Tolaga Bay Surf Break

Tolaga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.38° S 178.31° E

Issued: 11 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tolaga Bay sea temperature is
15.1° C

Normal for this time of year

Tolaga Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tolaga Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, SSE swell with 3,386 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tolaga Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tolaga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tolaga Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Tue 7th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 9s
Best Surf 3AM (Fri 10th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 6AM (Fri 10th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tolaga Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the S by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
!
!
!
!
!
4
4
3
3
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NNE
8
1.4
E
9
1.5
E
9
1.7
E
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.5
E
10
1.6
ESE
10
2.5
S
9
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
3
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.6
SE
9
1.4
SE
9
1.3
ESE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
634
327
383
573
603
637
616
459
544
1018
3088
2967
2787
3199
1828
1115
847
673
456
345
276
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
5
SSW
5
ENE
10
SW
10
SW
15
S
10
W
10
SW
20
SW
25
S
40
S
40
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
25
SW
10
SW
10
WSW
10
S
10
W
5
W
10
ENE
Wind State
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
glassy
on
High Tide
11:01PM1.60m
11:11AM1.49m
11:43PM1.59m
12:03PM1.50m
00:28AM1.59m
12:58PM1.53m
1:18AM1.59m
1:55PM1.57m
2:17AM1.61m
2:58PM1.61m
3:22AM1.64m
4:08PM1.68m
4:27AM1.68m
5:16PM1.76m
Low Tide
5:06AM0.35m
5:09PM0.40m
5:51AM0.34m
6:00PM0.46m
6:38AM0.35m
6:57PM0.49m
7:30AM0.37m
7:59PM0.51m
8:29AM0.39m
9:03PM0.49m
9:33AM0.38m
10:07PM0.47m
10:36AM0.34m
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
4:59
5:00
5:00
5:00
5:01
5:01
5:02
 mm
1
2
16
4
5
2
1
2
Temp °C
11
13
13
11
13
13
11
13
12
13
12
11
10
11
11
9
11
12
8
11
11
Feels °C
8
13
12
9
10
10
9
10
8
9
5
3
2
5
5
5
8
9
6
9
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
NE
8
1.4
E
9
1.5
E
9
1.7
E
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.8
ESE
10
1.5
E
10
1.6
ESE
10
1.6
ESE
10
0.3
SSW
19
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
3
SE
10
2.4
SE
10
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
10
1.6
SE
9
1.4
SE
9
1.3
ESE
9
Energy kJ
475
327
383
573
603
637
616
459
544
482
69
61
82
50
1828
1115
847
673
456
345
276
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
E
9
1.1
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
8
1.1
NE
9
0.9
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
9
0.9
NNE
9
0.9
SSW
10
0.7
NNE
8
0.7
S
12
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SSW
18
0.1
S
21
0.3
SSW
15
0.5
S
17
0.6
S
15
0.6
S
14
0.6
S
13
0.6
S
12
0.6
S
11
Energy kJ
202
134
224
193
111
116
124
160
56
139
136
121
9
44
153
170
153
130
104
83
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
19
0.8
NE
8
0.4
SSW
10
0.5
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
9
0.4
SSW
8
0.5
S
8
0.7
NNE
8
0.3
SSW
16
0.5
NE
8
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SSW
20
1
SSW
8
0.2
SSW
20
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
12
Energy kJ
71
86
42
55
28
23
29
59
51
29
44
75
113
38
6
5
5
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NNE
8
1.4
NNE
8
0.5
SW
3
0.9
SSW
9
0.6
S
4
1.3
S
10
2.5
S
9
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
4
SSE
10
1.4
SSW
8
Energy kJ
634
238
5
116
11
319
1018
3088
2967
2787
3199
264
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
4
6
4
4
4
3
3
2
1
Distance (km)
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
83
90
90
83
11
28
0
0
0
0
0
42
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
4
6
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
6
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tolaga Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tolaga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tolaga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tolaga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tolaga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tolaga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tolaga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 42 km (26 miles) away.

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