Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's chew the fat about Broken Head for the next couple weeks.

It's a bit of a waiting game, to be honest. The early part of the forecast is pretty average – small, short-period swell and a lot of wonky cross-shore wind. There's a monster spike mid-week, but that's for the chargers only. Let's get into it.

The weekend of the 13th is a write-off. Sunday morning, the 13th, you get a 4ft swell from the SE at a long 10 seconds, but the wind is light and cross-shore. The wave energy is moderate at 533, but the onshore breeze in the afternoon kills any chance of a clean wave.

Monday the 14th morning is the first glimpse of something okay. The swell drops to 3ft from the SSE with an 11-second pulse, and the wind goes dead flat – glassy. The energy is weak at just 195, so it's small and clean, but not a standout at all. That glassy window is gone quick.

Then we hit a bad stretch from Tuesday the 15th through Wednesday the 16th. The wind is howling, and the swell is tiny and choppy. Wednesday the 16th afternoon, we’ve got a 25 mph southerly wind with a 0.3ft swell. Totally useless.

Now, hold onto your board for Thursday the 17th. A big SSE swell hits, reaching 12ft in the morning with a 10-second period. The combined energy reading is a huge 2033, which is very strong. The wind is a strong, clean cross-offshore, so it'll look the part. But that 10ft to 12ft range is expert territory, no doubt about it.

Friday the 18th morning is a bit more doable. The swell drops to 5ft from the SE at 8 seconds, and we get a gentle offshore wind from the SSW. The energy is moderate at 298. It's clean, punchy, and much more inviting for the average surfer.

The real standout, the one to save the date for, is Saturday the 19th of September. The morning is looking fantastic. A 4ft swell from the ESE with a solid 11-second period (proper groundswell), giving us a moderate 552 reading. And the wind? Totally glassy. It will be wall-to-wall, super clean, and lined up. This is your morning session.

After Saturday the 19th, it all fades into small, weak, and choppy slop for the rest of the run. There are a few clean moments from a southerly breeze, like Monday the 21st morning and Tuesday the 22nd morning, but the swell sizes are tiny – around 3ft and 4ft, with energy readings in the basement. Really just survival waves.

Water temp is sitting at 21°C, dead average for this time of year, so no drama there.

For Broken Head, the ideal direction is from the ENE, but most of what we see is from the SSE or SE. Mix that with the cross-shore winds, and you see why it's been hard to crack a good one.

So, final call. Experts, get ready for Thursday the 17th when the big, clean swell hits. For everyone else, circle Saturday the 19th of September. That glassy morning with the solid, long-period groundswell is the best on offer. Patience, my friends.

Rusty.

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