Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 14 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7°C
1.3° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 11,161 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 17th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 21st Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 21st Sep)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s pretty quiet. Monday the 14th has a bit of swell, around 4ft from the SW on a 13-second period, but with a 12 mph cross-off breeze it’s only managing marginal surf. The combined wave energy is weak at 660, so don’t get your hopes up for Monday.

Things start to get interesting on Tuesday the 15th. We’ve got a big jump in size – 13ft in the morning and 15ft in the afternoon, both from the SW and SW respectively. The morning session sees a fresh 22 mph offshore wind from the SW, which is going to groom it up nicely. The energy is massive, hitting 6337 in the morning and 7878 in the afternoon. This is solid, powerful groundswell with a 13 to 14-second period. It’s big though – over 8ft – so this is strictly for experienced surfers. Beginners, sit this one out.

Wednesday the 16th holds the size, still 15ft from the SW and SSW, with a 15-second period in the morning. The wind is a lighter 12 mph cross-off from the S, keeping things clean. Energy is very strong at 8449. The standout here is Thursday the 17th. Morning has 10ft from the SSW with a gentle 9 mph offshore from the WSW, and the conditions are marked as excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is 8ft from the SW, still with that sweet offshore breeze. Energy is 3531 and 3726 – still very strong, but way more manageable than Tuesday.

Friday the 18th drops off a touch to 6ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon from the SSW and SW, with a long 17-second period. That long period will shape up nicely at this point break, but the cross-off breeze from the NW (16-19 mph) might put a bit of a ruffle on it. Saturday the 19th sees 7ft to 7ft from the SW and WSW, with lighter winds, but the morning has a cross-shore chop.

Sunday the 20th brings another big pulse: 11ft from the WSW, but with a strong 28 mph cross-off in the morning and a fresh 22 mph offshore in the afternoon. That’s a blustery day, but the afternoon offshore will clean it up for the crew who can handle it.

Monday the 21st has 13ft to 15ft from the SW, but the wind swings cross-on from the ESE and E, bringing chop. The combined energy hits a whopping 10572 in the afternoon – that’s some serious power on offer, but the conditions will be messy. Probably more of a kite session that day than a clean paddle.

The second week starts to look less consistent. Tuesday the 22nd still has 13ft from the SW, but cross and cross-on winds. Wednesday the 23rd is better with 11ft in the morning and a 16 mph cross-off from the W, then 10ft in the afternoon with a clean offshore. Energy is still strong. From Thursday the 24th onward, the swell drops to 8ft and below, with cross-off winds and lower energy. By the 26th and 27th, we see another pulse of bigger swell – 11ft on Sunday the 27th from the SSW with a very long 16-second period, but cross-on winds and strong energy of 9073 make it a tricky call. The onshore wind on the 28th with rain is best avoided.

The overall standout is definitely Thursday the 17th of September. That’s your window: clean offshore wind, manageable 8ft to 10ft swell from the SSW/SW, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 15th is the heavy hitter for the big-wave crew, but it’s a handful. If you’re a punter looking for the best all-round session, get on Thursday.

Keep an eye on the wind for the second week – it looks like it could chop up some good swell days. As always, forecasts can shift, so stay tuned.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon night, light winds from the SW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sat night).

Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
4
4
4
6
8
8
4
4
3
2
2
2
3
2
2
1
2
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
2.3
WSW
7
4.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
15
4.5
SSW
15
4
SSW
15
3
SSW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
1.9
SSW
17
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2
WSW
13
4
WSW
12
4
WSW
12
4
WSW
12
4.5
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
570
424
505
6358
7629
7888
8139
7838
6034
3656
2496
2176
2146
3211
2155
1479
1286
4563
3999
4587
7329
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
25
WNW
30
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
30
S
20
S
20
S
10
SSW
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
NNW
25
NW
25
WNW
30
NW
20
NW
20
NW
25
N
40
NW
40
WNW
20
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:22PM0.86m
2:10AM1.03m
1:32PM0.86m
2:40AM1.04m
1:41PM0.85m
3:11AM1.01m
1:47PM0.84m
3:42AM0.96m
1:46PM0.82m
4:16AM0.89m
1:31PM0.80m
5:02AM0.81m
Low Tide
7:33PM0.19m
8:12AM0.43m
7:52PM0.15m
8:35AM0.50m
8:13PM0.13m
8:57AM0.57m
8:33PM0.14m
9:16AM0.64m
8:50PM0.17m
9:27AM0.70m
9:03PM0.21m
9:03AM0.75m
9:05PM0.27m
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:23
6:24
6:25
6:27
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
15
15
13
11
11
11
11
10
9
10
10
9
18
19
15
23
23
19
18
15
11
Feels °C
10
10
8
2
3
3
5
5
5
7
6
6
12
13
9
17
17
10
11
8
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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