Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for Blacks Reef over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a rough start. Monday the 3rd is a bit of a mess – a 6ft S swell but it’s got a cross wind and the energy is pretty weak. The water is a bit colder than normal at 55°, so you’ll be feelin’ that if you’re out there. This one is for the die-hards only, if anyone.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are blown out. Onshore winds are howling, and the swell jumps up to 10ft and 16ft, but the wind is strong and the surf is just a washing machine. This is kite-surfing territory, not a paddler’s friend. The combined energy is off the charts Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning, but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

We get a glimmer of hope on Thursday the 6th. The swell drops to 10ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, but the wind is still onshore or cross-on, keeping it choppy. Not great, but maybe a sneaky one if you’re desperate.

Now, Friday the 7th is the standout of the first week. The morning is glassy with a 6ft S swell and clean conditions. The energy is solid. Then the afternoon gets even better – a 7ft S swell with a very long 16-second period, light offshore wind, and it’s clean. This is a proper groundswell. For a reef break like Blacks, that long period will give you some perfect, long walls. The water is still a bit cold for the time of year, but who cares when it’s glassy? Crowds are likely here, so get there early.

Saturday the 8th stays clean with a 6ft S swell in the morning, but the wind picks up a bit. Still a good session, but not as magical as Friday.

The following week is a mixed bag. Sunday the 9th through Thursday the 13th is mostly small, weak, or blown out. There’s a period from Sunday morning to Thursday afternoon where the swell is small (under 4ft) and the energy is low. The wind is messy, and the surf is just not worth the effort. There’s a few days there with no real recommendations.

Then, Monday the 17th is a beast, but for experts only. The swell is predicted to hit 13ft from the SSW with a 10-second period and light offshore winds. The energy is massive. This is a big, powerful swell. For a reef break, this is going to be heavy and dangerous. If you’re not a solid, experienced surfer, stay on the beach. The water temperature is missing from the data, but the conditions are clean.

Tuesday the 18th settles down a bit to 8ft S swell, still clean and light winds. That’s a much more manageable size for a good session, but it’s still a solid wave for confident surfers. Again, the energy is strong.

So, in a nutshell: Friday the 7th is your best bet for a clean, fun session with that long-period groundswell. Monday the 17th is the big-wave day for the brave, but it’s not for everyone. The rest of the time is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty.

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