Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,062 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 14th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 16th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 15th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your wettie. It’s a bit of a mixed bag coming up here at Blacknose Point, but for those who know the lineup and can handle some size, there are some serious windows of opportunity. The water’s sitting at about 57°, which is just a touch warmer than what you’d normally expect for this time of year – nothing wild, but your booties might feel a little less necessary.

Right now, starting Saturday the 12th, it’s looking pretty average. We’ve got a solid 10 ft SW groundswell rolling in, but the wind is a cross-on from the north, and the surface is choppy. The wave energy is moderate to strong (4024), but the conditions are messy. Not worth paddling out. This carries into Sunday the 13th with a similar story – some size dropping off, but 19 mph cross-shore wind is going to chop it up badly.

Monday the 14th is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to 4 ft from the SW, period a solid 13 seconds, and we finally see some clean faces with offshore west winds at 16 mph. This is when you want to be out there. It’s smaller, but the quality is there for the experienced crew. The combined energy is moderate (748), and it’ll be well-shaped. The morning session is the call.

Tuesday the 15th throws a big curveball. Swell jumps back up to 13 ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, but it’s a bigger, more powerful groundswell. The wind is fresh offshore, so it will be clean, but the energy is strong (6221). This is expert territory now – over 8 ft and powerful. Only the chargers need apply. Wednesday the 16th is even bigger, with 15 ft SW swell and energy cranking past 11000. It’s clean, but it’s a lion’s den. For the seasoned surfer only, and even then, expect it to be a battle.

Thursday the 17th is another standout morning. 10 ft from the SSW, still a nice 14-second period, light cross-off breeze, clean faces, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is moderate (3430), but the window of quality is real. This is likely the best session of the first week – just be aware this spot draws a crowd often, so you might have some company.

We drop off into the weekend of the 19th and 20th with smaller swells around 4-6 ft, but the wind gets messy again, cross and cross-shore, so it’s not great. Sunday afternoon the 20th offers a little hope with 4 ft SW and gentle offshore wind – clean, but small.

Looking further out, Monday the 21st afternoon sees another spike, 13 ft SW at 12 seconds with clean cross-off wind – excellent for experts again. Then Tuesday the 22nd is the big one in the long range: 18 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, an absolute monster. Energy is extreme (15044). Wind is onshore though, so the shape could be blown out. This is for tow-in crew only, and it’s still a week and a half out, so temper expectations.

Toward the end of the run, Saturday the 26th shapes up promisingly: 8 ft SW, 16-second period, light cross-off wind, clean. That’s beautiful, user-friendly size for a quality point break, and the energy is moderate (3171). That could be the best call for the second week.

Sunday the 27th fades with a big 13 ft SW, 17-second period but hammered by strong onshore winds – stay out of the water that day.

Overall, the real standouts are Monday morning the 14th for a smaller, cleaner session and Thursday morning the 17th for a solid, well-shaped groundswell. For the second week, keep an eye on Saturday the 26th – it’s promising but less certain.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
1
3
3
3
0
3
4
4
4
8
8
5
4
4
4
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
2.1
WSW
12
4
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
14
3
SSW
14
2.5
SSW
13
2.3
SSW
13
1.7
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
2.3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4024
3162
2326
1856
1581
1048
628
431
1158
6221
7984
7721
7717
7440
5710
3430
2359
1775
1121
1230
2246
Wind (km/h)
15
N
5
NNE
20
NNE
30
N
15
N
15
NW
25
W
25
WNW
30
WSW
35
SW
35
SSW
30
S
20
S
20
S
15
S
10
SSW
10
S
15
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
1:46PM0.82m
Low Tide
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
7:47AM0.37m
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
9:16AM0.64m
8:50PM0.17m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:20
6:21
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
 mm
1
Temp °C
18
19
17
21
20
15
14
15
12
11
11
11
11
10
9
10
10
10
17
19
15
Feels °C
15
17
14
17
17
14
9
9
6
2
2
3
5
5
5
8
8
7
12
14
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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