Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the next couple of weeks at Broken Head. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so don't get too excited early on. We've got a bit of a slow start, then some proper action building towards the end. The water's sitting at about 68°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

First up, this Saturday the 15th is looking pretty grim. There's a tiny 1ft ENE windswell early, but it's all over the shop with a 9-second period and barely any energy behind it – only 30 units. It's just not doing anything for us. Later in the day there's a bump to 5ft from the SSE but it's only a 6-second period, so it's going to be messy and weak. Honestly, not worth paddling out for.

Sunday the 16th is a touch better, with 6ft from the SSE in the morning, but that 7-second period is still junky. The wind is cross-off, which will keep things reasonably clean, but the surf quality is still being called marginal. You might find a bowling little left if you're desperate, but the energy is still not there.

The start of the week, Monday 17th and Tuesday 18th, it's all a bit cross-onshore and grovelly. Swell hangs around 5ft to 6ft from the southeast with 7-8 second periods, and there's a bit of cross-chop. The energy is picking up a little, but the conditions are doing it no favours. I'd be giving these days a miss.

Now, Wednesday the 19th is where things start to get interesting. The morning has a nice 5ft SSW groundswell, period pushing 11 seconds, and the wind has swung offshore. That's a big difference. The energy is up to 646 units, which is moderate, but the combo of a proper swell and offshore wind means clean, lined-up waves. This is worth a look. It fades a bit in the arvo, but that morning session should be fun.

Thursday the 20th morning has another chance with a clean, glassy 5ft SE swell. It's a shorter period, 8 seconds, and the energy is moderate (355 units), but that glassy surface will make it look a whole lot better than the numbers suggest. Another good option before the onshore kicks in later.

From Friday 21st right through to the 28th, it's mostly a story of small, weak surf. We drop down to under 3ft for much of that, with periods generally under 8 seconds. The winds are mostly cross-off or offshore, which is nice, but there's just no swell to speak of. There are a few clean days, like the 25th and 26th mornings, but you're looking at waist-high dribble. It's a real flat patch.

Then, hold onto your boards, because the end of the window is the real deal. On Saturday the 29th, we've got a proper groundswell building from the SSE. The morning sees 4ft with a 16-second period, and the energy is starting to crank at 838 units. Later that day it's 5ft, period 14 seconds, and over 1000 units. This is proper quality, long-period groundswell.

But the standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Sunday the 30th. We're looking at a solid 10ft of SSE groundswell, with a 13-second period. The energy is huge, over 2700 units, and this is going to be a serious paddle. This is one for experienced surfers only – that's well overhead and powerful. This size of long-period swell can get a bit shifty, but at a point like Broken Head, it should hold up and offer some proper, grinding walls. Expect a crew out there for sure on this one.

So, to sum up: the first fortnight is a slow burn, with a couple of clean windows on the 19th and 20th mornings. The real swell, the big one, arrives on the 29th and especially the 30th. That Sunday is the day to clear your schedule. It's a long way off, so treat it as promising but less certain, but the signs are very good indeed.

That's it from me. Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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