Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Monday 11 May 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.9° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Monday (May 11) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Mon 11th May)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Best Surf 6PM (Mon 11th May)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 6PM (Wed 13th May)10ft (3.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
11
Tuesday
12
Wednesday
13
Thursday
14
Friday
15
Saturday
16
Sunday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
14
2.5
S
14
2.3
S
13
1.8
S
13
1.5
S
13
1.2
S
16
1.7
S
14
2.5
S
14
2.5
S
13
2.5
S
13
2.5
S
12
2
S
11
1.8
SSE
10
2.1
SSE
15
1.8
SSE
13
1.6
SSE
12
1.5
SSE
12
1.4
SSE
12
1.2
SSE
11
1.1
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
779
2521
1894
1138
736
743
1175
2602
2359
2504
1836
917
616
1801
1106
727
609
488
343
251
179
Wind (km/h)
25
SSW
20
SSW
5
NW
15
N
10
SE
15
SW
20
SW
30
SSW
25
SW
30
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
20
WSW
15
SW
15
S
15
S
15
SSE
15
SSE
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
12:31PM1.40m
1:01AM1.49m
1:23PM1.44m
1:51AM1.54m
2:16PM1.51m
2:42AM1.60m
3:10PM1.60m
3:35AM1.68m
4:03PM1.71m
4:30AM1.74m
4:58PM1.82m
5:26AM1.80m
5:54PM1.91m
Low Tide
6:41PM0.39m
7:16AM0.33m
7:33PM0.37m
8:04AM0.31m
8:29PM0.34m
8:55AM0.29m
9:25PM0.31m
9:48AM0.27m
10:20PM0.27m
10:45AM0.24m
11:16PM0.22m
11:41AM0.21m
00:13AM0.18m
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:00
7:01
7:01
7:03
7:03
7:03
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:07
5:06
5:06
5:05
5:04
5:02
1
3
2
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
12
11
15
15
14
13
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
13
12
13
14
13
7
7
8
13
12
12
8
8
7
7
7
8
9
9
8
7
10
9
10
10
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
14
2.5
S
14
2.3
S
13
1.8
S
13
1.5
S
13
1.2
S
11
1.7
S
14
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
9
0.4
E
9
0.4
E
9
0.4
E
9
1.8
SSE
10
2.1
SSE
15
1.8
SSE
13
1.6
SSE
12
1.5
SSE
12
1.4
SSE
12
1.2
SSE
11
1.1
SSE
10
1
SSE
10
Energy kJ
779
2521
1894
1138
736
357
1175
42
42
26
25
25
616
1801
1106
727
609
488
343
251
179
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ENE
11
0.7
E
11
0.8
ENE
10
0.7
E
10
0.7
E
10
1.2
S
16
0.6
E
9
0.2
SSW
24
0.3
S
21
0.5
E
9
0.9
S
16
0.4
ENE
10
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
10
0.5
E
10
0.4
ENE
10
0.4
ENE
10
0.4
ENE
10
Energy kJ
249
116
136
96
92
743
61
55
81
42
386
32
59
58
54
52
33
33
32
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ENE
10
0.3
E
13
0.4
E
12
0.4
E
12
0.7
E
10
0.1
S
26
0.1
NE
10
0.1
SE
15
0.1
NE
9
0.4
ENE
10
0.1
S
22
0.1
S
20
0.1
S
18
0.1
SW
18
0.2
S
15
Energy kJ
60
32
47
43
88
13
4
8
3
31
9
8
6
12
18
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
S
8
0.7
SSW
4
1.3
S
6
2.5
S
14
2.5
S
13
2.5
S
13
2.5
S
12
2
S
11
Energy kJ
430
11
124
2602
2359
2504
1836
917
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
4
3
1
1
1
5
4
4
1
3
2
4
4
1
1
3
2
1
1
Distance (km)
90
137
0
8
9
9
9
120
78
88
149
12
9
9
0
9
9
12
12
149
9
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
2
3
1
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
4
4
4
8
9
9
6
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
4
5
9
8
9
9
7
9
5
5
6
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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