Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty, and I'm looking at the next couple of weeks for Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks, and honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a proper run of west swell coming through, but the timing and the wind are going to be the key.

Right off the bat, the water temp here is about average for the time of year, nothing crazy.

We're looking at a bit of a slow start. Wednesday morning the 26th has a clean 8ft SW swell with 14-second period, and a light offshore wind. That's a solid combo, but the file says there's a tide question mark, so it's not a no-brainer. The combined energy is pretty strong at 2643. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with a cross-shore wind picking up.

Thursday the 27th is a tough one. The swell is still there, 7ft in the morning, but the wind is onshore, making it messy. The energy drops to 1438. Not your day.

Friday the 28th is a write-off. The swell drops to 4ft, and the wind is honking onshore at 12 mph. The energy is weak (847). Don't bother.

Saturday the 29th is a bit of a wildcard. The morning is light wind and a small 4ft swell (895 energy), but it's cross-onshore. The afternoon gets interesting though. A 8ft SW swell rolls in, and the wind shifts to a strong cross-offshore at 19 mph, making it clean. The energy jumps to 1969. It's a bit of a gamble, but that afternoon session could be a late call.

Sunday the 30th is a hard no. The wind is howling and the swell is too big and messy for this spot.

Now, here's where it gets serious. Monday the 31st of August is the standout. We're looking at a massive 21ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore. The combined energy is a massive 34222. But, this is a reef break, and for a spot like Shipwrecks Bay, that's "too big." This is expert territory only, and even then, it's going to be a big, dangerous, straight-breaking wave. The morning is marked as "wind and tide favorable," but the size is the issue. The afternoon drops to 20ft, still massive. If you're a pro, this is your window. For everyone else, watch from the cliffs.

Tuesday the 1st of September keeps the big swell, 16ft in the morning, dropping to 15ft in the afternoon. Still clean, still massive. Energy is still in the thousands (10235). This is still a big-wave day.

By Wednesday the 2nd of September, the swell drops to 12ft, still a big SW groundswell, but the wind is a light cross-offshore. The conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers," and the energy is 4866. This is probably the best window for the strong intermediate to advanced surfer. The wind is light, the swell is big, and the period is 14 seconds, so it'll have some punch.

Thursday the 3rd of September is a step down. The swell is 7ft, but the wind is cross-shore, and the energy is 2326. Not the best.

Friday the 4th of September is a right-off. Strong onshore wind and a 10ft swell makes for a choppy mess.

Saturday the 5th of September is a surprise. The swell drops to 6ft, but the wind goes light offshore in the morning and then fully offshore in the afternoon. The energy is 1850-2294, and the conditions are described as "very good" and "excellent." This is the pick for the weekend. It's a smaller swell, but clean, which is a huge plus.

The following week starts with an 12ft swell on Sunday the 6th, but the wind is light cross-onshore. The energy is 5819-6630, so there's plenty of power, but it won't be perfect.

Monday the 7th of September is a no-go. Onshore wind and a 10ft swell.

The rest of the week into the 10th of September is a mix of onshore winds and a big 12ft swell, but the wind is never quite right. The 10th of September has an 12ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period and light cross-onshore wind, but it's a gamble.

So, to wrap it up: The one true standout is Monday the 31st of August for the experts only, with that massive, clean swell. For the average surfer, the best bet is Saturday the 5th of September, with smaller, clean, offshore waves. The Wednesday the 2nd of September is also a good, albeit big, option for the experienced. There's a lot of waiting around, but when it fires, it fires.

Rusty.

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