Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we've got on the cards.

Alright, we're looking at a bit of a mixed bag here. Things kick off this Saturday, the 4th of July, with some fun waves at Blacks Reef. It's a reef break that's exposed to the south swell, and the water's sitting at about 55°, which is a touch colder than what we'd normally expect for this time of year.

This Saturday morning, we've got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the east with a 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is moderate at 608. It's a solid setup for a beginner-friendly wave. The afternoon cleans up even more with a true offshore wind from the NNE, holding up a 5ft east swell.

Sunday the 5th looks good too. The morning still has a clean 4ft wave with a moderate offshore breeze, and it stays glassy and clean into the afternoon as the wind drops. Easy paddling and fun waves for everyone.

Now, here's the standout. Tuesday the 7th of July is looking like the pick of the first week. We get a gorgeous 6ft east swell, a 10-second period, and it's glassy – dead flat wind – with very good surf conditions. The combined wave energy is sitting at a solid 766. That's the one to circle on the calendar. Expect it to be clean, consistent, and it is often crowded here, so get in early.

Things get a bit messy from Wednesday the 8th. The swell builds but the wind swings onshore, making it choppy and lumpy. There's a big spike in energy by the 10th and 11th, with a 13ft south swell, but it's accompanied by strong onshore winds and rain. That's expert-only territory and even then, it's not going to be pretty. That kind of wind and size makes it more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfing.

After that rough patch, the surf settles down again. The good news is that by Tuesday the 14th of July, we're back to glassy conditions with a clean 5ft swell. Then Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th both serve up very good conditions with clean, offshore winds and a long-period 4ft to 4ft south swell, with wave energy in the moderate to strong range. That Thursday, with a 15-second period, is a long-period groundswell, which at a reef break like this will produce some nice, lined-up waves. That's another true standout, but it's 12 days out, so treat it as a promising long-range call. It won't be for the beginners, but for anyone who knows their way around a reef at low tide, it's worth the wait.

After that, the energy drops right off. By the 18th and 19th of July, we're into very small, weak surf with poor conditions. There's a solid gap of a few days with nothing recommended to end the run.

Rusty.

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