
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with 2,904 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Point Annihilation.
The next 16 days have a bit of a slow start, but there’s some serious firepower lined up for the end of the first week and into the second. We’ve got a few days of nothing really worth paddling out for, then it gets good, then it gets proper heavy. The first real window kicks off on Tuesday the 15th.
Tuesday 15th September is your early go-to. We’ve got a clean 4ft southerly swell running with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is offshore from the northeast at 12 mph, so it'll be clean and lined up. The combined energy is 354 (moderate), and the water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so maybe grab an extra mil. It’s not the biggest, but it’s the best on offer for the first few days.
Things get messy Wednesday through Friday with onshore winds and crumbly conditions. The swell drops into the 3ft range and the wind is all over the shop. A gap of about four days with nothing worth rushing for.
Saturday 19th sees a jump in size with a 5ft SSW swell, but it’s a short period 6-second windswell, and the wind is onshore from the southwest at 15 mph. The combined energy is 411 (moderate), but it’s a lumpy, choppy mess. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Sunday 20th is even worse. Strong onshore winds and rain. The swell hits 8ft with a 1048 (strong) combined energy, but it’s a complete washout. Wait it out.
Now, Monday 21st September – this is the standout. We’ve got a solid 8ft southerly groundswell with a long 12-second period. Combined energy is a whopping 2275 (very strong). The wind goes glassy in the morning from the west-northwest, then swings northeast offshore at 15 mph in the afternoon. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. That size is over the 8ft mark, so it’s for the experienced crew only. The long period will make it a bit wonky at the beach breaks, but Point Annihilation is a reef and point, so it should handle that deep water energy beautifully. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
Tuesday 22nd drops right back to 3ft with glassy conditions in the morning, but it’s ordinary otherwise. Then we get another big pulse.
Wednesday 23rd and Thursday 24th look messy again, with strong onshore winds and a huge 12ft swell on Wednesday (1602 combined energy). That’s wind-blown and dangerous.
Tuesday 29th September is the next standout. The afternoon brings a 6ft southwest swell with a very long 15-second period. Combined energy is 1414 (very strong). The wind is cross-off from the east-southeast at 9 mph, giving clean conditions. Again, that long period will suit the point setup perfectly. It’s a promise for the future, a bit far out, but looking real good.
Wednesday 30th brings another pulse – 7ft at 16 seconds (2287 combined energy) but the wind goes onshore from the west, ruining it.
So bottom line: Monday 21st is the absolute gem for experienced surfers. Tuesday 29th afternoon is the second pick for the long-range hopefuls. The rest is either small, windy, or too dangerous.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 7 | S 8 | SSW 10 | S 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
332 | 207 | 113 | 112 | 224 | 138 | 125 | 110 | 244 | 190 | 193 | 176 | 163 | 195 | 290 | 957 | 1470 | 2246 | 1146 | 327 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | off | cross |
High Tide | 8:52PM1.71m | 9:14AM1.76m | 9:39PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.72m | 10:25PM1.64m | 10:45AM1.66m | 11:11PM1.59m | 11:34AM1.60m | 11:55PM1.52m | 12:25PM1.54m | 00:41AM1.44m | 1:14PM1.49m | 1:29AM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:05AM0.33m | 3:31PM0.34m | 3:51AM0.39m | 4:19PM0.39m | 4:38AM0.42m | 5:05PM0.42m | 5:24AM0.45m | 5:53PM0.44m | 6:09AM0.46m | 6:41PM0.45m | 6:53AM0.45m | 7:29PM0.44m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | |
5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 12 | S 6 | S 7 | SE 12 | S 7 | S 8 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 |
332 | 207 | 113 | 112 | 224 | 138 | 125 | 110 | 244 | 66 | 83 | 161 | 163 | 195 | 75 | 41 | 1470 | 2246 | 1146 | 327 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | NE 4 | SSW 9 | SE 12 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SE 14 | NE 6 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ENE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ENE 8 | SSW 16 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
19 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 15 | 5 | 48 | 97 | 10 | 190 | 193 | 38 | 121 | 77 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | S 15 | SE 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | S 14 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SSW 15 | S 15 | ENE 8 | — | NE 8 | — | — | NE 13 | S 17 |
3 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 17 | 74 | 110 | 12 | — | 3 | — | — | 7 | 49 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NE 4 | NE 7 | SSW 6 | — | — | SSW 6 | — | NW 2 | SSW 10 | S 8 | — | — | — | NW 2 |
3 | 22 | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | 44 | 158 | — | — | 176 | — | 2 | 290 | 957 | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 49 | 41 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










