Blacknose Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.38° S 141.64° E

Blacknose Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Blacknose Point sea temperature is
14.6°C
1.0° 

Blacknose Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Blacknose Point surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 13,949 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:

The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 30th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 18s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 30th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk about this run. This is Rusty, and we’ve got some serious surf coming up at Blacknose Point. This is a point break, advanced only, and it’s fairly consistent, so the waves will keep coming.

Water temp is about 58°F – that’s a degree or so warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a little nicer than normal.

We start on Sunday the 23rd of August. The morning is a bit rough – cross-shore wind and some chop on a 10ft SW swell, with a combined energy of 4854 (moderate). The afternoon cleans up – light offshore wind, 8ft SW swell, energy drops to 3625. Clean, but still big. Only for the experienced.

Monday the 24th is a dud – both sessions are messy with cross-shore wind and light rain. Swell is around 7ft to 7ft, but not worth it.

Tuesday the 25th gets better. Morning is clean with a light offshore wind, 8ft SW swell, energy at 2524. The afternoon has a fresh 30 km/h offshore wind – clean but strong, making it harder to paddle into. Still a good day for the right surfer.

Wednesday the 26th is a beauty. Both morning and afternoon are clean with gentle to moderate offshore winds. Swell is 8ft to 8ft from the SW, energy around 2186 to 1875. Solid, clean, lined up. This is a standout for experienced surfers.

Thursday the 27th is weaker – swell drops to 5ft to 7ft, cross-off wind, moderate breeze. Clean but less exciting.

Friday the 28th of August – big day. Morning and afternoon both pump out 10ft SW swell with a very long period of 17 seconds in the morning, dropping to 16 seconds in the afternoon. Combined energy is massive – 5840 in the morning, 4022 in the afternoon. Offshore winds, moderate breeze, clean. This is a serious groundswell. At a point break, it’ll hold up beautifully. The long period means longer waits between sets, but the waves will be powerful and well-shaped. This is a real standout.

Saturday the 29th is still solid but the wind picks up – fresh offshore at 30 km/h, 8ft to 8ft SW swell. Clean but a handful.

Sunday the 30th of August – the biggest day. Morning has a 16ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, combined energy screaming at 13949 (very strong). Afternoon is 15ft with a 16-second period, energy at 11418. The wind is gentle offshore, so conditions are clean for a monster swell. This is a dream for expert surfers only – 16ft is way over the 8ft mark, so beginners and intermediates should stay away. This is the true standout of the entire outlook.

Monday the 31st is a letdown – swell is still 12ft to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore and fresh, making it lumpy.

Tuesday the 1st of September brings it back – moderate offshore wind, 13ft to 12ft SW swell, energy around 5733 to 4845. Clean and powerful, but only for experts.

Wednesday the 2nd of September is messy – cross-off winds, 8ft swell, moderate to fresh wind. Clean but not great.

Thursday the 3rd of September – another big one. 15ft to 16ft SW swell with a 15-second period, combined energy over 9000. Cross-off and fresh wind, so clean but strong. Massive swell.

Friday the 4th of September keeps the size at 13ft SW with a 16-second period, energy between 8294 and 6979. The afternoon is particularly good – gentle offshore, clean. Another standout for the experienced.

Saturday the 5th of September drops a bit – 10ft in the morning with fresh cross-off wind, then 8ft in the afternoon with offshore wind. The afternoon is cleaner and more manageable.

Sunday the 6th of September is worse – cross-onshore wind, 12ft swell, choppy. Not great.

Monday the 7th of September finishes with a 10ft to 12ft SW swell, cross-off to strong offshore wind. The wind gets very strong in the afternoon (40 km/h offshore), so it’s clean but brutally hard to paddle into. Only for the hardcore.

The standout days are Sunday the 30th of August, with that massive 16ft SSW groundswell and gentle offshore wind, and Friday the 28th of August, with the 10ft SW long-period swell and clean offshore conditions. Mark your calendar.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
2
3
2
4
3
4
4
4
3
3
2
5
5
5
4
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
2.3
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
1.6
SW
14
2
WSW
13
2.4
SW
18
3
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
13
3
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3518
2235
2840
1891
1430
1475
2076
1952
2747
2063
1806
1189
1064
1329
3685
5808
4005
2999
2474
1982
2587
Wind (km/h)
15
NNW
10
W
10
N
15
N
10
N
10
NE
10
WSW
30
SW
20
WSW
15
SW
20
WSW
15
NNW
25
NW
25
WNW
20
SW
20
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
30
W
30
W
15
SW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
on
off
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
12:31PM0.91m
12:16PM0.96m
12:25PM1.00m
00:36AM0.47m
12:41PM1.02m
00:32AM0.53m
12:58PM1.03m
00:44AM0.61m
1:15PM1.01m
1:01AM0.69m
1:32PM0.98m
1:24AM0.78m
Low Tide
10:15PM0.34m
9:32PM0.38m
8:39PM0.40m
4:52AM0.39m
8:10PM0.40m
5:41AM0.33m
7:56PM0.39m
6:19AM0.28m
7:52PM0.37m
6:52AM0.25m
7:52PM0.35m
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
2
9
3
Temp °C
13
15
14
14
15
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
14
14
12
11
11
11
13
13
12
Feels °C
9
12
11
11
13
10
10
8
6
10
9
10
9
8
8
6
6
6
7
7
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.

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