Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 am 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.3° C

1.4°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 28 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 30 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, S swell with 2,344 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 30 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 13s period and expected on Monday (Jun 29) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Tue 30th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Best Surf 9PM (Tue 30th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 16s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 30th Jun)7ft (2.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sun night, calm by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
3
4
2
3
3
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.8
E
11
1.9
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.2
S
18
2.1
S
16
1.9
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.4
S
14
1.3
S
13
1.6
E
11
1.4
E
10
0.8
S
14
1.3
E
10
1
E
13
1.5
E
12
1.3
E
11
1.2
E
11
1.2
E
11
1
E
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1034
914
716
701
602
921
2344
1857
1310
769
591
599
410
246
365
336
649
426
335
329
248
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
25
S
30
S
30
SSE
30
S
25
SSE
20
SSE
10
SSE
5
ESE
5
E
10
ENE
10
NNW
10
N
10
NE
10
N
10
N
15
NE
15
N
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
4:43PM1.62m
4:59AM1.52m
5:28PM1.62m
5:43AM1.50m
6:12PM1.61m
6:28AM1.48m
6:54PM1.60m
7:14AM1.47m
7:35PM1.59m
7:59AM1.46m
8:17PM1.58m
8:43AM1.46m
9:00PM1.57m
Low Tide
10:30AM0.50m
10:58PM0.51m
11:16AM0.49m
11:42PM0.50m
11:58AM0.47m
00:27AM0.47m
12:37PM0.44m
1:11AM0.43m
1:17PM0.41m
1:54AM0.39m
1:58PM0.39m
2:37AM0.35m
2:42PM0.37m
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:54
4:54
4:54
4:55
4:55
4:57
4:57
 mm
2
2
6
2
2
1
Temp °C
14
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
12
12
10
11
11
9
10
12
10
12
14
11
Feels °C
11
9
9
6
6
5
8
9
9
9
9
6
9
8
6
6
8
6
7
9
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.8
E
11
1.9
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.9
E
9
2.1
ESE
9
1.9
ESE
9
1.8
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.6
E
11
1.4
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.5
E
12
1.3
E
11
1.2
E
11
1.2
E
11
1
E
11
Energy kJ
1034
914
716
701
602
601
765
633
627
422
426
599
410
228
365
233
649
426
335
329
248
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
S
16
1.3
S
16
1
S
14
0.8
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
11
1.2
S
18
2.1
S
16
1.9
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.4
S
14
1.3
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.8
SSE
11
0.8
S
14
0.8
S
13
1
E
13
0.5
S
12
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
14
0.2
S
13
0.2
S
12
Energy kJ
737
832
372
175
100
921
2344
1857
1310
769
591
365
153
246
212
336
80
18
16
13
11
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
20
0.2
SSW
18
0.1
SE
20
0.5
S
7
0.6
E
13
0.7
S
14
0.7
E
11
0.5
S
9
0.4
S
13
0.2
SSW
16
0.1
N
11
0.2
S
7
0.1
NE
11
Energy kJ
276
31
16
24
130
189
123
40
53
25
2
4
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
8
0.7
S
7
1.3
SSE
6
2
S
7
1.7
S
7
1.8
SSE
7
1.2
S
7
0.4
NNE
3
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NNE
3
0.8
NNE
4
Energy kJ
57
54
126
423
255
319
156
3
3
3
3
18
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
1
3
2
2
3
2
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
Distance (km)
12
102
130
90
149
102
90
9
8
0
8
0
0
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
6
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
8
9
9
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
7
5
6
5
4
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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