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Surf Forecasts:

Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Saturday 14 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
18.6° C
 (Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 15) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 21) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Mar 14) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 15th Mar)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 17th Mar)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 21st Mar)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
16 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Thu night).

Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.1
SE
1
SE
0.7
SE
1.3
S
0.6
SE
0.7
S
1.2
S
1.1
S
1.1
S
1
S
1.1
S
0.9
S
0.6
S
0.6
S
0.9
ENE
0.4
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.9
ENE
1.5
ENE
1.8
E
3
ESE
Period(s) (?)131312611131716161513121111512117889
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)444330144143801738356306004344302338781474844863134541592
Wind
(km/h)
15
SSW
25
SSW
20
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSE
15
N
20
N
25
NNE
10
NW
10
SSW
15
SSE
10
N
15
N
25
NE
20
NNE
20
ESE
35
SE
30
SSW
40
SW
40
SW
30
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
on		crosscrosscross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
on		crosscrosscross-
on		crossoncross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
2:42PM
1.39
3:14AM
1.48
3:32PM
1.37
4:00AM
1.48
4:23PM
1.38
4:49AM
1.50
5:14PM
1.43
5:40AM
1.55
6:05PM
1.49
6:32AM
1.62
6:57PM
1.57
7:22AM
1.68
7:48PM
1.66
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:52PM
0.44
9:29AM
0.40
9:43PM
0.40
10:17AM
0.35
10:36PM
0.35
11:06AM
0.30
11:28PM
0.29
11:56AM
0.26
12:17AM
0.23
12:48PM
0.22
1:06AM
0.19
1:38PM
0.18
1:56AM
0.17
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Sunrise7:03--7:05--7:05--7:07--7:07--7:09--7:09--
Sunset-7:30--7:29--7:27--7:25--7:23--7:22--7:21-
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
Rain (mm)
321------------71818321
Temp. °C201716171715212118171716181817161718171616
Feels °C (?)211413141413171616171616161414141316111011
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Last Chance at:
surf-forecast.com

Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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