Jailbreaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on the next couple of weeks. It’s a slow burner, but the payoff at the end is worth the wait.

We’ve got some surf right off the bat, but it’s nothing special. Jailbreaks, a reef break that’s fairly consistent, is showing a clean 4ft SSW groundswell for Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. The period is a very long 16 seconds, and the wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 15 mph, keeping things clean. The water temp is 85°, which is about normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (737). It’s a session, but it’s not making any headlines.

The rest of the first week is a bit of a slog. We’re looking at a lot of small SSE and S swells, mostly 3-4ft, with periods dropping to 10-11 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off, which is a plus, but the wave quality is just “marginal.” There’s a lot of “risk tstorm” in the forecast, which is a drag. The most promising window in this first stretch is probably Friday morning the 7th, with a 4ft SSE swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but it’s still just okay.

Then we hit a rough patch. From the 12th to the 13th, the wind turns cross-shore at 18 mph, creating lumpy, poor conditions. That’s a few days to sit out.

Things start to turn around around the 15th of August. On Saturday morning the 15th, we get a clean 4ft SSE swell with a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (598), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a nice warm-up.

But the real gold is at the end of the forecast. Lock in Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th of August. This is the main event. A solid S swell is coming in. On Tuesday morning, the swell is 3ft at 18 seconds, but the energy is strong (1068). The wind is light offshore from the SSW at 6 mph, making for clean conditions. Tuesday afternoon gets even better: a 3ft S swell with a massive 18-second period, energy hitting 1263. The wind is a slight air from the SW, offshore. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. Then Wednesday the 19th morning is the absolute best: glassy conditions, a 4ft S swell at 16 seconds, and strong energy (1138). The wind is dead calm, glassy. This is a long-period groundswell, so it’s going to have tons of power and shape, absolutely perfect for the reef. With a period that long, it’s a groundswell that will be a bit more lined up, so it’s winner-winner.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a slow, average affair. The 15th is a decent day to get wet. But the 18th and 19th of August are the standouts. Get your board ready for that.

Rusty.

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