Tolaga Bay surf break

Tolaga Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Wednesday 02 Jul 2025 NZST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tolaga Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tolaga Bay sea temperature is
15.3° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tolaga Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tolaga Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 03) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tolaga Bay in the next 12 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 04) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 06) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Thu 3rd Jul)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Best Surf 6AM (Fri 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 3AM (Fri 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tolaga Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Wed
02
Thursday
03
Friday
04
Saturday
05
Sunday
06
Monday
07
Tuesday
08
Wednesday
09
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Mon
14
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
S
1.2
S
1.7
NNE
2.3
NNE
3
NNE
3
NNE
2.5
NNE
2.3
NNE
1.1
NE
1.4
NE
1.1
NE
1
NE
0.7
NE
2
S
2.1
S
1.9
S
1.6
SSE
1.4
SSE
0.6
S
1.3
S
1.4
S
1.3
S
1
E
2.2
E
2.2
E
1.8
E
1.7
E
2.4
NE
2.5
NE
2.5
NNE
3.5
NE
3
ENE
2
E
2.5
ENE
2.3
ENE
1.9
ENE
Period(s) (?)1114678999999988888716151616141312121278891011101010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)43970027870111681283110715056095233601941245775624863542674051003131613271041318620561249117910601136149517741608161716181066758
Wind
(km/h)
20
NNE
15
N
25
N
30
NNE
30
NNE
15
N
15
N
10
NNW
10
NNW
10
WNW
15
SW
25
SSW
25
SSW
20
SSW
20
SSW
20
S
15
S
15
SSE
15
SE
10
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
5
SSE
5
WSW
5
E
5
NW
10
N
20
NNE
20
N
30
NNE
10
N
10
NW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscrosscross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
glassglassoncross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:02AM
1.60
12:25PM
1.49
12:47AM
1.56
1:16PM
1.46
1:32AM
1.52
2:07PM
1.45
2:17AM
1.49
3:00PM
1.46
3:04AM
1.47
3:57PM
1.48
3:54AM
1.47
4:51PM
1.51
4:47AM
1.48
5:40PM
1.55
5:38AM
1.52
6:24PM
1.59
6:26AM
1.56
7:05PM
1.62
7:10AM
1.59
7:46PM
1.65
7:52AM
1.61
8:27PM
1.67
8:33AM
1.60
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:25PM
0.46
6:07AM
0.42
6:15PM
0.50
6:53AM
0.45
7:07PM
0.54
7:40AM
0.47
8:00PM
0.58
8:28AM
0.50
8:53PM
0.61
9:19AM
0.50
9:45PM
0.62
10:10AM
0.50
10:35PM
0.61
10:58AM
0.48
11:23PM
0.58
11:43AM
0.45
12:09AM
0.53
12:27PM
0.41
12:55AM
0.48
1:09PM
0.35
1:40AM
0.43
1:52PM
0.30
2:25AM
0.38
Wed
02
Thursday
03
Friday
04
Saturday
05
Sunday
06
Monday
07
Tuesday
08
Wednesday
09
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Mon
14
Sunrise--7:24--7:24--7:24--7:24--7:22--7:22--7:22--7:22--7:22--7:22--7:20--7:20
Sunset4:55--4:57--4:57--4:58--4:59--4:59--5:00--5:00--5:00--5:01--5:01--5:02--
clearpart cloudcloudlight rainheavy rainrain showersclearpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudlight rainlight rainpart cloudcloudpart cloudpart cloudcloudlight rainrain showerscloudpart cloudpart cloudcloudpart cloudcloudclearpart cloudpart cloudcloudrain showersthunderstorm cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudclear
Rain (mm)
---2221----11-----11----------62-----
Temp. °C131315151719201519181313121112121213121213131214141115141314151215161316
Feels °C (?)891111161819141716118767889889101012129111091014101213913

Short Range Forecast: Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Thu afternoon, light winds from the N by Fri afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 6-9 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Long Range Forecast: Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tolaga Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tolaga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Tolaga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tolaga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tolaga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tolaga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tolaga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 42 km (26 miles) away.

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