Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag around here, and we’ve got to pick our moments. The ocean’s going to fire up at times, but there are some solid windows of junk to get through as well.

We start things off on Wednesday the 12th, but it's nothing to write home about. There’s some bumpy, cross-off wind with a lumpy 5ft SE swell at ten seconds, but it’s pretty marginal. The water’s running a touch cold for this time of year, a bit below average, so you’ll want the rubber either way. We’ll see some cleaner conditions move in as we head into Thursday the 13th. The morning looks the pick of the day with a light offshore and a clean 3ft SE swell. It's not big, but it'll be tidy. The afternoon drops off in size and quality.

Friday the 14th is pretty weak. The morning has a small 1ft groundswell, but it’s clean with a gentle offshore, so if you’re desperate for a couple of knee-slappers on the longboard, you might find something. The afternoon stays small.

Now listen, this is where it starts to get interesting. Saturday the 15th has some proper pulse in the water. The morning sees the swell jump to 6ft from the east with a moderate cross-off wind, and it’s got some energy to it. The afternoon cleans right up with the wind going glassy and the swell holding a solid 6ft. That's the best of the first week, no doubt. Clean, punchy, and the reef will be working.

But hold on, because Sunday the 16th is when it turns ugly. A strong SW wind swings in onshore, blowing out a building 10ft to 13ft swell. That’s just a mess. It’s too big for the beginners, and the conditions will be poor. This junk persists through Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th with strong onshores and huge, messy surf. At this point, with that much wind and swell, you’re better off looking at a kite than a surfboard, to be honest.

Here’s the standout, and it’s a week out, so mark your calendar for Wednesday the 19th. The morning shows a massive 15ft S groundswell with a long 16-second period, and even though the wind is a bit cross-on, it’s light. The combined energy is huge, really strong. Now, this spot is a reef, and this is a serious size. Over 8ft is experts-only territory, and this is pushing nearly double that. It could be one of those days you tell stories about, but it’s only for the boldest chargers. The afternoon stays big, but the wind swings onshore and it gets messy again.

Thursday the 20th sees the swell back down to a manageable 8ft with a long 12-second period and light winds. It’s still got some size, so it's not a learner's day, but for the experienced crew, the morning has some potential. The afternoon is similar, with a bit more onshore wind. Friday the 21st eases off further to 6ft, and it’s clean enough with light winds, but it's nothing special.

The second week is smaller and more about clean windows. Saturday the 22nd brings some glassy conditions in the morning with a 4ft south groundswell. It won’t be big, but it’ll be pretty. Sunday the 23rd is similar, with a tiny 2ft swell and glassy morning conditions. After that, the size fades out. From Monday the 24th through the end of the window, we’re looking at small, knee-to-waist high leftovers, with some clean morning windows mid-week, but nothing that’s going to get your heart racing. There’s barely any energy left by the 25th. A couple of these days are clean, but they are pretty weak.

So, in a nutshell: get on it Saturday the 15th for the fun, clean waves. The real standout is the massive groundswell on Wednesday the 19th, but that’s a proper big-wave day for experts only. Everything else in the first week is either blown out or small. The second week is for the patient ones on the longboards.

Rusty.

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