
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, S swell with 3,981 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 1ft (0.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag at Point Annihilation, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll absolutely fire.
The first good bit of surf comes in on the afternoon of Friday the 11th. We’ve got a clean 2ft swell from the south, with a seriously long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with a light east wind blowing cross-offshore, the surface will be clean. This is a reef and point set-up, so that long period stuff will wrap in nicely. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget the booties.
The real standout, though, is Monday the 14th. The morning kicks off with clean 6ft south swell (11 seconds) and a light north-northeast cross-offshore breeze – that’s about as glassy as it gets. Then the afternoon gets even better: solid 6ft south swell, period up to 12 seconds, and a moderate north-east offshore wind. This is the pick of the first week. It’s not too big for intermediates but will have plenty of power. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, but with conditions this good, it’ll be worth sharing the peak.
After that, things go quiet for a few days. There’s a bit of a lull from Tuesday the 15th through the weekend of the 19th and 20th. Swell drops below 3ft, and the winds get messy. Sunday the 20th afternoon shows a tiny 3ft south-southwest swell, but it’s clean with a light cross-offshore. Nothing to get excited about.
Now, hold onto your board. The big news is the 21st of September. A massive south-southeast swell hits, with 18ft to 20ft waves. But here’s the catch: the forecast says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The wind and tide are favorable, but that’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. If you’re not a chartered professional, stay on the beach. The 23rd of September morning is a better bet for experienced surfers: a clean 13ft south-southeast swell with a light east-southeast cross-offshore wind. That afternoon stays excellent with 12ft and a gentle offshore. This is a proper second-week standout.
By the 25th, it’s back to smaller, cleaner 3ft or less swell with gentle offshores – a nice easy finish to the outlook if you want something mellow.
Bottom line: The absolute best session is Monday the 14th. The second-week highlight for the brave is the 23rd of September.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 16 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SW 4 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
67 | 55 | 80 | 182 | 235 | 222 | 287 | 912 | 3523 | 2925 | 1597 | 1091 | 798 | 870 | 449 | 216 | 121 | 65 | 46 | 35 | 19 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 4:37PM1.75m | 5:08AM1.63m | 5:33PM1.75m | 6:03AM1.67m | 6:25PM1.75m | 6:56AM1.71m | 7:15PM1.74m | 7:45AM1.75m | 8:04PM1.73m | 8:30AM1.77m | 8:52PM1.71m | 9:14AM1.76m | 9:39PM1.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25AM0.11m | 10:59PM0.13m | 11:19AM0.11m | 11:53PM0.14m | 12:11PM0.13m | 00:45AM0.17m | 1:02PM0.18m | 1:33AM0.22m | 1:52PM0.24m | 2:19AM0.27m | 2:43PM0.29m | 3:05AM0.33m | 3:31PM0.34m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 11 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 16 | S 6 | S 8 | S 7 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 |
67 | 55 | 80 | 115 | 135 | 47 | 287 | 912 | 3523 | 2925 | 1597 | 1091 | 798 | 870 | 449 | 216 | 121 | 65 | 46 | 16 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 8 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | ENE 9 | S 6 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 12 | NE 12 | E 9 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 9 |
22 | 21 | 6 | 182 | 235 | 222 | 15 | 41 | 30 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 46 | 38 | 33 | 35 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 7 | S 21 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 13 | NE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | E 15 | — | E 13 | NNE 5 | E 8 | SE 11 | E 12 | E 12 | NE 5 |
6 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | — | SSE 7 | — | — | — | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | NNE 4 | NW 3 | NE 2 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 4 |
3 | — | 70 | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










