Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the surf ahead for Blacks Reef. We're in for a bit of a mixed bag, with some wild ups and downs, so you'll need to pick your moments.

The pattern starts off pretty grim and stays that way for a decent stretch. From Friday the 31st right through to Sunday the 3rd of August, the conditions are a write-off – messy winds, poor surf quality, or just not worth the paddle out. We've got a massive pulse of energy showing up on Saturday the 1st with a combined swell energy of (1539), but the wind is howling straight onshore at 22 mph with rain, making it a total mess. By Sunday the 2nd, the swell is still solid at 10 ft from the S, but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it's going to be choppy. There is some moderate wave energy from a 10 second period on the 3rd (494) but the winds are no good. So, expect a quiet, frustrating start.

Now, things get a bit wild toward the middle of the week. On Tuesday, August 5th, we see a huge jump in ocean energy as the afternoon session looks at a 13 ft swell from the S with a very long period of 15 seconds and the combined energy goes through the roof at (7059). However, the wind is still onshore. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th continue that trend with big solid S swells (10 ft and 7 ft) but persistent onshore and cross-onshore winds. Even though there's plenty of size, the quality is still marginal.

The true standout for the whole outlook, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday the 7th of August. For the morning session, the wind goes totally glassy – dead calm – and we get a clean 4 ft swell from the SSE with a 10 second period. The combined energy sits nicely at (361). It’s a classic reef setup with offshore conditions. The water temp is running about 55°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. This is your window for some genuinely clean, fun waves before the crowds pile in – and this spot can get crowded.

The second week gets quieter again but with a few more clean windows. Around Saturday the 8th of August, we get some cleaner conditions as the wind turns offshore from the N and NE, but the swell drops right back to under 3 ft with a long period (15 seconds), giving a combined energy of (432). It'll be clean but small. Then, around Friday the 14th of August, we get another promising morning with glassy conditions and a solid 6 ft E swell with 11 second period. The combined energy is (781) and the forecast suggests good quality. That's a solid pick for a long-range hopeful. After that, the weekend of the 15th looks clean but small and fading.

So, bottom line: suffer through the early junk, make a beeline for Friday the 7th morning for the best all-round conditions. If you can wait, Friday the 14th morning also looks promising.

Rusty.

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