Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 am 24 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.7° C

1.1°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 23 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 26 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 28 Jun, 3PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, S swell with 2,594 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 25 Jun, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 25) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jun 26) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Thu 25th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 9s
Best Surf 9PM (Fri 26th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 3PM (Sun 28th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 63mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Thu afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
4
3
2
4
3
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
12
1.8
NE
7
2.5
ENE
8
2.2
NE
9
2.1
ENE
9
3
S
9
3.5
S
10
2.3
E
10
2.5
E
11
2.3
E
10
2
E
10
1.4
S
17
1.7
E
10
2.3
S
16
2
S
13
1.3
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
S
16
1.5
S
15
1.4
S
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
319
280
910
760
736
1177
2223
1102
1646
1152
802
1107
590
2594
1440
325
325
361
890
984
954
Wind (km/h)
25
NNE
30
NE
40
NE
20
NNE
35
SW
40
SSW
25
S
15
ENE
10
SW
25
SSW
25
SW
15
SW
15
SSW
25
SSW
25
S
30
S
25
S
25
S
25
S
25
S
20
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
1:29PM1.59m
1:47AM1.57m
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
3:28AM1.53m
3:57PM1.62m
4:15AM1.53m
4:43PM1.62m
4:59AM1.52m
5:28PM1.62m
5:43AM1.50m
6:12PM1.61m
Low Tide
7:41PM0.38m
8:01AM0.37m
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
9:26PM0.47m
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
10:30AM0.50m
10:58PM0.51m
11:16AM0.49m
11:42PM0.50m
11:58AM0.47m
00:27AM0.47m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
light rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:53
4:53
4:53
4:54
4:54
4:54
 mm
5
1
3
31
12
6
5
3
2
6
2
4
9
1
2
4
2
1
Temp °C
15
15
14
15
12
13
14
15
14
14
14
14
15
14
14
12
13
12
11
10
10
Feels °C
8
9
6
13
5
6
10
14
14
10
12
12
12
10
9
6
8
6
5
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
S
12
0.9
S
13
0.7
S
13
1.5
E
10
2.1
ENE
9
1.8
ENE
10
1.8
E
10
2.3
E
10
2.5
E
11
2.3
E
10
2
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.5
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.3
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.5
E
9
1.5
E
9
1.5
E
9
Energy kJ
319
280
168
414
736
667
614
1102
1646
1152
802
648
590
441
441
325
325
361
397
372
364
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
14
0.4
S
13
2
S
11
1.5
S
11
1.2
S
10
1.1
S
9
1.1
S
17
1
S
15
1.4
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
14
0.8
S
12
0.5
S
11
0.6
S
18
1.3
S
16
1.5
S
15
1.4
S
16
Energy kJ
91
56
883
524
282
202
691
452
950
490
184
57
222
890
984
954
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
17
0.1
S
23
0.6
S
19
1.4
S
17
0.2
S
20
0.4
S
13
0.5
S
10
0.3
ESE
12
0.1
S
19
Energy kJ
2
28
10
270
1107
30
55
54
29
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NE
6
1.8
NE
7
2.5
ENE
8
2.2
NE
9
3
S
9
3.5
S
10
1.4
S
7
1.7
S
8
2.3
S
16
2
S
13
1.2
SSE
6
1.3
SSE
6
1.1
SSE
6
1.2
SSE
6
1.2
S
6
1
S
7
Energy kJ
111
278
910
760
1177
2223
178
354
2594
1440
115
127
80
108
112
89
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
4
3
1
4
4
4
3
4
2
3
2
1
2
2
3
2
4
Distance (km)
11
63
305
8
86
78
122
12
0
78
90
0
12
103
102
141
102
149
102
102
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
4
4
2
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
4
4
5
4
4
4
5
6
5
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
9
8
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
6
5
5
7
7
9
5
5
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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