Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, W swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, W swell with 6,429 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s switch to feet and miles. For Tauranga Bay, the next 16 days are a real rollercoaster. Water temp is around 57°, pretty normal for July.
Tuesday the 14th morning has a weak 4ft WNW swell with a 10-second period – cross-shore wind, nothing special. That afternoon gets blown out. Wednesday the 15th morning pumps a massive 12ft W swell, 15-second period – way too big for this break. Same story Wednesday afternoon. Thursday is all cross-onshore wind, no good.
Friday the 17th morning – now we’re talking. An 8ft WSW swell, 15-second period, clean offshore wind from the south at 6 mph. Energy is strong – 3156. Excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the one to circle. The afternoon gets a bit choppy.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are okay but not as clean. Sunday morning the 19th has a 8ft WSW swell, 16-second period, cross-off wind from the ENE at 9 mph – clean, good for experienced surfers. Monday the 20th morning is glassy with a 5ft WSW swell – fun and clean. Tuesday through Thursday mornings stay small and clean, with offshore winds – 3–4ft, nothing big but consistent.
Saturday the 25th morning has a 3ft WSW swell, offshore, clean – a nice little session. Then Sunday the 26th morning is a standout: 7ft WSW, 15-second period, glassy – excellent for experienced surfers. Monday the 27th morning is also excellent: 7ft W, 15 seconds, offshore at 6 mph, clean.
Tuesday and Wednesday the 28th–29th bring another huge pulse – 12ft to 16ft – too big again. So the best bets are Friday the 17th morning and Sunday the 26th morning. Get on it before the next big one hits.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the SW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | W 17 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 306 | 531 | 4766 | 6031 | 4766 | 3650 | 2921 | 2686 | 2688 | 3156 | 2895 | 2394 | 1773 | 1751 | 3392 | 2610 | 1150 | 752 | 926 | 758 | 538 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:13AM2.91m | 10:35PM3.06m | 11:05AM2.97m | 11:26PM3.13m | 11:54AM2.98m | 00:15AM3.13m | 12:42PM2.93m | 1:02AM3.06m | 1:28PM2.84m | 1:48AM2.92m | 2:15PM2.71m | 2:35AM2.74m | 3:02PM2.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:22PM0.13m | 4:52AM-0.02m | 5:13PM0.05m | 5:43AM-0.07m | 6:02PM0.03m | 6:32AM-0.05m | 6:50PM0.07m | 7:19AM0.03m | 7:36PM0.17m | 8:06AM0.17m | 8:23PM0.31m | 8:52AM0.34m | 9:12PM0.48m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |
 | 7:58 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 7 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | WNW 11 | W 17 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 250 | 531 | 4766 | 6031 | 4766 | 3650 | 2921 | 2686 | 2688 | 3156 | 2895 | 2394 | 1773 | 1751 | 3392 | 2610 | 1150 | 752 | 926 | 758 | 538 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | W 13 | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | WSW 19 | — | — | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | N 4 | NNW 5 | N 4 |
| kJ | 306 | 268 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 91 | 812 | — | — | 531 | 245 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | N 10 | N 10 | W 20 |
| kJ | 161 | 249 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 8 | 2 | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 215 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 159 | 12 | 65 | 188 | 188 | 159 | 159 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in West Coast South Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in West Coast South Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in West Coast South Island, consider staying in Nelson which is 161 km (100 miles) away.
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