Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blacks Reef has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a monster of a swell rolling in on Tuesday the 1st. We’re talking a solid 12ft from the SSW with a combined swell energy of (5907) – that’s serious power. But here’s the rub: that’s way too much juice for this spot. It’s going to be a washing machine, especially with a cross-on breeze. Tuesday afternoon cleans up a bit wind-wise, but the swell is still massive at 10ft. This is expert territory only, and even then, it’s a handful.

The real standout window starts to shape up from Wednesday the 2nd morning. We get a drop to a still-chunky 8ft from the S, but the wind swings offshore from the NNW. The water is running a bit colder than normal for this time of year at 54°, which is notable, but the conditions are set to be clean and excellent for experienced surfers. That 14-second period gives the swell real grunt, and it holds into the afternoon with light ENE winds. That Wednesday afternoon session is the pick of the first week – 8ft S swell, long 17-second period, glassing off, and the energy is pumping (4137). This is groundswell perfection for a reef setup like this.

Thursday the 3rd is still very good. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, period stays long at 13 seconds, and we’ve got clean, cross-off winds. Good shape, solid energy (976). By Friday the 4th, it’s all but over, dropping below 3ft and fizzling out over the weekend into a flat spell with barely a ripple.

We do have another pulse showing up around Tuesday the 8th, but it’s a repeat of the first: a dangerous 15ft SSW swell with a brutal (10303) energy reading. Again, way too big for this break, and it’s blowing directly onshore. That pattern continues into Wednesday the 9th with 10ft S swells, but the wind goes clear and cross-off in the afternoon, making it look clean though still big. Thursday the 10th has a standout morning with a nice 7ft from the SSE, light offshore winds, and very good conditions. The afternoon goes glassy – flat calm – with 6ft SSE swell. That’s a session for the log or a step-up, depending on your style.

We cruise through some nice, clean, smaller surf into the second week. Saturday the 12th has fun 5ft SE swell with light offshores. By Sunday the 13th morning, we get another glassy window with 4ft from the SSE – clean as a whistle. The real cherry on top, though, is Wednesday the 16th morning. We get a return of a solid 10ft S swell with a long 16-second period, and it’s glassy. Combined energy is a meaty (4028). That is the one to circle on the calendar, but remember, a 10ft S groundswell on a reef is a serious wave. Expect crowds – this spot is often busy.

Overall, for this area, we’ve got two distinct swell windows. The first week peaks on Wednesday the 2nd afternoon for the best combination of size, power, and perfect wind. The second week has a standout glassy morning on Wednesday the 16th for the big-wave crew. The gaps in between are flat or too small to mention. Keep your eye on that Wednesday the 2nd and the 16th – those are the days.

- Rusty

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