Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Monday 24 Nov 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
17.4° C
(Which is 1.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 27) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 27) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Nov 30) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 27th Nov)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 27th Nov)8ft (2.5m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 27th Nov)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.5
S
0.6
S
0.6
S
0.6
S
0.6
S
1.7
ENE
1.1
NE
1.6
ENE
1.9
ENE
1.7
ENE
1.4
ENE
1.7
NE
1.1
ENE
1
E
1
E
1
E
1
E
1.3
ENE
1.1
ENE
Period(s) (?)991413121211512111111101010999999
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)10075911121029889159319592846615396569235173173169162254202
Wind
(km/h)
20
SSW
15
SSE
10
ESE
15
E
25
ENE
20
NNE
15
NNE
30
NE
15
N
15
NE
30
NE
10
NNW
10
NNW
15
NNE
10
WSW
5
SSE
15
NE
5
N
10
NW
5
W
15
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crossononcross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
offcross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:41PM
1.50
9:58AM
1.60
10:24PM
1.47
10:40AM
1.57
11:07PM
1.45
11:27AM
1.54
11:50PM
1.44
12:15PM
1.53
12:35AM
1.45
1:05PM
1.55
1:25AM
1.48
1:56PM
1.59
2:19AM
1.55
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:37PM
0.44
3:42AM
0.45
4:21PM
0.40
4:25AM
0.43
5:04PM
0.36
5:11AM
0.40
5:49PM
0.33
5:58AM
0.37
6:35PM
0.30
6:47AM
0.34
7:22PM
0.28
7:37AM
0.33
8:11PM
0.27
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Sunrise5:39--5:39--5:39--5:37--5:37--5:37--5:37--
Sunset-8:08--8:10--8:12--8:13--8:14--8:15--8:15-
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
-------------43------
Temp. °C161715171615202019202123242121212018252622
Feels °C (?)131615141212161616181723242122201917242619
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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