Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Wednesday 28 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.2° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 29) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 31) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Feb 03) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 29th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 31st Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 11s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 31st Jan)4ft (1.2m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat night, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tue
03
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
S
1.1
S
1
S
0.8
S
0.6
E
0.4
ENE
0.7
E
0.7
E
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
1.2
S
1.4
ENE
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.6
S
1
S
0.7
S
0.5
S
0.8
NE
0.7
NE
0.4
NE
Period(s) (?)1010991012101010111310111014131110577
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3022341751037049981001411534684181107514833511649295118
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSE
10
SE
15
ENE
10
N
5
NNW
15
ENE
15
SW
20
SSW
15
S
10
NNE
15
NNE
25
NE
15
SW
15
S
15
SE
15
NNE
15
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
15
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncrosscross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscrosscross-
on
crosscrosscross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
1:36AM
1.73
2:05PM
1.70
2:36AM
1.77
3:04PM
1.71
3:34AM
1.81
4:04PM
1.71
4:32AM
1.84
5:03PM
1.71
5:30AM
1.85
6:00PM
1.71
6:28AM
1.86
6:57PM
1.70
7:24AM
1.85
Low Tide
/ height (m)
7:56AM
0.28
8:17PM
0.24
8:56AM
0.27
9:15PM
0.24
9:56AM
0.24
10:16PM
0.22
10:55AM
0.20
11:17PM
0.18
11:53AM
0.17
12:15AM
0.13
12:51PM
0.15
1:08AM
0.10
1:46PM
0.14
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
01
Monday
02
Tue
03
Sunrise-6:13--6:13--6:15--6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20-
Sunset--8:28--8:27--8:25--8:24--8:23--8:22--8:22
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
-1----------------7--
Temp. °C181920192423231819182123241919202323212726
Feels °C (?)191918182322211618181823231818192323212526
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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