Makorori Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Makorori Point is our only play this period, so let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The forecast kicks off with some nice looking conditions on Friday, July 3rd, but nothing that makes me want to drop everything. The good news is we’ve got a consistent run of rideable surf coming. Water temps are sitting around 57°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year – nothing dramatic, just a reminder we’re heading into winter.

Friday morning, July 3rd, is where you wanna be. Makorori Point is showing clean offshores out of the NW with a 6 mph breeze, and we’ve got a solid 4 ft east swell wrapping in at 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with good energy (600). The sets will have some push and that longer period will make for some nice, lined-up point waves. It’s going to be glassy and clean – proper surf. The afternoon cross-shore wind will chop it up a bit, so hit it early.

Saturday, July 4th and Sunday, July 5th are both decent. Clean conditions hold through the mornings with offshore and cross-offshore breezes. Swell drops off a bit from 4 ft to 3 ft by Sunday, but the energy stays moderate (453 down to 200). It’s still fun, but not as punchy as Friday.

Now, we hit a bit of a rough patch from Monday, July 6th through to the end of the first week. Strong winds and onshore slop take over. The swell gets messy with short-period junk, and a big southerly pulse moves in around Thursday, July 9th. That pulse ramps the energy up to massive numbers (4699 at one point), with 13 ft southerly swell and near gale cross-shore winds. That’s not for paddle surfing – if anything, the kite crew might be eyeing it off. The break is simply too big and too blown out.

That ugly southerly swell hangs around through the weekend and into the following week. Finally, by Monday, July 13th, the wind swings offshore again. We’ve got a 7 ft SSW swell with a short 8-second period. It’s clean, but that short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and less organised. Still, for experienced surfers, it’s the best we’ve seen in days. Tuesday, July 14th morning offers a cleaner 8 ft S swell with offshore cross-off breezes – good for the more confident crew.

The stand-out in this whole outlook, though, is Wednesday, July 15th. Morning has a 8 ft ESE groundswell with a 12-second period, light offshore NW winds at 9 mph, and solid energy (1413). This is a proper, lined-up day for Makorori Point. The swell direction matches the optimum SSE nicely. It’s got power, shape, and clean conditions. This will be one of those days where the point really works. The afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore breeze too. This is the one to circle.

The last few days of the forecast window drop off in quality, with strong winds again and smaller swell. By Saturday, July 18th, it’s back to poor conditions with fresh cross-shore winds and fading energy.

So, for the best bet: Friday morning, July 3rd for the clean, fun long-period swell, and Wednesday, July 15th for the bigger, more powerful groundswell with offshore winds. Wednesday is the real standout.

Rusty.

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