
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 19,163 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 6.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s get into it. Blacknose Point is the only game in town this forecast period, and it’s a solid point break that can handle a lot of size. The water’s sitting at about 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
We’ve got a big pulse of swell coming in right at the start. Monday morning the 13th, the swell is already pumping at 6.0m from the SW with a 16-second period – that’s serious groundswell energy, with a combined energy reading of 17479. That’s a lot of power, and for a point break like this, those long-period SW swells will wrap in nicely. The wind is a strong cross-offshore from the WNW at 25 mph, which will keep the faces clean, but 6.0m is expert territory only. Monday afternoon is similar, still massive at 6.5m and 28 mph winds, so we’re talking about heavy conditions.
Tuesday the 14th is the real standout of this first week. The swell drops a notch but is still a solid 5.0m from the SW, 15-second period, and the wind swings offshore from the WSW at 19 mph. That’s fresh, clean offshore wind on a big, powerful groundswell. The combined energy is 11723, still very strong but manageable for advanced surfers. This is the pick of the bunch – big, clean, and lined up. It stays good through Tuesday afternoon with 4.5m and the same offshore breeze.
Wednesday the 15th starts to ease. Morning sees 3.5m, SW, 14-second period, with a moderate offshore from the W at 12 mph. The energy drops to 4675, but it’s still clean. The afternoon gets a bit cross-off, so not as perfect.
Thursday the 16th is another beauty. Morning has 3.5m, SW, 15-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the W at 3 mph – almost glassy. The combined energy is 4844. By the afternoon, the wind goes glassy, dead calm, with 3.0m, SW, 15 seconds. That’s about as clean as it gets, with 4156 energy. Excellent conditions, but still plenty of size for strong intermediate to advanced surfers.
Friday the 17th is mixed. The morning has a cross-shore breeze from the NNW at 9 mph with 3.0m, SW, 16-second swell. The afternoon goes glassy again with zero wind and the same 3.0m, 16-second swell – that’s another window of perfection.
From Saturday the 18th, the swell starts to drop and the winds get messy. We’re looking at 2.0m to 2.2m for a couple days, but the wind is cross to cross-on, which chops things up. Crowds are listed as “often,” so on the clean days earlier in the week, expect company.
Then we hit a real blank spot. From Sunday the 19th through to Wednesday the 22nd, conditions are poor. Swell is small or the wind is howling onshore. Scores are zero for several of those sessions. That’s a stretch of about four days with nothing worth paddling out for.
Thursday the 23rd brings a change. The wind goes offshore again from the W at 12 to 16 mph, swell is around 1.6m to 1.8m from the SW, and the period jumps to 20 seconds in the afternoon. That’s a very long-period groundswell, bringing a combined energy of 2951. It’s clean and will have some sneaky shape, but be aware that long period swells can break a bit too straight at some spots – at a point like Blacknose, it should be fine, wrapping around the headland.
Friday the 24th sees a sudden jump back to big swell – 4.0m from the SW, 17-second period, with 9718 energy. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but the size is undeniable. Still expert-only.
Saturday the 25th drops back to 3.0m but the wind is cross-on and choppy. Sunday the 26th looks a bit better, with a cross-off breeze and 3.0m from the SSW, but it’s light rain and fresh wind.
Overall, the absolute standout window is Tuesday the 14th through Thursday the 16th, with Thursday afternoon’s glassy conditions being the real gem. The second week has some promise with a clean, long-period groundswell on the 23rd and a big spike on the 24th, but the winds are less reliable farther out.
Keep an eye on that Tuesday and Thursday. Those are the ones to circle.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
16756 | 18702 | 15468 | 11723 | 9609 | 6776 | 4675 | 3788 | 4110 | 4784 | 4121 | 3197 | 4822 | 4242 | 2680 | 1788 | 1346 | 774 | 589 | 483 | 865 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | 2:41PM1.04m | 2:14AM0.80m | 2:54PM1.00m | 3:02AM0.83m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | 7:39AM0.28m | 9:04PM0.50m | 8:15AM0.35m | 9:18PM0.43m | ||||||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | — | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 |
723 | — | 15468 | — | — | 6776 | 4675 | 3788 | 4110 | 4784 | 4121 | 3197 | 4822 | 4242 | 2680 | 1788 | 1346 | 774 | 589 | 472 | 497 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 71 | 60 | 35 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 50 | 53 | 289 | 225 | 170 | 865 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 81 | 241 | 483 | 86 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | — | N 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 4 |
16756 | 18702 | — | 11723 | 9609 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 558 | 1006 | 204 | 205 | 221 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 7 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










