Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's be straight with you – I've got the Aileen's forecast here, and for the next 16 days, it's a pretty grim outlook. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, so don't be in a rush to wax your board.

The water is sitting at 62°F, which is about 2°F warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little anomaly, but it won't save the waves.

The first real flicker of anything doesn't come until Sunday, August 2nd. That afternoon, we've got a tiny 2ft swell from the SW with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE. It's clean, but the energy is weak at 105 (moderate). The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so it's a low bar. Even then, the morning of that day is even smaller at 1ft.

After that, we go straight back into the doldrums. For the whole of the first week of August, it's a mix of onshore, cross-onshore, and cross-offshore winds with tiny, weak swells. The energy numbers are mostly in the double digits, showing just how pathetic the wave power is. There's a period from August 2nd right through to August 13th where there's nothing worth paddling out for.

Around August 13th, we see a bit of a bump. The Thursday morning has a 4ft swell from the SW, but it's only 8 seconds of period and the wind is a cross-shore from the N. The energy hits 151 (moderate), but the conditions are still rated as "poor." The Thursday afternoon is a bit better with a 4ft swell from the WSW, period at 8 seconds, and a cross-offshore wind from the WNW. The energy bumps up to 165 (moderate). Still, the report isn't kind.

And then August 15th, Saturday morning, we get 4ft from the WNW with a period of just 6 seconds. That's a weak, short-period wind swell, with a fresh cross-onshore wind from the NW. The energy is 126 (moderate), but it'll be lumpy and messy. The afternoon is similar, 4ft from the W, 7-second period, with a moderate cross-onshore wind from the SW. Energy is 176 (moderate), but again, choppy and not worth the drive.

The best of a bad bunch is probably that August 13th Thursday afternoon session, but even then, it's a stretch. The wave quality is just not there. Honestly, for this stretch, the setup at Aileen's looks more suited to a kite than a surfboard given the consistent onshore winds and poor surf quality. There's just nothing to get excited about. The long-range stuff on the 15th is a total write-off.

Rusty.

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