Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve gotta be straight with you – there’s nothing doing for the whole 16-day window. We’re looking at a flat spell that just won’t quit. The first possible surf doesn’t show up until the 15th of July, and from there it’s just a long, drawn-out run of poor surf conditions every single day. There’s no real kick of energy, no window of clean, rideable waves. It’s a tough one for the area.

The only break on the radar is Aileen's – a reef setup that’s inconsistent and for advanced crew only. The ideal swell direction for it is WSW, but for most of the forecast, the swell is tiny, mostly 1 ft to 1 ft from the W or WSW, with periods around 8 to 9 seconds. That’s weak, short-period stuff. The combined swell energy is in the weak range, often just 23 to 41 (weak energy), barely enough to move you. You’d be bobbing around on a lake.

The winds are a mixed bag, but it doesn’t matter because there’s nothing to push. On the 15th of July Wednesday morning, we get a brief moment of gentle offshore wind from the east, with a 1 ft WSW swell and a 9-second period, but the energy is still weak (39) and the surf is labelled poor. It’s clean, sure, but it’s flat. That’s about as close as we get to a highlight, and it’s not one.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing out of the ordinary there.

Later in the window, around the 24th of July, we see a slight bump – a 4 ft NW windswell on Friday afternoon with a period of just 5 seconds and energy of 71 (still weak). But the wind is onshore at 12 mph, making it a messy, blown-out affair. Not one for the log.

After that, we get into some strong winds – fresh breezes from the SW and WSW, with a bit of rain and cloudy skies, but the swell stays tiny. The 25th and 26th of July see some 2 ft to 2 ft NW swell, but the wind is howling 19 to 22 mph onshore. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. The setup looks far more interesting for those with a kite than a surfboard.

The final few days, from the 28th to the 30th of July, are more of the same – tiny swells, cross-shore or onshore winds, and poor conditions. The energy never gets above 37 (weak). There’s just nothing to get excited about.

So, bottom line: it’s a blank run. For this area, that’s more normal than unusual. Forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay poor forever, but for now, I’d keep the boards in the rack and wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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