Mangamaunu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead for Mangamaunu. This is a classic, world-class point break that needs a specific combination to fire, and when it does, it’s a thing of beauty. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming, but it’s not all going to be perfect.

The first real action kicks off on Thursday, July 30th. We’re looking at a clean, chest-shoulder high swell, around 4ft, coming from the ESE with a 12-second period. The energy is moderate (431), and with a light NW cross-offshore breeze, those waves are going to be holding that classic point break shape. This is a solid start, with clean conditions and a manageable size.

Friday the 31st is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops right off to 3ft, and the wind gets a bit stronger. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary.

Now, hold onto your boards. Saturday, August 1st, we get a massive jump in size. A 12ft S swell rolls in, with a 18 mph cross-offshore wind. The energy is beefy (3317), but this is where it gets tricky. This is a monster for a point break, and honestly, it’s likely too big for the average surfer. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the wind is fresh, so it’s going to be a battle. The afternoon is much the same.

Sunday, August 2nd, is the first real standout. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the SSE, the wind goes light and offshore from the west, and the energy is still strong (1205). This is going to be a proper session. Excellent, clean conditions for experienced surfers. The morning is your window. The afternoon gets a chop with a cross-onshore breeze.

Monday, August 3rd, gives us a nice breather. The swell is down to 3ft, and the wind is light. The afternoon is absolutely glassy with a 3ft SSW swell. For a smaller day, you couldn’t ask for more.

Here comes the next big one. Tuesday, August 4th, the forecast is for a 13ft solid S swell. The energy is immense (5089), but the note says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. With a 12 mph cross-offshore wind, this is a straight-up hold-down. Not for the faint of heart.

Wednesday, August 5th, is a redemption day. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the south, but the wind is a light offshore breeze from the WSW. The energy is strong (1942), and the conditions are pristine. This is another standout for the experienced crew. A true groundswell.

Thursday, August 6th, and Friday, August 7th, both offer clean, glassy mornings with swells in the 6ft to 6ft range. The energy is good (1000+), and the conditions are excellent. Friday afternoon gets a bit bigger at 10ft, but the glassy conditions hold, so if you’re an expert, that’s a window.

The second week gets a bit more mixed and a lot less reliable. Saturday, August 8th, and Sunday, August 9th, have decent swell sizes (7ft to 10ft), but the winds are moderate to fresh, and the swell period drops a bit. It’s cleaner for the morning of the 8th, but the afternoon on the 9th looks lumpy.

Monday, August 10th, looks like a write-off. A 13ft beast with a 25 mph cross-offshore wind, and then a near-gale cross-shore in the afternoon. That’s a hard pass.

We get a bit of a flicker on Tuesday, August 11th, with a 12ft E swell, but the wind is not your friend. Wednesday and Thursday, August 12th and 13th, are a mixed bag. Thursday morning, August 13th, is actually a glassy, 8ft E swell, which could be an interesting session if the wind holds.

The real standout of the whole 16-day window? Sunday, August 2nd. That 7ft SSE swell with the light offshore wind and clean conditions is the best balance of size and quality. The other major highlight is Wednesday, August 5th, for the experienced crew who want a bigger, more powerful challenge. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.

So, don’t sleep on the first week. The second week is a gamble, but that Thursday morning glass-off on the 13th is a wild card worth keeping an eye on.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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