Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.9° C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 18,424 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 25th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 29th Jul)20ft (6.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I'm looking at the next couple of weeks for Blacknose Point.

We've got a solid run of surf coming up, but it's not for the faint of heart. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, a nice little anomaly.

The action kicks off on Saturday the 25th. Blacknose Point is a point break that's fairly consistent and fairly exposed to the swell. We've got a solid 12ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 3072 (moderate). The wind is offshore from the W at 16 mph, so conditions are clean. This is big, powerful stuff – definitely for experienced surfers only.

Sunday the 26th is a good call too. The swell drops a bit to 8ft, still from the SW with an 11-second period. The wind is a lighter cross-offshore breeze, keeping things clean. Combine that energy (1447) and you've got a very good day of surfing. The afternoon holds in at 7ft with similar conditions.

You'll want to keep an eye on Wednesday the 29th. That morning, we see a massive 16ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period – the energy reading is a whopping 12831 (strong). The wind is SSW cross-offshore at 19 mph. This is a serious, serious swell. It's a 7 out of 10 for quality, but the size and power make it purely for experts. The afternoon drops to a still-considerable 13ft.

Thursday the 30th is a sweet spot. The swell settles to 8ft in the morning, still SW, but the wind turns light offshore from the SW at 6 mph. That's glassy, clean conditions right there. The afternoon is nearly as good with a 8ft swell and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. This is excellent, manageable surf for experienced surfers.

The first week of August brings a promising run of big, long-period groundswells. On the 1st, we've got a 8ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 4425. Then on the 5th, look out for a 8ft SW swell with a 19-second period and a 5289 energy reading, with light winds. That's a lot of water moving.

Now, the bad news. From the 6th of August onwards, the wind turns onshore and stays that way through the 9th. The swell is still there, but it's going to be choppy and messy. The 8th shows a 10ft SW swell, but with a 19 mph onshore wind, it's a complete write-off for paddle surfing. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for the kite crew than us.

There's a couple of days in early August where the cross-offshore wind is present, but the swell is a bit lumpy. Overall, the standout window is the last week of July, where the conditions and the swell align for some serious, clean waves at Blacknose Point.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu night).

Sat
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
1
0
1
2
2
2
0
7
5
3
4
4
3
2
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
2.3
SW
11
2.1
SW
11
2
SW
11
2.2
SW
12
2.3
SW
12
3.5
W
11
3
W
11
2.5
SW
14
4.5
SW
13
5
SW
16
4
SW
14
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2
SW
12
1.9
SW
12
1.9
SW
11
1.8
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3060
2111
1270
1034
918
1278
1518
2646
2032
2626
7073
12831
6375
2917
2180
1651
1150
1029
866
940
Wind (km/h)
25
W
20
WSW
15
W
15
W
20
NNW
25
NNW
25
N
35
NW
35
NW
35
W
45
SW
30
SSW
25
SSW
20
SSW
10
SW
15
SW
5
WSW
10
NNW
10
W
15
NW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:23PM1.04m
12:40PM1.09m
12:59PM1.12m
11:50PM0.50m
1:19PM1.13m
00:28AM0.55m
1:40PM1.13m
00:57AM0.60m
1:59PM1.11m
1:25AM0.66m
Low Tide
00:46AM0.38m
2:40AM0.39m
4:24AM0.36m
9:17PM0.48m
5:21AM0.32m
8:55PM0.47m
6:04AM0.28m
8:48PM0.46m
6:41AM0.25m
8:48PM0.44m
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:37
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:43
 mm
1
1
1
4
4
4
1
Temp °C
14
13
14
14
13
14
15
14
12
9
10
11
11
10
11
11
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
9
9
11
11
10
9
9
6
5
0
1
3
4
4
7
7
8
9
9
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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