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Last Chance Surf Forecast
/ Gisborne and Mahia (37 surf breaks) /
Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand
12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Tuesday 08 Jul 2025 NZST
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 08) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 12) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 15) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 8th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 10th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 12th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.
Tue 08 | Wednesday 09 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sun 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Energy (?) | 657 | 618 | 548 | 776 | 1104 | 802 | 730 | 723 | 832 | 1228 | 2232 | 1771 | 1370 | 840 | 615 | 652 | 699 | 611 | 503 | 408 | 337 | 272 | 447 | 284 | 274 | 245 | 200 | 160 | 1119 | 479 | 345 | 897 | 794 | 734 | 585 | 327 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross | glass | glass | cross- on | cross- off | cross | cross- on | cross | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross- on | cross- off | glass | cross- off | off | cross- off | cross- off | cross | glass | on | cross | cross- on | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross | cross- off |
High Tide / height (m) | 3:54PM 1.58 | 4:08AM 1.50 | 4:38PM 1.59 | 4:53AM 1.50 | 5:23PM 1.61 | 5:40AM 1.49 | 6:10PM 1.62 | 6:30AM 1.49 | 6:56PM 1.64 | 7:20AM 1.50 | 7:43PM 1.65 | 8:09AM 1.52 | 8:30PM 1.66 | 8:56AM 1.55 | 9:18PM 1.67 | 9:41AM 1.59 | 10:07PM 1.69 | 10:28AM 1.63 | 10:57PM 1.70 | 11:18AM 1.66 | 11:49PM 1.71 | 12:13PM 1.71 | 12:43AM 1.72 | |||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 10:07PM 0.53 | 10:23AM 0.49 | 10:52PM 0.50 | 11:09AM 0.45 | 11:38PM 0.44 | 11:54AM 0.39 | 12:26AM 0.37 | 12:38PM 0.33 | 1:15AM 0.31 | 1:23PM 0.27 | 2:03AM 0.25 | 2:10PM 0.23 | 2:50AM 0.21 | 3:00PM 0.21 | 3:36AM 0.18 | 3:50PM 0.20 | 4:24AM 0.17 | 4:41PM 0.21 | 5:13AM 0.18 | 5:35PM 0.23 | 6:04AM 0.19 | 6:31PM 0.26 | 6:57AM 0.22 | |||||||||||||
Tue 08 | Wednesday 09 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sun 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | 7:26 | - | - | 7:26 | - | - | 7:24 | - | - | 7:24 | - | - | 7:24 | - | - | 7:24 | - | - | 7:24 | - | - | 7:22 | - | - | 7:22 | - | - | 7:22 | - | - | 7:20 | - | - | 7:20 |
| Sunset | 5:00 | - | - | 5:00 | - | - | 5:00 | - | - | 5:01 | - | - | 5:01 | - | - | 5:02 | - | - | 5:04 | - | - | 5:04 | - | - | 5:05 | - | - | 5:06 | - | - | 5:06 | - | - | 5:07 | - | - |
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | - | - | - |
| Temp. °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| Feels °C (?) | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Short Range Forecast: Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Fri night, calm by Mon morning). | Days 6-9 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Long Range Forecast: Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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