Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up at Last Chance. This is a point break that likes swell from the NE, and it's exposed to whatever the ocean throws at it. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you might want an extra layer.

The next couple of days are pretty quiet. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st have some small, clean lines but they’re really marginal. Nothing to get excited about yet. There’s a bit of a wait for the real action.

Then Saturday the 1st of August sees a jump in size, with a south swell pushing 8ft to 10ft, but it’s accompanied by a fresh breeze, making it messy and hard to manage. That’s more for the kamikaze crew or the kite surfers, honestly.

Now, Sunday the 2nd of August is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 8ft SSE groundswell rolling in with a 12-second period. The wind is light offshore from the WSW in the morning, turning cross-off in the afternoon. The combined energy is strong (1807), and the water will be clean. This is the standout for the first week. It’s a big one, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers. The wave quality is excellent, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be a rippable, lined-up point break. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect a few other keen locals out.

Monday the 3rd holds a bit of that quality, with 5ft to 6ft SSE swell and gentle offshore winds. It’s a step down in size but still very good, clean surf for the advanced crew.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th see another pulse of strong, long-period southerly swell (up to 8ft, 16-second period), but the wind turns onshore and fresh, making it lumpy and challenging. The energy is massive (over 2800), but the surface will be chopped up. Not the best windows.

We get a nice little break on Thursday the 6th with a 5ft SSE swell and near-glass conditions, light offshore wind. Clean and fun, with good energy (605). That’s a solid session.

Friday the 7th brings a 8ft swell but the period drops to a short, weak 6 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (519), but it’s a bit of a messy, close-outy wave. The morning is clean with offshore wind, but the afternoon turns cross-onshore.

The absolute best of the entire forecast is Saturday the 8th of August. Glassy conditions, 8ft SE swell, and a 9-second period. The combined energy is strong (1154). The wind is glassy all day. This is a serious, powerful point break session for the experienced crew. Clean, lined up, and no wind to mess it up. Expect crowds, because this is a classic.

After that, the wheels fall off. From Sunday the 9th through to the end of the outlook on Friday the 14th, the wind is all over the place – onshore, cross-onshore, lumpy, and messy. The swell is still around, 5ft to 7ft, but the surface is poor. We’ve got a solid week of dodgy conditions. The waves will be there, but you won’t want to be out in that chop.

Rusty.

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