Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, hard look at what Blacknose Point has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a point break, which means we’re looking at those nice, long lines when the conditions line up, but we gotta be picky about the wind and tide.

The water's sitting at about 58°F, which is a touch warmer than we'd normally see for this time of year.

The first real shout of surf comes in on Thursday the 20th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the west with a modest 13-second period, and the combined wave energy is up there at 2722. The wind is a cross-off from the NW at 9 mph, which keeps things clean, but the note says the conditions are marginal. It’s not a total write-off, but you’d be hunting for a peak.

Friday the 21st sees a real bump in size. We're looking at a solid 10ft swell from the WSW with a lovely long period of 14 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 8206, which has some serious grunt. The catch is the wind is a solid 16 mph from the WNW. That’s still cross-off, but that breeze is going to make it a bit of a wrestling match for a point break. This is big, powerful stuff, definitely for experienced surfers only.

Now, Saturday the 22nd. This is where my eyes light up. We’ve got an 12ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period. The combined swell energy is a massive 5637. But the key here is the wind. It’s offshore, from the WSW at 16 mph in the morning, and from the west at 12 mph in the afternoon. This is the real deal. The notes are calling it ‘excellent’ for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the window. Expect a fast, powerful, hollow point break on offer. These waves have serious momentum; with that period and size, it’s going to be a proper test of your paddle fitness and drop. The crowds will likely be out for this one, as it’s often busy here.

Sunday the 23rd keeps things very solid with a 10ft SW swell, but the wind swings back to a cross-off from the NW at 12 mph. It’s still clean but not as perfect as Saturday.

Monday the 24th is interesting. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-off wind, but hang in there for the afternoon. The wind goes offshore from the WSW at 12 mph, and we get another 10ft pulse from the WSW (energy at 5437). Another top session for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are both looking like clean, solid days. Tuesday morning kicks off with a light 6 mph offshore from the west, with a 10ft SW swell (3327 energy). Wednesday stays in that sweet spot with an even lighter 6 mph offshore breeze from the WSW and a 7ft swell. The sets will have plenty of push, but the light wind will make them glassy and manageable. These are the days for the decent surfer who wants power without the full-on Saturday chaos.

Thursday the 27th sees a drop in the swell to 6ft and the wind goes cross-shore. It’s not the best. Friday the 28th is a write-off as the wind goes onshore and cross-onshore with a 10ft swell, turning it into a messy, choppy mess. That looks more like a kitesurfing setup than a paddle session.

The beginning of September is a bit of a blank run. From the 2nd to the 4th, the swell drops right out and the wind is all over the shop. There's a glimmer of hope on Friday the 4th afternoon, with a clean offshore wind and an interesting 5ft swell from the SW with a very long 19-second period. The energy jumps up to 2036. That late-period groundswell could make for some clean, lined-up waves here at the point, but it’s a promise a long way out. Let’s just call it a promising whisper for now.

So, if you're an experienced surfer, get your schedule clear for Saturday the 22nd of August. That’s the one you don’t miss. Monday the 24th afternoon and Tuesday the 25th morning are your other top-tier picks. The rest is a mix of fun but tricky conditions or flat spells.

Rusty.

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