
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, SSW swell with 5,329 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at Point Annihilation. This is a reef and point set-up that needs a good S swell to fire, and we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands.
Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. The first real chance to get wet won’t be until Monday morning, September 14th. That’s where things start to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 7ft S swell rolling in with a 12-second period, and the wind is glassy, dead calm. That’s going to make for some clean, lined-up waves. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a good thick wetsuit.
The combined swell energy is moderate at 1338, and the period is long enough to know it’s a proper groundswell. This is a reef and point, so it should hold up really well. That Monday morning session is the standout early call – excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Monday afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off breeze and 6ft swell.
Tuesday, September 15th, the swell drops a touch to 5ft in the morning with a clean cross-off wind, but by the afternoon the wind picks up to 25 km/h offshore from the NE. That offshore wind will groom the 4ft swell nicely. After that, we go into a quiet patch through Wednesday and Thursday with small, weak surf.
Friday, September 18th morning brings a little pulse back with a 3ft SE swell, but it’s a long-period 13-second groundswell. It might be a bit straight for the beach, but at a point like this, it could offer some long, clean lines with a gentle cross-off breeze.
Now, hold on to your board, because Sunday, September 20th, is a beast. We’ve got a massive 16ft SSW swell on Sunday morning. The combined energy is a staggering 5377 – that’s serious power. But the wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-onshore, creating lumpy, messy conditions. Sunday afternoon is still a huge 15ft onshore mess. This is expert territory only, and honestly, it’s more of a kitesurfing or tow-in day. The swell is way too big and blown-out for paddle surfing unless you’re a madman.
The real gem, the absolute standout of this whole outlook, is Wednesday, September 23rd. We get another big swell, 12ft from the S with an 11-second period. The combined energy is massive at 5679. But here’s the kicker – Wednesday morning has a light cross-off breeze, and by Wednesday afternoon it goes dead glassy. That is a recipe for perfection at a reef point. This is going to be absolutely pumping, but with that size, it’s for experienced surfers only. Expect a crowd, too, because this spot can get busy when it’s firing like this.
The last few days of the outlook (from the 25th onwards) drop off into much smaller surf, with a nice glassy 2ft day on the 26th and some clean offshore winds around the 27th with a very long 17-second period, which should offer some nice, mellow lines.
So, to sum it up: the best bet is Monday morning, September 14th for the first clean swell, and the absolute don’t-miss is Wednesday, September 23rd for that big, glassy groundswell. The big 20th is a pass for most of us.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 11 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 15 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 15 | S 14 | SSW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1710 | 1510 | 1333 | 1145 | 699 | 434 | 284 | 173 | 108 | 65 | 84 | 120 | 85 | 78 | 325 | 240 | 183 | 224 | 206 | 1672 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:15PM1.74m | 7:45AM1.75m | 8:04PM1.73m | 8:30AM1.77m | 8:52PM1.71m | 9:14AM1.76m | 9:39PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.72m | 10:25PM1.64m | 10:45AM1.66m | 11:11PM1.59m | 11:34AM1.60m | 11:55PM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:33AM0.22m | 1:52PM0.24m | 2:19AM0.27m | 2:43PM0.29m | 3:05AM0.33m | 3:31PM0.34m | 3:51AM0.39m | 4:19PM0.39m | 4:38AM0.42m | 5:05PM0.42m | 5:24AM0.45m | 5:53PM0.44m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 7 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 7 | SE 11 |
14 | 1510 | 1333 | 1145 | 699 | 434 | 284 | 173 | 108 | 65 | 84 | 120 | 85 | 52 | 93 | 240 | 183 | 127 | 52 | 77 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ENE 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 10 | S 16 | S 16 | NE 5 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SE 8 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SE 15 | SE 13 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 15 | SE 11 | ENE 10 |
1 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 33 | 45 | 42 | 78 | 325 | 29 | 41 | 224 | 123 | 37 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | NE 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | SSW 15 | S 15 | ENE 4 | SE 12 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 9 | SSW 6 | ENE 7 | S 14 | ENE 11 |
4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 13 | 31 | 6 | 19 | 206 | 22 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NW 3 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NE 3 | NE 6 | — | SSE 3 | — | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 8 |
1710 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 82 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 1672 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 306 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










