Mullaway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Mullaway are a mixed bag, and you’ve gotta pick your moments. This is a point break that loves an ESE groundswell, but we’ve got a fair bit of junk to sift through before the good stuff shows up.

We’re starting off Sunday the 9th with a weak, messy 3ft east swell, period a short 9 seconds, and a cross-onshore breeze from the NE. Combined wave energy is only 181 – weak. It’s just not worth paddling out for. That sets the tone for a few days. Monday the 10th has a bit more size, 4ft from the ENE, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind, while cross-offshore, is a fresh 35 km/h – too strong to be fun. The energy bumps to 280, but the quality is poor.

Tuesday the 11th is where we start to see a glimmer. The swell drops to 2ft from the ENE, period still 8 seconds, but early morning we’ve got a light offshore breeze from the west at 15 km/h. The wave energy is only 75, so it’s tiny, but it’s clean. The water temp is sitting around 68°, which is about average for this time of year – not a shock, just normal.

Wednesday the 12th morning is the first real highlight in this run. We’ve got a 2ft E swell with a 9-second period, and here’s the kicker – glassy conditions. Wind is from the WNW at a whisper, 5 km/h. Combined energy is 169, still modest, but those clean, glassy conditions on a point break make it worth a sneaky dawny. It’s small but it’ll be the most fun you’ll have for a while.

Then the wheels fall off. From Thursday the 13th through to Friday the 21st of August, it’s pretty much a write-off. Swells jump up to 6ft from the SSE on Thursday afternoon, with energy hitting 577 (moderate), but the wind is cross-onshore at 20 km/h and the period is a short 8-9 seconds. It’s choppy, bumpy, and ugly. The whole run from the 13th to the 21st is plagued by moderate cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the south and SSE, and short period slop. You’d be better off having a barbecue than trying to surf – unless you’ve got a kite, because the setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during that stretch.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting for patient surfers. Saturday the 22nd of August morning – mark it. A solid 8ft ESE swell rolls in, with a 10-second period, and combined wave energy hits 1065 – that’s very strong energy. The wind is a light 10 km/h from the north, creating a light cross-shore. This is legit size, but at 8ft it’s pushing towards expert territory, especially for a point. The wind is marginal but manageable. It’s the standout of the entire 16 days, but fair warning – it’s over a week away, so take it as promising but not locked in.

Sunday the 23rd of August afternoon cleans up proper. Swell drops to a more user-friendly 5ft from the east, period 9 seconds, and we get a true offshore breeze from the WNW at 20 km/h. Combined energy is 388 (moderate). This is the best quality window of the run – clean, offshore, and the point will be reeling. Expect good conditions.

Finally, Monday the 24th of August morning brings a 6ft E swell with a long 11-second period. Combined energy is 697 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW at 15 km/h, keeping it clean. The longer period means better shape and more energy between sets – perfect for a point like Mullaway. The afternoon stays clean but picks up a slight cross-shore. That Monday morning is the second real standout, and it’s closer than the 22nd.

Bottom line: the first week is mostly a dud with a tiny glassy window on the 12th. The second week has two crackers – the big swell on the 22nd morning and the clean, longer-period groundswell on the 24th morning. Be patient, watch the wind, and don’t waste your energy on the slop in between.

Rusty.

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