Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks. This is a sheltered reef setup, an advanced wave, and it’s fairly consistent. The water’s sitting right on the long-term average for this time of year at 61°, so nothing wild there.

The next couple of days are pretty average, nothing to write home about. We’ve got a bit of swell but the wind is all over the place, leaving us with messy, choppy conditions. Saturday and Sunday are poor, just not worth paddling out for.

Come Monday, the 6th of July, there’s a big spike in energy – we’re looking at a 13 ft swell from the WSW, with combined energy cranking up to 5723 (moderate to strong). The period is a solid 14 seconds, so it’s got some punch. But the wind is cross-onshore and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. It’s marginal, not the kind of day you’d get excited about unless you’re after a battle. The afternoon gets even bigger and more chopped out.

Now, Tuesday the 7th of July morning is a write-off – 18 ft swell, strong wind, and rain. That’s for experts only, and the wind is completely wrong. But things flip hard in the afternoon. The wind swings to the south, going offshore, and the surf cleans right up. We’re looking at a solid 12 ft swell from the SW, period at 16 seconds (long period groundswell), and a combined energy of 7090 (moderate). The comment says excellent for experienced surfers. The caveat here is that with a long period like that, this reef setup should handle it well, but the size means it’s not for the faint-hearted. This Tuesday afternoon is a standout, clean and powerful.

Wednesday the 8th through to Friday the 10th keeps the swell in the 8 ft to 12 ft range, with mostly offshore or cross-offshore winds and clean conditions. The best of these is Friday the 10th morning: 10 ft from the SW, 13 seconds, with a moderate offshore breeze from the south. Energy is 5263, which is moderate. That’s another excellent window for the experienced crew. Friday afternoon is also excellent, with 8 ft and a 17-second period.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are still very good. Saturday morning has 7 ft swell, light cross-offshore wind, and clean waves. Sunday morning brings 8 ft swell, 16 seconds, with again clean conditions. Both are excellent-quality windows, but the swell is backing down.

Midweek after that, things start to fade. Monday the 13th is glassy in the afternoon – 5 ft swell, light wind, clean. It’s good, but nothing special. Then from Tuesday the 14th to Thursday the 16th, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops. Thursday the 16th is messy with a strong cross-onshore breeze, so that’s a dead loss.

The latter part of the forecast has a couple of interesting days. Saturday the 18th morning is glassy with 6 ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, and clean. That’s a very good session. Sunday the 19th morning is even better: 8 ft swell, 15-second period, glassy conditions, and the comment says excellent for experienced surfers. Energy is 2894 (moderate). That Sunday morning is another standout, but it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

Overall, the best on offer is Tuesday afternoon, 7th July, for the combo of solid size and clean offshore wind. Friday the 10th morning is another cracker.

Rusty

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