Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 am Sunday 19 Apr 2026 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
17.0° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Apr 20) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Apr 22) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 11s period and expected on Tuesday (Apr 21) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Mon 20th Apr)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Wed 22nd Apr)15ft (4.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 6AM (Wed 22nd Apr)16ft (5.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the W by Tue afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Wed morning, light winds from the W by Fri night).

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
2
NNE
1.1
NE
1.4
NE
0.9
ENE
1
ENE
1.1
ENE
1.5
S
0.8
ENE
3
S
4.5
S
4
SSE
3
SSE
2.5
S
2.1
SSE
1.8
SE
1.7
SSE
1.6
SE
1.3
SSE
1.2
SSE
1
SSE
0.9
SSE
Period(s) (?)8988881011111111101099998888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)513211233911251424791532134465935972257126772947145437124117913395
Wind
(km/h)
15
N
20
NNE
15
N
15
N
5
SSE
15
NW
15
NW
30
W
20
NW
50
S
45
SSW
35
SSW
30
S
25
SSW
15
SSW
15
WSW
15
SSW
10
WSW
10
SSW
5
ESE
10
N
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
oncross
High Tide
/ height (m)
7:13PM
1.88
7:41AM
1.81
8:06PM
1.93
8:37AM
1.81
8:59PM
1.93
9:34AM
1.78
9:55PM
1.89
10:30AM
1.74
10:54PM
1.82
11:26AM
1.68
11:54PM
1.75
12:22PM
1.61
12:52AM
1.69
Low Tide
/ height (m)
1:00PM
0.16
1:29AM
0.15
1:52PM
0.14
2:26AM
0.13
2:46PM
0.13
3:24AM
0.11
3:43PM
0.12
4:21AM
0.11
4:40PM
0.12
5:19AM
0.11
5:38PM
0.12
6:17AM
0.12
6:34PM
0.14
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunrise6:39--6:39--6:41--6:41--6:43--6:43--6:45--
Sunset-5:35--5:32--5:31--5:30--5:29--5:28--5:27-
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
5---19--31121111------
Temp. °C192017181716151313131313141313131312131413
Feels °C (?)1718161716161269345979101010131311
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Quick surf report for Last Chance:

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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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