Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 8,154 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Tue 25th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 28th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 18s
Most Powerful 1AM (Mon 31st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Blacknose Point. This is a solid point break setup, and it’s got a pretty good run coming our way, but you gotta pick your windows.

The main story is a building and then pulsing SW groundswell, with a real sweet spot in the middle of the week. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate at 1490. Water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

Monday afternoon (24 August) kicks things off with a 7 ft SW swell, period a solid 13 seconds. It’s a bit junky though with a cross-shore wind, so it’s marginal. Not the day to go charging.

Tuesday (25 August) has a bit more size at 8 ft, but the wind is messy in the morning. The afternoon, however, sees a clean cross-off breeze from the SSW. That’s surfable, but still not the best of the week.

Now, Wednesday (26 August) is where it gets interesting. Morning is clean, light offshore winds from the SW, and we’ve got a 8 ft SW swell (13 seconds) with combined energy is 2532. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds with a 8 ft and a light WSW offshore. This is a standout session.

Thursday (27 August) drops off a bit. The morning swell is down to 5 ft, cross-shore wind. The afternoon picks up slightly to 5 ft, and the cross-off wind makes it clean, but it’s a smaller day.

Friday (28 August) is the big one. That morning, it’s a 10 ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 17 seconds. Combined energy is a whopping 4959. The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW. This is serious swell. At 10 ft, this is advanced surfer territory only. The long period means it’ll be a proper groundswell, with big gaps between sets, making it heavy on the takeoff. This is your best option for the whole forecast.

Saturday (29 August) is still good. The morning is glassy conditions with a 7 ft SW swell (14 seconds). That’s a dreamy window. The afternoon is a little smaller but still clean.

Sunday (30 August) is another glassy morning with a 6 ft SW swell. Perfect for a long session.

Monday (31 August) sees another pulse of 12 ft SW swell, but the morning wind is a cross-onshore, which will mess it up. The afternoon, however, is clean with a light offshore wind. That’s a big, powerful wave for the experts.

1 September (Tuesday) through 3 September (Thursday) the wind turns nasty. Strong cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, rain, and lumpy conditions. The swell is still there, but it’s blown out. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

4 September (Friday) is a mixed bag, but 5 September (Saturday) is a real standout. We’re talking an 12 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and it’s glassy in the morning. Combined energy is 7410. This is for serious, experienced surfers only. It’s a big, powerful, long-period swell that will be very clean.

6 September (Sunday) through 8 September (Tuesday) is a total mess. The swell is huge, hitting 20 ft, but the wind is onshore, creating choppy, dangerous conditions. The combined energy is massive, hitting 14664, but it’s all wind and chop. Don’t even think about it.

So, to wrap it up: The Friday morning (28 August) is the absolute best on offer – a big, clean, long-period groundswell. The Wednesday (26 August) and the glassy mornings on Saturday (29 August) and Sunday (30 August) are also excellent. The 5 September morning is a potential second highlight, but it's a long way out. The rest is either small, blown out, or for the pros only.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
4
4
4
3
1
4
3
5
3
3
4
3
3
4
4
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
13
2.2
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.4
SW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.6
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
2.4
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1430
1583
2207
2187
2895
1975
1697
1107
731
772
1728
4959
3880
2907
1838
1215
961
944
2378
8154
Wind (km/h)
15
N
5
ENE
15
SSE
25
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
W
20
NW
10
WNW
5
SSE
10
ENE
5
W
10
S
5
NNE
5
NNW
10
S
10
NNE
Wind State
cross
on
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
Low Tide
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
 mm
11
1
Temp °C
14
14
12
13
11
12
12
12
14
15
13
14
14
12
14
14
12
15
14
13
Feels °C
11
11
9
9
6
9
9
11
11
12
9
13
13
11
13
12
11
14
12
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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