Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Tuesday 27 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.2° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 31) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Feb 03) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 29th Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 1st Feb)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 31st Jan)4ft (1.2m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
S
1.2
S
1.1
S
1
S
0.8
S
0.6
E
0.4
ENE
0.7
E
0.8
E
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
1.1
S
1.1
S
0.8
S
0.8
S
0.5
S
0.8
S
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.7
NE
0.8
NE
Period(s) (?)10101099101210101011131211101412111097
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2843022341801037049100130141153411344146125101187114737575
Wind
(km/h)
15
ESE
5
SSE
10
SE
15
ENE
10
N
10
N
15
ENE
5
SW
20
SW
15
SE
15
NNE
10
NNE
20
ENE
10
WSW
10
SW
10
ESE
10
N
0
SE
10
ENE
15
WNW
15
NNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
cross-
on
oncrosscrossoncross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
crossglasscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
1:36AM
1.73
2:05PM
1.70
2:36AM
1.77
3:04PM
1.71
3:34AM
1.81
4:04PM
1.71
4:32AM
1.84
5:03PM
1.71
5:30AM
1.85
6:00PM
1.71
6:28AM
1.86
6:57PM
1.70
7:24AM
1.85
Low Tide
/ height (m)
7:23PM
0.24
7:56AM
0.28
8:17PM
0.24
8:56AM
0.27
9:15PM
0.24
9:56AM
0.24
10:16PM
0.22
10:55AM
0.20
11:17PM
0.18
11:53AM
0.17
12:15AM
0.13
12:51PM
0.15
1:08AM
0.10
Tue
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Sunrise--6:13--6:13--6:15--6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20
Sunset8:28--8:28--8:27--8:25--8:24--8:23--8:22--
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
--1------------------
Temp. °C191819201824232019191820211920211922242629
Feels °C (?)171919191622212018181718202020211921242428
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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