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Last Chance ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.3

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Based on 1 vote. Vote


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Last Chance Surf Forecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Thursday 21 Oct 2021 NZDT
Forecast update in  hr  min  s Update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is 15.0 °C (Statistics for 21 Oct 1981-2005 - mean: 14.7 max: 16.2 min: 13.7 °C)
Icon breakBreak
Icon legend buoysLive Wave Height (m)
Icon legend windLive Wind Speed (km/h)
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Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is 15.0 °C (Statistics for 21 Oct 1981-2005 - mean: 14.7 max: 16.2 min: 13.7 °C)

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Gisborne and Mahia

  1. weather stationWind Update Offshore wind has become cross-off at Blacks Reef (moderate winds from the E at Mahia Radar Automatic Weather Station 14 km from Blacks Reef).

    Blacks Reef
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Actual: 30 min ago

Light
6 km/h
NE
Clean
Please reload the page to see if there are any updates.


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 21) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.7m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 21) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 26) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 21st Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 22nd Oct)5ft (1.6m) 12s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 21st Oct)5.5ft (1.7m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Update imminent
Rating
(10 max)
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
Period(s) (?)
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)
Wind
(km/h)
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
High Tide
/ height (m)
Low Tide
/ height (m)
Summary
Rain (mm)
High °C
Low °C
Chill °C (?)
Sunrise
Sunset
Thu
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
01
Tue
02
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
332331000000000000000010001010000133
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.6.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.24.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.48.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.72.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.96.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.120.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.144.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.168.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.192.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.216.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.240.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.264.cc23
T newzealand.htsgw.metric.288.cc23
1.8
S
1.6
S
1.5
S
1.4
SSE
1.3
SSE
1.3
SSE
1.1
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.7
SSE
0.5
SSE
0.7
NE
0.8
NE
0.6
NE
0.3
E
0.9
NE
0.6
NE
0.6
NE
0.3
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
1
NNE
0.5
E
1.3
NE
1
ENE
0.5
E
0.4
E
0.6
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.5
E
1
S
1.4
S
1.3
S
1312121211111110109966610566101010105116710109889961010
10877866505504543872971761377647303826234528252131313261561081054832697271443974349339
15
ENE
10
ENE
15
ESE
15
E
10
NE
15
NNE
30
NE
25
N
15
N
15
NNE
15
N
15
N
20
NNE
10
NNW
10
N
20
ENE
10
NNW
5
NNW
5
NE
5
WSW
5
ESE
10
NE
5
NNW
15
NNE
30
NE
30
NNE
15
NNW
5
N
15
NW
15
N
25
NNW
25
WNW
20
NW
20
WNW
10
NW
15
SW
cross-
on
oncross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
offcross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
7:16PM
1.58
7:41AM
1.64
8:01PM
1.60
8:24AM
1.68
8:46PM
1.61
9:05AM
1.69
9:30PM
1.61
9:44AM
1.68
10:13PM
1.60
10:24AM
1.66
10:55PM
1.56
11:05AM
1.61
11:36PM
1.51
11:49AM
1.57
12:18AM
1.47
12:36PM
1.53
1:03AM
1.43
1:25PM
1.51
1:52AM
1.42
2:15PM
1.51
2:43AM
1.43
3:06PM
1.55
3:37AM
1.49
1:29AM
0.35
1:52PM
0.37
2:12AM
0.39
2:37PM
0.41
2:54AM
0.42
3:21PM
0.43
3:35AM
0.45
4:04PM
0.45
4:17AM
0.47
4:47PM
0.45
4:59AM
0.47
5:29PM
0.45
5:42AM
0.47
6:13PM
0.43
6:25AM
0.45
6:59PM
0.40
7:10AM
0.42
7:46PM
0.37
7:59AM
0.39
8:34PM
0.33
8:52AM
0.35
9:23PM
0.29
9:47AM
0.30

Note: the tide data above is for Waikokopu, New Zealand which is 9 km away. Surf properties and timing are calculated for Last Chance.New forecast is published every 6 hours at www.surf-forecast.com. See detailed tide info and graph
Offshore winds at Last Chance blow from the W

Thu
21
Friday
22
Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
01
Tue
02
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
part cloudcloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudclearclearpart cloudcloudcloudcloudpart cloudclearclearclearclearpart cloudpart cloudcloudcloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudcloudcloudlight raincloudclearpart cloudcloudlight rainrain showersclearpart cloudclearclear
some cloudscloudysome cloudssome cloudssome cloudsclearclearsome cloudscloudycloudycloudysome cloudsclearclearclearclearsome cloudssome cloudscloudycloudysome cloudssome cloudssome cloudscloudycloudylight raincloudyclearsome cloudscloudylight rainrain shwrsclearsome cloudsclearclear
-------------------------3----11----
13121211912121112131418191720222220201817181718171520211819181418181216
1211121181011912121216191620211919201517171618161518211518161216141014
11101097109810121318191620222220201817181718161320211819171317171015
--6:13--6:11--6:09--6:09--6:07--6:05--6:05--6:03--6:01--6:01--6:00--5:58
7:31--7:32--7:34--7:35--7:36--7:37--7:37--7:38--7:40--7:42--7:43--7:44--

Short Range Forecast: Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NE by Sat afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 6-9 Weather Summary Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NE by Fri afternoon).

Long Range Forecast: Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.