Tokomaru Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.13° S 178.32° E

Tokomaru Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 15 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tokomaru Bay sea temperature is
15.2°C
0.2° 

Tokomaru Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tokomaru Bay surf forecast from 14 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 17 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with 4,011 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 16 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokomaru Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tokomaru Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tokomaru Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 11s period and expected on Friday (Oct 16) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 16th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 17th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 17th Oct)13ft (4.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokomaru Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
9
1.2
N
5
0.9
NNE
8
0.5
N
9
0.4
N
9
0.3
NNE
9
4
SSE
11
4
SSE
11
3.5
SSE
10
1.5
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
0.9
SE
8
0.7
SE
8
0.6
ESE
7
0.3
NE
10
0.3
NE
10
0.3
NE
10
0.3
NE
10
0.3
NE
10
0.3
NE
9
0.4
SSE
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
28
70
92
36
25
16
3987
3542
2307
383
197
98
57
36
16
15
16
19
15
14
93
Wind (km/h)
15
N
25
N
20
WNW
20
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
20
SW
25
S
10
WSW
5
SSE
10
ENE
5
WNW
10
S
10
E
10
WNW
5
SW
10
SE
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
10:05AM1.55m
10:23PM1.46m
10:48AM1.51m
11:07PM1.42m
11:32AM1.47m
11:51PM1.37m
12:17PM1.43m
00:37AM1.32m
1:03PM1.39m
1:25AM1.29m
1:52PM1.37m
2:15AM1.27m
2:41PM1.36m
3:07AM1.27m
Low Tide
4:22PM0.25m
4:37AM0.24m
5:06PM0.29m
5:20AM0.28m
5:51PM0.33m
6:05AM0.32m
6:36PM0.36m
6:50AM0.36m
7:24PM0.39m
7:36AM0.38m
8:12PM0.40m
8:25AM0.39m
9:02PM0.39m
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
—
—
6:20
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:16
—
—
6:15
—
—
6:13
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:22
—
—
7:23
—
—
7:24
—
—
7:25
—
—
7:27
—
—
7:28
—
—
7:29
—
 mm
—
6
—
2
3
4
2
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
20
16
11
10
11
9
13
12
11
15
16
10
18
16
12
17
16
11
20
17
12
Feels °C
16
13
7
5
5
2
6
6
5
10
11
7
15
14
10
14
14
9
17
15
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Tokomaru Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tokomaru Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokomaru Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokomaru Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokomaru Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokomaru Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tokomaru Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 66 km (41 miles) away.

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