Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. We’re looking at a real mixed forecast for Blacks Reef over the next couple of weeks. The first bunch of days are just average – small, messy waves and wind that’s not helping. But don’t get bummed out. There’s one session that’s a proper standout you’ll want to circle on the calendar: Monday the 21st. Before that, we gotta pay our dues.

Tuesday 15th afternoon is your first chance to paddle out, but it’s more of a warm-up. You got a clean 4ft south swell at 10 seconds, with a cross-off breeze. The combined energy is moderate (354). It’s not firing. Water temp is 55°, which is a good 2° colder than average for this time – bring the thick rubber.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th drop down to around 3ft – 3ft. Winds are okay, mostly cross-off, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. The energy is weak (155-178 feet). Surfable but very ordinary.

Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th see a little more energy (411 and 422 feet), but the wind turns cross-on and the period drops to 6-7 seconds. That’s choppy, short-period junk. Not worth your time.

Sunday the 20th gets messy. Morning has a fresh 22 mph cross-on wind ruining a 4ft south swell. By the afternoon, we’re looking at 8ft of onshore slop with a period of 8 seconds – that’s a big, ugly mess. The energy is strong (1048 feet), but it’s blown out.

Now for the gold. Monday the 21st of September is the real deal. The morning session is your standout window. We’re talking a solid 8ft south swell with a nice 12-second period – that’s groundswell. The combined energy is massive (2275 feet). But the real story is the wind: glassy conditions, dead calm, offshore from the WNW at just 3 mph. That’s perfection. This swell is for experienced surfers only (over 8ft), and because it’s long-period south swell at a reef, it’ll be stacking up clean and powerful. Crowds are *often* an issue here, so get in before dawn.

The afternoon of the 21st is still good with a 7ft swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but the morning is the winner.

Tuesday the 22nd morning drops to 3ft but keeps that glassy wind – a nice little clean-up session.

From Wednesday the 23rd through the 26th, we get another sloppy run. Strong onshore winds and a huge, stormy 12ft swell on Wednesday afternoon is just dangerous. Stay out.

Sunday the 27th of September morning offers a little hope – a clean 3ft south swell with a light offshore N wind at 9 mph. The energy is moderate (243 feet), so it’s a fun little window for the crew on logs.

Towards the tail end, Tuesday the 29th afternoon looks interesting. A 6ft south-west swell rolls in with a very long 15-second period (energy 1414 feet), and a gentle cross-shore wind. A nice late pulse of groundswell. Wednesday the 30th morning hangs in with 5ft and a cross-off breeze.

So the main event is Monday morning the 21st. Get it while the wind is off and the sets are stacking. The rest is a mix of small clean days and blown-out messes. Stay tuned for that last little pulse.

- Rusty

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