Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 5 am 27 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.4° C

1.3°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 26 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 27 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, S swell with 1,951 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 27 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 27) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 13s period and expected on Monday (Jun 29) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Sat 27th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Best Surf 9AM (Sat 27th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 30th Jun)6ft (1.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the S by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
1
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
E
10
2.2
E
10
2.5
E
10
2.5
ESE
10
2.1
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.6
E
10
2.3
SE
9
1.9
S
16
1.8
S
16
1.6
S
15
1.4
S
14
1.7
E
11
1.5
E
11
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
11
1.2
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.2
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1130
976
1257
1176
882
615
663
480
826
1951
1565
1147
780
739
517
418
400
290
254
305
308
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
15
S
20
SE
20
SSE
20
S
35
S
30
S
30
S
25
SSE
20
SSE
10
SSE
5
ESE
5
ENE
10
ENE
10
NNW
10
N
10
ENE
10
NNE
10
N
15
NE
15
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
3:57PM1.62m
4:15AM1.53m
4:43PM1.62m
4:59AM1.52m
5:28PM1.62m
5:43AM1.50m
6:12PM1.61m
6:28AM1.48m
6:54PM1.60m
7:14AM1.47m
7:35PM1.59m
7:59AM1.46m
8:17PM1.58m
Low Tide
9:40AM0.48m
10:13PM0.50m
10:30AM0.50m
10:58PM0.51m
11:16AM0.49m
11:42PM0.50m
11:58AM0.47m
00:27AM0.47m
12:37PM0.44m
1:11AM0.43m
1:17PM0.41m
1:54AM0.39m
1:58PM0.39m
2:37AM0.35m
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:53
4:54
4:54
4:54
4:55
4:55
4:57
 mm
3
6
2
3
3
2
2
1
Temp °C
14
15
14
14
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
12
11
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
Feels °C
12
13
11
11
9
8
6
6
6
8
9
9
10
8
7
7
8
8
9
8
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
E
10
2.2
E
10
1.3
S
17
2.5
ESE
10
2.1
E
10
1.7
E
10
1.8
E
10
1.6
E
10
1.1
S
18
1.9
E
10
1.9
ESE
10
1.7
ESE
9
1.5
E
10
1.7
E
11
1.5
E
11
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
11
1.2
E
10
1.1
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.2
E
10
Energy kJ
1130
976
986
1176
882
615
663
480
741
683
644
466
443
739
517
418
382
290
254
305
308
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
S
10
0.9
S
9
1.2
S
16
1.3
S
16
0.9
SSW
12
0.2
S
18
1.9
S
16
1.8
S
16
1.6
S
15
1.4
S
14
1.2
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.8
SSE
11
1
S
14
0.8
SSE
13
0.5
E
13
0.5
S
13
0.4
S
12
Energy kJ
242
140
737
832
213
25
1951
1565
1147
780
506
359
158
400
225
84
86
45
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
18
0.6
S
20
0.2
SSW
18
1.2
S
7
0.8
SSE
19
0.1
S
19
0.3
E
13
0.6
S
14
0.7
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.5
S
13
0.3
SSW
13
0.1
N
11
Energy kJ
238
276
31
147
502
7
31
148
83
40
85
35
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
E
10
0.6
SSW
8
0.7
S
7
2.2
S
6
2
S
7
1.6
S
7
2.3
SE
9
1.2
S
7
0.6
NNE
4
Energy kJ
1257
45
52
366
400
226
826
155
10
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
1
3
2
2
2
2
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
Distance (km)
0
12
10
100
12
130
90
149
102
101
9
0
0
8
0
8
8
8
8
8
8
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
5
4
4
4
5
3
4
5
4
4
4
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
5
9
7
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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