Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The first week is a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a serious standout coming up on the 31st of August that’s got my full attention. After that, we’ve got a few more promising windows before the last few days of the forecast fade out.

Let's start with Last Chance. This is a point break that’s exposed to swell and picks up a solid NE direction best. The water’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54°F, which is about 3°F off the average – nothing too wild, but you’ll feel the difference.

Wednesday the 26th isn’t worth paddling out for. It’s crossed-up and messy with a light cross-onshore breeze, and only 3ft of swell. The energy is weak (550). Skip it.

Thursday the 27th morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a clean 5ft of S swell, with a very long 18-second period, and a nice cross-off breeze from the SW. The energy is strong (1207). This is a good session for experienced surfers, and the long period will make for some powerful, well-shaped waves at this point. The afternoon gets messy again with onshore wind, so get in early.

Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th are both pretty average. The swell drops and the winds are cross-shore, creating chop. Not worth chasing.

Sunday the 30th is small and clean in the morning with a light offshore, but at 2ft, it’s just a fun little wave. The energy is low (126).

Now, here’s the one. Monday the 31st of August. The afternoon is absolutely standout. We’ve got 10ft of solid S swell with a 14-second period, glassy conditions, and a massive energy reading of 3533. This is expert-only territory – the size is serious, and the power is undeniable. The point break should handle this well, but only if you’ve got the experience. This is the best session of the whole forecast.

Tuesday the 1st of September morning is still excellent, with 7ft of S swell, clean offshore wind, and strong energy (1224). Still for experienced surfers, but a little more manageable than the day before. The afternoon turns choppy again.

From Wednesday the 2nd through to the 5th of September, the swell slowly drops. A few clean mornings with cross-off winds offer some fun, but nothing special. The 4th of September morning has a nice 4ft S swell with a 17-second period and clean conditions – good for a solid session if you’re keen.

After that, the last few days of the forecast (6th to 10th September) are mostly small and weak. The 6th afternoon has a glassy 2ft, and the 7th has a 5ft but it’s short period windswell and messy. Not worth planning around.

Bottom line: if you’re an experienced surfer, you’re chasing the 31st of August afternoon, and the morning of the 1st of September is a solid backup. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game after that.

Rusty.

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