The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get this forecast rolling. We've got The Pass as the only spot in the picture for this whole stretch, so we'll be riding that train for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a real slow start here. The first couple of days, Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th, are basically a flat, blown-out write-off. Tiny swells and messy winds – you wouldn't even bother paddling out. Don't even look at the ocean, just go do something else.

The first real pulse of energy arrives Thursday morning the 10th, but it's a tricky one. The swell jumps up to 12 ft with a strong energy reading (2155), but that cross-off wind is up and it's a bit lumpy. This is a powerful, raw ocean, not a friendly one. It's pushing past the 8 ft mark, so this is for experts only, and it's not what I'd call clean. The lineup at The Pass is going to be a handful, and the tide might play games with you.

But the standout is Friday the 11th. That's your window. The swell eases to a still-chunky 10 ft in the morning, dropping to 8 ft in the afternoon, and the wind swings offshore from the SSE. That's the key. It's a moderate offshore breeze, but it's clean. The energy is strong at 1316, and that SSE direction is right in the pass's wheelhouse. It'll be big, powerful and lined up, but for those who know what they're doing, this is the best session on offer. This is the one to point the car at.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are still solid, with surf in the 7 ft to 4 ft range, and the wind stays offshore. It's not as epic as Friday, but there are plenty of good waves to be had. The energy backs down to a moderate 507-641, but it's clean and rideable. Definitely worth a paddle.

Then we hit a lull. Monday the 14th drops to under 3 ft and the wind goes cross-off. It's surfable but pretty ordinary. From Monday afternoon through Tuesday the 15th, it really dies off and the wind turns cross-onshore, chopping everything up. No good. That's a solid few days with nothing to get excited about.

Wednesday the 16th has a bit of a tease in the morning, but the afternoon is where it's at. The swell jumps back to 8 ft with a gentle offshore wind and a moderate energy (669). The direction is a bit more SSE, but it should still be firing. It's a short-period swell, so the waves might be a bit more walled, but the wind is clean. This is another good session, a true runner-up to Friday.

From Thursday the 17th on, it turns into a real dogfight. The swell energy just dies. There's some surf around 3 ft to 6 ft, but it's all short-period wind slop, the wind is all over the place, and most of the time it's cross-onshore and choppy. The 18th and 19th are particularly bad with strong cross-onshore winds making it a complete mess. Honestly, for a point break like this, it's going to be more interesting for the kite surfers than us. Even the 20th and 21st, while the wind goes offshore, the swell is a pathetic 5 ft to 5 ft of short-period junk from the N/NNE. It just doesn't have the juice or the right direction to make The Pass worth the effort.

So, in short: forget the start, circle Friday the 11th as the big one, and be ready for the fun but smaller weekend. The rest is mostly a write-off. It's a slow stretch for a place like this, but that one day will make it all worth it.

Rusty.

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