Sponge bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Sponge Bay has in store for the next couple of weeks. I’ve been staring at the charts, and it’s a proper mixed bag. We got a wild stretch of stormy, blown-out surf coming up first, and then a much cleaner, but smaller, window of opportunity later on.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a serious run of poor conditions. The water is sitting at a notable 3°F colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll feel that chill. For the first few days, it's all about onshore winds and building swell. Friday the 14th kicks off with moderate rain and a fresh cross-offshore breeze, but the waves are a weak, short-period mess with only 190 units of energy. It’s just not worth your time.

The weekend gets bigger but uglier. Saturday the 15th starts with a cross-on breeze, but by the afternoon, the wind drops to glassy, and we see the swell jump to 6ft with a moderate 458 units of energy. That window on Saturday afternoon is the first glimmer of hope, even though the score is still low. However, Sunday the 16th is a write-off. A strong breeze whips up to 31 mph, the swell bumps to 6ft, and it’s completely messy.

Then things get serious, and not in a good way. The beginning of the new week sees a proper pulse of energy, but it’s all for nothing. From Monday the 17th through Thursday the 20th, we’re looking at solid swell in the 10-13ft range, with energy values exploding from 1964 into the low thousands. But it's all accompanied by strong, cross-onshore winds. It’s big, it’s raw, and for a beach and reef setup like this, it’s just going to be a brutal, blown-out wall of whitewater. This is definitely not beginner territory. Honestly, with that much wind and sea, this stretch looks way more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle guys.

Now, here’s where things start to shift. The swell backs down, and the wind finally plays nice. Friday the 21st is the first real standout of the period. We’ve got a clean 4ft of swell, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which brings some proper energy with it. Morning sees a light offshore wind, perfect conditions to make the most of that swell. It's not huge, but it will be clean and fun, breaking with some shape. The energy is moderate (591 units), but the quality will be there. This is your first chance for a good session.

Saturday the 22nd will still have some clean waves, dropping to around 3ft, but it’s getting smaller. By Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th, it fades right out to almost nothing. We're talking ankle-biters with energy readings in the 30s and 50s. The ocean basically goes to sleep for a few days there.

The surf stays tiny at the start of the following week. However, there's another blip on the radar for the week after. The period starts to climb again, and we get some clean conditions with small, rideable waves from Friday the 28th through Saturday the 29th. Friday morning looks like the best of that run, with a 2ft swell and a light offshore wind creating clean conditions at 338 units of energy. It's not big, but it’s clean, and after that last blow-out, that might be just what you need.

For the long-range promise, Saturday the 29th holds some potential, but it’s a fair way out, so I wouldn't book the day off work just yet. It's all about quality over quantity this time around. We get a taste of clean conditions, but we have to be patient and pick the right moments. The good news is the spot is fairly consistent, so it shouldn't stay flat for long.

Remember, the crowd factor is always a possibility at this break, so get out there early.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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