Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Last Chance.

We’ve got a slow start to the week, but don’t write it off just yet. The real juice shows up later, and I mean *later*, with some serious size towards the end of the month. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than what we’re used to for this time of year, so you’ll want that extra rubber.

The first real chance to get wet kicks off on Monday morning, the 14th. That’s our standout early in the period. We’re looking at a clean 7ft swell from the S, and with the wind dead calm and glassy conditions, this is a proper window for experienced surfers. The wave energy is strong at (1256), and that 12-second period from the south will be peeling nicely down the point. The crowds can show up here sometimes, but for a Monday morning like this, you might just have it quiet. Just be aware the water is colder than normal.

After that, things get pretty average. Tuesday the 15th drops off fast with a choppy 4ft cross-on mess, and the middle of the week stays small and underwhelming. We’ve got a few days with nothing worth chasing until we see a bit of a pulse again.

Friday morning, the 18th offers a small but clean window with a 3ft SSE groundswell. That 13-second period is a long one, and with a light offshore wind, the point should hold some tidy lines. It’s not big, but it’s clean. Wave energy is moderate (303).

Now, the big news. If you’re an expert and you’ve got patience, mark your calendar for Wednesday the 23rd. The morning kicks off with an 12ft swell from the S, and while the period is a shorter 9 seconds, the combined energy is very strong at (2035). The wind is light offshore and it’s clean. This is serious size and only for the experienced crew. The afternoon pushes up to 13ft, but the wind swings cross-off and it gets a bit lumpy.

Thursday the 24th is a beast, but the conditions are a write-off. We’re talking 13ft to 16ft swell, but with a cross-shore wind and heavy chop, this setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers. The wave energy is off the charts at (11730) but it’s just too blown out.

Friday morning the 25th is another one to keep an eye on. A 13ft S swell with clean cross-off wind and strong energy (6556). The morning looks much better than the afternoon, which drops to a still-chunky 8ft but cleaner with an offshore breeze.

The last week of September into October looks quieter again, with a few small glassy mornings on the 27th and 28th. Monday morning the 28th brings back some size with a 10ft S swell, light wind, and glassy conditions – another solid one for the experts. The 29th cleans up nicely with a 5ft SSE swell and a light offshore wind, giving you a very good session to round things out.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Monday morning the 14th for that clean, punchy 7ft south swell. And for the big-wave crew, Wednesday the 23rd and Friday the 25th are the ones to circle. The middle weeks are flat or blown out, but the end of the forecast has some redemption.

Rusty.

Read more