Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a classic run-up of Southern Ocean energy hitting Blacks Reef, and there are definitely some windows for the crew who know what they’re doing. The early part of the period has some size, but you’ll need to pick your sessions carefully – the wind and conditions shift a lot. The standout windows are Monday the 14th and Saturday the 26th.

First up, Sunday the 13th sees a solid 8ft south swell with a 15-second period, so there’s plenty of push. That long period makes it a proper groundswell, which on a reef setup like this can be really good, but the cross-onshore wind at 12 mph is making it choppy. The water temp is 55°, which is a touch colder than normal for this time of year. Combined swell energy is strong at 2289, so it’s powerful out there.

Monday the 14th morning is where it gets exciting. We’ve got 7ft south swell at 12 seconds, and the wind goes glassy, NE at 3 mph. That’s a treat – clean, lined-up sets. The energy is moderate at 1316. This is the best on offer for the first week, but this size is really for experienced surfers. Monday afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off breeze.

Tuesday the 15th drops to 5ft with glassy conditions again in the morning. It’s smaller but still fun for the experienced crowd. The afternoon picks up a stronger cross-off breeze, so the morning is your window.

From Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th, the swell drops right out. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft with very weak energy (108 to 167). It’s clean but tiny. A bit of a lull.

Friday the 18th shows a bit more life with 3ft to 3ft southeast swell, period pushing 12-13 seconds. The morning has a gentle offshore, and the afternoon goes glassy. Clean conditions but small. Energy is still weak to moderate (284-307).

Saturday the 19th is small again. 3ft to 3ft but with a long 15-second period. The morning has a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon cleans up with a light cross-off. Energy is moderate (445-491). Not a standout.

Sunday the 20th is a write-off. Strong onshore winds (15-18 mph) and rain. Avoid it.

Monday the 21st morning is back in the game with 4ft south swell and a clean offshore wind. Energy is moderate at 338. It’s a good, clean, smaller session.

Now, here’s the big one – but with a major caveat. Tuesday the 22nd morning sees a massive 13ft swell from the SSW. The energy is huge at 2678. That’s way too big for Blacks Reef. It’s an expert-only situation, and even then, the cross-on wind makes it messy. This is more of a spectacle than a surf session for most.

From Wednesday the 23rd to Friday the 25th, we get into a messy, windy, and inconsistent patch. Swell is up and down between 2ft and 8ft, but the winds are mostly cross or onshore, and the conditions are poor. The energy is moderate but not worth the hassle.

Finally, Saturday the 26th morning is the other true standout. We’ve got 5ft south swell with an 11-second period, light offshore wind from the NE at 3 mph, and clean conditions. The energy is moderate at 606. This is solid, clean, and very surfable for experienced surfers. It’s a promising window.

Sunday the 27th morning holds similar conditions with 5ft from the SSW, a light offshore, and clean surf. The energy is a bit higher at 839.

Monday the 28th is small again, 3ft to 3ft, but with a very long 17-18 second period and clean offshore winds. The energy is moderate (580-657). It’s clean but small, more for a longboard or a quiet session.

So, for the standout: Monday the 14th morning is the best of the first week – glassy, 7ft south swell, clean lines. Saturday the 26th morning is the best of the second week – 5ft, offshore, clean. Both are for experienced surfers at this reef.

Crowds at Blacks Reef are often there, so expect company on the good days.

That’s the story from here. Keep your eyes on the 14th and the 26th.

Rusty

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