Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with 1,294 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri night, strong winds from the SW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | E 8 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 16 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 144 | 89 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 106 | 160 | 154 | 217 | 572 | 627 | 376 | 568 | 861 | 1080 | 989 | 1073 | 1294 | 1137 | 803 | 609 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross |
High Tide | 12:54PM1.62m | 1:14AM1.58m | 1:46PM1.61m | 2:03AM1.55m | 2:36PM1.59m | 2:51AM1.51m | 3:22PM1.58m | 3:37AM1.48m | 4:08PM1.56m | 4:23AM1.45m | 4:53PM1.55m | 5:09AM1.43m | 5:37PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:08PM0.42m | 7:27AM0.42m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:15AM0.47m | 8:50PM0.50m | 9:04AM0.48m | 9:37PM0.50m | 9:53AM0.48m | 10:23PM0.49m | 10:40AM0.45m | 11:08PM0.46m | 11:24AM0.41m | 11:53PM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 5 | SSE 10 | E 8 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 16 | S 8 | ESE 14 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 144 | 89 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 106 | 160 | 154 | 217 | 572 | 356 | 376 | 280 | 408 | 1080 | 989 | 1073 | 1294 | 1137 | 803 | 609 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 10 | ENE 6 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 17 | E 11 | ESE 14 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 14 | S 17 |
| kJ | 23 | 23 | 35 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 117 | 79 | 297 | 31 | 252 | 515 | 861 | 321 | 478 | 290 | 30 | 47 | 36 | 204 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | ENE 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 13 | ESE 18 | ESE 13 | S 16 | E 10 | S 15 | ESE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 11 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 17 | 21 | 49 | 38 | 69 | 36 | 18 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 21 | 39 | 40 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 7 | WSW 4 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | S 9 | — | S 8 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 32 | 43 | 28 | 654 | 908 | 627 | — | 568 | 654 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 72 | 9 | 102 | 0 | 54 | 103 | 54 | 54 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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