Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. This spot is a sheltered reef that needs a solid SW swell, and we've got plenty of that on the way. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Right off the bat, don't even bother paddling out this Sunday afternoon. We've got a 12ft SW swell, but a cross-on wind from the NNW at 16 mph is gonna make it a choppy mess. The combined swell energy is pumping at 6631, but with those conditions, it's a write-off. Monday is much the same story – a bit smaller at 10ft but still cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. You're looking at marginal surf with questionable tides both morning and afternoon.

Tuesday morning the 8th shows some signs of life. The swell drops to 10ft from the SW, and we get a cross-off wind from the SSW at 16 mph. The combined energy is still high at 4495, and the report calls it clean. That's a step in the right direction. But the real standout for the first week is Tuesday afternoon. The swell drops a touch to 8ft from the SW, but the wind shifts to a gentle breeze from the SSW at 9 mph, giving us clean conditions. Combined energy is 2065, and the word is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". That's your call – it's going to be clean, manageable, and the swell is solid enough for a good session.

Wednesday the 9th is also looking tidy. Morning has a 6ft SW swell with light SSW winds at 6 mph, clean conditions, and combined energy at 1130. The afternoon is similar with 5ft. Very good surf, but it's a step down in size from Tuesday's afternoon session.

Now, Thursday the 10th turns ugly again. A 4ft SW swell with a 12 mph cross-shore wind from the W and a combined energy of 1821 – that's a messy cross-chop. Friday morning the 11th, we see a huge jump in swell to 20ft from the SW. That's big, heavy, expert-only territory. The combined energy is a massive 9304. Winds are cross-off from the SW at 22 mph, so it's clean, but you need to be a seasoned charger. Friday afternoon is even bigger – 21ft from the SW, period of 18 seconds, and combined energy of 27553. That's serious groundswell. Clean conditions with a fresh breeze, but this is for experts only.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th sees the swell easing from 18ft down to 16ft. Still big, still clean with cross-off winds, but it's heavy. Combined energy is still in the 10,000 to 13,000 range. This is not a weekend for beginners.

Looking further ahead to the second week, the pattern holds. Monday the 14th looks promising with the swell dropping to 13ft in the morning and 12ft in the afternoon. Morning has a gentle breeze from the SSW at 9 mph with clean conditions and combined energy of 6769. The afternoon gets a true offshore wind from the SSW at 9 mph – gentle offshore and clean. That's a solid window for experienced surfers.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off with cross-on winds and choppy conditions. Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th stays in the 8ft to 12ft range, clean but with fresh winds. Then Friday the 18th looks like another highlight. Morning has a 15ft SW swell with a light offshore from the S at 6 mph – clean. Combined energy is 8449. The afternoon stays clean with a gentle offshore from the SSW. That's your other standout: clean, offshore, solid 13ft to 15ft SW swell.

Saturday the 19th, the wind turns onshore from the NNE and NW, and while the swell is still a solid 15ft from the SW with huge energy (over 11,000), the onshore wind will chop it up. Sunday the 20th is poor with onshore winds. Monday the 21st brings a fresh cross-off breeze and 13ft swell, but rain showers and strong winds make it marginal.

So, for the best on offer across the whole forecast period, I'm calling Tuesday afternoon the 8th of September for a clean, manageable 8ft SW swell, and Friday the 18th of September for a clean, offshore 13ft to 15ft SW swell. The near-term Tuesday session is more reliable; the Friday the 18th is further out but looks promising. The rest of the time, it's either too small and messy or too big and heavy for the average punter. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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