The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, and while it starts off a bit slow, there’s a real gem waiting for us if we’re patient.

The first few days are a write-off, honestly. The Pass is the only show in town, and from Saturday the 5th to Tuesday the 8th, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell with wonky wind. You’ll see some cross-offshore breezes, but the swell is just too small and short-period to get excited about. There’s a gap of about four days there with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, things start to wake up on Wednesday the 9th. We’ve got a moderate swell building from the SSE, pushing about 6ft, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is sitting at 579 (moderate), and it’s clean with a light breeze. That’s our first real chance to get wet, but it’s still a bit average. The afternoon drops off a touch and gets a bit questionable.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th see the swell jump up – 7ft to 8ft on Thursday, and even bigger on Friday at 7ft. The energy readings are climbing into the strong territory (793 and 1164). The problem is the period is a bit short on Thursday (7 seconds), and the wind is a cross-offshore breeze, keeping things clean but a little lumpy. Friday’s afternoon swell picks up a long 13-second period, which is a groundswell, and the energy is very strong at 1410. This is getting serious, but the quality is still flagged as marginal. For a point break like The Pass, long-period SSE swell can sometimes line up really well, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag.

Saturday the 12th offers a drop back to about 5ft, cleaner conditions with a gentle breeze, and a good 11-second period. The energy is still moderate (515). This is a solid, fun day for a confident beginner or intermediate.

But the real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Sunday the 13th. Early morning, the wind goes glassy. Absolutely dead calm. The swell is only about 3ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell (18 seconds) from the SSE, packing a moderate 694 combined energy. That’s a special combo. That long period will wrap beautifully into The Pass, offering clean, lined-up walls. It’s not huge, but the quality will be top-notch. This is the best on offer, hands down. With the water temp at 69°, that’s about average for the time of year.

After that, the forecast gets a bit messy again. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are small and choppy. Wednesday the 16th looks windy and messy. However, keep an eye on Thursday the 17th. We get a clean 4ft SSE swell with a 12-second period and a moderate offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (494). It’s a good, clean day.

And then, for the experienced crew, Friday the 18th is a serious consideration. The morning brings a 4ft swell but with a very long 18-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 1822 (very strong). It’s clean with a light breeze. This is excellent, powerful surf. The long period and point break setup should produce some beautiful, long rides, but it’ll be too much for beginners. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and messy.

The last couple of days, the 19th and 20th, look like a return to choppy, cross-onshore wind and small swell. Not much to write home about.

So, to wrap it up: if you want perfection, get out for the glassy morning of Sunday the 13th. If you want power and have the skill, Thursday the 17th and especially Friday the 18th morning are your tickets. Everything else is a bit of a gamble.

Rusty.

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