Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Wednesday 29 Apr 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.9° C
(Which is 1.3°C colder than average for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Apr 29) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 01) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Apr 30) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Wed 29th Apr)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 3rd May)3ft (0.9m) 17s
Most Powerful 3AM (Fri 1st May)7ft (2.2m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
1
Saturday
2
Sunday
3
Monday
4
Tuesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
8
0.6
SSE
8
0.3
S
18
0.3
NE
8
2
S
7
2
SSE
14
1.9
SSE
14
1.4
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.7
S
14
1
S
16
0.9
S
17
0.8
S
15
0.8
S
14
0.7
S
13
0.6
S
11
0.6
S
11
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.3
S
14
0.4
S
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
75
53
57
10
371
1441
1419
704
350
181
501
470
287
261
161
91
85
50
41
34
81
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
NE
10
WNW
30
SSW
30
S
15
SSE
10
ESE
10
E
10
N
10
N
15
NE
5
W
5
WSW
5
SSE
10
N
10
NNE
25
NE
20
N
10
N
20
NE
10
N
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
4:04PM1.54m
4:22AM1.54m
4:53PM1.59m
5:11AM1.55m
5:40PM1.64m
5:58AM1.57m
6:25PM1.68m
6:43AM1.59m
7:09PM1.70m
7:27AM1.60m
7:50PM1.70m
8:11AM1.59m
8:30PM1.67m
Low Tide
9:48AM0.28m
10:18PM0.32m
10:38AM0.34m
11:07PM0.36m
11:26AM0.39m
11:53PM0.39m
12:12PM0.43m
00:37AM0.42m
12:56PM0.46m
1:22AM0.45m
1:37PM0.48m
2:05AM0.46m
2:18PM0.48m
2:49AM0.46m
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:52
6:52
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:20
5:19
5:17
5:16
5:15
5:15
1
Temp °C
19
20
17
15
14
14
14
14
12
14
15
13
13
13
12
14
15
13
17
18
16
17
18
15
10
8
9
12
11
9
11
12
11
12
13
11
11
11
9
14
14
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSE
8
0.6
SSE
8
0.5
NE
5
0.3
NE
8
0.1
NE
8
2
SSE
14
1.9
SSE
14
1.4
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.8
S
11
1
S
16
0.9
S
17
0.8
S
15
0.8
S
14
0.7
S
13
0.6
S
11
0.6
S
11
0.5
S
10
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
9
Energy kJ
75
53
13
10
2
1441
1419
704
350
143
501
470
287
261
161
91
85
50
37
34
44
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
7
0.1
SE
12
0.4
SSE
8
0.2
ESE
10
0.1
NE
15
0.1
NE
8
0.1
NE
8
0.8
ESE
6
0.6
ESE
6
0.7
S
14
0.1
E
8
0.5
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
8
0.5
E
7
0.2
ESE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.5
S
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
S
16
Energy kJ
2
6
20
10
8
3
3
45
25
181
1
30
23
39
34
26
4
23
41
26
81
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
22
0.1
S
20
0.3
S
18
0.1
NE
15
0.1
NE
15
0.1
E
14
0.1
NE
13
0.1
NE
8
0.4
S
15
0.6
E
6
0.1
E
12
0.3
ESE
6
0.3
ESE
6
0.3
ESE
6
0.4
ESE
8
0.2
E
9
0.2
E
7
0.1
N
10
0.2
S
15
0.3
S
14
0.3
SSE
8
Energy kJ
9
8
57
8
8
4
7
3
72
24
3
6
6
6
24
6
3
2
17
33
13
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NE
4
1.3
SSW
14
2
S
7
0.7
E
6
0.2
NNE
2
0.3
NNE
2
0.7
ENE
9
0.7
NE
4
0.5
NE
4
0.6
NE
4
0.6
NE
4
Energy kJ
4
6
704
371
33
1
1
68
18
9
10
16
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
2
2
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
0
11
0
88
149
10
8
8
8
8
8
0
0
0
8
11
11
12
11
11
8
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
4
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
8
6
5
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
8
8
6
5
6
6
7
5
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
7
5
4
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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