Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the line for this spot.

Well, gotta be straight with you—this is a rough one. The next week and a half is pretty much a write-off. We’re looking at a long, long stretch of small, weak swell and poor conditions. The first decent chance doesn’t even show up till the 6th of September, and even then it’s not a barnburner. But let’s walk through it day by day.

From the 26th of August right through the 1st of September, it’s all small, weak, and messy. On the 26th, you’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the west with a short period, and the combined energy is a measly 29. It’s clean enough for a paddle, but the surf is just poor. The 27th and 28th are more of the same—small, wind-affected, and weak. The 29th drops to tiny 1ft, and the 30th bumps up a bit to 3ft from the WSW, but the wind is on it or cross-off. The 31st sees a jump to 5ft from the west, but it’s onshore and messy. The 1st of September is still rubbish.

The 2nd of September is a nothing day, tiny 1ft and weak. The 3rd of September brings a bigger west swell at 6ft, but the wind is on it hard from the WNW, so it’s blown out. Combined energy is a moderate 496, but worthless with that wind.

Now, the 4th of September is a bit of a tease. A 4ft west swell with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy hits 396. But the wind is cross-shore, making it choppy. Still not good.

The standout. The 5th of September is the first time we see something worth raising an eyebrow at. The swell jumps to 7ft from the west with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a strong 803. But it’s a Saturday, and the wind is light and cross-on, so it’s a bit lumpy. The conditions are marginal, and the wave comment says it’s questionable. Not a classic, but it’s the biggest swell we’ve seen. This is for experts only—over 8ft it’s for experts, but 7ft is still big and powerful. The swell direction is WSW, which is perfect for Aileen’s.

The next best. The 6th of September (Sunday morning) is cleaner. A 4ft swell from the WSW with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 279. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSE, so it’s clean. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 63°F. This is a solid, manageable size for a decent session.

The long-range hopeful. The 7th of September (Monday morning) looks glassy. A 4ft swell from the WNW, period of 10 seconds, and combined energy of 353. Glassy conditions with zero wind. This could be a really clean morning if the swell holds. The only caveat is that WNW swell can be a bit straight at beach breaks, but Aileen’s is a reef, so it should handle it well.

After that, the 8th, 9th, and 10th of September fall apart again with strong winds and small, messy surf.

So, the best on offer? The 5th of September has the biggest swell but is a bit messy. The real cleanest window is the 6th and 7th of September. The 7th Monday morning, with its glassy conditions, is your best bet for a smooth, clean session. The 6th is a solid second choice. For the rest of this forecast, it’s a long, dry spell. Aileen’s is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast shows it.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the 7th.

Rusty.

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