Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 22,281 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)23ft (7.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming up for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that handles a south-west swell really well, and we’ve got a solid run of surf heading our way, though it’s not all plain sailing.

The first proper swell kicks in on Monday, July 27th, but it’s a bit of a messy start. We’re looking at 7.2ft SW swell with a 13-second period, but that cross-shore wind from the NNW is going to put a chop on it. The combined energy is sitting at 1543 (moderate), but the conditions are marginal. It’s not a day to get excited about.

Tuesday, July 28th, the swell builds. Morning sees 7.9ft SW swell at 16 seconds, with a clean cross-off wind from the WNW at 22 mph. The energy jumps to 5355 (strong). The afternoon gets bigger: 9.8ft SSW swell, 14 seconds, and a strong cross-off from the west at 28 mph. This is getting into expert territory, and the wind is strong, but it’s clean. Not a day for beginners.

Now, Wednesday, July 29th, is the standout. The morning brings a thumping 18.0ft SW swell with a 16-second period – that’s very long period groundswell. Energy is 14554 (very strong). The wind is a fresh cross-off from the SW at 19 mph. This is massive, powerful, and only for the most experienced. Then the afternoon magic: 14.8ft SW swell, 14 seconds, with a clean 16 mph offshore wind from the SW. That’s the real deal. This is the pick of the whole forecast. The wave quality is exceptional for experts, and that offshore wind is going to make it glassy as glass.

Thursday, July 30th, stays good but drops. The morning has 8.2ft SW swell at 13 seconds, with a gentle offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. The energy is 2815 (moderate). The afternoon is a touch smaller at 7.5ft, but with a light offshore wind from the west at 6 mph. Clean, manageable, and a great day for experienced surfers.

Friday, July 31st, we’re easing down. 6.6ft SW swell at 12 seconds in the morning, with a light cross-off from the NW. The afternoon is 5.9ft SW, same period, with a light cross-off from the west. Both days are clean, but the energy is dropping to around 1261-1364 (moderate). Solid, but not the highlight.

The first weekend of August, Saturday the 1st, is a bit of a letdown. We’ve got 6.9ft to 8.2ft SW swell, but the period is long (16-18 seconds) and the wind is cross-shore from the north. The energy is strong (2677-4734), but the quality is marginal. The long period at this beach break might make it a bit too straight.

Sunday, August 2nd, the wind swings offshore. Morning has 7.5ft SW swell, 16 seconds, with a moderate offshore from the west at 12 mph. The afternoon is 9.8ft WSW swell, 15 seconds, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW at 22 mph. That’s some serious wind. It’s clean, but you’ll be fighting to get out.

Monday, August 3rd, is another good one. 11.5ft SW swell, 14 seconds, with a light cross-off from the WNW in the morning, and a light offshore from the west in the afternoon. Energy is strong (5398-3905). Clean, powerful, and a great day for experienced surfers.

Tuesday, August 4th, is a glassy gem. The morning has 7.9ft SW swell at 13 seconds with glassy conditions and a light wind from the NNW. The afternoon is 7.5ft SW swell, same period, also glassy from the ESE. Energy is moderate (2405-2767). This is a beautiful day for a paddle.

Wednesday, August 5th, is interesting. The morning has 9.8ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period, but a cross-on wind from the NNE. The afternoon is the same size

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the WSW by Sun morning).

Mon
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
2
7
7
7
5
4
4
4
3
4
3
2
3
2
4
3
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
13
3
WSW
14
2.4
SW
16
3
SSW
14
7
SW
14
5.5
SW
16
4.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
1.8
SW
12
2.1
SW
16
2.5
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.3
SW
16
3
WSW
15
4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1534
2837
2844
3183
17208
14554
8233
3725
2305
1671
1249
1094
944
976
2445
3883
4892
2790
4487
7470
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
35
NNW
35
WNW
45
W
45
SW
30
SW
25
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
W
0
SW
10
NW
10
W
10
N
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
20
W
35
WSW
15
SW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
12:59PM1.12m
11:50PM0.50m
1:19PM1.13m
00:28AM0.55m
1:40PM1.13m
00:57AM0.60m
1:59PM1.11m
1:25AM0.66m
2:18PM1.07m
1:56AM0.72m
2:35PM1.01m
2:28AM0.78m
Low Tide
4:24AM0.36m
9:17PM0.48m
5:21AM0.32m
8:55PM0.47m
6:04AM0.28m
8:48PM0.46m
6:41AM0.25m
8:48PM0.44m
7:16AM0.24m
8:52PM0.42m
7:50AM0.26m
8:59PM0.39m
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
 mm
3
4
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
15
14
12
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
11
12
14
10
9
11
11
Feels °C
10
7
5
0
1
4
5
7
6
8
8
8
9
9
7
9
4
4
2
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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