Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks. We’re starting slow, but there’s a payoff later, especially for the experienced crew.

The first few days are a bust. Monday morning the 13th has a clean 2ft swell from the SE with a 9-second period, combined energy is a weak 59 – not enough to do anything with. It’s flat and poor through Tuesday and Wednesday the 14th and 15th. A big gap of no worthwhile surf.

Then Thursday the 16th, the swell jumps to 10ft from the SSE, but the period is short at 8 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-offshore at 19 mph. The energy is 883 (moderate wave energy). This is a big, chunky, messy swell. At Broken Head, a point break that prefers an ENE swell, this direction is off, so it’s going to be lumpy and only for experts. The water temp is about average for the season.

The swell stays between 8ft and 12ft through the weekend, with energy climbing over 1000. By Sunday the 19th, the period ticks up to 10 seconds, and energy hits 1735 (strong wave energy). The wind is still a moderate cross-off, so it’s clean, but the direction is still wrong. This is big, powerful, and not the best shape.

The real standout is Tuesday the 21st. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft from the E, with a 10-second period, and the wind swings to a light offshore from the SW at 9 mph. The energy is 612 (moderate wave energy). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the call. The swell direction is closer to the optimum ENE, and the offshore wind will make it glassy and clean. This is your best window – solid, surfable, and clean. Crowds are often here, so get in early.

The good conditions hold into Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd, with the swell easing to 4ft-4ft, still with a light offshore wind. Energy drops to around 250-300, but it’s clean and fun. After that, the wind gets messy, and the long period groundswell (11-12 seconds) that comes in around the 24th and 25th is better for the reefs. The 25th of July, Saturday afternoon, looks good again with a 5ft E swell (period 11 seconds) and a light cross-offshore wind from the WNW – that’s clean, with good energy (502). The E swell is right in the sweet spot.

The swell fades into the final days, with small, clean waves but not much punch.

So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off until Thursday the 16th, but that’s big and rough. The true standout is Tuesday the 21st at Broken Head – 6ft from the east, light offshore wind, clean, and great energy. The second call is Saturday the 25th afternoon, with a similar 5ft E swell and clean conditions. Get on it.

Rusty.

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