Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break down the next 16 days at Last Chance. This is a prime point break, set up for a NE swell, so when the conditions line up, it can be a thing of beauty. Water temp is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than what we usually see this time of year, so you'll want a decent wetsuit.

We've got a bit of a slow start here. The first few days are pretty average. There's some chest-high swell on Thursday the 20th, around 6 ft from the S, but it's attached to a short, weak 8-second period and a moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 1205, but the quality just isn't there for a good session. Friday the 21st shapes up a little better. The morning sees a drop in size to 5 ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds, packing a decent punch with a combined energy of 1078. The winds are light from the NNW, giving us a clean cross-off. That afternoon, the period stretches even further to 16 seconds, but the wind switches onshore from the ENE, which messes with the surface. Saturday the 22nd is small and clean but not much power behind it.

We hit a real flat spell from Sunday the 23rd through to the middle of the following week. The swell drops out, with combined energy falling below 100 in some spots. It's a real struggle to find a wave worth paddling for. Monday the 24th morning does offer a glassy window with a tiny 3 ft swell, but it's a short-period 7-second wave and the energy is weak. Not much to write home about.

Things start to wake up again on Tuesday the 25th. The morning session brings a clean 4 ft swell from the S with a nice 13-second period and a combined energy of 518. The wind is light and cross-off from the WNW. It's a solid, fun, chest-high day. The energy drops a bit by the afternoon, but it's still a decent option.

Now, the real standout is locked in for Monday the 31st of August. The morning is looking absolutely perfect. We've got a solid 7 ft swell from the S, with a very long 16-second period pushing a huge combined energy of 2662. The wind is glassy, just a slight air from the SW, meaning the surface will be like a mirror. This is groundswell, and it's going to wrap beautifully into this point. For experienced surfers, this is the pick of the entire forecast. The afternoon stays big, but the wind picks up a little cross-onshore, so the morning window is the one to target.

The start of September brings some serious size. Tuesday the 1st has a 8 ft swell from the S, but the cross-shore wind and strong onshore in the afternoon make it a tricky one. By Wednesday the 2nd, we're looking at a 10 ft swell from the SSE. That's a big, powerful ocean with a combined energy over 3000. This is strictly for experts, and only if you can handle the size and the inevitable crowd. The wind is a problem in the afternoon, turning it into a choppy mess.

The swell slowly winds down through the rest of the first week of September, with more manageable but still sizable waves. The wind stays a bit of a nuisance, mostly cross or cross-on, so you'll have to be picky about your session.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a slow burn. The absolute highlight is Monday morning, the 31st of August. Get on it. After that, the first few days of September have the size for the experienced crew, but the wind is a factor.

Rusty

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