Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Broken Head. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, so you’re gonna have to pick your moments. We’ve got a slow start with some punchy groundswell later on, but there are plenty of flat spells to work around.

The water's sitting at 68°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no drama there.

We kick off on Sunday the 16th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a tease. There’s a 6ft SSE swell with a short 7-second period, and it’s just not doing much for the break. The cross-off wind keeps it clean, but it’s a marginal call, with combined energy at 400. Not the day for it.

Monday the 17th turns it up a notch in size, but the quality drops off. We’ve got 7ft of SE swell, and the cross-onshore wind is chopping it up. It’s poor, and I’d steer clear. Same story carries through Tuesday the 18th – still plenty of size, around 6ft, but the cross-shore wind has it messy.

We get a little breather on Wednesday the 19th. The swell drops to 4ft, but with a light cross-off breeze, it cleans up nicely. It’s not big, but it’s surfable and fun. Thursday the 20th looks even better with a glassy morning and 5ft of ESE swell. That’s a proper clean session, if a little inconsistent.

Friday the 21st morning is still good with 5ft and glassy conditions, but that falls apart by the afternoon as a 12 mph onshore wind kicks in and spoils it. Saturday the 22nd is a write-off with poor waves and cross-shore winds.

Now, here’s the standout. Sunday the 23rd. We’ve got a decent 8ft SSE swell that’s packing some energy – combined energy is at 705 – and the cross-off wind is keeping it clean. This is the best of the first week, for sure. It’s a solid size, so it might be pushing it for the beginners, but for the rest of us, this is the one to get out for. The afternoon eases to 6ft, but still very good.

After that, the bottom falls out. Monday the 24th drops to a dribble of 2ft, and the next few days are mostly small and poor. There’s a tiny bump on Tuesday the 25th morning with a 3ft SSE swell and offshore wind, but it’s pretty ordinary. The energy just isn't there.

Then we get the big one. Wednesday the 26th is a completely different animal. We’re looking at a 7ft SSE groundswell with a long 12-second period and a combined energy of 1117. That’s a serious amount of water moving. The wind is a fresh cross-off, so it should be grinding. This is another standout, but for the more experienced heads. The long period and that size might make it a bit much for the beach breaks, but for a point like this, it could be a proper session. It’s a week and a bit away, so keep an eye on it, but it’s full of potential.

Thursday the 27th eases down to a more manageable 4ft with light winds, which should be clean and fun after the big day.

After that, the run fizzles out again. Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th are small and weak, and we drop to under 3ft. The energy levels are in the low three figures, and it’s just not worth paddling out for. There’s a tiny pulse of 3ft ENE swell on Monday the 31st, but it’s got a 5-second period and is just windswell junk.

So, to sum it up: the two days that really stand out are Sunday the 23rd and Wednesday the 26th. The 23rd is the more accessible of the two, with cleaner, more consistent conditions. The 26th is the bigger, more powerful groundswell that’s for the experienced crew. Everything else in between is either flat or messy. Keep the 23rd and 26th circled on the calendar.

Rusty.

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