Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch of swell for the next 16 days at Aileen's. There’s a big gap of no decent surf from now until the end of the first week. The waves that do show up are mostly blown out, messy, or just too small to get excited about. Hold tight.

Saturday, September 5 – We start off with some hope. The morning is a write-off: cross-on 12 mph SW wind, 6 ft west swell, but the combined energy is moderate (640) and the conditions are poor. The afternoon cleans up a bit – cross-off 9 mph SSE wind, 5 ft west swell, and the water is a touch warmer than normal at 62°F. The surf is clean, but the rating is still low. It’s a small window.

Sunday, September 6 – The morning is deceptive. 4 ft WSW swell but the wind is howling 25 mph cross-off, and the energy is weak (156) – it’s a no-go. The afternoon is a mess: 7 ft WSW swell, but a 25 mph cross-on SW wind shreds it up. The energy ramps up (913) but the conditions are poor.

Monday, September 7 – Big swell coming through, 10 ft WSW, but the wind is a near gale at 31 mph cross-on. The energy is strong (1844) – this is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s blown out. This is more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

Tuesday, September 8 – Still big, 10 ft west swell, 25 mph onshore winds. The energy is very strong (1864). Not for the faint of heart.

Wednesday, September 9 – The swell drops to 4 ft WNW, but it’s onshore 9 mph wind. The energy is moderate (276) but the conditions are poor.

Thursday, September 10 – 6 ft west swell, onshore 22 mph wind. Energy is moderate (541). Not a standout.

Friday, September 11 – 8 ft west swell, cross-on 22 mph wind. Energy is moderate (720). The conditions are lumpy.

Saturday, September 12 – 5 ft west swell, cross-shore 16 mph wind. Energy is moderate (606). It’s the best of a bad bunch this week, but it’s only marginal.

Sunday, September 13 – The swell goes flat, 3 ft. Nada.

Monday, September 14 – Tiny, 2 ft west swell, long period 13 seconds, but cross-on 12 mph wind. The energy is very weak (119). Not worth it.

Tuesday, September 15 – Still tiny, 2 ft. The energy is weak (100). The wind is still ruining it.

Wednesday, September 16 – 2 ft west swell, cross-on 19 mph. Energy is very weak (97). Nothing.

Thursday, September 17 – 3 ft WNW swell, cross-shore 12 mph wind. Energy is weak (126). Still a pass.

Friday, September 18 – The best we’ve seen in a long time. 5 ft west swell, 11-second period, with clean cross-off 12 mph wind from the NE. The energy is moderate (501) – the combined energy is moderate (501). The surf is clean. This is the best bet of the entire outlook, but it’s 13 days out. It’s promising, but don’t bank on it.

Saturday, September 19 – 3 ft west swell, clean 6 mph offshore wind from the east. The energy is very weak (196). The surf is clean but small.

Sunday, September 20 – 3 ft WNW swell, 11-second period, a light 3 mph cross-off wind. The energy is very weak (222). It’s clean, but marginal.

The standout: The best on offer is Friday, September 18. It’s the only day with a clean, moderate swell (5 ft west) and a good wind direction. The other days are either blown out, too small, or too big for anything but experts.

The crowd: Aileen’s is a reef break that’s often crowded. When the surf is good, expect company.

The water temp: The water is 62°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

No links, no buoys. Just the facts.

Stay patient, lads. Rusty.

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