Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for Shipwrecks Bay-Peaks over the next couple of weeks.

The water’s sitting at 58.5°, which is just about spot on for this time of year – nothing weird there. You’ll want a good wetsuit, but that’s nothing new for us.

Right, the next few days are a bit of a slow burner. Tuesday morning is pretty ordinary – we’ve got a little 4.3ft swell from the southwest, but the light cross-breeze is messing with the surface. The energy is only moderate at 810. The afternoon cleans up though, with the wind dropping to glass and the swell holding at 3.9ft. It’s small, but it’s clean. Not a day to get excited about, but you’ll get a few if you’re keen.

Wednesday is more of the same, really. Morning has a weaker 3.0ft southwest swell and a bit of cross-breeze. The afternoon bumps up to 3.6ft but the wind turns cross-onshore, which chops it up a bit. It’s a marginal call – probably better to wait.

Now Thursday morning is where things start to look interesting. The swell drops a touch to 2.3ft, but the wind is completely dead – dead glassy. The energy is actually moderate at 1047, and that long 19-second period means it’ll have some push. It’s going to be clean and lined up, just small. For the more patient surfer, it’s a fun one. Then Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 5.2ft from the west, still glassy, and the energy climbs to 1768. That’s a proper little window.

Friday steps it up again. Morning sees 7.2ft of southwest groundswell with a 16-second period, light airs, and a glassy surface. The energy is strong at 2359. This is where it starts to get serious. The afternoon pulls back slightly to 6.2ft but stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is still strong at 2111. For an advanced surfer, this is solid.

But the real standout – the one I’d circle on the calendar – is Saturday the 15th. Saturday morning, we’ve got 7.5ft of southwest swell, light offshore wind, and it’s clean. The energy is pumping at 3050. And then the afternoon is the pick of the entire run. The swell surges to 11.5ft from the southwest with a 17-second period, a moderate offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The energy is a massive 6262. That’s a big, powerful, proper reef wave. It’s not for the faint-hearted – at over 8ft, this is experts-only territory. If you’ve got the skill and the nerve, this is your session.

Sunday the 16th is still big – 9.8ft from the southwest – but the wind kicks up to a fresh 30 km/h cross-offshore, and the forecast flags it as marginal. It’s going to be wild and lumpy, not the clean power of Saturday. Still surfable for the brave, but it’s a step down in quality. Monday the 17th stays big, with 11.5ft swell but the strong offshore wind keeps it clean, although the tide and conditions look a bit tricky again. It’s powerful, but not the same as Saturday.

After that, the swell backs down slowly. Tuesday the 18th is still solid, around 9.8-11.5ft, but the period drops and the energy is dropping too. It’s okay, but the magic is gone. Wednesday and Thursday from the 19th and 20th look cleaner – we’ve got 5.9ft and then 7.5ft with glassy or offshore winds, and the energy settles back into the moderate-to-strong range. That Thursday the 20th morning looks like another good one, with 7.5ft of southwest swell and dead glass.

Then we ease off into the second week. Friday the 21st is fun – 6.2ft and glassy in the morning – and the weekend looks like a classic small, clean run. Saturday the 22nd has 4.9ft with offshore winds, with the energy coming down. Sunday the 23rd holds around 3.9-4.3ft, still clean. It’s small, but it’s clean.

Now, as we push into the 24th and beyond, things get a bit messy. The swell jumps back up – Monday the 24th afternoon sees 9.8ft but with a short 8-second period, which means it’s going to be lumpy and a bit all over the shop. Tuesday the 25th gets even bigger – 13.1ft – but the period is still short-ish and the winds are moderate cross-offshore. It’ll be a heavy, messy beast. Wednesday the 26th is similar, with 11.5ft and a fresh cross-offshore breeze. These days look less like a surf and more like a washing machine – probably better for the kite crew than us paddle guys.

So, to wrap it up: the clear standout is Saturday afternoon the 15th. Big southwest swell, clean, offshore wind, and

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