Blacks Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for Blacks Reef.

This is a reef break that's exposed to the south swell, and it's a tricky one. The week ahead is mostly a write-off, with a lot of poor conditions and onshore winds. The water is sitting at 55.6°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you'll want a good suit.

The first half of the forecast is a mixed bag with a lot of messy, cross-onshore wind. We've got a big pulse of energy on Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, with combined swell energy readings (5090 and 6823), but it's coming from the SSE with strong southerly winds, creating terrible conditions. Pure frustration. That swell is way too big for a beginner-friendly spot like this, pushing 16.4ft to 18.0ft. Stay out of the water.

Saturday the 11th sees the swell drop to a more manageable 7.5ft from the SE, but the wind is still on it, making it a marginal call at best. Sunday the 12th is tiny, with a 2.6ft swell from the south but a long 15 second period. The energy is low (583), and the wind is cross-onshore, so not much to work with.

Things finally clean up on Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th. The swell is small, dropping from 2.6ft to 1.0ft, but we get a clean offshore wind from the NNE and NE. Combined energy is low (248 and 186), but it's glassy. These are the best on offer in the first week, but it's strictly small-wave fun on a longboard. The water will still be cold.

There's a small window on Wednesday the 15th, with a glassy morning and a tiny 1.6ft ESE swell. It's nothing to write home about, but a glassy session is a glassy session.

The real standout is a glimmer of hope later on. The swell fills in again from the SE on Saturday the 18th, hitting 6.9ft to 7.2ft with a 13-14 second period, and the combined energy is in the moderate range (1596 and 1962). The wind is light and cross-shore, so it's a bit lumpy but rideable. This is a promising window for the better surfers.

Then, the best of the whole run arrives on Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th. We have a clean 4.9ft SE swell with a 12-second period on Sunday, with light offshore NNE winds. The combined energy (941 and 845) points to moderate, powerful waves. Conditions are clean and the break is consistent. This is the pick of the 16-day window. Monday the 20th is similar, with a 3.0ft S swell and a very long 15-second period, but the wind is light offshore or glassy. Stay on the reef or point for that long-period groundswell.

The second week is a bit of a roll of the dice. Tuesday the 21st brings a bigger 9.8ft E swell with fresh cross-offshore winds, but the energy is high (1708). That's going to be a handful and likely too big for most. Wednesday the 22nd is messy with cross-onshore winds. Thursday the 23rd has a 6.2ft SSW swell, but it's a short period (8 seconds) and cross-shore. Friday the 24th is a no-go; the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, hitting 14.8ft to 16.4ft from the south with heavy energy (3538 and 5460), even if the wind is light.

Bottom line: The first week is a struggle. The best bet is the clean, small stuff on Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th. The real highlight is Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, with clean, moderate swell from the SE. That's your window to get a proper session.

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