Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Broken Head's got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we're in for a bit of a waiting game. The first real surf we can get excited about doesn't roll in until Thursday the 16th, and even then, it's a beast that's only for the brave. The whole early part of the week from now until Wednesday the 15th is basically flat or tiny with weak, short-period leftovers. You'd be wasting your time, honestly. Just a few days of nothing.

So, things kick off Thursday the 16th with a sudden jump in size. We're looking at a solid 12ft to 13ft of SSE swell, but the wind is howling out of the SSE at 22 mph. The wave energy is absolutely pumping (1508 to 2575), but that wind's gonna be messing with the surface. It's cross-off, so not a complete washout, but with that size and the wind, this is strictly for the experienced crew. Not a beginner's day.

Friday the 17th stays big, holding around 12ft from the SSE with similar cross-off winds (19 mph) and massive energy (over 2300). Still a heavy, expert-only kind of day with the wind keeping things a bit rough.

The pattern shifts Saturday the 18th. The swell pushes up to 13ft from the SE, and the wind drops to a moderate 16 mph, but it goes cross-shore. That means a chop on the surface, and the wave comment backs that up, calling it marginal. The afternoon cleans up a fraction as the wind goes cross-off, but it's still a 13ft SE swell (4363 energy). That's a whole lot of ocean moving, and it's still going to be a handful for all but the most dialed-in surfers.

We get a proper standout on Monday the 20th. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the SSE, and the wind swings offshore from the SW at only 6 mph. The wave comment calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". There's still plenty of energy (1945), but that clean, glassy top with offshore breeze is what we're after. If you've got the skills, Monday morning at Broken Head is the call.

And then, Tuesday the 21st is the absolute gem of the forecast. Morning is a dream: 8ft of SE swell with a 12-second period and a gentle offshore from the WSW (1837 energy). It's going to be clean and powerful. But the afternoon is where it gets magic. The wind goes completely glassy – a flat calm – with a 8ft SE groundswell on a 12-second period. That's as good as it gets for a point break like this. It says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." If you can only paddle out one session in the next two weeks, this is it.

The following days Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd still offer up clean, rideable waves. Wednesday morning has a 6ft SE swell with 11-second period and a light offshore (703 energy). It's a bit smaller but still fun for a wider range of surfers. Thursday has 4ft from the ESE with an offshore wind, making for more friendly, clean conditions.

After that, the second week starts to trail off. From Friday the 24th onward, the wind goes onshore or cross-on, and the swell drops away. The periods get long (12-13 seconds) but the swell height is tiny (2ft to 4ft) and the wind is wrong, making it a choppy, messy affair. Not worth the paddle.

So, to wrap it up: the early week is a write-off. The big, windy stuff from Thursday the 16th through Saturday the 18th is for the experienced. The standout is Monday the 20th for its offshore winds and solid swell, but the absolute best is Tuesday the 21st with glassy conditions and a beautiful long-period SE groundswell at Broken Head. Get on it.

- Rusty

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