National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break down the surf outlook for the coming weeks at National Park. This is a point break that’s fairly consistent, exposed to the swell, and works best with swell from the ENE. The water temp is around 69.8°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year—nothing wild going on there.

Right now, things are pretty slow. We’ve got a bit of weak, short-period windswell coming in from the NNE, but it’s only about 3.3ft and the period is a low 5 seconds, so it’s not holding much energy (78). The wind is a cross-on from the north-northeast, so it’s looking pretty poor out there. Not much to get excited about on this Sunday afternoon.

Monday the 7th is a slight step up. It’s small—waves around 1.3ft to 1.6ft—but we finally get some clean conditions with offshore winds from the SE. The energy is still weak (51–58), and it’s pretty ordinary, but at least the surface will be clean for a paddle.

Tuesday the 8th is more of the same: small swell around 1.6ft–2.0ft from the ENE and NE, with a short period. The morning has rain showers, but the wind is light offshore from the SE, keeping it clean. Not great surf, but you could probably find a little ripple to play on.

Wednesday the 9th: the morning is tiny, with only 1.0ft from the east, but the afternoon sees a bump up to 2.6ft from the SE, period around 8 seconds. Still small, but it’s clean with a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy is still low (28–97).

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Thursday the 10th is a major spike in swell. The morning has 8.2ft from the SE, and by the afternoon it’s hitting 9.8ft from the same direction. The energy jumps massively to 552 and then 1177—this is strong to very strong wave energy. The wind is strong offshore from the SSE at 25 mph, which will keep the face clean, but that’s a lot of power. The period is only 7–8 seconds, so it’s a shorter-period swell, but at this size, it’s going to be a beast. This is definitely for experts only—too big for beginners. And with that much offshore wind, paddling in could be a real battle. If you’re not solid, stay on the beach.

Friday the 11th is still pumping with 5.9ft from the SE, period around 7 seconds, and offshore wind from the SSE at 16 mph. The energy is still moderate (321–353), and conditions are looking good. This is probably the best day for a strong intermediate or advanced surfer. It’s still solid, but more manageable than Thursday.

Saturday the 12th sees the swell ease a bit to 4.9ft from the ESE, with a 7-second period. The wind is still offshore from the SE at 12–16 mph, so conditions stay clean. Energy is dropping but still moderate (206–222). A solid day for decent waves.

Sunday the 13th: down to 3.3ft from the SE, period 7 seconds, offshore wind in the morning. It’s okay, but nothing special. The energy is starting to fade (138).

Monday the 14th: the swell holds around 3.3–3.9ft from the east, but the period drops to 6 seconds. Light offshore in the morning, cross-off in the afternoon. It’s rideable but ordinary.

Tuesday the 15th: small again, 2.3–2.6ft from the east-northeast, period 6 seconds. The morning is glassy with no wind—that’s a treat for the small stuff. Still, it’s small.

Wednesday the 16th: similar, 2.6–3.0ft from the ENE, period 6–7 seconds. The morning is glassy with calm winds, then a light cross-off in the afternoon. Energy is still low (82–104). It’s clean, but small.

From Thursday the 17th through the end of the outlook, it’s looking poor. The swell drops right off, the wind turns cross or onshore, and the energy is weak. There are some glassy moments on the 20th and 21st, but the waves are tiny—0.3ft to 2.3ft with almost no energy (13–53). Not worth the paddle.

Overall, the standout period is Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th. Thursday is for experts only, with that big 9.8ft swell and strong offshore wind. Friday the 11th is the best bet for a good session, with solid 5.9ft waves and clean conditions. Saturday the 12th is still good, just a bit smaller. After that, it’s a slow fade to flat and poor conditions.

Stay safe out there, and don’t get caught inside on that Thursday monster.

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