Mullaway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cooking at Mullaway.

Right off the bat, this is a classic case of a big, powerful swell arriving but getting chewed up by the wind. We've got a serious pulse of energy from the SSE coming in on Tuesday the 7th, with a combined energy reading of 4794 – that's some serious grunt – pushing a 12 ft swell. The problem? A 16 mph cross-off wind is going to put a tough face on it. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is about average for this time of year.

Don't get too excited about Tuesday or Wednesday. The waves are big, but the wind is just all wrong, making it messy and tough. This is advanced-only territory with that size and chop. Thursday the 9th is more of the same, just slightly smaller, but still on the windy side.

The first real sniff of something clean comes on Saturday the 11th. The swell drops to 4 ft from the SE, but the wind goes light and cross-off – that's a big positive. It's a small window, though, as the afternoon turns into a gentle cross-onshore. Sunday the 12th looks like a better call. A 3 ft ESE swell with a light, clean offshore wind from the W. This is your pick of the first week. It's not big, but it'll be clean and lined up on the point. Expect some company out there, though, as it's "often" crowded.

After that we hit a flat spell. Monday the 13th is tiny and glassy, but barely breaking. Tuesday through Thursday the 16th is pretty much a write-off – tiny to no surf.

Now, here's the standout for the whole outlook. Look at Wednesday the 22nd. The swell is back up to a solid 7 ft from the SE, with a combined energy of 728. The wind is forecast to be a clean, light cross-off from the WNW. The data calls this "very good surf conditions," and I'm with that. That's a proper groundswell with some push, groomed by offshore winds at Mullaway point. This is the one to circle on your calendar. Sets will be a bit longer between them with that period, but the shape should be excellent. It's a promise, not a guarantee, being two weeks out, but it's got all the right ingredients. Saturday the 21st morning also looks fun with a glassy start and a 6 ft swell, but the 22nd is where the magic should happen.

To be honest, for a lot of that middle period, the waves are just too small and weak. The combined energy drops well under 100... it's a waiting game. But it never stays flat forever around here, and the long-range looks tasty.

Rusty signing out.

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