The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Alright, let's have a look at what's on the cards for The Pass. The first week is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We're looking at a real flat spell from Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 16th. That's several days of barely a ripple, with combined swell energy down in the single digits (9) at times. Not a whole lot to get excited about for a paddle.

Things start to shift on the afternoon of Thursday the 16th of July, when a big pulse of S-SE swell hits hard. The combined energy jumps up to 3213. The problem is it's coming in with a strong 22 mph SSE wind, making for messy, windy conditions. The swell is a solid 15 ft from the SSE with a 9-second period which is short and steep, making it a real handful. This is expert-only territory, and frankly, it looks more like a day for the kite surfers than a clean paddle session.

The wind eases off a touch by the weekend of the 18th and 19th. On Saturday the 18th, we have a massive 15 ft S-SE swell (combined energy 5079) with a longer 11-second period, but the wind is still a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore. It's clean but powerful. The standout session looks like the morning of Sunday the 19th of July. We've got a big 15 ft S-SE groundswell, an 11-second period, and finally, a fresh offshore wind from the SSE at 19 mph. This is going to be a heavy, powerful, clean wave at The Pass (Big Island). The combined energy reading is a massive 5148, so there's a lot of water moving. This is a serious, expert-only wave. Expect crowds as it's a consistent spot.

The week of the 20th sees the swell drop but still hold some size. The afternoon of Monday the 20th looks good for experienced surfers with a 10 ft ESE swell and a 9 mph SSE cross-offshore wind, making for clean conditions. The combined energy is still a punchy 1758. Then on Tuesday the 21st, the afternoon looks promising. We have a 7 ft ESE groundswell with an 11-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the ESE. It's a clean set-up, with a combined energy of 1086 building.

The real dark horse of the outlook is Wednesday the 22nd of July. The morning is glassy – zero wind, pure calm. The swell is a clean 5 ft from the E with a 12-second period. This is a classic groundswell setup, perfect for a point break like The Pass where the long period translates into good shape. The combined energy is a moderate 736. This is your best bet for a fun, crowd-friendly session, but as it's a beginner-friendly spot, it might get busy.

The final days of the run into the 24th and 25th see the swell back up to 5 ft to 6 ft from the SE, but the wind turns onshore and choppy, ruining the quality. The 26th and 27th see the swell fade into the 3 ft to 5 ft range with onshore or cross-shore winds, looking pretty ordinary.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a no-go. The standout period for the big dogs is the morning of Sunday the 19th of July for a massive, clean, expert-only session. For the rest of us, the glassy morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July is the pick of the bunch for clean, fun waves.

Rusty.

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