Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s lining up for Last Chance.

Well, it’s a bit of a slow start, I gotta be honest with ya. The first few days are pretty flat and messy, with not much to get excited about. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are a write-off – tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to stir a little on Saturday the 25th. The morning shows a bit of life with a 3 ft swell from the east, but the energy is still weak (205). The wind is offshore though, so it’ll be clean. It’s a marginal call, but if you’re desperate, you could get a few small ones. The afternoon gets blown out by a strong wind – not for surfing.

Sunday the 26th brings a bigger jump. The swell is up to 7 ft from the south, with moderate energy (1183). The wind is offshore and clean. This is getting into the territory where it’s gonna be a bit much for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’s a solid session. The morning is the better window.

Monday the 27th is even bigger – 10 ft from the south, with strong energy (3320). This is expert-only territory. The swell period is short at 10 seconds, so it’ll be a bit dumpy and powerful. The wind stays offshore, so it’ll be clean, but you’ll need your wits about you.

The standout period, the one I’m really looking at, is Wednesday the 29th afternoon through to Thursday the 30th morning. Wednesday afternoon sees a 6 ft swell from the ESE with a nice long period of 13 seconds (1065 energy). The wind is light offshore, making for clean, lined-up waves. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. Then Thursday morning the 30th is a gem – glassy conditions with a 6 ft swell from the ESE. The wind is dead calm, the water is glassy, and the swell has good energy (952). This is your best bet for the whole outlook. The water temperature is 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit.

After that, the swell backs off a bit into the first week of August. Friday the 31st is still clean and fun with 4 ft waves, but it’s not as punchy. The weekend of the 1st and 2nd sees a jump in size again, but the wind turns onshore and choppy, making it messy.

Then we get into a big, powerful run starting Tuesday the 4th into the 5th and 6th of August. This is for the big-wave chargers only. On Wednesday the 5th, we’re looking at 12 ft from the south with strong energy (2220). The wind is light offshore, so it’ll be clean, but it’s huge. Thursday the 6th morning is glassy, but the swell is a massive 15 ft from the SSE. The energy is extreme (4689). The forecast says it’s too big for this break – only for the absolute elite, and even then, it’s a serious call. The 7th of August sees even bigger numbers – 16 ft from the south with massive energy (6126). This is not a day to be learning.

So, to wrap it up: the best surfing on offer is Thursday the 30th morning, with glassy conditions and a good, clean 6 ft south-east swell. Wednesday the 29th afternoon is a close second. For the big-wave crew, the 5th and 6th of August are on, but it’s serious and not for the faint-hearted. The rest of the period is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty.

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