Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 11,009 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards. The big news is a solid run of SW groundswell hitting Blacknose Point, a classic point break that needs a clean offshore to really shine. The water’s sitting at 58°F which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit.
The first day on offer is Wednesday the 12th. It’s punchy – 13ft of SW swell, a very long 17-second period, and a fresh offshore breeze from the WSW. The combined energy is pumping at 9276, which is strong. But the rating’s marginal, and it’s only for advanced surfers. That long period will see the lines peel nicely down the point, but the power is serious. It’s a full-on session.
Thursday the 13th is the standout. First light Thursday morning you’ve got 15ft of SW swell at 16 seconds, a moderate offshore from the west, and the wave energy is massive at 10565. The conditions are dialled. This is as good as it gets for an expert surfer at Blacknose Point. The afternoon is still solid but the wind shifts a touch cross-off, so the morning is the pick.
Friday the 14th holds strong – 13ft SW swell, 16 seconds, and a clean offshore breeze in the morning. The energy is still high at 8064. The afternoon stays clean with a light offshore. Classic, powerful point surf.
Saturday the 15th drops a little – 12ft SW, but still at 15 seconds. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but not as perfect. The energy is moderate at 5050. Still good for experienced surfers.
Sunday the 16th is where it starts to fade. Swell drops to 8ft, but the wind turns cross and then cross-on, and the energy drops to 2793. It gets choppy and messy from there.
There’s a long gap of poor and marginal conditions from Monday the 17th right through to Friday the 21st. The swell is small, mostly onshore, and not worth paddling out for. The waves are blown out, and the energy is weak. It’s a dead period.
Things start to look interesting again on Saturday the 22nd. The afternoon brings a clean, strong offshore from the SW at 25 mph, with 12ft of SW swell at 16 seconds. The energy jumps back to 5650. Now that’s a strong offshore, so paddling out will be a battle, but the waves will be perfect. This is a late-day call for the brave.
Sunday the 23rd is another standout. Morning has 13ft SW at 15 seconds, a moderate offshore, and energy at 7631. The afternoon is even better – 16ft SW at 15 seconds, a clean moderate offshore, and energy at 10626. That’s exceptional, expert-only territory. The point will be a symphony of lines.
Monday the 24th holds at 16ft in the morning, with a moderate offshore, energy at 9354. The afternoon is a little windier but still clean. Another unreal session for the pros.
Tuesday the 25th is clean again with 16ft SW at 14 seconds, a light offshore in the morning, energy at 9288. The afternoon sees a light cross-shore, but still quality. The swell is hanging in.
After that, the wind starts to turn onshore from Wednesday the 26th, so the quality drops. The swell is still big but the surface gets bumpy.
So, the standout window is Thursday morning the 13th, and then Sunday the 23rd through Tuesday the 25th. Those are the sessions you want to clear your schedule for. The point break handles the long period beautifully, so expect long, fast walls. The crowds are often, so get there early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, light winds from the SW by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
10362 | 10565 | 9437 | 10402 | 8064 | 7612 | 6512 | 5476 | 4517 | 3420 | 2594 | 2521 | 1572 | 1314 | 2829 | 1760 | 1004 | 989 | 777 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:02AM0.54m | 1:36PM1.06m | 00:36AM0.66m | 1:46PM1.02m | 1:10AM0.76m | 1:55PM0.98m | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | 2:14PM0.94m | 2:57AM0.94m | 2:23PM0.92m | 3:34AM0.93m | ||||||
Low Tide | 6:01AM0.26m | 8:22PM0.51m | 6:41AM0.25m | 8:06PM0.47m | 7:17AM0.26m | 8:06PM0.40m | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | 8:17AM0.37m | 8:35PM0.26m | 8:44AM0.46m | 8:56PM0.22m | |||||||
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
10362 | 10565 | 9437 | 10402 | 8064 | 7612 | 6512 | 5476 | 4517 | 3420 | 2594 | 2521 | 1572 | 1314 | 2829 | 1760 | 1004 | 989 | 777 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SE 5 | SW 13 | S 11 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 12 | ESE 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 201 | 694 | 325 | 330 | 57 | 809 | 57 | 700 | 763 | 358 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | SSE 11 | SW 22 | ESE 5 | — | ESE 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 137 | 222 | 165 | 10 | — | 6 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 3 | NNE 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 66 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 212 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 67 | 67 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.











