Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Monday 29 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.5° C
(Which is 1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Dec 29) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 03) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 30th Dec)7ft (2.2m) 8s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 30th Dec)7ft (2.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 29th Dec)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 70mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sun
04
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
4
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.5
ENE
3
ESE
2.2
E
2.2
ENE
1.6
NE
1.4
NNE
1.6
NE
1.8
ENE
1.6
NE
0.9
NE
1.3
ENE
1
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.7
ENE
1.6
S
1.7
S
1
ENE
1.4
SSE
Period(s) (?)68788910978888888867117
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)13368347236183933704213243111171991131221099968194286236208
Wind
(km/h)
10
SE
15
ESE
45
ESE
5
NW
5
WSW
15
E
10
NNW
15
NNE
20
NNE
15
N
15
NNE
20
NE
10
NNW
15
ESE
15
ESE
15
SSE
10
SSW
20
SSE
15
SSE
15
SE
15
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
oncross-
off
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
oncrosscross-
off
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
1:01AM
1.58
1:32PM
1.66
1:57AM
1.65
2:25PM
1.70
2:54AM
1.73
3:21PM
1.73
3:52AM
1.81
4:19PM
1.76
4:48AM
1.89
5:19PM
1.79
5:47AM
1.93
6:19PM
1.80
6:47AM
1.96
Low Tide
/ height (m)
7:16AM
0.31
7:46PM
0.26
8:12AM
0.31
8:38PM
0.26
9:11AM
0.30
9:33PM
0.26
10:12AM
0.27
10:32PM
0.25
11:11AM
0.23
11:33PM
0.21
12:10PM
0.18
12:33AM
0.16
1:09PM
0.15
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sun
04
Sunrise-5:43--5:43--5:43--5:45--5:46--5:47--5:48-
Sunset--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
31632172--------1-54514102
Temp. °C171619191921202224202223212019181717161617
Feels °C (?)161416172121201821181922201918171715131415
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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