National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming up for the National Park. This is a point break that’s exposed to the swell, and it’s fairly consistent, so you can usually bank on something. The water’s sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year.

The next few days, we’re looking at small, weak stuff. The combined energy is low, sitting around 36 (on Monday morning) to 58 (Monday afternoon), so it’s really just dribble – 1ft to 2ft from the NE with a short 8-second period. The wind is offshore, so it’s clean, but there’s just not enough swell to do anything with. Tuesday morning is a little better with 2ft from the ENE, but still pretty ordinary. The combined energy is only 72, so you’re looking at a real struggle session.

Wednesday morning, we finally get a little bump – 3ft from the SE with a 7-second period, and the combined energy creeps up to 109. It’s still small, but the offshore wind should keep it clean. Still, it’s not going to set the world on fire.

Now, Thursday the 10th is where it gets wild. The swell absolutely jacks up to 10ft from the SSE in the morning, hitting 12ft in the afternoon. The combined energy is massive – 1005 and 1514. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is offshore too, but this is way too big for this break. It’s a point break, so it can handle size, but over 8ft and it’s expert-only territory. This is more of a spectacle than a surf session for most of us.

Friday the 11th is the real standout here. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the SE, with a 7-8 second period. The combined energy is still strong at 626 and 541, and the wind stays offshore. This is what we’ve been waiting for – solid, powerful waves with clean conditions. It’s going to be proper, and the point setup should handle this size well. It’s a bit much for beginners, but for intermediates and up, this is the day to be in the water. Expect good crowds here, as it’s often busy.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th hold on to some decent size – 6ft to 7ft from the ESE/SE – with the wind staying offshore. The combined energy is in the 264 to 467 range, so still plenty of push. The waves will be good, but not quite the standout of Friday. The 7-second period means they’ll be a bit weaker and more crumbly, but still fun.

After that, we start to see a drop-off. Monday the 14th through to the end of the week, the swell fades to 3ft to 5ft. The wind is mostly offshore or glassy, but the energy is low (102 to 176). It’s surfable, but ordinary. By Thursday the 17th, there’s a little bump back to 5ft, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

The second week, from the 18th onwards, looks pretty flat and poor. The swell is tiny (3ft to 4ft), and we start getting onshore winds from the north. The combined energy is below 100 most of the time, and the conditions are just messy. It’s a real downer after that earlier burst.

So, the clear winner is Friday the 11th of September. That’s your best chance for a proper session. The 10th is too big, and the rest is either small or fading. Get out there for that Friday.

Rusty.

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