The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. So, we’ve got a real split forecast for the next couple of weeks. The first few days are small and clean – great for a learner session – but the second week brings in some serious, heavy groundswell that’s only for the brave. The place to be is The Pass, a consistent point break that loves swell from the east-northeast. Water temp is a normal 69.3°F, nothing out of the ordinary.

First real waves kick off Saturday afternoon, the 1st of August. Swell jumps to 6.0ft from the SSE with a moderate offshore wind that’ll clean things up. The combined energy is a solid moderate 686, so there’s some power. Sunday the 2nd is the gem of the first week. Morning has 4.9ft from the SSE, but the real magic is Sunday afternoon: 5.2ft of SSE swell, a period of 11 seconds (starting to feel like real groundswell), and glassy conditions with a light offshore wind. Energy hits 831. That’s the pick – clean, punchy, and The Pass will be running smooth. Crowds are possible, so get out early.

Monday the 3rd holds at 5.6ft in the morning with a cross-shore wind (marginal tide call), but the afternoon cleans up with 5.2ft from the SE and a light cross-off breeze. Tuesday the 4th drops right off – morning is glassy but only 2.6ft with weak energy (197), and the afternoon is a write-off at 2.0ft with a cross-on wind. From Wednesday the 5th through to Tuesday the 11th, it’s mostly flat or weak, with small surf below 3.6ft and mainly poor to ordinary conditions. A real lull.

Then things get serious. Wednesday the 12th afternoon sees a jump to 5.9ft from the SE, but it’s cross-shore and messy. The real heavy stuff arrives Thursday the 13th: 9.8ft from the SSE, but with a 30 km/h cross-on wind – that’s a messy, lumpy, expert-only zone with combined energy at a strong 1687. Friday the 14th is the absolute standout of the whole outlook. Afternoon delivers 11.5ft of clean swell from the ENE (perfectly aligned for The Pass), a 9-second period, a light offshore breeze, and a combined energy of 1938. Conditions will be excellent, but this is for experienced surfers only – that’s a solid, powerful wave.

Saturday the 15th morning is 14.8ft from the ENE with cross-shore winds (marginal tide), but the afternoon is a beauty: 13.1ft from the ENE, period stretching to 11 seconds, light cross-off breeze, and energy at 3915. Clean, powerful, and lined up. Sunday the 16th is the biggest of the run: 18.0ft from the ENE in the morning (12-second period) and 16.4ft in the afternoon. The cross-off wind will keep it clean, but the energy is astronomical at 8269 and 7558. These waves are huge, very long period groundswell – think big, powerful sets with long waits. The Pass being a point break will handle this beautifully, but it’s strictly for the experienced crew. If you’re not solid, stay on the beach and watch.

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