Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Point surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, S swell with 6,552 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Point this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Point in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty.
First up, we’re looking at a run of pretty average to downright bad conditions for a while. The first decent chance doesn't roll around until Friday the 21st of August, so the start of the outlook is a write-off.
We’ve got a big, angry swell hitting early in the week. Monday the 18th of August shows a solid 10ft southerly swell at Makorori Point, but with a strong cross-shore wind. The combined energy is cranked right up (2025), but it’s just too messy. By Tuesday afternoon the 19th, we’re looking at a massive 15ft southerly groundswell (12-second period), giving an enormous energy reading of 7409. It’s way too big for this point, even if the wind is slightly better. This is expert-only territory and even then, it's not clean. The whole period from the 18th to the 20th has the swell size maxed out, making it a no-go for most.
The real standout, the only real window I’d be keen on, is the morning of Friday the 21st of August. We’re dropping down to a much more manageable 3.6ft swell from the SSE, and the wind goes light offshore from the northwest at just 6 mph. That’s the clean stuff you want. It’s a long-period groundswell at 12 seconds, which will wrap in with some proper shape. The combined energy is a mild 460, so it won’t be packing a punch, but it’ll be smooth and clean.
The morning of Saturday the 22nd also looks promising with a 3.3ft swell from the SSE and a light offshore from the WNW (6 mph). The period has dropped to 13 seconds, but again, clean conditions with light energy (349). These two mornings are the best the window has to offer.
After that, the swell drops right off into nothing for the next week, with tiny, weak waves. The last few days of August see a little bump back up in size, but the winds turn ugly again. There’s a short, steep 6.2ft swell from the NE on the morning of the 28th, but it’s with a cross-shore wind, and the period is a short 7 seconds, making for a lumpy, unappealing mess.
So, in short: the first half of the outlook is a washout with giant, blown-out swell. The clean, tiny window on the 21st and 22nd is your best bet for a smooth, forgiving session. Everything else is either too big, too windy, or flat.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sat night, strong winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 8 | SSW 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 472 | 442 | 205 | 742 | 1258 | 1538 | 1422 | 1815 | 1350 | 1338 | 3148 | 3527 | 4797 | 2557 | 1681 | 355 | 376 | 328 | 768 | 826 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off | on | off |
High Tide | 7:55PM1.65m | 8:22AM1.54m | 8:46PM1.61m | 9:13AM1.52m | 9:35PM1.56m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:24PM1.49m | 10:52AM1.45m | 11:11PM1.43m | 11:39AM1.41m | 11:58PM1.37m | 12:27PM1.37m | 00:46AM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:17AM0.03m | 2:35PM0.06m | 3:07AM0.05m | 3:27PM0.10m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:16PM0.15m | 4:42AM0.14m | 5:05PM0.21m | 5:28AM0.20m | 5:52PM0.27m | 6:13AM0.26m | 6:39PM0.32m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 8 | S 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | — | — | SE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 |
| kJ | 472 | 442 | 205 | 520 | 262 | 211 | 1422 | 948 | 635 | — | — | 47 | 2612 | 932 | 539 | 355 | 376 | 328 | 768 | 826 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | E 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | ESE 11 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | — | — | — | — | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | ESE 7 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | S 16 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 6 | 61 | 103 | 194 | 74 | 313 | 24 | 44 | 40 | — | — | — | — | 822 | 213 | 59 | 129 | 43 | 496 | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SSW 18 | S 18 | SSE 16 | SE 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SSE 13 | SE 14 | SSE 16 | SE 8 | S 19 |
| kJ | 25 | 61 | 160 | 87 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 59 | 8 | 89 | 16 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 5 | SSW 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 16 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 56 | 742 | 1258 | 1538 | 126 | 1815 | 1350 | 1338 | 3148 | 3527 | 4797 | 2557 | 1681 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 37 | 62 | 115 | 117 | 117 | 117 | 62 | 62 | 121 | 338 | 298 | 120 | 117 | 47 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 11 km (7 miles) away.
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