Mullaway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what’s coming for Mullaway over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, the ocean is a bit confused and not offering much to get excited about. For the first few days, the swell is small and the winds are messy. There’s a serious gap in quality. We’re looking at a run of mostly poor conditions until at least the middle of next week.

Let’s start with this Tuesday morning (11th August). There’s a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE, combined energy just 92, and it’s weak. The wind is offshore from the WSW at 9 mph though, so it will be clean for a paddle, but the waves are far too ordinary to call it a go. The afternoon turns onshore and stays poor.

Wednesday morning the 12th is interesting. The swell bumps to 3ft from the SSE, but the period is up to 11 seconds – that’s a bit of long-period energy. The combined energy jumps to 236, which is moderate. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW at 3 mph. This is clean, small, but there’s some shape potential. This morning is the first real standout of the forecast.

Thursday the 13th through to the end of the weekend looks poor. The swell gets bigger, up to 6ft on Friday morning, but the wind is all cross or cross-onshore, and the water gets choppy and lumpy. The combined energy on Friday morning hits 712 – that’s a solid amount of power – but the wind wrecks it. This is more of a mess than a session. By Sunday the 16th, the wind swings cross-offshore in the morning for a clean look on a 5ft SSE swell, but the period is only 7 seconds, and the energy is low at 227. It’s clean but weak.

From Monday the 17th, things get bigger but also rougher. Rain showers and strong cross-onshore winds up to 16 mph with swelling around 8ft on Monday afternoon. By Tuesday the 18th afternoon, the swell hits 8ft from the SE with 1843 combined energy – that’s strong. But it’s onshore, lumpy, and only for experts if you’re brave enough. For a point break like Mullaway (exposed to swell), this size with onshore wind is a washing machine. Not recommended for a paddle. Kite surfers might have a better look here.

Thursday the 20th shows some hope. The morning is cross-shore with a 6ft ESE swell, and the wind is S at 12 mph, but it’s a marginal day. The afternoon goes cross-offshore, clean, with 5ft from the ESE and combined energy of 453. That’s moderate energy. It’s still not prime, but cleaner than anything around it.

Now, the real standout of this whole outlook lands on Monday the 24th of August. The morning is clean from a NNW cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph, with a 4ft E swell at 10 seconds. The afternoon is even better. You get a gentle offshore wind from the west at 9 mph, perfect for a point. The swell is 3ft from the east, period 10 seconds, and combined energy 286. This is your session. Clean, small, but well-shaped, offshore, and the wind will hold it open. Get out there.

Wednesday the 26th of August morning is also worth a mention. Glossy, glassy conditions with a NNW breeze at 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the SSE, period 8 seconds, combined energy 395 – moderate. It looks clean and fun, but the swell direction is a little awkward for Mullaway’s optimum (ESE). It’ll still be a nice paddle.

So bottom line: this is not a period of epic swell. The best on offer is Monday the 24th afternoon, with clean offshore winds and a gentle east swell. If you can wait, that’s your standout. Wednesday the 26th morning is a close second for pure glassy conditions.

The water temperature anomaly is not highlighted in the data, so it’s about average for the time of year at Mullaway.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that 24th.

Rusty.

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