Blue Bowls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the horizon here, a real slow-burn kind of forecast. The opening days are all about a powerful, long-period groundswell from the south-southwest, but it’s battling some pretty ugly winds. The real standout window is looking like a three-day stretch starting on the 19th of September, where size holds and conditions start cleaning up nicely.

Right off the bat, Blue Bowls is the only game in town, and it starts cooking on Friday morning the 11th of September. We’re looking at a solid 5 ft swell out of the SSW with a very long 19-second period—that’s a ton of energy pushing through. The water is sitting at a warm 86°F, which is about average for this time of year. The problem is that cross-off wind from the NW at 16 mph is going to keep things a bit bumpy and maybe a little tricky on the takeoff. The swell builds to 7 ft by Friday afternoon with the same chunk of energy, but it’s still a bit rough.

Saturday the 12th sees the swell drop a touch to 6 ft, still with some serious grunt, but the wind swings to a fresh WSW at 22 mph, turning it into a lumpy, cross-shore mess. Saturday afternoon is a little cleaner with the wind backing off to 19 mph, but the surf quality is really marginal. By Sunday the 13th, the swell is fading and the wind stays up, so it’s a real struggle to find a decent wave.

Now, things get interesting. The swell dips a bit early in the week, with Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th offering clean-ish conditions with light winds, but the swell is only around 3 ft to 4 ft. The energy is still moderate, though, so there’ll be some long lines for a patient surfer on a log, but nothing to get out of bed for. The winds go glassy-light on Tuesday afternoon, but it’s still small.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are write-offs with onshore winds and poor conditions, and the energy really drops off.

Here’s the good part. The true standout window kicks off on Saturday the 19th of September. We get a fresh pulse of SSW swell hitting 7 ft, and the wind looks much more manageable at a gentle 9 mph from the SSW. It’s cross-on, so not pristine, but it’s a world better than what we’ve had. This is the call of the forecast. Sunday the 20th holds size right around 6 ft to 6 ft, and the winds stay light. The period drops a bit, but it’s still a solid swell. Then on Saturday the 26th of September, we get a wild card: 4 ft of swell with a glassy morning. That’s a long way out, but if it comes together, it could be delightful, clean little rollers on the reef. But for now, circle Saturday the 19th on your calendar.

This is a spot that can get crowded, especially when it’s good, so be ready to share the takeoff zone. Blue Bowls likes the swell coming from the southeast, and this forecast delivers that perfectly.

Rusty out.

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