Jailbreaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the beach. Let's get into it.

Alright, we’ve got a solid run of surf on the horizon here, mostly at one spot that’s gonna be the main player. The water is sitting at a warm 85°, which is a touch above the average for this time of year, so you'll be fine in boardshorts.

The standout is Jailbreaks, a proper reef set-up that's pretty consistent. The best of the best is shaping up for the Saturday the 26th of July. We’re looking at a clean 5 ft swell from the SE, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell with some real energy behind it. The wind is a light cross-offshore, making for a glassy surface. The combined energy is a solid 769 (moderate), so you’ll feel the push. This is advanced-level stuff, and with that reef, it's not for the faint of heart. It gets crowded here sometimes, so get in early.

The week prior, starting Tuesday the 21st of July, is a slow burn. The swell is small, around 2 ft to 3 ft from the SSW, but the wind is off and cross-off, keeping it clean. Good for a longboard or a fish, but not pumping.

Wednesday the 22nd picks up a little, but the swell direction swings to the SSE with a shorter period of 8 seconds. The wind goes cross, so it’ll be a bit bumpy in the afternoon. That continues into Thursday and Friday with a mix of cross-shore winds and moderate energy levels (around 360-417).

Then Saturday the 25th starts to show some life. The morning is clean, but the real magic happens in the afternoon: a 4 ft SE swell at 11 seconds with clean cross-offshore winds and a combined energy of 528 (moderate). The sets will start to get longer and more defined.

The Sunday the 27th and Monday the 28th hold onto that SE swell, with clean conditions and light winds, but the energy drops a bit. Tuesday the 29th brings a weird one: a very long period swell (20 seconds) from the SW, but the height is only 2 ft. That long period means it’ll be super clean and powerful for its size, but it might be a bit too straight for the reef. The wind is a fresh cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean.

From Wednesday the 30th of July into the first week of August, the wind picks up to a moderate breeze (12-16 mph) from the WSW. The swell is still coming from the SSW and SW, with long periods (16-20 seconds), but the heights stay small (2 ft to 3 ft). The combined energy is moderate to strong (529-850), but with the wind, it’s going to be a tough paddle. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during this stretch.

The Saturday the 1st of August sees a return to cleaner conditions with a gentler breeze and a 3 ft SSW swell at 15 seconds. The energy is high (863), but the risk of thunderstorms will have you watching the sky.

The Sunday the 2nd of August is a solid one. A 5 ft swell from the S with a 10-second period, and a light offshore wind from the SSW. The energy is moderate (551). That’s a good, clean day for experienced surfers.

The final few days, Monday the 4th through Wednesday the 5th of August, are wind-affected again. The swell is 5 ft to 5 ft from the SSE, but with a 12 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s going to be a bumpy, choppy mess. The energy is moderate (579-667), but the quality is just not there.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is the Saturday 26th of July at Jailbreaks for the cleanest, most powerful swell. The Sunday 2nd of August is your next best shot. The rest of the time is either small, windy, or a bit of a gamble.

Rusty.

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