Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cooking for Aileen’s.

First off, I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The next week and a half is looking pretty grim for Aileen’s. We’ve got a solid stretch of poor conditions from the 27th of July all the way through to the 6th of August. There’s a lot of cross-onshore wind and lumpy, choppy water, with swell heights bouncing between 0.7 ft and 5.6 ft, but the energy just isn’t there for a proper session. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate at best, topping out at 484 on the 27th, but that’s paired with a 15.5 mph cross-on wind, so it’s a mess. The water temperature is sitting at 62.2°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit, but you will need a lot of patience.

We finally get a bit of a glimmer on the 7th of August. Friday morning shows a 3.6 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 214 – that’s moderate energy. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a step up. Friday afternoon gets a bit bigger, 5.9 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to 6 seconds, which is short and weak. It’s a marginal call, and the score is low.

Now, the real standout – and I mean the only one worth circling on your calendar – is Saturday, August 8th, in the morning. This is the best we’ve got over the 16 days. The swell is 5.9 ft from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds, giving us a strong combined energy of 428. That’s a solid push. But the real story is the wind: it’s glassy. Dead calm. That’s a treat for Aileen’s. The set-up is a reef, so with that W/NW swell and glassy conditions, it’s going to be clean and lined up. This is an advanced spot, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll have to wait for sets, but when they come, they’ll be worth it. The water is still that touch warmer than normal, so you’ll be comfortable. The crowd factor is “often” here, so expect company, but with conditions this good, it’s worth dealing with a few other heads.

Saturday afternoon? Forget it. The wind swings back to a fresh cross-on 21.7 mph, and the surf goes to mush. After that, we’re back to small, weak, and windy for the rest of the run. The 10th of August morning has a glassy 3.0 ft swell, but it’s really small, and the energy is only 94.

So, truth is, you’ve got one morning to make it count: Saturday, August 8th, early. If you’re an expert surfer, that’s your window. Everything else is a miss.

Stay safe out there.

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