Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, S swell with 8,606 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we’ve got coming up at Point Annihilation. It's a reef and point set-up that needs a solid south swell to come alive, and boy, is it going to get one. But we’ve got a rough week to get through first.
The opening of the period is a straight-up write-off. We’re looking at a massive pulse of south swell—starting Monday afternoon with a 10ft monster on a short 9-second period, and it only gets bigger and more powerful. By Wednesday morning we're staring down a 15ft behemoth. The problem? The wind is howling from the south and southwest, slamming right onshore, making it a total mess. The combined wave energy is off the charts—in the thousands (2033, 3506, 5896)—but it's all windblown and ugly. This is not surfing; this is survival. For the first few days, think of it more as a kite session if you have the gear, but for paddling, forget it. This run of poor conditions lasts from Monday the 17th right through to early Thursday the 20th.
Things start to settle on Thursday afternoon, but it’s still only marginal with a 7ft onshore wave. The light finally breaks on Friday the 21st of August. That morning we’ve got a 6ft south groundswell with a super long 16-second period, and the wind swings to a light cross-shore from the WNW. It's still a bit lumpy, but the afternoon is the real standout. Friday afternoon sees the swell dropping to a clean 5ft from the south, with a 15-second period, and the wind dies to a flat calm glassy state. The water is a bit colder than usual at 54°, so bring a good hood.
That’s the pick of the first week. Saturday and Sunday the 22nd and 23rd are small and poor again with moderate cross-shore winds, and we drop down to tiny 2ft waves. A bit of a dump.
Now, look ahead to the end of the month. After a few more days of small, marginal swell, we get a real teaser in the second week. Friday the 28th of August looks like a cracker. The morning kicks off with a clean 6ft south swell (15-second period) and light offshore winds from the northeast. The energy reads a solid 1680 in the bracket, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That afternoon stays good too with clean 6ft waves and a gentle offshore. This is the best on offer in the entire outlook.
Following that, Sunday the 30th of August morning has clean 6ft waves on a 11-second period with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the energy at 736 is moderate but clean. It’s not the big winner like the 28th, but it’s a fun wave. The 31st of August is a write-off with strong offshore winds making it hard to paddle into the 4ft surf.
Overall, you've got to survive the first big, windy, messy pulse to get to the glassy gold on Friday the 21st, and then the real prize is that Friday the 28th session with light offshores and a solid, long-period swell. Get on it.
Catch ya in the water,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 14 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 12 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
657 | 3321 | 8514 | 5541 | 3957 | 2785 | 562 | 737 | 401 | 1456 | 945 | 480 | 339 | 205 | 149 | 72 | 33 | 30 | 582 | 627 | 617 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:46AM1.75m | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:33AM1.72m | 10:59PM1.67m | 11:22AM1.67m | 11:48PM1.62m | 12:14PM1.62m | 00:35AM1.57m | 1:06PM1.58m | 1:22AM1.51m | 1:56PM1.54m | 2:10AM1.45m | 2:43PM1.52m | 2:58AM1.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:01PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.30m | 4:51PM0.34m | 5:15AM0.36m | 5:41PM0.40m | 6:03AM0.41m | 6:30PM0.44m | 6:49AM0.45m | 7:20PM0.47m | 7:35AM0.46m | 8:10PM0.48m | 8:23AM0.46m | 8:57PM0.47m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | -1 | -2 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 13 | S 8 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 5 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 13 |
481 | 338 | 85 | 50 | 18 | 497 | 210 | 126 | 401 | 1456 | 945 | 480 | 339 | 205 | 149 | 72 | 31 | 26 | 582 | 627 | 617 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | — | — | S 15 | SE 9 | S 13 | SE 13 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSW 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 |
46 | — | — | — | 1195 | 528 | 513 | 7 | 102 | 79 | 120 | 41 | 20 | 12 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 59 | 17 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 11 | S 18 | S 17 | SE 11 | — | S 16 | E 15 | ESE 14 | E 14 | NE 5 | NE 4 | S 10 | ESE 13 | NE 11 | ESE 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 25 | 206 | 46 | — | 82 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 36 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 14 | S 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | NW 2 | WNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 3 | WNW 3 |
657 | 3321 | 8514 | 5541 | 3957 | 2785 | 562 | 737 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 162 | 169 | 92 | 162 | 7 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 46 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











