Sponge bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Sponge Bay.

Right now, things are looking pretty grim for the next several days. We’ve got a lot of onshore wind and rain hammering the coast, kicking up a messy, choppy brew. The swell is showing some size—up to 10ft—but with strong southerly winds blowing straight onshore, it’s a complete write-off for a paddle. Honestly, with that kind of wind and a beach-and-reef setup, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing day than anything else. There’s a big gap of poor conditions from now all the way through to Saturday, July 12th.

Sunday morning, July 12th is where we finally get a little window of hope. The wind goes glassy with a light WNW breeze, and the swell drops to a manageable 5ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined swell energy is moderate at 457. It’s not huge, but those clean, glassy conditions will make for some fun, user-friendly waves. This is the standout of the early period—a real chance to get a few smooth ones before it gets busy. Keep in mind Sponge Bay can get crowded sometimes.

After that, Monday and Tuesday (July 13th & 14th) drop off significantly, with swell dropping below 3ft and very low energy (188 and 62). It’s surfable but tiny and ordinary. Then, Wednesday afternoon, July 15th is another little highlight. Swell bumps back up to 4ft from the ESE, but the real story is the period—a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with light offshore winds from the ENE, it will be clean (633 combined energy). Long-period ESE swell can be a bit straight at a beach break, but with that offshore wind, it should still shape up nicely.

Looking further ahead, Thursday July 16th has a decent 6ft ESE swell (period 14 seconds, energy around 1438), but the wind is variable and turns cross-onshore, making it marginal. Friday July 17th is promising with a solid 5ft ESE groundswell (12-13 seconds) and clean offshore to cross-off winds (energy in the 740 range). That’s the best call for a proper session in the first half of that week.

Then, from Saturday July 18th into the next week, it goes south again—strong onshore winds return with building swell, and by Tuesday July 21st, the swell is predicted to be too big for Sponge Bay. Swell hits 10ft on Tuesday afternoon and keeps climbing, peaking at a massive 13ft on Wednesday July 22nd with combined energy over 5700. That is expert-only territory if you’re brave, but the onshore winds will make it a washing machine. Honestly, that’s more of a spectacle than a surf session.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a bust, but Sunday July 12th morning is the early winner for clean, smaller waves. Friday July 17th is the real long-range standout—solid swell, good period, and clean winds. It’s a bit far out, so keep an eye on the forecast, but it looks like the best bet for a proper session.

Stay stoked.

- Rusty

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