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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Saturday 10 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.8° C
 (Which is 1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jan 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jan 12) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 14th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 14th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Most Powerful 4AM (Tue 13th Jan)5ft (1.6m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 34°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.3
NE
0.2
ENE
0.3
S
0.4
S
0.3
S
0.3
S
0.3
E
0.9
S
0.9
S
1.4
S
1.2
S
0.9
S
0.9
SSE
0.8
SSE
0.7
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.4
S
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.9
ENE
Period(s) (?)7710810128613121211101010991313126
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)8518201725116827251138920616712894645955837745
Wind
(km/h)
10
NE
5
ENE
10
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
15
NNW
15
WSW
15
SE
10
E
25
NNE
40
NE
10
NNW
5
NNW
20
SE
5
NNE
5
ENE
20
NE
5
N
5
S
10
ENE
10
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on		oncross-
off		offcross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
on		oncross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
on		glasscross-
on		cross-
on		glassglasscross-
on		cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:03PM
1.68
12:29AM
1.62
12:53PM
1.63
1:21AM
1.60
1:43PM
1.58
2:14AM
1.58
2:32PM
1.55
3:05AM
1.58
3:20PM
1.53
3:52AM
1.57
4:06PM
1.50
4:38AM
1.57
4:52PM
1.48
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:23PM
0.26
6:43AM
0.34
7:11PM
0.33
7:35AM
0.41
7:58PM
0.40
8:27AM
0.46
8:45PM
0.46
9:17AM
0.50
9:32PM
0.49
10:06AM
0.52
10:20PM
0.51
10:52AM
0.52
11:07PM
0.49
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Sunrise5:52--5:54--5:54--5:56--5:56--5:58--5:58--
Sunset-8:37--8:36--8:36--8:36--8:35--8:35--8:35-
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
-----------------1---
Temp. °C262727323426251817202119212018202019212119
Feels °C (?)242526293122231515151616201718181720212120
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
surf-forecast.com

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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