
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with 4,966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Point Annihilation. This is a reef and point setup, and it’s pretty exposed to the swell, so it can pick up a lot of energy.
Right now, the water's sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year. Not a crazy anomaly, but enough to warrant a good thick wetsuit.
The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday, 28 July, is a total mess with onshore wind and a lumpy 8ft SE swell. The energy is there, but the wind is ruining it. Don't even bother.
The real action starts to show on Wednesday, 29 July. That morning, the wind swings around to a light NNW, going cross-offshore, and the swell drops to a cleaner 6ft from the SE. The energy is still solid, and the conditions are set to be clean. That afternoon, the wind goes offshore from the NE, 6ft of SE swell, and it’s going to be a beauty. This is the standout of the first week. The swell direction (S) is exactly what this break wants, and you’ve got clear skies and offshore wind. It’s not too big for intermediates, but it's got enough push to get you a good ride.
Thursday, 30 July, is still rideable in the morning with a clean 5ft swell, but the energy drops off and the wind goes cross-offshore. It’s better than a kick in the teeth, but not as good as Wednesday.
After that, the surf fades to nothing for a few days. Friday through Monday are all poor, with tiny waves and cross-shore winds. We’re looking at a gap of dead flat days until the next pulse.
Then, hold on to your board. On Sunday, 2 August, the swell jumps back up, but it comes with a 25 mph SSW onshore wind. That’s 13ft of raw, ugly energy but it’s a total mess. Not for surfing.
Monday, 3 August, is similar – big, choppy, and cross-onshore.
The real gigantor shows up later. On Friday, 7 August, the afternoon session is looking at a massive 18ft swell from the S with a very long 15-second period. The energy is off the charts. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, but the report says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. This is for experts only, and even then, you’d have to be a lunatic or a tow-in crew. The swell is so long-period that it might turn into a close-out wall at this point, but for a reef, it could be a freight train. It’s a serious, serious call.
Saturday, 8 August, the next morning, is the best of the big stuff. The swell drops to a still-massive 12ft from the S, with a long 14-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the ESE. The energy is still huge. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell direction is spot on, and the wind is clean. If you’re a charger, this is your window.
The rest of the second week is a slow fade. The swell gets smaller and the wind picks up from the east, which keeps it cross-offshore but strong. By the 10th and 11th, it’s small and weak again.
So, to sum it up: the best bet is Wednesday, 29 July, for a clean, fun-sized wave. For the big-wave crew, set your alarm for the morning of Saturday, 8 August. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 15 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2046 | 1847 | 1326 | 1077 | 933 | 722 | 518 | 379 | 302 | 234 | 193 | 109 | 112 | 60 | 3423 | 4293 | 3127 | 2265 | 1406 | 865 | 500 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:53PM1.55m | 5:09AM1.43m | 5:37PM1.55m | 5:56AM1.42m | 6:22PM1.55m | 6:43AM1.44m | 7:06PM1.57m | 7:30AM1.47m | 7:50PM1.58m | 8:14AM1.51m | 8:34PM1.61m | 8:57AM1.55m | 9:19PM1.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:40AM0.45m | 11:08PM0.46m | 11:24AM0.41m | 11:53PM0.41m | 12:05PM0.37m | 00:38AM0.36m | 12:47PM0.33m | 1:23AM0.32m | 1:30PM0.31m | 2:07AM0.29m | 2:15PM0.29m | 2:50AM0.27m | 3:02PM0.29m | ||||||||
7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 15 | SSW 8 | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | S 22 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
2046 | 1847 | 1326 | 1077 | 933 | 722 | 518 | 379 | 302 | 234 | 193 | 109 | 112 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 865 | 500 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | NE 6 | SE 15 | ESE 10 | SE 13 | E 11 | ENE 16 | ENE 15 | ENE 14 | E 13 | S 20 | S 18 |
27 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 20 | 162 | 181 | 109 | 61 | 80 | 5 | 60 | 63 | 60 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 3 | 68 | 97 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | — | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 18 | — | NNE 4 | S 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | NE 6 | S 11 | ESE 10 | ENE 16 | — | — | S 19 | ENE 13 | E 13 | SE 11 |
46 | 55 | — | 6 | 5 | 107 | — | 1 | 21 | 10 | 36 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 25 | — | — | 7 | 17 | 3 | 31 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNE 4 | NE 5 | NE 7 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | — | — |
497 | 227 | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 44 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 3423 | 4293 | 3127 | 2265 | 1406 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 92 | 77 | 99 | 168 | 41 | 77 | 92 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










