Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the line for us here.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things shape up into a couple of real nice windows. The key spot is Last Chance, a point break that’s pretty consistent and exposed to the swell. It’s mainly for the advanced crew, so keep that in mind.

The water’s running a bit colder than usual right now, about 55°, with a temperature anomaly of -3°, so it’s noticeably cooler than what we’d normally expect for this time of year. Grab a thicker spring suit if you’ve got one.

The pattern starts off pretty lackluster. Saturday, the 25th, we’ve got some small waves around 3 ft from the east, with a 12-second period, but the wind is putting a bit of a cross-off on it. The energy is only moderate, around 210. It’s clean, but it’s not gonna get you too excited. By Sunday the 26th, the swell bumps up to 7 ft from the south, but the period drops to 8 seconds, and the wind is howling cross-off at 15 to 19 mph. The energy is strong though, over 1100, but the conditions are marginal. That one’s a pass for me.

Monday and Tuesday keep that 8 ft south-southeast swell going, but the wind is still up, and the quality is just not there. The energy is huge, over 2500 on Tuesday morning, but it’s a messy cross-off and cross-shore wind. Not the good stuff.

Then we hit Wednesday, the 29th of July. This is the real standout. The swell drops to 7 ft, but it’s from the ESE with a 13-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the morning. That’s a rare treat. The energy is very strong at 1270, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Thursday the 30th keeps it going with a 5 ft ESE swell, 12-second period, and light cross-off winds. Still very clean, with energy around 656. That’s a solid session.

After that, we hit a rough patch. From Friday the 31st right through to the end of the first week of August, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, the swell becomes inconsistent, and the quality vanishes. There’s a brief window on Sunday, August 2nd, with a 6 ft SSE swell and offshore wind, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s not great.

The next big highlight is Monday, August 3rd. The swell jumps to 12 ft from the east, with a 10-second period, and the wind is offshore in the morning. The energy is massive, over 2600. This is big, powerful stuff. It’s excellent for experienced surfers, but at 12 ft, it’s expert-only territory. Tuesday the 4th stays solid with 8 ft east swell and clean conditions, still very strong energy.

After that, the wind swings back onshore and the surf gets messy again through the rest of the forecast. The last week is mostly a write-off with strong cross-on winds and dropping swell quality.

So, the two standouts: Wednesday, July 29th with the glassy morning and 7 ft ESE groundswell, and Monday, August 3rd for the big 12 ft east swell with offshore wind. First one is for the clean, lined-up waves, the second is for the power and size. Don’t sleep on the 29th, that’s the best quality you’ll see.

Rusty.

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