Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s headin’ to Broken Head over the next couple weeks.

Straight up, there’s some serious size comin’, but we gotta sit through a few rough days first. The ocean’s got a ton of energy—combined swell energy values hitin’ over 3066 (real strong) midweek—and those early July days are pumpin’ 12 ft of SSE swell at 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, but the wind’s blowin’ cross-off at 15–19 mph, and the tide’s makin’ things tricky. Water temp’s about normal for the season.

Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th are a bit of a wash. 12 ft down to 10 ft of SSE swell, plenty big for a beginner spot, and with wind and marginal tide, it’s not gonna be clean. Thursday the 9th morning sees the wind shift to SW at 12 mph, blowin’ offshore, with 8 ft of SSE swell—still heavy, but now it’s clean. That’s for experienced surfers only. Friday the 10th morning keeps the offshore wind (SSW, 12 mph) and the swell drops to 7 ft—still solid, still for the skilled.

The standout of the first week is Saturday the 11th morning. Clear skies, a light WSW breeze at 3 mph, and the swell’s eased to a nice 5 ft from the SSE at 10 seconds. Energy’s down to 488 (moderate), but the conditions are glassy and clean. Crowds are “often” at Broken Head, so expect company, but for a Saturday morn with 5 ft and no wind, it’s a beauty.

Then it goes quiet. Sunday the 12th has small 4 ft with a glassy afternoon—good for a log—but by Monday the 13th, it’s down to 2 ft and stays tiny through Thursday the 16th. That’s a solid four- or five-day lull with nothin’ worth paddlin’ for.

Friday the 17th morning shows a little pulse—2 ft from the SSE at 15 seconds—but it’s barely surfable with strong wind. Saturday the 18th looks better: 4 ft SSE swell, light wind, clean. Then comes the real highlight: Tuesday the 21st. We’ve got a push of 8 ft to 10 ft SSE swell, 11–12 second period, with light offshore or glassy wind. Combined energy’s back up to 1445–2200 (strong to very strong). This is proper groundswell, and at 10 ft, it’s expert territory only. But if you’ve got the skills, the morning of the 22nd July with a glassy 10 ft of SSE swell and a 12-second period is one to circle—just remember, it’s a ways out, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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