
Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Point surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, S swell with 7,352 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Point this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 1.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Imperial Units
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's cut through the noise and look at what Makorori Point has in store for us. This is a high-performance point, and it's going to be a mixed bag.
Right off the bat, the water is sitting at 56°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want a good wetsuit. We start on Monday, July 27th, with a 4ft ESE groundswell pushing in, but it's crossed up by a 16 mph cross-off wind. The wave energy is strong at 1129, but the whole setup is marginal. Monday afternoon gets worse – an 8ft S swell but a fresh 22 mph cross-wind, with energy jumping to 2172, making it lumpy and messy. Tuesday, July 28th, isn't much better with a 7ft SE swell and a 12 mph cross-wind. We've got a couple of days of poor to marginal surf here.
Now, Wednesday morning, July 29th, is where things start to look up. We've got a 6ft ESE groundswell, but the wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the west, and the skies are clear. The energy is still moderate at 920, and it's looking clean. Thursday, July 30th, is when we get the first real standout. Morning brings a 4ft ESE swell with a beautiful 9 mph offshore wind from the northwest – clean conditions. The energy has dropped to a moderate 507, but it's glassy, and the wave comment says to expect very good surf. The afternoon stays clean with the same offshore wind on a 4ft ESE swell. This is the pick of the first week – a solid, clean point break.
Friday, July 31st, is a bit smaller, with 3ft ESE swell in the morning and a 12 mph cross-off, but it's a little inconsistent. The afternoon cleans up nicely with an offshore 12 mph wind on a 3ft ESE swell, but it's getting small.
Then we hit a rough patch. Saturday, August 1st, we have a tiny 2ft long-period 16-second swell in the morning, but it's tiny. Then the afternoon brings a massive 10ft SSE swell with a 19 mph cross-wind and a huge energy of 2150. But the warning is clear: it's predicted to be too big for this break. Sunday, August 2nd, is completely blown out with strong winds, and Monday, August 3rd, is a write-off. A near gale wind and a massive 15ft S swell with energy over 10000. That's not for paddle surfing – that's kite territory, and even then, it's messy. So we've got a big gap from Friday afternoon until the next decent window.
That window arrives on Tuesday morning, August 4th. It's still pumping with a 7ft SE groundswell, but the wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-off, and the skies are clear. The energy is strong at 1709, but the call is excellent for experienced surfers. This is the second standout of the outlook. For advanced surfers only, the size and power are there, and the clean conditions will make it a session to remember. The afternoon gets a bit cross-choppy, and Wednesday and Thursday are back to marginal or poor conditions.
We get another big pulse on Thursday, August 6th, with an 12ft SSW swell, but the wind is cross-shore, and the warning is that it's too big for the break. This pattern continues through the weekend with large, onshore-affected swell. Sunday, August 9th, morning is a bit cleaner with an 8ft SSW groundswell and a light cross-wind, but it's still a lot of water moving.
Finally, for the second week, the last true standout is Monday morning, August 10th. An offshore 6 mph wind from the west-northwest meets a 4ft SSE long-period groundswell of 17 seconds. That's a very long period, meaning it'll be powerful, but at a point break like this, it'll be an absolute dream. The energy is moderate at 898, and the call is for very good surf. This is a promising long-range highlight, so mark your calendar. It gets smaller and cleaner again Tuesday, but by then, the swell is fading.
To be honest, the clear winners here are Thursday morning, July 30th, for a clean, fun-size session, and Tuesday morning, August 4th, for the bigger, more powerful, expert-level waves. Monday, August 10th, is also worth a look for a classic, long-period groundswell. The rest of the fortnight is a mix of too big, too windy, or too small.
Stay safe, and I'll see you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | S 9 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SSE 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
551 | 1107 | 1521 | 1471 | 1359 | 1134 | 900 | 774 | 644 | 422 | 370 | 249 | 228 | 167 | 130 | 124 | 2035 | 4619 | 1388 | 1950 | 5119 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:20PM1.35m | 4:36AM1.29m | 5:06PM1.37m | 5:23AM1.30m | 5:52PM1.39m | 6:09AM1.31m | 6:37PM1.42m | 6:54AM1.32m | 7:20PM1.44m | 7:38AM1.33m | 8:02PM1.45m | 8:21AM1.34m | 8:43PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:59AM0.32m | 10:32PM0.37m | 10:47AM0.31m | 11:21PM0.35m | 11:34AM0.28m | 00:09AM0.32m | 12:21PM0.26m | 00:55AM0.29m | 1:06PM0.24m | 1:40AM0.27m | 1:50PM0.23m | 2:23AM0.24m | 2:33PM0.22m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 4 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | SSE 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SSE 12 |
551 | 422 | 1521 | 1471 | 1359 | 1134 | 900 | 774 | 644 | 422 | 370 | 249 | 228 | 167 | 130 | 66 | 46 | 2513 | 1388 | 40 | 2493 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | ESE 13 | — | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 14 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | SE 16 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 13 | NE 15 | E 14 |
183 | 643 | — | 26 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 85 | 42 | 38 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 124 | 58 | 8 | 111 | 8 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 14 | — | NE 12 | S 16 | SE 16 | S 14 | ESE 17 | S 6 | NE 17 | NE 16 | E 10 | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 16 | — | 6 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | N 3 | NNE 5 | NE 6 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | — | SSE 11 | SSW 11 | — | SSE 11 | S 12 |
391 | 1107 | 1270 | 560 | 292 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 2 | — | 2035 | 4619 | — | 1950 | 5119 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 16 | 62 | 47 | 16 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 97 | 118 | 118 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 11 km (7 miles) away.










