Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Aileen’s over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you, it’s a real mixed bag and we’ve got to be patient.

The first real chance of anything decent comes in Sunday morning, September 13th. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the west, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the southeast, which is a major positive – it’ll be clean. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 62°, which is nice. The combined wave energy is moderate (345). Just keep in mind Aileen’s is an inconsistent reef, so don’t expect it to be firing on all cylinders. It’s a spot for advanced surfers only.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Monday morning, September 21st. The wind turns offshore from the east, light at 9 mph, and the swell is a solid 5ft from the west-northwest, but with a very long period of 13 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate (648), but that long period means it’ll hold up well. For a reef like Aileen’s, this is a dream scenario – clean, offshore, and that long period swell will wrap in beautifully. The afternoon on the 21st looks good too, with a 5ft swell from the west at 12 seconds and light offshore breezes. This is the best window, hands down. It’s a promising call, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.

Before that, there’s a lot of chop. The wind gets messy from the 10th to the 14th, with strong cross-onshore winds, and a few days of rain. The swell gets up to 8ft on the 15th, but with a short period of 7 seconds from the northwest, and a stiff cross-offshore wind, it’ll be a bumpy, lumpy mess. That’s one for the experts only, if anyone’s feeling brave. The combined energy hits 629, which is moderate, but the quality just isn’t there.

Towards the end of the run, Wednesday morning, September 23rd, we see another modest window. A 6ft swell from the west at 11 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the southeast. The guidance says marginal, but it’s clean. Another one for the patient crew.

Overall, at Aileen’s, we’ve got a lot of waiting for the right moment. The consistency is low, but when it lines up, it’s a gem. The 21st is the day to aim for. Don’t bother with the choppy middle days unless you’re a hardcore local.

Rusty.

Read more