Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SSE swell with 2,265 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in on the only game in town for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait. Thursday afternoon the 6th is a write-off, so we’re lookin’ at Friday morning the 7th for the first real chance to get wet. The standout session, without a doubt, is Friday morning the 7th at Last Chance. It’s a point break, and it’s set up proper. We’re lookin’ at a clean 3 ft SSE swell, but the magic is in the period – 17 seconds, that’s some serious groundswell energy. Combined wave energy is a solid 1431, and with the wind dead calm, glassy conditions, it’s gonna be a ripper for the experienced crew. The water is sittin’ at 55°, a bit colder than the norm for this time of year, so don’t forget a hood.
Saturday morning the 8th is another good shout. Same early-morning glass, with a slightly bigger 6 ft SSE swell. The period drops to 12 seconds, but it’s still got plenty of punch (1114 combined energy). This one’s for the advanced guys, as 6 ft is pushin’ the limits for beginners.
The next real window opens up a week later, on Saturday afternoon the 15th of August. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NNW, and we get a 7 ft NE swell. It’s a bit raw, period’s only 9 seconds, but the energy is rippin’ at 1056. This one’s for the experts only, as it’s well over 8 ft.
Lookin’ further out, the 18th and 19th of August see some proper heavy water. The swell jumps to 16 ft to 18 ft from the SSE, with combined energy readings over 8000. The wind is cross-off, but the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. Even the experts are gonna be on the beach for that one.
After that big pulse, the swell backs down. Friday morning the 21st of August brings a great window. A 8 ft S swell, period of 8 seconds, and glassy calm conditions. It’s a good, solid 1318 energy, and clean as a whistle. This is another one for the experienced crew, but it’s a beaut.
Overall, the best on offer is that Friday morning the 7th, with its long-period groundswell and glassy perfection. The Saturday morning the 8th is a close second. The rest of the period is a mix of long waits, messy conditions, or waves that are either too small or too big.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 5°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 761 | 745 | 1240 | 1609 | 866 | 847 | 486 | 328 | 246 | 269 | 135 | 125 | 95 | 224 | 176 | 122 | 80 | 78 | 64 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:41PM1.67m | 12:04PM1.70m | 00:33AM1.67m | 1:01PM1.74m | 1:29AM1.67m | 2:00PM1.77m | 2:29AM1.68m | 2:59PM1.81m | 3:29AM1.69m | 3:57PM1.84m | 4:28AM1.70m | 4:56PM1.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:54AM0.28m | 6:23PM0.31m | 6:46AM0.27m | 7:22PM0.29m | 7:41AM0.25m | 8:22PM0.24m | 8:41AM0.22m | 9:21PM0.19m | 9:43AM0.16m | 10:20PM0.15m | 10:43AM0.10m | 11:18PM0.11m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | S 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 7 |
| kJ | 761 | 364 | 1240 | 1609 | 866 | 847 | 486 | 328 | 246 | 269 | 135 | 125 | 88 | 192 | 176 | 122 | 80 | 78 | 64 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | E 15 | SSE 16 | SE 11 | E 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 5 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 8 | S 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 265 | 284 | 425 | 4 | 322 | 40 | 4 | 142 | 207 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 224 | 86 | 32 | 23 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | SSE 17 | SE 13 | NE 14 | E 14 | NE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | ESE 14 | S 11 | NE 6 | S 15 | S 16 | NE 11 | E 10 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 745 | 162 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | NE 3 | — | W 2 | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 616 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 47 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 101 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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