Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, coming to you from Broken Head.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, to be honest. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t kick in until Saturday the 4th, and even then it’s pretty ordinary. But hold on, because the real story unfolds later next week.

Let’s talk about the water first. At Broken Head, the water temp is sitting around 70°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year – nothing weird going on there. The swell energy is weak for now, sitting at just 175 (moderate energy) on Saturday morning with a small 2ft groundswell from the ESE, period 11 seconds. The wind is a gentle offshore from the SSW, so it’ll be clean. That’s a good starting point for beginners or anyone wanting to ease into it, but it’s not going to blow anyone away.

Saturday afternoon gets a little better: the swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSE, period 7 seconds – so a short period, meaning less push. The energy climbs to 365 (moderate) and the wind goes cross-offshore from the SSE. It’s clean, surfable, but still nothing to shout about.

Sunday the 5th looks like a write-off. The wind picks up to 18 mph from the south, and there’s rain showers. The swell is small, the conditions are poor. You’re better off staying on the sand.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 6th brings a big jump in swell energy – we’re talking 1656 (strong energy). The swell is a solid 10ft from the SSE, period 8 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving, but the period is short, which means it’s going to be a bit lumpy and less organised. The wind is a fresh cross-offshore from the SSE at 18 mph, so it’ll be clean but the size is too big for beginners – this is expert territory. The waves will be powerful but messy, so keep your wits about you.

Tuesday the 7th stays similar – energy at 1563 (strong), swell 8ft from the SSE, period 10 seconds. Still only for experienced surfers. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore from the south, but the rain and the size are not making it a relaxing session.

Wednesday the 8th is the absolute standout. Mark it. The morning has a clean 8ft SSE groundswell, period 11 seconds (starting to get that long period push), with a light to moderate offshore wind from the southwest. The energy is high at 1778 (strong). The water is clean, the waves will have proper shape – this is where you want to be if you’re a confident surfer. The afternoon stays good with 8ft from the SE and clean conditions. This is the one day in the next week and a half where it all comes together. But keep in mind, at this size, it’s only for experienced surfers; experts will have a ball, but beginners will be out of their depth.

Thursday the 9th sees the swell drop to 6ft from the SSE, period 10 seconds, energy down to 871 (moderate to strong). The morning has a light offshore from the southwest – still good, still clean, and now more accessible for intermediate surfers. It’s a very good session, but not the standout.

Then from Friday the 10th onwards, the swell steadily fades. By the weekend of the 12th and 13th, we’re down to 2ft and 1ft respectively, with very low energy (107 and below). The wind picks up and swings around, and it becomes pretty much unsurfable from Sunday the 12th onward. The rest of the second week – from the 14th through to the 18th – is flat. Small 0.5ft slop, no energy, nothing worth chasing. That’s a solid 6–7 day gap of no surf at all.

So overall, the golden window is Wednesday the 8th of July. If you can only get out once, that’s the day. Saturday the 4th is your small clean option for beginners, and Thursday the 9th is a solid all-rounder. After that, it’s a long dry spell.

Keep an eye on the long-range, but as it stands, that Wednesday is the one.

Rusty.

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