Last Chance Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.00° S 177.90° E

Last Chance Sea Temperature and Wetsuit Guide

Issued: 12 am 06 Nov 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is
15.1°C
0.3° 

Last Chance surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.

Today's Last Chance sea temperature is 15.1 °C

(Normal for this time of year (within 0.3° of average))

Mean: 15.4 °C
Range: 14.0 °C to 16.9 °C
Statistics for 06 Nov (1981–2005)

    Today, many surfers would wear a spring wetsuit.

    Sunny with pleasantly warm air temperatures (feels like 24 °C) at Last Chance, yet the sea remains several degrees colder than the air. Most surfers will need a spring wetsuit though a summer suit or even a shorty may suffice for a short session.

    New Zealand Sea Water Temperature

    Map of current New Zealand
    Surface Water Temperatures

    (based on measurements from oceanographic satellites)
    New Zealand Water Temperature Anomaly

    Map of current New Zealand
    Sea Water Temperature Anomalies

    (compared with long term averages
    at this time of year)

    click thumbnails to expand

    Below is a graph of Historical Sea Surface Temperature for Last Chance. This has been derived from analysis of two decades of oceanographic satellite measurements of nearby open water. We have calculated the average water temperature variation around the year as well as the extremes that have been observed on each date.

    Last Chance Water Temperature Graph

    All of the graphs for the surf breaks presented on Surf-Forecast.com are on the same scale to enable comparison between locations around the world.

    Last Chance sea water temperatures peak in the range 18 to 21°C (64 to 70°F) on around the 7th of February and are at their lowest on about the 27th of August, in the range 13 to 14°C (55 to 57°F). The warmest Last Chance sea water temperatures in the first part of February require something like a 3/2mm fully sealed wetsuit. The lowest sea water temperatures at Last Chance in the last days of August are ideally suited to a 4/3mm wetsuit + 3mm boots, although a 5/3mm wetsuit may be preferable for longer sessions and cold windy days.

    Actual sea surface water temperatures close to shore at Last Chance can vary by several degrees compared with these open water averages. This is especially true after heavy rain, close to river mouths or after long periods of strong offshore winds. Offshore winds cause colder deep water to replace surface water that has been warmed by the sun. Air temperature, wind-chill and sunshine should also be considered before deciding on the kind of wetsuit needed to stay warm when surfing at Last Chance. Refer to our detailed weather forecasts for this information.

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