
Surf Forecasts:
May's Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, S swell with 408 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for May's Point this week:
The surf forecast for May's Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at May's Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for May's Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty, and I'm looking at the 16-day window for May's Point. It's a sheltered point break that rarely breaks, so when it does, it's a special event. But I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is looking pretty grim for the most part. We're looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The whole forecast period is a struggle. The first real surf we see is a tiny pulse on Thursday, July 16th, with a 2.3 ft to 2.6 ft south swell, but it's got a super long 17-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, which is good for a point break like this, but the energy is just too weak. Combined energy is only 367. Winds are a mess, going from a light cross-on to glassy in the afternoon. The afternoon session might be the only chance for a few weak, glassy waves, but it's still "surfable but very ordinary."
Then it's a wasteland. From Friday, July 17th, all the way through to the end of the month, the swell is pathetic. We're talking 0.7 ft to 2.0 ft waves, mostly from the south, with a bunch of cross-shore or onshore wind. The combined energy drops into double digits for days. It's a total write-off. There's a slight tease on the 24th and 25th with some clean offshore wind, but the swell is still tiny. The 25th of July has a moderate offshore wind and 2.0 ft swell, but it's just not enough to get the point breaking properly.
The only real standout, and I'm being generous here, is the afternoon of Thursday, July 30th. It's a full two weeks away, so don't book your flights, but the forecast shows a tiny 1.3 ft SSE swell with glassy conditions. The combined energy is a measly 23, but at a sheltered point, glassy conditions are the only way you're gonna get a ride on something that small. It's a long shot, but it's the best we've got.
Realistically, for a spot that rarely breaks, a blank run like this is more normal than not. If you're desperate for a paddle, that Thursday afternoon glass-off is your only chance to get a couple of little knee-high rollers. Otherwise, this is a charter for the kite surfers on those days with a bit more wind and chop. The swell is small, the quality is poor, and the winds are mostly wrong. It's a tough outlook.
Stay patient, folks.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 17 | S 16 | S 17 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 18 | S 10 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
322 | 367 | 234 | 214 | 390 | 190 | 107 | 51 | 47 | 44 | 39 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 5 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:50AM0.42m | 8:04PM0.72m | 11:29AM0.44m | 8:56PM0.64m | 11:57AM0.47m | 9:49PM0.56m | 12:18PM0.50m | 10:45PM0.48m | 12:37PM0.53m | 11:47PM0.42m | 12:55PM0.57m | 00:58AM0.38m | 1:16PM0.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:18AM-0.00m | 1:09PM0.41m | 4:06AM0.05m | 2:33PM0.41m | 4:45AM0.11m | 4:05PM0.40m | 5:14AM0.17m | 5:36PM0.38m | 5:33AM0.22m | 6:58PM0.34m | 5:44AM0.26m | 8:04PM0.29m | 5:54AM0.29m | ||||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | |
— | — | 4:54 | — | — | 4:55 | — | — | 4:57 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:58 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 17 | S 16 | S 17 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 9 | S 8 |
322 | 367 | 234 | 214 | 390 | 190 | 107 | 51 | 47 | 44 | 39 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 15 | SE 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SE 17 | SE 16 | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 10 | E 13 | — | — | S 12 | S 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | 4 | 12 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 11 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SE 18 | — | — | — | S 21 | S 15 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ESE 12 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | NW 2 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 2 | NW 2 | — | — | NW 2 | — | NW 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the May's Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for May's Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at May's Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our May's Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (May's Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for May's Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania? If you are looking for accommodation near May's Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Coast of Tasmania, consider staying in Hobart which is 18 km (11 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Port Arthur which is 35 km (22 miles) away











