Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve only got one spot on the menu for this stretch: Blacknose Point. It’s a point break, fairly consistent, and it needs a good south-southwest swell to really light up. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 60.3°, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home for the most part.

We kick off Tuesday the 7th with a bit of a slow start. Swell is around 5.9ft from the SW, period a solid 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, loads of energy (1790). The problem? Wind is light, but it’s onshore or cross-on, so the surface isn’t perfect. It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about. Wednesday the 8th sees the size jump to 9.8ft with a very long 18-second period. That’s a whole heap of energy (5756), but still the wind is cross-on, and the report says marginal. It’s big, but for a point break like this, long-period groundswell can wrap in nicely. A big day for strong paddlers, but the quality ain’t pristine.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th we drop back to 5.9-7.5ft range, winds staying cross or cross-on. Moderate energy levels (1742-2329). It’s surfable but not the standout.

Now, heads up. Saturday the 11th morning is blown out with a fresh cross-breeze—forget it. But by the afternoon, a shift: wind goes offshore, WSW at 19 mph. Swell jumps to 9.8ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds. That’s a short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and less organised, but clean faces offshore. It’s an option if you’re desperate.

The real meat starts Sunday the 12th. Sunday morning sees 14.8ft from the WSW, 12-second period, cross-off wind—clean, but that’s already big. Sunday afternoon? 18.0ft, 13-second period, strong offshore wind at 25 mph. That’s massive, clean, and heaving. Energy is through the roof (11183). This is a standout, but only for experts. Beginners stay well away.

Monday the 13th is your absolute peak. 18.0ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy of 15752. Offshore winds all day—moderate in the morning, moderate in the afternoon. This is exceptional surf for confident, experienced surfers. The point should be firing, with long, powerful lines. Crowds are often an issue here, and on a day like this, expect a lineup full of chargers. The swell direction (SW) lines up nicely with the optimum (SSW). This is the one to point your board at.

From Tuesday the 14th onward, size slowly drops but stays solid: 13.1ft on Tuesday, 9.8ft Wednesday and Thursday, with clean offshore winds holding. The energy stays high (7881 down to 2661). Good quality for experienced surfers continues. By Friday the 17th, wind turns cross-shore and the quality drops off.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th look poor to marginal—windy, cross or cross-off, lumpy. Size stays around 5.2-9.8ft, but the energy is way down. Not worth the paddle.

Then into the second week, Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 22nd, we see another pulse: 11.5-14.8ft SW groundswell returning, with fresh offshore winds. Energy climbs back up from 4932 to 8950. Potential for some serious, clean, powerful surf again, but by this far out, treat it as promising but not locked in. The point could be cooking again if it holds.

Best on offer: No question, Monday the 13th. That’s the day. Get on it if you’ve got the skills.

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