National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for National Park, a point break that’s exposed to the ENE. The water’s sitting at 69°, which is just a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing to really complain about.

The next 16 days start off pretty flat and ordinary. The first few days, from Friday the 7th through to the start of the following week, we’ve got small, weak waves. Swell heights are under 3ft, mostly from the east or east-northeast, with periods around 7-9 seconds. The energy is low too, barely cracking 100 (99) on Friday morning. Winds are light and cross-offshore, so the surf is clean, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Saturday the 8th offers a little more energy (121) in the morning, but still only 3ft – you’ll be scratching for a ride.

Sunday the 9th morning is the first real standout. We’ve got a glassy 3ft swell from the east with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy jumps to 215 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is glassy, so the surface will be like a mirror. It’s not huge, but for a point break, those clean conditions and a bit of push will make for some fun, long walls. This is the best of the first week, so get on it early.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 10th right through to Sunday the 16th, the swell drops back to 1ft-3ft, and the winds turn onshore or cross-shore, often strong. The energy is weak, mostly under 160. It’s a proper lull – nothing to write home about. You’re better off doing something else.

Now, things get interesting in the second week. From Monday the 17th, a new swell builds. It’s still messy with strong Southerly winds, but the size jumps to 6ft on Monday morning (289 energy) and 7ft by the afternoon (422). The period is short (6-7 seconds), so it’s windswell – not great for the point, but the size is there. Tuesday the 18th sees even more size, hitting 8ft-8ft (613-829 energy), but the wind is still cross-offshore and strong. It’s big, but not clean.

The real standout is delayed. Wednesday the 19th through Friday the 21st. The swell peaks at 10ft from the east-southeast, with a period of 9-13 seconds, and the energy goes through the roof – 1368 on Wednesday, up to 3550 on Thursday morning. That’s strong to very strong wave energy. The wind goes offshore from the SE, clean and moderate. This is serious groundswell, and for a point break, that’s a dream setup. The waves will be big, powerful, and lined up. But listen – this is only for experienced surfers. Over 8ft, it’s expert territory. Beginners, stay out. Thursday afternoon and Friday see the swell settle to 8ft, with a 12-13 second period – still hefty, but with clean offshore winds, it’s going to be pumping. This is the best on offer: big, clean, and well-shaped.

Saturday the 22nd sees the swell drop to 5ft-6ft (586-814 energy), with a long 11-12 second period and offshore winds again. That’s a great way to finish the run for the strong intermediate crew.

So, Sunday the 9th morning is your call for a small, glassy session. But for the big boys, the 19th through the 21st is where it’s at – just be ready for serious power.

Rusty.

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