The Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The pick of the whole 16-day window is The Pass, and it’s the only place we’ve got a look at. This point break is a consistent, beginner-friendly wave that’s fairly exposed to the swell and works best with an east-northeast direction. Water temperature is sitting at 68°, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a long gap with no real surf on offer from Tuesday afternoon, August 4th, right through to Saturday morning, August 8th. The swell is tiny, under 3ft, and the wind is either cross-on or shifting around, leaving the wave weak and choppy. Wednesday morning, August 5th, is a total tease – glassy conditions with a tiny 3ft east swell, but the energy is still pretty low at 161. It’s surfable, but it’s not going to get the heart racing.

Things start to look up on Sunday morning, August 9th. The wind drops to glassy, and we get a clean 4ft east swell with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 282, which is a solid moderate push. This is the first real moment of the period, and the conditions are good for a long, fun session on the inside. The afternoon sees the wind shift cross-on and kick up to 12 mph, which isn’t great, but that morning window is the standout of the first week.

The second week holds the real meat. Thursday afternoon, August 13th, is where it gets interesting. A 8ft south-southeast swell arrives with a 11-second period, and the energy breaks out to 1215 – that’s strong. The wind is light and offshore, keeping it clean. This is a proper point-break swell, so the long period will wrap in nicely, and the sets will have some real grind.

From Friday, August 14th, through Sunday, August 16th, it’s game on. Friday morning has an 12ft south-southeast swell (2615 energy) with light offshore winds. That’s big, and it’s only for experienced surfers. The Pass will have some serious power, and the crowd will be there, so be ready to compete. The afternoon and Saturday see similar size, with the swell easing slightly but still holding over 8ft and moderate offshore winds. This is the best run of the entire forecast. The longer period (11 seconds) will give the wave a lot of shape and make paddling out manageable between sets.

The swell drops a bit by Monday, August 17th, but we’re still looking at 8ft to 7ft from the southeast with clean, offshore winds. It’s good, solid, and workable. By Tuesday, August 18th, the period drops to 7 seconds, and the energy starts to fade. The wind is side-offshore, so it’s still clean, but the wave will be a bit more disorganized.

The last real standout is Wednesday afternoon, August 19th. A 10ft south-southeast swell returns with a 10-second period and a massive 1722 energy. The wind is light offshore, and the conditions are clean. This is a no-brainer for the experienced crew, but it’s a week and a half out, so lock it in with a bit of caution.

Overall, the first week is a slow burn, but that Sunday morning, August 9th, is a nice little warm-up. The real gold is from August 13th through the 16th, and then again on the 19th. The Pass is the only break showing, so that’s where you’ll find me.

Rusty.

Read more