Surf Forecasts:
Point Annihilation surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 12s period, S swell with 10,438 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Annihilation this week:
The surf forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Annihilation in the next 16 days are 6.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Annihilation over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.
Well, to be straight with you, the next week and a bit is a write-off. We’re looking at a long, ugly stretch of strong onshore winds and messy, blown-out conditions from Saturday the 15th right through until about Thursday the 20th. Don’t bother paddling out unless you’re on a kite. Swell energy is actually pretty impressive, but the wind just ruins it all.
The first real glimmer of hope – and it’s a good one – shows up on Friday the 21st. That’s our standout.
Point Annihilation (reef and point) is the play. Friday morning the 21st, the wind goes glassy out of the northwest, and we’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the south with a 12-second period. Wave energy is moderate at (1013). The water is running a bit colder than normal for this time of year at 54°F. By Friday afternoon it gets even better – glassy conditions again, the swell bumps up to 5ft, and the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, packing moderate energy (1342). This setup is best for experienced surfers, especially at a reef and point like this, where that long-period groundswell will line up nicely. The optimum swell direction here is from the south, and that’s exactly what’s on offer.
Now, Saturday the 22nd still has some clean waves – 3ft to 4ft from the south, glassy in the afternoon – but the energy drops off significantly. It’s more of a cruiser session.
After that, from Sunday the 23rd all the way through to Wednesday the 27th, we’re back to tiny or onshore junk. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday the 25th with a gentle offshore wind and 2ft swell from the south with a 16-second period, but it’s just too small to get excited about.
Then, from Thursday the 27th into the final days of the month, another strong, windy pulse arrives, but again the wind is cross-on or onshore, making it messy. The last day, Sunday the 30th, has some potential with a solid 8ft south swell and very long 15-16 second period, but the wind is onshore. It’s a marginal call at best for the brave.
So, if you’ve been hanging out for clean waves, pencil in Friday the 21st at Point Annihilation. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 54mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the SSE on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 11°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | S 13 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 16 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 803 | 741 | 631 | 341 | 642 | 3728 | 3904 | 2992 | 2076 | 1597 | 3233 | 10438 | 7470 | 5137 | 4574 | 2359 | 699 | 602 | 547 | 1242 | 590 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 7:41PM1.84m | 8:11AM1.75m | 8:31PM1.81m | 9:00AM1.76m | 9:21PM1.76m | 9:46AM1.75m | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:33AM1.72m | 10:59PM1.67m | 11:22AM1.67m | 11:48PM1.62m | 12:14PM1.62m | 00:35AM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:24PM0.08m | 2:02AM0.11m | 2:17PM0.13m | 2:51AM0.16m | 3:09PM0.20m | 3:39AM0.22m | 4:01PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.30m | 4:51PM0.34m | 5:15AM0.36m | 5:41PM0.40m | 6:03AM0.41m | 6:30PM0.44m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | 2 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -3 | -1 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 10 | — | ESE 15 | — | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 16 | S 13 |
| kJ | 7 | 741 | 631 | 341 | 281 | 384 | 245 | 61 | 71 | 614 | — | 23 | — | 1597 | 4432 | 2288 | 699 | 602 | 547 | 1242 | 590 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 18 | SSW 18 | ENE 8 | SSW 16 | SE 15 | E 10 | SSW 15 | — | E 10 | — | — | — | SE 13 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 21 | 25 | 104 | 147 | 266 | 9 | 200 | 331 | — | 47 | — | — | — | 44 | — | 20 | 20 | 70 | 133 | 100 | 82 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 14 | — | SSW 17 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SE 16 | SE 11 | S 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | — | 307 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 10 | 30 | 333 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ESE 8 | — | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 803 | 154 | — | 225 | 642 | 3728 | 3904 | 2992 | 2076 | 1597 | 3233 | 10438 | 7470 | 5137 | 4574 | 2359 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 92 | 12 | 92 | 145 | 158 | 162 | 158 | 81 | 92 | 162 | 283 | 91 | 92 | 75 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Annihilation Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Annihilation provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Annihilation can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Annihilation surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Annihilation) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Annihilation may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Annihilation is 48 km (30 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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