Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's shaping up for Last Chance over the next couple of weeks.

First off, the water is a bit nippier than usual for this time of year, sitting at 54.5°F and about 2.5°F colder than normal. So you’ll want a thicker wetsuit if you’re heading out.

The first real chance to paddle out is Tuesday morning, August 11th. It’s not huge, with a 5 ft south swell, but the wind is offshore (WSW 9 mph) and it’s clean. The wave energy is moderate. It’s a mellow start, but it’ll be a nice, clean session to get the week going.

Wednesday the 12th is a write-off. Wind swings onshore and it gets choppy. By Friday the 14th, it’s still poor with a short-period, messy 4 ft ENE swell and onshore winds. You can sleep in.

Saturday the 15th is a classic example of a day to avoid. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the east but it's blowing 22 mph straight onshore. That’s a washing machine. The wave energy is moderate, but the quality is poor. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Things start to look interesting from Sunday the 16th into Monday the 17th. Swell drops back to a manageable 7.5 ft from the east on Sunday morning with a cross-offshore wind, and the energy is solid. Monday sees a 5 ft south swell with 22 mph cross-off winds, giving clean energy. It’s still big and clean, but be aware that 11.5 ft comes in Monday afternoon. That's expert territory.

The standout window starts to open on Tuesday the 18th and really fires up on Thursday the 20th.

Tuesday the 18th: A 13 ft swell from the SSE (period 10 seconds) hits with cross-offshore winds. This is heavy. The energy is massive. This is only for very experienced surfers. The point here at Last Chance will handle that size well, but it’s going to be powerful.

Thursday the 20th is the absolute best day on offer. The morning is glassy with NW 3 mph wind and a 10 ft swell from the SSE with a very long 15-second period. That’s a groundswell with incredible energy. It’s going to be clean, lined-up, and powerful. The long period means longer waits between sets, but the waves will be well-shaped and hold up nicely on the point. This is a day for the quiver of your life.

Friday the 21st: Still excellent, with a 7 ft SSE swell, glassy morning winds, and solid energy. The period is still a strong 12 seconds. Another morning of clean, punchy waves for experienced surfers.

After that, the swell drops off going into the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd, but Monday the 24th throws up another excellent morning: a 5.5 ft south swell with a 15-second period and clean cross-offshore winds. It won’t be as big as the 20th, but it’ll be just as clean and fun.

The final days (25th and 26th) look poor again with onshore winds taking over.

Overall: The clear standout is Thursday morning, August 20th. That glassy, 10 ft, 15-second groundswell with perfect offshore winds is a proper session. Friday the 21st morning and Monday the 24th morning are also excellent secondary options. Get on it.

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