Makorori North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming up for Makorori North over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a rough start, I’m not gonna lie. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are hammered by a strong southerly breeze, blowing onshore or cross-on, with big, messy swell around 12ft to 15ft. The combined wave energy is monstrous—over 4000 (4092) on Thursday afternoon—but it’s all junk. The wind and swell are just wrong for this spot. That continues into Saturday the 11th with an 8ft cross-on SE swell, still choppy and ugly. The water temp is sitting around 58°F which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.

We get a bit of a breather on Sunday the 12th, with the swell dropping to 5ft, but it’s still cross-shore and marginal. The scoring is low, and I wouldn’t paddle out for it.

The real action starts to build later in the week. Monday the 13th sees a tiny clean swell of 3ft with a light offshore NNW wind. Clean conditions, but tiny. Not worth a session.

Honestly, the standout window is the weekend of the 18th and 19th. Saturday the 18th morning is looking proper. A clean 8ft SE swell, period 13 seconds, light offshore W wind. That’s a solid, powerful groundswell with good shape. The combined energy is strong (1881). It’s a bit much for beginners over 8ft, but 8ft is right in the sweet spot for advanced surfers. This is easily the best on offer in the first week. The wind is light and offshore, so the wave face will be clean. Sunday the 19th holds clean too, with 6ft SE swell and NNW offshore in the morning, 5ft in the afternoon. Two solid days of quality surf.

Looking further ahead, Monday the 20th is interesting but a bit of a beast. Morning brings a 10ft NE swell with a short 8-second period, and a clean offshore NNW wind. That’s too big for most, and the short period will make it dumpy—only for experts. The afternoon jumps to 13ft NE, which is just way too big for this break, despite the clean wind.

Then Tuesday the 21st gets messy again with a strong ENE cross-breeze and 8ft to 10ft E swell. That’s a no-go.

The real tease comes at the very end of the run. On Thursday the 24th, we see glassy conditions with a 13ft to 15ft S swell, long 11-second period. The wind is dead flat, absolutely glassy. But that swell size is massive—over 15ft. It’s a long-range promising call, but it’s too big for even the most experienced to handle here. The energy is astronomical (4458). It’s a beautiful forecast for a bigger, more open reef, but for Makorori North it’s a pass.

To sum it up: the first week is a loss. The 18th and 19th of July are your best bet—clean, solid SE groundswell with light offshore winds. Keep an eye on the 24th, but don’t get your hopes up unless you’re a charging beast.

Rusty.

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