Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Friday 17 Apr 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
17.5° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Apr 19) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Apr 24) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Apr 22) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Sun 19th Apr)6ft (1.9m) 8s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 25th Apr)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 24th Apr)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Sat night, light winds from the WSW by Sun night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Fri
24
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
3
2
1
1
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.1
S
0.7
S
0.6
S
1.2
NE
1.9
NNE
2.1
NNE
0.9
ENE
0.9
ENE
1.1
E
1.6
NE
1.4
NE
1.4
NE
1.1
SSE
1
E
3.5
S
2.5
S
2
S
1.7
SSE
1.7
SSE
1.4
SSE
3
SSE
Period(s) (?)109978988788810111010101010107
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2498154156441669919311328922924221025721801538832598540418990
Wind
(km/h)
20
NNW
25
N
25
N
25
N
15
NNW
15
N
10
NW
5
N
15
NE
10
N
10
N
15
N
15
NNE
15
NW
5
SW
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
SSW
15
S
20
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crosscrosscrosscross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:52AM
1.75
6:19PM
1.79
6:46AM
1.79
7:13PM
1.88
7:41AM
1.81
8:06PM
1.93
8:37AM
1.81
8:59PM
1.93
9:34AM
1.78
9:55PM
1.89
10:30AM
1.74
10:54PM
1.82
11:26AM
1.68
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:39PM
0.20
12:07PM
0.19
12:32AM
0.17
1:00PM
0.16
1:29AM
0.15
1:52PM
0.14
2:26AM
0.13
2:46PM
0.13
3:24AM
0.11
3:43PM
0.12
4:21AM
0.11
4:40PM
0.12
5:19AM
0.11
5:38PM
0.12
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Fri
24
Sunrise-6:37--6:39--6:39--6:41--6:41--6:43--6:43-
Sunset--5:36--5:35--5:32--5:31--5:30--5:29--5:28
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---14--5-21---12--42-
Temp. °C161919191921171618151718161918121314141313
Feels °C (?)13151514181916151613151514151777810109
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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