Point Annihilation Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.07° S 177.82° E

Point Annihilation Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Annihilation sea temperature is
12.7° C
1.2° 

Point Annihilation surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Annihilation surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 13s period, S swell with 9,264 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:

The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 5.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Best Surf 9AM (Sat 8th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 6PM (Tue 4th Aug)16ft (5.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Point Annihilation.

Right now, it’s a bit of a messy start. We’ve got a solid pulse of S swell rolling in on Sunday, but the wind is all over the place – Sunday morning sees a cross-on W breeze clocking in at 9 mph, making it choppy. The swell’s there at 8 ft with a 12-second period from the south, and the combined energy is putting out 1885, so there’s plenty of juice, but the conditions are rough. If the tide plays nice and you’re desperate, you could get something, but it’s marginal at best.

Monday takes a step back: the swell drops to 5 ft and the wind swings to a cross-shore WNW, which cleans things up slightly but doesn’t really give you a good wave. Energy drops to 599, so it’s weak. Tuesday and Wednesday are a write-off – massive storm swell (up to 18 ft on Tuesday afternoon!) but with onshore winds hitting 34 mph and near gale force. That’s not surfing, that’s survival. The combined energy on Tuesday afternoon hits 8897, so there’s insane power, but it’s totally unsurfable. This setup is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers – huge, messy, dangerous.

Thursday and Friday are still bumpy with cross-onshore winds and dropping swell. Then, right when you might be losing hope, Saturday the 8th of August shows up. That morning is the standout. The swell settles to a clean 7 ft from the south with a 13-second period, combined energy at 1335 – solid moderate to strong energy – and the wind goes glassy. Dead calm. That’s what we live for. Point Annihilation is a reef and point break, and with that southerly swell direction matching the optimum, it’s going to line up beautifully. This one’s for the experienced crew, not beginners – 7 ft is pushing it for learners.

Sunday the 9th is a solid follow-up. The swell drops to 5 ft but the wind is glassy again in the morning, switching to a light offshore from the ENE in the afternoon. Clean lines, smaller but fun. Energy drops to around 523, so it’s more mellow, but still worthwhile.

After that, we go through a slow fade. The week starting Monday the 10th has clean offshore winds (NE and NNE), but the swell gets small – dropping from 4 ft down to 1.0 ft by Thursday the 13th. The energy numbers fall off a cliff, from 370 down to just 25. It’s a clean little dribble, but only for a longboard or a log.

There’s a big gap from about the 13th to the 16th with practically no swell – combined energy in single digits, tiny waves. Then on Monday the 17th, there’s a late spike: 8 ft from the SSW, but it’s only an 8-second period (short and choppy) and the wind is moderate cross-shore. Energy is back up to 880, but the wave quality is marginal. Not a standout, but a glimpse of hope for the end of the window. Still, Saturday the 8th is your best bet – glassy, solid, and clean.

Water temp at Point Annihilation is sitting around 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 2° off. Throw on a decent wetsuit.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, near gales from the SW by Tue afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, light winds from the W by Fri night).

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
S
12
2.2
S
11
1.9
S
11
1.6
S
10
1.1
SSE
11
1.5
S
12
4
S
8
5.5
S
13
5
S
13
4.5
S
13
3.5
S
12
3
S
12
2.4
S
11
2.1
S
11
1.7
SSE
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.7
S
17
2.4
S
14
2
S
13
1.8
S
12
1.6
SSE
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1880
1179
862
562
292
657
2009
8897
8076
5860
4061
2360
1430
1045
622
523
1641
2379
1335
940
634
Wind (km/h)
10
W
5
SW
10
N
15
WNW
15
SW
25
W
40
SSW
50
SW
45
SW
40
SSW
30
SSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
20
SSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
SW
10
W
5
WSW
10
S
5
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
8:34PM1.61m
8:57AM1.55m
9:19PM1.63m
9:39AM1.59m
10:04PM1.65m
10:22AM1.63m
10:51PM1.66m
11:10AM1.67m
11:41PM1.67m
12:04PM1.70m
00:33AM1.67m
1:01PM1.74m
1:29AM1.67m
Low Tide
2:15PM0.29m
2:50AM0.27m
3:02PM0.29m
3:34AM0.27m
3:49PM0.29m
4:19AM0.27m
4:38PM0.30m
5:05AM0.28m
5:29PM0.31m
5:54AM0.28m
6:23PM0.31m
6:46AM0.27m
7:22PM0.29m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:23
 mm
1
4
2
6
2
2
Temp °C
9
10
10
13
15
12
8
7
7
8
9
9
8
9
8
8
8
8
8
9
8
Feels °C
5
6
6
10
11
7
-2
-6
-5
-2
2
1
2
3
3
3
3
4
6
7
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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