Point Annihilation Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t kick in until Saturday the 18th, and even then it’s a bit of a tease. The main event is shaping up around Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd – that’s your window if you want anything decent.

Saturday the 18th afternoon is a weird one. The water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good hood. There’s a solid 4 ft south swell rolling in with a very long 24-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy reading is a massive 2366 (strong). The problem? It’s labeled as marginal, and the wind is a light SSW breeze onshore. It’s not howling, but it’s not clean. The break is Point Annihilation, a reef and point setup. That long period will be working well here, but the wind is a buzzkill. I’d call it a look-see, not a go.

Sunday the 19th is a write-off. The swell jumps to 7 ft on Sunday morning, but the wind is cross-onshore, and the forecast is poor. By afternoon it’s 6 ft with 25 km/h cross-onshore wind. Choppy and ugly. Skip it.

Monday the 20th is more of the same – 6 ft to 8 ft of south swell, but cross-onshore winds keep it choppy. The combined energy jumps to 4132 (very strong) on Monday afternoon, but it’s all wind-ruined. Not worth it.

Tuesday the 21st is where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning still has a cross-onshore breeze on a 8 ft south swell, but the wind is only 5 km/h, so it’s barely a ripple. Then Tuesday afternoon, the wind shifts to a light east cross-offshore breeze at 10 km/h. The swell drops to 7 ft from the south, with a 15-second period. The combined energy is 1821 (moderate to strong). This is the standout. The conditions are clean, and the forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That 7 ft is a fun size for intermediates, and the reef point will handle that long period beautifully. This is the best on offer.

Wednesday the 22nd morning is glassy. The swell is back down to 4 ft from the south with a 12-second period, and the wind is dead calm. Clean, glassy waves. The combined energy is 521 (moderate). It’s smaller, but for a morning session, it’s a solid choice. Wednesday afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. The swell is 4 ft. Good for a log or a funboard.

Thursday the 23rd through Friday the 31st is a slow fade. The swell drops to 2 ft by Thursday, and while the winds are offshore or cross-offshore, it’s just too small to get excited about. The energy drops to 229 (weak) and then 164 (weak). From Friday the 25th through Monday the 28th, it turns ugly. Strong onshore winds, increasing to 45 km/h, with lumpy, blown-out surf. On Sunday the 26th, the swell pushes 10 ft to 12 ft, but with 45 km/h onshore wind, it’s a washing machine. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddling. Avoid.

Tuesday the 29th morning sees a return to glassy conditions with a 4 ft south-east swell, 11-second period, and the combined energy is 431 (moderate). It’s clean, but small. Wednesday the 30th stays clean with offshore winds and 3 ft swell. Fun for a grovel, but not a standout.

Thursday the 31st gives us a last gasp of clean 2 ft waves with a 16-second period, but the energy is 343 (weak). It’s clean, but it’s tiny.

Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd are back to poor conditions with strong onshore winds and lumpy surf. The swell on Sunday the 2nd jumps to 8 ft with a 14-second period, but with 35 km/h onshore wind, it’s a mess.

So, the takeaway: Tuesday the 21st afternoon is your best bet. Head to Point Annihilation for clean 7 ft south swell with a light offshore breeze. That’s the one. Wednesday morning is a good backup if you want a glassy session. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too far out to promise anything.

Rusty.

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