Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about this in feet and knots.

The outlook is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak conditions that are barely worth paddling out for. The first sniff of anything decent doesn’t appear until the 22nd of July, and even then, it’s pretty ordinary. The real standout is shaping up for the 24th of July morning, but there’s a big catch.

We’re looking at Inch Reefs (a point break) here. The water is sitting at 64°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, you’ll be sweating in your wetsuit.

For the first week and a half, from the 11th through to the 21st of July, it’s mostly a write-off. Swell heights are consistently below 2ft with weak energy, often under 100 (moderate at best around 120 on the 14th afternoon). The winds are mostly light and cross-off or offshore, which keeps the water clean, but there’s just no power behind it. You’ll be doing more floating than surfing. There’s a brief moment on the 22nd of July morning where it gets glassy with a 3ft swell, but the energy is still modest at 167. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Then we hit the big one. On the morning of the 24th of July, we’ve got a massive 13ft swell from the west-northwest. The combined energy is a whooping 2562 – that’s very strong. It’s glassy, which is a dream, but here’s the thing: that’s too big for this break. This is a point break, and 13ft is going to be a washing machine. It’s a definite expert-only zone, and honestly, for most of us, it’s a beach day to watch the madness. The period is 9 seconds, which is short for that size, so it’ll be dumpy and relentless.

The next real opportunity comes on the morning of the 25th of July. It’s still a solid 6ft from the west-northwest, with a combined energy of 655. Glassy conditions again, so it’ll be clean. This is the one to aim for if you’re experienced. The 26th of July Sunday morning also looks good: 5ft, glassy, with moderate energy at 374, making for a fun, less hectic session. Then the Sunday afternoon swings up to 8ft with a 10-second period and a cross-offshore breeze, scoring excellent conditions for experienced surfers.

So, the standout is the 25th of July morning – that’s your best bet for quality, clean, powerful surf without the danger of the 24th. The 26th morning is a close second for a more relaxed vibe. Everything else before the 22nd is a flat spell you’ll want to skip.

Rusty

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