Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Sunday 24 May 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.0° C
(Which is 1.1°C colder than average for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 25) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 29) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (May 27) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Mon 25th May)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Best Surf 3PM (Fri 29th May)11ft (3.5m) 19s
Most Powerful 3PM (Fri 29th May)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
2
2
3
3
2
2
4
5
4
4
4
5
9
4
4
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
S
15
1.6
S
16
1.6
S
16
1.6
S
16
1.5
S
14
1.3
SSE
13
1.2
SSE
13
1.3
SSE
12
0.8
SSE
18
3
SSE
17
2.5
S
15
2.1
S
14
1.9
S
13
1.8
S
13
3
S
17
3.5
S
19
3
S
16
2.2
S
15
1.9
SSE
14
1.6
SSE
13
1.3
SSE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
740
1381
1398
1248
886
599
476
503
408
4335
3052
1807
1303
1172
4695
8098
4117
2090
1428
915
519
Wind (km/h)
15
S
5
SE
5
WNW
15
NE
15
N
5
W
15
SW
15
S
10
SSE
10
S
10
NNW
10
WNW
5
SW
5
SW
10
WSW
5
SSW
10
NE
0
NNW
15
NE
15
N
15
N
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
00:31AM1.68m
1:00PM1.56m
1:24AM1.61m
1:57PM1.54m
2:16AM1.56m
2:51PM1.55m
3:07AM1.53m
3:40PM1.58m
3:58AM1.53m
4:27PM1.62m
4:46AM1.54m
5:13PM1.65m
5:31AM1.55m
Low Tide
6:15PM0.17m
6:51AM0.15m
7:10PM0.24m
7:42AM0.22m
8:07PM0.31m
8:31AM0.29m
9:03PM0.37m
9:21AM0.37m
9:56PM0.41m
10:11AM0.43m
10:43PM0.45m
11:00AM0.48m
11:28PM0.47m
11:46AM0.49m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:13
7:13
7:13
7:15
7:16
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:58
4:57
4:57
4:55
4:55
4:54
4:54
4:53
Temp °C
13
12
12
13
11
13
14
14
12
12
12
16
16
14
12
12
13
13
14
13
16
10
10
10
10
7
10
11
12
10
10
10
13
14
12
10
11
11
12
11
11
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
S
15
1.6
S
16
1.6
S
16
1.6
S
16
1.5
S
14
1.3
SSE
13
1.2
SSE
13
1.3
SSE
12
1
SSE
7
3
SSE
17
2.5
S
15
2.1
S
14
1.9
S
13
1.8
S
13
3
S
17
3.5
S
19
3
S
16
2.2
S
15
1.9
SSE
14
1.6
SSE
13
1.3
SSE
12
Energy kJ
740
1381
1398
1248
886
599
476
503
105
4335
3052
1807
1303
1172
4695
8098
4117
2090
1428
915
519
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ENE
10
0.8
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.6
E
11
1
S
12
0.6
E
12
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.4
E
11
0.3
ENE
10
0.3
ENE
10
0.3
ENE
9
0.2
ENE
9
0.2
ENE
9
0.1
NE
11
0.1
NE
11
0.1
NE
10
Energy kJ
143
136
102
102
104
108
115
85
270
99
63
59
36
20
18
17
8
8
5
5
4
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
17
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
19
0.4
NE
3
0.3
NNE
8
0.8
ENE
11
0.4
S
16
0.8
SSE
18
0.3
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
9
0.3
NNE
8
0.1
NE
9
0.1
NE
9
0.1
NE
9
Energy kJ
476
7
7
3
11
135
81
408
16
16
14
3
3
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSE
5
0.2
NNW
2
0.3
SW
2
0.8
S
5
0.4
NE
4
0.7
NE
5
Energy kJ
39
1
1
33
3
22
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
3
3
3
3
1
2
1
5
4
4
4
5
9
4
4
3
3
2
Distance (km)
12
9
0
8
8
0
0
12
9
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
0
8
10
10
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
4
3
3
3
1
3
6
5
4
4
4
5
9
5
5
4
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
7
8
7
5
4
4
9
8
9
5
5
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
4
4
9
9
8
7
7
6
6
9
8
9
5
5
4
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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