Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Sunday 28 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.2° C
(Which is 1.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 03) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.4m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 48mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
4
4
1
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
ENE
2.2
ENE
2.4
NE
1.9
ENE
2.5
NE
1.9
NE
1.4
NE
1.5
ENE
1.8
NE
1
ENE
1.4
NE
1
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
2.2
S
2.1
S
1.5
S
Period(s) (?)6668777910888888888776
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)141413254485983901064695256280393120227110928160440401194
Wind
(km/h)
10
SSE
15
E
10
ESE
20
ESE
35
SE
10
NNW
5
SSW
10
WSW
10
N
15
NE
25
NE
10
NNW
15
N
20
NNW
10
NNW
5
ESE
20
E
10
S
15
SSE
20
S
20
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crossoncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
glassoncrosscrosscrosscross
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:42PM
1.62
1:01AM
1.58
1:32PM
1.66
1:57AM
1.65
2:25PM
1.70
2:54AM
1.73
3:21PM
1.73
3:52AM
1.81
4:19PM
1.76
4:48AM
1.89
5:19PM
1.79
5:47AM
1.93
6:19PM
1.80
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:58PM
0.26
7:16AM
0.31
7:46PM
0.26
8:12AM
0.31
8:38PM
0.26
9:11AM
0.30
9:33PM
0.26
10:12AM
0.27
10:32PM
0.25
11:11AM
0.23
11:33PM
0.21
12:10PM
0.18
12:33AM
0.16
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sunrise5:41--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:45--5:46--5:47--
Sunset-8:36--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:37--8:37--8:37-
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
Rain (mm)
--492492----------4333
Temp. °C181817161919181919222321242521212018171616
Feels °C (?)161516121819202019212020212220211818161313
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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