Surf Forecasts:
Mangamaunu surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSW swell with 2,827 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mangamaunu this week:
The surf forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mangamaunu in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mangamaunu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into the surf outlook for what we’ve got on the table. The whole forecast period is built around one spot, and one spot only: Mangamaunu. This is a classic, exposed point break that demands respect, and it’s about to serve up a real mixed bag over the next couple of weeks.
Overall Pattern
We kick off with a bit of a slow start, but there’s a big pulse of energy rolling in about a week from now. The first few days are small and clean, but nothing to get too excited about. The real standout is going to be Monday, August 31st, and then again on Wednesday, September 2nd, when the swell gets solid and the conditions line up perfectly. After that, the energy drops off again, with a few more promising windows later in the second week.
The water temperature here is sitting at 51°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so don't expect a shocking change when you hop in.
Saturday, August 29th – Sunday, August 30th
The first couple of days are small. Saturday morning kicks off with a 3 ft southerly swell, a long 11-second period, and glassy conditions with a light offshore breeze. It’s clean, but the wave energy is weak (266). The afternoon gets a bit cross-on but still tiny. Sunday is even smaller, with a 2 ft SSW swell, but the wind goes glassy in the morning, then a solid offshore in the afternoon. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s pretty ordinary.
Monday, August 31st – The First Standout
This is where it gets real. Monday morning swings in with a 7 ft southerly swell, 11-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy jumps to 1266, which is a solid, moderate kick. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – it’s big enough to have some punch, but not so huge it’s unmanageable. The wind is perfectly glassy, and the break is going to be clean. The afternoon stays clean with a 6 ft swell and cross-off wind. This is the best session of the first week, no question.
Tuesday, September 1st – Big and Bumpy
Tuesday gets much bigger, with a 12 ft SSW swell in the morning and a 8 ft southerly in the afternoon. The energy is strong (4499), but the wind is a brisk cross-off, and the conditions are marginal. This is expert-only territory at that size.
Wednesday, September 2nd – Another Standout
Wednesday morning is a beauty. Another 7 ft southerly swell, 12-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is strong (1653), and the waves will be powerful and well-shaped. This is another excellent window for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on, but the swell is a 8 ft southerly with a very long 16-second period, which is a proper groundswell. This long period will make it break a bit straight at this point, but it’s still a clean, powerful wave.
Thursday, September 3rd – Friday, September 5th
We drop back down. Thursday is a nice, clean 4 ft swell with cross-off wind in the morning, going glassy in the afternoon. Good, mellow surf. Friday is small and weak, with a 2 ft swell in the morning and a messy 6 ft short-period swell in the afternoon. Not great.
Saturday, September 5th – Sunday, September 6th
Saturday morning is a surprise: a 3 ft southerly swell with a very long 15-second period and glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (613), and the forecast says it’s very good. That long period will make it a bit tricky at the point, but it’s clean. Sunday is tiny and not worth the paddle.
Second Week Overview (September 7th – 13th)
Things get quieter and more inconsistent. Monday, September 7th has a 6 ft swell with glassy morning conditions – that’s a decent look. Then there’s a gap of poor surf and strong wind from Tuesday to Wednesday. Thursday, September 10th is worth a mention: a 2 ft swell with a very long 16-second period and glassy conditions, but it’s weak. The final standout is Saturday, September 12th: a 8 ft SSW swell, 11-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is strong (2460), and it’ll be excellent for experienced surfers again. The conditions on that day are a real highlight, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.
Sunday, September 13th looks messy with cross-shore wind and rain.
So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Monday, August 31st, and Wednesday, September 2nd, with Saturday, September 12th as a promising long-range prospect. It’s a spot that’s typically very consistent, so even when it goes quiet, it won’t stay that way for long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 5°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | S 15 | SSW 16 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 7 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
184 | 135 | 71 | 90 | 115 | 421 | 1256 | 1045 | 717 | 2827 | 1739 | 1848 | 1248 | 2594 | 1196 | 423 | 322 | 125 | 57 | 319 | 319 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:34PM1.47m | 5:55AM1.39m | 6:19PM1.47m | 6:41AM1.42m | 7:06PM1.46m | 7:30AM1.45m | 7:54PM1.45m | 8:20AM1.48m | 8:45PM1.44m | 9:14AM1.51m | 9:39PM1.44m | 10:09AM1.55m | 10:35PM1.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:18AM0.21m | 11:51PM0.23m | 12:06PM0.20m | 00:36AM0.21m | 12:55PM0.19m | 1:22AM0.20m | 1:46PM0.19m | 2:10AM0.19m | 2:39PM0.19m | 3:00AM0.18m | 3:33PM0.19m | 3:52AM0.17m | 4:29PM0.18m | ||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | S 15 | SSW 16 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | NE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | NNE 6 | SSW 15 | S 8 |
184 | 135 | 71 | 90 | 115 | 421 | 1256 | 1045 | 717 | 1672 | 4 | 1848 | 1248 | 2594 | 1196 | 423 | 322 | 125 | 30 | 47 | 319 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | SSE 10 | SE 12 | SE 12 | E 11 | NE 4 | NE 5 | — | — | — | S 16 | ENE 13 | SE 12 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | S 9 | SE 11 | SSW 15 |
57 | 26 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | 401 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 5 | 71 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NNE 4 | NE 8 | — | NE 9 | SE 11 | — | — | — | E 14 | — | — | NE 10 | W 5 | SE 12 | SSW 16 | NE 5 | SE 17 |
25 | 42 | 23 | 22 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 5 | — | N 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 4 | NNE 9 | NNE 4 | WSW 5 | SSW 11 | S 11 | — | — | — | N 5 | N 5 | W 3 | — | — | SSW 7 | N 2 |
— | 1 | — | 7 | 11 | 40 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 2827 | 1739 | — | — | — | 7 | 60 | 3 | — | — | 319 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 306 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 124 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kaikoura and Marlborough | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mangamaunu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mangamaunu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mangamaunu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mangamaunu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mangamaunu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mangamaunu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mangamaunu is 89 km (55 miles) from the city of Blenheim. If you plan a holiday in Kaikoura and Marlborough, look for hotels and other accommodation in Blenheim. Blenheim has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











