The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what we’ve got for The Pass.

The overall pattern is a real mixed bag. We start with some decent, clean waves this weekend, but then a long, flat spell hits through the middle of next week. The real standout, the one to keep an eye on, is the swell that’s due to arrive later in the second week.

This weekend is where it’s at. Saturday afternoon (September 12th) you’ve got a solid 5ft swell rolling in from the SE with a moderate 12 mph offshore wind. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about average for the time of year, so no drama there. The water’s clean, and the combined swell energy is a solid moderate 367. The Pass is a consistent point break, and with the offshore wind, it’ll be holding up nicely.

Sunday morning (September 13th) is the pick of the first week. The swell drops a touch to 4ft, but the wind eases to a light 6 mph offshore, and the period stretches out to 10 seconds. The energy jumps to 497. The conditions are described as clean, and for a point break like The Pass, this extra period means the waves will be shaping up nicely, with longer waits between sets. It’ll be a pleasure to paddle out. Sunday afternoon stays clean with a 4ft SE swell and light cross-off wind.

Then things get poor. Monday (14th) starts glassy with a small 3ft swell, but the energy drops to 183. The afternoon turns into a cross-shore mess. From Tuesday (15th) right through until Thursday (17th) morning, it’s flat, weak, and mostly choppy. That’s a solid gap of a few days with nothing worth paddling for.

Now, the big talk is what’s coming on Thursday the 17th. A massive pulse of swell hits Thursday morning with a 13ft SE swell. The combined energy is a very strong 2987. This is real-deal, expert-only territory. It’s also a short period of 10 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and powerful. The wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off from the south, keeping it clean but heavy. This is for experienced chargers only. The swell hangs on through Friday (18th) with 8ft dropping to 6ft in the afternoon. Friday afternoon actually looks very good: 6ft from the SE with a 9 mph offshore breeze, period climbs to 11 seconds, and the energy is a strong 766. That’s your other standout.

The following week from the 19th onwards drops back into smaller, weaker swell with poor wind, mostly cross-shore or onshore. There’s a tiny pulse of long-period groundswell on the 23rd (Wednesday), but it’s barely 1ft, so forget it. The very last day, Sunday the 27th, shows clean 4ft waves with an offshore breeze, but it’s low energy (144) and nothing to get excited about.

So to sum it up: the best waves are this Sunday morning (13th) for clean, user-friendly fun, and then mark your calendar for Friday afternoon (18th) for the best combo of size, wind, and period. The big Thursday swell is for the brave.

Rusty.

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