Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what this next stretch has got for us.

So, the only spot in the mix for this whole period is Blacks Reef. It's a reef break, very consistent and exposed to the south swell. Right off the bat, things are looking pretty flat and average. For the first few days, there's barely any push. We've got tiny waves and ordinary conditions. Honestly, not worth paddling out for. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are a real letdown with small waves, and Monday the 7th is just poor with onshore wind. We're in a bit of a dead zone here.

Things start to get a little more interesting mid-week. Wednesday the 9th is the first real standout. We’ve got a clean 5 ft swell from the SSE with that period at 8 seconds. The real winner here is the wind – glassy in the morning and a nice offshore breeze in the afternoon. That kind of clean, lined-up reef break is what we live for. The combined swell energy is moderate (337), so there’s some decent push. The water is around 55°, which is about average for this time of year.

Now, the second week gets raw but mostly for the wrong reasons. There’s a massive amount of energy flooding in. On Sunday the 13th, we see an 12 ft S swell with a very long 16-second period. That is serious, deep ocean groundswell energy (5888!). Wind is light, so the faces will be clean, but this is expert territory. 12 ft at a reef is no joke. That trend continues Monday the 14th with a 13 ft S swell and Tuesday 15th with 8 ft. It's all big, but the wind is mostly okay. For most of us, it’s gonna be a window licking session.

Further out, Saturday the 19th morning has a 6 ft S swell with the wind flat calm—glass. That’s a beautiful call, with very good conditions expected. Combine that with the low tide, and it's a chance for some truly epic, empty-feeling waves if you time it right.

But hold on… Sunday the 20th is a monster. The forecast is showing an 18 ft S swell with a 17-second period from the far south. That’s 15,873 on the energy scale. The morning is glassy, but it’s just too big. Unless you’re charging with the big boys, it’s a washout. Save your energy.

If there's one window to lock in, it’s Wednesday the 9th. That's your best bet for a fun, manageable, clean session. If you're an experienced surfer, don't sleep on Saturday the 19th morning.

- Rusty

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