Rolling Stones Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. First up, the long-range picture. We’ve got a stretch of days ahead that’s all about waiting for the right windows. There’s some lumpy, messy stuff early on that’s not worth your time, but if you’re patient, there are a couple of proper sessions hiding in there. The standouts are later in the period, so don’t write the whole run off just yet.

Monday the 14th kicks things off, but it’s not pretty. Rolling Stones (Big Island) is seeing 6ft of south swell with a cross-on breeze. The energy is moderate-strong (1149), but that wind is just chopping it up. It’s a pass.

Tuesday the 15th is where you start to see a glimmer. Morning session at Rolling Stones has cleaner conditions, a cross-off breeze, and the swell drops to 5ft from the south. Energy is moderate (481). It’s surfable, but not the big one. The afternoon sees the wind pick up, so the morning is the call.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are pretty small. The swell drops under 3ft, and the energy is weak (138-167). It’s marginal at best. You’d be scratching for sloppy little ones. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

Then Friday the 18th brings a pulse, but it’s a messy one. The swell jumps to 10ft-12ft, but it’s coming with a strong cross-onshore breeze and short, lumpy period. The energy is strong (1084-2437), but it’s a washing machine. This one’s for the kitesurfers, not the paddle crew.

Saturday the 19th cleans up nicely. The swell backs down to 6ft from the SSE, and the wind goes cross-off. Energy is moderate (637). It’s a fun, clean day. This is a good window before the next bit of junk.

Sunday the 20th is a write-off with rain and choppy onshores. Small and messy. Don’t bother.

Now, the good stuff. Monday the 21st is a highlight. The morning has 5ft of south swell, clean with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (985). It’s a solid, clean session and a real standout for the first week. The afternoon gets a bit weird with a long-period swell (16s) that might be a bit fat, but the morning is the one.

After that, Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd get rough and big again. The swell builds to 15ft by Wednesday afternoon. It’s powerful (6167 energy) but it’s onshore and lumpy. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it looks like a mess. If you’re not an elite charger, stay well clear.

Thursday the 24th is still big, 10ft-12ft, but the wind goes cross-off. It’s cleaner than the day before, but still heavy and demanding. The energy is strong (2184). This is for the experienced crew only.

Friday the 25th backs off a bit, but the conditions are poor. Not worth it.

Then, the final standout arrives on Tuesday the 29th. This is the one. Rolling Stones has 6ft of south swell, glassy conditions, and a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (1700). It’s clean, it’s lined up, and it’s got proper power. This is the pick of the whole 16 days. The forecast says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I’d agree. The swell direction matches the optimum, and with no wind, it’s going to be a beautiful, clean session. The crowd pressure might be a thing, but with waves like that, you take it.

So, to sum it up: the first week is patchy, with Saturday 19th and Monday morning 21st as your best bets. The second week is bigger, wilder, but the real gem is Tuesday morning the 29th. That one’s worth waiting for. It’s a long way out, so we’ll see how it pans out, but it’s got all the ingredients.

Rusty

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