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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Saturday 31 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.6° C
 (Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Feb 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Feb 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 31st Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 4th Feb)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 4th Feb)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon).

Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Fri
06
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
1
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
ENE
1.3
S
1.3
ENE
0.8
S
0.5
S
0.7
S
1
S
0.8
S
0.7
S
0.5
S
0.8
NE
0.7
NE
3
S
3
S
3
SSE
2.5
SSE
2.1
SSE
1.8
SE
1.6
SE
1
ENE
1.1
ENE
Period(s) (?)1113101116141311111081191110109881212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)15356431414312720634016311456711121197202016851199660433330278328
Wind
(km/h)
15
N
10
NNE
25
NE
10
WNW
5
SSE
15
SSE
15
NNE
15
N
10
N
20
N
20
N
10
NNW
15
SW
25
WSW
35
SSW
30
SSW
25
SW
20
SSW
10
WNW
5
NNE
10
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
off		crosscross-
on		crosscrosscross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
on		cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:32AM
1.84
5:03PM
1.71
5:30AM
1.85
6:00PM
1.71
6:28AM
1.86
6:57PM
1.70
7:24AM
1.85
7:53PM
1.70
8:16AM
1.83
8:46PM
1.70
9:05AM
1.80
9:34PM
1.70
9:53AM
1.76
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:16PM
0.22
10:55AM
0.20
11:17PM
0.18
11:53AM
0.17
12:15AM
0.13
12:51PM
0.15
1:08AM
0.10
1:46PM
0.14
1:59AM
0.11
2:37PM
0.15
2:49AM
0.14
3:26PM
0.17
3:40AM
0.20
4:13PM
0.21
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tuesday
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Fri
06
Sunrise-6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20--6:20--6:22--6:24-
Sunset--8:24--8:23--8:22--8:22--8:21--8:20--8:19
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
------------11-------
Temp. °C172123221919172628242525201617161617151920
Feels °C (?)151922211917162529242425171011101113151819
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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