Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. We've got a long stretch of small, weak surf and iffy winds ahead, but there are a couple of glimmers on the horizon if you're willing to be patient. Let's break down this dry spell.

The next week is a write-off. Honestly, from this Sunday the 9th through to the 16th, we are looking at waist-high slop at best. Sunday afternoon is barely a ripple, with a weak 0.3ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze. Monday the 10th offers a tiny bump of 3ft but it's from the west and short-period, just not worth suiting up for. The energy is weak, too – we're talking low double digits, like 9 or 82 on the combined swell energy scale. It’s a bunch of closeouts and chop.

We do see a pulse of energy mid-week, on the 12th and 13th, with the swell pushing up to 5ft on the 12th and 5ft on the 13th from the WSW. The combined energy climbs into the 300s and 400s, which sounds better, but the wind is all wrong, coming cross-on from the south. It's going to be a bumpy, messy 5ft. Not worth the paddle. That's for the experts only, anyway. The conditions just aren't there. Friday through the weekend, the 14th to the 16th, drops right back off, with swell shrinking to under 3ft. A clean, glassy morning on Sunday the 16th with some clear skies? Yeah, but there's only 1ft of swell. It's a paddle, not a surf.

The following week brings a little more hope, but still nothing to get overly excited about. The 17th is looking marginal, with 4ft Monday morning and a cross-onshore breeze, but it's not clean. The standouts of this whole period are on Tuesday the 18th and Monday the 24th.

Tuesday the 18th, we've got 5ft of WNW groundswell with a 337 combined energy reading, and crucially, light SW winds that are going glassy first thing in the morning. That’s our best chance for a proper surf. It’s still a bit on the bigger side, so maybe not for the groms, but the conditions should be way better than anything else we've seen.

Then on Monday the 24th, we get another pulse of energy, with 4ft of W swell and a 300 combined energy reading. The winds are looking favourable again, with a clean, cross-off breeze from the NNW in the afternoon. That's another session worth circling on the calendar.

The break to focus on is Inch Reefs. It's a proper point break, fairly consistent, and exposed to the SW swell. For those that don't know, it's an advanced wave, and with the size we're expecting on the 18th, it could be a classic. The water is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a good 64° with a 3° anomaly, so the wettie might be a bit more comfortable.

So, there you have it. A lot of flatness and crud to wade through. The first week is a write-off, and the surf doesn't really kick in until Tuesday the 18th. Get your patience sorted, because that morning glass is going to be worth the wait. It might be a bit of a diamond in the rough, and a little ways out, so don’t book the time off work just yet. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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