Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Saturday 27 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.0° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Dec 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 30) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 03) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 29th Dec)8ft (2.4m) 8s
Best Surf 1PM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 30th Dec)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun morning, strong winds from the ESE by Mon afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
NE
0.9
ENE
0.6
NE
0.4
NE
0.5
E
0.7
E
1.4
E
2.5
E
2.4
ENE
2.2
ENE
1.9
ENE
1.5
ENE
1.2
ENE
1.3
ENE
1.4
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.9
ENE
Period(s) (?)646664588798888857888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)18233114201610269972551656130618523725714562104676594
Wind
(km/h)
10
WNW
20
ENE
10
WNW
5
S
20
E
10
ESE
30
ESE
40
ESE
20
W
5
SSW
5
NE
10
N
15
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
NNW
15
NNE
10
NNW
15
SSE
15
SSE
15
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offoncross-
off
crossononcross-
on
cross-
on
offglasscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:53AM
1.59
12:12AM
1.54
12:42PM
1.62
1:01AM
1.58
1:32PM
1.66
1:57AM
1.65
2:25PM
1.70
2:54AM
1.73
3:21PM
1.73
3:52AM
1.81
4:19PM
1.76
4:48AM
1.89
5:19PM
1.79
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:10PM
0.26
6:25AM
0.30
6:58PM
0.26
7:16AM
0.31
7:46PM
0.26
8:12AM
0.31
8:38PM
0.26
9:11AM
0.30
9:33PM
0.26
10:12AM
0.27
10:32PM
0.25
11:11AM
0.23
11:33PM
0.21
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
31
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Sunrise5:41--5:41--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:45--5:46--
Sunset-8:35--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:37--8:37-
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
Rain (mm)
-----3141022--------1-3
Temp. °C212118181817161818162019222320242421191917
Feels °C (?)192016171515111618172119192018222320181816
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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