Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up.

The first week has a bit of a slow start, but the second half of the week is where things get real. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell building, and if you’re an experienced surfer, you’ll want to be watching the calendar.

Blacknose Point is the only spot on the radar, and it’s a point break, fairly exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The first couple of days, Monday and Tuesday, are a bit of a write-off – the swell is there but the wind is cross-shore, creating chop, and the wave comments are ‘marginal’. Not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday morning (22 July) things start to change. The wind swings offshore, clean. Swell is 5 ft from the SW at 12 seconds, but it’s still a bit small and the energy is moderate (850). By Wednesday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 8 ft from the SW, same 12-second period, and the wind is offshore. The combined energy jumps to 1871, so you’re getting some decent juice. This is where it starts to get interesting, but it’s still not the standout.

The real standout hits Thursday 24 July. Friday morning is the best of the best. We’ve got a solid 16 ft swell from the SSW with a 16-second period – that’s very long period groundswell, which is perfect for a point break like Blacknose Point. The wind is offshore from the W at 22 mph, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a massive 13210, which is strong. This is huge, powerful, and clean. Only for experts – over 8 ft, this is big stuff. The crowd profile says ‘often’, so expect company, but for a wave of this quality, it’ll be worth it.

Friday afternoon (24 July) the swell stays at 16 ft but the wind shifts to cross-off from the WNW, still clean but not quite as perfect. The energy drops a bit to 9766.

Saturday (25 July) and Sunday (26 July) still have excellent conditions for experienced surfers, with 13 ft to 10 ft swell and offshore winds, but the energy is declining. The standout is without a doubt Friday morning the 24th.

There’s a big gap in quality after that. The end of the month and start of August has some surfable days, but the wind turns cross-on or onshore, and the conditions get lumpy. The 1st of August is a complete write-off with poor surf conditions and strong cross-onshore wind. The 2nd and 3rd see a return of offshore wind, but the swell drops to 6 ft to 8 ft. The 4th of August has some cleaner conditions but the swell is small and from the S, with a shorter period of 11 seconds. Not a patch on that big Friday.

So, if you’re after the best, it’s Friday morning 24 July at Blacknose Point. Get on it.

Rusty.

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