The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got coming down the line for The Pass over the next couple of weeks. It's going to be a bit of a slow burner this time around. The good news is we've got a solid run of surf to look forward to, but you're gonna have to be patient.

First things first, the water temp is sitting right on 69°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The first few days, though, are a total write-off. From Thursday morning right through the weekend and into early next week, we're looking at tiny waves. The swell is barely a ripple, with combined energy readings as low as 32 — weak and not worth paddling out for. It's a dry spell, so save your energy.

Things finally start to wake up on Sunday the 16th of August. The swell bumps up to 6 ft to 6 ft from the SSE. The energy is starting to show (combined energy of 327-424), but the wind is a bit messy and the surf is just *marginal*. It's better than nothing, but the real meat and potatoes are still a day away.

The standout period is Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th of August. This is where we get the best surf of the whole outlook. The swell pushes into the 7 ft to 8 ft range from the SE and ESE, and the energy really cranks up (combined energy of 508 to 602 — that's strong!). This is proper groundswell with 8-second periods, plus we've got clean offshore winds from the SE. The Pass is a point break, so that longer period swell from that direction will wrap in nicely, giving us some good shape and long rides. However, at that size (over 7 ft), this isn't a beginner's day. This one’s for the experienced crew who know how to handle a bit more power. There could be a few people out, so be ready to share.

After that solid pulse, we fade out again. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th see the swell drop back down to 3 ft to 4 ft (weak to moderate energy around 185-307). Winds stay light or offshore, so it'll be clean, but the size is ordinary. Friday through to the following Monday is much the same story — small, clean, but very average. The swell tries to pick up again around Sunday the 23rd of August with a touch over 4 ft from the ENE (moderate energy around 330), but the wind is cross-onshore, which will chop it up.

After that, the last few days of the outlook (24th to 28th) are back to small stuff again. There's a pulse of *very* long-period swell (14 seconds) on Friday the 28th from the SSE, but with a 25 mph wind, it'll be a wild, blown-out mess. Not one for the paddle surfer — that'll be a kite session day.

So, the real call to make: set your alarm for Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th. That's your window for the best waves — clean, solid, and powerful.

Stay frothing.
Rusty.

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