Makorori Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

First up, the outlook for Makorori Point is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. There’s a solid run of swell coming, but the wind is going to be a real pain for a lot of it. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

We start off with a bit of a quiet spell, honestly. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 9th is just messy with a strong S wind, 25 mph, and a lumpy 8ft to 10ft SSE swell. It’s a cross-onshore mess and not worth getting wet. The energy is high (1571 to 2344), but the quality is zero. This continues through Friday the 10th with a 10ft to 13ft SE swell and the same howling wind – the energy is massive (4254) but it’s just a blown-out, bumpy nightmare. Saturday the 11th is still poor, with an 8ft SE swell and cross-shore winds, still no good.

Okay, things start to look up on Sunday the 12th. The morning shows a clean window with light WSW winds, 6 mph, and a 4ft ESE swell. The energy drops to 454, but it’s clean. This is a small, fun-sized wave for the more experienced crew. The afternoon gets a bit weird with a light onshore, but the morning is the pick of the early days.

The middle of the week, from Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 16th, is pretty flat. Swell drops to under 3ft, and conditions are mostly ordinary. There’s a small window on Monday morning with a 3ft ESE swell and light offshore winds, but it’s barely surfable.

Then we get a bit of a pulse again. Friday the 17th brings a 5ft ESE swell, but the wind is back onshore at 16 mph, making it choppy and poor. The energy is high (1168), but the quality isn’t there.

The standout period is the weekend of the 18th and 19th of July. Saturday the 18th morning is the real winner: a 6ft SE swell with a long period of 13 seconds, and clean conditions with light W winds. The energy is 1011 – moderate, but it’s clean and the swell is solid. This is a good one for experienced surfers, as it’s over 5ft. Sunday the 19th is also very good, with a 5ft ESE swell, a 13-second period, and light offshore winds. The energy is 848, and the conditions are clean. This is the best run of the outlook.

Monday the 20th is still decent, with a 5ft ENE swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s a bit more crumbly. The winds are light, though.

After that, the forecast gets a bit dicey again. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are back to messy, onshore winds with strong cross-on conditions. Thursday the 23rd morning is a cracker, though: a 4ft ESE swell with light offshore winds, clean surf.

Now, the big story is the end of the forecast. Thursday the 23rd afternoon and all of Friday the 24th are looking massive. The swell is predicted to be 10ft to 15ft from the S, with glassy winds. The energy is crazy high (2690 to 6442), and the wind is glassy. However, this is too big for this break. For a point break, a long period groundswell like this (periods of 9-11 seconds) is going to be massive and powerful. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a wild, heavy paddle. The wind is perfect, but the size is the showstopper. If you’re a charger, this is the session, but for everyone else, it’s a spectator sport.

For the whole period, the best bet is Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th. The swell is solid, the period is long, and the wind is clean. The crowds at Makorori Point can be an issue, but on these days, with the size and the conditions, it might be a bit more manageable. The swell direction is SSE to ESE, which is a good angle for this spot.

Rusty.

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