Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a tough run for the next couple of weeks here at Inch Reefs. This is an advanced, fairly consistent point break that holds a west-southwest groundswell direction best, and it’s exposed to the full force of the open ocean. The water temperature is sitting at 64°F with a 3°F anomaly, so it’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which might take the edge off a chilly morning.

The first real chance to wet a line is Tuesday morning, 25 August. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the west with a 9-second period, and the wind is light out of the east-southeast, delivering a clean cross-off breeze. The combined swell energy is moderate at 214 units, but the waves are small and the conditions are clean. This is a very small window of decent, clean surf. After that, it’s a long, long stretch of poor conditions. From Tuesday afternoon right through to the end of August into early September, we’re looking at flat waves, onshore winds, and messy, chopped-up surf. The wind shifts around and blows hard, with cross-onshore and onshore conditions dominating. The swell energy drops to weak numbers, and by the 27th and 28th, it’s essentially flat. This blank spell runs for about a week, so don’t hold your breath.

The next possible standout is on Tuesday morning, 1 September. We see a big 12ft swell from the west-southwest with a 10-second period and a moderate breeze from the southwest. The wind is onshore, and the swell energy is massive at 2676 units. The problem is that this is way too big for Inch Reefs, even for the advanced crew. It’s only for experts, and the onshore wind will make it a real battle. It’s a raw, powerful, and messy setup. The forecast is better for kite boarding than for paddle surfing that morning.

The next interesting moment comes on Monday morning, 7 September. We’ve got an 12ft swell from the west with an 8-second period, and the wind is light and offshore from the north-northeast, delivering clean, glassy conditions. The combined swell energy is very strong at 1543 units. Again, the size (12ft) is too big for this break, even for experts. The conditions are clean, but the swell is just overwhelming. The same story repeats into Tuesday and Wednesday of that week, with huge swells in the 10ft to 13ft range and strong energy, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making it a messy, expert-only affair.

Overall, the best bet is that small, clean window on Tuesday morning, 25 August. It’s the only time the swell is manageable and the wind is clean. The rest of the period is either too small, too blown out, or too big. Keep your eyes peeled for a change in the forecast, but right now, it’s a tough call.

Rusty.

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