
Surf Forecasts:
Sponge bay surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, S swell with 10,494 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Sponge bay this week:
The surf forecast for Sponge bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Sponge bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Sponge bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Sponge Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait. The first real window of opportunity kicks off on Wednesday, the 29th of July. That afternoon, we’re looking at a solid 5ft swell from the ESE, with a nice 12-second period. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the NNE at 9 mph, so the surface should be clean. Combined wave energy is sitting at a moderate 756, and the water is a bit colder than average at 55°F. This is the best of the early run, and it’s expected to produce very good surf conditions. Sponge Bay is a beach and reef setup, fairly exposed, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot, so it’s a good one to get the legs moving.
Thursday the 30th is a bit of a step down. The morning still has clean 4ft surf from the ESE with a 12-second period, and a cross-off breeze from the NNW (9 mph). The afternoon drops to 4ft and the wind picks up to a moderate cross-off from the NW at 12 mph, which isn’t as clean. Still, Thursday morning is a decent option. Friday the 31st sees the swell fade to under 3ft, and the wind swings to a stronger cross-off (16 mph), so the quality plummets.
From Saturday the 1st of August through to Monday the 3rd, things get messy. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore and strong, with a big swell showing up Saturday afternoon – a raw 8ft SSW swell with a short 8-second period, and combined energy of 1615. Conditions are poor, with fresh cross-onshore wind and lumpy water. Sunday the 2nd sees a massive 10ft S swell (12-second period, 3767 combined energy), but it’s ruined by rain and strong cross-onshore wind. This is not a paddle session; for a beach and reef setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing.
Monday the 3rd morning has a bit of hope with a clean 4ft SE swell and a light cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph, but the afternoon turns ugly again with an 8ft S swell and onshore wind.
Now, here’s the standout – and it’s a big one. Tuesday, the 4th of August. The morning is predicted to have a massive 16ft S swell with a very long 14-second period. Combined energy is a huge 14947. The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW at only 3 mph, making it glassy. The forecast says the swell is too big for this break, and that’s the truth – at over 8ft, this is expert-only territory, and even then, it might be too much. The long period groundswell will be incredibly powerful, and at a beach and reef, it could be a washing machine. This is a watch-and-wonder situation, definitely not for the faint of heart.
After that, the week of the 5th to the 11th of August is a real mixed bag. Wednesday the 5th has a 7ft SSE swell but with cross-onshore wind, making it marginal. Thursday the 6th is the best of the rest: clean, light offshore winds from the N at 6 mph, with a 5ft to 6ft SE swell (12-14 second period, 801-1185 combined energy). This is a very good option, back in the fun-size range. Friday the 7th morning is still okay, but the wind shifts and heavy rain hits in the afternoon with a 10ft SE swell and strong wind. From Saturday the 8th through to Tuesday the 11th, it’s all poor – strong onshore winds, lumpy, and messy surf. The swell drops to under 3ft, and the energy is weak.
The tail end of the forecast, Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th of August, is mostly flat with tiny waves (0.3ft to 0.7ft) and no real energy. However, Thursday afternoon shows a surprise: a 6ft swell from the E with a 13-second period and 1089 combined energy. The wind is light and onshore, but the conditions are listed as unknown, so it’s a long-shot gamble.
So, the bottom line: the best session on offer is Wednesday the 29th of July afternoon. That’s your pick of the 16-day window. The massive swell on Tuesday the 4th of August is a spectacle, but not for surfing. Thursday the 6th of August is the next decent call. There’s a long gap of poor conditions from the 8th to the 11th, so patience is the name of the game.
Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the sky.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat night, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 16 | SSW 8 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | S 9 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSE 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
749 | 614 | 422 | 314 | 251 | 164 | 126 | 95 | 62 | 1009 | 2496 | 2495 | 829 | 368 | 260 | 929 | 8316 | 9778 | 8727 | 2887 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:18PM1.74m | 6:27AM1.71m | 7:03PM1.80m | 7:13AM1.77m | 7:44PM1.87m | 7:57AM1.82m | 8:24PM1.93m | 8:38AM1.87m | 9:03PM1.97m | 9:19AM1.89m | 9:43PM1.98m | 10:00AM1.91m | 10:23PM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:30AM0.80m | 12:36PM0.70m | 1:18AM0.75m | 1:20PM0.65m | 2:00AM0.69m | 2:02PM0.60m | 2:41AM0.63m | 2:43PM0.56m | 3:20AM0.58m | 3:24PM0.54m | 4:00AM0.54m | 4:05PM0.52m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 14 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 |
749 | 614 | 422 | 314 | 251 | 164 | 126 | 95 | 43 | 518 | 1649 | 1272 | 829 | 368 | 260 | 432 | 2643 | 5169 | 4969 | 2887 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 14 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | S 13 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 16 | SE 16 | E 16 | ENE 16 | E 15 | SE 6 | S 22 | SSE 20 | NE 12 | — | — | NE 12 |
2 | 16 | 87 | 42 | 37 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 62 | 62 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 45 | 37 | 38 | 6 | — | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 18 | — | S 18 | — | SE 16 | S 14 | ESE 15 | SSE 7 | ESE 12 | ENE 16 | — | ENE 15 | — | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | — |
5 | 25 | — | 6 | — | 10 | 16 | 22 | 5 | 26 | 25 | — | 21 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | N 3 | NNE 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 4 | NW 2 | — | SW 5 | SSW 8 | S 11 | S 12 | — | — | SW 4 | S 9 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | — |
— | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | — | 10 | 1009 | 2496 | 2495 | — | — | 24 | 929 | 8316 | 9778 | 8727 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 57 | 53 | 68 | 68 | 53 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 45 | 5 | 46 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Gisborne and Mahia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Sponge bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Sponge bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Sponge bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Sponge bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Sponge bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Sponge bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Gisborne and Mahia? If you are looking for accommodation near Sponge bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Gisborne and Mahia, consider staying in Gisborne which is 8 km (5 miles) away.










