
Surf Forecasts:
Mangamaunu surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, ESE swell with 960 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mangamaunu this week:
The surf forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mangamaunu in the next 16 days are 1.7m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Mangamaunu. This is a classic, advanced point break that needs a solid SE swell and clean conditions to really fire. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is dead average for this time of year – nothing weird, just standard winter chill.
The next few days are pretty flat. Friday the 24th is a write-off, with tiny, weak swell and no energy. Saturday the 25th has a bit more size but it’s coming from the wrong direction and the wind is all over the shop. We’ve got a gap of quiet days until things start to show some life.
Sunday the 26th morning is where it first gets interesting. The wind goes glassy, the swell pushes up to 3ft from the ESE, and the period stretches to 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is 455 (moderate), and with the point’s setup, that long period should line up nicely. This is the first real standout of the forecast. Still small, but clean and promising.
Monday the 27th morning keeps that vibe going: glassy conditions, 3ft ESE swell at 12 seconds, and 446 combined energy. It’s clean and surfable, perfect for a longboard or a fun mid-length.
Tuesday the 28th is the real highlight of the first week. Morning glass, 6ft ESE swell at 13 seconds, and combined energy of 982 (strong). That’s a proper pulse. The afternoon turns glassy again, with the same size and 1022 energy – this is excellent, and the wave comment backs it up for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer in the first week. The long period groundswell will wrap beautifully into the point, and with offshore winds, you’ll be getting clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are rare here, so you’ve got a good chance of scoring.
Wednesday the 29th is still solid, with 5ft to 5ft ESE swell and glassy to cross-off winds. The energy drops a bit (791 to 735), but it’s still good. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell slowly fade, but the conditions stay clean.
Now, looking into the second week, things get a bit more interesting but also more uncertain. Saturday the 1st of August has a morning pulse of 6ft from the SSW, but the period is a short 6 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell. It’ll be lumpy and less satisfying. The afternoon goes glassy with a 2ft SE swell at 15 seconds, which is a much nicer prospect.
From Sunday the 2nd to Tuesday the 4th, the swell is small and inconsistent, with a bit of a bump on Tuesday the 4th hitting 8ft to 10ft, but it’s short period (7-8 seconds) and the wind is strong cross-off. That’s messy and big, not really a good call for the point.
Wednesday the 5th of August is a standout for the second week. The morning sees 8ft SE swell at 8 seconds, with 1179 combined energy (strong). The wind is light cross-off, and the wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. At 8ft, this is getting into expert territory – it’ll be a big, powerful wave. The afternoon is similar at 7ft, 9 seconds, and 1216 energy.
Thursday the 6th of August is the biggest day of the whole forecast. The morning hits 12ft from the E at 11 seconds, with a massive 3176 energy (very strong). The wind is gentle cross-off, so it’s clean. But the wave comment warns the swell is too big for this break. The afternoon is 15ft at 12 seconds with 6815 energy – that is enormous. This is only for the absolute top-tier experts, and even then, it might be unsurfable at the point. Friday the 7th is similar, with 13ft and 5069 energy in the morning, and offshore winds. Saturday the 8th drops back to 8ft, which is still huge but potentially manageable for the experienced crew.
Overall, the absolute best bet is Tuesday the 28th of July – that’s your standout session. Clean, glassy, 6ft, long period, and low crowds. The second week has some massive but risky swell, and if you’re an expert, Wednesday the 5th and Saturday the 8th look promising, but the long-range stuff is always a bit of a gamble.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ESE 12 | ENE 6 | SSW 17 | SE 18 | S 7 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | E 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 15 | 21 | 57 | 79 | 261 | 272 | 352 | 225 | 304 | 499 | 738 | 931 | 960 | 929 | 713 | 613 | 454 | 398 | 304 | 294 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:59PM1.43m | 1:18AM1.33m | 1:45PM1.43m | 2:04AM1.32m | 2:30PM1.44m | 2:48AM1.32m | 3:14PM1.46m | 3:32AM1.32m | 3:58PM1.47m | 4:16AM1.33m | 4:42PM1.48m | 4:59AM1.33m | 5:25PM1.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:13PM0.33m | 7:24AM0.30m | 8:00PM0.34m | 8:09AM0.31m | 8:46PM0.34m | 8:53AM0.30m | 9:31PM0.33m | 9:37AM0.28m | 10:16PM0.31m | 10:22AM0.26m | 11:00PM0.29m | 11:06AM0.25m | 11:44PM0.28m | ||||||||
7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | S 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 7 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | E 12 |
59 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 12 | 153 | 97 | 79 | 225 | 304 | 499 | 738 | 931 | 960 | 929 | 713 | 613 | 454 | 398 | 304 | 294 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | ESE 12 | NNE 6 | SE 13 | SE 18 | SE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | NE 4 | S 15 | S 15 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | SSE 5 |
14 | 15 | 15 | 27 | 79 | 261 | 272 | 352 | 50 | 26 | 55 | 29 | 40 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 113 | 118 | 13 | 12 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | S 14 | ESE 13 | SSW 17 | SE 13 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 13 | ESE 13 | SE 6 | SSW 12 | NE 4 | SSW 10 | — | SSW 15 | NE 5 | NNE 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
6 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 42 | 71 | 86 | 82 | 165 | 116 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 36 | — | 42 | 9 | 18 | 70 | 79 | 42 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNE 7 | SSW 3 | S 5 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | — | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | NW 3 | S 3 | NE 5 |
326 | 113 | 1 | 53 | 140 | 247 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | — | 15 | 29 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 7 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kaikoura and Marlborough | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mangamaunu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mangamaunu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mangamaunu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mangamaunu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mangamaunu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mangamaunu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mangamaunu is 89 km (55 miles) from the city of Blenheim. If you plan a holiday in Kaikoura and Marlborough, look for hotels and other accommodation in Blenheim. Blenheim has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










