The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a pretty mixed bag for The Pass over the next 16 days. The opening weekend starts with a bit of a bang, but then things get small and quiet for a long stretch before we might see a big one way down the track.

The action kicks off on Saturday, 25th July. The morning is the real standout for the whole outlook. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell running from the SSE, with a long 15-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and with a cross-off breeze it’ll be holding up well. The combined energy is very strong at 1812, so there’s plenty of push. This is a point break, so that long period should wrap in nicely. It’s a bit much for beginners though. The water temp is about average for this time of year. The afternoon drops off to 4ft, still with a clean cross-off, and the energy drops to a moderate 550.

Sunday morning, 26th July, is a write-off – tiny 1.0ft with poor conditions. The afternoon picks up a little with 4ft from the SSE, but it’s a shorter 12-second period. Still, with offshore wind, it’ll be clean. The energy is moderate at 371.

Then we hit a real flat spell. From Monday, 27th July right through to the early part of August, we’re looking at tiny, weak swells. Most days are under 2ft with energy readings in the double digits or low triple digits. The wind is mostly cross-off, but there just isn’t enough to work with. There’s a brief moment on the afternoon of the 2nd of August with a 3ft SSE swell and a clean offshore breeze, but it’s hardly a barrel. The combined energy is a weak 203. This is a quiet period for the area.

The only real glimmer of hope for a big score comes right at the very end of the forecast. On Sunday morning, 9th August, the models are showing a chunky 12ft swell from the SSE, with a 13-second period and a very strong energy reading of 4235. That is serious power. The wind is cross-off in the morning, so it could be an absolute beast for experienced surfers. Forget the beginners. This is one to circle on the calendar, but it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it just yet.

So, the best of the best is Saturday morning, 25th July, at The Pass. That 7ft, 15-second groundswell with clean cross-off wind is the real deal. The only other one to get excited about is that Sunday, 9th August, big swell – but that’s a promise for the future, not a guarantee.

Rusty.

Read more