National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the line for National Park. It's a point break, fairly consistent, and it's exposed to the east-northeast – that ENE direction is its sweet spot.

We're looking at a bit of a slow start, honestly. The next few days are pretty ordinary. Friday afternoon (24th July) is surfable with a small 3-foot easterly swell, but it's just not doing much with a short 8-second period and the wind is a moderate offshore from the southeast. The water's sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing special. The energy is weak (113), so it's a bit of a flop.

Saturday (25th July) picks up a little. The morning is still a bit meh, but the afternoon gets better. We see a 3-foot easterly swell with a gentle offshore breeze from the SSE. The energy bumps up to a moderate (280) and it's looking clean. That's probably the pick of this first weekend, but it's not a world-beater.

Sunday (26th July) drops off again. We're back to smaller 2-foot to 2-foot surf with weak energy in the 50-60 range. The wind is light and offshore, but there's just not enough swell to get excited about.

Then we hit a big dry spell. From Monday (27th July) right through to Wednesday (29th July), it's tiny. Waves are under 2 feet, most of the time with poor conditions. This is a real lull, about three days of nothing worth paddling for.

Thursday (30th July) sees a jump in size, but it's a messy one. We get a 6-foot swell in the morning, climbing to 8 feet by the afternoon from the SSE. That's a lot of water, and combined with a fresh cross-offshore breeze and rain showers, it's going to be a wild, bumpy mess. The energy is strong (613), but the quality is poor. This is more for the kite crew than paddle surfers, honestly.

Friday (31st July) through to the weekend (1st-2nd August) stays chunky, with 5-foot to 7-foot swell from the ESE. The wind is a fresh offshore, which is clean, but the period is a short 7 seconds. That means choppy, weak lines. The energy is moderate (215-418), but these are not great waves. It's surfable, but you'll be working for it.

Now, here's the good news. The real standout in this whole 16-day window is the second week, specifically Wednesday, 5th August, through to Saturday, 8th August.

The forecast is showing a groundswell starting to fill in on Wednesday morning with a 3-foot swell from the ESE, but the key is the period jumps to 12 seconds. That's proper energy. The wind is light, and the conditions are clean. The energy is strong (304). By Wednesday afternoon, it's 4 feet with the same 12-second period and light offshore wind (333 energy). This is the best run of the forecast.

Thursday (6th August) keeps it going with 3 feet at 11 seconds, light winds, and clean conditions. The energy is solid (212-217).

But for my money, the absolute best session is Friday morning, 7th August. The swell is 3 feet from the ESE with a very long 12-second period. The wind is glassy – ENE at just 3 mph. That's as good as it gets. The energy is strong (225) and the break is a point, which handles long-period groundswell beautifully. This will be lined up, clean, and have some real push. Get in the water early.

Saturday (8th August) wraps it up with similar 3-foot swell, 12-second period, and light offshore winds in the morning. Another good day.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off, with a few small windows and a big stormy period in the middle. The second week, from the 5th to the 8th of August, is where it's at. The standout is Friday the 7th – glassy conditions, long-period groundswell, and a point break that will hold it all together. That's a rare combination, and it could be a gem. Just keep in mind it's a long-range call, so it's promising but not locked in yet.

Signing off, Rusty.

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