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Last Chance Surf Forecast
/ Gisborne and Mahia (37 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand
12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Saturday 07 Mar 2026 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.6° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 08) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.6m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Mar 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 8th Mar) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 14th Mar) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 13th Mar) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun morning). | Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 07 | Sunday 08 | Monday 09 | Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | |||||||||||||||||
| PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |||
Rating (10 max) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 9 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | ||
Wave (?)Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 82 | 65 | 83 | 69 | 33 | 51 | 47 | 229 | 477 | 223 | 140 | 99 | 134 | 229 | 281 | 356 | 834 | 934 | 732 | 501 | 301 | ||
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross | cross- on | cross- on | cross- off | cross- off | cross- off | cross | cross- on | cross- on | on | on | on | on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | cross- on | cross | cross- off | ||
High Tide / height (m) | 9:49PM 1.72 | 10:10AM 1.67 | 10:32PM 1.71 | 10:56AM 1.65 | 11:15PM 1.67 | 11:41AM 1.61 | 12:00AM 1.62 | 12:25PM 1.56 | 12:49AM 1.57 | 1:09PM 1.50 | 1:39AM 1.52 | 1:54PM 1.44 | 2:27AM 1.49 | ||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 4:01AM 0.34 | 4:24PM 0.37 | 4:48AM 0.38 | 5:09PM 0.42 | 5:34AM 0.42 | 5:54PM 0.45 | 6:20AM 0.45 | 6:38PM 0.47 | 7:07AM 0.47 | 7:22PM 0.47 | 7:54AM 0.47 | 8:05PM 0.46 | 8:42AM 0.45 | ||||||||||
Sat 07 | Sunday 08 | Monday 09 | Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | |||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | 6:58 | - | - | 6:58 | - | - | 7:00 | - | - | 7:01 | - | - | 7:01 | - | - | 7:03 | - | - | 7:03 | ||
| Sunset | 7:40 | - | - | 7:39 | - | - | 7:37 | - | - | 7:37 | - | - | 7:35 | - | - | 7:34 | - | - | 7:31 | - | - | ||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | |||
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Temp. °C | 19 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 17 | ||
| Feels °C (?) | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 12 | ||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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