Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
15.7° C
1.7° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 17,286 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 9th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 15th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Tue 14th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Blacknose Point. We’ve got a solid run of South to West swell coming down the line, but it’s going to start off a bit rough before we hit the real magic.

It’s a long outlook stretching out to the 24th of July, but there’s hardly a gap in the action here. This point is fairly consistent, so we’re in for a good stretch.

The story begins on Thursday, July 9th, with a 7ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. That’s a decent, long-period swell, but the morning is a bit frustrating with a cross-on breeze messing with the surface. The combined energy is already pumping at 1665 (moderate), but don’t expect perfect lines. Thursday afternoon cleans up slightly with light ENE winds.

Friday the 10th is a write-off for quality. We’re looking at 7ft to 7ft SW swell, but a moderate breeze from the north is kicking up a cross-chop all day. The energy is still decent (2172-1804), but the surface is junk.

Saturday the 11th goes from bad to wild. The morning is a complete mess with 25 mph crosswinds and a 5ft swell. The afternoon brings a huge spike – 12ft from the WSW, but with 25 mph cross-off winds. The energy jumps to 3353 (strong), but conditions are raw and marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets serious. Sunday the 12th is not for the faint-hearted. We’ve got a massive 20ft WSW groundswell hitting with a period of 13 seconds. The combined energy is monstrous at 13317 (very strong). The wind is strong offshore from the west at 28 mph, so the face will be clean, but paddling out will be a battle. This is expert territory only. Monday the 13th continues the theme with 16ft to 18ft swell and strong offshore winds – clean, but again, hard work.

The big standout of the first week is shaping up for Tuesday, July 15th. The swell drops to a more manageable 13ft from the SW (period 15 seconds), and the wind goes light cross-off from the south. The models are calling it excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is still high at 5973 (strong), but the conditions will be clean and lined up.

Looking deeper into the forecast, the absolute jewel in the crown is Thursday, July 23rd. That afternoon, we are looking at a 16ft SW groundswell, 16-second period – very long period groundswell. The wind goes glassy out of the southwest. The combined energy is massive at 12462 (very strong). This is an exceptional forecast for expert surfers. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, which is always a bonus.

Before that, we have another notable session on the morning of Saturday, July 19th. It’s a smaller day with a 10ft SW swell, but 9 mph winds from the south make for a clean, cross-off setup. Crowds are listed as "often" at Blacknose Point, so expect some company on the peak.

The very end of the outlook, the 24th, sees the swell holding at 13ft but the wind swings onshore from the southeast, spoiling the party.

So, the whole period is active, but the one to circle on your calendar is Thursday the 23rd of July. That afternoon is where it all comes together – big, clean, and perfect. The early part of the run, from the 12th to the 14th, is for the big-wave chargers only.

Stay salty,
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the W by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wed
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
3
6
6
5
0
5
7
6
6
5
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
3.5
WSW
10
5
WSW
11
6
WSW
13
5.5
SW
13
4.5
SW
13
5
WSW
14
5
SW
13
5.5
SW
15
5.5
SW
16
5
SW
16
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2839
1647
1421
2839
2168
1801
1212
886
2276
5974
13317
10103
7243
8194
9101
12020
16335
12308
8021
5973
4626
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
10
N
5
ENE
15
N
20
N
20
N
30
NNW
40
N
40
W
40
W
45
W
35
W
35
WNW
45
WNW
40
W
30
W
45
WNW
50
WSW
30
SSW
15
S
10
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:15AM0.79m
2:20PM0.81m
11:40AM0.92m
12:05PM1.04m
12:37PM1.13m
1:06PM1.18m
1:33PM1.20m
1:55PM1.18m
Low Tide
10:58PM0.42m
10:24AM0.78m
11:20PM0.39m
11:53PM0.36m
00:56AM0.34m
2:48AM0.32m
4:23AM0.28m
5:26AM0.24m
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
 mm
6
6
4
1
3
2
1
6
1
Temp °C
11
12
13
12
13
14
12
12
10
12
14
13
13
13
12
13
13
12
12
11
11
Feels °C
9
10
11
9
8
10
6
4
0
3
5
5
7
4
3
5
5
2
5
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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