Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot that’s going to be the main player, and it’s a proper one for the crew that knows what they’re doing.

The name of the game is Last Chance, a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell. The water’s sitting at 56°F right now, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget a decent spring suit.

We’re kicking off on Saturday, 18 July, with a glassy morning. Swell’s 5ft out of the ESE with a period of 14 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at 1311 (moderate to strong). The wind is dead calm, glassy, and that’s a massive positive for clean waves. It’s a bit punchy for beginners at this size, but for the advanced crew, it’s a ripper. The afternoon drops to 3ft, but the period jumps to 24 seconds - that’s a very long period groundswell, which means those sets will have plenty of push and shape, especially on a point break.

Sunday, 19 July, holds clean, cross-off conditions with the swell up to 6ft from the S, period 18 seconds, and energy at 2761 (strong). That’s a solid, powerful wave. The afternoon sees a bit more wind, but still cross-off, with 6ft of swell.

Monday, 20 July, the morning is a bit messy with cross-shore wind, but the afternoon? That’s the standout. The swell hits 7ft from the S, period 19 seconds, and the energy is a massive 3515 (very strong). The wind is gentle cross-off, keeping it clean. This is the best of the bunch for the week – big, powerful, clean lines for the experts. Over 8ft would be pushing it, but 7ft is right in the sweet spot for advanced surfers.

Tuesday, 21 July, is another beauty. Morning has offshore wind with 7ft S swell, period 16 seconds, and energy at 2298 (strong). The afternoon turns glassy again with 6ft and a 15-second period. That’s two days of top-tier, clean surf.

From Wednesday, 22 July, the swell starts to drop. The morning is glassy and calm with 5ft from the SSE, but the period is down to 12 seconds, and energy drops to 597 (moderate). It’s surfable, but the magic is fading. From Wednesday afternoon onwards, things get smaller and wind-affected.

We’ve got a long gap of poor options from late Wednesday through to the end of the month. The swell gets small, winds are strong, and conditions are ordinary. There’s a glimmer on Wednesday, 29 July, with a 8ft SE swell, 14-second period, and energy at 1894 (strong), with cross-off wind. That’s a big one for the experts, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on the forecasts. The week after that is messy with strong winds and dropping swell.

So, the call is this: Saturday 18 July through Tuesday 21 July is your window. The absolute standout is Monday afternoon, 20 July, with that 7ft S groundswell and clean conditions. Get out there if you can handle it.

Rusty.

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