Blue Bowls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a slow burn for Blue Bowls, but there’s a real window of quality hiding in there if you’re patient.

The water is sitting at 85°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year—nothing crazy, but you’ll notice it’s a little more tropical than usual.

We start off with a bit of a nothing-burger on the 15th. Some small, weak swell with a short period, all cross-shore and barely breaking. Not worth suiting up for anything serious. The 16th isn’t much better—same story, slightly bigger but still weak and wonky with the cross-onshore wind.

Now, here’s where it starts to get interesting. On Monday the 17th, the swell jumps up. We’re looking at 5ft to 6ft from the SSW with a much longer period of 20-21 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the energy is strong—we’re talking 3000+ on the combined energy scale. The problem is the wind is cross-onshore, making it a bit lumpy and messy. It’s rideable, but it’s not the pick of the week.

Forget that. The standout is Tuesday morning, the 18th. The swell holds at a solid 7ft from the SSW with an 18-second period, and the wind drops to almost nothing—glassy conditions. This is the good stuff. The energy is still strong and the surface is going to be clean. This is your window. The swell direction is right in the optimum zone for this reef, and it’s going to be firing. It’s an intermediate spot, and at this size, it’s pushing it for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, it’s going to be a proper session.

Tuesday afternoon and all of Wednesday the 19th, it backs off slightly to 6ft-6ft, but the wind gets a bit more cross-on, so it’s not as clean. Still fun, but not the same magic as that Tuesday morning glass-off.

After that, the week fades. The swell drops through Thursday and Friday into the 3ft to 5ft range, with a mix of short and mid-period swell. The energy is weak, and the conditions are only marginal at best. The winds stay cross-onshore or just onshore, and it’s looking pretty average for the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd. There’s even a risk of thunderstorms on the 22nd and 23rd, and the swell is small with period dropping to 8 seconds—that’s just wind chop. Not inspiring.

Early next week, the 24th and 25th, it stays poor. Small, messy, and the wind is on it. You’re not missing much.

But hold on. The end of the forecast period is starting to look promising. On Wednesday the 26th, the swell jumps right back up to 7ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. The energy is strong again, but the winds are a bit cross-on, so it might be a little lumpy. Then, it builds further. By the 29th, we’re looking at 8ft from the SSW, and the energy is over 3000. The period is still a solid 16 seconds. The caveat is the wind—it’s looking onshore from the SSE, which is not ideal and will make it a bit bumpy. This is a long-range call, so treat it as promising but not set in stone. At 8ft and with an onshore wind, this is getting into expert territory and will likely be a bit of a beast. The 30th still has that size, with lighter winds, but it's still onshore.

So, if you’re looking for the best of the bunch, Tuesday morning the 18th is the clear winner. The 26th onwards has size and power, but the winds are the big question mark. Don’t bother with anything before the 17th, and don’t get excited about the weekend of the 22nd.

Rusty out.

Read more