Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, W swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, W swell with 7,781 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 7s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's talk about what’s brewing for Tauranga Bay.
To be straight with you, the next few days are a bust. Friday the 31st has a big, ugly west swell running at 13ft to 15ft with a howling WSW wind at 25 mph. It’s just a messy, cross-onshore heap. Don’t waste your time. Saturday morning the 1st of August is the first real opening. The swell drops to 8ft from the west, but the wind turns to a light SE breeze from the southeast, cleaning things right up. It’s cross-off and clean for the experienced crowd. The water is about 55°, which is dead normal for this time of year.
The session I’m most fired up about is Saturday the 1st of August morning. That 8ft west swell with the light SE cross-off wind is going to deliver some clean, powerful waves. For the more seasoned surfer, Tuesday the 4th of August morning is a cracker: a 8ft west-southwest swell with a lovely 15-second period and a light east wind blowing offshore. The energy is strong (2264), and it’ll hold its shape like a dream.
Moving through the second week, it calms down some. The 8th and 9th of August bring small, clean pulses from the west-southwest, around 2 to 3ft, with friendly offshore winds. Tuesday the 11th of August afternoon is a sneaky winner – only 2ft from the west, but glassy conditions and a super-long 21-second period will give you some smooth, drawn-out lines. Then Saturday the 15th of August afternoon is another glassy one, with a 4ft west-southwest groundswell and good energy behind it (1271).
Crowds can show up at Tauranga Bay from time to time, so with these quality windows, expect you might have some company. It’s a fairly consistent spot, and when the wind and swell align from that west-southwest direction, it’s a proper little slice of paradise.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun night, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri morning, calm by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon morning, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 13 | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 21 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | NW 8 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3046 | 7781 | 5875 | 1760 | 776 | 424 | 243 | 143 | 990 | 1553 | 6044 | 1042 | 2264 | 1614 | 861 | 499 | 280 | 107 | 135 | 390 | 376 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:41AM2.70m | 11:57PM2.82m | 12:17PM2.72m | 00:32AM2.83m | 12:53PM2.71m | 1:08AM2.80m | 1:30PM2.67m | 1:47AM2.74m | 2:12PM2.61m | 2:31AM2.66m | 2:59PM2.54m | 3:22AM2.55m | 3:55PM2.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:48PM0.31m | 6:10AM0.24m | 6:23PM0.29m | 6:46AM0.23m | 6:59PM0.30m | 7:23AM0.25m | 7:38PM0.35m | 8:04AM0.32m | 8:21PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.41m | 9:11PM0.52m | 9:42AM0.52m | 10:11PM0.60m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | |
 | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 18 | — | WSW 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | N 5 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 5875 | 1760 | 776 | 424 | 243 | 104 | 178 | 1553 | — | 1042 | 2264 | 1614 | 861 | 499 | 280 | 24 | 88 | 390 | 376 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 22 | W 22 | N 7 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 19 | — | — | WSW 16 | — | W 20 | W 18 | WSW 16 | WNW 8 | WSW 12 | N 6 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 10 | 9 | 8 | 81 | 121 | 990 | — | — | 986 | — | 67 | 99 | 90 | 24 | 107 | 39 | 56 | 46 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 15 | WSW 16 | W 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 21 | WSW 19 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 70 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 86 | 33 | 135 | 43 | 37 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | WSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 |
| kJ | 3046 | 7781 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 540 | 6044 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 159 | 198 | 65 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 188 | 191 | 188 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in West Coast South Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in West Coast South Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in West Coast South Island, consider staying in Nelson which is 161 km (100 miles) away.
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