National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming at National Park, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The week kicks off with some decent swell, but there’s a lot of wind to deal with. The real standout is going to be that big pulse of energy hitting later in the week, but only for the brave. Let’s break it down.

Thursday the 16th sees a 8ft to 8ft SSE swell, but it’s coming with a strong 22 mph cross-off wind from the South. The wave energy is moderate (756), but the conditions are marginal and the tide is questionable. It’s a bit of a messy start, not something to get too excited about.

Friday the 17th morning looks a bit better. The swell drops to 7ft from the SE, and the wind swings to a 16 mph offshore from the SSE, so the surf will be clean. The energy is moderate (340), and the conditions are good. It’s a solid option for intermediate surfers. The afternoon gets windier and the quality drops, so get it early.

Saturday the 18th is a day of two halves. The morning has a 7ft SSE swell, but the wind is cross-off from the SSW at 19 mph, so it’s not great. But Saturday afternoon is where it gets interesting. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SE, with a 10-second period, and the energy is very strong (2282). The wind is still cross-off, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is expert-only territory. If you’re a seasoned charger, this is your window. For everyone else, sit this one out.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th continue that theme. We’re looking at 12ft to 10ft SE/ESE swells with very strong energy (over 1900). The wind is cross-off or offshore, so the waves will be clean, but the size is simply too much for National Park. It’s a big, powerful swell that will be challenging even for the best.

The real sweet spot arrives on Tuesday the 21st. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the ESE, with a 10-second period and strong energy (1324). The wind is a clean 16 mph offshore from the SE. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The swell direction (ESE) is a good match for this break’s optimum (ENE). The waves will have power and shape, and the offshore wind will keep them glassy. This is the highlight of the whole forecast.

Wednesday the 22nd is still good, with the swell dropping to 6ft from the ESE, offshore wind, and moderate energy (619). It’s very good, but not as punchy as Tuesday.

From Thursday the 23rd through to the end of the month, the swell steadily fades. We get some 5ft to 6ft days with light winds, but the energy drops off, and the quality becomes ordinary. There’s a long gap of several days from the 28th onwards with very small, weak swell (under 3ft and energy under 100) and poor to poor conditions. It’s a flat spell to finish the run.

Best on offer: Tuesday the 21st at National Park. Get on that 8ft ESE swell with clean offshore wind. It’s the best combination of size, power, and conditions. The Saturday-to-Monday big swell is a standout for experts only.

Rusty, signing off.

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