
Surf Forecasts:
Makorori Centre surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, ESE swell with 1,199 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makorori Centre this week:
The surf forecast for Makorori Centre over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Makorori Centre in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makorori Centre over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Makorori Centre. It’s a beach and reef setup that needs a solid SE swell to really fire, and it’s an advanced spot that’s very consistent.
Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th have tiny, weak energy―only around 159 and 65 combined energy―with knee-high to ankle-high surf. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 15th is even smaller, though Wednesday afternoon turns glassy with that ESE breeze, but with only 1ft on offer, it’s more of a float than a surf.
Thursday the 16th starts to show some life. The morning has a 2ft groundswell from ESE with a 15-second period and a clean offshore WNW wind, but the energy is still weak (141). The real kicker comes Thursday afternoon: that same ESE groundswell jumps to 2ft, the period stretches to a very long 18 seconds, and the combined energy hits 342 (moderate). With a light offshore from the NW, it goes clean. This is a promising window for the reef, as long-period swells love points and reefs. A bit small, but the quality will be there for a skilled surfer.
Now, Friday the 17th is the standout of the whole outlook. Morning brings a clean 5ft ESE groundswell with a 16-second period, light offshore from the WNW, and the combined energy is a solid 993 (moderate-strong). That’s proper, powerful surf. The afternoon gets a touch bigger at 5ft but the wind swings cross-on from the ESE, putting a bit of a wrinkle on the face. Still, the morning session on Friday is the pick of the week―clean, strong, and with that long-period punch. It’s just under the 8ft mark, so still manageable for advanced surfers, but beginners would be out of their depth.
Saturday the 18th holds similar size in the morning with 4ft and a cross-off WNW breeze, energy at 967. Good again, but afternoon gets onshore and choppy.
Sunday the 19th morning offers another beauty: 3ft but with an 18-second very long period SSE groundswell, and the energy is up at 1133 (strong). Clean with a cross-off WNW wind. This will be lined-up and gorgeous on the reef, but watch the sets―they’ll be powerful and wide-spaced. Afternoon goes onshore.
From Monday the 20th through to the 28th, the forecast turns poor. Strong onshore winds, rain, and messy conditions dominate. There’s a pulse on Monday the 20th morning of 5ft S swell with short 7-second period and cross-on wind, energy at 786 (moderate)―but it’s choppy and not worth it. By Tuesday and Wednesday the 21st and 22nd, we’ve got fresh to strong onshore winds, rain, and lumpy surf. The combined energy hits 2678 on Tuesday morning (very strong) but it’s blown-out, onshore, and a mess. Honestly, this stretch from the 20th to the 28th looks more like a storm-watch than a surf session. For paddle surfing, it’s a write-off. If you’ve got a kite, those strong onshore days might be worth a look.
To sum it up: the best surf is Friday the 17th morning, with that clean 5ft, 16-second groundswell and offshore breeze. Sunday the 19th morning is a close second for the longer-period quality. After that, it’s a long gap of poor conditions right through to the end of the month. The water temperature is currently about 58°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
Stay patient, keep an eye on the wind shifts, and when that Friday morning window opens up, get out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 70 | 58 | 29 | 37 | 34 | 40 | 21 | 56 | 126 | 249 | 761 | 966 | 1199 | 1067 | 732 | 603 | 440 | 547 | 547 | 350 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:30PM1.62m | 4:54AM1.55m | 5:29PM1.67m | 5:53AM1.57m | 6:27PM1.70m | 6:51AM1.58m | 7:23PM1.72m | 7:48AM1.58m | 8:18PM1.70m | 8:44AM1.56m | 9:11PM1.67m | 9:39AM1.52m | 10:04PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:10AM0.06m | 10:47PM0.11m | 11:09AM0.02m | 11:48PM0.07m | 12:08PM-0.01m | 00:47AM0.04m | 1:06PM-0.02m | 1:45AM0.01m | 2:03PM-0.02m | 2:41AM0.01m | 2:58PM0.01m | 3:35AM0.02m | 3:52PM0.06m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 |
100 | 70 | 58 | 26 | 37 | 34 | 40 | 21 | 56 | 126 | 249 | 761 | 966 | 1199 | 1067 | 732 | 603 | 440 | 269 | 547 | 350 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | E 12 | S 9 | ESE 12 | S 19 | S 17 | E 13 | S 16 | S 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | S 22 | SSE 18 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
59 | 51 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 87 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 507 | 235 | 138 | 361 | 547 | 261 | 187 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 11 | SSE 9 | ESE 10 | E 13 | NE 4 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | E 22 | S 18 | SSW 9 | S 16 | S 19 | S 15 | — | S 24 | SSE 9 | S 21 | SSE 22 | — |
— | 5 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 446 | — | 12 | 70 | 317 | 47 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 |
— | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 85 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Makorori Centre Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Makorori Centre provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makorori Centre can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makorori Centre surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makorori Centre) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makorori Centre may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Makorori Centre, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 12 km (7 miles) away.










