Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the horizon for Blacknose Point.

We’ve got a solid run of swell coming through over the next couple of weeks, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The early part of the week is looking good for the experienced crew, but things get rowdy fast. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.

Wednesday morning kicks things off with a clean 6ft SW swell, period a solid 14 seconds. Winds are light offshore from the SW, so the face will be smooth. The combined energy is moderate (1961), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is a point break, so that long period is going to wrap in nicely. Wednesday afternoon stays clean, dropping a touch to 6ft but still with offshore W winds and that same quality.

Thursday morning gets a bit messier with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell holds at 4ft with a very long 16-second period. The afternoon cleans right up though, with a light offshore from the SW and the same 4ft groundswell. It’s clean, but not a standout.

Now, Friday is where it gets interesting. Friday morning sees the swell jump to 8ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, with a cross-offshore NW breeze. The energy is strong (3816). That’s big, clean, and powerful. But the real gem is Friday afternoon: glassy conditions, 8ft SW swell, still with that 15-second period. The wind is dead calm from the east. That’s as good as it gets for a point break. This is your standout early window. The crowd situation is worth keeping in mind though – it’s often busy here, so get in early.

Saturday and Sunday take a hit. The wind swings onshore and gets strong. Saturday morning has 8ft SW swell but a nasty cross-onshore N wind at 16 mph. It’s lumpy and choppy. Sunday is even worse with 22 mph winds from the north. Not worth paddling out. The swell hangs around, but the quality is poor.

Monday the 10th is a big one, but it’s for experts only. The swell jumps to 13ft from the SW, with a very long 18-second period. The energy is massive (8509). The wind is fresh offshore from the SW, so it’s clean, but at this size, it’s a serious paddle and a heavy drop. The afternoon is similar, though a bit less wind.

From Tuesday the 11th through to the end of the week, the swell stays huge, ranging from 12ft to 20ft. The wind is mostly offshore or cross-offshore, so the waves will look incredible, but it’s too big for this break. By Thursday the 13th, we’re looking at 20ft SW swell with a 17-second period and energy over 20,000. That’s a monster. The file even says it’s too big for the break. This is straight-up big-wave territory, only for the most experienced chargers.

The following week, from Monday the 17th, the swell drops back to a more manageable 6ft to 7ft, with clean offshore winds. It’s a nice return to form, but nothing compared to the Friday before.

Bottom line: Friday the 7th afternoon is the best early window – glassy, 8ft, and clean. After that, it’s a week of massive, clean swell that’s only for the brave. Then it settles down again.

- Rusty

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