Last Chance Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Last Chance. This is a point break for advanced surfers only, so don’t even think about paddling out if you’re not on your game. It’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell, and it likes a NE direction best. The water’s sitting at 55°F which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good hood and booties.

The week starts off ordinary. Monday the 3rd has a weak 4ft SSE swell at 10 seconds, with a light cross-onshore breeze and wave energy sitting at 498 – that’s weak, and the conditions are marginal. Tuesday the 4th picks up a fair bit, but it’s not the kind of day you want to be out there. We’ve got a 10ft S swell at 14 seconds in the morning, jumping to 13ft in the afternoon, but the wind is howling from the SSW at 22 to 25 mph. It’s cross-off, so it’s clean, but that’s a lot of power for a point break. The combined energy is 3727 and 3757 – that’s strong to very strong. That’s expert-only territory, and even then it’s a handful.

Wednesday the 5th is the standout. Morning brings a 15ft S swell at 12 seconds, with a SSW wind at 25 mph, and the combined energy is a massive 6215 – that’s very strong. The forecast says it’s too big for this break, and honestly, for a point break that’s a serious call. This is for the top-end crew only. The afternoon drops to 13ft, but still not for the faint-hearted. Thursday the 6th still has size, with 10ft and 7ft swells, but the wind stays fresh and cross-off.

Friday the 7th morning is a beautiful moment. The swell drops to 6ft from the SSE at 10 seconds, and the wind turns glassy from the north at 3 mph. Combined energy is 920 – moderate. That’s clean, glassy surf, and for a point break that’s about as good as it gets. The afternoon turns onshore, so get in early. Saturday the 8th is another solid option with a 6ft SSE swell at 12 seconds, light NW cross-off wind, and energy of 1135. The morning is excellent for experienced surfers, and the afternoon stays clean and fun.

After that, it tails off. Sunday the 9th has a small 4ft swell with light offshore wind, so it’s clean but small. Monday the 10th morning is similar, but by the afternoon it turns poor. From Tuesday the 11th all the way through to Saturday the 15th, it’s a grim run. The swell drops to 3ft and under, winds are onshore and strong, and the energy is weak – below 250. The water might be a bit cold, but that’s the least of your worries. The surf is poor, and there’s nothing to recommend.

Sunday the 16th brings a slight pulse back, with a 5ft NE swell at 6 seconds – short period, so it’s not the best shape – but the wind is moderate and cross-off. The energy is 329, weak. The following Monday and Tuesday offer some small clean waves, but nothing to get excited about. The best of the whole run is without a doubt Wednesday the 5th for the big-swell adrenaline junkies, and Friday the 7th morning for the cleaner, more manageable session.

Rusty.

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