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Last Chance Surf Forecast
/ Gisborne and Mahia (37 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Last Chance surfForecast / Gisborne and Mahia / New Zealand
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Monday 11 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.9° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Last Chance this week:
The surf forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (May 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Last Chance in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 13) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Monday (May 11) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 11th May) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 11th May) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 13th May) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Last Chance over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wednesday 13 | Thursday 14 | Friday 15 | Saturday 16 | Sunday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 16 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | |
779 | 2521 | 1894 | 1138 | 736 | 743 | 1175 | 2602 | 2359 | 2504 | 1836 | 917 | 616 | 1801 | 1106 | 727 | 609 | 488 | 343 | 251 | 179 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | |
High Tide | 12:31PM1.40m | 1:01AM1.49m | 1:23PM1.44m | 1:51AM1.54m | 2:16PM1.51m | 2:42AM1.60m | 3:10PM1.60m | 3:35AM1.68m | 4:03PM1.71m | 4:30AM1.74m | 4:58PM1.82m | 5:26AM1.80m | 5:54PM1.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:41PM0.39m | 7:16AM0.33m | 7:33PM0.37m | 8:04AM0.31m | 8:29PM0.34m | 8:55AM0.29m | 9:25PM0.31m | 9:48AM0.27m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:45AM0.24m | 11:16PM0.22m | 11:41AM0.21m | 00:13AM0.18m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:00 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:02 | — |
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
7 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 11 | S 14 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
 kJ | 779 | 2521 | 1894 | 1138 | 736 | 357 | 1175 | 42 | 42 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 616 | 1801 | 1106 | 727 | 609 | 488 | 343 | 251 | 179 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | E 11 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 16 | E 9 | SSW 24 | S 21 | E 9 | — | — | S 16 | ENE 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 249 | 116 | 136 | 96 | 92 | 743 | 61 | 55 | 81 | 42 | — | — | 386 | 32 | 59 | 58 | 54 | 52 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 10 | S 26 | NE 10 | SE 15 | NE 9 | — | — | ENE 10 | — | — | — | S 22 | S 20 | S 18 | SW 18 | S 15 |
| kJ | — | 60 | 32 | 47 | 43 | 88 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | — | 31 | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | — | — | — | — | SSW 4 | S 6 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 430 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 124 | 2602 | 2359 | 2504 | 1836 | 917 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 90 | 137 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 120 | 78 | 88 | 149 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 149 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Surf Rating (10 Max)
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Last Chance surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Last Chance Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Last Chance provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Last Chance can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Last Chance surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Last Chance) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Last Chance may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Last Chance is 38 km (24 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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