Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, S swell with 3,794 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s coming for Point Annihilation. This reef and point set-up has that classic potential, and it’s fairly consistent.
We’ve got a quiet start, but the first real chance to get wet is this Saturday morning, the 29th of August. It’s a small 3ft S swell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is weak (270), but we’ve got a light N wind blowing cross-offshore, keeping the surface glassy. It’s not a blower, but for a point break, that clean face will give you some fun, shapey rides. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
Saturday afternoon is similar, but the wind shifts and it loses a touch of quality. The big standout, and I mean the *big one* of this whole 16-day run, is Wednesday the 2nd of September. Both the morning and afternoon sessions are an absolute dream. We’re talking a solid 8ft to 10ft S swell, and that afternoon pulse has some serious grunt (3794) – that’s very strong wave energy. The period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell. This is a point and reef, so that long-period energy is going to wrap in beautifully, offering up lined-up, powerful walls. The wind is light, cross-offshore, and the sky is clear. It’s going to be absolutely clean. Fair warning though: at 10ft, this is expert territory. If you’re not confident in that size, stay on the sand.
The swell hangs in through Thursday the 3rd and Sunday the 6th of September, with some solid 6ft to 8ft S swell, but the wind gets messy with a cross or cross-onshore flow. The quality drops, and it gets choppy. It’s not a total loss, but it’s not that Wednesday perfection.
There’s a bit of a lull through the middle of the first week of September, with small, weak swell and poor wind. Then, we get another promising window around Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th of September. We’ve got a clean 4ft to 5ft S swell with offshore to glassy conditions. The combined energy on Thursday afternoon is moderate (554), and the wind is dead flat glass. That’s a sneaky good session for a smaller board, super clean.
The very end of the run, around Friday the 11th of September, shows some size again – a big 10ft SSW swell – but the period is short (8-9 seconds) and the wind is on it. That’s a lumpy, drifty mess. Not one for the quiver.
The Takeaway: If you’ve got one day to circle on the calendar, it’s Wednesday the 2nd of September. That’s the big, clean, powerful groundswell at Point Annihilation. The glassy morning of Thursday the 10th of September is a great second option for a cleaner, smaller session. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy to get truly excited about.
Stay frothy,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | S 9 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 350 | 216 | 202 | 154 | 78 | 34 | 63 | 2947 | 656 | 1471 | 1281 | 3393 | 2466 | 2130 | 3794 | 3107 | 1196 | 663 | 285 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:11AM1.46m | 6:33PM1.57m | 6:58AM1.52m | 7:20PM1.62m | 7:44AM1.59m | 8:05PM1.66m | 8:29AM1.65m | 8:52PM1.69m | 9:13AM1.70m | 9:40PM1.69m | 9:59AM1.73m | 10:30PM1.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:03AM0.30m | 12:17PM0.28m | 00:49AM0.26m | 1:02PM0.25m | 1:35AM0.24m | 1:48PM0.24m | 2:20AM0.23m | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:05AM0.23m | 3:28PM0.25m | 3:52AM0.23m | 4:20PM0.25m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | S 9 | S 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
| kJ | 350 | 216 | 202 | 154 | 78 | 34 | 71 | 41 | 656 | 1471 | 21 | 9 | 2466 | 2130 | 3794 | 3107 | 1196 | 663 | 285 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | SSW 5 | NE 9 | S 16 | ENE 9 | — | S 24 | ENE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 27 | 25 | 32 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 97 | 620 | 16 | — | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 13 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | NE 6 | SSW 14 | — | NE 9 | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 27 | 20 | 39 | 15 | 9 | 63 | — | 19 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SW 3 | SW 4 | NW 2 | SSW 17 | — | WNW 3 | SSW 12 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 45 | 36 | 24 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2947 | — | 7 | 1281 | 3393 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 16 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 156 | 103 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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