Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Rusty here. Look, I've been staring at the charts for Aileen's, and I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – this 16-day window is a total write-off. There's genuinely nothing to get excited about. It's one of those stretches where the ocean just doesn't want to play ball.

Let's start with what we've got, which isn't much. The first real pulse of energy shows up on Monday morning, August 24th. You're looking at a 3 ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 11 seconds – that's a nice long-period groundswell, which Aileen's can handle being a reef. The wind is offshore from the east at 15 mph, which should keep it clean. The combined energy is moderate (159). But even then, the wave comment is just "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," scoring a 1 out of 10. It's not worth the paddle.

After that, it's a long, grim slog. The swell tries to pick up again around August 28th, Friday afternoon, with a 8 ft lump from the west, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore from the WNW at 16 mph. The energy jumps to 554 (strong), but that's just a messy, choppy wall of water. Saturday morning, August 29th, sees an 8 ft swell from the west with a 9-second period, but onshore winds at 19 mph make it a thrash. That kind of size is only for experts, and even they'd be battling the wind.

We then hit a dead zone. From August 30th through to September 2nd, the swell is tiny – under 3 ft – with weak energy (mostly under 100). There's a brief moment on Sunday afternoon, August 30th, with glassy conditions and a 3 ft west swell, but it's just not enough to push over the reef.

Then, the final kick comes on September 3rd and 4th. Thursday morning, September 3rd, sees a 7 ft swell from the WSW with an 8-second period and onshore winds at 19 mph. The energy is strong (614), but it's a mess. Then on Friday, September 4th, the afternoon brings a 7 ft swell from the west with a 12-second period and a massive combined energy of 1470, but the wind is onshore from the WSW at 16 mph. That's a lot of power, but it's gonna be blown out and ugly.

All in all, there's not a single standout session in this entire forecast. The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal at 63°F, but that's not going to help the waves. Aileen's is an inconsistent spot anyway, and this run is just a classic example of why. It's a reef break that needs the right alignment, and it's just not getting it. The whole setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler across these two weeks.

Rusty, signing off.

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