Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 11 pm 17 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
14.4° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 19 Jun, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 18s period, S swell with 3,348 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 18 Jun, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 18) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 2s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.3m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jun 19) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Thu 18th Jun)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Best Surf12PM (Fri 19th Jun)6ft (1.9m) 17s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 23rd Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wed
24
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
3
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
13
1.4
S
14
1.5
S
13
1.3
S
13
1
S
15
2.1
S
17
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
13
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.6
S
15
0.5
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.6
S
12
0.9
S
18
2.3
S
17
1.8
S
16
1.4
S
14
2.4
NE
8
2.1
NE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
130
725
806
573
464
2551
1398
599
386
180
161
103
83
72
95
550
3157
1609
758
773
553
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
15
N
5
SSW
10
SSW
5
WNW
10
ENE
15
NNW
10
NNW
5
NNE
10
NW
20
NW
15
W
10
SW
15
SSE
10
SE
10
ENE
15
NNE
20
NE
20
NNE
20
NNE
20
N
Wind State
glassy
cross
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
8:03AM1.82m
8:27PM1.97m
8:59AM1.79m
9:22PM1.91m
9:52AM1.75m
10:17PM1.84m
10:45AM1.69m
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
12:33PM1.60m
00:56AM1.61m
1:29PM1.59m
Low Tide
1:54AM0.07m
2:09PM0.05m
2:51AM0.05m
3:05PM0.05m
3:46AM0.06m
4:01PM0.08m
4:40AM0.09m
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
6:46PM0.31m
7:13AM0.29m
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
13
14
15
12
13
14
13
16
17
14
18
18
13
13
12
12
12
13
12
14
15
Feels °C
10
11
14
10
12
12
9
14
16
12
15
16
12
10
9
10
8
8
7
9
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
7
1.4
S
14
1.5
S
13
1.3
S
13
1
S
15
2.1
S
17
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
13
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.6
S
15
0.5
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.6
S
12
1
S
14
2.3
S
17
1.8
S
16
1.4
S
14
1.9
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
Energy kJ
86
725
806
573
464
2551
1398
599
386
180
161
103
83
72
95
399
3157
1609
758
463
357
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
11
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
9
0.3
NE
11
1
S
12
0.6
NE
11
0.7
NE
11
0.7
ENE
10
0.5
NE
10
0.4
ENE
9
0.4
NE
9
0.2
ENE
9
0.3
ENE
8
0.4
S
5
0.3
S
5
0.9
S
18
1.1
S
13
0.9
SSE
12
Energy kJ
83
5
3
19
266
80
119
90
50
27
22
8
14
8
4
550
414
240
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
13
0.3
NNE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.4
NE
11
0.1
E
18
0.2
ESE
18
0.5
NE
5
0.4
ENE
9
0.4
NE
6
0.3
E
9
0.2
E
9
0.2
E
14
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
8
0.1
SE
14
Energy kJ
130
22
5
46
6
30
11
29
9
13
6
15
13
6
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
3
0.8
SSW
5
0.4
NNE
4
0.7
NNE
5
0.5
NW
3
0.3
NW
2
0.5
SSE
5
0.6
E
4
1.4
ENE
5
1.5
ENE
6
1.7
ENE
6
2.2
ENE
7
2.4
NE
8
2.1
NE
8
Energy kJ
2
35
5
21
4
1
14
11
94
169
245
489
773
553
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
3
3
3
2
Distance (km)
0
8
0
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
23
0
0
10
10
8
11
8
12
11
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
4
3
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
4
6
4
4
4
4
2
4
1
4
6
6
6
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
6
6
6
4
7
5
9
4
9
9
8
6
6
5
5
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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