Point Annihilation Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it—this sixteen-day window for Point Annihilation is a real mixed bag, and it’s gonna take some patience. The first week is mostly a write-off, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel if you can wait it out.

Right now, the surf is just no good. We’ve got a solid 12 ft SSE swell rolling in on Friday the 10th, but a strong S cross-on wind at 22 mph has it all chopped up and lumpy. The combined swell energy is a hefty 2629, but with that wind, it’s a mess. Saturday the 11th isn’t much better—7 ft SE swell, still cross-on, and the water’s sitting at 56°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. We’re looking at a few days of nothing really worth paddling out for.

We do get a bit of a tease on Sunday the 12th morning. A clean WSW onshore wind at 9 mph hits a 3 ft S swell with a very long 15-second period, which could be promising for a reef setup like this, but it’s just too marginal. The energy is weak (676), and the forecast says it’s questionable. Monday the 13th morning cleans up nicely with a N cross-off breeze and a 3 ft S swell (10-second period), giving us clean 3 ft waves and a score that says “expect good surf conditions.” The energy is low at 269, so it’s small, but it’s clean. That’s the first proper window.

Tuesday the 14th drops right off—2 ft and 1.0 ft—so don’t bother. Wednesday the 15th is glassy as glass, with a tiny 1 ft ESE swell, but it’s just too small to get excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The second week has a couple of standout windows. On the 23rd of July, Thursday morning, we’ve got a NNE offshore wind at a light 3 mph, and a 6 ft SSE swell with an 11-second period. The energy is moderate at 907, and the forecast is calling for “very good surf conditions.” That’s a proper clean swell, offshore, and the size is solid for intermediates. It’s the best on offer, no question. Thursday afternoon stays glassy with a 6 ft SSE swell, but the morning is the pick.

Friday the 24th keeps it going with a NNE cross-off breeze and a 6 ft SSE swell (11 seconds), still clean and good. The energy is 699, so it’s still got a bit of punch. From there, the swell slowly drops, but the wind stays offshore or glassy through to the 25th, with 5 ft to 4 ft SE swells. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and consistent.

The real standout is Thursday the 23rd morning. The combination of a solid 6 ft SSE swell, a long 11-second period, and that light offshore NNE wind will see Point Annihilation lining up nicely. It’s a reef-and-point setup, so that long-period energy will wrap in well and give you some proper shaped waves. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, so you might have a few others in the water, but it won’t be a circus.

One thing to note: the water is still running a bit cooler than average, but by the 23rd, it should be easing up.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud. Forget the 10th to the 18th—there’s maybe a tiny window Monday the 13th morning for a small clean session, but that’s it. The second week saves it, with the 23rd Thursday morning as the true standout. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

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