Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is a pretty specific setup we’re looking at here. For the next 16 days, the surf is mostly a game of patience, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping if you’re willing to wait and you’ve got the skills to handle some serious power.

First up, things are quiet. Really quiet. The beginning of the period is a write-off. You’re looking at a solid gap of about three days with nothing worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Wednesday, September 9th. The swell picks up to 5 ft from the south, with a period of 9 seconds. It’s not groundswell, but it’s solid. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the face will be clean. The combined energy is moderate, hitting 405, and it’s labeled as “expect good surf conditions.” This is the first real option. For an advanced surfer only, though. At 5 ft, it’s pushing the limit for beginners, and the size will make it a proper session.

Now, the real standout. You have to look all the way to Tuesday, September 15th, in the afternoon. This is a big one. We’re talking a 15 ft south swell with a 13-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, packing a massive punch. The combined energy is a whopping 6557, which is strong to very strong. The wind is cross-offshore, so the surface will be clean. But, and this is a huge but, the guidance says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. For “Last Chance” (a point break), this is expert territory, and only for the brave. The long period will make it lined up and powerful, but at this size, it’s a serious beast. Beginners and even most intermediates need to stay well clear. This is the one to watch if you’re a gunslinger.

After that, the swell hangs around but drops. On the morning of Friday, September 18th, we get a 7 ft swell from the SSE, with a 10-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the NNW, keeping it clean. The combined energy is 862, which is moderate. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a much more manageable size than the 15th, but still a solid wave. It’s the best option for strong intermediate to advanced surfers looking for a great session without the sheer terror of the earlier swell.

The rest of the period is a mix of small, weak swells and strong winds. The onshore winds and chop will ruin most of the other days. The very end of the outlook, on the morning of Sunday, September 20th, shows a clean, 3 ft south swell with a 9-second period and light offshore wind. The energy is 321, which is moderate. It’s a small, clean day, perfect for a log or a funboard if you just want to get some turns in.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a bust. Then we get a decent, clean session on the 9th. But the two real standouts are the massive, expert-only swell on the afternoon of the 15th, and the solid, clean, and much more surfer-friendly swell on the morning of the 18th. If you’re not an expert, aim for the 18th. If you are, the 15th is your challenge.

Rusty.

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