Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 5,225 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, talking feet and miles per hour.
We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but the immediate picture is ugly. Monday the 3rd is a total washout – strong onshore wind and lumpy mess. Don’t bother. Tuesday the 4th morning brings a 10ft swell from the WSW, but that’s way too big for Tauranga Bay – it’ll be a closeout. Tuesday afternoon cleans up with a 7ft WSW groundswell and light offshore wind, but that’s still only for the experienced crew.
The real standout is Wednesday the 5th morning. Glassy, clean, with an offshore breeze from the ESE, and a beautiful 4ft swell from the WSW with a long 13-second period. The water temp is around 56°, which is about normal for the time of year. The combined energy is moderate (613), but the quality is off the charts. This is the one to call in sick for.
After that, the surf drops small through Thursday and Friday, with waves from 2ft to 5ft. Saturday the 8th has a spike to 6ft from the NNW, but it’s short-period, so no real power.
The second week brings some big boys. Monday the 10th morning: 5ft from the west with a 15-second period and clean offshore wind – that’s a long-period groundswell that’ll wrap deep into the point. The combined energy is strong (1248). Then Tuesday the 11th morning is another expert-only pick: 8ft from the NNW, clean, and powerful.
Wednesday the 12th is a monster. 13ft to 15ft from the west with a 16-second period – combined energy is extreme (9082 to 9362). That’s way too big for this break. Total pass for paddle surfing. Thursday the 13th morning settles to a still big 8ft from the west (16-second period) and clean – good for experienced surfers only. Friday the 14th afternoon has another 8ft NNW pulse, glassy, and again for the experts.
No huge gaps in the forecast – the waves keep coming, just with a few small days in between.
My two absolute picks: Wednesday the 5th morning for the clean, fun, all-rounder session, and Monday the 10th morning for that long-period groundswell that’ll have the point offering up some proper walls. Tuesday the 11th morning for the experienced crew.
Keep it salty.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | W 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1814 | 1297 | 1403 | 1798 | 969 | 1004 | 522 | 345 | 158 | 137 | 83 | 64 | 262 | 962 | 727 | 422 | 329 | 273 | 341 | 395 | 653 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-on | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 1:30PM2.67m | 1:47AM2.74m | 2:12PM2.61m | 2:31AM2.66m | 2:59PM2.54m | 3:22AM2.55m | 3:55PM2.46m | 4:26AM2.46m | 5:03PM2.41m | 5:41AM2.42m | 6:19PM2.44m | 6:59AM2.46m | 7:33PM2.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:38PM0.35m | 8:04AM0.32m | 8:21PM0.43m | 8:49AM0.41m | 9:11PM0.52m | 9:42AM0.52m | 10:11PM0.60m | 10:46AM0.61m | 11:21PM0.64m | 11:59AM0.64m | 00:38AM0.59m | 1:13PM0.58m | 1:50AM0.46m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 13 |
| kJ | 1814 | 1297 | 813 | 1798 | 969 | 1004 | 522 | 345 | 158 | 137 | 83 | 64 | 262 | 962 | 727 | 422 | 307 | 216 | 194 | 181 | 653 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | W 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 7 | WSW 18 | WNW 9 | NNW 8 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 766 | 633 | 99 | 91 | 86 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 37 | 35 | 32 | 26 | 329 | 202 | 104 | 395 | 354 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 20 | — | N 15 | N 14 | W 8 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 19 | WSW 11 | W 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | W 7 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | NNW 8 | N 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 42 | 36 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 86 | 36 | 273 | 341 | 62 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 365 | 762 | 1403 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 188 | 191 | 197 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in West Coast South Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in West Coast South Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in West Coast South Island, consider staying in Nelson which is 161 km (100 miles) away.
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