Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, checkin’ in with a look at what’s comin’ down the line for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – it’s a rough start. We’re talkin’ a solid gap of nearly a week and a half where there’s nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. The wind is just relentless, blowin’ straight onshore and cross-onshore, messin’ up any chance of a clean wave. The swell’s tiny and the periods are short, so you’re lookin’ at weak, choppy mess. The swell energy is in the low hundreds or even double digits (39 to 254), which is just pathetic. Honestly, it’s more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle surf setup if you’re desperate.

Now, there’s a glimmer of hope, but it’s a long way off. The first real standout doesn’t show up until Tuesday, August 4th, in the morning at Aileen’s.

Aileen’s is a beast of a reef wave, advanced only, and it’s famously inconsistent – it doesn’t fire often. On that Tuesday morning, we’re finally seein’ a clean window with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE. The swell is small, only 2 ft from the west, but – and here’s the kicker – the period is a very long 11 seconds. That’s groundswell energy, and it’s got some weight behind it with a combined energy of 166 (moderate). The direction is WSW, which is a bit off the optimum WSW, but for a reef, that long period can wrap in nicely. The wind should keep it glassy. It’s a rare moment of clean surf, but it’s small, so don’t expect a big day.

The other potential highlight is on Wednesday, August 5th, in the morning at the same break. The swell jumps up to 8 ft from the west with a 10-second period and a huge combined energy of 1047 (strong) – that’s a proper pulse. But the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NNW, which will put a cross-chop on the face. At 8 ft, this is expert territory only. It won’t be clean, but for a wild, heavy crew, there might be some raw power to play with. The rest of the window is a write-off: either onshore slop, no swell, or messy cross-shore wind.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total write-off. The one solid chance for a decent session is that Tuesday morning, August 4th, at Aileen’s if you’re an advanced surfer and don’t mind small, clean waves. The bigger swell on the 5th is a gamble with the wind. It’s a long wait for not much, but when a spot like this finally lines up, you gotta be ready.

This is Rusty, signin’ off.

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