Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The coming weeks have a bit of a slow start but there are some nice pulses lined up if you’re patient.

Right now, the first action we see is Tuesday, July 14th, over at Blacks Reef. It’s not going to blow you away – a tiny 2ft S swell with a 12-second period, giving the water a moderate energy (123). The wind is clean offshore from the N though, so what’s there will be glassy and rideable for a beginner. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is only about 2° off the norm, so nothing wild there, just standard cool water. The next few days stay small with mixed conditions, but Wednesday afternoon looks glassy, even if the swell drops to 1ft.

Now, the real story starts to build around Friday, July 17th. We get a jump in size with a 5ft SE swell on Friday morning, swinging up to a beefy 6ft in the afternoon. The period is a long 16 seconds, carrying some proper groundswell energy – combined energy hitting 2699 by Friday afternoon (strong energy). That’s getting a bit big for beginners and only for more experienced surfers with the long period, but the catch here is the wind: it’s onshore or cross-onshore, making things a bit messy. Same story on Saturday – plenty of size and energy (1540 on Saturday morning), but the wind is cross, not clean.

The standout period lands on Monday, July 20th and Tuesday, July 21st. Monday morning brings a 4ft S swell with a long 18-second period, glassy conditions, and an energy of 1445. That’s a quality wave. Tuesday morning is even better: 5ft S swell with a 15-second period, again glassy, energy at 1292. This is the pick of the whole outlook – clean, powerful, and manageable for anyone who’s comfortable in solid surf. Tuesday afternoon holds with a clean 5ft S swell at 17 seconds. The wind shifts to a light cross-off from the E, tidying it up nicely.

We have a bit of a drop-off after that, with smaller swells and good wind into Wednesday and Thursday, but by Friday, July 24th, things go extreme. 10ft to 13ft E swells roll in with high energy (4276 by Saturday morning) but that’s too big for Blacks Reef, especially with short periods and strong cross-off winds. That’s expert territory or more likely a kite session given the power and side wind. That heavy energy and size carries into the final weekend, with onshore winds and rain making it a write-off for paddle surfing.

After that, Monday July 27th offers a last decent window – 6ft E swell with clean cross-off wind and 11-second period – but the afternoon gets ruined by strong SW onshores.

Overall, there are gaps of a couple of days in the second week where things go flat or too messy. The clear standout is Monday and Tuesday, July 20-21, with that sweet, glassy S groundswell. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty

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