Jailbreaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

We’re starting off sweet at Jailbreaks (reef break). Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing wild. Sunday, September 6th, brings a 4ft SSE swell, period around 10 seconds, with a light offshore SW wind at 3 mph. That’s going to be glassy, clean, and fun. The combined energy is moderate (305), so there’s enough push but it’s not a handful. A good, friendly start for the experienced surfer.

Monday and Tuesday keep the same vibe with 3ft to 4ft SSE swell, still cross-off winds, and moderate energy (up to 455). Wednesday morning the height drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell out of the SSW. The energy is moderate (561), and on a reef, that long period will give you some nice, lined-up waves, just with longer waits between sets. The wind is a moderate 12 mph from the west, cross-off, so it’ll stay clean.

Thursday through Saturday, the swell builds to 5ft – 5ft from the SSW, with periods still long (14-16 seconds), but the wind goes cross-shore (WNW at 12-16 mph), bringing in a bit of a cross-chop. The energy is strong (1605 to 2315), so there’s serious power. This is expert-only territory. Not for beginners. The waves are going to be heavy, and the cross-shore will make it a battle.

The second week settles down. Sunday, September 13th, the swell drops to 4ft from the SSW, 15-second period, and the wind is back to cross-off (W 16 mph). It’s clean, and the energy is moderate (796). The following days see the swell between 3ft and 4ft, periods still long, and winds staying moderate to strong (12-16 mph) from the west or WNW. The energy stays moderate to the higher end of moderate (up to 948). The cross-shore winds return on Tuesday and Wednesday, so it won’t be as clean.

The real standout window is September 17th to 19th. Thursday the 17th starts with a 3ft S swell, 18-second period, and a gentle cross-off wind (WSW 9 mph). The energy is moderate (899) and the conditions are "very good." Friday the 18th afternoon is the clear winner: 5ft S swell, 10-second period, gentle cross-off breeze, and strong energy (1311). This is listed as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the one to mark on the calendar. Saturday the 19th holds similar clean conditions with 4ft to 5ft SSE swell and cross-off winds.

The final days, September 20th and 21st, the swell holds at 5ft to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind picks up and goes cross-shore again, so the quality drops.

So, first week is a steady, clean, fun run for the confident surfer, with a few days of more powerful, choppy surf mid-week. The second week has a few cleaner days, but the big prize is Friday afternoon, September 18th. That’s the best on offer.

Rusty.

Read more