Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's get into it.

First up, we’re looking at a solid run of surf on the way at Last Chance. This advanced point break is exposed to the NE, and we’ve got a good mix of swells rolling in over the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at 55.6°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want an extra mil.

The action kicks off Tuesday, July 7th, right from the morning. We’ve got 5.2ft of east swell pushing in with a period of 9 seconds, and it’s glassy – calm wind, clean as a whistle. There’s moderate wave energy (509) and the setup looks very good. That’s a solid morning session.

Tuesday afternoon the swell ticks up to 5.9ft from the east, period stretching to 10 seconds, but a light cross-shore wind comes in, so it’s a bit less clean. The energy’s moderate (715), but the quality drops off.

Wednesday morning, July 8th, is where it gets exciting. Swell holds at 5.9ft from the east, period at 10 seconds, but now we’ve got a 15 km/h offshore wind from the WSW. That’s clean, groomed faces. Combined energy is moderate (741). This is a standout morning – the wind is your friend here.

Wednesday afternoon stays clean but the wind goes cross-offshore. Still decent, but the morning is the pick.

Now, Thursday, July 9th, is a big one. Morning brings 7.2ft from the south, 10 seconds, with light cross-offshore wind. The combined energy jumps to 1388 (moderate to strong), and the conditions are flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer – a solid south swell, good wind, and the point will handle it well. For the pros.

Thursday afternoon sees the swell bump to 9.8ft from the SSE, period 11 seconds, and the energy is strong at 2797. Still clean with cross-offshore wind, but at this size it’s for experts only. Over 8.2ft and it’s serious.

Friday, July 10th, is a write-off. Morning has 16.4ft of SSE swell but with 45 km/h cross-shore winds from the south – absolute mess. Zero score. If you’re a kite surfer, maybe, but for paddle surfing, stay home.

Saturday, July 11th, the swell drops to 7.9ft from the SSE, 10 seconds, but winds are still strong and cross-shore. Not great.

We get a reset Sunday, July 12th. Morning has 5.9ft from the SE, 9 seconds, and a clean offshore wind from the WSW. Energy is moderate (912). This is a good, user-friendly session. Not as big as Thursday, but it’ll be fun and clean.

Sunday afternoon holds at 4.9ft from the ESE, 9 seconds, with light cross-offshore wind. Clean and easy.

Monday, July 13th, the swell drops right off to 3.9ft from the ESE, 9 seconds, with cross-shore wind. Not worth the paddle.

From Tuesday, July 14th through to Wednesday morning, July 15th, it’s flat or near-flat. Swell sizes are under 3.3ft with poor winds. A gap of a couple of days with nothing going on.

Then, Wednesday afternoon, July 15th, things fire up again. 4.9ft from the ESE, but the period jumps to 16 seconds – that’s a very long-period groundswell. Combined energy climbs to 1110 (strong). Wind is light cross-offshore, clean. This is a standout session for experienced surfers. That long period will wrap nicely around the point, with longer lulls between sets making the paddle out easier. But at a beach break, it would break too straight – on a point like Last Chance, it’s quality.

Thursday, July 16th, has 5.6ft from the ESE, 14 seconds, but cross-shore winds mess up the surface. Not the best.

Friday, July 17th, has a 30 km/h cross-offshore wind and 4.6ft from the ESE, 13 seconds – energy is moderate (631). It’s clean, but the wind is strong.

Saturday, July 18th, is huge again. Morning has 7.2ft from the south, 11 seconds, but by the afternoon, the swell hits 16.4ft from the south, 12 seconds, with combined energy at a massive 7322. That’s too big for this break – the forecast says it’s too big. Experts only on the outer banks, if at all.

Sunday, July 19th, still big with 13.1ft from the south, but cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. Not recommended.

From Monday, July 20th, through to the end of the forecast on July 22nd,

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