Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a bit of a wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks. The long-range models are showing some serious potential, but we've gotta wade through some pretty ordinary conditions first.

The action starts at Blacks Reef on Friday the 24th of July, but it's a dud—tiny 1ft S swell with a weak 27 combined energy, crossed-off by a NNW wind. Not worth a paddle. Saturday the 25th sees a slight bump to 3ft from the E with a short 11-second period, but it's still nothing special.

The real story here is the waiting game. Sunday the 26th through Tuesday the 28th is a write-off. We get a spike in size—up to 10ft on Monday afternoon—but with onshore SW winds and a combined energy of 2185, it's a washing machine. Poor surf conditions all the way.

Then things finally turn. Wednesday the 29th of July is our first true standout. The morning brings a clean 6ft S groundswell (13-second period, 1035 combined energy) with glassy conditions. That's a long period, which means long waits between sets but proper, walled-up waves on this reef. The water temp is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want a thick suit.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st keep the clean, cross-off winds going as the swell drops to 4ft and 3ft. Saturday the 1st of August is another beauty—glassy again with a 3ft ESE swell and a 13-second period, combined energy of 678. It's small but clean, and the crowd situation at Blacks Reef is often manageable, so it’s a nice window.

Now, the second week gets interesting but you've got to be patient. Sunday the 2nd of August through Tuesday the 4th is messy again with onshore winds and blown-out conditions. But hold on for Wednesday the 6th of August. That morning, we get glassy conditions with a solid 8ft ESE swell, 12-second period, and a massive combined energy of 2295. This is big, powerful stuff—over 8ft, so experts only. It's a groundswell with that 12-second period, so expect the reef to handle it well, but it'll be thick and heavy.

The run continues: Thursday the 7th and Friday the 8th of August also score glassy mornings with 8ft and 8ft ESE swells respectively. The combined energy is still high (1764 and 1474). These are the real standouts of the long-range window—powerful, clean, and offering some serious waves for those who know what they're doing. The crowds will likely be there on a run like this, so get out early.

Overall, the first week is a slow burn with a sweet spot around Wednesday the 29th. The second week from Wednesday the 6th of August onward has the real muscle, but it's a promise that's a bit further out, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty out.

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