Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for any proper surf. I’ve scoured the charts for Aileen's, and honestly, it’s a wasteland out there for a while. We’ve got a solid run of tiny, weak, and messy surf. There’s a big gap of nothing good on the horizon, but hang tight, because there’s a flicker of life way down the line.

The first week is a write-off. From Saturday the 1st right through to about the 11th, it’s all small, short-period slop. You're looking at ankle to knee-high dribble for the most part, with the swell energy mostly in the weak range, often under 100 (like 70, 46, 36). The wind is all over the shop, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, bumping up what little there is. There’s a small window on Tuesday the 4th with light easterly offshore winds, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft, so it’s barely even a ripple. Don’t get your hopes up.

Things get a little more interesting around the 10th and 11th, but it's still poor. We see the swell energy start to climb a bit on the 11th and 12th, getting into the moderate range (157, 197, 209), with some cleaner conditions on the 12th morning. The swell direction is swinging to the west-southwest, which is at least in the right direction for the reef. But even then, the wave heights are only around 3ft. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s something to watch.

Now, for the one bright spot in this entire forecast: the middle of the second week. We are looking at the 15th of August, a Saturday. There’s a pulse of energy showing up. The combined swell energy jumps to a strong 276 (and 220 in the afternoon). The swell is still only around 4ft to 4ft, coming from the west, but the period stretches out to 10 seconds, which gives it a bit more push. The problem? The wind is howling from the west at 22 to 25 mph, which will absolutely tear the surface to shreds. It’s a classic case of "so close, yet so far." The energy is there, but it’s gonna be messy. Still, for the sheer fact that it's the only real swell of the two weeks, it's our best bet. Don't expect perfection, but if you're desperate, that Saturday morning might just have some fun, bumpy waves. After that, it looks like we settle back into the slump.

Overall, this is a pretty barren stretch. There are no real standouts, just one day that might not be a complete waste. Keep the board waxed, but maybe pick up a new hobby for a week or two.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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