Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the forecast for Last Chance. It’s a bit of a mixed bag coming up, so let’s break it down.

We start off pretty quiet. Thursday the 10th is looking flat and ordinary, with a small 3ft swell from the southeast and weak energy (98). The water’s sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there. Friday the 11th is similar – not much to get excited about, even the new south swell that’s pushing through is small and has a long period of 19 seconds, but the size just isn’t there.

Then we’ve got a bit of a lull, a dry spell, from Saturday the 12th through most of next week. There's a pulse of south swell on Saturday afternoon (4ft, 16 seconds) but the wind is messy and it’s going to be cross-chop. Sunday morning the 13th is where things finally turn on. We see a jump in size to 8ft from the south, with a 15-second period and a moderate energy reading of 2707. The wind is offshore and clean, making it a standout for experienced surfers. That’s the best you’re going to get this week. That afternoon it drops and gets cross-shore, so the magic is short-lived. The rest of that week into the 20th is pretty grim - small, inconsistent, and often onshore. It's a long stretch of waiting.

Now, looking further ahead to the 21st of September, things start looking promising again. Monday morning shows a solid 5ft south swell with light offshore or cross-offshore winds and a strong energy reading (852). It looks clean and very good. Tuesday the 22nd has another pulse, with the afternoon pushing back up to 8ft from the south, but it’s a bit cross-shore, so it won’t be as perfect. Wednesday the 23rd keeps that size around 8ft in the morning, but the wind is cross-off, which is still workable. The afternoon cleans up with a moderate offshore wind and a 6ft swell, which is also very good.

So, honestly, the standout windows are Sunday morning the 13th for the big, clean power, and then Monday the 21st through Wednesday the 23rd for a more extended run of solid, surfable waves. Expect crowds to be possible at this point, as it’s a fairly consistent spot when it turns on. These longer-range calls are promising, but remember, we’re a week or more out, so don’t book your flights just yet. It’s all about timing.

That’s the story from here.

Rusty.

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