Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Aileen's.

Right now, we're staring down a pretty rough stretch. The forecast kicks off with a solid swell but it's all tangled up in nasty cross-on winds, making a mess of things. We've got moderate wave energy buildin' through the first few days, hitting a peak of moderate to strong (452 combined energy) on Thursday, but those winds just won't let up. It's a tough start.

Thursday the 4th sees the swell jump up to a chunky 10ft from the West, with a very long 11 to 12 second period, and the combined energy goes ballistic into the thousands (strong). That’s a lot of water moving, but the wind is straight onshore at 22-25 mph. For a reef like Aileen's, that's just gonna be a washing machine. Unless you've got a kite, there's not much to get excited about there.

Things stay pretty average for the next week. The swell hangs around but the wind keeps blowing from the wrong direction. On Sunday the 6th, we get a bit of a clean-up with a cross-off breeze from the SSE, but the swell is small at 4ft and the energy is weak (188). It's clean, but not really doing much.

Now, here's the light at the end of the tunnel. Hold on until Sunday, September 13th. Finally, we get a shift. The wind swings offshore from the ENE at a clean 16 mph. The swell is a friendly 5ft from the WSW with a decent 10-second period, and moderate wave energy (411). This is the first day that genuinely looks good. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the wetsuit might be a little more comfortable.

But the real standout, the one to pencil in, is Tuesday, September 15th. The morning sees a 7ft groundswell from the West, with a very long 12-second period. That's a lot of push and the combined energy is strong (1174). The best part? The wind drops out completely in the afternoon, going glassy from the NNW at just 3 mph. A glassy 6ft swell at Aileen's is about as good as it gets. Early on, an offshore breeze from the light SE keeps it clean. Just remember, with that long period, the sets will be well-spaced, but they'll have plenty of punch. This is a spot for the experienced crew, and if you're out there, you'll likely have it to yourself as it can be inconsistent.

The outlook improves a bit through the end of the window, with cleaner conditions and smaller, manageable waves, but nothing matches that Tuesday.

Signing off, Rusty.

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