Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Wednesday 24 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.0° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Dec 24) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 2s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Dec 31) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 24th Dec)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.4m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 30th Dec)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.8
SSE
0.7
S
0.6
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.5
SSE
0.4
ESE
0.9
NE
0.6
NE
0.7
S
0.4
NE
0.4
ENE
0.8
E
0.8
ESE
1.1
ESE
1.7
ESE
1.3
ESE
2.4
ESE
2.5
ESE
1.8
ESE
Period(s) (?)11109911109106668765566889
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)24516711578917446354623382418543672223124661857523
Wind
(km/h)
20
NW
10
SSW
10
WNW
0
S
15
ENE
15
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
15
N
15
SSE
15
ENE
5
W
10
SSW
15
ENE
5
NNE
10
W
10
E
5
NNW
0
NNW
25
NE
15
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glassoncross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscrossonglasscross-
off
oncross-
on
offonglassglasscross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:01PM
1.47
10:19AM
1.59
10:44PM
1.48
11:05AM
1.58
11:26PM
1.50
11:53AM
1.59
12:12AM
1.54
12:42PM
1.62
1:01AM
1.58
1:32PM
1.66
1:57AM
1.65
2:25PM
1.70
2:54AM
1.73
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:56PM
0.33
4:01AM
0.34
4:40PM
0.29
4:48AM
0.32
5:24PM
0.27
5:36AM
0.31
6:10PM
0.26
6:25AM
0.30
6:58PM
0.26
7:16AM
0.31
7:46PM
0.26
8:12AM
0.31
8:38PM
0.26
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Sunrise5:39--5:39--5:41--5:41--5:41--5:43--5:43--
Sunset-8:34--8:35--8:35--8:35--8:36--8:36--8:36-
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
--------41-----2113---
Temp. °C252623212222262721171717181917171818222216
Feels °C (?)232521192018242419161618171816171919211913
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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