Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.9° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 8,236 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's get into it. The first solid surf to talk about isn't until Friday the 21st of August, so there's a bit of a flat spell right now. Don't stress, it won't last long.

Alright, let's talk about the main event. The standout for the whole forecast is Blacknose Point. This is a point break, so it handles swell well. Friday the 22nd of August... that's the one. We've got a solid 15ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period, and the wind is WSW offshore at 16 mph. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is normal for this time of year. The combined energy is massive at 7644 (moderate to strong). This is big, powerful, and clean. Only for the experts though – anything over 8ft is serious business. This is heavy, long-period groundswell, so it'll be lining up beautifully on the point, but it's a proper mission. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.

Saturday the 22nd afternoon holds at 13ft SW, still with offshore wind, and Sunday the 23rd morning drops to 10ft SW but with a cross-shore wind, so not as clean. By Sunday afternoon, the wind backs off to light offshore, and the swell is 8ft SW – that's a much more manageable size for experienced surfers.

Moving into the next week, the 26th of August looks nice. Wednesday morning has 8ft SW with offshore wind, and the water is clean. That's a solid, fun day for experienced surfers. The 28th of August sees the swell jump back to 10ft, but the wind is from the NW, which is cross-offshore, so it'll be clean but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That's some serious energy (5372), but it could be a bit tricky at a beach break. On the point, it should be a ripper, but again, big and powerful.

The far end of the forecast, Saturday the 5th of September, has another big pulse. 13ft SW at 17 seconds, offshore wind, and the energy is through the roof at 8633. That's another day for the experts only. The forecast is a bit less certain that far out, but it's a promising one.

All in all, the best bet is the 22nd of August for the big, clean groundswell, but keep an eye on the 26th for a slightly more forgiving session. There's plenty of swell on the way, so don't sleep on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue afternoon).

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
6
2
4
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
3
3
3
3
5
4
4
2
1
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
4
WSW
16
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
14
4
SW
14
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
1.9
SW
12
1.6
WSW
14
1.9
SW
14
2.3
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4296
3040
7105
7557
7327
5493
3355
2235
2840
1762
1326
1387
2076
1919
4651
2111
1975
1095
1057
1273
3501
Wind (km/h)
25
W
25
WNW
30
WNW
25
WSW
20
WSW
10
NW
15
NNW
10
W
15
NNW
20
N
15
N
10
ENE
15
SSW
30
SW
20
WSW
20
SW
15
WSW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
WNW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
2:15PM0.87m
6:41AM0.80m
1:31PM0.87m
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
Low Tide
10:01PM0.25m
8:11AM0.79m
10:16PM0.30m
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
 mm
1
1
13
3
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
12
11
13
14
13
16
15
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
15
16
13
Feels °C
8
7
8
8
7
8
10
11
11
13
12
12
8
5
7
6
7
8
11
12
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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