9 ft but the period stretches to 18 seconds. That’s ultra-long period groundswell, and the combined energy is still a hefty 5233. That kind of period will make the waves super clean and lined up at the Point, with long waits between sets. Excellent for experts.
After that, the conditions get messier again with moderate onshore and cross-shore winds through Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th, even though the swell stays huge on the 10th – 23.0 ft with 15813 energy. That’s purely a spectator event.
So, for the best of the best: lock in Friday the 28th of August for the big, clean groundswell and light winds, and Monday the 31st of August afternoon for a glass
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1834 | 1697 | 1107 | 742 | 1045 | 2084 | 5160 | 3880 | 3051 | 2090 | 1591 | 1395 | 1762 | 2415 | 2135 | 3615 | 3281 | 3528 | 2285 | 1563 | 3231 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 12:41PM1.02m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:58PM1.03m | 00:44AM0.61m | 1:15PM1.01m | 1:01AM0.69m | 1:32PM0.98m | 1:24AM0.78m | 1:46PM0.93m | 1:49AM0.86m | 1:58PM0.87m | 2:18AM0.93m | 2:04PM0.82m | 2:49AM0.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:10PM0.40m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:56PM0.39m | 6:19AM0.28m | 7:52PM0.37m | 6:52AM0.25m | 7:52PM0.35m | 7:24AM0.25m | 7:56PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.28m | 8:03PM0.27m | 8:25AM0.35m | 8:13PM0.22m | ||||||||
7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
1834 | 1697 | 1107 | 742 | 1045 | 2084 | 5160 | 3880 | 3051 | 2090 | 1591 | 1395 | 1762 | 2415 | 2135 | 3615 | 3281 | 3528 | 2285 | 1563 | 3231 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | S 10 | — | SW 24 | SSW 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | SSW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SW 18 |
379 | 40 | 22 | 170 | 478 | 1567 | — | 17 | — | 22 | 52 | 222 | 306 | — | 1463 | 834 | 1006 | — | — | — | 263 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSE 8 | SSW 10 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
111 | 257 | 412 | 32 | 75 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | W 7 | — |
— | — | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | 239 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 86 | 411 | 182 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











