Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
12.8° C
1.2° 

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, SSE swell with 2,265 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 11s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Thu 6th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Best Surf 9PM (Thu 6th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 7th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s break down what’s on the horizon. The first real surf is a few days out, but it’s a cracker. After some sloppy conditions, we’ve got a solid window of clean, glassy waves.

The big one is Friday morning, August 7th at Last Chance. This point break is going to turn on with a 3ft groundswell from the SSE, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The wind is glassy, zero, so the waves will be flawless. The water’s a bit cold at 55°F, and the combined wave energy is strong (1431). This is a session for the experienced crew, and it’s fairly consistent. This is the best on offer.

Saturday morning, August 8th, is also a gem. The swell comes up a bit to 6ft from the SSE, with a long period of 12 seconds. Again, glassy conditions with a light north wind. The wave energy is strong (1361). Another excellent window for the advanced surfer.

After that, the swell drops and the wind gets messy. From Sunday afternoon through the following weekend, it’s small and mostly blown out. Nothing to plan a trip around.

Looking further out, Tuesday, August 18th (afternoon) is a very promising, but long-range, call. The wind goes glassy again, calm, with a 7ft swell from the S and a very long period of 14 seconds. The wave energy is very strong (1749). This is big, powerful, and for experts only. The point break will handle those long-period lines well.

Wednesday, August 19th keeps the size with 6ft and 6ft swells from the S, but the wind picks up to a fresh cross-off. It’s clean and powerful, but the wind is noticeable.

So, lock in that Friday morning on the 7th. It’s the cleanest, most promising window in the near term. The big stuff on the 18th is a potential classic, but it’s a long way off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 5°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
11
1.8
S
11
2
SSE
10
1
SSE
17
1.7
SSE
15
2.2
SSE
13
1.7
SSE
12
1.7
SSE
12
1.4
SSE
11
1.3
SSE
11
0.8
SSE
14
1.1
SSE
11
0.8
SSE
10
0.7
SE
10
0.7
SE
9
0.7
SE
12
0.9
SE
11
0.7
SE
10
0.6
SSE
9
1.1
NE
9
0.7
SE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2324
757
761
625
1240
1609
880
847
495
379
260
302
135
100
90
132
176
108
56
174
72
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
25
SW
10
W
5
N
10
ENE
10
NNW
5
N
15
NE
15
N
15
NNW
20
N
20
NNE
10
N
10
N
10
SW
5
ESE
15
E
10
NW
10
NNW
10
NNW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:10AM1.67m
11:41PM1.67m
12:04PM1.70m
00:33AM1.67m
1:01PM1.74m
1:29AM1.67m
2:00PM1.77m
2:29AM1.68m
2:59PM1.81m
3:29AM1.69m
3:57PM1.84m
4:28AM1.70m
4:56PM1.86m
Low Tide
5:29PM0.31m
5:54AM0.28m
6:23PM0.31m
6:46AM0.27m
7:22PM0.29m
7:41AM0.25m
8:22PM0.24m
8:41AM0.22m
9:21PM0.19m
9:43AM0.16m
10:20PM0.15m
10:43AM0.10m
11:18PM0.11m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:00
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
 mm
3
2
1
1
8
3
Temp °C
9
9
7
8
9
9
13
13
12
15
16
14
15
16
14
12
13
13
17
18
14
Feels °C
2
3
3
5
6
6
9
9
8
11
12
10
14
15
13
11
12
11
15
16
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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