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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
20.4° C
 (Which is 1.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 15) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 18) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 13s period and expected on Friday (Jan 16) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 15th Jan)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 15th Jan)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 18th Jan)7ft (2.2m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
SSE
0.5
SSE
0.9
NE
0.5
S
1.2
NE
0.5
S
0.8
ENE
1.3
S
1.5
S
2.1
SSE
2.1
SSE
2.2
SE
2.4
SE
2.1
SE
1.4
E
1.7
ESE
1.5
ESE
1.3
ESE
1.3
ESE
1.2
ESE
1.2
SSE
Period(s) (?)996136138877888888877714
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)454454821237974224202432549588657567243365247193188153605
Wind
(km/h)
10
NNE
5
NW
10
N
15
N
25
N
20
SSW
15
S
20
S
15
S
25
SSE
25
SE
25
SE
25
ESE
25
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
20
E
25
NE
30
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
off		cross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		crosscross-
off		crosscross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		oncross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		ononcross-
on		cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:06PM
1.50
4:38AM
1.57
4:52PM
1.48
5:22AM
1.57
5:37PM
1.46
6:07AM
1.57
6:23PM
1.45
6:52AM
1.58
7:11PM
1.45
7:38AM
1.59
8:00PM
1.46
8:23AM
1.60
8:48PM
1.49
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:06AM
0.52
10:20PM
0.51
10:52AM
0.52
11:07PM
0.49
11:37AM
0.50
11:53PM
0.45
12:22PM
0.45
12:37AM
0.40
1:08PM
0.40
1:20AM
0.35
1:55PM
0.34
2:03AM
0.31
2:41PM
0.28
2:48AM
0.27
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise5:58--5:58--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05--
Sunset-8:35--8:35--8:34--8:34--8:32--8:32--8:31-
light rain
thunderstorm
mod rain
thunderstorm
clear
cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
Rain (mm)
1463--2-2-221111----2
Temp. °C232321222518171616161616181717181717181818
Feels °C (?)222421202216151213111212141214141314141413
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
surf-forecast.com

Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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