Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th are pretty much a write-off – the wind is howling onshore and the waves are a mess. You’re better off staying home or doing a beach clean-up. The lumpy cross-chop isn’t doing anyone any favours. Things start to change on Thursday the 20th. The swell picks up to a clean 6.6ft from the west, with a decent 13-second period, and the wind swings cross-offshore. It’s still a bit rough around the edges, but it’s surfable. That trend continues into Friday the 21st, with the swell building to 9.8ft by the afternoon from the west-southwest, and the wind staying clean. The wave energy is getting serious now, hitting 6715 (moderate to strong), but it’s still a bit of a mixed bag.

Now, the real standout is Saturday the 22nd. This is the one you’ve been waiting for. We’re looking at 11.5ft of solid southwest swell, a 16-second period (long-period groundswell), and crucially, offshore wind from the west all day. The wave energy is through the roof at 5952. This is proper, powerful, clean surf. The reports say it’s excellent for experienced surfers – and they’re not wrong. With that size and power, this is for the crew who know how to handle a big, heavy point break. The crowd factor is something to be aware of; it’s “often” busy here, so get your timing right. The water temp is sitting at 58.1°F, which is about average for this time of year, so your usual spring suit will do.

Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th see the swell easing back a bit, but still offering clean, cross-off waves in the 7.5ft to 9.8ft range. It’s not the standout, but it’s a solid session.

The next big event is a long way out, so keep your eyes on it. Around Thursday the 27th of August, we get a massive pulse of energy. The swell jumps to 14.8ft on Thursday morning, and then by the afternoon it’s a whopping 23.0ft from the west-southwest, with a 14-second period. The combined energy reading is 17942, which is very strong. The wind is offshore and it’s clean, but it’s also a fresh breeze. This is huge, expert-only territory. The fact that it’s a point break will help with the shape, but this is still a serious, heavy day. The outlook improves into Friday the 28th, with 14.8ft of clean southwest swell, a gentle breeze, and a 15-second period. That’s a much more manageable, world-class window. The scores are highest here for the whole period, so if you can wait, this is the better bet.

The following week, from the 29th of August through to the 2nd of September, the swell holds steady in the 6.6ft to 14.8ft range, but the wind turns more cross-onshore, which takes the shine off. The best of that late run is Monday the 31st of August afternoon, when the wind drops to glassy, and we get a clean 6.9ft, 16-second groundswell from the southwest. That’s a beautiful, clean session for the crew who can read a long-period swell on a point.

So, the pick of the bunch is Saturday the 22nd of August for the big, clean, offshore swell – but that’s one for the experienced. The other real standout is Friday the 28th of August, with a slightly smaller but still solid 14.8ft swell and clean conditions. Get it in the diary.

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