Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Grab your board, folks – Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, but there’s a proper window of quality surf if you’re willing to be patient.

Right now, things are pretty flat. We’re coming off a run of poor conditions, with tiny surf and messy winds. The first real glimmer shows up on Sunday afternoon, the 2nd. Inch Reefs (point) will have some swell at 5ft from the southwest, but the southeast cross-breeze and marginal energy (370) mean it’s not going to be pretty. The water’s running 63°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – pleasant enough, but you’ll be fighting the chop.

The next few days are a write-off. Monday the 3rd drops off to 4ft and then 3ft, with weak energy and light rain making things feel ordinary. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse – dropping to 3ft and then a gutless 0.7ft to 1ft. We're looking at a solid five or six days of nothing worth paddling out for, save for the die-hards who just want to get wet. A little swell kicks up Friday the 7th but it’s onshore junk at 8ft with strong, raw energy (717) – that’s more of a washing machine than a surfable wave, and honestly, at that size with that wind, the kites will be having more fun than the paddle surfers. It’s all gone again by the weekend.

Now, here’s the good bit. The turnaround starts Monday morning, the 11th. The wind goes offshore and clean, and the swell is back with purpose – 5ft from the west-southwest, 10 seconds, with moderate energy (407). This is where Inch Reefs starts to shine. It’s a fairly consistent point break, exposed to the southwest, which is exactly what lights it up. Tuesday the 12th holds similar conditions – 5ft Monday afternoon and 4ft Tuesday, all clean and cross-offshore. This is the sweet spot for the intermediate crew – solid, rideable waves without it getting too crazy.

The real standout, though, is Friday the 14th through early Saturday the 15th. Friday morning we’re looking at 7ft from the west, 8 seconds, with light cross-offshore winds and strong energy (534). Friday afternoon bumps to 7ft with even more push (571). Then Saturday morning, the 15th, is the pick of the entire run – 7ft, west swell, 8 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. That’s clean, powerful, and the energy is cranking at 642. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Just keep in mind, at 7ft to 8ft, we’re getting into expert territory – this will be too much for beginners and will be testing even the decent surfers. The reef will be working proper.

After that, the swell holds through Sunday the 16th but the wind swings onshore, making things messy and marginal. Then Monday the 17th, it’s all gone again. A tiny pulse of 5ft shows up Monday afternoon with decent energy (308), but it’s just a flicker before the flat spell settles back in.

So overall, don’t rush out this week. The early days are a bust. But from Monday the 11th onward, things clean up nicely, with Saturday the 15th’s glassy morning being the spot to be. It’s a promising outlook, but remember, the further out you look, the more it can change. For now, get some rest, and I’ll see you out there when it turns on.

Rusty.

Read more