Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get down to it. This next run is a bit of a slow burner. You’re looking at a gap right off the bat – Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th are poor, with messy wind and weak surf. Don’t bother paddling out. You need to wait until Tuesday the 7th for the first decent chance.

Tuesday morning is where it turns. Dead calm wind out of the west – glassy as it gets. There’s about 1.7m of east swell rolling in with a 9-second period. The combined energy is 787 (moderate). It’s clean and rideable, not big, but you’ll get a wave. Tuesday afternoon looks even better, with the swell bumping up to 1.9m and a 10-second period, still glassy. This is your first good session.

But the real standout is Wednesday the 8th. Thursday morning we’ve got a clean 2.2m ESE swell, a 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind from the WSW. The energy jumps to 1093 (strong). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – that’s a solid size, too much for beginners. The afternoon stays clean but a touch smaller. That’s your pick of the first week.

Then it goes downhill. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th get messy with too much wind and building swell. Friday and Saturday we’re talking 3.0m to 4.0m with fresh breezes. That’s just a lot of water moving around in poor conditions. Not for the faint of heart. From Sunday the 12th through Friday the 17th, it’s a big gap of marginal and poor quality stuff. Not worth chasing much. Saturday the 18th gives you a small, clean option – 1.1m with offshore wind and a glassy feel – but the period is short at 7 seconds, so you’ll get some close-outs. Energy is weak at 339.

Now, the second week’s real highlight comes Sunday the 19th. We’ve got a 1.3m south swell with an incredibly long period of 16 seconds. Combined energy is 952 (strong). This is a proper groundswell. With a light offshore wind and excellent conditions forecast for experienced surfers, this will be the session of the run. On a point like Last Chance, that long period will wrap in beautifully – just keep in mind at a beach break it might break a bit straight. This is the one you wait for.

Water temperature is about 56°F, which is nearly 3°F cooler than average for this time of year. That’s a nippy anomaly – bring the thick rubber.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday the 8th for a solid clean session, and then Sunday the 19th for the real standout long-period groundswell. Everything else is mostly waiting.

Rusty.

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