Ning Nong Point and Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: the next couple of weeks at Ning Nong Point and Reef are shaping up to be a real mixed bag, and honestly, a bit frustrating. Right off the bat, Saturday morning (the 5th of September) has ankle-to-knee high 3ft SSW swell, but that 16 mph cross-offshore wind from the NNW is keeping things clean enough. Wave energy is weak at 198, and the water is sitting at 55°F, which is a little warmer than we usually see this time of year. But it's short-period at 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit fat and gutless. Not exactly a surf-check you’d race to.

Saturday afternoon goes downhill fast. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSW, and the period stretches to 12 seconds, giving us some proper energy (634 moderate energy), but that 25 mph cross-wind from the NW is gonna whip up a messy cross-chop. It’s a write-off.

Sunday the 6th is more of the same—3ft and 2ft with strong cross-winds. Monday the 7th sees a new SSE swell push in at 6ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, but it’s cross-shore and only 7 to 8 seconds. It’ll be lumpy and ugly, and that 8ft is getting a bit hefty for the average punter.

Tuesday the 8th brings the first real size—10ft on the morning from the S, with steady 1223 energy. But the wind is cross-onshore, making it a messy, choppy beast. That’s a lot of water moving around for not much reward. Only for the die-hards.

Now, Wednesday the 9th morning is the first decent window. A clean 5ft from the SSE, 8 seconds, with a light 6 mph offshore from the N. Wave energy is a modest 280, but with clean conditions, the point might have a few fun ones. It’s a short window though—the afternoon dies again.

The outlook drops off a cliff after that, with days of weak, wind-affected, or just poor surf. Thursday the 10th is a mess with heavy rain and strong winds. Friday the 11th brings a 2ft SSW swell with a massive 18-second period (469 energy) but cross-shore winds, so it’s more of a straight, fast wall than a good wave.

Then we get to the standout, but it comes with a huge caveat. Saturday the 12th of September morning is forecast a huge 13ft SSW swell with a massive 4830 energy. The wind is 19 mph cross-off from the WNW, which should keep things clean. But the report flat-out says the swell is too big for this break. This is a reef and point set-up, and 13ft is going to be a washing machine—expert-only territory, and even then, it may just be unrideable. Saturday afternoon is even bigger at 5687 energy and onshore, so it’s a no-go.

There’s a tease again on Tuesday the 15th of September morning: 12ft SSW, 12 seconds, 3373 energy, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW making for clean conditions. But again, the report says it’s too big for the break. That’s a heartbreaker.

The rest of the run into the 20th is a saga of onshore winds, lumps, and choppy conditions. The last glimmer is Sunday the 20th of September afternoon: 7ft SSW, 13 seconds, with a light 6 mph cross-onshore breeze. The energy is decent at 1459, and while the wind isn’t perfect, it’s light enough that there might be a few workable ones at the point if you’re patient. It’s a marginal call.

To be honest, the only real standouts are the big swell days on the 12th and 15th, but they’re too big for this spot. For the average surfer, the cleanest and most manageable window is Wednesday the 9th morning. It’s not pumping, but it’s a real wave with good wind. The 20th afternoon is a long-range hope that could clean up. The rest… you’re better off checking the kite forecast.

Rusty.

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