Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.7° C
1.1° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 7,429 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 20th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up. The next couple of weeks are gonna be a mixed bag, but there are some real gems buried in there if you’re willing to wait for 'em.

Blacknose Point is our only spot firing, and it’s a classic point break. The water’s sitting at about 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus if you’re paddling out.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. This weekend and Monday are looking pretty average with some onshore or cross-onshore winds messing with the shape. The swell’s there, around 5 ft to 8 ft, but the quality just isn’t. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse with onshore winds and rain, so don’t bother.

Thursday the 20th is where we start to see a change. The wind swings to a cross-offshore, the swell holds around 8 ft from the WSW with a solid 13-second period. It’s not perfect, but it’s clean and the wave energy is moderate (2298). That’s a good sign for a late afternoon session if you’re keen.

The real standout, though, is Saturday the 22nd. We’ve got a 13 ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period – that’s proper, long-period groundswell. This kind of energy (6587) is strong, and it’s gonna wrap beautifully around this point. The wind is offshore, blowing at 12 mph, so the faces will be clean and hollow. This is expert territory – that size is serious, and the point will handle it well, but if you’re not comfortable in big, powerful surf, stay on the sand. The morning and afternoon are both looking excellent.

Sunday the 23rd drops off a bit with onshore wind returning, but the swell is still solid at 12 ft. Not one for the casual surfer.

Then, if you can hold out, Thursday the 27th is another absolute belter. Glassy conditions – zero wind in the morning, barely a breath in the afternoon – and a 8 ft to 8 ft SW swell with a 15- to 16-second period. The energy is still strong (3297). This is going to be clean, lined-up, and a joy to surf. The point will be working beautifully. Again, it’s a bit on the bigger side, so not a beginner’s day, but for anyone with experience, this is the session to circle.

There’s also a sneaky good afternoon on Friday the 28th with a 4 ft SSW groundswell of 19 seconds – very long period. Light offshore wind, clean. That’s a long-period gem for the point.

So, overall, the first week is a write-off. Saturday the 22nd and Thursday the 27th are your two big standouts. The 22nd is for the big-wave crew; the 27th is for anyone who wants clean, powerful, long-period waves. The crowds at Blacknose Point can be an issue, so expect company on those days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Sun morning, fresh winds from the N by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu night, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
5
4
4
5
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
2.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
2
W
8
2.4
WSW
13
2.3
WSW
13
2.4
W
12
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
13
3.5
SW
13
4
SW
15
4
SW
14
4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2756
2557
2020
1256
2865
1760
1033
793
757
512
551
559
1828
1733
1679
4591
3778
4169
6587
5842
6957
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
15
SE
15
ENE
15
ENE
20
E
20
NE
25
NE
25
NNE
30
NNE
35
N
25
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
35
WSW
35
SW
20
SW
20
WSW
20
NW
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
2:04PM0.95m
2:21AM0.91m
2:14PM0.94m
2:57AM0.94m
2:23PM0.92m
3:34AM0.93m
2:30PM0.91m
4:14AM0.90m
2:30PM0.89m
5:02AM0.85m
2:15PM0.87m
6:41AM0.80m
1:31PM0.87m
Low Tide
8:17PM0.32m
8:17AM0.37m
8:35PM0.26m
8:44AM0.46m
8:56PM0.22m
9:08AM0.55m
9:19PM0.21m
9:27AM0.65m
9:41PM0.22m
9:32AM0.73m
10:01PM0.25m
8:11AM0.79m
10:16PM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
mod rain
cloud
rain showers
clear
light rain
rain showers
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:57
5:58
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
 mm
1
7
2
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
15
17
15
15
13
14
13
15
13
14
14
12
14
12
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
9
8
8
12
13
11
11
8
9
7
10
7
8
9
9
8
5
2
6
7
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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