Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Broken Head. It’s a point break, beginner-friendly, fairly consistent and exposed to the swell. The optimum direction is from the ENE, so that’s what we’re hoping for.

The water is sitting at 69°F with a temperature anomaly of -0.4°F, so it’s about average for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just standard winter water.

We’ve got a bit of a wait though. The start of the period is a write-off. Friday the 17th through to Monday the 20th are all ruled out by strong winds and messy, lumpy conditions. There’s a fair bit of swell energy running, hitting 874 (moderate) on Friday morning and building to over 2300 (strong) by Sunday, but it’s all cross-off or cross-shore winds in the 18-28 mph range, and the period is mostly 8-9 seconds. That’s short-period wind swell, all bumpy and blown out. The water’s clean, but the wind ruins it. The setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing this weekend.

The first real chance of a decent surf comes on Tuesday the 21st. The morning sees a 7ft swell from the E, with a 10-second period and a gentle cross-off breeze from the SE at 9 mph. The combined energy is 967 (moderate but solid). The conditions are clean and the forecast says expect very good surf. This is the standout. The afternoon drops a little to 6ft, still clean, still good. It’s a point break, so that longer period will offer some nice lines.

Wednesday the 22nd morning is still worth a look – 5ft from the E, 9-second period, and a light offshore wind from the SW at 6 mph. Clean, but the energy drops to 373 (moderate-low). It’s a smaller, cleaner day. The afternoon fades with a cross-shore breeze and not much push.

From Thursday the 23rd through to the end of the month, the surf drops off steadily. Heights fall from 4ft down to 0.7ft, with short periods and very ordinary conditions. There’s a small bump on Saturday the 25th morning with a 2ft swell and glassy conditions, but it’s barely worth a paddle. The energy is only 67 (weak). Several days of flat, poor surf follow.

Then, looking into the first week of August, there’s a promising sign on Saturday the 1st. The morning brings a 6ft swell from the SSE, 10-second period, with glassy conditions and a light WNW air. The combined energy is 621 (moderate), and the forecast says expect very good surf. The afternoon drops to 5ft, still clean with a cross-off breeze. That’s a solid weekend option, but being more than a week out, treat it as promising but not locked in.

So, the best on offer is Tuesday the 21st – that’s your go-to. Clean, solid 7ft easterly swell, gentle side-offshore breeze, and the point will handle that period well. After that, the weekend of the 1st of August looks like a good second call, but we’ll have to see how the forecast firms up.

Stay patient, keep the wax soft.

Rusty.

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