Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Friday 13 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.6° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 14) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 20) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Mar 14) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 14th Mar)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 20th Mar)7ft (2.2m) 11s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 20th Mar)7ft (2.2m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue night).

Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
SE
1.3
SE
1.3
SE
1.1
SE
1
SE
0.7
SE
1.2
SSE
0.6
SE
0.7
S
1.2
S
1.1
S
1.1
S
1
S
1
S
0.9
S
0.7
S
0.5
S
0.4
SSE
0.6
S
1.1
E
1.5
E
Period(s) (?)131314131312711141716161413121111131279
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)459570579444330144117821758166236073773502351235756108131339
Wind
(km/h)
25
NE
25
NE
10
N
25
S
25
SSW
20
S
10
SSW
15
SE
15
N
20
NNE
30
NE
10
NNW
15
SW
15
SSW
5
WNW
5
NNE
20
NE
15
NNE
0
SE
15
ESE
15
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
on
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
crossglassonoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
1:54PM
1.44
2:27AM
1.49
2:42PM
1.39
3:14AM
1.48
3:32PM
1.37
4:00AM
1.48
4:23PM
1.38
4:49AM
1.50
5:14PM
1.43
5:40AM
1.55
6:05PM
1.49
6:32AM
1.62
6:57PM
1.57
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:05PM
0.46
8:42AM
0.45
8:52PM
0.44
9:29AM
0.40
9:43PM
0.40
10:17AM
0.35
10:36PM
0.35
11:06AM
0.30
11:28PM
0.29
11:56AM
0.26
12:17AM
0.23
12:48PM
0.22
1:06AM
0.19
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Sunrise7:03--7:03--7:05--7:05--7:07--7:07--7:09--
Sunset-7:31--7:30--7:29--7:27--7:25--7:23--7:22-
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---122---------------
Temp. °C222120201717181715202017171716191917181716
Feels °C (?)212020181415161512151514151515171615171515
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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