Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the waves ahead at Broken Head.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We start with a few days of barely-surfable dribble, then a serious pulse of energy swings through mid-next week, but you’ll need to be on your game and pick the windows. After that, it fades back into skinny, choppy nothingness.

Alright, from the top. Saturday the 12th is a write-off – rain showers, a cross-shore wind, and sloppy 5ft slop from the SE. Wait it out. Sunday the 13th is still ordinary: morning has marginal 4ft SE swell with a light cross-shore, but the combo energy is moderate (497), so there’s some push there if you’re desperate. Afternoon gets worse as the wind turns cross-on.

Monday the 14th morning is the first real chance to get wet. Glassy conditions, a dribbly 3ft SSE swell with a period of 11 seconds. Energy is light-moderate (183). It’s surfable but nothing special – you’ll be scratching for a ripple. The water temp is 69°, about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then things go flat and wind-affected Tuesday and Wednesday the 15th and 16th. Tiny waves, onshore breezes, not worth paddling out.

But hold onto your board – Thursday the 17th brings a massive injection of power. We’re talking 13ft SSE swell on Thursday morning, with combined energy screaming at 2987 – that’s very strong energy. Problem is, it’s accompanied by a fresh 18-22 mph southerly cross-off wind. The reports flag marginal conditions, but for experienced surfers only, this is a beast. Sets will be thumping, and with that much size (over 8ft), it’s strictly for the well-prepared crew. The swell period is 10 seconds, so it’s a bit raw and not the cleanest groundswell.

The standout window arrives Friday the 18th morning. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the SSE, period 9 seconds, but here’s the kicker: offshore winds from the SSW at 12 mph. Clean, lined-up, powerful waves. Combined energy is 1143 – strong – and conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the forecast. The swell direction (SSE) is not quite the optimum ENE that Broken Head loves, but with offshore wind and that size, it’ll still offer some heavy, well-shaped walls. The break is a point, fairly consistent, and crowds are often a factor here – expect company.

After that, the swell backs off through the weekend and into the following week. Saturday the 19th morning has 6ft from the ESE, light cross-on wind, and moderate energy (843), but it’s marginal. By Sunday the 20th, we’re back to small, choppy, onshore junk. From Monday the 21st right through to Sunday the 27th, it’s a long stretch of poor surf – tiny swells, wrong winds, and mostly cross or onshore. There’s a brief flicker of hope on Sunday the 27th morning with clean conditions and 4ft NE swell, but with only 144 energy, it’s barely a ripple.

So to wrap it up: the best on offer is Friday the 18th morning – solid 8ft SSE groundswell, offshore wind, and plenty of power. If that’s too big for you, Monday the 14th morning is your only other clean, small-wave window. After that, it’s a long blank spell.

Stay safe, and don’t get too excited about the long-range stuff – it’s a way off yet.

Rusty.

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