Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you: the outlook for Aileen's over the next 16 days is a tough one. I’ve been staring at this, and I’ve got to tell you, there isn't a single moment in the whole stretch where the stars align for a proper paddle. The wind is almost always howling onshore or cross-onshore, and when it does shift, the swell is either too small or too sloppy. It’s a real heartbreaker for a wave that can be so special.

Starting off from Friday the 24th of July, it’s tiny. We’re talking 2ft of weak, short-period slop from the WNW, with a westerly breeze blowing straight on it. The combined energy is barely a whisper at 58 (weak energy). That’s just not happening.

Saturday the 25th sees a bit of a bump, with the swell hitting 6ft, but the period is a disappointing 7 seconds, and the onshore wind is a fresh 22 mph. The energy climbs to 270 (moderate), but it’s all blown out.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th bring the biggest swell of the early period, up to 7ft, with combined energy hitting 736 (moderate) and even 407 (moderate), but again, it’s a cross-onshore mess. The wind is strong from the WNW and SW, making it lumpy and poor. This is not the time to be out there.

Tuesday the 28th stays poor with strong onshore winds, and the swell drops back. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are a total write-off – the swell is under 3ft, and the energy is weak. Thursday the 30th does see a brief moment of cleaner conditions as the wind goes cross-off from the SE, but with only 3ft on offer, it’s just not worth the drive.

The start of August is no better. Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 1st of August have solid 7ft to 8ft swell, with energy readings of 971 (moderate) and 1153 (strong), but it’s all cross-onshore at 25 mph. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

Sunday the 2nd of August is the biggest swell of the forecast, a solid 10ft from the WSW with a 10 to 11 second period. The combined energy is a massive 2070 (strong). That’s a serious amount of water, but it’s a west swell, which isn’t the optimum direction for Aileen's (which prefers WSW). The wind is onshore. That’s an expert-only, messy, dangerous day.

After that, it’s a slow fade. Monday the 3rd of August drops to 5ft, then we’re back to tiny, weak, and often choppy conditions through to the 8th of August. The energy readings are in the double digits by the end, with swell under 2ft.

So, the bottom line is there’s no standout session here. The entire 16-day window from now is a blank. For a spot like Aileen's that is inconsistent anyway, this is a more normal run of bad luck. The forecasts can change, but right now, you’re better off waxing your board and waiting for a better window.

Rusty.

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