The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The 16-day window starts off pretty flat and ordinary, with a long stretch of small, mostly onshore wind-battered surf. We’ve got a gap of nearly a week where nothing really works, but then the second week brings a serious pulse of energy that’s worth waiting for. The standout is definitely the big swell arriving mid-September, but it’s for experienced surfers only.

The water temperature at The Pass is sitting at 69°, which is about normal for this time of year—nothing unusual there.

The first real chance for a surf comes Monday afternoon, 31 August. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the SSE, period is short at 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak (309). The wind is offshore from the SSE, so it’s glassy and clean—good for a paddle but not much push behind it. The Pass is a consistent point break, so it’ll be rideable, but don’t expect much power.

Tuesday morning, 1 September, cleans up nicely with a 3 ft SSE swell, longer 11-second period, and light cross-offshore wind. The energy is still moderate (322), but the conditions are clean and it’s a mellow, fun session for beginners. Afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy though, so get it early.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Wednesday, 2 September, all the way through to Saturday, 5 September, the wind is mostly cross-onshore, the swell is tiny (2 ft to 3 ft), and the energy drops to weak (down to 77). Sunday, 6 September, has a brief window of clean conditions with a 3 ft NNE swell, but it’s ordinary and small. The pattern stays poor through Monday and Tuesday of the following week—lots of fresh cross-onshore wind, lumpy and choppy, with weak energy. Not worth paddling out.

Now, that changes on Thursday, 10 September. This is the big one. A solid 13 ft SSE swell rolls in, with a 12-second period and very strong energy (4286). The wind is offshore from the SSE, so it’s clean and powerful. But this is expert territory only—13 ft is not for the faint of heart. The Pass is a point break, so it’ll handle the long-period groundswell well, but it’s a serious session. Friday, 11 September, keeps the size around 13 ft to 15 ft from the SE, still strong energy (4100), and offshore wind again. The afternoon looks excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday, 12 September, drops slightly to 10 ft–12 ft, still solid, with light offshore winds and clean conditions. Sunday, 13 September, eases to 6 ft, and conditions stay clean—this is the best window for a wider range of surfers, with moderate energy (543) and a light breeze.

The tail end of the forecast, Monday and Tuesday, 14–15 September, has the swell dropping to 4 ft–5 ft, with offshore winds but the energy is weak to moderate (207 down to 165). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

So, the standout is clear: Thursday, 10 September through Saturday, 12 September. That’s the big SSE groundswell with clean offshore winds, offering powerful, well-shaped waves at The Pass. But it’s for experts only. For everyone else, Sunday, 13 September is the pick—smaller, clean, and more manageable.

Rusty.

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