Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Wednesday 07 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jan 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Mon 12th Jan)1ft (0.3m) 19s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 13th Jan)6ft (1.9m) 12s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 12th Jan)6ft (1.9m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
07
Thursday
08
Friday
09
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
E
0.5
E
0.3
S
0.3
S
0.3
ESE
0.4
E
0.2
S
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.3
E
0.3
ENE
0.4
S
0.3
E
0.2
S
0.2
S
1
S
1.9
S
1.6
S
1.3
S
1.1
S
0.9
SSE
Period(s) (?)77121166167768871211171211111110
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)382324237132015147132081295721100643410291163
Wind
(km/h)
15
ENE
5
NNW
15
SSW
15
SSE
10
N
15
WSW
5
S
10
NNW
5
NNE
5
NNE
5
NW
10
NW
20
NW
15
WNW
15
WNW
25
SSE
10
NNW
20
NE
30
NE
10
W
0
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
onglasscross-
off
cross-
on
crossoffglasscross-
off
cross-
on
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
offglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:02PM
1.73
10:23AM
1.82
10:51PM
1.69
11:13AM
1.75
11:39PM
1.65
12:03PM
1.68
12:29AM
1.62
12:53PM
1.63
1:21AM
1.60
1:43PM
1.58
2:14AM
1.58
2:32PM
1.55
3:05AM
1.58
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:07AM
0.14
4:46PM
0.15
5:00AM
0.20
5:35PM
0.20
5:51AM
0.27
6:23PM
0.26
6:43AM
0.34
7:11PM
0.33
7:35AM
0.41
7:58PM
0.40
8:27AM
0.46
8:45PM
0.46
9:17AM
0.50
Wed
07
Thursday
08
Friday
09
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Sunrise--5:50--5:52--5:52--5:54--5:54--5:56--5:56
Sunset8:37--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:36--8:36--8:36--
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C201919191926282226302631332525221820202220
Feels °C (?)191918181924272225282428302123191716152019
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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