Surf Forecasts:
Ning Nong Point and Reef surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 10,948 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ning Nong Point and Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Ning Nong Point and Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ning Nong Point and Reef in the next 16 days are 6.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 21ft (6.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ning Nong Point and Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Ning Nong Point and Reef.
Straight off the bat, we’ve got a glassy Saturday afternoon on the 15th of August with a clean 4ft wave pushing in from the east. The water’s sitting at 54°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. That’s the only real window for a paddle this weekend. The combined energy is a modest 395, so it’s not a grunty session, but with glassy conditions and a southerly breeze at just 3 mph, it’ll be smooth. Keep your expectations in check though – this is a reef and point setup that likes a south swell, and that easterly direction isn’t optimal.
Then things go pretty wild. From Sunday the 16th right through most of the week, we’re looking at a big pulse of swell, but it’s absolutely hammered by strong southerly winds. Sunday morning sees 15ft and 25 mph cross-onshore – that’s a no-go, messy, and dangerous for anyone but the most experienced, and even then it’s not clean. That energy reading is over 3000 – plenty of power, but all wasted. The same story runs through Monday and Tuesday, with 10ft to 18ft waves and strong to fresh breezes blowing cross-on or onshore. Not worth it.
There’s a flicker of hope on Thursday the 20th afternoon. The wind drops to glassy again, with a light westerly, and the swell eases to 7ft from the south with a 12-second period. That’s a solid groundswell at a reef break, so it should line up nicely. Combined energy is 1324 – moderate, but quality. This is for experienced surfers only though; the size and long period mean it’s not a beginner wave.
Friday the 21st morning stays clean with a light northerly cross-off breeze and 6ft swell from the SSW at 13 seconds. That’s another good session for the experienced crew, with 1714 energy behind it. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on, so the morning is the pick.
Through the weekend of the 22nd and into the 23rd, the swell drops right away. Saturday the 22nd offers small 4ft to 5ft clean waves with light winds, but the energy is low – under 500. It’s okay for a longboard or a funboard, but nothing special. Sunday the 23rd is a write-off with 25 mph winds and falling swell.
After that, from Monday the 24th right through until Friday the 28th, it’s flat to tiny – we’re talking waves under 3ft, mostly messy or with onshore winds. There’s a big gap of several days with nothing worth paddling out for. The only blip is Tuesday afternoon the 25th, where a 6ft northwesterly swell shows up with a short 6-second period. The energy is only 306, and that short period means it’ll be weak and won’t hold up well at the point.
Looking further out to Saturday the 29th, there’s a 6ft to 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a little bumpy but the long period will push plenty of energy through. That’s a promising one, but it’s still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. The combined energy reading is over 2000, so there’s real power there.
Finally, Sunday the 30th of August brings some serious size – 13ft from the SSW with glassy conditions in the morning. The energy is in the 2400 range. That’s too big for most, and even the forecast notes it’s too big for this break. Experts only, and even then, only if you know the reef. The afternoon stays big but gets a little cross-on.
Overall, the standout sessions are Thursday 20th afternoon and Friday 21st morning. Those are the best on offer for clean, solid, groundswell at a reef break. Everything else is either too windy, too small, or way too big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 13 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
195 | 770 | 3275 | 3004 | 2069 | 1208 | 505 | 700 | 2936 | 7273 | 10718 | 6100 | 8067 | 3059 | 1019 | 1288 | 959 | 1327 | 1966 | 861 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:08PM1.69m | 7:40AM1.62m | 8:05PM1.65m | 8:33AM1.64m | 8:59PM1.63m | 9:24AM1.65m | 9:50PM1.61m | 10:12AM1.64m | 10:38PM1.59m | 11:00AM1.63m | 11:23PM1.56m | 11:47AM1.61m | 00:06AM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:34AM0.34m | 1:52PM0.28m | 2:27AM0.36m | 2:50PM0.33m | 3:18AM0.40m | 3:45PM0.38m | 4:07AM0.43m | 4:37PM0.43m | 4:54AM0.47m | 5:26PM0.46m | 5:38AM0.50m | 6:12PM0.48m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | 5 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Feels °C | 11 | 4 | -1 | -2 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | E 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | E 10 | SE 15 | SE 13 | — | SE 12 | S 10 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 |
195 | 92 | 103 | 83 | 481 | 530 | 505 | 307 | 110 | 48 | 9 | 46 | — | 38 | 1019 | 1288 | 959 | 1327 | 1966 | 861 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 19 | E 9 | E 10 | SSW 14 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 |
195 | 48 | 14 | 146 | 106 | 196 | 501 | 254 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 18 | 140 | 363 | 13 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | ESE 13 | — | SSW 20 | SE 16 | ESE 15 | E 11 | ESE 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 13 | NW 4 | SE 12 | — | E 10 |
5 | 18 | — | 77 | 10 | 23 | 224 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 6 | 24 | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 13 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | NW 4 |
— | 770 | 3275 | 3004 | 2069 | 1208 | 164 | 700 | 2936 | 7273 | 10718 | 6100 | 8067 | 3059 | — | — | — | 6 | — | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 245 | 249 | 249 | 130 | 125 | 125 | 92 | 99 | 299 | 249 | 238 | 176 | 99 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ning Nong Point and Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ning Nong Point and Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ning Nong Point and Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ning Nong Point and Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ning Nong Point and Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ning Nong Point and Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Ning Nong Point and Reef is 42 km (26 miles) from the city of Lower Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Lower Hutt. Lower Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











