Inch Reefs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Gonna break this down in feet and miles per hour for you.

We’ve got a 16-day stretch for Inch Reefs that’s a real slow burn with a massive finish. The first few days are a tease.

Thursday the 10th of September kicks things off with an 8ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is howling onshore from the southwest at 15 mph. The energy is pumping at 1205 (moderate to strong), but the onshore wind makes it ugly—marginal at best. Water temp is 62°F, a touch warmer than usual, but you won’t care once you’re battling the wind.

Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th offer similar frustration: 6ft to 8ft WSW swells, with onshore or cross-onshore winds around 10 to 15 mph. Energy stays moderate to strong (489–1300), but the quality is a no-go.

Sunday the 13th drops to 5ft to 4ft, still onshore, still poor. The wind just won’t give us a break.

By Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th, the swell builds back to 8ft from the west, but the wind is cross-onshore, and the notes say “poor surf conditions” through Tuesday afternoon’s 8ft swell with moderate chop.

Then it’s a flat spell from Wednesday the 16th through Sunday the 20th—barely a ripple, with wave heights down to 0.3ft to 0.7ft and energy in the single digits. Nothing doing for nearly five days.

Now, Monday the 21st of September: the morning is clean but tiny (0.7ft), but the afternoon changes the story. The swell bumps to 4ft from the west, with a 10-second period, and the wind drops to a glassy cross-off at 5 mph. Clean, 301 energy (moderate). This is the first real, clean ride after the drought.

But the standout is Wednesday the 23rd of September. This is the big one. Wednesday morning brings an 18ft west swell with a 12-second period, cross-shore wind at 5 mph, and energy at 8010 (very strong). Then the afternoon hits even bigger: 20ft west swell, 12 seconds, cross-offshore north wind at 5 mph, glassy conditions, and energy at 9840 (very strong). That’s a true big-wave day. Over 8ft is only for experts, and this is way over that. The point break should handle the long-period groundswell well, but don’t even think about it unless you’ve got serious experience. Crowds are “sometimes” at Inch Reefs, but on this day, the size alone will keep it quiet amongst the brave few.

Thursday the 24th morning is still pumping with a 10ft WNW swell, 12-second period, clean cross-off wind, and energy at 2281—solid, but easing off.

So, bottom line: a slow, windy, flat first 11 days, then a clean session on the 21st, and the absolute gold is the 23rd of September—giant swell, glassy wind, massive energy. Get ready for the big day if you’ve got the skills. Otherwise, hang tight for the 21st.

Rusty out.

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