Surf Forecasts:
Mangamaunu surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, S swell with 5,233 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mangamaunu this week:
The surf forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mangamaunu in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let me break this down for you. This is a look at Mangamaunu, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag right now. The next couple of days are a write-off for any decent surf, but hold tight, because the back half of the week and beyond is where the magic happens. The water temp is sitting right around 51°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday the 19th. The morning is looking absolutely pumping. We’re talking a solid 12ft of south swell with a long 14-second period – that's proper groundswell energy. The wind is light offshore from the west, and the combined swell energy is cranking at (9185). This is expert territory for sure, over 8ft, so leave the foamie at home. The afternoon holds onto the size, dropping a bit to 10ft, but still with that long 14-second pulse, though the wind goes a bit cross-off. Still, Wednesday morning is the standout, the one to circle on the calendar.
Thursday the 20th is a completely different story. The swell drops right off to a tiny 4ft, but check this – in the morning we’ve got a perfect glass-off from the northeast. Zero wind. Clean as a whistle. The period is a short 8 seconds though, so it’ll be a bit weak and crumbly, with combined energy only at (349). Not exactly a power session, but for a super clean, small-wave cruiser, it’s a solid option.
Friday the 21st is similar. Swell is small again, around 4ft to 4ft, but the wind is glassy or near glassy all day. The period stretches out to a very long 15 seconds, which is lovely for that paddle-out between sets. It’s a groundswell, so at a point break like Mangamaunu it should line up nicely. Still, with energy around (552) to (787), it’s more about finesse than power.
Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are pretty ordinary. The swell just bottoms out. There are waves, but they are small and weak.
You’ll want to look at Monday the 24th again. The morning brings back some energy with a 4ft south swell at 15 seconds and glassy conditions. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft with a 16-second period and still glassy – that is excellent. Combined energy for the afternoon hits (1126), which is a moderate but punchy pulse. This is a top pick for experienced surfers wanting clean, lined-up waves without the giant size. Tuesday the 25th keeps the trend going with a sneaky jump up to 8ft in the afternoon and that long 16-second period, giving us (3631) energy. A bit big, but still very clean.
Beyond that, through the end of August and into the first of September, the swell slowly winds down. There are more clean mornings, but the size drops back under 5ft. It becomes a cruisy, small-wave run with offshore or glassy winds. Not a standout, but consistent if you just want to get wet.
If you're a beginner, steer clear of Wednesday the 19th and Tuesday the 25th afternoon – that’s too much water moving. For the experienced crew, Wednesday morning is the absolute best on offer, with Monday the 24th as a close, clean second.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 14 | E 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 14 | S 14 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 15 | S 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | N 6 | S 9 | S 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
240 | 642 | 168 | 743 | 2308 | 4160 | 5233 | 3282 | 540 | 257 | 246 | 319 | 746 | 534 | 205 | 112 | 100 | 48 | 108 | 15 | 113 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy |
High Tide | 8:32PM1.52m | 9:01AM1.49m | 9:25PM1.45m | 9:54AM1.47m | 10:17PM1.40m | 10:45AM1.44m | 11:08PM1.35m | 11:36AM1.43m | 11:57PM1.33m | 12:24PM1.42m | 00:44AM1.31m | 1:11PM1.42m | 1:30AM1.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:23PM0.12m | 2:50AM0.13m | 3:17PM0.18m | 3:40AM0.19m | 4:10PM0.24m | 4:29AM0.24m | 5:01PM0.29m | 5:17AM0.28m | 5:51PM0.32m | 6:03AM0.31m | 6:39PM0.34m | 6:49AM0.32m | 7:25PM0.35m | ||||||||
7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 14 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 12 | S 14 | S 14 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 11 | S 15 | S 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | S 15 |
240 | 429 | 168 | 69 | 35 | 49 | 3911 | 2507 | 540 | 257 | 246 | 319 | 746 | 534 | 205 | 112 | 100 | 48 | 18 | 13 | 113 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SE 10 | — | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 8 | S 17 | S 16 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NE 8 | E 15 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | S 9 | S 9 | S 3 |
143 | 107 | 69 | 43 | 25 | — | 41 | 28 | 38 | 60 | 49 | 129 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | E 10 | S 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 7 | ESE 10 | NNE 4 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 |
231 | 177 | 142 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | 32 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 34 | 12 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 5 | S 8 | S 9 | S 11 | S 14 | S 14 | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | N 3 | N 6 | — | N 6 | WSW 4 | S 4 |
129 | 642 | 42 | 743 | 2308 | 4160 | 5233 | 3282 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 11 | 82 | — | 108 | 1 | 21 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 0 | 104 | 190 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 433 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kaikoura and Marlborough | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mangamaunu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mangamaunu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mangamaunu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mangamaunu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mangamaunu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mangamaunu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mangamaunu is 89 km (55 miles) from the city of Blenheim. If you plan a holiday in Kaikoura and Marlborough, look for hotels and other accommodation in Blenheim. Blenheim has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











