Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Saturday 25 Oct 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.2° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 26) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.2m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 31) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 29) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 26th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 31st Oct)4ft (1.2m) 13s
Most Powerful 7PM (Fri 31st Oct)4ft (1.2m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.6
S
1.2
S
0.9
S
0.9
S
0.9
S
0.6
S
0.5
S
0.5
S
1.2
NNE
0.8
S
0.6
S
0.4
NE
1.2
S
1.3
S
0.8
SSE
0.8
S
0.8
S
0.7
S
0.8
S
1.1
S
1.2
S
Period(s) (?)1312111010161312512118877899141413
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)839409202165158183877178196812116417765889676239462488
Wind
(km/h)
15
SW
10
E
15
NW
10
WSW
5
N
20
WNW
20
NNW
30
N
25
N
15
WSW
15
SSE
45
SW
15
W
20
S
15
N
5
W
20
E
15
W
5
SSW
10
ENE
5
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
oncross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
offcrosscrossoffonoffglasscross-
on
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:27PM
1.57
9:45AM
1.65
10:09PM
1.55
10:24AM
1.62
10:50PM
1.51
11:06AM
1.57
11:32PM
1.46
11:51AM
1.53
12:15AM
1.42
12:40PM
1.50
1:01AM
1.40
1:31PM
1.50
1:52AM
1.41
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:20PM
0.47
3:33AM
0.49
4:03PM
0.47
4:13AM
0.49
4:46PM
0.45
4:54AM
0.47
5:29PM
0.42
5:37AM
0.45
6:15PM
0.39
6:23AM
0.42
7:01PM
0.35
7:11AM
0.38
7:49PM
0.31
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Sunrise6:09--6:07--6:05--6:05--6:03--6:03--6:01--
Sunset-7:36--7:37--7:37--7:38--7:39--7:40--7:43-
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--------8192---------
Temp. °C151614161715182019181310151611151516161615
Feels °C (?)121311121581314171710-110119121112121313
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Gisborne and Mahia

  1. weather stationWind Update Continuing clean conditions at Last Chance (light winds from the NNW at Mahia Automatic Weather Station 14 km from Last Chance). 1.2m 12s groundswell from the SSE with a 0.3m 4s local chop from the ENE. 2 swells combining to make bigger set waves.

    Last Chance
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1 h 18 min ago

7 km/h
NNW
Clean
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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