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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Tuesday 14 Oct 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
14.8° C
 (Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 17) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 15) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 15th Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 15th Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 7PM (Fri 17th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 42mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.3
S
0.3
S
1.7
S
1.3
SSE
1.1
SSE
0.9
SSE
0.7
SSE
0.5
SE
1.6
S
1.3
SSE
0.8
S
0.8
S
0.5
SE
0.6
S
0.5
S
0.2
S
0.3
S
1.3
S
0.9
S
0.5
S
0.6
S
Period(s) (?)12116777776712101012111817781312
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)272122517112886422618716719612151110602550150949198
Wind
(km/h)
10
N
20
WSW
25
SSW
5
SSW
15
ENE
10
NW
10
NNW
10
ENE
20
S
5
S
20
NE
15
NNW
15
NNW
25
NNW
15
N
20
N
10
NW
20
WSW
15
SW
20
NE
10
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crossoffcross-
off		glasscross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		oncrossglasscross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		offcross-
off		cross-
on		cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:27PM
1.80
12:57AM
1.65
1:26PM
1.72
1:54AM
1.57
2:23PM
1.64
2:50AM
1.50
3:15PM
1.58
3:46AM
1.46
4:06PM
1.54
4:39AM
1.46
4:56PM
1.51
5:29AM
1.49
5:45PM
1.50
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:51PM
0.15
7:09AM
0.17
7:48PM
0.17
8:04AM
0.20
8:43PM
0.20
9:00AM
0.23
9:35PM
0.23
9:56AM
0.27
10:25PM
0.27
10:50AM
0.31
11:14PM
0.31
11:41AM
0.34
12:02AM
0.36
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Sunrise6:24--6:22--6:22--6:20--6:18--6:16--6:16--
Sunset-7:23--7:24--7:25--7:28--7:29--7:30--7:30-
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
32217-------------1----
Temp. °C171312121312181713141414222315171711141414
Feels °C (?)16108109916148109101817111314710911
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Gisborne and Mahia

  1. weather stationWind Update The wind is still cross-off at Last Chance (light winds from the S at Mahia Automatic Weather Station 14 km from Last Chance). 0.7m 6s windswell from the NE with a 0.3m 8s swell from the ENE and a 0.2m 11s groundswell from the S. 3 swells combining to make bigger set waves.

    1 hour 11 minutes ago Last Chance
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>
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1 h 11 min ago

17 km/h
S
Cross-Off
Please reload the page to see if there are any updates.

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
surf-forecast.com

Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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