Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, W swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, W swell with 10,043 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, ears peeled for this West Coast run. We’ve got a full 16-day look at Tauranga Bay (beach and point), and the Pacific is sending some serious heft from the West and West-South-West. Water temp is about 56°F, which is standard for the season, so no drama there.
First thing: the start is a total washout. Saturday the 25th is cooked with a brutal 22 mph South-Westerly shredding a big 15 ft swell. Sunday the 26th is where it gets real. That morning, we get a clean, light ESE offshore breeze grooming a solid 8 ft West swell. The ocean is angry (wave energy at 2522), but that’s big boy territory only.
Monday the 27th is another early-bird special. That SE wind is light and offshore, with a 6 ft West groundswell running a nice 12 second period. It’s clean (energy at 1039), and you’ll get some proper lines.
The Standout: Honestly, you need to circle Sunday morning August 2nd. That is the session of the month. We’ve got a clean, light offshore from the SE, with a 7 ft West-South-West groundswell. The period is a very long 15 seconds, meaning proper, ground-swell lines wrapping in. The wave energy is strong (1847), and it’s a forecast for experienced surfers. That morning will be all-time. But heads up, that same afternoon the swell jumps to 10 ft with a 19 second period and strong wind (6084 energy) — way too meaty for Tauranga Bay. Monday August 3rd is the same story: 12 ft at 18 seconds is just too much power for this break.
There’s a rough, choppy gap from Thursday the 30th through Friday the 31st. Then we get a cleanup on Saturday August 1st morning with a 7 ft swell and light ESE winds (1105 energy) – another one for the legit surfers only.
After that big swell passes, we settle into a sweet run of smaller, clean waves from Tuesday the 5th to Thursday the 7th. Wednesday the 5th morning has a 5 ft WSW swell with light winds and clean conditions. Thursday the 6th afternoon looks glassy magic with a 4 ft WSW groundswell. But over the weekend of the 8th and 9th, the swell just fades to nothing and the wind picks up, so that last week is a bit of a dead loss. It doesn’t usually stay flat here for long, though.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sat morning, calm by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | W 14 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 14 | W 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 8 | WSW 16 | W 12 | W 10 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5600 | 9300 | 4716 | 2522 | 1553 | 1349 | 1039 | 792 | 546 | 338 | 274 | 221 | 208 | 366 | 812 | 1240 | 963 | 2831 | 1438 | 770 | 1287 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | off | cross | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off |
High Tide | 7:51PM2.27m | 8:19AM2.27m | 8:42PM2.37m | 9:07AM2.37m | 9:28PM2.49m | 9:50AM2.48m | 10:08PM2.60m | 10:29AM2.58m | 10:46PM2.71m | 11:06AM2.65m | 11:22PM2.78m | 11:41AM2.70m | 11:57PM2.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:33PM0.85m | 2:06AM0.81m | 2:28PM0.78m | 2:57AM0.71m | 3:16PM0.67m | 3:41AM0.59m | 3:58PM0.56m | 4:22AM0.47m | 4:36PM0.45m | 4:59AM0.36m | 5:12PM0.36m | 5:35AM0.28m | 5:48PM0.31m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | W 14 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 8 | WSW 16 | W 12 | W 10 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 5600 | 9300 | 4716 | 2522 | 1553 | 1349 | 1039 | 792 | 546 | 338 | 274 | 221 | 208 | 212 | 812 | 1240 | 963 | 2831 | 1438 | 770 | 1287 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | — | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | NW 8 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 123 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 26 | 10 | 24 | 121 | 366 | — | 235 | 534 | 289 | 639 | 395 | 35 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 19 | — | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 270 | — | 86 | 40 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 70 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 65 | 199 | 151 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in West Coast South Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in West Coast South Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in West Coast South Island, consider staying in Nelson which is 161 km (100 miles) away.
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