Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about the next few weeks at Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks.

We’ve got a solid run of south-west groundswell lined up, but there’s a bit of a wait for the real magic. The water temperature is sitting at 60°, which is basically bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a tease. Tuesday the 14th has some swell but the wind is a light cross-shore, and the energy is pretty weak (435). It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about. Wednesday the 15th sees a jump in size, with 6ft of 18-second SW groundswell in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, but the wind is cross-on both sessions, which is going to mess with the face. The energy is ramping up though (3012 to 5469).

Now, Thursday the 16th is where it really starts to turn on. Thursday morning, we’ve got 10ft of 16-second SW groundswell, and the wind is glassy. This is a proper standout. That’s a clean, powerful wave – long period groundswell like this, especially over 15 seconds, will stack up beautifully here at this reef. Just be aware, with the size over 8ft, this is strictly for experienced crew. The energy is massive (4004). Thursday afternoon drops a little in size to 8ft, and the wind goes cross-shore, so morning is the call.

Friday the 17th keeps the momentum. Morning has 8ft SW with light offshore winds, so clean. Afternoon pushes back to 10ft with a cross-off breeze. Both sessions are clean and powerful. Saturday the 18th holds steady with 10ft SW and offshore or cross-off winds all day. Sunday the 19th is a peak – 12ft of SW groundswell with a 17-second period in the morning, and offshore winds. That’s some serious energy (7468). This is the other true standout of the whole period. Again, only for the experienced.

Monday the 20th sees a drop in size to 8ft, and the wind swings to a moderate cross-off from the east. It’s cleaner than the earlier days, but the energy is dialing back (2880). Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are a write-off. The wind goes hard cross-shore from the east, the swell drops quickly, and the energy goes weak (under 600). This is a gap of a couple of days with nothing recommended.

Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are small and ordinary, with 4ft or less, and only light winds. It’s surfable, but forgettable. Then we get a second pulse. Saturday the 25th brings 6ft SW groundswell by morning, building to 7ft in the afternoon with gentle offshore wind. Energy is climbing back (1728). Sunday the 26th is the pick of the second week, with 8ft of 16-second SW groundswell and offshore winds all day. That’s clean, powerful, and again for experts. Monday the 27th holds that size with clean conditions in the morning, but the afternoon gets a bit messy with rain showers and a cross-shore wind. Tuesday the 28th is a gem – 10ft SW with glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s a special session. Wednesday the 29th is smaller and lighter, a nice end to the run.

Overall, the standout windows are Thursday morning the 16th, and Sunday the 19th. The second week has a nice pulse from the 25th through the 28th, with Sunday the 26th and Tuesday the 28th being the highlights, but remember, it’s longer range so a little less certain. Crowds are listed as rare here, so you’ll likely have plenty of room. This is a reef break, so the long period groundswell will shape up nicely.

- Rusty

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