Surf Forecasts:
Blacks Reef surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, S swell with 8,216 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blacks Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Blacks Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blacks Reef in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 18ft (5.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blacks Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here again, let's talk about Blacks Reef in terms you might be more used to.
It's a rough opening act, honestly. The start of the period is a total loss. Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th are getting hammered by strong onshore winds and a big, unruly swell. We're talking 10ft to 15ft of Southern Ocean mess with a crazy amount of energy (2935 to 5955). That's not surfing, that's a survival drill. Unless you love a beating, give it a miss.
Thursday the 20th sees the swell start to drop, but it's still messy with a cross-onshore wind. The energy is still high (1092 to 1826), but the conditions are only marginal.
Now, here's the one to circle. Friday the 21st of August is your window. It's not the biggest day, with waves around 5ft to 5ft from the South, but the wind goes completely glassy in the afternoon. That 16-second period is a proper, long-period groundswell, which on a reef like this should set up beautifully. The water is a bit colder than average at 54°, so you'll want the thick wetsuit, but with clean conditions and a solid pulse of energy (1396), it's going to be excellent for experienced surfers. That morning kicks off clean with a light offshore, too, so the whole day is worth the effort. Crowds are likely here, but for quality like that, it's worth sharing the takeoff zone.
Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd drop right off. The swell gets tiny, under 3ft, and the cross-shore wind ruins whatever's left. Not worth the paddle.
Early the next week, Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th see a little bump of S/SSW swell returning, around 4ft to 5ft, and the winds are kind with light offshores. The energy is moderate (181 to 811), so it's surfable and clean, but nothing to get too worked up about.
There's a potential second window late in the outlook. Wednesday the 26th of August shows a bigger pulse of 7ft to 8ft S swell, with a 15-second period and the wind holding cross-offshore. The energy is strong at 2440, but the forecast for the conditions is only marginal. It could be a little raw. The following days, Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th, get blown out again by strong onshore winds.
By Sunday the 30th of August, it looks like it might clean right up. The morning is looking glassy with a 6ft S swell (energy 754) – that's a promising setup, but it's a long way out. After that, we're back into onshore wind and small dribble.
To sum it up: Friday the 21st is your standout by a long shot. Clean, lined-up, groundswell. The wave energy is strong (2935) midweek but it's poor quality. There might be a smaller but clean window early the next week, and maybe another glassy morning on the 30th, but those are less certain.
Keep the wax warm for Friday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Tue night, moderate winds from the SW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 8 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2457 | 1601 | 1399 | 1261 | 3345 | 8216 | 5680 | 4369 | 3944 | 1585 | 941 | 316 | 544 | 1317 | 768 | 300 | 220 | 116 | 73 | 48 | 29 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | on |
High Tide | 9:21PM1.76m | 9:46AM1.75m | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:33AM1.72m | 10:59PM1.67m | 11:22AM1.67m | 11:48PM1.62m | 12:14PM1.62m | 00:35AM1.57m | 1:06PM1.58m | 1:22AM1.51m | 1:56PM1.54m | 2:10AM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:09PM0.20m | 3:39AM0.22m | 4:01PM0.28m | 4:27AM0.30m | 4:51PM0.34m | 5:15AM0.36m | 5:41PM0.40m | 6:03AM0.41m | 6:30PM0.44m | 6:49AM0.45m | 7:20PM0.47m | 7:35AM0.46m | 8:10PM0.48m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 15 | ESE 13 | S 15 | S 14 | SE 8 | S 13 | S 8 | S 12 | S 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
128 | 112 | 71 | 268 | 263 | 23 | 18 | 1180 | 3944 | 229 | 941 | 316 | 544 | 1317 | 768 | 300 | 220 | 116 | 73 | 48 | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | E 10 | — | E 10 | — | — | — | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | SE 8 | S 12 | S 16 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 |
350 | 200 | — | 45 | — | — | — | 406 | 288 | 12 | 126 | 144 | 333 | 79 | 45 | 15 | 15 | 44 | 32 | 33 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | — | S 18 | S 17 | SE 10 | — | SE 16 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | NE 14 | E 13 | S 17 | S 17 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 127 | — | 25 | 92 | 94 | — | 10 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | — | S 13 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | WNW 4 | NW 2 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 5 |
2457 | 1601 | 1399 | 1261 | 3345 | 8216 | 5680 | 4369 | — | 1585 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 91 | 91 | 75 | 114 | 419 | 169 | 89 | 91 | 79 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 9 | 33 | 139 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Blacks Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blacks Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blacks Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blacks Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blacks Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blacks Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Blacks Reef is 50 km (31 miles) from the city of Gisborne. If you plan a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gisborne. Gisborne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











