Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cookin’ for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a slow start, but don’t let that fool ya. This place is a classic point break that loves a solid SSW to SW groundswell, and boy, does it have a run of serious energy lined up. The water’s sitting at 58°F – that’s pretty normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Thursday the 27th is a bit of a write-off. The morning is tiny and messy with a cross-shore breeze, and the afternoon picks up a bit but it’s still just marginal. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 28th is where it really starts to fire. That morning you’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell pumping in with a long 17-second period – that’s proper energy. The wind is light and cross-off, so the lineup should be clean. This is big, powerful stuff though, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon stays clean with similar size.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the good run going. Saturday morning shows 8ft of SW swell with offshore wind – glassy, clean, and that’s a more manageable size. Sunday holds similar size with clean offshore winds all day.

Monday the 31st is an absolute standout. This is the best of the early run. Light offshore wind, almost glassy, with a 10ft SW groundswell and a 17-second period pumping in. The energy is massive. This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully, giving you long, powerful walls. Again, this is expert territory, but it’s going to be epic.

Then we hit a wall. Tuesday the 1st of September gets smashed by 25 mph winds, turning the ocean into a mess. Wednesday and Thursday stay windy and the conditions are rough, even though the swell is big. The setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers through that midweek chop.

The second week turns into a proper big-wave affair, but it’s far from clean. From Friday the 4th of September right through to Monday the 8th, we’re looking at swell heights from 16ft to a massive 26ft, with energy readings going through the roof. The wind is mostly cross-off or fresh offshore, but these are giant, raw conditions. The 26ft on the 8th is huge – the file says it’s too big for this break, and I’d agree. For the absolute elite charger only, and even then, it’s a survival mission.

By Wednesday the 10th, the swell finally drops back to a more manageable 7ft to 7ft, but the wind turns onshore, so it’s not looking great. The last few days of the outlook are choppy and poor.

So, the standout days are Friday the 28th of August for the first pulse of big, clean groundswell, and Monday the 31st of August which looks like the pick of the whole forecast – clean, glassy, and powerful. Just remember, this is all expert-level stuff. If you’re not solid, sit this one out.

Rusty.

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