Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with 21,634 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 3.5m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 6th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 9th Sep)20ft (6.0m) 18s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)20ft (6.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for Blacknose Point. This is a solid point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, and it’s got some serious muscle coming our way. The water temperature is sitting at 57.9°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, nothing too wild but you’ll be glad for the extra degree.

The first action kicks off Saturday afternoon, September 5th, but it’s a rough start. We’ve got a 14.8 ft swell from the WSW, but with a strong 25 mph WNW cross-off wind and a marginal surf forecast, it’s going to be a messy, challenging session. The combined wave energy is high at 3848, but the conditions are just not there. I’d say give it a miss.

Sunday morning, September 6th, is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to a more manageable 11.5 ft from the WSW, but the period stretches to 14 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. With a light 9 mph offshore wind, it’s going to be clean and powerful. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but at 11.5 ft, it’s a big day. The energy is strong at 4453. Sunday afternoon keeps the offshore flow, with a 9.8 ft SW swell and 13-second period – still a solid option for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Monday the 7th keeps the quality going. Morning brings a 7.2 ft SW groundswell with a gentle offshore breeze, making for clean, lined-up waves. The energy is moderate at 1801. The afternoon sees a slight drop in size to 6.9 ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore, so it stays clean if a bit less punchy.

The first real standout is Tuesday, September 8th. The morning session has a 6.6 ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period – that’s some serious energy and will create those beautiful, long point-break walls. The offshore wind is moderate, and the combined energy is a strong 3713. For a point break, that long period is a dream, giving you time to set up and carve. The afternoon bumps up to 9.8 ft with a 16-second period, still offshore, but the energy is spiking to 4230. This is the day for the experienced surfer to have a real session.

But the absolute standout of the whole run is Wednesday, September 9th. The morning swell hits 14.8 ft from the SW, with a 16-second period and a combined energy of 13584 – that’s some serious grunt. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. By the afternoon, it goes full-bore: 18.0 ft from the SSW, 18-second period, and the energy is a monstrous 19098. The wind is fresh offshore, and while the forecast says marginal due to tide, the swell and wind combo for a point break is exceptional. This is a day for experts only, and it’s going to be a memory.

Thursday, September 10th, is also huge. Morning has a 18.0 ft SSW groundswell, 17-second period, and a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is 16649. The afternoon holds 16.4 ft with a 16-second period, still offshore and clean. Both sessions are rated as exceptional for experts. The crowd situation at Blacknose is “often” busy, so expect a few other hard-chargers out there for these days.

Friday, September 11th, the swell drops to 11.5 ft, still from the SSW, with a 14-second period. The morning has a light cross-offshore wind, making for clean but powerful surf. The energy is 4465. The afternoon sees the wind swing cross-shore, which will put a bit of a ripple on the face, so the morning is the better call.

Saturday, September 12th, the swell is 9.8 ft from the SW with a 16-second period, energy at 4471, but the wind is cross-shore, creating some chop. The afternoon improves with a lighter cross-offshore wind and a 8.2 ft SW swell, a cleaner option.

Sunday, September 13th, the swell drops to 5.9 ft in the morning with a cross-offshore wind, but it’s a bit weak. The afternoon picks up to 7.5 ft from the SW

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night).

Sat
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
5
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
7
8
!
9
9
6
5
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4.5
WSW
10
4
SW
12
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
13
2.4
SW
12
2.2
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.3
SW
12
2
SW
17
3
SW
16
4
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
5.5
SSW
18
6
SSW
18
5.5
SSW
17
5
SSW
16
4
SSW
15
3.5
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3848
4258
4258
3145
1711
1521
1408
1575
2339
4230
7293
8715
19098
21264
16649
11471
7140
4443
4671
6471
Wind (km/h)
40
WNW
30
WSW
15
W
20
W
15
W
15
SW
20
S
5
S
20
W
25
WSW
30
S
25
SW
30
SW
20
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
SW
10
SSW
10
SSE
15
NE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
High Tide
12:36PM0.91m
12:32PM0.96m
12:38PM0.98m
1:03AM0.43m
12:46PM0.97m
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
Low Tide
9:13PM0.15m
9:28PM0.20m
9:34PM0.28m
9:08PM0.38m
4:40AM0.39m
8:09PM0.45m
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:14
6:15
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
 mm
3
1
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
13
12
11
10
11
11
11
10
10
10
11
11
10
12
12
11
Feels °C
5
5
9
8
9
8
6
7
6
5
3
4
4
4
7
8
8
10
9
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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