Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Issued: 11 pm 19 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
13.8° C

1.1°C colder than average for this time of year

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Last Chance surf forecast from 19 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 25 Jun, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 26 Jun, 9AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 14s period, S swell with 18,804 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 7.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 26) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jun 22) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sat 20th Jun)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Thu 25th Jun)15ft (4.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 9AM (Fri 26th Jun)23ft (7.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed night, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Fri
26
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
!
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.8
S
12
0.6
S
15
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
1.4
S
18
2.5
SSE
16
1.8
S
15
1.3
S
14
1
S
13
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
0.8
S
18
1.7
S
16
5
S
11
7
S
14
6
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1398
599
374
180
163
142
82
71
69
1299
3017
1430
618
334
572
602
404
1526
6425
18804
12386
Wind (km/h)
15
N
10
NNW
5
NW
10
NNW
20
NW
5
SW
5
NNE
15
SW
10
SW
15
NNE
15
NNE
30
NE
25
NNE
35
NNE
40
NE
25
NNE
10
N
5
ENE
10
W
0
W
5
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
off
glassy
on
High Tide
9:22PM1.91m
9:52AM1.75m
10:17PM1.84m
10:45AM1.69m
11:11PM1.75m
11:38AM1.64m
00:04AM1.68m
12:33PM1.60m
00:56AM1.61m
1:29PM1.59m
1:47AM1.57m
2:22PM1.60m
2:38AM1.54m
3:11PM1.61m
Low Tide
3:46AM0.06m
4:01PM0.08m
4:40AM0.09m
4:56PM0.14m
5:33AM0.14m
5:51PM0.22m
6:24AM0.21m
6:46PM0.31m
7:13AM0.29m
7:41PM0.38m
8:01AM0.37m
8:35PM0.43m
8:50AM0.44m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:52
4:53
4:53
 mm
1
3
2
3
6
Temp °C
12
16
18
16
18
14
14
13
14
13
14
14
13
13
14
15
15
15
13
13
13
Feels °C
8
14
17
13
15
13
14
10
12
10
11
9
8
7
7
10
13
14
11
12
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
16
1.3
S
13
1.1
S
12
0.8
S
12
0.6
S
15
0.6
S
14
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
5
1.4
S
18
2.5
SSE
16
1.8
S
15
1.3
S
14
1
S
13
0.9
SSE
12
0.7
S
11
1.4
E
9
1.5
E
9
1.5
E
10
0.9
E
10
1.2
E
10
Energy kJ
1398
599
374
180
163
142
82
71
10
1299
3017
1430
618
334
244
127
341
392
487
167
288
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NE
11
0.6
ENE
10
0.6
ENE
10
0.3
E
9
0.3
E
9
0.2
ENE
9
0.2
ENE
8
0.4
SSE
5
0.5
S
12
1.1
SSE
6
0.6
ESE
5
0.1
SE
19
0.7
S
12
0.1
S
22
1.4
ENE
9
1.1
NE
10
Energy kJ
116
68
65
15
15
7
7
7
69
87
20
14
134
9
327
234
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
18
0.2
ESE
16
0.2
ESE
16
0.4
NE
9
0.3
NE
9
0.2
E
9
0.2
S
5
0.2
ENE
8
0.4
S
7
0.1
E
13
0.8
S
18
Energy kJ
30
26
25
23
13
6
2
7
14
4
404
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNW
3
0.3
NNE
2
0.5
N
3
0.6
S
5
0.8
ENE
5
1.4
NE
6
1.7
NE
7
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
1.7
S
16
5
S
11
7
S
14
6
S
13
Energy kJ
4
1
5
15
29
131
261
572
602
1526
6425
18804
12386
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
4
2
1
1
1
3
4
2
1
8
Distance (km)
10
0
0
0
10
0
8
0
0
8
12
11
8
63
344
11
8
8
9
9
10
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
4
3
4
3
4
5
9
8
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
7
5
6
5
4
3
3
3
4
5
8
8
9
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
5
8
9
6
7
5
6
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
8
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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