Makorori North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Makorori North.

Alright, the honest truth is, this stretch of the forecast is a bit of a rough one. We’ve got a big run of messy, blown-out conditions to get through before we see any real quality. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year – so, pretty average, maybe a touch nippy, but nothing wild.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are all cross-off or cross winds with poor conditions and a combined energy that barely gets going – Thursday morning’s got a weak 241 (moderate wave energy) on a 4ft SE swell, but that N wind just kills it. Friday gets worse with a 8ft ENE swell but a 30 km/h cross wind smashing it up. Saturday the 15th through to Tuesday the 19th are all strong cross-onshore winds and big, messy surf. By Sunday the 16th afternoon, we’re looking at a 12ft SSW swell with a 2123 combined energy (strong wave energy) and 45 km/h cross-onshore winds – that’s not for paddling, that’s kite-surfing territory if you’re into that. Monday the 17th is a monster: 20ft S swell at 12 seconds, with a massive 11487 combined energy (very strong wave energy), but it’s under a 50 km/h near gale cross-onshore. Totally blown out.

There’s a real standout, though, and it’s worth waiting for. Friday the 21st of August morning is our best bet. We’ve got a clean 5ft S swell at 10 seconds, with a light 10 km/h W cross-off wind and a combined energy of 609 (moderate wave energy). This is “expect good surf conditions” territory. The swell direction (S) isn’t the optimum ENE for this break, but with clean offshore wind and that solid, workable size, it’ll be the pick of the fortnight. Keep in mind crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early.

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd mornings offer small, clean waves under 3ft, but they’re just ordinary. Then Monday the 24th morning brings another clean window: a 4ft S swell at 10 seconds, with a light 10 km/h NW offshore wind and a combined energy of 292 (moderate wave energy). That’s also a solid “expect good surf conditions” call, just smaller than the Friday peak.

After that, the second week drops off into tiny, weak surf. Tuesday the 25th through Friday the 28th are all under 3ft, with very long period groundswell (14 seconds) on the 25th and 26th, but that’s for the reefs and points – at a beach-and-reef break like Makorori North, that long period can make it break a bit too straight. There’s a glassy morning on Wednesday the 26th with a 1ft ESE swell, but it’s barely rideable.

So, bottom line: the first week is mostly a mess. The real standout is Friday the 21st of August morning – clean, 5ft S swell, light offshore wind. That’s the one to circle. Monday the 24th morning is a decent backup. Everything else is either blown out or too small.

Stay patient, mates. Rusty out.

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