
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 13,472 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming up at Blacknose Point, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The first couple of days are a bit rough, but there’s a couple of standout sessions that’ll get your heart pumping.
Right off the bat, Friday afternoon the 24th we’ve got a big 15ft SW swell rolling in, but it’s got a 35 km/h cross-off wind and a combined wave energy of 8224 – that’s a lot of grunt. The water’s sitting at 59°F, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch balmy. The conditions are labeled “clean” but the wind is fresh, and with that size, it’s really only for the advanced crew. It’s a marginal call, honestly.
Saturday the 25th morning is your first real highlight. The swell drops a touch to 13ft from the SW, but the wind shifts to a clean 25 km/h offshore from the WSW. The energy is still strong at 5037, and the water temp is still warm. This is a big, powerful point break with consistent waves, and the offshore wind will make it glassy. It’s going to be a proper session, but you’ll want to be on your game. That afternoon, it eases to 12ft, still offshore but with a bit less energy.
Sunday the 26th morning is a beauty. Swell is a more manageable 8ft from the SW, with a gentle 15 km/h cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate at 1447, and the surf is described as “excellent” for experienced surfers. It’s clean, it’s peeling, and it’s a damn good day to be out. The afternoon is similar, just a touch smaller at 7ft.
Then things get messy. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see a nasty cross-shore wind and poor conditions, with the swell jumping back up to 12ft on Tuesday. The wind is howling at 45 km/h on Tuesday afternoon, making it a struggle.
Wednesday the 29th is the absolute standout. Morning brings a solid 16ft SW swell with a clean 20 km/h cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a massive 10101 – that’s serious juice. This is big, powerful groundswell with a 15-second period, so it’ll be thick and fast, perfect for a point break like this. The forecast says “marginal” but it’s clean, and the swell direction is right on the money. The afternoon is still excellent at 13ft with a lighter breeze. This is the best on offer, no question.
The rest of the week into early August has a mix of clean 7ft to 8ft SW swells, but the wind is often cross-off and the conditions are a bit “marginal” – not bad, but not epic. The crowd here is often there, so expect company.
Around the 2nd of August, we see an 12ft swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is cross-shore, chopping it up a bit. It’s a long-period groundswell, which is better for this point, but the wind takes the shine off.
The 6th of August afternoon has a big 13ft WSW swell with a combined energy of 10895, and the wind is just a moderate cross-shore. It’s not perfect, but it’s a lot of water moving.
The 7th of August is a beast – 21ft from the WSW with a 16-second period. The energy is off the charts at 36505. But the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off, and it’s just too big for this break. It’s a clean but dangerous wave, only for the absolute top-tier experts.
To be honest, if you’re looking for the best, lock in Wednesday the 29th of July. That 16ft SW swell with the clean offshore wind is the one. The 8th of August also has a 15ft SW swell with clean wind, but it’s a bit further out and less certain.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the W by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | W 10 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
5991 | 5037 | 3060 | 1973 | 1270 | 1034 | 918 | 1027 | 718 | 1651 | 2888 | 2056 | 12885 | 8769 | 5492 | 2995 | 1883 | 1452 | 1109 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:21PM0.97m | 12:23PM1.04m | 12:40PM1.09m | 12:59PM1.12m | 11:50PM0.50m | 1:19PM1.13m | 00:28AM0.55m | 1:40PM1.13m | 00:57AM0.60m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:50PM0.35m | 00:46AM0.38m | 2:40AM0.39m | 4:24AM0.36m | 9:17PM0.48m | 5:21AM0.32m | 8:55PM0.47m | 6:04AM0.28m | 8:48PM0.46m | ||||||||||
— | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 13 | SW 12 | S 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | WSW 17 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
— | 5037 | 3060 | 98 | 1270 | 1034 | 918 | 1027 | 718 | 1575 | 115 | 2056 | 12885 | 8769 | 5492 | 2995 | 1883 | 1452 | 1109 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 15 | S 9 | SW 13 | — | W 17 | — | — | — | — | — | S 26 | SSE 8 | SW 22 |
— | — | 12 | 127 | 135 | 100 | 178 | 16 | 517 | — | 199 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 6 | 242 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 26 | SSW 24 | SSE 7 |
— | — | 12 | — | 42 | 68 | 48 | 15 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 55 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5991 | 4301 | — | 1973 | — | — | — | 14 | 6 | 1651 | 2888 | 1259 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 204 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 75 | 465 | 204 | 558 | 501 | 205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










