Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 11 am 21 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.7° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 21 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 26 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSE swell with 3,287 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.0m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jun 26) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sun 21st Jun)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 26th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 23rd Jun)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Wed night, calm by Fri night).

Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
5
4
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
15
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
1.7
S
19
2.2
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.2
S
13
1
S
13
0.9
SSE
12
2.5
ENE
7
2.3
ENE
9
2.1
ENE
9
2.5
S
7
2.4
S
8
2.5
S
8
3.5
S
12
2.2
S
12
1.8
E
11
1.7
E
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
161
142
82
72
69
2021
2444
1241
521
324
248
637
826
736
743
716
935
3213
1347
730
760
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
10
S
5
WSW
20
SSE
15
SE
10
NE
20
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
35
NE
50
NE
30
NE
30
NW
20
N
20
N
25
NE
10
WNW
5
SSW
20
WSW
40
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:45AM1.69m
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
12:33PM1.60m
00:56AM1.61m
1:29PM1.59m
1:47AM1.57m
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
3:28AM1.53m
3:57PM1.62m
Low Tide
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
6:46PM0.31m
7:13AM0.29m
7:41PM0.38m
8:01AM0.37m
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
9:26PM0.47m
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:53
4:53
4:53
 mm
3
2
2
6
1
4
4
Temp °C
18
15
14
13
12
12
13
13
13
15
15
14
16
13
13
14
14
11
10
11
12
Feels °C
16
13
14
9
8
10
8
8
8
9
9
5
11
6
8
10
9
9
9
7
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
15
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
1.7
S
19
2.2
S
16
1.7
S
15
1.2
S
13
1
S
13
0.9
SSE
12
0.7
S
13
2.3
ENE
9
2.1
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
10
1.8
E
10
2.5
S
8
3.5
S
12
2.2
S
12
1.8
E
11
1.7
E
12
Energy kJ
161
142
82
72
68
2021
2444
1241
521
324
248
163
826
736
574
630
935
3213
1347
730
760
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
9
0.2
ENE
9
0.4
S
4
0.2
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
8
0.1
E
12
0.6
S
14
0.4
S
13
0.2
SSW
14
1.9
E
10
1.8
E
11
1.8
E
11
1.5
S
11
0.8
S
17
Energy kJ
15
7
5
7
6
6
3
140
55
18
724
769
741
544
364
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NE
9
0.2
E
9
0.2
E
8
0.1
E
14
0.1
E
14
0.1
E
13
0.3
S
10
0.4
SSW
13
0.2
S
16
0.5
S
15
0.6
SE
6
Energy kJ
13
6
6
4
4
4
17
57
21
112
20
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
N
3
1
SSE
5
1.1
SSE
5
0.6
ENE
4
0.9
NE
4
1.2
NE
5
1
NE
5
1.4
NE
6
2.5
ENE
7
2.1
NE
9
2.5
S
7
2.4
S
8
3.5
SSW
9
0.5
S
3
1.2
S
10
Energy kJ
4
49
69
9
24
71
50
124
637
703
743
716
1872
5
290
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
3
2
2
1
2
4
2
4
4
4
5
4
3
2
Distance (km)
10
10
0
86
10
8
8
8
11
11
63
287
12
72
12
12
8
0
0
9
102
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
4
5
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
1
5
7
5
6
4
4
2
3
2
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
7
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
7
7
5
6
6
5
6
8
8
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
7
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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