The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for The Pass.

Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat spell. The surf is poor through the first week, with a run of small, weak, cross-onshore slop. From Monday the 10th through to the 16th, it’s barely worth a look. The swell is tiny, under 2ft, mostly from the ENE with short periods around 9 seconds, and the wind is just messing it up. The combined energy is weak, often under 100, so don’t get your hopes up. Thursday the 13th afternoon actually turns offshore with clean conditions, but the swell is only 2ft and 50 energy – that’s a micro-session at best.

Things start to whisper to life on Monday the 17th. The morning brings a 4ft ESE swell, period only 6 seconds, but it’s clean with a cross-off breeze. The wave energy bumps up to 146. It’s still ordinary, but it’s the first sign of life. Tuesday the 18th sees a similar pattern, with a 5ft SE swell in the afternoon, period still short at 6 seconds, but with a clean offshore wind. Energy hits 183. Still not a standout, but you can feel the pulse returning.

Now here’s where it gets good. Wednesday the 19th is the real turn. The morning delivers a 6ft SE swell, period 7 seconds, energy hitting 305, and the wind is clean. That’s a proper surfable day. The afternoon sees a 5ft SSE swell with a 9-second period, offshore wind, and energy jumping to 441. That’s the first real highlight. The Pass is a point break, so that longer period (9 seconds) will give it shape.

Thursday the 20th keeps the momentum. Morning sees 4ft from the E, 8-second period, offshore wind, energy 334. The afternoon builds to 6ft from the E, still 8 seconds, offshore, energy 415. Friday the 21st stays solid: 5ft from the E, 9-second period, morning light cross-off, afternoon offshore, energy around 400. That’s consistent, clean, and fun.

But the absolute standout is Saturday the 22nd. The afternoon session delivers a 8ft E swell, 10-second period, offshore wind, and the energy jumps to 1037. That’s a serious pulse of moderate-to-strong wave energy. For a point break like The Pass, that 10-second period will create long, lined-up walls. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. This is the best of the whole run. Sunday the 23rd is still excellent: morning 7ft E, 10-second period, light offshore, energy 882. Afternoon 7ft, same direction, 10-second period, light offshore, energy 803. This is a beautiful window of clean, solid groundswell.

Monday the 24th morning is glassy, 5ft from the E, 10-second period, energy 464. That’s a dream start to the day, but the afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy, so get out early. Tuesday the 25th is back to small and marginal.

Over the whole run, the first week (10th to 16th) is a write-off. The standout is definitely the Saturday the 22nd afternoon through Sunday the 23rd. The Pass can get crowded, and with this quality, it’ll be busy, so get there early. The swell direction from the E is a good match for the break’s optimum ENE. The wind is offshore and clean, and the period is long enough to give it proper shape. This is the one to plan for.

Rusty.

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