Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on the next couple of weeks for Last Chance. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, with an optimum direction from the NE. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

We kick off on Saturday, August 8th, bright and early. The morning’s looking glassy with a light NNW breeze at 3 mph and a solid 6 ft SSE swell churning in at 12 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1156, and the conditions are spot-on for experienced surfers. Clean lines, decent power – this is where you want to be. Saturday arvo drops off though, cross-on wind and a lower score, so don’t waste the morning.

Sunday and Monday are a bit average, with smaller swell and cross-shore winds. Monday morning on August 10th has a clean 3 ft SSE swell with offshore WNW wind at 9 mph, but it’s weak (172 combined energy). Not much to write home about.

Tuesday, August 11th, brings a nice pickup. Morning session has a 4 ft SE swell, 12-second period, light WSW cross-off breeze, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate at 526, and the forecast is promising. Good chance of some fun waves.

Wednesday and Thursday are a write-off with fresh onshore winds and poor surf – a gap of a couple of days where you’re better off staying dry.

Then Friday, August 14th, things get interesting again. The afternoon session is a standout: glassy conditions with WNW wind at 3 mph, a 7 ft NE swell at 10 seconds, and 1152 combined energy. This is expert territory, but the lines will be clean and powerful. The morning is also workable with an 8 ft NE swell, though it’s a bit choppy.

Saturday August 15th and Sunday August 16th are mediocre – small swell and moderate winds, nothing to get excited about.

Now, Monday August 17th morning is a cracker. Offshore W wind at 9 mph, 10 ft S swell at 10 seconds, and massive energy (1930). Clean, powerful, and for experts only. Tuesday August 18th and Wednesday August 19th mornings are also worth a paddle – clean conditions, solid S swell in the 7 ft to 12 ft range, with energy climbing to 4336 on Wednesday. That Wednesday morning is the pick of the bunch for the second week: 12 ft S swell, 11-second period, light WNW cross-off breeze, and glassy conditions. This is big, organised groundswell – best for experienced surfers at a point break.

Thursday August 20th is too big – 16 ft S swell with 7415 energy – the break can’t handle it, even with clean conditions. Friday August 21st is still big but manageable, with 12 ft SSE swell and moderate cross-off wind.

The run finishes strong on Saturday August 22nd and Sunday August 23rd. Saturday morning has a clean 7 ft SE swell with offshore W wind, and Sunday morning is a total glass-off with no wind, a tiny 3 ft S swell, but a very long 20-second period. That long-period groundswell is best for a point break, and the energy is still moderate at 905. A rare, clean end to the period.

If you’re out there, focus on Saturday August 8th morning, Friday August 14th afternoon, and Wednesday August 19th morning. The big stuff mid-week is for experts only, but the quality is there.

Rusty.

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