Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming down the line for Last Chance. It’s a point break that needs the right swell, and we’re in for a long wait for the real magic.

Let’s be real: the first week is a tough one to get excited about. We’ve got a few days of surfable waves, but nothing that’ll have you racing for your wetsuit. The first proper call is for Saturday afternoon the 25th, with a small 3ft easterly windswell. The water is a bit colder than average for this time of year at 54°, and the wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean. But the energy is weak (337), so it’s a small wave board kind of day.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th see a bump in size, but the wind swings cross-offshore and the swell gets a bit messy. Sunday morning hits 7ft from the south with a short period of 8 seconds, which is just a bumpy, weak wall. The energy is moderate (1118), but the quality is questionable. Monday afternoon brings a bigger 8ft swell, but it’s a short period and the wind is fresh, making it a bit of a grunt. This is definitely not for beginners.

We get a glimmer of hope on Wednesday morning the 29th. The wind swings offshore at 10 km/h, and we’ve got a solid 6ft groundswell from the ESE with a long period of 13 seconds. The energy is strong (1140). This is a good session for experienced surfers. The long period means the wave will be powerful and lined up, so it’s the best call of the first week.

The next few days are a fade-out. Thursday the 30th is clean and punchy with 5ft waves, but it’s dropping. Then from Friday the 31st through to Tuesday the 5th of August, the surf is small and inconsistent. There’s a big gap of poor conditions here. The swell drops to under 3ft, and the wind is a mess. The energy is low (321 to 185). It’s a lull, plain and simple.

But hold on. The second week rewards the patient. Wednesday morning the 5th of August is a standout. We’re looking at a proper 12ft swell from the south, with a moderate 11-second period. The wind is offshore and light, so it’ll be clean. The energy is massive (3311). This is a big, powerful point break swell. It’s only for experts – 12ft is serious territory. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

We get a second wind on Friday the 7th of August. Glassy conditions – zero wind – and a 12ft swell from the south. The energy is massive (4005). This is the best of the lot. Perfect, clean conditions with a massive, long-period groundswell. It’s a dream for a point break. If you can handle the size, this is the day.

After that, the swell backs off through the weekend into the 9th, but it stays clean and surfable. Sunday morning the 9th is glassy with a 5ft swell, nice and clean.

So, the best bets are clearly Wednesday the 5th and Friday the 7th of August. Morning sessions are the go. The long-range forecast is looking promising, but it’s always a bit less certain that far out. For now, I’m stoked on that August window.

Rusty.

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