The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me give you the lowdown in feet and miles per hour for The Pass.

It’s a real rollercoaster of a forecast, with some heavy hitting waves early on, then a long stretch of flat calm, and a late surge of energy.

The action starts on Tuesday, July 7th, with a solid 12ft swell from the SSE. There’s a heap of power behind it – the wave energy is 2562 (moderate to strong) – and it’s got that 11-second interval, so the shape is there. The wind is a moderate breeze from the S, so it’s cross-off and a bit messy, but there’s still plenty of wave to work with. The water’s sitting at 70°, which is normal for the season, so no surprises there.

The Pass is a consistent point break, a classic beginner-friendly wave, but with this size it’s strictly for the experienced crew. It handles swell from the ENE best, but this SSE swell will wrap in and give you something to surf.

The next few days stay large and powerful but the wind stays cross-off from the south, so it’s not going to be glassy. Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday are still in that 3-3.5m range with high energy, so there’s plenty of grunt for the hardcore surfers.

By Friday the 10th, the swell drops to 7ft, and while the energy is still good at 873, the wind gets more cross-shore and the quality fades. It’s still surfable, but not special.

Now, for the true highlight. Saturday morning, July 11th. This is the session to mark on your calendar. The swell is a much more accessible 5ft from the SE with a clean 10-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead calm from the SW. This will be as close to perfect as it gets all week. The energy is 596 (moderate), and it’s a clean, rideable size for everyone. Expect crowds though, because everyone knows how good that morning will be.

After that, it’s a ghost town. From Saturday afternoon all the way through to the 20th of July, the waves drop way down. We are looking at heights under 3 feet, often down to 1 foot or less, and the wind is messy and onshore. It is a proper 9-day flat spell. Nothing to do but wait.

Late in the window there is some hope. On Tuesday, July 21st afternoon, the swell starts to rebuild. A 8ft swell from the SSE with 831 energy (moderate) and a light cross-off wind. It’s clean and punchy. It’s a good sign, but it’s still two weeks out, so don’t book your trip just yet.

Then Wednesday, July 22nd morning brings a big 10ft from the SSE, with a 3152 energy reading (strong). The wind is light onshore from the NNW, so it will likely be bumpy. This is for the big-wave experts only – dangerous for anyone else.

So, in short, The Pass has two windows worth getting excited about: the clean, glassy Saturday the 11th, and a potential late return of size around the 21st and 22nd. The middle is a write-off.

Rusty.

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