Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.4°C
0.8° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 7,394 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 28th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 31st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 4th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down for Blacknose Point. This is an advanced, fairly consistent point break that’s exposed to a nice SSW swell, and for the next 16 days, it’s pretty much all about this one spot. There’s a bit of a gap at the start—the first proper surf kicks off Friday afternoon, the 28th of August.

Water temps are sittin’ around 57.9°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so nothin’ to get worked up about.

Friday afternoon kicks things off with a solid 9.8 ft SW groundswell at a long 16-second period. Winds are light cross-off from the SSW, and the combined wave energy is beefy at 3888—that’s plenty of power. This is proper, clean, experienced surf. This is a standout early call.

Saturday morning, the 29th, cleans right up with offshore WSW breeze at 6 mph, dropping to 7.5 ft SW swell. The energy’s still strong at 2222, and it’s glassy—perfect for those long, drawn-out rides. Afternoon sees the breeze up a notch to 9 mph, still offshore, and 7.2 ft sets keep rollin’. It’s a solid, clean day.

Sunday the 30th holds. Morning brings light offshore SW wind at 6 mph with 8.2 ft SW swell and energy at 2545. Afternoon the swell bumps back to 9.8 ft, still offshore, and the energy climbs to 2752. Clean and powerful—another quality session.

Monday the 31st is a cracker in the morning. That 9.8 ft SW groundswell is still pumpin’, period at 14 seconds, and with a slight air breeze from the NW, it’s glassy. The energy jumps to 4068. This is the pick of the week for me. Afternoon the wind swings onshore (east/southeast) and the sets get a bit crossed up, still 8.2 ft but less tidy.

Tuesday the 1st of September turns ugly. A strong north-northwest wind at 19 mph messes up the 8.2 ft swell and the energy drops to 2947. It’s lumpy. That trend continues into the afternoon with 25 mph cross-off winds, but it stays clean—still more of a pull than a pleasure ride.

Wednesday the 2nd improves. Morning has 9.8 ft SW swell with a gentle cross-off breeze, and the energy is 3780. By the afternoon, it goes offshore again at 16 mph, with 9.8 ft sets and energy of 3761. That’s a good, solid session for advanced surfers.

Thursday the 3rd gets serious. Morning swell is 11.5 ft with a fresh cross-off breeze, and the energy hits 5069. It’s clean but it’s big—only for the experienced crew. Afternoon gets lighter rain and a strong cross-off wind at 25 mph, still 11.5 ft sets, but the energy tops 5413. It’s still clean, but it’s a handful.

Friday the 4th of September is another standout. Morning offshore W wind at 19 mph, 13.1 ft SW swell, and energy at 6083. That’s a lot of water moving. Afternoon holds 13.1 ft, 15-second period, clean with cross-off breeze, energy up to 7293. This is the heaviest, most powerful day on offer. Expert-only territory.

Saturday the 5th is still big, but messy. An 11.5 ft swell with cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. Energy at 5412. Afternoon turns wild: 21.3 ft WSW swell with a 12-second period and energy of 11,265. That’s extreme. The wind is fresh cross-shore, so it’s a bit of a washing machine—probably more for the kites out there than paddle surfers.

Sunday the 6th cleans up again. Strong offshore WSW wind at 25 mph with a 14.8 ft SW swell, energy at 5451. It’s clean but very hard to paddle into. Afternoon stays offshore with 11.5 ft sets at 4763 energy. Still a tough paddle, but the shape should be good on the point.

Monday the 7th sees a moderate cross-off breeze with 11.5 ft swell, energy around 2900. It’s clean but not the pick of the week. Tuesday the 8th of September is a nice

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Tue afternoon).

Fri
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
3
1
1
4
3
4
4
3
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
3
SW
13
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
2.5
WSW
14
3
SW
16
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3880
3204
2201
1668
1819
2239
2752
2923
3099
2630
4123
2944
1776
2907
3778
3761
4782
5069
5081
4646
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
SW
15
SW
5
W
5
NW
5
SE
20
NNW
30
NNW
40
WNW
20
WSW
15
W
25
W
25
NW
30
NW
40
WNW
40
W
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
1:46PM0.93m
1:49AM0.86m
1:58PM0.87m
2:18AM0.93m
2:04PM0.82m
2:49AM0.96m
2:03PM0.78m
3:24AM0.96m
1:52PM0.77m
Low Tide
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
7:24AM0.25m
7:56PM0.32m
7:55AM0.28m
8:03PM0.27m
8:25AM0.35m
8:13PM0.22m
8:53AM0.44m
8:25PM0.18m
9:16AM0.56m
8:39PM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
4
1
1
1
7
3
Temp °C
12
10
11
11
10
12
11
10
13
14
13
20
14
14
13
13
12
13
14
11
Feels °C
9
8
8
7
7
9
8
9
12
12
10
14
6
9
8
7
7
6
6
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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