Sponge bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the charts for Sponge Bay. I gotta be straight with you – the next sixteen days are a real mixed bag, and mostly a flat, frustrating one. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing to get excited about before a single, very big day pops up way out there.

The water temperature here is sitting at 56°F, which is about a degree and a half cooler than we’d expect for this time of year. Not a massive shock, but you’ll feel that little bite.

So, here’s the deal. For the first few days, from Saturday the 5th right through the start of the following week, it’s basically a write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak swells with combined energy barely cracking 30 to 80. The wind is all over the place – cross-off, cross-on – and nothing is lining up. The wave comment is “poor surf conditions,” and that’s exactly what it is: flat and frustrating.

We get a tiny glimmer on Wednesday the 9th morning. The wind goes glassy, and we see a 4ft swell from the SSE with a combined energy of 190. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not good, just not terrible. If you’re desperate and have a foamie, you could maybe find a knee-high ripple. But that’s the best we’ve got for a whole week.

Then we hit a dead zone. From Thursday the 10th all the way through to Friday the 18th, the vast majority of the period is “poor surf conditions.” The swell is small, the wind is messy, and it’s a real test of patience. There’s a day on Saturday the 12th morning that’s a total head-scratcher. The forecast shows a massive 10ft swell from the SSW with a combined energy of 2054 – that’s a lot of ocean moving. But the warning is clear: it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Sponge Bay is a beach and reef setup, and that kind of power would be dangerous and unruly, even with clean cross-off wind. That’s for experts only, and even then, it’s a gamble. The afternoon of the 12th drops to 6ft and is still a “marginal surf forecast.”

The only real standout in this whole outlook is the morning of Saturday the 12th. If you are a very experienced surfer and you know Sponge Bay handles a big swell, that 10ft of clean, cross-off swell is the biggest pulse we’ll see. But for everyone else, it’s a no-go. The rest of the window is a flat, windy mess. Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, the strong, clean cross-off winds on some of those bigger days might be more interesting than what we’ll get for paddle surfing.

This is a tough stretch. The forecast can change, so don’t write the whole thing off, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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