Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 20,716 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 3.5m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Only one spot to talk about for the next couple weeks, and it’s got its ups and downs.
The main player is Blacknose Point. We don’t get any good surf right away, but the first real shot is on Friday, September 4th in the afternoon. Water’s running about 58°, which is a little warmer than the usual for this time of year – nothin’ wild.
Friday arvo sees a 15ft SW swell, 16-second period. That’s a lot of power (combined energy 9418), but the north wind at 9 mph makes it messy. Keep your expectations low.
Saturday, September 5th is a total bust. 28 mph WNW winds in the morning, 25 mph in the afternoon. The swell’s there (10ft to 8ft), but it’s blown-out trash. Stay home.
Sunday, September 6th is where it’s at. Morning brings 12ft SW swell, 14-second period, with a clean 9 mph offshore wind from the west. Combined energy is 4943 (moderate). This is primo for advanced surfers – lined-up, clean walls. Afternoon stays good with a 10ft swell and moderate offshore breeze. This is the first standout: the best of the first week.
Monday and Tuesday are smaller – 7ft to 10ft – with cross-off winds. Workable, but not special.
Wednesday, September 9th is massive but dangerous. Morning shows a 10ft SW groundswell with a ridiculous 20-second period. That’s 21033 combined energy (very strong). The long period means the waves might stand up too fast for the point. On top of that, 22 mph cross-off winds. It’s for experts only. Afternoon jumps to 18ft – that’s serious size.
Thursday, September 10th is still heavy but a bit more forgiving: 16ft to 15ft SSW swell, 17 to 16-second period, light cross-off winds. Energy is still 14113 (strong). A good window for the experienced.
The second week (from September 11th) fades hard. By Sunday the 13th, it’s onshore chop. By Tuesday the 15th, we’re down to 2ft and barely any energy (328). There’s a few days of nothing.
But then – Saturday, September 19th afternoon – glassy conditions, no wind, and a 13ft SW groundswell at an 18-second period. Combined energy of 10560 (strong). That’s a late standout, but we’re talking 16 days out. Don’t bank on it yet, but if it holds, it’s a dream for experts.
Remember, Blacknose Point is a point break. Those long-period swells (over 15 seconds) can make beach breaks close out, but the point should hold good lines.
Crowds are often around, so expect company on the good days.
Stay sharp out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the SSE by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9418 | 7054 | 3918 | 3135 | 5093 | 4943 | 2919 | 1794 | 1344 | 1279 | 1475 | 2339 | 4230 | 4765 | 8056 | 19980 | 20062 | 14113 | 10687 | 6773 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.98m | 1:03AM0.43m | 12:46PM0.97m | 00:10AM0.55m | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | 9:08PM0.38m | 4:40AM0.39m | 8:09PM0.45m | 5:41AM0.33m | 7:26PM0.46m | ||||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — |
mm | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 9418 | 7054 | 3918 | 3135 | 388 | 4943 | 2919 | 1794 | 1344 | 1279 | 1341 | 2339 | 4230 | 4765 | 6486 | 19980 | 20062 | 14113 | 10687 | 6773 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | SW 23 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | — | SW 26 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | SW 26 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 | 21 | 118 | 338 | 1475 | 1279 | — | 26 | 8056 | — | — | — | — | 26 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 155 | 162 | 593 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 8 | W 9 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 935 | 2211 | 5093 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 137 | 6491 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 195 | 496 | 691 | 501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 501 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 745 | 509 | 422 | 422 | 304 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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