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Last Chance Surf Forecast
/ Gisborne and Mahia (37 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Saturday 09 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.8° C
(Which is 1.0°C colder than average for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 10) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Thursday (May 14) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 10th May) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 11th May) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 13th May) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 9 | Sunday 10 | Monday 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wednesday 13 | Thursday 14 | Friday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
ENE 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | |
702 | 914 | 655 | 583 | 1275 | 2736 | 2510 | 1760 | 1003 | 618 | 339 | 1363 | 2593 | 2471 | 1919 | 1676 | 1127 | 818 | 2224 | 1548 | 1042 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 11:23PM1.49m | 11:43AM1.39m | 00:12AM1.48m | 12:31PM1.40m | 1:01AM1.49m | 1:23PM1.44m | 1:51AM1.54m | 2:16PM1.51m | 2:42AM1.60m | 3:10PM1.60m | 3:35AM1.68m | 4:03PM1.71m | 4:30AM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:06PM0.44m | 5:43AM0.37m | 5:52PM0.42m | 6:29AM0.35m | 6:41PM0.39m | 7:16AM0.33m | 7:33PM0.37m | 8:04AM0.31m | 8:29PM0.34m | 8:55AM0.29m | 9:25PM0.31m | 9:48AM0.27m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:45AM0.24m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:05 | — | 5:04 |
— | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 20 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
17 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 15 | E 9 | S 14 | S 13 | E 9 | E 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 |
 kJ | 702 | 914 | 655 | 583 | 380 | 249 | 2510 | 1760 | 1003 | 618 | 339 | 1363 | 41 | 2471 | 1919 | 44 | 43 | 622 | 2224 | 1548 | 1042 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | ENE 11 | — | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | S 16 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 |
| kJ | 38 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 617 | — | 116 | 130 | 96 | 94 | 87 | 61 | 63 | 41 | 41 | — | — | 242 | 47 | 56 | 57 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | — | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | ENE 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | S 16 | S 26 | SSW 24 | SE 15 | E 9 | — | — | E 10 | — | — | NE 9 |
| kJ | 32 | — | 20 | 19 | — | — | 60 | 14 | 47 | 26 | 139 | 13 | 55 | 8 | 44 | — | — | 47 | — | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | S 15 | S 14 | — | — | — | NE 3 | SW 3 | S 6 | S 14 | SSW 14 | — | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | — | 1275 | 2736 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 92 | 2593 | 3519 | — | 1676 | 1127 | 818 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 78 | 90 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 149 | 11 | 12 | 149 | 90 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Surf Rating (10 Max)
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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