Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Monday 08 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.0° C
(Which is 1.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Dec 08) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Dec 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Friday (Dec 12) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 8th Dec)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 13th Dec)5ft (1.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 13th Dec)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the NE by Wed afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the SSW by Fri morning).

Mon
08
Tuesday
09
Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
1
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.3
E
0.6
E
0.8
E
0.8
E
1.6
NE
1.3
ENE
1.3
E
1.3
ENE
1.1
E
0.9
ENE
1.8
S
1.7
SSE
1.7
S
1.5
S
1.3
S
1.3
S
1.2
SSE
1.2
SSE
1.5
SSE
Period(s) (?)109151413121110898878111011109911
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)484238138215181589347239276169107278310657487388319254248524
Wind
(km/h)
15
E
10
W
0
ESE
20
NE
15
NNE
15
NE
35
NE
15
NNE
5
SSE
15
E
5
NNW
30
SSW
30
S
20
SSW
20
SW
15
S
15
SW
10
S
20
ENE
10
NW
10
N
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
onoffglasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crossonglasscross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:33PM
1.82
9:56AM
1.94
10:27PM
1.76
10:50AM
1.86
11:19PM
1.69
11:44AM
1.77
12:10AM
1.62
12:37PM
1.68
1:04AM
1.56
1:28PM
1.61
1:59AM
1.53
2:19PM
1.55
2:53AM
1.53
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:39AM
0.11
4:20PM
0.11
4:35AM
0.12
5:14PM
0.13
5:29AM
0.16
6:07PM
0.16
6:22AM
0.22
6:59PM
0.20
7:15AM
0.29
7:48PM
0.26
8:09AM
0.36
8:36PM
0.33
9:04AM
0.42
Mon
08
Tuesday
09
Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Sunrise--5:35--5:35--5:35--5:35--5:35--5:35--5:35
Sunset8:22--8:23--8:24--8:25--8:27--8:28--8:28--
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
----------2----------
Temp. °C282421211822221819201817171515151416171724
Feels °C (?)242321181619171519202011111011111214131622
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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