Makorori Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Makorori Point’s got a slow start, but there’s a few windows that’ll get the blood pumping if you’re patient.

We kick off Tuesday the 14th with tiny, grovelly waves around 1ft to 1ft from the SSE and ESE. The water temp’s sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. The wind’s a light northerly cross-off, so it’s clean, but frankly, there’s just not enough juice – combined energy’s only 63 (weak). It’s a paddle-around session, nothing more.

Wednesday the 15th looks a touch better. Still small at 1ft, but Wednesday afternoon we score glassy conditions with a light NE breeze at 3 mph. It’s clean as a whistle, but you’ll be hunting for any little bump. Combined energy stays low at 53.

Thursday the 16th is where things start to lift. The morning brings a 2ft SSE groundswell with a 15-second period, and combined energy climbs to 182 (moderate). The wind is a clean offshore from the NW at 9 mph. That long period will make those lines a bit more defined at the point, but don’t expect much size. By Thursday afternoon, the period stretches to 17 seconds and energy jumps to 330 (moderate). The offshore wind picks up to 12 mph, and it’s looking clean. Not a standout, but a promising sign.

Now, Friday the 17th is where it gets real. Morning session: 5ft of ESE groundswell with a 16-second period, combined energy is a solid 1058 (strong). The wind is light and cross-off from the west at 6 mph, keeping it clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers – the point will handle that long period well, offering up some proper, shapely waves. The Friday afternoon, however, gets a southerly cross-on that messes it up, so hit it early.

Saturday the 18th still has some size: 4ft from the ESE, 14-second period, and energy at 933 (strong). The morning cross-off from the NNW at 6 mph keeps it clean, and it’s a very good session. Afternoon gets a cross-on, so again, mornings are your friend.

Then we hit a rough patch. Sunday the 19th through to Saturday the 26th is mostly a write-off. Strong onshore winds, lumpy, choppy, and rain. The swell pulses, but the wind is relentless. A couple of mornings in there (like Monday 20th) have some energy, but it’s onshore and messy. From Sunday the 19th afternoon, look out for a 7ft southerly swell with a short 9-second period and a fresh 22 mph cross-on – that’s just ugly. The combined energy hits 1566 (strong), but it’s all wind-slapped.

The real standout is Sunday the 26th, but it’s a double-edged sword. That afternoon we get a 15ft easterly swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 8869 (very strong). The wind is a light cross-on. The file says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break – and I agree. That’s only for the absolute top-tier experts, and even then, it’s a heavy, dangerous beast. This is more of a spectator or kitesurfing show than a paddle session.

The following Monday the 27th stays huge with 15ft from the ESE, and again, it’s too big for comfortable paddling at Makorori. Tuesday the 28th morning drops to a more manageable 8ft from the ESE, with a clean offshore from the west at 6 mph. Combined energy is 1401 (strong). That’s excellent for experienced surfers, but it’s still a solid step up. Wednesday the 29th morning is the last call in the window: 6ft from the ESE, a 10-second period, and a clean offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. Energy is 791 (moderate). That’s very good, clean, and fun-sized.

So, the best on offer? Friday the 17th morning is the pick of the first week – clean, solid, and excellent for those who know what they’re doing. And then Tuesday the 28th morning is your long-range standout, but it’s a heavy one. If you’re not an expert, stay out of the water on the 26th, 27th, and 28th. For everyone else, Friday the 17th morning is the one to circle.

Rusty.

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