
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, S swell with 4,586 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 2.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for Point Annihilation. We’ve got a real mixed bag coming our way, so let’s break it down.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 55°F with a 3°F anomaly, so it’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year. You’ll want a good thick wetsuit.
The pattern starts off rough. Monday the 20th is a write-off – onshore wind, messy, and the combined energy is a moderate 2018, but the conditions are just poor. Tuesday the 21st is where it starts to get interesting. Tuesday afternoon is the standout of the entire outlook. The swell drops to a clean 7ft from the south, with a 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy. Combined energy is a solid 1796, and the report says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That afternoon session is the one to circle.
Wednesday the 22nd is a letdown after that. The swell drops to 4ft and 4ft, and while the wind is light and glassy in the afternoon, the energy is weak (529 and 371). It’s surfable, but nothing special.
From Thursday the 23rd through Friday the 24th, the swell fades hard. We’re looking at 3ft down to 1.0ft. The wind is clean and offshore, but there’s no push. Combined energy drops to 40 by Friday afternoon. Not worth paddling out.
Then things get wild. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th see a massive spike in swell, but it’s blown out with strong onshore winds. Sunday morning has 10ft from the SSW, but with a cross-onshore wind and combined energy of 1825, it’s a mess. Sunday afternoon has 16ft from the south with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 7015, but the wind is a near gale from the SSW. That’s not surfable for paddle surfing – that’s kite territory, if anything.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are still big and unruly. Monday morning has 15ft from the south with a combined energy of 8792, but the wind is onshore at 19 mph. It’s only for the most experienced, and even then, it’s not clean.
There’s a gap of poor conditions from Wednesday the 29th through to the end of the first week of August. The swell is either too small, too windy, or just messy.
Now, there is one more bright spot. Thursday the 30th afternoon sees a clean 5ft from the south with a 15-second period, offshore wind from the NE, and a combined energy of 1394. The report calls it excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your second best option, but it’s a long way off – over a week away.
Friday the 31st starts with decent size (7ft, 16 seconds) but the wind is cross-onshore, and by the afternoon a near gale blows it out completely.
After that, it’s all small and messy through the first week of August. The south swell direction is not ideal for the spot’s optimum south swell, so even when there’s energy, the quality isn’t there.
So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 21st afternoon is the clear winner. Glassy, 7ft south swell, 15 seconds, and 1796 combined energy. That’s the one. Thursday the 30th afternoon is a backup, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too big and blown out.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SE 11 | SW 6 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | ESE 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3752 | 4586 | 2609 | 1699 | 905 | 501 | 342 | 395 | 202 | 73 | 34 | 30 | 16 | 19 | 401 | 708 | 234 | 393 | 1162 | 465 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:42PM1.74m | 11:07AM1.68m | 11:33PM1.68m | 11:59AM1.65m | 00:24AM1.62m | 12:54PM1.62m | 1:14AM1.58m | 1:46PM1.61m | 2:03AM1.55m | 2:36PM1.59m | 2:51AM1.51m | 3:22PM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:30PM0.21m | 5:02AM0.20m | 5:23PM0.29m | 5:51AM0.28m | 6:15PM0.36m | 6:39AM0.36m | 7:08PM0.42m | 7:27AM0.42m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:15AM0.47m | 8:50PM0.50m | 9:04AM0.48m | 9:37PM0.50m | |||||||
— | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 3 | -1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | ENE 4 | S 10 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | E 10 | S 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSE 8 |
3752 | 4586 | 2609 | 1699 | 905 | 501 | 342 | 395 | 202 | 73 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 50 | 234 | 362 | 379 | 264 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | ENE 6 | SSW 9 | S 9 | SE 13 | SE 17 | SE 16 | E 11 | SSW 15 | ESE 13 |
167 | 103 | 97 | 97 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 15 | 30 | 37 | 34 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 27 | 107 | 203 | 64 | 45 | 465 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 12 | S 12 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | ESE 10 | S 9 | SE 11 | SE 19 | SSW 14 | E 11 | E 10 | SW 15 | SSW 14 |
174 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 20 | 61 | 31 | 58 | 40 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | SW 6 | SSW 9 | NNW 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 401 | 708 | 3 | 393 | 1162 | 151 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 81 | 45 | 33 | 114 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 91 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










