Aileen's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get straight into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and frustrating. We’re staring down a long, dry spell with virtually no surf on offer for Aileen's (Ireland). The first proper recommendation doesn't show up until around July 20th, which is a solid gap of over a week of nothing to get excited about.

For the first few days, from Sunday the 12th through to the end of the following week, it’s all tiny dribbles. We’re seeing swell heights barely cracking 2 ft, and the energy levels are pathetic, barely registering in the double digits. The wind is cross-off or offshore on Tuesday afternoon which is a tease, but with a mere 2 ft of swell and a combined energy of just 62, there’s just nothing to work with. It’s a real bummer, but these flat spells happen.

The first real sign of life finally shows up on Monday, July 20th. The morning brings a jump to 5 ft swell from the W, pushing the combined energy into the moderate range at 211. But it’s coming with a cross-onshore wind, which will mess up the surface. By the afternoon, it’s building to 6 ft with onshore winds, making it a bit of a mess.

The standout window, and the only one worth circling on your calendar, is the morning of Wednesday, July 22nd. This is the big one. We’re looking at a solid 12 ft groundswell from the WNW, with a very long period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 3114, which is serious power. Now, this is big – over 8 ft, so it’s expert territory only. The wind is forecast to be onshore, which is a worry, but if that clears, this could be an absolute beast of a day at Aileen's. The long period makes it a proper reef-break wave, holding up big and powerful. It’s the only true standout in the entire 16-day window, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a long way out and subject to change.

After that, the swell drops back down quickly. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th see a fast drop back to 5 ft and 3 ft, with strong onshore winds, meaning it’ll be a choppy, blown-out mess, good for kites maybe but not for a clean paddle session.

So, the takeaway is: a long, flat wait, then one big, powerful, expert-only day on the 22nd of July if the wind plays nice. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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