Tokata surf break

Tokata surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tokata surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tokata sea temperature is
20.6° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokata this week:

The surf forecast for Tokata over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tokata in the next 12 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 18) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 16th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 16th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 19th Jan)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokata over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Fri night, fresh winds from the SE by Sat night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
1
NE
1
NE
1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
0.9
NNE
0.9
NE
1.7
SE
1.9
ESE
2
ESE
1.9
ESE
1.9
ESE
1.8
ESE
1.6
ESE
1.6
E
1.5
E
1.1
NW
Period(s) (?)11111166789810967888887713
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3030307479102181193160161123219345502400416368276285230376
Wind
(km/h)
15
NW
15
NNW
10
NNW
15
NW
15
NNW
5
W
20
SE
25
SE
30
SSE
35
SE
35
SE
35
SE
30
SE
30
SE
25
SE
30
SE
30
SE
25
SE
25
ESE
20
ESE
25
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:54PM
1.86
5:51AM
1.91
5:47PM
1.86
6:41AM
1.95
6:38PM
1.89
7:26AM
1.98
7:26PM
1.93
8:06AM
2.02
8:10PM
1.97
8:45AM
2.04
8:51PM
1.99
9:25AM
2.07
9:31PM
1.99
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:06AM
0.81
11:31PM
0.68
11:57AM
0.81
12:20AM
0.67
12:45PM
0.78
1:05AM
0.63
1:31PM
0.73
1:47AM
0.58
2:15PM
0.67
2:29AM
0.52
2:59PM
0.60
3:10AM
0.46
3:43PM
0.54
3:51AM
0.42
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Sunrise6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05--6:05--6:07--
Sunset-8:30--8:29--8:29--8:28--8:28--8:28--8:27-
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
light rain
thunderstorm
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
Rain (mm)
33544-----212------119
Temp. °C232320222119201816181617181717181917181818
Feels °C (?)232320222119171511121012131212131413131515
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tokata Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tokata provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokata can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokata surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokata) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokata may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tokata, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 121 km (75 miles) away.

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