Blue Bowls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Blue Bowls over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming through, especially in the first week. The water temp is sitting at a warm 85°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The real story is the stretch from Tuesday the 7th through to Sunday the 12th – that’s our window.

Tuesday the 7th kicks things off with some clean, cross-off waves. Swell is coming from the SSW at 3 ft with a nice long 14-second period, plenty of energy pushing in (492). It’s a solid start, but Wednesday the 8th is where it gets real special. Wednesday morning is glassy, with the wind swinging to a slight SSW breeze, and the swell picks up a touch – still 3 ft but from the S, and the period stretches out to 16 seconds. The energy jumps right up (583), and by the afternoon that same clean, glassy setup is hanging in there with even more push (790). This is the standout session – clean, glassy, and that long-period groundswell is going to wrap in beautifully around the reef. Blue Bowls is an exposed reef break, so when it’s this clean and the swell direction is right on the optimum SE, it’s going to be firing. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, but early Wednesday morning? You might just have it to yourself.

Thursday the 9th stays good. The morning has a bit of a cross-on breeze, but the afternoon turns glassy again with the swell building to 4 ft, still from the SSW and 14 seconds (737 energy). That’s another cracking session.

Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are a bit more mixed. Friday sees some onshore breeze and a storm risk, so expect a little chop. The swell is hanging in around 3 ft, but the quality drops off. Saturday though, Saturday morning is back to glassy, with a 4 ft S swell and 12-second period, and the afternoon is dead calm – zero wind, glassy conditions, 3 ft S swell. That’s another hidden gem.

Sunday the 12th sees the swell building. Morning is clean and cross-off with 4 ft, and by the afternoon it’s up to 5 ft, still clean with a cross-off breeze. The period drops to 10 seconds though, so it’s a bit more short-period, but still a fun size.

Now, from Monday the 13th onward, things get messier. The swell actually builds a fair bit – Monday and Tuesday see 5 ft to 6 ft from the SSE, with energy readings well up in the 900s. But the wind turns cross-shore and stays that way, putting a bit of chop on the surface. The period hangs around 10-11 seconds. It’s still surfable, but not the same quality as that first run. By Wednesday the 15th, the swell drops back to 4 ft, but it’s still cross-shore. Thursday the 16th brings a light cross-on with 3 ft.

Then, from Friday the 17th through to Wednesday the 22nd, it’s a write-off. The wind shifts onshore – straight on from the SSE – and it just stays there. The swell is small, mostly 3 ft to 4 ft, and the period is short (9-10 seconds) or mixed. The energy values are still moderate in the 400-600 range, but with that onshore wind, it’s choppy and poor. There’s a real gap here from about the 17th to the 22nd with nothing worthwhile. A few days at the end of the run, like the 21st, show 5 ft to 5 ft, but still with onshore wind and short period – not worth paddling out for.

So, bottom line: Wednesday the 8th and Saturday the 11th are your true standouts. Wednesday for that long-period groundswell, glassy conditions, and the reef doing its thing. Saturday for the dead calm, glassy morning. After that, it’s a slide into onshore chop.

Stay safe, and keep an eye on that wind.

Rusty.

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