Sponge bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf’s up... or at least, it’s gonna be. Let’s get real about the next couple of weeks at Sponge Bay.

Honestly, for the next few days, it’s pretty gutless. We’ve got a stretch from now through Saturday morning that’s looking weak and messy. The swell’s tiny, mostly under 3 feet, and the wind’s all over the shop. Thursday and Friday are just going to be a battle with onshores and chop, nothing worth getting wet for. You’d be better off sorting your gear or watching the cams. This is a real flat spell, a solid few days of nothing on offer.

Then, hold onto your boardies. Sunday morning (the 13th) is the standout. That’s the one to circle. We’ve got chest-high plus surf at 6 feet from the SSE, and the energy is pumping with a strong 1474 combined swell energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore, WNW at 6 mph, which is going to leave it glassy and clean. This is proper Sponge Bay (Bay) firing. The period is a long 15 seconds, so it’s got some serious push. That’s a morning for the experienced crew, as it’s over 5 feet, and it’ll be a bit much for the beginners. Get on it early, because the wind swings onshore in the afternoon and wrecks it.

After that, the surf settles back down. Monday (the 14th) has some clean, fun options with about 4 feet of swell and offshore or cross-offshore winds. It’s not as powerful as Sunday, but it’ll be clean and more manageable. A good chance for a few more people to get among it.

Then we drop back into another flat, ordinary run for a long time. Through the 15th, 16th, 17th, and 18th, we’re back to tiny, weak surf. There are some clean mornings, but there’s just no real swell to push through. It’s frustrating, but that’s the way it goes sometimes.

Further out, there’s a glimmer for Saturday the 19th. The long-range models are hinting at a pulse of swell, around 4 feet, with a fresh offshore wind. It’s a promising call, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat it as a possibility, not a promise.

Then it’s more of the same through the 20th, 21st, and 22nd. Small, wind-affected, and poor. A couple of these days have some longer period swell, but it’s getting chopped up by onshore winds, especially that Wednesday the 23rd when we see a bigger 7 feet push but with a strong onshore wind. That’s going to be a raw, messy close-out. With that kind of wind and size, and it being a beach/reef setup, that day looks more interesting for a kite surfer than anyone on a paddleboard.

Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is a touch cooler than average for the time of year. Not a shock, but you’ll want the thicker suit.

So, to sum it up: this week is dead, get your chores done. Next Sunday morning (13th) is the big one, a proper clean, powerful session. The following Saturday (19th) is a long-shot backup. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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