Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 18,392 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 4.5m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into what's brewing for Blacknose Point.
Things start off slow. The first real surf to get excited about is on Thursday, July 9th. We're looking at a solid 6ft groundswell from the SW. The water is running a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, at about 60°. The wind is light from the ENE, which should keep it clean, but the tide might be a little tough to work with. It's a decent session to get the arms moving, but nothing to get too hyped about.
The big stuff hits on Sunday, July 12th. It's going to be massive – a proper 18ft of WSW swell. The energy in the water is off the charts. This is for experts only, and the offshore wind from the W will keep it clean, but you'll be fighting like a demon to get out. The absolute standout is Monday, July 13th. The numbers are bonkers: 16ft of WSW swell, with a 15-second period and a staggering energy reading. The wind is offshore, and the conditions are clean. The forecast even warns it might be too big for this break. That's the one for the elite chargers.
After that big pulse, the swell drops but stays solid. The next best window is Wednesday, July 15th, with 11ft of SW groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the WSW at 6 mph, making for glassy conditions. It's a lot more manageable than the weekend but still a powerful wave for experienced surfers. The session on Thursday, July 16th, offers a nice drop to 6ft with clean conditions, a good one to recover.
Looking into the second week, things get a bit more uncertain. The standout there is a weird one on Tuesday, July 21st. The swell is tiny at 2ft, but it's coming from the SW with a ridiculously long 21-second period. That's a deep-water groundswell that will be breaking straight at the beach. For a point break like Blacknose, that long period could actually make for some long, clean lines if the banks are right – it's a gamble. Then, Wednesday, July 22nd, brings a nice 7ft SW swell with clean offshore winds, a solid option for experienced surfers.
The end of the run, on Thursday, July 23rd, looks like it's going to be another big one. The Thursday afternoon shows a 16ft SW swell with incredible energy. The forecast is saying it's too big again, so keep that in mind. The wind is onshore, too, which will make it a messy, choppy mess.
Bottom line: The best of the best is the Monday, July 13th, session before it gets too wild. The other big standout is the glassy Wednesday, July 15th. If you're in the water for the big stuff on the 12th and 13th, you're a legend. The smaller swells around the 16th and 22nd are your best bets for a clean, fun session without the full-on adrenaline.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the WNW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon night, light winds from the WSW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1421 | 2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 1137 | 9281 | 10537 | 10148 | 9963 | 12089 | 9059 | 18392 | 14757 | 12556 | 8955 | 6021 | 4222 | 2125 | 1325 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | ||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | |||||||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | |  |  | |  | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 |
 | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | 5:30 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | 4 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1421 | 2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 864 | — | — | — | 7069 | 7114 | 96 | 13567 | 14757 | 12556 | 8955 | 6021 | 4222 | 2125 | 1325 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | W 6 | W 8 | NE 6 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 835 | — | — | — | 3 | 200 | 2 | — | — | — | 1172 | 521 | — | — | — | — | — | 163 | 1006 | 759 | 464 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | 546 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 32 | 75 | 1137 | 9281 | 10537 | 10148 | 9963 | 12089 | 9059 | 18392 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 67 | 206 | 565 | 714 | 719 | 687 | 7 | 558 | 558 | 691 | 234 | 426 | 235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.
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