Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.

First thing you gotta know: the only spot in the game for this whole 16-day window is Blacks Reef. It’s a reef break, beginner-friendly, and it’s exposed to the south swell. The water temp is sitting at 54°F, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

Hold up, though. The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a total mess – onshore wind, lumpy, poor conditions. Nothing doing. But then, Wednesday the 29th morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got light NNW winds, cross-off shore, and a 6ft south-east swell with a 13-second period. That’s some proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is sitting at 1133 (moderate). The wind is clean, the waves have shape, and it’s an excellent call for experienced surfers. Wednesday afternoon stays good with a 6ft south-east swell and offshore NE wind at 18 mph. That’s a sweet combo.

Thursday the 30th is still decent in the morning – 5ft east-south-east, 12-second period, clean with cross-off wind. A little smaller, but good. By Friday the 31st, it’s fading fast, and by the weekend it’s blown out again with strong onshore winds and rain. That’s a hard pass.

Now, let’s look ahead. After a rough patch, we get a solid window on Tuesday the 4th of August. Morning shows 8ft south-south-east swell, 12-second period, light north wind cross-off, and the combined energy is 1645 (strong). The afternoon is even cleaner with 7ft swell and offshore NNE wind at 12 mph. That’s top-tier quality for this break. Expert-level conditions, but clean as a whistle.

Wednesday the 5th is smaller but still rideable. After that, things get ugly again with onshore winds and building swell. By Saturday the 8th, the swell is massive – 21ft from the south with a 13-second period. Combined energy is 13977 (very strong). That’s way too big for this break, even for experts. The wind is light cross-shore, but the size is just dangerous. Sunday the 9th is still huge, but the wind is terrible.

Monday the 10th sees the swell drop back to 8ft, with cross-shore wind, but the quality is only marginal. Tuesday the 11th is small and fading.

The standout is hands down Wednesday the 29th morning and Tuesday the 4th of August. Wednesday the 29th gives you that first real clean groundswell with offshore wind, and Tuesday the 4th is the bigger, cleaner option with excellent conditions. Both are clean, well-shaped, and worth the paddle. The 4th is the bigger of the two, but you’ll need to be on your game.

Crowds at Blacks Reef? It’s marked as “often” busy, so expect company, especially on the good days. But the quality will be worth it.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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