Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Sunday 25 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
19.7° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:

The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 25) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 12 days are 1.4m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 26) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 25) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 25th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 26th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 26th Jan)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 22°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Sat
31
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
3
3
2
2
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.1
S
1
S
0.7
E
1.1
S
1.4
S
1.2
S
1.3
S
1.2
S
1.3
S
1.2
S
0.9
S
1.1
S
0.8
S
0.6
E
0.6
E
0.6
E
0.6
E
0.6
E
0.7
ENE
1
ENE
1.6
ENE
Period(s) (?)10101212121211101010109910101110911115
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2341811343715723963822883382791542171017168796861115254120
Wind
(km/h)
25
WNW
25
NW
20
W
25
WNW
15
W
10
SE
10
NW
10
WSW
20
S
15
SW
10
S
10
E
15
N
10
NNE
20
ENE
15
SW
20
SW
15
S
5
N
10
NE
25
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoffcross-
on
cross-
off
offcrosscross-
off
cross-
off
oncrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:01PM
1.61
11:29AM
1.67
11:48PM
1.65
12:18PM
1.69
12:39AM
1.69
1:10PM
1.70
1:36AM
1.73
2:05PM
1.70
2:36AM
1.77
3:04PM
1.71
3:34AM
1.81
4:04PM
1.71
4:32AM
1.84
5:03PM
1.71
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:13AM
0.25
5:44PM
0.23
6:05AM
0.27
6:32PM
0.23
6:58AM
0.28
7:23PM
0.24
7:56AM
0.28
8:17PM
0.24
8:56AM
0.27
9:15PM
0.24
9:56AM
0.24
10:16PM
0.22
10:55AM
0.20
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Sat
31
Sunrise-6:09--6:11--6:11--6:13--6:13--6:15--6:16-
Sunset--8:30--8:29--8:28--8:28--8:27--8:25--8:24
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
----------2----------
Temp. °C172023192120191919171819182222221919182020
Feels °C (?)131620142019181716161819182020221717191817
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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