
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with 2,089 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 21st Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for this stretch of coast.
We’ve got a slow start, but don’t tune out – the back half of this 16-day window has some serious potential. There’s a fair gap of nothing special before the real action kicks off. After a brief run of small, clean waves mid-week, things get blown out and ugly for a stretch, and then we’re looking at a proper groundswell event towards the end of the run, especially around the 21st and again on the 29th.
The standout sessions here are all about that deep, long-period south swell lighting up Point Annihilation (reef and point). This break handles a south swell beautifully.
Let’s start with Monday afternoon, the 14th. It’s not a world-beater, but it’s our first decent look. Clean 6 ft south swell with a 13-second period, light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (1149). The water is sitting at 55°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit.
Tuesday the 15th is smaller, around 5 ft, but the morning has that same clean cross-off feel. By the afternoon the wind picks up from the NE at 15 mph, which is offshore here, so it stays clean but gets a bit of a wobble on it.
Wednesday the 16th has tiny, glassy 3 ft waves in the morning with the wind totally dead. Not much push, but you could get a fun one if you’re on a log.
Now, here’s where it gets messy. From Thursday the 17th afternoon right through to Sunday the 22nd morning, it’s mostly poor. Friday the 18th sees a big jump in height – 10 ft to 12 ft – but it’s howling onshore from the SW at 25 mph, turning it into a washing machine. That’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle-surfing one. The energy is strong (2437) but completely unsurfable.
The real highlight, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 21st afternoon. This is the best of the first week. We get a 4 ft south groundswell with a very long 16-second period. That’s a proper pulse of energy, reading 1669 on the energy scale. A light E cross-off breeze keeps it clean. This is a classy, lined-up wave at Point Annihilation – good for intermediate to experienced surfers. The long period means the sets will be fat and powerful, so be ready.
After that, Tuesday the 22nd gets sloppy again, and then we see a massive spike in size right at the end of the month. The 23rd through the 25th see waves from 12 ft up to 15 ft, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, making it messy and marginal. That much size is only for experts anyway.
The true standout of the entire outlook, the one that gets my heart pumping, is Tuesday the 29th September. Morning session. Glassy calm conditions, a 6 ft south swell with a very long 15-second period, and a combined energy reading of 1700. It’s clean, it’s powerful, and the sets will be well-spaced. This is an excellent, heavy wave for experienced surfers only at that size and period. It’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed, but if it holds, this is the session to plan for.
The week after that, the 27th and 28th, also look fun and clean with a solid 5 ft SE groundswell, glassy mornings, and offshore afternoons. Great for a solid session without the size.
Alright, that’s the picture. A slow start, some blown-out junk in the middle, but two killer windows to chase. Stay patient and be ready for that 21st and the 29th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri morning, light winds from the W by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 14 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 14 | SE 11 | S 5 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1145 | 699 | 434 | 332 | 207 | 113 | 94 | 224 | 117 | 85 | 73 | 829 | 2089 | 1285 | 563 | 192 | 142 | 92 | 114 | 181 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 8:04PM1.73m | 8:30AM1.77m | 8:52PM1.71m | 9:14AM1.76m | 9:39PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.72m | 10:25PM1.64m | 10:45AM1.66m | 11:11PM1.59m | 11:34AM1.60m | 11:55PM1.52m | 12:25PM1.54m | 00:41AM1.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:19AM0.27m | 2:43PM0.29m | 3:05AM0.33m | 3:31PM0.34m | 3:51AM0.39m | 4:19PM0.39m | 4:38AM0.42m | 5:05PM0.42m | 5:24AM0.45m | 5:53PM0.44m | 6:09AM0.46m | 6:41PM0.45m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 7 |
1145 | 699 | 434 | 332 | 207 | 113 | 94 | 224 | 117 | 85 | 53 | 252 | 232 | 1080 | 563 | 192 | 72 | 75 | 56 | 181 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 13 | S 16 | S 16 | NE 5 | SSW 9 | SE 12 | SSW 9 | S 14 | S 16 | SE 14 | NE 7 | NE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 11 | SE 8 | S 13 | S 16 | SE 11 |
3 | 3 | 44 | 19 | 13 | 29 | 39 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 73 | 14 | 24 | 50 | 74 | 137 | 54 | 92 | 45 | 40 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 10 | E 13 | E 13 | S 15 | SE 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | S 8 | E 11 | SSW 13 | E 11 | ESE 13 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SE 7 | E 11 | S 15 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 116 | 9 | 9 | 72 | 142 | 14 | 2 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | N 3 | NE 4 | NE 7 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 9 | WNW 2 | — | — | SSW 7 | S 5 | — |
— | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 43 | 829 | 2089 | 1285 | 1 | — | — | 78 | 114 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 114 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 135 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










