Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming down the pipe at Inch Reefs over the next couple of weeks. This is a top-shelf point break that loves a solid SW groundswell, but we’re in for a real slow start. There's practically nothing to get excited about for the first week, so we’ll be watching the horizon and waiting.

To start, the water is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing wild, just a nice little anomaly.

We kick things off on Monday the 10th, but honestly, don't bother paddling out. The surf is tiny at 3 ft from the west, and the conditions are ordinary with a cross-off breeze that just isn't doing it any favours. The combined swell energy is a weak 82, and it stays flat and messy through the whole first week. Tuesday the 11th is tiny and cross-choppy, Wednesday the 12th is a bit bigger at 4 ft to 5 ft but it’s onshore and sloppy. Thursday and Friday are bumpy and disorganised, and by Saturday the 15th the swell just disappears into nothing—0.3 ft to 0.7 ft. There’s about a full week of weak, poor-quality surf, with energy values barely breaking into triple digits. Just a dead period.

Finally, we see things turn around. On Monday the 17th, the swell bumps back to 3 ft from the west, but more importantly, the wind swings to a light offshore from the ENE. The water smooths right out and it’s clean. The combined energy is still modest at 99, but it’s surfable. Tuesday the 18th is looking even better—4 ft to 4 ft swell from the west, light NNE offshore in the morning, and the energy jumps up to 241. This is where it starts to get good. Wednesday the 19th holds 4 ft from the west with a nice 10-second period and clean conditions under a light offshore. Thursday the 20th is probably the standout of the entire outlook. Morning sees a moderate offshore breeze from the NNE at 12 mph, 4 ft of west swell, and combined energy cranking at 373. The waves will be clean, lined up, and with that point break handling the west swell direction perfectly. It’ll be good.

Now, a couple of things: this is a fairly consistent spot for advanced surfers, but crowds are possible here, especially when it looks this clean. Also, the swell is under 5 ft here, so it’s fine for a strong intermediate too, though the period is around 10 seconds—solid energy, but not that super-long groundswell that can race past you on a point.

After that peak on Thursday the 20th, the wind cranks up by the afternoon (16 mph cross-off) and the surf stays manageable but the conditions get a little trickier. Friday the 21st drops right off to almost nothing again—0.7 ft to 1.0 ft of SSW long-period groundswell (13 seconds), but it’s just too small to bother with. The rest of the window into the next week is a mix of onshore winds and weak, choppy slop, with combined energy mostly under 225. Nothing to write home about.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. Don’t even check the cam. The real action is in the middle of the second week—Tuesday the 18th through Thursday the 20th. Thursday morning the 20th is the pick: clean, offshore, with a moderate swell and good energy. That’s your session. After that, it fades again. Promising, but you’ll need to be patient for the good ones.

Rusty.

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