Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Aileen's, and you're gonna have to be patient. It’s a long-range outlook, so the later stuff is promising but less certain.

The water’s running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 63°, which is a nice little bonus.

Alright, the start of the period is dead. Thursday the 27th through to the end of August is a write-off. You’re looking at tiny waves with poor surf conditions, mostly choppy or onshore winds. There's nothing to get excited about, so save your energy.

We get a little pulse in the first couple of days of September, but it’s still messy with strong onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Not worth paddling out.

Then things start looking up. The real standout action kicks off on Saturday the 5th of September. Saturday morning brings offshore wind from the east at 6 mph, with a solid 6 ft swell coming from the west at 10 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 766. The conditions are clean and that combination is a true highlight. Expect very good surf, but remember, this is a top-shelf expert reef break, and it’s inconsistent – it rarely lines up this well. It’ll be a special session for those who charge. Saturday afternoon holds up nicely too with 6 ft and clean cross-off breeze.

Then Sunday the 6th is a step down, with lighter swell and a cross-shore wind that'll put a bit of a bump on the face. Not the same quality.

Now, for my pick of the whole period, look at Monday the 7th of September. It is going to be magic. Monday morning is glassy – zero wind, 6 ft swell from the west at 10 seconds, and a combined energy of 668. You cannot ask for cleaner conditions at a wave this size for experts. Monday afternoon keeps the offshore flow from the ESE at 9 mph and stays clean with 6 ft. Tuesday the 8th continues the run with moderate offshore wind and a bigger 6 ft to 6 ft swell from the west-southwest, with a longer period of 11 to 12 seconds, giving it real punch. The energy is up around 805. That's world-class potential if you're on your game.

Things fall off again mid-week with poor winds and choppy surf. Wednesday and Thursday look average.

Bottom line: The first week is a bust. Surf the first weekend of September and lock in that Monday morning for the best of the best. This is a classic case of waiting for the right window.

Rusty.

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