Rolling Stones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, the first couple of days are a write-off. Tuesday afternoon is pretty junky – we’ve got a small 4ft south swell but that east-northeast wind is throwing some chop in the water at Rolling Stones, and the energy reading is nothing to write home about (354). Honestly, you’re not missing much. Wednesday morning is clean but tiny – 3ft – even though that west-northwest breeze is doing us a favour. It’s surfable but very ordinary, and the afternoon goes downhill with the easterly cross-shore.

There’s a real flat spell in the middle of the week. Thursday morning is still pretty weak with just 3ft, and even though the north-northwest wind is offshore and clean, it’s not worth getting too excited about. Friday rolls in with a bit more energy (422) but the cross-wind kills it, and the swell drops back to 3ft. Saturday is a bit of a tease – we see a pulse of 5ft south-southwest but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s messy and crossed up. The afternoon clean up at 4ft is better, but the conditions are just average.

Then the main event arrives. Monday the 21st is the standout of this whole outlook. Rolling Stones is looking firing – 8ft of south swell with a proper 12-second period, and we’re talking glass conditions, a light west-northwest breeze, clean as anything. The energy reading is huge (2275) – that’s serious, powerful groundswell pushing in. This is expert territory for sure, double overhead plus, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the session to chase. It’s on a reef, fairly exposed, and the south direction is exactly what this spot wants. Crowds are sometimes a factor here, and given how good Monday morning looks, expect some company. The afternoon drops a bit to 7ft but stays clean with a north-east cross-off, though the tide might muck around with it.

Tuesday the 22nd is a letdown – back down to 3ft, clean but weak. The energy is flat again (222), and we’re just paddling around. Wednesday the 23rd turns rough: strong south-southwest winds, onshore, 6ft in the morning jumping to 12ft in the afternoon with rain squalls. That’s a mess, too big and too blown out. Not a paddle session – more like a kite-surfing day honestly.

Thursday the 24th is still over-sized and lumpy. The morning is 10ft but cross-shore and chunky – tide-dependant, not great. The afternoon backs off to 7ft but it’s onshore and questionable. By Friday the 25th we’re down to a cleaner 4ft south swell in the morning, light west wind making it tidy, and the energy is moderate (440). It’s okay, one for the logs or a fun shortboard if you’re not fussy, but nothing to plan a trip around.

From Saturday the 26th onwards, it fades. Small swell, cross-shore winds, mostly ordinary or poor. There’s a tiny 1ft bump on Monday the 28th with a very long 19-second period – that’s too straight for a beach break, better at a point or reef, but Rolling Stones is a reef so it might wrap a little, but it’s just too small to be fun.

Now, late in the window, around Tuesday the 29th and Wednesday the 30th, there’s another pulse brewing. The 29th afternoon pushes 6ft south-west swell with 15 seconds and the energy climbs (1414), but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – not clean enough. Wednesday the 30th looks better: 5ft in the morning, south swell, 15 seconds, light north-west cross-off – clean and with decent push. The afternoon jumps to 7ft with S swell and 16 seconds and the energy is right up there (2287). Winds are moderate west cross-off, clean again. That’s a promising late-week run, but it’s still over a week away, so treat it as “looking good” rather than “booked in.” Could be a solid session on the reef if it cooperates.

Water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is about 2°F colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that sting, so bring the rubber.

There’s some real quality buried in there – Monday the 21st is the pick of the whole forecast, and Wednesday the 30th afternoon could be the second act if the forecast holds. Keep an eye on the tides and be ready to move. This is a reef break, so it’s all about the right tide and clean wind. For now, the early week looks average, the middle is blown out or flat, but that Monday... that’s the one.

Rusty

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