Wainui Beach - Stockroute Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a bit of a slow burn on the menu for Wainui Beach – Stockroute over the next couple of weeks. There’s not a lot of juice to start, but if you’re patient, there’s a proper standout morning tucked away about a week from now that’s worth circling on the calendar.

First up, the early part of the week is small and clean but nothing to write home about. Tuesday the 15th kicks off with a light north breeze making for glassy lines, a 3ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 252. It’s clean, but the size is small and the crowd factor is there – it can get a bit busy, so pick your peak. The water temperature is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. Tuesday afternoon gets chopped by a NE wind, so forget that.

Wednesday morning the 16th is tiny at 3ft SE, with a light NW offshore – clean but marginal. Thursday and Friday mornings stay small and clean too, with the swell mostly under 3ft and light cross-off winds keeping things tidy. Friday the 18th does offer a nice bump in period to 12 seconds, and the combined energy hits 286, but the height is still only 3ft – clean and rideable, but you’ll be hunting for shape.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th mornings stay clean but small (2ft to 3ft, ESE period around 11-12 seconds). Sunday afternoon, though, sees a jump in swell to 7ft SSE, but the wind swings to a fresh 35 km/h southerly cross-on, turning it into a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth it.

Now for the real standout: Monday the 21st morning. This is the one. The swell is a solid 7ft SSE at a very long 12 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at 1166. That’s strong wave energy, proper groundswell. With a light NW offshore breeze (only 5 km/h) keeping it glassy, this is clean, powerful, and excellent surf – but only for experienced surfers. At this size, it’s too big for beginners, and that long-period SSE swell is best handled at a reef or point, so Wainui’s beach-and-reef setup will hold it well. Expect a few waves to close out on the beach sections, but there are good banks if you know where to look. Swiss and maybe a bit busy – it’s a standout morning.

Monday afternoon drops back to 5ft with an onshore ENE wind turning it a bit rough. Tuesday the 22nd morning is back to tiny clean lines (3ft SSE), and from Wednesday the 23rd through to the end of the period, it’s mostly small, messy, or just plain poor. There’s a brief moment on Thursday the 24th morning with 7ft SSE at 8 seconds, but the cross-shore wind is strong at 30-35 km/h, making it lumpy and unappealing. The last week is littered with wind against small swell, and the last days of September drop to 1.0ft – barely a ripple.

So, the call is clear: focus on Monday the 21st morning at Wainui Beach – Stockroute. That’s your best shot for a proper session. Everything else is small and clean on the edges, but nothing to get excited about. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, that’s the pick.

Rusty.

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