Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 09 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,637 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 19s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 10th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 19s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 13th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s shaping up for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

There’s a bit of a slow start, with Sunday the 9th looking pretty average to be honest. The wind’s howling from the NE at 22 mph, cross-on, and the swell is all over the place. It’s a genuine 6 ft SW groundswell, but with that period a bit over 13 seconds, it’s got some energy in the water, just not the kind you want to paddle out into for a good time. That water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s at least not freezing.

Monday the 10th is where things start to get interesting. The wind swings around to a solid SW, blowing offshore at 22 mph, and the swell jumps up to 10 ft on the morning, then 13 ft in the afternoon, all from the SW. That’s a big, powerful, long-period groundswell (18 seconds in the morning, 17 in the afternoon). The energy is massive. This is proper, heavy, advanced-level surf. The offshore wind will keep it clean, but at 13 ft, this is only for experts. Blacknose Point is a point break, so it should handle the size and the long period, offering some serious, lined-up waves.

Tuesday the 11th drops off a bit. The wind goes cross-shore, and the swell backs down to 8 ft from the SW and WSW. The period drops to 14 seconds, and the energy is way down. It’s still surfable, but the wind is lumpy, so it’s not the standout.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are back on. Solid 13 ft to 15 ft SW swell, period around 15-17 seconds, with clean conditions thanks to cross-offshore and offshore winds. The energy is pumping. This is powerful, clean, and consistent. Still only for the crew with the experience to handle it.

Now, the absolute standout for this entire forecast period is Friday the 14th. We’ve got a clean 13 ft SW groundswell, period 17 seconds, and the wind is light offshore from the SW at 12 mph. The energy is over 10000. The forecast says exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers. This is as good as it gets. The point will be handling that power perfectly, offering long, open faces. The light offshore wind will keep it glassy. This is the day to be out there.

Saturday the 15th starts clean with a 12 ft SW swell and light cross-offshore wind, but the wind turns cross-shore in the afternoon and it gets a bit messy. Still a good day, but that Friday is the one.

After that, from Sunday the 16th through to the end of the forecast, we’ve got a pretty long run of marginal conditions. The swell drops back to the 5 ft to 7 ft range, but the wind is mostly onshore, cross-on, or just lumpy. The quality just isn’t there for a clean, enjoyable session. There’s a brief window on Friday the 21st with clean cross-offshore wind and a 8 ft swell, but it’s not the size or power of that earlier week. Saturday the 22nd has a 31 mph SSW wind, which is a near gale, so that’s a write-off.

So, the call is clear. The best on offer is Friday the 14th. That’s your day. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, calm by Fri night).

Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
5
2
4
4
1
2
2
6
6
8
5
3
5
5
5
5
5
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
2.5
SW
19
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
4
SW
16
4
SW
17
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
4
SW
15
4
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1099
991
5233
4804
4112
4791
2594
1528
3543
7595
8197
9637
6554
6324
6769
6554
6080
5050
4455
3725
3025
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
20
NNE
10
S
40
SSW
35
SW
20
W
25
NNW
30
NW
35
NNW
30
W
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
W
25
W
20
WNW
20
SW
20
SW
10
S
10
SSW
15
SE
15
SE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
High Tide
12:37PM1.02m
12:51PM1.08m
1:09PM1.10m
11:18PM0.43m
1:24PM1.09m
00:02AM0.54m
1:36PM1.06m
00:36AM0.66m
1:46PM1.02m
1:10AM0.76m
1:55PM0.98m
1:45AM0.85m
Low Tide
10:50PM0.28m
11:39PM0.34m
10:26PM0.43m
5:05AM0.30m
9:03PM0.50m
6:01AM0.26m
8:22PM0.51m
6:41AM0.25m
8:06PM0.47m
7:17AM0.26m
8:06PM0.40m
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
 mm
6
2
2
2
1
7
1
1
Temp °C
12
13
13
13
12
11
13
13
13
12
12
12
13
13
13
12
12
13
12
12
11
Feels °C
7
10
12
6
5
5
6
6
6
5
5
6
8
7
8
7
7
10
9
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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