Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, the first few days are a write-off. Monday the 6th is a total mess with a strong storm bringing 22 mph winds and a huge, lumpy 18ft swell. That’s expert-only territory but the conditions are so poor you wouldn’t even want to paddle out. We’re looking at a combined energy of 8767, which is very strong wave energy, but it’s all just raw power without any shape.

Once that storm clears, we get a solid window. The standout here is Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks, a heavy reef break. Tuesday morning the 7th is the one to circle. We’ve got a 13ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and a light ESE wind at 6 mph giving us clean, cross-off conditions. The water temp is 61°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. This is serious, powerful surf for experienced surfers only – the combined swell energy is 8905, so there’s a ton of juice in the water. This break is fairly consistent, and the optimum swell direction from the SW matches perfectly. Expect clean, powerful lines, but with that period and size, it’ll be a handful at a beach setup. This is a reef, so the long period will actually juice it up nicely. Crowds are rare here, so you might have it to yourself.

Thursday afternoon the 9th is another solid shout: 12ft SW at 16 seconds, offshore wind from the south at 12 mph, and clean conditions. Combined energy is 7034. Then Friday morning the 10th holds similar quality – 10ft SW with an 18-second period and moderate offshore wind from the SSE. Both of these are clean, powerful, and for experienced crew only.

Into the second week, the surf gradually drops but stays clean. Sunday the 12th afternoon is glassy, with a 7ft SW swell at 15 seconds – that’s a really nice, mellow day for stronger intermediates who want to step up. Monday the 13th drops off with onshore winds, so not worth it. By Wednesday the 15th afternoon, there’s another nice pulse: 7ft W swell at 10 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze giving clean conditions. Energy is 2478 – moderate stuff, but clean. Then Friday the 17th morning is glassy again with a 7ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds. That’s a beautiful long-period set coming in with no wind at all. Combined energy of 2133, so it’s moderate but clean and fun.

Further out, Saturday the 18th afternoon has a 10ft SW swell with a good 15-second period and a light cross-off breeze. That’s another decent window for experienced surfers, but by Sunday the 19th the wind goes strong and onshore again, trashing it. The last good run looks like Monday the 20th afternoon, with a 10ft SW swell at 16 seconds and light onshore wind – marginal but possibly okay if the wind stays light.

So to sum it up: Tuesday morning the 7th is the absolute standout – big, clean, powerful, and uncrowded. Thursday afternoon the 9th and Friday morning the 10th are also excellent. The rest of the window has some nice clean days but smaller swell. A solid run for the region.

- Rusty

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