Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Blacks Reef, but you’ve gotta be ready for the size. This is a reef break, exposed to the south, and it’s very consistent, so when the swell hits, it hits.

The action kicks off Wednesday, September 2nd. The morning is looking serious with a solid 8ft south swell, packing a very long 14-second period. That’s a lot of energy—(3076)—and it’s clean under a light cross-off breeze. This is a standout session for experienced surfers only. It’s well over 8ft, so this is expert territory. The afternoon holds strong too, with the swell bumping up to 8ft and an even longer 17-second period, with even more energy (4137). Still clean, still cross-off. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Thursday the 3rd is still good but dropping. Morning sees 6ft south swell at 13 seconds (1077), still clean. Afternoon drops to 5ft (613), still good shape. This is a solid shoulder-high day that most competent surfers will enjoy.

Then we hit a real lull. From Friday the 4th through to Monday the 7th, the swell drops right out. We’re talking waist-high or smaller, with poor conditions on most of those days. A few glimmers of clean but tiny surf, nothing worth paddling out for. That’s a five-day stretch of flat to poor waves.

Tuesday the 8th is a big red flag. The morning shows a massive 12ft south swell (3484), but with a cross-onshore wind. The forecast says it’s actually too big for this break. That’s for the absolute big-wave specialists only, and even then, the wind isn’t your friend. The afternoon is still huge at 8ft but the wind stays messy. This looks more like a kiteboarding day for the brave.

Wednesday the 9th drops to 6ft but the wind is onshore, making it choppy. Not great.

Now, here’s the real hidden gem. Thursday, September 10th. The morning is glassy. Absolutely dead calm. The swell is a solid 8ft from the south at 12 seconds (2551). This is the best of the whole run. Clean, powerful, and the wind is nil. It’s a big day, so it’s for experienced surfers, but the conditions will be perfect. The afternoon gets a bit wind-affected, but that morning session is the one to circle. Crowds are possible here, so get there early.

Friday the 11th through to the end of the 16-day window is pretty much a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is often onshore or strong, and the energy is weak. There’s a tiny window of glassy conditions on Monday the 14th morning, but the swell is only 1ft, so it’s barely a ripple. The last real pulse of size comes on Wednesday the 16th with 7ft, but it’s blowing 28 mph onshore – that’s a total mess.

So, to sum it up: the standout is the Wednesday morning, September 2nd for the raw power, and the absolute winner is the Thursday morning, September 10th for the perfect glassy conditions. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty.

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