Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming.

We’re looking at a slow start, but the long-range has some real potential. The first decent window is Thursday, August 6th, with a clean, glassy morning. The water temp is 59°, which is just about average for this time of year, nothing crazy.

The standout morning is Thursday, August 6th at Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks (reef). We’ve got a clean 5 ft to 4 ft SW groundswell with a solid 13-second period, and the wind is glassy out of the ENE at 3 mph. The water is flat calm, and the combined energy is moderate at 807 – it’s going to feel punchy. The 12-second period on the afternoon keeps it clean with offshore winds, too. This is the pick of the early run.

After that, we hit a rough patch. Friday, August 7th through Sunday, August 9th is a total loss with small, weak swell and onshore or cross-onshore winds picking up. The combined energy drops to 276, and by Sunday the wind is howling from the NNE at 19 mph, totally ruining the shape. Don’t bother.

Monday, August 10th is a solid return to form. The morning at Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks sees a 4 ft SW groundswell, a 16-second period, and clean offshore winds from the SSE at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps to 1164, so there’s plenty of power. The afternoon session is even better with 5 ft SW swell, 16-second period, and light offshore winds. This is a true standout – the water will be clean, the waves will have push, and the long period will make paddling out easier. With a long-period SW groundswell and a reef setup, it’s going to line up nicely.

Then we get into a mixed bag. Tuesday, August 11th and Wednesday, August 12th are okay but not great, with cross-onshore breezes. Wednesday afternoon sees a big jump in size to 8 ft from the W, but the period drops to 11 seconds and the wind goes cross-shore, making it a bit of a mess. The combined energy hits 2916, so that’s a serious amount of water moving, but the quality is off.

Now, the massive stuff comes in from August 14th onward. Saturday, August 15th and Sunday, August 16th are seeing 13 ft SW and WSW swells, with combined energy in the 6600s – that’s a very strong, heavy ocean. Conditions are messy with cross-onshore winds, making it only for the very experienced. The 13 ft days are strictly for the experts, and the 8 ft days on the 16th morning are still very heavy.

But the best of the second week looks like Wednesday, August 19th and Thursday, August 20th. Wednesday afternoon sees a clean 7 ft SW swell with a 13-second period and fresh offshore winds from the SSW at 12 mph. The combined energy is 1569, and the offshore wind will groom it into perfection. Thursday morning holds 6 ft SW swell, light offshore winds, and clean conditions. These two days, while still a week and a half away, are the ones to circle on the calendar. The long period will mean the reef handles it beautifully.

August 21st sees a drop in quality with short-period windswell (8 seconds) and cross-shore winds, so not worth the effort.

All in all, the best windows are Thursday, August 6th, Monday, August 10th, and then the real long-range promise on Wednesday, August 19th and Thursday, August 20th. Don’t waste your time on the garbage in between.

Rusty.

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