Wainui Beach - Stockroute Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Wainui Beach – Stockroute. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. There’s a decent pulse of energy early on, but it’s messy and blown out, then we go through a real flat spell before things start to look up again in the final stretch. Hang in there, because the back half of the window has some serious potential.

We kick things off on Tuesday the 18th with a solid but raw 10ft of south swell. The energy is pumping, with a combined energy reading of 2034, but that stiff 19 mph cross-offshore wind is making it a battle. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is about a degree and a half colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the thick rubber on. It’s pushing the limits of what’s manageable – this is expert-only territory at this size. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a stronger cross-shore breeze and poor quality.

Wednesday the 19th sees the swell kick up even more, hitting 12ft. There’s a ton of power in the water – the combined energy jumps to a massive 5115 in the afternoon – but it’s just too big and unruly for this break. The winds are howling cross-shore and it’s going to be a complete washing machine. This is definitely not a day for the fainthearted or anyone without an expert skill set.

Thursday the 20th drops a bit to around 7ft, but the period has fallen to a short 8 seconds, which means it’s going to be crumbly and disorganised. The morning has a cleaner feel with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s marginal at best. By the afternoon, the cross-shore wind chops it up again. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for the fun ones.

Friday the 21st is where the drop-off really starts. The swell fades to under 3ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, even if it’s small. The morning with a light 6 mph cross-offshore wind and clean conditions is the only window worth a paddle. It’s small, but the lines will be clean.

Then we hit the flat spell. From Saturday the 22nd, the swell just dies on its arse. We’re talking 3ft and dropping. By Sunday the 23rd, it’s barely a ripple, with combined energy readings down in the 50s – that’s weak, weak energy. The next several days are a write-off, nothing doing at all. This dry stretch runs right through to about Thursday the 27th. It’s a proper lull.

Things start to stir again on Friday the 28th with a new pulse of southeast swell, around 5ft. The period is a short 9 seconds, but the morning has that light offshore breeze and clean conditions. It’s a good chance to get wet after the drought, but the energy is still moderate, registering 482.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th sees it fade back down again, with the period dropping out. Sunday the 30th gets messy with a fresh southerly wind and lumpy cross-chop. Not great.

But listen, the real standout of this entire forecast is sitting out there on Tuesday the 1st of September. The swell pulses back up to a clean 3ft, and the period is a gorgeous 15 seconds – a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy is reading a healthy 534, and we’ve got light winds and a clean, glassy surface on the morning. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still over a week away, so treat it as a promising call rather than a guarantee, but all the ingredients are there for a proper session at Wainui. That south-southeast direction is right in the sweet spot for the break. It’s a standout.

Following that, Wednesday the 2nd of September has a little more size at 4ft with even longer period, but it’s a bit more on the cross-off, still clean. It’s a good follow-up, but that Tuesday morning is the pick of the bunch.

So, keep the rusty board waxed and take the small clean windows when they come. That Tuesday the 1st look is the one to get excited about, just don’t forget the hood and gloves – it’s cold out there.

Rusty.

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