Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 12,710 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Blacknose Point, but this one is a heavyweight. If you’re not an experienced surfer, you’ll want to pick your windows carefully, because this stretch is going to pump serious size.
The first real action kicks off on Tuesday the 1st of September. It’s a bit of a warm-up with a 6ft SW swell, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off from the NW. The water is sitting at 58°, which is about a degree warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus. That swell energy is already pumping at 1765 (moderate), so it’s not a total loss, but it’s a bit marginal.
Now, the real standout is Thursday the 3rd of September. We’ve got a massive 16ft to 18ft SW swell rolling in, with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. That’s a lot of water. The wind on Thursday morning is a clean 22 mph offshore from the WSW, and by the afternoon it’s a 19 mph offshore from the W. The swell energy is insane – we’re talking 8802 in the morning and a whopping 22292 in the afternoon (strong to very strong). This is a day for the big guns only. The wave comment even says it’s predicted to be too big for this break for the afternoon, so if you’re not an expert, stay on the beach. This is the best the period has to offer, but it’s not for the faint of heart.
Friday the 4th sees the swell ease slightly to 15ft, still with a long 16-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore from the NNW and N, so it’s not as clean. Still a lot of energy (10732), but the chop will be a factor.
Saturday the 5th is a write-off. Winds are howling out of the W at 31 mph in the morning – near gale force. The 20ft swell is there, but it’s a mess. The afternoon is better with a 25 mph offshore, but with that much power (10179), it’s a battle to get out.
Things settle down by Sunday the 6th, with an 12ft SW swell and a light breeze, but it’s cross-shore, so the quality drops. Monday the 7th is small and onshore – not worth it.
The next really interesting window is Tuesday the 8th of September. The swell drops to 7ft, but the period stretches to 17 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the W, and the wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The energy is 3203 (moderate). This is a classic point-break day – long, lined-up waves, but it will be straight and fast at the beach.
Wednesday the 9th is another monster. 21ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a 28 mph cross-off wind from the S. The energy is 22634 (very strong). Again, the comment says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. This is the second big standout, but only for the dedicated chargers.
After that, from Thursday the 10th through to the end of the period, it’s a mix of large, lumpy surf and cleaner, more manageable 8ft to 13ft SW swells. The standout for the second week is Sunday the 13th of September. The morning is a bit onshore, but the afternoon turns glassy. An 8ft SW swell with a 14-second period and glassy conditions – “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” is the word. The energy is 2952 (moderate). That’s a clean, fun session for the crew that knows what they’re doing.
The very end of the run, on Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th, sees the swell drop to 3ft to 7ft, but with a very long 22-second period on the 15th. That’s a super long-period groundswell. The wind is offshore from the W, making for clean, glassy lines. Not huge, but beautiful.
Overall, if you’re a seasoned local, Thursday the 3rd and Wednesday the 9th are the big, heavy standouts. For the rest of us, the glassy afternoon on Sunday the 13th is the pick of the more manageable days.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue night, strong winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat morning, calm by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1521 | 2250 | 5341 | 5305 | 9701 | 8802 | 12710 | 10827 | 10732 | 9181 | 6945 | 9591 | 10179 | 6789 | 4458 | 2830 | 1243 | 816 | 746 | 1059 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 2:49AM0.96m | 2:03PM0.78m | 3:24AM0.96m | 1:52PM0.77m | 4:03AM0.92m | 1:29PM0.79m | 4:53AM0.85m | 12:36PM0.91m | 12:32PM0.96m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:13PM0.22m | 8:53AM0.44m | 8:25PM0.18m | 9:16AM0.56m | 8:39PM0.14m | 9:26AM0.68m | 8:56PM0.13m | 8:56AM0.77m | 9:13PM0.15m | 9:28PM0.20m | 9:34PM0.28m | |||||||||
— | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | 9 | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
1521 | 2250 | 5341 | 5305 | 6935 | — | 9582 | 10827 | 10732 | 9181 | 6945 | — | — | 6789 | 4458 | 2830 | 1243 | 816 | 746 | 784 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SW 17 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 16 | S 9 | S 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
11 | 671 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 311 | 254 | 94 | 46 | 322 | 1059 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SSE 8 | ESE 5 |
— | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 72 | 19 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | WSW 12 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | E 4 | — |
233 | — | — | — | 9701 | 8802 | 12710 | — | — | — | — | 9591 | 10179 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 27 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 748 | 235 | 7 | 7 | 86 | 623 | 719 | 702 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











