Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 10,670 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
## Imperial
Alright, let’s talk feet and miles, folks. This is Rusty with your Blacknose Point forecast.
The first few days are a tease. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th have decent 5 to 8ft swell coming from the SW with a long period, but the wind is on it or cross-onshore, so you’ll be fighting chop. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th are just a bust – fresh winds, lumpy water, and no fun.
We see a glimmer of hope on Thursday the 20th. A clean cross-offshore breeze from the WNW sets up that 6 to 7ft swell from the W, with a 13-second period. The water temp is about normal for this time of year. It’s not the peak, but a good sign.
Friday the 21st is where the engines start to fire. Big 10ft SW swell in the morning, but the big standout is Friday afternoon. We get a solid 12ft swell from the WSW with a super long 17-second period, and a strong offshore wind from the west blowing at 25 mph. That’s a powerful combo, and it’ll be clean as a whistle. The wave energy is through the roof. This is for experts only.
Then comes the big one. Saturday the 22nd is your number one day. You’ve got a huge 13ft of SW swell holding firm, with a 14-second period. A moderate offshore wind from the WSW keeps it glassy and groomed all day. The energy is enormous. This is an absolute standout session for experienced surfers, and with crowds being likely at Blacknose, you’ll want to be early.
Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th still have 12ft swell with cross-offshore winds, which is still very good, but it doesn’t have the same magic as the full offshore.
After that, things get fickle. There’s a gap from Tuesday the 25th through to Wednesday the 27th with smaller swell and messy winds, except for a brief clean-up on the 27th morning with a smaller 4ft swell. Thursday the 28th sees some 7ft swell return, but the wind is onshore again. The rest of the month is a mix of small, choppy leftovers.
So mark your calendar. Saturday the 22nd of August at Blacknose Point is the one you don’t want to miss.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Fri afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 9 | W 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3468 | 2756 | 2557 | 2125 | 1256 | 2865 | 1760 | 1018 | 875 | 757 | 492 | 472 | 471 | 619 | 1659 | 864 | 3326 | 7183 | 5996 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:45AM0.85m | 2:04PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.91m | 2:14PM0.94m | 2:57AM0.94m | 2:23PM0.92m | 3:34AM0.93m | 2:30PM0.91m | 4:14AM0.90m | 2:30PM0.89m | 5:02AM0.85m | 2:15PM0.87m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:48AM0.31m | 8:17PM0.32m | 8:17AM0.37m | 8:35PM0.26m | 8:44AM0.46m | 8:56PM0.22m | 9:08AM0.55m | 9:19PM0.21m | 9:27AM0.65m | 9:41PM0.22m | 9:32AM0.73m | 10:01PM0.25m | |||||||
 |  | |  | |  |  | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | WSW 17 | — |
| kJ | 3468 | 2756 | 2557 | 2125 | 1256 | 2865 | 1760 | 1018 | 875 | 757 | 492 | 472 | 471 | 464 | 1401 | 819 | 3326 | 3339 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 13 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | 1077 | — | — | 224 | 809 | 166 | 700 | 600 | 311 | 11 | 3 | 69 | 231 | 388 | 219 | 864 | 1101 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 11 | SW 22 | S 10 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 9 | WNW 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | SW 17 | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 149 | 124 | 18 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 542 | — | 200 | 1420 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | SSE 11 | ESE 6 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NE 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 13 | — | NW 4 | WSW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 16 | — | 128 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 41 | 284 | 619 | 1659 | — | 6 | 7183 | 5996 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 212 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 206 | 125 | 196 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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