National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for National Park, and honestly, it’s a slow burn with a couple of standouts that are worth pointing your board at.

For the next few days, don’t get your hopes up. We’re starting with a weak, short-period swell from the east on Friday the 31st, around 2ft with a period of just 7 seconds – not much push behind it. The water's sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is offshore from the SE at 16 mph, which will keep the surface clean, but the combined energy is a paltry 96. It’s small and ordinary.

Saturday the 1st sees a slight bump in size, up to 4ft from the SSE, but it’s still a short-period windswell (6 seconds). The offshore SSE breeze at 12 mph will have it looking clean, but the energy is still weak (188). It’s a groveler’s session.

The action picks up on Sunday the 2nd. The swell pushes to 6ft from the ESE, with a 6-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 291. The wind is offshore from the SE at 12 mph, and the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." This is the first real chance for a decent wave, but with that short period, it’ll be a bit crumbly.

Now, here’s the standout. Monday the 3rd of August. This is the best on offer. Morning brings a solid 5ft of swell from the ESE, but the period jumps to 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 839 – that’s a proper pulse of moderate energy. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The afternoon cleans up even more, with a 3ft swell from the SE at a very long 12-second period, perfect for a point break like National Park. The energy is still strong at 374. This is the day to be in the water.

After Monday, it’s a slow slide back to tiny surf. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th have glassy mornings with SW winds at 3 mph, but the swell drops to 2ft. The combined energy is weak (140 and 110). It’s clean, but small. The rest of the first week and into the second week is a mix of small, weak swells, mostly under 3ft, with the occasional offshore breeze keeping the surface tidy. The energy drops to between 50 and 140. There’s a gap from the 6th through the 9th where the surf is just ordinary.

We get a bit of a spike on the 13th of August, with a 4ft swell from the NNW, but it’s a short-period 6-second swell and the wind is a cross-offshore SSE breeze at 12 mph. The energy is 214, but the direction is all wrong for the optimum ENE swell National Park likes. It’s messy.

The last few days from the 14th to the 15th are back to tiny, poor surf. The energy drops to 38 and 39, with offshore winds but no real swell to work with.

Bottom line: Ignore the first couple of days. The standout is Monday the 3rd of August, with the best combination of size, energy, and clean conditions. The point should be working well with that long-period groundswell. Get out there. After that, it’s a waiting game for the next real pulse.

Rusty.

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