Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Issued: 9 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.9° C

1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,468 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Mon 6th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Mon 6th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 5th Jul)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Right, Rusty here again, this time in feet and miles per hour. Let’s get down to it for Blacknose Point.

We ain't lookin' at much to start. The first few days are pretty poor with messy wind and dodgy conditions. You’ll be waitin’ until Monday to find anything worth a look.

The first real chance of a decent session is Monday afternoon. The water’s running a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. We’ll have that clean, glassy surface with 7ft SSW groundswell with a 14-second period. That’s proper energy, and for a point break like this, those long lines are a treat. It will be crowded, that’s a given on a clean Monday at Blacknose.

The true standout is Wednesday the 15th. This is the one to aim for. Clean, offshore wind from the SW, with 8ft of that long-period groundswell from the SSW. It’ll hold its shape, have some punch, and be clean as a whistle with the offshore breeze. It’s an expert wave on offer, but the quality is high.

Then things get wild. The weekend of the 17th and 18th is bringin’ the big stuff. We’re talkin’ 20ft to 16ft swells. That’s monster territory for experts only. The energy readings are huge, the ocean's going to be a beast. The wind looks like it might clean up on the Friday afternoon, which is a hell of a prospect, but it’s a long way out. It's promising, but with that much size you have to be careful.

So, for the short term, wait for Monday. Long term, the absolute pick is Wednesday the 15th. The following weekend holds serious potential for a heavy, big-wave session, but only for those with the nerve for it. The rest is pretty average, so you gotta be picky.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
7
0
0
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
4
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.9
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.4
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3903
3912
10908
12313
8655
5431
2570
1674
1110
1852
1632
2238
5756
4777
2905
1647
1402
2770
1833
1542
1083
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
20
SSW
20
SSE
20
SE
20
ESE
15
ENE
10
N
5
NE
10
NNE
10
NE
10
ESE
10
NE
15
NE
10
ENE
10
NNE
10
N
10
NNE
20
N
20
N
20
N
25
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
3:03PM1.11m
2:18AM0.68m
3:24PM1.04m
3:03AM0.71m
3:42PM0.96m
3:55AM0.74m
3:50PM0.88m
5:03AM0.76m
3:36PM0.82m
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
Low Tide
9:55PM0.52m
8:13AM0.33m
10:08PM0.50m
8:50AM0.40m
10:23PM0.48m
9:27AM0.51m
10:39PM0.45m
10:02AM0.64m
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:27
 mm
Temp °C
12
11
11
12
12
10
11
13
12
11
11
11
11
12
10
11
12
10
13
12
11
Feels °C
7
6
6
7
7
5
8
11
10
9
8
8
8
9
7
8
9
6
8
7
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
4.5
SSW
16
4.5
SSW
17
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
14
2.1
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
13
1.9
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
2.4
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
Energy kJ
3903
3912
10908
12313
8655
5431
2570
1674
1110
1852
1632
2238
5756
4777
2905
1647
1402
2770
1833
1542
1083
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
ESE
6
0.4
ESE
6
0.6
SW
19
0.7
S
9
0.6
S
8
0.6
SSW
22
1.7
WSW
14
0.3
ESE
6
0.8
SW
20
0.2
SSE
8
0.1
SE
8
0.4
WNW
7
Energy kJ
30
13
284
83
52
337
1126
7
455
6
2
20
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
6
0.5
SSE
8
0.3
ESE
6
Energy kJ
6
38
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
ESE
8
0.7
NNW
4
0.5
N
3
0.7
NE
4
Energy kJ
46
13
5
14
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
8
9
9
3
4
4
3
2
2
2
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Distance (km)
221
221
214
214
381
22
7
0
7
22
22
22
22
22
7
7
7
7
67
67
67
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
7
4
4
4
4
2
4
6
7
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
8
9
9
7
4
4
8
7
4
6
9
8
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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