
Surf Forecasts:
Blacknose Point surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 10,526 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacknose Point this week:
The surf forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacknose Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacknose Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s brewing for Blacknose Point. This is a point break, pretty exposed, and it’s dialled into a solid SSW swell. The water temperature is 58°F, so right around average for this time of year.
The action kicks off Thursday morning, September 10, and it’s a proper beast. We’re looking at a 15ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period – that’s long-period energy, the kind that really unloads on a point. The combined energy reading is 16711, so there’s a heap of power in the water. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW at 6 mph, so the face should be pretty clean. This is top-tier stuff for advanced and expert surfers only – anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this is way up there. It’s a standout session, but be aware, crowds are often a thing here, so get in early.
Thursday afternoon sees the swell still pumping at 13ft, same SSW direction and 16-second period, but the wind picks up to 9 mph, still cross-off. The energy drops to 7826, still solid, but the morning is the clear winner.
Friday morning, September 11, the swell drops to 12ft, still a long 15-second period from the SSW, but the wind swings to a light 3 mph cross-on from the ESE. That light cross-on will put a few tiny ripples on it, but it’s still rideable for experienced surfers. The energy is still decent at 7398. Friday afternoon gets worse with stronger cross-onshore wind, so it’s a morning-only call.
Saturday, September 12, the morning is a bit messy with a 10ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze, but Saturday afternoon shows some promise. The swell drops to 8ft, the wind turns light cross-off from the S, and the energy is 3351. It’s clean and should be a fun session for experienced surfers, but not as big as the Thursday standout.
Sunday, September 13, has a proper clean session in the afternoon. The swell is 6ft from the SW, with a light 3 mph offshore wind from the W, making for glassy conditions. The energy is 1585, so it’s a mellow but clean option for a paddle.
The following week has some solid pulses, but the biggest standout is Wednesday morning, September 23. The swell is forecast to hit 20ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 28408 – that’s a lot of power. The wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off from the SSE, so it’ll be clean, but it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Only the absolute top-tier experts should even consider it, and even then, it’s a big call.
The best of the second week, with a bit more promise, is Tuesday morning, September 22. The swell is 13ft from the SW, 16-second period, with a light 6 mph cross-off breeze. The energy is 6723, and it’s described as exceptional for experts. That’s a solid session, cleaner than the massive Wednesday, and more manageable.
A few other mornings in the second week, like Friday the 18th and Monday the 21st, have clean conditions but with onshore wind or choppy textures later in the day. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain.
Overall, the clear standout is Thursday morning, September 10 – that’s your best bet. Clean, big, powerful, and perfect for those who can handle it. The Tuesday morning, September 22, is a solid backup. There’s plenty of surf across the 16 days, but quality gets patchy after the first week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 7 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6363 | 3971 | 3351 | 2424 | 1976 | 1581 | 791 | 451 | 554 | 2888 | 7603 | 7405 | 5861 | 6872 | 6106 | 4178 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:52PM0.94m | 00:21AM0.68m | 12:58PM0.91m | 00:44AM0.81m | 1:05PM0.88m | 1:11AM0.91m | 1:12PM0.87m | 1:40AM0.99m | 1:22PM0.86m | 2:10AM1.03m | 1:32PM0.86m | 2:40AM1.04m | 1:41PM0.85m | 3:11AM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:26PM0.46m | 6:20AM0.30m | 7:08PM0.41m | 6:52AM0.30m | 7:07PM0.34m | 7:20AM0.32m | 7:17PM0.26m | 7:47AM0.37m | 7:33PM0.19m | 8:12AM0.43m | 7:52PM0.15m | 8:35AM0.50m | 8:13PM0.13m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
10526 | 7826 | 5024 | 4936 | 6609 | 6363 | 3971 | 3351 | 2424 | 1976 | 1581 | 791 | 451 | 330 | 109 | 7603 | 7405 | 5861 | 6872 | 6106 | 4178 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 15 | — | — |
6185 | — | — | 2462 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 62 | 19 | 114 | — | — | — | — | 1588 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 3 | W 5 | W 6 | W 7 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 4 | 78 | 244 | 554 | 2888 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 214 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 7 | 182 | 221 | 0 | 501 | 422 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Far West of Victoria | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blacknose Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacknose Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacknose Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacknose Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacknose Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacknose Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Far West of Victoria? If you are looking for accommodation near Blacknose Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Far West of Victoria, consider staying in Portland which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Far West of Victoria where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Warrnambool which is 73 km (45 miles) away, Allendale East and Mount Gambier.










