Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Last Chance over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first couple of days are pretty ordinary, with small waves and only light wind. Nothing to get excited about. The real action starts to build from the middle of the week.

Monday 13th July kicks off with a clean 3 ft S swell, cross-off wind, and a period of 11 seconds. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Wave energy is moderate (265). The afternoon drops off quickly.

Tuesday 14th is even smaller and more mixed. The morning is a write-off with cross-shore chop. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a 2 ft E swell, but it’s still very average.

Wednesday 15th is a little tease. Tiny 2 ft E swell, but the wind goes glassy. The water is about average for this time of year. It’s just too small to really get into it, but you could get a fun little slide on a longboard.

Now, Thursday 16th July – things start to get interesting. The morning is still small, but the afternoon brings a clean 2 ft ESE swell with a 15-second period and offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (411). It’s a solid, clean wave.

Friday 17th July is the first real standout. Early morning, it’s glassy with a 5 ft ESE swell and a 15-second period. The combined energy jumps to 1182 – that’s strong. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The long period means it’s going to be a proper groundswell, so at a point break like Last Chance, it should really line up. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, so the morning is the call.

Saturday 18th July is still solid. A 5 ft ESE swell, decent period, but the wind picks up. The combined energy is still strong (1410), but the wind is cross-off and moderate. It’s going to be a bit lumpy, but there’s still plenty of power. The afternoon sees 22 mph winds, so that’s more of a kite session than a paddle session.

Sunday 19th July – the swell drops a touch to 3 ft, but the period goes way up to 21 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The morning is a bit messy with cross-shore, but the afternoon goes glassy. The combined energy is still very strong (1400). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but the long period might make it a bit straight at the beach. It’ll be a gem at a point like Last Chance.

Monday 20th July rolls in with glassy conditions and a 4 ft S swell, 14-second period, and strong energy (1252). Another excellent morning session for the experienced crew.

Tuesday 21st July is the absolute peak. A 6 ft S swell, 16-second period, and combined energy of 1652. The morning is clean with cross-off wind. This is the best on offer in the whole forecast. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s clean. Only for experts at this size.

From Wednesday 22nd into the next week, the swell slowly backs off and the wind gets a bit more tricky. The 22nd still offers a clean 4 ft SSE swell, but the energy is dropping (548). There are still some good windows, like Sunday 26th July with a glassy 4 ft SSE swell, but the consistency and quality aren’t as high as that mid-week block.

Overall, the clear standout is the window from Friday 17th July through to Tuesday 21st July. Those days offer the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful swell. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your time. The long-range stuff into the second week is more of a waiting game – smaller and more inconsistent.

Rusty out.

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