Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast. Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a write-off, so don’t go getting your hopes up for anything decent before the weekend is out. The ocean’s just not cooperating, with a lot of wind messing up what little push there is. The water’s sitting at a chilly 55°, which is a bit colder than the long-term average for this time of year, so you’ll want the thick rubber.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Saturday the 14th. Before that, we’ve got a couple of days of poor, chopped-up conditions with onshore winds. Sure, there’s swell early on, but it’s short period and junky. But then Monday the 14th rolls around and it’s a proper change. We scored a morning with a light offshore NNE wind and clean 6ft of south swell. The energy is moderate (832), and it’s coming from the south, which is the right direction for Blacks Reef. This is the standout of the first week. The afternoon is still great, with a clean 6ft and the wind turning a bit more north. But watch out, this reef is very consistent and the crowds are often there, especially when it’s this clean.

Tuesday the 15th still has some fun, smaller waves with clean conditions, but it’s a step down from the day before. Then it gets messy again. Wednesday and Thursday are blown out or too weak, and the gusts pick up hard later on. There’s a stretch of a few days with nothing good to offer through the middle of the week, so maybe do the chores then.

Looking further out, the long-range charts are showing a promising pulse for Monday the 21st. It’s a while away, so treat it as a promising but less certain call. The models are hinting at a clean, offshore NNE wind in the morning with a 4ft south swell, and the energy is picking up again (328). It won’t be as big as the 14th, but with light winds, it could be a very clean session on the reef. The afternoon also looks tidy. It’s worth keeping an eye on, but don’t book the time off work just yet. After that, it’s back to small and messy again, so that Monday is your second window.

So, to keep it simple: this week’s call is Monday, September 14th. Next week’s potential is Monday, September 21st. Everything else is either too messy, too small, or blowing a gale.

Rusty.

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