
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 21,769 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 7.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 5.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 7.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 23ft (7.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Blacknose Point.
Alright, we’ve got a pretty solid run of surf coming, but it’s a bit of a slow start. The first reading on Saturday morning is a write-off – strong cross-onshore wind and messy surf. You’d be better off staying in bed. The afternoon looks cleaner but the wind is still a factor, and the swell is a bit of a lumpy 9.8 ft at 9 seconds. Not the best.
The real action kicks off Sunday morning with a big pulse. We’re talking a solid 19.7 ft of WSW groundswell, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a lot of juice, with combined energy of 9923 – strong stuff. The wind is offshore, so the waves will be clean, but let’s be real, at 19.7 ft, this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon is similar, a touch smaller at 18.0 ft. This is the standout for the big-wave crew.
Monday keeps the power on with 18.0 ft to 19.7 ft of SW swell, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is through the roof, hitting 16756 in the afternoon. Clean conditions with cross-off winds. Again, this is not for the faint of heart.
Tuesday is the true highlight for the more experienced, but not suicidal, surfer. The morning has 16.4 ft of SW swell at 15 seconds, with a clean offshore wind. The energy is still strong at 11778, but the wind is a bit lighter. This is the best combination of size, power, and clean conditions in the whole run. The water temp is 59.9°F, which feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
Wednesday sees a drop in size to 11.5 ft, and by Thursday we’re down to 8.2 ft. The wind stays light, so the clean conditions continue. Friday could be a sneaky good one with a light, glassy afternoon and a 9.8 ft SW swell at 15 seconds. The energy is moderate at 3908, but the glassy conditions will make it feel much better.
After that, the swell drops off. Saturday the 18th is a write-off with choppy, cross-shore wind. Sunday the 19th is a bit messy. The next week (from 20th July onwards) looks smaller and more modest, with 6.6 ft to 9.8 ft of swell and mostly clean conditions, but nothing to get too excited about. The wind is light and offshore for a few days, which is nice, but the energy is moderate. The final days of the 16-day window see a return of strong wind and messy surf, so it’s a mixed bag.
So, the standout? Tuesday, 14th July. That’s the one. 16.4 ft of SW groundswell, clean offshore wind, and strong energy. For the big-wave experts, Sunday and Monday are the peak. For everyone else, the second week is a bit of a gamble.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
874 | 1528 | 10348 | 9923 | 9410 | 10352 | 15293 | 16756 | 15606 | 11778 | 9071 | 6448 | 4081 | 3065 | 2424 | 2724 | 2534 | 5310 | 5399 | 3900 | 2185 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | 2:13PM1.14m | 00:34AM0.66m | 2:28PM1.09m | 1:26AM0.73m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | 6:16AM0.23m | 9:15PM0.59m | 7:00AM0.24m | 9:01PM0.56m | ||||||||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | NNE 5 | — | — | SSW 23 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
874 | 2 | — | — | 50 | 319 | 15293 | — | 15606 | 11778 | 9071 | 6448 | 4081 | 3065 | 2424 | 2724 | 2534 | 5310 | 5399 | 3900 | 2185 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 21 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
89 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 112 | 45 | 136 | 61 | 21 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SSW 22 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — |
— | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 45 | 134 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
71 | 1528 | 10348 | 9923 | 9410 | 10352 | — | 16756 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 206 | 465 | 465 | 691 | 1021 | 196 | 558 | 558 | 205 | 221 | 501 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










