Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. Last Chance is a point break, exposed to the swell, and it takes a NE direction ideally.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag here. Right now, things are messy with a cross-onshore wind and weak, short-period energy. Not worth paddling out for. The first real sign of life shows up on Wednesday morning the 16th. It’s small, just 3 ft from the SSE with a period of 9 seconds, but the wind is dead glassy. That combo will make it clean as a whistle. The energy is moderate (215), so it won’t be pumping, but a quiet, clean session is on the cards for the early birds.

That glassy calm returns on the afternoon of the 19th, with a bit more energy in the water (439). The swell is still modest at 3 ft from the ESE, but that period is a healthy 11 seconds. It’ll be clean and lined up.

Now, the standout. Look toward Monday morning the 21st. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the south, with a nice 12-second period. The energy is massive (2139). But here’s the kicker – the wind is dead calm, glass off. This is expert territory. At over 8 ft it’s too big for beginners. For the crew who can handle it, this is about as good as it gets at Last Chance, with those long period lines wrapping in clean. The crowds are *sometimes* an issue here, but on a morning like that, the trade-off is worth it.

Then there’s another big pulse late in the window. On Wednesday the 30th, we see 4 ft building to 6 ft from the south, but with a very long 15-second period. The energy is again very strong (1111 and 1385). The morning starts clean, and by the afternoon you’ve got a gentle offshore blowing. For a point break, that’s magic. Long period groundswell like this loves a point setup, and with that offshore wind, it’s going to be hollow and well-shaped. Another top-tier call for those who can handle it, but remember, long period swells can make beach breaks close out; on a point, they’re a dream.

The water temperature at Last Chance is sitting at 55°, which is 2° colder than average for this time of year. That’s a bit nippier than normal, so a good 4/3 wetsuit is on the cards.

For the rest of the window, there are patches of small, clean waves and a few days of strong but onshore wind. The 20th brings a jump to 8 ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds and there’s a fresh cross-off, making it messy. The real highlights are the 21st and the 30th.

So, if you’ve got the skill, pin the 21st and the 30th. That Monday the 21st is the one, but the 30th is a very close second. Rusty.

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