Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you need to know: the water’s sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you might not need the thickest wetsuit.

Okay, so we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Wednesday morning, July 8th. Before that, it’s just a bunch of choppy, cross-onshore junk with very marginal conditions. That Wednesday morning kicks off with a clean 10ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds, with moderate wave energy (5691). The wind is offshore and light, so it should be clean, but the swell’s already over 8ft – this is really only for the experienced crew.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th drop back a bit, with 6ft to 8ft of SW swell, but the wind stays cross or cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be great. Saturday the 11th is basically a write-off – strong winds, messy, and a total zero.

Then we hit a quiet patch. Sunday the 12th is tiny and wet, and Monday the 13th brings back a big 12ft to 10ft SW groundswell (14-16 seconds) but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s only a 5 out of 10 at best.

Now here’s the standout: Tuesday morning, July 14th. You get a clean 7ft WSW swell with light offshore wind – that’s your ticket. The wave energy is solid (2655), and for an advanced spot like this, it’s the best quality in the first week. Clean, powerful, and that offshore wind will keep the faces perfect. Crowds are often here, so expect some company.

The following Saturday, July 18th, is another big alert. The afternoon session sees a 13ft WSW swell with light cross-off wind and clean conditions. That’s expert territory again, but the energy is strong (5851) and it’s going to be a beast.

But the real epic moment – if it holds – is Sunday morning, July 19th. Glassy conditions, 13ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds, and the wave energy is pumping (6834). That’s about as perfect as it gets for a big wave session at a point. Wind is dead calm – glassy – and it’s going to be an absolute dream. That’s the one to circle on the calendar, even if it’s more than a week away.

After that, Monday the 20th brings a massive 16ft to 20ft SW/WSW swell with extreme energy (12649 to 32155), but it’s going to be way too big for this break. Only for the true kamikaze crew.

Overall, the first week is slow and messy, but the second week has some absolute gems, with Tuesday the 14th and Sunday the 19th being the clear standouts. Keep an eye on that glassy Sunday.

Rusty.

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