Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, your local surf reporter. Let’s get into it.

Alright, we’ve got a solid run of swell coming through for Last Chance, but you’ve got to be patient. The early part of the week is just a tease, with the real standout action hitting in the second week. This is an advanced point break, so it’s not for the faint-hearted, and it’s fairly consistent, so it tends to deliver. The water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The first real action kicks off on Saturday morning, August 8th. The swell is 6ft from the SSE, with a long 12-second period, and the wind is glassy out of the NNW at 3 mph. The combined energy is strong at 1156, and it’s going to be clean and powerful. This is the best of the first week—excellent surf for experienced surfers. The offshore wind is out of the W, which is listed as the optimum direction, so the setup is right.

Sunday morning, August 9th, is a step down. Swell drops to 4ft from the SSE, with a cross-shore wind from the N at 9 mph. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The energy drops to 538. Monday morning, August 10th, has a clean offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph, but the swell is only 3ft from the SSE, so it’s small and weak at 174. Not worth a paddle.

Tuesday morning, August 11th, is a bit more promising. Swell is back up to 5ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW at 9 mph, and the energy is moderate at 600. It’s a good session, but not the standout.

Then we hit a flat, poor stretch from Wednesday, August 12th, through to the end of the first week. The wind gets messy, cross-on and onshore, and the swell is small and short-period. There’s a gap of poor conditions for about 5 days. Not worth looking at.

Now, the second week brings the real goods. The standout is Monday, August 17th. Morning is glassy, with an 8ft swell from the S, and a short 8-second period. The energy is strong at 998, and it’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. This is for experts only—over 8ft is big. The afternoon is just as good, with the same 8ft from the S, a 9-second period, and a clean cross-offshore wind. Excellent surf, but you need to know what you’re doing.

The next big one is Wednesday, August 19th. The swell jumps to 15ft from the S, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is massive at 5234. This is a serious, dangerous swell. The wind is cross-offshore, but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. If you’re a top-tier charger, go for it, but for everyone else, stay on the beach. The swell is predicted to be too big for this break.

The last notable session is Saturday, August 22nd, with a 8ft swell from the SSE, an 11-second period, and a light cross-shore wind. The energy is 1276. It’s a good wave, but the wind is a bit cross, so it’s not as clean as the Monday.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Saturday morning, August 8th, for a glassy, powerful session, and Monday, August 17th, for a big, clean, expert-level day. The 19th is for the madmen only. Everything else is a gamble or a wait.

Rusty out.

Read more