Waiwakaiho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’. Waiwakaiho is the only spot on the radar, and it’s a sandbar setup that’s fairly exposed to a good WSW groundswell. The water’s sitting at 60° right now, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year – a bit of a treat, that.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, honestly. Monday the 6th is a mess with moderate rain, a strong east wind at 22 mph, and a lumpy 8ft cross-off swell. The combined energy is cranking at 2325, but the wind’s ruining it. Tuesday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting – clean morning with a solid offshore from the southeast at 12 mph, dropping to a glassy 3 mph in the arvo. The swell hangs around 7ft to 6ft from the WSW, with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy (2442 dropping to 1562), and it’s gonna be clean and powerful. This is the standout of the first week – Tuesday is your day if you’re an experienced surfer. The swell’s above 5ft, so it’s not for beginners, but the offshore wind and long period will make for some gorgeous lines peeling down the sandbar.

Wednesday the 8th gets smaller, down to 5ft, and the wind shifts cross-off, so it’s still clean but less punchy. The energy drops to 702 – still moderate, but the quality’s good. Thursday the 9th turns nasty again with a strong SSE wind at 19 mph, making a mess of the 6ft swell. Friday and Saturday the 10th and 11th are cleaner but smaller, with the swell dropping to around 4ft. Sunday the 12th is a beauty though – glassy conditions in the afternoon with a 4ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and combined energy at 837. That’s a lovely session for a cruiser.

There’s a bit of a flat spot from Monday the 13th through to Wednesday the 15th – the swell drops below 3ft, and the wind gets messy. Thursday the 16th sees a tiny 2ft swell with a very long 18-second period and offshore wind, but it’s small. The real action returns on Friday the 17th – a 4ft to 5ft WSW swell, 16-second period, light winds, and combined energy jumping back up to 1910. That’s excellent again for experienced surfers. Then Saturday the 18th is a belter – 8ft in the morning, dropping to 8ft in the arvo, with glassy conditions and a 14-second period. The energy is massive at 2487. That’s the second standout of the whole outlook – big, clean, powerful groundswell, perfect for experts. The calm wind means it’ll be a dream out there.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the 19th and into the 20th, with wind picking up again. Monday the 20th is a write-off with rain and strong east wind. Tuesday the 21st has a 5ft swell but the wind is a messy cross-shore, so not worth it.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 7th is your first real window – clean, solid, and full of energy. But if you can wait, Saturday the 18th is the absolute pick of the bunch – big WSW groundswell, glassy conditions, and a sandbar that’ll handle it. Just remember, it’s one for the experienced crew only.

Rusty.

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