
Surf Forecasts:
Mangamaunu surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, S swell with 5,952 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mangamaunu this week:
The surf forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mangamaunu in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a classic 16-day window on the cards and straight off the bat, there’s a heater lined up. The standout is Mangamaunu, a heavy, advanced point break that’s ready to go from Sunday, August 2nd. The water is sitting at 51.4°F which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Sunday morning kicks things off with a clean 6ft swell from the SSE, a long 11-second period, and a glassy, offshore WNW breeze at just 3 mph. The combined energy is a solid 1151 (moderate), and the conditions are pure silk. This is excellent, but it’s only for experienced surfers – the power is real and the take-off zone is demanding. The afternoon goes cross-onshore with a NE breeze, so the morning is the window.
Monday, August 3rd is a step down in size to about 3.3ft, but the quality is still there. A light offshore breeze on the morning session keeps it tidy, and the swell direction is still SSE with a good 11-second period. It’s a fun, manageable day for anyone comfortable on a point.
Tuesday, August 4th is where things get serious. The swell jumps to a massive 15ft from the S with a 12-second period, and the combined energy explodes to 5952 (very strong). The wind is cross-off, but honestly, this is way too big for even the most experienced out there. This is straight-up, expert-only territory, and even then, it’s pushing the limits of what’s surfable here. Beginners, stay well clear.
Wednesday, August 5th sees the swell dropping to a still-chunky 10ft, with a clean offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is 2296 (strong). This is excellent for the advanced crew, but the size is still intimidating. It’s a raw, powerful day.
Thursday, August 6th through Saturday, August 8th settles into a solid run of clean, glassy conditions. Swell sits around 4ft to 4.5ft, mostly from the SE with periods around 10-12 seconds. The wind is virtually non-existent or light offshore. The combined energy dips to between 373 and 928 (weak to moderate). This is where the quality meets accessibility. The morning sessions are pure gold for intermediate and advanced surfers alike.
Sunday, August 9th has a beautiful, glassy morning with a 3.5ft swell from the SSE and a very long 15-second period. The energy is 664 (moderate). The long period means the wave will be lined up and powerful, but the sets will be spaced out. It’s a rippable point, so that long period is a treat here.
Monday, August 10th through Tuesday, August 11th keeps the glassy theme going with 4.3ft to 4.5ft swells, mostly from the SE and SSE. The early mornings are calm and clean. The long period (13 seconds) on Tuesday morning adds extra punch. Stick to the dawn patrol.
From Wednesday, August 12th through Thursday, August 13th, the swell winds down significantly. We’re looking at 1ft to 2.5ft with very low energy (72 to 170). It’s glassy, but barely surfable. A bit of a lull.
Friday, August 14th and Saturday, August 15th bring a small pulse of 3ft to 4.5ft from the ENE and E, with short, weak periods around 7-8 seconds. The energy is low (216 to 395). It’s clean and glassy, but the waves are fat and weak. Good for a longboard if you’re desperate.
Sunday, August 16th has a morning window with a 3ft swell from the SSE and a 12-second period, with glassy conditions. The energy is 289 (weak). The afternoon goes cross-onshore and choppy, so again, morning is the only option.
Monday, August 17th is a flat, fading day with 1.3ft to 2ft waves and almost no energy left (38 to 105). The season is winding down on this one.
The best of the best is undoubtedly the Sunday, August 2nd morning session – that combination of 6ft, long period, offshore wind, and glassy water is a true standout. The Tuesday, August 11th morning is also a top-tier pick for its size, period, and glassy conditions. Everything else is fun, clean, but not life-changing.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | S 12 | SSW 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
749 | 1086 | 400 | 261 | 377 | 734 | 5952 | 4914 | 3685 | 2281 | 1755 | 1091 | 341 | 362 | 303 | 514 | 360 | 353 | 351 | 343 | 250 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 7:35PM1.44m | 7:57AM1.35m | 8:19PM1.43m | 8:44AM1.37m | 9:07PM1.42m | 9:34AM1.41m | 9:57PM1.41m | 10:26AM1.45m | 10:50PM1.42m | 11:21AM1.51m | 11:46PM1.44m | 12:18PM1.57m | 00:42AM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:21PM0.24m | 1:54AM0.25m | 2:08PM0.24m | 2:38AM0.24m | 2:57PM0.24m | 3:24AM0.23m | 3:48PM0.24m | 4:12AM0.21m | 4:42PM0.23m | 5:03AM0.19m | 5:38PM0.20m | 5:56AM0.15m | 6:35PM0.17m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 4 | -4 | -5 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | S 12 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 |
749 | 1086 | 400 | 261 | 377 | 734 | — | — | — | 2281 | 1755 | 1091 | 341 | 362 | 303 | 514 | 360 | 353 | 351 | 343 | 250 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SE 19 | SE 18 | SE 16 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 16 | S 13 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSE 19 |
400 | 73 | 98 | 196 | 123 | 42 | — | — | — | 15 | 12 | 67 | 294 | 228 | 151 | 329 | 229 | 194 | 24 | 25 | 72 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 16 | S 12 | SSW 18 | S 18 | SE 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 13 | S 9 | S 16 | NE 4 | SE 10 | S 17 | SE 12 |
2 | 5 | 76 | 102 | 60 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 78 | 37 | 142 | 85 | 264 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — | S 7 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | — | — | NNE 4 |
— | 3 | — | — | — | 302 | 5952 | 4914 | 3685 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 11 | — | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 173 | 175 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kaikoura and Marlborough | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mangamaunu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mangamaunu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mangamaunu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mangamaunu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mangamaunu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mangamaunu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mangamaunu is 89 km (55 miles) from the city of Blenheim. If you plan a holiday in Kaikoura and Marlborough, look for hotels and other accommodation in Blenheim. Blenheim has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











