Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s run through Last Chance in feet and Fahrenheit.

The first real surf shows up on Sunday the 13th of September. That morning, we’ve got a 7ft south swell with a long 15-second period. The combined energy is 2082 (strong to very strong), so there’s plenty of power. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 12 mph, and it’s clean. This is quality, but at this size and with that power, it’s for experienced surfers only. Water temp is 55°F, about 2°F colder than normal, so you’ll want a good suit.

Sunday afternoon, the wind swings southerly and goes cross-shore, so the quality drops off.

Monday the 14th is a real standout. The morning is glassy with a 7ft south swell, still at a long 12-second period. The wind is from the NNE at only 3 mph, and it’s dead glass – that’s as clean as it gets. The combined energy is 1236 (moderate to strong). This is going to be a beautiful morning session for advanced surfers. The swell is just under 8ft, so it’s still on the bigger side, but that glassy surface is a huge bonus. The swell direction is south, which matches the optimum for Last Chance, so the point should be working well.

Tuesday the 15th, the swell drops to 5ft and the period shortens to 11 seconds. The wind is cross-shore, and the energy drops to 429 (moderate). It’s surfable, but nothing special. From Tuesday afternoon through to Friday the 18th, it’s mostly small, choppy, or onshore – not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 19th morning is interesting: only 2ft, but it’s a long 15-second south swell with glassy conditions. The combined energy is 402 (moderate), so there’s some life despite the size. The point might offer a few clean lines on the sets. Not a standout, but a quiet window for a patient surfer.

Sunday the 21st of September afternoon sees a nice clean window: 3ft from the south, 10-second period, cross-off wind from the NW at 3 mph. Clean conditions, and the energy is 204 (moderate). Not big, but tidy.

Now, the big one – Tuesday the 22nd of September morning. We’ve got an 12ft south swell, period of 10 seconds, and combined energy of 2560 (very strong). The wind is cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph, so it’s clean. This is a serious swell – over 8ft, so experts only. The point will be handling a lot of water, and with that much energy, it’s going to be powerful. If you’re experienced and looking for a challenge, this is your window.

Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th are a mix of smaller swells and less favorable winds. Not much to write home about.

Then Friday the 25th of September morning brings another solid pulse: 8ft south swell, 10-second period, combined energy of 1969 (strong to very strong). The wind is cross-off from the SW at 9 mph, so conditions are clean again. This is another good one for advanced surfers, though not quite as big as Tuesday.

After that, the surf fades into smaller, choppier conditions for the last few days of the period. There’s a long-period south swell on Monday the 28th of September morning (2ft, 18 seconds, 480 energy), but the wind is cross-off and clean. It’s small, but for a longboard or a patient surfer on a point break, it could offer a few clean runners.

Overall, the best windows are Monday the 14th morning for glassy, clean 7ft conditions, and Tuesday the 22nd morning for a serious 12ft groundswell with clean wind. Friday the 25th morning is also a strong option. The rest is either small, onshore, or just average.

Rusty

Read more