Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've got a look at the local surf outlook for Blacks Reef. We've got a forecast that's a bit of a slow burn, with a lot of nasty weather to get through before the good stuff shows up.

The whole run starts off pretty grim. From this Sunday, the 16th, right through to Wednesday the 19th, we're seeing a mix of light rain, cloud, and strong, onshore winds. The swell is actually pumping, with heights pushing 13 ft to 16 ft from the S and SSW, and the combined energy is massive, hitting 6939 at one point. But with the wind howling straight onshore at 19-25 mph, it's just a churned-up mess. This is purely for the experts, and even then, it's a tough paddle. The water is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

We finally get a bit of a break on Thursday the 20th. The wind eases, but it's still a cross-on breeze, and the 8 ft swell from the S is a bit lumpy. It's marginal, but the options open up on Friday the 21st. That morning is still a bit iffy, but by Friday afternoon, we get a taste of what's to come. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the N, the swell is a clean 6 ft from the S, and the period stretches out to 16 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, and with the wind cleaning it up, it will be excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (1842), and it's the first real standout.

Saturday the 22nd keeps that clean vibe with light cross-offshore winds, but the swell drops to 3-4 ft. It's still clean, but the energy is dropping. From Sunday the 23rd through to Tuesday the 25th, the swell fades out to almost nothing, with energy values down in the double digits. It's a bit of a flat spell.

Then, on Wednesday the 26th, things get interesting again. We've got a clean 7 ft swell from the S, with a 10-second period and a light offshore breeze from the NNE. The energy is a solid 881, and it's looking like very good surf. This is your second standout window. The winds stay favourable through Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th, with a clean 4 ft swell and a very long 16-second period on Friday. That long period is great for Blacks Reef, as it's a reef setup that will handle it well.

The final weekend is a bit of a write-off again, with strong onshore winds and a big, messy 7 ft swell coming in on Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th. That's mostly for the kites, not a paddle.

So, the best on offer is Friday the 21st afternoon with that 6 ft, 16-second groundswell and clean conditions, and then Wednesday the 26th with the 7 ft swell and light offshore. Get out there for those windows.

Rusty.

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