Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for Last Chance. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real firepower coming down the line if you’re patient.

Right now, the water temp is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, so no need to dig out the extra rubber just yet.

Our first real window opens up on Wednesday the 9th of September. Early morning, it’s looking glassy with a light 3 mph west wind and a 5ft swell rolling in from the southeast. The energy is moderate (305) and the waves are clean—definitely worth a paddle before the wind shifts. That afternoon, the wind swings northeast and picks up to 9 mph, turning it cross-on and choppy, so the morning is the clear winner here.

Thursday the 10th is a smaller day, with waves dropping to 3ft in the morning and 2.3ft in the afternoon. The morning has a light cross-off wind and clean conditions, but the real gem is the afternoon glass-off with a 3 mph ESE wind. It’s not big, but it’ll be super clean and fun on a longboard. Wave energy is low (76), so you’ll be working for every wave, but it’s a nice, mellow session.

Friday the 11th brings a change. The morning is a write-off—16 mph southerly winds and 6.2ft of messy, cross-shore chop. Not worth it. But the afternoon? That’s where it gets interesting. The wind drops to 6 mph from the southwest and the swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the energy is moderate (417). This is a point break, so those long lines will wrap in beautifully. Clean conditions, too. This is the standout for the first week.

Saturday the 12th is a write-off for surfing. Strong 22 mph cross-off winds in the morning and 16 mph in the afternoon make it messy, despite the clean appearance. The energy is moderate (228) to strong (628), but the wind is just too much. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

Sunday the 13th is for experts only. We’ve got a 7.2ft to 8.2ft southerly swell with a 16-second period, and the energy is very strong (2395-2981). The wind is 13 mph cross-off, so the surface will be clean, but those waves are powerful and heavy. If you’re not an advanced surfer, stay on the beach.

Monday the 14th is still big, with 6.2ft to 5.9ft swell and very strong energy (1129-1144). The wind is cross and onshore, so it’s not going to be as clean as Sunday. The period is still long (12-13 seconds), so it’s powerful, but the wind is a problem.

Tuesday the 15th is a nice reset. The morning is glassy with a 3.9ft southerly swell, 12-second period, and moderate energy (420). That’s a clean, fun session. The afternoon gets a bit of cross-on wind, so the morning is the pick.

The middle of the week, Wednesday the 16th, is small and windy—not worth a mention.

Then, Thursday the 17th of September is a standout for the second week. Early morning is clean with a 13 mph offshore wind from the WNW, a 2.6ft southerly swell, and a 12-second period. The energy is moderate (509), and the conditions are described as “very good.” It’s not huge, but it’ll be perfect.

Friday the 18th is clean but windy. 22 mph offshore winds in the morning, dropping to 9 mph in the afternoon. The swell is 3.6ft to 3.3ft, with a very long period of 20 seconds in the afternoon. The energy is strong (1141), but you’ll be fighting the wind for a wave.

Saturday the 19th is the best day of the whole outlook. Early morning has a 5.9ft southerly swell, 14-second period, and very strong energy (1361). The wind is 19 mph offshore, so it’s clean and powerful. But the afternoon is the absolute gem: 4.6ft swell, 14-second period, 9 mph offshore wind, and the energy is still strong (723). The conditions are “very good” and the wind is gentle offshore. This is the one to circle on your calendar. For advanced surfers, the morning is the thrill; for everyone else, the afternoon is a dream

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