Jailbreaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

What’s up, it’s Rusty. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Jailbreaks. It’s a reef break that really needs a south swell to light up, and the first chunk of days is looking lean. There’s not much to get excited about until the second week.

The real standout is that morning on Thursday, August 14th.

Here’s the rundown.

Thursday afternoon, July 30th, we have a 3 ft SW swell running on a very long 16-second period. The water is sitting at 85°, which is about normal for the season. The wind is a 19 mph cross-off from the W, so the surface is clean, but the energy is only moderate (665) and the forecast is marginal. Not your day.

Friday, July 31st, the morning shows a little pulse – 2 ft SW at 18 seconds, combined energy jumps to 1069 (moderate), but the wind is a stiff 22 mph from the WSW, cross-off, and there’s a risk of t-storms. Pass. The afternoon gets wild with a 10 ft W windswell at a very short 7 seconds – that’s a 42 mph near gale. That’s pure chop for the die-hards, and on a reef, that short period is ugly.

The weekend of August 1st and 2nd stays small – 3 ft to 4 ft – with cross-off winds but nothing worth chasing. The energy stays low to moderate.

The first half of the next week stays in that 2 ft to 4 ft range with clean conditions but weak to moderate energy and storm risks. All pretty marginal.

Then we hit Thursday morning, August 14th. That’s the one. You’ve got a 3 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze from the WSW. The combined energy is a solid moderate 817. That clean, glassy texture with that long period is perfect for a reef like Jailbreaks – it will push right in with proper shape and long lines. The crowd report says “sometimes,” so you might have it reasonably quiet. That’s your standout session.

The next day or two after that offer more size – 4 ft to 6 ft SSE swell on the 13th with 10-second periods and energy up to 901 (moderate-to-strong). That’s a bit more muscle but shorter period, so it’ll be a bit more walled-up and suited to experienced surfers.

Bottom line: the first week is a dud, the second week has some size, but the single best bet for a clean, lined-up, quality session is the morning of Thursday, August 14th.

– Rusty

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