Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The only spot in the frame is Aileen's, a heavy reef break that's inconsistent and strictly for the experienced crew. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mess, with a long stretch of pretty ordinary, blown-out conditions. The water temp is about what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first real chance of something decent comes on Saturday the 12th. We've got a solid 7ft swell from the west, with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 1291 (moderate wave energy). The wind is looking onshore in the morning, but by the afternoon it swings to a light onshore breeze from the west at 9 mph. It's described as a "marginal" call, but it's the best of a bad bunch for the first week. It's still a bit messy, but if you're an expert and you're desperate, that's your window.

The second week gets a bit more interesting, but it's still a gamble. The standout of the whole forecast is Sunday the 20th. There's a big, long-period groundswell from the west-northwest rolling in at 10ft with a 14-second period – that's serious energy, with a combined energy reading of 3134 (strong wave energy). But here's the catch: the wind is forecast to be a cross-onshore breeze. The morning has a light onshore wind from the west-southwest, but it's clean. This is a heavy, powerful swell for experts only, and that long period might make it close out at a beach break, but for a reef like Aileen's, it could be absolutely pumping if the wind plays nice. It's a long-range call, so don't book the week off yet, but it's the one to watch.

After that, the wind goes to shit again with a strong breeze and messy conditions through Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd. The last mention of a "marginal" call is on Wednesday the 23rd, with a 5ft swell from the west, but it's followed by a super long 16-second period at 5ft on the Wednesday afternoon – that's very long period, and with a light onshore wind, it might offer some clean, lined-up waves for the experts.

So, in a nutshell: the first week is a write-off. The only real glimmer is the 20th of September, but it's a big, powerful, and uncertain prospect. For the rest, it's a lot of onshore wind and lumpy, messy surf. For a setup like this, it looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of the period.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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