Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Last Chance over the next 16 days. I’ll be straight with you – the first few days are a bit of a write-off. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are just not worth paddling out for, with tiny, messy, and poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a gap right through until late Monday the 31st before anything decent shows up.

Now, Monday the 31st of August is where things finally start to get interesting. The morning brings a clean, 3ft swell from the S with a very long 17-second period. The wind is offshore and light, so it’ll be smooth. The combined energy is in the moderate range (600). But the real standout is Monday afternoon. The swell jumps to 6ft from the S, period at 14 seconds, and it goes glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The combined energy rockets up to 1442, so there's some proper push behind it.

Tuesday the 1st of September stays solid, with a 7ft to 8ft S swell but the wind picks up strong from the SSW and SW. It’s still cross-offshore, so clean, but those 16 to 19 mph winds will make it challenging. The energy is strong (1450 to 1877). This is not a beginner’s day.

The real epicenter of this forecast, the one I’d mark in the calendar, is Wednesday the 2nd of September. Morning surf shows 8ft of S swell with a 13-second period and light NNW cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is a very strong 2585. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Afternoon pushes it even bigger at 8ft S with a 14-second period, but the wind swings onshore from the ENE, so the morning window is your best bet.

Thursday the 3rd of September is still a strong option. The swell drops to a still-healthy 6ft from the S, 14-second period, with a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 1345. In the afternoon, it goes offshore from the WNW with a 5ft SSE swell and a 13-second period, giving you clean, lined-up waves.

After that, the surf fades significantly. Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th have some swell but conditions turn poor. Then we hit a long gap of several days with only small, choppy, or blown-out waves. A few days in the middle of the 16-day window look hopeless.

Hold onto your board for Thursday the 10th of September. That afternoon sees a huge pulse: 11ft from the S with a 14-second period, offshore wind from the WNW, and a combined energy of 5040. This is exceptional, but only for expert surfers as it’s well over 8ft. It’s a long-range standout, so keep an eye on it but don’t bank on it just yet.

The rest of the window from the 11th onward drops back to small, weak, and mostly not worth the drive.

Rusty

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