Black Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in with a look at Black Rock. We've got a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, so let's cut through the noise and find the windows that are actually worth paddling out for.

First up, the immediate forecast is pretty flat. We're looking at a long, dry spell with nothing worth mentioning from Saturday the 25th of July right through until the end of the month. Small, weak swell in the 1 to 1 ft range with short periods is all we're seeing, and while you might catch a clean morning on Tuesday the 28th with glassy conditions, the wave energy is just too low (31) to do anything with. Don't bother checking the cam; it's going to be a pond.

Things start to move in the first week of August, but it takes a while to get good. Thursday the 30th of July sees a jump in energy (167), but that south-easterly wind is going to mess things up. By Friday the 31st, the swell bumps up to 7 ft from the ESE, but that’s a cross-off situation at 472 energy, and it's borderline. Not the cleanest, and those rain showers on the afternoon are a put-off. The start of August stays average through the 3rd, with small 2 ft to 3 ft waves and onshore influences messing up the shape.

Now, here’s where we get to the good stuff. The standout window in this whole outlook is the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August. This is the one to circle on your calendar. We’re looking at a solid 10 ft swell rolling in from the SE, and the period coming in at 9 seconds will pack a punch. The energy reading is a massive 1439, so that's serious power. To top it off, we have a light offshore breeze from the NW. This is going to be heavy, powerful, and clean at Black Rock. This is the kind of swell that picks you up and puts you where it wants, so only experienced surfers should even think about it. The morning of Wednesday the 5th is nearly as good too, with 7 ft from the SE and a slight offshore wind, offering a slightly less hectic but still excellent session. The energy is still very high at 773.

After that peak, we settle into a run of good, consistent surf through to the second week. The mornings of Thursday the 6th, with a glassy 6 ft from the SE, and Friday the 7th, with a clean 6 ft from the ESE (969 energy) are also top-tier. These days will offer long period groundswell (11 to 12 seconds), which means well-shaped waves with nice long lulls between sets—great for getting into position. The wind stays light and offshore or glassy for those morning sessions, giving you clean faces.

Right at the tail end, Sunday the 9th of August looks like a solid finisher. A clean 5 ft to 5 ft groundswell from the ESE, with a very long 13-second period, and glassy to offshore wind all day. The water temp at Black Rock is 69°, which is about average for the time of year, so a spring suit is the call.

So, to bottom line it: you've got a long wait with nothing happening for the rest of this week and into next. The real action kicks off on the 4th of August with a heavy, expert-only swell, followed by a run of clean, high-quality mornings. The 4th is the standout, but the 5th, 6th, and 7th are all well worth a dawn patrol.

Stay stoked, and I'll see you in the water.

Rusty

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