Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 7 Nov 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 16 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 16 Nov, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, S swell with 1,028 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 7 Nov, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 07) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 1.6m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Nov 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Nov 15) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 7th Nov) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 16th Nov) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 16th Nov) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 7 | Sunday 8 | Monday 9 | Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 61 | 127 | 112 | 262 | 305 | 70 | 40 | 27 | 83 | 67 | 87 | 46 | 72 | 88 | 255 | 151 | 124 | 109 | 74 | 126 | 65 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:39AM1.58m | 4:58PM1.58m | 5:30AM1.63m | 5:49PM1.58m | 6:19AM1.67m | 6:39PM1.60m | 7:06AM1.71m | 7:25PM1.61m | 7:51AM1.73m | 8:11PM1.62m | 8:34AM1.73m | 8:56PM1.61m | 9:16AM1.71m | 9:40PM1.58m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:53AM0.29m | 11:13PM0.31m | 11:45AM0.33m | 00:04AM0.37m | 12:33PM0.37m | 00:53AM0.42m | 1:20PM0.40m | 1:38AM0.45m | 2:05PM0.43m | 2:21AM0.46m | 2:50PM0.44m | 3:03AM0.46m | 3:35PM0.44m | 3:44AM0.47m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:57 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 23 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 6 | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 14 | E 10 |
| kJ | 61 | 17 | 8 | 114 | 133 | 70 | 40 | 27 | 23 | 16 | 87 | 46 | 8 | 31 | 114 | 151 | 124 | 109 | 74 | 36 | 65 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 15 | S 13 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 15 | S 3 | S 4 | S 16 | S 15 | SE 4 | SSE 6 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 6 | S 7 |
| kJ | 29 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 67 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 31 | 3 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | E 10 | S 12 | S 13 | S 8 | S 14 | S 13 | SSE 4 | E 7 | E 10 | SSE 5 | E 9 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | S 16 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 2 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NW 2 | SW 4 | SE 3 | — | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | WNW 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 | SW 5 | ENE 9 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 127 | 112 | 262 | 305 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 33 | 42 | 72 | 88 | 255 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 126 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 35 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 130 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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