Tauranga Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.77° S 171.46° E

Tauranga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tauranga Bay sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.4° 

Tauranga Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, W swell with 6,873 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Tue 28th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf 9PM (Thu 30th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 31st Jul)15ft (4.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let’s take a look at what’s coming up for Tauranga Bay. This spot is a beach and point setup that’s fairly consistent and it’s got a real sweet spot for swell out of the WSW. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but Tuesday morning the 28th of July kicks things off with a clean 4 ft swell from the west, a 11-second period, and glassy conditions with a light ESE wind. The energy is moderate at 399. It’s a nice little intro, but the real standout is going to be Wednesday morning the 29th. That morning you’ll see a 4 ft WSW swell but with a long 14-second period, a clean cross-off wind from the ENE, and the energy jumps up to 722. That’s shaping up as a quality session for intermediate surfers.

Things get a bit more serious from there. Thursday morning the 30th still has clean 4 ft WSW swell with a 14-second period, but by Thursday afternoon the wind swings to a fresh 22 mph from the NNE, creating lumpy cross-chop, and the swell jumps to 6 ft but with a short 8-second period. That’s messy. Friday the 31st is a write-off for paddling – strong onshore winds at 28 mph, big 8 ft to 13 ft west swell, and the energy is through the roof at 2506 to 3513, but it’s pure windblown chaos. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than anything else.

Saturday the 1st of August looks incredible on paper – clean 12 ft to 10 ft west swell with a 13-second period, glassy or light offshore winds, and energy from 2517 to 4023. But honestly, that’s way too big for this break unless you’re an expert. The swell is predicted to be too big for Tauranga Bay, so only the heaviest crew need apply.

Now, here’s where it gets good again. Sunday morning the 2nd of August drops back to a clean 6 ft WSW swell with a 10-second period, light offshore wind, and moderate energy at 725. That’s a solid session. But the real highlight of the whole outlook is Monday the 3rd of August. Morning and afternoon both deliver 6 ft to 6 ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second and 17-second period, clean cross-off winds, and energy readings of 1952 and 1929. That’s groundswell, that’s energy, and those waves are going to be powerful and well-shaped. This is an excellent window for experienced surfers – the point should handle that long period beautifully.

Tuesday the 4th keeps the run going with 6 ft to 6 ft WSW swell, 15-second and 14-second periods, and clean offshore winds in the morning. Energy is strong at 1415 to 1510. Wednesday the 5th is another stunner – 6 ft to 5 ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and glassy conditions in the afternoon with a light SW wind. Energy is still solid at 1273 and 1005. That’s three days of quality.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th offer a mix. Thursday eases to 3 ft and 3 ft with glassy conditions, still clean, but smaller. Friday morning the 7th brings back a bigger 8 ft WSW swell with a 10-second period, clean offshore wind, and strong energy at 1493 – that’s for experts only. The afternoon picks up a bit of cross-on wind.

The second week sees the swells drop off a bit. Saturday the 8th has 5 ft to 3 ft, Sunday the 9th is tiny with 2 ft to 3 ft but a very long 21-second period – that’s more of a point break wave, but it’s small. Monday the 10th is a clean 4 ft, Tuesday the 11th has a punchy 6 ft with a 14-second period and clean offshore – that’s another good one for experienced surfers. Wednesday the 12th finishes small and glassy at 3 ft.

Overall, the standout windows are Wednesday the 29th of July for a nice clean session, and then the run from Monday the 3rd of August through Wednesday the 5th of August is the absolute best of the lot – clean, powerful, long-period groundswell with excellent conditions. Crowds are possible at Tauranga Bay, so get in early on those days.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, calm by Sat afternoon).

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
3
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
!
!
!
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
W
11
1.3
W
11
1.3
W
10
1.1
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.7
WNW
8
3
NW
10
2.5
W
11
4
W
10
4
W
13
3.5
W
13
3
W
13
1.9
W
11
1.8
WSW
10
1.6
WSW
9
1.4
WSW
20
1.7
WSW
18
1.8
WSW
17
1.5
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
389
382
367
472
986
874
636
373
1541
1532
3513
5660
4023
2508
846
640
391
1394
1746
1929
1109
Wind (km/h)
5
ESE
5
SW
10
ENE
10
ENE
10
NNE
15
ENE
15
NE
35
NNE
25
NW
45
WNW
45
W
25
ENE
10
SE
0
NNW
10
ESE
10
ESE
10
SW
10
E
15
ENE
10
NE
5
E
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
9:50AM2.48m
10:08PM2.60m
10:29AM2.58m
10:46PM2.71m
11:06AM2.65m
11:22PM2.78m
11:41AM2.70m
11:57PM2.82m
12:17PM2.72m
00:32AM2.83m
12:53PM2.71m
1:08AM2.80m
1:30PM2.67m
1:47AM2.74m
Low Tide
3:58PM0.56m
4:22AM0.47m
4:36PM0.45m
4:59AM0.36m
5:12PM0.36m
5:35AM0.28m
5:48PM0.31m
6:10AM0.24m
6:23PM0.29m
6:46AM0.23m
6:59PM0.30m
7:23AM0.25m
7:38PM0.35m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:46
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
3
8
21
4
4
2
Temp °C
10
11
10
11
11
11
13
13
13
11
11
11
10
12
9
9
9
8
9
10
9
Feels °C
9
9
7
8
8
8
7
6
9
1
1
3
7
10
5
6
6
4
5
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in West Coast South Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in West Coast South Island, consider staying in Nelson which is 161 km (100 miles) away.

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