Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Last Chance. This is a point break that works best with a NE swell direction, and it’s exposed to the open ocean, so it can handle a bit of size.

We start off Wednesday the 22nd with a real treat. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the SSE, but with a 12-second period and glassy conditions, it’s going to be a dream. The combined energy is strong at 512, and the water temp is about average for the time of year. It’s a clean, smooth morning session. The afternoon holds at 3 ft from the south, still glassy, but the energy drops a little to 342. Still, a very solid day.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are flat and blown out, with small, weak swell and cross-shore or cross-onshore winds. Not worth paddling out for. The energy drops to as low as 43 on Friday afternoon. A couple of days to sit this one out.

Saturday the 25th looks better. The morning brings a 3 ft east swell with a moderate offshore wind. The energy is back up to 248, and it’s clean. Not big, but fun. The afternoon gets a bit windier and messy, so aim for the early.

Now, Sunday the 26th is a standout. The swell jumps to 6 ft from the SSE, with a 9-second period, but the wind is absolutely glassy in the morning. Combined energy is a punchy 835. This is going to be clean, fun, and a bit more powerful. The afternoon holds 6 ft with light offshore winds – still very good. This is the best on offer in the first week.

Monday the 27th gets serious, but ugly. The swell hits 13 ft to 18 ft from the south, and the energy is through the roof at 4585 to 9398, but the wind is howling near gale force. This is a dangerous, howling mess. Only for absolute experts, and even then, it’s not going to be a pleasant paddle. More of a spectator day.

Tuesday the 28th is still big and messy, with 8 ft to 7 ft swells from the ESE, but cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. The period climbs to 14 seconds, which is a long period groundswell, but the wind ruins it. Marginal at best.

Wednesday the 29th is another highlight. The morning has 8 ft from the ESE at a 12-second period, with a light offshore breeze. The energy is 1996, and it’s clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar but a bit windier, still clean. Get on it.

Thursday the 30th is still big, with 10 ft to 8 ft from the ESE, but the wind gets strong again. The waves are clean, but the wind will make it a battle. For experts only.

Friday the 31st through to Sunday the 2nd of August sees the swell drop back to 6 ft to 7 ft, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-off, and the conditions are lumpy or marginal. The energy drops from 1291 down to 604. Not great, but not terrible. A few windows might open up, but nothing to plan a trip around.

Monday the 3rd of August is a nice little improvement. The morning has 3 ft from the ESE with a clean offshore wind. Energy is 417. A good, clean, small wave session. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, so keep it to the morning.

Tuesday the 4th is tiny but glassy. A 1 ft from the south with a very long 17-second period, but it’s glassy. The energy is only 291. It’s a long period groundswell, which can be tricky on a point, but with glass it’ll be weak but clean.

Now, look out for Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August. The 5th afternoon has a 8 ft south swell with a 16-second period, glassy, and a combined energy of 3595. That’s a proper, clean, powerful groundswell for experts. The 6th morning is even bigger, 12 ft from the SSE at 14 seconds, with a light offshore wind and energy of 4664. This is the standout of the second week—promising, but a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

Keep the stoke, but watch the wind.
Rusty.

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