Noosa - Boiling Pot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a story unfolding over the next couple of weeks, but it starts with a bang and then fades out slowly. The main event is a serious, solid groundswell hitting early on, but it’s not a simple one to call—this one’s for the experienced crew only.

The standout is Boiling Pot (Noosa), a point break that’s known for being fickle but can really fire when it lines up. Right from Sunday morning, 19 July, we’re looking at a solid 15 ft swell coming from the SE, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a lot of energy in the water—the combined energy is reading 4109, which is seriously strong. The water is sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The wind is a strong offshore from the SSE at 28 mph, which will keep the surface clean, but with swell that big, paddling in will be a mission. The conditions are clean, but it’s only for advanced surfers; anything over 8 ft is expert territory, and this is well above that. The swell direction is SE, which is solid for this spot, though it’s more of an ENE optimium. It’s inconsistent here, so you might wait a while for the good ones, but when they come, they’ll be powerful. This is the best on offer, but it’s a serious challenge.

Come Sunday afternoon, the swell drops to 13 ft, still big, but the wind stays strong offshore. The energy is still massive at 3630, but the forecast calls it marginal due to the size and tide. Not a beginner’s wave right now.

Monday, 20 July, the swell holds around 13 ft in the morning, dropping to 12 ft in the afternoon, with a cross-offshore wind from the SE at 25 mph. The energy is still very high at 3533 and 2643, but the conditions are clean. Still expert-only territory though. The spot is inconsistent, and these big swells are a lottery here.

By Tuesday, 21 July, the swell eases to 8 ft in the morning and 8 ft in the afternoon, with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. Energy drops to 1302 and 1022—still moderate to strong, but the size is coming down. It’s still clean, but the forecast is marginal, and the crowds at Boiling Pot can be a problem.

Wednesday, 22 July, brings a smaller 6 ft to 5 ft swell from the E, with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the surface will be clean. Energy is down to 468 and 396, feeling more moderate. This is a more manageable size, but the wave quality is only rated as “good conditions,” not exceptional. The swell direction is E, which is a bit off the optimum, and the period is just under the 11-second mark, so it’s not a proper groundswell.

From Thursday, 23 July, things start to taper off. The swell drops to 4 ft with a short 8-second period, and the wind swings around. By Friday, 24 July, there’s a tiny 3 ft swell in the morning, but the wind is offshore, so it’s surfable but very ordinary. The afternoon jumps up to 8 ft, but with a short 7-second period and a moderate cross-offshore wind, it’s messy and marginal.

After that, it’s a long, slow decline. From Saturday, 25 July, all the way through to Monday, 3 August, the swell is mostly below 3 ft, with energy readings dropping into the double digits and single digits. The wind is often offshore or cross-offshore, so the surface stays clean, but there’s just not enough wave to get excited about. The period is short, mostly 7 seconds or less, and the swell directions are all over the place. Expect a big gap of nearly two weeks with no real surf to recommend. The spot is inconsistent, so a blank run like this is not unheard of here.

If you’re a kite surfer, the strong offshore winds and clean conditions on the bigger days might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, the sweet spot is that Sunday morning swell.

Rusty.

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