Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Blacknose Point. This is a point break that holds a bit of a grudge against the wind, but when it all lines up, it’s a proper gem. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, and there’s definitely some fire on the horizon.

At the start, the water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you’ll notice you don’t need the thickest suit.

The first swell worth paddling out for hits on Friday the 10th. It’s a 7ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, but the wind is a cross-on from the north at 12 mph. The wave energy is moderate (1671), but that wind will chop it up. It’s marginal, but it’s a start.

Saturday the 11th is a write-off in the morning with 25 mph cross-on wind and messy surf. The afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind, but the swell is a short-period 8ft from the west. Not great.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 12th delivers a massive 20ft WSW swell with a 12-second period and strong offshore wind from the west at 28 mph. The combined energy is massive (9677). This is a serious, expert-only wave. That offshore wind will make it look like a postcard, but paddling in will be a battle. It’s a standout for the brave.

Monday the 13th keeps the party going with 18ft to 20ft SW groundswell, 15-second periods, and cross-off wind. The energy is monstrous (14741 to 17345). The waves will be clean and powerful, but this is still deep water.

The absolute best on offer is Tuesday the 14th. 16ft to 15ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, combined with moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is still pumping (12407 to 9561), but the wind is lighter, making for a much cleaner, more manageable session for experienced surfers. This is the day to circle on the calendar. Expect crowds here, as it’s often busy.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see the swell dropping from 12ft to 8ft, with clean conditions and light winds. Thursday afternoon looks particularly nice with a light breeze and glassy conditions.

The 17th is a Friday treat. A 10ft, 16-second SW groundswell, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a magic window. The energy is still solid (4828), and the conditions will be perfect. A real standout for the experienced surfer.

Then we hit a dry patch. From Saturday the 18th through to Monday the 20th morning, it’s all poor conditions with strong winds and lumpy, messy surf. The swell drops off, and the wind is a mess. Not worth looking at.

Monday the 20th afternoon shows a bit of life again with a 10ft WNW swell and clean cross-off wind, but it’s short period and not a standout.

The pattern picks up again on Wednesday the 22nd with a massive 20ft to 23ft WSW swell, but the wind is cross and cross-on, making it lumpy. The energy is huge (9832 to 17076), but the quality is poor. Not for paddle surfing; this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing.

The long-range standout is Thursday the 23rd. An 18ft, 16-second SW groundswell with moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is cranked (15857), and the conditions are clean. This is another exceptional day for experts, but being a week and a half out, it’s promising but less certain.

Friday the 24th holds good size at 18ft to 13ft, with clean conditions, but the energy drops off. After that, it fades back to smaller, clean but unremarkable surf through the weekend.

Rusty.

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