Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what we can expect over the coming weeks at Blacks Reef. It’s a real mixed bag of a forecast, so strap in.

We’ve got a decent run of surf kicking off this Saturday the 8th. The swell’s been building, and we’re looking at a solid 7ft southerly groundswell with a 12-second period pushing through. The wave energy is strong (1263), but this isn’t for everyone – 7ft is pushing it for beginners, and that long period means it’ll be stacking up nicely on this reef, but staying a bit straight at beaches. The wind is a light NW cross-off, so it’s going to be clean. This is the best option on offer for now. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Sunday the 9th sees the swell drop, but it’s still fun. Saturday morning’s 4ft southerly with an 11-second period and a clean offshore N wind. Sunday afternoon gets lower to 3ft but that 13-second period keeps the shape good. Still, the better window is Saturday.

We hit a real flat spot from Monday the 10th through most of the following week. The swell drops right off, with weak energy (190 or less) and poor conditions. The winds get messy. There’s a few small windows – like Wednesday the 12th morning with 2ft and a clean offshore – but it’s barely worth paddling out. This gap is about four days of very ordinary surf at this break.

Now, hold on to your board for the second week. Starting Sunday the 16th, it gets properly serious. The swell jumps to 10ft on Sunday, but the wind is howling onshore at 22 mph – it’s a washing machine. Not for surfing. On Monday the 17th, it’s a massive 13ft southerly swell with a 10-second period. The wave energy is extreme (5422). The wind is a cross-on, so it’s a bit messy, but this is for absolute experts only. It’s massive. Tuesday the 18th, you’ve got 12ft and a 15-second period on the morning, which is very long period – better on this reef than a beach. But again, big. Wednesday and Thursday of that week also see oversized swell, hitting 18ft on the morning of the 20th. All of it is for experts only.

The very end of the outlook, on Sunday the 23rd, we get a glimmer of hope. A 6ft southerly swell with a 9-second period, but the best part is the glassy NW wind. That’s clean and a good size for more experienced surfers. It’s a long way off, but a promising finish to the run.

To sum it up: this Saturday is your best and only real standout for the first week. The second week is all about massive, expert-only swell. Don’t be a hero unless you know what you’re doing.

Rusty

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