Makorori North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way for Makorori North. Gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a mixed bag and patience will be the name of the game. We've got a long, quiet start, a few promising windows, and then a massive pulse of swell that’s going to be way too much for this spot.

The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so the old steamer will be doing its job.

For the first few days, it’s pretty quiet. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th have some small, weak swell in the water but the conditions are a bit average and there’s just not enough to get excited about. It's a bit of a gap, really.

Tuesday the 11th sees a bump, with a 6ft SSW swell rolling in but the wind is a messy cross-shore, creating a chop that kills any chance of a clean wave. Not the one.

Now, Wednesday morning the 12th is where we get our first real glimpse of something good. The wind goes glassy with a light NNW breeze, and while the swell is only 4ft from the SSE, the combined energy is weak at 227, it'll be smooth as butter. It's a classic low-key glassy session for those who can work with small waves.

Thursday the 13th morning picks up a bit better. A 5ft ESE swell pushes the combined energy up to a moderate 405, and with a clean cross-off wind from the N, this is a solid, clean option for a morning surf. This is one of the better windows in the early part of the run.

Friday the 14th is a write-off with 25 mph winds blowing straight through. Stay at home.

Alright, here's the standout. Saturday the 15th. Saturday morning is looking like the best of the best. We’ve got a solid 7ft E swell with a period of 10 seconds, pushing combined energy to a strong 796. The wind is light from the N, keeping it clean. This is a good, punchy winter swell right in the optimal ENE direction for this break. Get on it early.

Sunday the 16th is where things go off the rails. An absolutely massive 16ft SSW groundswell shows up late, with a very long 12-second period and insane energy of 12200. That is way, *way* over the limit for Makorori North. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, with those conditions, this setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The same goes for Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th – giant, messy, and dangerous. Not for the average punter.

After that big pulse fades, we get a slight clean-up on Wednesday the 19th morning, with a 7ft S swell and a gentler cross-off wind, but it’s still a bit chunky.

Now, looking further out, we’ve got a promising long-range call for Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st. Thursday morning the 20th looks glassy and clean with a 4ft S swell and a very long 13-second period, which will give nice lines. Combined energy is a moderate 689, and it’ll be clean with a light W breeze. Friday morning the 21st also has a clean 5ft S swell. Mark those in your diary, but remember, it’s a week and a half away so keep an eye on it.

The last few days of the outlook drop back to tiny, junky conditions.

So, to sum it up: your best bets are Saturday morning the 15th for the best all-round swell and conditions, and the Thursday morning the 20th as a promising but less certain longer-range call. The in-between is mostly a write-off or, for a brief window, a glassy small-wave session.

Stay safe, and watch for the cleanup sets on that big weekend. This is Rusty, signing off.

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