Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming down the line for this stretch of coast over the next couple of weeks.

There’s a slow start, but then it cranks. The first few days are small and clean, but the real action gets going around a week out, building into a solid run of good swell. One day in particular stands out, so let’s get into it.

Right now, for Saturday the 4th, Broken Head (point) is seeing a tiny 3ft easterly swell, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 199 (weak). Water temp is 71°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year. The wind’s blowing offshore from the SSW at 9 mph, so it’s clean and glassy. It’s surfable, but nothing special – small and ordinary.

Sunday the 5th is similar – still small, around 3ft from the east with a solid 11-second period (groundswell) but energy is low at 159. A moderate offshore breeze is keeping it clean, but again, not going to get the heart pumping. A bit of a wait for the good stuff.

Monday the 6th is where the tone shifts. The swell jumps to 10ft from the SSE, period 8 seconds – short period, so a bumpy, wind-driven feel. Combined energy is strong at 1368. It’s big, but with a cross-offshore wind at 16 mph and the SSE direction, it’s going to be bumpy and tricky. Marginal conditions. This is expert territory – too big for beginners, and the short period will make it a bit of a mess. Kite surfers would be looking at this more than paddle surfers.

Tuesday the 7th holds at 10ft from the SSE, but the period stretches to 10-11 seconds, and energy is up to 1864. Winds are still cross-offshore, so there’s some shape but it’s not perfect. Still a big, powerful swell.

Now, here’s the one to circle. Wednesday the 8th – mark it. The swell hits 12ft from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds and a combined energy of 5116 (very strong). That’s a proper groundswell with serious power. The wind is a gentle offshore from the S at 9 mph, keeping the face clean. This is the standout of the entire forecast – big, powerful, and clean. The long period means longer sets and easier paddling between them. Since it’s a point break, it should handle the long-period direction well. This one’s for experienced surfers only – anything over 8ft is experts-only. Expect crowds, as the spot is often packed when it’s firing.

Thursday the 9th keeps the energy going with a 10ft SSE swell, period 11 seconds, energy 1701. Offshore winds from the SSW at 12 mph make for excellent conditions for the experienced crew. Friday the 10th eases slightly to 8ft, still clean with gentle offshore winds, and Saturday the 11th drops to 6ft with light offshore winds – a good option for those who found the bigger days too heavy.

From Sunday the 12th onward, it fades fast. Swell drops below 3ft, the winds turn cross-onshore, and it gets choppy. By Monday the 13th, it’s poor with messy conditions. There’s a gap of several days with no real surf to get excited about from the 12th through to the 19th. Small, weak, and ordinary – a couple of tiny 1ft days with glassy conditions on the 18th, but nothing worth paddling out for.

So, bottom line – the big winner is Wednesday the 8th at Broken Head. Big swell, good direction, clean wind. Get on it if you’re experienced, and don’t mind a crowd. After that, the window closes quick.

Rusty.

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