Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 pm 21 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.7° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 21 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 17s period, S swell with 3,199 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 26 Jun, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 26) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 27) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Fri 26th Jun)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 23rd Jun)8ft (2.4m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNE by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Wed night, calm by Fri night).

Sun
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
1.1
SSE
6
1.6
S
18
2.2
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.2
S
13
1
S
12
0.9
SSE
12
2.5
ENE
8
3
NE
9
2.2
ENE
9
1.6
E
9
1.7
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.6
E
10
3
S
8
2.5
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
142
82
72
71
1726
2479
1225
521
319
256
832
1701
809
449
575
586
669
625
553
1087
966
Wind (km/h)
10
S
5
W
25
SSE
10
SSE
10
NE
20
NNE
25
NE
25
NNE
25
NNE
35
NE
50
NE
25
NE
25
NW
20
NNE
15
NNE
10
N
10
NW
10
SW
15
SW
25
WSW
35
SW
Wind State
cross
off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
12:33PM1.60m
00:56AM1.61m
1:29PM1.59m
1:47AM1.57m
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
3:28AM1.53m
3:57PM1.62m
4:15AM1.53m
Low Tide
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
6:46PM0.31m
7:13AM0.29m
7:41PM0.38m
8:01AM0.37m
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
9:26PM0.47m
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
10:30AM0.50m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:53
4:53
4:53
4:54
 mm
1
2
1
5
1
Temp °C
15
14
13
13
12
13
13
13
15
15
14
16
13
12
13
14
12
12
13
12
11
Feels °C
13
14
8
10
10
8
8
8
9
9
6
12
7
6
9
11
9
9
9
5
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
1.1
SSE
6
1.6
S
18
2.2
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.2
S
13
1
S
12
0.9
SSE
12
0.7
S
13
2.4
ENE
9
2.2
ENE
9
1.6
E
9
1.7
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.6
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.1
E
10
Energy kJ
142
82
72
71
1726
2479
1225
521
319
256
166
984
809
449
575
586
669
625
553
367
264
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
NNE
4
0.3
SSW
4
0.2
ENE
8
0.5
S
12
0.8
SSE
6
0.2
ENE
8
0.1
E
12
0.5
S
14
0.4
S
13
0.5
SSW
5
1
S
10
0.8
S
10
0.8
S
12
0.8
S
11
0.5
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
18
Energy kJ
2
3
7
68
38
6
3
95
55
15
190
138
181
155
121
832
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ENE
9
0.2
E
8
0.1
E
14
0.2
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
8
0.3
S
13
0.3
W
4
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
10
0.3
S
16
0.1
N
9
Energy kJ
7
6
4
6
6
32
2
2
2
45
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
4
1.1
SSE
5
0.6
NE
4
0.9
NE
4
1.1
NE
5
1.4
NE
6
2.5
ENE
8
3
NE
9
0.4
NNE
3
0.4
WSW
3
1.6
SSW
5
3
S
8
2.5
S
8
Energy kJ
1
69
10
29
58
129
832
1701
3
3
123
1087
966
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
4
4
3
2
2
1
3
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
10
0
88
9
8
8
8
11
11
63
287
11
35
12
8
8
0
0
0
23
54
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
7
5
6
4
4
2
3
3
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
4
7
5
6
6
5
5
6
7
8
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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