Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

First up, we're looking at a classic point break situation at Last Chance. The water is sitting at 56°, which is a degree cooler than usual for this time of year, so you'll want the thick wettie. The first few days of the outlook are a bit of a mixed bag, but we've got some real promise on the horizon.

The forecast kicks off properly on Saturday, July 11th. It's not the cleanest start with a cross-off breeze, but we've got a solid 7ft swell from the southeast, with a moderate wave energy (894). The surf is a bit lumpy, though. Sunday, July 12th, sees the swell drop right down to 3ft, but the wind swings offshore from the WSW in the morning. That's a proper clean-up, and with a 15-second period groundswell from the south, the lines will be long and drawn out. It'll be small, but clean.

The middle of the week is a bit of a write-off. Monday, July 13th through Wednesday, July 15th, the swell is tiny and the wind is all over the shop. We get a brief moment of glass on Wednesday morning, but with only 1ft on offer, it's not worth paddling out for. A few days of waiting...

The real action starts to build late in the week. Thursday, July 16th, we see a jump in energy. The afternoon brings a 2ft swell from the ESE, but the period is a massive 18 seconds. That's a very long period groundswell. The energy is still moderate (351), but that long period will wrap nicely around the point. The wind is offshore, so it's a good call for a sneaky session.

Now, the standout window. The first real highlight is Monday, July 20th. The swell pumps up to 10ft from the ESE in the morning, with a light offshore wind from the WSW. The combined energy hits 1899 (strong). This is solid, powerful stuff. It's over 8ft, so this is strictly for the experienced crew. The afternoon eases slightly to 8ft, but it's still excellent. This is the best on offer in the first week.

The second week gets wild. Tuesday, July 21st is a monster. We're looking at 15ft to 16ft of east swell. The combined energy is astronomical (over 6000). This is too big for a break like Last Chance, even for the experts. It's a full-on "do not surf" situation. That swell sticks around in big numbers through Wednesday, July 22nd, before dropping back on Thursday, July 23rd, to a still-large 8ft from the east with clean offshore winds. That's a good day for the experienced.

Looking further out, Friday, July 24th sees a shift in direction to the south, with a big 10ft swell, but the wind is messy. The real wildcard is Saturday, July 25th. The morning brings a 13ft south swell with a light cross-off breeze and a massive combined energy of 4156. Again, this is big, powerful, and clean. Only for the experts, and even then, it's a serious call. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, so the morning window is the one.

So, to keep it simple: The best swell on offer this period is Monday, July 20th for the first week – a solid, clean 10ft day for the advanced lot. The second week is all about Thursday, July 23rd and Saturday, July 25th as potential standouts, but with the swell being so big, you need to be on your game. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty out.

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