
Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Centre surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 22s period, SSE swell with 2,308 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Centre this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Centre over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Centre in the next 16 days are 1.6m 22s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 22s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Centre over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. The main spot this fortnight is Makorori Centre, a beach and reef setup that handles an exposed SE swell. The water temp is sitting at 14°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start to be honest. The first decent chance rolls in Thursday morning the 16th – small clean 0.6m waves from the ESE with a 15-second period, but a moderate offshore is blowing at 20 km/h. The energy is moderate (182), but it’s not exactly firing. It gets better Thursday arvo as the wind drops to a gentle 15 km/h cross-off, with the swell bumping to 0.7m and a very long 18-second period, energy jumping to 366. Glassy clean conditions – a good sign for a sneaky session.
Friday morning the 17th is where it starts to get real. A solid 1.4m ESE groundswell with a 16-second period and a light 10 km/h offshore from the NW. The energy is strong (1056), and the forecast is for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the first week – clean, powerful, long-period lines. Friday arvo gets a bit messy with a light cross-on, so go early.
Saturday the 18th keeps the goods rolling. Clear skies, 1.3m ESE swell, 14-second period. The morning is clean with a gentle 15 km/h offshore; the afternoon goes glassy with no wind at all – 5 km/h from the NNE – making for pristine, smooth waves. Energy is strong (1151 in the arvo). Another top contender.
Sunday the 19th has a solid 1.4m SSE groundswell with a very long 18-second period for the morning, clean with a 10 km/h cross-off. Energy is very strong at 1541. It’s still expert territory, but the quality is there. The afternoon turns choppy with a cross-on, so get out early.
Monday the 20th drops a bit to 0.9m SSE swell, but the conditions are lovely – morning offshore and glassy in the afternoon. Moderate energy (725). Clean lines, not big, but fun.
Tuesday the 21st is a write-off with rain showers and strong cross-shore winds up to 25 km/h. Choppy and poor. Wednesday the 22nd is clean in the morning with a light offshore and 1.1m SSE swell, but the period drops to 14 seconds. Decent, not a standout.
From Thursday the 23rd through to the end of July, it fades significantly. Tiny swell, weak energy (below 200 most days), and only occasional clean windows. The 26th of July sees a bump of 1.6m from the S with a short 7-second period and moderate 20 km/h cross-off wind – but the quality is marginal. Sunday the 27th has a 1.0m SSE swell, but again the conditions are average. The last few days of July and into the 31st show some signs of life: a 1.0m ESE swell on the morning of the 31st with a clean 10 km/h offshore, energy moderate (533). It’s a decent way to close out the run, but nothing like that Friday the 17th or Saturday the 18th.
So the standout: Friday morning the 17th of July. That 1.4m ESE swell with a 16-second period and light offshore wind is the pick of the entire outlook. A close second is Saturday the 18th afternoon when it goes completely glassy on a still solid 1.3m swell. Both are for experienced surfers only.
Crowds are possible at Makorori Centre. It’s a known spot. Get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSE 21 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
172 | 273 | 779 | 1029 | 1093 | 880 | 722 | 586 | 2203 | 1215 | 928 | 527 | 376 | 289 | 880 | 1038 | 928 | 671 | 472 | 352 | 175 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 7:23PM1.72m | 7:48AM1.58m | 8:18PM1.70m | 8:44AM1.56m | 9:11PM1.67m | 9:39AM1.52m | 10:04PM1.61m | 10:33AM1.49m | 10:55PM1.54m | 11:25AM1.44m | 11:45PM1.47m | 12:16PM1.40m | 00:34AM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:06PM-0.02m | 1:45AM0.01m | 2:03PM-0.02m | 2:41AM0.01m | 2:58PM0.01m | 3:35AM0.02m | 3:52PM0.06m | 4:26AM0.06m | 4:44PM0.12m | 5:16AM0.11m | 5:35PM0.19m | 6:04AM0.16m | 6:26PM0.25m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SSE 21 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 |
172 | 273 | 779 | 1029 | 1093 | 880 | 722 | 586 | 2203 | 1215 | 928 | 527 | 376 | 289 | 880 | 1038 | 928 | 671 | 472 | 352 | 175 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | E 13 | S 16 | SSE 5 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 6 |
4 | 87 | 20 | 8 | 62 | 140 | 183 | 140 | 440 | 326 | 317 | 230 | 161 | 158 | 115 | 70 | 50 | 132 | 65 | 43 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 18 | SW 10 | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 19 | S 24 | S 10 | — | — | — | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | S 19 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 113 | 29 | 425 | 123 | — | — | — | 188 | 229 | 439 | — | 70 | 37 | 20 | 21 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 171 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Centre Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Centre provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Centre can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Centre surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Centre) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Centre may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Centre, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 12 km (7 miles) away.










