Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 20s period, S swell with 3,536 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 2.1m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once it kicks in, Point Annihilation is gonna be the only show in town for a solid run. This is a reef and point setup that really knows how to handle a south swell, and we’ve got a good one lining up. The water’s sitting about average for this time of year, nothing too weird going on there.
First decent action arrives Friday morning, July 17th. We’re talking a solid 5ft SE groundswell with a meaty 16-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead calm. The combined energy is pumping at 1397, so there’s plenty of power. This is proper intermediate-to-expert territory, not for the groms. It stays clean and cross-off into the afternoon, holding at 6ft with even more energy (1801). Saturday the 18th keeps the good times rolling with 5ft SE swell, still clean, and the wind swings glassy again in the arvo. The crowds at Point Annihilation can be a thing, so get in early.
Sunday the 19th sees a bump in size to 7ft from the south, but the wind turns cross-on and the conditions get a bit scrappy – the energy is huge (2947) but it’s not gonna be as clean. Monday the 20th is a ripper though: 6ft south swell, glassy as a lake, with the energy still strong at 1537. This is the standout window. Tuesday the 21st is glassy again with 6ft south swell and 17-second period – unreal. That long period means the sets will be a bit more spaced, but the waves will be fat and powerful, perfect for this reef setup.
After that, the size slowly drops off through the week. Wednesday the 22nd is still clean with 6ft, but by Thursday the 23rd we’re down to 3ft and the energy fades (314) with cross-on wind. It gets pretty ordinary from Friday the 24th onwards, with small swell and weak energy, barely worth paddling out for. There’s a gap of a few days of real small stuff, but then Monday the 27th brings a little spike of 2ft south swell with a 17-second period and glassy conditions – the energy is 320, so it’s surfable but small. That’s about it. The run dries up again after that.
The standout is definitely Friday July 17th through to Tuesday July 21st. Point Annihilation is the place to be. It’s a reef and point, so that long-period groundswell from the south will wrap in beautifully. Clean, glassy mornings and solid size. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 96 | 196 | 516 | 976 | 1333 | 1493 | 1262 | 899 | 776 | 3536 | 2567 | 1903 | 1107 | 1297 | 1246 | 2224 | 1980 | 1652 | 2141 | 1147 | 633 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 6:44AM1.79m | 7:11PM1.96m | 7:42AM1.78m | 8:06PM1.93m | 8:36AM1.77m | 8:58PM1.88m | 9:27AM1.75m | 9:50PM1.81m | 10:17AM1.72m | 10:42PM1.74m | 11:07AM1.68m | 11:33PM1.68m | 11:59AM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:36AM0.09m | 12:53PM0.04m | 1:34AM0.06m | 1:47PM0.03m | 2:28AM0.06m | 2:42PM0.06m | 3:21AM0.09m | 3:36PM0.13m | 4:12AM0.14m | 4:30PM0.21m | 5:02AM0.20m | 5:23PM0.29m | 5:51AM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — |
 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 |
| kJ | 96 | 196 | 516 | 976 | 1333 | 1493 | 1262 | 899 | 776 | 3536 | 2567 | 1903 | 1107 | 1297 | 1246 | 2224 | 1980 | 1652 | 2141 | 1147 | 633 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 17 | SW 17 | S 16 | S 5 | S 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | E 5 | E 5 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 20 | 24 | 47 | 20 | 17 | 145 | 313 | 403 | 279 | 577 | 380 | 369 | 244 | 240 | 167 | 130 | 81 | 59 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 14 | NE 10 | — | SSW 16 | S 18 | S 15 | S 19 | S 24 | SSW 10 | — | — | S 20 | — | — | ESE 11 | — | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 30 | 4 | 4 | — | 47 | 163 | 215 | 30 | 710 | 177 | — | — | 67 | — | — | 163 | — | — | 41 | 29 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | NW 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 60 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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