Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,816 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look. We got a bit of a flat spell to start, then a real big-wave window that’s gonna separate the men from the boys. Water temp is sitting at 59°, running slightly warmer than usual for this time of year.
The first few days are pretty forgettable. Today (Sunday the 16th) and Monday, we’ve got a 8-foot swell (SW) but it’s all chopped up by cross-onshore winds. Plenty of energy, but it’s messy. Not worth the paddle.
Tuesday through Thursday is a complete loss. Winds are up, the swell is down in that 4 to 6-foot range, and everything’s blown out. You’d be better off doing yard work.
Your number one target is Friday, August 21st. We’re looking at a solid 11-foot plus (WSW) groundswell with a 17-second period and a proper offshore wind. The energy reading is off the charts (10200). This is heavy, serious surf at Blacknose Point – a spot that’s fairly consistent and takes a lot of swell. It’s going to be big, powerful, and perfect. Experts only, end of story.
Saturday the 22nd is a close second. It’s holding that same size, maybe even a touch bigger at 13 feet in the morning, with those offshore winds keeping it clean. It’s still going to be a beast, but the conditions should be world-class.
Then from Sunday through Tuesday, the size is still up there in that 11 to 13-foot range, and while it’s not as clean, it’s still pushing a ton of water. The winds go a bit cross-offshore, so it’ll be less perfect, but the power is still there.
After that, it starts to wind down. The waves shrink back to your average 6 to 8-foot range. There are some cleaner windows, but it’s just not the same animal. The end of the month and into the 31st is pretty average.
So, to wrap it up: if you’re an expert, the 21st and 22nd are your days. If not, the show might be better from the sand. I’ll be watching.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 17 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2756 | 2557 | 2125 | 1256 | 2865 | 1760 | 1018 | 793 | 757 | 657 | 479 | 540 | 994 | 1264 | 692 | 2285 | 7054 | 3678 | 6752 | 5160 | 7239 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | 2:14PM0.94m | 2:57AM0.94m | 2:23PM0.92m | 3:34AM0.93m | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:17PM0.32m | 8:17AM0.37m | 8:35PM0.26m | 8:44AM0.46m | 8:56PM0.22m | 9:08AM0.55m | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 2756 | 2557 | 2125 | 1256 | 2865 | 1760 | 1018 | 793 | 757 | 657 | 479 | 540 | 994 | 1264 | 603 | 2285 | 3146 | 1482 | 6752 | 5160 | 7239 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 13 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 224 | 809 | 166 | 700 | 600 | 311 | 7 | 3 | 69 | 229 | 338 | 219 | 692 | 1404 | — | — | 140 | 1628 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 11 | SW 22 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | W 6 | W 7 | ESE 6 | E 7 | WSW 13 | — | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 149 | 122 | 31 | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 437 | — | 464 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 4 | — | SSE 11 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | W 8 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | WSW 17 | SW 13 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | — | 128 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 22 | 117 | — | — | — | 80 | 7054 | 3678 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 212 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 125 | 196 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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