Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Saturday 20 Dec 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.3° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Dec 21) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Dec 23) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Dec 20) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 21st Dec)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 21st Dec)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 23rd Dec)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon night, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 16°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
E
1
S
1.3
S
1.5
S
1.2
S
1.1
S
1.2
S
1
S
1.1
SSE
1.3
SSE
1.2
SSE
1.2
S
1.1
S
0.9
SSE
0.7
S
0.5
SSE
0.6
S
0.6
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.7
S
0.3
ENE
Period(s) (?)871081099910111111101099810999
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)338932730526818524016426538734934526016381445477627817
Wind
(km/h)
20
SSW
20
ESE
0
ENE
20
SW
15
SSE
10
ESE
10
ENE
20
ENE
10
NNW
15
NW
30
WNW
20
WNW
20
NW
15
NW
15
WNW
10
NE
30
NE
15
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
onglasscross-
off
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:59PM
1.51
7:28AM
1.62
7:44PM
1.50
8:10AM
1.62
8:30PM
1.48
8:51AM
1.61
9:16PM
1.47
9:34AM
1.60
10:01PM
1.47
10:19AM
1.59
10:44PM
1.48
11:05AM
1.58
11:26PM
1.50
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:58PM
0.51
1:13AM
0.48
1:42PM
0.48
1:53AM
0.44
2:27PM
0.43
2:33AM
0.41
3:11PM
0.37
3:15AM
0.37
3:56PM
0.33
4:01AM
0.34
4:40PM
0.29
4:48AM
0.32
5:24PM
0.27
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Sunrise5:37--5:37--5:39--5:39--5:39--5:39--5:41--
Sunset-8:31--8:32--8:32--8:34--8:34--8:35--8:35-
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--1-----31-----------
Temp. °C181715161615171819262623252421202121212320
Feels °C (?)131313111213141518232320232318161717181916
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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