The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The Pass is the only game in town for this whole 16-day stretch, and it’s a mixed bag. We’ve got a long wait with nothing worthwhile for the first few days, but then a proper pulse of energy rolls in and hangs around for a while. The first real action doesn’t kick off until Thursday the 16th. Before that, Tuesday and Wednesday are a total write-off—tiny, weak, and not worth a paddle.

Thursday the 16th is the first time we see some size, but it comes with a side of fresh breeze and a bit of rain. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SSE, with a short period of 9 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit of a messy, powerful beast. The combined energy is strong (1879), but this is expert territory only. Don’t even think about it if you’re not solid.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th settle a little, with 8ft to 10ft swells from the SE, still short period. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore, which keeps it clean, but the short period means the waves won’t be the most refined. This is still solid, punchy surf for the experienced crew.

Now, the standout. Sunday the 19th. This is the best on offer. We’ve got a 15ft swell from the ESE, with a period stretching to 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the combined energy is massive (4645). The wind is offshore and fresh, keeping the face of the wave clean. This is a big, powerful, and well-shaped swell for The Pass, but seriously, only for experts. The water temp is about 69°F, which is pretty normal for the time of year.

The following week, from Monday the 22nd to Wednesday the 23rd, we hold onto some nice 7ft to 8ft swells from the E, with the period getting long (12 to 13 seconds). That’s the kind of energy that makes The Pass reel off nicely. The wind is moderate and cross-offshore, so it’s still clean. The combined energy sits around 1000 to 1900, so plenty of juice.

Looking further out, Saturday the 25th has a real treat. We get a 8ft swell from the ESE with a 12-second period, and the wind is glassy—dead calm. That’s about as clean as it gets. The energy is solid (1569). This is a fantastic window for experienced surfers. The following Monday morning, the 27th, also looks glassy with a 6ft ESE swell. It’s a bit smaller but still worth a session.

The last few days of the forecast, from the 28th onward, the swell drops off and the wind turns onshore and cross-shore, bringing chop and poor conditions. The magic fades out.

So, the highlight is definitely Sunday the 19th for the biggest, most powerful swell, but if you want cleaner, more manageable size with glassy conditions, circle Saturday the 25th. The Pass is a consistent point, so expect crowds to be likely, especially on those better days.
Rusty

Read more