Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, this time in feet and Fahrenheit.

The next few days are gonna be a bit of a tease. We've got a decent little pulse of swell coming through Friday morning, but then the window closes and we're looking at a flat spell for the rest of the weekend and right through to the middle of next week. There’s a big gap of nothing solid from Saturday afternoon, all the way through to Thursday the 17th. Then the whole picture flips.

So, the standout in this whole 16-day run is actually a long-range call. Come Thursday the 17th of July, the ocean is going to wake up. A big South-Southeast groundswell pushes in Friday morning, solid 16.4 ft with a period of 12 seconds. That’s some serious energy pumping in – the combined swell energy is reading strong to very strong (6841). This is expert territory though, way too big for anyone but the experienced crew. The wind is a fresh breeze from the South, so it’s cross-offshore, keeping the face reasonably clean. The swell direction (SSE) is a little off the optimum (ENE) for Broken Head as a point break, so it won’t be perfect, but with that size and period, the waves will have plenty of shape and power, with long lulls between sets making the paddle out easier.

By the following Sunday morning, the 19th, the swell drops slightly to a still-hefty 11.5 ft, but the wind swings to a moderate offshore from the Southwest. That’s the best wind direction for Broken Head, and the combined energy is still very strong (5191). The forecast is calling it exceptional for experts. If you can handle it, that Sunday morning is the one to circle.

For the first good session before the flat spell, Friday morning the 10th is your best bet. Swell is 7.2 ft from the Southeast, period a clean 10 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is strong (1035), so there’s push. The water temp is 69.6°, which is about average for this time of year – no surprises there. It’s excellent for experienced surfers, and the crowd factor is “often” so expect plenty of company if you paddle out. The offshore wind will keep it clean all morning.

If you’re beginner, hold off. That Friday is fine for intermediates who are confident, but the size is pushing 7.2 ft, and after that, anything over 4.9 ft won’t come until the big stuff arrives in the second week, which is too heavy.

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