Last Chance Surf Break
Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Weather Forecast for Last Chance

Issued: 5 pm 09 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
14.9° C

Normal for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 9 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 10 Jun, 3AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 10 Jun, 3AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, S swell with 15,883 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 10 Jun, 3AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 10) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 10) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Jun 14) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Wed 10th Jun)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Best Surf 3AM (Wed 10th Jun)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 3AM (Wed 10th Jun)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Fri morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
9
Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
!
4
3
4
4
3
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
7
S
15
6.5
S
17
4.5
SSE
15
3.5
SSE
14
3
SSE
11
2.5
S
10
2
SSE
10
1.8
SSE
12
1.5
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.3
S
22
0.6
S
18
0.9
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.6
ESE
13
0.6
ESE
13
0.6
ESE
12
0.6
S
20
0.9
S
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20342
23616
8484
5164
2015
1194
810
889
513
425
211
84
84
242
161
75
108
111
99
268
329
Wind (km/h)
55
SW
45
SSW
30
SW
30
SSW
25
SW
20
WSW
15
SW
5
WNW
5
NNW
5
S
15
WSW
15
SSW
10
SW
10
NNW
5
NNW
5
ENE
10
NW
10
NW
5
SW
5
NNW
5
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
00:32AM1.56m
12:52PM1.53m
1:21AM1.61m
1:47PM1.61m
2:13AM1.67m
2:42PM1.71m
3:08AM1.73m
3:38PM1.81m
4:06AM1.77m
4:34PM1.89m
5:05AM1.81m
5:33PM1.96m
6:04AM1.83m
Low Tide
6:13PM0.38m
6:46AM0.32m
7:05PM0.37m
7:34AM0.31m
8:01PM0.36m
8:25AM0.30m
8:59PM0.33m
9:20AM0.28m
9:58PM0.28m
10:20AM0.25m
10:56PM0.22m
11:20AM0.20m
11:55PM0.16m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
11
12
11
13
13
10
11
9
11
11
11
12
12
10
14
16
14
17
17
15
16
Feels °C
-2
1
5
7
7
6
8
7
10
9
7
9
10
8
12
14
11
15
16
14
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSE
10
2.3
SSE
10
2
SSE
10
1.8
SSE
12
1.5
SSE
11
1.4
SSE
11
1.1
SE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.7
SSE
9
1.1
SE
8
0.9
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.6
ESE
13
0.6
ESE
13
0.6
ESE
12
0.6
S
20
0.9
S
14
Energy kJ
890
1044
810
889
513
425
211
84
80
166
161
75
108
111
99
268
329
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
16
0.8
SSE
14
0.2
S
16
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
18
0.2
ESE
11
0.6
ESE
9
0.6
ESE
9
0.6
S
18
0.4
S
16
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.4
ESE
12
0.4
SE
11
Energy kJ
97
239
21
19
25
12
50
50
242
76
58
83
71
69
53
31
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
15
0.2
S
18
0.1
SW
13
0.3
SSW
15
0.1
S
14
0.1
S
16
0.1
S
15
0.3
S
22
0.6
ESE
8
0.1
SE
13
0.4
S
14
0.4
SSE
9
0.2
S
16
0.1
S
17
0.4
S
11
0.2
E
14
Energy kJ
204
25
7
43
4
5
5
84
47
7
64
26
21
5
37
14
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
7
S
15
6.5
S
17
4.5
SSE
15
3.5
SSE
14
3
SSE
11
2.5
S
10
0.2
N
3
0.3
WNW
3
Energy kJ
20342
23616
8484
5164
2015
1194
1
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
160
276
86
102
54
0
0
0
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
9
9
5
5
6
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
5
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
6
5
5
7
9
6
6
5
7
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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