Colas (Cokes) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is a tricky stretch we've got lined up, and I've been staring at the charts for Colas (Cokes) trying to find a silver lining. It's a reef setup, and a good one at that, but the forecast is a real test of patience. The swell is coming in from the SSW, which is right in the pocket for this spot, but the wind, the energy, and the consistency just aren't playing ball for a while.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest wetsuit just yet, but it's not warm either.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, we're going to have a rough start. For the next week and more, it's a whole lot of "marginal" calls. The swell height stays mostly in the 2.5ft to 5.5ft range, which is ridable, but the energy is all over the place. Early on, like Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th, the combined energy is up there – we're talking four-digit numbers (1258, 1340, 1499, 1721) - which means there’s some push in the water. But the period is long, 16 to 20 seconds, and the wind is mostly a cross-off W at 15 to 30 km/h. That long period at a reef like this can be okay, but with that much west in the wind, it will be lumpy and hard to find a clean face.

The best of the early action is probably Thursday afternoon the 10th. It's got a 4.2ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, with a combined energy of 1340. The wind is W at 25 km/h. It's not clean, but it’s the pick of a poor bunch.

Friday the 11th has a bit more size and a longer period (4.2ft at 19 seconds in the arvo), but the energy is high and the rain is heavy. The long period is going to make it sectiony, and the wind is still going to chop it up. It’s a frustrating combo.

Honestly, we're looking at a solid week to ten days of this. There's a slight bump on Saturday the 12th – we see 5.5ft on the morning push, with energy reading 1688. But it's coupled with the biggest winds of the period so far, 30 km/h. A 5.5ft SSW swell at a reef with that much west in the wind and gusty conditions is going to be wild and unruly. It could have some power, but it's not going to be clean. The period is 17 seconds, which is more manageable, but the wind is the killer. You’d be fighting it the whole paddle out and getting blown off the face on the drop. If you're an expert, it might be worth a look, but for most of us, it's a sit-on-the-beach-and-watch day.

From Sunday the 13th through to Wednesday the 18th, the whole system just winds down. The swell drops back to 2.5ft to 4.5ft, the period shortens, and the combined energy falls into the three-digit range – we're seeing numbers like 635, 550, and 487. The wind remains a cross-off, but with less swell and energy, it's just weak and mushy. The "marginal" comments in the data are spot on. It's flat-ish and not worth getting too excited about.

There is a little pulse on Saturday the 19th. We see 5ft on the morning and 4.5ft in the afternoon, with the energy jumping back up to 1208 and 1450. The period is a solid 16 seconds. But, again, the wind is up at 30 km/h. It's the same story as the week before: more size and energy, but the cross-off wind is going to be a constant battle. It's not going to be the clean, glassy reef perfection we all dream about.

After that, from the 20th through to the 22nd, it’s more of the same – energy in the 500s to 700s, heights around the 3.5ft to 4ft mark, and that relentless W wind. The period starts to drop from 14 seconds down to 12 seconds, which suggests the swell is losing its groundswell punch.

Then we hit a proper dead patch. Wednesday the 23rd is a write-off. The scores hit zero, and it's officially "poor surf conditions." Energy drops to 327 and 429. The swell is a weak 3.2ft. This is the low point.

There's a glimmer at the very end of the window. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th have a tease of longer period (20-21 seconds) swells. The heights are small, only 2.5ft and 3.5ft, but that long period means it's a pure groundswell. The energy is back in the high 800s and 900s. This is the most promising signal we have, but it's eight days away. The wind is still a cross-off, but with that long period and a little luck, it could finally turn on.

But as it stands, today through the next week is not your time. This is a period for the dedicated, the patient, and the expert who doesn't mind battling a bump

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