Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – this 16-day run for Aileen's is a dud. There’s no nice way to say it; the surf just isn’t happening.

From Friday the 17th right through the rest of July, it’s tiny and weak. Wave heights are mostly under 3 ft, with combined swell energy barely getting into three digits (topping out at 59 on the 20th). The swell direction is sitting around W to WNW, which is close to the optimum WSW, but the period is all over the place – short, messy 4 to 9 seconds. Wind is almost always cross-on or onshore, keeping it choppy. There are a couple of clean mornings – Sunday the 19th and Tuesday the 21st – but with only 0.7 ft to 1 ft of swell, it’s flat.

We get a bit of a pulse around July 25th and 26th. Swell hits 5 ft on Saturday the 25th and reaches 6 ft to 6 ft on Sunday the 26th, with combined energy jumping into the 300s and even 400s (hitting 483). But the wind stays onshore or cross-on, and the period is a weak 8-10 seconds. It’s lumpy and poor. By Monday the 27th, we see the biggest swell – 8 ft with energy at 790 – but it’s still cross-on with a fresh breeze. That size is expert-only, and the conditions are ugly.

The only glimmer is the morning of July 26th. Swell of 6 ft from the WNW, energy 389, and the wind is nearly glassy – a light cross-on from the NW at just 3 mph. It’s a marginal call, but it’s the only time things almost line up. For a spot that rarely breaks and is only for advanced surfers, a clean-ish morning with some size is the best we’ve got.

After that, it fades back into small, choppy conditions through the end of July and into August. The first morning of August offers 4 ft, but it’s blown out.

Water temperature at Aileen's is 62°F, which is 3°F warmer than average – a touch warmer than normal.

So, plain and simple: don't bother. If you’re desperate, that Sunday the 26th morning is the only shot, but even then, don’t expect much. It’s a blank run. Forecasts can always change, though.

Rusty.

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