Broken Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Broken Head for the next 16 days.

Right off the bat, the first few days are pretty quiet. Monday through Wednesday, the surf is small or flat, so don’t rush out. The water temp is around 69°, which is normal for this time of year.

Thursday the 16th, we get a jump in size – 8ft from the SSE – but the period is short at 8 seconds. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s big and short-period, making it more of an expert wave. The combined energy is moderate at 750. Friday the 17th stays similar, around 8-8ft, still with short period, but the wind gets more cross, making it less appealing. Honestly, this stretch looks better for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday the 18th, the swell shifts to the ESE with a slightly longer 9-second period, still around 8-8ft. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy is ramping up to 969. This is still big and raw.

Now, the real power shows up Sunday the 19th – 12ft from the ESE, 10-second period, and the combined energy is huge at 2079-2274. This is heavy, expert-only territory. The point break at Broken Head will handle it, but it’s a big, dangerous swell.

The best window opens up the following week. Monday the 22nd of July, the swell drops to a more manageable 6ft from the E, 9-second period, with light cross-off wind. The energy is moderate at 551, and conditions look very good. Then Thursday the 23rd through Saturday the 25th is the pick. Swell is 5-6ft from the E, with a period of 11-12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is offshore or light cross-off, giving you clean, glassy waves. The energy is in the 500-900 range, and the point will wrap it in nicely. Crowds are often, so expect company, but the quality is high.

The absolute best is Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th mornings. Thursday morning has 6ft from the E, 11-second period, with light offshore wind from the SW. Friday morning has 5ft from the E, 11-second period, with gentle offshore wind. Both are clean, lined up, and perfect for a good session.

For the last few days, Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, we’ve got smaller, longer-period swell – 3-5ft from the E, with periods of 12-13 seconds. The wind is offshore in the mornings, so it’s glassy, but the size is better for a longboard. The energy is weak to moderate, but the quality is still very good.

Long story short: the first week is a slow start with a big, gnarly pulse mid-week, then the second week delivers consistent, clean, longer-period groundswell. The standout is Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th mornings – that’s where you wanna be.

Rusty.

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