The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming up for The Pass.

Okay, so the next week and a half is looking pretty quiet. We've got a run of small, weak surf from now until Friday the 17th, with the combined energy barely cracking 100 (20-30 range) on most days. That's a real bummer, a lot of flat spells between some very small, marginal waves. The water's sitting at 70°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The real standout is a solid pulse of south-southeast swell arriving on Friday the 17th of July. The Pass is a point break, so it's a good setup for this kind of energy. That morning, we're looking at a solid 16 ft swell, period around 12 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 6841. That's a lot of power. The wind is forecast to be a cross-off around 22 mph, so it'll be clean, but that's a lot of wind. For reference, anything over 8 ft is expert territory, so 16 ft is huge. This is a big, powerful swell. The wave quality is only rated as "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions" though, so conditions might be tricky. The afternoon stays large at 15 ft with a 11 second period, and still a strong cross-off.

The next best option, and probably the one with the best chance of being user-friendly, is the following Sunday, the 19th of July. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon's forecast is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." We're still looking at a solid 10 ft swell from the SSE with an 11 second period, combined energy of 1894. The wind is forecast to be a gentle cross-off from the south, which should keep the faces clean. This is a powerful, long-period groundswell, so The Pass, being a point break, will handle it well. After that, the swell drops back down through the next week.

The longer-range outlook is tempting but less certain. Saturday the 25th of July shows a promising morning with 8 ft of SSE swell, a 9-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is 898. It's a nice size, but the wind is forecast to be perfect, so it could be a great, clean session. That afternoon, the wind swings onshore and messes it up, so if it holds, that morning window is the one to aim for.

So, if you're looking for a big, powerful, expert-only session, Friday the 17th of July is the one. But for a more manageable, high-quality wave that's still got some punch, point your board for the afternoon of Sunday the 19th of July. That's my pick.

Rusty.

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