Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Last Chance. This is a serious spot for advanced surfers only – a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell. Over the next couple of weeks, we’ve got a real slow burn to start, then a proper window of quality waves before things get a bit messy again.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are flat and weak, with tiny waves of 2 ft to 2 ft from the east, and the energy is way down – we’re talking 65 to 243 (combined energy of all swells directed here). The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, so the surf is just poor. Hang tight, it’s worth the wait.

The real action kicks off on Friday the 17th. Morning is the standout. We’ve got a clean 6 ft swell from the ESE, a solid period of 16 seconds, and light offshore wind from the west. The energy jumps to 1489 (combined energy of all swells directed here), which is a massive jump. This is excellent surf, but that size is for experienced surfers only. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no crazy warm or cold surprises.

Saturday the 18th morning is another beauty. The swell drops just a touch to 5 ft, still from the ESE, but the wind goes glassy. That’s a major positive – clean, smooth faces. The energy is still strong at 1388 (combined energy of all swells directed here). This is probably the best window of the whole outlook.

Sunday the 19th gets messy. The wind swings strong from the south at 25 km/h, creating a cross-chop, and the swell shifts south as well. The energy is huge at 2338 (combined energy of all swells directed here), but the quality is gone. It’s a miss.

Monday the 20th afternoon brings a comeback. Clean conditions with a 6 ft south swell, 15-second period, and light offshore wind. The energy is 1646 (combined energy of all swells directed here). Excellent for experienced surfers again.

Tuesday the 21st morning is glassy with a 5 ft south swell, but the energy drops to 956 (combined energy of all swells directed here). Still very good, but the afternoon goes onshore. By Wednesday the 22nd, the swell is fading to 3 ft with glassy conditions – a nice but smaller option.

Then we hit a long, quiet gap. From Friday the 24th all the way through Wednesday the 29th, the surf is small, weak, and mostly blown out. The heights hover around 1 ft to 3 ft, the energy is below 400 (combined energy of all swells directed here), and the wind is mostly cross or onshore. There’s a glimmer on the 27th morning with a glassy 3 ft swell, but it’s minimal.

The final call is Thursday the 30th morning. That’s a long-range look, so less certain, but it shows a 3 ft ESE swell, 14-second period, and a moderate offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is 628 (combined energy of all swells directed here). It’s worth keeping an eye on if you’re patient.

To sum it up: the best surf is Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th mornings. That’s the one. Clean, solid, and powerful. After that, pick the clean windows on Monday the 20th afternoon and Tuesday the 21st morning. The rest is a long wait.

Rusty.

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