Mullaway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you. The next week and a half is going to be a bit of a grind for surf around here. We’ve got a long stretch of poor to ordinary conditions, with only a few brief windows of anything rideable. It’s not the kind of week that has you rushing to get the board out of the shed, that’s for sure. The good news is, the swell charts are showing something much more promising pushing in for the final part of the 16-day window, but that’s a while away yet, so we’ll have to be patient.

Let’s start with the next few days. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are basically write-offs. We’re looking at poor surf quality with onshore or cross-onshore winds and not enough size to get excited about. The energy is weak, around 185 and 286 on Sunday and Monday. There’s some swell but it’s short-period and messy, and the wind just kills it.

Tuesday the 11th, things calm down a bit. The wind goes offshore early in the morning, and we get a clean, small wave in the 2.6ft range. It’s surfable, but you’ll be chasing little gutless lumps. The energy is moderate (153) but the swell is only 8 seconds, so it’s not going to have any push. Late morning might offer a fun little wave if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Wednesday the 12th is much the same, with a 2.3ft clean morning wave. Again, it’s small and ordinary, but at least the wind is okay. The afternoon turns offshore and clean, but the swell drops off further, so you’re looking at ankle-biters.

Now, into the second half of the week, we see a pulse of southerly swell. Thursday the 13th brings the first real push, with the swell jumping to 4.9ft in the morning and 5.6ft in the afternoon. But the wind is the problem – it’s cross-shore, then cross-onshore, and it chops it all up. The energy is moderate to strong (362 in the morning), but the quality is poor. Friday the 14th has a similar size, but the wind is still cross-shore, so it’s going to be bumpy and hard to read.

The weekend is where I get a little concerned. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are looking rough. Strong cross-shore winds, 25 km/h, and building southerly swell up to 5.9ft. This is a messy combination, and the surf quality is poor. It’s got some size, but it’ll be a battle out there. The energy is moderate (699), but it’s not going to translate into any clean waves.

The start of the new week, the 17th and 18th, doesn’t get much better. The wind goes cross-onshore, and we have consistent 5.2ft to 6.2ft of short-period swell, but it’s choppy and messy. More of the same, I’m afraid.

Now, the forecast gets interesting around the 19th and 20th. The swell size jumps to 7.2ft to 7.9ft, and the energy becomes strong (1051 on the 19th). But there’s a catch: there’s a lot of rain, and the wind is still cross or cross-on, so the quality is marginal at best. These are bigger, more powerful waves for experienced surfers only, and even then, you’ll be dealing with some wind chop. It’s not the clean, glassy conditions we’re hoping for.

Here’s the standout, and it’s a long way off. Friday the 21st looks like the first real window of quality. The wind is expected to go cross-off in the morning, and we’ve got 6.9ft of strong, long-period easterly swell with a combined energy of 1120. This is a proper groundswell, and conditions look clean. This is genuinely exciting, and it’s our best bet for a proper session.

Saturday the 22nd morning also looks promising with a clean 7.2ft, again with the ESE swell and strong energy (1031). This is another opportunity for a good wave.

But the true standout, the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Sunday the 23rd. The forecast shows a light offshore wind (NNW at 5 km/h) and a solid 6.9ft swell, but the period is stretching out to 12 seconds, and the energy is very strong (1325). This has the makings of a truly memorable day at Mullaway. Clean, powerful, and with that long-period draw.

And to close it out, Monday the 24th is looking very good too. Expect a glassy morning with a 5.2ft, long-period ESE swell and energy of 846. This is the kind of day that gets you out of bed early.

So, to sum it up: don’t bother getting excited until at least the 20th. The period from the 21st to the 24th holds the real promise, with the 23rd being the pick of the bunch. It’s a long wait, but it could be worth it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so bring a wets

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