Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Point surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SSW swell with 1,815 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Point this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s brewing for our stretch of coast.
We’ve got a bit of a sleepy start, with the first proper surf window not really opening until Tuesday the 15th. Early on, it’s small and clean, but nothing to bolt out of bed for. The real standout is a few days out.
Tuesday the 15th, Tuesday Morning at Makorori Point is a solid bet. A clean 3ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s some nice groundswell with good energy (252). The wind is light and cross-offshore from the north, so it’ll be smooth. This break is very consistent, so you know it’ll be working. The water’s at 56°, which is a touch cooler than usual for this time of year. That morning is the pick of the early week.
The afternoons get a bit messy with stronger winds after that, and Wednesday and Thursday are just ordinary, small waves.
Now, keep an eye on Saturday the 19th. Saturday afternoon, the wind goes dead flat – glassy – and we’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the ESE at 11 seconds (220 energy). That’s going to be a gorgeous, clean, fun session.
But the firecracker, the one you lock in, is Monday the 21st. Monday morning, the swell jumps to 7ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period. That’s a massive amount of energy – 1166 on the scale – this is a serious, powerful groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the northwest, so it will be clean. This is excellent surf, but at 7ft, it’s strictly for the experienced crew. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so beat the rush for that one.
That Monday morning is the clear champion of the whole 16-day window. After that, the wind turns ugly and the quality drops hard from the 23rd onward, with a long run of lumpy, onshore chop right through the end of the month. One epic morning, then a whole lot of waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | S 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 242 | 196 | 128 | 103 | 81 | 199 | 125 | 81 | 79 | 193 | 177 | 123 | 119 | 138 | 183 | 101 | 547 | 1007 | 1114 | 689 | 223 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 9:05PM1.49m | 9:31AM1.49m | 9:51PM1.45m | 10:16AM1.45m | 10:36PM1.39m | 11:01AM1.41m | 11:21PM1.34m | 11:48AM1.37m | 00:08AM1.30m | 12:35PM1.34m | 00:56AM1.26m | 1:24PM1.32m | 1:45AM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:59PM0.15m | 3:22AM0.14m | 3:46PM0.19m | 4:06AM0.19m | 4:32PM0.24m | 4:51AM0.24m | 5:18PM0.29m | 5:35AM0.29m | 6:04PM0.33m | 6:21AM0.32m | 6:51PM0.36m | 7:08AM0.35m | 7:40PM0.38m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 6 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 242 | 196 | 128 | 103 | 81 | 199 | 125 | 81 | 46 | 193 | 177 | 73 | 119 | 138 | 183 | 101 | 43 | 520 | 1114 | 689 | 223 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | S 16 | NE 4 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | S 13 | S 14 | S 15 | ESE 14 | S 14 | S 17 | ESE 12 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | S 9 | S 13 | NE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 22 | 123 | 33 | 39 | 24 | 92 | 5 | 24 | 52 | 44 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | E 13 | S 15 | E 12 | S 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | SE 9 | NE 6 | NE 9 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 18 | — | SSE 16 | — | E 13 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 43 | 70 | 25 | — | 24 | — | 3 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | NNE 4 | — | — | N 6 | N 2 | N 2 | NNE 6 | S 6 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 | S 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | 16 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 88 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | 547 | 1007 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 11 km (7 miles) away.
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