Makorori North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, this is a bit of a mixed bag for Makorori North over the next couple of weeks. The beginning is struggling, but there’s a nice little window of clean surf mid-month that’s worth circling on the calendar.

The first few days are pretty average. Sunday the 5th has a small 3ft east swell, but the wind’s a cross-offshore breeze at 16 mph and the water’s sitting at 58°, which is about normal for this time of year. The wave energy is moderate (410), but the overall vibe is marginal. Not much to get excited about.

Monday the 6th sees a bit more size, with 7ft on the morning and 7ft in the afternoon, coming from the ENE. The period’s short though, around 8-9 seconds, so it’s weak and won’t hold up well. The cross-off wind shifts to a cross-on later, and it’s just not worth paddling out. Tuesday the 7th is similar – a 5ft east swell in the morning with light WNW wind (3 mph) keeps things clean, but you're looking at a low-scoring day overall. The combined energy is still moderate (495).

Then we hit a run of poor conditions from Wednesday the 8th right through to Monday the 13th. The swell gets big – up to 16ft on Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th – but it’s coming from the SSE with strong SSW winds blowing 25–28 mph. That’s a messy, dangerous mess. The combined energy spikes into the very strong range (4378 to 4904). This is strictly for the kites, not paddle surfers. Even the smaller days in that stretch, like the 10ft on Sunday the 12th, are just blown out with strong onshores. Steer clear.

The turnaround comes on Tuesday the 14th. Morning sees a clean 7ft swell from the SE with a light 6 mph cross-offshore wind out of the west. The combined energy is moderate (974), but the conditions are finally good. That’s the start of a promising window. Wednesday the 15th is the standout – a 5ft SE groundswell with a solid 11-second period, and a light offshore from the NW at 6 mph. Clean, lined up, and the energy is solid (667). This is your best bet for the whole outlook.

Thursday the 16th morning stays clean with a smaller 3ft ESE swell and offshore breeze (NW 9 mph), but the real gem might be that afternoon – glassy conditions with a 6ft wave from the NE. The period drops to 7 seconds, so it’s a bit short, but glassy is glassy. Friday the 17th fades to 3ft and the winds start to pick up again.

From Saturday the 18th through to Monday the 20th, it’s back to poor form – fresh NNE winds, 16–22 mph, blowing cross-off but the swell direction goes haywire, and all the scores are zeros. The surf is there, but it’s not worth it. Leave it alone.

The pick of the whole run is clearly Wednesday the 15th morning at Makorori North – clean offshore winds, a long-period groundswell, and good surf conditions. That’s the one to wait for.

Rusty.

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