Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 11 pm 24 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.5° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 24 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 26 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 27 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, S swell with 3,028 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 25 Jun, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 25) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 27) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 11s period and expected on Friday (Jun 26) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Thu 25th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 26th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sat 27th Jun)7ft (2.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 10°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wed
1
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
ENE
8
2.1
NE
9
2.1
ENE
9
3
S
9
3.5
S
11
3
ENE
10
2.4
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.2
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.5
S
8
2.5
S
8
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.8
S
7
1.1
S
16
1.2
S
15
1.5
S
16
1.2
S
14
1.1
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
910
688
721
1436
2408
1745
1222
937
986
937
815
763
443
379
327
289
582
606
1164
593
421
Wind (km/h)
40
NNE
25
NE
35
SW
35
SSW
40
SW
30
SSE
10
SW
25
SSE
30
SSW
25
S
30
S
30
S
25
S
25
S
30
SSW
30
S
25
S
20
S
15
S
15
SW
10
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:47AM1.57m
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
3:28AM1.53m
3:57PM1.62m
4:15AM1.53m
4:43PM1.62m
4:59AM1.52m
5:28PM1.62m
5:43AM1.50m
6:12PM1.61m
6:28AM1.48m
Low Tide
8:01AM0.37m
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
9:26PM0.47m
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
10:30AM0.50m
10:58PM0.51m
11:16AM0.49m
11:42PM0.50m
11:58AM0.47m
00:27AM0.47m
12:37PM0.44m
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:53
4:53
4:53
4:54
4:54
4:54
4:55
 mm
1
1
3
7
1
6
3
4
3
7
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
15
12
12
11
14
13
14
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
11
Feels °C
7
15
5
5
5
9
12
10
9
12
8
7
8
6
6
5
6
6
6
8
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
13
1.5
E
9
2.1
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
10
1.7
E
10
2.4
E
10
2.4
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.2
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.6
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.1
S
16
1.2
E
9
1.5
S
16
1.2
S
14
1.1
S
13
Energy kJ
168
367
721
586
552
1131
1222
937
986
937
676
514
443
379
327
220
582
230
1164
593
421
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
14
0.4
S
13
2
S
11
1.7
S
11
1.4
S
10
0.5
S
18
1.1
S
17
1.3
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
15
0.9
S
13
0.6
S
11
0.6
S
16
1.1
E
9
1.2
S
15
0.9
ESE
9
1
E
10
1
E
10
Energy kJ
91
56
984
713
400
168
708
783
867
277
89
195
212
606
129
202
194
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
22
0.6
S
18
0.2
S
18
0.4
SW
12
0.3
ESE
12
0.3
ESE
12
0.5
E
11
0.9
SSE
6
0.9
SSE
6
Energy kJ
2
10
246
26
36
30
30
64
58
66
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
ENE
8
2.1
NE
9
0.4
SW
2
3
S
9
3.5
S
11
3
ENE
10
1.1
S
10
1.9
SSE
7
2.5
S
8
2.5
S
8
1.4
SSE
7
1.7
S
6
1.4
SSE
6
1.8
S
7
1.4
SSE
7
1
S
7
Energy kJ
910
688
2
1436
2408
1745
214
362
815
763
175
214
165
289
180
89
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
1
1
2
4
4
2
4
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
3
1
3
3
Distance (km)
63
8
78
122
130
102
0
78
102
78
137
137
90
90
102
149
100
12
12
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
1
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
5
5
5
4
4
4
5
6
4
9
5
5
5
5
4
3
3
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
5
5
5
5
5
7
5
6
5
9
5
5
9
6
6
7
5
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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