The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for The Pass, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way.

The good stuff kicks off Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, with a solid 10ft swell out of the southeast. That’s a lot of ocean moving around, with some serious energy behind it – we’re looking at a combined energy reading of 2426, so it’s got some punch. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is dead average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, which will keep things pretty clean. But this is a point break, and with a swell that size and a period of 11 seconds, it’s going to be a solid groundswell, meaning those waves will have some serious push and shape. That kind of size is really for the experienced crew; beginners are going to find it intimidating.

Thursday, July 9th, still has decent swell. The morning sees an 8ft swell from the SSE with that same 11-second period, and the wind stays manageable. The afternoon drops a little to 8ft, also from the SSE. The energy is still high, but it's dropping from 2351 down to 1060. It’s surfable, but the conditions are reported as "marginal," so don’t expect perfection.

Friday, July 10th, the swell is still hanging around in the 7ft to 7ft range, with the morning wind being a cross-shore from the SW which might make things a bit bumpy. The afternoon looks better with a 7ft swell from the SSE and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The energy is still moderate, around the 1000 mark.

Then we hit a quiet spell. From Saturday, July 11th, through to Thursday, July 16th, the swell really drops off. We’re talking waves under 3ft for most of that stretch, and the energy falls way down into the double digits. The wind is variable, a bit messy in the middle there, and there’s a day on Monday, July 13th, where it goes glassy but with only 2ft on offer. That’s a flat spell, nearly a full week of poor conditions. If you’re itching for a paddle, Monday morning might give you a few slow, tiny waves, but you’ll be scratching for them.

Now, hold onto your boards, because Thursday afternoon, July 16th, the ocean wakes up again – and it wakes up with a roar. We’ve got a 13ft swell from the SSE hitting. That’s big. The combined energy is a massive 2316, but the period is only 9 seconds, so it’s a shorter-period wind swell. At that size, with that sort of period, it’s going to be powerful and a bit unruly. This is strictly for experts. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore breeze, so it won’t be too blown out, but 13ft at the Pass is serious business.

The swell stays pumping through Friday, July 17th, with 12ft from the SSE both morning and afternoon. The wind, however, picks up to a strong breeze, gusting 28 mph from the south. It’s clean in terms of being offshore, but that much wind and that much swell is a real challenge. The energy remains very high in the 2000s.

Saturday and Sunday, July 18th and 19th, the swell is still big – 10ft to 8ft – but the wind stays strong. It’s going to look more like a windsurfing or kitesurfing playground than a clean surf break for a few days there.

Things start to settle down by Monday, July 20th, with 7ft swell and the wind dropping to a fresh breeze. Into the following week, the size fades. The real standout in the long-range is that Thursday afternoon, July 16th, if you have the skill and nerve for it, but it’s a wild one.

The best all-around window, if you ask me, is probably going to be Wednesday, July 22nd, in the afternoon. The swell is down to a much more manageable 3ft, but it’s coming from the SE with a long 12-second period, and the wind goes glassy. The energy is a modest 288, but for a clean, long-period swell on a point break like The Pass, that can be a dream. It’s a late call, but that one has the potential to be the most fun for the average surfer.

So, for the near term, Thursday afternoon July 9th is your best bet for something clean and a bit tamer. For the big wave crew, Thursday July 16th is the date to circle. Keep your eyes on the long-range Wednesday, July 22nd.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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