Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 23 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with 4,248 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 12s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Wed 23rd Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | E 10 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 13 | S 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 259 | 171 | 113 | 146 | 304 | 231 | 211 | 169 | 329 | 253 | 112 | 56 | 2501 | 4042 | 1989 | 721 | 140 | 199 | 434 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:39PM1.68m | 9:58AM1.72m | 10:25PM1.64m | 10:45AM1.66m | 11:11PM1.59m | 11:34AM1.60m | 11:55PM1.52m | 12:25PM1.54m | 00:41AM1.44m | 1:14PM1.49m | 1:29AM1.38m | 2:00PM1.46m | 2:18AM1.35m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:51AM0.39m | 4:19PM0.39m | 4:38AM0.42m | 5:05PM0.42m | 5:24AM0.45m | 5:53PM0.44m | 6:09AM0.46m | 6:41PM0.45m | 6:53AM0.45m | 7:29PM0.44m | 7:39AM0.44m | 8:15PM0.41m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ENE 8 | ESE 12 | E 11 | S 14 | S 13 | E 10 | SE 11 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 10 | SE 8 | SE 9 | S 12 |
| kJ | 259 | 171 | 113 | 146 | 304 | 231 | 153 | 169 | 235 | 253 | 112 | 56 | 30 | 4042 | 1989 | 721 | 129 | 142 | 25 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | S 15 | ESE 14 | S 14 | S 16 | ESE 12 | ENE 8 | S 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ENE 9 | NE 10 | — | NE 10 | E 9 | S 9 | S 13 | S 18 |
| kJ | 14 | 16 | 18 | 77 | 16 | 47 | 211 | 50 | 329 | 107 | 66 | 17 | 15 | — | 4 | 7 | 140 | 199 | 54 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | NE 11 | NE 11 | S 13 | S 18 | E 12 | S 16 | S 15 | NNE 10 | S 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | — | — | ESE 10 | NE 10 | S 13 | S 20 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 82 | 107 | 80 | 21 | 37 | 9 | — | — | 33 | 4 | 84 | 7 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | NNE 3 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 6 | NW 3 | W 3 | S 8 | S 10 | SSW 12 | — | — | — | — | S 7 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 25 | 172 | 3 | 193 | 113 | 1 | 4 | 858 | 2501 | 5655 | — | — | — | — | 434 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 9 | 23 | 86 | 103 | 78 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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