Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 pm 16 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
14.2° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 16 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 19 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 19s period, S swell with 4,103 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 17 Jun, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.4m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Wed 17th Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Best Surf 9AM (Fri 19th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 23rd Jun)8ft (2.4m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
4
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
S
13
0.7
S
6
0.5
S
15
0.9
S
14
0.6
S
14
1.4
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.2
S
12
1.1
S
16
2.1
S
17
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
14
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.4
S
16
0.5
S
15
0.6
S
13
1
S
15
1.8
S
15
1.6
S
13
2.4
S
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
55
37
112
338
134
725
843
446
612
2642
1416
607
398
184
77
106
126
434
1428
915
4103
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
5
W
10
WNW
15
SW
10
S
10
N
15
ENE
10
NE
5
W
10
ENE
15
NNW
10
NNW
5
NW
10
WNW
20
NW
10
S
10
N
5
N
15
NE
15
N
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
6:32PM2.00m
7:04AM1.84m
7:30PM2.00m
8:03AM1.82m
8:27PM1.97m
8:59AM1.79m
9:22PM1.91m
9:52AM1.75m
10:17PM1.84m
10:45AM1.69m
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
Low Tide
00:55AM0.11m
1:13PM0.08m
1:54AM0.07m
2:09PM0.05m
2:51AM0.05m
3:05PM0.05m
3:46AM0.06m
4:01PM0.08m
4:40AM0.09m
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
light rain
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
 mm
4
2
1
2
1
Temp °C
11
11
13
14
13
13
14
12
13
13
12
17
18
17
17
15
14
14
14
14
13
Feels °C
8
8
9
10
10
9
11
9
13
11
8
15
17
13
14
14
13
12
11
11
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SSE
10
0.7
S
6
0.6
S
10
0.9
S
14
1
S
7
1.4
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.2
S
12
1.2
S
12
2.1
S
17
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
14
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
15
0.6
S
13
1
S
15
1.8
S
15
1.6
S
13
2.4
S
19
Energy kJ
54
37
78
338
103
725
843
446
383
2642
1416
607
398
184
67
106
126
434
1428
915
4103
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
S
13
0.3
S
12
0.5
S
15
0.2
ESE
12
0.6
S
11
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
10
0.6
S
15
1.1
S
16
0.5
NE
11
0.8
NE
11
0.7
ENE
10
0.4
ENE
10
0.4
E
9
0.4
S
16
0.4
S
11
0.4
E
10
0.4
SSE
4
0.5
ESE
4
0.3
E
9
0.2
E
10
Energy kJ
55
25
112
13
85
5
4
170
612
59
142
92
39
24
77
37
31
7
10
15
8
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
13
0.2
S
10
0.5
S
6
0.1
NE
10
0.6
S
14
0.3
NNE
11
0.1
SE
11
0.3
NE
11
0.3
NE
12
0.1
E
18
0.2
ESE
18
0.2
ESE
16
0.4
ENE
9
0.4
NE
10
0.3
E
9
0.3
E
9
0.2
SSE
3
0.4
E
10
0.4
E
9
0.1
SE
14
Energy kJ
13
7
18
4
134
22
5
19
21
6
30
26
28
24
14
15
1
31
28
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
6
0.2
WNW
2
0.4
SSW
6
0.4
NNW
3
0.5
N
3
0.3
N
2
0.4
NW
3
0.6
ESE
4
0.7
E
4
1.1
ENE
5
1.4
ENE
6
Energy kJ
20
1
15
3
5
1
2
11
17
72
155
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
1
2
2
2
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
3
3
6
Distance (km)
9
0
0
16
10
8
8
8
0
8
10
0
0
0
23
10
8
0
8
8
12
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
3
1
3
3
2
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
2
1
3
4
3
6
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
5
5
4
9
6
6
4
4
4
5
4
4
6
9
5
7
5
6
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
5
5
5
9
6
6
5
4
6
9
4
9
7
9
6
7
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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