Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 am 25 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.5° C

1.2°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 24 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 1 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 28 Jun, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, S swell with 2,629 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 25 Jun, 12PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 25) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jun 25) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Thu 25th Jun)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Wed 1st Jul)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 6PM (Sun 28th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 46mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue night).

Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
1
2
2
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NE
9
2.2
ENE
10
2.5
S
9
3
S
10
3
E
10
2.4
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.3
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.5
S
8
3
S
8
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.3
S
16
1.5
S
15
1.5
S
14
1.3
S
14
1.3
S
13
1.2
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
794
880
1088
2050
1814
1198
884
1060
917
858
940
443
384
320
257
858
970
944
684
591
432
Wind (km/h)
25
NE
35
SW
35
SSW
35
SW
40
SW
15
NE
20
S
20
SSW
25
S
30
S
30
S
25
S
30
SSW
30
S
25
S
15
S
15
S
5
S
5
NW
5
SE
5
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
3:28AM1.53m
3:57PM1.62m
4:15AM1.53m
4:43PM1.62m
4:59AM1.52m
5:28PM1.62m
5:43AM1.50m
6:12PM1.61m
6:28AM1.48m
6:54PM1.60m
Low Tide
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
9:26PM0.47m
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
10:30AM0.50m
10:58PM0.51m
11:16AM0.49m
11:42PM0.50m
11:58AM0.47m
00:27AM0.47m
12:37PM0.44m
1:11AM0.43m
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:53
4:53
4:53
4:54
4:54
4:54
4:55
 mm
1
2
9
2
18
1
4
9
4
2
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
12
12
10
15
14
14
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
11
10
Feels °C
15
6
6
2
14
10
10
11
10
7
7
6
6
4
4
7
7
9
9
10
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
E
9
2.2
ENE
10
1.5
E
11
1.7
E
10
2.4
E
10
2.4
E
10
2.1
E
10
2.3
E
10
2.1
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.6
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.3
S
16
1.5
S
15
1.5
S
14
1.3
S
14
1.3
S
13
1.2
S
12
Energy kJ
306
880
524
561
1129
1198
884
1060
917
590
504
443
384
320
257
858
970
944
684
591
432
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
14
0.5
SSW
13
0.8
NE
10
1.9
S
11
1.6
S
11
1.3
S
10
1
S
9
1.2
S
17
1.3
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
15
0.9
S
13
0.7
S
12
0.6
S
11
0.5
S
17
1.3
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
9
1.1
E
10
1.1
E
10
1
E
10
Energy kJ
91
102
117
872
632
338
173
841
783
1400
284
138
89
135
320
354
287
249
249
196
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
18
0.1
S
18
0.4
S
10
0.3
ESE
12
Energy kJ
243
6
33
30
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NE
9
2.5
S
9
3
S
10
3
E
10
1.6
S
6
2.5
S
8
3
S
8
1.6
S
7
1.6
SSE
7
1.5
SSE
7
1.3
S
6
1.3
SSE
6
1
S
6
Energy kJ
794
1088
2050
1814
202
858
940
243
212
187
143
134
78
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
1
1
2
4
4
4
1
2
1
3
3
2
1
2
2
4
3
3
3
Distance (km)
11
71
102
130
102
8
12
12
130
102
137
90
90
149
100
12
12
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
4
5
5
5
6
4
4
4
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
5
5
6
5
7
6
5
4
5
5
7
7
6
9
6
5
5
5
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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