
Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, S swell with 4,481 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming at Point Annihilation over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a few rough days of messy, blown-out conditions before anything cleans up. The first real sign of hope doesn’t show until Wednesday afternoon, September 9th. That morning is still a bit ordinary with a 5.2ft SE swell and a 8 second period, but the wind swings offshore from the NNE in the afternoon, dropping to just 3 mph. That’ll clean up the 3.9ft SE swell (238 combined energy), making for some surfable but pretty ordinary waves. Not a standout, but a step in the right direction.
The real juice starts to show late in the first week. Sunday, September 13th kicks off with a massive pulse of 9.8ft S swell at 16 seconds, packing a huge 3955 in combined energy – that’s serious, powerful groundswell. The wind is onshore from the SW at 16 mph though, so it’s a bit of a mixed bag. But Sunday afternoon, the wind drops to a light breeze from the SE, and we’ve got that 7.9ft S swell at 15 seconds (2559 energy). That’s a solid, long-period groundswell hitting the point. For a reef and point setup like Point Annihilation, this is where it gets good. The crowd profile says “sometimes,” so it might get a bit busy, but the quality is there.
The standout window is Monday, September 14th and Tuesday, September 15th. Monday afternoon, the wind swings offshore from the ENE at 6 mph, grooming a 5.2ft S swell with a 13-second period (882 energy). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” Then Tuesday morning, the 15th, goes glassy – a 3 mph NW wind, zero chop, and a 4.3ft S swell at 12 seconds (583 energy). That’s the kind of clean, lined-up point surf that’ll have you stoked. Tuesday afternoon stays offshore from the NE at 9 mph, with a 2.6ft S swell at 14 seconds (493 energy). If you can only pick one day, Tuesday the 15th is the one.
For the second week, things get more inconsistent. There’s a big spike on September 21st – Monday afternoon – with a 7.5ft S swell at 18 seconds and a massive 3894 in energy. That’s a very long-period groundswell, which is incredible for the point, but the wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 22 mph, making it messy. That’s a promising but less certain call this far out. The rest of the week is a mix of onshore wind and smaller, choppy surf.
Water temp is sitting at 55.2°F with a 1.4°F anomaly below average, so it’s a bit cooler than usual for this time of year at Point Annihilation. Nothing crazy, but you’ll want a good wetsuit.
For the beginners out there, Tuesday the 15th with 4.3ft is fine, but that Sunday the 13th with 9.8ft is for experts only. Anything over 8.2ft, like that 7.5ft on the 21st, is pushing it if you’re not confident.
Overall, the best on offer is Tuesday, September 15th – glassy, clean, and a solid groundswell. If you can’t make that, Monday afternoon the 14th is your next best bet. The rest of the window has some promise, but the wind is the enemy.
Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the sky.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 21 | S 7 | S 18 | S 18 | SSW 7 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
51 | 286 | 1645 | 1648 | 846 | 527 | 241 | 196 | 129 | 82 | 67 | 78 | 440 | 248 | 222 | 64 | 859 | 4189 | 3634 | 2642 | 1525 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:45PM1.73m | 2:15AM1.61m | 2:43PM1.74m | 3:14AM1.61m | 3:41PM1.74m | 4:12AM1.62m | 4:37PM1.75m | 5:08AM1.63m | 5:33PM1.75m | 6:03AM1.67m | 6:25PM1.75m | 6:56AM1.71m | 7:15PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:07PM0.18m | 8:26AM0.16m | 9:05PM0.15m | 9:27AM0.13m | 10:02PM0.13m | 10:25AM0.11m | 10:59PM0.13m | 11:19AM0.11m | 11:53PM0.14m | 12:11PM0.13m | 00:45AM0.17m | 1:02PM0.18m | 1:33AM0.22m | ||||||||
6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | |
mm | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | NE 5 | NNE 6 | NE 16 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | ENE 13 | SE 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 17 | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 |
37 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 846 | 527 | 241 | 196 | 129 | 82 | 67 | 43 | 34 | 68 | 62 | 36 | 859 | 4189 | 3634 | 2642 | 1525 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | S 16 | NE 9 | NE 16 | NE 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 15 | NE 9 | S 18 | SE 6 | SSW 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 8 |
6 | 44 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 80 | 51 | 35 | 21 | 20 | 72 | 21 | 248 | 27 | 47 | 14 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | E 9 | — | — | NE 16 | E 17 | E 15 | E 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | S 21 | NE 13 | ENE 11 | S 18 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 12 |
51 | 2 | — | — | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 44 | 23 | 222 | 10 | 4 | — | 6 | 6 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | N 3 | NW 3 | — | NNW 2 | S 7 | S 7 | — | SSW 7 | — | NE 8 | — | — | SW 3 |
2 | 286 | 1645 | 1648 | 191 | 99 | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | 440 | 157 | — | 64 | — | 33 | — | — | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 7 | 103 | 91 | 114 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 135 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 168 | 41 | 33 | 4 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










