Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Friday 26 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.7° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Dec 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Dec 29) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Dec 27) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 27th Dec)2.5ft (0.8m) 6s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 29th Dec)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 29th Dec)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thu
01
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
SSE
0.5
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.7
NE
0.6
NE
1
ENE
0.6
NE
0.4
NE
0.3
ENE
0.5
ENE
1.1
E
2.5
E
2.3
E
1.6
E
1.4
E
1.2
ENE
1.2
ENE
1.6
ENE
1.2
ENE
0.9
ENE
1.1
ENE
Period(s) (?)1099664678857888887888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)744626322532191514385675369937521716919227216192146
Wind
(km/h)
10
NNW
15
NNE
25
N
20
NNE
15
SE
20
NE
15
WSW
10
E
25
ENE
15
E
25
E
35
SE
30
W
5
WNW
20
NE
10
NW
5
NE
15
NE
20
NNW
10
NW
5
NNE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
offononononcross-
on
offglasscross-
on
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:44PM
1.48
11:05AM
1.58
11:26PM
1.50
11:53AM
1.59
12:12AM
1.54
12:42PM
1.62
1:01AM
1.58
1:32PM
1.66
1:57AM
1.65
2:25PM
1.70
2:54AM
1.73
3:21PM
1.73
3:52AM
1.81
4:19PM
1.76
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:48AM
0.32
5:24PM
0.27
5:36AM
0.31
6:10PM
0.26
6:25AM
0.30
6:58PM
0.26
7:16AM
0.31
7:46PM
0.26
8:12AM
0.31
8:38PM
0.26
9:11AM
0.30
9:33PM
0.26
10:12AM
0.27
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thu
01
Sunrise-5:41--5:41--5:41--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:45-
Sunset--8:35--8:35--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:37
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
---1-2---3121910--------
Temp. °C222427211817171818171515171819192022202424
Feels °C (?)19222220171516141415119171918201922172424
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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