
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 17,373 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 2.4m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 21ft (6.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Blacknose Point over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a solid run of groundswell coming in, and the water is sitting at 60°F – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber straight away.
The week kicks off properly on Thursday, July 9th. It’s not the cleanest start – a light cross-on breeze from the N at 6 mph, with a 7 ft SW swell at a long 15 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (1665), but the wind is putting a few ripples on the face. It’s okay for a paddle, but not the best of the run.
Friday morning, July 10th, gets a bit messier. The swell bumps up to 7 ft SW, but that N wind picks up to 12 mph, cross-shore, and it’s choppy. The energy is still moderate (2154), but the quality drops. Not a day to get excited about.
Saturday July 11th is a write-off for paddle surfing. The morning is strong cross-shore with 25 mph NNW winds and a weak 5 ft swell. The afternoon brings a shift: the wind goes offshore from the W at 25 mph, but the swell jumps to 12 ft at a short 10 seconds. That’s a lot of wind and a short, lumpy period. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Sunday July 12th is a true standout. The swell is pumping – 23 ft from the WSW at 13 seconds on Sunday morning, and the energy is massive (17390). The wind is strong offshore from the WSW at 28 mph, making it clean but very hard to paddle into. This is expert territory only. The afternoon drops to 20 ft SW with a fresh offshore, still clean and powerful. If you’re an experienced charger, this is *the* day.
Monday July 13th is huge again: 18 ft WSW at 15 seconds, with a very strong offshore breeze. The energy is enormous (23220), and it’s clean, but the swell is too big for this break. Even for experts, it’s pushing the limit. The afternoon turns messy.
Tuesday July 14th is another standout. The morning brings 16 ft SW at a very long 16 seconds, with a moderate offshore from the SW. The energy is still very strong (14007), but the wind is clean and the period is long. This is exceptional for expert surfers – a point break like Blacknose Point will love this long-period groundswell. The afternoon stays clean and solid at 16 ft. This is the pick of the second half of the week.
Wednesday July 15th through the weekend sees the swell slowly drop back. The wind stays light or cross for most of it, with clean conditions on Monday July 20th afternoon (12 ft SW, 16 seconds, light offshore) and a glassy morning on Tuesday July 21st (10 ft SW, 13 seconds). Both are good for experienced surfers, but not the size of the previous week.
The long-range window shows another pulse around Friday July 24th: 18 ft WSW at 15 seconds, fresh offshore, and strong energy (11889). That’s promising for the end of the run, but it’s a way off, so keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sun morning, light winds from the SSE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1647 | 1421 | 2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 1319 | 10829 | 14074 | 11045 | 9806 | 5579 | 8909 | 13277 | 12399 | 10565 | 8880 | 5838 | 4178 | 2216 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:20PM0.81m | 11:40AM0.92m | 12:05PM1.04m | 12:37PM1.13m | 1:06PM1.18m | 1:33PM1.20m | 1:55PM1.18m | 11:16PM0.58m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:24AM0.78m | 11:20PM0.39m | 11:53PM0.36m | 00:56AM0.34m | 2:48AM0.32m | 4:23AM0.28m | 5:26AM0.24m | 10:13PM0.58m | |||||||||||||
7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | |
— | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
1647 | 1421 | 2839 | 2298 | 1669 | 1325 | 874 | 715 | — | — | — | 7353 | 2320 | 188 | 13277 | 12399 | 10565 | 8880 | 5838 | 4178 | 2216 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | W 8 | SW 12 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 |
18 | 835 | — | — | — | — | 190 | 37 | — | — | — | 702 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | 106 | 329 | 633 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | W 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 5 | 30 | 78 | 1319 | 10829 | 14074 | 11045 | 9806 | 5579 | 8909 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 74 | 393 | 565 | 712 | 709 | 1007 | 204 | 558 | 921 | 204 | 0 | 221 | 214 | 7 | 22 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










