Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming our way for the next couple of weeks. It starts a little quiet, but there's some serious juice on the horizon.

The main spot to watch is Last Chance, an advanced-only point break that's fairly consistent and takes swell well. The water is a bit cooler than normal for this time of year, coming in at about 55°F.

The first few days, from Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 31st of July, are just average. Swell runs from about 3 ft down to 3 ft, with cross-off winds making it surfable but not great. The combined energy of all swells directed here is pretty low, reading between 204 and 2672.

The first real standout window opens on Sunday the 2nd of August in the morning. We'll have an 8 ft S swell with a 12-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze from the WSW. The combined energy of all swells directed here is a solid 2098 (moderate wave energy). It's clean and powerful, strictly for the advanced crew.

Then Monday the 3rd of August is a gem. The morning session has a clean 8 ft SSE swell (combined energy 1217) with a gentle breeze. But the real magic is the afternoon—the wind goes glassy from the SSE, and the swell sits at 6 ft with a 10-second period. That's going to be as smooth as it gets.

Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon is another standout. A 7 ft S groundswell with a very long 17-second period and a moderate offshore W wind. The combined energy of all swells directed here jumps to a strong 2854. The sets will be less frequent, but the waves will have loads of push and shape—perfect for this point.

After that, things get wild. From Wednesday the 5th into the second week, the wind goes onshore and the swell goes huge. On Thursday the 6th, the swell hits 15 ft from the SSE (combined energy 8087 to 8201), but it's too big for this break. Friday the 7th is even crazier with 16 ft to 18 ft S swell and combined energy over 11991, but near gale winds make it a total mess. Honestly, that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddling.

From Saturday the 8th through the 12th of August, the size drops back to 8 ft and below, but the wind stays strong and cross-off, chopping everything up. It's a long stretch of unrideable conditions for a paddle surfer.

So, for the advanced guys: the absolute best on offer is Monday the 3rd of August afternoon at Last Chance. That glassy, clean session is the winner. Runner-up is Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon for the long-period, offshore perfection. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty out.

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