Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk surf. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag – a slow start, a big burst in the middle, then it fades out quick. Don’t bother checking the waves until later in the week.

Starting at Last Chance (point) – Wednesday morning the 16th has a small 3ft SSE swell with a 9-second period, glassy with light south winds. Water’s at 55°F, a bit colder than normal for this time of year – not freezing, but you’ll want a decent suit. That morning is the only clean one on Wednesday; the afternoon gets lumpy.

Thursday the 17th drops to about 3ft ESE, cross-off but not great. Friday the 18th has a moderate energy bump (366), but the morning is chopped up. The afternoon clears up, glassy with a 12-second period and 3ft – a decent little session if you’re itching.

Saturday the 19th is a mess – strong 30 km/h cross-off in the morning, then the afternoon throws up 10ft of short-period south swell with 35 km/h winds. That’s not surfable, that’s just chaos. Sunday the 20th starts tiny, but the afternoon brings a strong pulse – 10ft at 8 seconds, combined energy of 1181. It’s big but raw and windblown.

Now, the one to circle – Monday the 21st. Morning is glassy, light NNE breeze, and 10ft of south groundswell at 12 seconds. Combined energy is a massive 2713 – that’s very strong. The point will be handling it beautifully for advanced surfers. It’s a serious paddle, but the sets will be clean and powerful. That’s the best on offer, hands down. The afternoon gets cross-on and choppy, so hit it early.

After that, the swell backs way off. Tuesday the 22nd is small and cross-shore – not worth it. Wednesday the 23rd has 6ft of short-period south, but it’s wind-affected and junky. Thursday the 24th is better – 6ft S at 9 seconds in the morning, then cleaner 5ft in the afternoon with cross-off winds. Decent, but nothing like Monday.

Friday the 25th starts glassy with 4ft S at 11 seconds – really clean, light winds. A lovely morning session. The afternoon gets a bit onshore. Saturday the 26th is mostly cross-on and small – skip it. Sunday the 27th has a tiny 2ft S swell with a long 17-second period, but it’s weak. The afternoon sees 3ft with offshore wind – marginal.

The end of the run – Tuesday the 29th – is small and cross-shore. Wednesday the 30th picks up a bit with 3ft S at 7 seconds, glassy in the morning. Fun and clean, but short period, so it’ll be softer. Thursday the 1st of October morning is clean again, 3ft S at 11 seconds, light cross-off – a nice way to finish.

Second week gets quieter and more inconsistent, so don’t hold your breath after the 25th. The standout is clearly Monday the 21st – that’s the one to plan around. It’s a long-range call, so think of it as promising but not guaranteed. If you can handle it, you’ll have a day to remember. If not, stay on the sand and watch.

Rusty, out.

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