Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty chiming in from Last Chance. This is a point break for the advanced crew, one that really fires when the swell comes from the north-east, which is a unicorn direction around here. So most of this forecast, we're dealing with south swells hitting it at an awkward angle. The water temp is sitting pretty much normal for September.

We start out today, Friday the 4th, but it's a washout. That's a 3ft SSE swell with weak guts (160) and a side-offshore breeze that's not doing us any favors. Don't even bother.

Saturday the 5th is a classic tease. Morning is dead flat calm, glassy as a mirror, but that 2ft swell has no period to it—just 8 seconds and drained of energy (84). You'll catch a wave or two but they'll be gutless. Once the afternoon cross-onshore wind kicks up, it's game over.

Sunday the 6th, the morning has a cleaner look: 2ft south swell with a better 11-second period, and it's clean. Still weak energy (118). Rideable. The afternoon throws a weird one: a 1ft swell with a 17-second period. That's a super long period groundswell, but it's just too small to wrap into this point properly.

Monday the 7th is a mess of cross-shore wind, and Tuesday the 8th brings the first real size. That's an 8ft south swell, combined energy at 1158, solid and powerful. The wind is clean side-offshore. But it's 8ft at a point that doesn't want the south direction. That's going to be big, powerful, and tricky. Experts only. Don't even think about it if you're not comfortable on solid 8-foot point waves.

Wednesday the 9th drops back to a 5ft SSE swell, but it's short period, and the wind turns onshore in the afternoon.

Now, Thursday the 10th is a sneaky good one. Glassy calm in the afternoon. Just a 2ft south swell with a nice 12-second period. Energy is weak (139), but the clean, glassy conditions will make it feel like the best 2-foot wave you've ever surfed. That's your best bet for the first week.

Alright, let's jump to the second week. It's a long way off, so don't book your flights yet, but the models are showing potential. Saturday the 12th: a 7ft south swell builds, and by the afternoon it drops slightly to 6ft but goes clean with a light side-offshore wind. Combined energy hits 939—solid moderate power. Wrong direction, but still some long walls on offer.

The big boy arrives Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th. Swell hits 8ft with a solid 12-13 second period, and the energy skyrockets to 2182. That's serious, heavy water. Sunday the 13th afternoon has gentle side-offshore wind, making it the pick of this whole period for experts. Expect heavy, grinding lines.

Tuesday the 15th morning is glassy again with a clean 4ft SSE swell. A beautiful little clean-up session.

Then circle Thursday the 17th. We get a 5ft to 6ft south swell with a 11-12 second period, combined energy at 842, and a light to moderate offshore wind. This is it. This is the one for the average advanced surfer. Clean, solid, good shape, offshore wind. That's a proper point surf day.

Friday the 18th still has some rideable 3ft surf with offshore wind, but by Saturday the 19th it's tiny and cross-on, and the window closes.

So the long and short of it: the first week is mostly waiting. Your two big targets are Sunday the 13th for the heavy, expert-level power, and Thursday the 17th for a much cleaner, still-solid session with proper wind. Get it while it's good.

Rusty.

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