Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Last Chance.

First up, the water’s sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than what we’d usually expect for this time of year. Keep the winter rubber handy.

The forecast kicks off with a solid pulse of long-period, 12-second S swell arriving on Tuesday, September 1st. We’re looking at 10ft early, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon. The combined energy is strong at 2571, so there’s plenty of push. The catch? The wind is cross-off from the SW, which will keep the surface clean, but the size is getting into expert-only territory at over 8ft. This is a point break that’s exposed to the swell, so it’ll handle the size well, but it’s not a day for beginners. Wednesday morning, September 2nd, sees a similar 8ft S swell, but the wind shifts to a cross-shore N breeze, which won’t be as clean.

The real standout window, and the best on offer in this whole outlook, is Thursday afternoon, September 3rd. The swell drops to a very manageable 4ft from the S, with a solid 13-second period, and the wind goes glassy out of the NNE. That’s about as clean as it gets. The combined energy is moderate at 566, so the waves will have shape and power without being a handful. Crowds are possible at this spot, but with conditions this good, it’s worth the company.

After that, things drop off hard. From Friday, September 4th, through to the end of the first week, the swell shrinks to below 3ft or less, with periods mixed. The wind picks up and stays cross-off, but the energy is weak (down to 25 or 85), so it’s a total flat spell. There’s a solid 6-day gap with no real action.

Then, on Monday, September 14th, we get a big spike. The morning brings a 12ft S swell, with a 10-second period and glassy conditions out of the NNE. That’s a huge wave, and the combined energy is 2721—very strong. This is strictly for experts only. The wind is glassy, so the surface will be perfect, but you’d better have your big-wave gear and your wits about you. The following morning, Tuesday, September 15th, is still solid at 8ft from the S, with clean offshore NNW wind. That’s another excellent day for experienced surfers, though a touch smaller than the day before.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is the glassy Thursday afternoon, September 3rd, with clean 4ft waves. The long-range Monday, September 14th, is promising for experts if it holds, but it’s a long way out. The rest of the window is largely flat or too big.

Rusty.

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