Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cookin’ for Aileen’s over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The water’s sitting at 62.1°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small mercy. But for the most part, we’re looking at a long, quiet run with very little to get excited about.

The first real glimmer of anything surfable doesn’t show up until Wednesday, August 5th, on the morning. Even then, it’s not much. We’ve got a tiny 2.3 ft swell rolling in from the west, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is good for the reef setup here, but the combined wave energy is only moderate at 116. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the southeast, so the surface is clean. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. After that, the wind swings around and it gets messy again.

Before that, from now all the way through the end of July and into early August, it’s a desert. Days of flat, tiny, or wind-trash conditions. The swell barely gets a pulse, and even when it does, like on Saturday July 25th and Sunday July 26th when the swell bumps up to 4.9 ft to 6.2 ft from the west-northwest, the onshore wind is howling at 18 to 22 mph, just smashing it up. That kind of energy is strong (combined energy hits 624 and 651), but it’s completely unsurfable for a paddle. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

For a spot that’s inconsistent and expert-only, this is a real bummer. The reef won’t start working properly until we get a clean, lined-up swell, and that’s not on the cards. The best I can say is that the morning of August 5th is the only window where you could maybe get a couple of clean, waist-high waves if you’re desperate. But it’s nothing to write home about. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. Hang tight, mate. Forecasts can change.

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