The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee and let’s have a proper look at the charts for The Pass, coming up.

First thing you gotta know – the water’s sitting at 69°F, which is about bang on average for this time of year. No surprises there.

Alright, the outlook for The Pass is a bit of a tease. We’ve got a real gap at the start here. Nothing worth paddling out for on Thursday the 23rd or Friday the 24th. Thursday morning is a write-off, poor surf, and even though Friday afternoon sees a bump in swell to 6ft, it’s coming from the SSE with a short, weak 7 second period, onshore wind, and the whole thing looks average. Not worth a second look.

Then we hit Saturday the 25th, and that’s the standout. This is the one to circle. Saturday morning brings 4ft of SSE swell, but look at that period – 15 seconds, that’s proper groundswell. The energy is moderate at 785, and the wind is light cross-off from the SSW. By Saturday afternoon, it gets even better: 6ft, still SSE, 13 second period, combined energy jumping to 1022 (strong), and the wind swings light cross-off from the NE. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions" for both sessions. This is the best on offer in the whole outlook, no question. With that long period, The Pass as a point break will handle it beautifully, giving you long, lined-up walls. Just be aware that crowds are often here, so you’ll have company.

Sunday the 26th has a bit of a drop-off. Morning is tiny – 1ft from the ENE – but Sunday afternoon cleans up: 4ft of SSE swell at 12 seconds, light offshore wind from the ESE, and moderate energy at 363. It’s a good, clean session, but not on the same level as Saturday.

After Sunday, we hit a long, dry spell. From Monday the 27th all the way through to Thursday the 1st of August, it’s basically poor surf. Tiny waves, strong winds, and rain. There’s a short window on Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon where a 8ft SE swell shows up with 8 second period and fresh offshore wind, but the conditions are called “marginal” and the combined energy is high at 781 – that’s a lot of water moving around. Given the size and the strength of the wind, this is honestly looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session for most. The Pass can hold it, but it’s not going to be pretty.

The rest of the first week of August is a mixed bag of marginal to poor conditions, with onshore winds and rain. Nothing to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: Saturday the 25th of July is your day. Get on it. Sunday afternoon is a decent backup. After that, it’s a long wait with nothing solid until the second week, and even then, it’s rough.

Rusty.

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