Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board, let's talk surf. Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown for the next couple of weeks at one spot that’s got a very specific window.

Right now, things are pretty flat and messy. We’ve got a long stretch of poor to marginal conditions kicking off from early July. There’s a bit of energy showing but the wind and swell direction just aren’t playing nice. The water is sitting at 55°F and that’s about 3°F colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll feel that bite straight away.

Last Chance is an exposed point break for advanced surfers, and it’s fairly consistent. It needs a NE swell and it’s been getting a lot of east energy, which isn’t its best angle. The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday, July 7th. That morning it turns glassy with a clean 5ft easterly swell and a 10-second period. The energy is moderate. It’s a small, clean day, but worth a look if you’re keen.

A better window opens on Wednesday morning, July 8th. Again, glassy conditions, 6ft easterly swell. It’s not the optimum direction for the point but with zero wind, it will be a joy to surf. Crowds are always possible here, so get in early.

Then things get a bit wild. Around Friday, July 10th, we get a massive pulse of swell from the south, but it’s way too much for this break. You’re looking at 16ft on the morning with a stormy 25 mph wind. The afternoon cleans up but the swell is still huge at 15ft—this is expert-only territory, and honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that big blow, the surf settles back down. The real standout window is Wednesday, July 15th. The morning is glassy with a 5ft easterly swell at a very long 12-second period. The energy is strong. That afternoon is also glassy, with 6ft from the ESE at 12 seconds and even more juice. These are excellent conditions for experienced surfers.

The best on offer? I’d put my money on Thursday afternoon, July 16th. Clean, light cross-off wind, a solid 12ft of NE groundswell at 9 seconds. The energy is very strong. The direction is finally matching what Last Chance wants. That is a proper session for the crew who can handle it.

Into the final weekend, another standout is Friday morning, July 17th. Light offshore wind, 12ft easterly swell. Clean, powerful, and a great way to finish the run.

So, a slow start, a dangerous middle, but some absolutely perfect sessions in the second week if you’re patient. Get out on that 15th or 16th and you’ll be smiling.

Rusty.

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