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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Tuesday 13 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
20.7° C
 (Which is 2.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 14) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 17) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 14th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 14th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 19th Jan)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
1
3
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.3
S
1.3
S
0.9
S
0.8
SSE
0.7
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.5
SSE
1
NE
0.9
NE
0.5
S
1.1
NE
0.5
S
1.3
S
1.6
S
1.8
S
1.9
SSE
2.1
SSE
2.3
SSE
2.5
SSE
3
SSE
2.5
SSE
Period(s) (?)1112111010995613613677889101010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3894801841319866454755829482111226289450560772115714611135
Wind
(km/h)
20
NE
40
NE
15
NNE
15
N
20
NE
10
SW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NNW
10
N
10
NE
15
SW
15
SSW
25
S
20
S
25
SSW
25
S
20
S
20
S
25
S
25
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on		cross-
on		crosscross-
off		cross-
on		cross-
off		crosscross-
off		cross-
off		crosscross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		crosscross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
2:32PM
1.55
3:05AM
1.58
3:20PM
1.53
3:52AM
1.57
4:06PM
1.50
4:38AM
1.57
4:52PM
1.48
5:22AM
1.57
5:37PM
1.46
6:07AM
1.57
6:23PM
1.45
6:52AM
1.58
7:11PM
1.45
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:45PM
0.46
9:17AM
0.50
9:32PM
0.49
10:06AM
0.52
10:20PM
0.51
10:52AM
0.52
11:07PM
0.49
11:37AM
0.50
11:53PM
0.45
12:22PM
0.45
12:37AM
0.40
1:08PM
0.40
1:20AM
0.35
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Sunrise5:56--5:56--5:58--5:58--6:01--6:01--6:03--
Sunset-8:36--8:35--8:35--8:35--8:34--8:34--8:32-
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
light rain
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
Rain (mm)
-------22154211-2322-
Temp. °C192020242518222322212218181717161616151515
Feels °C (?)151419222317212322212317171313111112111010
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
surf-forecast.com

Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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