Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surf forecast from 10 Nov 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 15 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 23 Nov, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 2,923 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 12 Nov, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 12) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Nov 23) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Nov 24) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 12th Nov) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 15th Nov) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 23rd Nov) | 11ft (3.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | Saturday 14 | Sunday 15 | Monday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | S 13 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 67 | 143 | 80 | 112 | 168 | 382 | 137 | 156 | 176 | 100 | 135 | 79 | 631 | 1486 | 1028 | 466 | 285 | 157 | 112 | 74 | 34 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:06AM1.71m | 7:25PM1.61m | 7:51AM1.73m | 8:11PM1.62m | 8:34AM1.73m | 8:56PM1.61m | 9:16AM1.71m | 9:40PM1.58m | 9:57AM1.66m | 10:23PM1.53m | 10:39AM1.60m | 11:05PM1.48m | 11:23AM1.55m | 11:47PM1.43m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:20PM0.40m | 1:38AM0.45m | 2:05PM0.43m | 2:21AM0.46m | 2:50PM0.44m | 3:03AM0.46m | 3:35PM0.44m | 3:44AM0.47m | 4:19PM0.43m | 4:27AM0.46m | 5:02PM0.42m | 5:10AM0.46m | 5:46PM0.40m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — |
 | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 8:00 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 |
Temp °C | 18 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | S 13 | ENE 7 | S 12 | S 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | S 14 | ENE 9 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 13 | 56 | 48 | 24 | 21 | 174 | 137 | 147 | 176 | 100 | 37 | 66 | 631 | 1486 | 1028 | 466 | 285 | 157 | 112 | 74 | 34 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 6 | S 12 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | S 10 | S 13 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | SSW 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 10 | E 8 |
| kJ | 67 | 7 | 47 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 38 | 41 | 5 | 10 | 72 | 72 | 46 | 45 | 26 | 43 | 14 | 31 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | N 19 | SSE 6 | N 18 | S 15 | S 14 | S 9 | S 12 | — | SW 5 | SSW 14 | S 13 | ENE 10 | — | — | — | NE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 10 | NE 6 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 11 | — | 1 | 82 | 79 | 72 | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 31 | 9 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 8 | WNW 2 | NE 7 | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | ENE 10 | — | SSW 5 | — | — | NE 7 | NE 5 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 28 | 143 | 80 | 112 | 168 | 382 | 1 | 156 | 4 | 2 | 135 | — | 4 | — | — | 23 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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