Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Sunday 24 Aug 2025 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
12.9° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 25) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 31) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Mon 25th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 11s
Best Surf 6AM (Thu 28th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 6AM (Mon 1st Sep)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the W by Fri night).

Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sun
31
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
2
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.7
SSE
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.4
SSE
0.3
SSE
0.3
S
0.3
S
1.3
NE
1.5
ENE
2.5
ENE
2.3
ENE
2.3
ENE
1.8
E
1.4
E
1.1
E
0.7
E
0.6
E
0.5
E
0.5
S
0.7
S
0.2
E
Period(s) (?)1110987161589111111101010101010131110
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)13210493661873834254311607126511827174052481401206114814012
Wind
(km/h)
10
N
10
N
15
ENE
10
N
5
N
15
NE
15
NNE
20
NE
25
E
15
E
5
W
10
NE
20
NW
25
WNW
20
WNW
30
W
15
WNW
10
NW
20
NNW
35
WNW
30
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscross-
on
crossglasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononoffcross-
on
cross-
off
offoffoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:55AM
1.59
7:13PM
1.68
7:43AM
1.61
7:58PM
1.66
8:27AM
1.64
8:44PM
1.65
9:09AM
1.65
9:29PM
1.63
9:51AM
1.65
10:15PM
1.61
10:32AM
1.62
10:58PM
1.59
11:17AM
1.59
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:47AM
0.24
12:58PM
0.23
1:33AM
0.26
1:45PM
0.27
2:17AM
0.29
2:33PM
0.32
3:00AM
0.34
3:20PM
0.37
3:44AM
0.39
4:06PM
0.41
4:28AM
0.44
4:51PM
0.45
5:11AM
0.47
5:36PM
0.48
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sun
31
Sunrise-6:41--6:39--6:39--6:37--6:35--6:33--6:33-
Sunset--5:38--5:39--5:40--5:42--5:43--5:44--5:44
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
Rain (mm)
------1232---------11
Temp. °C111313111313121212121416141717141718141515
Feels °C (?)81010811109879131491312813151078
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Gisborne and Mahia

  1. weather stationWind Update Calm condsitions have become offshore at Blacks Reef (light winds from the N at Mahia Automatic Weather Station 15 km from Blacks Reef). 0.7m 10s swell from the S to make surfable waves.

    Blacks Reef
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1 h 1 min ago

11 km/h
N
Cross-Shore
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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