Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break it down.

Right, we’ve got a slow start but the outlook for Last Chance (advanced point break) is looking good overall, with a couple of proper standouts if you’re keen. The water’s sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year—about 3° cooler—so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The surf kicks off on Saturday morning, 22 August. Swell is 4ft from the south at 12 seconds, combined energy is moderate at 381. Winds are light from the NNW at 3 mph, cross-off, keeping things clean. It’s solid and surfable, but not the highlight.

Sunday, 23 August, is a write-off: tiny swell under 2ft and windy from the NW at 12 mph. Save your energy.

Monday morning, 24 August, sees a jump. Swell hits 5ft from the south, period a punchy 9 seconds, with 406 combined energy. Wind goes west at 6 mph, offshore—clean as. This is a real option for advanced surfers. But then Monday afternoon gets messy with cross-on wind and a big jump in energy (1553), meaning it’s more towards choppy and marginal.

Tuesday morning, 25 August, is a beauty: 5ft south swell at 13 seconds, energy at 648, and NNW wind at 3 mph cross-off. Very clean. Then Tuesday afternoon turns glassy with east wind at 3 mph—4ft, 12 seconds south swell. That’s a standout session for cleaner conditions.

Wednesday, 26 August, keeps going with glassy conditions all day—both morning and afternoon see 2ft south swell, but periods are long at 17 and 16 seconds, with energy around 415 and 318. This is clean but small, the long period groundswell will wrap nicely into the point.

Thursday, 27 August, gets more size: 5-6ft south swell at 15-16 seconds, energy up to 1345-1376. That’s strong and very long-period. Winds are light but cross to cross-on, so expect a bit of texture. This is more for experienced surfers—big, powerful, and the long period means the point will handle it well.

Friday, 28 August, is another good morning: 4ft south swell, 12 seconds, 852 energy, with NNW cross-off wind at 3 mph—clean and quality.

From Saturday 29 August through to Monday 31 August, it drops right off—1ft to 3ft, cross winds, poor conditions. A real flat spell.

Then things wake up again on Tuesday morning, 1 September. This is the standout, hands down. Swell is 5ft from the south, period a massive 17 seconds, with 1254 combined energy—very strong. Wind is NW at 6 mph, cross-off, and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is the day to pencil in. The long period groundswell will push clean lines into the point, making for some serious barrels on the right tide.

Wednesday morning, 2 September, stays clean but smaller at 4ft, 15 seconds, 696 energy, with SW cross-off wind.

Thursday to Friday, 3-4 September, turns poor again—small, short period, cross to cross-on winds. Saturday 5 September has a tiny clean kick in the afternoon (2ft, 15 seconds south swell, 240 energy, glassy) but it’s barely there.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions through Sunday 6 September. No real surf to speak of.

Best on offer: Tuesday morning 25 August for that glassy 4ft south swell, and Tuesday morning 1 September for the big, clean, long-period groundswell. The September standout is the one to get excited about.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty

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