Tokomaru Bay surf break

Tokomaru Bay surfForecast / East Cape / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tokomaru Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Tokomaru Bay sea temperature is
20.6° C
(Which is 1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tokomaru Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Tokomaru Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tokomaru Bay in the next 12 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 18) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 16th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 21st Jan)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 19th Jan)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tokomaru Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.8
NE
1
NE
1.3
NNE
1
NE
1.1
NE
1.1
NE
0.8
NE
0.7
NE
2.3
SSE
2.5
SSE
2.5
SSE
2.5
SSE
2.4
SE
2.2
SE
2.4
SSE
2.3
SSE
2.2
SSE
2.2
SE
Period(s) (?)121111666788887889887877
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)4030313676128100131149100715038239411012805624611575504489
Wind
(km/h)
10
NNW
10
N
15
N
10
N
10
N
10
NNW
10
SSW
10
S
20
S
15
S
20
SSE
20
SSE
20
SE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
15
ESE
15
SE
10
SSE
15
SE
10
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
crosscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
4:11AM
1.36
4:26PM
1.33
5:00AM
1.38
5:15PM
1.33
5:48AM
1.40
6:02PM
1.35
6:34AM
1.44
6:49PM
1.36
7:20AM
1.47
7:34PM
1.38
8:03AM
1.50
8:19PM
1.40
8:46AM
1.53
Low Tide
/ height (m)
10:18AM
0.43
10:38PM
0.35
11:09AM
0.42
11:27PM
0.34
11:59AM
0.40
12:15AM
0.31
12:48PM
0.37
1:02AM
0.28
1:36PM
0.34
1:47AM
0.25
2:22PM
0.30
2:32AM
0.23
3:06PM
0.26
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
Sunrise-5:58--6:00--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05-
Sunset--8:30--8:30--8:30--8:30--8:29--8:29--8:28
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---212--12--2411-211--
Temp. °C212525202125181917161817161817161818161919
Feels °C (?)212324202224191815141413131514141515141617
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tokomaru Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tokomaru Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Tokomaru Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tokomaru Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tokomaru Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tokomaru Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Tokomaru Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 66 km (41 miles) away.

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