Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Point surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, S swell with 6,905 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Point this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Point in the next 16 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Makorori Point over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, the immediate forecast is a bit of a write-off. For the first few days, we’ve got solid swell but it’s all arriving with a messy, cross-shore wind that’s just going to chop it all up. The energy is there – we’re looking at values in the low thousands (1663, 1844, 3311) – but it’s going to be lumpy and hard work, not the clean, lined-up waves we want. It’s a classic case of too much juice with the wrong wind direction.
We'll see a change towards the middle of next week, around the 20th. The wind settles down, and the ocean cleans up, but the swell drops out with it. We get a bit of a window on the 20th with some 8ft surf, but the tide might be doing weird things. Then it disappears again for a few days, leaving us with tiny, ordinary waves.
Now, here’s the standout. As we get into the back half of the month, there’s a really promising window around the 21st. The wind goes offshore, and it’s glassy in the afternoon. The swell is only around 4ft, but it’s coming from the SSE, which is the right direction for this place, and the period is a very healthy 16 seconds. That’s clean, raw, long-period groundswell. There’s not much size, but what’s there will be perfect, down-the-line surf. This point break will be at its absolute best. It’s a long way out, and forecasts can change, but this is the one to watch.
There’s another spike in energy around the 26th, with some 8ft SSW swell, and the wind is offshore. That’s going to be a punchy one, but it’s got a shorter period around 10 seconds and could be a bit walled. It’ll be a handful, but good for those who know what they’re doing on a bigger day.
So, the bottom line is, we’ve got a pretty ordinary start to the week, but hold out for the 21st for the standout session – it’s not going to be big, but it’ll be beautiful. And keep an eye on that 26th for a bigger, more powerful offering.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the SW on Sun morning, near gales from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSW 16 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 205 | 229 | 1004 | 1293 | 1178 | 1636 | 1219 | 2852 | 4012 | 3264 | 4585 | 4493 | 2553 | 173 | 116 | 371 | 742 | 508 | 261 | 161 | 82 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:46PM1.61m | 9:13AM1.52m | 9:35PM1.56m | 10:03AM1.49m | 10:24PM1.49m | 10:52AM1.45m | 11:11PM1.43m | 11:39AM1.41m | 11:58PM1.37m | 12:27PM1.37m | 00:46AM1.32m | 1:15PM1.34m | 1:34AM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:35PM0.06m | 3:07AM0.05m | 3:27PM0.10m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:16PM0.15m | 4:42AM0.14m | 5:05PM0.21m | 5:28AM0.20m | 5:52PM0.27m | 6:13AM0.26m | 6:39PM0.32m | 6:59AM0.30m | 7:27PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -4 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | — | SE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 14 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 205 | 194 | 351 | 230 | 100 | 863 | 586 | 1338 | — | 47 | 2830 | 1257 | 397 | 173 | 116 | 371 | 742 | 508 | 261 | 161 | 82 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | S 19 | S 17 | — | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | SSE 14 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 16 | ESE 7 | SE 9 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 |
| kJ | 103 | 87 | 66 | 140 | — | 73 | 39 | — | — | — | — | 376 | 336 | 120 | 84 | 155 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SSW 16 | SE 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | ESE 8 | E 13 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | SE 11 | NE 14 |
| kJ | 160 | 229 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | 135 | 86 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | S 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 41 | 119 | 1004 | 1293 | 1178 | 1636 | 1219 | 2852 | 4012 | 3264 | 4585 | 4493 | 2553 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 62 | 117 | 313 | 115 | 47 | 115 | 121 | 120 | 117 | 62 | 62 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 11 km (7 miles) away.
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