Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,160 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 27th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 28th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 18s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up.

We’re starting off with some proper groundswell energy at Blacknose Point. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – no wild anomalies there. Wednesday afternoon kicks things off with a clean 8ft SW swell, period a solid 13 seconds, and a light offshore wind from the WSW. That’s some nice, lined-up surf for experienced surfers. The combined energy is strong at 1994.

Thursday morning drops right off – that 5ft is a bit weak and the wind is cross-shore, so not worth worrying about. Thursday afternoon picks back up though. Friday morning is the first real standout: a big 10ft SW groundswell packing a 17-second period, light cross-off wind, and the combined energy is a massive 5160. That’s serious stuff for experts only. The point should handle the long period nicely, keeping it from closing out too straight. Saturday and Sunday keep the quality high with 8ft to 8ft SW swells and clean offshore breezes. The energy stays solid in the 1600–2300 range. That Saturday morning in particular is glassy off – a real treat.

Monday the 31st is a mixed bag with a big 8ft SW groundswell but some cross-shore wind in the morning. The afternoon cleans up nicely with offshore wind and a combined energy of 3922. Tuesday and Wednesday (the 1st and 2nd of September) get blown out a bit by strong NW winds – still some size but the wind is a problem.

Now, look ahead to Thursday the 4th of September. That’s a potential highlight for the second week. We’re looking at a 15ft SW swell, with a long 16-second period, fresh offshore wind from the W, and a huge combined energy of 9681. That’s expert territory, but clean and powerful.

Saturday the 5th late in the day sees a 18ft WS swell, but the period drops right back to 10 seconds – short period, less organized. The energy is still high at 11141, so it’ll be chunky but maybe a bit ragged.

The biggest event of the whole forecast is on Sunday the 6th of September. An 26ft SW swell with a 14-second period and near gale-force offshore wind – 37 mph from the WSW. Combined energy is an insane 27079. Look, the wind direction is good but the size and wind strength make this nearly impossible to paddle into. Only the most experienced hellmen should even look at it, and even then it’s borderline for kite surfing rather than paddling.

The real gem in week two is Tuesday the 8th of September. A 16ft SW groundswell, 15-second period, light NW cross-off wind. Combined energy is a massive 11085 but the wind is light and the conditions are clean. That’s exceptional for experts and the best bet in the second half of the run.

There’s a gap of a few days between the 6th and the 8th where the conditions are just too wild or blown out to recommend. After that, the swell eases back into the 10ft range with cleaner winds mid-month.

All in all, Friday the 28th of August is your first standout – big, clean, and powerful. The second standout is Thursday the 4th of September, if you can wait. Don’t sleep on Tuesday the 8th either.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning).

Wed
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
1
3
3
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
2
1
2
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.4
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
13
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1697
1107
742
946
2029
5160
3880
3051
2090
1591
1395
1762
2377
2967
3093
2630
3784
2624
2083
4123
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
10
NNW
15
NNW
20
W
20
NW
10
SW
10
SSW
10
SW
10
SW
15
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
SW
5
WNW
10
N
10
WSW
25
NNW
35
NW
35
WNW
15
W
Wind State
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
glassy
cross
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
Low Tide
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
mod rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:01
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
 mm
7
Temp °C
12
11
13
14
12
12
12
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
16
17
15
20
14
11
Feels °C
8
9
9
10
9
10
10
8
8
8
9
9
9
10
14
14
12
12
8
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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