National Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what's shaping up for National Park. This is a point break that's exposed to ENE swell, and we've got a classic case of a big, messy start before things settle into something special for the more experienced crew.

The water temp is sitting at about 69°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a full-on write-off for paddling. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are seeing a massive 14.8ft to 11.5ft ESE swell rumbling through with a combined energy reading of 4109. That's a serious amount of power. Add to that a strong breeze screaming from the SSE at 28 mph, and you've got a dangerous, churning mess. Even with cross-offshore winds, that's way too much juice for a point break. This is kite-surfing territory, not for the average surfer.

Now, the real standout window kicks off on Tuesday the 21st. The swell drops to a much more manageable 8.2ft (ESE, 10-second period), and the wind shifts offshore from the SE at 16 mph. The combined energy is still a solid 1302, giving the waves proper punch. This is a day for experienced surfers only – anything over 8ft is expert territory, and at 8.2ft with that much energy, it’s going to be a powerful, clean, offshore barrel machine. The conditions will be excellent, but you need to know what you're doing out there. Crowds are likely at a spot like this when it's firing, so get out early.

Wednesday the 22nd sees the swell drop further to a comfortable 5.6ft (E, 9-second period). The offshore wind goes light, with the combined energy down to 468. This is a much friendlier day for a wider range of intermediate surfers. Clean, lined-up waves for a solid session.

After that, things go downhill. Thursday the 23rd is marginal with small, weak energy, and from Friday the 24th onwards, it’s a slow drain. The swell gets tiny and the energy drops off a cliff, with a few days of almost nothing, before a late pulse on Friday afternoon the 24th – but that's a 7-second period SE windswell with a moderate breeze. Not worth the paddle.

From Saturday the 25th right through to the end of the forecast on Monday the 3rd of August, we're looking at poor surf conditions. There's a long dry spell with combined energy readings barely cracking 100. It's going to be flat or gutless for about two whole weeks.

So to wrap it up: the only shot you've got is Tuesday the 21st for the experts, and Wednesday the 22nd is the pick for the rest of us. After that, park the board and go for a hike.

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