Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about our stretch of coast. We’ve got a solid pulse of Southern Ocean groundswell hitting us mid-week, with a steady drop-off into small conditions after the weekend. The first couple of days offer the best quality, so make your move early. There’s a noticeable lull from around Sunday afternoon, with the waves fading to near nothing until the end of the forecast period, where a new ESE pulse builds late in the second week.

Wednesday, July 8th kicks off with a chunky, stormy 12 ft swell out of the SSE. Wind is a moderate S breeze at 15 mph, cross-off, so it’s not too messy, but the raw power is intense. The combined wave energy is a massive 2785 (moderate to strong). This is expert territory—it's too big for beginners. Broken Head (a point break) will be handling this energy okay, but it’s more punchy and raw. That South wind keeps it a bit textured, but it’s rideable for those with the gear and the guts. Water temp is sitting at 70°, which is bang on average for this time of year.

Thursday the 9th is the standout. Morning brings a still solid 8 ft SSE swell, but the wind swings to a crisp SSW offshore at 12 mph. This is the cleanest the big stuff will be all week. The combined energy is still high at 2287 (moderate to strong). The break will have excellent shape for experienced surfers. The period is 11 seconds—classic groundswell, giving those orderly lines and easier paddling between sets. If you can handle it, Thursday morning is the call. Afternoon sees the swell drop to 8 ft, but the wind goes cross-off, so it’s still clean but a touch smaller.

Friday the 10th is still decent. Morning offshore SW wind at 9 mph with a 7 ft SSE swell (energy 964 – moderate). It’s a good session for the intermediate crew as the size is dropping out of the heavy range. By Saturday the 11th, we’re down to 5 ft with a glassy WSW offshore—real pleasant morning surf, though the energy is dropping to 601. That afternoon, the wind flips light cross-on from the NNE and the swell becomes inconsistent.

From Sunday the 12th onward, it’s a long, slow fade. The swell slips under 3 ft, and the energy drops into the low digits (175 to just 7) by the following Wednesday. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations—just ordinary, knee-to-waist high slop. The period from Tuesday the 15th to Saturday the 19th is particularly flat, with only weak swells and poor conditions.

Late in the window, around Monday the 20th, we see a new pulse building from the ESE. By Tuesday the 21st, the swell climbs back to 8 ft with a period of 12 seconds and strong energy (1637). The wind is strong offshore from the W at 19 mph (fresh breeze), making it a clean, powerful wave, but it will be very strong. That Wednesday morning (22nd) should offer excellent, punchy 6 ft ESE groundswell with moderate offshore wind and a clean face. This late-season run is promising but less certain, as it’s over 2 weeks away.

Bottom line: Thursday morning the 9th is the best of the best for experienced surfers—big, clean, offshore. After that, get it Saturday morning while it’s glassy. The second week has a promising swell for the 21st and 22nd, but keep a loose schedule.

Rusty.

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