Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming up at Blacknose Point, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The first couple of days are a bit rough, but there’s a couple of standout sessions that’ll get your heart pumping.

Right off the bat, Friday afternoon the 24th we’ve got a big 15ft SW swell rolling in, but it’s got a 35 km/h cross-off wind and a combined wave energy of 8224 – that’s a lot of grunt. The water’s sitting at 59°F, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch balmy. The conditions are labeled “clean” but the wind is fresh, and with that size, it’s really only for the advanced crew. It’s a marginal call, honestly.

Saturday the 25th morning is your first real highlight. The swell drops a touch to 13ft from the SW, but the wind shifts to a clean 25 km/h offshore from the WSW. The energy is still strong at 5037, and the water temp is still warm. This is a big, powerful point break with consistent waves, and the offshore wind will make it glassy. It’s going to be a proper session, but you’ll want to be on your game. That afternoon, it eases to 12ft, still offshore but with a bit less energy.

Sunday the 26th morning is a beauty. Swell is a more manageable 8ft from the SW, with a gentle 15 km/h cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate at 1447, and the surf is described as “excellent” for experienced surfers. It’s clean, it’s peeling, and it’s a damn good day to be out. The afternoon is similar, just a touch smaller at 7ft.

Then things get messy. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see a nasty cross-shore wind and poor conditions, with the swell jumping back up to 12ft on Tuesday. The wind is howling at 45 km/h on Tuesday afternoon, making it a struggle.

Wednesday the 29th is the absolute standout. Morning brings a solid 16ft SW swell with a clean 20 km/h cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a massive 10101 – that’s serious juice. This is big, powerful groundswell with a 15-second period, so it’ll be thick and fast, perfect for a point break like this. The forecast says “marginal” but it’s clean, and the swell direction is right on the money. The afternoon is still excellent at 13ft with a lighter breeze. This is the best on offer, no question.

The rest of the week into early August has a mix of clean 7ft to 8ft SW swells, but the wind is often cross-off and the conditions are a bit “marginal” – not bad, but not epic. The crowd here is often there, so expect company.

Around the 2nd of August, we see an 12ft swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is cross-shore, chopping it up a bit. It’s a long-period groundswell, which is better for this point, but the wind takes the shine off.

The 6th of August afternoon has a big 13ft WSW swell with a combined energy of 10895, and the wind is just a moderate cross-shore. It’s not perfect, but it’s a lot of water moving.

The 7th of August is a beast – 21ft from the WSW with a 16-second period. The energy is off the charts at 36505. But the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off, and it’s just too big for this break. It’s a clean but dangerous wave, only for the absolute top-tier experts.

To be honest, if you’re looking for the best, lock in Wednesday the 29th of July. That 16ft SW swell with the clean offshore wind is the one. The 8th of August also has a 15ft SW swell with clean wind, but it’s a bit further out and less certain.

Rusty.

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