
Surf Forecasts:
Mohaka River Mouth surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSE swell with 5,501 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mohaka River Mouth this week:
The surf forecast for Mohaka River Mouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mohaka River Mouth in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.0m 12s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mohaka River Mouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a cuppa and let’s have a look at what’s comin’ through for the Mohaka River Mouth over the next couple of weeks.
First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The surf is pretty small and weak on Tuesday the 21st – just 4 ft of south swell at 14 seconds, but it’s a bit on the marginal side and the water’s a touch colder than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at 54°. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (657). Nothin’ to get too excited about just yet.
Wednesday the 22nd morning is where it gets a little more interesting. The swell drops to 3 ft from the south, but the period is still a nice 12 seconds, and the wind is glassy – absolute flat calm. That’s gotta be the standout for the early part of the week. The break is a sandbar, fairly consistent, and with a bit of luck you’ll have it to yourself or just a few others. The combined energy is moderate (257). It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun for a quiet session.
After that, the surf goes into a bit of a lull. Thursday and Friday are tiny – down to 1.0 ft to 2 ft – and the energy drops right off. There’s a few days from the 24th through to the 25th where it’s pretty ordinary, with onshore winds and rain on the Saturday afternoon. Not worth paddlin’ out for.
Then Sunday the 26th morning brings a bit of hope. The swell jumps back to 3 ft from the ESE with a 14-second period, and it’s glassy again. The combined energy is moderate (640). This is the second real highlight – small but clean, and the offshore wind from the WSW will keep it tidy. The morning session looks like the pick of the weekend.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see a big jump in size. On Monday, the swell hits 10 ft from the south, but it’s cross-on and a bit messy. By Tuesday morning, the swell is 8 ft from the SE with a 14-second period, and the wind is light cross-off. This is a serious groundswell, and the combined energy is strong (3595). This is only for the experienced crew – too big for beginners. The break is a sandbar, so with a long period like that, it could be a bit straight, but for the right surfer it’ll be a session to remember.
The rest of the week into the following Monday sees the swell slowly drop back down, with a lot of onshore winds and choppy conditions. The combined energy stays moderate to strong, but the wind is just not your friend. There’s a few glassy mornings in there, like Saturday the 1st of August morning with 4 ft from the SE and a 12-second period, and Sunday the 2nd of August morning with 3 ft from the SE, but by then the energy is weaker.
The very end of the forecast, around Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th of August, shows another big spike – 10 ft to 13 ft from the south with strong energy (2564 to 7174). But the guidance says it’s too big for this break, and the wind is cross-off, so it’s strictly for the experts, and even then, the sandbar will be handling a lot of water.
So, the best on offer for the average surfer? That’s Wednesday the 22nd morning and Sunday the 26th morning – both glassy, clean, and manageable. For the big-wave chargers, Tuesday the 28th morning is the standout.
Catch ya on the beach,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SE 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | S 8 | ESE 14 | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
598 | 411 | 228 | 157 | 82 | 73 | 40 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 37 | 157 | 126 | 282 | 362 | 386 | 477 | 1837 | 4577 | 4543 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:32PM1.51m | 12:03PM1.46m | 00:23AM1.44m | 12:53PM1.43m | 1:12AM1.39m | 1:41PM1.41m | 2:00AM1.35m | 2:29PM1.40m | 2:48AM1.33m | 3:16PM1.40m | 3:35AM1.33m | 4:02PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:24PM0.18m | 5:52AM0.16m | 6:15PM0.24m | 6:39AM0.22m | 7:05PM0.29m | 7:25AM0.27m | 7:53PM0.33m | 8:11AM0.30m | 8:42PM0.35m | 8:57AM0.32m | 9:29PM0.36m | 9:44AM0.32m | 10:18PM0.35m | |||||||
— | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — | — | 3 | 8 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | SSE 11 | ENE 5 | S 10 | ENE 6 | E 8 | E 11 | ESE 11 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 14 | SE 14 |
598 | 411 | 228 | 157 | 82 | 73 | 40 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 157 | 126 | 282 | 273 | 352 | 451 | 711 | 1126 | 1196 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 10 | ENE 6 | S 9 | SE 12 | SE 18 | SE 17 | ESE 11 | ESE 14 | S 15 | — | — | — | — |
59 | 41 | 29 | 28 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 13 | 47 | 138 | 362 | 5 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | S 14 | — | E 4 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 16 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 20 | 14 | — | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 122 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | ENE 4 | — | NNW 2 | N 2 | NE 3 | NNW 2 | SSW 3 | S 8 | — | S 8 | S 8 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 518 | — | 386 | 477 | 1837 | 4577 | 4543 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 58 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 31 | 0 | 47 | 34 | 10 | 31 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mohaka River Mouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mohaka River Mouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mohaka River Mouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mohaka River Mouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mohaka River Mouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mohaka River Mouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mohaka River Mouth is 46 km (29 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










