National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next 16 days.

We’re looking at a pretty average run for National Park, a classic point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the east-northeast. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about 1° cooler than usual for this time of year, so nothing wild, just a touch of a chill in the water. This spot handles an east-northeast swell well, so we’ll keep an eye on that.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Wednesday the 5th has some small 3ft swell from the east, but the 8-second period is short, and it’s a cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (152), but honestly, it’s just ordinary. Thursday the 6th drops off even more, with tiny 2ft to 2ft waves and weak energy (95 and 76). Friday and Saturday the 7th and 8th aren’t much better, with waves hanging around 3ft, though the energy picks up a bit. It’s not until Saturday afternoon the 8th that we see a glimmer of hope.

That Saturday afternoon, the swell bumps to 3ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds, and the wind goes offshore. Energy jumps to 201 (moderate), and the conditions finally look clean. Then Sunday morning the 9th is the real standout for the first week. We get 4ft of east swell, a 9-second period, and it’s glassy. The energy is solid at 253 (moderate). The swell direction matches the optimum, the wind is dead calm, and the break is a point, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. The water is still a bit cooler than average, but the clean conditions will make up for it. This is your best bet for the first week. Sunday afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore breeze, so don’t sleep in.

After that, things go south again. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are a mess of onshore winds and poor conditions. We get a brief window on Tuesday morning the 11th with glassy conditions and 3ft, but it’s still small. Wednesday the 12th is a write-off again with a strong cross-onshore wind. The rest of the week stays small and unremarkable, with energy dropping below 100.

Now, the second week gets interesting. Saturday the 15th sees a spike in swell, with 5ft to 5ft from the east-southeast, but the period is short at 7 seconds. The wind is offshore, and the energy is strong (246 to 270). This is a bit of a punchy, short-period swell, which can be a bit lumpy at a point, but the offshore wind will clean it up. This is only for intermediate to expert surfers, though, as it’s pushing over 5ft. Sunday the 16th has a similar size but a messy cross-off wind, so Saturday is the better call that weekend.

Then we get another window on Tuesday the 18th. The morning sees 4ft from the southeast with an 8-second period and offshore wind, with energy at 243 (strong). The afternoon is a bit bigger in energy (305) but the wind is a fresh 30 km/h offshore, which might make it a bit skittish. Wednesday the 19th afternoon has a smaller 3ft swell but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is 247 (strong), and the wind is gentle offshore. This will be clean, long-period lines wrapping into the point, which is what this spot loves. The best call in the second week is probably Saturday the 15th morning for the bigger swell, or Wednesday the 19th afternoon for the quality.

Bear in mind, calls for the second week are a bit less certain, but the potential is there.

Rusty

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