Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 19,242 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 7th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 10th Sep)18ft (5.5m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 9th Sep)16ft (5.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

We're looking at a solid run of swell for Blacknose Point, a point break that's fairly consistent and handles a good mix of directions. The water's sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, about 2° above the norm. The energy from the swells is pretty strong, with the numbers early on hitting 1381 (moderate) and ramping up from there.

Monday the 7th is a bit of a write-off, honestly. We've got a clean 5-foot wave from the WSW in the morning, but the wind is a cross-off breeze at 15 mph, and the whole thing is a bit marginal. The afternoon sees a 7-foot SW swell, but it's the same story. Not the day to clear the diary.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning brings a 6- to 7-foot SW swell with a very long 17-second period, and the combined energy is a hefty 3654 (strong). The wind is a gentle cross-off, keeping things clean. The standout window is Tuesday afternoon, though. We're looking at a 10-foot SW swell, with a 16-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the west at 15 mph. The energy jumps to 4458 (strong). This is prime for experienced surfers, and the point will be handling that groundswell beautifully. Get on it.

Wednesday the 9th is a big one. We're talking a 16- to 18-foot SW swell, with periods of 19 and 17 seconds, and the energy is massive at 19242 (very strong) in the morning. The wind is a cross-off at 18 mph, but the swell size is only for the experts. It's a big, powerful groundswell, and the point will be the place to be, but it's not for the faint-hearted.

The rest of the week into the weekend is a mixed bag. Thursday the 10th offers a clean 16-foot SW swell in the morning with a moderate breeze, but the size is still big. By Friday the 11th, the wind turns cross-on, and the quality drops despite the 10- to 12-foot swell. Saturday the 12th afternoon looks a bit better, with an 8-foot SW swell and a very light cross-off breeze, making for clean conditions again.

There's a bit of a lull early in the second week. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are small and windy, with a 5- to 6-foot and 4-foot SW swell respectively, and fresh cross or cross-off winds. It's not worth the paddle.

The real standout for the second week is a toss-up. Tuesday the 15th brings a solid 10-foot SW swell with a 12-second period, and the wind is light, making for clean conditions. The energy is 2693 (strong). Then, the window from Monday the 21st to Tuesday the 22nd is looking very promising. We're seeing a 15-foot SW swell with a 16-second period on Monday, and the energy is over 10000 (very strong). The wind is light cross-shore, so there will be a little texture, but it's still very good. Tuesday the 22nd afternoon is the clear winner for the second week: a 13-foot SW swell, a 16-second period, and a moderate offshore wind from the west at 12 mph. The energy is 8390 (very strong), and it's described as exceptional for experts. That's the one to watch, but remember, it's a long-range call, so it's promising but not locked in.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
5
4
7
7
8
8
6
4
3
3
3
3
4
1
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
WSW
13
2.1
SW
9
2.3
SW
12
2
SW
17
3
SW
16
4
SW
16
5
SW
19
5.5
SSW
17
5.5
SSW
17
5
SSW
16
4
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
14
3
SSW
14
3.5
SSW
16
3.5
SSW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
749
628
1655
2375
4456
7832
19242
18106
17594
11329
8494
5046
3949
5392
5492
3410
2579
2947
1685
1281
936
Wind (km/h)
25
S
15
S
0
ENE
15
WNW
25
W
40
SSW
30
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
10
SE
5
ESE
15
SE
15
NE
15
NNW
5
SSW
20
N
30
N
20
NNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
12:32PM0.96m
12:38PM0.98m
1:03AM0.43m
12:46PM0.97m
00:10AM0.55m
12:52PM0.94m
00:21AM0.68m
12:58PM0.91m
00:44AM0.81m
1:05PM0.88m
1:11AM0.91m
1:12PM0.87m
1:40AM0.99m
Low Tide
9:34PM0.28m
9:08PM0.38m
4:40AM0.39m
8:09PM0.45m
5:41AM0.33m
7:26PM0.46m
6:20AM0.30m
7:08PM0.41m
6:52AM0.30m
7:07PM0.34m
7:20AM0.32m
7:17PM0.26m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:16
6:17
6:19
6:20
6:21
 mm
Temp °C
11
10
9
11
12
10
11
11
10
11
11
10
12
12
13
18
18
17
21
22
19
Feels °C
5
6
7
7
6
2
3
4
5
7
7
8
9
8
10
17
17
15
16
17
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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