
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, S swell with 8,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a single spot on the radar for this forecast period: Point Annihilation. It’s a reef and point setup, fairly consistent, and it likes a solid south swell. The water’s sitting at a cool 55°, which is a bit colder than you’d usually expect for this time of year. Let’s run through what’s coming.
The next few days are pretty tame. We start off Tuesday the 21st with a 7ft south swell, but a light cross-shore breeze and marginal conditions keep it from being a goer. Wednesday morning the 22nd though? That’s where we get a little taste of glass. Clean 4ft south swell with a nice 12-second period and glassy conditions. It’s small, but it’s clean for a sneaky session. By Thursday the 23rd, the swell drops off fast into Thursday and Friday, with tiny waves and onshore slop. Saturday the 25th sees a bump in energy but it’s all blown out.
Now, the big stuff hits from Sunday the 26th through the end of the month, but don't get too excited – it’s messy. Sunday morning pumps a 7ft south swell but with 12 mph onshore wind, it’s ugly. Monday the 27th goes even bigger with a 15ft to 16ft south swell, but it’s accompanied by strong onshore gales. The combined energy readings hit massive numbers (5164 to 8295), but with 19-22 mph winds blowing straight onto it, it’s a washing machine. That’s kite-surf territory, not paddle surf. Tuesday the 28th is your best bet in this wild stretch: an 8ft swell from the southeast with a long 14-second period, and light cross-shore winds in the morning. The energy is still extreme (4904), but the conditions are cleaner. It’s still big—only for experienced hands.
Things settle down into the first week of August, but it’s mostly average. A bump of 5ft to 6ft on the 1st and 2nd, but winds are cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s lumpy. The standout in this whole outlook? You’ve gotta wait for Tuesday the 4th of August. That morning we’ve got a 15ft south swell (period 13 seconds, energy 7090) with light cross-shore winds, and by the afternoon it’s a clean 16ft south swell with a light offshore breeze from the NNE. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is a proper, powerful groundswell hitting a point break, so expect long, waiting sets and clean faces. It’s for experts only, this size. For the rest of us, the Wednesday the 5th still has 15ft but the winds shift cross-onshore, so it’s less clean.
Overall, the first week and a half is quiet, with a short window of clean but small surf on the 22nd. The real juice arrives late, with a huge but wild swell through the end of July, and the absolute standout is August 4th. Mark it down, but keep an eye on the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the S by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1699 | 905 | 501 | 342 | 326 | 184 | 75 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 46 | 157 | 205 | 706 | 678 | 822 | 1156 | 4159 | 7137 | 7158 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:33PM1.68m | 11:59AM1.65m | 00:24AM1.62m | 12:54PM1.62m | 1:14AM1.58m | 1:46PM1.61m | 2:03AM1.55m | 2:36PM1.59m | 2:51AM1.51m | 3:22PM1.58m | 3:37AM1.48m | 4:08PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:23PM0.29m | 5:51AM0.28m | 6:15PM0.36m | 6:39AM0.36m | 7:08PM0.42m | 7:27AM0.42m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:15AM0.47m | 8:50PM0.50m | 9:04AM0.48m | 9:37PM0.50m | 9:53AM0.48m | 10:23PM0.49m | |||||||
— | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 15 | SE 14 |
1699 | 905 | 501 | 342 | 326 | 184 | 75 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 157 | 205 | 209 | 179 | 472 | 581 | 1005 | 1158 | 1836 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 9 | E 8 | NE 7 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — |
97 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 30 | 37 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 21 | 37 | 76 | 196 | 255 | 45 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 11 | S 9 | SE 18 | NE 6 | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 20 | 44 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | ENE 4 | NNW 2 | — | NNW 2 | NE 5 | NW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 3 | 31 | 706 | 678 | 822 | 1156 | 4159 | 7137 | 7158 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 81 | 7 | 4 | 84 | 64 | 81 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










