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Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand
Forecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
16.5° C
(Which is 1.0°C colder than average for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Apr 24) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 1.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Apr 27) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 11s period and expected on Thursday (Apr 30) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 24th Apr) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 27th Apr) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 27th Apr) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 15 | S 12 | |
859 | 658 | 493 | 193 | 140 | 112 | 125 | 125 | 684 | 590 | 359 | 290 | 285 | 1434 | 1126 | 584 | 404 | 116 | 110 | 272 | 239 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | |
High Tide | 10:30AM1.74m | 10:54PM1.82m | 11:26AM1.68m | 11:54PM1.75m | 12:22PM1.61m | 00:52AM1.69m | 1:20PM1.55m | 1:47AM1.63m | 2:18PM1.51m | 2:39AM1.58m | 3:13PM1.51m | 3:31AM1.55m | 4:04PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:40PM0.12m | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.12m | 6:17AM0.12m | 6:34PM0.14m | 7:13AM0.14m | 7:31PM0.18m | 8:06AM0.17m | 8:28PM0.23m | 8:58AM0.22m | 9:24PM0.28m | 9:48AM0.28m | 10:18PM0.32m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 15 | S 12 |
705 | 658 | 493 | 193 | 140 | 112 | 125 | 125 | 684 | 590 | 359 | 290 | 285 | 1434 | 1126 | 584 | 404 | 116 | 110 | 272 | 239 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 8 | E 9 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 13 | S 12 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 4 | S 17 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 11 | S 16 | SSE 9 | NE 6 |
352 | 96 | 6 | 107 | 86 | 54 | 56 | 77 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 95 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 46 | 110 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 10 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | — | — | E 8 | E 11 | — | — | — | E 18 | NE 9 | NE 7 | NE 6 | S 20 |
96 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 96 | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 6 | 9 | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | — | S 8 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NE 3 | — |
859 | 561 | — | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











