Tokata surf break

Tokata surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Saturday 14 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tokata surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tokata sea temperature is
20.1° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokata this week:

The surf forecast for Tokata over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 15) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tokata in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 20) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Mar 15) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sun 15th Mar)1.5ft (0.4m) 13s
Best Surf10PM (Sat 21st Mar)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 20th Mar)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokata over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
NNW
0.6
N
0.5
N
0.6
ENE
0.4
NNW
0.7
ESE
0.9
ESE
0.9
ESE
0.6
ESE
0.5
ESE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.8
ENE
0.9
ENE
1
E
1.7
ENE
2.2
ENE
2.3
E
2.2
E
1.9
E
Period(s) (?)91413813891099111110677910111010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)211153904457561131326245354036477710346493211901055755
Wind
(km/h)
20
SSE
15
S
20
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSE
5
NE
15
NW
10
NW
10
NNW
10
N
5
E
10
SE
10
E
5
SE
15
SSE
25
SSE
20
SSE
25
SSE
25
SSE
20
SSE
20
SSE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:30AM
1.83
4:31PM
1.81
5:25AM
1.87
5:26PM
1.85
6:13AM
1.94
6:17PM
1.89
6:55AM
2.02
7:07PM
1.94
7:36AM
2.07
7:55PM
1.99
8:18AM
2.10
8:42PM
2.05
9:04AM
2.10
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:03PM
0.74
10:41AM
0.77
11:01PM
0.69
11:32AM
0.72
11:51PM
0.61
12:23PM
0.63
12:37AM
0.54
1:12PM
0.53
1:23AM
0.48
2:00PM
0.43
2:11AM
0.43
2:46PM
0.35
3:00AM
0.40
Sat
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Sunrise--7:03--7:03--7:05--7:05--7:07--7:07--7:09
Sunset7:28--7:27--7:24--7:23--7:22--7:21--7:19--
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
24----------1--------
Temp. °C201720201520201620191819191720191721211720
Feels °C (?)191516171318171519191819191818161517171417
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tokata Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tokata provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokata can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokata surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokata) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokata may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tokata, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 121 km (75 miles) away.

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