Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's take a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first days are a write-off with tiny, weak swell and poor conditions. You’re not missing a thing until we get into the back half of the week. The real story here is Last Chance, an advanced point break that's exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about 1° cooler than usual for this time of year – just a little on the chilly side, nothing wild.

Wednesday morning, the 9th, things start to look up. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the SE, with a light offshore wind from the WSW. The energy is moderate (294), and while the period is a short 8 seconds, it’s a build-up. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and surfable. That afternoon turns glassy with a 5ft swell from the SE and light easterly winds, making for some really nice, clean lines. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so you might have a few friends out, but it’s well worth it.

Thursday the 10th is a bit of a letdown – the swell drops off to under 3ft, but the afternoon does turn glassy. It’s ordinary, but at least it’s clean.

Now, hold onto your board. The standout is Sunday the 13th. That morning is an absolute gem. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the S, with a very long 16-second period, and a sweet offshore wind from the W. The energy is pumping hard (3084). This is an excellent, powerful groundswell that will be reeling down that point. It’s expert-only territory at that size, and with that long period, it’s going to be a freight train. The afternoon stays clean with a 7ft S swell. This is the best on offer – no question.

Monday the 14th is still holding strong with a 6ft S swell and a 14-second period. The morning is glassy with a WSW breeze, making for excellent conditions, though it’s still a meaty wave for the experienced. The afternoon gets a bit of a cross-onshore breeze, so the morning is the move.

The rest of the first week and into the second week drops off significantly. The week of the 15th sees smaller, less energetic swells, mostly in the 2ft to 4ft range. There are some clean windows with offshore winds, but it’s very ordinary, surfable but nothing to write home about.

Then, looking ahead, we get a pulse of energy again on Friday the 18th. A solid 10ft S swell with a 10-second period rolls in, but the wind is a strong cross-offshore, making it a bit messy. The energy is huge (2761 and 1818), but the conditions are only marginal. For the experienced, there might be some bombs, but it’s not the clean, groomed wave we had on the 13th.

The final few days of the outlook, from the 19th onward, are a mix of small, clean, glassy mornings and some fun, longer-period swells. The 22nd of September, a Tuesday, is a promising one with a 3ft to 3ft swell from the S, with a very long period of 20-21 seconds, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (677-717), and that long period means it will be walled up and powerful for its size – another great day for the point.

So, the call is simple: if you’re an expert, Sunday the 13th is the day. Get on it. The rest of the window is a waiting game for the next pulse.

Rusty.

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