Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for Blacknose Point.

We've got a mixed bag coming our way over the 16 days. It kicks off with some real promise on Friday, July 31st, but then we hit a long, frustrating stretch of lumpy, cross-shore conditions for the best part of a week. The real standout action is slated for much later in the window, around mid-August, with some serious groundswell and proper offshore winds.

The run starts strong. Friday morning, July 31st, you’ll find clean 7 ft SW groundswell at Blacknose Point. The wind is a light, cross-off NW breeze, so it’ll be glassy and make for some really nice, long lines. The water is sitting at 59°F, which is about average for the time of year, so no shocks there. The wave energy is solid, pushing around 1298 units. Friday afternoon cleans up even more with that 6 ft SW swell going off the land, making for excellent waves for those with some experience.

Now, brace yourselves. From Saturday, August 1st, through until about Wednesday, August 5th, the wind swings around onshore or cross-shore, and the wave faces get pretty lumpy. We’re still seeing some decent sized swell in the 8 ft to 10 ft range, but a lot of it is a longer-period SW groundswell with periods up to 17 seconds. This kind of energy is normally great, but with the cross-breeze causing chop, it’s just going to be messy, especially at a point break like this. Saturday morning’s 8 ft at 17 seconds and strong 3271 units of energy will just be a frustrating bumpy ride. Even Sunday’s 10 ft is a write-off thanks to a fresh northerly. For a solid few days there, it’s more of a frustrating session than a good one.

Wednesday, August 5th, we start to see the quality return. A cleaner 5 ft SW groundswell with manageable 14-second periods and light, cross-off winds will produce some excellent, clean waves. It’s a smaller day, but much more pleasant. The following days are a bit of a gamble with varying wind quality, but the energy holds.

The true standout, and a word of warning, arrives about two weeks out. We’re looking at the period from around August 10th to 15th. There are some truly massive swells forecast, but you have to be an expert to handle it. For instance, the August 10th morning shows a powerful 18 ft WSW groundswell with an incredible 32157 units of energy. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it’ll be lumpy and dangerous. That kind of size is for the very best. As we move into the 13th and 14th of August, the winds go hard offshore from the WSW, with swells between 12 ft and 15 ft. The period climbs to 18 seconds on the 14th, which is very long and will create incredibly powerful, clean lines. This is where the point break will really shine, but with 25 mph offshore winds, paddling out will be a huge battle. This is the payoff after the quiet spell, but make no mistake, this is serious, expert-only stuff. If you’re not in that league, give it a wide berth.

To sum it up, our main show is the Friday the 31st of July. After that, we wait for that heavy, expert-only groundswell and offshore wind window in the middle of the second week.

Stay safe and choose your sessions wisely.

Rusty.

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