Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

We’ve got a big, long period SW groundswell lining up for Blacknose Point. This is a proper point break, so it will handle that long-period energy beautifully – a long period over 11 seconds (and it goes well over 15 seconds at times) is a real positive here, giving you powerful, well-shaped waves with plenty of time between sets. The water temp is sitting at 59°F, which is about 2°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the mild side. The wave energy is going to be through the roof, with combined energy values hitting four and five digits (4333 to 15999) – that is strong to very strong energy, so this is not for the faint of heart.

The window opens Saturday morning, July 25th. We’ve got a 12ft SW swell with a 13-second period and a moderate offshore breeze from the WSW. It’s going to be clean and powerful, but it’s an expert-only show at this size. By Saturday afternoon, the wind picks up a bit but stays offshore, though the forecast gets a little marginal on the tide.

Sunday, July 26th, eases back a touch with a 8ft to 7ft SW swell, still solid period at 11 seconds, and clean offshore W winds – that’s your best bet for a slightly more manageable day if you’re not one of the big-wave specialists. Excellent to very good conditions on offer.

Monday the 27th turns ugly quick. That cross-shore north wind comes in at 15-19 mph and trashes the surface. Skip it.

Tuesday the 28th has some size (8ft to 12ft) but the wind is strong. The afternoon brings a 28 mph WSW offshore, which will clean it up but make it a real chore to get out there.

Now, the true standouts. Wednesday July 29th: a 15ft SW swell in the morning with a 14-second period and clean conditions, building into a 13ft afternoon with a solid offshore. Combined energy is 8958 – that is serious, heavy, grinding point surf for experts only. But the real crown jewel is Saturday, August 1st. We’re looking at a 16ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period – that’s as long as you’ll see – and combined energy of 14307 to 14770. The wind is a bit cross/cross-off from the NW, but the size and quality of that swell will make it an epic day for the best guys in the water. That one gets a high score for quality but is still a marginal call for the average surfer due to the extreme size.

Sunday, August 2nd, holds at 13-15ft with that long, powerful SSW pulse still running. Still huge. Still for experts.

After that, the swell starts to fade. Monday the 3rd is a write-off with junk wind. From Tuesday the 4th into the second week, the size drops to a more modest 4ft to 6ft, with some nice clean windows but nothing that will blow your head off. The standout in that second week is Saturday, August 8th: a 16ft SW groundswell – but wait for it – the wind goes *glassy*. That is exceptional conditions for an expert-level day. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

Later in the second week, around August 9th, a 10-12ft WSW swell pushes through with fresh cross-off winds. It’s clean and solid but the wind is punchy.

Overall, the first 10 days are stacked with heavy, long-period SW groundswell. If you’re an expert, you live for this. If you aren’t, pick the smaller day on Sunday the 26th or wait for the glassy day on the 8th of August. This is a proper point break session, not a beginner’s beach break. Once the swell drops in early August, the consistency is not as reliable, but those two or three big pulses will be the talk of the shop.

Rusty.

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