National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the National Park region. The forecast shows a bit of a slow start, but the story gets much more interesting as we head into the back half of the run.

First up, the early part of the week is a no-go. Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th are pretty much flat, with tiny swells of 0.7ft to 1ft and weak wave energy (41 or less). Not worth paddling out for. You’d be fighting for a bump.

The first real movement comes late Thursday the 16th. A solid SE swell pushes in at 10ft, but it’s a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is howling out of the SSE at 25 mph. The combined energy is strong (1062), but this is a powerful, unruly wave. For the intermediate crew at National Park, this is going to be too big and messy. It’s really only for the experts who can handle that raw power, and even then, the wind and size will make it a battle. The water temperature is 69°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing wild.

The standout action really kicks off on Sunday the 19th. We’ve got a large SE swell reaching 15ft with a period stretching to 11 seconds, producing a huge combined energy of (4202). The wind is strong offshore from the SSE at 25 mph, cleaning up the face. This is heavy, serious surf. It’s only for experienced surfers, and the power is going to be intimidating. The crowds here are often present, so expect a lineup.

Another excellent window opens up on Tuesday the 21st afternoon. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft from the ESE, with a 10-second period. The wind goes offshore from the SSE at 16 mph, creating clean, well-shaped lines. The combined energy is still strong (2138), offering a lot of push. This is a solid window for experienced surfers who want a powerful but ridable wave.

Thursday the 23rd afternoon is also a ripper, with a 7ft swell from the ESE and a lovely long 13-second period. The wind is offshore again, and the wave energy is moderate to strong (1485). This is a classic setup with good shape and clean conditions.

The absolute best-looking session, however, is Saturday the 25th morning. The wind is glassy from the SW at just 3 mph, the swell is 8ft from the ESE with a very long 12-second period, and the energy is solid (1485). This is a rare combination of size, power, and perfect conditions. The long period groundswell will be best at the point, giving it form and power. It’s a standout for experienced surfers, but the crowd factor is likely to be high.

After that, the swell trends down through the end of the month, with winds becoming more variable and less ideal. The 27th and beyond see smaller, more onshore conditions, so the magic fades.

Signing off, Rusty.

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