Point Annihilation Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about 1° cooler than usual for this time of year. Nothing too wild, just a little on the nippy side.

The window kicks off on Sunday the 6th of September, and to be honest, it’s a pretty grim start. We’ve got a bit of swell around, but the conditions are just ordinary. Point Annihilation is seeing a small 2ft SSW swell with a 10-second period, combined energy is moderate (129). The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the surf is clean, but there just isn’t any size or power to get excited about. It’s a frustrating start for a spot that can handle so much more. Sunday afternoon drops to 1ft, and Monday morning is even smaller at 1.0ft, so we’re really just biding time.

Monday afternoon sees a bit of a bump, with a 4ft S swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds, and the wind swings onshore from the W at 16 mph. It’s choppy and messy, not worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 8th is a write-off – strong onshore winds hitting 25 mph, with 7ft to 8ft of lumpy, wind-affected slop. The energy jumps up (740-781, moderate), but the quality is zero. Kite surfers might be having a ball, but for a paddle surfer, this is a hard pass.

Wednesday the 9th offers a glimmer. The morning is still a bit average with a 5ft SSE swell and light cross-on wind, but the afternoon turns it around. The wind swings to ENE at 12 mph, blowing offshore, and the wave height sits at 4ft from the SSE. The period is still short at 8 seconds, but the energy is moderate (213). It’s not a standout, but it’s the cleanest window so far.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are a mix of small swell and poor wind, with Friday morning seeing a 6ft SSW swell but onshore winds at 22 mph. No thanks. Saturday the 12th is the same story – a 7ft SW swell but with a strong cross-onshore wind that makes it lumpy and messy.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 13th of September is a massive standout. Point Annihilation is looking at an 18ft SSW swell in the morning, building to 21ft in the afternoon, with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is off the charts – 22106 in the morning, 35049 in the afternoon – that’s very strong energy. The swell direction is right in the sweet spot for this break. But here’s the catch: the wind is onshore from the WSW at 19 mph. The notes say the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is flat-out too big for this break. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a beast. If you’re a seasoned charger, this is the day to be watching, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Monday the 14th sees the swell drop to 15ft from the S, still with a 13-second period, and the wind is cross-on from the W at 12 mph. The energy is still very strong (12667), but conditions are choppy and marginal. Tuesday the 15th is more manageable – 6ft S swell, 12-second period, with a light cross-shore wind. The energy is moderate (792), but the cross-shore wind keeps it from being glassy. Not a standout.

From there, the rest of the forecast is pretty average. The wind stays mostly cross-on or onshore, and the swell sizes are inconsistent. The best bet, if you’re looking for something clean but small, is Wednesday the 9th afternoon. The real show, if you’re an expert, is Sunday the 13th, but it’s a promise with a big caveat – the wind is onshore, and the size is intimidating.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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