Black Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and look at the next stretch for Black Rock. I’ll be straight with you – the charts are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle session for most of this window. We've got a solid 16 days on the books, and honestly, there’s no real green light in that whole period. We're talking about a lot of small, weak surf and more than a few days that are plain messy.

To give you an idea, the wave energy is really struggling. We’re looking at combined energy readings mostly in the 50 to 90 range, which is weak. There are a few pulses that get up into the low-to-mid 100s, like the 132 on Saturday the 5th, but even then the swell direction and winds just don't line up for this spot. It's the kind of energy that gets the hopes up but doesn’t deliver.

The first week is all about small, inconsistent lumps and cross-shore winds. Sunday the 30th is a write-off with a pathetic 2ft East swell and a cross-breeze. Monday the 31st has a tiny bit more size, 4ft, but a 6-second period means it's gutless and the cross-off wind won't help much. The best windows in this first stretch are the glassy mornings like Tuesday the 1st and Thursday the 3rd, where we see a clean 2ft and 2ft respectively, but it's still knee-to-waist high mush at best. It’s just not worth getting worked up over.

We roll into the second week, and the story is more of the same. There's a slight bump in size for the Saturday the 5th afternoon with 4ft, and again on Monday the 7th afternoon with 5ft, but both are accompanied by shitty cross-onshore winds and periods around 5-6 seconds. That's just bumpy, jumbled slop. The morning of Thursday the 10th shows the most size on offer, 5ft, and it's glassy, but that’s a 7-second windswell – just not the kind of energy that makes Black Rock (Island) come alive. That day's got a bit of rain on it too, so the air will be thick.

Beyond that, it's all downhill again. Small swell, onshore winds, and energy readings that are barely scraping by. There are a few clean windows, like Friday the 11th morning with 3ft and an East breeze, but it’s all just tiny and weak.

Look, here's the long and short of it. The only spots that even qualify as "surfable" are those glassy morning pulses where there’s just enough shape to push a log around, but you’ll be fighting for a crumbly 2-2ft wave. None of it is worthy of a parade. The swell directions are bouncing between E and NNE, which isn't what this break wants, and the consistent short periods mean the jetty won't be sorting it out into any kind of proper line.

Honestly, with the constant cross-shore winds, small swell, and how it's all hitting this break, it might look more interesting to the kite and foil crew than us paddle surfers. If you're desperate for a wet session, keep an eye on those windless early mornings, but temper your expectations big time. The surf just isn't there for us. This is one of those stretches where you save your energy and wait for the next front to push through and reset things.

Rusty out.

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