Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming.

It’s a slow start, but there’s some serious potential building for later in the period. You’ll need to be patient, though. There’s a big gap of pretty average conditions before the real action kicks off.

The first session worth paddling out for is Monday morning, but it’s tiny. We’re looking at a 1ft southerly swell with a very long 16-second period – that’s pure groundswell, but it’s lacking any real power, with weak combined energy (121). Winds are light offshore from the WNW, so it’ll be clean, but you’ll be scratching for scraps.

Monday afternoon sees a jump to 5ft, but the period drops to a short 6 seconds. It’s still clean with a gentle offshore, and the energy picks up a notch (200), but it’s not going to be the best shaped wave.

Tuesday is a write-off. Strong cross-off winds (31 mph) and a 12ft SSE swell with short 8-second period creates dangerous, blown-out conditions (1472 energy). Only for the very keen, and even then, it’s not surfable for a normal human. Afternoon drops to 4ft but still messy.

Wednesday morning is a solid window. 5ft SE swell, 8-second period, with light offshore WSW winds. The energy is moderate (266), and the wave comment says it’s good. This is a real chance for a clean session.

Thursday drops off again. Small 3ft SE swell, short period, light offshore wind. It’s surfable but nothing to write home about.

Friday afternoon is where things start to get interesting. A 8ft S swell with 8-second period and gentle offshore cross-off wind. The energy is solid (843) and the wave comment calls it very good. This is the first standout of the forecast.

Saturday afternoon is the big one. A 8ft S swell, 9-second period, light cross-off wind, and the energy is strong (1256). The wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the first week.

Now, Sunday gets into serious territory. 10ft S swell with a very long 16-second period on the morning (4547 energy) and 15 seconds in the afternoon (4473). These are big, powerful, long-period groundswells. The wave comment flags marginal conditions due to tide, but for experts, this is a proper swell. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean.

Monday 14th September – this is the absolute standout. 8ft SSE swell with a 14-second period, glassy conditions (WNW 3 mph), and energy of 2235. The wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. This is as good as it gets for this forecast. Clean, powerful, and consistent.

Tuesday 15th is still good. 4ft SSE swell, 12-second period, glassy conditions (NNE 3 mph), with moderate energy (424). A nice follow-up day.

After that, the swell fades. The second week sees mostly small S swells, with some glassy mornings (like Thursday 17th morning – 1ft, 15-second period, glassy, but tiny) and a few clean offshore windows. Sunday 20th afternoon has a 3ft S swell with 16-second period and gentle offshore wind, giving very good conditions (579 energy). Monday 21st afternoon also has a clean offshore 4ft ENE swell with 7-second period.

Overall, the best bet is Monday 14th September for the glassy, powerful 8ft SSE groundswell. Saturday 12th and Sunday 13th are also excellent for experts. For the general surfer, Wednesday 9th morning and Friday 11th afternoon are solid.

The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Rusty.

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