Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Sunday 01 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.8° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 11s period and expected on Wednesday (Mar 04) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 1st Mar)4ft (1.2m) 5s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 4th Mar)6ft (1.8m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Tue 3rd Mar)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Sat night, strong winds from the SSW by Mon afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Sat
07
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
ESE
0.6
ESE
1.1
ENE
0.6
NE
3
S
3
S
3.5
S
3.5
S
3.5
S
3
SSE
1.7
S
1.6
SE
1.7
ESE
1.4
SE
1.3
ESE
1.2
ESE
0.9
ESE
0.9
ESE
1.2
NE
0.6
ESE
0.6
ESE
Period(s) (?)7745889109121110111010999699
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)61434720105913352279240817692089686527669370332227143113986462
Wind
(km/h)
10
NE
15
NNE
25
NE
35
SSW
35
SW
40
SSW
40
SSW
40
SW
40
SSW
30
SSW
25
SW
20
SSW
5
NW
10
NNE
25
NE
10
N
15
NNE
30
NE
20
N
15
N
30
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscross-
on
crosscrosscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:17AM
1.74
4:47PM
1.61
5:13AM
1.74
5:42PM
1.60
6:08AM
1.73
6:37PM
1.61
7:00AM
1.72
7:29PM
1.63
7:49AM
1.71
8:19PM
1.67
8:37AM
1.70
9:06PM
1.70
9:23AM
1.69
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:01PM
0.18
10:39AM
0.18
11:00PM
0.16
11:34AM
0.17
11:55PM
0.14
12:29PM
0.18
12:46AM
0.15
1:21PM
0.19
1:36AM
0.18
2:09PM
0.22
2:24AM
0.23
2:55PM
0.26
3:13AM
0.28
3:39PM
0.31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Sat
07
Sunrise-6:50--6:50--6:52--6:52--6:54--6:54--6:56-
Sunset--7:50--7:49--7:46--7:45--7:44--7:43--7:40
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---453105111----------
Temp. °C161918181313131315141515141718161920182121
Feels °C (?)141614175444771112141414131615141816
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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