Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what we’ve got on the cards for Inch Reefs. We’re talking a dedicated point break that needs the right key to unlock it, and the next couple of weeks are going to be a real mixed bag of frustration and potential.

Right off the bat, it’s quiet. The next few days are a write-off. Tuesday morning the 15th is a no-go: a solid 8ft swell from the west, but it’s a messy, choppy cross-on situation with a 16 mph breeze making a meal of it. That afternoon, the swell actually jumps to 10ft with moderate wave energy (1394) and the wind shifts, but honestly, for this advanced break, that’s just too much juice. It’s a washing machine for all but the most seasoned charger. Wednesday and Thursday are dead flat or blown out with fresh cross-onshore winds, so you’re better off waxing your board or watching the cams.

We finally see a pulse of energy on Saturday the 19th, with about 6ft swell from the west-southwest. The combined energy is solid (706), but that west wind is still cross-on and the conditions are described as marginal. It’s not the one we’d drive for. Sunday the 20th drops back to tiny, ankle-slappers.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Look ahead to Monday the 21st. The swell picks back up to a clean 7ft from the west with a decent 11-second period and significant energy (1217). The wind goes light and variable, switching to a light offshore in the afternoon. This is the first real window of quality, but the forecast is still marked as marginal for the break itself—a bit of a tease.

The standout window, and I mean the real one, is Tuesday the 22nd. We’ve got a long-period groundswell rolling in: 5ft in the morning, building to 8ft in the afternoon from the west-northwest. The period is a dreamy 15 seconds in the morning, stretching to 14 seconds later, and the wave energy is pumping hard—1729 and then a massive 2193. The wind is light, basically variable, and the water is a touch warmer than average at 62°. This is a point break paradise setup. Long-period swell like this loves a point, so expect clean, well-shaped lines with long sets. It’s going to be a bit of a paddle, but the gaps between sets will help. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook.

After that, the swell backs off dramatically on Wednesday the 23rd. The wind goes glassy in the morning, which is a rare treat, but the swell is only 2ft to 3ft. It’s surfable, but ordinary.

Jumping way out to the second week, Saturday the 26th of September is the next big pulse. It’s a potentially massive 10ft west-southwest swell with a very long 14-second period and insane energy (3749). The wind is light, but the model flags that this break might be too big for it again. That’s big-wave territory only, and only for the brave. Sunday the 27th is the sleeper in that week: 5ft west swell with a 10-second period, but the wind turns cross-offshore from the north-northwest, giving us clean conditions with moderate energy (585). It won’t be as powerful as the 22nd, but it’ll be far more user-friendly and clean.

The 30th of September offers a final little whisper of clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze and a weak 3ft swell. It’s not the one.

So, if you’re booking a session, circle Tuesday the 22nd of September. That’s the one that has the power, the direction, the glassy wind, and the right period for this point. It’s the king of the forecast. For something a bit more relaxed but still clean, Sunday the 27th is your backup.

Rusty.

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