The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk surf.

Right now, we’ve got a slow run ahead – the first good wave worth paddling for doesn’t show up until Friday the 10th of July at The Pass. Before that, Tuesday the 7th through Thursday the 9th sees solid 12ft to 8ft southerly swell, but it’s cross-off with a fresh breeze, and despite the size, the forecast calls it marginal – the tide and conditions just aren’t lining up for a proper session. So we sit that out.

Come Friday the 10th, The Pass starts to clean up. The morning brings a 7ft SSE swell at 10 seconds with moderate energy (1730), and by the afternoon it drops to 7ft SSE with energy reading 870 – and the word is “expect very good surf conditions.” Cross-off wind from the south at 15 km/h keeps it clean. This is a classic point break, so that longer period (10 sec) groundswell will wrap in nicely. The water temperature is around average for this time of year – nothing weird going on.

Saturday the 11th sees the swell drop quick to 5ft then 4ft, but the wind turns light cross-shore and it’s glassy by Saturday afternoon – a sneaky window for a small clean board. Not a standout, but fun if you’re keen.

Sunday the 12th, the morning is poor with cross-on wind, but Sunday afternoon gets glassy with a 4ft SE swell at 11 seconds and energy at 270. That’s your second pick: clean, small, and tidy at The Pass. The break can get crowded often, so expect company if you paddle out.

Monday the 13th through the rest of the second week gets pretty flat – mostly knee-high or smaller, with poor conditions and some complete duds. Swell energy drops to single and double digits. It’s a real lull.

Then – hold on – Tuesday the 21st of July rolls in with a 8ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, energy 1445, by the afternoon building to 10ft at 11 seconds, energy 2191 with clean cross-off wind. Then Wednesday the 22nd of July morning lights up: 10ft SSE swell at 12 seconds, energy 2200, glassy with a slight air – “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That is the standout of the entire 16-day window. A solid, punchy groundswell, clean, and The Pass is a point break that handles long-period swell beautifully. Now, 10ft is big – experienced surfers only, beginners sit this one out. This one’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but if it holds, it’ll be the best wave we see in a fortnight.

Signing off,
Rusty

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