Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,106 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 21 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've got the goods on the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. There's a fair bit of swell on the horizon, but it's a game of patience for the really clean moments.
The pattern starts with a building swell, but the wind is a menace. We've got a solid SW groundswell with a 15-second period rolling in from Wednesday the 19th, pushing 4ft, but a fresh 30 km/h cross-off wind from the NW is making it messy. The water is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is weak at 578, so it's not exactly firing. Thursday the 20th sees the swell jump to 7ft from the W, but it's still a cross-off mess. This early period is mostly a write-off for a decent paddle.
The first real standout is Saturday morning, the 22nd of August. We've got a cracking 12ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, and the wind finally swings offshore from the W at 20 km/h. The combined energy is pumping hard at 5909, and the conditions are rated as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper, powerful point-break wave. Blacknose Point will be absolutely firing with a solid 12ft SW swell, but it's big. At 12ft, this is advanced territory only. The offshore wind will have it lined up beautifully, but expect the crowd to be there, as it's often busy.
The middle of the week settles down a bit, with a 7ft SW swell on Monday the 24th and a brief window of offshore WSW wind in the afternoon. It's a notch down, but still a solid option for experienced surfers.
Then, the real monster shows up. The forecast for Friday the 28th of August is pure magic. The afternoon session has a 15ft SW groundswell with an incredible 16-second period, and the wind is dead calm, glassy. The combined energy is an exceptional 13643. This is for expert surfers only, period. The wave will be huge, powerful, and with that long period, it will be holding up on the point. Saturday the 29th is still massive, with a 16ft SSW swell, but a light cross-on wind will mess with the perfection a bit. It's still a massive day for the bold.
After that, the swell slowly fades and the wind turns onshore. There's a glassy window on the 1st of September with a 4ft SW swell, a nice smaller session for the crew, but nothing like the standouts.
The absolute best on offer is that Friday afternoon, the 28th of August. It's a world-class opportunity for the right surfer. The second best is the Saturday morning, the 22nd of August. Both are at Blacknose Point, and both demand respect.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 13 | W 11 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 794 | 1468 | 714 | 1314 | 3595 | 3040 | 5863 | 5550 | 5161 | 5020 | 3459 | 2201 | 2863 | 2171 | 2419 | 2319 | 1576 | 1272 | 2526 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | 6:41AM0.80m | 1:31PM0.87m | 12:31PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.96m | 12:25PM1.00m | 00:36AM0.47m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | 8:11AM0.79m | 10:16PM0.30m | 10:15PM0.34m | 9:32PM0.38m | 8:39PM0.40m | ||||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 471 | 1468 | 711 | 1314 | 3595 | 891 | 5863 | 5550 | 5161 | 5020 | 3459 | 2201 | 2863 | 2171 | 2419 | 2319 | 1576 | 1272 | 2526 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 231 | 487 | 267 | — | 97 | — | — | 87 | 368 | 552 | 1033 | 1350 | 1377 | 16 | 60 | 155 | 693 | 783 | 560 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SSW 14 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 515 | 555 | 553 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 10 | W 11 | W 11 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 794 | 767 | 714 | 804 | — | 3040 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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