Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 01 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.5° C
(Which is 1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 01) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 01) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 01) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 1st Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 5th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 1st Jan)4ft (1.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sunday
04
Monday
05
Tuesday
06
Wed
07
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.4
NE
1.3
NE
1.2
NNE
0.9
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
E
0.8
E
0.6
ENE
0.7
S
0.9
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.5
SSE
0.7
NE
0.9
ENE
Period(s) (?)8888888888888118988884
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)25720318387686262729268705592765814373119345924
Wind
(km/h)
15
N
15
N
20
NNW
15
NNW
0
SW
15
E
5
SW
15
SSE
15
SE
15
SSE
15
SSE
15
SSE
5
E
10
ENE
25
ENE
20
NNE
15
NNE
25
NE
15
N
5
NE
20
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
glassoncross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:52AM
1.81
4:19PM
1.76
4:48AM
1.89
5:19PM
1.79
5:47AM
1.93
6:19PM
1.80
6:47AM
1.96
7:17PM
1.80
7:45AM
1.96
8:15PM
1.78
8:40AM
1.94
9:10PM
1.76
9:32AM
1.89
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:12AM
0.27
10:32PM
0.25
11:11AM
0.23
11:33PM
0.21
12:10PM
0.18
12:33AM
0.16
1:09PM
0.15
1:29AM
0.11
2:07PM
0.12
2:22AM
0.09
3:03PM
0.11
3:15AM
0.09
3:55PM
0.12
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sunday
04
Monday
05
Tuesday
06
Wed
07
Sunrise-5:45--5:46--5:47--5:48--5:48--5:48--5:50-
Sunset--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
------21311----------
Temp. °C202225202020181817161616161818162019182020
Feels °C (?)192022182019191715141414151514141716172018
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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