Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Tuesday 03 Feb 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
20.3° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Feb 03) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Feb 05) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Feb 04) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Tue 3rd Feb)2ft (0.6m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 7th Feb)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 5th Feb)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sunday
08
Mon
09
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
NE
0.6
NE
1.2
NNE
0.5
NE
2.2
S
2.5
S
2.5
S
2
S
1.5
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.8
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.6
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.4
NE
0.4
SE
0.4
E
0.4
NE
0.3
E
Period(s) (?)787108101099111010101099107888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)62461464866612751403650324191149123756150472412201811
Wind
(km/h)
15
N
15
NNE
20
NNW
15
WNW
30
SW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
15
SSE
10
N
5
NNE
15
ENE
10
NNW
5
SSW
10
E
5
NW
15
SW
20
ESE
10
WSW
10
NNE
25
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
onglasscross-
off
onoffcross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
7:24AM
1.85
7:53PM
1.70
8:16AM
1.83
8:46PM
1.70
9:05AM
1.80
9:34PM
1.70
9:53AM
1.76
10:21PM
1.70
10:41AM
1.71
11:06PM
1.69
11:30AM
1.67
11:52PM
1.66
12:18PM
1.63
Low Tide
/ height (m)
1:08AM
0.10
1:46PM
0.14
1:59AM
0.11
2:37PM
0.15
2:49AM
0.14
3:26PM
0.17
3:40AM
0.20
4:13PM
0.21
4:30AM
0.27
5:00PM
0.27
5:20AM
0.33
5:47PM
0.34
6:09AM
0.39
6:33PM
0.40
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sunday
08
Mon
09
Sunrise-6:20--6:20--6:22--6:24--6:24--6:26--6:26-
Sunset--8:22--8:21--8:20--8:19--8:17--8:16--8:15
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
----2----------------
Temp. °C242727211617161717152020192222212121192121
Feels °C (?)242526191111121514141919192121202019212019
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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