Jailbreaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window looking at Jailbreaks, a solid reef setup that’s pretty consistent and exposed. The water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is about average for the time of year – nothing wild there.

The first few days are a bit of a slow start. Wednesday afternoon the 22nd kicks off with clean 4ft waves from the SSE, waist to chest high, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (246). It’s clean but not firing. Thursday morning the 23rd is similar, still 4ft and clean, but the energy bumps up a bit (327). The afternoon gets a little messy with a cross-shore wind and some chop on the 4ft swell.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are pretty average. Sideshore winds, small waves around 3ft, and the energy is moderate. The swell drops off on Saturday morning to 3ft, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which is a nice long groundswell. That’s a good sign for a reef like this – it’ll wrap in with some shape. The afternoon picks up to 4ft from the SE.

Now, Sunday the 26th is where things start looking up. The morning has 5ft from the SE with a 12-second period, and the wind is almost glassy – a light 3 mph cross-offshore. The combined energy is strong (777). That’s going to be clean, lined-up, and proper. The afternoon is a bit chunkier with 5ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, so the morning is the call.

Monday the 27th is decent – 4ft, clean, cross-offshore wind, moderate energy. Nothing special, but a solid session.

The real standout starts on Tuesday the 28th morning. It’s a small 3ft swell from the SSW, but the period is a massive 16 seconds. The combined energy is strong (532). That’s a long-period groundswell, and it’ll wrap beautifully around the reef. Very clean, light wind. For a spot that needs that direction, this is quality.

Then Wednesday the 29th morning is the best of the whole run. The swell is 3ft from the SSW, but the period is 20 seconds – that’s super long. The energy is strong (768), and the wind is light cross-offshore. For a reef like Jailbreaks, that’s about as clean and glassy as it gets. The waves will have serious push and shape for the size. The afternoon is still good at 4ft from the SE, but the morning is the pick.

The end of the first week and into the second week shows a lot of wind. Thursday the 30th has 12-16 mph winds, which will still be cross-offshore, so the surf stays clean, but it’s a bit blown out. The energy is moderate to strong. Friday the 31st has a big spike in energy (1242) with 4-4ft swells from the SSW and 16-18 second periods, but the wind is up to 12 mph. The waves will be there, but it’ll be a windy session.

Saturday the 1st of August is similar, with risk of thunderstorms and moderate wind. Sunday the 2nd morning has a clean 3ft swell with a 16-second period and light wind – solid but small. Monday the 3rd morning is another clean, light-wind morning with 3ft from the SW, 16 seconds, and good energy (663). The afternoons get a bit blown out with cross-shore wind.

The last few days, Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th, pick up wind again. Wednesday the 5th has a big, strong energy (1240) with 4ft from the SSW and an 18-second period, but the wind is 16 mph. It’s going to be a battle to get out, but the waves will be there for the experts.

Honestly, the standout is Wednesday 29th July morning. That 3ft, 20-second groundswell with light glassy wind is the crown jewel. Sunday 26th July morning is the other real winner – 5ft, 12 seconds, and almost dead calm. These are the two sessions not to miss.

Crowds at Jailbreaks are possible – it’s a known spot, so get out early.

Rusty.

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