Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it's Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Mother Nature's got cookin' for Blacks Reef. Now, it's a quiet start, so we're waiting a little bit for the real action to kick in. But when it does? Hoo boy, we've got a couple of proper standouts.

First thing's first, that water temp is sitting around 56°, which is a bit colder than what we'd usually expect for this time of year. You'll definitely want a decent wetsuit.

The real magic starts brewing on Thursday the 16th. Thursday afternoon we've got a 3ft swell rolling in from the ESE with a 17-second period. That is some proper long-period groundswell, which is going to wrap into the reef beautifully. Combined wave energy is strong (546). The wind goes glassy in the afternoon, so you're looking at perfect, clean conditions. For a reef break, that's about as good as it gets if you can read the long lines.

But the absolute standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday the 17th. Both morning and afternoon are going to be firing. Swell jumps to 5ft and 6ft from the SE, with a very long 16-second period, giving us a massive combined energy of 1318 in the morning and 1783 in the arvo. The winds are glassy all day. This is expert territory at over 5ft, so leave the soft-top at home, but for anyone who knows what they're doing, it's going to be cranking. The crowd situation is marked as "often", so expect a few familiar faces out there, and it'll be worth the paddle.

Saturday the 18th is still looking excellent, with 5ft and 5ft swell. The afternoon session looks the pick of the two with glassy conditions again. This is a solid run of good days.

Sunday the 19th keeps up the quality, but keep an eye on that wind shift. The morning is clean with a 4ft S swell and a massive 18-second period, giving us 1800 energy points. The afternoon gets a bit messy with onshore wind, so get out early.

Now, after that, things get a bit gnarly. Monday the 20th is still surfable with clean conditions in the afternoon, but the real story is the wind. From the 21st of July onwards, we're looking at some serious weather moving in. Strong cross-winds and onshores up to 18-22 mph make conditions pretty ugly for about a week, with only small, choppy waves on offer. The swell stays up, but it's just not going to be surfable.

We do see a little lifeline right at the end of the forecast. By Tuesday the 29th and Wednesday the 30th, the wind drops off to a glassy calm, and we get some small, clean 2ft to 2ft S swell. It's not going to blow your socks off, but after a rough week, it'll be nice to get a board wet again in some clean conditions.

So, for the whole 16-day run: you've got a cracking window from Thursday the 16th through to Sunday the 19th. Friday is your top-tier day for experienced surfers. The rest is a bit of a mixed bag, but there's some hope right at the end.

Stay stoked, stay safe.
Rusty

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