Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a proper, solid window of surf on the horizon, but it's a bit of a slow build and a tale of two weekends. The prize is a massive session on Saturday the 22nd, but you'll have to be patient and pick your moments.

The main event is Blacknose Point. This spot is a fairly consistent, advanced-level point break that's fairly exposed to the SW swell. The water is sitting at 58°, which is a full degree and a half warmer than average for this time of year – a nice little bonus.

We kick off on Thursday the 20th. It's a bit of a slow start with a 7ft WSW swell (combined energy of 2745). The wind is a cross-off from the NNW, so it's clean but the conditions are just marginal. It's surfable, but don't expect much.

Friday the 21st sees the swell jump up to a solid 10ft from the WSW, with a 14-second period. The energy is impressive (8206 in the morning). But the wind is howling from the WNW at 15-19 mph. It's still cross-off, so the face will be clean, but that wind is strong. It's big, powerful, and for advanced surfs only.

Now, here's the standout. Saturday the 22nd is the call. The morning is looking exceptional. We've got a 15ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a massive 14367, and the wind is offshore from the WSW, blowing moderately at 16 mph. This is the kind of setup that turns a point break like Blacknose into a masterpiece. The water will be clean, the waves will be big and powerful, and it's a long-period groundswell that will wrap perfectly into the point. This is expert territory only – 15ft is no joke. The crowd factor is "often", so you'll want to be in the water early.

The swell drops back to a still-impressive 10ft on Sunday the 23rd with a 13-second period, but the wind switches to a cross-off from the NW. It's still clean, but the juice is gone from the previous day. The energy drops to 4593. It's still a good wave, but it's a comedown from the peak.

The following week, from Monday the 24th through to Wednesday the 26th, the swell hangs around the 7ft to 8ft range with decent periods. The wind is mostly cross-off or light, so you'll find clean, fun waves. The highlight in this stretch is Wednesday afternoon the 26th: a 7ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind goes to a light offshore from the WSW. The energy is low (1681), but it's glassy. It'll be a clean, lined-up point break that’s perfect for a longboard.

Things get messy from Thursday the 27th onwards. The wind turns onshore and cross-onshore, and the quality drops fast. The end of the month and start of September is a washout through to the 3rd with poor conditions and strong winds. There's a glimmer of hope on the 4th of September with a 13ft SW swell and a 15-second period, with offshore winds forecast, but we're talking about a date that's two weeks out. It's a promising long-range possibility, but don't pin your weekend on it yet.

So, bottom line: the absolute best on offer is the morning of Saturday the 22nd. It's a proper, world-class session. The rest of the week has some good, clean options, but that Saturday is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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