Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 15,631 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 10th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 14th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 14th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey team, Rusty here. Let’s get into the outlook for the next couple of weeks. We’ve just got the one break on the map, and it’s a point break that’s going to pump, but you gotta be smart about when you paddle out. The swell is going to be huge, and the wind is going to play ball. This is not a learner spot right now.

Kicking off on Monday the 10th, there’s already a big pulse at Blacknose Point. We’re looking at a 10-foot SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period. Water temp is 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal. The energy is massive (4804), but Monday morning has a fresh 35 km/h cross-off wind from the SSW. It’s clean but it’s a beast. Monday afternoon turns proper offshore from the SW at 30 km/h with the same 10-foot swell. This is serious, powerful, lined-up surf for the experienced only.

Tuesday the 11th is a bit of a breather. The swell drops to 8 feet and the wind is a cross-shore from the NNW. It’s okay, but not the highlight.

Now, lock in. The gold starts Wednesday the 12th. The swell jumps to 13 feet of SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 30 km/h all day. The energy is monstrous (9871). This is a powerful, clean point break. Thursday the 13th is even bigger, with 15-foot SW swell in the morning and a moderate offshore breeze. The energy hits a staggering 10034. The afternoon stays clean with 13-foot surf.

The absolute best day of the entire run is Friday the 14th. 16-foot SW groundswell, a 17-second period, and a beautiful offshore wind from the W at 20 km/h. The energy is off the charts at 12605. This is exceptional, expert-level, A-grade surf. Crowds are likely here often, so get there early.

Saturday the 15th is still a fantastic session. The swell eases to a very solid 12 feet from the SW, and the wind goes light and cross-off from the S at just 10 km/h. Glassy, clean conditions for experienced surfers. A brilliant option if Friday is too wild.

From there, things go downhill. From Sunday the 16th through the middle of the following week, the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, and the swell fades. There’s a real dry spell of poor conditions from around the 17th to the 20th with weak energy and messy winds. Don’t bother.

There’s a late pulse around the 22nd with 10-foot WSW swell and a strong offshore from the W, but the wind is howling and the quality is questionable. Another big spike hits on the 23rd with 12-foot SW swell at 17 seconds, but the cross-shore wind kills it.

The tail end of the run on the 24th and 25th sees the offshore winds return, with 10-foot to 13-foot SW swell on Monday, dropping to 8 feet by Tuesday the 25th. That Tuesday afternoon looks really clean with light winds, but it’s a long way off.

My number one pick is Friday, August 14th at Blacknose Point. That 16-foot SW groundswell with perfect offshore wind is a proper day of heavy, lined-up surf. If you want something slightly more manageable, Saturday the 15th with its lighter winds and still hefty 12-foot swell is your best bet.

Respect the ocean, crew. This is serious size.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
2
2
1
7
6
6
7
6
8
9
7
5
5
5
4
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
4
SW
16
4
SW
17
4
SW
16
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
5
SW
17
5
SW
17
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4804
4112
4414
2724
1922
3177
7329
8176
8522
10034
7681
13669
12605
9196
6589
5351
4982
4078
3126
2427
1367
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
30
SW
20
W
25
NNW
25
NW
30
NNW
30
WSW
30
WSW
30
W
25
WSW
25
W
25
WNW
20
W
20
WSW
15
SW
10
S
10
S
10
SE
15
SSE
15
SE
10
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
12:51PM1.08m
1:09PM1.10m
11:18PM0.43m
1:24PM1.09m
00:02AM0.54m
1:36PM1.06m
00:36AM0.66m
1:46PM1.02m
1:10AM0.76m
1:55PM0.98m
1:45AM0.85m
2:04PM0.95m
2:21AM0.91m
Low Tide
11:39PM0.34m
10:26PM0.43m
5:05AM0.30m
9:03PM0.50m
6:01AM0.26m
8:22PM0.51m
6:41AM0.25m
8:06PM0.47m
7:17AM0.26m
8:06PM0.40m
7:48AM0.31m
8:17PM0.32m
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part cloud
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light rain
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cloud
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part cloud
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part cloud
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
 mm
1
1
1
2
Temp °C
13
13
11
15
14
13
12
12
13
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
13
13
Feels °C
7
7
6
9
8
7
5
6
7
8
9
8
8
8
9
9
9
8
9
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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