Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for this stretch.

First up, we've got a bit of a wait on our hands. The surf is pretty quiet for the first few days, with nothing really worth paddling out for until we get into the end of the first week. Hang tight, it’s not a total write-off.

The real standout window is shaping up for Wednesday, the 22nd of July. The morning session is where it's at. We’re looking at a clean 4ft S swell with a solid 12-second period, and the wind is dead glassy. That’s the kind of morning you set your alarm for. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than the norm for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. The afternoon holds a smaller 4ft S swell, still glassy, but the morning is the pick for sure.

Thursday morning, the 23rd, is also worth a look. The swell drops to 3ft from the S, but it’s got a clean offshore wind from the N. It’s a smaller day, but clean and fun if you’re on the right board.

Now, heads up. The weekend and into the following week gets messy. Saturday the 25th afternoon sees a 30 km/h onshore wind from the SSW and rain, turning the place into a washing machine. Sunday the 26th has a bigger 8ft S swell, but it’s cross-on and choppy, so don’t expect any beauty.

Then we get a big spike. On Monday the 27th, a massive 16ft S swell with 12-second period blows in, but it’s accompanied by strong onshore winds. That’s going to be a dangerous, blown-out mess. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The next potential window shows up on Tuesday the 28th of July. The swell is a solid 8ft from the SE, with a long 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-shore. It’s a big, powerful groundswell. The energy is strong, with a value of 4904, but the wind is a little dicey. This one is for experienced surfers only, as it’s over 8ft and the quality is marginal.

Looking further ahead, the forecast gets interesting again. On Tuesday, the 4th of August, the models are showing a massive 16ft S swell with glassy conditions. The combined energy is a massive 7090, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a monster, and it’s only for the top-tier crew if they can find a channel. The wind is glassy, which is a tease.

The follow-up on Wednesday, the 5th of August, is more of the same: 15ft S swell with a cross-shore breeze. The energy is still through the roof at 5197, but again, it’s a huge, powerful swell that’s too big for this spot. It’s a promising sign for the long-range, but take it with a grain of salt.

To sum it up, the best bet is the Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd mornings for clean, fun waves. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or too small. Keep your eyes on the long-range for the 4th and 5th of August, but that’s a big wave game for the brave.

Rusty, signing off.

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