Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 11 pm 16 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
14.2° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 16 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 19 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 23 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, S swell with 3,176 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 17 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 2.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 17th Jun)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf 9AM (Fri 19th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 23rd Jun)7ft (2.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tue
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
6
0.5
S
15
0.8
S
14
0.6
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.6
S
13
1.3
S
12
1.1
S
17
2.2
S
18
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
14
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.4
S
16
0.5
S
14
0.7
S
13
1
S
12
1.2
S
13
1.6
S
14
2.2
S
18
2.1
S
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
37
112
268
132
874
902
530
667
2960
1434
627
404
184
77
103
171
280
451
1042
3176
2580
Wind (km/h)
5
W
5
WNW
25
SW
10
S
15
N
10
NE
5
WSW
5
W
10
NE
20
NNW
5
NNW
5
WNW
15
WNW
20
SSW
10
SE
15
NNE
10
N
15
NE
25
NNE
30
NNE
35
NE
Wind State
glassy
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:04AM1.84m
7:30PM2.00m
8:03AM1.82m
8:27PM1.97m
8:59AM1.79m
9:22PM1.91m
9:52AM1.75m
10:17PM1.84m
10:45AM1.69m
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
12:33PM1.60m
Low Tide
00:55AM0.11m
1:13PM0.08m
1:54AM0.07m
2:09PM0.05m
2:51AM0.05m
3:05PM0.05m
3:46AM0.06m
4:01PM0.08m
4:40AM0.09m
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
 mm
2
1
1
1
11
Temp °C
11
13
14
13
13
14
13
13
14
12
17
18
17
14
14
13
14
14
14
14
13
Feels °C
8
9
9
9
9
11
12
12
11
8
15
17
13
11
12
11
12
11
10
8
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
6
0.6
S
10
0.8
S
14
1
S
7
1.5
S
14
1.6
S
13
1.3
S
12
1.1
S
12
2.2
S
18
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
14
1.1
S
13
0.8
S
12
0.5
S
11
0.5
S
14
0.7
SSE
5
1
S
12
1.2
S
13
1.6
S
14
2.2
S
18
2.1
S
17
Energy kJ
37
78
268
97
874
902
530
330
2960
1434
627
404
184
66
103
19
280
451
1042
3176
2580
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
12
0.5
S
15
0.2
ESE
12
0.6
S
14
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
10
0.3
NE
11
1.1
S
17
0.4
NE
11
0.6
NE
11
0.6
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
10
0.4
ENE
9
0.4
S
16
0.4
SSE
11
0.7
S
13
0.6
SE
5
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.4
E
8
0.3
E
8
Energy kJ
25
112
13
132
5
4
19
667
43
96
71
65
26
77
39
171
18
43
40
23
12
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
10
0.5
S
6
0.1
NE
10
0.5
S
11
0.1
NE
9
0.1
SE
11
0.3
NE
11
0.1
E
18
0.2
ESE
18
0.2
ESE
16
0.2
ESE
16
0.4
NE
10
0.3
E
9
0.3
E
9
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
10
0.3
NE
8
0.1
SE
14
0.1
SE
19
Energy kJ
7
18
4
58
3
5
20
6
30
26
25
24
13
14
59
48
11
7
15
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
6
0.6
N
3
0.3
N
4
0.5
N
3
0.3
N
2
0.2
N
3
0.6
SE
4
0.5
E
4
0.8
ENE
5
1.1
ENE
6
1
ENE
6
Energy kJ
34
8
2
5
1
1
16
9
28
80
88
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
1
Distance (km)
0
0
31
10
8
8
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
12
10
8
8
8
8
35
202
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
5
4
4
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
4
5
9
6
6
6
7
7
4
5
8
9
5
5
5
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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