Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, grab a cuppa, let’s see what’s on offer.

The wind’s howling cross-off from the southwest today, Saturday the 1st, with a solid 8ft S swell, but it’s a messy one with that 35 km/h breeze. The wave energy is a moderate 1023, but the conditions are marginal, so it’s not doing much for me. Water temps are sitting at 55°, about a degree and a half colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll feel that nip.

The real action, though, kicks off on Sunday morning the 2nd. That’s the standout. Last Chance (point) is waking up with the sky clear, a light offshore wind from the WSW at 10 km/h, and a solid 8ft SSE swell packing a punch at 12 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 1784, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to get around for – clean, lined-up waves, and with that swell direction right in the sweet spot for the break. You’ll need a bit of paddle fitness for the sets, but it’ll be worth it.

Monday the 3rd keeps the good vibes going with a morning offshore from the west at 10 km/h and a 5ft SSE swell (595 energy). It’s still very good, and the afternoon turns glassy with a 4ft swell, perfect for a longboard or a cruiser. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off for paddling. The swell jumps to 10ft in the morning, then a massive 15ft in the afternoon (6789 energy) with a 14-second period. That’s deep water for experts only, and the wind is a nasty cross-off at 40 km/h. This setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We get a bit of a break, then Thursday the 6th delivers another top morning. Clear skies, a light offshore from the WSW at 10 km/h, and a 5ft S swell at 12 seconds (1047 energy). Excellent conditions for experienced surfers again, clean and lined up.

Friday the 7th morning is a real treat – glassy calm, no wind, and a 3ft SSE swell with a very long 20-second period (807 energy). That’s a groundswell with heaps of energy, but on a point break like this, those long-period waves will wrap in beautifully. It’ll be clean and fun, but the sets will be spaced out, so you can take your time.

From Saturday the 8th, things start to get a bit mixed. The morning has a nice 6ft SSE swell with a 14-second period and a light cross-off, but afternoon winds turn onshore. Then Sunday the 9th serves up a big 13ft S swell again, but with messy cross-shore winds.

The second week, from Monday the 10th onwards, is a long stretch of poor conditions. The swell stays big, sometimes over 15ft, but the wind is a relentless cross-onshore from the northeast, creating choppy, lumpy, and unrideable surf. That run lasts until the morning of Saturday the 15th, which is a solid gap of about five days where you’re better off doing something else.

Finally, on Sunday the 16th, the outlook improves. The morning has a 6ft S swell with a 15-second period and a gentle cross-shore, but the afternoon turns glassy with a 5ft S swell (932 energy) and very good conditions. A promising end to the run, but remember, it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts.

So, overall, the best bet is Sunday the 2nd and Thursday the 6th. Get out there for the clean stuff while it’s good.

Rusty.

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