Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 21 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 24 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 28 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 2,756 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 22 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 28) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 11s period and expected on Monday (Sep 28) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Thu 24th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 28th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the SW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, near gales from the SSW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 22 | Wednesday 23 | Thursday 24 | Friday 25 | Saturday 26 | Sunday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 424 | 355 | 171 | 225 | 246 | 534 | 829 | 628 | 533 | 326 | 221 | 160 | 236 | 199 | 187 | 203 | 199 | 351 | 1862 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:29AM1.38m | 2:00PM1.46m | 2:18AM1.35m | 2:46PM1.45m | 3:08AM1.35m | 3:33PM1.46m | 3:58AM1.39m | 4:21PM1.50m | 4:47AM1.45m | 5:11PM1.55m | 5:36AM1.53m | 6:00PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:39AM0.44m | 8:15PM0.41m | 8:29AM0.42m | 9:01PM0.38m | 9:20AM0.39m | 9:48PM0.34m | 10:11AM0.34m | 10:36PM0.31m | 10:59AM0.30m | 11:26PM0.28m | 11:46AM0.26m | 00:15AM0.25m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 18 | S 16 | ESE 11 | S 15 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 13 | S 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 |
| kJ | 424 | 355 | 171 | 54 | 85 | 12 | 110 | 17 | 11 | 326 | 221 | 160 | 103 | 199 | 187 | 203 | 199 | 351 | 225 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | ESE 10 | SE 7 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | — | SE 10 | E 16 | E 16 | ESE 10 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 5 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 25 | — | 27 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 130 | 155 | 236 | 176 | 168 | 160 | 85 | 7 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 9 | E 9 | — | NE 11 | — | E 16 | — | S 15 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | S 14 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | NE 9 | — |
| kJ | 20 | 17 | 17 | 2 | — | 5 | — | 5 | — | 42 | 56 | 113 | 232 | 53 | 29 | 26 | 72 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NW 3 | SSW 3 | S 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 225 | 246 | 534 | 829 | 628 | 533 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1862 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 78 | 318 | 54 | 78 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 78 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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