National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for National Park, a point break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the swell. The water's sitting at 69°—a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about a degree and a half off the average.

Right now, the surf is pretty average. We’ve got a 8ft swell from the southeast, but it’s a short period (8 seconds) and the wind is a cross-off from the south at 19 mph. The combined energy is moderate (687), but it’s a bit messy for a point break. The best of the early window is on Wednesday the 8th—the morning sees a 5ft SE swell, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, giving it more shape and energy (1084). The wind is still cross-off, so it’s clean, but the afternoon bumps up to 8ft (1438) with the same period. This is the standout of the first week: solid, clean, and the swell direction matches what this spot likes (ENE optimum). It’s intermediate-friendly, but with a long period, the sets will have good gaps.

Thursday the 9th holds up with a 7ft SE swell (1208) and clean conditions in the morning, but the wind picks up a bit in the afternoon. After that, the swell drops off fast. By Friday the 10th, we’re down to 4ft and the energy drops to 348. That’s weak.

The weekend of the 11th and 12th is a mixed bag. Saturday the 11th has a tiny 4ft swell (283) but light winds—it’s surfable but small. Sunday the 12th is a real tease: the swell is only 3ft, but the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. Perfect conditions for a point break, but the wave size is just too small to get excited about.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 16th, the swell is below 2ft—barely a ripple. The energy is in the double digits (61 down to 6). That’s a gap of about 4 to 5 days with no real surf.

Things start to stir again on Friday the 17th, but it’s a short-period wind swell (6 seconds) from the southeast, 5ft to 6ft, with a fresh cross-off wind. The combined energy is 217 to 251—moderate, but the short period means it’s going to be choppy and less fun on a point. The wind goes offshore on Saturday the 18th, but the swell is still short-period (6 seconds) and only 4ft. It’s surfable, but ordinary.

The real promise in the long range is Wednesday the 22nd of July. The morning is glassy, no wind, with a 5ft SE swell and a 12-second period. The combined energy is 625—moderate to strong. This is the second standout: clean, good shape, and the swell direction is right. It’s too far out to bank on, but it’s worth keeping an eye on. The afternoon sees the wind come cross-shore, so the morning is the window.

Overall, the best on offer is Wednesday the 8th (8ft, 12-second SE swell, clean cross-off wind) and the morning of Wednesday the 22nd (5ft, 12-second SE, glassy). The rest is either too small, too short-period, or just average.

Rusty.

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